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West Bank areas in the Oslo II Accord
West Bank areas in the Oslo II Accord
West Bank areas in the Oslo II Accord
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Official 1995 agreement map of Areas A and B (with C being defined as the rest of the West Bank)
2005 map showing areas A and B along with nature reserves and Israeli settlements. The red line is a projected route of the West Bank Barrier
Map highlighting Area C where the access is closed and restricted to Palestinians. Darker areas are Israeli settlements and military posts within Area C.

The Oslo II Accord divided the Israeli-occupied West Bank into three administrative divisions: the Palestinian enclaves as "Areas A and B" and the remainder, including Israeli settlements, as "Area C".

The Palestinian enclaves were created by a process of subtraction by allocating to Area C everything that the Israeli government considered "important", thereby consigning the vast majority of Palestinians in the West Bank to the remaining non-contiguous areas.[1][2]

Area C forms a contiguous territory on 61% of the West Bank, and is administered solely by Israel via the Judea and Samaria Area administration. As of 2015, it is home to 150,000 Palestinians[3] in 532 residential areas, and roughly 400,000 Israelis[4] in 135 settlements and more than 100 unrecognized outposts.

In contrast, Areas A and B are subdivided into 165 enclaves of land that have no territorial contiguity.[2] Area A is exclusively administered by the Palestinian National Authority; Area B is administered by both the Palestinian Authority and Israel. Area A comprises approximately 18% of the total territory of the West Bank and Area B about 22% of the territory, together home to some 2.8 million Palestinians.[5]

Divisions

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The Oslo II Accord stipulated that "during the first phase of redeployment" the jurisdiction over Areas A and B would be transferred to the Palestinian Council. Article XI.2.a reads: "Land in populated areas (Areas A and B), including government and Al Waqf land, will come under the jurisdiction of the Council during the first phase of redeployment."

The populated areas were defined by delineations on a map attached to the document. Area C comprised the areas of the West Bank outside Areas A and B.[6]

Palestinian enclaves (Areas A and B)

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Main articles: Area A and Palestinian enclaves

Area A (full civil and security control by the Palestinian Authority): initially, circa 3% of the West Bank, exclusive East Jerusalem (first phase, 1995).[7] As of 2013, Area A formally comprised about 18% of the West Bank.[2] During the second intifada, the Israel Defense Forces abolished the prohibition against entering Area A during Operation Defensive Shield in 2002 and entered the area regularly, mostly at night, conducting raids to arrest suspected militants.[8] Typically, such raids are coordinated with the Palestinian security forces.[9] This area includes eight Palestinian cities and their surrounding areas (Nablus, Jenin, Tulkarem, Qalqilya, Ramallah, Bethlehem, Jericho and 80 percent of Hebron), with no Israeli settlements.[10] Entry into this area is forbidden to all Israeli citizens.

Area B (Palestinian civil control and joint Israeli-Palestinian security control): initially, circa 23–25% (first phase, 1995).[7] As of 2013, Area B formally comprised about 22% of the West Bank.[2] This area includes some 440 Palestinian villages and their surrounding lands, and no Israeli settlements.[10] It was defined in the accord as "the populated areas delineated by a red line and shaded in yellow on attached map No. 1, and the built-up area of the hamlets listed in Appendix 6 to Annex I"; this list of hamlets is as follows:

A. Tulkarm District

B. Nablus District

C. Salfit District

D. Jericho District

E. Qalqilya District

F. Jenin District

G. Hebron District

H. Ramallah District

I. Bethlehem District

1. Akkaba

2. Al Nazla Al Wusta

3. Koor

4. Kife

1. Jalood

2. Al-Juneid

3. Al-Aqrabinya

4. Nisf Jbeil

5. Yanoon

6. Iraq Bureen

7. A'mouria

Khirbat Qays

Al-Zubeidet

1. Seer

2. Khirbat Salman

3. Falamiya

4. Khirbat Ras Tera

5. Asalah

6. Al-Funduq

7. Al-Modawar

1. Toura Al-Gharbiyyah

2. Al-Zawiyyah

3. Mashrou' Beit Qad

4. Al Kafir

5. Al Mutla

6. Talfit

7. Toura-Al Sharqiyyah

1. Al Aziz

2. Khirbat Al-salam 3. Abu Al-A'sja 4. Sikka 5. Wadi Al-Shajna 6. Beit Marseem 7. Al-Hijra 8. Deir Razeh 9. Khilat Al-Mayat 10. Khilat Al A'qd 11. Um Lasafa 12. Qinan Jaber 13. Raboud 14. Shweik 15. Khirbat Skeik 16. Jroun Al-Louz 17. Beit Makdoum 18. Al-Mouriq 19. Al Beira 20. Al Juba 21. Beit I'mra 22. Turama 23. Hadb Al-Alaka 24. Deir Al-A'sal Al Tahta 25. Beit Al Roush Al-Tahata 26. Al-Deir 27. Kuezeiba 28. Hitta 29. Korza

1. Jibaa

2. Ein Qinya

3. Yabroud

4. Deir Nitham

5. Um Saffa

6. Burham

7. Al-Nabi Saleh

8. Shibteen

9. Khirbat Um Al-Lahm

10. Beit Ijza

1. Wadi Al-Neis

2. Mirah Rabah 3. Al Mas'ara 4. Um Salamouna 5. Al-Khas 6. Khilat Al-louz 7. Abu-Nijem 8. Beit Faloh 9. Breide'a 10. Khirbat Al-Deir 11. Daher Al-Nada 12. Al-Minshya 13. Khilat al-Hadad 14. Keisan 15. Al-Rashaida 16. Harmala 17. Mrah Mia'alla

Remainder of the West Bank (Area C), including Israeli settlements

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Main articles: Area C and Israeli settlement
Official 1997 agreement map of Palestinian controlled H1 and Israeli controlled H2.
Illustration showing areas H1 and H2 and adjacent Israeli settlements

Area C (full Israeli civil and security control): initially, circa 72–74% (first phase, 1995).[7][11] Under the 1998 Wye River Memorandum, Israel would further withdraw from some additional 13% from Area C to Area B, which officially reduced Area C to circa 61% of the West Bank.[12][13] Israel, however, withdrew from only 2%,[10] and during Operation Defensive Shield, it reoccupied all territory. As of 2013, Area C formally comprised about 63% of the West Bank, including settlements, outposts and declared "state land".[2] Including or excluding annexed East Jerusalem, no-man's land and the Palestinian part of the Dead Sea also determines the percentage. John Kerry, U.S. Secretary of State under the Obama administration, stated that Area C "is effectively restricted for any Palestinian development, and that few building permits had been granted to Palestinian residents of the area.[14]

All Israeli settlements (except those in East Jerusalem, which was annexed to Israel) are located in Area C.[10][2] Oslo II, Article XII, for example, states: "For the purpose of this Agreement, 'the Settlements' means, in the West Bank the settlements in Area C; and in the Gaza Strip [which were later evacuated during the disengagement] ..."[6]

Settler population by year in the Israeli-occupied territories from 1972 to 2007

In 1972, there were 1,000 Israeli settlers living in what is now Area C. By 1993, their population had increased to 110,000.[15] Over 400,000 Jewish settlers live in Area C in Israeli settlements and outposts.[16] Approximately 300,000 Palestinians live there as well; who reside in more than 500 households areas located partially or fully in Area C.[16]

Oslo definition of Area C

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Oslo II defines Area C as follows:

"Area C" means areas of the West Bank outside Areas A and B, which, except for the issues that will be negotiated in the permanent status negotiations, will be gradually transferred to Palestinian jurisdiction in accordance with this Agreement.

