2022 United States Senate election in Washington

2022 United States Senate election in Washington
	Murray: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Smiley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50% 50% No data
U.S. senator before election; Patty Murray; Democratic	Elected U.S. senator ; Patty Murray; Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Murray had won election to a fifth term in 2016 with 59% of the vote.^[1]

Because Washington has a blanket primary system, parties did not nominate their own candidates to run in the general election. Instead, every candidate appeared on the same ballot, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two candidates in the August 2 nonpartisan blanket primary then advanced to the general election. Murray received 52.3% of the primary vote and advanced to face Republican Tiffany Smiley.^[2]

Although Washington has been a reliably blue state for over 30 years, many polls showed that Murray only had a narrow lead over Smiley, and some polls had Smiley within the margin of error. A couple of late polls had the two candidates tied; such polls caused most pundits to downgrade their forecast from "safe Democratic" to "likely Democratic", and Republicans believed that Smiley had a chance of pulling off an upset.^[3] Despite the predictions of a close race, Murray defeated Smiley and won re-election to a sixth term by a 14.5-point margin. Although this was a significantly larger margin of victory for Murray than what was expected, it was fairly consistent with Washington's partisan lean.^[4] Smiley conceded the following day. Despite her loss, she made significant gains in several counties, particularly in the Southwestern and Eastern parts of the state.^[5]

Following the election, Murray was elected president pro tempore for the 118th Congress, becoming the first woman to hold the role.^[6]

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator and Assistant Democratic Leader^[1]^[7]

Eliminated in primary

Pano Churchill, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016^[7]
Sam Cusmir^[7]
Ravin Pierre, aerospace engineer and data scientist^[7]
Mohammed Said, physician and perennial candidate^[7]
Bryan Solstin, aerospace engineer and software developer^[7]

Withdrawn before primary

David Ishii
Nicolaust Sleister
Robert Kirby

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Tiffany Smiley, nurse^[8]^[7]

Eliminated in primary

John Guenther, state employee^[7]
Bill Hirt, perennial candidate^[7]

Withdrawn before primary

Bob Hagglund, IT professional
Isaac Holyk, CEO of a software development Company

Third party and independent candidates

Eliminated in primary

Thor Amundson (independent), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018 and governor in 2020^[7]
Jon Butler (no party preference)^[7]
Henry Clay Dennison (Socialist Workers), perennial candidate^[7]
Dan Phan Doan (no party preference)^[7]
Martin D. Hash (no party preference)^[7]
Chuck Jackson (independent), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2016^[7]
Leon Lawson (Trump Republican), candidate for governor in 2020^[7]
Naz Paul (independent), real estate developer^[7]
Dave Saulibio (JFK Republican), U.S. Army veteran, candidate for Washington's 5th congressional district in 2018 and Washington's 8th congressional district in 2020^[7]

Withdrawn before primary

Mfumu Metamorphosis Mpiana
Larry Hussey

Endorsements

Patty Murray (D)

Organizations

Labor unions

Service Employees International Union Local 775^[23]
Washington AFL–CIO^[24]

Newspapers

The Seattle Times^[25]
The Stranger^[26]

Tiffany Smiley (R)

Executive Branch officials

Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)^[27]

U.S. Senators

Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present)^[28]
Rick Scott, U.S Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)^[29]

U.S. Representatives

Doc Hastings, former U.S. Representative from Washington's 4th congressional district (1995–2015)^[30]
Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative from Washington's 5th congressional district (2005–2025)^[31]
Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)^[32]

Individuals

John Stockton, former NBA player^[33]

Organizations

Maggie's List
Benton County Republican Party^[34]
King County Republican Party^[35]
Stand for America PAC^[36]
Washington State Republican Party^[37]
Winning For Women PAC^[38]

