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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Chris Van Hollen Chris Chaffee
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,316,897 682,293
Percentage 65.77% 34.07%

Van Hollen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Chaffee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee.[2]

Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen.[3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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  • Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner[5]

Endorsements

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Results

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Results by county:
  Van Hollen
  •   60–70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 535,014 80.81%
Democratic Michelle Laurence Smith 127,089 19.19%
Total votes 662,103 100.0%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Chris Chaffee, homebuilding contractor and perennial candidate[a][34][35]

Eliminated in primary

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Chris Chaffee

Organizations

Nnabu Eze

Organizations

Lorie Friend

State legislators

Reba Hawkins

Organizations

Joseph Perez

Organizations

James Tarantin

State legislators

Results

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Results by county:
  Chaffee
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Friend
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Thormann
  •   10–20%
  Tarantin
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Chaffee 50,514 20.78%
Republican Lorie Friend 35,714 14.69%
Republican John Thormann 33,290 13.69%
Republican Joseph Perez 26,359 10.84%
Republican George Davis 21,095 8.68%
Republican James Tarantin 20,514 8.44%
Republican Reba Hawkins 18,057 7.43%
Republican Jon McGreevey 14,128 5.81%
Republican Todd Puglisi 13,550 5.57%
Republican Nnabu Eze 9,917 4.08%
Total votes 243,138 100.0%

Other candidates

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Write-in

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Declared

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  • Scottie Griffin (Democratic)[34]
  • Andrew Wildman (unaffiliated)[34]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[47] Solid D July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Safe D June 15, 2022
Politico[49] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[50] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[51] Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ[52] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[53] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[54] Safe D September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Chris
Van Hollen (D)
Chris
Chaffee (R)
Other Undecided
Goucher College[62] September 8–12, 2022 748 (LV) ± 3.6% 56% 33% 2%[d] 8%
Hypothetical polling

Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Chris
Van Hollen (D)
Larry
Hogan (R)
Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[63][A] November 29 – December 1, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 49% 14%
Change Research (D)[64] September 29 – October 1, 2020 650 (V) ± 4.6% 50% 34% 16%
University of Maryland/Washington Post[65] October 9–14, 2019 819 (RV) ± 4.5% 42% 50% 3%[e] 5%

Results

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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland[66]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 1,316,897 65.77% +4.88%
Republican Chris Chaffee 682,293 34.07% −1.60%
Write-in 3,146 0.16% +0.02%
Total votes 2,002,336 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Chris Van Hollen
Democratic
Chris Chaffee
Republican
Write-in Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # %
Allegany 7,244 33.56 14,326 66.36 17 0.08 -7,082 -32.81 21,587
Anne Arundel 123,696 57.39 91,471 42.44 377 0.17 32,225 14.95 215,544
Baltimore 175,417 64.23 97,307 35.63 402 0.15 78,110 28.60 273,126
Baltimore City 129,257 90.15 13,849 9.66 280 0.19 115,408 80.49 143,386
Calvert 17,007 45.44 20,382 54.46 37 0.10 -3,375 -9.02 37,426
Caroline 3,586 33.65 7,054 66.20 16 0.15 -3,468 -32.55 10,656
Carroll 27,775 38.78 43,761 61.10 90 0.13 -15,986 -22.32 71,626
Cecil 12,132 36.86 20,725 62.97 56 0.17 -8,593 -26.11 32,913
Charles 38,270 70.12 16,207 29.70 97 0.18 22,063 40.43 54,574
Dorchester 4,947 43.12 6,511 56.75 15 0.13 -1,564 -13.63 11,473
Frederick 58,708 55.26 47,406 44.62 119 0.11 11,302 10.64 106,233
Garrett 2,608 23.16 8,647 76.78 7 0.06 -6,039 -53.62 11,262
Harford 45,273 43.90 57,713 55.96 150 0.14 -12,440 -12.06 103,136
Howard 92,205 70.90 37,617 28.92 230 0.18 54,588 41.97 130,052
Kent 4,461 52.95 3,950 46.88 14 0.17 511 6.07 8,425
Montgomery 276,482 80.59 65,956 19.23 634 0.18 210,526 61.36 343,072
Prince George's 218,726 91.04 21,127 8.79 398 0.17 197,599 82.25 240,251
Queen Anne's 8,710 38.19 14,064 61.67 31 0.14 -5,354 -23.48 22,805
Somerset 2,656 39.02 4,146 60.91 5 0.07 -1,490 -21.89 6,807
St. Mary's 15,656 41.67 21,869 58.21 43 0.11 -6,213 -16.54 37,568
Talbot 9,028 51.33 8,548 48.60 13 0.07 480 2.73 17,589
Washington 19,420 40.00 29,072 59.87 64 0.13 -9,652 -19.88 48,556
Wicomico 14,296 46.98 16,104 52.92 32 0.10 -1,808 -5.94 30,432
Worcester 9,337 39.17 14,481 60.75 19 0.08 -5,144 -21.58 23,837
Totals 1,316,897 65.77 682,293 34.07 3,146 0.16 634,604 31.69 2,002,336

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

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Van Hollen won seven of eight congressional districts.[67]

District Van Hollen Chaffee Representative
1st 42.7% 57.2% Andy Harris
2nd 60.8% 39.1% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 62.3% 37.5% John Sarbanes
4th 91% 8.9% Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
5th 67.1% 32.8% Steny Hoyer
6th 54.4% 45.5% David Trone
7th 83.4% 16.4% Kweisi Mfume
8th 81.9% 17.9% Jamie Raskin

Notes

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See also

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References

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