The issues that will be negotiated, according to Article XVII, are "Jerusalem, settlements, specified military locations, Palestinian refugees, borders, foreign relations and Israelis; and … powers and responsibilities not transferred to the Council".[6] Parts of Area C are military area closed for Palestinians.

Transfer of Area C

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Part of Area C was intended to be handed to Palestinians by the end of 1999.[17] Israel promised to redeploy its troops from Areas A and B before the elections. After the inauguration of an elected Palestinian parliament, the Israeli Civil Administration would be dissolved and the Israeli military government be withdrawn. The Council would get some powers and responsibilities.[18]

Within 18 months from the date of inauguration, Israel would further redeploy military forces from Area C in three phases, however, without transfer of any sovereignty to the Palestinians:

The Council will assume powers and responsibilities for civil affairs, as well as for public order and internal security, according to this Agreement.[18]

1. Israel shall transfer powers and responsibilities as specified in this Agreement from the Israeli military government and its Civil Administration to the Council in accordance with this Agreement. Israel shall continue to exercise powers and responsibilities not so transferred.

5. After the inauguration of the Council, the Civil Administration in the West Bank will be dissolved, and the Israeli military government shall be withdrawn. The withdrawal of the military government shall not prevent it from exercising the powers and responsibilities not transferred to the Council.[6]

The military forces would be redeployed in "specified military locations" in the West Bank, to be negotiated in the permanent status negotiations within 18 months.[18] The Legislative Council was elected in January 1996.

Use of Area C

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Main article: Judea and Samaria Area
OCHAoPt map of Area C. More than 99% of Area C is heavily restricted or off-limits to Palestinian development, with 68% reserved for Israeli settlements, approximately 21% for closed military zones, and about 9% for nature reserves. Construction permits for residential or economic purposes are, according to World Bank, "virtually impossible" for Palestinians to obtain.[19]

Area C, 99% of which is excluded from Palestinian use, contains most of the West Bank's natural resources and open spaces, access to which, according to the World Bank, would enable the Palestinians to halve their budget deficit and lead to an expansion of their economy by a third.[20][19] According to Danny Rubinstein: "Much land in Area C is undeveloped. Israel, however, does not permit Palestinian construction for residential, commercial or industrial purposes."[21]

70 percent of the area is defined as within settler municipal boundaries, where permits for development are denied to Palestinians. The World Bank estimates that the effect has been to cause a potential loss of $14 billion of revenue for the Palestinian economy.[21]

According to a 2013 EU report, Israeli policies have undermined the Palestinian presence in Area C, with a deterioration in basic services such as water supplies, education and shelter. Nearly 70% of the Palestinian villages are not connected to the water network that serves settlers, which accounts for the fact that Palestinians in the zone use only a quarter to a third of the pro capita consumption of settlers.[22]

Palestinians cannot build in Area C without an army permit; however, building applications are expensive and have a 5% approval rate. As a result, most Palestinians who build there do so illegally. Israel demolishes about 200 buildings per year in Area C.[23]

Israel has made over 14,000 demolition orders against Palestinian-owned structures in Area C since 1988.[24] As of January 2015, almost 20% of the demolition orders issued had been executed and more than 11,000 of these still outstanding, affecting an estimated 17,000 structures.[25]

Israeli planning in Area C allocates 13 times more space to Israeli settlers than to Palestinians there, according to the United Nations. Israeli settlers have been allocated about 790 square meters per capita, whereas Palestinians have been allocated about 60 square meters per capita.[24]

During the period 1988–2014, the Israeli Civil Administration issued 6,948 demolition orders against structures in settlements located in Area C. As of January 2015, 12% of these were classified as executed, 2% were cancelled, another 2% "ready for execution" and 2% on hold due to legal proceedings. More than one-third of the orders were classified as "in process", while the current status of about 45% of the demolition orders against settlement structures was unknown.[25]

Alleged violation of the accords

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Israeli signpost warning Israeli citizens that entry into Area 'A' is forbidden, life-endangering, and constitutes a criminal offense

The relatively new phenomenon of building Palestinian settlements began in 2006, attempting to trace after the Israeli settlement experience beyond the 1967 Green Line, and in a media-driven counter-offensive.[clarification needed][26] The most notable Palestinian settlement in the West Bank, defined by Israel as "illegal", was built in January 2013 on E1 Area East of Jerusalem. The settlement which was named "Bab al-Shams" consisted of about 20 tents, constructed by the Popular Struggle Co-ordination Committee.[27] A few days after the evacuation, another "Palestinian settlement" was erected in the village of Beit Iksa near the planned Wall barrier, which they claim would confiscate Palestinian land. It was named "Bab al-Karama".[28][29]

Area B is defined as land under Palestinian civil control and Israeli military control. According to Dror Etkes, Israeli settlers have violated the accords by spreading into Area B and seizing private Palestinian land for cultivation and settlement. Examples he cites are the Amona settlement, overlooking Ofra, where he argues that land belonging to villagers of Deir Dibwan has been taken for redevelopment; the settlement of Itamar which he says has seized control of land and resources belonging to the Area B villages of Yanun, Awarta and Einabus; he states that settlers have seized Area B land near Esh Kodesh and Mitzpeh Ahiya east of Shilo; and he states that settlers of Ma'ale Rehav'am have built in a nature reserve established under the Wye River Memorandum.[30]

Religious sites

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Responsibility for religious sites in the West Bank and Gaza Strip was to be transferred to the Palestinian side, gradually in the case of Area C.[31][32] The Palestinian side agreed to ensure free access to a specific list of Jewish religious sites[33] but due to the uncertain security situation the Israel Defense Forces limits visits by Jews to rare occasions.[34] In Area C, Nabi Musa was to be under the auspices of the Palestinian side and access to al-Maghtas on the Jordan River was promised for particular religious events.[32]

See also

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References

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[edit]
Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia

West Bank areas in the Oslo II Accord

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The West Bank areas in the Oslo II Accord refer to the administrative partitioning of the West Bank into three zones—Areas A, B, and C—under the Israeli-Palestinian Interim Agreement on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, signed on 28 September 1995 by the Government of Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization. This accord delineated Area A as encompassing major Palestinian urban centers for exclusive Palestinian civil and internal security jurisdiction; Area B as including villages where Palestinian civil authority prevails alongside Israeli responsibility for overall security, particularly against terrorism and for Israeli citizens; and Area C as the residual territory under full Israeli civil and security control. The division allocated roughly 18 percent of the West Bank's land to Area A, 22 percent to Area B, and 60 percent to Area C following phased Israeli redeployments, concentrating Palestinian governance in population-dense enclaves while preserving Israeli dominance over expansive rural, strategic, and settlement-adjacent regions. Envisioned as a temporary five-year framework to foster Palestinian self-rule institutions and pave the way for permanent-status talks grounded in UN Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338, the arrangement enabled initial transfers of authority but faltered amid escalating distrust, with Israeli forces re-entering Areas A and B during security crises like the Second Intifada originating from Palestinian territories. Key outcomes include the establishment of the Palestinian Authority as a governing entity in Areas A and B, facilitating limited local administration and service provision, yet marred by persistent fragmentation that hampers territorial contiguity and economic viability for Palestinians, coupled with unchecked Israeli settlement expansion in Area C, which has grown from around 110,000 residents in 1995 to over 400,000 by 2020. Controversies surrounding the accord highlight its role in entrenching a de facto permanent status quo, where Palestinian non-compliance with anti-incitement and security obligations undermined trust, while Israeli retention of Area C vetoed meaningful sovereignty, rendering the zones a patchwork of overlapping jurisdictions prone to friction rather than a stepping stone to resolution.

Historical Context

Prelude: Oslo I and Interim Framework

The , formally the Declaration of Principles on Interim Self-Government Arrangements, was signed on September 13, 1993, in , by Israeli Prime Minister and Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) Chairman , following secret negotiations in , . The agreement included mutual recognition letters, with Israel recognizing the PLO as the representative of the Palestinian people and the PLO recognizing Israel's right to exist and renouncing . It established a framework for Palestinian interim self-government in the and , beginning with an initial phase of Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and , while deferring detailed territorial divisions in the to subsequent agreements. The accord treated the and Gaza as a single territorial unit for negotiation purposes but preserved Israel's overriding responsibility for external security and borders during the interim phase. The agreement outlined a five-year transitional period commencing after the Gaza-Jericho withdrawal, during which a Palestinian Authority (PA) would assume responsibilities for education, health, social welfare, and direct taxation in specified areas, with permanent status negotiations—including borders, settlements, , refugees, and arrangements—to begin early in the period and conclude no later than its end in approximately 1999. These interim measures explicitly avoided prejudging final outcomes, aiming to build confidence through phased autonomy without committing to permanent borders or requiring an immediate freeze on Israeli settlements in the . This framework emerged amid the (1987–1993), which involved widespread Palestinian protests, stone-throwing, and riots met with Israeli security responses, resulting in approximately 1,162 Palestinian fatalities (including 237 children) and 160 Israeli fatalities in the territories, alongside over 100,000 Palestinian injuries. The PLO's position was weakened by its support for during the 1991 Gulf War, leading to financial losses from Gulf state funding cuts estimated at hundreds of millions of dollars and diplomatic isolation, prompting a shift toward direct negotiations. Rabin's Labor government, elected in 1992, pursued the accord to quell ongoing violence, redirect resources toward economic growth, and marginalize rising Islamist groups like , viewing the PLO as a more negotiable partner despite ideological tensions.

Negotiations and Provisions of Oslo II (1995)

The Israeli-Palestinian Interim Agreement on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, known as Oslo II, emerged from negotiations continuing the framework established by the 1993 Oslo I Accord, focusing on interim self-governance arrangements for Palestinians. These talks, held primarily in Taba, Egypt, addressed the redeployment of Israeli forces and the delineation of administrative zones in the West Bank to balance Palestinian autonomy with Israeli security requirements amid ongoing threats from terrorism during and after the First Intifada. The agreement was initialed in Taba and formally signed on September 28, 1995, in Washington, D.C., by Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, PLO Chairman Yasser Arafat, and witnessed by U.S. President Bill Clinton. Oslo II's core territorial provisions divided the West Bank into three administrative areas—A, B, and C—as a temporary measure explicitly without prejudice to final status negotiations on borders, settlements, and Jerusalem. Area A encompassed major Palestinian urban centers, initially comprising approximately 3% of the West Bank's territory, where the Palestinian Authority (PA) would exercise full civil and security control to enable effective self-rule in densely populated zones. Area B covered rural villages and their environs, about 23% of the land, granting the PA civil administration while maintaining joint Israeli-Palestinian security responsibility, with Israel retaining overall external security oversight. Area C, the remaining roughly 74%, including Israeli settlements, military zones, and state lands, stayed under full Israeli civil and security jurisdiction to safeguard strategic interests and respond to security imperatives. This tripartite division reflected pragmatic concessions driven by causal realities: Israel's insistence on veto powers over PA actions and freedom to intervene against threats, given persistent Palestinian activities, contrasted with Palestinian demands for tangible in population centers to build institutional capacity. The accord stipulated phased Israeli redeployments from parts of Areas A and B within 18 months, contingent on PA compliance with obligations like preventing and arresting militants, aiming to foster mutual confidence without conceding permanent territorial claims. Empirical mapping prioritized demographic realities, allocating PA control mainly to Arab-inhabited areas while preserving Israeli dominance over sparsely populated or sensitive terrains essential for defense.

Territorial Divisions

Area A: Full Palestinian Administrative Control

Area A encompasses designated populated zones in the where the Palestinian Authority (PA) exercises exclusive civil and internal security administration, as outlined in the Israeli-Palestinian Interim Agreement on the and the (), signed on September 28, 1995. Under this framework, the PA manages policing, judicial systems, public order, and local governance without ongoing Israeli operational involvement, intended to foster Palestinian self-rule in urban settings. Initially, Area A covered approximately 3% of the West Bank's land area, comprising non-contiguous enclaves centered on major Palestinian cities including , , , , , , and . These fragmented pockets, surrounded by Israeli-controlled territory, were selected for their dense Palestinian populations to enable the PA to demonstrate administrative efficacy in concentrated demographic hubs during the interim period. The accord mandated Israeli redeployment from these initial Area A sites in the first phase, commencing prior to Palestinian elections on , 1996, after which the PA deployed its police forces to assume responsibility for internal security and civil affairs. This structure highlighted Area A's enclave configuration, which, while granting theoretical , constrained territorial continuity and exposed governance to logistical challenges inherent in disconnected urban islands.