Results

Blanket primary election results^[39]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Patty Murray (incumbent)	1,002,811	52.26%
	Republican	Tiffany Smiley	646,917	33.71%
	Trump Republican	Leon Lawson	59,134	3.08%
	Republican	John Guenther	55,426	2.89%
	Democratic	Ravin Pierre	22,172	1.16%
	JFK Republican	Dave Saulibio	19,341	1.01%
	Independent	Naz Paul	18,858	0.98%
	Republican	Bill Hirt	15,276	0.80%
	Democratic	Mohammad Hassan Said	13,995	0.73%
	Socialist Workers	Henry Clay Dennison	13,901	0.72%
	Democratic	Dr Pano Churchill	11,859	0.62%
	Democratic	Bryan Solstin	9,627	0.50%
	Independent	Charlie (Chuck) Jackson	8,604	0.45%
	Independent	Jon Butler	5,413	0.28%
	Independent	Thor Amundson	5,133	0.27%
	No party preference	Martin D. Hash	4,725	0.25%
	No party preference	Dan Phan Doan	3,049	0.16%
	Democratic	Sam Cusmir	2,688	0.14%
Total votes			1,918,929	100.0%

General election

Debates

Two debates were held, the first on October 23 at Gonzaga University.^[40] The second was town hall-style forum on October 30 in the KIRO-TV studio in Seattle.^[41]

Murray's campaign declined an invitation to a scheduled debate on October 25 at Seattle University.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[42]	Likely D	October 18, 2022
Inside Elections^[43]	Likely D	July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[44]	Likely D	October 19, 2022
Politico^[45]	Lean D	November 3, 2022
RCP^[46]	Tossup	October 30, 2022
Fox News^[47]	Likely D	November 1, 2022
DDHQ^[48]	Likely D	September 12, 2022
538^[49]	Likely D	October 19, 2022
The Economist^[50]	Likely D	September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Patty Murray (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–2025), and former U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021)^[51]

Labor unions

National Education Association^[52]

Newspapers

The Seattle Times

Tiffany Smiley (R)

U.S. Senators

Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative from Tennessee's 7th congressional district (2003–2019)^[56]^[57]
Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative from Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)^[58]^[59]
Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015-present) and former U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district (2013-2015)
Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district (2011-2013)^[57]

Governors

Larry Hogan, 62nd governor of Maryland (2015–2023)^[60]
Kristi Noem, Governor of South Dakota (2019–2025), and former U.S. Representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district (2011–2019)^[61]

Organizations

Log Cabin Republicans^[62]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Patty Murray (D)	Tiffany Smiley (R)	Undecided ^[a]	Margin
Real Clear Politics^[63]	October 14–31, 2022	November 3, 2022	49.3%	46.3%	4.4%	Murray +3.0
FiveThirtyEight^[64]	May 25, 2021 – November 8, 2022	November 7, 2022	49.6%	44.9%	6.5%	Murray +4.7
270ToWin^[65]	October 21 – November 1, 2022	November 7, 2022	49.5%	44.5%	6.0%	Murray +4.3
Average			49.5%	45.2%	5.3%	Murray +4.3

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Patty Murray (D)	Tiffany Smiley (R)	Other	Undecided
Moore Information Group (R)^[66]^[A]	November 3–5, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	–	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[67]^[B]	October 31, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	46%	–	6%
The Trafalgar Group (R)^[68]	October 25–28, 2022	1,207 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	48%	–	2%
Triton Polling & Research^[69]^[C]	October 26–27, 2022	506 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	45%	–	4%
Moore Information Group (R)^[70]^[A]	October 20–22, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	–	8%
KAConsulting (R)^[71]^[D]	October 20–22, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	42%	4%^[c]	6%
co/efficient (R)^[72]	October 19–20, 2022	1,181 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	45%	–	7%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[73]^[E]	October 19–20, 2022	782 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	42%	–	6%
SurveyUSA^[74]	October 14–19, 2022	589 (LV)	± 5.0%	49%	41%	–	10%
Civiqs^[75]	October 15–18, 2022	698 (LV)	± 4.5%	55%	41%	3%^[d]	2%
Emerson College^[76]	September 29 – October 1, 2022	782 (LV)	± 3.4%	51%	42%	–	7%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[77]	September 27–28, 2022	770 (V)	± 3.5%	52%	40%	–	8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[78]^[F]	September 20–27, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	42%	5%^[e]	6%
Strategies 360^[79]	September 22–25, 2022	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	36%	–	14%
Strategies 360^[79]	September 22–25, 2022	370 (LV)	± 5.1%	52%	40%	–	8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)^[80]	September 21–24, 2022	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	47%	–	5%
Elway Research^[81]	September 12–15, 2022	403 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	37%	–	12%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[82]	September 6–7, 2022	620 (V)	± 3.0%	48%	39%	–	13%
Moore Information Group (R)^[70]^[A]	September 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	44%	–	8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)^[83]	August 30 – September 1, 2022	1,087 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	–	5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)^[84]	August 15–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	43%	–	8%
Elway Research^[85]	July 7–11, 2022	400 (RV)	± 4.5%	53%	33%	–	15%
SurveyUSA^[86]	July 6–10, 2022	596 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	33%	–	16%
The Tarrance Group (R)^[87]^[G]	June 14–19, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	43%	–	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[88]^[E]	June 1–2, 2022	1,039 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	40%	–	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[89]^[E]	February 17–18, 2022	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	41%	–	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[90]^[E]	November 10–11, 2021	909 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	37%	–	13%
SurveyUSA^[91]	October 25–28, 2021	542 (RV)	± 5.2%	49%	31%	–	20%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[92]^[E]	May 25–26, 2021	992 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	37%	–	10%

