2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election
2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election
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2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election

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2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election

← 2015 28 October 2020 (2020-10-28) – 7 November 2020 (2020-11-07) 2025 →

All 243 seats in the Bihar Legislative Assembly
122 seats needed for a majority
Registered71,822,450[1]
Turnout57.29%[2] (Increase 0.38%)
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Tejaswi Yadav 2023.jpg
Sanjay Jaiswal Member of Parliament (cropped).jpg
The Chief Minister of Bihar, Shri Nitish Kumar meeting with the Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission, Shri Montek Singh Ahluwalia to finalize Annual Plan 2007-08 of the State, in New Delhi on February 14, 2007 (Nitish Kumar) (cropped).jpg
Leader Tejashwi Yadav Sanjay Jaiswal Nitish Kumar
Party RJD BJP JD(U)
Alliance MGB NDA NDA
Leader since 2017 2019 2005
Leader's seat Raghopur
(Won)
Did Not Contest MLC(didn't contested)
Last election 80 53 71
Seats won 75 74 43
Seat change Decrease 5 Increase 21 Decrease 28
Popular vote 97,38,855 82,02,067 64,85,179
Percentage 23.11% 19.46% 15.39%
Swing Increase 4.79% Decrease 4.96% Decrease 1.44%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
INC
CPI(ML)L
AIMIM
Leader Madan Mohan Jha Dipankar Bhattacharya Akhtarul Iman
Party INC CPI(ML)L AIMIM
Alliance MGB MGB GDSF
Leader since 2019 1996 2015
Leader's seat Did not contest Did Not Contest Amour
(Won)
Last election 27 3 0
Seats won 19 12 5
Seat change Decrease 8 Increase 9 Increase 5
Popular vote 39,95,319 13,33,682 5,25,679
Percentage 9.48% 3.16% 1.66%
Swing Increase 2.82% Increase 1.66% Increase 1.53%



Chief Minister before election

Nitish Kumar
JD(U) NDA

Elected Chief Minister

Nitish Kumar
JD(U) NDA

The Bihar Legislative Assembly election was held in three phases through October–November to elect members to the Seventeenth Bihar Legislative Assembly. The term of the previous Sixteenth Legislative Assembly of Bihar ended on 29 November 2020.

The election was held in three phases for a total of 243 seats:- the first for 71 seats on 28 October 2020, the second for 94 seats on 3 November 2020, and the third for the remaining 78 seats on 7 November 2020. The counting of votes began on 10 November 2020 and the incumbent National Democratic Alliance emerged as the winner with 125 elected MLAs, whereas the principal opposition coalition of Mahagathbandhan won 110 seats.[3] Other minor coalitions and parties won 7 seats while only 1 newly elected MLA was an independent.[4]

After the elections, the incumbent Chief Minister Nitish Kumar was elected as the leader of the National Democratic Alliance in Bihar and was sworn in again as Chief Minister, whereas two new deputy Chief Ministers, Tarkishore Prasad and Renu Devi were inducted to the new ministry.[5] On the other side, Tejashwi Yadav was elected Leader of the Opposition, and also leader of the Mahagathbandhan alliance. Later Vijay Kumar Sinha was elected the new Speaker of the Bihar Legislative Assembly.[6]

Background

[edit]

Outlined in Article 168 of the Constitution of India, the Bihar Legislative Assembly is the lower house of the bicameral legislature of Bihar and not a permanent body and subject to dissolution.[7] The tenure of the Legislative Assembly is five years from the date appointed for its first sitting unless dissolved sooner. Members of the Legislative Assembly are directly elected by the people. The Tenure of current Bihar Legislative Assembly is scheduled to end on 29 November 2020.[8]

In the previous election, an alliance of three Major Parties consisting of Janata Dal (United), Rashtriya Janata Dal and Indian National Congress named as Mahagathbandhan won against its primary opposition, the Bharatiya Janata Party led National Democratic Alliance. However, in 2017, the Janata Dal (United) Chief Minister Nitish Kumar left the Mahagathbandhan and joined the National Democratic Alliance.[9] While Nitish Kumar remained the Chief Minister, Sushil Kumar Modi of the Bharatiya Janata Party replaced Tejashwi Yadav as the Deputy Chief Minister.

Issues

[edit]

The main issue was that of the jobs and the economy. Bihar, for a long time, has been an economically backward state and sends large numbers of migrant laborers to cities across the country. Due to the coronavirus pandemic lockdown, thousands of migrant laborers were forced to return to their home states due to lack of work, and Bihar was one of the most affected by the ensuing humanitarian crisis. Many of these workers blamed the current government for not having jobs for them in the first place, and not providing jobs when the lockdown started. There was also a significant anti-incumbency wave against Nitish, who had been CM for 15 years.[10]

The three agriculture bills passed by the Indian Parliament amid nationwide protests was expected to play a key role in the elections.[11]

Issues such as the lack of employment, alleged politicisation of flood relief in the aftermath of the 2019 Bihar floods and alleged inability of the state government to handle the COVID-19 pandemic were expected to be made an election issue by the opposition parties.[12][13] The limited digital connectivity in Bihar and the migrant crisis were among the issues which may have had an impact on campaigning and poll outcomes.[13][14]

The death of the former Lok Janshakti Party president and union cabinet minister, Ram Vilas Paswan on 8 October 2020 was also speculated to have an effect on the prospects of the competing parties.[15] It was reported that the BJP accorded special focus on the politically significant Mithila region which comprises 22 of the 38 districts of the state including Darbhanga, Madhubani, Supaul, Araria, Purnia, Katihar and Samastipur.[16]

Schedule

[edit]

On 25 September, Election Commission of India announced the dates for Bihar Assembly elections.[17]

Poll event Phase
I II III
Constituencies 71 94 78
Map of constituencies and their phases
Date of Issue of Notification 1 October 2020 9 October 2020 13 October 2020
Last Date for filling nomination 8 October 2020 16 October 2020 20 October 2020
Scrutiny of nomination 9 October 2020 17 October 2020 21 October 2020
Last date for withdrawal of nomination 12 October 2020 19 October 2020 23 October 2020
Date of poll 28 October 2020 3 November 2020 7 November 2020
Date of Counting of Votes 10 November 2020
Source: Election Commission of India

Parties and alliances

[edit]

National Democratic Alliance

[edit]
2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly Election NDA Seat Sharing Map
No. Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
1. Janata Dal (United) Nitish Kumar 115[18]
2. Bharatiya Janata Party
Sanjay Jaiswal Member of Parliament (cropped).jpg
Sanjay Jaiswal[19] 110[20]
3. Vikassheel Insaan Party Mukesh Sahani 11[20]
4. Hindustani Awam Morcha Jitan Ram Manjhi 7
Parties part of the National Democratic alliance at the center but not in state
5. Lok Janshakti Party[21][22] Chirag Paswan 134

The National Democratic Alliance in Bihar is the ruling political group headed by the chief minister Nitish Kumar and comprising primarily the Janata Dal (United) and the Bharatiya Janata Party in the legislative assembly.[23]

In the previous election, the alliance was led by the Bharatiya Janata Party alongside three smaller allies namely the Lok Janshakti Party, the Rashtriya Lok Samta Party and the Hindustani Awam Morcha, while the Janata Dal (United) had contested as part of the current opposition Mahagathbandan.[24][25] In 2017, the Janata Dal (United) switched alliance which caused the Mahagathbandan government to fall and the National Democratic Alliance came to power.[26] In 2018, two of the partners, the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party and the Hindustani Awam Morcha left the alliance.[27][28]

During the campaigning phase in August 2020, the alliance was re-joined by the Hindustani Awam Morcha which held one seat in the legislature.[29] Later, the alliance was also joined in by the Vikassheel Insaan Party in October 2020.[30] The campaign however faced problems with persistent attacks on the Janata Dal (United) by the Lok Janshakti Party.[31][32] Chirag Paswan, the leader of the party in the state was called to Delhi to negotiate with the national leadership of the Bharatiya Janata Party, in the end the Lok Janshakti Party quit the alliance stating that they would contest all seats against the Janata Dal (United) but not against the Bharatiya Janata Party.[33][34] Following the development, several notable leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party including the state vice president and 2 sitting legislators joined the Lok Janshakti Party to contest against Janata Dal (United) candidates.[35][36] Later during the campaigning period in October 2020, the Bharatiya Janata Party officially cut ties with the Lok Janshakti Party stating that the National Democratic Alliances in Bihar consisted of the four parties.[37][38][39]

According to political analysts the Lok Janshakti Party was unlikely to make any electoral gains but would act as spoilers for the Janata Dal (United) candidates,[40] the development was suggested to have been orchestrated by the Bharatiya Janata Party to gain leverage over the Janata Dal (United) by reducing its final tally.[45] The Bharatiya Janata Party at the time re-asserted that Nitish Kumar would remain the chief ministerial face of the alliance.[46][47]

Both the Lok Janshakti Party and the Janata Dal (United) are expected to hold sway among certain sections of Scheduled caste voters while the Bharatiya Janta Party are expected to draws its support base from Forward caste voters.[48][49]

The Janata Dal (United) though relied upon its core voters by giving importance to its Luv-Kush equation in ticket distribution, also gave good representation to the forward castes and EBCs. For 115 seats which it contested 17 forward caste were given party tickets while the Koeri and Kurmi candidates got 17 and 7 seats respectively. The EBCs on the other hand contested on 21 seats out of 115.[50]

Mahagathbandhan

[edit]
2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly Election Mahagathbandhan Seat Sharing Map
No. Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
1. Rashtriya Janata Dal Tejashwi Yadav 144[51]
2. Indian National Congress Madan Mohan Jha 70
3. Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Dipankar Bhattacharya 19
4. Communist Party of India Ram Naresh Pandey[52] 6
5. Communist Party of India (Marxist) Awadhesh Kumar 4

The Mahagathbandhan is the main opposition political coalition comprising primarily the United Progressive Alliance members Rashtriya Janata Dal and Indian National Congress along with left–wing parties such as CPI and CPI (M).[53][54]

In the previous election, the Mahagathbandhan formed and initially comprised the Rashtriya Janata Dal, the Janata Dal (United) and the Indian National Congress.[24] It was able to form government following the election but the government fell when the Janata Dal (United) switched sides and joined the National Democratic Alliance.[26] In the opposition, the alliance was joined in by smaller parties like the Rashtriya Lok Samta Party, the Hindustan Awami Morcha and the Vikassheel Insaan Party.[55][28][56] The three parties however opted out of the alliance between August–October 2020.[57][58][59] In September 2020, the Samajwadi Party which had contested in previous elections in Bihar without success, declared that they would not contest this time and instead support the Rashtriya Janata Dal.[60]

In the meantime, the alliance after negotiations were joined in by the left–wing parties in Bihar; namely the Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation, the Communist Party of India and the Communist Party of India (Marxist).[61][62] The new arrangement was described as an experiment beyond the caste based politics in Bihar with a caste plus class strategy.[63] The communist parties in Bihar had historically held a large presence in the state that was reduced following the Mandal Commission, the Liberation group had retained some of its former base and had emerged as the largest non-alliance party in the previous election.[64]

The seat sharing agreement was finalised on 3 October 2020 with the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha included in the alliance.[65] On 7 October, the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha opted out of the alliance in Bihar over disagreements on seat sharing while maintaining that they will continue to uphold their alliance in the state of Jharkhand.[66]

Grand Democratic Secular Front

[edit]

In the wake of the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election, Upendra Kushwaha pulled the party out of the Rashtriya Janata Dal led Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance).[67] The party entered into an alliance with the Uttar Pradesh based Bahujan Samaj Party and the minor Janvadi Party (Socialist);[68] The UDSA consisted of the Samajwadi Janata Dal Democratic led by the veteran socialist Devendra Prasad Yadav and the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen.[69] On 8 October 2020, the UDSA and the three party front including the Bahujan Samaj Party were merged into a single coalition called the Grand Democratic Secular Front (GDSF), the alliance additionally included the Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party.[70][71] Among the constituent parties, only the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen had representation in the assembly through a single legislator.[71]

No. Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
1. Rashtriya Lok Samta Party Upendra Kushwaha 104[72]
2. Bahujan Samaj Party Ramji Gautam 80
3. Samajwadi Janata Dal Democratic Devendra Prasad Yadav 25
4. All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen Akhtarul Iman 19
5. Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party Om Prakash Rajbhar 5
6. Janvadi Party (Socialist) Dr. Sanjay Singh Chauhan 5

Others

[edit]

There were a number of other smaller parties and coalitions contesting the election,[73] the prospects and impact of these formations have been noted to be marginal.[73][74] As of January 2020, there were 120 unrecognised registered parties in Bihar.[74][75]

On 2 October 2020, there were reportedly four other noteworthy alliances that had emerged; Progressive Democratic Alliance (PDA), United Democratic Alliance (UDA). PDA consisted of Pappu Yadav's Jan Adhikar Party, Chandrashekhar Azad's Azad Samaj Party, Social Democratic Party of India and Bahujan Mukti Party.[76] The UDA consisted of a front of 20 parties collectively led by the former Bharatiya Janata Party cabinet minister Yashwant Sinha and other transiently popular mass leaders.[73] The newly formed The Plurals Party (TPP, दप्पा) also contested the election in 2020 on all 243 seats.[77]

In the meantime, the UDA which was the front led by Yashwant Sinha had reportedly fallen apart as various members of the constituent parties had defected to join the mainstream regional and national parties.[70] Other notable parties that contested independent of an alliance, are the Lok Janshakti Party on 134 seats, the Loktantrik Janata Dal on 51 seats, the Shiv Sena on 30–40 seats and the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha on 7 seats.[33][78][79][66]