Area B: Shared Administrative Control

Area B encompasses approximately 22 percent of the West Bank's territory and includes around 440 Palestinian villages, primarily rural areas with dense Palestinian populations but lower urban density compared to Area A. Under the signed on September 28, 1995, the Palestinian Authority (PA) assumed responsibility for civil administration in Area B, including , , social welfare, and economic regulation, while Israel retained overriding responsibility for overall security to protect Israeli citizens and PA institutions. The hybrid governance model in Area B provided a compromise mechanism, allowing Palestinian civil management in less strategically sensitive rural zones while preserving Israeli operational freedom to conduct activities, including entry into the area for arrests or counter-terrorism operations without prior coordination in cases of immediate . Initial implementation involved joint Israeli-Palestinian patrols and coordination through Coordination Offices to facilitate PA policing of public order, though maintained veto power over PA decisions impacting Israeli interests. This arrangement reflected the accord's intent to balance Palestinian self-rule with Israeli imperatives amid ongoing from militant activities originating in these villages. Fragmentation of Area B into enclaves surrounded by Area C has constrained PA service delivery, with Israeli checkpoints and movement restrictions—imposed for security reasons—impeding access to agricultural lands and complicating the provision of utilities and emergency services. Despite the redeployment of Israeli forces from populated centers in Area B by 1997, Israel's authority to re-enter for operations has been frequently exercised, particularly following the Second Intifada, underscoring the provisional nature of PA security autonomy and the persistent prioritization of counter-terrorism measures.

Area C: Israeli Administrative and Security Control

Area C encompasses approximately 60 percent of the West Bank's territory, defined in the Oslo II Accord as all land outside the contiguous Palestinian enclaves of Areas A and B. Signed on September 28, 1995, the agreement placed full responsibility for security and civil administration in Area C under Israeli authority, including planning, zoning, public order, and natural resource management such as aquifers and state lands. This division initially covered 72-74 percent of the West Bank before partial redeployments reduced it to its current extent, retaining Israeli oversight over military zones, bypass roads, and borders. The territory serves as a strategic buffer zone surrounding Palestinian areas A and B, integrating key defensive features like the Jordan Valley, which spans much of eastern Area C and provides depth against potential eastern threats to Israel's population centers. Israeli civil administration handles building permits, land use, and infrastructure development, with the Palestinian Authority (PA) excluded from jurisdiction except for narrowly defined exceptions, such as gradual transfers of property tax responsibilities that were outlined but minimally implemented. Under Annex III of the Accord, civilian powers in Area C—excluding Israeli settlements, military locations, and issues reserved for permanent-status negotiations—were slated for transfer to Palestinian control in three phases over five years, conditional on the PA demonstrating effective security measures against terrorism and functional governance. These transfers stalled after initial redeployments in 1997, primarily due to the PA's failure to meet anti-terrorism commitments, as evidenced by the onset of the Second Intifada in 2000, leaving Israeli authority intact for security imperatives and administrative continuity.

Implementation Timeline

Initial Phases and Deployments (1995-1997)

The Israeli-Palestinian Interim Agreement on the and the (Oslo II), signed on September 28, 1995, specified initial redeployments of Israeli forces from designated populated areas in the to enable the Palestinian Council (later Palestinian Authority, or PA) to assume civil administration and internal security responsibilities in those zones. The agreement delineated Area A as comprising the built-up areas of six major cities (, , , , , and , though Ramallah's full transfer was deferred) and about 430 surrounding villages classified under Area B, with joint Israeli-PA mapping committees tasked with precise boundary demarcation using empirical surveys and GPS coordinates to cover roughly 3% of the 's territory in Area A for exclusive PA control and 23% in Area B for shared civil authority. Israeli forces retained overriding security authority, including control of external borders, , and inter-area roads, while PA police—numbering around 12,000 initially, drawn from PLO loyalists and trained in Gaza, , and abroad—were deployed to maintain order within transferred zones. The first phase of redeployments commenced in late October 1995 with the withdrawal from on November 13, followed by , , , and partial areas by December 31, 1995, transferring effective control of these urban centers and adjacent villages to the PA despite logistical delays from mapping disputes and heightened security tensions. This phase excluded due to its unique demographic mix of Palestinian populations and Israeli settlements, postponing its implementation pending separate negotiations. PA forces assumed patrols and checkpoints in these areas, coordinated via joint security committees, though Israeli oversight persisted through rapid intervention rights and intelligence sharing protocols to address potential threats. The assassination of Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin on November 4, 1995, by an Israeli extremist did not halt momentum, as interim Prime Minister Shimon Peres oversaw completion of the first phase and Palestinian legislative elections on January 20, 1996, which formalized PA governance structures. Hebron remained the focal point into 1997; after protracted talks amid suicide bombings and settlement security concerns, the Hebron Protocol was signed on January 17, 1997, leading to Israeli redeployment from approximately 80% of the city (designated H1, covering 41 square kilometers and 116,000 Palestinians) by late January, with PA civil and security control established there, while Israel maintained authority over H2 (settlement enclaves housing 450 settlers and 20,000 Palestinians, spanning 4.4 square kilometers). This redeployment involved dividing the city with fixed checkpoints and buffer zones, verified through joint maps, but highlighted persistent challenges in PA force discipline—evidenced by reports of uneven training and occasional clashes—and Israel's insistence on veto powers over external access to prevent arms smuggling or incursions. Overall, these initial phases transferred operational control of key population centers to the PA, covering about 40% of West Bank Palestinians, while preserving Israeli strategic dominance over contiguous Area C and transit routes.

Planned Transfers and Stagnation After 1999

The Oslo II Accord outlined further redeployments of Israeli forces from parts of Area C in three additional phases, scheduled to occur at six-month intervals following the initial redeployments, with completion targeted by May 1999 to facilitate negotiations on a permanent status agreement. These transfers were intended to progressively shift civil and security responsibilities to the Palestinian Authority (PA), contingent on the PA's fulfillment of security obligations, including preventing terrorism and incitement from territories under its control. The Wye River Memorandum of October 23, 1998, represented the final incremental step, committing Israel to a two-stage redeployment totaling approximately 13% of the West Bank (primarily from Area C), with the first phase involving 7% transferred by late 1998 and the second 5% by May 1999, in exchange for PA actions against militant groups and revisions to the Palestinian National Charter. However, implementation faltered amid mutual recriminations over compliance, with only partial redeployments executed before political instability in Israel and rising tensions derailed further progress. No additional territorial transfers occurred after 1999, as the outbreak of the Second Intifada in September 2000—marked by a surge in Palestinian suicide bombings and attacks killing over 1,000 Israelis—undermined the security preconditions for redeployments. Israeli governments, citing the PA's failure to dismantle terrorist infrastructure and suppress incitement as required under Oslo frameworks, suspended further withdrawals to prioritize counterterrorism measures amid empirically demonstrated threats from PA-controlled areas. This stagnation preserved Area C at roughly 60% of the West Bank land area under full Israeli control, reflecting a causal linkage between unchecked violence and the halt in the interim process rather than unilateral Israeli policy shifts.