Hypothetical polling

Patty Murray vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Patty Murray (D)	Generic Republican	Undecided
Elway Research^[93]	December 26–28, 2021	400 (RV)	± 5.0%	42%	39%	19%

Patty Murray vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Patty Murray (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)^[84]	August 15–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	44%	12%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Washington^[94]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Patty Murray (incumbent)	1,741,827	57.15%	−1.86%
	Republican	Tiffany Smiley	1,299,322	42.63%	+1.64%
	Write-in		6,751	0.22%	N/A
Total votes			3,047,900	100.0%
	Democratic hold

By county

County^[95]	Patty Murray Democratic		Tiffany Smiley Republican		Write-In		Total
County^[95]	%	#	%	#	%	#	Total
Adams	23.46%	969	76.25%	3,150	0.29%	12	4,131
Asotin	35.27%	3,181	64.58%	5,824	0.14%	13	9,018
Benton	33.68%	25,513	66.15%	50,108	0.17%	128	75,749
Chelan	41.94%	14,373	57.87%	19,833	0.20%	67	34,273
Clallam	51.60%	20,784	48.17%	19,401	0.23%	94	40,279
Clark	51.09%	105,058	48.76%	100,260	0.14%	298	205,616
Columbia	27.17%	592	72.28%	1,575	0.55%	12	2,179
Cowlitz	38.80%	17,439	61.07%	27,446	0.13%	57	44,942
Douglas	32.73%	5,275	67.05%	10,806	0.22%	36	16,117
Ferry	31.04%	1,060	68.76%	2,348	0.20%	7	3,415
Franklin	31.61%	7,022	68.31%	15,174	0.08%	18	22,214
Garfield	23.85%	307	75.91%	977	0.23%	3	1,287
Grant	26.83%	7,221	73.03%	19,655	0.13%	36	26,912
Grays Harbor	46.26%	13,600	53.46%	15,718	0.28%	81	29,399
Island	55.00%	23,680	44.77%	19,275	0.24%	102	43,057
Jefferson	70.62%	14,970	29.18%	6,185	0.21%	44	21,199
King	75.05%	668,692	24.73%	220,307	0.22%	1,943	890,942
Kitsap	57.51%	70,939	42.26%	52,134	0.23%	278	123,351
Kittitas	39.99%	8,318	59.84%	12,446	0.16%	34	20,798
Klickitat	41.89%	4,798	57.96%	6,639	0.16%	18	11,455
Lewis	31.29%	11,263	68.50%	24,654	0.21%	75	35,992
Lincoln	23.12%	1,423	76.63%	4,716	0.24%	15	6,154
Mason	46.74%	13,777	52.97%	15,612	0.29%	86	29,475
Okanogan	40.01%	6,644	59.78%	9,926	0.20%	34	16,604
Pacific	48.32%	5,771	51.39%	6,137	0.29%	35	11,943
Pend Oreille	29.94%	2,032	69.82%	4,739	0.24%	16	6,787
Pierce	52.69%	175,164	47.02%	156,331	0.29%	959	332,454
San Juan	72.88%	8,254	26.97%	3,055	0.15%	17	11,326
Skagit	51.57%	29,316	48.19%	27,394	0.24%	139	56,849
Skamania	42.07%	2,620	57.80%	3,599	0.13%	8	6,227
Snohomish	57.52%	184,430	42.21%	135,339	0.27%	864	320,633
Spokane	45.46%	100,719	54.34%	120,369	0.20%	443	221,531
Stevens	26.50%	6,073	73.31%	16,803	0.19%	43	22,919
Thurston	58.04%	73,189	41.69%	52,570	0.28%	347	126,106
Wahkiakum	39.26%	1,007	60.47%	1,551	0.27%	7	2,565
Walla Walla	41.38%	10,039	58.50%	14,192	0.12%	29	24,260
Whatcom	59.32%	65,950	40.51%	45,038	0.16%	182	111,170
Whitman	49.81%	7,824	49.96%	7,848	0.22%	35	15,707
Yakima	35.86%	22,541	63.93%	40,188	0.22%	136	62,865
Total	57.15%	1,741,827	42.63%	1,299,322	0.22%	6,751	3,047,900

