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2022 Texas Attorney General election
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2022 Texas Attorney General election

2022 Texas Attorney General election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout36.6% (Decrease 5.0%)
 
Nominee Ken Paxton Rochelle Mercedes Garza
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,278,986 3,497,267
Percentage 53.42% 43.66%

Paxton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Garza:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

Attorney General before election

Ken Paxton
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Ken Paxton
Republican

The 2022 Texas Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Texas. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton won re-election to his third term.[1][2][3] Paxton won 233 counties and won the popular vote by a margin of 9.7%, underperforming Governor Greg Abbott's concurrent bid for re-election by 1.1%.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in runoff

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
George P. Bush

U.S. executive branch officials

State senators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Individuals

Ken Paxton

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Eva Guzman

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

  • Texans for Lawsuit Reform[8]
Louie Gohmert

State representatives

First round

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George P.
Bush
Louie
Gohmert
Eva
Guzman
Matt
Krause
Ken
Paxton
Other Undecided
Emerson College[23] February 21–22, 2022 522 (LV) ± 4.2% 20% 12% 12% 43% 14%
UT Tyler[24] February 8–15, 2022 577 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 7% 13% 39% 16%
YouGov/UT[25] January 28 – February 7, 2022 375 (LV) ± 5.1% 21% 15% 16% 47% 1%
UT Tyler[26] January 18–25, 2022 503 (LV) ± 5.1% 19% 8% 7% 33% 33%
YouGov/UH[27] January 14–24, 2022 490 (LV) ± 3.7% 16% 13% 8% 39% 24%
November 23, 2021 Krause withdraws from the race
UT Tyler[28] November 9–16, 2021 401 (LV) ± 5.3% 32% 7% 46% 7% 8%
YouGov/UT/TT[29] October 22–31, 2021 554 (RV) ± 4.2% 16% 2% 3% 48% 3% 27%
YouGov/TXHPF[30] October 14–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 17% 6% 2% 50% 25%
UT Tyler[31] September 7–14, 2021 348 (LV) ± 6.7% 28% 5% 43% 14% 10%
UT Tyler[32] June 20–29, 2021 337 (LV) ± 6.1% 34% 4% 42% 12% 8%

Results

[edit]
Primary results map by county:
  Paxton
  •   30–40%
      40–50%
      50–60%
      60–70%
  Bush
  •   30–40%
      40–50%
      50–60%
  Gohmert
  •   30–40%
      40–50%
      50–60%
      60–70%

Gohmert performed best in Texas's 1st congressional district, where he served as a US representative at the time; Guzman performed best in urban Travis, Harris, and Dallas counties; Bush performed best in the Rio Grande Valley; and Paxton performed best in the Texas Panhandle, South Plains, and Southeast Texas.[33]

Republican primary results[34][35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ken Paxton (incumbent) 823,199 42.71%
Republican George P. Bush 439,240 22.79%
Republican Eva Guzman 337,761 17.52%
Republican Louie Gohmert 327,257 16.98%
Total votes 1,927,457 100.00%

Runoff

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Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George P.
Bush
Ken
Paxton
Undecided
UT Tyler[36] May 2–10, 2022 570 (LV) ± 4.6% 35% 41% 24%
CWS Research (R)[37][A] May 4–10, 2022 992 (LV) ± 3.1% 31% 58% 11%
CWS Research (R)[38][A] March 29 – April 2, 2022 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 30% 59% 11%
YouGov/TXHPF[39] March 18–28, 2022 438 (LV) ± 4.7% 23% 65% 12%

Results

[edit]
Primary runoff results map by county:
  Paxton
  •   50–60%
      60–70%
      70–80%
      80–90%
      90–100%
  Bush
  •   50–60%
      70–80%
      80–90%
Republican primary runoff results[40]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ken Paxton (incumbent) 633,223 67.96%
Republican George P. Bush 298,577 32.04%
Total votes 931,800 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in runoff