Candidates

[edit]
Assembly Constituency NDA MGB LJP
# Name Party Candidate Party Candidate Party Candidate
West Champaran District
1 Valmiki Nagar JD(U) Dhirendra Pratap Singh INC Rajesh Singh LJP Mahendra Kumar Bharti
2 Ramnagar (SC) BJP Bhagirathi Devi INC Rajesh Ram
3 Narkatiaganj BJP Rashmi Verma INC Vinay Verma LJP Naushad Alam
4 Bagaha BJP Ram Singh INC Jayesh Mangal Singh
5 Lauriya BJP Vinay Bihari RJD Shambhu Tiwari
6 Nautan BJP Narayan Prasad INC Sheikh Kamran
7 Chanpatia BJP Umakant Singh INC Abhishek Ranjan
8 Bettiah BJP Renu Devi INC Madan Mohan Tiwari
9 Sikta JD(U) Khurshid (Feroz Ahmad) CPI(ML)L Birendra Prasad Gupta IND Dilip Varma[a]
East Champaran District
10 Raxaul BJP Pramod Kumar Sinha INC Rambabu Yadav
11 Sugauli VIP Ramchandra Sahani RJD Shashi Bhushan Singh LJP Vijay Prasad Gupta
12 Narkatiya JD(U) Shyam Bihari Prasad RJD Shamim Ahmad LJP Sonu Kumar
13 Harsidhi (SC) BJP Krishnanandan Paswan RJD Kumar Nagendra
14 Govindganj BJP Sunil Mani Tiwari INC Brajesh Pandey LJP Raju Tiwari
15 Kesaria JD(U) Shalini Mishra RJD Santosh Kushawaha LJP Ram Sharan Prasad Yadav
16 Kalyanpur BJP Sachindra Prasad Singh RJD Manoj Kumar Yadav
17 Pipra BJP Shyambabu Prasad Yadav CPI(M) Rajmangal Prasad
18 Madhuban BJP Rana Randhir Singh RJD Madan Prasad
19 Motihari BJP Pramod Kumar RJD Om Prakash Choudhary
20 Chiraia BJP Lal Babu Prasad Gupta RJD Acchelal Yadav
21 Dhaka BJP Pawan Jaiswal RJD Faisal Rahman
Sheohar District
22 Sheohar JD(U) Sharfuddin RJD Chetan Anand Singh LJP Vijay Kumar Pandey
Sitamarhi District
23 Riga BJP Moti Lal Prasad INC Amit Kumar Tunna
24 Bathnaha (SC) BJP Anil Ram INC Sanjay Ram
25 Parihar BJP Gayatri Devi RJD Ritu Jaiswal
26 Sursand JD(U) Dilip Ray RJD Syed Abu Dojana LJP Amit Choudhari
27 Bajpatti JD(U) Ranju Geeta RJD Mukesh Kumar Yadav LJP MD Intakhab Alam
28 Sitamarhi BJP Mitilesh Kumar RJD Sunil Kumar
29 Runnisaidpur JD(U) Pankaj Kumar Mishra RJD Mangita Devi LJP Guddi Devi
30 Belsand JD(U) Sunita Singh Chauhan RJD Sanjay Kumar Gupta LJP Md Nasir Ahmad
Madhubani District
31 Harlakhi JD(U) Sudhanshu Shekhar CPI Ram Naresh Pandey LJP Vikash Kumar Misra
32 Benipatti BJP Vinod Narayan Jha INC Bhawana Jha
33 Khajauli BJP Arun Shankar Prasad RJD Sitaram Yadav
34 Babubarhi JD(U) Mina Kumari RJD Uma Kant Yadav LJP Amar Nath Prasad
35 Bisfi BJP Haribhushan Thakur RJD Faiyaz Ahmad
36 Madhubani VIP Suman Kumar Mahaseth RJD Samir Kumar Mahaseth LJP Arvind Kumar Purbey
37 Rajnagar (SC) BJP Ram Prit Paswan RJD Ramawatar Paswan
38 Jhanjharpur BJP Nitish Mishra CPI Ram Narayan Yadav
39 Phulparas JD(U) Sheela Mandal INC Kripanath Pathak LJP Binod Kumar Singh
40 Laukaha JD(U) Laxmeshwar Rai RJD Bharat Bhushan Mandal LJP Pramod Kumar Priyedarshi
Supaul District
41 Nirmali JD(U) Aniruddha Prasad Yadav RJD Yaduvansh Kumar Yadav LJP Gautam Kumar
42 Pipra JD(U) Ram Vilas Kamat RJD Vishwa Mohan Kumar LJP Shakuntala Prasad
43 Supaul JD(U) Bijendra Prasad Yadav INC Minnauttallah Rahmani LJP Prabhash Chandra Mandal
44 Triveniganj (SC) JD(U) Veena Bharti RJD Santosh Sardar LJP Renu Lata Bharti
45 Chhatapur BJP Neeraj Kumar Singh RJD Vipin Kumar Nonia
Araria District
46 Narpatganj BJP Jai Prakash Yadav RJD Anil Kumar Yadav
47 Raniganj (SC) JD(U) Achmit Rishidev RJD Avinash Mangalam LJP Parmanand Rishidev
48 Forbesganj BJP Vidya Sagar Keshri INC Zakir Hussain
49 Araria JD(U) Shagufta Azim INC Avidur Rahman LJP Chandra Shekhar Singh Baban
50 Jokihat BJP Ranjeet Yadav RJD Sarfaraz Alam
51 Sikti BJP Vijay Mandal RJD Shatrughan Mandal
Kishanganj District
52 Bahadurganj VIP Lakhan Lal Pandit INC Md. Tauseef Alam
53 Thakurganj JD(U) Naushad Alam RJD Saud Alam LJP Mahommad Kalim Uddin
54 Kishanganj BJP Sweety Singh INC Ijaharul Hussain
55 Kochadhaman JD(U) Mujahid Alam RJD Shahid Alam LJP Habibur Rahman
Purnia District
56 Amour JD(U) Saba Zafar INC Abdul Jalil Mastan LJP Manoj Kumar Nishad
57 Baisi BJP Vinod Kumar Yadav RJD Abdus Subhan
58 Kasba HAM(S) Rajendra Yadav INC Md. Afaque Alam LJP Pradeep Kumar Das
59 Banmankhi (SC) BJP Krishna Kumar Rishi RJD Upendra Sharma
60 Rupauli JD(U) Bima Bharti CPI Vikas Chandra Mandal LJP Shankar Singh
61 Dhamdaha JD(U) Leshi Singh RJD Dilip Kumar Yadav LJP Yogendra Kumar
62 Purnia BJP Vijay Kumar Khemka INC Indu Sinha
Katihar District
63 Katihar BJP Tarkishore Prasad RJD Ram Prakash Mahto
64 Kadwa JD(U) Suraj Prasad Rai INC Shakeel Ahmad Khan LJP Chandra Bhushan Thakur
65 Balrampur VIP Barun Kumar Jha CPI(ML)L Mahbub Alam LJP Sangita Devi
66 Pranpur BJP Nisha Singh INC Tauquir Alam
67 Manihari (ST) JD(U) Shambhu Suman INC Manohar Prasad Singh LJP Anil Kumar Oraon
68 Barari JD(U) Vijay Singh Nishad RJD Neeraj Kumar LJP Bibhash Chandra Choudhary
69 Korha (SC) BJP Kavita Paswan INC Poonam Paswan
Madhepura District
70 Alamnagar JD(U) Narendra Narayan Yadav RJD Naveen Nishad LJP Sunila Devi
71 Bihariganj JD(U) Niranjan Kumar Mehta INC Subhashini Raj Rao LJP Vijay Kumar Singh
72 Singheshwar (SC) JD(U) Ramesh Rishidev RJD Chandrahas Choupal LJP Amit Kumar Bharti
73 Madhepura JD(U) Nikhil Mandal RJD Chandra Shekhar LJP Saakar Suresh Yadav
Saharsa District
74 Sonbarsha (SC) JD(U) Ratnesh Sada INC Tarni Rishidev LJP Sarita Devi
75 Saharsa BJP Alok Ranjan Jha RJD Lovely Anand
76 Simri Bakhtiarpur VIP Mukesh Sahani RJD Yusuf Salahuddin LJP Sanjay Kumar Singh
77 Mahishi JD(U) Gunjeshwar Sah RJD Gautam Krishna LJP Abdur Razzaque
Darbhanga District
78 Kusheshwar Asthan (SC) JD(U) Shashi Bhushan Hajari INC Ashok Kumar LJP Poonam Kumari
79 Gaura Bauram VIP Swarna Singh RJD Afzal Ali Khan LJP Rajeev Kumar Thakur
80 Benipur JD(U) Binay Kumar Choudhary INC Mithilesh Chaudhary LJP Kamal Ram Vinod Jha
81 Alinagar VIP Mishri Lal Yadav RJD Binod Mishra LJP Raj Kumar Jha
82 Darbhanga Rural JD(U) Faraz Fatmi RJD Lalit Kumar Yadav LJP Pradeep Kumar Thakur
83 Darbhanga BJP Sanjay Saraogi RJD Amarnath Gami
84 Hayaghat BJP Ramchandra Shah RJD Bhola Yadav
85 Bahadurpur JD(U) Madan Sahni RJD Ramesh Chaudhary LJP Devendra Kumar Jha
86 Keoti BJP Murari Mohan Jha RJD Abdul Bari Siddiqui
87 Jale BJP Jibesh Kumar Mishra INC Maskoor Usmani
Muzaffarpur District
88 Gaighat JD(U) Maheshwar Prasad Yadav RJD Niranjan Rai LJP Komal Singh
89 Aurai BJP Ram Surat Ray CPI(ML)L Aftab Alam
90 Minapur JD(U) Manoj Kumar RJD Rajeev Kumar (Munna Yadav) LJP Ajay Kumar
91 Bochahan (SC) VIP Musafir Paswan RJD Ramai Ram LJP Amar Azad
92 Sakra (SC) JD(U) Ashok Kumar Choudhary INC Umesh Kumar Ram LJP Sanjay Paswan
93 Kurhani BJP Kedar Gupta RJD Anil Kumar Sahni
94 Muzaffarpur BJP Suresh Kumar Sharma INC Bijender Chaudhary
95 Kanti JD(U) Mohammad Jamal RJD Mohammad Israil Mansuri LJP Bijay Prasad Singh
96 Baruraj BJP Arun Kumar Singh RJD Nand Kumar Rai
97 Paroo BJP Ashok Kumar Singh INC Anunay Kumar Singh
98 Sahebganj VIP Raju Kumar Singh RJD Ram Vichar Ray LJP Krishan Kumar Singh
Gopalganj District
99 Baikunthpur BJP Mithlesh Tiwari RJD Prem Shankar
100 Barauli BJP Rampravesh Rai RJD Reyazul Haque Raju
101 Gopalganj BJP Subash Singh INC Asif Gafoor
102 Kuchaikote JD(U) Amarendra Kumar Pandey INC Kali Prasad Pandey LJP Ravi Pandey
103 Bhore (SC) JD(U) Sunil Kumar CPI(ML)L Jitendra Paswan LJP Pushpa Devi
104 Hathua JD(U) Ramsewak Singh Kushwaha RJD Rajesh Kumar Singh LJP Ramdarshan Prasad
Siwan District
105 Siwan BJP Om Prakash Yadav RJD Awadh Bihari Choudhary
106 Ziradei JD(U) Kamla Kushwaha CPI(ML)L Amarjeet Kushwaha LJP Vinod Tiwari
107 Darauli (SC) BJP Ramayan Manjhi CPI(ML)L Satyadeo Ram
108 Raghunathpur JD(U) Rajeshwar Chouhan RJD Hari Shankar Yadav LJP Manoj Kumar Singh
109 Daraunda BJP Karanjeet Singh CPI(ML)L Amarnath Yadav
110 Barharia JD(U) Shyam Bahadur Singh RJD Bachcha Pandey LJP Birabahadur Singh
111 Goriakothi BJP Devesh Kant Singh RJD Nutan Verma
112 Maharajganj JD(U) Hem Narayan Sah INC Vijay Shanker Dubey LJP Kumar Deo Ranjan Singh
Saran District
113 Ekma JD(U) Sita Devi RJD Sri Kant Yadav LJP Kameshwar Singh
114 Manjhi JD(U) Madhvi Singh CPI(M) Satyendra Yadav LJP Saurabh Kumar Pandey
115 Baniapur VIP Virendra Kumar Ojha RJD Kedarnath Singh LJP Tarkeshwar Singh
116 Taraiya BJP Janak Singh RJD Sipahilal Mahato
117 Marhaura JD(U) Altaf Alam RJD Jitendra Kumar Ray LJP Vinay Kumar
118 Chapra BJP C.N. Gupta RJD Randhir Kumar Singh
119 Garkha (SC) BJP Gyanchand Manjhi RJD Surendra Ram
120 Amnour BJP Krishan Kumar Mantoo RJD Sunil Kumar Ray
121 Parsa JD(U) Chandrika Roy RJD Chhote Lal Ray LJP Rakesh Kumar Singh
122 Sonepur BJP Vinay Kumar Singh RJD Ramanuj Prasad Yadav
Vaishali District
123 Hajipur BJP Awadhesh Singh RJD Deo Kumar Chaurasia
124 Lalganj BJP Sanjay Kumar Singh INC Rakesh Kumar LJP Raj Kumar Sah
125 Vaishali JD(U) Siddharth Patel INC Sanjeev Singh LJP Ajay Kumar Kushwaha
126 Mahua JD(U) Ashma Parveen RJD Mukesh Kumar Raushan LJP Sanjay Kumar Singh
127 Raja Pakar (SC) JD(U) Mahendra Ram INC Pratima Kumari Das LJP Dhananjay Kumar Paswan
128 Raghopur BJP Satish Kumar Yadav RJD Tejashwi Yadav LJP Rakesh Raushan
129 Mahnar JD(U) Umesh Singh Kushwaha RJD Bina Singh LJP Rabindra Kumar Singh
130 Patepur (SC) BJP Lakhendra Kumar Raushan RJD Shivchandra Ram
Samastipur District
131 Kalyanpur (SC) JD(U) Maheshwar Hazari CPI(ML)L Ranjeet Kumar Ram LJP Mona Prasad Sundeshwar Ram
132 Warisnagar JD(U) Ashok Kumar Singh CPI(ML)L Phoolbabu Singh LJP Urmila Sinha
133 Samastipur JD(U) Ashwamedh Devi RJD Akhtarul Islam Shahin LJP Mahendra Pradhan
134 Ujiarpur BJP Sheel Kumar Roy RJD Alok Kumar Mehta
135 Morwa JD(U) Vidyasagar Singh Nishad RJD Ranvijay Sahu LJP Abhay Kumar Singh
136 Sarairanjan JD(U) Vijay Kumar Chaudhary RJD Arvind Kumar Sahni LJP Abhash Kumar Jha
137 Mohiuddinnagar BJP Rajesh Singh RJD Ejya Yadav
138 Bibhutipur JD(U) Ram Balak Singh Kushwaha CPI(M) Ajay Kumar Kushwaha LJP Chandrabali Thakur
139 Rosera (SC) BJP Birendra Paswan INC Nagendra Vikal LJP Krishan Raj Paswan
140 Hasanpur JD(U) Raj Kumar Ray RJD Tej Pratap Yadav LJP Manish Kumar Sahni
Begusarai District
141 Cheria-Bariarpur JD(U) Manju Verma RJD Raj Banshi Mahto LJP Rakhi Devi
142 Bachhwara BJP Surendra Mehta CPI Awadhesh Kumar Rai
143 Teghra JD(U) Birendra Kumar CPI Ram Ratan Singh LJP Lalan Kumar
144 Matihani JD(U) Narendra Kumar Singh CPI(M) Rajendra Prasad Singh LJP Raj Kumar Singh
145 Sahebpur Kamal JD(U) Shashikant Kumar Shashi RJD Sattanand Sambuddha LJP Surendra Kumar
146 Begusarai BJP Kundan Kumar INC Amita Bhushan
147 Bakhri (SC) BJP Ramshankar Paswan CPI Suryakant Paswan
Khagaria District
148 Alauli (SC) JD(U) Sadhna Devi RJD Ramvriksh Sada LJP Ram Chandra Sada
149 Khagaria JD(U) Poonam Devi Yadav INC Chatrapati Yadav LJP Renu Kumari Singh
150 Beldaur JD(U) Panna Lal Singh Patel INC Chandan Kumar LJP Mithilesh Kumar Nishad
151 Parbatta JD(U) Sanjeev Kumar Singh RJD Digambar Prasad Tiwary LJP Aditya Kumar Shyour
Bhagalpur District
152 Bihpur BJP Kumar Shailendra RJD Shailesh Kumar Mandal
153 Gopalpur JD(U) Narendra Kumar Niraj RJD Shailesh Kumar LJP Suresh Bhagat
154 Pirpainti (SC) BJP Lalan Kumar Paswan RJD Ram Vilash Paswan
155 Kahalgaon BJP Pawan Kumar Yadav INC Shubhanand Mukesh
156 Bhagalpur BJP Rohit Pandey INC Ajeet Sharma LJP Rajesh Verma
157 Sultanganj JD(U) Lalit Narayan Mandal INC Lalan Kumar LJP Nilam Devi
158 Nathnagar JD(U) Lakshmikant Mandal RJD Ali Ashraf Siddiqui LJP Amarnath Prasad
Banka District
159 Amarpur JD(U) Jayant Raj Kushwaha INC Jitendra Singh LJP Mrinal Shekhar
160 Dhoraiya (SC) JD(U) Manish Kumar RJD Bhudeo Choudhary LJP Dipak Kumar Paswan
161 Banka BJP Ram Narayan Mandal RJD Javed Iqbal Ansari
162 Katoria (ST) BJP Nikki Hembrom RJD Sweety Sima Hembram
163 Belhar JD(U) Manoj Yadav RJD Ramdeo Yadav LJP Kumari Archana Yadav
Munger District
164 Tarapur JD(U) Mewa Lal Choudhary RJD Divya Prakash LJP Mina Devi
165 Munger BJP Pranav Kumar Yadav RJD Avinash Kumar Vidyarthi
166 Jamalpur JD(U) Shailesh Kumar INC Ajay Kumar Singh LJP Durgesh Kumar Singh
Lakhisarai District
167 Suryagarha JD(U) Ramanand Mandal RJD Prahlad Yadav LJP Ravishanker Prasad Singh
168 Lakhisarai BJP Vijay Kumar Sinha INC Amaresh Kumar
Sheikhpura District
169 Sheikhpura JD(U) Randhir Kumar Soni RJD Vijay Kumar LJP Imam Ghazali
170 Barbigha JD(U) Sudarshan Kumar INC Gajanand Shahi LJP Madhukar Kumar
Nalanda District
171 Asthawan JD(U) Jitendra Kumar RJD Anil Kumar LJP Ramesh Kumar
172 Biharsharif BJP Sunil Kumar RJD Sunil Kumar
173 Rajgir (SC) JD(U) Kaushal Kishore INC Ravi Jyoti Kumar LJP Manju Devi
174 Islampur JD(U) Chandrasen Prasad RJD Rakesh Kumar Raushan LJP Naresh Prasad Singh
175 Hilsa JD(U) Krishnamurari Sharan RJD Shakti Singh Yadav LJP Kumar Suman Singh
176 Nalanda JD(U) Shrawan Kumar INC Gunjan Patel LJP Ram Keshwar Prasad
177 Harnaut JD(U) Harinarayan Singh INC Kundan Gupta LJP Mamta Devi
Patna District
178 Mokama JD(U) Rajiv Lochan Narayan Singh RJD Anant Kumar Singh LJP Suresh Singh Nishad
179 Barh BJP Gyanendra Kumar Singh INC Satyendra Bahadur
180 Bakhtiarpur BJP Ranvijay Singh Yadav RJD Aniruddh Kumar Yadav
181 Digha BJP Sanjeev Chaurasiya CPI(ML)L Shashi Yadav
182 Bankipur BJP Nitin Nabin INC Luv Sinha
183 Kumhrar BJP Arun Kumar Sinha RJD Dharamendra Kumar
184 Patna Sahib BJP Nand Kishore Yadav INC Parveen Khushwaha
185 Fatuha BJP Satyendra Kumar Singh RJD Rama Nand Yadav
186 Danapur BJP Asha Devi Yadav RJD Ritlal Yadav
187 Maner BJP Nikhil Anand Yadav RJD Bhai Virendra
188 Phulwari (SC) JD(U) Arun Manjhi CPI(ML)L Gopal Ravidas
189 Masaurhi (SC) JD(U) Nutan Paswan RJD Rekha Devi LJP Parshuram Kumar
190 Paliganj JD(U) Jai Vardhan Yadav CPI(ML)L Sandeep Saurav Yadav LJP Usha Vidyarthi
191 Bikram BJP Atul Kumar INC Siddharth Saurav
Bhojpur District
192 Sandesh JD(U) Vijendra Yadav RJD Kiran Devi LJP Shweta Singh
193 Barhara BJP Raghvendra Pratap Singh RJD Saroj Yadav
194 Arrah BJP Amrendra Pratap Singh CPI(ML)L Quyamuddin Ansari
195 Agiaon (SC) JD(U) Prabhunath Prasad CPI(ML)L Manoj Manzil LJP Rajeshwar Paswan
196 Tarari BJP Kaushal Kumar Singh CPI(ML)L Sudama Prasad
197 Jagdishpur JD(U) Shushumlata Kushwaha RJD Ram Vishnu Singh LJP Sri Bhagwan Singh Kushwaha
198 Shahpur BJP Munni Devi RJD Rahul Tiwari
Buxar District
199 Brahampur VIP Jairaj Chaudhary Bind RJD Shambhunath Yadav LJP Hulas Pandey
200 Buxar BJP Parshuram Chaubey INC Sanjay Kumar Tiwari
201 Dumraon JD(U) Anjum Ara CPI(ML)L Ajit Kumar Singh LJP Akhilesh Kumar Singh
202 Rajpur (SC) JD(U) Santosh Kumar Nirala INC Vishwanath Ram LJP Nirbhaya Kumar Nirala
Kaimur District
203 Ramgarh BJP Ashok Kumar Singh RJD Sudhakar Singh
204 Mohania (SC) BJP Niranjan Ram RJD Sangita Kumari
205 Bhabua BJP Rinki Rani Pandey RJD Bharat Bind
206 Chainpur BJP Brij Kishor Bind INC Prakash Kumar Singh
Rohtas District
207 Chenari (SC) JD(U) Lalan Paswan INC Murari Prasad Gautam LJP Chandra Shekhar Paswan
208 Sasaram JD(U) Ashok Kumar RJD Rajesh Kumar Gupta LJP Rameshwar Chaurasiya
209 Kargahar JD(U) Bashist Singh INC Santosh Kumar Mishra BSP Uday Pratap Singh
210 Dinara JD(U) Jai Kumar Singh RJD Vijay Kumar Mandal LJP Rajendra Prasad Singh
211 Nokha JD(U) Nagendra Chandravanshi RJD Anita Devi LJP Krishna Kabir
212 Dehri BJP Satyanarayan Singh Yadav RJD Phate Bahadur Singh
213 Karakat BJP Rajeshwar Raj CPI(ML)L Arun Singh
Arwal District
214 Arwal BJP Dipak Kumar Sharma CPI(ML)L Maha Nand Singh
215 Kurtha JD(U) Satyadeo Singh RJD Bagi Kumar Verma LJP Bhuwneshwar Pathak
Jehanabad District
216 Jehanabad JD(U) Krishnanandan Prasad Verma RJD Suday Yadav LJP Indu Devi Kashyap
217 Ghosi JD(U) Rahul Kumar CPI(ML)L Rambali Singh Yadav LJP Rakesh Kumar Singh
218 Makhdumpur (SC) HAM(S) Devendra Manjhi RJD Satish Kumar
Aurangabad District
219 Goh BJP Manoj Kumar Sharma RJD Bheem Kumar Yadav
220 Obra JD(U) Sunil Kumar RJD Rishi Kumar LJP Prakash Chandra
221 Nabinagar JD(U) Virendra Kumar Singh RJD Vijay Kumar Singh
(Dabloo Singh)
LJP Vijay Kumar Singh
222 Kutumba HAM(S) Shravan Bhuyan INC Rajesh Kumar LJP Sarun Paswan
223 Aurangabad BJP Ramadhar Singh INC Anand Shankar Singh
224 Rafiganj JD(U) Ashok Kumar Singh RJD Mohammad Nehaluddin LJP Manoj Kumar Singh
Gaya District
225 Gurua BJP Rajiv Nandan Dangi RJD Vinay Kumar
226 Sherghati JD(U) Vinod Prasad Yadav RJD Manju Agrawal LJP Mukesh Kumar Yadav
227 Imamganj (SC) HAM(S) Jitan Ram Manjhi RJD Uday Narayan Choudhary LJP Shobha Sinha
228 Barachatti (SC) HAM(S) Jyoti Devi RJD Samata Devi LJP Renuka Devi
229 Bodh Gaya (SC) BJP Hari Manjhi RJD Kumar Sarvjeet
230 Gaya Town BJP Prem Kumar INC Akhauri Onkar Nath
231 Tikari HAM(S) Anil Kumar INC Sumant Kumar LJP Kamlesh Sharma
232 Belaganj JD(U) Abhay Kumar Sinha RJD Surendra Prasad Yadav LJP Ramashray Sharma
233 Atri JD(U) Manorama Devi RJD Ajay Yadav LJP Arvind Kumar Singh
234 Wazirganj BJP Birendra Singh INC Shashi Shekhar Singh
Nawada District
235 Rajauli (SC) BJP Kanhaiya Kumar RJD Prakash Veer
236 Hisua BJP Anil Singh INC Nitu Kumari
237 Nawada JD(U) Kaushal Yadav RJD Vibha Devi LJP Shashi Bhusan Kumar
238 Gobindpur JD(U) Purnima Yadav RJD Mohammed Kamran LJP Ranjeet Yadav
239 Warsaliganj BJP Aruna Devi INC Satish Kumar
Jamui District
240 Sikandra (SC) HAM(S) Prafulla Manjhi INC Sudhir Kumar LJP Ravishankar Paswan
241 Jamui BJP Shreyasi Singh RJD Vijay Prakash Yadav
242 Jhajha JD(U) Damodar Rawat RJD Rajendra Yadav LJP Rabindra Yadav
243 Chakai JD(U) Sanjay Prasad RJD Savitri Devi LJP Sanjay Kumar Mandal
Source: Election Commission of India

