2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
← 2020 (at-large) 2024 →
	County results; Rosendale: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
	Precinct results; Rosendale: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Buchanan: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%; Ronning: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; No votes
U.S. Representative before election; Matt Rosendale; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Matt Rosendale; Republican

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election
2024 →
	Zinke: 50−60% 60−70% 70−80% 80−90%; Tranel: 40−50% 50−60% 60−70% 70−80% 80−90% >90% ; No votes:
U.S. Representative before election; None; (New district);	Elected U.S. Representative ; Ryan Zinke; Republican

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives
Republican 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%	Democratic 50–60% 60–70%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the 2nd district that it lost in 1993.

As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a second representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election.^[1]^[2]

Overview

District

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result

	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	120,285	49.73%	112,271	46.42%	9,305	3.85%	241,861	100.00%	Republican gain
District 2	120,899	56.57%	42,905	20.08%	49,892	23.35%	213,696	100.00%	Republican hold
Total	241,184	52.94%	155,176	34.06%	59,197	12.99%	455,557	100.00%

Popular vote

Republican			52.94%
Democratic			34.06%
Independent			10.30%
Libertarian			2.70%

House seats

Republican			100.00%

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Bozeman and Butte.^[3] Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state by at-large district representative Matt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Ryan Zinke, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior and former U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district^[4]^[5]^[6]

Eliminated in primary

Mitch Heuer^[7]
Matthew Jette, teacher and perennial candidate^[7]
Albert Olszewski, former state senator, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Governor of Montana in 2020^[8]^[9]
Mary Todd, pastor^[10]

Endorsements

Ryan Zinke

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[11]

U.S. Senators

Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)^[12]
Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2013–2015)^[13]

State officials

Greg Gianforte, Governor of Montana (2021–present) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2017–2021)^[13]

Organizations

Congressional Leadership Fund^[14]

Declined to endorse

U.S. Representative

Matt Rosendale, U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2021–2025)^[15]

Results

Republican primary results^[7]^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke	35,601	41.7
	Republican	Albert Olszewski	33,927	39.7
	Republican	Mary Todd	8,915	10.4
	Republican	Matthew Jette	4,973	5.8
	Republican	Mitch Heuer	1,953	2.3
Total votes			85,369	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Monica Tranel, former Olympian and nominee for District 4 of the Montana Public Service Commission in 2020^[17]

Eliminated in primary

Cora Neumann, public health expert, founder of the Global First Ladies Alliance and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020^[18]
Tom Winter, former state representative and candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2020^[19]

Withdrew

Laurie Bishop, state representative^[20]

Declined

Kimberly Dudik, former state representative and candidate for Montana Attorney General in 2020^[8]
Shane Morigeau, state senator and nominee for Montana State Auditor in 2020^[21] (running for re-election)
Whitney Williams, businesswoman, daughter of former U.S. Representative Pat Williams, and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020^[22]

Endorsements

Monica Tranel

Statewide officials

Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana (2005–2013)^[23]

State legislators

Mike Jopek, former state representative (2004–2010)^[24]
Dan Weinberg, former state senator (2004–2008)^[24]

Organizations

League of Conservation Voters^[25]

Labor unions

Montana Federation of Public Employees^[26]

Tom Winter

U.S. Representative

Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)^[27]

Organization

Results

Democratic primary results^[7]^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Monica Tranel	37,138	64.9
	Democratic	Cora Neumann	15,396	26.9
	Democratic	Tom Winter	4,723	8.2
Total votes			57,257	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

John Lamb, farmer and business owner^[30]

General election

Debate

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district debate
No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
					Ryan Zinke	Monica Tranel	John Lamb
1	Oct. 1, 2022	KTVQ	Donna Kelly	^[31]	P	P	N

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[32]	Lean R	October 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[33]	Lean R	October 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[34]	Lean R	October 19, 2022
Politico^[35]	Likely R	April 5, 2022
RCP^[36]	Likely R	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[37]	Lean R	October 18, 2022
DDHQ^[38]	Likely R	September 29, 2022
538^[39]	Likely R	November 8, 2022
The Economist^[40]	Likely R	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Ryan Zinke (R)	Monica Tranel (D)	John Lamb (L)	Undecided
MSU Billings^[41]	October 3–14, 2022	<343 (V)^[b]	± 5.9%	34%	25%	17%	20%
Victoria Research (D)^[42]^[A]	September 14–19, 2022	400 (LV)	± 3.4%	41%	40%	8%	11%
Impact Research (D)^[43]^[B]	September 14–19, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	43%	3%	9%

Results

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election^[44]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke	123,102	49.65%
	Democratic	Monica Tranel	115,265	46.49%
	Libertarian	John Lamb	9,593	3.87%
Total votes			247,960	100.00%
	Republican win (new seat)

County results

Source^[44]

	Ryan Zinke Republican		Monica Tranel Democratic		John Lamb Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes
Beaverhead	3,004	66.36%	1,330	29.38%	193	4.26%	1,674	36.98%	4,527
Deer Lodge	1,510	37.96%	2,256	56.71%	212	5.33%	-746	-18.75%	3,978
Flathead	29,290	61.37%	16,571	34.72%	1,864	3.91%	12,719	26.65%	47,725
Gallatin	22,288	42.18%	28,747	54.40%	1,810	3.43%	-6,459	-12.22%	52,845
Glacier	1,213	39.49%	1,748	56.90%	111	3.61%	-535	-17.42%	3,072
Granite	1,149	64.48%	533	29.91%	100	5.61%	616	34.57%	1,782
Lake	7,389	55.48%	5,388	40.46%	541	4.06%	2,001	15.02%	13,318
Lincoln	6,687	71.65%	2,200	23.57%	446	4.78%	4,487	48.08%	9,333
Madison	3,290	65.39%	1,483	29.48%	258	5.13%	1,807	35.92%	5,031
Mineral	1,458	66.76%	580	26.56%	146	6.68%	878	40.20%	2,184
Missoula	18,846	33.33%	35,991	63.66%	1,703	3.01%	-17,145	-30.32%	56,540
Pondera	461	64.57%	227	31.79%	26	3.64%	234	32.77%	714
Powell	1,762	68.48%	639	24.83%	172	6.68%	1,123	43.65%	2,573
Ravalli	15,158	64.32%	7,523	31.92%	886	3.76%	7,635	32.40%	23,567
Sanders	4,549	68.67%	1,615	24.38%	460	6.94%	2,934	44.29%	6,624
Silver Bow	5,048	35.68%	8,434	59.62%	665	4.70%	-3,386	-23.93%	14,147

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena.^[3] Incumbent Matt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in the at-large district with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district.^[45]

This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the 2018 Maine Senate race.