Governance and Security Arrangements

Palestinian Authority Operations in Areas A and B

Under the signed on September 28, 1995, the Palestinian Authority (PA) assumed responsibility for civil administration, including public services, education, health, and policing, in both Areas A and B of the , comprising approximately 40% of the territory. In Area A, which constitutes about 18% of the and includes major urban centers like and , the PA also gained full security control, enabling deployment of its police forces for internal . Area B, covering around 22% and mainly rural villages, involved PA civil authority alongside Israeli oversight of external security threats. The PA initially implemented these responsibilities by establishing ministries for and a national police force of up to 12,000 personnel, as stipulated in the accord, to maintain public order and prevent violence. A notable early achievement was the conduct of the first Palestinian elections on January 20, 1996, which included seats and local council formations in Areas A and B, fostering rudimentary structures and in . However, these efforts were hampered by internal factionalism, with boycotting the elections and later challenging PA dominance through militant activities and social services in the same areas. Empirical indicators reveal persistent shortcomings in service delivery and . Corruption has been systemic, with the PA's ranked poorly in assessments, including of public funds and in appointments, eroding institutional effectiveness. Economic stagnation exacerbated these issues, as PA-administered areas experienced high rates exceeding 25% in the late 1990s and dependency on Israeli clearance revenues—taxes on imports collected by and transferred monthly—which accounted for over 60% of the PA's by the early 2000s, rendering self-sufficiency elusive amid restricted and movement. Budget shortfalls became recurrent, often requiring international donor infusions; for instance, in recent years, deficits reached hundreds of millions annually, partially offset by foreign but underscoring fiscal vulnerabilities tied to inefficiencies. The PA's failure to monopolize the within Areas A and B allowed armed factions, including affiliates, to operate parallel networks, conducting attacks and evading police , which undermined the accord's aim of stable self-rule. This internal disorder, evidenced by rising militant incursions in PA-controlled zones during the late and early , stemmed from weak command structures and ideological divisions within Palestinian , perpetuating cycles of violence and economic disruption. Despite reforms attempted post-2007, such as U.S.-backed training programs, the PA has struggled to assert exclusive control, with recent reports indicating ongoing challenges from emerging armed groups in and other Area A locales.

Israeli Oversight and Interventions Across Areas

Israel retained overarching responsibility for external security in the West Bank under the Oslo II Accord, signed on September 28, 1995, including exclusive control over borders, airspace, and the electromagnetic spectrum to counter threats from beyond Palestinian Authority (PA) areas. This framework allowed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to conduct operations across all zones when necessary to prevent terrorism, as Article XII stipulated Israel's overriding security authority even in Areas A and B, where the PA managed internal policing. Water resource management fell under joint Israeli-PA committees per Annex III, but Israel controlled allocation and infrastructure, ensuring supply stability amid disputes over aquifers shared with Jordan. Following the Second Intifada's onset on September 28, 2000—coinciding with Oslo's anniversary—and subsequent suicide bombings launched from PA-held territories, escalated targeted interventions, including routine IDF raids into Areas A and B for arrests and neutralization of militants. Operations focused on hotspots like , where and Islamic Jihad operatives planned attacks; for instance, raids in 2002 under dismantled terror infrastructure after over 130 Israelis were killed in bombings that year alone. These actions addressed PA security failures, as Palestinian forces often refrained from confronting armed groups, necessitating Israeli deterrence to protect adjacent populations. To interdict threats at entry points, established over 500 checkpoints and roadblocks by the mid-2000s, screening vehicles and pedestrians from Areas A and B; empirical data links this network, alongside aerial , to disrupting of explosives and weapons. The security barrier, whose construction began on June 26, 2002, primarily traced the Green Line bordering PA enclaves, correlating with a sharp decline in successful infiltrations: bombings from the peaked at 47 in 2002 but fell to zero by 2006, averting an estimated hundreds of casualties based on pre-barrier trends. Such measures stemmed directly from causal threats—over 1,000 Israeli deaths from -originated between 2000 and 2005—prioritizing defensive efficacy over administrative boundaries. These interventions underscore Israel's retained architecture for threat mitigation, enabling rapid response to violations of the Accord's security premises without altering territorial divisions.

Israeli Settlements and Land Use in Area C

The Israeli-Palestinian Interim Agreement on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip (Oslo II), signed on September 28, 1995, delineated the West Bank into Areas A, B, and C without imposing an explicit freeze on settlement activity, in contrast to certain interpretations of the earlier Declaration of Principles (Oslo I) that applied more stringently to Gaza Strip withdrawals. Area C, comprising approximately 60% of the West Bank, was defined to include all existing and planned Israeli settlements, military locations, and state lands, with Israel retaining exclusive responsibility for security, planning, zoning, and civil affairs in these zones during the five-year interim period. This framework explicitly preserved Israeli authority over settlement-related infrastructure and land use, positioning settlements as strategic security buffers in the interim arrangement pending permanent status negotiations. Oslo II deferred core issues, including the status of settlements, borders, and sovereignty, to final-status talks, allowing continuity of existing settlement policies without mandated halts on construction within designated areas. Prior to the accords' signing in 1993, the Jewish population in settlements numbered around 110,000, primarily located on lands classified under Israeli military orders as state or public domains not privately owned by . These lands were administered via Israeli domestic legal mechanisms, such as orders extending civil law applicability to settlers while treating the territory as disputed rather than under classic belligerent occupation, given the absence of a recognized prior sovereign following Jordan's 1988 disengagement and the historical Jewish presence in and . From an Israeli perspective, the accords framed Area C settlements as legitimate interim assets for defense and historical continuity in Judea and Samaria—regions tied to ancient Jewish kingdoms—rather than violations of international norms, emphasizing mutual recognition of claims without prejudice to final outcomes. This approach aligned with Oslo's first-principles of phased autonomy for Palestinians alongside Israeli security prerogatives, avoiding any textual commitment to settlement dismantlement or expansion limits during the transitional phase.

