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Kivalina, Alaska
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Kivalina (kiv-uh-LEE-nuh)[4] (Inupiaq: Kivalliñiq) is a city[5][6] and village in Northwest Arctic Borough, Alaska, United States. The population was 377 at the 2000 census[7] and 374 as of the 2010 census.[5]
Key Information
The island on which the village lies is threatened by rising sea levels and coastal erosion caused by climate change. As of 2013[update], it is predicted that the island will be inundated by 2025.[8] In addition to well-publicized impacts of climate change, the Village of Kivalina has been a party in several environmentally related court cases.[9][10][11]
History
[edit]Kivalina is an Inupiat community first reported as "Kivualinagmut" in 1847 by Lt. Lavrenty Zagoskin of the Imperial Russian Navy. It has long been a stopping place for travelers between Arctic coastal areas and Kotzebue Sound communities. Three bodies and artifacts were found in 2009 representing the Ipiutak culture, a pre-Thule, non-whaling civilization that disappeared over a millennium ago.[12]
It is the only village in the region where people hunt the bowhead whale. The original village was located at the north end of the Kivalina Lagoon, but was relocated.
In about 1900, reindeer were brought to the area and some people were trained as reindeer herders.
An airstrip was built at Kivalina in 1960. Kivalina incorporated as a second-class city in 1969. During the 1970s, a new school and an electric system were constructed in the city.
On December 5, 2014, the only general store in Kivalina burned down.[13] In July 2015, a newer store was opened after months of rebuilding to make the store more convenient and safe.[14]
Geography
[edit]Kivalina is on the southern tip of a 12 km (7.5 mi) long barrier island located between the Chukchi Sea and a lagoon at the mouth of the Kivalina River.[15] It lies 130 km (81 mi) northwest of Kotzebue. According to the United States Census Bureau, the village has a total area of 3.9 square miles (10 km2), of which, 1.9 square miles (4.9 km2) of it is land and 2.0 square miles (5.2 km2) of it (51.55%) is water.
Climate
[edit]Kivalina has a dry subarctic climate with long very cold winters and short cool summers. August is the wettest month of the year, while December is the snowiest month.
| Climate data for Kivalina, Alaska (Kivalina Airport) (1991-2020 normals, extremes 1998-present) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
| Record high °F (°C) | 47 (8) |
52 (11) |
48 (9) |
62 (17) |
68 (20) |
96 (36) |
94 (34) |
89 (32) |
65 (18) |
58 (14) |
40 (4) |
39 (4) |
96 (36) |
| Mean maximum °F (°C) | 32.0 (0.0) |
34.4 (1.3) |
28.0 (−2.2) |
38.3 (3.5) |
54.4 (12.4) |
70.6 (21.4) |
72.0 (22.2) |
65.8 (18.8) |
57.5 (14.2) |
44.4 (6.9) |
32.0 (0.0) |
31.8 (−0.1) |
74.4 (23.6) |
| Mean daily maximum °F (°C) | 6.6 (−14.1) |
9.7 (−12.4) |
9.4 (−12.6) |
23.6 (−4.7) |
38.2 (3.4) |
50.0 (10.0) |
56.3 (13.5) |
54.5 (12.5) |
46.2 (7.9) |
30.5 (−0.8) |
17.3 (−8.2) |
10.0 (−12.2) |
29.4 (−1.5) |
| Daily mean °F (°C) | −1.2 (−18.4) |
1.3 (−17.1) |
0.9 (−17.3) |
14.8 (−9.6) |
32.1 (0.1) |
43.9 (6.6) |
50.9 (10.5) |
49.1 (9.5) |
40.6 (4.8) |
25.6 (−3.6) |
11.4 (−11.4) |
2.9 (−16.2) |
22.7 (−5.2) |
| Mean daily minimum °F (°C) | −9.0 (−22.8) |
−7.1 (−21.7) |
−7.6 (−22.0) |
6.0 (−14.4) |
25.9 (−3.4) |
37.8 (3.2) |
45.5 (7.5) |
43.7 (6.5) |
35.1 (1.7) |
20.6 (−6.3) |
5.5 (−14.7) |
−4.1 (−20.1) |
16.0 (−8.9) |
| Mean minimum °F (°C) | −33.2 (−36.2) |
−34.4 (−36.9) |
−28.6 (−33.7) |
−16.8 (−27.1) |
9.5 (−12.5) |
29.1 (−1.6) |
37.7 (3.2) |
34.6 (1.4) |
23.0 (−5.0) |
5.3 (−14.8) |
−15.1 (−26.2) |
−27.3 (−32.9) |
−39.9 (−39.9) |
| Record low °F (°C) | −50 (−46) |
−54 (−48) |
−41 (−41) |
−33 (−36) |
