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Investment
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Investment is traditionally defined as the "commitment of resources into something expected to gain value over time".[1] If an investment involves money, then it can be defined as a "commitment of money to receive more money later". From a broader viewpoint, an investment can be defined as "to tailor the pattern of expenditure and receipt of resources to optimise the desirable patterns of these flows". When expenditures and receipts are defined in terms of money, then the net monetary receipt in a time period is termed cash flow, while money received in a series of several time periods is termed cash flow stream.
In finance, the purpose of investing is to generate a return on the invested asset. The return may consist of a capital gain (profit) or loss, realised if the investment is sold, unrealised capital appreciation (or depreciation) if yet unsold. It may also consist of periodic income such as dividends, interest, or rental income. The return may also include currency gains or losses due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
Investors generally expect higher returns from riskier investments. When a low-risk investment is made, the return is also generally low. Similarly, high risk comes with a chance of high losses. Investors, particularly novices, are often advised to diversify their portfolio. Diversification has the statistical effect of reducing overall risk.
Types of financial investments
[edit]In modern economies, traditional investments include:
- Stocks – Business ownership, known as equity, in publicly traded companies
- Bonds – loans to governments and businesses traded on public markets
- Cash – holding a particular currency, whether in anticipation of spending or to take advantage of or hedge against changes in a currency exchange rate
- Real estate, which can be rented to provide ongoing income or resold if it increases in value
Alternative investments include:
- Private equity in businesses that are not publicly traded on a stock exchange, often involving venture capital funds, angel investors, or equity crowdfunding
- Other loans, including mortgages
- Commodities, such as precious metals like gold, agricultural products like potatoes, and energy deliveries like natural gas
- Collectables, including art, coins, vintage cars, postage stamps, and wine
- Carbon offsets and credits
- Digital entities like cryptocurrency and non-fungible tokens
- Hedge funds that use sophisticated techniques like:
- Derivatives, the value of which is determined by a contract and is derived by calculation from the performance of some other sort of underlying investment; these include forwards, futures, options, swaps, collateralized debt obligations, credit default swaps, and Tax Receivable Agreements
- Leveraged investing, which is the investment of borrowed money
- Short selling, which typically uses leverage and derivatives to bet that the value of a stock will decline
Investment and risk
[edit]An investor may bear a risk of loss of some or all of their capital invested. Investment differs from arbitrage, in which profit is generated without investing capital or bearing risk.
Savings bear the (normally remote) risk that the financial provider may default.
Foreign currency savings also bear foreign exchange risk: if the currency of a savings account differs from the account holder's home currency, then there is the risk that the exchange rate between the two currencies will move unfavourably so that the value of the savings account decreases, measured in the account holder's home currency.
Even investing in tangible assets like property has its risk. And similar to most risks, property buyers can seek to mitigate any potential risk by taking out mortgage and by borrowing at a lower loan to security ratio.
In contrast with savings, investments tend to carry more risk, in the form of both a wider variety of risk factors and a greater level of uncertainty.
Industry to industry volatility is more or less of a risk depending. In biotechnology, for example, investors look for big profits on companies that have small market capitalizations but can be worth hundreds of millions quite quickly.[2] The risk is high because approximately 90% of biotechnology products researched do not make it to market due to regulations and the complex demands within pharmacology as the average prescription drug takes 10 years and US$2.5 billion worth of capital.[3]
History
[edit]Investments can be traced back to as early as 1700 BCE during the Code of Hammurabi. For the more modern type of investing that we have today, the 17th century is pointed to as the start. The shipping industry started to become very popular, and British, Dutch and French boats would travel to Asia, transporting goods. Since these travels were dangerous by waters, ship owners looked for investors to fund their travels. In return, the investors would redeem some of the profits when the boats returned.[4]
The start of a stock exchange can be contributed to Amsterdam in 1602 known as the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. The first company to go public was Verenigde Oost-Indische Compagnie, and that founded the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. It became so large, the government had to facilitate trade. Amsterdam had an Exchange bank, used for making stock market transactions easier, and they had a merchant bank, used to for a regulated place for merchants to trade both being reason for Amsterdam being a world center of trade and capital.[5]
The start of the stock market in America can be traced back to May 17, 1792, when the Buttonwood Agreement was signed, setting rules for how stocks can be traded, and aimed to ensure that deals were done between trusted parties. A few years prior, the Compromise of 1790, allowed Alexander Hamilton to use a policy to pay off Revolutionary War debts, using federally issued Bonds, making the first market exchange in America. In 1817, the stock market created an official organization and a board, the New York Stock and Exchange Board. They would meet two times a day and trade 30 different stocks and bonds. The stock exchange rapidly grew, and by the end of the Civil War in 1865, more than 300 stocks and bonds were traded.[6]
Investment strategies
[edit]Value investing
[edit]A value investor buys assets that they believe to be undervalued (and sells overvalued ones). To identify undervalued securities, a value investor uses analysis of the financial reports of the issuer to evaluate the security. Value investors employ accounting ratios, such as earnings per share and sales growth, to identify securities trading at prices below their worth.
Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham are notable examples of value investors. Graham and Dodd's seminal work, Security Analysis, was written in the wake of the Wall Street Crash of 1929.[7]
The price to earnings ratio (P/E), or earnings multiple, is a particularly significant and recognized fundamental ratio, with a function of dividing the share price of the stock, by its earnings per share. This will provide the value representing the sum investors are prepared to expend for each dollar of company earnings. This ratio is an important aspect, due to its capacity as measurement for the comparison of valuations of various companies. A stock with a lower P/E ratio will cost less per share than one with a higher P/E, taking into account the same level of financial performance; therefore, it essentially means a low P/E is the preferred option.[8]
An instance in which the price to earnings ratio has a lesser significance is when companies in different industries are compared. For example, although it is reasonable for a telecommunications stock to show a P/E in the low teens, in the case of hi-tech stock, a P/E in the 40s range is not unusual. When making comparisons, the P/E ratio can give you a refined view of a particular stock valuation.
For investors paying for each dollar of a company's earnings, the P/E ratio is a significant indicator, but the price-to-book ratio (P/B) is also a reliable indication of how much investors are willing to spend on each dollar of company assets. In the process of the P/B ratio, the share price of a stock is divided by its net assets; any intangibles, such as goodwill, are not taken into account. It is a crucial factor of the price-to-book ratio, due to it indicating the actual payment for tangible assets and not the more difficult valuation of intangibles. Accordingly, the P/B could be considered a comparatively conservative metric.
Growth investing
[edit]Growth investors seek investments they believe are likely to have higher earnings or greater value in the future. To identify such stocks, growth investors often evaluate measures of current stock value as well as predictions of future financial performance.[9] Growth investors seek profits through capital appreciation – the gains earned when a stock is sold at a higher price than what it was purchased for. The price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple is also used for this type of investment; growth stock are likely to have a P/E higher than others in its industry.[10] According to Investopedia author Troy Segal and U.S. Department of State Fulbright fintech research awardee Julius Mansa, growth investing is best suited for investors who prefer relatively shorter investment horizons, higher risks, and are not seeking immediate cash flow through dividends.[9]
Some investors attribute the introduction of the growth investing strategy to investment banker Thomas Rowe Price Jr., who tested and popularized the method in 1950 by introducing his mutual fund, the T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund. Price asserted that investors could reap high returns by "investing in companies that are well-managed in fertile fields."[11]
A new form of investing that seems to have caught the attention of investors is Venture Capital. Venture Capital is independently managed dedicated pools of capital that focus on equity or equity-linked investments in privately held, high growth companies.[12]
Momentum investing
[edit]Momentum investors generally seek to buy stocks that are currently experiencing a short-term uptrend, and they usually sell them once this momentum starts to decrease. Stocks or securities purchased for momentum investing are often characterized by demonstrating consistently high returns for the past three to twelve months.[13] However, in a bear market, momentum investing also involves short-selling securities of stocks that are experiencing a downward trend, because it is believed that these stocks will continue to decrease in value. Essentially, momentum investing generally relies on the principle that a consistently up-trending stock will continue to grow, while a consistently down-trending stock will continue to fall.
Economists and financial analysts have not reached a consensus on the effectiveness of using the momentum investing strategy. Rather than evaluating a company's operational performance, momentum investors instead utilize trend lines, moving averages, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) to determine the existence and strength of trends.[14]
Dollar cost averaging
[edit]Dollar cost averaging (DCA), also known in the UK as pound-cost averaging, is the process of consistently investing a certain amount of money across regular increments of time, and the method can be used in conjunction with value investing, growth investing, momentum investing, or other strategies. For example, an investor who practices dollar-cost averaging could choose to invest $200 a month for the next 3 years, regardless of the share price of their preferred stock(s), mutual funds, or exchange-traded funds.
Many investors believe that dollar-cost averaging helps minimize short-term volatility by spreading risk out across time intervals and avoiding market timing.[14] Research also shows that DCA can help reduce the total average cost per share in an investment because the method enables the purchase of more shares when their price is lower, and less shares when the price is higher.[14] However, dollar-cost averaging is also generally characterized by more brokerage fees, which could decrease an investor's overall returns.
The term "dollar-cost averaging" is believed to have first been coined in 1949 by economist and author Benjamin Graham in his book, The Intelligent Investor. Graham asserted that investors that use DCA are "likely to end up with a satisfactory overall price for all [their] holdings."[15]
Micro-investing
[edit]Micro-investing is a type of investment strategy that is designed to make investing regular, accessible and affordable, especially for those who may not have a lot of money to invest or who are new to investing.[16][17]
Intermediaries and collective investments
[edit]Investments are often made indirectly through intermediary financial institutions. These intermediaries include pension funds, banks, and insurance companies. They may pool money received from a number of individual end investors into funds such as investment trusts, unit trusts, and SICAVs to make large-scale investments. Each individual investor holds an indirect or direct claim on the assets purchased, subject to charges levied by the intermediary, which may be large and varied.
Approaches to investment sometimes referred to in marketing of collective investments include dollar cost averaging and market timing.
Investment valuation
[edit]Free cash flow measures the cash a company generates which is available to its debt and equity investors, after allowing for reinvestment in working capital and capital expenditure. It is often used by investors as a way of measuring profitability of the company. High and rising free cash flow, therefore, tend to make a company more attractive to investors. Free cash flow can be attractive to investors because having high free cash flow can be a good indicator for high dividend or interest payments.[18]
The debt-to-equity ratio is an indicator of capital structure. Debt-to-equity ratio measures how much debt is used to finance a company, compared to equity. A high debt-to-equity ratio means that a company relies more on debt to finance operations, and is much riskier to investors.[19] A high proportion of debt, reflected in a high debt-to-equity ratio, tends to make a company's earnings, free cash flow, and ultimately the returns to its investors, riskier or volatile. Investors compare a company's debt-to-equity ratio with those of other companies in the same industry, and examine trends in debt-to-equity ratios and free cashflow.