Post-Oslo Expansion and Strategic Role

Following the Oslo II Accord of 1995, when approximately 127,000 Israeli settlers resided in West Bank settlements primarily within Area C, the population expanded markedly to 529,455 by 2025, driven by high natural growth rates among settlers and the creation of new communities amid persistent security challenges. This growth accelerated post-2000 in response to waves of Palestinian terrorism during the Second Intifada, which undermined the accords' security provisions and necessitated defensive population centers. In 2023, Israeli authorities advanced plans for 12,349 housing units in settlements, the highest annual figure in recent decades, coinciding with heightened threats including rocket fire from Gaza and attacks in the . Such developments were justified by Israeli officials as essential for accommodating demographic increases and bolstering defensible borders rather than obstructing negotiations, particularly given the Palestinian Authority's limited control over militant groups. Settlements in Area C fulfill a strategic role as buffer zones mitigating risks from eastern approaches, while functioning as economic hubs that generate employment and infrastructure independent of Palestinian governance. Networks of bypass roads enable secure connectivity between settlements, Israel proper, and Jerusalem, circumventing Palestinian population centers to minimize exposure to ambushes and thereby enhancing overall territorial security without relying on potentially unreliable joint patrols. Recent measures, including the Israeli security cabinet's May 2025 approval to initiate land registration processes in Area C, aim to formalize control over strategic terrains for military and settlement purposes amid rising West Bank violence, framing these steps as reactive fortifications rather than proactive territorial grabs.

Challenges and Violations

Palestinian Non-Compliance: Terrorism and Governance Failures

The Oslo II Accord, signed on September 28, 1995, obligated the Palestinian Authority (PA) to assume responsibility for public order and internal security in designated areas, including preventing terrorism and dismantling hostile organizations such as Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, as outlined in the agreement's security annexes requiring the PA to act against incitement and violence. The PA, under Yasser Arafat, failed to fulfill these commitments, refusing to confiscate illegal weapons or arrest and prosecute members of terrorist groups operating from Areas A and B, which undermined the accords' phased transfer of authority. This non-compliance persisted despite explicit pledges in the 1993 Oslo I Accord for the Palestine Liberation Organization to renounce terrorism and discipline violators, allowing groups like Hamas to retain operational freedom within PA-controlled territories. Following the accords, Palestinian escalated significantly, with over 1,000 Israelis killed in attacks during the Second from September 2000 to 2005, many originating from PA-administered Areas A and B used as staging grounds for suicide bombings and shootings. The intifada, erupting on September 28, 2000, amid widespread violence in the and Gaza, involved coordinated assaults by PA security forces alongside militants, including the first suicide bombing in on November 1, 2000, and subsequent waves that included 138 suicide attacks claiming hundreds of civilian lives. PA leader Arafat's tacit support, including televised rallies glorifying attackers and halting security coordination with , directly contravened Oslo stipulations to prevent hostile acts, fostering an environment where terrorist infrastructure thrived unchecked in self-governed zones. The PA's governance failures extended to systemic incitement, with official media and educational materials promoting as a legitimate response, such as PA television broadcasts honoring "martyrs" and textbooks depicting armed struggle against as heroic. U.S. assessments have noted persistent non-compliance, including failure to condemn and glorification of in PA institutions, as evidenced in sanctions against PA officials for supporting such rhetoric as recently as 2025. curricula under PA control have named institutions after terrorists and taught narratives framing attacks on civilians as national duty, perpetuating cycles of recruitment and eroding the accords' premise of . Compounding these breaches, the PA implemented a "pay-for-slay" policy allocating monthly stipends to imprisoned terrorists and families of those killed during attacks, with payments scaled by sentence length—up to 12,000 shekels ($3,200) for life sentences—totaling hundreds of millions annually from the PA budget. This practice, formalized under the 2014 Martyrs and Prisoners Law, incentivizes terrorism by providing financial rewards, directly conflicting with Oslo's anti-terrorism mandates and prompting U.S. legislation like the 2018 Taylor Force Act to withhold aid until cessation. By rewarding perpetrators rather than deterring them, the policy voided conditional security transfers, as the PA's refusal to uproot terror networks halted further implementation of Area C handovers envisioned in the accords.

Israeli Actions: Settlements and Security Measures

The Oslo II Accord placed Area C, comprising approximately 60% of the , under full Israeli civil and security control, with no provision prohibiting or requiring a freeze on settlement activity there. Israeli authorities have maintained that continued and expansion in existing settlements within Area C align with the agreement's framework, which explicitly delegates planning, zoning, and land use powers in that area to while gradually transferring only limited civil functions to Palestinian jurisdiction. Post-1995, the settler population in the grew from around 110,000 to over 450,000 by 2023, reflecting organic expansion amid security needs to protect dispersed communities vulnerable to attacks. To enforce zoning laws impartially in Area C, has demolished unauthorized Palestinian structures, with 602 such buildings razed in the first 10 months of 2024 alone, countering widespread illegal that exceeds permitted areas. Security measures, including checkpoints and incursions into Areas A and B, stem from the Palestinian Authority's repeated failures to suppress terrorist networks operating under its nominal control, necessitating Israeli intervention to neutralize threats originating from those zones. The construction of the security barrier, initiated in 2002 and largely completed by 2006, drastically curtailed infiltration, reducing successful terrorist attacks from the by approximately 90% according to Israeli security assessments. This empirical decline in suicide bombings and shootings— from over 70 in 2002 to fewer than 10 annually post-barrier—demonstrates the barrier's role as a non-lethal defensive tool, justified under the accords' emphasis on Israel's overriding security responsibilities. Further redeployments of Area C to Palestinian control, as vaguely outlined in Oslo II, proved unfeasible due to persistent security threats, including the PA's inability to dismantle militant infrastructure, which fueled the Second Intifada and subsequent violence. In the 2020s, amid a surge in attacks—over 1,000 terrorist incidents reported from 2022 to 2024—IDF raids in Jenin and other hotspots in Areas A and B targeted Iran-backed cells and weapon caches, preventing escalations that could mirror Gaza's instability. These operations, such as the large-scale action in Jenin in August 2024, reflect causal necessities: without proactive measures, ungoverned spaces enable attacks, as evidenced by pre-raid spikes in shootings and bombings. Claims framing such actions as unilateral violations overlook the accords' provisions allowing Israel to retain security primacy in response to breaches by Palestinian parties.

Balanced Assessment of Accord Breaches

The Palestinian perspective on Oslo II breaches emphasizes Israeli settlement expansion in Area C as the primary obstacle to territorial contiguity and state viability, arguing that it preempted negotiations by altering facts on the ground. In contrast, the Israeli viewpoint prioritizes security imperatives, contending that Palestinian terrorism and incitement necessitated defensive measures and delayed redeployments, as violence undermined trust and implementation timelines. International assessments vary, with bodies like the UN issuing disproportionate condemnations of Israeli actions—such as 17 resolutions against Israel in 2024 compared to six for the rest of the world combined—reflecting systemic bias that often overlooks Palestinian non-compliance while amplifying settlement critiques. Empirically, the accords' collapse stemmed more from Palestinian rejectionism than settlement activity alone; the July 2000 Camp David Summit saw Palestinian leader reject Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak's proposal offering approximately 91% of the , with no counteroffer forthcoming, as corroborated by U.S. mediator who noted Arafat's refusal of every suggestion. This impasse, followed by the eruption of the Second Intifada in September 2000, halted further redeployments and final-status talks, with —over 1,000 Israeli deaths in the ensuing years—acting as the causal trigger for Israeli security responses rather than vice versa. While both sides violated interim terms, data indicate asymmetric impact: Palestinian non-compliance eroded the accords' foundational security guarantees, stalling progress without which Israeli concessions on land remained untenable. The accords' interim framework, lacking robust enforcement mechanisms or penalties for breaches, exposed inherent vulnerabilities to mutual distrust and power asymmetries, rendering them susceptible to derailment by extremists on both sides without mutual adherence. Palestinian Authority failures in curbing terror networks, despite Oslo-mandated obligations, represented the primary stall, as evidenced by continued attacks post-1995 that precluded the planned third redeployment in 1999 and beyond. Israeli settlement growth, though a breach of spirit, did not preclude negotiations until security breakdowns rendered them moot, underscoring that without baseline compliance on violence, the process could not advance to resolution.

