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Screening (medicine)
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In medicine, screening is a strategy used to look for as-yet-unrecognised conditions or risk markers.[1][2][3] This testing can be applied to individuals or to a whole population without symptoms or signs of the disease being screened.
Screening interventions are designed to identify conditions which could at some future point turn into disease, thus enabling earlier intervention and management in the hope to reduce mortality and suffering from a disease. Although screening may lead to an earlier diagnosis, not all screening tests have been shown to benefit the person being screened; overdiagnosis, misdiagnosis, and creating a false sense of security are some potential adverse effects of screening. Additionally, some screening tests can be inappropriately overused.[4][5] For these reasons, a test used in a screening program, especially for a disease with low incidence, must have good sensitivity in addition to acceptable specificity.[6]
Several types of screening exist: universal (population-based) screening involves testing of all individuals in a certain category (for example, all children of a certain age). Case finding involves testing a smaller group of people based on the presence of risk factors (for example, because a family member has been diagnosed with a hereditary disease). When delivered to large numbers of people at the population level rather than by individual clinicians, testing asymptomatic people for disease because they have one or more risk factors is sometimes referred to as targeted or stratified screening.[7] Screening interventions are not designed to be diagnostic, and often have significant rates of both false positive and false negative results.
In the US, frequently updated recommendations for screening are provided by the independent panel of experts, the United States Preventive Services Task Force.[8] In the UK, recommendations are provided by the UK National Screening Committee.[9]
Principles
[edit]In 1968, the World Health Organization published guidelines on the Principles and practice of screening for disease, which is often referred to as the Wilson and Jungner criteria.[10] The principles are still broadly applicable today:
- The condition should be an important health problem.
- There should be a treatment for the condition.
- Facilities for diagnosis and treatment should be available.
- There should be a latent stage of the disease.
- There should be a test or examination for the condition.
- The test should be acceptable to the population.
- The natural history of the disease should be adequately understood.
- There should be an agreed policy on whom to treat.
- The total cost of finding a case should be economically balanced in relation to medical expenditure as a whole.
- Case-finding should be a continuous process, not just a "once and for all" project.
In 2008, with the emergence of new genomic technologies, the WHO synthesised and modified these with the new understanding as follows:
Synthesis of emerging screening criteria proposed over the past 40 years
- The screening programme should respond to a recognized need.
- The objectives of screening should be defined at the outset.
- There should be a defined target population.
- There should be scientific evidence of screening programme effectiveness.
- The programme should integrate education, testing, clinical services and programme management.
- There should be quality assurance, with mechanisms to minimize potential risks of screening.
- The programme should ensure informed consent, confidentiality and respect for personal, bodily autonomy.
- The programme should promote equity and access to screening for the entire target population.
- Programme evaluation should be planned from the outset.
- The overall benefits of screening should outweigh the harm.
In summation, "when it comes to the allocation of scarce resources, economic considerations must be considered alongside 'notions of justice, equity, personal freedom, political feasibility, and the constraints of current law'."[11]
Types
[edit]
- Mass screening (sometimes termed population-based screening): The screening of a whole population or subgroup. It is offered to all, irrespective of the risk status of the individual.
- High risk or targeted screening or selective screening: High risk screening is conducted only among high-risk people.
- Multiphasic screening: The application of two or more screening tests to a large population at one time, instead of carrying out separate screening tests for single diseases.
- When done thoughtfully and based on research, identification of risk factors can be a strategy for medical screening.[12]
Examples
[edit]Common programs
[edit]In many countries there are population-based screening programmes. In some countries, such as the UK, policy is made nationally and programmes are delivered nationwide to uniform quality standards. Common screening programmes include:[citation needed]
- Cancer screening
- Pap smear or liquid-based cytology to detect potentially precancerous lesions and prevent cervical cancer
- Mammography to detect breast cancer
- Colonoscopy and fecal occult blood test to detect colorectal cancer
- Dermatological check to detect melanoma
- PSA to detect prostate cancer
- PPD test to screen for exposure to tuberculosis
- Beck Depression Inventory to screen for depression
- SPAI-B, the Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale and Social Phobia Inventory to screen for social anxiety disorder
- Alpha-fetoprotein, blood tests and ultrasound scans for pregnant women to detect fetal abnormalities
- Bitewing radiographs to screen for interproximal dental caries
- Ophthalmoscopy or digital photography and image grading for diabetic retinopathy
- Ultrasound scan for abdominal aortic aneurysm
- SARI Screening Tool for COVID-19 and MERS[13]
- Screening of potential sperm bank donors
- Screening for metabolic syndrome
- Screening for potential hearing loss in newborns
School-based
[edit]Most public school systems in the United States screen students periodically for hearing and vision deficiencies and dental problems. Screening for spinal and posture issues such as scoliosis is sometimes carried out, but is controversial as scoliosis (unlike vision or dental issues) is found in only a very small segment of the general population and because students must remove their shirts for screening. Many states no longer mandate scoliosis screenings, or allow them to be waived with parental notification. There are currently bills being introduced in various U.S. states to mandate mental health screenings for students attending public schools in hopes to prevent self-harm as well as the harming of peers. Those proposing these bills hope to diagnose and treat mental illnesses such as depression and anxiety. [citation needed]
Screening for social determinants of health
[edit]The social determinants of health are the economic and social conditions that influence individual and group differences in health status.[14] Those conditions may have adverse effects on their health and well-being. To mitigate those adverse effects, certain health policies like the United States Affordable Care Act (2010) gave increased traction to preventive programs, such as those that routinely screen for social determinants of health.[15] Screening is believed to a valuable tool in identifying patients' basic needs in a social determinants of health framework so that they can be better served.[16][17]
Policy background in the United States
[edit]When established in the United States, the Affordable Care Act was able to bridge the gap between community-based health and healthcare as a medical treatment, leading to programs that screened for social determinants of health.[15] The Affordable Care Act established several services with an eye for social determinants or an openness to more diverse clientele, such as Community Transformation Grants, which were delegated to the community in order to establish "preventive community health activities" and "address health disparities".[18]
Clinical programs
[edit]Social determinants of health include social status, gender, ethnicity, economic status, education level, access to services, education, immigrant status, upbringing, and much, much more.[19][20] Several clinics across the United States have employed a system in which they screen patients for certain risk factors related to social determinants of health.[21] In such cases, it is done as a preventive measure in order to mitigate any detrimental effects of prolonged exposure to certain risk factors, or to simply begin remedying the adverse effects already faced by certain individuals.[17][22] They can be structured in different ways, for example, online or in person, and yield different outcomes based on the patient's responses.[17] Some programs, like the FIND Desk at UCSF Benioff Children's Hospital, employ screening for social determinants of health in order to connect their patients with social services and community resources that may provide patients greater autonomy and mobility.[23]
Medical equipment used
[edit]Medical equipment used in screening tests is usually different from equipment used in diagnostic tests as screening tests are used to indicate the likely presence or absence of a disease or condition in people not presenting symptoms; while diagnostic medical equipment is used to make quantitative physiological measurements to confirm and determine the progress of a suspected disease or condition. Medical screening equipment must be capable of fast processing of many cases, but may not need to be as precise as diagnostic equipment.[citation needed]
Limitations
[edit]Screening can detect medical conditions at an early stage before symptoms present while treatment is more effective than for later detection.[24] In the best of cases lives are saved. Like any medical test, the tests used in screening are not perfect. The test result may incorrectly show positive for those without disease (false positive), or negative for people who have the condition (false negative). Limitations of screening programmes can include:
- Screening can involve cost and use of medical resources on a majority of people who do not need treatment.
- Adverse effects of screening procedure (e.g. stress and anxiety, discomfort, radiation exposure, chemical exposure).
- Stress and anxiety caused by prolonging knowledge of an illness without any improvement in outcome. This problem is referred to as overdiagnosis (see also below).
- Stress and anxiety caused by a false positive screening result.
- Unnecessary investigation and treatment of false positive results (namely misdiagnosis with Type I error).
- A false sense of security caused by false negatives, which may delay final diagnosis (namely misdiagnosis with Type II error).