−9 (−23) |
21 (−6) |
33 (1) |
28 (−2) |
12 (−11) |
−8 (−22) |
−30 (−34) |
−41 (−41) |
−54 (−48) |
| Average precipitation inches (mm) | 0.28 (7.1) |
0.44 (11) |
0.18 (4.6) |
0.56 (14) |
0.57 (14) |
0.79 (20) |
1.41 (36) |
2.33 (59) |
1.52 (39) |
0.93 (24) |
0.51 (13) |
0.17 (4.3) |
9.69 (246) |
| Average precipitation days (≥ 0.01 in) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 11.7 | 13.0 | 11.5 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 84.9 |
| Source: NOAA[16][17] | |||||||||||||
Demographics
[edit]| Census | Pop. | Note | %± |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 | 87 | — | |
| 1930 | 99 | 13.8% | |
| 1940 | 98 | −1.0% | |
| 1950 | 117 | 19.4% | |
| 1960 | 142 | 21.4% | |
| 1970 | 188 | 32.4% | |
| 1980 | 241 | 28.2% | |
| 1990 | 317 | 31.5% | |
| 2000 | 377 | 18.9% | |
| 2010 | 374 | −0.8% | |
| 2020 | 444 | 18.7% | |
| U.S. Decennial Census[18] | |||
Kivalina first appeared on the 1920 U.S. Census as an unincorporated (native) village. It formally incorporated in 1969.
As of the census of 2010, there were 374 people, and 99 households.[19] The population density was 202.1 inhabitants per square mile (78.0/km2). There were 80 housing units at an average density of 42.9 per square mile (16.6/km2). The racial makeup of the village was 3.45% White and 96.55% Native American. The Native Village of Kivalina is a federally recognized tribe with an elected tribal council.[19] The City of Kivalina, organized under the Northwest Arctic Borough under the State of Alaska, has an elected mayor and city administrator and a 7-member city council.[19] Per the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act, NANA Corporation owns the surface and sub-surface rights to the city site and surrounding area.[19] Manilaaq Association serves the community as an Alaska Native non-profit regional corporation providing social, tribal and health care services.[19]
In 2010, there were 78 households, out of which 61.5% had children under the age of 18 living with them, 62.8% were married couples living together, 15.4% had a female householder with no husband present, and 17.9% were non-families. 16.7% of all households were made up of individuals, and 3.8% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 4.83 and the average family size was 5.50. In the village the population was spread out, with 44.0% under the age of 18, 13.3% from 18 to 24, 20.7% from 25 to 44, 15.9% from 45 to 64, and 6.1% who were 65 years of age or older. The median age was 21 years. For every 100 females, there were 106.0 males. For every 100 females age 18 and over, there were 113.1 males.
The median income for a household in the village was $30,833, and the median income for a family was $30,179. Males had a median income of $31,875 versus $21,875 for females. The per capita income for the village was $8,360. About 25.4% of families and 26.4% of the population were below the poverty line, including 27.9% of those under age 18 and 30.0% of those age 65 or over.
Environmental issues
[edit]Due to severe sea wave erosion during storms, the city hopes to relocate again to a new site 12 km (7.5 mi) from the present site; studies of alternate sites are ongoing.[20] According to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the estimated cost of relocation runs between $95 and $125 million, whereas the Government Accountability Office (GAO) estimates it to be between $100 and $400 million.[21] The sea ice that was once there helping to protect the city has now disappeared. Due to these rising sea levels maybe people are out of homes and since resources are becoming scarce it is leading to overcrowding and poor sanitation.[22]
In 2011, Haymarket Books published "Kivalina: A Climate Change Story" by Christine Shearer.