Earnings per share (EPS) is another way to evaluate a stock and its profitability. Earnings per share is measured by dividing the net income of a company by the total number of outstanding shares. A higher earnings per share is attractive to investors because it typically means the company is more profitable. EPS shows how much money a company makes for each share of its stocks.[20]
See also
[edit]- Capital accumulation
- Capital gains tax
- Climate-related asset stranding
- Diversification (finance)
- Divestment
- EBITDA
- Foreign direct investment
- Fundamental analysis
- Legal Alpha
- List of countries by gross fixed investment as percentage of GDP
- List of economics topics
- Market sentiment
- Mortgage investment corporation
- Rate of return
- Socially responsible investing
- Specialized investment fund
- Time value of money
- Time-weighted return
References
[edit]- ^ True Tamplin. "Investments". Finance Strategists. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
- ^ Murphy, Casey. "The Ups and Downs of Biotechnology". Investopedia. Archived from the original on Nov 2, 2021. Retrieved 2021-12-15.
- ^ ltd, Research and Markets. "AI-based Drug Discovery Market: Focus on Deep Learning and Machine Learning, 2020-2030". www.researchandmarkets.com. Retrieved 2021-12-15.
- ^ "Evolution of Investment: A Deep Dive into the History of Investing - Leamington Spa IFA". www.leamingtonifa.co.uk. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
- ^ "400 years: the story". 2017-01-31. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
- ^ "The History of NYSE". www.nyse.com. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
- ^ Graham, Benjamin; Dodd, David (2002-10-31). Security Analysis: The Classic 1940 Edition (2 ed.). New York; London: McGraw-Hill Education. ISBN 978-0-07-141228-5.
- ^ "Price-Earnings Ratio - P/E Ratio". Investopedia.
- ^ a b "Is Growth Investing the Right Money-Making Method for You?". Investopedia. Retrieved 2022-10-05.
- ^ Chandler, Simon. "A growth stock is a company expected to rise faster than the overall market, offering bigger gains for investors who don't mind risk". Business Insider. Retrieved 2022-10-05.
- ^ Chan, Louis K.C.; Lakonishok, Josef (January 2004). "Value and Growth Investing: Review and Update". Financial Analysts Journal. 60 (1): 71–86. doi:10.2469/faj.v60.n1.2593. ISSN 0015-198X. S2CID 5666307.
- ^ Avnimelech, Gil; Teubal, Morris (2006-12-01). "Creating venture capital industries that co-evolve with high tech: Insights from an extended industry life cycle perspective of the Israeli experience". Research Policy. Triple helix Indicators of Knowledge-Based Innovation Systems. 35 (10): 1477–1498. doi:10.1016/j.respol.2006.09.017. ISSN 0048-7333.
- ^ "Momentum Investing". The Balance. Retrieved 2022-10-05.
- ^ a b c "Investment Strategies to Learn Before Trading". Investopedia. Retrieved 2022-10-05.
- ^ Graham, Benjamin (2003). The intelligent investor: a book of practical counsel. HarperBusiness Essentials. OCLC 1035152456.
- ^ "The Innovators – Meet the 65 Companies and Their Owners Who Have Conjured Up the Latest Wave of Products, Services, and Technologies". money.cnn.com. May 1, 2001. Retrieved 2023-04-20.
- ^ Lucchetti, Aaron. "E-Tailers Allow Buyers to Add Fund Investments to Carts". WSJ. Retrieved 2023-04-20.
- ^ "Free Cash Flow (FCF): How to Calculate and Interpret It". Investopedia. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
- ^ Almeida, Andrew (December 12, 2022). "Debt-to-Equity (D/E) Ratio: Meaning and Formula". StockAnalysis. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
- ^ "Earnings Per Share (EPS): What It Means and How to Calculate It". Investopedia. Retrieved 2025-05-01.