Screening for dementia in the English NHS is controversial because it could cause undue anxiety in patients and support services would be stretched. A GP reported "The main issue really seems to be centred around what the consequences of a such a diagnosis is and what is actually available to help patients."[25]
Analysis
[edit]To many people, screening instinctively seems like an appropriate thing to do, because catching something earlier seems better. However, no screening test is perfect. There will always be the problems with incorrect results and other issues listed above. It is an ethical requirement for balanced and accurate information to be given to participants at the point when screening is offered, in order that they can make a fully informed choice about whether or not to accept.[citation needed]
Before a screening program is implemented, it should be looked at to ensure that putting it in place would do more good than harm. The best studies for assessing whether a screening test will increase a population's health are rigorous randomized controlled trials.When studying a screening program using case-control or, more usually, cohort studies, various factors can cause the screening test to appear more successful than it really is. A number of different biases, inherent in the study method, will skew results.[citation needed]
Overdiagnosis
[edit]Screening may identify abnormalities that would never cause a problem in a person's lifetime. An example of this is prostate cancer screening; it has been said that "more men die with prostate cancer than of it".[26] Autopsy studies have shown that between 14 and 77% of elderly men who have died of other causes are found to have had prostate cancer.[27]
Aside from issues with unnecessary treatment (prostate cancer treatment is by no means without risk), overdiagnosis makes a study look good at picking up abnormalities, even though they are sometimes harmless.[citation needed]
Overdiagnosis occurs when all of these people with harmless abnormalities are counted as "lives saved" by the screening, rather than as "healthy people needlessly harmed by overdiagnosis". So it might lead to an endless cycle: the greater the overdiagnosis, the more people will think screening is more effective than it is, which can reinforce people to do more screening tests, leading to even more overdiagnosis.[28] Raffle, Mackie and Gray call this the popularity paradox of screening: "The greater the harm through overdiagnosis and overtreatment from screening, the more people there are who believe they owe their health, or even their life, to the programme"(p56 Box 3.4) [29]
The screening for neuroblastoma, the most common malignant solid tumor in children, in Japan is a very good example of why a screening program must be evaluated rigorously before it is implemented. In 1981, Japan started a program of screening for neuroblastoma by measuring homovanillic acid and vanilmandelic acid in urine samples of six-month-old infants. In 2003, a special committee was organized to evaluate the motivation for the neuroblastoma screening program. In the same year, the committee concluded that there was sufficient evidence that screening method used in the time led to overdiagnosis, but there was no enough evidence that the program reduced neuroblastoma deaths. As such, the committee recommended against screening and the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare decided to stop the screening program.[30]
Another example of overdiagnosis happened with thyroid cancer: its incidence tripled in United States between 1975 and 2009, while mortality was constant.[31] In South Korea, the situation was even worse with 15-fold increase in the incidence from 1993 to 2011 (the world's greatest increase of thyroid cancer incidence), while the mortality remained stable.[32] The increase in incidence was associated with the introduction of ultrasonography screening.[33]
The problem of overdiagnosis in cancer screening is that at the time of diagnosis it not possible to differentiate between a harmless lesion and lethal one, unless the patient is not treated and dies from other causes.[34] So almost all patients tend to be treated, leading to what is called overtreatment. As researchers Welch and Black put it, "Overdiagnosis—along with the subsequent unneeded treatment with its attendant risks—is arguably the most important harm associated with early cancer detection."[34]
Lead time bias
[edit]
If screening works, it must diagnose the target disease earlier than it would be without screening (when symptoms appear). Even if in both cases (with screening vs without screening) patients die at the same time, just because the disease was diagnosed earlier by screening, the survival time since diagnosis is longer in screened people than in persons who was not screened. This happens even when life span has not been prolonged. As the diagnosis was made earlier without life being prolonged, the patient might be more anxious as he must live with knowledge of his diagnosis for longer.[citation needed]
If screening works, it must introduce a lead time. So statistics of survival time since diagnosis tends to increase with screening because of the lead time introduced, even when screening offers no benefits. If we do not think about what survival time actually means in this context, we might attribute success to a screening test that does nothing but advance diagnosis. As survival statistics suffers from this and other biases, comparing the disease mortality (or even all-cause mortality) between screened and unscreened population gives more meaningful information.[citation needed]
Length time bias
[edit]
Many screening tests involve the detection of cancers. Screening is more likely to detect slower-growing tumors (due to longer pre-clinical sojourn time) that are less likely to cause harm. Also, those aggressive cancers tend to produce symptoms in the gap between scheduled screening, being less likely to be detected by screening.[35] So, the cases screening often detects automatically have better prognosis than symptomatic cases. The consequence is those more slow progressive cases are now classified as cancers, which increases the incidence, and due to its better prognosis, the survival rates of screened people will be better than non-screened people even if screening makes no difference.[citation needed]
Selection bias
[edit]Not everyone will partake in a screening program. There are factors that differ between those willing to get tested and those who are not.[citation needed]
If people with a higher risk of a disease are more likely to be screened, for instance women with a family history of breast cancer are more likely than other women to join a mammography program, then a screening test will look worse than it really is: negative outcomes among the screened population will be higher than for a random sample.[citation needed]
Selection bias may also make a test look better than it really is. If a test is more available to young and healthy people (for instance if people have to travel a long distance to get checked) then fewer people in the screening population will have negative outcomes than for a random sample, and the test will seem to make a positive difference.[citation needed]
Studies have shown that people who attend screening tend to be healthier than those who do not. This has been called the healthy screenee effect,[29] which is a form of selection bias. The reason seems to be that people who are healthy, affluent, physically fit, non-smokers with long-lived parents are more likely to come and get screened than those on low-income, who have existing health and social problems.[29] One example of selection bias occurred in Edinbourg trial of mammography screening, which used cluster randomisation. The trial found reduced cardiovascular mortality in those who were screened for breast cancer. That happened because baseline differences regarding socio-economic status in the groups: 26% of the women in the control group and 53% in the study group belonged to the highest socioeconomic level.[36] Cardiovascular risk screening is a vital tool in reducing the global incidence of cardiovascular diseases.[37]
Study Design for the Research of Screening Programs
[edit]The best way to minimize selection bias is to use a randomized controlled trial, though observational, naturalistic, or retrospective studies can be of some value and are typically easier to conduct. Any study must be sufficiently large (include many patients) and sufficiently long (follow patients for many years) to have the statistical power to assess the true value of a screening program. For rare diseases, hundreds of thousands of patients may be needed to realize the value of screening (find enough treatable disease), and to assess the effect of the screening program on mortality a study may have to follow the cohort for decades. Such studies take a long time and are expensive, but can provide the most useful data with which to evaluate the screening program and practice evidence-based medicine.[citation needed]
All-cause mortality vs disease-specific mortality
[edit]The main outcome of cancer screening studies is usually the number of deaths caused by the disease being screened for - this is called disease-specific mortality. To give an example: in trials of mammography screening for breast cancer, the main outcome reported is often breast cancer mortality. However, disease-specific mortality might be biased in favor of screening. In the example of breast cancer screening, women overdiagnosed with breast cancer might receive radiotherapy, which increases mortality due to lung cancer and heart disease.[38] The problem is those deaths are often classified as other causes and might even be larger than the number of breast cancer deaths avoided by screening. So the non-biased outcome is all-cause mortality. The problem is that much larger trials are needed to detect a significant reduction in all-cause mortality. In 2016, researcher Vinay Prasad and colleagues published an article in BMJ titled "Why cancer screening has never been shown to save lives", as cancer screening trials did not show all-cause mortality reduction.[39]
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "To Screen or Not to Screen? - The Benefits and Harms of Screening Tests". NIH News in Health. National Institutes of Health. March 2017. Archived from the original on 22 December 2017. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
Screening tests are given to people who seem healthy to try to find unnoticed problems. They're done before you have any signs or symptoms of the disease.
- ^ O'Toole, Marie T., ed. (2013). Mosby's medical dictionary (9th ed.). St. Louis, Mo.: Elsevier/Mosby. Kindle loc. 145535. ISBN 978-0-323-08541-0. OCLC 788298656.
screening, n., 1. a preliminary procedure, such as a test or examination, to detect the most characteristic sign or signs of a disorder that may require further investigation.
