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2022 United States Senate election in Alabama
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2022 United States Senate election in Alabama

2022 United States Senate election in Alabama

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
Turnout38.50% Decrease
 
Nominee Katie Britt Will Boyd
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 942,154 436,746
Percentage 66.62% 30.88%

Britt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Boyd:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. senator before election

Richard Shelby
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Katie Britt
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama. Incumbent senator Richard Shelby was first elected in 1986 and re-elected in 1992 as a Democrat before becoming a Republican in 1994.[1] In February 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term,[2] which resulted in the first open Senate seat since 1996 and the first in this seat since 1968.[a]

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24, with Will Boyd securing the Democratic nomination. However, as none of the Republican candidates received at least 50% of the vote, a runoff election occurred on June 21 between the top two candidates of the first round: attorney Katie Britt and U.S. representative Mo Brooks. Britt won the runoff against Brooks and subsequently became the Republican nominee.[3]

Britt's victory in the Republican Party primary was seen as tantamount to election in Alabama, which is a heavily Republican state.[4][5][6] Britt won the general election and became the first woman elected to the U.S. Senate in the state's history.[b] She is also the first non-incumbent Republican Senator from Alabama to be elected to this seat since 1980.

Republican primary

[edit]

Early polling showed U.S. Representative Mo Brooks as the frontrunner in the race, and he received the endorsement of former president Donald Trump.[7] However, in November, the race started becoming increasingly closer with former chief of staff to incumbent senator Richard Shelby, Katie Britt, running neck and neck with Brooks. In March 2022, businessman and former pilot Michael Durant took the lead in the race, with Brooks only just beginning to spend money on television advertisements. On March 23, 2022, with Brooks polling in third place, Trump revoked his endorsement and promised to endorse a new candidate.[8] In his official statement, Trump slammed Brooks for wanting to move past the 2020 United States presidential election, and claimed he went "woke" on it. There was speculation that Trump withdrew his endorsement because he did not want to be associated with a losing campaign. Brooks claimed that Trump had told him to reinstate him as president and that Trump had been manipulated by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Brooks attacked Britt as allegedly being weak on illegal immigration and supporting higher taxes, while Brooks' critics frequently point to his long career in politics, having been in office for 40 years.[9][10] In May, a planned debate between the three candidates was canceled after Durant declined to attend.[11] A runoff election took place on June 21 as none of the candidates managed 50% of the vote needed to win the nomination outright, with Britt becoming the Republican nominee.

Candidates

[edit]
U.S. Representative Mo Brooks lost the runoff.

Nominee

[edit]
  • Katie Britt, former president and CEO of the Business Council of Alabama; former chief of staff to outgoing senator Richard Shelby
Businessman Michael Durant finished third in the initial primary.

Eliminated in runoff

[edit]

Eliminated in initial primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Katie Britt

U.S. Presidents

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Mayors

Individuals

Organizations

PACs

  • Alabama Conservatives Fund[60]
  • Alabama RetailPAC[61]
  • Business-Industry PAC[62]
  • VIEW PAC[63]
  • Winning For Women PAC[64]
Mo Brooks (eliminated)

U.S. Presidents

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Party officials

Judges

Individuals

Organizations

PACs

Mike Durant (eliminated)

Executive branch officials

Individuals

PACs

  • Combat Veterans for Congress PAC[102]
  • More Perfect Union[103]
  • SEAL PAC[98]
Jessica Taylor (withdrawn)

Individuals

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn O  Not yet entered race
Blanchard Britt Brooks Dunn Durant Taylor
1[105] Sep 15, 2021 Coffee County Republican Women WTVY[106] P P P A O A
2[107] Sep 28, 2021 Alabama Public Employees' Advocacy League WHNT[108] P P A P P
3[109] Feb 19, 2022 Alabama Republican Party N/A W P P W P W
4[110] Feb 28, 2022 Butler County Republican Party N/A P P A
5[111] Mar 22, 2022 Tallapoosa County Republican Party N/A P P A
6[112] Mar 24, 2022 Houston County Republican Party N/A P P A
7[113] Apr 25, 2022 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce N/A A P A

