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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon
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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 6 Oregon seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 4 1
Seats won 4 2
Seat change Steady Increase 1
Popular vote 1,012,725 851,991
Percentage 53.10% 44.68%
Swing Decrease 2.59% Increase 2.79%

     Democratic hold      Democratic gain
     Republican hold      Republican gain

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Oregon, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. Primaries for these seats were held on May 17, 2022. The elections coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

District boundaries were redrawn[1] to ensure that the districts are apportioned based on data from the 2020 United States census, which added a sixth seat to Oregon's delegation.[2] Democrats won the new sixth district, but Republicans gained Oregon's fifth district, leaving the congressional delegation with a four to two party split in favor of the Democrats. This was the first time since 1994 that Republicans won more than one House seat in Oregon.

Redistricting

[edit]

Ahead of the 2022 elections, Oregon redrew its congressional districts as part of the 2020 United States redistricting cycle. Oregon gained a sixth congressional district during this cycle.[2] On September 20, 2021, the Oregon State Senate passed new congressional maps that were favored by Democrats on a party-line vote, along with state legislative maps.[3] The congressional map contained five Democratic-leaning districts and one Republican-leaning district. Tina Kotek, the Democratic speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, had negotiated a deal with Republicans to give them equal say on redistricting matters, but she abandoned the deal after the Senate passed its maps.[4] House Democrats made changes to the proposed congressional map that made it less favorable towards Democrats, but Republicans still opposed the map. In response, House Republicans skipped a floor session, which denied House Democrats a quorum and blocked them from being able to pass their maps.[5] On September 27, the legislature's deadline to approve new maps, most House Republicans showed up to vote. The House's proposed congressional map passed the House and Senate on party-line votes, and was approved by governor Kate Brown the same day.[6]

District 1

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 1st congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Suzanne Bonamici Christopher Mann
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 210,682 99,042
Percentage 67.9% 31.9%

County results
Bonamici:      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%
Mann:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Suzanne Bonamici
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Suzanne Bonamici
Democratic

From 2012 to 2020, the 1st district was located in northwestern Oregon and included the western Portland metro area, including the Portland suburbs of Beaverton and Hillsboro, and parts of Portland west of the Willamette River. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, exchanging Yamhill County for Tillamook County and taking in more of Portland. The incumbent was Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2020.[7]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) 80,317 88.5
Democratic Scott Phillips 7,832 8.6
Democratic Christian Robertson 2,625 2.9
Total votes 90,774 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Armidia "Army" Murray, former UPS worker and candidate for this seat in 2020[9][10]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christopher Mann 19,605 68.4
Republican Armidia "Army" Murray 9,047 31.6
Total votes 28,652 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid D October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[22] Solid D October 14, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D October 5, 2021
Politico[24] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 1st congressional district election[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) 210,682 67.9
Republican Christopher Mann 99,042 31.9
Write-in 519 0.2
Total votes 310,243 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Cliff Bentz Joseph Yetter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 208,369 99,882
Percentage 67.5% 32.4%

County results
Bentz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Cliff Bentz
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Cliff Bentz
Republican

From 2012 to 2020, the 2nd district was the largest of Oregon's districts and covered roughly two-thirds of the state east of the Cascades, encompassing the central, eastern, and southern regions of the state, including Bend and Medford. The district was kept mostly the same during redistricting, but it did lose Bend to the 5th district and Hood River County to the 3rd, while taking in all of Josephine County and about half of Douglas County. The incumbent was Republican Cliff Bentz, who was elected with 59.9% of the vote in 2020.[7]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Mark Cavener, producer and nonprofit executive[31]
  • Katherine Gallant, political commentator[31]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cliff Bentz (incumbent) 67,051 75.3
Republican Mark Cavener 17,372 19.5
Republican Katherine Gallant 4,598 5.2
Total votes 89,021 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joseph Yetter III 27,814 70.4
Democratic Adam Prine 11,669 29.6
Total votes 39,483 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[22] Solid R October 14, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R October 5, 2021
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 2nd congressional district election[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cliff Bentz (incumbent) 208,369 67.5
Democratic Joseph Yetter III 99,882 32.4
Write-in 425 0.1
Total votes 308,676 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Earl Blumenauer Joanna Harbour
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 212,119 79,766
Percentage 69.9% 26.3%

County results
Blumenaur:      60–70%      70–80%
Harbour:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Earl Blumenauer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Earl Blumenauer
Democratic

From 2012 to 2020, the 3rd district encompassed the eastern Portland metro area, covering Portland and Gresham. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did take in Hood River County, and lost some of Portland to the 1st district. The incumbent was Democrat Earl Blumenauer, who was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2020.[7]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jonathan E. Polhemus[9]