Kivalina v. ExxonMobil Corporation
[edit]The city of Kivalina and a federally recognized tribe, the Alaska Native Village of Kivalina, sued ExxonMobil, eight other oil companies, 14 power companies and one coal company in a lawsuit filed in federal court in San Francisco on February 26, 2008, claiming that the large amounts of greenhouse gases they emit contribute to global warming that threatens the community's existence.[23] The lawsuit estimated the cost of relocation at $400 million.[24] The suit was dismissed by the United States district court on September 30, 2009, on the grounds that regulating greenhouse emissions was a political rather than a legal issue and one that needed to be resolved by Congress and the Administration rather than by courts.[25]
Kivalina v Teck Cominco
[edit]In 2004, Kivalina underrepresentation from the co-founder of Center on Race Poverty and Environment, Luke Cole, sued Canadian mining company Teck Cominco, operator of the Red Dog Mine, for polluting its water drinking water source and subsistence fish resources through their discharge of mine waste into the Wulik River. Teck Cominco settled the suit in 2008 by agreeing to build a wastewater pipeline from the mine to the ocean that would bypass discharging into the Wulik River.[11][26] However, the pipeline was not constructed and the alternative settlement clause was followed.
Kivalina v. US EPA
[edit]In 2010, the Native Village of Kivalina IRA Council brought suit against the US EPA for failing to adequately address public comments in their permitting of the Red Dog Mine discharge plan under the National Pollutant Discharge Elilmination System (NPDES). In 2012, the US Ninth Circuit court upheld the decision of the EPA Appeals Board to not review the permit, citing the insufficiency of the Tribe's argument.[10][27]

Orange goo
[edit]On August 4, 2011, it was reported that residents of the city of Kivalina had seen a strange orange goo wash up on the shores. According to the Associated Press, "Tests have been conducted on the substance on the surface of the water in Kivalina. City Administrator Janet Mitchell told the Associated Press that the substance has also shown up in some residents' rain buckets."[28] On August 8, 2011, Associated Press reported that the substance consisted of millions of microscopic eggs.[29] Later, officials of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) confirmed that the orange colored materials were some kind of crustacean eggs or embryos,[30][31][32] but subsequent examination resulted in a declaration that the substance consisted of spores from a possibly undescribed species of rust fungus,[33] later revealed to be Chrysomyxa ledicola.[34]
Sea level rise and coastal erosion
[edit]On numerous occasions the community has been inundated by storm surges and been forced to evacuate.[35] While the risk of inundation from sea water has always existed, storms caused extensive flooding in 1970, 1976, 2002, 2004, and spurred a village-wide evacuation in 2007.[35] To slow erosion, the US Army Corps of Engineers conducted a rip-rap revetment project along the tip of the barrier island[19] and adjacent to the airport.
Other climate change impacts
[edit]In addition to increased flooding from storm surges, bank erosion along the Wulik River causes increased turbidity which affects the city's drinking water source and complicates water treatment.[35]
Relocation
[edit]Due to severe sea wave erosion during storms, the city hopes to relocate again to a new site 12 km (7.5 mi) from the present site.[36] In 2009, Kivalina was identified by a GAO report as one of 31 environmentally threatened communities in Alaska.[37] Relocation to a site off the barrier island to higher ground has had little progress.[37] According to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the estimated cost of relocation runs between $95 and $125 million, whereas the Government Accountability Office (GAO) estimates it to be between $100 and $400 million. In 2018, a decision was made to build an evacuation road across the Kivalina Lagoon to provide a means for the community to escape devastating storms that can inundate the barrier island. The road was officially opened in late 2020[38] and connects the village with the Kisimigiugtuq School on K-Hill, which opened in November, 2022.[39]
Kivalina in the media
[edit]Kivalina's environmental issues were prominently featured in The 2015 Weather Channel documentary "Alaska: State of Emergency" hosted by Dave Malkoff. Kivalina was one of the two towns featured in the Al Jazeera English Fault Lines documentary, When the Water Took the Land.[40][41] The community, who were originally nomadic, were given an ultimatum that they would have to settle in the permanent community or their children would be taken from them.[42] The village's plight was also examined in Kivalina, an hourlong documentary released as part of the PBS World series America ReFramed. The Atlantic did a photo journalism story documenting climate change in Kivalina in their September 2019 article, The Impact of Climate Change on Kivalina, Alaska.[43]
Education
[edit]The McQueen School, operated by the Northwest Arctic Borough School District, serves the community.[44] As of 2017[update] it had 141 students, with Alaska Natives making up 100% of the student body.[45]
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ 1996 Alaska Municipal Officials Directory. Juneau: Alaska Municipal League/Alaska Department of Community and Regional Affairs. January 1996. p. 81.
- ^ 2015 Alaska Municipal Officials Directory. Juneau: Alaska Municipal League. 2015. p. 87.
- ^ "2020 U.S. Gazetteer Files". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved October 29, 2021.
