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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

See also: 2014 Kansas elections

2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
 
Nominee Sam Brownback Paul Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeff Colyer Jill Docking
Popular vote 433,196 401,100
Percentage 49.82% 46.13%
County results
Brownback:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Davis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elected Governor

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elections in Kansas
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The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Kansas. It was held concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term.[1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the minority leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. This is the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman[3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner[4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran[5]

Declined

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback 		Jennifer
Winn 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[10] July 17–22, 2014 691 ± 3.7% 60% 30% 9%
SurveyUSA[11] June 19–23, 2014 508 ± 4.4% 55% 37% 8%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Brownback
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Winn
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 166,687 63.2
Republican Jennifer Winn 96,907 36.7
Total votes 263,594 100

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

[edit]

Results

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Democratic primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Davis 66,357 100
Total votes 66,357 100

Libertarian nomination

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Keen Umbehr, attorney[16]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr[17]

General election

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Debates

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Endorsements

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Sam Brownback (R)

Republican politicians

Democratic politicians

Other individuals

Organizations

Paul Davis (D)

Democratic politicians

Republican politicians[25][26]

Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[27] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[29] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[30] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Paul
Davis (D) 		Keen
Umbehr (L) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[31] November 1–3, 2014 963 ± 3.2% 45% 46% 4% — 4%
47% 48% — — 3%
Public Policy Polling[32] October 30–31, 2014 752 ± ? 44% 48% 5% — 3%
YouGov[33] October 25–31, 2014 1,137 ± 4.8% 39% 38% 2% 1% 21%
Fox News[34] October 28–30, 2014 907 ± 3% 42% 48% 4% <1% 5%
Survey USA[35] October 22–26, 2014 623 ± 4% 43% 46% 5% — 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] October 16–23, 2014 1,973 ± 4% 43% 40% — 1% 16%
NBC News/Marist[37] October 18–22, 2014 757 LV ± 3.6% 44% 45% 5% 1% 6%
1,055 RV ± 3% 43% 43% 6% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[38] October 20–21, 2014 960 ± 3% 45% 52% — 1% 2%
Gravis Marketing[39] October 20–21, 2014 1,124 ± 3% 44% 49% — — 7%
Monmouth University[40] October 16–19, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 45% 50% — 2% 5%
Remington Research[41] October 9–12, 2014 1,091 ± 2.97% 48% 45% 3% — 4%
Public Policy Polling[42] October 9–12, 2014 1,081 ± 3% 42% 42% 6% — 10%
44% 45% — — 12%
Fox News[43] October 4–7, 2014 702 ± 3.5% 46% 40% 2% 2% 11%
CNN/ORC[44] October 2–6, 2014 687 ± 3.5% 49% 49% — — 2%
SurveyUSA[45] October 2–5, 2014 549 ± 4.3% 42% 47% 4% — 7%
Gravis Marketing[46] September 30–October 1, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% 48% — — 12%
NBC News/Marist[47] September 27–October 1, 2014 636 LV ± 3.9% 43% 44% 4% 1% 7%
1,097 RV ± 3% 41% 43% 5% 1% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] September 20–October 1, 2014 2,013 ± 3% 45% 42% — 0% 12%
Suffolk University[49] September 27–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 46% 6% — 7%
Fort Hays State University[50] September 10–27, 2014 685 ± 3.8% 37% 39% 9% — 16%
Remington Research[51] September 23, 2014 625 ± 3.91% 44% 46% 5% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports[38] September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 47% — 4% 6%
Fox News[52] September 14–16, 2014 604 ± 4% 41% 45% 4% — 8%
Public Policy Polling[53] September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 38% 42% 7% — 14%
39% 45% — — 15%
KSN/SurveyUSA[54] September 4–7, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 40% 47% 5% — 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[55] August 18–September 2, 2014 839 ± 5% 47% 40% — 2% 11%
SurveyUSA[56] August 20–23, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 40% 48% 5% — 6%
Public Policy Polling[57] August 14–17, 2014 903 ± 3.3% 37% 39% 9% — 15%
Rasmussen Reports[38] August 6–7, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 51% — 3% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[58] July 5–24, 2014 1,274 ± 6.1% 52% 40% — 3% 5%
SurveyUSA[10] July 17–22, 2014 1,208 ± 2.9% 40% 48% 5% — 7%
SurveyUSA[59] June 19–23, 2014 1,068 ± 3.1% 41% 47% — 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[60] April 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 47% 40% — 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling[61] April 1–2, 2014 886 ± 3.1% 41% 45% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[62] February 18–20, 2014 693 ± 3.7% 40% 42% — — 18%
Wilson Perkins Allen[63] January 29, 2014 ? ± ? 42% 31% — — 27%
SurveyUSA[64] October 23–24, 2013 511 ± 4.4% 39% 43% — 12% 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Carl
Brewer (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 44% 40% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Tom
Holland (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 38% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Mark
Parkinson (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 39% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Joe
Reardon (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 36% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Kathleen
Sebelius (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 48% 43% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Brownback (R) 		Chad
Taylor (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 44% 34% — 22%

Results

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Kansas gubernatorial election, 2014[66]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 433,196 49.82% −13.46%
Democratic Paul Davis 401,100 46.13% +13.92%
Libertarian Keen Umbehr 35,206 4.05% +1.37%
Total votes 869,502 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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