External links
[edit]Investment
View on GrokipediaFundamentals of Investment
Definition and Objectives
Investment refers to the allocation of resources, typically money, into assets, projects, or ventures with the expectation of generating income, profit, or appreciation in value over time.[1] This process involves committing capital to opportunities where returns are anticipated through mechanisms such as interest, dividends, or capital gains, distinguishing it from mere consumption or short-term holding.[2] Unlike speculation, which entails high-risk bets on short-term price fluctuations often akin to gambling, investment emphasizes longer-term horizons based on fundamental analysis and moderate risk for sustainable growth.[7] Similarly, investment differs from saving, which prioritizes liquidity and principal protection in low-risk vehicles like bank accounts with minimal returns, whereas investment accepts variability to pursue higher potential yields.[8] The primary objectives of investment include capital preservation to safeguard principal against loss, income generation through periodic payouts like dividends or interest, and capital appreciation to increase the asset's market value over time.[9] Additional goals encompass hedging against inflation to maintain purchasing power, as certain assets like equities or real estate tend to outpace rising prices, and addressing liquidity needs for accessible funds without significant penalties.[10] For instance, personal retirement planning often balances growth for long-term wealth accumulation with income for post-retirement stability, while institutional portfolio management, such as for pension funds, focuses on defined return targets to meet future liabilities over extended periods.[11] A foundational concept in investment is the time value of money (TVM), which posits that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future due to its potential earning capacity through interest.[12] The core TVM formula derives from compound interest, where future value (FV) is calculated as: Here, PV is the present value, r is the interest rate per period, and n is the number of periods; this equation arises from iteratively applying simple interest to both the initial principal and accumulated interest from prior periods, illustrating exponential growth.[13]Economic and Social Role
Investment plays a pivotal role in economic development by facilitating capital formation, which allows businesses to acquire resources for expansion and innovation. Through gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), societies channel savings into productive assets, contributing approximately 23% to global GDP on average in recent years, such as 22% in 2020 and 23% in 2023.[14] This process not only enhances productivity but also funds critical infrastructure projects, such as transportation and utilities, which boost the efficiency of private capital and labor, leading to higher overall output.[15] Furthermore, investment drives job creation by enabling firms to scale operations; for instance, capital market financing in developing economies has been shown to directly support employment growth and business sales.[16] Historically, surges in investment have propelled significant economic expansions, as evidenced by the post-World War II period, where gross private investment in the United States rose by 223% in real terms from 1945 to 1948, fueling rapid GDP growth and industrial recovery.[17] This era demonstrated how rapid capital accumulation stimulates output, creating a virtuous cycle of further investment and economic momentum.[18] In developed economies, infrastructure investments have similarly generated substantial employment effects, with studies indicating that each billion dollars invested can support thousands of jobs in construction and related sectors over the short and long term.[19] On the social front, investment contributes to poverty reduction by providing accessible mechanisms like pension funds, which secure retirement income and narrow wealth gaps. Public pensions, for example, play an outsized role in retirement security, significantly lowering elderly poverty rates and reducing inequality across racial and gender lines.[20] Universal access to retirement savings plans could further decrease elder poverty by up to 26% by 2045 while mitigating downward mobility.[21] However, investment dynamics can exacerbate wealth inequality if concentrated among high-income groups, as shifts in financial holdings often favor the affluent, perpetuating disparities in asset accumulation.[22] Ethical considerations in resource allocation, such as through systemic stewardship and impact investing, aim to address these issues by directing capital toward inclusive growth, thereby balancing profit with broader societal equity.[23]Types of Investments
Financial Investments
Financial investments, also known as securities, represent claims on the assets or income of issuing entities and form the core of modern capital markets. These instruments include equities, fixed-income securities, and derivatives, which allow investors to participate in economic growth, generate income, or manage exposure to various risks. Traded primarily on regulated exchanges or over-the-counter markets, financial investments provide liquidity and price discovery through secondary markets, enabling efficient capital allocation across the global economy. As of June 2025, the total equity market capitalization worldwide stood at approximately $122 trillion, underscoring the scale of these markets.[24] Stocks, or equity securities, confer partial ownership in a corporation to investors who purchase shares. Holders of common stock typically gain rights to dividends—distributions of company profits—and voting privileges on key matters such as board elections at shareholder meetings. Preferred stock, in contrast, prioritizes dividend payments and asset claims in liquidation over common stock but usually lacks voting rights. Companies issue stocks to raise capital for operations or expansion, with investors benefiting from potential capital appreciation if the firm's value increases. The global stock market's liquidity is generally high for large-cap shares on major exchanges, facilitating quick trades with minimal price impact.[25] Bonds, classified as fixed-income securities, are debt instruments where investors lend money to issuers in exchange for periodic interest payments and repayment of principal at maturity. Government bonds, issued by sovereign entities like U.S. Treasuries, carry low default risk due to backing by taxing authority, while corporate bonds from private firms offer higher yields to compensate for greater credit risk. Maturity dates range from short-term (under one year) to long-term (over 30 years), with interest typically paid semiannually at a fixed or variable rate. The global bond market outstanding reached about $145 trillion in 2024, reflecting its role as a stable funding source for governments and corporations. Bonds generally exhibit high liquidity in secondary markets, though less than blue-chip stocks for some corporate issues.