Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event

The Toarcian extinction event, also called the Pliensbachian-Toarcian extinction event, the Early Toarcian mass extinction, the Early Toarcian palaeoenvironmental crisis, or the Jenkyns Event, was an extinction event that occurred during the early part of the Toarcian age, approximately 183 million years ago, during the Early Jurassic. The extinction event had two main pulses, the first being the Pliensbachian-Toarcian boundary event (PTo-E). The second, larger pulse, the Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event (TOAE), was a global oceanic anoxic event, representing possibly the most extreme case of widespread ocean deoxygenation in the entire Phanerozoic eon. In addition to the PTo-E and TOAE, there were multiple other, smaller extinction pulses within this span of time.

Occurring during the supergreenhouse climate of the Early Toarcian Thermal Maximum (ETTM), the Early Toarcian extinction was associated with large igneous province volcanism, which elevated global temperatures, acidified the oceans, and prompted the development of anoxia, leading to severe biodiversity loss. The biogeochemical crisis is documented by a high amplitude negative carbon isotope excursions, as well as black shale deposition.

The Early Toarcian extinction event occurred in two distinct pulses, with the first event being classified by some authors as its own event unrelated to the more extreme second event. The first, more recently identified pulse occurred during the mirabile subzone of the tenuicostatum ammonite zone, coinciding with a slight drop in oxygen concentrations and the beginning of warming following a late Pliensbachian cool period. This first pulse, occurring near the Pliensbachian-Toarcian boundary, is referred to as the PTo-E. The TOAE itself occurred near the tenuicostatum–serpentinum ammonite biozonal boundary, specifically in the elegantulum subzone of the serpentinum ammonite zone, during a marked, pronounced warming interval. The TOAE lasted for approximately 500,000 years, though a range of estimates from 200,000 to 1,000,000 years have also been given. The PTo-E primarily affected shallow water biota, while the TOAE was the more severe event for organisms living in deep water.

Geological, isotopic, and palaeobotanical evidence suggests the late Pliensbachian was an icehouse period. These ice sheets are believed to have been thin and stretched into lower latitudes, making them extremely sensitive to temperature changes. A warming trend lasting from the latest Pliensbachian to the earliest Toarcian was interrupted by a "cold snap" in the middle polymorphum zone, equivalent to the tenuicostatum ammonite zone, which was then followed by the abrupt warming interval associated with the TOAE. This global warming, driven by rising atmospheric carbon dioxide, was the mainspring of the early Toarcian environmental crisis. Carbon dioxide levels rose from about 500 ppm to about 1,000 ppm. Seawater warmed by anywhere between 3 °C and 7 °C, depending on latitude. At the height of this supergreenhouse interval, global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) averaged about 21 °C.

The eruption of the Karoo-Ferrar Large Igneous Province is generally attributed to have caused the surge in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. Argon-argon dating of Karoo-Ferrar rhyolites points to a link between Karoo-Ferrar volcanism and the extinction event, a conclusion reinforced by uranium-lead dating and palaeomagnetism. Dating of zircons suggests that the magmatic activity lasted for about 349 ± 49 kyr, although plagioclase dating suggests a duration of approximately 1.6 Myr. Occurring during a broader, gradual positive carbon isotope excursion as measured by δ¹³C values, the TOAE is preceded by a global negative δ¹³C excursion recognised in fossil wood, organic carbon, and carbonate carbon in the tenuicostatum ammonite zone of northwestern Europe, with this negative δ¹³C shift being the result of volcanic discharge of light carbon. The global ubiquity of this negative δ¹³C excursion has been called into question, however, due to its absence in certain deposits from the time, such as the Bächental bituminous marls, though its occurrence in areas like Greece has been cited as evidence of its global nature. The negative δ¹³C shift is also known from the Arabian Peninsula, the Ordos Basin, and the Neuquén Basin. The negative δ¹³C excursion has been found to be up to -8% in bulk organic and carbonate carbon, although analysis of compound specific biomarkers suggests a global value of around -3% to -4%. In addition, numerous smaller scale carbon isotope excursions are globally recorded on the falling limb of the larger negative δ¹³C excursion. Although the PTo-E is not associated with a decrease in δ¹³C analogous to the TOAE's, volcanism is nonetheless believed to have been responsible for its onset as well, with the carbon injection most likely having an isotopically heavy, mantle-derived origin. The Karoo-Ferrar magmatism released so much carbon dioxide that it disrupted the imprint of the 9 Myr long-term carbon cycle that was otherwise steady and stable during the Jurassic and Early Cretaceous. The values of ¹⁸⁷Os/¹⁸⁸Os rose from ~0.40 to ~0.53 during the PTo-E and from ~0.42 to ~0.68 during the TOAE, and many scholars conclude this change in osmium isotope ratios evidences the responsibility of this large igneous province for the biotic crises. Mercury anomalies from the approximate time intervals corresponding to the PTo-E and TOAE have likewise been invoked as tell-tale evidence of the ecological calamity's cause being a large igneous province, although some researchers attribute these elevated mercury levels to increased terrigenous flux. There is evidence that the motion of the African Plate suddenly changed in velocity, shifting from mostly northward movement to southward movement. Such shifts in plate motion are associated with similar large igneous provinces emplaced in other time intervals. A 2019 geochronological study found that the emplacement of the Karoo-Ferrar large igneous province and the TOAE were not causally linked, and simply happened to occur rather close in time, contradicting mainstream interpretations of the TOAE. The authors of the study conclude that the timeline of the TOAE does not match up with the course of activity of the Karoo-Ferrar magmatic event.

The large igneous province also intruded into coal seams, releasing even more carbon dioxide and methane than it otherwise would have. Magmatic sills are also known to have intruded into shales rich in organic carbon, causing additional venting of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Carbon release via metamorphic heating of coal has been criticised as a major driver of the environmental perturbation, however, on the basis that coal transects themselves do not show the δ¹³C excursions that would be expected if significant quantities of thermogenic methane were released, suggesting that much of the degassed emissions were either condensed as pyrolytic carbon or trapped as coalbed methane.

In addition, possible associated release of deep sea methane clathrates has been potentially implicated as yet another cause of global warming. Episodic melting of methane clathrates dictated by Milankovitch cycles has been put forward as an explanation fitting the observed shifts in the carbon isotope record. Other studies contradict and reject the methane hydrate hypothesis, however, concluding that the isotopic record is too incomplete to conclusively attribute the isotopic excursion to methane hydrate dissociation, that carbon isotope ratios in belemnites and bulk carbonates are incongruent with the isotopic signature expected from a massive release of methane clathrates, that much of the methane released from ocean sediments was rapidly sequestered, buffering its ability to act as a major positive feedback, and that methane clathrate dissociation occurred too late to have had an appreciable causal impact on the extinction event. Hypothetical release of methane clathrates extremely depleted in heavy carbon isotopes has furthermore been considered unnecessary as an explanation for the carbon cycle disruption.

It has also been hypothesised that the release of cryospheric methane trapped in permafrost amplified the warming and its detrimental effects on marine life. Obliquity-paced carbon isotope excursions have been interpreted as some researchers as reflective of permafrost decline and consequent greenhouse gas release.