Surveys and polls

[edit]

Seat projections

[edit]
Polling type Date Polling Agency Majority Ref
NDA MGB LJP Others
Exit poll
Republic-Jan Ki Baat 91-117 118-138 5-8 3-5 HUNG [81]
Patriotic Voter 129 107 2 5 12 [82]
News 18-Today's Chanakya 55 180 - 8 58 [83][84]
P-Marq (Politique Marquer 123-135 104-115 0-1 0-10 8-31 [1][85]
Times Now-CVoter 116 120 1 6 HUNG [86]
India Ahead - ETG Research[87] 108-120 114-126 2-5 5-8 HUNG
India Today/AAJ Tak-Axis My India 69-91 139-161 3-5 3-5 17-39
ABP News-CVoter 104-128 108-131 1-3 4-8 HUNG
Opinion poll
23 October 2020 Patriotic Voter 133 102 8 11-21 [82]
24 October 2020 ABP-CVoter 135-159 77-98 5-13 13-37 [88]
20 October 2020 India Today-Lokniti CSDS 133-143 88-98 8-16 11-21 [89]
12 October 2020 Times Now-CVoter 160 76 7 39 [90]
25 September 2020 ABP-CVoter 141-161 64-84 13-23 20–40 [91]

Vote Share

[edit]
Polling type Date Polling Agency Ref
NDA MGB Others
Opinion poll 25 September 2020 ABP-Cvoter 44.8 33.2 22.0 [91]
20 October 2020 India Today-CSDS Lokniti 38 32 30 [89]
24 October 2020 ABP-Cvoter 43 35 22 [88]

Election

[edit]
Polling official administering indelible ink to a voter, at a polling booth, during the first phase of the Bihar Assembly Election, at New Madhya Vidyalaya, in Gaya, Bihar on October 28, 2020.
Voters standing in the queue to cast their votes, at a polling booth, during the first phase of the Bihar Assembly Election, at New Madhya Vidyalaya, in Gaya, Bihar on October 28, 2020.

The Chief Election Commissioner of India, Sunil Arora, announced on 25 September 2020 that the Bihar assembly election will be held from 28 October 2020, in three phases for 243 constituencies.[92] Per the Election Commission of India, approximately 60 registered parties are to contest in the Bihar elections.[clarification needed][93]

The elections were conducted amid the COVID-19 pandemic with the necessary guidelines issued by the Election Commission of India.[94] The election will consist of both, virtual and physical campaigns. The authorities also passed the guidelines over limited people to be involved in the rallies. Due to COVID-19, the polling time will be increased by one hour and will now be from 7am to 6pm, except in Naxalite–Maoist insurgency affected areas.[95][96] As per guidelines, maximum number of voters per polling station was reduced from 1,500 to 1,000. Arrangements were made for 7 lakh units of hand sanitisers, 46 lakh masks, 6 lakh PPE kits, 6.7 lakh face shields, and 23 lakh single use gloves.[94]

Voting

[edit]

The overall voter turnout in this election has been 57.05%, which is 0.39% more than the 56.66% in 2015 assembly polls. In these elections, 59.58% of females voted compared to a 54.68% voter turnout of males.[97]

Phase 1

[edit]

A total of 1,066 candidates, including 952 male and 114 female, contested in the first phase of elections from different constituencies.[98][99] The maximum number of candidates contesting from one constituency in the first phase was being at Gaya Town with 27 candidates and the minimum at Katoria with 5 candidates in Banka district.[99] In the constituencies voting in the first phase of elections, approximately 2.15 crore registered electors were eligible to exercise their vote, out of which around 1.12 crore were male, 1.01 crore were female and 599 were categorised as the third gender.[98][100]

The first phase of elections recorded a voter turnout of 55.68%.[101] The male and female voter turnout for the first phase was 56.8% and 54.4% respectively.[102] In the previous assembly election in 2015, the voter turnout was 54.94% for these constituencies.[101]

Phase 2

[edit]

In the second phase of elections, 1463 candidates contested the elections, of which 1315 candidates were male, 147 candidates were female and 1 candidate belonged to the transgender community.[103]

The elections was held on 3 November.[104] Voter turnout for the 2nd phase was over 55.7%.[105]

Phase 3

[edit]

In the third phase of elections, 1094 male candidates and 110 female candidates contested the elections for 78 Seats, out of a total of 23.5 Million eligible voters for this phase total of 12.3 Million were Male and 11.2 Million were female voters.[106]

The elections were held on 7 November 2020 and the total Voting turnout was recorded 59.94%, which was highest among all three phases.[107]

Incidents

[edit]

On 27 October 2020 a day before the first phase of the election, three improvised explosive devices (IEDs) were recovered and diffused from two different places in Imamganj area of Gaya district.[108][109]

Results

[edit]

Summary

[edit]
125 110 8
NDA MGB Others

NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).[110] GDSF got 6 seats, LJP & others won a seat each.[111] The results surprised many analysts and polling agencies that predicted MGB to win.[112][113] Only agency to correctly predict the Bihar election results was Politique Marquer that had predicted a narrow majority for NDA.[114] Rashtriya Janata Dal won in 75 constituencies and became the largest political party in the Legislative Assembly, however its numbers reduced compared to previous election.[115] The Bharatiya Janata Party won 74 seats and was the biggest gainer in terms of number of MLAs elected as it added more than 30% to its seat count compared to the last election.[116][117] The Janata Dal (United) and Indian National Congress won in 43 and 19 constituencies respectively and dropped the most seats compared to the previous election.[118] The All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) also made inroads in the state winning 5 seats.[119] All the 5 MLAs of AIMIM were elected from constituencies in the Seemanchal region of the State.[120][117] The Communist parties also gained in these elections.[117] The Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) (Liberation) won 12 seats, whereas the Communist Party of India (Marxist) and Communist Party of India won 2 seats each.[121] The Vikassheel Insaan Party which contested the Assembly elections for the first time won 4 seats.[122] Sumit Kumar Singh was the only Independent candidate to win as a MLA.[123]

Though the LJP could win only one seat (Matihani) on its own, but it caused much harm to the NDA. Of the 54 seats where it dented margins, JD(U) was hurt the most. Data shows that on 25 seats, where JD(U) came second, LJP had more votes than the victory margin.[124]

The constituencies with higher female turnout than male, the NDA was in lead. Out of the 125 seats that NDA won, 99 were constituencies where female turnout was more than their male counterparts.[125] About 20% of the seats, the margin of victory was less than 2.5% of the votes polled.[126] The NDA won 21 seats with a less than 2.5% vote margin, while the Mahagathbandhan won in 22 such seats.[126]

Map displaying constituencies won by parties
Alliance Party Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Contested Won +/−
NDA
Bharatiya Janata Party 8,202,067 19.46 Decrease4.96 110 74 Increase 21
Janata Dal (United) 6,485,179 15.39 Decrease1.44 115 43 Decrease 28
Vikassheel Insaan Party 639,840 1.52 Increase1.52 11 4 Increase 4
Hindustani Awam Morcha 375,564 0.89 Decrease1.41 7 4 Increase3
Total 15,702,650 37.26 Decrease7.84 243 125 Steady
MGB
Rashtriya Janata Dal 9,738,855 23.11 Increase4.79 144 75 Decrease 5
Indian National Congress 3,995,319 9.48 Increase2.82 70 19 Decrease 8
Communist Party of India (ML) Liberation 1,333,682 3.16 Increase1.66 19 12 Increase 9
Communist Party of India 349,489 0.83 Decrease0.57 6 2 Increase 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist) 274,155 0.65 Increase0.05 4 2 Increase 2
Total 15,691,500 37.23 Increase8.62 243 110 Steady
GDSF
All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen 523,279 1.24 Increase1.03 20 5 Increase 5
Bahujan Samaj Party 628,961 1.49 Decrease0.60 78 1 Increase 1
Rashtriya Lok Samta Party 744,221 1.77 Decrease0.82 99 0 Decrease 2
Total 1,896,461 4.50 Decrease0.39 197 6 Increase4
None Lok Janshakti Party 2,383,457 5.66 Increase0.77 135 1 Decrease 1
Independents 3,641,362 8.64 Decrease0.76 1299 1 Decrease 3
NOTA 706,252 1.68 Decrease0.82 Steady Steady Steady
Total 42,142,828 100.00 243
Valid votes 42,142,828 99.88
Invalid votes 51,222 0.12
Votes cast / Turnout 42,194,050 57.29
Abstentions 31,453,610 42.71
Registered voters 73,647,660

Results by District Wise

[edit]

In districts adjoining Uttar Pradesh, the BJP performed better than the Mahagathbandhan, however JDU's seats declined.[127] The NDA won in majority of the constituencies in the Champaran region.[128]

District Total
NDA MGB GDSF
West Champaran 9 8 1 0
East Champaran 12 9 3 0
Sheohar 1 0 1 0
Sitamarhi 8 6 2 0
Madhubani 10 8 2 0
Supaul 5 5 0 0
Araria 6 4 1 1
Kishanganj 4 0 2 2
Purnia 7 4 1 2
Katihar 7 4 3 0
Madhepura 4 2 2 0
Saharsa 4 3 1 0
Darbhanga 10 9 1 0
Muzaffarpur 11 6 5 0
Gopalganj 6 4 2 0
Siwan 8 2 6 0
Saran 10 3 7 0
Vaishali 8 4 4 0
Samastipur 10 5 5 0
Begusarai 7 2 4 1
Khagaria 4 2 2 0
Bhagalpur 7 5 2 0
Banka 5 4 1 0
Munger 3 2 1 0
Lakhisarai 2 1 1 0
Sheikhpura 2 1 1 0
Nalanda 7 6 1 0
Patna 14 5 9 0
Bhojpur 7 2 5 0
Buxar 4 0 4 0
Kaimur 4 0 3 1
Rohtas 7 0 7 0
Arwal 2 0 2 0
Jehanabad 3 0 3 0
Aurangabad 6 0 6 0
Gaya 10 5 5 0
Nawada 5 1 4 0
Jamui 4 3 0 1
Total 243 125 110 8