- ^ "Kivalina". Division of Community and Regional Affairs, Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development. Archived from the original on December 30, 2012. Retrieved January 24, 2013.
- ^ a b "Kivalina city, Alaska". Profile of General Population and Housing Characteristics: 2010 Demographic Profile Data. United States Census Bureau. Archived from the original on February 12, 2020. Retrieved January 23, 2013.
- ^ "Alaska Taxable 2011: Municipal Taxation - Rates and Policies" (PDF). Division of Community and Regional Affairs, Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development. January 2012. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 25, 2013.
- ^ "U.S. Census website". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved January 31, 2008.
- ^ Stephen Sackur (July 30, 2013). "The Alaskan village set to disappear underwater in a decade". BBC News.
- ^ "Adams v. Teck Cominco Alaska, Inc., 399 F. Supp. 2d 1031 | Casetext Search + Citator". casetext.com. Archived from the original on October 28, 2020. Retrieved October 26, 2020.
- ^ a b Hansen, Clare (2013). "Native Village of Kivalina IRA Council v. United States Environmental Protection Agency". Public Land and Law Review 10. Archived from the original on October 29, 2020. Retrieved November 16, 2020 – via scholarship.law.umt.edu.
- ^ a b Rosen, Yereth (September 4, 2008). "Zinc producer settles suit over Alaskan mine waste". Reuters. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ "Remains of ancient inhabitants found in Kivilina." Anchorage Daily News, 25 August 2009 Archived August 27, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ DeMarban, Alex, "Fire Destroys General Store in Arctic Village of Kivalina", December 5, 2014. Alaska Dispatch News. Web. December 11, 2014
- ^ "This is climate change: Alaskan villagers struggle as island is chewed up by the sea" LA Times, 30 August 2015
- ^ Environmental Assessment and Finding of No Significant Impact, Section 117 Expedited Erosion Control Project Kivilana Alaska, ACOE (PDF) (Report). September 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 18, 2009. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
- ^ "NOWData - NOAA Online Weather Data". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
- ^ "Summary of Monthly Normals 1991-2020". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
- ^ "Census of Population and Housing". Census.gov. Retrieved June 4, 2015.
- ^ a b c d e f City of Kivalina (2015). "City of Kivalina Hazard Mitigation Plan".
- ^ An Alaska island is Losing Ground, Los Angeles Times, November 25, 2007
- ^ Abate, Randall S. (May 2010). "Public Nuisance Suits for the Climate Justice Movement: The Right Thing and the Right Time" (PDF). Washington Law Review. 85: 197–252.
- ^ "User:Sky1405/Kivalina, Alaska", Wikipedia, April 3, 2024, retrieved April 5, 2024
- ^ "Eskimo village sues over global warming", CNN News, February 26, 2008
- ^ Felicity Barringer (February 27, 2008). "Flooded Village Files Suit, Citing Corporate Link to Climate Change". New York Times. Retrieved February 29, 2008.
- ^ Order Granting Motions to Dismiss, N.D. Cal., September 30, 2009
- ^ "World's largest lead and zinc mine (Red Dog mine) found in violation of Clean Water Act". www.iatp.org. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ "Adams v. Teck Cominco Alaska, Inc., 399 F. Supp. 2d 1031 | Casetext Search + Citator". casetext.com. Archived from the original on October 28, 2020. Retrieved October 26, 2020.
- ^ "Mysterious orange goo washes up in Alaska village". Forbes. ANCHORAGE, Alaska. Retrieved August 9, 2011.[dead link]
- ^ Orange goo near remote Alaska village ID'd as eggs[dead link], Associated Press, August 8, 2011
- ^ D'Oro, Rachel. "Orange goo near remote Alaska village ID'd as eggs". The Associated Press. Anchorage, Alaska: Google Search. Retrieved August 9, 2011.[dead link]
- ^ "Mysterious Orange Goo Baffles Remote Alaska Village". Fox News. August 6, 2011. Retrieved August 9, 2011.
- ^ "Mystery Orange Goo in Remote Alaskan Village Identified". Fox News. August 8, 2011. Archived from the original on August 9, 2011. Retrieved August 9, 2011.
- ^ "Orange Goo on Alaska Shore Was Fungal Spores". Fox News. August 18, 2011. Archived from the original on August 19, 2011. Retrieved August 18, 2011.
- ^ "Alaska "Orange Goo" Rust Spores Confirmed". NCCOS News. National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science. February 9, 2012. Retrieved March 7, 2012.
