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| Turnout | 42.11%  [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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 Armstrong: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Mund: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in North Dakota |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 69.0% of the vote in 2020. His only opponent in the general election was Independent Cara Mund after Democratic nominee Mark Haugen withdrew.
Although Armstrong won by a large margin, his 62.2% showing was his worst since his first election in 2018, and Mund's 37.6% was the best showing for a non-Republican in a North Dakota U.S. House race since 2014.[2] Mund's vote share was at least 10% higher than every 2022 statewide Democratic–NPL candidate in North Dakota, and nearly 6% higher than incumbent president Democrat Joe Biden's vote share in the 2020 presidential election.[3] Mund also had the second-best performance of any Independent in the 2022 congressional elections, only surpassed by Evan McMullin in the Utah Senate race.
Federal officials
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) | 70,424 | 99.0 | |
| Write-in | 709 | 1.0 | ||
| Total votes | 71,133 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Mark Haugen | 21,897 | 99.7 | |
| Write-in | 57 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 21,954 | 100.0 | ||
Following the overturning of Roe v. Wade in June 2022, Haugen faced criticism among Democrats for his anti-abortion beliefs. Many within the Democratic–NPL Party preferred independent candidate Cara Mund, who is pro-choice, and urged Haugen to drop out of the race. Haugen ended his campaign in September, and the Democratic–NPL Party endorsed Mund shortly after.[9][10]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | October 11, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[16] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[17] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[18] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[19] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[20] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Armstrong (R) |
Cara Mund (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFM Research (D)[21][A] | September 19–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 40% | 2% | 14% |
| Axis Research (R)[22][B] | September 16–19, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 52% | 30% | – | 18% |
| 1982 Polling (R)[23][B] | September 10–12, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 31% | – | 13% |
| Odney (R)[24][B] | August 18–28, 2022 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 20% | 15%[b] | 16% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) | 148,399 | 62.20% | –6.76 | |
| Independent | Cara Mund | 89,644 | 37.57% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 543 | 0.23% | +0.12 | ||
| Total votes | 238,586 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Partisan clients
Official campaign websites
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