Results by Constituency

[edit]
Results
Assembly Constituency Winner Runner-up Margin
# Name Candidate Party Votes % Candidate Party Votes %
West Champaran District
1 Valmiki Nagar Dhirendra Pratap Singh JDU 74,906 38.32 Rajesh Singh INC 53,321 27.28 21,585
2 Ramnagar (SC) Bhagirathi Devi BJP 75,423 39.57 Rajesh Ram INC 59,627 31.28 15,796
3 Narkatiaganj Rashmi Verma BJP 75,484 45.85 Vinay Verma INC 54,350 33.02 21,134
4 Bagaha Ram Singh BJP 90,013 49.51 Jayesh Mangalam Singh INC 59,993 33.00 30,020
5 Lauriya Vinay Bihari BJP 77,927 49.48 Shambhu Tiwari RJD 48,923 31.06 29,004
6 Nautan Narayan Prasad BJP 78,657 46.97 Sheikh Mohammad Kamran INC 52,761 31.51 25,896
7 Chanpatia Umakant Singh BJP 83,828 47.69 Abhishek Ranjan INC 70,359 40.03 13,469
8 Bettiah Renu Devi BJP 84,496 52.83 Madan Mohan Tiwari INC 66,417 41.53 18,079
9 Sikta Birendra Prasad Gupta CPI(ML)L 49,075 28.85 Dilip Varma IND 46,773 27.50 2,302
East Champaran District
10 Raxaul Pramod Kumar Sinha BJP 80,979 45.60 Rambabu Prasad Yadav INC 44,056 24.81 36,923
11 Sugauli Shashi Bhushan Singh RJD 65,267 38.26 Ramchandra Sahani VIP 61,820 36.24 3,447
12 Narkatiya Shamim Ahmad RJD 85,562 46.69 Shyam Bihari Prashad JDU 57,771 31.53 27,791
13 Harsidhi (SC) Krishnanandan Paswan BJP 84,615 49.71 Kumar Nagendra Bihari RJD 68,930 40.50 15,685
14 Govindganj Sunil Mani Tiwari BJP 65,544 43.22 Brajesh Kumar INC 37,620 24.81 27,924
15 Kesaria Shalini Mishra JDU 40,219 26.59 Santosh Kushwha RJD 30,992 20.49 9,227
16 Kalyanpur Manoj Kumar Yadav RJD 72,819 45.35 Sachindra Prasad Singh BJP 71,626 44.61 1,193
17 Pipra Shyambabu Prasad Yadav BJP 88,587 44.18 Rajmangal Prashad CPM 80,410 40.10 8,177
18 Madhuban Rana Randhir Singh BJP 73,179 47.69 Madan Prasad RJD 67,301 43.86 5,878
19 Motihari Pramod Kumar BJP 92,733 49.44 Om Prakash Chaudhary RJD 78,088 41.63 14,645
20 Chiraia Lal Babu Prasad Gupta BJP 62,904 37.62 Achchhelal Prasad RJD 46,030 27.53 16,874
21 Dhaka Pawan Jaiswal BJP 99,792 48.01 Faisal Rahman RJD 89,678 43.15 10,114
Sheohar District
22 Sheohar Chetan Anand Singh RJD 73,143 42.69 Sharfuddin JDU 36,457 21.28 36,686
Sitamarhi District
23 Riga Moti Lal Prasad BJP 95,226 53.07 Amit Kumar INC 62,731 34.96 32,495
24 Bathnaha (SC) Anil Kumar BJP 92,648 54.15 Sanjay Ram INC 45,830 26.79 46,818
25 Parihar Gayatri Devi BJP 73,420 42.52 Ritu Jaiswal RJD 71,851 41.61 1,569
26 Sursand Dilip Kumar Ray JDU 67,193 38.63 Syed Abu Dojana RJD 58,317 33.53 8,876
27 Bajpatti Mukesh Kumar Yadav RJD 71,483 40.21 Ranju Geeta JDU 68,779 38.69 2,704
28 Sitamarhi Mithilesh Kumar BJP 90,236 49.90 Sunil Kumar RJD 78,761 43.55 11,475
29 Runnisaidpur Pankaj Kumar Mishra JDU 73,205 47.96 Mangita Devi RJD 48,576 31.83 24,629
30 Belsand Sanjay Kumar Gupta RJD 49,682 35.71 Sunita Singh Chauhan JDU 35,997 25.87 13,685
Madhubani District
31 Harlakhi Sudhanshu Shekhar JDU 60,393 36.10 Ram Naresh Pandey CPI 42,800 25.58 17,593
32 Benipatti Vinod Narayan Jha BJP 78,862 50.63 Bhawana Jha INC 46,210 29.67 32,652
33 Khajauli Arun Shankar Prasad BJP 83,161 44.51 Sitaram Yadav RJD 60,472 32.37 22,689
34 Babubarhi Mina Kumari JDU 77,367 40.39 Uma Kant Yadav RJD 65,879 34.39 11,488
35 Bisfi Haribhushan Thakur BJP 86,574 48.43 Faiyaz Ahmad RJD 76,333 42.70 10,241
36 Madhubani Samir Kumar Mahaseth RJD 71,332 38.00 Suman Kumar Mahaseth VIP 64,518 34.37 6,814
37 Rajnagar (SC) Ramprit Paswan BJP 89,459 51.42 Ramawatar Paswan RJD 70,338 40.43 19,121
38 Jhanjharpur Nitish Mishra BJP 94,854 52.47 Ram Narayan Yadav CPI 53,066 29.36 41,788
39 Phulparas Sheela Kumari JDU 75,116 41.26 Kripanath Pathak INC 64,150 35.24 10,966
40 Laukaha Bharat Bhushan Mandal RJD 78,523 37.57 Lakshmeshwar Ray JDU 68,446 32.75 10,077
Supaul district
41 Nirmali Aniruddha Prasad Yadav JDU 92,439 49.33 Yadubansh Kumar Yadav RJD 48,517 25.89 43,922
42 Pipra Rambilash Kamat JDU 82,388 45.35 Vishwa Mohan Kumar RJD 63,143 34.76 19,245
43 Supaul Bijendra Prasad Yadav JDU 86,174 50.20 Minnatullah Rahmani INC 58,075 33.83 28,099
44 Triveniganj (SC) Veena Bharti JDU 79,458 44.84 Santosh Kumar RJD 76,427 43.13 3,031
45 Chhatapur Neeraj Kumar Singh BJP 93,755 46.39 Vipin Kumar Singh RJD 73,120 36.18 20,635
Araria District
46 Narpatganj Jai Prakash Yadav BJP 98,397 49.06 Anil Kumar Yadav RJD 69,787 34.79 28,610
47 Raniganj (SC) Achmit Rishidev JDU 81,901 44.12 Avinash Mangalam RJD 79,597 42.88 2,304
48 Forbesganj Vidya Sagar Keshri BJP 102,212 49.53 Zakir Hussain Khan INC 82,510 39.98 19,702
49 Araria Avidur Rahman INC 103,054 54.84 Shagufta Azim JDU 55,118 29.33 47,936
50 Jokihat Shahnawaz Alam AIMIM 59,596 34.22 Sarfaraz Alam RJD 52,213 29.98 7,383
51 Sikti Vijay Kumar Mandal BJP 84,128 46.92 Shatrughan Prasad Suman RJD 70,518 39.33 13,610
Kishanganj District
52 Bahadurganj Mohammad Anzar Nayeemi AIMIM 85,855 49.77 Lakhan Lal Pandit VIP 40,640 23.56 45,215
53 Thakurganj Saud Alam RJD 79,909 41.48 Gopal Kumar Aggarwal IND 56,022 29.08 23,887
54 Kishanganj Ijaharul Hussain INC 61,078 34.20 Sweety Singh BJP 59,967 33.42 1,381
55 Kochadhaman Muhammad Izhar Asfi AIMIM 79,893 49.45 Mujahid Alam JDU 43,750 27.08 36,143
Purnia District
56 Amour Akhtarul Iman AIMIM 94,459 51.17 Saba Zafar JDU 41,944 22.72 52,515
57 Baisi Syed Ruknuddin Ahmad AIMIM 68,416 38.27 Binod Kumar BJP 52,043 29.11 16,373
58 Kasba Md Afaque Alam INC 77,410 41.12 Pradeep Kumar Das LJP 60,132 31.94 17,278
59 Banmankhi (SC) Krishna Kumar Rishi BJP 93,594 51.74 Upendra Sharma RJD 65,851 36.41 27,743
60 Rupauli Bima Bharti JDU 64,324 34.52 Shankar Singh LJP 44,994 24.15 19,330
61 Dhamdaha Leshi Singh JDU 97,057 48.50 Dilip Kumar Yadav RJD 63,463 31.71 33,594
62 Purnia Vijay Kumar Khemka BJP 97,757 52.78 Indu Sinha INC 65,603 35.42 32,154
Katihar District
63 Katihar Tarkishore Prasad BJP 82,669 48.47 Ram Prakash Mahto RJD 72,150 42.30 10,519
64 Kadwa Shakeel Ahmad Khan INC 71,267 42.00 Chandra Bhushan Thakur LJP 38,865 22.90 32,402
65 Balrampur Mahbub Alam CPI(ML)L 104,489 51.11 Barun Kumar Jha VIP 50,892 24.89 53,597
66 Pranpur Nisha Singh BJP 79,974 39.97 Tauquir Alam INC 77,002 38.48 2,972
67 Manihari (ST) Manohar Prasad Singh INC 83,032 45.81 Shambhu Kumar Suman JDU 61,823 34.11 21,209
68 Barari Bijay Singh JDU 81,752 41.71 Neeraj Kumar RJD 71,314 39.00 10,438
69 Korha (SC) Kavita Devi BJP 104,625 53.31 Punam Kumari INC 75,682 38.56 28,943
Madhepura District
70 Alamnagar Narendra Narayan Yadav JDU 102,517 48.17 Nabin Kumar RJD 73,837 34.69 28,680
71 Bihariganj Niranjan Kumar Mehta JDU 81,531 43.63 Subhashini Raj Rao INC 62,820 33.61 18,711
72 Singheshwar (SC) Chandrahas Chaupal RJD 86,181 45.13 Ramesh Rishidev JDU 80,608 42.21 5,573
73 Madhepura Chandrashekhar Yadav RJD 79,839 39.24 Nikhil Mandal JDU 64,767 31.83 15,072
Saharsa District
74 Sonbarsha (SC) Ratnesh Sada JDU 67,678 40.20 Tarni Rishideo INC 54,212 32.20 13,466
75 Saharsa Alok Ranjan Jha BJP 103,538 45.59 Lovely Anand RJD 83,859 36.93 19,679
76 Simri Bakhtiarpur Yusuf Salahuddin RJD 75,684 38.48 Mukesh Sahani VIP 73,925 37.58 1,759
77 Mahishi Gunjeshwar Sah JDU 66,316 37.83 Gautam Krishna RJD 64,686 36.90 1,630
Darbhanga District
78 Kusheshwar Asthan (SC) Shashi Bhushan Hazari JDU 53,980 39.55 Ashok Kumar INC 46,758 34.26 7,222
79 Gaura Bauram Swarna Singh VIP 59,538 41.26 Afzal Ali Khan RJD 52,258 36.21 7,280
80 Benipur Binay Kumar Choudhary JDU 61,416 37.58 Mithilesh Kumar Choudhary INC 54,826 33.55 6,590
81 Alinagar Mishri Lal Yadav VIP 61,082 38.62 Binod Mishra RJD 57,981 36.66 3,101
82 Darbhanga Rural Lalit Kumar Yadav RJD 64,929 41.26 Faraz Fatmi JDU 62,788 39.90 2,141
83 Darbhanga Sanjay Saraogi BJP 84,144 49.32 Amarnath Gami RJD 73,505 43.08 10,639
84 Hayaghat Ram Chandra Prasad BJP 67,030 46.86 Bhola Yadav RJD 56,778 39.69 10,252
85 Bahadurpur Madan Sahni JDU 68,538 38.50 Ramesh Choudhary RJD 65,909 37.03 2,629
86 Keoti Murari Mohan Jha BJP 76,372 46.75 Abdul Bari Siddiqui RJD 71,246 43.61 5,126
87 Jale Jibesh Kumar BJP 87,376 51.66 Maskoor Ahmad Usmani INC 65,580 38.78 21,796
Muzaffarpur District
88 Gaighat Niranjan Roy RJD 59,778 32.92 Maheshwar Pd Yadav JDU 52,212 28.75 7,566
89 Aurai Ram Surat Kumar BJP 90,479 52.33 Md. Aftab Alam CPI(ML)L 42,613 24.65 47,866
90 Minapur Rajeev Kumar RJD 60,018 33.51 Manoj Kumar JDU 44,506 24.85 15,512
91 Bochahan (SC) Musafir Paswan VIP 77,837 42.62 Ramai Ram RJD 66,569 36.45 11,268
92 Sakra (SC) Ashok Kumar Choudhary JDU 67,265 40.25 Umesh Kumar Ram INC 65,728 39.33 1,537
93 Kurhani Anil Kumar Sahani RJD 78,549 40.23 Kedar Prasad Gupta BJP 77,837 39.86 712
94 Muzaffarpur Bijendra Chaudhary INC 81,871 48.16 Suresh Kumar Sharma BJP 75,545 44.44 6,326
95 Kanti Mohammad Israil Mansuri RJD 64,458 32.89 Ajit Kumar IND 54,144 27.63 10,314
96 Baruraj Arun Kumar Singh BJP 87,407 49.47 Nand Kumar Rai RJD 43,753 24.76 43,654
97 Paroo Ashok Kumar Singh BJP 77,392 40.92 Shankar Prasad IND 62,694 33.15 14,698
98 Sahebganj Raju Kumar Singh VIP 81,203 44.25 Ram Vichar Ray RJD 65,870 35.90 15,333
Gopalganj District
99 Baikunthpur Prem Shankar Prasad RJD 67,807 37.01 Mithlesh Tiwari BJP 56,694 30.95 11,113
100 Barauli Rampravesh Rai BJP 81,956 46.55 Reyazul Haque Raju RJD 67,801 38.51 14,155
101 Gopalganj Subhash Singh BJP 77,791 43.49 Anirudh Prasad BSP 41,039 22.94 36,752
102 Kuchaikote Amrendra Kumar Pandey JDU 74,359 41.19 Kali Prasad Pandey INC 53,729 29.76 20,630
103 Bhore (SC) Sunil Kumar JDU 74,067 40.50 Jitendra Paswan CPI(ML)L 73,605 40.25 462
104 Hathua Rajesh Kumar Singh RJD 86,731 49.84 Ramsewak Singh JDU 56,204 32.29 30,527
Siwan District
105 Siwan Awadh Bihari Choudhary RJD 76,785 45.30 Om Prakash Yadav BJP 74,812 44.13 1,973
106 Ziradei Amarjeet Kushwaha CPI(ML)L 69,442 48.11 Kamala Singh JDU 43,932 30.44 25,510
107 Darauli (SC) Satyadeo Ram CPI(ML)L 81,067 50.50 Ramayan Manjhi BJP 68,948 42.95 12,119
108 Raghunathpur Hari Shankar Yadav RJD 67,757 42.66 Manoj Kumar Singh LJP 49,792 31.35 17,965
109 Daraunda Karanjeet Singh BJP 71,934 44.09 Amar Nath Yadav CPI(ML)L 60,614 37.15 11,320
110 Barharia Bachcha Pandey RJD 71,793 41.62 Shyam Bahadur Singh JDU 68,234 39.55 3,559
111 Goriakothi Devesh Kant Singh BJP 87,368 45.66 Nutan Devi RJD 75,477 39.45 11,891
112 Maharajganj Vijay Shanker Dubey INC 48,825 30.07 Hem Narayan Sah JDU 46,849 28.86 1,976
Saran District
113 Ekma Srikant Yadav RJD 53,875 35.05 Sita Devi JDU 39,948 25.99 13,927
114 Manjhi Satyendra Yadav CPM 59,324 37.56 Rana Pratap Singh IND 33,938 21.49 25,386
115 Baniapur Kedar Nath Singh RJD 65,194 38.74 Virendra Kumar Ojha VIP 37,405 22.23 27,789
116 Taraiya Janak Singh BJP 53,430 32.15 Sipahi Lal Mahto RJD 42,123 25.35 11,307
117 Marhaura Jitendra Kumar Ray RJD 59,812 39.44 Altaf Alam JDU 48,427 31.93 11,385
118 Chapra C. N. Gupta BJP 75,710 44.97 Randhir Kumar Singh RJD 68,939 40.95 6,771
119 Garkha (SC) Surendra Ram RJD 83,412 47.21 Gyanchand Manjhi BJP 73,475 41.59 9,937
120 Amnour Krishan Kumar Mantoo BJP 63,316 42.29 Sunil Kumar RJD 59,635 39.83 3,681
121 Parsa Chhote Lal Ray RJD 68,316 44.36 Chandrika Roy JDU 51,023 33.13 17,293
122 Sonepur Ramanuj Prasad Yadav RJD 73,247 43.11 Vinay Kumar Singh BJP 66,561 39.18 6,686
Vaishali District
123 Hajipur Awadhesh Singh BJP 85,552 44.55 Deo Kumar Chaurasia RJD 82,562 42.99 2,990
124 Lalganj Sanjay Kumar Singh BJP 70,750 36.88 Rakesh Kumar INC 44,451 23.17 26,299
125 Vaishali Siddharth Patel JDU 69,780 35.96 Sanjeev Singh INC 62,367 32.14 7,413
126 Mahua Mukesh Kumar Raushan RJD 62,580 36.45 Ashma Parveen JDU 48,893 28.48 13,687
127 Raja Pakar (SC) Pratima Kumari Das INC 54,299 35.67 Mahendra Ram JDU 52,503 34.49 1,796
128 Raghopur Tejashwi Yadav RJD 97,404 48.74 Satish Kumar BJP 59,230 29.64 38,174
129 Mahnar Bina Singh RJD 61,721 37.34 Umesh Kushwaha JDU 53,774 32.54 7,947
130 Patepur (SC) Lakhendra Kumar Raushan BJP 86,509 52.15 Shiv Chandra Ram RJD 60,670 36.57 25,839
Samastipur District
131 Kalyanpur (SC) Maheshwar Hazari JDU 72,279 38.46 Ranjeet Kumar Ram CPI(ML)L 62,028 33.00 10,251
132 Warisnagar Ashok Kumar JDU 68,356 35.97 Phoolbabu Singh CPI(ML)L 54,555 28.71 13,801
133 Samastipur Akhtarul Islam Sahin RJD 68,507 41.21 Ashwamedh Devi JDU 63,793 38.37 4,714
134 Ujiarpur Alok Kumar Mehta RJD 90,601 48.81 Sheel Kumar Roy BJP 67,333 36.27 23,268
135 Morwa Ranvijay Sahu RJD 59,554 37.06 Vidyasagar Singh Nishad JDU 48,883 30.42 10,671
136 Sarairanjan Vijay Kumar Chaudhary JDU 72,666 42.48 Arvind Kumar Sahni RJD 69,042 40.36 3,624
137 Mohiuddinnagar Rajesh Kumar Singh BJP 70,385 47.51 Ejya Yadav RJD 55,271 37.31 15,114
138 Bibhutipur Ajay Kumar CPM 73,822 45.00 Ram Balak Singh JDU 33,326 20.31 40,496
139 Rosera (SC) Birendra Kumar BJP 87,163 47.93 Nagendra Kumar Vikal INC 51,419 28.27 35,744
140 Hasanpur Tej Pratap Yadav RJD 80,991 47.27 Raj Kumar Ray JDU 59,852 34.93 21,139
Begusarai District
141 Cheria-Bariarpur Raj Banshi Mahto RJD 68,635 45.22 Manju Verma JDU 27,738 18.27 40,897
142 Bachhwara Surendra Mehata BJP 54,738 30.21 Abdhesh Kumar Rai CPI 54,254 29.94 484
143 Teghra Ram Ratan Singh CPI 85,229 49.80 Birendra Kumar JDU 37,250 21.77 47,979
144 Matihani Rajkumar Singh LJP 61,364 29.64 Narendra Kumar Singh JDU 61,031 29.48 333
145 Sahebpur Kamal Satanand Sambuddha RJD 64,888 41.45 Shashikant Kumar Shashi JDU 50,663 32.36 14,225
146 Begusarai Kundan Kumar BJP 74,217 39.66 Amita Bhushan INC 69,663 37.23 4,554
147 Bakhri (SC) Suryakant Paswan CPI 72,177 44.14 Ramshankar Paswan BJP 71,400 43.67 777
Khagaria District
148 Alauli (SC) Ramvrikish Sada RJD 47,183 32.69 Sadhna Devi JDU 44,410 30.77 2,773
149 Khagaria Chhatrapati Yadav INC 46,980 31.14 Poonam Devi Yadav JDU 43,980 29.15 3,000
150 Beldaur Panna Lal Singh Patel JDU 56,541 31.95 Chandan Kumar INC 51,433 29.06 5,108
151 Parbatta Sanjeev Kumar JDU 77,226 41.61 Digambar Prasad Tiwary RJD 76,275 41.10 951
Bhagalpur District
152 Bihpur Kumar Shailendra BJP 72,938 48.53 Shailesh Kumar Mandal RJD 66,809 44.45 6,129
153 Gopalpur Narendra Kumar Niraj JDU 75,533 46.39 Shailesh Kumar RJD 51,072 31.37 24,461
154 Pirpainti (SC) Lalan Kumar BJP 96,229 48.54 Ram Vilash Paswan RJD 69,210 34.91 27,019
155 Kahalgaon Pawan Kumar Yadav BJP 115,538 56.23 Shubhanand Mukesh INC 72,645 35.36 42,893
156 Bhagalpur Ajeet Sharma INC 65,502 40.52 Rohit Pandey BJP 64,389 39.83 1,113
157 Sultanganj Lalit Narayan Mandal JDU 72,823 42.58 Lalan Kumar INC 61,258 35.82 11,565
158 Nathnagar Ali Ashraf Siddiqui RJD 78,832 40.41 Lakshmikant Mandal JDU 71,076 36.44 7,756
Banka District
159 Amarpur Jayant Raj Kushwaha JDU 54,308 33.13 Jitendra Singh INC 51,194 31.23 3,114
160 Dhoraiya (SC) Bhudeo Choudhary RJD 78,646 43.74 Manish Kumar JDU 75,959 42.24 2,687
161 Banka Ramnarayan Mandal BJP 69,762 43.80 Javed Iqbal Ansari RJD 52,934 33.24 16,828
162 Katoria (ST) Nikki Hembrom BJP 74,785 47.01 Sweety Sima Hembram RJD 68,364 42.98 6,421
163 Belhar Manoj Yadav JDU 73,589 40.16 Ramdeo Yadav RJD 71,116 38.81 2,473
Munger District
164 Tarapur Mewalal Chaudhary JDU 64,468 36.93 Divya Prakash RJD 57,243 32.80 7,225
165 Munger Pranav Kumar Yadav BJP 75,573 45.74 Avinash Kumar Vidhyarthi RJD 74,329 44.99 1,244
166 Jamalpur Ajay Kumar Singh INC 57,196 37.65 Shailesh Kumar JDU 52,764 34.73 4,432
Lakhisarai District
167 Surajgarha Prahlad Yadav RJD 62,306 32.82 Ramanand Mandal JDU 52,717 27.77 9,589
168 Lakhisarai Vijay Kumar Sinha BJP 74,212 38.20 Amaresh Kumar INC 63,729 32.80 10,483
Sheikhpura District
169 Sheikhpura Vijay Kumar RJD 56,365 39.02 Randhir Kumar Soni JDU 50,249 34.78 6,116
170 Barbigha Sudarshan Kumar JDU 39,878 33.19 Gajanand Shahi INC 39,765 33.09 113
Nalanda District
171 Asthawan Jitendra Kumar JDU 51,525 35.75 Anil Kumar RJD 39,925 27.70 11,600
172 Biharsharif Sunil Kumar BJP 81,888 44.55 Sunil Kumar RJD 66,786 36.34 15,102
173 Rajgir (SC) Kaushal Kishore JDU 67,191 42.58 Ravi Jyoti Kumar INC 51,143 32.41 16,048
174 Islampur Rakesh Kumar Roushan RJD 68,088 41.65 Chandra Sen Prasad JDU 64,390 39.39 3,698
175 Hilsa Krishna Murari Sharan JDU 61,848 37.35 Shakti Singh Yadav RJD 61,836 37.35 12
176 Nalanda Shrawan Kumar JDU 66,066 38.97 Kaushalendra Kumar JVP 49,989 29.48 16,077
177 Harnaut Hari Narayan Singh JDU 65,404 41.24 Mamata Devi LJP 38,163 24.06 27,241
Patna District
178 Mokama Anant Kumar Singh RJD 78,721 52.99 Rajeev Lochan Narayan Singh JDU 42,964 28.92 35,757
179 Barh Gyanendra Kumar Singh BJP 49,327 32.94 Satyendra Bahadur Singh INC 39,087 26.10 10,240
180 Bakhtiarpur Aniruddh Kumar Yadav RJD 89,483 52.17 Ranvijay Singh Yadav BJP 68,811 40.12 20,672
181 Digha Sanjeev Chaurasiya BJP 97,044 57.09 Shashi Yadav CPI(ML)L 50,971 29.98 46,073
182 Bankipur Nitin Nabin BJP 83,068 59.05 Luv Sinha INC 44,032 31.30 39,036
183 Kumhrar Arun Kumar Sinha BJP 81,400 54.00 Dharamendra Kumar RJD 54,937 36.44 26,463
184 Patna Sahib Nand Kishore Yadav BJP 97,692 51.91 Pravin Singh INC 79,392 42.19 18,300
185 Fatuha Rama Nand Yadav RJD 85,769 50.87 Satyendra Kumar Singh BJP 66,399 39.38 19,370
186 Danapur Ritlal Yadav RJD 89,895 48.44 Asha Devi Yadav BJP 73,971 39.86 15,924
187 Maner Bhai Virendra RJD 94,223 47.44 Nikhil Anand BJP 61,306 30.86 32,917
188 Phulwari (SC) Gopal Ravidas CPI(ML)L 91,124 43.57 Arun Manjhi JDU 77,267 36.95 13,857
189 Masaurhi (SC) Rekha Devi RJD 98,696 50.21 Nutan Paswan JDU 66,469 33.81 32,227
190 Paliganj Sandeep Saurav CPI(ML)L 67,917 43.73 Jai Vardhan Yadav JDU 37,002 23.83 30,915
191 Bikram Siddharth Saurav Singh INC 86,177 47.71 Anil Kumar Singh IND 50,717 28.08 35,460
Bhojpur District
192 Sandesh Kiran Devi Yadav RJD 79,599 51.54 Vijayendra Yadav JDU 28,992 18.77 50,607
193 Barhara Raghvendra Pratap Singh BJP 76,182 46.15 Saroj Yadav RJD 71,209 43.13 4,973
194 Arrah Amrendra Pratap Singh BJP 71,781 45.05 Quyamuddin Ansari CPI(ML)L 68,779 43.17 3,002
195 Agiaon (SC) Manoj Manzil CPI(ML)L 86,327 61.39 Prabhunath Prasad JDU 37,777 26.87 48,550
196 Tarari Sudama Prasad CPI(ML)L 73,945 43.53 Narendra Kumar Pandey IND 62,930 37.05 11,015
197 Jagdishpur Ram Vishnun Singh RJD 66,632 39.68 Shri Bhagwan Singh Kushwaha LJP 44,525 26.51 22,107
198 Shahpur Rahul Tiwari RJD 64,393 41.14 Shobha Devi IND 41,510 26.52 22,883
Buxar District
199 Brahampur Shambhu Nath Singh Yadav RJD 90,176 48.64 Hulas Pandey LJP 39,035 21.05 51,141
200 Buxar Sanjay Kumar Tiwari INC 59,417 36.38 Parshuram Chaubey BJP 55,525 33.99 3,892
201 Dumraon Ajit Kushwaha CPI(ML)L 71,320 40.76 Anjum Ara JDU 46,905 26.81 24,415
202 Rajpur (SC) Vishwanath Ram INC 67,871 36.76 Santosh Kumar Nirala JDU 46,667 25.28 21,204
Kaimur District
203 Ramgarh Sudhakar Singh RJD 58,083 32.40 Ambika Singh Yadav BSP 57,894 32.30 189
204 Mohania (SC) Sangita Kumari RJD 61,235 37.84 Niranjan Ram BJP 49,181 30.39 12,054
205 Bhabua Bharat Bind RJD 57,561 32.98 Rinki Rani Pandey BJP 47,516 27.22 10,045
206 Chainpur Mohd Zama Khan BSP 95,245 46.24 Brij Kishor Bind BJP 70,951 34.45 24,294
Rohtas District
207 Chenari (SC) Murari Prasad Gautam INC 71,701 41.25 Lalan Paswan JDU 53,698 30.89 18,003
208 Sasaram Rajesh Kumar Gupta RJD 83,303 46.54 Ashok Kumar JDU 56,880 31.78 26,423
209 Kargahar Santosh Kumar Mishra INC 47,321 30.76 Uday Pratap Singh JDU 55,680 28.66 4,083
210 Dinara Vijay Mandal RJD 59,541 34.97 Rajendra Prasad Singh LJP 51,313 30.13 8,228
211 Nokha Anita Devi RJD 65,690 44.15 Nagendra Chandrawansi JDU 48,018 32.27 17,672
212 Dehri Fateh Bahadur Kushwaha RJD 64,567 41.57 Satyanarayan Yadav BJP 64,103 41.27 464
213 Karakat Arun Kushwaha CPI(ML)L 82,700 48.19 Rajeshwar Raj BJP 64,511 37.59 18,189
Arwal District
214 Arwal Maha Nand Singh CPI(ML)L 68,286 47.18 Dipak Kumar Sharma BJP 48,336 33.40 19,950
215 Kurtha Bagi Kumar Verma RJD 54,227 39.54 Satyadev Kushwaha JDU 26,417 19.26 27,810
Jehanabad District
216 Jehanabad Suday Yadav RJD 75,030 47.03 Krishannandan Prasad Verma JDU 41,128 25.78 33,902
217 Ghosi Ram Bali Singh Yadav CPI(ML)L 74,712 49.07 Rahul Kumar JDU 57,379 37.68 17,333
218 Makhdumpur (SC) Satish Kumar RJD 71,571 52.01 Devendra Kumar HAM 49,006 35.62 22,565
Aurangabad District
219 Goh Bheem Kumar Yadav RJD 81,410 44.07 Manoj Kumar Sharma BJP 45,792 24.79 35,618
220 Obra Rishi Kumar RJD 63,662 36.24 Prakash Chandra LJP 40,994 23.34 22,668
221 Nabinagar Vijay Kumar Singh RJD 64,943 40.68 Virendra Kumar Singh JDU 44,822 28.07 20,121
222 Kutumba (SC) Rajesh Kumar INC 50,822 36.61 Sharwan Bhuinya HAM 34,169 24.61 16,653
223 Aurangabad Anand Shankar Singh INC 70,018 41.27 Ramadhar Singh BJP 67,775 39.95 2,243
224 Rafiganj Mohammad Nehaluddin RJD 63,325 34.22 Pramod Kumar Singh IND 53,896 29.12 9,429
Gaya District
225 Gurua Vinay Yadav RJD 70,761 39.55 Rajiv Nandan Dangi BJP 64,162 35.86 6,599
226 Sherghati Manju Agrawal RJD 61,804 35.74 Vinod Prasad Yadav JDU 45,114 26.09 16,690
227 Imamganj (SC) Jitan Ram Manjhi HAM 78,762 45.36 Uday Narayan Choudhary RJD 62,728 36.12 16,034
228 Barachatti (SC) Jyoti Devi HAM 72,491 39.21 Samta Devi RJD 66,173 35.79 6,318
229 Bodh Gaya (SC) Kumar Sarvjeet RJD 80,926 41.84 Hari Manjhi BJP 76,218 39.40 4,708
230 Gaya Town Prem Kumar BJP 66,932 49.89 Akhauri Onkar Nath INC 55,034 41.02 11,898
231 Tikari Anil Kumar HAM 70,359 37.69 Sumant Kumar INC 67,729 36.28 2,630
232 Belaganj Surendra Prasad Yadav RJD 79,708 46.91 Abhay Kushwaha JDU 55,745 32.81 23,963
233 Atri Ajay Yadav RJD 62,658 36.55 Manorama Devi JDU 54,727 31.93 7,931
234 Wazirganj Birendra Singh BJP 70,713 40.23 Shashi Shekhar Singh INC 48,283 27.47 22,430
Nawada District
235 Rajauli (SC) Prakash Veer RJD 69,984 41.72 Kanhaiya Kumar BJP 57,391 34.22 12,593
236 Hisua Nitu Kumari INC 94,930 49.81 Anil Singh BJP 77,839 40.84 17,091
237 Nawada Vibha Devi Yadav RJD 72,345 40.06 Sharwan Kumar IND 46,125 25.51 26,220
238 Gobindpur Mohammed Kamran RJD 79,557 49.21 Purnima Yadav JDU 46,483 28.75 33,074
239 Warisaliganj Aruna Devi BJP 62,451 36.49 Satish Kumar INC 53,421 31.22 9,030
Jamui District
240 Sikandra (SC) Prafull Kumar Manjhi HAM 47,061 30.67 Sudhir Kumar INC 41,556 27.09 5,505
241 Jamui Shreyasi Singh BJP 79,603 43.89 Vijay Prakash Yadav RJD 38,554 21.26 41,049
242 Jhajha Damodar Rawat JDU 76,972 39.55 Rajendra Prasad RJD 75,293 38.69 1,679
243 Chakai Sumit Kumar Singh IND 45,548 24.02 Savitri Devi RJD 44,967 23.71 581
NDA distribution of 125 seats for a majority in 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election.
  1. BJP-74 (59.2%)
  2. JDU-43 (34.4%)
  3. HAM-4 (3.20%)
  4. VIP-4 (3.20%)