- ^ "screening, n.". Oxford English Dictionary. March 2017. Archived from the original on 11 June 2017. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
... 8. a. Medical examination of a person or group to detect disease or abnormality, esp. as part of a broad survey rather than as a response to a request for treatment.
- ^ O'Sullivan, Jack W; Albasri, Ali; Nicholson, Brian D; Perera, Rafael; Aronson, Jeffrey K; Roberts, Nia; Heneghan, Carl (11 February 2018). "Overtesting and undertesting in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis". BMJ Open. 8 (2) e018557. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018557. PMC 5829845. PMID 29440142.
- ^ O'Sullivan, Jack W.; Heneghan, Carl; Perera, Rafael; Oke, Jason; Aronson, Jeffrey K.; Shine, Brian; Goldacre, Ben (19 March 2018). "Variation in diagnostic test requests and outcomes: a preliminary metric for OpenPathology.net". Scientific Reports. 8 (1): 4752. Bibcode:2018NatSR...8.4752O. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-23263-z. PMC 5859290. PMID 29556075.
- ^ Screening and Diagnostic Tests at eMedicine
- ^ "UK National Screening Committee: screening in healthcare - Principles of screening - Guidance - GOV.UK". www.gov.uk. Retrieved 2025-08-08.
- ^ Hall, Harriet (2019). "Too Many Medical Tests". Skeptical Inquirer. 43 (3): 25–27.
- ^ "UK National Screening Committee - GOV.UK". www.gov.uk. Retrieved 2025-08-08.
- ^ Wilson, JMG; Jungner, G (1968). "Principles and practice of screening for disease" (PDF). WHO Chronicle. 22 (11): 281–393. PMID 4234760. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-04-17. Retrieved 2016-01-01Public Health Papers, #34.
{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: postscript (link) - ^ Anne Andermann, Ingeborg Blancquaert, Sylvie Beauchamp, Véronique Déry Revisiting Wilson and Jungner in the genomic age: a review of screening criteria over the past 40 years: Bulletin of the World Health Organization; 2008 Volume 86, Number 4, April 2008, 241-320
- ^ Wald, N J; Hackshaw, A K; Frost, C D (1999). "When can a risk factor be used as a worthwhile screening test?". BMJ. 319 (7224): 1562–1565. doi:10.1136/bmj.319.7224.1562. ISSN 0959-8138. PMC 1117271. PMID 10591726.
- ^ AlGhalyini, Baraa; Shakir, Ismail; Wahed, Muaz; Babar, Sultan; Mohamed, Mohamed (30 June 2022). "Does SARI Score Predict COVID-19 Positivity? A Retrospective Analysis of Emergency Department Patients in a Tertiary Hospital" (PDF). Journal of Health and Allied Sciences. 13: 077–082. doi:10.1055/s-0042-1748806. S2CID 250189262. Archived (PDF) from the original on 4 July 2022. Retrieved 1 July 2022.
- ^ Braveman, P. and Gottlieb, L., 2014. The social determinants of health: it's time to consider the causes of the causes. Public health reports, 129(1_suppl2), pp.19-31.
- ^ a b Heiman, Harry J., and Samantha Artiga. "Beyond Health Care: The Role of Social Determinants in Promoting Health and Health Equity." Health 20.10 (2015): 1-10.
- ^ Shekarchi, Amy, et al. "Social Determinant of Health Screening in a Safety Net Pediatric Primary Care Clinic." American Academy of Pediatrics, American Academy of Pediatrics, 1 May 2018, pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/142/1_MeetingAbstract/748.
- ^ a b c Gottlieb, Laura; Hessler, Danielle; Long, Dayna; Amaya, Anais; Adler, Nancy (December 2014). "A Randomized Trial on Screening for Social Determinants of Health: the iScreen Study". Pediatrics. 134 (6): e1611 – e1618. doi:10.1542/peds.2014-1439. ISSN 0031-4005. PMID 25367545. S2CID 18189510.
- ^ HHS action plan to reduce racial and ethnic health disparities: a nation free of disparities in health and health care. OCLC 872276544.
- ^ Dasgupta, Rajib (2009). Cook, Harold J.; Bhattacharya, Sanjoy; Hardy, Anne (eds.). "Making Sense of Social Determinants". Economic and Political Weekly. 44 (23): 30–32. ISSN 0012-9976. JSTOR 40279083.
- ^ Singh, Gopal; Daus, Gem; Allender, Michelle; Ramey, Christine; Martin, Elijah; Perry, Chrisp; Reyes, Andrew; Vedamuthu, Ivy (2017). "Social Determinants of Health in the United States: Addressing Major Health Inequality Trends for the Nation, 1935-2016". International Journal of Maternal and Child Health and AIDS. 6 (2): 139–164. doi:10.21106/ijma.236. ISSN 2161-8674. PMC 5777389. PMID 29367890.
- ^ Billioux, Alexander; Verlander, Katherine; Anthony, Susan; Alley, Dawn (2017-05-30). "Standardized Screening for Health-Related Social Needs in Clinical Settings: The Accountable Health Communities Screening Tool". NAM Perspectives. 7 (5). doi:10.31478/201705b. ISSN 2578-6865.
- ^ Foy, Jane Meschan (June 2010). "Enhancing Pediatric Mental Health Care: Algorithms for Primary Care". Pediatrics. 125 (Supplement 3): S109 – S125. doi:10.1542/peds.2010-0788f. ISSN 0031-4005. PMID 20519563.
- ^ "UCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Oakland". UCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Oakland. Archived from the original on 2013-07-28. Retrieved 2020-04-29.
- ^ "Benefits and risks of screening tests". InformedHealth.org. Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care (IQWiG). 2006. Archived from the original on 2021-01-20. Retrieved 2020-09-23.
- ^ "GPs hit by widespread complaints from patients 'unhappy' over dementia screening". Pulse. 22 November 2013. Archived from the original on 18 February 2017. Retrieved 22 November 2013.
- ^ The Complete Book of Men's Health. Men's Health Books. Rodale Books. 2000. ISBN 978-1-57954-298-6.[page needed]
- ^ Sandhu GS, Adriole GL. Overdiagnosis of prostate cancer. Journal of the National Cancer Institute Monographs 2012 (45): 146–151.
- ^ Brodersen, John; Kramer, Barnett S; Macdonald, Helen; Schwartz, Lisa M; Woloshin, Steven (17 August 2018). "Focusing on overdiagnosis as a driver of too much medicine". BMJ. 362 k3494. doi:10.1136/bmj.k3494. hdl:2292/46091. PMID 30120097. S2CID 52033494.
- ^ a b c Raffle AE, Mackie A, Gray JAM. Screening: Evidence and Practice.2nd edition Oxford University Press. 2019
- ^ Tsubono, Yoshitaka; Hisamichi, Shigeru (6 May 2004). "A Halt to Neuroblastoma Screening in Japan". New England Journal of Medicine. 350 (19): 2010–2011. doi:10.1056/NEJM200405063501922. PMID 15128908.
- ^ Esserman, Laura J; Thompson, Ian M; Reid, Brian; Nelson, Peter; Ransohoff, David F; Welch, H Gilbert; Hwang, Shelley; Berry, Donald A; Kinzler, Kenneth W; Black, William C; Bissell, Mina; Parnes, Howard; Srivastava, Sudhir (May 2014). "Addressing overdiagnosis and overtreatment in cancer: a prescription for change". The Lancet Oncology. 15 (6): e234 – e242. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(13)70598-9. PMC 4322920. PMID 24807866.
- ^ Ahn, Hyeong Sik; Kim, Hyun Jung; Welch, H. Gilbert (6 November 2014). "Korea's Thyroid-Cancer "Epidemic" — Screening and Overdiagnosis". New England Journal of Medicine. 371 (19): 1765–1767. doi:10.1056/NEJMp1409841. PMID 25372084.
