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Learning analytics
View on WikipediaLearning analytics is the measurement, collection, analysis and reporting of data about learners and their contexts, for purposes of understanding and optimizing learning and the environments in which it occurs.[1] The growth of online learning since the 1990s, particularly in higher education, has contributed to the advancement of Learning Analytics as student data can be captured and made available for analysis.[2][3][4] When learners use an LMS, social media, or similar online tools, their clicks, navigation patterns, time on task, social networks, information flow, and concept development through discussions can be tracked. The rapid development of massive open online courses (MOOCs) offers additional data for researchers to evaluate teaching and learning in online environments.[5]
Definition
[edit]Although a majority of Learning Analytics literature has started to adopt the aforementioned definition, the definition and aims of Learning Analytics are still contested.
Learning analytics as a prediction model
[edit]One earlier definition discussed by the community suggested that Learning Analytics is the use of intelligent data, learner-produced data, and analysis models to discover information and social connections for predicting and advising people's learning.[6] But this definition has been criticised by George Siemens[7][non-primary source needed] and Mike Sharkey.[8][non-primary source needed]
Learning analytics as a generic design framework
[edit]Dr. Wolfgang Greller and Dr. Hendrik Drachsler defined learning analytics holistically as a framework. They proposed that it is a generic design framework that can act as a useful guide for setting up analytics services in support of educational practice and learner guidance, in quality assurance, curriculum development, and in improving teacher effectiveness and efficiency. It uses a general morphological analysis (GMA) to divide the domain into six "critical dimensions".[9]
Learning analytics as data-driven decision making
[edit]The broader term "Analytics" has been defined as the science of examining data to draw conclusions and, when used in decision-making, to present paths or courses of action.[10] From this perspective, Learning Analytics has been defined as a particular case of Analytics, in which decision-making aims to improve learning and education.[11] During the 2010s, this definition of analytics has gone further to incorporate elements of operations research such as decision trees and strategy maps to establish predictive models and to determine probabilities for certain courses of action.[10]
Learning analytics as an application of analytics
[edit]Another approach for defining Learning Analytics is based on the concept of Analytics interpreted as the process of developing actionable insights through problem definition and the application of statistical models and analysis against existing and/or simulated future data.[12][13] From this point of view, Learning Analytics emerges as a type of Analytics (as a process), in which the data, the problem definition and the insights are learning-related.
In 2016, a research jointly conducted by the New Media Consortium (NMC) and the EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative (ELI) -an EDUCAUSE Program- describes six areas of emerging technology that will have had significant impact on higher education and creative expression by the end of 2020. As a result of this research, Learning analytics was defined as an educational application of web analytics aimed at learner profiling, a process of gathering and analyzing details of individual student interactions in online learning activities.[14]

Learning analytics as an application of data science
[edit]In 2017, Gašević, Коvanović, and Joksimović proposed a consolidated model of learning analytics.[15] The model posits that learning analytics is defined at the intersection of three disciplines: data science, theory, and design. Data science offers computational methods and techniques for data collection, pre-processing, analysis, and presentation. Theory is typically drawn from the literature in the learning sciences, education, psychology, sociology, and philosophy. The design dimension of the model includes: learning design, interaction design, and study design. In 2015, Gašević, Dawson, and Siemens argued that computational aspects of learning analytics need to be linked with the existing educational research in order for Learning Analytics to deliver its promise to understand and optimize learning.[16]
Learning analytics versus educational data mining
[edit]Differentiating the fields of educational data mining (EDM) and learning analytics (LA) has been a concern of several researchers. George Siemens takes the position that educational data mining encompasses both learning analytics and academic analytics,[17] the former of which is aimed at governments, funding agencies, and administrators instead of learners and faculty. Baepler and Murdoch define academic analytics as an area that "...combines select institutional data, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to create intelligence upon which learners, instructors, or administrators can change academic behavior".[18] They go on to attempt to disambiguate educational data mining from academic analytics based on whether the process is hypothesis driven or not, though Brooks[19] questions whether this distinction exists in the literature. Brooks[19] instead proposes that a better distinction between the EDM and LA communities is in the roots of where each community originated, with authorship at the EDM community being dominated by researchers coming from intelligent tutoring paradigms, and learning anaytics researchers being more focused on enterprise learning systems (e.g. learning content management systems).
Regardless of the differences between the LA and EDM communities, the two areas have significant overlap both in the objectives of investigators as well as in the methods and techniques that are used in the investigation. In the MS program offering in learning analytics at Teachers College, Columbia University, students are taught both EDM and LA methods.[20]
Historical contributions
[edit]Learning Analytics, as a field, has multiple disciplinary roots. While the fields of artificial intelligence (AI), statistical analysis, machine learning, and business intelligence offer an additional narrative, the main historical roots of analytics are the ones directly related to human interaction and the education system.[5] More in particular, the history of Learning Analytics is tightly linked to the development of four Social Sciences' fields that have converged throughout time. These fields pursued, and still do, four goals:
- Definition of Learner, in order to cover the need of defining and understanding a learner.
- Knowledge trace, addressing how to trace or map the knowledge that occurs during the learning process.
- Learning efficiency and personalization, which refers to how to make learning more efficient and personal by means of technology.
- Learner – content comparison, in order to improve learning by comparing the learner's level of knowledge with the actual content that needs to master.[5](Siemens, George (2013-03-17). Intro to Learning Analytics. LAK13 open online course for University of Texas at Austin & Edx. 11 minutes in. Retrieved 2018-11-01.)
A diversity of disciplines and research activities have influenced in these 4 aspects throughout the last decades, contributing to the gradual development of learning analytics. Some of most determinant disciplines are Social Network Analysis, User Modelling, Cognitive modelling, Data Mining and E-Learning. The history of Learning Analytics can be understood by the rise and development of these fields.[5]
Social Network Analysis
[edit]Social network analysis (SNA) is the process of investigating social structures through the use of networks and graph theory.[21] It characterizes networked structures in terms of nodes (individual actors, people, or things within the network) and the ties, edges, or links (relationships or interactions) that connect them.[citation needed] Social network analysis is prominent in Sociology, and its development has had a key role in the emergence of Learning Analytics. One of the first examples or attempts to provide a deeper understanding of interactions is by Austrian-American Sociologist Paul Lazarsfeld. In 1944, Lazarsfeld made the statement of "who talks to whom about what and to what effect".[22] That statement forms what today is still the area of interest or the target within social network analysis, which tries to understand how people are connected and what insights can be derived as a result of their interactions, a core idea of Learning Analytics.[5]
Citation analysis
American linguist Eugene Garfield was an early pioneer in analytics in science. In 1955, Garfield led the first attempt to analyse the structure of science regarding how developments in science can be better understood by tracking the associations (citations) between articles (how they reference one another, the importance of the resources that they include, citation frequency, etc). Through tracking citations, scientists can observe how research is disseminated and validated. This was the basic idea of what eventually became a "page rank", which in the early days of Google (beginning of the 21st century) was one of the key ways of understanding the structure of a field by looking at page connections and the importance of those connections. The algorithm PageRank -the first search algorithm used by Google- was based on this principle.[23][24] American computer scientist Larry Page, Google's co-founder, defined PageRank as "an approximation of the importance" of a particular resource.[25] Educationally, citation or link analysis is important for mapping knowledge domains.[5]
The essential idea behind these attempts is the realization that, as data increases, individuals, researchers or business analysts need to understand how to track the underlying patterns behind the data and how to gain insight from them. And this is also a core idea in Learning Analytics.[5]
Digitalization of Social network analysis
During the early 1970s, pushed by the rapid evolution in technology, Social network analysis transitioned into analysis of networks in digital settings.[5]
- Milgram's 6 degrees experiment. In 1967, American social psychologist Stanley Milgram and other researchers examined the average path length for social networks of people in the United States, suggesting that human society is a small-world-type network characterized by short path-lengths.[26]
- Weak ties. American Sociologist Mark Granovetter's work on the strength of what is known as weak ties; his 1973 article "The Strength of Weak Ties" is one of the most influential and most cited articles in Social Sciences.[27]
- Networked individualism. Towards the end of the 20th century, Sociologist Barry Wellman's research extensively contributed the theory of social network analysis. In particular, Wellman observed and described the rise of "networked individualism" – the transformation from group-based networks to individualized networks.[28][29][30]
During the first decade of the century, Professor Caroline Haythornthwaite explored the impact of media type on the development of social ties, observing that human interactions can be analyzed to gain novel insight not from strong interactions (i.e. people that are strongly related to the subject) but, rather, from weak ties. This provides Learning Analytics with a central idea: apparently un-related data may hide crucial information. As an example of this phenomenon, an individual looking for a job will have a better chance of finding new information through weak connections rather than strong ones.[31] (Siemens, George (2013-03-17). Intro to Learning Analytics. LAK13 open online course for University of Texas at Austin & Edx. 11 minutes in. Retrieved 2018-11-01.)