First round

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Katie
Britt
Mo
Brooks
Mike
Durant
Other
[c]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[114] May 15–21, 2022 May 24, 2022 34.7% 28.7% 25.3% 11.3% Britt +6.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Lynda
Blanchard
Katie
Britt
Mo
Brooks
Mike
Durant
Jessica
Taylor
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[115] May 18–21, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 2.9% 36% 28% 23% 4%[e] 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[116][A] May 16–19, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 25% 24% 13%
Cygnal (R)[117] May 15–16, 2022 634 (LV) ± 3.9% 31% 29% 24% 6% 10%
Emerson College[118] May 15–16, 2022 706 (LV) ± 3.6% 32% 25% 26% 3%[f] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119][A] May 9–12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 21% 31% 12%
Cygnal (R)[120] May 6–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 23% 21% 9% 16%
Moore Information Group (R)[121] May 2–5, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 27% 20% 20% 9%[g] 24%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[122][A] May 2–5, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 22% 27% 12%
Emerson College[123] March 25–27, 2022 687 (LV) ± 3.7% 23% 12% 33% 7%[h] 26%
Cygnal (R)[124] March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 16% 35% 7%[i] 14%
Wisemen Consulting (R)[125] March 15–17, 2022 – (LV) ± 3.4% 27% 23% 29% 4%[j] 17%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[126][A] March 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 18% 34% 17%
Cherry Communications (R)[127][B] February 2–6, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 29% 34% 24% 13%
Deep Root Analytics (R)[128][C] January 29–31, 2022 2,088 (LV) ± 2.1% 29% 28% 23% 20%
WPA Intelligence (R)[129][D] January 25–27, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 35% 30% 10%
January 4, 2022 Taylor withdraws from the race
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[130] December 6–9, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 26% 31% 17% 4% 22%
December 2, 2021 Blanchard withdraws from the race
TargetPoint Consulting (R)[131][C] November 3–8, 2021 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 31% 30% 12% 7% 20%
Cygnal (R)[132][E] November 3–4, 2021 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 1% 24% 22% 9% 1% 4% 39%
The Strategy Group (R)[133][F] November 1–4, 2021 784 (LV) ± 3.8% 3% 23% 28% 7% 1% 31%
Cygnal (R)[132][E] October 21–22, 2021 – (LV) 14% 26%
WPA Intelligence (R)[134][D] October 12–14, 2021 506 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 12% 55% 5% 23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[135] August 24 – September 2, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.6% 3% 11% 41% 7% 39%
Cygnal (R)[136] August 17–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 18% 41% 3% 5% 32%
WPA Intelligence (R)[137][D] April 26–27, 2021 509 (LV) ± 4.4% 13% 9% 59% 19%

Results

[edit]
Initial primary results by county
  Britt
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brooks
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[138]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Katie Britt 289,425 44.75%
Republican Mo Brooks 188,539 29.15%
Republican Michael Durant 150,817 23.32%
Republican Jake Schafer 7,371 1.14%
Republican Karla DuPriest 5,739 0.89%
Republican Lillie Boddie 4,849 0.75%
Total votes 646,740 100.0%

Runoff

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Katie
Britt
Mo
Brooks
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[139][A] June 13–16, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 58% 33% 9%
Auburn University at Montgomery[140] June 8–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 30% 20%
Emerson College[141] June 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 34% 17%
JMC Analytics (R)[142] June 6–9, 2022 630 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 39% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[143][A] June 6–9, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 36% 9%
Cygnal (R)[124] March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 28% 21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[130] December 6–9, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 39% 37% 25%
Cygnal (R)[132][E] November 3–4, 2021 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 35% 29% 36%
Cygnal (R)[132][E] October 21–22, 2021 – (LV) 26% 34% 40%
Hypothetical polling

Katie Britt vs. Mike Durant

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Katie
Britt
Mike
Durant
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[124] March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 47% 19%

Mo Brooks vs. Mike Durant

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Mo
Brooks
Mike
Durant
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[124] March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 23% 57% 20%

Results

[edit]
Runoff results by county
  Britt
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
      70–80%
      80–90%
  Brooks
  •   50–60%
Republican primary runoff results[138]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Katie Britt 253,251 63.02%
Republican Mo Brooks 148,636 36.98%
Total votes 401,887 100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Removed from ballot

[edit]
  • Victor Keith Williams, activist, former law instructor and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Virginia in 2020[148][149]

Declined

[edit]

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 Alabama Democratic U.S. Senate primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Boyd Dean Jackson
1[152] Apr 07, 2022 DeKalb County Democratic Party N/A N/A P P A
2[113] Apr 25, 2022 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce N/A N/A P A P

Endorsements

[edit]
Will Boyd

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Will
Boyd
Brandaun
Dean
Lanny
Jackson
Victor
Williams
Undecided
Emerson College[118] May 15–16, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.7% 26% 15% 11% 49%
Emerson College[123] March 25–27, 2022 359 (LV) ± 5.1% 11% 5% 7% 11% 67%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Boyd
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
Democratic primary results[138]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Will Boyd 107,588 63.72%
Democratic Brandaun Dean 32,863 19.46%
Democratic Lanny Jackson 28,402 16.82%
Total votes 168,853 100.0%

Libertarian nomination

[edit]

No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party.[155]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[159] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[160] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[161] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[162] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[163] Safe R June 21, 2022
Fox News[164] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[165] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[166] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[167] Solid R September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Katie Britt (R)