An "orange goo" covered the Inupiat village of Kivalina, Alaska, last summer. Six months later the substance was confirmed by forestry experts at the USDA Forest Service and the Canadian Forest Service to be rust fungi uredospores of Chrysomyxa ledicola.
- ^ a b c Brubaker, M., Berner, J., Bell, J. N., & Warren, J. (2011). Climate Change in Kivalina Alaska.pdf (p. 70) [Funded by United States Indian Health Service Cooperative Agreement No. AN 08-X59]. ANTHC. https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/sites/default/files/public/php/26952/Climate%20Change%20HIA%20Report_Kivalina.pdf
- ^ "Kivalina Evacuation and School Site Access Road, Transportation & Public Facilities". dot.alaska.gov. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
- ^ a b Alaska Native Villages: Limited Progress Has Been Made on Relocating Villages Threatened by Flooding and Erosion (Report). U. S. Government Accountability Office. June 3, 2009. GAO-09-551.
- ^ "Kivalina emergency access road now open for use". alaskapublic.org. Retrieved August 10, 2025.
- ^ "The new Kivalina school opened its doors to students last week". adn.com. Retrieved August 10, 2025.
- ^ "Alaska: When the Water Took the Land". Fault Lines. Al Jazeera English. December 22, 2015.
- ^ Alaska News (December 18, 2015). "Al Jazeera documentary tells tale of two eroding Alaska villages". Alaska Dispatch News.
- ^ Arnold, Elizabeth (July 29, 2008). "Tale Of Two Alaskan Villages". Day to Day. NPR.
- ^ Taylor, Alan. "Photos: The Impact of Climate Change on Kivalina, Alaska - The Atlantic". www.theatlantic.com. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ "Relocating Kivalina". toolkit.climate.gov. Archived from the original on September 24, 2016. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Home. McQueen School. Retrieved on March 26, 2017.
Further reading
[edit]- Arnold, Elizabeth (July 29, 2008). "Tale Of Two Alaskan Villages". Day to Day. NPR.
- "Kivalina: The Canary in the Mine (5 min Snippet)". OneWorldTV. April 23, 2009.
- Sackur, Stephen (July 30, 2013). "The Alaskan village set to disappear under water in a decade". BBC News.
- "Alaska: When the Water Took the Land". Fault Lines. Al Jazeera English. December 22, 2015.
- Shearer, Christine (2011). Kivalina : a climate change story. Chicago, Ill.: Haymarket Books. ISBN 978-1-60846-171-4. OCLC 754333941.</ref>
- Kivalina Strategic Management Plan<ref>City of Kivalina (2016). "Kivalina Strategic Management Plan".
- City of Kivalina Local Hazards Mitigation Plan
External links
[edit]- Re-Locate Kivalina
- America ReFramed: Kivalina (documentary)
- Alaska Climate Change Impact Mitigation Program: Kivalina at Department of Commerce, Community, and Economic Development, State of Alaska
Kivalina, Alaska
View on GrokipediaHistory
Pre-20th Century Origins
The Iñupiaq people of northwest Alaska utilized the barrier island at Kivalina and surrounding lagoon primarily as a site for seasonal camps focused on subsistence hunting and fishing, a practice extending for hundreds of years prior to European contact.[7] These camps supported spring whaling and winter caribou hunts, leveraging the island's position between the Chukchi Sea and Kivalina Lagoon for access to marine mammals such as seals, walruses, and bowhead whales, as well as terrestrial game and fish resources essential to Iñupiaq survival in the Arctic environment.[7] [8] The area's name in Iñupiaq, Kivaliniq, reflects its geographical features, with traditional activities centered on semi-nomadic patterns tied to seasonal resource availability rather than year-round habitation.[8] Archaeological and ethnographic evidence indicates that the region was part of broader Iñupiaq migration networks across the northwest Arctic, where family-based groups shifted between coastal and inland sites to exploit varying food sources, with no records of permanent villages on the Kivalina barrier island itself before the late 19th century.[9] Early European exploration documented these indigenous uses; in 1847, Russian Imperial Navy Lieutenant Lavrenty Zagoskin reported the site as "Kivualinagmut" during surveys of the region, noting it as a locale associated with Iñupiaq seasonal presence at the north end of Kivalina Lagoon.[10] [11] This naming and observation align with Iñupiaq oral traditions of the area as a transient resource hub, predating any fixed settlement structures.[11]20th Century Settlement and Incorporation