[26][27] Derivatives are financial contracts deriving value from underlying assets such as stocks, bonds, or commodities, used primarily for hedging risks or speculating with leverage. Options grant the buyer the right, but not obligation, to buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying at a predetermined strike price by expiration, with payoffs depending on whether the asset price exceeds or falls below the strike. Futures obligate parties to buy or sell the underlying at a future date for a set price, often settled daily to manage margin requirements. Swaps involve exchanging cash flows, such as fixed for floating interest rates, to hedge exposures like currency fluctuations. The global over-the-counter derivatives notional outstanding exceeded $700 trillion at mid-2024, highlighting their extensive use in risk management. Exchange-traded derivatives offer greater liquidity than over-the-counter varieties, which may involve counterparty risk and less standardized terms.[28][29][30] These financial investments exhibit varying risk profiles, with equities often displaying higher volatility than fixed-income bonds.Real and Tangible Assets
Real and tangible assets represent physical investments that derive value from their intrinsic utility, scarcity, or location, offering investors exposure to real economic activity distinct from financial securities. These assets include real estate, commodities, and collectibles, which can generate income, appreciate over time, or serve as hedges against inflation. Unlike financial instruments, they often involve direct ownership and management, with returns influenced by physical attributes and market fundamentals. Investors allocate to these assets for diversification, as they typically exhibit low or negative correlations with equities and bonds, reducing overall portfolio volatility.[31][32] Real estate constitutes a major category of tangible investments, encompassing residential properties such as single-family homes and apartments, as well as commercial properties like office buildings, retail spaces, and warehouses. Residential real estate provides opportunities for rental income and long-term appreciation, often driven by demographic trends and housing demand. Commercial properties, in contrast, typically generate higher rental yields due to longer lease terms and business tenant stability, with average net yields around 5-8% in prime markets, compared to 3-5% for residential units. Appreciation in real estate values is primarily influenced by location, which affects demand, accessibility, and economic growth; for instance, properties in urban centers with strong job markets experience higher capital gains than those in rural areas.[33][34][35] Commodities, as storable physical goods, include precious metals like gold, energy resources such as oil, and agricultural products like grains and coffee. Gold serves as a safe-haven asset, with prices rising amid geopolitical tensions due to its role in central bank reserves and investor hedging. Oil prices fluctuate with global supply from producers like OPEC+ and demand tied to economic activity, often declining during periods of oversupply as seen in 2025 forecasts of $68.90 per barrel for Brent crude. Agricultural commodities are sensitive to weather, trade policies, and harvests, with prices for cereals dropping 11.1% in early 2025 following strong global yields. A key consideration for commodity investments is storage costs, which can erode returns; for example, crude oil storage involves leasing tanks and incurs carrying charges that influence arbitrage opportunities between spot and futures prices. Supply and demand dynamics, including geopolitical events and technological advances, drive volatility across these assets.[36][36][36][37] Collectibles and other tangibles, such as fine art, fine wine, and stamps, offer alternative avenues for tangible investment through their cultural or historical appeal. Art markets feature subjective valuations based on artist reputation, provenance, and buyer preferences, leading to heterogeneous pricing and emotional "dividends" that vary by owner. Wine investments, particularly rare vintages, appreciate due to aging potential and scarcity, but require specialized storage to maintain quality. Stamps and similar philatelic items derive value from rarity and condition, often traded via auctions with infrequent transactions. These assets are highly illiquid, with markets characterized by long holding periods, high transaction costs, and noisy return estimates due to infrequent sales and private valuations. In the U.S., collectibles are estimated at $4.6 trillion in value, including $1.8 trillion for fine art, though their returns can underperform traditional assets over long horizons. Globally, the collectibles market is valued at approximately $464 billion as of 2025.[38][39] In institutional portfolios, real estate typically comprises 10-15% of allocations, providing inflation protection and stable income streams. Commodities enhance diversification by offering low or negative correlations with equities, helping to mitigate downside risk during market downturns; for example, commodity futures have historically shown negative correlations with stock returns, improving risk-adjusted portfolio performance. These tangible assets collectively represent a significant portion of U.S. wealth, estimated at over $80 trillion for real and private-value categories, underscoring their enduring role in balanced investment strategies.[40][31][32][38]Alternative Investments
Alternative investments encompass a diverse range of asset classes that diverge from traditional stocks, bonds, and cash equivalents, typically characterized by lower liquidity, higher complexity, and potential for uncorrelated returns with mainstream markets. These investments often require specialized knowledge and are accessed through professional managers, appealing primarily to institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals seeking portfolio diversification. According to a 2024 report by Preqin, the global alternative investments market reached approximately $13 trillion in assets under management (AUM), growing to around $14 trillion by mid-2025, reflecting robust growth driven by increasing allocations from pension funds and sovereign wealth funds.