- ^ Ahn, Hyeong Sik; Kim, Hyun Jung; Kim, Kyoung Hoon; Lee, Young Sung; Han, Seung Jin; Kim, Yuri; Ko, Min Ji; Brito, Juan P. (November 2016). "Thyroid Cancer Screening in South Korea Increases Detection of Papillary Cancers with No Impact on Other Subtypes or Thyroid Cancer Mortality". Thyroid. 26 (11): 1535–1540. doi:10.1089/thy.2016.0075. PMID 27627550.
- ^ a b Welch, H. G.; Black, W. C. (2010). "Overdiagnosis in Cancer". JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 102 (9): 605–613. doi:10.1093/jnci/djq099. PMID 20413742.
- ^ Carter, Stacy; Barratt, Alexandra (2017). "What is overdiagnosis and why should we take it seriously in cancer screening?". Public Health Research & Practice. 27 (3). doi:10.17061/phrp2731722. hdl:2123/17022. PMID 28765855.
- ^ Gøtzsche, P.C.; Jørgensen, K. J. (2013). "Screening for breast cancer with mammography". Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. 2013 (6) CD001877. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD001877.pub5. PMC 6464778. PMID 23737396.
- ^ Wallace, Margaret L.; Ricco, Jason A.; Barrett, Bruce (June 2014). "Screening Strategies for Cardiovascular Disease in Asymptomatic Adults". Primary Care. 41 (2): 371–397. doi:10.1016/j.pop.2014.02.010. ISSN 0095-4543. PMC 4042912. PMID 24830613.
- ^ Gøtzsche, P.C., Commentary: Screening: A seductive paradigm that has generally failed us., 2015, International Journal of Epidemiology, 244(1): 278-280 DOI, [1] Archived 2019-01-29 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Prasad V., Lenzer J., Newman D.H., Why cancer screening has never been shown to "save lives"--and what we can do about it.British Medical Journal 2016; 352:h6080 DOI
Further reading
[edit]- UK National Screening Committee Criteria for appraising the viability, appropriateness and effectiveness of a screening programme [accessed October 2019] and Oxford Medicine Online
- Raffle, Mackie, Gray Screening: evidence and practice. Oxford University Press 2019 ISBN 9780198805984
- Health Knowledge Interactive Learning Module on Screening by Angela Raffle. Last accessed October 2019.
Screening (medicine)
View on GrokipediaDefinition and Principles
Definition of Medical Screening
Medical screening refers to the systematic application of tests, examinations, or procedures to asymptomatic individuals or populations to detect unrecognized diseases, defects, or risk factors at an early stage, prior to the onset of symptoms that would prompt clinical evaluation.[1] This approach targets apparently healthy people to identify those at higher risk, enabling interventions that may prevent disease progression, reduce morbidity, or improve survival rates.[3] Unlike routine health checks prompted by symptoms, screening is proactive and population-based, often focusing on prevalent conditions where early detection confers net benefits.[16] The primary objective of medical screening is to shift disease detection from symptomatic stages to preclinical phases, potentially enhancing treatment efficacy and resource allocation in public health systems.[17] For instance, effective programs have demonstrated reductions in mortality for conditions like cervical cancer through cytological screening, where precancerous lesions are identified and treated before invasion occurs.[1] However, screening tests are typically not diagnostic; a positive result necessitates confirmatory procedures to establish the presence of disease, as initial tests prioritize sensitivity over specificity to minimize missed cases.[18] Key characteristics of medical screening include its application to defined target groups based on age, sex, or exposure risks, rather than universal use, to optimize yield and cost-effectiveness.[19] Tests must balance detection accuracy against potential harms, such as overdiagnosis or unnecessary follow-up, which can lead to patient anxiety or iatrogenic injury without altering outcomes.[1] Screening is distinct from surveillance, which monitors known cases, and from risk assessment, which evaluates probabilities without immediate testing.[20]Fundamental Principles
The fundamental principles of medical screening emphasize the identification of asymptomatic individuals at risk for specific diseases to enable early intervention, provided that such detection demonstrably improves health outcomes. Central to these principles are the criteria outlined by Wilson and Jungner in their 1968 World Health Organization report, which provide a framework for evaluating the suitability of screening programs.[21] These include: the condition must represent a significant health problem; an effective treatment must exist for detectable cases; diagnostic and treatment facilities must be accessible; a latent or early symptomatic phase must be identifiable; a reliable test must be available; the test must be acceptable to the population; the disease's natural history must be well understood; treatment policies must be clear; costs must be balanced against overall healthcare expenditures; and screening must be ongoing rather than episodic.[4] These principles underscore that screening should not merely increase detection rates but must reduce morbidity, mortality, or both, as evidenced by randomized controlled trials comparing screened versus unscreened populations.[22] A screening test's validity hinges on its sensitivity—the proportion of true positives correctly identified—and specificity—the proportion of true negatives correctly identified—relative to a gold standard diagnostic method.[23] High sensitivity minimizes false negatives, ensuring few cases are missed, while high specificity reduces false positives, avoiding unnecessary follow-up burdens.[24] Tests must also demonstrate reliability through reproducible results across settings and operators. However, apparent benefits can be confounded by biases: lead-time bias occurs when earlier detection artificially extends observed survival without altering disease course, as the patient's lifespan from diagnosis to death increases solely due to the timing of identification.[25] Length-time bias arises because screening preferentially detects slower-progressing conditions that are more likely to be asymptomatic and present during testing intervals, overrepresenting less aggressive cases and inflating perceived efficacy.[26] Overdiagnosis, the detection of non-progressive or indolent diseases that would never cause symptoms, further complicates interpretation, potentially leading to harms from overtreatment without mortality reduction.[27] Ethical considerations demand that benefits outweigh risks, including psychological distress, procedural complications, and resource diversion, with programs justified only when net population health gains are empirically supported.[28]Historical Development
Origins and Early Concepts
The concept of medical screening emerged in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, initially through public health efforts to inspect school children for contagious diseases and physical defects, marking a shift from reactive diagnosis to proactive detection in asymptomatic populations.[29] By the 1890s, U.S. cities implemented medical examinations in schools to identify and exclude children with infectious conditions, evolving by 1900 to broader assessments of impairments such as vision and hearing; surveys in 1905 and 1906 revealed that 20-33% of children had vision defects and up to 50% required medical attention.[29] State mandates followed, with Connecticut requiring vision checks in 1899, Vermont mandating eye, ear, and throat examinations in 1904, and Massachusetts making general medical inspections compulsory in public schools by 1906.[30] Early advocates promoted periodic health examinations for adults as a preventive measure, conceptualizing screening as routine maintenance akin to vehicle inspections. In 1900, physician George M. Gould proposed exams every 1-5 years to detect preclinical conditions.[29] The Life Extension Institute, founded in 1913-1914 and backed by life insurance interests, conducted over 250,000 examinations by 1924, emphasizing early detection through physical checks and basic tests; the American Medical Association endorsed annual exams in 1922.[29][31] Industrial programs began around 1910, such as tuberculosis exams in Chicago factories, with 10% of the largest U.S. corporations offering pre-employment screening by 1917.[29] Disease-specific screening tools advanced these concepts, particularly for infectious conditions amenable to early intervention. The Wassermann serological test for syphilis, introduced in 1906, enabled population-based detection and contributed to incidence declines, while chest X-rays for tuberculosis, promoted by the National Association for the Study and Prevention of Tuberculosis (formed 1904), gained traction by 1912.[32] One of the earliest organized programs was psychiatric screening in the U.S. Army during World War I, using psychological assessments to identify recruits at risk of mental breakdown before deployment.[32] These efforts laid groundwork for viewing screening as a public health strategy, though uptake remained limited—e.g., only 2.5% of Metropolitan Life Insurance policyholders accepted free exams offered starting in 1914.[29]Post-War Expansion and Standardization