Aftermath

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Government formation

[edit]

After the election process concluded, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar tendered his resignation to the Governor on 13 November 2020.[129] The National Democratic Alliance members met at around 12:30 pm IST, on 15 November to formally announce and elect the new Chief Minister.[129][130] Nitish Kumar was elected leader of the NDA and Chief Minister in the meeting.[131] After being elected as the NDA leader in Bihar, Nitish said that he did not want to become the chief minister of the state and wanted someone from the BJP party to become the next chief minister. However he accepted the designation on the insistence of the BJP.[132] Soon after, Nitish visited the Governor to stake claim to form the new government.[133]

Reactions and analysis

[edit]

After the election results were announced, the incumbent Chief Minister of Bihar Nitish Kumar thanked the Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi for his contribution and support to the National Democratic Alliance in the election campaign.[134] Narendra Modi himself declared victory and quoted “Democracy has once again won in Bihar.”[135][136]

Following the results, Tejashwi claimed to have "won 130 seats" and that "the mandate was in our favour, but the Election Commission’s results were declared in favour of NDA". He claimed, that the MGB "lost about 20 seats" because of "irregularities" in counting of postal ballots[137] and threatened to move to court.[138][139] The Election Commission termed the claims unfounded, adding that, according to procedure, the postal ballots including the invalid ones were re-verified where the margin of victory was less than the number of rejected ballots.[139][140] Tejashwi also claimed that NDA won by "money, muscle power and deceit".[141][142] Later the Election Commission claimed that it had counted random voter-verified paper audit trail which matched the EVM count.[143]

The Time magazine called the victory as a triumph for Modi's "Hindu Nationalist Message".[144] According to analysts BJP has become more significant in the state than before.[145] The 14th Dalai Lama congratulated Nitish on his election victory.[146]

Bye-election

[edit]
S.No Date Constituency MLA before election Party before election Elected MLA Party after election
78 30 October 2021[147] Kusheshwar Asthan (SC) Shashi Bhushan Hazari Janata Dal (United) Aman Bhushan Hajari Janata Dal (United)
164 Tarapur Mewalal Chaudhary Janata Dal (United) Rajeev Kumar Singh Janata Dal (United)|
91 12 April 2022 Bochahan (SC) Musafir Paswan Vikassheel Insaan Party Amar Kumar Paswan Rashtriya Janata Dal
101 3 November 2022 Gopalganj Subash Singh Bharatiya Janata Party Kusum Devi Bharatiya Janata Party
178 Mokama Anant Kumar Singh Rashtriya Janata Dal Nilam Devi Rashtriya Janata Dal
93 5 December 2022 Kurhani Anil Sahani Rashtriya Janata Dal Kedar Prasad Gupta Bharatiya Janata Party
195 1 June 2024[148] Agiaon (SC) Manoj Manzil Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation Shiv Prakash Ranjan Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation
60 10 July 2024[149] Rupauli Bima Bharti Janata Dal (United) Shankar Singh Independent
196 13 November 2024 Tarari Sudama Prasad Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation Vishal Prashant Bharatiya Janata Party
203 Ramgarh Sudhakar Singh Rashtriya Janata Dal Ashok Kumar Singh
227 Imamganj (SC) Jitan Ram Manjhi Hindustani Awam Morcha Deepa Manjhi Hindustani Awam Morcha
232 Belaganj Surendra Prasad Yadav Rashtriya Janata Dal Manorama Devi Janata Dal (United)

See also

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References

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[edit]

Grokipedia

from Grokipedia
The 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election was conducted in three phases on 28 October, 3 November, and 7 November to elect members for all 243 constituencies amid the COVID-19 pandemic, which influenced campaigning and voter mobilization through restrictions and the return of migrant workers.[1] The incumbent National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's Janata Dal (United) in coalition with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and smaller parties, secured a narrow majority with 125 seats—BJP winning 74, JD(U) 43, and allies 8—allowing Kumar to form the government for his fourth term despite pre-election tensions over seat-sharing and Kumar's history of alliance shifts. The opposition Mahagathbandhan alliance, spearheaded by Tejashwi Yadav of the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) alongside the Indian National Congress and communist parties, captured 110 seats, with RJD as the largest single party at 75 seats, mounting a credible threat fueled by youth discontent over employment and governance but falling short due to fragmented vote distribution in the first-past-the-post system. Voter turnout stood at 57.05%, reflecting cautious participation amid health concerns.[1] The razor-thin victory—NDA's 37.26% vote share edging out the opposition's near-equivalent by mere thousands of votes—highlighted Bihar's polarized politics and the enduring influence of caste-based mobilization over policy shifts.[2]

Historical and Political Context

Prior Elections and Shifts in Power

The 2000 Bihar Legislative Assembly election, conducted in two phases on February 11 and March 3, saw the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) under Lalu Prasad Yadav emerge victorious with 124 seats in the 324-member house, forming a coalition government that extended RJD's dominance since 1990.[3] This prolonged RJD tenure was plagued by entrenched corruption, most notably the fodder scam involving the diversion of over ₹900 crore in animal husbandry funds, alongside rampant lawlessness that critics labeled "jungle raj," characterized by unchecked kidnappings, extortion, and caste-driven violence, exacerbating unemployment and prompting large-scale out-migration to other states.[4][5] The February 2005 election produced a hung assembly, with no clear majority among the RJD-led front (156 seats short of a stable coalition due to Lok Janshakti Party's independent run) or the NDA, leading to President's Rule and fresh polls in October.[6] In the October vote, the NDA—primarily JD(U) and BJP—captured 143 of the 243 seats with 36.6% of the vote share, enabling Nitish Kumar to assume the chief ministership on November 24 and pivot toward stringent law-and-order measures, including police modernization and curbing caste militias, marking a decisive break from prior appeasement politics.[7][8] The NDA's momentum peaked in the 2010 election, where it clinched 206 of 243 seats amid a consolidated vote share exceeding 37%, signaling strong endorsement of Kumar's administration through improved security and basic infrastructure, which contrasted sharply with the fragmented opposition's 25 seats for the RJD-LJP alliance.[9][10] Yet, fissures emerged post-2010; Kumar ended the JD(U)-BJP partnership in June 2013 after the BJP named Narendra Modi as its prime ministerial candidate, citing ideological differences, which halved JD(U)'s seats in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls and set the stage for realignment.[11] In 2015, Kumar's JD(U) allied with RJD and Congress under the Mahagathbandhan banner, securing 178 seats (JD(U) 71, RJD 80, Congress 27) against the NDA's 58, allowing Kumar to retain power but tying him to former rivals amid promises of social justice.[12] The coalition unraveled on July 26, 2017, when Kumar resigned, pointing to corruption investigations against deputy Tejashwi Yadav in the RJD-linked railway contract scam, and rejoined the BJP to reconstitute the NDA government without fresh elections.[13] These oscillations between alliances—from RJD dominance to NDA reforms and back—highlighted chronic instability, with abrupt policy U-turns on governance priorities and evident voter disillusionment with familial succession in parties like RJD, as reflected in narrowing vote margins and alliance dependencies across cycles.[11]