[41] Private equity and venture capital represent core pillars of alternative investments, involving direct funding into private companies rather than publicly traded securities. Private equity typically targets established firms for buyouts, leveraging debt to enhance returns, while venture capital focuses on early-stage startups with high growth potential, often in technology or biotech sectors. These investments feature long lock-up periods, commonly 7-10 years, during which capital is committed and illiquid, but they offer the allure of substantial returns; for instance, top-quartile venture capital funds have historically delivered annualized returns exceeding 20% over a decade. Hedge funds employ sophisticated strategies to generate absolute returns regardless of market direction, utilizing techniques such as long-short equity, where managers take long positions in undervalued stocks and short positions in overvalued ones to hedge market risk. Other common approaches include global macro trading based on economic trends and event-driven strategies around mergers or distressed assets. Hedge funds are notorious for their fee structure, often following the "2-and-20" model—2% annual management fee plus 20% of profits—which has drawn scrutiny but persists due to performance incentives. As of mid-2025, the industry managed approximately $5 trillion in AUM, with strategies evolving to incorporate quantitative models and ESG factors.[42] Infrastructure and timberland investments provide exposure to tangible, long-term assets that generate stable cash flows and act as hedges against inflation. Infrastructure encompasses projects like toll roads, renewable energy facilities, and airports, often financed through public-private partnerships with concession periods spanning 20-50 years. Timberland involves owning forested land for sustainable harvesting, benefiting from biological growth and carbon credit markets. These assets have shown resilience, with infrastructure delivering annualized returns of around 8-10% over the past decade, bolstered by global demand for essential services. While alternative investments generally exhibit higher risk-return profiles compared to traditional assets—potentially amplifying portfolio volatility—they are best suited for accredited investors with substantial wealth and long-term horizons to tolerate illiquidity and valuation uncertainties.Risk and Return in Investing
Concepts of Risk
In investment theory, risk refers to the uncertainty or variability in the potential returns of an asset, which can lead to losses or deviations from expected outcomes.[43] Investors face multiple types of risk that influence portfolio construction and decision-making. These risks are categorized based on their sources and impacts, with systematic risks affecting broad markets and idiosyncratic risks being specific to individual assets. Market risk, also known as systematic risk, arises from fluctuations in overall market conditions, such as changes in interest rates, economic indicators, or geopolitical events, affecting the value of most securities simultaneously.[44] Credit risk involves the possibility that a borrower or counterparty defaults on their debt obligations, leading to principal or interest losses for lenders or investors in fixed-income securities.[44] Liquidity risk occurs when an asset cannot be sold or converted to cash quickly without significant price concessions, often due to low trading volume or market disruptions, impeding an investor's ability to exit positions.[44] Inflation risk, or purchasing power risk, erodes the real value of investment returns when rising prices outpace nominal gains, particularly impacting fixed-income assets like bonds.[45] Risk in investments is commonly measured using statistical tools that quantify variability and sensitivity. Standard deviation serves as a primary metric for total risk, calculating the dispersion of an asset's returns around its mean, where higher values indicate greater volatility and potential for both upside and downside deviations.[46] For assessing exposure to market risk specifically, the beta coefficient (β) measures an asset's sensitivity to market movements, defined as: where is the return on the asset, is the market return, Cov denotes covariance, and Var denotes variance; a β greater than 1 implies higher volatility than the market, while less than 1 suggests lower.[47] This measure originates from the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) framework, which posits that expected returns compensate for non-diversifiable market risk.[47] Risks are further distinguished as systematic or idiosyncratic. Systematic risk encompasses economy-wide factors like market downturns that cannot be eliminated through portfolio adjustments, whereas idiosyncratic risk stems from asset-specific events, such as management changes or product failures, and can be mitigated via diversification across uncorrelated holdings.[48] Diversification reduces idiosyncratic risk by spreading investments, theoretically approaching zero exposure in a well-constructed portfolio of many assets, though systematic risk persists.[48] A prominent historical illustration of amplified market risk occurred during the 2008 global financial crisis, when subprime mortgage defaults triggered widespread liquidity evaporation and sharp equity declines, with the S&P 500 falling over 50% from its peak as interconnected financial stresses propagated systemic shocks.[49] This event underscored how market risk can intensify through leverage and contagion, leading to broader economic contraction.[50]Return Measurement and Tradeoffs
In investment analysis, returns are categorized into total return, which encompasses both capital gains from asset price appreciation and income from dividends, interest, or other distributions. Total return provides a holistic measure of an investment's performance over a specified period, capturing the combined effect of these components.[51] Returns are further distinguished as realized or unrealized based on whether the investment has been sold. Realized returns occur upon the sale of an asset, converting paper gains or losses into actual profits or deficits, and they trigger taxable events. In contrast, unrealized returns reflect changes in an asset's market value while still held, representing potential but not yet confirmed gains or losses that do not immediately affect taxes or cash flows.[52] The holding period return (HPR) quantifies total return over a specific timeframe using the formula: This metric expresses the percentage change in value, including any income received, relative to the initial investment. For multi-period investments, annualized returns are derived via the geometric mean to account for compounding effects, calculated as: where represents each period's HPR and is the number of periods; this approach yields the compound annual growth rate (CAGR), offering a standardized view of performance across varying holding durations.[53][54] Investments are also classified by their time horizon, which significantly influences risk and return expectations:- Short-term investments (horizon less than 1 year): These are characterized by high liquidity, lower risk, and a focus on capital preservation. Examples include term deposits, treasury bills, and money market instruments.
- Long-term investments (horizon greater than 1 year): These involve higher risk but offer greater potential returns. Examples include stocks, long-term bonds, and pension funds.