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joe Jaworski

Labor unions

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

Lee Merritt

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State senators

Local officials

Organizations

  • Texas Organizing Project[54] (endorsed Garza in the runoff)
Rochelle Mercedes Garza

U.S. representatives

Local officials

  • Mike Fields, former judge of the Harris County Criminal Court at Law No. 14 and former attorney general candidate[45]

Newspapers and other media

Individuals

  • Lee Merritt, civil rights attorney and former attorney general candidate[45]

Labor unions

Organizations

First round

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Fields
Rochelle
Garza
Joe
Jaworski
Lee
Merritt
S. T-Bone
Raynor
Other Undecided
Emerson College[23] February 21–22, 2022 388 (LV) ± 4.9% 5% 30% 22% 16% 5% 22%
UT Tyler[24] February 8–15, 2022 479 (LV) ± 4.9% 9% 22% 13% 9% 6% 42%
YouGov/UT[25] January 28 – February 7, 2022 332 (LV) ± 5.4% 11% 41% 24% 15% 6% 3%
UT Tyler[26] January 18–25, 2022 460 (LV) ± 5.4% 7% 11% 11% 6% 4% 61%
YouGov/UH[27] January 14–24, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.3% 6% 13% 10% 7% 6% 57%
YouGov/UT/TT[29] October 22–31, 2021 436 (RV) ± 4.7% 14% 8% 6% 72%
YouGov/TXHPF[30] October 14–27, 2021 – (LV) 20% 20% 60%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[34][35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rochelle Mercedes Garza 438,134 42.97%
Democratic Joe Jaworski 202,140 19.82%
Democratic Lee Merritt 198,108 19.43%
Democratic Mike Fields 125,373 12.30%
Democratic S. T-Bone Raynor 55,944 5.49%
Total votes 1,019,699 100.00%

Runoff

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Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Rochelle
Garza
Joe
Jaworski
Undecided
UT Tyler[36] May 2–10, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.9% 35% 20% 46%
YouGov/TXHPF[39] March 18–28, 2022 435 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 31% 23%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary runoff results[40]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rochelle Mercedes Garza 305,168 62.67%
Democratic Joe Jaworski 181,744 37.33%
Total votes 486,912 100.00%

Libertarian convention

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Declared

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General election

[edit]

On October 27, 2022, Libertarian nominee Mark Ash published an op-ed in The Amarillo Pioneer in which he blasted Ken Paxton as "the poster child for corruption and authoritarianism" and recommended that if voters were "reluctant to throw away their votes on a third-party candidate," they should vote for Democratic nominee Rochelle Garza instead. The Texas Democratic Party put out a statement claiming that Ash had endorsed Garza, but Ash clarified that he was not endorsing her, nor would he be dropping out of the race.[68]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] Leans R November 3, 2022
Elections Daily[70] Likely R November 1, 2022

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ken
Paxton (R)
Rochelle
Garza (D)
Mark
Ash (L)
Other Undecided
CWS Research (R)[71][A] November 2–5, 2022 786 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 38% 5% 12%
UT Tyler[72] October 17–24, 2022 1,330 (RV) ± 2.9% 39% 35% 5% 4%[b] 18%
973 (LV) ± 3.4% 42% 38% 4% 3%[c] 12%
Emerson College[73] October 17–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 42% 4% 8%
Siena College[74] October 16–19, 2022 649 (LV) ± 5.1% 48% 42% 2%[d] 8%
ActiVote[75] June 23 – September 21, 2022 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 45% 43% 12%
Siena College[76] September 14–18, 2022 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 42% 11%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[77] September 6–15, 2022 1,172 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 42% 3% 8%
UT Tyler[78] September 7–13, 2022 1,243 (RV) ± 2.9% 37% 30% 6% 6%[e] 20%
YouGov/UT[79] August 26 – September 6, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 33% 4% 5%[f] 21%
YouGov/UH/TSU[80] August 11–29, 2022 1,312 (LV) ± 2.7% 45% 42% 3% 10%
UT Tyler[81] August 1–7, 2022 1,384 (RV) ± 2.8% 34% 32% 8% 7% 18%
1,199 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 34% 8% 6% 16%
YouGov/UH[82] June 27 – July 7, 2022 1,169 (RV) ± 2.9% 43% 40% 5% 12%
1,006 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 41% 4% 9%
YouGov/UT[83] June 16–24, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 29% 5% 5% 24%
YouGov/TXHPF[39] March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.6% 48% 42% 3% 7%
Hypothetical polling