Following World War II, medical screening expanded rapidly in civilian populations, building on wartime experiences with mass examinations, such as the assessment of approximately 20 million U.S. military inductees between 1940 and 1946, which identified one-third as unfit due to various health issues.[29] Advances in diagnostic technologies, including portable X-ray units and serological tests, combined with the availability of effective treatments like penicillin for syphilis and streptomycin for tuberculosis, shifted focus from military to public health applications.[32] This era saw increased government and organizational investment in preventive medicine, driven by epidemiological data showing early detection could reduce disease burden, particularly in industrialized nations facing postwar population growth and urbanization.[32] Key programs emphasized targeted screenings for prevalent conditions. The Papanicolaou (Pap) test for cervical cancer, validated in 1941, achieved widespread use starting in the 1940s, with U.S. programs reducing cervical cancer incidence and mortality by at least 50% through routine cytological examination of asymptomatic women.[33] Diabetes screening via urine glucose tests emerged as a mass effort in the 1940s, enabling detection in apparently healthy individuals and prompting dietary or insulin interventions.[32] Tuberculosis control expanded with mass miniature radiography (MMR) in Britain from the late 1940s, screening millions via mobile units, while U.S. efforts built on wartime chest X-rays of 10 million personnel to implement community-wide tuberculin skin testing and follow-up radiography.[34][35] Standardization advanced through systematic approaches to multiple conditions. In 1951, Kaiser Permanente initiated automated multiphasic health screening in response to physician shortages, processing thousands annually with standardized batteries of tests for blood pressure, vision, hearing, and biochemistry, as detailed in early publications from 1955.[36] Concurrently, J.G. Wilson outlined criteria for effective screening in a 1951 U.S. Public Health Service report, emphasizing disease importance, test simplicity, treatment availability, and cost-effectiveness, which influenced program design and later formalized in the 1968 World Health Organization memorandum with G. Jungner.[37] These frameworks promoted uniform protocols, reducing variability and enhancing yield, though implementation varied by resource availability.[38]Classification of Screening
By Target Population and Approach
Screening programs in medicine are classified by target population into mass screening, which encompasses entire populations or large demographic subgroups without regard to individual risk factors, and selective screening, which targets subgroups with heightened risk based on criteria such as age, occupation, ethnicity, or exposure history.[39] Mass screening, also termed population-based or universal screening, applies standardized tests to broad groups to detect preclinical disease, as in neonatal testing for phenylketonuria (PKU) where all newborns undergo heel-prick blood analysis within days of birth to identify metabolic disorders treatable by early dietary intervention.[39] [40] This approach maximizes reach but can yield low positivity rates in low-prevalence settings, with yields as low as 8 cases per 1,000 screened in some historical tuberculosis surveys.[40] Selective screening concentrates efforts on high-risk populations to improve diagnostic yield and cost-effectiveness, such as mobile chest radiography units deployed for coal miners susceptible to pneumoconiosis or lung cancer due to occupational dust exposure.[39] [40] For instance, programs targeting men over 35 with static 100-mm camera units for lung abnormalities have shown higher detection rates than unselected mass efforts.[40] Case-finding, often distinguished from population-level screening, involves targeted detection within clinical encounters for individuals with potential symptoms or risks, such as routine hemoglobinometry in general practice to uncover anemia, yielding about 1.4% positives in large cohorts; however, it lacks the systematic population coverage of true screening and may overlap with diagnostic evaluation.[39] [40] By approach, screenings divide into organized programs, which feature centralized planning, active invitations to eligible individuals, quality assurance, and follow-up protocols to achieve equitable coverage, and opportunistic screening, conducted ad hoc during routine consultations without predefined population targeting.[41] Organized approaches, like systematic mammography invitations in national breast cancer initiatives, outperform opportunistic methods in mortality reduction—evidenced by colorectal cancer programs where organized fecal immunochemical testing decreased incidence more effectively than sporadic clinic-based efforts.35100-X/fulltext) 35100-X/fulltext) Opportunistic screening, while flexible, often results in uneven participation and lower overall uptake, as seen in prostate-specific antigen testing where lack of coordination limits population impact compared to structured protocols.01261-5/fulltext) These distinctions guide program design to balance yield, equity, and resource use, with organized selective strategies frequently favored for resource-constrained settings.[41]By Disease or Condition
Screening in medicine is classified by the targeted disease or condition, with programs designed to detect preclinical stages of specific pathologies in asymptomatic individuals to enable early intervention. This approach tailors tests to the epidemiology, natural history, and available diagnostics for each disorder, such as biochemical assays for metabolic conditions or imaging for malignancies. Examples span neoplastic, cardiovascular, infectious, genetic, and endocrine diseases, where screening aims to identify cases before symptoms manifest, though efficacy depends on disease prevalence and test performance.[1] Cancer screening targets common malignancies with established tests recommended by bodies like the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF). Breast cancer screening uses mammography for women aged 40-74 at average risk, detecting microcalcifications or masses indicative of ductal carcinoma in situ or invasive tumors.[42] Cervical cancer screening employs Pap smears or HPV testing every 3-5 years for women aged 21-65, identifying squamous intraepithelial lesions from human papillomavirus infection.[42] Colorectal cancer screening includes fecal immunochemical tests (FIT) annually or colonoscopy every 10 years starting at age 45, aiming to find adenomas or early adenocarcinomas.[42] Lung cancer screening with low-dose CT scans is advised for high-risk smokers aged 50-80 with at least 20 pack-years history, reducing mortality by identifying small nodules.[42] Prostate cancer screening via prostate-specific antigen (PSA) blood tests is debated for men over 50 due to risks of overdiagnosis, but offered with shared decision-making.[16] Newborn screening focuses on rare but treatable genetic and metabolic disorders, typically via heel-prick blood tests within 24-48 hours of birth, mandated in all U.S. states for a core panel of conditions. Phenylketonuria (PKU) is detected by elevated phenylalanine levels, allowing dietary intervention to prevent intellectual disability.[43] Sickle cell disease screening identifies abnormal hemoglobin variants, enabling prophylactic antibiotics and vaccinations to avert infections and vaso-occlusive crises.[43] Cystic fibrosis is screened through immunoreactive trypsinogen and genetic confirmation, facilitating early enzyme replacement and nutritional support.[43] Additional conditions include congenital hypothyroidism via thyroid-stimulating hormone measurement, preventing developmental delays with levothyroxine, and severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID) via T-cell receptor excision circle analysis, allowing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.[44] By 2024, over 30 core conditions are screened nationwide, with state variations adding tandem mass spectrometry for fatty acid oxidation disorders.[43] Cardiovascular disease screening addresses atherosclerosis and related risks through routine measurements in adults. Hypertension screening involves blood pressure checks starting at age 18, with targets below 130/80 mmHg for most, identifying risks for stroke and myocardial infarction via ambulatory or office monitoring.[1] Hyperlipidemia screening uses lipid panels for LDL cholesterol levels above 160 mg/dL in low-risk adults over 20, every 4-6 years, prompting statins or lifestyle changes to prevent coronary events.[16] Abdominal aortic aneurysm screening with ultrasound is recommended once for men aged 65-75 who smoked, detecting dilatations over 3 cm to avert rupture.[45] Infectious disease screening targets transmissible pathogens in at-risk populations. HIV screening uses fourth-generation antigen-antibody tests for individuals aged 15-65 or with risk factors, detecting acute infection within 18-45 days to enable antiretroviral therapy and reduce transmission.[1] Tuberculosis screening employs interferon-gamma release assays or tuberculin skin tests in high-prevalence groups like immigrants or healthcare workers, identifying latent infection for isoniazid preventive therapy.[39] Hepatitis C screening via HCV antibody tests is advised for adults born 1945-1965 or with injection drug history, confirming viremia with RNA assays for direct-acting antiviral treatment.[16] Endocrine and metabolic screening extends beyond newborns to adults, such as type 2 diabetes screening with fasting plasma glucose or HbA1c tests every 3 years for overweight individuals over 45 or with risk factors like family history, detecting prediabetes (HbA1c 5.7-6.4%) for lifestyle or metformin intervention to delay onset.[1] Osteoporosis screening uses dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) for bone mineral density in postmenopausal women over 65 or younger with fractures, identifying T-scores below -2.5 for bisphosphonate therapy.[45] Occupational screenings, like chest X-rays for coal workers' pneumoconiosis (black lung), target silica-exposed miners to detect progressive fibrosis early.[1]Technologies and Tools
