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Division of Flinders
Division of Flinders
from Wikipedia

The Division of Flinders is an Australian Electoral Division in Victoria. The division is one of the original 65 divisions contested at the first federal election. It is named after Matthew Flinders, the first man to circumnavigate Australia, and the person credited with giving Australia its name.

Key Information

Originally a country seat south and east of Melbourne, Flinders is now based on the outer southern suburbs on the Mornington Peninsula, including Dromana, Hastings and Portsea. Even though Melbourne's suburban growth has long since spilled onto the peninsula, Flinders is still counted as a rural seat.

Geography

[edit]

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at re-distributions by a re-distribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Re-distributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]

When the division was proclaimed in 1900, it included areas south-east of Melbourne such as Dandenong, Frankston and Pakenham, as well as Mornington Peninsula, West Gippsland and South Gippsland. In 1906, it lost some areas of South Gippsland such as the Wilsons Promontory to the Division of Gippsland, but also expanded northwards into areas east of Melbourne, such as Nunawading, Glen Waverley, Belgrave and Ferntree Gully.[2][3]

In 1913, the division was further expanded northwards into the Yarra Valley north-east of Melbourne, replacing the abolished Division of Mernda, as well as areas in the Shire of Eltham. It lost areas around Nunawading to other divisions, as well as further South Gippsland areas (such as Leongatha) to the Division of Gippsland.[2] The division also began to neighbour the Division of Corio at the Diamond Valley area (Eltham, Research and Hurstbridge).[4] Together with Corio, both divisions formed a ring that completely surrounded Melbourne, stretching from Surf Coast on one end to Bass Coast on the other.[2]

In 1922, the northern portion of the division was shifted south-west into the Shire of Heidelberg (previously in the Division of Bourke), Shire of Doncaster & Templestowe and the Shire of Nunawading (later City of Box Hill and City of Nunawading). It lost the areas at Yarra Valley, Ringwood, Research and Warrandyte to the Division of Indi, and further areas of South Gippsland (Korumburra) to the Division of Gippsland.[2] This new northern portion was lost to the new Division of Deakin in 1937 and the division was cut back to roughly the current alignment of Canterbury Road at Vermont and Bayswater.[5] At the same time, the divisions also lost further areas of South Gippsland to the Division of Gippsland, such as San Remo.[2]

The division was further shrunk back in 1949 to the area around Dandenong (but not including). At the same time, majority of West Gippsland and the remaining areas of South Gippsland were also lost to the new Division of McMillan, but Phillip Island and French Island were retained. The division was then further shrunk back to the area around Frankston in 1955. The division lost Cranbourne South and Phillip Island to the Division of Holt and Division of McMillan respectively in 1977, and then regained them along with South Gippsland in 1984. In the same year, it also lost Frankston to the new Division of Dunkley in 1984.[2]

In 1989, the division lost Langwarrin to Dunkley. It also lost Cranbourne South, South Gippsland and Phillip Island for the second time, which became part of the new Division of Corinella, but regained them from Corinella when the latter was abolished in 1994 (excluding Wonthaggi). It also briefly included Cranbourne East and Clyde North between 1994 and 2003. In 2018, it lost Cranbourne South, South Gippsland and Phillip Island for the third time to the Division of Holt, Division of La Trobe and the new Division of Monash.[2]

Since its creation in 1900 until present (as of 2025), the division has always included the Mornington Peninsula and French Island.[2]

As of the 2024 redistribution, the division contains the majority of Shire of Mornington Peninsula and French Island, excluding a portion of Mount Eliza.[6]

History

[edit]
Matthew Flinders, the division's namesake

It has usually been a fairly safe seat for the Liberal Party and its predecessors, who have held it for all but six years since its creation. However, it has occasionally been won by the Australian Labor Party, notably at the 1929 federal election when Prime Minister Stanley Bruce was defeated. This was the first of two times an incumbent Australian prime minister lost his own seat at a general election; the second time was not until Liberal Prime Minister John Howard lost his seat of Bennelong at the 2007 federal election.

The seat's most prominent member was Bruce, who held it for all but two years from 1918 to 1933. Other prominent former members include Jack Holloway, the Labor challenger who ousted Bruce and later a senior minister in the Curtin and Chifley governments (though he was the member for Melbourne Ports by then) and two deputy Liberal leaders – Sir Phillip Lynch (a minister in the Gorton, McMahon and Fraser governments) and Peter Reith (a minister in the Howard government).