Her research also focused on the way that different types of media can impact the formation of networks. Her work highly contributed to the development of social network analysis as a field. Important ideas were inherited by Learning Analytics, such that a range of metrics and approaches can define the importance of a particular node, the value of information exchange, the way that clusters are connected to one another, structural gaps that might exist within those networks, etc.[5]
The application of social network analysis in digital learning settings has been pioneered by Professor Shane P. Dawson. He has developed a number of software tools, such as Social Networks Adapting Pedagogical Practice (SNAPP) for evaluating the networks that form in [learning management systems] when students engage in forum discussions.[32]
User modelling
[edit]The main goal of user modelling is the customization and adaptation of systems to the user's specific needs, especially in their interaction with computing systems. The importance of computers being able to respond individually to into people was starting to be understood in the decade of 1970s. Dr Elaine Rich in 1979 predicted that "computers are going to treat their users as individuals with distinct personalities, goals, and so forth".[33] This is a central idea not only educationally but also in general web use activity, in which personalization is an important goal.[5]
User modelling has become important in research in human-computer interactions as it helps researchers to design better systems by understanding how users interact with software.[34] Recognizing unique traits, goals, and motivations of individuals remains an important activity in learning analytics.[5]
Personalization and adaptation of learning content is an important present and future direction of learning sciences, and its history within education has contributed to the development of learning analytics.[5]Hypermedia is a nonlinear medium of information that includes graphics, audio, video, plain text and hyperlinks. The term was first used in a 1965 article written by American Sociologist Ted Nelson.[35] Adaptive hypermedia builds on user modelling by increasing personalization of content and interaction. In particular, adaptive hypermedia systems build a model of the goals, preferences and knowledge of each user, in order to adapt to the needs of that user. From the end of the 20th century onwards, the field grew rapidly, mainly due to that the internet boosted research into adaptivity and, secondly, the accumulation and consolidation of research experience in the field. In turn, Learning Analytics has been influenced by this strong development.[36]
Education/cognitive modelling
[edit]Education/cognitive modelling has been applied to tracing how learners develop knowledge. Since the end of the 1980s and early 1990s, computers have been used in education as learning tools for decades. In 1989, Hugh Burns argued for the adoption and development of intelligent tutor systems that ultimately would pass three levels of "intelligence": domain knowledge, learner knowledge evaluation, and pedagogical intervention. During the 21st century, these three levels have remained relevant for researchers and educators.[37]
In the decade of 1990s, the academic activity around cognitive models focused on attempting to develop systems that possess a computational model capable of solving the problems that are given to students in the ways students are expected to solve the problems.[38] Cognitive modelling has contributed to the rise in popularity of intelligent or cognitive tutors. Once cognitive processes can be modelled, software (tutors) can be developed to support learners in the learning process. The research base on this field became, eventually, significantly relevant for learning analytics during the 21st century.[5][39][40]
Epistemic Frame Theory
[edit]While big data analytics has been more and more widely applied in education, Wise and Shaffer[41] addressed the importance of theory-based approach in the analysis. Epistemic Frame Theory conceptualized the "ways of thinking, acting, and being in the world" in a collaborative learning environment. Specifically, the framework is based on the context of Community of Practice (CoP), which is a group of learners, with common goals, standards and prior knowledge and skills, to solve a complex problem. Due to the essence of CoP, it is important to study the connections between elements (learners, knowledge, concepts, skills and so on). To identify the connections, the co-occurrences of elements in learners' data are identified and analyzed.
Shaffer and Ruis[42] pointed out the concept of closing the interpretive loop, by emphasizing the transparency and validation of model, interpretation and the original data. The loop can be closed by a good theoretical sound analytics approaches, Epistemic Network Analysis.
Other contributions
[edit]In a discussion of the history of analytics, Adam Cooper highlights a number of communities from which learning analytics has drawn techniques, mainly during the first decades of the 21st century, including:[43]
- Statistics, which are a well established means to address hypothesis testing.
- Business intelligence, which has similarities with learning analytics, although it has historically been targeted at making the production of reports more efficient through enabling data access and summarising performance indicators.
- Web analytics, tools such as Google Analytics report on web page visits and references to websites, brands and other key terms across the internet. The more "fine grain" of these techniques can be adopted in learning analytics for the exploration of student trajectories through learning resources (courses, materials, etc.).
- Operational research, which aims at highlighting design optimisation for maximising objectives through the use of mathematical models and statistical methods. Such techniques are implicated in learning analytics which seek to create models of real world behaviour for practical application.
- Artificial intelligence methods (combined with machine learning techniques built on data mining) are capable of detecting patterns in data. In learning analytics such techniques can be used for intelligent tutoring systems, classification of students in more dynamic ways than simple demographic factors, and resources such as "suggested course" systems modelled on collaborative filtering techniques.
- Information visualization, which is an important step in many analytics for sensemaking around the data provided, and is used across most techniques (including those above).[43]
Learning analytics programs
[edit]The first graduate program focused specifically on learning analytics was created by Ryan S. Baker and launched in the Fall 2015 semester at Teachers College, Columbia University. The program description states that
"(...)data about learning and learners are being generated today on an unprecedented scale. The fields of learning analytics (LA) and educational data mining (EDM) have emerged with the aim of transforming this data into new insights that can benefit students, teachers, and administrators. As one of world's leading teaching and research institutions in education, psychology, and health, we are proud to offer an innovative graduate curriculum dedicated to improving education through technology and data analysis."[44]
Masters programs are now offered at several other universities as well, including the University of Texas at Arlington, the University of Wisconsin, and the University of Pennsylvania.
Analytic methods
[edit]Methods for learning analytics include:
- Content analysis, particularly of resources which students create (such as essays).
- Discourse analytics, which aims to capture meaningful data on student interactions which (unlike social network analytics) aims to explore the properties of the language used, as opposed to just the network of interactions, or forum-post counts, etc.
- Social learning analytics, which is aimed at exploring the role of social interaction in learning, the importance of learning networks, discourse used to sensemake, etc.[45]
- Disposition analytics, which seeks to capture data regarding student's dispositions to their own learning, and the relationship of these to their learning.[46][47] For example, "curious" learners may be more inclined to ask questions, and this data can be captured and analysed for learning analytics.
- Epistemic Network Analysis, which is an analytics technique that models the co-occurrence of different concepts and elements in the learning process. For example, the online discourse data can be segmented as turn of talk. By coding students' different behaviors of collaborative learning, we could apply ENA to identify and quantify the co-occurrence of different behaviors for any individual in the group.
Applications
[edit]Learning Applications can be and has been applied in a noticeable number of contexts.
General purposes
[edit]Analytics have been used for:
- Prediction purposes, for example to identify "at risk" students in terms of drop out or course failure.
- Personalization & adaptation, to provide students with tailored learning pathways, or assessment materials.
- Intervention purposes, providing educators with information to intervene to support students.
- Information visualization, typically in the form of so-called learning dashboards which provide overview learning data through data visualisation tools.
Benefits for stakeholders
[edit]There is a broad awareness of analytics across educational institutions for various stakeholders,[10] but that the way learning analytics is defined and implemented may vary, including:[13]
- for individual learners to reflect on their achievements and patterns of behaviour in relation to others. Particularly, the following areas can be set out for measuring, monitoring, analyzing and changing to optimize student performance:[48]
- Monitoring individual student performance
- Disaggregating student performance by selected characteristics such as major, year of study, ethnicity, etc.