Religious and Cultural Sites

Locations Primarily in Area C

Area C encompasses a significant portion of the biblical heartland known as and , where numerous ancient sites attest to the central role of these territories in Jewish religious history and . Under the signed on September 28, 1995, this area—comprising approximately 60% of the —remains under full Israeli civil and security administration, facilitating the preservation and controlled access to historical sites amid ongoing territorial divisions. This arrangement reflects the accord's provisions for Israeli oversight in zones containing strategic and cultural assets, including religious locations tied to biblical narratives. Prominent among these is the ancient city of Shiloh, located in the Samarian hills and identified as the site where the , housing the , stood for over 300 years from roughly 1399 to 1094 BCE, serving as Israel's primary religious center during the era of the Judges. Excavations have revealed structures, including massive stone walls, earthen , and storage vessels consistent with a fortified sanctuary complex, corroborating textual descriptions of its destruction around 1050 BCE by the . These findings underscore continuous Jewish settlement and cultic activity from the Late onward, with evidence of ritual practices predating later Arab inhabitation patterns that intensified after the 1948 Arab-Israeli War. Another key site is Rachel's Tomb near Bethlehem, venerated in Jewish tradition as the burial place of the matriarch Rachel, wife of Jacob, and referenced in Genesis 35:19-20 as a pillar of witness on the road to Ephrath. Positioned within Area C, it has been maintained under Israeli jurisdiction to ensure security for Jewish pilgrims, contrasting with post-1948 demographic shifts that emphasized local Arab presence over millennia-old Jewish ties evidenced by Second Temple-era synagogues and Hebrew inscriptions across the region. Environs around Hebron in Area C similarly encompass lands linked to patriarchal narratives, such as the oak of Mamre where Abraham resided (Genesis 13:18), protected by Israeli control to safeguard archaeological continuity amid competing modern claims rooted primarily in 20th-century residency rather than ancient Israelite material culture, including artifacts from the United Monarchy period confirmed by regional surveys.

Access Disputes and Management

Access to Jewish religious sites in the West Bank, particularly those under partial or nominal Palestinian Authority (PA) oversight per the , has been marred by recurrent violence and desecration incidents, underscoring the PA's inability to ensure safe visitation. A pivotal dispute erupted at in (Area A) on October 7, 2000, when Palestinian rioters assaulted an adjacent Israeli police station with stones and gunfire for over two hours, prompting Israeli forces to withdraw to avert further casualties; the site was subsequently vandalized and torched by mobs, with the tomb's structure burned and scrolls destroyed. Similar patterns persisted, as evidenced by PA-controlled arson at the tomb in October 2015 and mob defacements in April 2022, where rioters twice breached the compound, smashing interiors and setting fires despite its nominal protection under PA jurisdiction. These events highlight systemic PA failures to safeguard sites as obligated under Article 32, which mandates respect for religious freedoms, leading to repeated Israeli re-interventions for restoration. Israeli management of access emphasizes military coordination to mitigate threats from Palestinian violence, prioritizing security over unrestricted entry given documented risks. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) facilitate coordinated nighttime pilgrimages to sites like , escorting thousands of Jewish visitors since 2001 under strict protocols to prevent ambushes, as uncoordinated attempts have triggered clashes. For the in (divided under the 1997 Protocol Concerning the Redeployment in Hebron), Israeli forces maintain checkpoints and divided access schedules to avert riots, a necessity reinforced by historical attacks like the 1994 massacre of 29 Muslims by a Jewish gunman, which nonetheless did not eliminate ongoing Palestinian assaults on Jewish worshippers. near , encircled by an Israeli barrier since 2001 due to shooting attacks, operates under IDF oversight despite its Oslo-designated Area A enclave, illustrating how empirical threats—such as frequent rock-throwing and gunfire—necessitate fortified perimeters and limited hours to protect visitors. This approach reflects causal realities where Palestinian incitement and governance lapses amplify dangers, rendering PA assurances unreliable; U.S. assessments confirm the PA's non-compliance with duties to protect Jewish sites, as desecrations continue unabated without accountability. Coordinated Israeli facilitation has enabled sustained access amid volatility, with over 30,000 annual visits to post-2000 via IDF-escorted convoys, contrasting with the site's ruinous state under prior PA-only control. Security imperatives thus override , as unrestricted entry has empirically invited riots and fatalities, justifying Israel's oversight to preserve site integrity and visitor safety.

Recent Developments and Current Status

Escalations in the 2000s and Intifada Aftermath

The Second Intifada, erupting on September 28, 2000, following Ariel Sharon's visit to the , rapidly escalated into widespread violence, with Palestinian militants launching numerous suicide bombings from Areas A and B under Palestinian Authority (PA) control. These attacks, predominantly carried out by groups like and Islamic Jihad based in cities such as and , targeted Israeli civilians and military personnel, resulting in over 1,000 Israeli deaths by 2005, including peaks in 2002 when monthly bombings averaged several incidents. The PA's failure to dismantle militant infrastructure in these areas, as required under Oslo security provisions, allowed such operations to proliferate from PA-governed territories. In response to escalating , conducted from March 29 to April 21, 2002, reoccupying all major cities in Area A, including , , and , to neutralize terror networks. Triggered by the March 27 suicide bombing at the Park Hotel in that killed 30 Israeli civilians during a , the operation dismantled bomb-making factories, weapon caches, and militant command centers, resulting in approximately 500 Palestinian deaths—primarily militants—and 30 Israeli soldiers killed. This reentry effectively suspended PA security control in Area A, exposing the fragility of Oslo's division of authority amid unchecked violence from Palestinian territories. The Intifada's aftermath saw Israel begin constructing the West Bank security barrier in June 2002, initially along the Green Line but extending into Area C to encompass settlements and block infiltration routes from Areas A and B. By 2005, segments of the barrier had reduced successful suicide attacks by over 90%, correlating with a sharp decline in bombings post-2003, though it deepened physical divisions between Oslo areas and restricted Palestinian movement. No further territorial transfers from Area C to PA control occurred, as stipulated in interim agreements like Wye River 1998, due to persistent PA non-compliance with anti-terrorism commitments and governance breakdowns. PA governance in Areas A and B eroded significantly during the , with security forces fragmented by internal militancy, corruption, and Israeli incursions that decimated infrastructure. Post-Intifada, the PA struggled to reassert control, facing —unemployment exceeding 30%—and institutional failures, leading to a Israeli oversight of security in former Area A enclaves until partial withdrawals under the 2005 Gaza disengagement framework, which did not extend to the . This period entrenched the divisions, as violence peaks in 2001-2002 halted phased redeployments, prioritizing Israeli security measures over further PA empowerment.

