2022 United States Senate election in Alaska
Maximum round results by borough and census area Murkowski: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%Tshibaka: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
The 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Republican senator Lisa Murkowski won reelection to a fourth full term, defeating fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka and Democrat Patricia Chesbro.[ 1]
This was the first U.S. Senate election in Alaska to be held under a new election process provided for in Ballot Measure 2 . All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022, and the top four candidates advanced to the general election, where voters utilized ranked-choice voting .[ 2] [ 3]
Murkowski had been a vocal critic of Donald Trump during his presidency and opposed several of his initiatives. Murkowski was one of seven Republican senators who voted to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial in 2021, and was the only one up for re-election in 2022. On March 16, 2021, the Alaska Republican Party voted to censure Murkowski and announced that it would recruit a Republican challenger in the 2022 election cycle. Kelly Tshibaka, a former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Administration , was endorsed by Trump and the Alaska Republican Party.[ 4] [ 5] [ 6] Mitch McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee supported Murkowski.[ 7]
In addition to Murkowski and Tshibaka, Democrat Pat Chesbro and Republican Buzz Kelley also advanced to the general election. On September 13, Kelley suspended his campaign and endorsed Tshibaka but remained on the ballot.[ 8] instant runoff was triggered. Murkowski won reelection in the third and final round, winning most of the second-choice votes from Chesbro's voters.[ 9]
Advanced to general [ edit ] Withdrew after advancing to general [ edit ] Buzz Kelley, retired mechanic[ 12] (remained on ballot; endorsed Tshibaka) [ a] [ 13] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Advanced to general [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Alaskan Independence Party [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Dave Darden, perennial candidate[ 29]
Shoshana Gungurstein, businesswoman
Sid Hill, political gadfly and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 [ 29]
Jeremy Keller, television personality[ 14]
Huhnkie Lee, attorney, army veteran and Republican candidate for Alaska Senate in 2020 [ 15] Primary election results by state house district Lisa Murkowski (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
U.S. Senators
John Barrasso , U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2007–present)[ 49] Susan Collins , U.S. Senator from Maine (1997–present)[ 50] John Cornyn , U.S. Senator from Texas (2002–present)[ 51] Joni Ernst , U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present)[ 50] Angus King , U.S. Senator from Maine (2013–present) (Independent) [ 51] Joe Manchin , U.S. Senator from West Virginia (2010–2025) (Democratic) [ 52] Mitch McConnell , U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–2025, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[ 53] Rick Scott , U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)[ 54] Tim Scott , U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[ 55] Kyrsten Sinema , U.S. Senator from Arizona (2019–2025) (Democratic) [ 51] Dan Sullivan , U.S. Senator from Alaska (2015–present)[ 56] Brian Schatz , U.S. Senator from Hawaii (2012–present) (Democratic) [ 51] Jeanne Shaheen , U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2009–present) (Democratic) [ 51] John Thune , U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–2025), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)Mark Warner , U.S. Senator from Virginia (2009–present) (Democratic) [ 51] U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
Kelly Tshibaka (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Margin
RCV
Lisa
Kelly
Pat
Buzz
Undecided /
Alaska Survey Research [ 86] October 19–22, 2022
1,276 (LV)
±3.0%
1
41%
39%
16%
4%
—
2
42%
41%
17%
—[ c]
—
3
56%
44%
–[ d]
—
Alaska Survey Research [ 87] September 25–27, 2022
1,282 (LV)
±3.0%
1
41%
39%
16%
4%
—
2
42%
41%
17%
—[ c]
—
3
57%
43%
–[ d]
—
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[ 88] [ A] September 6–11, 2022
1,050 (LV)
[ e] N/A [ f] 35%
43%
13%
1%
7% U
1
38%
46%
14%
2%
7% NR
2
38%
47%
14%
–[ g]
8% NR
3
50%
50%
–[ h]
10% NR
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Margin
RCV
Pat
Dustin
ElviGray-Jackson
Al
John
Joe
Lisa
Sarah
Kelly
Other
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [ 89] July 2–5, 2022
1,201 (LV)
± 2.9%
1
17%
5%
–
35%
–
43%
–
2
20%
–
36%
45%
3
–
52%
48%
Cygnal (R)[ 90] [ B] March 14–16, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.2%
1
–
29%
–
45%
26%
–
?