- Identifying outliers for early intervention
- Predicting potential so that all students achieve optimally
- Preventing attrition from a course or program
- Identifying and developing effective instructional techniques
- Analyzing standard assessment techniques and instruments (i.e. departmental and licensing exams)
- Testing and evaluation of curricula.[48]
- as predictors of students requiring extra support and attention;
- to help teachers and support staff plan supporting interventions with individuals and groups;
- for functional groups such as course teams seeking to improve current courses or develop new curriculum offerings; and
- for institutional administrators taking decisions on matters such as marketing and recruitment or efficiency and effectiveness measures.[13]
Some motivations and implementations of analytics may come into conflict with others, for example highlighting potential conflict between analytics for individual learners and organisational stakeholders.[13]
Software
[edit]Much of the software that is currently used for learning analytics duplicates functionality of web analytics software, but applies it to learner interactions with content. Social network analysis tools are commonly used to map social connections and discussions. Some examples of learning analytics software tools include:
- BEESTAR INSIGHT: a real-time system that automatically collects student engagement and attendance, and provides analytics tools and dashboards for students, teachers and management[49][non-primary source needed]
- LOCO-Analyst: a context-aware learning tool for analytics of learning processes taking place in a web-based learning environment[50][51]
- SAM: a Student Activity Monitor intended for personal learning environments[52][non-primary source needed]
- SNAPP: a learning analytics tool that visualizes the network of interactions resulting from discussion forum posts and replies[53][non-primary source needed]
- Solutionpath StREAM: A leading UK based real-time system that leverage predictive models to determine all facets of student engagement using structured and unstructured sources for all institutional roles[54][non-primary source needed]
- Student Success System: a predictive learning analytics tool that predicts student performance and plots learners into risk quadrants based upon engagement and performance predictions, and provides indicators to develop understanding as to why a learner is not on track through visualizations such as the network of interactions resulting from social engagement (e.g. discussion posts and replies), performance on assessments, engagement with content, and other indicators[55][non-primary source needed]
- Epistemic Network Analysis (ENA) web tool: An interactive online tool that allow researchers to upload the coded dataset and create the model by specifying units, conversations and codes.[56] Useful functions within the online tool includes mean rotation for comparison between two groups, specifying the sliding window size for connection accumulation, weighed or unweighted models, and parametric and non-parametric statistical testings with suggested write-up and so on. The web tool is stable and open source.
Ethics and privacy
[edit]The ethics of data collection, analytics, reporting and accountability has been raised as a potential concern for learning analytics,[9][57][58] with concerns raised regarding:
- Data ownership[59]
- Communications around the scope and role of learning analytics
- The necessary role of human feedback and error-correction in learning analytics systems
- Data sharing between systems, organisations, and stakeholders
- Trust in data clients
As Kay, Kom and Oppenheim point out, the range of data is wide, potentially derived from:[60]
- Recorded activity: student records, attendance, assignments, researcher information (CRIS)
- Systems interactions: VLE, library / repository search, card transactions
- Feedback mechanisms: surveys, customer care
- External systems that offer reliable identification such as sector and shared services and social networks
Thus the legal and ethical situation is challenging and different from country to country, raising implications for:[60]
- Variety of data: principles for collection, retention and exploitation
- Education mission: underlying issues of learning management, including social and performance engineering
- Motivation for development of analytics: mutuality, a combination of corporate, individual and general good
- Customer expectation: effective business practice, social data expectations, cultural considerations of a global customer base.
- Obligation to act: duty of care arising from knowledge and the consequent challenges of student and employee performance management
In some prominent cases like the inBloom disaster,[61] even full functional systems have been shut down due to lack of trust in the data collection by governments, stakeholders and civil rights groups. Since then, the learning analytics community has extensively studied legal conditions in a series of experts workshops on "Ethics & Privacy 4 Learning Analytics" that constitute the use of trusted learning analytics.[62][non-primary source needed] Drachsler & Greller released an 8-point checklist named DELICATE that is based on the intensive studies in this area to demystify the ethics and privacy discussions around learning analytics.[63]
- D-etermination: Decide on the purpose of learning analytics for your institution.
- E-xplain: Define the scope of data collection and usage.
- L-egitimate: Explain how you operate within the legal frameworks, refer to the essential legislation.
- I-nvolve: Talk to stakeholders and give assurances about the data distribution and use.
- C-onsent: Seek consent through clear consent questions.
- A-nonymise: De-identify individuals as much as possible
- T-echnical aspects: Monitor who has access to data, especially in areas with high staff turn-over.
- E-xternal partners: Make sure externals provide highest data security standards
It shows ways to design and provide privacy conform learning analytics that can benefit all stakeholders. The full DELICATE checklist is publicly available.[64]
Privacy management practices of students have shown discrepancies between one's privacy beliefs and one's privacy related actions.[65] Learning analytic systems can have default settings that allow data collection of students if they do not choose to opt-out.[65] Some online education systems such as edX or Coursera do not offer a choice to opt-out of data collection.[65] In order for certain learning analytics to function properly, these systems utilize cookies to collect data.[65]
Open learning analytics
[edit]In 2012, a systematic overview on learning analytics and its key concepts was provided by Professor Mohamed Chatti and colleagues through a reference model based on four dimensions, namely:
- data, environments, context (what?),
- stakeholders (who?),
- objectives (why?), and
- methods (how?).[66][67]
Chatti, Muslim and Schroeder[68] note that the aim of open learning analytics (OLA) is to improve learning effectiveness in lifelong learning environments. The authors refer to OLA as an ongoing analytics process that encompasses diversity at all four dimensions of the learning analytics reference model.[66]
See also
[edit]Further reading
[edit]For general audience introductions, see:
- The Educause learning initiative briefing (2011)[69]
- The Educause review on learning analytics (2011)[70]
- The UNESCO learning analytics policy brief (2012)[71]
- The NMC Horizon Report: 2016 Higher Education Edition[72]
References
[edit]- ^ "Call for Papers of the 1st International Conference on Learning Analytics & Knowledge (LAK 2011)". Retrieved 12 February 2014.
- ^ Andrews, R.; Haythornthwaite, Caroline (2007). Handbook of e-learning research. London, UK: Sage.
- ^ Anderson, T. (2008). The theory and practice of online learning. Athabasca, Canada: Athabasca University Press.
- ^ Haythornthwaite, Caroline; Andrews, R. (2011). E-learning theory and practice. London, UK: Sage.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Siemens, George (2013-08-20). "Learning Analytics: The Emergence of a Discipline". American Behavioral Scientist. 57 (10): 1380–1400. doi:10.1177/0002764213498851. ISSN 0002-7642. S2CID 145692984.
- ^ Siemens, George. "What Are Learning Analytics?" Elearnspace, August 25, 2010. [1] Archived 2018-06-28 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "I somewhat disagree with this definition—it serves well as an introductory concept if we use analytics as a support structure for existing education models. I think learning analytics—at an advanced and integrated implementation—can do away with pre-fab curriculum models." George Siemens in the Learning Analytics Google Group discussion, August 2010 Archived 2020-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "In the descriptions of learning analytics we talk about using data to "predict success". I've struggled with that as I pore over our databases. I've come to realize there are different views/levels of success." Mike Sharkey, Director of Academic Analytics, University of Phoenix, in the Learning Analytics Google Group discussion, August 2010
- ^ a b Greller, Wolfgang; Drachsler, Hendrik (2012). "Translating Learning into Numbers: Toward a Generic Framework for Learning Analytics" (PDF). Educational Technology and Society. 15 (3): 42–57. S2CID 1152401. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2019-01-11. Retrieved 2018-11-01.
- ^ a b c Picciano, Anthony G. (2012). "The Evolution of Big Data and Learning Analytics in American Higher Education" (pdf). Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks. 16 (3): 9–20. doi:10.24059/olj.v16i3.267. S2CID 60700161.
- ^ Elias, Tanya (January 2011). "Learning Analytics: Definitions, Processes and Potential" (PDF). Unpublished Paper: 19. S2CID 16906479. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2019-01-11. Retrieved 2018-11-02.
- Tanya Elias (January 2011). "Learning Analytics: Definitions, Processes and Potential". ResearchGete.
- ^ Cooper, Adam (November 2012). "What is Analytics? Definition and Essential Characteristics" (PDF). The University of Bolton. ISSN 2051-9214. S2CID 14382238. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2019-01-11. Retrieved 2018-11-01.
- ^ a b c d Powell, Stephen, and Sheila MacNeill. Institutional Readiness for Analytics A Briefing Paper. CETIS Analytics Series. JISC CETIS, December 2012. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-05-02. Retrieved 2018-11-01.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link). - ^ Johnson, Larry; Adams Becker, Samantha; Cummins, Michele (2016). NMC Horizon Report: 2016 Higher Education Edition (PDF). Texas, Austin, USA. p. 38. ISBN 978-0-9968527-5-3. Retrieved 2018-10-30.
{{cite book}}:|journal=ignored (help)CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) - ^ Gašević, D.; Kovanović, V.; Joksimović, S. (2017). "Piecing the learning analytics puzzle: a consolidated model of a field of research and practice". Learning: Research and Practice. 3 (1): 63–78. doi:10.1080/23735082.2017.1286142. hdl:20.500.11820/66801038-daf6-4065-b4a0-54848ad373ab. S2CID 115009983.