The permanent settlement of Kivalina on its current barrier island site began in 1905, when the U.S. Bureau of Indian Affairs constructed a school there and required Inupiaq families from surrounding seasonal camps and mainland villages to relocate in order for their children to attend.[12] This marked the transition from primarily seasonal use of the island for hunting sea mammals and caribou to a fixed community, driven by federal education policy rather than local initiative.[12] An airstrip was established in 1960 using metal matting, facilitating improved access for supplies and personnel.[13] Kivalina was formally incorporated as a second-class city on an unspecified date in 1969, establishing municipal governance alongside the existing Native Village of Kivalina tribal authority.[14][8] In the 1970s, following incorporation, the community saw construction of new housing, a replacement school, and an initial electric power system, addressing basic infrastructure needs amid population growth from around 200 residents in the mid-century.[8] High school education remained unavailable locally until after 1976, with students boarding elsewhere prior to that.[8] These developments reflected broader federal and state support for rural Alaskan communities during the post-statehood era, though constrained by the remote Arctic location.[11]Post-Incorporation Developments
In the decade following its incorporation as a second-class city on June 10, 1969, Kivalina experienced infrastructure expansions including new housing units, a school facility, and a community-wide electrical system to support growing needs.[11][14] These developments occurred despite early challenges from severe weather, as a fall storm in 1970 generated a record 13.57-foot surge that inundated village streets with seawater.[15] A subsequent storm in September 1976 flooded 20 to 30 percent of the community, prompting initial responses such as relocating some public infrastructure away from the eroding beachfront.[15][16] Erosion accelerated in the early 21st century amid repeated high-impact storms, with significant events from 2004 to 2007 causing shoreline retreat, flooding, and damage to homes and utilities; for instance, the 2004 Bering Strait Storm led to 12 meters of coastal erosion in Kivalina.[16][17] Of the major storms documented since 1970, approximately 80 percent occurred after 2000, correlating with shorter seasonal sea ice coverage that historically buffered the barrier island from wave action.[17] In response, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers initiated a Section 117 expedited erosion control project in 2007, involving rock revetments to protect critical sites, though such measures were viewed as temporary given the island's dynamic sediment transport.[18] Relocation planning gained urgency from the 1990s onward due to chronic overcrowding, permafrost instability, and storm-induced threats projected to render the site uninhabitable within decades.[19] The community identified potential inland sites, settling on Kiniktuuraq—a location 5 miles southwest—in 2000 following feasibility studies, though federal funding requests were repeatedly denied.[20] A 2006 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers master plan assessed relocation costs at $154.9 to $251.5 million, factoring in new infrastructure like water, sewer, and housing for approximately 400 residents, but progress stalled amid disputes over site selection, environmental reviews, and fiscal constraints.[21][22] By 2015, chronic lagoon-side erosion had narrowed the island to under 100 feet in places, heightening risks, yet no full community move had occurred.[22] In February 2008, the Native Village of Kivalina and city sued 24 oil, coal, and electric companies—including ExxonMobil—alleging their greenhouse gas emissions created a public nuisance by exacerbating erosion through global warming effects, seeking up to $400 million in relocation damages.[23][24] The U.S. District Court dismissed the case in 2011, ruling that federal common law claims were displaced by the Clean Air Act and raised non-justiciable political questions; the Ninth Circuit affirmed this in September 2012, effectively ending the litigation without liability findings.[25][26] Recent efforts have shifted toward adaptive measures, such as a 2022 evacuation road and bridge to a safer site, constructed to enable emergency access during storms.[27]Geography
Location and Topography
Kivalina is located in the Northwest Arctic Borough of Alaska, at the southeastern tip of an approximately 8-mile-long barrier island separating the Chukchi Sea from the Kivalina Lagoon at the mouth of the Kivalina River.[1][14] The settlement lies roughly 80 miles northwest of Kotzebue and 625 miles southwest of Utqiaġvik, with geographic coordinates of 67.727°N latitude and 164.533°W longitude.[14] The topography consists of low-lying, nearly flat vegetated sand dunes formed from recent beach deposits on the barrier island, situated off the southwest coast of the Lisburne Peninsula.[28][29] Elevations across the island rarely exceed 10 to 20 feet above mean sea level, with the highest point measured at about 10 feet.[21][29] This minimal relief exposes the area to marine influences from both ocean and lagoon sides, shaping a narrow, elongated landform vulnerable to wave action and sediment transport.[28]Barrier Island Dynamics