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Organizations

PACs

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Katie
Britt (R)
Will
Boyd (D)
John
Sophocleus (L)
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[179] October 27–29, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.94% 57% 28% 6% -

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in Alabama[180]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Katie Britt 942,154 66.62% +2.66%
Democratic Will Boyd 436,746 30.88% −4.99%
Libertarian John Sophocleus 32,879 2.32% N/A
Write-in 2,459 0.17% ±0.0%
Total votes 1,414,238 100.0%
Republican hold

By county

[edit]

Source[180]

Katie Britt
Republican
Will Boyd
Democratic
John Sophocleus
Libertarian
Write-in Margin Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Alabama 13,359 75.30% 3,814 21.50% 532 3.00% 35 0.20% 9,545 53.80% 17,740
Baldwin 59,501 81.29% 11,478 15.68% 2,092 2.86% 126 0.17% 48,023 65.61% 73,197
Barbour 3,861 59.01% 2,620 40.04% 60 0.92% 2 0.03% 1,241 18.97% 6,543
Bibb 4,694 79.98% 971 16.54% 188 3.20% 16 0.27% 3,723 63.43% 5,869
Blount 14,904 89.86% 1,130 6.81% 519 3.13% 33 0.20% 13,774 83.05% 16,586
Bullock 785 29.69% 1,827 69.10% 31 1.17% 1 0.04% -1,042 -39.41 2,644
Butler 3,789 64.12% 2,039 34.51% 80 1.35% 1 0.02% 1,750 29.62% 5,909
Calhoun 22,008 73.16% 7,365 24.48% 666 2.21% 42 0.14% 14,643 48.68% 30,081
Chambers 5,917 65.03% 2,997 32.94% 176 1.93% 9 0.10% 2,920 32.09% 9,099
Chambers 6,947 88.67% 761 9.71% 121 1.54% 6 0.08% 6,186 78.95% 7,835
Chilton 10,386 85.38% 1,407 11.57% 350 2.88% 21 0.17% 8,979 73.82% 12,164
Choctaw 3,198 62.05% 1,899 36.85% 56 1.09% 1 0.02% 1,299 25.20% 5,154
Clarke 5,348 59.30% 3,613 40.06% 57 0.63% 1 0.01% 1,735 19.24% 9,019
Clay 3,628 85.71% 505 11.93% 92 2.17% 8 0.19% 3,123 73.78% 4,233
Cleburne 4,212 91.49% 308 6.69% 77 1.67% 7 0.15% 3,904 84.79% 4,604
Coffee 11,411 81.52% 2,298 16.42% 249 1.78% 40 0.29% 9,113 65.10% 13,998
Colbert 12,748 73.88% 4,181 24.23% 310 1.80% 17 0.10% 8,567 49.65% 17,256
Conecuh 2,564 57.81% 1,830 41.26% 39 0.88% 2 0.05% 734 16.55% 4,435
Coosa 2,662 69.76% 1,042 27.31% 109 2.86% 3 0.08% 1,620 42.45% 3,816
Covington 9,852 87.40% 1,289 11.44% 123 1.09% 8 0.07% 8,563 75.97% 11,272
Crenshaw 3,607 79.07% 895 19.62% 58 1.27% 2 0.04% 2,712 59.45% 4,562
Cullman 23,228 88.92% 1,951 7.47% 874 3.35% 70 0.27% 21,277 81.45% 26,123
Dale 9,458 78.82% 2,326 19.38% 203 1.69% 12 0.10% 7,132 59.44% 11,999
Dallas 3,888 34.37% 7,312 64.65% 108 0.95% 3 0.03% -3,424 -30.27% 11,311
DeKalb 15,200 88.71% 1,679 9.80% 228 1.33% 27 0.16% 13,521 78.91% 17,134
Elmore 20,167 78.35% 4,866 18.91% 666 2.59% 40 0.16% 15,301 59.45% 25,739
Escambia 7,284 75.47% 2,247 23.28% 116 1.20% 5 0.05% 5,037 52.19% 9,652
Etowah 20,599 78.95% 4,925 18.88% 534 2.05% 34 0.56% 15,674 60.07% 26,092'
Fayette 4,697 85.38% 690 12.54% 109 1.98% 5 0.09% 4,007 72.84% 5,501
Franklin 6,547 88.02% 770 10.35% 116 1.56% 5 0.07% 5,777 77.67% 7,438
Geneva 7,113 89.16% 763 9.56% 100 1.25% 2 0.03% 6,350 79.59% 7,978
Greene 597 20.13% 2,337 78.79% 30 1.01% 2 0.07% -1,740 -58.66% 2,966