Endorsements

[edit]
Earl Blumenauer

Organizations

Labor unions

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) 96,386 94.7
Democratic Jonathan E. Polhemus 5,392 5.3
Total votes 101,778 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Joanna Harbour, attorney and nominee for this district in 2020[9]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joanna Harbour 18,031 100.0
Total votes 18,031 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid D October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[22] Solid D October 14, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D October 5, 2021
Politico[24] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 3rd congressional district election[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) 212,119 69.9
Republican Joanna Harbour 79,766 26.3
Progressive David E Delk 10,982 3.6
Write-in 467 0.2
Total votes 303,334 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 4th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Val Hoyle Alek Skarlatos
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 171,372 146,055
Percentage 50.5% 43.1%

County results
Hoyle:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Skarlatos:      50–60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Peter DeFazio
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Val Hoyle
Democratic

From 2012 to 2020, the 4th district included the southern Willamette Valley and the South Coast, including Eugene, Corvallis, and Roseburg. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did gain parts of the central coast previously in the 5th district, making the district more Democratic leaning. The incumbent, Democrat Peter DeFazio, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2020,[7] decided to retire, rather than seek a 19th consecutive term in Congress.[39]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
  • Kevin Easton, political consultant and former executive director of Equity Foundation[50]
  • Joshua Welch, teacher[9][46]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Doyle Canning

State officials

Organizations

  • Progressive Democrats of America[54]
Val Hoyle
Andrew Kalloch

Organizations

John Selker

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Doyle
Canning
Val
Hoyle
Andrew
Kalloch
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[67][A] March 17–18, 2022 634 (LV) ± 3.9% 8% 24% 4% 10% 54%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Hoyle 56,153 64.0
Democratic Doyle Canning 14,245 16.2
Democratic Sami Al-Abdrabbuh 6,080 6.9
Democratic John Selker 4,738 5.4
Democratic Andrew Kalloch 4,322 4.9
Democratic G. Tommy Smith 1,278 1.5
Democratic Jake Matthews 607 0.7
Democratic Steve Laible 292 0.3
Total votes 87,715 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alek Skarlatos 58,655 100.0
Total votes 58,655 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 4th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Pacific Green Constitution Democratic Independent Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Michael Beilstein Jim Howard Val Hoyle Levi Leatherberry Alek Skarlatos
1 October 6, 2022 City Club of Springfield
City Club of Eugene
[72] P P P N P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Lean D August 5, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Tilt D November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Lean D September 29, 2022
Politico[24] Lean D October 3, 2022
RCP[25] Tossup October 7, 2022
Fox News[26] Lean D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Tossup October 16, 2022
538[28] Likely D June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Lean D November 1, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Val
Hoyle (D)
Alex
Skarlatos (R)
Undecided
Wick/RRH Elections (R)[73] October 23–26, 2022 529 (LV) ± 4% 45% 45% 10%
Moore Information Group (R)[74][B] July 25–28, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% 41% 13%
RMG Research[75] June 4–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 45% 9%

Results

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 4th congressional district election[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Hoyle[b] 171,372 50.5
Republican Alek Skarlatos 146,055 43.1
Independent Party Levi Leatherberry[c] 9,052 2.7
Constitution Jim Howard 6,075 1.8
Pacific Green Michael Beilstein[d] 6,033 1.8
Write-in 490 0.1
Total votes 339,077 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 5th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Lori Chavez-DeRemer Jamie McLeod-Skinner
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 178,813 171,514
Percentage 50.9% 48.8%

County results
Chavez-DeRemer:      60–70%
McLeod-Skinner:      50–60%      70–80%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kurt Schrader
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Republican

From 2012 to 2020, the 5th district straddled the central coast, and included Salem and the southern Portland suburbs. The new 5th district keeps the southern suburbs of Portland and reaches further into the city, but does not include any coastline, instead stretching southwards through the eastern parts of Marion and Linn counties to Bend.

The incumbent, Democrat Kurt Schrader, was re-elected with 51.9% of the vote in 2020.[7] He lost renomination to Jamie McLeod-Skinner.[76]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Incumbent Kurt Schrader from Canby
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jamie
McLeod-Skinner
Kurt
Schrader
Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[85][C] January 31 – February 4, 2022 406 (LV) ± 4.9% 34% 37% 30%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results by county:
  McLeod-Skinner
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
  •   >90%
  Schrader
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jamie McLeod-Skinner 47,148 54.9
Democratic Kurt Schrader (incumbent) 38,726 45.1
Total votes 85,874 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jimmy Crumpacker

Newspapers

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results by county:
  Chavez-DeRemer
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  No votes
Republican primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer 30,438 42.8
Republican Jimmy Crumpacker 20,631 29.0
Republican John Di Paola 11,486 16.1
Republican Laurel L. Roses 6,321 8.9
Republican Madison Oatman 1,863 2.6
Republican Write-in 429 0.6
Total votes 71,168 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debates & forum