- ^ Gašević, D.; Dawson, S.; Siemens, G. (2015). "Let's not forget: Learning analytics are about learning" (PDF). TechTrends. 59 (1): 64–71. doi:10.1007/s11528-014-0822-x. hdl:20.500.11820/037bd57b-858f-4d21-bd29-2c6ad4788b42. S2CID 60547215.
- ^ G. Siemens, D. Gasevic, C. Haythornthwaite, S. Dawson, S. B. Shum, R. Ferguson, E. Duval, K. Verbert, and R. S. J. D. Baker. Open Learning Analytics: an integrated & modularized platform. 2011.
- ^ Baepler, P.; Murdoch, C. J. (2010). "Academic Analytics and Data Mining in Higher Education". International Journal for the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning. 4 (2). doi:10.20429/ijsotl.2010.040217.
- ^ a b C. Brooks. A Data-Assisted Approach to Supporting Instructional Interventions in Technology Enhanced Learning Environments. PhD Dissertation. University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada 2012.
- ^ "Learning Analytics | Teachers College Columbia University". www.tc.columbia.edu. Retrieved 2015-10-13.
- ^ Otte, Evelien; Rousseau, Ronald (2002). "Social network analysis: a powerful strategy, also for the information sciences". Journal of Information Science. 28 (6): 441–453. doi:10.1177/016555150202800601. S2CID 17454166.
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- ^ Page, Lawrence; Brin, Sergey; Motwani, Rajeev; Winograd, Terry (1999). "The PageRank Citation Ranking: Bringing Order to the Web" (PDF). Stanford InfoLab. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2020-03-10. Retrieved 2019-01-11.
- ^ Milgram, Stanley (May 1967). "The Small World Problem". Psychology Today.
- ^ Granovetter, Mark S. (May 1973). "The Strength of Weak Ties" (PDF). The American Journal of Sociology. 78 (6): 1360–1380. doi:10.1086/225469. JSTOR 2776392. S2CID 59578641.
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- ^ Barry Wellman, "Physical Place and Cyber Place: The Rise of Networked Individualism." International Journal of Urban and Regional Research 25,2 (June, 2001): 227-52.
- ^ Haythornthwaite, Caroline; Andrews, Richard (2011). E-learning theory and practice. London, UK: Sage. doi:10.4135/9781446288566. ISBN 978-1-84920-471-2.
- ^ Dawson, Shane. (2010). "'Seeing' the learning community: An exploration of the development of a resource for monitoring online student networking" (pdf). British Journal of Educational Technology. 41 (5): 736–752. doi:10.1111/j.1467-8535.2009.00970.x.
- ^ Rich, Elaine (1979). "User modeling via stereotypes" (PDF). Cognitive Science. 3 (4): 329–354. doi:10.1207/s15516709cog0304_3.
- ^ Fischer, Gerhard (2001). "User Modeling in Human^Computer Interaction". User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction. 11: 65–86. doi:10.1023/A:1011145532042.
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{{cite book}}:|website=ignored (help) - ^ a b Mohamed Amine Chatti, Anna Lea Dyckhoff, Ulrik Schroeder and Hendrik Thüs (2012). A reference model for learning analytics. International Journal of Technology Enhanced Learning (IJTEL), 4(5/6), pp. 318-331.
- ^ Chatti, M. A., Lukarov, V., Thüs, H., Muslim, A., Yousef, A. M. F., Wahid, U., Greven, C., Chakrabarti, A., Schroeder, U. (2014). Learning Analytics: Challenges and Future Research Directions. eleed, Iss. 10. http://eleed.campussource.de/archive/10/4035
- ^ Mohamed Amine Chatti, Arham Muslim, and Ulrik Schroeder (2017). Toward an Open Learning Analytics Ecosystem. In Big Data and Learning Analytics in Higher Education (pp. 195-219). Springer International Publishing.
- ^ Eli (2011). "Seven Things You Should Know About First Generation Learning Analytics". EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative Briefing.
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- ^ Buckingham Shum, Simon (2012). Learning Analytics Policy Brief (PDF). UNESCO.
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{{cite book}}:|journal=ignored (help)CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link)
External links
[edit]- Society for Learning Analytics Research (SoLAR) – a research network for learning analytics
- US Department of Education report on Learning Analytics. 2012
- Learning Analytics Google Group with discussions from researchers and individuals interested in the topic.
- International Conference Learning Analytics & Knowledge
- Learning Analytics and Educational Data Mining conferences and people
- Next Gen Learning definition
- Microsoft Education Analytics with information on how to use data to support improved educational outcomes.
- Educational Data mining
- Educause resources on learning analytics
- Learning analytics infographic
- New Media Consortium (NMC)
Learning analytics
View on GrokipediaDefinition and Conceptual Foundations
Core Principles and Scope
Learning analytics encompasses the collection, analysis, interpretation, and communication of data about learners and their learning processes to generate theoretically grounded and actionable insights that enhance learning outcomes and educational environments.[13] This field integrates data from sources such as learning management systems, assessments, and interactions to inform evidence-based decisions, emphasizing a multidisciplinary approach that combines learning sciences, statistics, and computational methods.[14] At its core, learning analytics adheres to principles of human-centered design, where "human in the loop" ensures that automated analyses support rather than supplant educator and learner agency in decision-making.[14] Key tenets include fostering responsibility through ethical data practices, promoting sustainability in implementation, and building trust via equitable access and transparency in analytics processes.[13] Insights must be actionable, delivered through feedback loops to stakeholders like teachers and students, to drive improvements in teaching practices and personalized learning paths, while prioritizing theoretical relevance over isolated predictive modeling.[13] The scope of learning analytics is delimited to activities that trace, understand, and impact learning and teaching within educational contexts, including formal institutions from K-12 to higher education and informal settings.[13] In-scope efforts involve data-informed theory development, personalized interventions, and scalable ethical implementations that connect directly to learner progress and environmental optimization.[13] Excluded are applications lacking stakeholder engagement, such as pure algorithmic benchmarking without educational application or administrative analytics disconnected from learning processes, distinguishing it from adjacent fields like educational data mining.[13] This boundary ensures focus on causal, context-aware enhancements rather than decontextualized data manipulation.[14]Interpretations as Prediction, Framework, and Decision-Making
![Dragan Gašević discussing learning analytics][float-right] Learning analytics is frequently interpreted as a predictive tool, utilizing statistical and machine learning techniques to forecast student outcomes such as academic performance, retention, and engagement. Predictive models in this domain analyze historical data, including learning management system interactions, assessment scores, and behavioral indicators, to identify at-risk learners early in the process.[15] For example, course-specific predictive models have demonstrated higher accuracy than generalized ones, with significant predictors varying by instructional context, as evidenced in analyses of undergraduate courses where factors like prior achievement and participation patterns influenced success probabilities.[16] These models achieve predictive accuracies often ranging from 70-85% in controlled studies, though performance degrades without accounting for contextual variables like teaching methods.[17] Beyond mere forecasting, learning analytics serves as a conceptual framework for integrating data-driven insights into educational systems, encompassing data collection, analysis, interpretation, and application phases. Frameworks such as the Knowledge Discovery for Learning Analytics (KD4LA) outline components for processing educational data into actionable knowledge, emphasizing stages from raw data ingestion to insight generation for stakeholders.[18] Similarly, the Student Performance Prediction and Action (SPPA) framework extends traditional analytics by embedding machine learning predictions within intervention mechanisms, enabling automated or semi-automated responses to detected risks.[19] Prescriptive frameworks further advance this by incorporating explainable AI to recommend specific actions, moving from descriptive and predictive analytics toward causal-informed prescriptions that address limitations in interpretability and generalizability.[20] In decision-making contexts, learning analytics informs pedagogical and administrative choices by providing evidence-based indicators for interventions, such as personalized tutoring or curriculum adjustments. Adoption of learning analytics tools has been linked to enhanced teaching strategies, with studies reporting improved student outcomes following data-informed decisions, including a 20-30% reduction in dropout rates in intervention cohorts.[21] For instance, early warning systems derived from predictive analytics have supported remediation efforts, transitioning from identification to measurable impact, as seen in implementations identifying thousands of at-risk students and yielding positive shifts in academic trajectories through targeted support.[22] However, effective decision-making requires validation of model assumptions and integration with human judgment to mitigate risks of over-reliance on probabilistic outputs, ensuring causal links are not conflated with correlations.[23]Distinctions from Related Disciplines
Versus Educational Data Mining
Educational data mining (EDM) and learning analytics (LA) both apply data analysis techniques to educational contexts but differ in their foundational goals, methodologies, and stakeholder orientations.[24] [25] EDM emerged around 2005 from research in intelligent tutoring systems and student modeling, with its first international conference held in 2008, emphasizing automated methods to extract patterns from learner data for predictive modeling and system adaptation.[25] LA, formalized in 2011 through the inaugural Learning Analytics and Knowledge (LAK) conference organized by the Society for Learning Analytics Research (SoLAR), arose from web-based and social learning environments, prioritizing data-informed interventions to optimize teaching and institutional processes.[24] Core distinctions lie in their approaches to data utilization: EDM prioritizes technical discovery of structures and relationships, employing algorithms such as classifiers for prediction, clustering for grouping learners, and relationship mining to uncover latent variables like student engagement or knowledge gaps, often without direct human oversight.[25] LA, conversely, integrates human-centered tools like dashboards and visualizations to distill insights for educators and administrators, fostering judgment-based decisions rather than fully automated ones, and adopts a systems-level perspective encompassing institutional metrics beyond individual cognition.[25] [24] For instance, EDM might develop models to detect off-task behavior in real-time tutoring software, while LA could visualize dropout risks across an entire online program to guide policy adjustments.[25]| Aspect | Educational Data Mining (EDM) | Learning Analytics (LA) |