Members

[edit]
Image Member Party Term Notes
  Arthur Groom
(1852–1922)
Free Trade 29 March 1901
23 November 1903
Previously held the Victorian Legislative Assembly seat of Gippsland West. Retired
  James Gibb
(1843–1919)
16 December 1903
1906
Previously held the Victorian Legislative Assembly seat of Mornington. Did not contest in 1906. Failed to win the Division of Hume
  Anti-Socialist 1906 –
12 December 1906
  Sir William Irvine
(1858–1943)
12 December 1906
26 May 1909
Previously held the Victorian Legislative Assembly seat of Lowan. Served as minister under Cook. Resigned to become Chief Justice of the Victorian Supreme Court
  Liberal 26 May 1909 –
17 February 1917
  Nationalist 17 February 1917 –
5 April 1918
  Stanley Bruce
(1883–1967)
11 May 1918
12 October 1929
Served as minister under Hughes. Served as Prime Minister from 1923 to 1929. Lost seat
  Jack Holloway
(1875–1967)
Labor 12 October 1929
19 December 1931
Transferred to the Division of Melbourne Ports
  Stanley Bruce
(1883–1967)
United Australia 19 December 1931
6 October 1933
Served as minister under Lyons. Resigned to become the High Commissioner to the United Kingdom
  James Fairbairn
(1897–1940)
11 November 1933
13 August 1940
Previously held the Victorian Legislative Assembly seat of Warrnambool. Served as minister under Menzies. Died in office.
  Rupert Ryan
(1884–1952)
21 September 1940
21 February 1945
Died in office
  Liberal 21 February 1945 –
25 August 1952
  Keith Ewert
(1918–1989)
Labor 18 October 1952
29 May 1954
Lost seat
  Robert Lindsay
(1905–2000)
Liberal 29 May 1954
31 October 1966
Retired
  Sir Phillip Lynch
(1933–1984)
26 November 1966
22 October 1982
Served as minister under Gorton, McMahon and Fraser. Resigned due to ill health
  Peter Reith
(1950–2022)
4 December 1982
5 March 1983
Lost seat
  Bob Chynoweth
(1941–)
Labor 5 March 1983
1 December 1984
Transferred to the Division of Dunkley
  Peter Reith
(1950–2022)
Liberal 1 December 1984
8 October 2001
Served as minister under Howard. Retired
  Greg Hunt
(1965–)
10 November 2001
11 April 2022
Served as minister under Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison. Retired
 
100px]] Zoe McKenzie
(1972–)
21 May 2022
present
Incumbent

Election results

[edit]
2025 Australian federal election: Flinders[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Zoe McKenzie 47,375 41.22 −2.07
Labor Sarah Race 25,622 22.29 −0.56
Independent Ben Smith 24,406 21.24 +21.24
Greens Adam Frogley 7,305 6.36 −3.15
One Nation Mike Brown 6,091 5.30 +2.01
Trumpet of Patriots Jason Smart (withdrawn) 3,144 2.74 +2.25
Independent Joseph Toscano 980 0.85 +0.85
Total formal votes 114,923 96.44 +1.75
Informal votes 4,246 3.56 −1.75
Turnout 119,169 93.44 +1.65
Notional two-party-preferred count
Liberal Zoe McKenzie 62,957 54.78 −1.38
Labor Sarah Race 51,966 45.22 +1.38
Two-candidate-preferred result
Liberal Zoe McKenzie 60,090 52.29 −3.88
Independent Ben Smith 54,833 47.71 +47.71
Liberal hold  

References

[edit]
[edit]
Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
The Division of Flinders is a federal electoral division in the Australian , representing a coastal and semi-rural area of approximately 887 square kilometres in the state of Victoria, primarily encompassing the including localities such as Mornington, Rosebud, , and parts of the Mornington Peninsula Shire as well as the French Island, Elizabeth Island, and Sandstone Island. Named in honour of Captain (1774–1814), the British navigator and cartographer who led the first circumnavigation of and coined the name "Australia" for the continent, the division was established as one of the original 65 electorates contested at the inaugural federal election in 1901. Historically aligned with conservative parties, it has been represented by prominent figures including , who served as member from 1918 to 1933 (with a brief interruption) and as from 1923 to 1929, though it has occasionally shifted to Labor, as during 1983–1990 and 1987–1990 under Bob Chynoweth. Since 2022, the seat has been held by Liberal Party member , who was re-elected in the 2025 federal election.