2020-2025: Settlement Growth and Policy Shifts

Settlement expansion in the accelerated during 2020-2025, particularly after the October 7, 2023, attack from Gaza, which heightened Israeli security concerns and exposed Palestinian Authority (PA) governance weaknesses, including its financial instability and continued payments to militants. In 2023, advanced 30,682 settlement plans and tenders, a record high, followed by 28,872 in 2024, reflecting policy prioritization of strategic depth amid rising Iran-backed threats from groups like operating in Areas A and B. In May 2025, the Netanyahu government approved 22 new settlements, including legalization of outposts, the largest single expansion in decades, while August plans for the E1 area advanced 3,401 housing units across approximately 12 square kilometers. These developments responded to PA collapse signals, such as fiscal deficits deepened by withheld Israeli tax transfers post-October 7—totaling nearly 7 billion shekels by mid-2025—and inability to pay full public salaries, undermining its Oslo-mandated administrative role. Under Netanyahu's coalition, featuring ministers like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, policies shifted toward de facto Israeli sovereignty in Area C (60% of the West Bank), with military-to-civilian administrative transitions and rhetoric questioning Oslo's viability amid PA-Hamas financial ties and non-compliance. Israel retains overriding security control across all areas, conducting operations in Areas A and B against terror cells, as PA security forces proved ineffective against escalating attacks. In June 2025, Smotrich ordered cancellation of a banking waiver enabling Israeli banks to process PA shekel transactions—essential for salaries and imports—citing PA support for terrorism, though implementation faced international pushback; this underscored Israel's leverage over PA dependencies. Violence dynamics highlighted the era's tensions: while UN data recorded increased incidents—around 440 per Israeli military estimates in 2023-2024—Palestinian attacks dwarfed them, with thousands of rock-throwing, , and assaults documented by , resulting in over 30 Israeli deaths in 2023 alone and prompting settlement buffers as a causal measure. These shifts signal no viable path to revival, as PA fiscal crises and terror patronage eroded its legitimacy, while Israeli actions consolidated control in response to existential threats rather than prospects.

Legacy and Implications

Achievements in Interim Governance

The Oslo II Accord, signed on September 28, 1995, enabled the Palestinian Authority (PA) to assume civil administration responsibilities in designated portions of the West Bank, specifically Areas A and B, which together encompassed approximately 40% of the territory and 90% of the Palestinian population. In Area A, comprising major urban centers, the PA gained full control over civil affairs including education, health, social services, and local policing, while in Area B it managed civilian functions with Israeli oversight of security. This transfer facilitated the PA's establishment of ministries and administrative structures, marking an initial step toward interim self-governance as envisioned in the five-year transitional framework. The PA's governance achievements included the rollout of basic public services in these areas, such as operating schools, clinics, and municipal , which addressed immediate needs for the population under its jurisdiction. The Accord also mandated the creation of a Palestinian police force to maintain public order and internal security, with the PA establishing a contingent responsible for in Area A and limited roles elsewhere. Economically, the interim period saw measurable gains, with Palestinian (GNI) recording an average annual growth of about 9% from 1994 to 1999, driven partly by eased movement and labor access to following the Accord's implementation. Bilateral mechanisms under Oslo II, including joint committees for economic , supported projects and facilitation, contributing to early stability and development efforts like private-sector housing initiatives in the . These outcomes reflected limited institutional capacity-building by the PA, though such progress remained contingent on Israeli and external , underscoring the fragility of absent comprehensive enforcement of provisions.

Reasons for Long-Term Failure and Path Forward

The Palestinian Authority's persistent failure to demilitarize its security forces, as stipulated in the Oslo II Accord's emphasis on combating and maintaining internal order, undermined the framework's security provisions and perpetuated violence. Despite agreements requiring the PA to prevent and dismantle militant infrastructures, empirical data shows that PA-affiliated groups and aligned factions continued attacks, with over 1,000 Israeli deaths from between 1993 and 2005, largely attributable to non-compliance with anti-terror clauses. This rejectionist prioritization of confrontational tactics over institutional state-building eroded trust, as PA leaders like maintained dual policies of negotiation and "pay for slay" incentives for attackers, fostering a culture where served ideological warfare rather than development. Further compounding the accords' collapse was the PA's repeated alliances with rejectionist elements, exemplified by the 2014 unity government with , which integrated a group explicitly committed to Israel's destruction into official structures. This pact, endorsed by PA President , led Israel to suspend peace talks and withhold revenue transfers, as it violated Oslo's implicit requirement for a partner renouncing violence; subsequent attempts at reconciliation, including 2024 overtures, similarly empowered 's influence, stalling any viable negotiation path. Israel's 2005 Gaza disengagement, intended as a unilateral confidence-building step akin to phased Oslo withdrawals, yielded empirical lessons in causal security risks: seized control within two years, transforming the territory into a launchpad for over 20,000 rockets fired at Israeli civilians by 2023, validating reticence toward replicating such vulnerabilities in the . The Oslo divisions, by design, preserved Israeli sovereignty over Area C—encompassing 60% of the West Bank with strategic security zones—rightfully entrenching control amid PA governance failures, as fragmented autonomy in Areas A and B devolved into corruption and instability without fostering peace incentives. A realistic path forward prioritizes verifiable security preconditions over renewed two-state concessions, which historical withdrawals demonstrate incentivize escalation rather than moderation; alternatives such as a confederation model, allowing Palestinian economic access to Israel under enduring Israeli defense oversight, or targeted annexation of settlement blocs and security corridors, offer stability by aligning borders with defensible realities rather than aspirational partitions prone to abuse. These approaches, grounded in post-Oslo empirics, demand PA reforms like full demilitarization and terror cessation before any territorial adjustments, ensuring causal linkages between governance accountability and territorial viability.

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  113. https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/07/fatah-hamas-agreement-increases-chinese-influence-palestinian-affairs-road-unity-rocky
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  115. https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-863620
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  117. https://tcf.org/content/report/two-states-together-an-alternative-vision-for-palestinians-and-israelis/
  118. https://jcpa.org/the-dangers-of-a-unilateral-israeli-withdrawal-from-the-west-bank-and-east-jerusalem/
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