|---|---|---|
| Primary Focus | Automated pattern discovery and model building | Human-empowered exploration and optimization |
| Methodological Emphasis | Data mining techniques (e.g., regression, network analysis) | Visualization and analytics for decision support |
| Scope | Specific learner constructs and technical challenges | Holistic educational systems and environments |
| Community Origins | Intelligent tutoring and AI-driven education | Social learning and institutional analytics |
| Stakeholder Role | Researcher- and algorithm-driven | Inclusive of instructors, learners, and administrators |
Versus Broader Data Science Applications in Education
Learning analytics is narrowly defined as the measurement, collection, analysis, and reporting of data about learners and their contexts, specifically to understand and optimize learning processes and the educational environments supporting them.[26] In contrast, broader data science applications in education encompass a wider array of data-driven practices, including administrative analytics for institutional operations such as enrollment forecasting, resource allocation, and financial modeling, which prioritize operational efficiency over direct pedagogical improvement.[26] These applications often draw from enterprise data systems like student information platforms and may employ machine learning for institutional-level predictions, such as overall retention rates, without focusing on granular learning interactions. While learning analytics emphasizes learner-centered insights derived from traces of educational activities—such as interactions in learning management systems (LMS) or adaptive platforms—broader data science efforts in education frequently integrate non-learning data sources, including demographic records, facility usage logs, and external socioeconomic indicators, to inform policy or strategic decisions.[27] For instance, predictive models in broader applications might forecast campus-wide dropout risks using historical admission data and economic variables, aiming to optimize recruitment or budgeting rather than intervening in specific instructional designs.[28] This distinction arises from differing objectives: learning analytics seeks causal links between data patterns and learning outcomes to enable real-time instructional adjustments, whereas broader applications often suffice with correlational analyses for aggregate planning.[27] The scope of learning analytics remains constrained to educational contexts where data directly informs teaching and learning efficacy, excluding pursuits like teacher performance evaluation through standardized test aggregates or infrastructure analytics for facility maintenance, which fall under general data science umbrellas in educational institutions.[26] Emerging proposals for "educational data science" attempt to unify these areas by integrating learning analytics with educational data mining techniques, but such frameworks highlight persistent tensions, as broader applications risk diluting learner-specific focus with institution-scale metrics that may overlook individual variability in learning trajectories.[29] Empirical studies underscore that while broader data science yields verifiable institutional gains—such as a 10-15% improvement in resource utilization reported in higher education case analyses—learning analytics uniquely correlates with measurable enhancements in student engagement metrics, like a 20% increase in course completion rates via targeted interventions.[28]Historical Development
Pre-2010 Foundations in Related Fields
The foundations of learning analytics prior to 2010 were established through advancements in intelligent tutoring systems (ITS), student modeling, and early educational data mining (EDM), which emphasized data-driven insights into learner behavior and instructional adaptation. ITS, emerging in the late 1970s and early 1980s, incorporated student models to represent knowledge states, diagnose errors, and deliver personalized feedback based on real-time interaction data. For example, early systems like the Geometry Proof Tutor, developed at Carnegie Mellon University in the early 1980s, employed model-tracing techniques to compare student problem-solving steps against expert models, enabling predictive assessments of mastery and misconceptions.[30] These approaches relied on rule-based and constraint-based modeling to analyze sequential data from learner inputs, foreshadowing analytics' focus on causal inference from educational interactions.[31] By the mid-1990s, the proliferation of web-based educational environments generated log data amenable to mining techniques, marking the inception of EDM as a distinct precursor field. Researchers applied classification, clustering, and association rule mining to datasets from learning management systems and online courses, aiming to predict performance, detect dropout risks, and uncover patterns in misconceptions. A comprehensive survey of EDM applications from 1995 to 2005 documented over 100 studies, primarily on web-based tutoring systems, where techniques like decision trees and neural networks were used to model student engagement and knowledge acquisition from interaction traces.[32] This period saw causal analyses linking data features—such as time-on-task and response accuracy—to learning outcomes, with empirical validations showing improved prediction accuracy over traditional assessments.[33] The late 2000s formalized these efforts through dedicated forums and repositories, bridging technical methodologies with broader educational applications. The first International Workshop on Educational Data Mining in 2006 and the inaugural conference in 2008 facilitated sharing of datasets and algorithms, including Bayesian knowledge tracing for dynamic student proficiency estimation, originally developed in ITS contexts.[34] Public repositories like the Pittsburgh Science of Learning Center's DataShop, launched around 2008, enabled cross-study analyses of millions of student transactions, emphasizing reproducible empirical findings over anecdotal evidence.[35] These pre-2010 developments prioritized quantitative rigor and first-principles modeling of cognitive processes, distinguishing them from contemporaneous but less data-centric educational research, though limitations in scalability and generalizability persisted due to small-scale, domain-specific datasets.[36]2010-2020 Emergence and Institutional Adoption
The field of learning analytics coalesced in the early 2010s, distinguishing itself from educational data mining through a focus on actionable insights for educational stakeholders. The Society for Learning Analytics Research (SoLAR) formed to advance the discipline, convening the inaugural International Conference on Learning Analytics & Knowledge (LAK) from February 27 to March 1, 2011, in Banff, Alberta, Canada, which established foundational discussions on data-driven optimization of learning environments.[37][38] This event marked the field's formal emergence, attracting researchers interested in leveraging learner data from digital platforms for predictive and prescriptive purposes. Institutional adoption gained momentum mid-decade, primarily in higher education, as universities harnessed data from learning management systems to identify at-risk students and refine instructional strategies. Purdue University's Course Signals system, operational since 2009 but widely analyzed in the 2010s, exemplified early predictive modeling by integrating grades, demographics, and engagement metrics to generate real-time alerts, correlating with retention improvements of up to 21% in participating courses.[39][40] Similar initiatives proliferated, with institutions like the Open University adopting analytics dashboards for large-scale online cohorts, emphasizing scalability and integration with administrative systems. By the late 2010s, adoption extended beyond pilots to enterprise-level deployments, supported by maturing tools and frameworks from vendors and open-source communities. Research output expanded rapidly, with LAK proceedings growing annually and peer-reviewed publications addressing implementation challenges, including data privacy under regulations like FERPA.[41] Surveys of higher education leaders indicated widespread experimentation, though full-scale integration lagged due to concerns over data quality, ethical use, and faculty buy-in, highlighting the tension between technological promise and practical constraints.[42] This period solidified learning analytics as a core component of evidence-based educational decision-making, with empirical studies validating its role in enhancing student success metrics.2020-2025 Integration with AI and Market Expansion
The COVID-19 pandemic from 2020 onward accelerated the adoption of digital learning platforms, generating vast datasets that propelled learning analytics market expansion. The global learning analytics market grew by an estimated $4.19 billion between 2021 and 2025, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23%, driven primarily by higher education institutions seeking to monitor remote student engagement and retention.[43] By 2025, the market reached approximately USD 14.05 billion, reflecting broader integration into K-12 and corporate training sectors amid sustained demand for scalable educational tools.[44] This expansion was supported by investments from edtech firms, with analytics vendors like those offering predictive dropout models reporting heightened deployments in response to enrollment volatility during lockdowns.[45] Integration with artificial intelligence (AI) transformed learning analytics from descriptive reporting to predictive and prescriptive capabilities, leveraging machine learning (ML) for real-time student modeling. Post-2020, multimodal learning analytics incorporating AI analyzed diverse data streams—such as video interactions, physiological signals, and text inputs—across 43 reviewed studies, enabling nuanced insights into engagement and cognitive states that traditional metrics overlooked.[46] Generative AI (GenAI), particularly following tools like ChatGPT in late 2022, enhanced analytics dashboards by auto-generating personalized feedback and explanations, as demonstrated in higher education pilots that improved student interaction with assessment data.[47][48] These advancements, including natural language processing for sentiment analysis in learner forums, addressed causal gaps in prior analytics by inferring behavioral drivers from temporal patterns, though empirical validation remains limited to controlled trials showing modest gains in retention rates of 5-10%.[49] Market expansion intertwined with AI through vendor consolidations and policy endorsements, such as the U.S. Department of Education's 2023 report advocating ethical AI deployment in analytics for equitable outcomes.[50] Cloud-based AI platforms from providers like Microsoft facilitated scalable implementations, emphasizing privacy-compliant federated learning to process distributed educational data without centralization risks.[51] However, challenges persisted, including algorithmic biases in AI models trained on unrepresentative datasets, prompting calls for interdisciplinary audits in peer-reviewed frameworks.[52] By 2025, this synergy extended analytics into adaptive tutoring systems, where AI-driven predictions informed dynamic content adjustments, contributing to a projected CAGR exceeding 20% into the decade's end.[53]Methodologies and Techniques