Hale 2,298 44.42% 2,790 53.93% 81 1.57% 4 0.08% -492 -9.51% 5,173
Henry 5,085 75.53% 1,560 23.17% 84 1.25% 3 0.04% 3,525 52.36% 6,732
Houston 21,246 76.96% 5,854 21.20% 477 1.73% 31 0.11% 15,392 55.75% 27,608
Jackson 11,617 86.88% 1,518 11.35% 214 1.60% 23 0.17% 10,099 75.52% 13,372
Jefferson 91,802 46.40% 100,792 50.95% 4,873 2.46% 365 0.18% -8,990 -4.54% 197,832
Lamar 3,869 88.41% 447 10.21% 56 1.28% 4 0.09% 3,422 78.20% 4,376
Lauderdale 19,893 76.84% 5,453 21.06% 494 1.91% 48 0.19% 14,440 55.78% 25,888
Lawrence 8,573 79.91% 1,916 17.86% 225 2.10% 14 0.13% 6,657 62.05% 10,728
Lee 26,966 66.45% 12,458 30.70% 1,107 2.73% 51 0.13% 14,508 35.75% 40,582
Limestone 23,422 74.74%' 7,037 22.45% 784 2.50% 97 0.31% 16,385 52.28% 31,340
Lowndes 1,277 31.37% 2,734 67.16% 58 1.42% 2 0.05% -1,457 -35.79% 4,071
Macon 1,153 21.47% 4,131 76.91% 85 1.58% 2 0.04% -2,978 -55.45% 5,371
Madison 70,577 58.57% 45,976 38.15% 3,602 2.99% 345 0.29% 24,601 20.42% 120,500
Marengo 3,807 52.41% 3,375 46.46% 81 1.12% 1 0.01% 432 5.95% 7,264
Marion 7,636 91.05% 591 7.05% 152 1.81% 8 0.10% 7,045 84.00% 8,387
Marshall 21,211 87.55% 2,461 10.16% 511 2.11% 44 0.18% 18,750 77.39% 24,227
Mobile 64,378 60.11% 40,266 37.60% 2,338 2.18% 118 0.11% 24,112 22.51% 107,100
Monroe 4,270 60.77% 2,678 38.12% 74 1.05% 4 0.06% 1,592 22.66% 7,026
Montgomery 22,741 39.41% 33,685 58.37% 1,188 2.06% 91 0.16% -10,944 -18.97% 57,705
Morgan 25,310 78.84% 5,879 18.31% 813 2.53% 103 0.32% 19,431 60.52% 32,105
Perry 898 28.27% 2,224 70.03% 52 1.64% 2 0.06% -1,326 -41.75% 3,176
Pickens 4,225 64.30% 2,248 34.21% 87 1.32% 11 0.17% 1,977 30.09% 6,571
Pike 5,359 65.88% 2,661 32.71% 107 1.32% 8 0.10% 2,698 33.17% 8,135
Randolph 5,471 83.18% 991 15.07% 111 1.69% 4 0.06% 4,480 68.12% 6,577
Russell 5,967 51.68% 5,398 46.76% 174 1.51% 6 0.05% 569 4.93% 11,545
Shelby 50,762 72.65% 16,276 23.29% 2,588 3.70% 248 0.35% 34,486 49.35% 69,874
St. Clair 23,049 82.55% 3,933 14.09% 885 3.17% 53 0.19% 19,116 68.47% 27,920
Sumter 1,163 30.01% 2,684 69.25% 28 0.72% 1 0.03% -1,521 -39.24% 3,876
Talladega 14,269 66.00% 6,891 31.87% 439 2.03% 21 0.10% 7,378 34.13% 21,620
Tallapoosa 10,421 76.81% 2,914 21.48% 214 1.58% 19 0.14% 7,507 55.33% 13,568
Tuscaloosa 31,879 61.75% 18,591 36.01% 1,065 2.06% 91 0.18% 13,288 25.74% 51,626
Walker 15,206 85.33% 2,083 11.69% 499 2.80% 33 0.19% 13,123 73.64% 17,821
Washington 4,557 77.53% 1,267 21.55% 54 0.92% 0 0.00% 3,290 55.97% 5,878
Wilcox 1,329 34.86% 2,446 64.17% 34 0.89% 3 0.08% -1,117 -29.30% 3,812
Winston 6,309 91.40% 403 5.84% 176 2.55% 15 0.22% 5,906 85.56% 6,903
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Britt won six of seven congressional districts.[181]

District Britt Boyd Representative
1st 69% 29% Jerry Carl
2nd 70% 28% Barry Moore
3rd 71% 26% Mike Rogers
4th 84% 14% Robert Aderholt
5th 67% 30% Mo Brooks (117th Congress)
Dale Strong (118th Congress)
6th 67% 29% Gary Palmer
7th 37% 61% Terri Sewell

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
[edit]
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