49%
–
51%
–
Alaska Survey Research [ 91] October 22–27, 2021
969 (RV)
± 3.2%
1
–
22%
–
35%
20%
23%
–
2
23%
42%
–
35%
3
–
60%
40%
Alaska Survey Research [ 92] July 11–21, 2021
947 (LV)
± 3.2%
1
–
19%
–
18%
36%
–
27%
–
2
21%
–
39%
40%
3
–
55%
45%
Change Research (D)[ 93] [ C] May 22–25, 2021
1,023 (LV)
± 3.1%
BA
–
25%
4%
–
19%
–
39%
1%[ i]
12%
3[ j]
46%
–
–
54%
–
Lisa Murkowski vs. Kelly Tshibaka
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Margin
Lisa
Kelly
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [ 94] April 16–21, 2022
1,208 (LV)
± 2.9%
55%
45%
–
Preference flow
2022 United States Senate election in Alaska[ 95] [ 96]
Party
Candidate
First choice
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Votes
%
Transfer
Votes
%
Transfer
Votes
%
Transfer
Votes
%
Republican Lisa Murkowski 113,495
43.37%
+623
114,118
43.39%
+1,641
115,759
44.49%
+20,571
136,330
53.70%
Republican
Kelly Tshibaka 111,480
42.60%
+621
112,101
42.62%
+3,209
115,310
44.32%
+2,224
117,534
46.30%
Democratic
Pat Chesbro 27,145
10.37%
+1,088
28,233
10.73%
+901
29,134
11.20%
−29,134
Eliminated
Republican
Buzz Kelley (withdrew) [ a] 7,557
2.89%
+1,018
8,575
3.26%
−8,575
Eliminated
Write-in
2,028
0.77%
-2,028
Eliminated
Total votes
261,705
263,027
260,203
253,864
Blank or inactive ballots
3,770
+2,824
6,594
+6,339
12,933
Republican hold
^ a b Remained on the ballot because he withdrew after the deadline of 64 days ahead of the election.[ 13]
^ a b c Key:
^ a b Kelley eliminated.
^ a b Chesbro eliminated.
^ The margin of sampling error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 840 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.3%.
^ Standard polling question.
^ Kelley eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 29% to Tshibaka and 71% not ranked further.
^ Chesbro eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 77% to Murkowski, 8% to Tshibaka, and 15% not ranked further.
^ Would not vote with 1%
^ Excluding undecided voters
Partisan clients
^ Poll sponsored by AARP
^ This poll was sponsored by Kelly Tshibaka's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by 314 Action
^ Gomez, Henry J. "Sen. Lisa Murkowski wins re-election in Alaska, fending off Trump-backed challenge after a ranked-choice runoff ", NBC News (November 23, 2022).
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Archived from the original on March 5, 2022. Retrieved March 5, 2022 .^ Jacob Rubashkin (April 12, 2021). "Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run" . Inside Elections Archived from the original on May 13, 2022. Retrieved April 12, 2021 . ^ Matt Hickman (March 19, 2022). "Source: Gross running for Congressional seat vacated by Young's passing" . Anchorage Press Archived from the original on March 20, 2022. Retrieved March 21, 2022 . ^ "August 16, 2022 Primary Election Summary Report - OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections. September 2, 2022. Retrieved September 2, 2022 .^ "2022 Senate Race ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved January 14, 2021 .^ "Senate ratings" . Inside Elections . Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021 .^ "2022 Senate" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Archived from the original on February 1, 2021. 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October 10, 2022 – via YouTube.^ "Our Endorsed Candidates for Congress 2022" . akcenter.org . July 20, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022 .^ Samuels, Iris (August 11, 2022). "In Alaska's U.S. Senate race, Murkowski and Tshibaka look ahead to November" . Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on August 13, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022 . ^ Greenwood, Max (February 1, 2022). "Ex-President Bush backs two high-profile Republicans slammed by Trump" . The Hill . Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved February 1, 2022 . ^ "Hogan to headline fundraiser for Murkowski in DC" . The Hill . June 15, 2022. Archived from the original on August 1, 2022. Retrieved August 1, 2022 .^ "Bill Walker on Facebook" . Facebook ^ Niedzwiadek, Nick (March 7, 2021). "Sen. Barrasso backs Murkowski after Trump targets her" . Politico . Archived from the original on March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 25, 2021 . ^ a b Suzanne Downing (April 16, 2021). "Murkowski raises $380,687 in first quarter, as Tshibaka raises $214,844 in three days" . Must Read Alaska . Archived from the original on June 2, 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2021 . ^ a b c d e f "Democrats for Murkowski: Alaska Republican counts her fans across the aisle" . POLITICO . POLITICO. July 18, 2022. Archived from the original on July 24, 2022. Retrieved July 25, 2022 .