George P. Bush vs. Rochelle Garza

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George P.
Bush (R)
Rochelle
Garza (D)
Mark
Ash (L)
Undecided
YouGov/TXHPF[39] March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.6% 39% 39% 7% 15%

George P. Bush vs. Joe Jaworski

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George P.
Bush (R)
Joe
Jaworski (D)
Mark
Ash (L)
Undecided
YouGov/TXHPF[39] March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.6% 38% 39% 8% 15%

Ken Paxton vs. Joe Jaworski

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ken
Paxton (R)
Joe
Jaworski (D)
Mark
Ash (L)
Undecided
YouGov/TXHPF[39] March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.6% 48% 41% 3% 8%

Ken Paxton vs. Justin Nelson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ken
Paxton (R)
Justin
Nelson (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[84][B] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 41% 37% 22%

Results

[edit]
State house district results
State senate district results
2022 Texas Attorney General election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ken Paxton (incumbent) 4,278,986 53.42% +2.85%
Democratic Rochelle Garza 3,497,267 43.66% −3.35%
Libertarian Mark Ash 233,750 2.92% +0.49%
Total votes 8,010,003 100.00%
Republican hold

By congressional district

[edit]

Paxton won 25 of 38 congressional districts.[85]

District Paxton Garza Representative
1st 76% 22% Louie Gohmert (117th Congress)
Nathaniel Moran (118th Congress)
2nd 61% 36% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 57% 39% Van Taylor (117th Congress)
Keith Self (118th Congress)
4th 64% 33% Pat Fallon
5th 62% 35% Lance Gooden
6th 63% 34% Jake Ellzey
7th 35% 63% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 66% 32% Kevin Brady (117th Congress)
Morgan Luttrell (118th Congress)
9th 23% 75% Al Green
10th 60% 37% Michael McCaul
11th 72% 25% August Pfluger
12th 58% 38% Kay Granger
13th 73% 24% Ronny Jackson
14th 65% 32% Randy Weber
15th 51% 47% Vicente Gonzalez (117th Congress)
Monica De La Cruz (118th Congress)
16th 34% 63% Veronica Escobar
17th 63% 34% Pete Sessions
18th 25% 72% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 75% 23% Jodey Arrington
20th 32% 65% Joaquín Castro
21st 59% 38% Chip Roy
22nd 59% 39% Troy Nehls
23rd 53% 44% Tony Gonzales
24th 55% 41% Beth Van Duyne
25th 66% 31% Roger Williams
26th 59% 37% Michael Burgess
27th 62% 35% Michael Cloud
28th 45% 52% Henry Cuellar
29th 30% 68% Sylvia Garcia
30th 21% 76% Eddie Bernice Johnson (117th Congress)
Jasmine Crockett (118th Congress)
31st 59% 37% John Carter
32nd 33% 64% Colin Allred
33rd 25% 72% Marc Veasey
34th 41% 57% Mayra Flores (117th Congress)
Vicente Gonzalez (118th Congress)
35th 25% 72% Lloyd Doggett (117th Congress)
Greg Casar (118th Congress)
36th 67% 31% Brian Babin
37th 20% 77% Lloyd Doggett
38th 59% 38% Wesley Hunt

Notes

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See also

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References

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[edit]
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