Incumbent NDA Government's Record (2005–2020)

The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government under Chief Minister Nitish Kumar assumed power in November 2005, ending the Rashtriya Janata Dal's 15-year rule, and governed Bihar through multiple terms until 2020, albeit with brief alliances shifts in 2015–2017. Kumar's administration emphasized infrastructure development and social empowerment, particularly for Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) and Mahadalits, aiming to address systemic neglect. Empirical metrics indicate progress in connectivity and basic services, though economic indicators revealed persistent structural weaknesses, including high out-migration and lagging per capita growth relative to national averages.[14] Infrastructure saw marked expansion, with the state's road network nearly doubling from 14,468 km in 2005 to approximately 26,000 km by the mid-2010s, facilitating better rural-urban linkages through initiatives like the Mukhyamantri Gram Sampark Yojana.[15] Electricity supply transformed from sporadic rural access—averaging 5–6 hours daily in 2005—to near-universal household electrification by 2020, supported by central schemes and state investments that elevated peak demand from 700 MW to over 8,000 MW.[16] Poverty metrics improved substantially, with multidimensional poverty incidence in Bihar declining faster than the national average, from around 77% in 2005–06 to under 34% by 2019–21, driven by targeted welfare and agricultural growth.[17] Educational enrollment rose, with literacy climbing from 61.8% in 2011 to about 72% by 2020, though learning outcomes remained suboptimal.[18] Despite these gains, critiques centered on unaddressed economic vulnerabilities. Bihar's gross state domestic product (GSDP) growth averaged 10.93% annually from 2005–11 but decelerated thereafter, consistently trailing India's national rate in per capita terms, with the state contributing only about 3% to national GDP.[14] Out-migration persisted at scale, with over 7.45 million interstate migrants recorded in the 2011 Census—predominantly youth seeking employment elsewhere—reflecting limited local job creation and fueling remittances as a key economic pillar.[19] Youth unemployment for ages 15–29 hovered around 12–15% per Periodic Labour Force Survey data, exacerbated by low female workforce participation at 31.2%.[20] The 2016 alcohol prohibition policy yielded mixed results on women's safety, reducing reported intimate partner violence through lower spousal alcohol consumption, yet it spurred illicit trade and enforcement challenges without curbing underlying domestic tensions comprehensively.[21] Governance faced scrutiny over corruption scandals, notably the Srijan scam, where an NGO diverted over ₹1,000 crore in government funds from 2004–2014 via fictitious transactions involving state treasuries, implicating local officials and highlighting oversight lapses.[22] Crime statistics presented a nuanced picture: while cognizable crimes per lakh population fell from 222 in the early 2000s to 159.7 by 2020, rates of attempted murders rose 67.6% under Kumar's tenure, per National Crime Records Bureau data, underscoring incomplete law-and-order reforms.[23] Kumar's EBC and Mahadalit quota expansions—reserving over 50% of seats in local bodies—bolstered political support among marginalized castes but arguably diverted focus from broad-based industrialization to alliance preservation, as evidenced by Kumar's 2015 shift to the Mahagathbandhan and 2017 return to NDA, prioritizing coalition stability over sustained developmental momentum.[24]

Socio-Economic Conditions Pre-Election

Bihar's population stood at approximately 110 million in 2020, with over 88% residing in rural areas, reflecting heavy dependence on agrarian livelihoods and limited urbanization.[25][26] The state's demographic profile featured a youthful structure, with nearly 58% of residents under 25 years of age, amplifying pressures on employment and public services. Caste demographics, characterized by Other Backward Classes (OBCs) at around 27% and Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) at 36%—together forming over 63% of the population per subsequent surveys—exerted substantial influence on social and economic dynamics, though exact pre-2020 enumerations relied on estimates from earlier data.[27] Economically, Bihar recorded the lowest per capita income among Indian states at roughly ₹48,000 in 2019-20, underscoring persistent developmental lags despite some growth in prior years.[28] Agriculture engaged about 50% of the workforce, yet productivity remained constrained by the state's flood-prone terrain, where 73% of the geographical area faced annual inundation from rivers like the Kosi and Gandak, disrupting cropping cycles and infrastructure.[29][30] The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020 triggered a massive reverse migration, with an estimated 1.5 crore workers returning from urban centers across India, straining local resources and highlighting chronic out-migration driven by insufficient local job opportunities.[31] Health and education indicators revealed enduring gaps: the infant mortality rate hovered at 27 per 1,000 live births in rural areas during 2020, higher than the national average and linked to inadequate sanitation and maternal care access.[32] Literacy stood at approximately 70%, with stark rural-urban and gender disparities—male rates exceeding female by nearly 20 percentage points—impeding skill development and economic mobility amid a burgeoning youth cohort.[33] These conditions fostered widespread voter concerns over sustenance and opportunity, setting a backdrop of empirical hardship rather than isolated progress metrics.

Major Issues and Voter Concerns

Economic Migration and Development Deficits

Bihar's economy has long been characterized by high levels of out-migration, with an estimated 20-25% of its workforce seeking employment outside the state due to insufficient local opportunities in industry and services.[18] [34] According to 2011 census data extrapolated to pre-election estimates, Bihar contributed around 20.9 million inter-state migrants, many in low-skill sectors like construction and labor, underscoring structural deficits in industrialization and job creation despite remittances inflows estimated at over ₹1 lakh crore annually, which propped up rural consumption but failed to spur sustained local growth.[34] The COVID-19 lockdowns from March 2020 exacerbated this, triggering mass reverse migration as over 40% of rural youth migrants from Bihar lost urban jobs and returned home, straining local resources and amplifying pre-existing unemployment pressures among the state's roughly 2 crore youth aged 15-29.[35] [36] The incumbent NDA government, led by Nitish Kumar since 2005, promoted the Saat Nischay program to address infrastructure gaps through initiatives in roads, electricity, and education, claiming these would foster employment indirectly.[37] However, verifiable outcomes showed limited direct job generation, with only about 6 lakh government positions filled over 15 years, far short of demands from a youth cohort facing labor force participation rates below 40% and unemployment concentrated among the educated.[38] Bihar's fiscal constraints— with own tax revenue at ₹34,750 crore in 2020-21 against a total budget of around ₹2.18 lakh crore—highlighted causal barriers to scaling public employment without broader reforms in revenue mobilization and private investment, as remittances masked rather than resolved underlying productivity stagnation.[39] [40] In contrast, the opposition Mahagathbandhan, spearheaded by Tejashwi Yadav, campaigned on a pledge to create 10 lakh government jobs within months of assuming power, positioning it as a direct antidote to migration-driven distress.[41] This promise, while resonant amid post-lockdown returns, overlooked fiscal realities: Bihar's low industrial base and dependence on central transfers (over 50% of revenue) rendered such expansion untenable without corresponding increases in tax base or efficiency, as public sector hiring alone cannot generate sustainable employment without private sector multipliers from skill development and ease of business—deficits persisting despite prior schemes.[39] Empirical patterns from other states indicate that rapid job pledges often lead to budgetary overload or unfulfilled delivery, prioritizing short-term patronage over long-term causal drivers like human capital investment.[20]

Caste-Based Politics and Social Engineering

Caste dynamics have profoundly shaped Bihar's electoral landscape, with parties engineering vote blocs around demographic arithmetic rather than ideological platforms. In the 2020 assembly election, the Mahagathbandhan, led by the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), achieved near-unanimous consolidation among Yadavs (approximately 14% of the population), securing 79% of their votes, and strong support from Muslims (17% of the population), with 65% backing, forming a core bloc estimated at 27-31% of the electorate.[42][43] Conversely, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) relied on upper castes (15% of the population), capturing 53% of their votes, and Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs, 36% of the population), with 44% support, enabling a narrow victory despite comparable overall vote shares of around 37% for both alliances.[42][43] This polarization underscored persistent caste loyalties, where empirical data from post-poll surveys revealed limited cross-bloc defection compared to 2015, when broader OBC consolidation had favored the then-Mahagathbandhan.[42] Nitish Kumar's administration pursued deliberate social engineering to reconfigure these blocs, targeting fragmentation within Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Scheduled Castes (SCs). The Mahadalit scheme, initiated in 2007 following recommendations from the Bihar State Mahadalit Commission, classified 18 of 22 Dalit sub-castes (covering about 75% of SCs) as "Mahadalits" eligible for enhanced welfare, including land patta distribution to 2.5 lakh beneficiaries by 2010, scholarships, and hostels, aiming to address intra-Dalit disparities dominated by the more prosperous Dusadh and Paswan communities.[44] Complementing this, EBC quotas in government jobs and education were raised from 12% to 18% in 2006, later adjusted to 25% under a 2016 policy, benefiting over 100 small OBC castes and countering Yadav (14%) numerical edge within OBCs by fostering political agency and higher turnout among these groups, which constitute 18-20% of the vote bank.[45][46] These measures empirically shifted EBC allegiance toward the NDA, with 44% support in 2020 versus fragmented votes in prior cycles, though implementation gaps, such as uneven land reforms, limited full socio-economic uplift.[42][44] Critics of the RJD portrayed its strategy as entrenching Yadav dominance through hereditary leadership—exemplified by Lalu Prasad Yadav's family succession to son Tejashwi—fostering a patronage system that prioritized caste kin networks over meritocratic governance, contributing to the "Jungle Raj" era's stagnation before 2005.[45] This approach, while consolidating a reliable 27% bloc, incurred agency costs by alienating EBCs and perpetuating intra-OBC rivalries, as evidenced by RJD's over-reliance on Yadav candidates (24% of tickets despite 14% population share).[47] In contrast, Nitish's fragmentation tactics drew acclaim from equity advocates for extending Mandal Commission (1990) principles to sub-groups, enhancing representation without proportional seat gains for dominant castes.[46] However, development-oriented perspectives contended that such engineering, while tactically effective, reinforced caste as a zero-sum resource allocator, delaying broader economic reforms needed to transcend identity-based voting patterns observed in persistent bloc fidelities from 2015 to 2020.[42]

Law and Order versus 'Jungle Raj' Narratives

During the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)-led governments under Lalu Prasad Yadav from 1990 to 2005, Bihar was widely characterized by the term "Jungle Raj," referring to pervasive lawlessness including rampant kidnappings for ransom, booth capturing in elections, and caste-based violence that deterred investment and mobility.[5][48] Criminal gangs operated with impunity, often linked to political patronage, resulting in Bihar's reputation as India's most failed state in terms of governance and security. Following Nitish Kumar's assumption of power in November 2005 as part of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), reforms targeted police professionalization, rapid trials, and decentralization of authority, leading to measurable declines in key crimes; for instance, National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) data indicated a sharp drop in kidnappings and serious offenses in the initial years, with overall cognizable crimes falling by over 20% between 2006 and 2007.[49][50] These changes facilitated economic resurgence, as improved security reduced extortion risks, enabling remittances from migrant workers to fuel local growth and infrastructure, with Bihar's per capita income rising at 9.44% annually from 2007 to 2012.[51] However, NCRB figures also showed rises in crimes against women, such as rapes up 21% and kidnappings of women up 16% by 2015, underscoring uneven progress amid population growth and reporting improvements.[52] The 2016 liquor prohibition under Nitish Kumar aimed to curb alcohol-fueled domestic violence and public disorder, correlating with a 0.22 standard deviation reduction in reported violent crimes per district-level studies, though it spurred illicit trade, hooch deaths, and enforcement-related violence.[53][54] In the 2020 campaign, the NDA leveraged this record to pitch "Sushasan" (good governance) and stability, warning voters against a Mahagathbandhan (MGB) return to Jungle Raj under RJD's Tejashwi Yadav, whose family faced ongoing corruption probes including disproportionate assets.[23] The MGB countered by highlighting NDA-era crime spikes and alleged selective enforcement, though empirical data favored NDA's narrative of systemic gains over anecdotal opposition claims, with left-leaning critiques often downplaying policing's causal role in enabling Bihar's Human Development Index climb from 0.367 in 2005 to higher rankings by 2020.[55]

Alliances, Parties, and Strategies

National Democratic Alliance Composition and Tactics

![The Chief Minister of Bihar, Shri Nitish Kumar meeting with the Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission, Shri Montek Singh Ahluwalia to finalize Annual Plan 2007-08 of the State, in New Delhi on February 14, 2007 (Nitish Kumar) (cropped).jpg][float-right] The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election primarily consisted of the Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) contesting 115 seats and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) contesting 110 seats, with smaller partners such as the Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) (HAM(S)) allocated 7 seats and the Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) 4 seats.[56] This seat-sharing arrangement reflected a pragmatic approach aimed at maximizing vote consolidation against the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)-led opposition, rather than strict ideological cohesion, as the allies adjusted allocations based on winnability assessments in caste-dominated constituencies.[57] Leadership dynamics featured Nitish Kumar of JD(U) as the alliance's chief ministerial face, drawing on his 15-year tenure as chief minister since 2005, which emphasized governance reforms, contrasted with the BJP's robust organizational machinery and national leadership support to mobilize upper-caste and non-Yadav backward voters.[58] The NDA's tactics centered on highlighting empirical gains in development under Kumar, including road connectivity expansions from 800 km of paved roads in 2005 to over 10,000 km by 2020, electrification of 99% of households, and initiatives like the liquor prohibition policy enacted in 2016, which appealed particularly to women voters.[59] The alliance also pushed for enhanced women's reservation, building on Kumar's earlier implementation of 35% quota for women in local body elections in 2006, positioning it as a counter to opposition narratives on social justice.[59] The NDA maintained an empirical advantage in upper-caste (e.g., Bhumihars, Rajputs) and Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) vote shares, where surveys indicated 40-50% support driven by perceptions of improved law enforcement and economic stability post-2005, as opposed to the pre-Nitish era.[60] However, intra-alliance strains emerged from the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP)'s defection in September 2020, led by Chirag Paswan, who invoked a "Bihar First" platform and fielded candidates on 137 seats, predominantly against JD(U) incumbents to erode Kumar's base among Dalits and Paswans, resulting in JD(U) securing only 43 seats compared to BJP's 74.[61] This tactical split, while not derailing NDA's overall majority of 125 seats, underscored tensions over leadership primacy and resource allocation within the coalition.[57][62]

Mahagathbandhan Dynamics and Appeals

The Mahagathbandhan alliance, led by the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), positioned itself as a counter to the incumbent National Democratic Alliance through consolidation of caste-based voting blocs, particularly the Muslim-Yadav (MY) combine that has historically underpinned RJD's support. This strategy drew from the party's entrenched influence among Yadavs, who constitute around 14% of Bihar's population, and the 17% Muslim electorate, seeking to leverage demographic arithmetic for electoral gains. The inclusion of Congress and Left parties aimed to broaden appeal among secular voters and smaller backward castes, though these allies played marginal roles due to their limited organizational strength in the state.[63] Tejashwi Yadav, son of RJD founder Lalu Prasad Yadav, emerged as the alliance's chief ministerial face, emphasizing youth employment to address Bihar's high unemployment rates, which exceeded 10% among the 15-29 age group pre-election. He pledged to provide 10 lakh government jobs within the first year of forming government, tapping into the aspirations of a youthful demographic frustrated by economic migration and stagnant job creation under the prior regime. The Left partners contributed a narrative of secularism and anti-fascism, appealing to minority communities wary of perceived majoritarian policies, while downplaying RJD's past governance lapses. This jobs-centric pitch marked a shift from pure caste mobilization, though empirical analysis indicates the core remained the MY bloc's reliability.[64][65] Critics, including NDA leaders, highlighted the alliance's heavy reliance on Lalu Prasad Yadav's family dynasty as a root cause of RJD's earlier administrative failures from 1990 to 2005, when Bihar experienced negligible economic growth, rampant corruption exemplified by the fodder scam involving millions in embezzled funds, and a breakdown in law and order leading to mass exodus. This dynastic control, with Tejashwi and his siblings holding key positions, was argued to perpetuate nepotism over merit-based governance, undermining policy innovation and contributing to the state's developmental deficits. Mainstream outlets often framed the Mahagathbandhan as a viable anti-BJP front, yet closer scrutiny reveals a paucity of detailed economic blueprints beyond populist promises, with cohesion strained by Congress's negligible 7-8% vote share in prior polls and occasional seat-sharing disputes.[66] The alliance drew momentum from the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, where RJD secured a 22.6% vote share despite winning no seats, signaling potential spillover into assembly segments through consolidated opposition votes against NDA dominance. However, internal frictions persisted, with Congress's organizational weaknesses rendering it a junior partner, often overshadowed by RJD's assertive negotiations, which prioritized Yadav-dominated constituencies. Such dynamics underscored a tactical rather than ideological unity, vulnerable to perceptions of policy vacuum amid Bihar's pressing needs for infrastructure and industrial revival.[57]