Geography

Boundaries and key features

The Division of Flinders covers the majority of the Shire in southern Victoria, , extending southward from areas near Frankston to the peninsula's tip, and including the unincorporated French-Elizabeth-Sandstone Islands in western . Its boundaries follow coastal lines along Port Phillip Bay to the west and to the east, incorporating approximately 2,169 square kilometers of land characterized by undulating terrain, sandy beaches, and forested hinterlands. Major population centers include Mornington, the division's largest urban area with over 30,000 residents focused around commercial hubs and residential suburbs; Rosebud, a key coastal town known for its beaches and retail precinct; , featuring heritage limestone buildings and waterfront esplanades; and Flinders, a smaller seaside village at the southern extremity with scenic cliffs and blowholes. The 2024 federal redistribution added a substantial portion of Mount Eliza, previously in the Division of Dunkley, enhancing the division's northern extent with additional semi-rural and waterfront communities. Key geographic features encompass extensive coastlines with popular swimming beaches like those at Rosebud and , agricultural zones supporting vineyards and farms in the hinterland around Balnarring and Red Hill, and natural reserves such as the Nepean National Park and elevation providing panoramic views. The peninsula's terrain mixes affluent coastal properties with infrastructure, including marinas and eco-tourism sites, alongside semi-rural expanses that transition to rugged bushland toward .

History

Establishment and early development

The Division of Flinders was proclaimed as one of the 75 original electoral divisions for the Australian , coinciding with the of the Commonwealth on 1 January 1901, with boundaries determined by the under section 29 of the . It was named in honour of Captain (1774–1814), the British navigator who led the first circumnavigation of aboard HMS Investigator from 1801 to 1803, charting extensive portions of the southern and eastern coasts and popularizing the name "Australia" for the . Flinders' surveys provided foundational geographic knowledge that informed early colonial settlement patterns in the division's region. The division's initial boundaries encompassed coastal and rural districts south-east of , including portions of the , Frankston, and surrounding shires such as Flinders and Mornington, areas characterized by agricultural pursuits, fishing communities, and emerging seaside resorts in the early . These boundaries reflected the sparse population distribution and reliance on primary industries in Victoria's southern fringe, with an enrolment of 12,156 voters at the inaugural poll. The first federal election for Flinders occurred on 29–30 March 1901, resulting in victory for Arthur Champion Groom, a candidate aligned with and opposition to protectionist tariffs, who secured the seat over rivals from the Protectionist and Labour parties. With a turnout of 47.24%, Groom's win established an early precedent of non-Labor representation in the division, mirroring broader patterns in rural Victorian electorates where free trade and anti-Labour sentiments prevailed amid debates over tariffs and federation-era economic policies. This outcome underscored the division's orientation toward conservative-leaning voters in its formative years, prior to subsequent redistributions.

Boundary redistributions and changes

The Division of Flinders was recreated as part of the 1949 federal redistribution, following its initial abolition in 1906, and initially encompassed coastal and rural areas of the , including towns such as Mornington, Rosebud, and Flinders itself. This reconfiguration maintained the division's focus on semi-rural and seaside communities, distinct from Melbourne's , with enrolment reflecting a balanced quota adjustment post-World War II population shifts. The 1984 redistribution, prompted by population growth in Victoria's southeastern suburbs, redrew Flinders' boundaries by transferring some southern metropolitan-adjacent areas to the newly established , thereby contracting the division's urban fringe and reinforcing its rural-coastal composition. These adjustments reduced exposure to more volatile inner-suburban electorates, preserving a voter profile skewed toward stable, conservative-leaning demographics in agricultural and tourism-dependent locales, as evidenced by sustained high Liberal margins in subsequent elections. In the most recent 2024–2025 redistribution, finalized on 17 October 2024, the Australian Electoral Commission transferred a substantial portion of Mount Eliza—previously in Dunkley—into Flinders to address enrolment shortfalls, with the division's projected enrolment having been over 3.5% below the state quota prior to changes. This addition of approximately 10,000–15,000 electors from affluent, family-oriented suburbs bolstered the division's numbers without diluting its Peninsula-centric identity, incorporating areas with similar socioeconomic traits—higher median incomes and lower urban density—that historically support conservative voting patterns, thus sustaining the seat's competitive edge for the Liberal Party amid Victoria's overall seat reduction from 39 to 38 divisions. Across these redistributions, boundary adjustments have empirically prioritized numerical equity while countering urban encroachment, as Flinders' enrolment has fluctuated between 90,000 and 120,000 voters since the 1980s, consistently safeguarding its blend of rural hinterland and coastal resorts against metropolitan homogenization.

