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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

← 2012 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2016 →

All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 0
Seats won 2 1
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 340,816 185,234
Percentage 63.64% 34.59%
Swing Decrease 0.60% Decrease 1.16%

The 2014 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect 3 members of the U.S. House of Representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the governor of Nebraska and a United States senator. Primary elections to determine candidates in the general election were held on Tuesday, May 13, 2014. The members elected at this election will serve in the 114th Congress.

Overview

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Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:[1]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 123,219 68.82% 55,838 31.18% 0 0.00% 179,057 100% Republican hold
District 2 78,157 45.57% 83,872 48.90% 9,480 5.53% 171,509 100% Democratic gain
District 3 139,440 75.39% 45,524 24.61% 0 0.00% 184,964 100% Republican hold
Total 340,816 63.64% 185,234 34.59% 9,480 1.77% 535,530 100%

District 1

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2014 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election

← 2012
2016 →
 
Nominee Jeff Fortenberry Dennis Crawford
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 123,219 55,838
Percentage 68.8% 31.2%

County results
Fortenberry:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

The 1st district encompasses most of the eastern quarter of the state and almost completely envelops the 2nd district. It includes the state capital, Lincoln, as well as the cities of Fremont, Columbus, Norfolk, Beatrice and South Sioux City. Incumbent Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who has represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2012 and the district had a PVI of R+10.

Republican primary

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Fortenberry considered running for the United States Senate seat being vacated by Republican Mike Johanns, but ultimately announced that he would not do so and would instead seek re-election.[2]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

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Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (inc.) 63,673 86.18%
Republican Jessica L. Turek 5,902 7.99%
Republican Dennis L. Parker 4,407 5.97%
Total votes 73,982 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

[edit]

Results

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Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dennis P. Crawford 24,140 100.00%
Total votes 24,140 100.00%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg[6] Safe R October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R October 30, 2014
RCP Safe R November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[8] Safe R November 4, 2014

Results

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2014 Nebraska's 1st congressional district[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (inc.) 123,219 68.85
Democratic Dennis Crawford 55,838 31.15
Total votes 179,057 100.00
Republican hold

District 2

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2014 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election

← 2012
2016 →
 
Nominee Brad Ashford Lee Terry Steven Laird
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 83,872 78,157 9,021
Percentage 48.9% 45.6% 5.2%

County results
Ashford:      50–60%
Terry:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Lee Terry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brad Ashford
Democratic

The 2nd district is based in the Omaha–Council Bluffs metropolitan area and includes all of Douglas County and the urbanized areas of Sarpy County. Incumbent Republican Lee Terry, who had represented the district since 1999, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2012 with 51% of the vote in the district that had a PVI of R+4.

Republican primary

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Terry faced a competitive primary challenge from businessman Dan Frei, who ran to his right. Despite outspending Frei by around 20-to-1, Terry only won the primary by 2,686 votes, or just under 6%. After his defeat, Frei refused to endorse Terry and he and his supporters openly floated the idea of running an independent or write-in campaign against Terry in the general election. Frei himself was ineligible to do so, having lost the primary election, but former state senator Chip Maxwell was mentioned as a possible candidate.[10]

Candidates

[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lee
Terry
Dan
Frei
Undecided
Frei Internal Poll[15] April 7–8, 2014 599 47% 36% 17%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lee Terry (inc.) 25,812 52.93%
Republican Dan Frei 22,970 47.07%
Total votes 48,782 100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

After controversial comments made by Terry in October 2013, Omaha City Council President Pete Festersen, a Democrat, decided to run against Terry.[16] However, Festersen announced on December 9, 2013, that he was ending his campaign because of the difficulty in balancing the campaign with his family and city council responsibilities.[17] Democratic state senator Brad Ashford announced his candidacy in February 2014.

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

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Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brad Ashford 16,989 81.44%
Democratic Mark Aupperle 3,872 18.56%
Total votes 20,861 100.00%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

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  • Steven Laird, Republican candidate for the seat in 1998, 2006 and 2008
  • Andy Shambaugh

Results

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Libertarian primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Steven Laird 77 59.23%
Libertarian Andy Shambaugh 53 40.77%
Total votes 130 100.00%

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

On May 21, 2014, Maxwell announced that he would run as an independent. A former Republican state senator, his party registration is presently nonpartisan. He has said that if he wins, he will rejoin the Republican Party and serve as a Republican in the House.[24] He dismissed as "hysterical" the idea that his candidacy could be a "spoiler" that conservatives are using to defeat Terry by "any means necessary", whether by Maxwell winning or by him and Terry splitting the Republican vote, thus allowing Democratic nominee Brad Ashford to win, meaning that there would be an open Republican primary for the seat in 2016.[26]

Despite collecting enough signatures to make the ballot, Maxwell withdrew from the race on July 24, saying that he had been "begged" by "high-profile" Republicans not to run and didn't want to create a "permanent rift" in the district's Republican Party. He did however say that he plans to run against Terry in the Republican primary in 2016 and noted that "I think this thing's a toss-up, even with me out of it."[25]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lee
Terry (R)
Brad
Ashford (D)
Steven
Laird (L)
Undecided
NFM Research[27] October 21–25, 2014 365 ± 5.1% 41% 46% 6% 7%
DCCC (D)[28] August 14, 2014 432 ± 4.7% 45% 46% 9%
Global Strategy Group (D-Ashford)[29] May 29 – June 1, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 41% 41% 4% 14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lee
Terry (R)
Pete
Festersen (D)
Undecided
DCCC[30] October 2013 523 ± 4.3% 42% 44% 14%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Tossup November 3, 2014
Rothenberg[6] Tilt D (flip) October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Lean D (flip) October 30, 2014
RCP Tossup November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[8] Tilt D (flip) November 4, 2014

Results

[edit]

Ashford won the race by a 3.3% margin, making Terry one of only two sitting Republicans to be defeated by a Democrat in 2014 (the other being Steve Southerland in Florida's 2nd).

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2014[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brad Ashford 83,872 48.91%
Republican Lee Terry (inc.) 78,157 45.59%
Libertarian Steven Laird 9,021 5.26%
Write-in 459 0.27%
Total votes 171,509 100.00%
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

[edit]
2014 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election

← 2012
2016 →
 
Nominee Adrian Smith Mark Sullivan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 139,440 45,524
Percentage 75.4% 24.6%

County results
Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

The 3rd district encompasses the western three-fourths of the state; it is one of the largest non-at-large Congressional districts in the country, covering nearly 65,000 square miles (170,000 km2), two time zones and 68.5 counties. It is mostly sparsely populated but includes the cities of Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte and Scottsbluff. Incumbent Republican Adrian Smith, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary

[edit]

Smith considered running for the United States Senate in 2014,[31] but declined to do so.[32]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

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Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (inc.) 67,113 68.10%
Republican Tom Brewer 31,436 31.90%
Total votes 98,549 100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Mark Sullivan, farmer and nominee for this seat in 2012[34]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Sullivan 20,069 100.00%
Total votes 20,069 100.00%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg[6] Safe R October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R October 30, 2014
RCP Safe R November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[8] Safe R November 4, 2014

Results

[edit]
2014 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (inc.) 139,440 75.39%
Democratic Mark Sullivan 45,524 24.61%
Total votes 184,964 100.00%
Republican hold

See also

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References

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