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Triangular distribution
Triangular distribution
from Wikipedia
Triangular
Probability density function
Plot of the Triangular PMF
Cumulative distribution function
Plot of the Triangular CMF
Parameters

Support
PDF
CDF
Mean
Median
Mode
Variance
Skewness
Excess kurtosis
Entropy
MGF
CF

In probability theory and statistics, the triangular distribution is a continuous probability distribution with lower limit a, upper limit b, and mode c, where a < b and a ≤ c ≤ b.

Special cases

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Mode at a bound

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The distribution simplifies when c = a or c = b. For example, if a = 0, b = 1 and c = 1, then the PDF and CDF become:

for .

Distribution of the absolute difference of two standard uniform variables

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This distribution for a = 0, b = 1 and c = 0 is the distribution of X = |X1 − X2|, where X1, X2 are two independent random variables with standard uniform distribution.

Symmetric triangular distribution

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The symmetric case arises when c = (a + b) / 2. In this case, an alternate form of the distribution function is:

Distribution of the mean of two standard uniform variables

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This distribution for a = 0, b = 1 and c = 0.5—the mode (i.e., the peak) is exactly in the middle of the interval—corresponds to the distribution of the mean of two standard uniform variables, that is, the distribution of X = (X1 + X2) / 2, where X1, X2 are two independent random variables with standard uniform distribution in [0, 1].[1] It is the case of the Bates distribution for two variables.

Generating random variates

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Given a random variate U drawn from the uniform distribution in the interval (0, 1), then the variate[2]

where , has a triangular distribution with parameters and . This can be obtained from the cumulative distribution function.

Use of the distribution

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The triangular distribution is typically used as a subjective description of a population for which there is only limited sample data, and especially in cases where the relationship between variables is known but data is scarce (possibly because of the high cost of collection). It is based on a knowledge of the minimum and maximum and an "inspired guess"[3] as to the modal value. For these reasons, the triangle distribution has been called a "lack of knowledge" distribution.

Business simulations

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The triangular distribution is therefore often used in business decision making, particularly in simulations. Generally, when not much is known about the distribution of an outcome (say, only its smallest and largest values), it is possible to use the uniform distribution. But if the most likely outcome is also known, then the outcome can be simulated by a triangular distribution. See for example under corporate finance.

Project management

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The triangular distribution, along with the PERT distribution, is also widely used in project management (as an input into PERT and hence critical path method (CPM)) to model events which take place within an interval defined by a minimum and maximum value.

Audio dithering

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The symmetric triangular distribution is commonly used in audio dithering, where it is called TPDF (triangular probability density function).

See also

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  • Trapezoidal distribution
  • Thomas Simpson
  • Three-point estimation
  • Five-number summary
  • Seven-number summary
  • Triangular function
  • Central limit theorem — The triangle distribution often occurs as a result of adding two uniform random variables together. In other words, the triangle distribution is often (not always) the result of the first iteration of the central limit theorem summing process (i.e. ). In this sense, the triangle distribution can occasionally occur naturally. If this process of summing together more random variables continues (i.e. ), then the distribution will become increasingly bell-shaped.
  • Irwin–Hall distribution — Using an Irwin–Hall distribution is an easy way to generate a triangle distribution.
  • Bates distribution — Similar to the Irwin–Hall distribution, but with the values rescaled back into the 0 to 1 range. Useful for computation of a triangle distribution which can subsequently be rescaled and shifted to create other triangle distributions outside of the 0 to 1 range.

References

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
The triangular distribution is a continuous probability distribution characterized by a triangular-shaped probability density function (PDF), defined by three parameters: the lower bound aa, the upper bound bb (with aba \leq b), and the mode cc (with acba \leq c \leq b), representing the minimum, maximum, and most likely values of a random variable, respectively. This distribution is particularly useful in scenarios with limited data, where expert judgment provides estimates for these bounds and peak, serving as a simple model for uncertainty or variability when more complex distributions cannot be fitted. The PDF of the triangular distribution is piecewise linear: for axca \leq x \leq c, it is f(x)=2(xa)(ba)(ca)f(x) = \frac{2(x - a)}{(b - a)(c - a)}; for c<xbc < x \leq b, it is f(x)=2(bx)(ba)(bc)f(x) = \frac{2(b - x)}{(b - a)(b - c)}; and zero otherwise. The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is similarly piecewise: F(x)=0F(x) = 0 for x<ax < a, F(x)=(xa)2(ba)(ca)F(x) = \frac{(x - a)^2}{(b - a)(c - a)} for axca \leq x \leq c, F(x)=1(bx)2(ba)(bc)F(x) = 1 - \frac{(b - x)^2}{(b - a)(b - c)} for c<xbc < x \leq b, and F(x)=1F(x) = 1 for x>bx > b. Its mean is a+b+c3\frac{a + b + c}{3}, and variance is a2+b2+c2abacbc18\frac{a^2 + b^2 + c^2 - ab - ac - bc}{18}. The distribution is symmetric when c=a+b2c = \frac{a + b}{2}, positively skewed when c<a+b2c < \frac{a + b}{2}, negatively skewed when c>a+b2c > \frac{a + b}{2}, with excess of 35-\frac{3}{5}. Commonly applied in fields requiring approximations with sparse data, the triangular distribution models task durations in via three-point estimating techniques, such as in PERT-like methods where optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic estimates define aa, cc, and bb. It is also used in simulations for business and , natural phenomena modeling, dithering (often the symmetric case), and Type B uncertainty evaluations in , where its standard deviation ba26\frac{b - a}{2\sqrt{6}}
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