Smaller Alliances and Independent Factors

The Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), led by Chirag Paswan, opted to contest the 2020 election independently rather than as part of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), strategically fielding candidates primarily against Janata Dal (United) [JD(U)] incumbents while avoiding direct contests against Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) nominees.[61] This approach, dubbed a "vote-cutter" tactic by critics, contributed to JD(U)'s reduced tally from 71 seats in 2015 to 43 seats, as LJP's interventions fragmented Paswan community and lower-caste votes in approximately 40 constituencies.[67] [68] Despite securing only one seat (Piari) and a vote share below 2%, LJP's targeted disruptions amplified NDA internal dynamics, indirectly benefiting BJP's seat gains.[69] A smaller coalition, the Grand Democratic Secular Front (GDSF), emerged as a third front comprising the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP) under Upendra Kushwaha, All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) led by Asaduddin Owaisi, Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), and minor outfits like the Peoples Party of India (Democratic).[70] This grouping contested over 100 seats, emphasizing secular appeals to non-Yadav OBCs, Dalits, and Muslims, but achieved limited success with AIMIM securing five seats in the Muslim-dominated Seemanchal region (Amour, Bahadurganj, Kochadhaman, Phulwari Sharif, and Jokihat).[71] AIMIM's 1.02% statewide vote share masked localized impacts, where it drew 10-15% in targeted pockets, splitting anti-NDA Muslim votes and enabling NDA victories in triangular contests by diluting Mahagathbandhan margins.[72] The GDSF's overall vote haul remained under 5%, underscoring its marginal electoral footprint despite tactical disruptions in caste-fluid areas.[73] Independents and micro-parties fielded around 1,200 candidates, comprising roughly 20% of the total field, often leveraging local grievances or rebel candidacies to fragment votes in close races.[74] While independents won just one seat and garnered under 3% votes collectively, their presence influenced outcomes in at least 10 narrow-margin constituencies (differences under 5,000 votes) through vote splits or boosting NOTA options, particularly in rural belts where personalized campaigns swayed undecided voters.[75] This scattered effect, though empirically minor statewide, highlighted Bihar's fragmented polity, where fringe elements amplified multi-cornered dynamics without altering the bipolar NDA-Mahagathbandhan contest.[57]

Pre-Election Polling and Forecasts

Opinion Polls on Vote Shares

Pre-election opinion polls for the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election generally projected the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) holding a modest lead in vote shares over the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), with aggregates estimating NDA support at 35–40% and MGB at 30–35%, though margins of error around 3–5% rendered outcomes competitive.[76][77] These surveys captured a narrowing gap following initial post-COVID sentiments favoring opposition anti-incumbency narratives, as NDA consolidation among upper castes and non-Yadav OBCs bolstered its position in later polling.[78] Prominent polls, such as those by Lokniti-CSDS and CVoter, relied on face-to-face interviews in rural-heavy samples to mitigate biases from phone-based methods, which often underrepresented migrant laborers and lower-income voters in Bihar's context. Lokniti-CSDS, conducting fieldwork from October 10–17, 2020, with a sample of 3,731 respondents, forecasted NDA at 38% and MGB at 32%, attributing the edge to NDA's retention of 2019 Lok Sabha voters despite a 5% erosion since 2015.[76] CVoter's October 2020 surveys similarly tilted toward NDA, though earlier iterations occasionally inflated its share to near 48%, highlighting methodological sensitivities to undecided voters (up to 24% in some cases) and splintered opposition votes to entities like LJP at 6%.[79][80]
PollsterDateNDA Vote ShareMGB Vote ShareOthers/UndecidedNotes
Lokniti-CSDSOct 10–17, 202038%32%17% others + undecidedFace-to-face; NDA lead of 6% despite voter indecision.[76]
CVoter (ABP/Times Now)Oct 14–24, 2020~41–48% (varied)~30–35% (est.)Not specifiedEdge to NDA; potential overestimation from sampling.[79][80]
Discrepancies arose from challenges in capturing caste dynamics and migrant turnout, with booth-level validations proving more reliable than telephonic probes amid Bihar's low literacy and connectivity issues; nonetheless, these pre-polls aligned closer to empirical patterns than subsequent exit surveys, underscoring limits in polling anti-incumbency hype without granular field verification.[81][82]

Seat Projection Analyses

The Lokniti-CSDS pre-poll survey, conducted between October 10 and 17, 2020, projected the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure 120-130 seats in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly, reflecting a modest edge over the Mahagathbandhan alliance amid a closely contested race.[83] This forecast aligned with the NDA's observed consolidation among rural voters, particularly through caste-based mobilization of upper castes, OBCs, and EBCs, though it incorporated adjustments for undecided voters leaning toward Nitish Kumar's Janata Dal (United.[76] In contrast, some media interpretations amplified Tejashwi Yadav's youth appeal and anti-incumbency against Nitish Kumar, suggesting potential Mahagathbandhan gains beyond empirical sampling data, which detached from ground-level rural dynamics where NDA's development narrative held firmer sway. Methodological critiques of these projections highlighted potential urban sampling biases in pollster methodologies, as Bihar's electorate remains predominantly rural, with over 80% of seats influenced by village-level caste arithmetic rather than urban migrant sentiments.[42] Lokniti-CSDS, drawing from its academic rigor and face-to-face interviews across 40 constituencies, mitigated some errors by weighting for caste and regional variations, yet broader media reliance on telephonic or online supplements in other forecasts underestimated NDA's rural booth-level organization.[84] Pollster reliability varied, with Lokniti's seat range proving proximate to the actual NDA tally of 125 seats, while less rigorous surveys overemphasized Tejashwi's momentum from urban youth cohorts, ignoring causal factors like Nitish Kumar's targeted welfare schemes resonating in EBC-dominated areas.[85] Projections from other outlets, such as those aggregated in pre-election analyses, ranged NDA estimates up to 150 seats in optimistic scenarios factoring late consolidations, but these often lacked transparency in seat allocation models across alliances.[76] Errors stemmed from undercapturing covert NDA support in polarized rural pockets, where respondents hedged responses due to lingering 'jungle raj' fears from prior RJD regimes, a factor Lokniti partially addressed through follow-up probing but which mainstream narratives downplayed in favor of opposition surge stories.[42] Overall, while projections captured the razor-thin margin—evident in 20% of seats decided by under 5,000 votes—their variance underscored challenges in modeling Bihar's fragmented caste coalitions without granular, on-ground validation.[86]

Campaign Dynamics

Key Campaign Events and Rallies

Prime Minister Narendra Modi addressed a major rally in Patna on October 28, 2020, coinciding with the first phase of polling, where he warned voters that a single vote could prevent Bihar from descending into the "jungle raj" of the 1990s under Rashtriya Janata Dal rule, emphasizing the NDA's record of development and stability.[87][88] The event drew large crowds and highlighted the NDA's strategy of leveraging national leadership star power to counter Mahagathbandhan narratives, with Modi invoking infrastructure projects like expressways and the Ram temple to underscore progress under Nitish Kumar's governance.[89] On October 25, 2020, Tejashwi Yadav, the Mahagathbandhan's chief ministerial face, released the alliance's manifesto promising 10 lakh government jobs within the first year of forming government, alongside improvements in education and healthcare, positioning the campaign around youth unemployment and migrant worker crises exacerbated by the COVID-19 lockdown.[90] This pledge formed the core of Tejashwi's grassroots rallies across the state, targeting rural and urban youth with direct appeals for economic revival, contrasting the NDA's focus on continuity by framing the election as a choice between immediate job creation and alleged corruption in prior regimes.[90] A notable viral moment occurred on October 27, 2020, when Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, during a rally, remarked without naming opponents that families seeking a male heir were having "eight to nine children," a comment interpreted as a jab at Lalu Prasad Yadav's family and criticized for insensitivity amid Bihar's demographic challenges.[91] Tejashwi responded by noting Prime Minister Modi's six siblings, deflecting the attack and amplifying it on social media to question Nitish's focus.[91] Following the first two polling phases on October 28 and November 3, the NDA intensified its development narrative in subsequent rallies, citing completed projects like road networks and electricity access to rebut Mahagathbandhan claims of stagnation, while Tejashwi's events maintained emphasis on employment guarantees to mobilize lower-caste and Muslim voters.[87]

Media Coverage and Narrative Battles

Mainstream English-language media outlets emphasized narratives of anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, portraying the election as a contest between stagnation under prolonged JD(U)-BJP rule and promises of change led by Tejashwi Yadav's Mahagathbandhan (MGB). Coverage frequently highlighted youth unemployment and migrant worker distress exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, amplifying Yadav's pledge of 10 lakh government jobs as a potential "youth wave" capable of upending the incumbent National Democratic Alliance (NDA).[92] This framing often downplayed NDA's governance achievements, such as infrastructure improvements and law-and-order stabilization, in favor of critiques of Nitish Kumar's perceived fatigue after 15 years in power.[93] In contrast, Hindi-language regional press and vernacular outlets accorded greater prominence to themes of continuity and development under the NDA, underscoring empirical gains in road connectivity, electricity access, and reduction in crime rates compared to the pre-2005 "Jungle Raj" era. These publications, with deeper penetration in rural Bihar, stressed voter preference for stability amid economic recovery from the pandemic, aligning more closely with ground-level caste and regional alliances that favored NDA incumbents.[94] Such divergence reflects broader patterns where national English media, influenced by urban-centric perspectives, prioritized disruption narratives, while local Hindi media reflected constituency-level priorities grounded in verifiable state data.[95] The NDA countered these portrayals through robust digital campaigns on platforms like Twitter and Facebook, disseminating data-driven content on scheme implementation—such as the distribution of free LPG cylinders to 1.15 crore women and increased school enrollment—to rural and migrant demographics. Social media also facilitated rapid debunking of misinformation, including fabricated claims about NDA policies, enabling direct voter engagement that bypassed traditional media filters.[96] This approach proved effective in reinforcing empirical evidence of progress, contrasting with MGB's reliance on rally-based mobilization.[97] Post-election, MGB leaders, including Tejashwi Yadav, questioned Electronic Voting Machine (EVM) integrity, alleging discrepancies in results despite their 37.5% vote share outperforming NDA's 37.3%. The Election Commission refuted these claims, affirming EVMs as "absolutely robust and tamper-proof" and reporting no mismatches in Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) counts across 20 randomly selected polling stations per constituency, with full audits confirming alignment on December 3, 2020.[98] [99] Critics noted that much media coverage engaged in sensationalism by overemphasizing transient issues like youth discontent while underrepresenting enduring caste arithmetic, where NDA secured advantages among Extremely Backward Classes (27% vote share) and upper castes, pivotal in forming the government despite MGB's popular vote edge. This oversight ignored causal factors like strategic seat adjustments and Nitish Kumar's consolidation of non-Yadav backward votes, which empirical post-poll surveys confirmed as decisive.[47] [100]

Candidate Selection and Prominent Contests

The major alliances finalized their candidate selections through seat-sharing agreements that allocated constituencies based on past performance, caste demographics, and perceived winnability. The Mahagathbandhan assigned 144 seats to the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), 70 to the Indian National Congress (INC), and the remainder to leftist allies, with RJD prioritizing Yadav-dominated areas and fielding younger leaders to appeal to anti-incumbency sentiments. In contrast, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) divided seats among the Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) with 115, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) with 110, and smaller partners like Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM), focusing on retaining incumbents in strongholds while introducing fresh faces in competitive zones to counter opposition narratives on governance fatigue. Prominent contests highlighted intra-alliance tensions and personal rivalries. In Raghopur, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav, positioned as the Mahagathbandhan's chief ministerial face, contested against JD(U)'s Guddu Gupta, drawing national attention due to Yadav's family legacy and promises of job creation amid youth unemployment concerns.[101] The Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), contesting independently under Chirag Paswan, fielded candidates targeting JD(U) incumbents across multiple seats, such as in Vaishali and Samastipur districts, aiming to fragment the NDA's vote by exploiting Paswan community dissatisfaction and positioning itself as a spoiler in close races. Urban seats like Patna Sahib emerged as high-stakes battlegrounds, where BJP's veteran Nand Kishore Yadav, a former minister emphasizing infrastructure development, faced INC's Pravin Singh, who campaigned on local issues like flooding and urban poverty, testing NDA's hold on upper-caste and middle-class voters in the capital region.[102] Other notable races included dynastic elements in RJD strongholds, such as Tej Pratap Yadav's contest in Hasanpur against JD(U), underscoring the reliance on familial ties in candidate choices despite critiques of limited merit-based selection. These selections reflected broader patterns of caste arithmetic, with parties balancing OBC, EBC, and upper-caste representation to minimize vote splits in empirically tight margins observed in prior cycles.

Conduct of the Election

Phased Schedule and Logistics

The Election Commission of India (ECI) announced the schedule for the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election on September 25, 2020, structuring the process in three phases to facilitate security deployments and logistical management across the state's 243 constituencies.[103] Polling in the first phase occurred on October 28, covering 71 constituencies primarily in the northern and eastern regions; the second phase on November 3 involved 94 constituencies in central and southern areas; and the third phase on November 7 encompassed the remaining 78 constituencies, focusing on western districts.[104] [105] Counting of votes from all phases took place simultaneously on November 10, 2020.[104] Preparatory efforts encompassed approximately 7.3 crore registered voters, with the ECI establishing over 63,000 polling stations to mitigate crowding.[1] In response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, the ECI enforced protocols including compulsory face masks for voters and staff, provision of sanitizers at booths, thermal screening, and physical distancing markers, alongside increased booth numbers to limit queues.[106] [107] To address absenteeism among migrant laborers, the ECI introduced facilitated postal voting options, allowing eligible outstation voters to cast ballots via proxy or electronically transmitted systems in select categories, though uptake remained limited due to implementation hurdles.[108] Logistical difficulties persisted in flood-prone regions, where September-October inundations in districts like Patna and Bhagalpur delayed infrastructure readiness and hindered transportation of polling materials and personnel.[109]

Voter Turnout Patterns and Demographics

The overall voter turnout for the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election stood at 57.05%, marginally lower than the 56.81% recorded in 2015, amid challenges including the COVID-19 pandemic and migration patterns.[1] Turnout exhibited phase-wise variations, with the lowest in the second phase due to factors such as weather disruptions and logistical constraints in central Bihar districts.
PhaseDateNumber of ConstituenciesTurnout (%)
1October 287157.19
2November 39454.18
3November 77857.79
Female voter turnout surpassed male turnout for the third consecutive assembly election, reaching 59.32% for women against 55.69% for men, reflecting a sustained gender gap reversal since 2010.[110] This increase in female participation has been linked to NDA government initiatives under Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, such as free bicycles for schoolgirls, uniforms, and scholarships, which improved female mobility and education access, fostering greater electoral involvement independent of traditional caste barriers.[111] Urban constituencies, particularly in Patna, reported lower turnout—often below 50%—compared to rural areas, attributable to higher migration, apathy, and logistical issues in densely populated zones.[112] Demographic breakdowns by caste were not officially disaggregated by the Election Commission, though post-poll analyses indicated relatively higher participation among Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) and upper castes, intersecting with gender patterns where female turnout elevated overall rates in Yadav and EBC-dominated rural belts.[113] Prior to polling, the Election Commission conducted a special summary revision of rolls, deleting over 5 lakh entries flagged as bogus, duplicates, or deceased, addressing claims of fraudulent inclusions while maintaining lists at approximately 7.06 crore electors.[114]

Reported Irregularities and Security Incidents

Despite Bihar's history of electoral violence, the 2020 Legislative Assembly election proceeded with relatively few major security incidents, aided by the deployment of approximately 300 companies of Central Armed Police Forces (CAPF) for area domination exercises prior to polling. Police records and Election Commission monitoring indicated isolated clashes rather than widespread disorder, with no official tally of systemic booth capturing or large-scale disruptions confirmed by authorities. Claims of booth capturing in areas like Jehanabad circulated on social media, but investigations revealed many stemmed from misattributed older footage unrelated to the 2020 polls.[115] The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)-led Mahagathbandhan alleged irregularities including Electronic Voting Machine (EVM) tampering and vote manipulation favoring the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with RJD leaders citing discrepancies in vote shares versus seat outcomes as evidence.[116][117] The Election Commission refuted these assertions, emphasizing EVMs' tamper-proof design, standalone operation without network connectivity, and verification via Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) slips, where random checks showed no mismatches.[118] Such claims lacked substantiation from mandatory audits or court-admissible evidence, contrasting with empirical indicators like the low rate of invalid or null votes—typically under 2% in EVM-based elections, reflecting minimal ballot stuffing or procedural errors absent in paper systems.[119] Tensions from the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP)'s decision to contest against Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) allies in several seats fueled local acrimony, but this manifested more in competitive campaigning than verified polling-day irregularities, with NDA defenders highlighting the Election Commission's oversight as ensuring process integrity despite opposition narratives. No court challenges to the 2020 results succeeded on fraud grounds, underscoring the absence of proven systemic issues.[120]

Election Results

Aggregate Seat and Vote Outcomes

The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) secured 125 seats in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly, achieving a slim majority with just three seats above the 122 required. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB) obtained 110 seats, while smaller parties and independents claimed the remaining 8.[58][121]
Alliance/BlocSeats WonVote Share (%)
NDA12537.3
MGB11037.0
Others825.7
In vote terms, the NDA garnered 37.3% of the approximately 41.4 million valid votes cast, edging out the MGB's 37.0% by a razor-thin statewide margin of roughly 84,900 votes.[2][122][123] This near-parity in popular support, coupled with the NDA's more efficient translation of votes into seats—owing to concentrated backing in winnable constituencies—highlighted the election's competitiveness and Bihar's persistent bipolar alignment between the two dominant coalitions.[42] Despite the NDA's vote share dipping relative to the 2015 incumbent alliance's broader mandate, its strategic consolidation prevented a defeat.[124]

Performance by Alliance and Party

The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) secured 125 seats in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly, forming a slim majority. Within the NDA, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 74 seats, the Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) 43, the Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) (HAM(S)) 4, and allied parties or independents supporting the alliance accounted for the remainder.[58] The BJP's gains were driven by strong upper-caste backing, enabling it to outperform its 2015 tally despite alliance tensions. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB) obtained 110 seats, with the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) emerging as the single largest party at 75 seats, the Indian National Congress (INC) at 19, and Left parties (including CPI(ML) Liberation with 12) totaling 16.[58] The Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), which broke from the NDA to contest independently targeting JD(U) strongholds, won just 1 seat while securing 5.7% of the statewide vote share, illustrating its inefficiency in converting votes to legislative representation and contributing to fragmented anti-incumbent support.[125] Overall vote shares were nearly identical between alliances, with NDA at 37.99% and MGB at 37.96%, underscoring the MGB's suboptimal seat-sharing arrangements and candidate inefficiencies that prevented popular support from translating into a governing majority despite leading in raw assembly representation for RJD.[123]
PartyAllianceSeats WonVote Share (%)
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)NDA7419.8 [56]
Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)MGB7523.5 [125]
Janata Dal (United) (JD(U))NDA4315.7 [56]
Indian National Congress (INC)MGB199.6 [125]
Lok Janshakti Party (LJP)Independent15.7 [125]
CPI(ML) LiberationMGB122.4 [74]
Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) (HAM(S))NDA4N/A
The RJD's results reflected effective consolidation of its core Muslim-Yadav (MY) base, yielding the highest individual party vote share and positioning it as the primary opposition force. Among the 26 women elected—comprising about 10.7% of the assembly—the NDA secured the majority, aligning with its overall victory.[126]