Historical Evolution of Investment
Ancient and Medieval Periods
The earliest recorded forms of investment emerged in ancient Mesopotamia around 3000 BCE, where clay tablets inscribed with cuneiform script documented loans and lending agreements, often involving interest payments on barley or silver to facilitate trade and agriculture.[61] These practices represented rudimentary financial instruments, allowing lenders to invest capital in productive ventures while borrowers accessed funds for economic activities.[62] In ancient Rome, investment through lending was regulated by usury laws that evolved to limit interest rates, reflecting societal concerns over exploitation. The Twelve Tables of 451–450 BCE capped rates at around 8.33%, later reduced to 8 1/3% in 357 BCE and further to 4 1/6% in 347 BCE before temporary bans and reintroductions, culminating in a 12% maximum established by 88 BCE and reaffirmed around 50 BCE.[63][64] These laws balanced the need for capital investment in commerce and infrastructure with ethical constraints on profiteering.[63] During the medieval period, Italian banking families like the Medici advanced investment practices in the 14th and 15th centuries by establishing networks that financed trade across Europe. Founded in 1397 by Giovanni di Bicci de' Medici, the Medici Bank pioneered branch operations and double-entry bookkeeping to manage investments in commerce and papal finances. Complementary innovations included bills of exchange, which emerged in 12th-century Italy as negotiable instruments for trade finance, enabling merchants to transfer funds internationally without physical coin transport and implicitly incorporating interest through exchange rate differences.[65] Religious frameworks shaped medieval investment, particularly through prohibitions on usury. In Islamic finance, the Qur'an's ban on riba (excess or unjust gain, interpreted as interest) from the 7th century onward promoted profit-sharing models like mudarabah, where investors provided capital and entrepreneurs labor, sharing risks and rewards in ventures such as trade expeditions.[66] In Christian Europe, canonical bans on usury for Christians from the 12th century created niches for Jewish moneylenders, who extended credit to nobility and merchants, often at regulated rates, while facing social and legal restrictions.[67] Christians later filled this role through Lombard bankers and Cahorsins, using indirect methods like currency exchange to invest in long-distance trade. Social investments appeared in medieval guilds, which pooled member resources to fund craft workshops, apprenticeships, and communal infrastructure, regulating quality and market access in urban economies from the 12th century.[68] Precursors to joint-stock companies arose in Italian maritime trade, such as Venice's colleganza partnerships in the 11th-13th centuries, where multiple investors shared risks and profits in sea voyages, laying groundwork for later corporate forms.[69]Modern Financial Systems
Preceding the Industrial Revolution, the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, established in 1602 for trading shares of the Dutch East India Company, marked the birth of the modern stock market, enabling joint-stock investments in global trade. The modern financial systems underpinning investment emerged during the Industrial Revolution, as capital markets formalized to support expanding industrial and infrastructural needs. In the late 18th and early 19th centuries, stock exchanges provided structured platforms for trading securities, enabling broader participation in economic growth. The London Stock Exchange was officially established in 1801, when members funded a dedicated building in Capel Court and adopted a formal rulebook to regulate trading and curb informal practices.[70] Similarly, the New York Stock Exchange was constituted in 1817 as the New York Stock and Exchange Board, reorganizing brokers under the Buttonwood Agreement to create a more orderly auction-based system for securities trading.[71] These exchanges facilitated the financing of large-scale projects, exemplified by the 19th-century railroad bond boom in the United States and Europe, where investors poured capital into debt securities to fund expansive rail networks, marking one of the era's largest investment surges and integrating bonds as a key asset class.[72] The 20th century saw the maturation of regulatory frameworks in response to market instabilities, transforming investment into a more protected and accessible activity. The Great Depression, triggered by the 1929 stock market crash, prompted the U.S. Congress to enact the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which established the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to oversee exchanges, enforce disclosure requirements, and prevent fraud, thereby restoring investor confidence.[73] Following World War II, the mutual fund industry experienced explosive growth amid postwar economic prosperity and rising household wealth, with assets under management expanding from about $450 million in 1940 to $2.5 billion by 1950, as funds offered diversified equity exposure to a burgeoning middle class.[74][75] Deregulation in the late 20th century further globalized and modernized these systems, though not without subsequent reforms. The UK's "Big Bang" on October 27, 1986, abolished fixed commissions, opened the London Stock Exchange to foreign firms, and computerized trading, spurring competition and elevating London's role in international finance.[76] The 2008 global financial crisis, fueled by subprime mortgages and excessive leverage, led to the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010, which enhanced oversight of derivatives, created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and imposed stricter capital requirements on banks to mitigate systemic risks.[77] Parallel to these developments, globalization accelerated the rise of emerging markets investing from the 1980s onward, as capital flows to regions like Asia and Latin America grew from negligible levels to trillions by the 2000s, driven by trade liberalization and the pursuit of higher returns in developing economies.[78] A pivotal innovation in this era was the launch of the first index mutual fund by Vanguard in 1976, which passively tracked the S&P 500 and democratized low-cost, broad-market investing, influencing the shift toward passive strategies worldwide.[79][80]Investment Strategies
Value and Growth Approaches
Value investing is a strategy that involves purchasing securities, typically stocks, that appear to be trading at prices below their intrinsic value, determined through fundamental analysis of the company's financials and business prospects. This approach, pioneered by Benjamin Graham in the 1930s, emphasizes buying assets at a discount to their estimated true worth to provide a buffer against errors in estimation or market downturns. Investors identify undervalued stocks using metrics such as a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio lower than the industry average, price-to-book (P/B) ratio below 1, or high dividend yields relative to peers. A central tenet is the margin of safety, Graham's principle of acquiring assets at a substantial discount—often 30-50% below intrinsic value—to minimize risk and protect capital. This method promotes long-term holding, resulting in lower portfolio turnover compared to other strategies, as investors wait for market recognition of the asset's value.[81] Prominent practitioner Warren Buffett, Graham's student, exemplifies value investing through Berkshire Hathaway's acquisitions of companies like Coca-Cola in 1988, purchased at a P/E ratio of around 15 when the market average exceeded 20, allowing for substantial appreciation as the company's intrinsic value materialized over decades.