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Grays Harbor (largest city: Aberdeen)
Mason (largest city: Shelton)
Pacific (largest city: Raymond)
Whitman (largest city: Pullman)

By congressional district

Murray won seven of ten congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Smiley, including one that elected a Democrat.^[96]

District	Murray	Smiley	Representative
1st	62%	37%	Suzan DelBene
2nd	59%	41%	Rick Larsen
3rd	46%	54%	Jaime Herrera Beutler (117th Congress)
3rd	46%	54%	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (118th Congress)
4th	34%	66%	Dan Newhouse
5th	42%	58%	Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th	57%	43%	Derek Kilmer
7th	87%	13%	Pramila Jayapal
8th	51%	49%	Kim Schrier
9th	71%	29%	Adam Smith
10th	57%	43%	Marilyn Strickland

Notes

^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ ^a ^b ^c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ "Other/Refused" with 4%
^ "Someone else" with 3%
^ "Someone else" with 5%

Partisan clients

^ ^a ^b ^c Poll conducted for the NRSC and the Evergreen Principles PAC, which supports Smiley.
^ This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative news outlet.
^ Poll conducted for KHQ-TV.
^ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute.
^ This poll was sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund.
^ This poll was sponsored by Smiley's campaign.

References

^ ^a ^b Newsdesk, Kiro Radio (May 17, 2021). "Senator Patty Murray announces reelection campaign". My Northwest.
^ "Sen. Patty Murray, Tiffany Smiley advance in Washington Senate primary". PBS NewsHour. August 2, 2022. Retrieved September 30, 2022.
^ "Democrats scramble to avert shock Senate loss in Washington state". Politico. October 26, 2022.
^ Gutman, David (November 8, 2022). "Patty Murray defeats Tiffany Smiley in U.S. Senate race". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
^ "Tiffany Smiley concedes U.S. Senate race to Sen. Patty Murray". KOMO News. Sinclair Broadcasting Group. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
^ Shabad, Rebecca (January 3, 2023). "Sen. Patty Murray becomes first female president pro tempore". NBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r "PRIMARY 2022 Candidate List". voter.votewa.gov. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
^ "Republican Tiffany Smiley says she is running for Patty Murray's Seat in U.S Senate". The Seattle Times. April 14, 2021. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021.
^ "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World".
^ "U.S. Senate Candidates".
^ ^a ^b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senators Duckworth and Murray for Re-Election". End Citizens United. September 9, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
^ "Giffords Endorses Senator Patty Murray for the US Senate". www.giffords.org. Giffords. December 9, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
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^ Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.
^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
^ Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
^ "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
^ "Sierra Club Endorsements". March 19, 2021.
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^ "The Stranger's Endorsements for the August 2, 2022, Primary Election". The Stranger. July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 29, 2022.
^ Steinhauser, Paul (April 12, 2022). "Nikki Haley endorses Washington State's Tiffany Smiley as she works to broaden GOP's midterm Senate map". Fox News.
^ Ellenbecker, Lauren (February 12, 2022). "Pasco native Tiffany Smiley challenges Murray for seat".
^ "NRSC Chairman Rick Scott on America's Newsroom promotes Tiffany Smiley in the 2022 midterms". YouTube. January 11, 2022.
^ Newsmaker Interview (April 23, 2021). "Tiffany Smiley: Patty Murray is "Carrying the Water for the Senate Democrats, She's not Fighting for Washington Families."". Shift WA.