Kivalina occupies the southern end of a narrow barrier island, approximately 5.5 miles long, that separates Kivalina Lagoon from the Chukchi Sea.[30] The island consists primarily of unconsolidated Quaternary deposits, including medium sands, sandy gravels near inlets, and ice-rich permafrost with massive ice lenses and wedges overlying marine bedrock such as limestone and dolomite.[21] Formed as a barrier spit shaped by coastal wave action, longshore currents, and fluvial inputs from nearby rivers like the Wulik and Kivalina, the island maintains an average elevation of about 10 feet above sea level, rendering it highly susceptible to inundation.[21] Geomorphic dynamics involve seasonal sediment transport patterns, with northward longshore movement dominant in summer under prevailing winds and southward shifts during fall and winter storms.[30] Cross-shore processes nourish beaches during low-energy conditions via offshore sediment redistribution but drive erosion during high-energy events, undercutting vegetative mats and exposing underlying permafrost.[30] Local sediment sources, such as river gravels and beach deposits, are limited—totaling around 200,000 cubic yards of gravel—insufficient to counter major losses or support large-scale stabilization.[21] Storm surges, particularly from south-southwest winds, exacerbate these processes, with documented events like the October 2004 storm causing several feet of shoreline retreat.[21] Historical analyses indicate episodic erosion rather than a consistent long-term trend, with shoreline positions showing near equilibrium from 1952 to 2013, including post-storm recovery through accretion.[30] However, reductions in sea ice coverage—extending the open-water season by 5.6 days per decade from 1979 to 2015—have increased exposure to destructive waves, correlating with 80% of high-damage storms occurring after 2000 during extended ice-free periods.[17] The village land area has halved from 22 hectares in 1953 to 11 hectares by 2007, driven by cumulative storm impacts on the unconsolidated shores.[17] Specific erosion episodes include 25–50 feet of loss during 2004–2006 storms and up to 10 feet in a single day in 2015, highlighting the role of extreme events in altering island morphology despite baseline stability.[30]
Climate and Natural Hazards
Seasonal Weather Patterns
Kivalina's subarctic climate features extreme seasonal temperature swings, limited precipitation, and significant daylight variations due to its high latitude (67.7°N) and exposure to the Chukchi Sea. Average annual temperatures range from lows of -6°F in winter to highs of 55°F in summer, with total precipitation equivalent to about 11 inches of rain and 60 inches of snowfall. Winds average 8–16 mph year-round, peaking in winter, while cloud cover remains consistently high at 58–67%. The snowy season spans from late September to late May, with minimal humidity and no muggy conditions.[31][32] Winter (December–February): Persistent cold grips the region, with average highs of 6–9°F and lows near -6°F; extremes can drop below -32°F. Polar night limits daylight to 0.5–8 hours, fostering long periods of darkness. Snowfall dominates, accounting for most of the annual 60 inches (e.g., December averages 11.5 inches), occurring on 3–4 wet days per month amid 66–67% overcast skies and winds of 15–16 mph. Blizzards and wind chill often exacerbate conditions, with sea ice covering the Chukchi Sea by late fall.[31][32] Spring (March–May): Transition brings gradual thaw, as highs climb from 10°F to 37°F and lows from -5°F to 26°F. Snow cover diminishes, shifting to mixed precipitation with 2–5 wet days monthly and minimal rainfall (0–0.5 inches). Winds ease to 10–14 mph, while daylight surges to 12–21 hours, culminating in the onset of midnight sun by late May. Persistent cloudiness (58–61%) and lingering cold limit vegetation growth.[31] Summer (June–August): Mildest conditions prevail, with highs of 47–55°F and lows of 38–45°F; rare peaks exceed 64°F. Continuous daylight (17–24 hours) includes full midnight sun from May 27 to July 16. Rainfall increases, peaking at 2.4 inches in August over 9–10 wet days, often as drizzle or fog, while winds drop to 8–10 mph. The Chukchi Sea opens mid-June to early fall, warming to 48°F and enabling marine access, though overcast skies persist at 59–63%.[31][14] Fall (September–November): Sharp decline in temperatures occurs, with highs falling from 45°F to 15°F and lows from 35°F to 6°F. Precipitation mixes rain and early snow across 4–7 wet days, totaling up to 1.6 inches in September. Winds rise to 12–15 mph, fueling storms from the open sea before ice formation. Daylight shrinks to 4.8–13 hours, cloud cover holds at 58–62%, and the snowy period resumes by late September.[31]| Month | Avg. High (°F) | Avg. Low (°F) |
|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | -6 |
| February | 7 | -6 |
| March | 10 | -5 |
| April | 22 | 7 |
| May | 37 | 26 |
| June | 47 | 38 |
| July | 55 | 45 |
| August | 54 | 44 |
| September | 45 | 35 |
| October | 29 | 20 |
| November | 15 | 6 |