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 5th congressional district debates & candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jamie McLeod-Skinner Lori Chavez-DeRemer
1 Sep. 27, 2022 KATU Deb Knapp KATU P P
2 Oct. 3, 2022 KTVZ Lee Anderson YouTube (Part 1)
YouTube (Part 2)
YouTube (Part 3)
P P
3[93] Oct. 17, 2022 League of Women Voters
of Clackamas County
League of Women Voters
of Portland
Linda Mather YouTube P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Tilt R (flip) November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Lean R (flip) October 26, 2022
Politico[24] Lean R (flip) October 26, 2022
RCP[25] Lean R (flip) October 30, 2022
Fox News[26] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2022
DDHQ[27] Tossup July 20, 2022
538[28] Tossup November 8, 2022
The Economist[29] Tossup November 1, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R)

Federal officials

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jamie
McLeod-Skinner (D)
Lori
Chavez-DeRemer (R)
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[113][D] September 1–8, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 38% 21%
Clout Research (R)[114][E] August 15–18, 2022 410 (V) ± 4.8% 34% 44% 22%
Public Policy Polling (D)[115][D] June 1–2, 2022 572 (V) ± 4.1% 41% 42% 17%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[113][D] September 1–8, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling (D)[115][D] June 1–2, 2022 572 (V) ± 4.1% 42% 45% 13%

Results

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 5th congressional district election[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer 178,813 50.9
Democratic Jamie McLeod-Skinner 171,514 48.8
Write-in 906 0.3
Total votes 351,233 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 6

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 6th congressional district election

2024 →
 
Nominee Andrea Salinas Mike Erickson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 147,156 139,946
Percentage 50.0% 47.5%

County results
Salinas:      50–60%      60–70%
Erickson:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant
(New district)

Elected U.S. Representative

Andrea Salinas
Democratic

The 6th district was created following the 2020 census.[2] It consists of Polk County and Yamhill County, in addition to portions of Marion County (including the state capital, Salem), Clackamas County, and Washington County.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Teresa Alonso Leon

Labor unions

Organizations

Andrea Salinas

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Teresa
Alonso Leon
Carrick
Flynn
Kathleen
Harder
Cody
Reynolds
Andrea
Salinas
Loretta
Smith
Matt
West
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[131][F] May 2–3, 2022 591 (LV) ± 4.0% ≤9% 14% ≤9% ≤9% 18% ≤9% ≤9% ≥23%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrea Salinas 26,101 37.0
Democratic Carrick Flynn 13,052 18.5
Democratic Cody Reynolds 7,951 11.3
Democratic Loretta Smith 7,064 10.0
Democratic Matt West 5,658 8.0
Democratic Kathleen Harder 5,510 7.8
Democratic Teresa Alonso Leon 4,626 6.6
Democratic Ricky Barajas 292 0.4
Democratic Greg Goodwin 217 0.3
Total votes 70,471 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ron Noble

Newspapers

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Erickson 21,675 34.9
Republican Ron Noble 10,980 17.7
Republican Amy Ryan Courser 10,176 16.4
Republican Angela Plowhead 8,271 13.3
Republican Jim Bunn 6,340 10.2
Republican David Russ 2,398 3.9
Republican Nate Sandvig 2,222 3.6
Total votes 62,062 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Tossup October 11, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Tossup October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Lean D September 29, 2022
Politico[24] Tossup October 18, 2022
RCP[25] Tossup October 16, 2022
Fox News[26] Tossup October 18, 2022
DDHQ[27] Tossup November 8, 2022
538[28] Lean D November 4, 2022
The Economist[29] Lean D October 4, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Andrea
Salinas (D)
Mike
Erickson (R)
Undecided
[f]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[139] July 28 – October 5, 2022 October 10, 2022 40.6% 44.3% 15.1% Erickson +3.7

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andrea
Salinas (D)
Mike
Erickson (R)
Other Undecided
GBAO (D)[140][G] October 3–5, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% 2%[g] 9%
Cygnal (R)[141][H] September 29–30, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.8% 39% 44% 17%
Clout Research (R)[114][E] August 14–19, 2022 409 (V) ± 4.4% 34% 43% 23%
GBAO (D)[142][G] August 10–14, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 7%
Cygnal (R)[74][I] July 26–28, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 40% 47% 13%
RMG Research[143] June 4–9, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 43% 11%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Change Research (D)[144][J] October 19, 2022 42% 41% 17%
GBAO (D)[140][G] October 3–5, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 48% 8%

Results

[edit]
2022 Oregon's 6th congressional district election[30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrea Salinas 147,156 50.0
Republican Mike Erickson 139,946 47.5
Constitution Larry McFarland 6,762 2.3
Write-in 513 0.2
Total votes 294,377 100.0
Democratic win (new seat)

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
[edit]
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