^ "McMorris Rodgers endorses Tiffany Smiley for U.S. Senate". YakTriNews. April 16, 2021. Archived from the original on April 16, 2021.
^ Fox News (April 28, 2022). "Stefanik gets involved in Washington Senate race against Patty Murray". Fox News.
^ "Spokane basketball legend John Stockton endorses GOP candidate Tiffany Smiley in Senate race".
^ "Benton County Republican Party Endorsements 2021". www.bcrpwa.com. June 3, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
^ "2022 KCGOP Primary Endorsed Candidates". kcgop.org. Archived from the original on August 16, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
^ "Stand for America PAC Endorsements". Retrieved April 30, 2022.
^ Lynnwood Times Staff (August 21, 2021). "WSRP endorses Tiffany Smiley for U.S. Senate". Lynnwood Times.
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^ Hobbs, Steve (August 19, 2022). "Canvass of the Returns of the Primary Held on August 2, 2022" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 22, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.
^ Brunner, Jim (September 16, 2022). "Debates in WA set for U.S. Senate, House, secretary of state races". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
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^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
^ "Remarks by Vice President Harris at Finance Event with Patty Murray". October 27, 2022.
^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved November 1, 2022.
^ "The Olympian endorses federal and state candidates". The Olympian. October 20, 2022.
^ "TNT endorses Murray, Strickland, Kilmer and Schrier in WA". The News Tribune. October 22, 2022.
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^ "Sen. Marsha Blackburn Announces Support For Tiffany Smiley For Senate". January 25, 2022.
^ ^a ^b "Big names step up support for Tiffany Smiley as polls show 'dead heat' in senate race". November 3, 2022.
^ "U.S. Senator and Decorated Veteran Tom Cotton Endorses Smiley for Senate". November 11, 2021.
^ "Hundreds attend Tiffany Smiley's New Mom in Town bus tour in Snohomish County". November 7, 2022.
^ "MD Governor Hogan Endorses Tiffany Smiley". Smiley for Washington. July 22, 2022. Archived from the original on December 4, 2022.
^ "Governor Kristi Noem Endorses Tiffany Smiley for Senate". June 27, 2022.
^ "Log Cabin Announces Third Round of 2022 Candidate Endorsements". www.logcabin.org. October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 18, 2022.
^ Real Clear Politics
^ FiveThirtyEight
^ 270ToWin
^ Moore Information Group (R)
^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ Triton Polling & Research
^ ^a ^b Moore Information Group (R)
^ KAConsulting (R)
^ co/efficient (R)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ SurveyUSA
^ Civiqs
^ Emerson College
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ OnMessage Inc. (R)
^ Strategies 360
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ Elway Research
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ ^a ^b McLaughlin & Associates (R)
^ Elway Research
^ SurveyUSA
^ The Tarrance Group (R)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ SurveyUSA
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Elway Research
^ Hobbs, Steve (December 7, 2022). "Canvass of the Returns of the General Election Held on November 8, 2022" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 22, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.
^ Hobbs, Steve (November 8, 2022). "U.S. Senator - County Results". Secretary of State of Washington. Archived from the original on May 10, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.
^ "2022Gen Results by Congressional District" (PDF). sos.wa.gov. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 29, 2022.

External links

Official campaign websites

[63] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[Key-67] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[78] "Other/Refused" with 4%

[84] "Someone else" with 3%

[89] "Someone else" with 5%

[Evp-69] Poll conducted for the NRSC and the Evergreen Principles PAC, which supports Smiley.