Regional Variations and District Breakdowns

The 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election exhibited marked regional variations across the state's 38 districts, with the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) securing stronger performances in southern and urban-centric areas, while the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) mounted closer challenges in northern riverine and border districts. In the Patna region, encompassing the capital district with its 14 assembly constituencies, the NDA achieved a decisive sweep, winning 8 seats to the MGB's 4, bolstered by a 50% vote share compared to the MGB's 40%.[113] Similarly, in the Magadh region, covering districts such as Gaya, Aurangabad, Nawada, and Jehanabad with approximately 24 seats, the NDA captured 12 seats against the MGB's 6, with vote shares of 48% to 42%.[113] In contrast, the Seemanchal region—spanning the Purnia division districts of Araria, Katihar, Purnia, and Kishanganj, which collectively hold 24 seats—saw a tighter contest, where the NDA edged out 11 seats to the MGB's 8, despite vote shares of 47% for NDA and 43% for MGB; this outcome was influenced by vote fragmentation from independent and other parties, including the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM), which secured 5 seats primarily in this Muslim-concentrated area.[113][127] Northern divisions like Tirhut and Koshi also contributed to NDA leads through narrow margins in districts such as Muzaffarpur and Madhubani, where upper-caste and Extremely Backward Class (EBC) voter concentrations aligned with NDA incumbency.[128] Urban-rural divides further underscored these patterns, with the NDA attaining 52% of the vote in urban constituencies versus 38% for the MGB, reflecting stronger appeal among urban upper-caste and business communities, while rural areas showed a narrower gap of 46% NDA to 44% MGB, driven by Yadav and Muslim demographics favoring the MGB in agrarian districts.[113]
RegionTotal Seats (approx.)NDA SeatsMGB SeatsNDA Vote ShareMGB Vote Share
Patna148450%40%
Magadh2412648%42%
Seemanchal2411847%43%
Visual representations of these district-level seat distributions highlight the NDA's consolidation in south Bihar districts like Patna Sahib and Bhojpur, contrasted with fragmented MGB gains in flood-prone northern districts such as Supaul and Saharsa.[113]

Immediate Aftermath

Government Formation Negotiations

Following the declaration of results on November 10, 2020, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), comprising the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)), and smaller allies, secured 125 seats in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly, surpassing the majority threshold of 122 by a narrow margin.[129] This outcome necessitated swift internal negotiations to consolidate support and prevent any potential defections that could jeopardize government formation.[130] On November 13, 2020, incumbent Chief Minister Nitish Kumar tendered his resignation to Governor Phagu Chauhan as a procedural step ahead of constituting the new assembly, while continuing as caretaker chief minister.[131] NDA alliance partners, including BJP and JD(U), held meetings to finalize leadership and power-sharing arrangements, with BJP securing a larger share of cabinet positions proportional to its 74 seats compared to JD(U)'s 43, while agreeing to retain Nitish Kumar as chief minister without alternation.[130] Nitish Kumar was unanimously elected as the NDA legislature party leader on November 15, 2020, during a joint meeting of alliance MLAs observed by BJP leader Rajnath Singh.[132] The following day, November 16, he was sworn in as chief minister for a fourth consecutive term, alongside deputy chief ministers including Sushil Kumar Modi from BJP, affirming the alliance's agreed power-sharing formula that maintained JD(U) dominance in the top post amid BJP's electoral gains.[133]

Political Realignments and Betrayals

Following the declaration of results on November 10, 2020, internal tensions within the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) escalated, marking a significant realignment that favored the National Democratic Alliance (NDA). The party, led by Chirag Paswan, had contested independently, fielding candidates primarily against Janata Dal (United) [JD(U)] incumbents, which contributed to JD(U)'s seat reduction from 71 in 2015 to 43. In the immediate aftermath, the faction headed by Pashupati Kumar Paras—Ram Vilas Paswan's brother and comprising five of LJP's six Lok Sabha MPs—aligned closely with the BJP, receiving support that culminated in its recognition as the official LJP parliamentary party by the Lok Sabha Speaker on June 14, 2021, thereby sidelining Chirag Paswan's group, later renamed LJP (Ram Vilas).[134] This elevation of the Paras faction was portrayed by the NDA as a pragmatic consolidation of the Paswan community's vote share, estimated at around 6% of Bihar's electorate, to fortify the alliance against future challenges.[135] Chirag Paswan publicly accused the BJP of betrayal, asserting that his independent strategy had indirectly aided the NDA's narrow victory by fragmenting opposition votes in key constituencies, only for the ruling party to undermine him post-election through covert support for the rebels.[135] Opposition figures, including Congress leader Tariq Anwar, echoed this narrative, claiming the BJP had instrumentalized Chirag to erode Nitish Kumar's base during the campaign before discarding him to preserve JD(U) equilibrium within the NDA.[136] Conversely, NDA spokespersons dismissed these charges, arguing that Chirag's decisions had damaged the alliance's prospects—evidenced by LJP winning just one assembly seat—and that recognizing the Paras group vindicated the electorate's mandate for NDA continuity, as the coalition secured 125 seats against the Mahagathbandhan's (MGB) 110.[137] Nitish Kumar's retention as NDA legislature party leader on November 13, 2020, despite JD(U)'s underwhelming performance, exemplified pragmatic realism amid alliance dynamics strained by the LJP's disruptions. With BJP securing 74 seats, speculation arose that the senior partner might demand the chief ministership, but Nitish's re-endorsement prioritized administrative stability and his appeal among Extremely Backward Classes and Mahadalits, avoiding the risks of a leadership change that could alienate coalition partners like Hindustani Awam Morcha.[138] The MGB, comprising Rashtriya Janata Dal (75 seats), Left parties (16 seats), and Congress (19 seats), exhibited post-poll disarray in failing to lure defectors from weakened NDA components, such as disgruntled JD(U) MLAs or LJP fringes, despite RJD's plurality; this stemmed from ideological rigidities and Lalu Prasad Yadav's incarceration, limiting agile outreach.[139] Left-wing components of the MGB, including the Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) Liberation, critiqued these maneuvers as emblematic of opportunistic realignments divorced from principled governance, attributing NDA persistence to "dynastic betrayals" and caste arithmetic over policy delivery.[140] NDA defenders countered that empirical seat arithmetic—125 to 110—affirmed voter endorsement of their platform, rendering opposition laments over "betrayed mandates" unsubstantiated, as no cross-alliance shifts materialized to alter the majority.[137] This episode underscored Bihar's pattern of fluid loyalties, where short-term consolidations trumped rupture risks in the narrow-margin context of the 2020 verdict.

Initial Reactions from Stakeholders

Prime Minister Narendra Modi hailed the NDA's victory as a mandate for development and self-reliance, tweeting on November 10, 2020, that "the youth of Bihar have made it clear that the new decade will be of Bihar and for self-reliant Bihar."[141] He credited the coalition's focus on governance achievements under Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, emphasizing continuity in infrastructure and welfare schemes that resonated with voters.[142] RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav, whose Mahagathbandhan alliance fell short, initially alleged discrepancies in postal ballot counting and invalid votes exceeding victory margins in several constituencies, demanding recounts and questioning electronic voting machine integrity.[143] These claims, including a later-posted purported letter suggesting EVM tampering, were contested by the Election Commission and fact-checkers as unsubstantiated or fabricated, with Yadav not pursuing them further in court.[144] The Election Commission of India rebutted opposition complaints on November 13, 2020, stating that protocols were followed nationwide and ordering a recount only in Hilsa constituency where invalid postal ballots outnumbered the margin; it affirmed the overall process as compliant with no systemic irregularities.[143] Media outlets expressed surprise at the NDA's retention of power, noting the results defied pre-poll surveys predicting a hung assembly or opposition edge, with agencies like Axis My India issuing apologies for inaccuracies in projections.[145][146] International coverage was limited but highlighted the election as a test of India's democratic resilience amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Public response showed broad acceptance, with no widespread protests or violence reported post-results, as newly elected legislators took oaths without disruption.[147]

Analysis and Interpretations

Factors Explaining NDA's Narrow Victory

The NDA secured 125 seats in the 243-member assembly, a slim majority achieved through voters' empirical preference for the incumbent government's track record in enhancing law and order—marked by a sharp decline in crime rates since 2005—and implementing tangible welfare initiatives, such as bicycle and uniform distributions for schoolgirls and expanded reservations for backward classes, which sustained support among rural and lower-income demographics despite economic challenges.[142] Analyses of incumbent performances across constituencies indicated a competitive but not overwhelmingly adverse environment, with no evidence of widespread booth-level erosion against NDA candidates, countering narratives of pervasive anti-incumbency fueled by pre-election surveys and media commentary.[148] The influx of over 20 million migrant laborers returning home during the COVID-19 lockdown in March–May 2020 amplified visibility of unemployment and infrastructure deficits, yet NDA's direct interventions, including direct benefit transfers exceeding Rs 30,000 crore to farmers, women, and the elderly, alongside free foodgrain distribution to 80 million beneficiaries, reinforced causal perceptions of administrative competence and crisis response over untested alternatives.[142][149] This empirical anchoring in delivery outweighed abstract promises, as post-poll data showed stable vote shares—NDA at 37.3% compared to 36.4% in 2015—reflecting continuity rather than rupture. Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs), comprising approximately 36% of Bihar's population and a pivotal bloc cultivated through Nitish Kumar's quota expansions and development focus, overwhelmingly adhered to NDA despite targeted outreach by rivals to youth discontent, enabling consolidation with upper castes and non-Yadav OBCs that proved decisive in a fragmented field.[142] Perceptions of Nitish Kumar's waning vigor, after 15 years in power, were mitigated by the BJP's superior cadre network and logistical prowess, which facilitated granular booth management and turnout optimization—evident in higher female participation rates (59.1% versus 57.1% for males)—ensuring the alliance's edge in close contests across 150 seats decided by margins under 10,000 votes.[149][142]

Critiques of Opposition Strategies

Critics argued that the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) overrelied on caste arithmetic and anti-NDA rhetoric, particularly targeting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's influence, without articulating a substantive policy alternative focused on development. While Tejashwi Yadav's promise of 10 lakh government jobs resonated with youth unemployment concerns, amassing significant support among Yadav and Muslim voters—estimated at over 70% in core constituencies—the alliance's campaign largely hinged on the Muslim-Yadav (MY) consolidation rather than broadening appeal to Extremely Backward Castes (EBCs), who favored the NDA in EBC-dominated districts. This strategic shortfall was evident in the MGB's failure to transcend traditional caste loyalties, as EBCs, comprising about 36% of Bihar's population, largely backed the ruling coalition's development narrative over the opposition's promises.[150] The RJD's historical governance record served as a deterrent, with opponents invoking the "jungle raj" era of high crime and corruption under Lalu Prasad Yadav's earlier regimes, including a perceived preview during the 2015-2017 JD(U)-RJD coalition marred by graft scandals that precipitated its collapse. Tejashwi's dynastic image, portrayed by NDA campaigns as the "yuvraj of jungle raj," undermined efforts to project him as a fresh leader, reinforcing voter skepticism about a return to past misrule despite his mobilization of younger demographics. Although sympathetic analyses credited the MGB with energizing youth turnout—evidenced by RJD's vote share rising to 23% from 18% in 2015—the absence of a credible vision for infrastructure and economic growth beyond job pledges causally linked to the alliance's shortfall of 15 seats from a majority.[150] Alliance composition exacerbated these issues, with Congress's weakness—securing only 19 of 70 contested seats, down from 27 in 2015—diluting overall cohesion and exposing the MGB to vote fragmentation, particularly from the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM)'s intervention in Seemanchal, which split Muslim votes and inadvertently aided NDA wins in five seats. The inclusion of Left parties, while bolstering ideological flanks, further diluted focus by prioritizing niche appeals over unified policy messaging, as Congress leaders attributed their underperformance to "unwinnable" seats but analysts highlighted organizational deficits. This internal disarray contrasted with the NDA's streamlined narrative, contributing to the MGB's 110 seats against NDA's 125 despite a competitive 37% vote share.[150][151]

Empirical Insights on Voter Behavior

The overall voter turnout of 57.05% in the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election concealed significant demographic fractures that shaped alliance preferences. Women, who recorded higher participation rates than men—a pattern observed since 2010—tilted toward the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), bolstered by welfare initiatives targeting female beneficiaries, such as cycles for schoolgirls and liquor prohibition enforcement.[152] In contrast, youth voters displayed fragmented allegiances, with gender divides evident: young women gravitated to NDA-backed development narratives, while young men offered more provisional backing to the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), reflecting unease over unemployment but insufficient consolidation.[42] Caste alignments, while persistent, proved non-monolithic, as empirical surveys indicated a hybrid voting calculus where identity moderated but did not dominate. Lokniti-CSDS post-poll data revealed that 67.1% of respondents prioritized governance and development over caste considerations, with higher education and urban residence correlating strongly (r=0.86, p<0.01) to development-oriented choices.[153][152] Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) and select Scheduled Caste subgroups fragmented from traditional MGB strongholds, drawn by NDA's infrastructure gains and poverty alleviation, underscoring development's incremental erosion of rigid caste blocs.[152] A subset of approximately 23% of voters exhibited swing potential—willing to alter preferences absent key figures like Nitish Kumar—proving decisive in the razor-thin margin, as the contest hinged on late deciders rather than entrenched loyalties.[153] Claims of a dominant "protest vote" against incumbency lack substantiation in these datasets, which instead highlight affirmative drivers like perceived governance efficacy (36.7% citing development) and unemployment concerns (21%), without evidence of widespread anti-NDA repudiation detached from policy evaluations.[153][152] This aligns with broader patterns where educated youth (up to 81% postgraduates) and rural beneficiaries weighed tangible outcomes over symbolic caste mobilization.[152]

Subsequent Developments

Bye-Elections and Seat Changes

In November 2021, bye-elections were conducted for two seats—Tarapur in Munger district and Kusheshwar Asthan in Darbhanga district—following the deaths of the incumbent JD(U) MLAs. The NDA retained both seats, with JD(U) candidates Aman Bhushan Hazari winning Kusheshwar Asthan by 2,839 votes against RJD's Ganesh Kumar Bharti, and Kiran Kumar securing Tarapur by 4,413 votes over RJD's Vijay Kumar Singh. Voter turnout was approximately 63% in Kusheshwar Asthan and 58% in Tarapur, reflecting modest shifts toward NDA compared to 2020 margins but no significant erosion of support.[154][155] In October-November 2022, bye-elections occurred for Mokama in Patna district (vacant due to the death of RJD MLA Anil Yadav) and Gopalganj (vacant after BJP MLA Anshuman Singh's death). RJD retained Mokama with Sonam Devi winning by 4,582 votes against JD(U)'s Manish Sahni, while BJP held Gopalganj as Kusum Devi defeated RJD's Mohan Sahni by 12,788 votes. Turnout stood at around 64% in Mokama and 58% in Gopalganj, with vote shares indicating consolidated opposition hold on its base but NDA's firm grip on its constituency, resulting in no net seat transfer.[156] These four bye-elections between 2021 and 2022 produced no alterations to the NDA's majority of 125 seats in the 243-member assembly, as all were retains of prior holdings amid competitive contests. The outcomes underscored NDA's resilience against RJD-led challenges, with minimal vote swing threats, thereby bolstering coalition stability without necessitating realignments.[157]

Long-Term Governance Impacts

The 2020 election's narrow mandate for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) facilitated the continuation of Nitish Kumar's chief ministership, sustaining governance patterns from prior terms until his alliance shift in August 2022. This period saw policy emphasis on infrastructure and employment generation, as reflected in the 2021-22 state budget of ₹2.18 lakh crore, which allocated substantial funds to rural development, education, and health sectors amid post-COVID recovery efforts.[158] The budget included initiatives targeting jobs for 20 lakh individuals through schemes in construction and allied sectors.[159] Infrastructure reforms demonstrated empirical continuity, with the rural roads network expanding from 57,388 km in 2015 to 102,306 km by 2021, supported by increased budgetary provisions for the Building Construction Department exceeding 20-fold growth in related allocations. Roads and bridges received 3.8% of total expenditure, focusing on connectivity to reduce logistical bottlenecks.[160] These measures contributed to a sharp economic rebound, with Bihar's GSDP growth reaching 10.98% in 2021-22 following a 3.2% contraction the prior year.[161] Education and health reforms also scaled up, with outlays rising 16-fold and 11-fold respectively, building on pre-2020 foundations.[162] Critiques of stagnation persisted, pointing to limited industrialization—where the sector's GSDP share dwindled post-bifurcation without commensurate revival—and reports of uneven implementation hindering sustained momentum.[163] Allegations of corruption in public schemes continued to surface, with opposition sources attributing them to entrenched bureaucratic inefficiencies despite anti-corruption drives.[164] Pro-NDA analyses credited the mandate's stability for enabling reform continuity and growth recovery, arguing it averted policy disruptions akin to pre-2005 eras.[24] In contrast, left-leaning critiques maintained that governance lapses, including alliance volatility, perpetuated underinvestment in high-skill jobs and migration drivers.[164] Out-migration patterns showed temporary moderation in 2021 due to pandemic-induced returnees and local hiring pushes, though long-term structural outflows resumed by 2022.[165] The 2022 realignment marked the effective close of the 2020 mandate's direct influence, shifting priorities under a new coalition.

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