Demographics

Population profile and socioeconomic data

At the 2021 Census, the Division of Flinders had a usual resident of 150,355 . The median age was 48 years, compared to the national median of 38 years, with 20.1% of residents aged 65 years and over. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander comprised 1.1% of the , lower than the national figure of approximately 3.2%. In terms of birthplace and ancestry, 76.8% of residents were born in , with the remainder primarily from (6.6%), (1.4%), and (0.9%); overall, 23.2% were born overseas, below the national average of around 30%. Common ancestries included English (45.0%), Australian (37.7%), and Irish (12.5%), while 11.0% of residents spoke a other than English at home. Family structures featured a high proportion of couple families without children (46.1%) and couples with children (37.2%). Housing tenure data indicated strong property ownership, with 41.7% of occupied private dwellings owned outright and 33.8% held with a , totaling 75.5% owner-occupied; only 19.7% were rented. The median monthly repayment was $1,949, exceeding the national median of $1,863, while median weekly rent aligned with the national figure of $375. Median weekly household income stood at $1,479, below the national median of $1,746, potentially reflecting a significant retiree cohort. Labour force participation was 54.6%, with an rate of 3.3%. Leading occupations included professionals (19.3%) and technicians/trades workers (17.7%). Key industries encompassed (e.g., hospitals at 4.0% of ) and retail trade (e.g., supermarkets at 2.9%), alongside regional contributions from (horticulture, ), , and activities in areas like the and Flinders Aquaculture Fisheries Reserve.

Political representation

Members of Parliament


The Division of Flinders has been represented by members primarily affiliated with conservative parties, with the Liberal Party holding the seat continuously since 1954 following a brief interruption. Early representation included of the Nationalist Party (later ), who served from May 1918 to October 1929 and February 1932 to October 1933. Labor's Jack Holloway held the seat from 1929 to 1931 after defeating Bruce in the 1929 election.
Liberal MP Rupert Ryan represented Flinders until his death in 1952, triggering a by-election won by Labor's Keith Ewert, who served until 1954. The Liberals regained the seat in 1954 with Robert Lindsay, who held it until 1966. This marked the beginning of extended Liberal tenures, underscoring empirical evidence of sustained center-right voter preference in the electorate. Subsequent members include Phillip Lynch (Liberal, 1966–1982), followed by Peter Reith (Liberal, 1982–1983 and 1984–2001). Reith's service featured a short loss in 1983 but a strong return, reflecting the seat's conservative leanings. Greg Hunt succeeded Reith, serving from 2001 to 2022 as the longest-tenured member in the division's history. Current member Zoe McKenzie (Liberal) was elected in 2022 and re-elected in 2025.
MemberPartyTerm
Stanley BruceNationalist/UAP1918–1929, 1931–1933
Jack HollowayLabor1929–1931
Rupert RyanLiberalUntil 1952
Keith EwertLabor1952–1954
Robert LindsayLiberal1954–1966
Phillip LynchLiberal1966–1982
Peter ReithLiberal1982–1983, 1984–2001
Greg HuntLiberal2001–2022
Zoe McKenzieLiberal2022–present

Notable contributions and records

, elected to the Division of Flinders in a 1918 , served as Australia's eighth from 1923 to 1929, marking the electorate's most prominent parliamentary record. His administration emphasized economic policies centered on men, money, and markets, promoting business efficiency and fiscal responsibility amid post-World War I recovery. Bruce's defeat in Flinders during the 1929 election, amid industrial disputes, highlighted tensions between labor reforms and economic pragmatism, with data showing subsequent productivity challenges under expanded union influence. Greg Hunt, representing Flinders from 2001 to 2022, advanced health policy as Minister for Health from 2017 to 2022, securing $180 million for projects in 2021 to enhance treatment outcomes and $132 billion in overall health funding for 2022-23, including extensions of services amid the response. Locally, Hunt facilitated improvements on the , doubling Roads to Recovery funding to over $20 million in 2021 for road upgrades supporting jobs and business connectivity, alongside additional allocations under the $1.5 billion Local Roads program. Peter Reith, MP for Flinders from 1983 to 2001 (excluding a brief period), contributed to workplace reforms as Minister for , Relations, and , overseeing the 1998 waterfront dispute resolution that dismantled inefficient practices, yielding documented productivity increases of up to 300% in stevedoring operations through competitive tendering and reduced manning levels. These changes aligned with conservative fiscal principles, prioritizing economic efficiency over entrenched regulatory structures, though they faced short-term industrial resistance. In environmental-development debates affecting coastal Flinders, MPs have advocated balanced approaches favoring evidence-based growth, such as support for infrastructure amid calls for restrained regulations to avoid stifling local economies reliant on and ports. Data from funding outcomes underscore tangible benefits in connectivity over precautionary excess, reflecting causal priorities in .