Data Sources and Collection Methods
Data in learning analytics is predominantly sourced from digital traces generated within educational platforms, particularly learning management systems (LMS) such as Moodle, Blackboard, and Canvas, which log student interactions including login frequency, page views, time spent on resources, discussion forum posts, assignment submissions, and quiz attempts.[54][55][2] These traces provide granular, timestamped event data reflecting behavioral patterns in virtual learning environments (VLEs).[2] Administrative data from student information systems (SIS) complements LMS logs by supplying contextual variables such as demographic details, enrollment status, prior academic performance, and socioeconomic indicators, enabling analyses that account for non-behavioral factors influencing learning outcomes.[54][2] Assessment-related sources, including grades from exams, assignments, and performance tests, are frequently integrated to correlate behavioral data with achievement metrics.[54] Self-reported data collected via questionnaires or surveys captures learner attitudes, motivations, and background information not available in automated logs, though it introduces potential biases from recall or response inaccuracies.[54] Less prevalent but emerging sources include multimodal inputs like video recordings of learning sessions, physiological signals from wearables (e.g., wristbands measuring heart rate), eye-tracking data, attendance records, and library resource usage, often drawn from specialized tools or open platforms.[54][2][55] Collection methods emphasize automated extraction to ensure scalability and minimize human error, typically involving application programming interfaces (APIs) from LMS platforms, structured query language (SQL) database pulls, or scripting languages like R for aggregating event logs into analyzable formats.[54] Business intelligence software facilitates real-time querying across sources, while standards like Experience API (xAPI) support interoperability for multimodal or distributed data, as seen in studies combining LMS logs with external sensors.[54] Manual integration occurs rarely, often for initial questionnaire data entry, but automated pipelines predominate in higher education implementations to handle the volume of big data from online environments.[54][55]Core Analytical Approaches
Learning analytics primarily employs data mining techniques adapted from educational data mining to extract insights from learner interaction data, such as log files from learning management systems. These methods focus on identifying patterns in behavior, performance, and engagement to inform educational decisions. Key categories include prediction, clustering, and relationship mining, often integrated with statistical analysis and machine learning algorithms.[2][55] Predictive modeling constitutes a foundational approach, utilizing classification and regression algorithms to forecast outcomes like student dropout risk or final grades. For instance, decision trees, random forests, support vector machines, and neural networks analyze variables such as login frequency, assignment submissions, and forum participation to generate risk scores, as demonstrated in tools like OU Analyse at the Open University.[2] Regression techniques, including linear models, quantify relationships between inputs like study time and outputs like exam scores, enabling early interventions.[55] These models achieve predictive accuracies often exceeding 70-80% in controlled studies, though generalizability depends on data quality and context.[2] Clustering groups learners into homogeneous subsets based on behavioral similarities, without predefined labels, using algorithms like k-means or hierarchical clustering. This reveals natural learner profiles, such as high-engagement versus procrastinating cohorts, facilitating targeted resource allocation.[55][56] Applications include segmenting online course participants to customize pacing, with empirical validations showing improved retention in higher education settings.[55] Relationship mining uncovers associations and sequences in data, employing association rule mining (e.g., Apriori algorithm) to link behaviors like frequent video views with higher completion rates, or sequential pattern mining to trace progression through course modules.[2] Correlation mining and outlier detection further identify deviations, such as anomalous low engagement signaling distress.[55] These techniques support causal inference when combined with temporal data, though they require validation against confounding factors like prior knowledge.[2] Complementary approaches include social network analysis, which maps interactions in collaborative environments to quantify centrality and isolate peripheral learners, and semantic analysis for processing textual data via natural language processing to gauge comprehension or sentiment.[56][55] Visualization techniques, such as dashboards and learning curves, distill these analyses for human interpretation, emphasizing descriptive statistics for initial pattern detection.[2] Overall, these methods prioritize empirical validation through cross-validation and real-world pilots, with prescriptive extensions recommending actions based on predictive outputs.[2]Advanced Modeling and Prediction
Advanced modeling in learning analytics leverages machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to predict student outcomes, including academic performance, dropout risk, and engagement levels, by processing large-scale datasets from learning environments such as log files, assessments, and interactions.[57] These methods extend beyond descriptive statistics to enable proactive interventions, with supervised learning dominating applications due to labeled data availability for outcomes like final grades or retention.[58] Predictive accuracy varies by model and context, often reaching 80-90% for binary classifications like at-risk status, though generalizability across institutions remains limited without domain adaptation.[59] Ensemble methods, such as random forests and gradient boosting machines (e.g., XGBoost), excel in handling heterogeneous features like demographic variables, prior grades, and behavioral traces, outperforming single classifiers in robustness to noise and feature interactions.[60] A 2023 analysis of ML techniques on student performance data reported random forests achieving an F1-score of 0.87 for pass/fail predictions, attributed to their ability to mitigate overfitting through bagging.[61] Regression variants, including linear models augmented with regularization (e.g., LASSO), forecast continuous metrics like grade point averages, with studies showing mean absolute errors as low as 0.5 on a 4.0 scale when incorporating temporal features.[62] Deep learning architectures address sequential and multimodal data inherent to learning analytics, capturing non-linear temporal dependencies in student trajectories.[63] Recurrent neural networks (RNNs), particularly long short-term memory (LSTM) variants, model time-series data from platforms like Moodle or Canvas, predicting outcomes with AUC scores exceeding 0.90 in online settings by learning from sequences of logins, submissions, and forum participations.[64] Hybrid models, such as attention-aware convolutional stacked BiLSTM networks introduced in 2024, integrate spatial (e.g., content embeddings) and temporal elements for enhanced representation, demonstrating 5-10% accuracy gains over traditional RNNs in multimodal datasets combining video views and quiz responses.[63] Survival analysis extensions, like Cox proportional hazards models combined with neural networks, predict time-to-dropout, with hazard ratios calibrated to institutional cohorts for early alerts as far as 4-6 weeks prior.[57] Interpretability remains a priority in advanced implementations, as black-box models risk eroding educator trust; techniques like SHAP values and LIME are routinely applied to explain predictions, revealing dominant features such as assignment completion rates over demographics in performance forecasts.[59] Recent integrations with generative AI, post-2023, explore counterfactual predictions for intervention simulations, though empirical validation shows mixed causal evidence due to confounding in observational data.[47] Validation protocols emphasize cross-validation and temporal splits to avoid lookahead bias, with out-of-sample testing confirming model stability across semesters.[58]Applications and Implementations
In Higher Education Settings
