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Benner Cycle
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Benner Cycle is a chart created by Ohioan farmer Samuel Benner. It references historical market cycles between 1780-1872 and uses them to makes predictions for 1873-2059.
The chart marks three phases of market cycles:[3]
- A. Panic Years: - "Years in which panic have occurred and will occur again."
- B. Good Times - "Years of Good Times. High prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds."
- C. "Years of Hard Times, Low Prices, and a good time to buy Stocks, 'Corner Lots', Goods, etc. and hold till the 'Boom' reaches the years of good times; then unload."
Cycles
[edit]Benner[4] estimated panics occur on a cycle of roughly 18 years, 20 years, and 16 years (18-20-16). After a panic, Good Times last for about 7 years. This is followed by a transition of about 11 years to Hard Times. Then, recovery to Good Times over a period of about 9 years (7-11-9).
| Hard Times | Good Times | Panics |
|---|---|---|
| 1780 | ||
| 1783 | 1783 | |
| 1789 | ||
| 1791 | ||
| 1796 | ||
| 1800 | ||
| 1803 | ||
| 1807 | ||
| 1810 | ||
| 1816 | ||
| 1818 | ||
| 1819 | ||
| 1823 | ||
| 1827 | ||
| 1834 | ||
| 1837 | 1837 | |
| 1843 | ||
| 1845 | ||
| 1850 | ||
| 1854 | ||
| 1857 | ||
| 1861 | ||
| 1864 | ||
| 1870 | ||
| 1872 | ||
| 1873 | ||
| 1877 | ||
| 1881 | ||
| 1888 | ||
| 1891 | 1891 | |
| 1897 | ||
| 1899 | ||
| 1904 | ||
| 1908 | ||
| 1911 | ||
| 1915 | ||
| 1918 | ||
| 1924 | ||
| 1926 | ||
| 1927 | ||
| 1931 | ||
| 1935 | ||
| 1942 | ||
| 1945 | 1945 | |
| 1951 | ||
| 1953 | ||
| 1958 | ||
| 1962 | ||
| 1965 | ||
| 1969 | ||
| 1972 | ||
| 1978 | ||
| 1980 | ||
| 1981 | ||
| 1985 | ||
| 1989 | ||
| 1996 | ||
| 1999 | 1999 | |
| 2005 | ||
| 2007 | ||
| 2012 | ||
| 2016 | ||
| 2019 | ||
| 2023 | ||
| 2026 | ||
| 2032 | ||
| 2034 | ||
| 2035 | ||
| 2039 | ||
| 2043 | ||
| 2050 | ||
| 2053 | 2053 | |
| 2059 |
References
[edit]- ^ Benner, Samuel (29 June 2008). Benner's Prophecies of Future Ups and Downs in Prices: What Years to Make Money on Pig-Iron, Hogs, Corn, and Provisions (1884). Kessinger Publishing. ISBN 978-1436787369.
- ^ Constance Brown (2010). Fibonacci Analysis. Wiley. p. 101. ISBN 9780470883242.
- ^ Protonotarios, Giorgos. "The Cyclicality of Financial Markets and Benner's Cycle". TradingCenter.
- ^ "Samuel Benner (1832-1913) - Author".