Elections

Historical results

The Division of Flinders has recorded Liberal Party two-party-preferred majorities in every federal election since 1949, except during Labor's brief tenure from the 1952 to the 1954 . Margins have generally exceeded 10 percentage points for much of this period, reflecting the electorate's safe status for the Liberals, with occasional narrowing during national swings against the , such as a 5.8% margin in 2007. A minor Labor swing of 7.2% occurred in 1969 amid the party's national upsurge, reducing the Liberal margin to 12.1%, but the seat reverted to stronger Liberal dominance in subsequent contests, including peaks of 28.6% in 2004. Independent and candidates have occasionally polled notable primary votes, such as the Country Party's 20.1% in 1940 and Democrats' 11.7% in 1990, though these rarely altered two-party outcomes.
YearLiberal 2PP (%)Margin (%)Notes
194960.521.0Liberal gain from Country Party
195158.216.4-4.6 swing to Labor
195452.85.6Liberal regain after 1952 by-election loss to Labor
58.316.6+11.0 swing
196956.112.2Labor primary 42.3%
197255.310.6-1.6 swing
197454.99.8-0.8 swing
197562.124.2+14.4 swing
197759.418.8-5.4 swing
198057.214.4-4.4 swing
198354.59.0-5.4 swing
198455.811.6+2.6 swing
198753.26.4-5.2 swing
199051.22.4-4.0 swing; Democrats 11.7% primary
199352.14.2+1.8 swing
199660.320.6+16.4 swing
199856.713.4-7.2 swing
200158.917.8+4.4 swing
200464.328.6+10.8 swing
200752.95.8-22.8 swing
201054.79.4+3.6 swing
201357.214.4+5.0 swing
201658.517.0+2.6 swing
59.418.8+1.8 swing
53.46.8-12.0 swing

Recent elections including 2025

In the 2022 federal election, of the Liberal Party succeeded retiring MP , securing victory with 56,075 votes and a two-candidate-preferred margin of 13,248 votes over Labor candidate Nathan Connelly. The result maintained Liberal control in the division, which had been held by the party since 1949 except for brief interruptions, amid national trends favoring opposition parties post-COVID lockdowns. The 2025 federal election, held on May 3, saw McKenzie re-elected following a tight contest influenced by boundary redistributions that slightly altered the electorate's composition. counts showed a close race, with Labor's Sarah Race eliminated early in preferences, narrowing the field to McKenzie and independent Ben Smith. Smith conceded on May 15 after a protracted tally, confirming McKenzie's win despite a national swing against the Liberal Party. First-preference votes reflected fragmentation, including notable support for minor candidates like Jason Smart of the Trumpet of Patriots party, contributing to Liberal resilience in the . With 119,169 votes counted out of 127,620 enrolled (93.4%), the outcome demonstrated the division's resistance to broader anti-incumbent sentiment.

Voting patterns and influences

The Division of Flinders demonstrates a consistent correlation between elevated and conservative voting preferences, with higher median incomes and home ownership rates aligning with stronger support for Liberal candidates over time. According to the , the electorate's median weekly household income stood at $2,057, exceeding the national median of $1,746, while outright ownership or mortgaged dwellings accounted for approximately 72.3% of households. This pattern reflects broader empirical trends in Australian electorates, where affluent, property-owning demographics prioritize policies emphasizing and property rights, countering assumptions of progressive leanings in coastal regions. Local economic interests, particularly in , , and related coastal activities, have shaped voter resistance to stringent environmental regulations perceived as detrimental to livelihoods. The Mornington Peninsula's reliance on these sectors, encompassing over 20% of employment in and , fosters opposition to measures like expanded marine protected areas in and Bay, which locals argue impose undue restrictions without commensurate benefits. Proximity to HMAS Cerberus, the Royal Australian Navy's primary training base employing around 1,800 personnel, bolsters support for robust defense funding, as military-affiliated voters and defense industry workers favor policies enhancing over reallocations to social programs. Quantitative indicators further underscore these influences, including relatively low union membership density—estimated below the Victorian average of 14.1% due to the predominance of and managerial occupations—and a historical for low-tax environments amid the electorate's high SEIFA advantage scores (typically in the 8th-10th nationally). Booth-level analyses from federal elections reveal consistent conservative swings in high-income polling places, such as those in and Rosebud West, reflecting rejection of centralized policy approaches in favor of localized economic priorities.

References

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