Conventional Screening Methods
Conventional screening methods in medicine primarily consist of established, non-invasive or minimally invasive procedures validated through longitudinal studies for detecting asymptomatic disease in at-risk populations. These approaches rely on physical assessments, biochemical analyses, and radiographic imaging, emphasizing accessibility, cost-effectiveness, and proven reductions in disease burden when applied selectively. Unlike emerging technologies such as liquid biopsies or AI-driven analytics, conventional methods prioritize simplicity and broad implementation, though they often face limitations in sensitivity for early-stage detection or require follow-up diagnostics.[46][16] Cardiovascular risk screening exemplifies conventional techniques, with blood pressure measurement using sphygmomanometers identifying hypertension in adults, where readings exceeding 130/80 mmHg prompt intervention; the Framingham Heart Study established its prognostic value since 1948, linking early detection to a 20-25% reduction in stroke mortality.[16] Lipid profiling via fasting blood tests measures total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, and triglycerides, with levels above 200 mg/dL for total cholesterol signaling elevated atherosclerotic risk; meta-analyses confirm that such screening in adults over 40 prevents coronary events by enabling statin therapy initiation.[16][46] In cancer detection, mammography employs low-dose X-rays to visualize breast tissue abnormalities, recommended biennially for women aged 50-74 by U.S. Preventive Services Task Force guidelines based on randomized trials showing 20-40% mortality reductions in screened cohorts.[47] Cervical cancer screening uses Papanicolaou (Pap) smears or HPV DNA testing on cervical cells, with U.S. incidence dropping 75% since 1955 due to widespread adoption starting in the 1960s; co-testing every 5 years for ages 30-65 detects precancerous lesions effectively.[42] Colorectal screening via fecal occult blood tests (FOBT) or colonoscopy examines stool for hemoglobin or visualizes colonic polyps, with evidence from the Minnesota Colon Cancer Control Study (1971-1986) demonstrating 33% mortality reduction through annual FOBT.[42][46] For metabolic disorders, fasting plasma glucose or hemoglobin A1c tests screen for type 2 diabetes, with thresholds of 126 mg/dL or 6.5% indicating prediabetes or disease; the Diabetes Prevention Program trial (2002) showed screening-guided lifestyle interventions delaying onset by 34% in high-risk adults.[16] Occupational health screening, such as chest X-rays and spirometry for coal miners, detects pneumoconiosis via radiographic patterns and lung function decline; U.S. federal programs since 1970 have identified black lung in over 10% of screened workers, facilitating compensation and exposure mitigation.[48]| Condition | Method | Key Metric/Threshold | Evidence of Efficacy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hypertension | Blood pressure cuff | ≥130/80 mmHg | 20-25% stroke reduction via early treatment[16] |
| Hyperlipidemia | Serum lipid panel | Total cholesterol >200 mg/dL | Prevents coronary events with statins[46] |
| Breast Cancer | Mammography | BI-RADS categorization | 20-40% mortality drop in ages 50-74[47] |
| Colorectal Cancer | FOBT/Colonoscopy | Positive hemoglobin or polyps | 33% mortality reduction[42] |
| Diabetes | HbA1c/Glucose test | ≥6.5% or 126 mg/dL | 34% onset delay with interventions[16] |
Emerging Technologies
Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms are increasingly integrated into screening protocols to enhance diagnostic accuracy in imaging-based tests, such as mammography for breast cancer and low-dose CT scans for lung cancer. These systems analyze vast datasets to detect subtle patterns indicative of disease, often outperforming human radiologists in sensitivity for early-stage lesions; for instance, ML models have achieved up to 94% accuracy in identifying lung nodules on CT images in validation studies.[49] However, real-world implementation requires prospective trials to confirm reductions in false positives and overdiagnosis, as retrospective data may inflate performance due to selection bias.[50] Liquid biopsies, which detect circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) or cells in blood samples, represent a non-invasive alternative to tissue biopsies for cancer screening, enabling earlier detection without procedural risks. Multi-cancer early detection (MCED) tests, such as GRAIL's Galleri and Exact Sciences' Cancerguard launched in September 2025, aim to identify signals from over 50 cancer types with reported sensitivities of 38-83% for stage I-III cancers in developmental cohorts.[51] [52] Despite these advances, as of 2025, no completed randomized controlled trials demonstrate mortality benefits from MCED screening, with systematic reviews citing insufficient evidence for routine clinical use due to risks of false positives leading to unnecessary interventions.[53] [54] Wearable biosensors and remote patient monitoring devices are emerging for continuous screening of chronic conditions, such as atrial fibrillation via ECG-enabled smartwatches or glucose fluctuations in prediabetes using non-invasive sweat analysis. FDA-authorized devices like continuous glucose monitors have shown utility in identifying at-risk individuals through longitudinal data, potentially enabling pre-symptomatic interventions.[55] Integration with AI predictive analytics further refines risk stratification, though long-term validation is needed to establish causal links to improved outcomes beyond correlation.[56] These technologies prioritize scalability for population-level screening but face challenges in data privacy and equity, as adoption disparities may exacerbate health inequalities without targeted implementation.[57]Notable Screening Programs
Infectious Disease Screening
Infectious disease screening targets asymptomatic carriers or early infections to curb transmission, enable timely treatment, and avert severe outcomes such as congenital transmission or progression to active disease. Unlike symptomatic diagnosis, screening employs serological, molecular, or radiographic tests in defined populations, with programs tailored to pathogen prevalence, test sensitivity (typically 90-99% for HIV enzyme immunoassays), and public health impact. Evidence from controlled trials and guidelines supports targeted or universal approaches for high-burden infections like HIV, tuberculosis (TB), syphilis, and hepatitis B, where early detection reduces incidence by 20-50% in modeled scenarios, though effectiveness hinges on linkage to care and adherence.[58][59] HIV screening programs exemplify broad implementation, with U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendations for one-time screening of all adolescents and adults aged 15-65 years, plus high-risk groups, based on serologic accuracy exceeding 99% and randomized trials demonstrating superior yield from nontargeted opt-out strategies over risk-based alone. A 2021 multicenter trial of 76,561 emergency department visits found nontargeted screening detected new diagnoses at 0.2% prevalence, identifying 1.5 times more cases than targeted methods, with cost-effectiveness at approximately $41,700 per quality-adjusted life-year gained when excluding transmission benefits.[60][61][62] Universal offers in antenatal and substance use settings further boost uptake, with meta-analyses of trials showing 1.5-2-fold increases in testing rates and linkage, though real-world reductions in transmission require sustained antiretroviral therapy access.[63] Tuberculosis screening prioritizes latent TB infection (LTBI) detection via interferon-gamma release assays or tuberculin skin tests in migrants from high-prevalence areas and close contacts, with European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control reviews indicating cost-effectiveness in endemic settings where LTBI prevalence exceeds 20%. Contact investigation meta-analyses report pooled active TB yield of 1-2% among household contacts, yielding 20-30% prevalence of LTBI treatable with regimens like 3-month rifapentine-isoniazid, reducing progression risk by 60-90% in trials. Community-wide active case-finding via chest X-ray or sputum in high-burden populations shows variable efficacy, with a 2024 systematic review of randomized trials finding modest prevalence reductions (10-15%) but high costs per case detected ($500-2000), limited by low yield in low-prevalence subgroups.[64][65][66] Syphilis screening, particularly universal prenatal testing at first visit, 28 weeks, and delivery, prevents congenital syphilis, where untreated maternal infection causes adverse fetal outcomes in 70-80% of cases, including stillbirth (40%) and neonatal death. CDC and WHO guidelines, supported by cohort data, show penicillin treatment post-screening averts 98% of congenital cases when diagnosed early, with rapid point-of-care tests improving outcomes in resource-limited settings by enabling same-day therapy and reducing third-trimester incidence by 50-70% in implementation studies.[67][68][69] Hepatitis B virus (HBV) screening has shifted to universal triple-panel testing (HBsAg, anti-HBs, anti-HBc) for all U.S. adults aged ≥18 years, per 2023 CDC guidance, informed by modeling that predicts prevention of 3.3 decompensated cirrhosis cases and 1.5 hepatocellular carcinomas per 100,000 screened, at net savings over lifetimes. Prenatal HBsAg screening, with antiviral prophylaxis for high viral loads (>200,000 IU/mL), cuts mother-to-child transmission from 30-50% to <5%, as evidenced by longitudinal cohorts; cost-effectiveness exceeds $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year in high-prevalence immigrant groups.[58][70][71]Cancer Screening Initiatives