Learning analytics in higher education settings involves the measurement, collection, analysis, and reporting of data about learners and their contexts to understand and optimize learning and the environments in which it occurs, primarily through digital platforms such as learning management systems (LMS).[65] Common applications include predictive modeling to identify at-risk students based on engagement metrics, prior academic performance, and demographic factors, enabling early interventions like academic advising or personalized feedback dashboards.[66] For instance, universities employ machine learning techniques, such as decision trees and random forests, to forecast dropout risks with accuracies reaching up to 87% in some models.[67] Empirical studies demonstrate that learning analytics-based interventions yield a moderate overall effect size of 0.46 on student learning outcomes, with the strongest impacts on knowledge acquisition (effect size 0.55) and improvements in academic performance and engagement.[68] In retention efforts, systems like monitoring tools have significantly reduced dropout rates by flagging students for targeted support, as observed in implementations at institutions such as the University of Minnesota and Hellenic Open University.[67] Dashboards providing real-time insights into student progress have been shown to enhance course completion and final scores in specific cases, though broader adoption requires addressing variability in intervention effectiveness.[66] A systematic review of 46 studies from 2013 to 2018 across 20 countries, involving average sample sizes of over 15,000 students, highlights online behavior (e.g., forum interactions and log data) as key predictors for study success factors like performance and dropout prevention.[66] However, while predictive analytics dominate, only about 9% of analyzed publications from 2013 to 2019 provide direct evidence of improved learning outcomes, underscoring a need for more causal evaluations beyond correlation.[65] Institutional case studies, such as those in UK universities, illustrate analytics integration for dropout management and data-driven decision-making, contributing to enhanced student support without universal guarantees of impact.[69]In K-12, Corporate, and Informal Learning
In K-12 education, learning analytics primarily supports teacher-facing dashboards and early warning systems to monitor student engagement and predict risks such as dropout or low performance. A scoping review of studies from 2011 to 2022 found that these tools analyze data from learning management systems and digital curricula to provide actionable insights, with common implementations in U.S. school districts using platforms like Google Classroom or commercial systems for real-time progress tracking.[70] Empirical evidence from interventions, including personalized feedback loops, shows moderate positive effects on student outcomes like engagement and skill acquisition, with a meta-analysis of 25 studies reporting an overall effect size of 0.45 for achievement gains.[68] However, broader meta-analyses highlight mixed results on standardized test scores, attributing inconsistencies to implementation variability and confounding factors like teacher training adequacy.[71] In mathematics education specifically, analytics of digital tool interactions have enabled adaptive sequencing, with one review of 42 studies noting improved problem-solving persistence but limited long-term retention evidence.[72] Corporate applications of learning analytics focus on measuring training return on investment (ROI) and aligning employee development with organizational goals, often integrating data from learning management systems (LMS) like Workday or SAP SuccessFactors. As of 2023, firms leverage predictive models to forecast post-training performance, with analytics revealing correlations between course completion rates and metrics such as productivity increases of 10-20% in targeted skills programs.[73] For instance, predictive analytics in employee upskilling identifies at-risk non-completers early, reducing attrition in development initiatives by up to 15% through personalized nudges, based on longitudinal data from enterprise deployments.[74] Challenges persist in data silos and causal attribution, where analytics often overestimates ROI without controlling for external variables like market conditions, prompting calls for hybrid models combining LA with qualitative assessments.[75] In informal learning contexts, such as MOOCs on platforms like Coursera or self-directed apps like Duolingo, learning analytics emphasizes engagement tracking and completion prediction amid decentralized data sources. Frameworks for networked learning analyze social interactions and self-paced progress, with studies from 2015-2023 showing LA dashboards predicting dropout with 70-85% accuracy by modeling behavioral patterns like time-on-task and forum participation.[76] Applications in participatory environments, including social media-based communities, support adaptive recommendations, though empirical outcomes remain preliminary, with evidence of heightened motivation from analytics-driven feedback but scant causal links to skill mastery due to voluntary participation and unverified self-reports.[77] Limitations include privacy concerns in non-institutional settings and biases toward tech-savvy users, underscoring the need for robust validation beyond platform-internal metrics.[78]Stakeholder-Specific Use Cases
Learning analytics applications vary by stakeholder, encompassing learners, educators, and institutional administrators, each leveraging data to address distinct needs in educational contexts. For learners, analytics often manifest as student-facing dashboards that promote self-regulated learning by providing insights into engagement, performance trends, and personalized recommendations. These tools enable students to set goals, reflect on behaviors such as time-on-task in learning management systems (LMS), and adjust study strategies accordingly, with evidence from post-secondary implementations showing enhanced metacognitive awareness though mixed impacts on final outcomes.[79] In one example, the University of Michigan's MyLA dashboard allows students to track their own engagement metrics, fostering self-advising and tailored learning paths.[80] Educators utilize teacher-facing analytics primarily for formative assessment and intervention, such as early identification of at-risk students through engagement alerts and predictive modeling of performance risks. In K-12 settings, dashboards deliver real-time feedback on student processes, enabling adjustments to instruction, particularly for lower-ability learners, as demonstrated in studies where analytics improved diagnostic specificity in classroom orchestration.[8] Post-secondary faculty apply these tools to evaluate pedagogy via LMS interaction data, informing lesson planning and equity-focused supports, with 90% prioritizing teaching performance metrics in surveys of higher education stakeholders.[81] For instance, systems like those at Rio Salado College analyze vast assessment datasets to guide faculty interventions, enhancing instructional equity.[80] Institutional administrators employ learning analytics for systemic oversight, including retention prediction, resource allocation, and curriculum evaluation, often drawing on aggregated data to close equity gaps. Surveys indicate that 80% of higher education institutions use student data for these purposes, though only 40% integrate explicit equity strategies, highlighting priorities like assessing learning outcomes across demographics.[80] In K-12, administrators analyze district-wide trends to inform policy and detect inequities, supporting data-driven decisions on staffing and interventions.[8] Stakeholders across groups emphasize transparency and training as prerequisites, with administrators expressing skepticism toward unverified LMS metrics and calling for robust data literacy to mitigate misuse risks.[81]Empirical Evidence and Impact Assessment
Demonstrated Benefits from Studies
A meta-analysis of 34 empirical studies found that learning analytics-based interventions yield a moderate positive effect on students' learning outcomes overall (effect size = 0.46, 95% CI [0.34, 0.57], p < .001), with the strongest impacts observed in knowledge acquisition (effect size = 0.55, 95% CI [0.40, 0.71], p < .001).[68] These interventions also modestly enhance cognitive skills (effect size = 0.35) and social-emotional engagement (effect size = 0.39), though high heterogeneity (I² = 92%) suggests variability influenced by factors like subject area and intervention type.[68] In higher education contexts, systematic reviews of 46 studies from 2013–2018 indicate that learning analytics dashboards enable personalized learning paths and early alerts, resulting in higher final assessment scores for users compared to non-users; for instance, one analyzed implementation showed improved performance through targeted teacher interventions.[66] Predictive models using clickstream data have facilitated early identification of at-risk students, supporting retention efforts across multiple initiatives.[66][2] Learning analytics tools further aid institutional decision-making by informing teaching strategies, with empirical modeling in a survey of 275 higher learning institution employees demonstrating that adoption intentions strongly predict enhanced outcomes (β = 0.657, p = 0.000).[82] Personalized feedback derived from analytics has been shown to boost engagement in online courses, as evidenced by a 2022 study of 68 students where such interventions increased motivation and participation.[82] These benefits extend to resource allocation and curriculum refinement, allowing educators to tailor support based on data-driven insights into learning patterns.[82]Criticisms, Limitations, and Mixed Evidence
Empirical studies on learning analytics interventions have yielded mixed results regarding their impact on academic performance, with some demonstrating positive effects while others show negligible or no benefits.[71] A meta-analysis of 23 studies involving 9,710 participants found an overall moderate effect on learning outcomes, but highlighted variability due to factors like intervention type and context, underscoring inconsistent efficacy across implementations.[71] Systematic reviews of learning analytics dashboards, a common intervention, reveal limited evidence of substantial improvements in student achievement, with 76.5% of 38 examined studies reporting only negligible or small effects, often confounded by concurrent interventions rather than dashboards alone.[83] While dashboards show modest positive influences on motivation and attitudes in select cases (e.g., effect sizes up to d=0.809 for extrinsic motivation), and stronger effects on participation behaviors (e.g., d=0.916 for increased discussion board access), these outcomes lack robustness due to methodological flaws such as small sample sizes, self-selection biases, and absence of standardized evaluation tools.[83] A core limitation stems from the reliance on digital traces like login frequencies or clicks as proxies for learning, which often fail to capture underlying cognitive processes and yield conflicting predictive validity across studies—for instance, one analysis linked activity to outcomes while another found no correlation with teamwork or commitment.[84] This issue is exacerbated by prevalent correlation-versus-causation problems, where observational data dominates, hindering causal inference and risking misattribution of effects to analytics rather than pedagogical factors.[84] Many implementations also suffer from weak theoretical grounding, oversimplifying diverse learning dynamics into generic behavioral metrics without rigorous validation.[84] Critics argue that the field overemphasizes Big Data hype, neglecting data quality issues, generalizability beyond pilot settings, and the need for randomized controlled trials to establish true impacts amid publication biases favoring positive results in academic literature.[84] Furthermore, misalignment between research goals—often focused on prediction—and practical aims like actionable insights persists, as evidenced by reviews of Learning Analytics and Knowledge conference proceedings showing gaps in addressing real-world scalability and equity in outcomes.[85] These limitations collectively temper claims of transformative potential, calling for more stringent empirical scrutiny.Ethical, Privacy, and Governance Issues