[82] Buffett's success underscores the strategy's focus on durable competitive advantages, or "economic moats," alongside undervaluation, yielding compounded annual returns of approximately 20% from 1965 to 2023.[83] In contrast, growth investing targets companies expected to achieve above-average earnings and revenue expansion, often in innovative sectors like technology or healthcare, even if current valuations appear elevated. Developed by Philip Fisher in his 1958 book Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, this approach prioritizes qualitative factors such as management quality, research and development strength, and market potential over immediate undervaluation.[84] Growth investors tolerate higher P/E ratios—frequently 25 or more—anticipating future cash flows to justify premiums, focusing on metrics like earnings growth rates exceeding 20% annually.[85] Unlike value strategies, growth investing often involves higher portfolio turnover, as investors rotate into emerging high-potential firms.[81] Historically, value strategies have outperformed growth in bear markets, providing stability through undervalued, dividend-paying stocks that recover strongly post-downturn, as seen during the 2000-2002 dot-com bust when value indices declined around 18% cumulatively while growth lagged with losses exceeding 55%.[86] Conversely, growth has dominated bull markets, exemplified by the 1990s technology boom, where growth stocks in the NASDAQ surged over 400% amid internet-driven expansion.[87] Over the long term, from 1927 to 2023, U.S. value stocks have exceeded growth returns by an average of 4.4% annually, though periods of growth leadership, such as 2010-2020, highlight the cyclical nature of these approaches.[87]Momentum and Timing Methods
Momentum investing is a strategy that involves buying assets exhibiting strong recent performance and selling those with poor performance, capitalizing on the persistence of price trends over intermediate horizons.[88] This approach assumes that trends tend to continue rather than reverse in the short to medium term, often with holding periods ranging from 3 to 12 months.[88] Unlike value or growth strategies, which focus on fundamental metrics, momentum relies primarily on historical price action and technical signals to identify winners and losers.[89] Academic research has provided robust evidence for the profitability of momentum strategies. In a seminal study, Jegadeesh and Titman analyzed U.S. stock returns from 1965 to 1989 and found that portfolios formed by buying top-performing stocks from the past 3 to 12 months and selling bottom performers generated average monthly excess returns of approximately 1%, even after transaction costs.[88] This momentum effect has been observed across various markets and asset classes, persisting in out-of-sample periods and international settings.[89] Behavioral finance attributes the momentum anomaly to investor herding, where underreaction to news and delayed overreaction lead to prolonged trends as investors pile into rising assets and avoid falling ones.[90] Technical tools are central to implementing momentum strategies. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, is a momentum oscillator that quantifies the speed and magnitude of recent price changes on a scale from 0 to 100, signaling potential overbought conditions above 70 and oversold below 30 to guide entry and exit decisions.[91] Momentum investors often rank assets by their past returns relative to peers or benchmarks to construct portfolios, rebalancing periodically to capture ongoing trends.[89] Market timing extends momentum principles by attempting to forecast broader market highs and lows to switch between risky assets and safer alternatives like cash.[92] Common indicators include moving averages, where a short-term average crossing above a long-term one signals a buy, and vice versa for sells, aiming to ride upward trends while avoiding downturns.[93] However, market timing is fraught with challenges, including whipsaw losses—frequent false signals in volatile or sideways markets that trigger unnecessary trades and erode returns through transaction costs and missed opportunities.[92] Empirical studies indicate that successful timing is rare, as predicting turning points consistently outperforms buy-and-hold only in specific regimes but underperforms overall due to these pitfalls.[94]Averaging and Diversification Techniques
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy in which a fixed amount of money is invested at regular intervals, irrespective of asset prices, allowing investors to purchase more shares during market downturns and fewer during upswings, thereby potentially reducing the average cost per share in volatile conditions.[95] This method mitigates the risk of poor market timing by spreading investments over time, promoting disciplined saving without requiring predictions of market movements.[96] Historical analyses indicate that while lump-sum investing outperforms DCA in approximately two-thirds of simulated scenarios over long horizons, DCA demonstrates an edge in down markets or periods of high volatility, succeeding in 60-70% of cases by lowering overall risk exposure and providing smoother returns.[97] For instance, in backtested U.S. equity markets from 1926 to 2023, DCA reduced portfolio drawdowns during bear markets compared to immediate full allocation.[98] Diversification involves allocating investments across multiple asset classes, sectors, or geographies to minimize unsystematic risk, as the performance of individual holdings tends to vary independently.[99] This principle, foundational to modern portfolio theory as introduced by Harry Markowitz in 1952, emphasizes that a well-diversified portfolio can achieve optimal risk-adjusted returns by reducing the impact of any single asset's underperformance.[57] Empirical evidence supports that diversified portfolios exhibit lower volatility than concentrated ones, as global diversification across equities and bonds can significantly reduce standard deviation while maintaining expected returns.[100] Micro-investing extends averaging techniques by enabling small, frequent contributions—often spare change from daily transactions—through digital platforms, making investment accessible to retail investors with limited capital.[101] Launched in 2012, Acorns exemplifies this approach by automatically rounding up purchases and investing the difference into diversified portfolios of exchange-traded funds.[102] Such platforms lower entry barriers, fostering long-term wealth building among younger or lower-income individuals by promoting habitual saving and exposure to market growth with minimal upfront commitment.[103]Investment Vehicles and Intermediaries
Investment vehicles can be classified in several ways, including direct versus indirect and active versus passive. Direct vs. Indirect InvestmentsInvestments are commonly classified as direct or indirect.
- Direct investments involve significant control or participation in the asset or entity (e.g., direct acquisition of companies, ownership of real estate, or foreign direct investment).
- Indirect investments involve no significant control, through financial instruments (e.g., purchase of stocks, bonds, or investment funds).
Collective investment vehicles can employ active or passive management strategies.
- Active management involves selecting and adjusting the portfolio in an attempt to outperform a benchmark or index.
- Passive management seeks to replicate the performance of a market index (e.g., indexed ETFs), with minimal intervention and typically lower costs.[105]