[AG-71] This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative news outlet.

[SP-74] Poll conducted for KHQ-TV.

[CE-77] Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.

[NPI-81] This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute.

[SOF-88] This poll was sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund.

[Smiley-99] This poll was sponsored by Smiley's campaign.

[MurrayRunning-1] Newsdesk, Kiro Radio (May 17, 2021). "Senator Patty Murray announces reelection campaign". My Northwest.

[2] "Sen. Patty Murray, Tiffany Smiley advance in Washington Senate primary". PBS NewsHour. August 2, 2022. Retrieved September 30, 2022.

[3] "Democrats scramble to avert shock Senate loss in Washington state". Politico. October 26, 2022.

[4] Gutman, David (November 8, 2022). "Patty Murray defeats Tiffany Smiley in U.S. Senate race". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 8, 2022.

[5] "Tiffany Smiley concedes U.S. Senate race to Sen. Patty Murray". KOMO News. Sinclair Broadcasting Group. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 10, 2022.

[6] Shabad, Rebecca (January 3, 2023). "Sen. Patty Murray becomes first female president pro tempore". NBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2023.

[:0-7] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r "PRIMARY 2022 Candidate List". voter.votewa.gov. Retrieved June 2, 2022.

[8] "Republican Tiffany Smiley says she is running for Patty Murray's Seat in U.S Senate". The Seattle Times. April 14, 2021. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021.

[livable1-9] "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World".

[emily1-10] "U.S. Senate Candidates".

[MurrayECULAV-11] "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senators Duckworth and Murray for Re-Election". End Citizens United. September 9, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.

[fem1-12] "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.

[giff01-13] "Giffords Endorses Senator Patty Murray for the US Senate". www.giffords.org. Giffords. December 9, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.

[jd1-14] "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.

[kc01-15] "2022 Endorsements". www.kcdems.org. Retrieved July 29, 2022.

[league01-16] Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.

[naral_pro-17] "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.

[caucus001-18] "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.

[Turrentine-19] Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.

[popcon-20] "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.

[sclub-21] "Sierra Club Endorsements". March 19, 2021.

[wopoco-22] "Federal Endorsed Candidates". Women's Political Committee.

[se775-23] "2022 Washington Election Endorsements". seiu775.org. June 30, 2022. Retrieved July 29, 2022.

[aflcio-24] "Washington unions endorse mostly Democrats, capital gains tax". www.thecentersquare.org. May 23, 2022. Retrieved May 23, 2022.

[seattletimes-25] "The Times recommends: Patty Murray for U.S. Senate". The Seattle Times. July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 16, 2022.

[26] "The Stranger's Endorsements for the August 2, 2022, Primary Election". The Stranger. July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 29, 2022.

[haley001-27] Steinhauser, Paul (April 12, 2022). "Nikki Haley endorses Washington State's Tiffany Smiley as she works to broaden GOP's midterm Senate map". Fox News.

[pasco1-28] Ellenbecker, Lauren (February 12, 2022). "Pasco native Tiffany Smiley challenges Murray for seat".

[newsroom01-29] "NRSC Chairman Rick Scott on America's Newsroom promotes Tiffany Smiley in the 2022 midterms". YouTube. January 11, 2022.

[shift1-30] Newsmaker Interview (April 23, 2021). "Tiffany Smiley: Patty Murray is "Carrying the Water for the Senate Democrats, She's not Fighting for Washington Families."". Shift WA.

[mcmr01-31] "McMorris Rodgers endorses Tiffany Smiley for U.S. Senate". YakTriNews. April 16, 2021. Archived from the original on April 16, 2021.

[fox_stef-32] Fox News (April 28, 2022). "Stefanik gets involved in Washington Senate race against Patty Murray". Fox News.

[stock_spokes-33] "Spokane basketball legend John Stockton endorses GOP candidate Tiffany Smiley in Senate race".

[rep_benton-34] "Benton County Republican Party Endorsements 2021". www.bcrpwa.com. June 3, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2022.

[35] "2022 KCGOP Primary Endorsed Candidates". kcgop.org. Archived from the original on August 16, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022.