Core Ethical Dilemmas
One central ethical dilemma in learning analytics concerns the tension between the potential benefits of data-driven interventions and the risks of infringing on learner privacy through extensive tracking of behavioral data, such as login patterns in learning management systems or Wi-Fi usage, which can enable dropout prediction but evoke perceptions of surveillance.[86] Systematic reviews of empirical studies consistently identify privacy as the most prevalent concern, appearing in 8 out of 21 analyzed papers from 2014 to 2019, often linked to inadequate data protection frameworks that fail to fully mitigate unauthorized access or secondary uses of granular student data.[87] This issue is compounded by challenges in processing sensitive personal data, including family income or disability status for eligibility assessments, where aggregation for institutional analytics risks discriminatory profiling despite purported quality improvements.[86] Informed consent represents another core dilemma, as learners frequently provide only initial agreement upon enrollment without ongoing, granular awareness of how their data—such as combined survey responses with personal identifiers—will be analyzed for targeted interventions, potentially breaching autonomy and enabling unconsented support mechanisms that prioritize institutional efficiency over individual control.[86] Empirical investigations reveal consent addressed in 5 of 21 studies, highlighting disparities where privacy-concerned students, including underrepresented groups, are less likely to opt in, thereby exacerbating data imbalances and undermining the representativeness of analytics models.[87][11] Frameworks emphasize voluntary, revocable consent, yet practical implementation often defaults to broad institutional policies, raising questions about true voluntariness in mandatory educational contexts.[88] Algorithmic bias and fairness pose dilemmas in ensuring equitable outcomes, as learning analytics models trained on historical data may perpetuate disparities by inaccurately flagging certain demographics—such as low-income or minority students—as "at-risk" based on biased inputs, leading to interventions that reinforce rather than mitigate inequities.[87] Reviews note fairness discussed in 3 studies, with examples of discriminatory predictions in at-risk identification, where opaque algorithms amplify systemic data biases without sufficient auditing for diverse group impacts.[87][88] This intersects with equality principles, demanding proactive debiasing, yet empirical evidence shows limited adoption, as institutional incentives favor predictive accuracy over subgroup equity, potentially widening achievement gaps under the guise of personalized support.[89] Transparency and accountability further complicate ethics, as stakeholders often lack insight into algorithmic decision-making processes, hindering oversight of how analytics influence high-stakes outcomes like retention interventions or resource allocation.[88] Addressed in 4 studies on trust, this dilemma underscores accountability gaps, where developers and administrators bear responsibility for erroneous predictions without clear redress mechanisms for affected learners.[87] Beneficence versus non-maleficence emerges here, balancing a "duty to act" on actionable insights—such as alerting faculty to struggling students—with risks of harm from over-intervention, stigmatization, or false positives that erode learner agency.[88] While analytics promise improved outcomes, the absence of robust, evidence-based ethical codes leaves these tensions unresolved, with calls for interdisciplinary frameworks to prioritize learner well-being over utilitarian data maximization.[89]Privacy Risks and Data Protection
Learning analytics systems collect granular data on student interactions, such as login times, navigation patterns, and performance metrics, which can inadvertently capture sensitive personal information including behavioral indicators of mental health or socioeconomic status.[10] A 2023 systematic review of 47 studies identified eight interconnected privacy risks: excessive collection of sensitive data (e.g., biometric inputs in multimodal analytics), inadequate anonymization and secure storage, potential data misuse beyond original purposes, unclear definitions of privacy in the LA context, insufficient transparency in data practices, imbalanced power dynamics favoring institutions over students, stakeholder knowledge gaps leading to conservative data-sharing attitudes, and legislative gaps such as cross-border transfer issues.[10] These risks persist across the LA lifecycle, from data aggregation to predictive modeling, amplifying vulnerabilities to re-identification even in purportedly anonymized datasets.[90] Empirical evidence underscores student apprehensions, with a 2022 validated model (SPICE) from surveys of 132 Swedish university students revealing that perceived privacy risks strongly predict concerns (path coefficient 0.660, p<0.001), eroding trust in institutions and prompting non-disclosure behaviors like withholding engagement data.[91] In practice, education-sector breaches highlight real-world exposures; for instance, the December 2024 PowerSchool incident compromised records of 62.4 million K-12 students, including analytics-relevant data like assessment scores, illustrating how LA-integrated platforms can amplify breach impacts despite anonymization efforts.[92] Anonymization techniques, such as k-anonymity or differential privacy, mitigate but do not eliminate re-identification risks, as auxiliary data from external sources can deanonymize individuals with high accuracy in behavioral datasets.[90][93] Data protection frameworks aim to counter these risks, with the U.S. Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA, enacted 1974) safeguarding education records from unauthorized disclosure, though it lacks explicit cybersecurity mandates and struggles with LA's non-traditional behavioral data.[94] In the EU, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR, effective 2018) enforces principles like data minimization and purpose limitation, requiring data protection impact assessments (DPIAs) for high-risk LA deployments, yet compliance challenges arise from predictive analytics' evolving uses and international data flows.[95] Post-GDPR analyses of UK universities show persistent uncertainties in applying these rules to LA for retention predictions, often relying on legitimate interest over granular consent due to educational imperatives.[96] Proposed mitigations include negotiating individualized data-sharing agreements, fostering student data literacy, and tools like the DELICATE checklist for ethical design, though only a minority of solutions demonstrate proven efficacy in LA contexts.[10][97]Controversies Around Bias, Surveillance, and Equity Claims
![Dragan Gašević raising questions on learning analytics][float-right]Learning analytics implementations have faced scrutiny for algorithmic bias, where predictive models trained on historical educational data often perpetuate disparities in accuracy and recommendations across demographic groups. A 2021 review in the International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education outlined causes such as non-representative training datasets reflecting prior inequities and opaque modeling processes that amplify subtle prejudices, drawing from empirical cases in student performance prediction.[98] Similarly, analysis of the Open University Learning Analytics Dataset revealed unfairness in progress monitoring algorithms, with metrics like ABROCA and Average Odds Difference indicating higher error rates for underrepresented students, potentially leading to discriminatory resource allocation.[99] These findings underscore how unmitigated bias in learning analytics can reinforce rather than resolve educational inequalities, though mitigation techniques like fairness-aware algorithms show promise in controlled studies yet lack widespread validation.[100] Surveillance concerns arise from the pervasive tracking of student behaviors via digital platforms, which critics argue constitutes invasive monitoring akin to broader educational surveillance technologies. A 2022 study on four core surveillance tools, including analytics-driven profiling, highlighted their integration into schools and universities, raising risks of behavioral nudging and loss of autonomy without sufficient empirical evidence of net benefits outweighing psychological harms.[101] Student surveys provide concrete data on these apprehensions; for example, a 2021 EDUCAUSE review of multiple studies confirmed college students' wariness of privacy risks in data collection, with many prioritizing protections amid fears of misuse for non-educational purposes like profiling.[102] Empirical modeling of privacy concerns specific to learning analytics, developed in 2022, identified dimensions like data collection intrusiveness and secondary use fears, correlating with reduced consent propensity among privacy-sensitive groups.[91][11] Equity claims for learning analytics—positing that data-driven insights enable targeted interventions to close achievement gaps—have drawn criticism for overlooking systemic data inequalities and access barriers. Proponents cite applications like behavioral engagement analytics to uncover disparities, as in a 2019 study of distance learners where online patterns predicted attainment inequities tied to socioeconomic factors. However, empirical critiques reveal that such systems often exacerbate divides; a 2024 analysis of data harms noted how biased datasets perpetuate discriminatory outcomes, with underrepresented groups facing compounded disadvantages from unequal digital literacy and platform access.[103] Disparities in consent to analytics participation further undermine equity assertions, as 2021 research showed lower opt-in rates among marginalized students due to trust deficits rooted in historical data misuse, potentially skewing models and widening gaps.[11] While some frameworks advocate equity-focused analytics to audit and adjust for biases, real-world implementations frequently fall short, with limited longitudinal evidence demonstrating sustained fairness improvements across diverse populations.[104]