Cancer screening initiatives encompass organized, population-based programs aimed at early detection of malignancies, primarily targeting breast, cervical, colorectal, and lung cancers where randomized controlled trials have demonstrated mortality reductions. These efforts, often led by national health authorities or international bodies, prioritize high-risk groups and evidence-based modalities such as mammography, cytology or HPV testing, fecal immunochemical testing (FIT), and low-dose computed tomography (LDCT). For instance, from 1975 to 2020, prevention and screening for these four cancer types averted an estimated 4.75 million deaths in the United States alone, with colorectal screening contributing to a 30-50% mortality reduction in trial settings.[72][42] The World Health Organization's Global Breast Cancer Initiative (GBCI), launched in 2021, seeks to reduce breast cancer mortality by 2.5% annually through strategies emphasizing early detection via clinical breast examination and mammography in resource-limited settings, alongside timely diagnosis and management. In Europe, national programs vary but commonly invite women aged 50-69 for biennial mammography, achieving coverage rates of 50-80% in countries like the United Kingdom and Sweden, where meta-analyses of randomized trials indicate a 20-30% reduction in breast cancer mortality for screened cohorts, though with acknowledged risks of overdiagnosis affecting up to 20% of detected cases.[73] The UK's National Health Service Breast Screening Programme, operational since 1988, has screened over 30 million women, correlating with stage shifts toward earlier detection, yet independent reviews highlight persistent debates over net benefits due to lead-time and length biases inflating survival statistics without necessarily extending life.[74] Cervical cancer screening initiatives, leveraging Pap smears or primary HPV testing, have proven highly effective in preventing progression from precancerous lesions, with programs like those recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) targeting women aged 21-65 and contributing to a 50-70% incidence decline in vaccinated and screened populations. In Europe, organized programs in 25 countries as of 2024 cover primarily ages 30-60 with three-yearly cytology or five-yearly HPV testing, reducing mortality by over 80% in adherent groups per long-term cohort data. Colorectal initiatives, such as the UK's Bowel Cancer Screening Programme using biennial FIT for ages 60-74 since 2006, have increased early-stage detections by 10-15% and lowered mortality by 15-20% in intention-to-screen analyses from European trials.[42][74] Lung cancer screening with annual LDCT for high-risk smokers aged 50-80, endorsed by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force following the 2011 National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) which showed a 20% relative mortality reduction, has been implemented in the U.S. through Medicare coverage since 2015, screening over 1 million individuals by 2023. European efforts, coordinated via networks like the International Cancer Screening Network, face implementation hurdles but report similar benefits in pilot programs, though false-positive rates exceeding 20% necessitate rigorous risk stratification to mitigate harms. Globally, the International Agency for Research on Cancer's CanScreen5 project monitors over 100 programs, revealing coverage disparities—high in high-income nations (60-90%) but low elsewhere (<20%)—and underscoring the need for context-specific adaptations to avoid unevidenced expansion, as seen in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening where large trials like ERSPC showed modest benefits outweighed by overdiagnosis in low-risk men.[75][76]Newborn and Genetic Screening
Newborn screening involves testing infants shortly after birth, typically via a heel prick blood sample collected between 24 and 48 hours of life, to detect rare but treatable genetic, metabolic, endocrine, hemoglobin, and other disorders that can cause serious health issues if untreated.[77] This public health initiative originated in the United States in 1963 with the development of a bacterial inhibition assay by Robert Guthrie for phenylketonuria (PKU), a metabolic disorder leading to intellectual disability without early dietary intervention; by 1966, all U.S. states mandated PKU screening.[78] Advancements like tandem mass spectrometry in the 1990s enabled multiplex screening for dozens of conditions simultaneously, expanding programs globally.[78] In the U.S., the Recommended Uniform Screening Panel (RUSP), maintained by the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), guides state programs and currently includes 38 core conditions for which screening is recommended due to evidence of net benefit from early detection and intervention, plus 26 secondary conditions often detected incidentally.[79] [80] Core conditions encompass metabolic disorders like PKU (incidence ~1 in 10,000-15,000 births), treatable with phenylalanine-restricted diets that prevent cognitive impairment when started neonatally, as demonstrated by longitudinal studies showing IQ preservation in screened cohorts versus historical unscreened cases with mean IQ below 50.[81] Other examples include cystic fibrosis (early antibiotic and nutritional therapy reduces mortality by up to 90% in first decade), sickle cell disease (penicillin prophylaxis cuts mortality risk by 84% before age 5), and congenital hypothyroidism (levothyroxine replacement averts developmental delays in over 95% of cases).[82] [83]| Category | Examples of Core RUSP Conditions |
|---|---|
| Metabolic | Phenylketonuria (PKU), Maple Syrup Urine Disease, Medium-Chain Acyl-CoA Dehydrogenase Deficiency (MCAD) |
| Endocrine | Congenital Adrenal Hyperplasia, Congenital Hypothyroidism |
| Hemoglobin | Sickle Cell Disease, Other Hemoglobinopathies |
| Other | Cystic Fibrosis, Severe Combined Immunodeficiency (SCID), Spinal Muscular Atrophy |
Assessing Efficacy
Statistical Measures of Performance
Sensitivity, or the true positive rate, quantifies a screening test's ability to correctly identify individuals with the target condition among those who truly have it, calculated as the number of true positives divided by the sum of true positives and false negatives: Sensitivity = TP / (TP + FN).[94] This measure is particularly critical in screening programs, where missing cases (false negatives) can delay intervention and worsen outcomes, prompting prioritization of high sensitivity to minimize such errors, even at the cost of more false positives requiring follow-up.[46] Specificity, the true negative rate, measures the proportion of individuals without the condition who correctly test negative: Specificity = TN / (TN + FP), where TN denotes true negatives and FP false positives.[94] High specificity reduces unnecessary diagnostic procedures and patient anxiety from false alarms, which is vital in population-based screening with low disease prevalence, as false positives can strain resources and lead to overtesting.[23] However, an exclusive focus on specificity risks overlooking true cases, necessitating a balance informed by the screening context. Positive predictive value (PPV) represents the probability that a positive test result indicates the presence of the condition: PPV = TP / (TP + FP).[23] Unlike sensitivity and specificity, which are intrinsic to the test, PPV varies with disease prevalence; in low-prevalence settings typical of screening, PPV declines sharply even for tests with strong sensitivity and specificity, often resulting in many false positives.[95] For instance, a test with 90% sensitivity and 95% specificity in a population with 1% prevalence yields a PPV of approximately 15%, highlighting the need for confirmatory diagnostics post-screening.[23] Negative predictive value (NPV) is the probability that a negative test result rules out the condition: NPV = TN / (TN + FN).[95] NPV rises with decreasing prevalence, making it a reassuring metric in screening for reassuring those testing negative, though it assumes accurate test execution and low false negative rates.[94] Likelihood ratios provide a prevalence-independent summary of test performance. The positive likelihood ratio (LR+) equals sensitivity / (1 - specificity) and indicates how much a positive result elevates the odds of disease; values above 10 suggest strong diagnostic utility.[96] The negative likelihood ratio (LR-) is (1 - sensitivity) / specificity, with values below 0.1 indicating reliable exclusion of disease.[96] These ratios facilitate Bayesian updating of pretest probabilities to posttest odds in clinical decision-making. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve plots sensitivity against 1 - specificity across varying thresholds, visualizing trade-offs in test performance.[97] The area under the ROC curve (AUC) quantifies overall discriminatory ability, ranging from 0.5 (no discrimination) to 1.0 (perfect); AUC values of 0.7-0.8 indicate acceptable performance for screening applications.[98] In screening evaluations, ROC analysis aids in threshold selection to optimize for high sensitivity while maintaining reasonable specificity.| Metric | Formula | Interpretation in Screening |