[stand_pac-36] "Stand for America PAC Endorsements". Retrieved April 30, 2022.

[wsend-37] Lynnwood Times Staff (August 21, 2021). "WSRP endorses Tiffany Smiley for U.S. Senate". Lynnwood Times.

[winforw-38] "Winning For Women PAC Announces Endorsements in Senate, House Races". February 14, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022.

[39] Hobbs, Steve (August 19, 2022). "Canvass of the Returns of the Primary Held on August 2, 2022" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 22, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.

[40] Brunner, Jim (September 16, 2022). "Debates in WA set for U.S. Senate, House, secretary of state races". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 28, 2022.

[41] Gutman, David (October 14, 2022). "2nd Patty Murray, Tiffany Smiley event announced in WA Senate race". The Seattle Times. Archived from the original on October 24, 2022. Retrieved October 28, 2022.

[Cook_PR-42] "2022 Senate Race ratings". Retrieved October 18, 2022.

[Inside_Elections-43] "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-44] "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.

[Politico-45] "Washington Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.

[RCP-46] "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.

[Fox_News-47] "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. August 22, 2022. Retrieved August 22, 2022.

[DDHQ-48] "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.

[FiveThirtyEight-49] "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

[The_Economist-50] "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.

[51] "Remarks by Vice President Harris at Finance Event with Patty Murray". October 27, 2022.

[52] "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved November 1, 2022.

[53] "The Olympian endorses federal and state candidates". The Olympian. October 20, 2022.

[54] "TNT endorses Murray, Strickland, Kilmer and Schrier in WA". The News Tribune. October 22, 2022.

[55] "Murray or Smiley? Here's our choice in this contentious, WA race for U.S. Senate". Tri-City Herald. Archived from the original on November 4, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2023.

[smiley_for-56] "Sen. Marsha Blackburn Announces Support For Tiffany Smiley For Senate". January 25, 2022.

[mynw01-57] "Big names step up support for Tiffany Smiley as polls show 'dead heat' in senate race". November 3, 2022.

[cottonend-58] "U.S. Senator and Decorated Veteran Tom Cotton Endorses Smiley for Senate". November 11, 2021.

[59] "Hundreds attend Tiffany Smiley's New Mom in Town bus tour in Snohomish County". November 7, 2022.

[60] "MD Governor Hogan Endorses Tiffany Smiley". Smiley for Washington. July 22, 2022. Archived from the original on December 4, 2022.

[noem001-61] "Governor Kristi Noem Endorses Tiffany Smiley for Senate". June 27, 2022.

[62] "Log Cabin Announces Third Round of 2022 Candidate Endorsements". www.logcabin.org. October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 18, 2022.

[64] Real Clear Politics

[65] FiveThirtyEight

[66] 270ToWin

[68] Moore Information Group (R)

[70] InsiderAdvantage (R)

[72] The Trafalgar Group (R)

[73] Triton Polling & Research

[Moore_Information_Group_R-75] Moore Information Group (R)

[76] KAConsulting (R)

[79] /efficient (R)

[80] Public Policy Polling (D)

[82] SurveyUSA

[83] Civiqs

[85] Emerson College

[86] Public Policy Polling (D)

[87] OnMessage Inc. (R)

[90] Strategies 360

[91] The Trafalgar Group (R)

[92] Elway Research

[93] Public Policy Polling (D)

[94] The Trafalgar Group (R)

[McLaughlin_&_Associates_R-95] McLaughlin & Associates (R)

[96] Elway Research

[97] SurveyUSA

[98] The Tarrance Group (R)

[100] Public Policy Polling (D)

[101] Public Policy Polling (D)

[102] Public Policy Polling (D)

[103] SurveyUSA

[104] Public Policy Polling (D)

[105] Elway Research

[106] Hobbs, Steve (December 7, 2022). "Canvass of the Returns of the General Election Held on November 8, 2022" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 22, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.

[107] Hobbs, Steve (November 8, 2022). "U.S. Senator - County Results". Secretary of State of Washington. Archived from the original on May 10, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.

[108] "2022Gen Results by Congressional District" (PDF). sos.wa.gov. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 29, 2022.

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