^ Schnell, Mychael (February 6, 2022). "Manchin crosses party lines in officially endorsing Murkowski" . The Hill . Archived from the original on February 6, 2022. Retrieved February 6, 2022 . ^ Alex Rogers (March 30, 2021). "Republican Kelly Tshibaka launches Senate campaign against Lisa Murkowski" . CNN . Archived from the original on April 10, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2021 . ^ a b Wang, Amy B. "Defying Trump, Rick Scott backs McConnell and Murkowski, tiptoes around false claims about election fraud" . The Washington Post ISSN 0190-8286 . Archived from the original on November 8, 2021. Retrieved November 8, 2021 . ^ Olson, Tyler (August 4, 2022). "Tim Scott defends Murkowski endorsement amid blowback from the right: 'I like to win' . Fox News . ^ Ardrey, Taylor (March 28, 2021). "Alaska Sen. Dan Sullivan said he'll 'support' Sen. Lisa Murkowski's reelection" . Business Insider . Archived from the original on March 28, 2021. Retrieved March 28, 2021 . ^ Montellaro, Zach (October 11, 2022). "Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races" . Politico Archived from the original on October 11, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022 . ^ Caldwell, Leigh Ann (October 24, 2022). "Murkowski, Peltola cross party lines to endorse each other in tight Alaska races" . The Washington Post ISSN 0190-8286 . Archived from the original on October 24, 2022. Retrieved October 28, 2022 .^ a b c d Suzanne Downing (January 11, 2022). "Reps. Zack Fields, Bryce Edgmon, Dan Ortiz, and Sen. Gary Stevens endorse Murkowski" . Archived from the original on January 25, 2022. Retrieved January 25, 2022 . ^ a b c d Downing, Suzanne (February 8, 2022). "Lisa gets support from State Sen. von Imhof; Tshibaka brings in Alaska Outdoor Council endorsement for Senate" . Must Read Alaska . Archived from the original on February 8, 2022. Retrieved February 11, 2022 . ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Endorsements - Lisa Murkowski for US Senate" . lisamurkowski.com . Retrieved November 6, 2022 .^ "AFN endorses Peltola and Murkowski, citing accomplishments and commitments" . alaskabeacon.com . October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022 .^ "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle" . cresenergy.com . Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions . May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022 .^ "Endorsements" . Forward Party .^ "2022 Endorsed Candidates - Log Cabin Republicans" .^ "Notes from the trail: Palin stumps in Georgia and Murkowski endorsed by NEA-Alaska" . May 22, 2022. Archived from the original on May 22, 2022. Retrieved May 28, 2022 .^ "Endorsed Candidates" . proisraelamerica.org . Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022 .^ "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover" . The Hill Archived from the original on October 19, 2021. Retrieved October 14, 2021 .^ Hall, Joelle; Bradley, Neil (October 18, 2022). "Opinion: Murkowski is a champion for workers and our economy" . Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved December 19, 2022 . ^ Brooks, James (June 23, 2022). "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola" . Archived from the original on June 27, 2022. Retrieved June 27, 2022 . ^ Axelrod, Tal (June 18, 2021). "Trump endorses Murkowski challenger" . The Hill . Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2021 . ^ "Gov. Kristi Noem endorsing Kelly Tshibaka for Senate" . May 12, 2022. Archived from the original on May 28, 2022. Retrieved May 28, 2022 .^ "Trump rallies his Alaska faithful against Murkowski, for Tshibaka and Palin" . alaskapublic.org . July 9, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022 .^ "Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka won on Wednesday the endorsement of Edgar Blatchford, a former U.S. Senate Democrat candidate and mayor of Seward" . Twitter . Retrieved November 6, 2022 .^ Surreal ValeCity (April 5, 2021). "Former Republican Chairmen endorse Kelly Tshibaka" . www.surrealvalecity.com . Archived from the original on April 9, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021 . ^ "Notes from the trail: Walker picks up new co-chairs" . July 23, 2022. Archived from the original on July 25, 2022. Retrieved July 25, 2022 .^ Downing, Suzanne (August 6, 2021). "Donald Trump Jr. jumps in, supports Kelly Tshibaka for Senate" . Must Read Alaska . Archived from the original on August 10, 2021. 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The Hill Archived from the original on December 22, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021 . ^ Downing, Suzanne (March 9, 2022). "Oil and Gas Workers Association endorses Tshibaka" . Mustreadalaska.com . Archived from the original on March 12, 2022. Retrieved March 18, 2022 . ^ "Tshibaka endorsed by leading national pro-life women's group" . alaskawatchman.com . September 22, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇸🇬🇺🇦🏴🏳️🌈⛄️ (@IvanMoore1) on X" .^ Alaska Survey Research ^ "Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)" (PDF) .^ "Wayback Machine" (PDF) . projects.fivethirtyeight.com .^ "Cygnal (R)" . Politico ^ "Ivan Moore on Twitter" .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter" .^ "Change Research on Twitter" .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter" .^ "State of Alaska 2022 General Election RCV Detailed Report" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections . November 30, 2022. Retrieved January 9, 2023 .^ "State of Alaska 2022 GENERAL ELECTION Election Summary Report" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections . November 30, 2022. Retrieved January 8, 2023 . Official campaign websites
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