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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 1
Seats won 5 1
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 953,296 490,921
Percentage 65.14% 33.55%
Swing Increase 0.68% Decrease 1.21%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

District 1

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee James Comer Jimmy Ausbrooks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 184,157 61,701
Percentage 74.9% 25.1%

County results
Comer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent was Republican James Comer, who had represented the 1st district since 2016. Comer was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 74.9% of the vote.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
James Comer

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Jimmy Ausbrooks[6]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent) 184,157 74.9
Democratic Jimmy Ausbrooks 61,701 25.1
Total votes 245,858 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Brett Guthrie Hank Linderman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 170,487 66,769
Percentage 71.9% 28.1%

County results
Guthrie:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent was Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the 2nd district since 2009. Guthrie was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 71.9% of the vote.[17]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Brent Feher[6]
  • E. Lee Watts[6]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brett Guthrie

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 52,265 78.1
Republican Lee Watts 11,996 17.9
Republican Brent Feher 2,681 4.0
Total votes 66,942 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hank Linderman 20,174 58.2
Democratic William Compton 14,465 41.8
Total votes 34,639 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 170,487 71.9
Democratic Hank Linderman 66,769 28.1
Total votes 237,256 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Morgan McGarvey Stuart Ray
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 160,920 98,637
Percentage 62.0% 38.0%

County result
McGarvey:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. Incumbent representative John Yarmuth announced he would not be running for re-election in 2022. He was succeeded in 2022 by State Senator Morgan McGarvey, who won 62.0% of the vote in the general election.[22]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
State representative Attica Scott from Louisville
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Morgan McGarvey

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Attica Scott

Organizations

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 KY-03 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
McGarvey Scott
1[39] May 11, 2022 The Louisville Forum Joe Arnold [40] P P

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan McGarvey 52,157 63.3
Democratic Attica Scott 30,183 36.7
Total votes 82,340 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Daniel Cobble[6]
  • Mike Craven[6]
  • Justin Gregory[6]
  • Darien Moreno, tax preparer[6]
  • Rhonda Palazzo[6]
  • Gregory Puccetti[6]
Disqualified
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Stuart Ray 9,703 29.5
Republican Rhonda Palazzo 9,645 29.4
Republican Mike Craven 6,488 19.7
Republican Gregory Puccetti 2,980 9.1
Republican Daniel Cobble 1,539 4.7
Republican Justin Gregory 1,293 3.9
Republican Darien Moreno 1,212 3.7
Total votes 32,860 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid D January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid D February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid D August 22, 2022
DDHQ[13] Likely D October 18, 2022
538[14] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe D October 18, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Morgan McGarvey (D)

Statewide officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan McGarvey 160,920 62.0
Republican Stuart Ray 98,637 38.0
Daniel Cobble (write-in) 30 0.0
Total votes 259,587 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Thomas Massie Matthew Lehman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 167,541 79,977
Percentage 65.0% 31.0%

County results
Massie:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent was Republican Thomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2012. Massie was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 65.0% of the vote in the general election.[45]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Alyssa Dara McDowell[47]
  • George Washington[48]
  • Claire Wirth, real estate developer[49][21]

Endorsements

[edit]
Thomas Massie

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

Organizations

Claire Wirth

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Alyssa Dara
McDowell
George
Washington
Claire
Wirth
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[53][A] April 28 – May 1, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 66% 2% 4% 9% 19%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 50,301 75.2
Republican Claire Wirth 10,521 15.7
Republican Alyssa Dara McDowell 3,446 5.2
Republican George Washington 2,606 3.9
Total votes 66,874 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matthew Lehman

Statewide officials

Organizations

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 167,541 65.0
Democratic Matthew Lehman 79,977 31.0
Pirate Party Ethan Osborne[b] 10,111 3.9
Total votes 257,629 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Hal Rogers Conor Halbleib
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 177,712 38,549
Percentage 82.2% 17.8%

County results
Rogers:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent was Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the 5th district since 1981. He was most recently re-elected in 2022, with 82.2% of the vote.[55]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jeannette Andrews, accountant[6]
  • Brandon Monhollen, transportation manager[6]
  • Gerardo Serrano, farmer and activist[6]
  • Richard Van Dam, physician[57]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hal Rogers

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 77,050 82.6
Republican Gerardo Serrano 5,460 5.8
Republican Jeannette Andrews 4,160 4.5
Republican Brandon Monhollen 3,831 4.1
Republican Richard Van Dam 2,784 3.0
Total votes 93,285 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Conor Halbleib[6]

General election

[edit]
Conor Halblieb
Organizations
  • LegalizeKY

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 177,712 82.2
Democratic Conor Halbleib 38,549 17.8
Stephan William (write-in) 9 0.0
Total votes 216,270 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Andy Barr Geoff Young
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 154,762 83,005
Percentage 62.7% 33.6%

County results
Barr:      40–50%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent was Republican Andy Barr, who had represented the 6th district since 2013. Barr was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 62.7% of the vote in the general election.[58]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Derek Petteys, project manager and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[6]

Endorsements

[edit]
Andy Barr

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 47,660 87.8
Republican Derek Petteys 6,593 12.2
Total votes 54,253 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Christopher Preece, educator[60]

Endorsements

[edit]
Christopher Preece

Results

[edit]
County results
Map legend
  •   Young—60–70%
  •   Young—50–60%
  •   Preece—50–60%
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Geoff Young 25,722 51.7
Democratic Christopher Preece 24,007 48.3
Total votes 49,729 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[8] Solid R February 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[10] Solid R May 23, 2022
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[12] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[13] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[14] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[15] Safe R October 18, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 154,762 62.7
Democratic Geoff Young 83,005 33.6
Maurice Randall Cravens II (write-in) 8,970 3.6
Maxwell Keith Froedge (write-in) 81 0.0
Total votes 246,818 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
[edit]
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