|---|---|---|
| Sensitivity | TP / (TP + FN) | Proportion of diseased correctly identified; prioritize high to avoid missed cases.[46] |
| Specificity | TN / (TN + FP) | Proportion of non-diseased correctly identified; high values curb false positives.[23] |
| PPV | TP / (TP + FP) | Probability disease given positive test; prevalence-dependent, often low in screening.[95] |
| NPV | TN / (TN + FN) | Probability no disease given negative test; high in low-prevalence settings.[94] |
| LR+ | Sensitivity / (1 - Specificity) | Increases odds of disease post-positive; >10 desirable.[96] |
| LR- | (1 - Sensitivity) / Specificity | Decreases odds post-negative; <0.1 desirable.[96] |
Criteria for Program Implementation
The implementation of medical screening programs requires rigorous evaluation to ensure benefits outweigh harms and costs, guided primarily by the 10 principles outlined by Wilson and Jungner in their 1968 World Health Organization report. These criteria emphasize empirical evidence of disease burden, effective interventions, and feasible detection methods, serving as a foundational framework adopted by public health authorities worldwide. Modern assessments, such as those from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), build on these by incorporating randomized controlled trial data and cost-effectiveness analyses, rejecting programs lacking demonstrated mortality reductions. Key criteria include the disease's importance as a public health problem, defined by prevalence, severity, and impact on quality-adjusted life years (QALYs); for instance, breast cancer screening via mammography has been debated due to modest 1-2% absolute mortality reductions in women aged 50-69 from trials like the Health Insurance Plan study (1963-1966), which tracked 62,000 participants. An effective, timely treatment must exist, as seen in cervical cancer screening with Pap smears leading to precursor lesion removal, reducing incidence by up to 80% in screened populations per UK data from 1988-2019. The disease must have a detectable preclinical phase where intervention alters outcomes, excluding conditions like advanced pancreatic cancer with rapid progression undetectable by current tests. Screening tests must exhibit high sensitivity (>90% ideally) and specificity (>95%) to minimize false positives, which can lead to unnecessary procedures; colorectal cancer fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) meets this with 74-92% sensitivity for advanced adenomas in meta-analyses of over 100,000 participants. Population acceptance is crucial, influenced by test invasiveness—e.g., low uptake of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening in some cohorts due to biopsy risks—and cultural factors, as evidenced by 40-60% participation rates in U.S. programs despite outreach. Costs must be balanced against benefits, with economic modeling required; the UK's NHS Breast Screening Programme costs £100 million annually for marginal gains, prompting periodic reviews. Ongoing evaluation through continuous monitoring and randomized trials is essential, as initial enthusiasm for programs like PSA screening waned after prostate cancer trials (e.g., ERSPC, 2009-2018) showed no overall mortality benefit and increased overdiagnosis by 50%. Programs should target high-risk groups via agreed policies, avoiding universal application without stratification, as in newborn screening for phenylketonuria (PKU), implemented since 1963 in the U.S. after proving 99% prevention of intellectual disability via early diet intervention in cohort studies. Failure to meet these—such as inadequate natural history understanding—has led to discontinuations, like routine ovarian cancer screening deemed ineffective by USPSTF in 2012 based on PLCO trial data showing no survival gains.Evidence of Benefits
Proven Mortality and Morbidity Reductions
Screening programs for cervical cancer, primarily using cytology-based Pap smears supplemented by human papillomavirus (HPV) testing, have achieved substantial mortality reductions in populations with organized implementation. In the United States, cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates declined by more than 50% over the four decades following widespread adoption of Pap smear screening starting in the 1970s.[99] The International Agency for Research on Cancer has determined sufficient evidence that regular cervical screening reduces mortality by 80% or more among adherent women, based on longitudinal cohort and case-control studies adjusting for participation rates.[100] Observational data from organized programs further indicate 41% to 92% mortality reductions among women who attend screening, with invitation to screening yielding 17% to 79% relative risk reductions.[101] For colorectal cancer, randomized controlled trials of guaiac-based fecal occult blood testing (gFOBT) and fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) have confirmed reductions in disease-specific mortality. Long-term follow-up from trials such as the Minnesota Colon Cancer Control Study and Nordic programs demonstrated persistent colorectal cancer mortality reductions of 15% to 33% with biennial or annual screening over 13 to 30 years, without influencing all-cause mortality.[102] Meta-analyses of flexible sigmoidoscopy trials report 20% to 30% reductions in colorectal cancer mortality, alongside incidence decreases through polyp removal, with compliance-adjusted estimates reaching 41% for specific cohorts.[103] Colonoscopy-based screening, evaluated in population-based case-control and cohort studies, is associated with 40% to 60% mortality reductions for cancers within reach of the instrument.[104] In high-risk populations, low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening for lung cancer has shown mortality benefits in randomized trials. The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), involving over 53,000 current and former heavy smokers, found a 20% relative reduction in lung cancer mortality with three annual LDCT screens compared to chest radiography.[105] Extended screening in the Multicentric Italian Lung Detection (MILD) trial reported a 39% reduction in lung cancer mortality with low-dose CT over 10 years versus no screening.[106] Newborn screening for phenylketonuria (PKU), an inborn error of metabolism, exemplifies morbidity reduction through early intervention. Prior to mandatory screening programs initiated in the 1960s, untreated PKU led to profound intellectual disability and neurological impairment in nearly all cases; post-screening dietary management has normalized cognitive outcomes and prevented severe morbidity in screened and treated infants, yielding substantial quality-adjusted life years gained.[107][108] Similar principles apply to other metabolic disorders in expanded newborn panels, where timely detection averts irreversible damage and reduces long-term healthcare burdens.[109] These examples highlight causal links between screening, early detection, and improved outcomes, though benefits accrue primarily to participants with high adherence and depend on effective follow-up treatment.Supporting Empirical Data from Trials
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated mortality reductions from screening in select cancers, particularly through early detection enabling timely intervention. The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), conducted from 2002 to 2004 with follow-up through 2009, involved 53,454 high-risk individuals aged 55-74 who smoked or had quit within 15 years; low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening yielded a 20% relative reduction in lung cancer mortality compared to chest radiography (247 vs. 309 deaths per 100,000 person-years).[105] The Dutch-Belgian NELSON trial, initiated in 2003 with over 15,000 participants, reported a 24-26% lung cancer mortality reduction with volume CT screening versus no screening after extended follow-up.[110] For colorectal cancer, guaiac-based fecal occult blood testing (gFOBT) in the Minnesota Colon Cancer Control Study (1975-1982, n=46,551 aged 50-80) achieved a 33% reduction in cumulative colorectal cancer mortality after 13 years, sustained at 30 years with biennial screening (rate ratio 0.67, 95% CI 0.56-0.80).[102] Meta-analyses of FOBT trials, including UK, Denmark, and Sweden studies, confirm 16-22% colorectal cancer mortality reductions (RR 0.78-0.84), with flexible sigmoidoscopy adding further benefit (RR 0.72 for combined approaches).[111][112] Mammography RCTs, such as the Swedish Two-County Trial (1977-1984, n≈134,000 women aged 40-74), showed a 25-31% breast cancer mortality reduction in invited women after 10-20 years' follow-up, with regular attendance yielding up to 47% lower risk.[113][114] The UK Age Trial (1994-2004, n=160,921 aged 39-41) demonstrated 25% mortality reduction from screening starting at age 40.[115]| Trial | Screening Modality | Population | Mortality Reduction | Follow-up Duration | Citation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NLST (USA) | Low-dose CT vs. radiography | High-risk smokers, n=53,454 | 20% lung cancer | Median 6.5 years | [105] |
| Minnesota CCSS | Biennial gFOBT | Ages 50-80, n=46,551 | 33% colorectal cancer | 30 years | [102] |
| Swedish Two-County | Mammography | Ages 40-74, n≈134,000 | 25-31% breast cancer | 20 years | [113] |