| December | 9 | -3 |
Historical Storm and Erosion Events
Kivalina, situated on a low-lying barrier island along the Chukchi Sea, has historically been vulnerable to storm surges and associated erosion events, primarily occurring in late summer and fall prior to shorefast sea ice formation. These events involve high winds, wave action, and elevated water levels that undercut shorelines and flood low-elevation areas, with recorded surges reaching up to 13.57 feet above mean sea level.[33] Despite episodic losses, shoreline analysis from 1952 to 2016 indicates a net-stable configuration, reflecting cyclic erosion balanced by accretion processes inherent to barrier island dynamics.[28] A major storm in 1970 generated a 13.57-foot surge that inundated portions of the community, marking one of the highest recorded water levels.[21] In 1976, another event flooded 20-30% of the village, with water levels rising to within 1 foot of the lowest homes, highlighting the potential for widespread inundation without protective ice cover.[33] Aerial imagery from 1983 documented beach width reduction from the Wulik River mouth northward to the airport, signaling early shoreline retreat driven by wave action and delayed ice formation.[21] The fall of 2004 saw intensified activity, including a winter storm that eroded beaches adjacent to the school and fuel storage, necessitating the evacuation of an undercut house.[21] Specifically, from October 18-20, southeasterly winds of 40 knots (gusting to 60 knots) produced a 4-foot surge, causing significant shoreline erosion, flooding, and damage to school facilities, which prompted the relocation of teacher housing away from the drop-off edge.[21] In 2005, two severe fall storms further exacerbated erosion, undercutting the school and other structures while threatening the airport runway and fuel farm; combined with prior events, these removed 25-30 feet of shoreline in the 2004-2005 period.[33] A 2006 storm advanced erosion 50 feet inland, exposing underlying permafrost and underscoring the vulnerability of unarmored sections.[33] These incidents have prompted adaptive measures, such as rock revetments installed post-2010 to shield critical infrastructure, though beach erosion persists in unprotected zones.[28] Long-term records emphasize that while storms drive acute losses, the island's morphology supports recovery through sediment redistribution, absent human interventions like runway extensions that alter natural balances.[28]Permafrost and Subsurface Changes
Kivalina's barrier island is underlain by continuous permafrost, which historically provided stability to the subsurface but has undergone degradation due to rising air and ground temperatures. Scientific assessments indicate that the active layer—the seasonally thawed upper portion of permafrost—has deepened progressively, with warming trends increasing thaw depths by several centimeters annually in northwestern Alaska regions including Kivalina.[15] This top-down thawing process has led to widespread near-surface permafrost degradation in the Kivalina study area, where the extent of thaw doubled from 18% to 36% between 2004 and 2020, as detected through remote sensing of ground-surface subsidence.[34] The thawing permafrost in Kivalina is characterized as thaw-unstable, containing ice-rich soils that, upon melting, result in subsidence and ground settlement, exacerbating infrastructure vulnerabilities such as building foundations and utilities. Geotechnical investigations by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers have identified these conditions, recommending embankments up to 9 feet thick to minimize thaw penetration into underlying ice-rich layers for proposed relocation sites.[21] Alaska Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys mapping further documents ice-rich permafrost in potential development areas around Kivalina, highlighting hazards like differential settlement that could undermine engineered structures without mitigation.[33] These subsurface changes contribute to broader landscape instability, including thermokarst-like features and altered hydrology, though direct measurements specific to Kivalina remain limited compared to interior Alaskan sites. Ongoing degradation poses challenges for long-term habitation, as the softening ground amplifies risks from coastal erosion and storm surges by reducing the island's structural integrity.[35]Demographics and Economy
Population Trends
The population of Kivalina, an incorporated city in the Northwest Arctic Borough, has exhibited modest overall growth since the late 20th century, interspersed with short-term fluctuations attributable to factors such as migration, birth rates, and seasonal residency patterns common in remote Alaska Native communities. According to U.S. Decennial Census data, the population increased from 317 in 1990 to 377 in 2000, reflecting a 19% rise driven by natural increase and limited in-migration. This was followed by a slight decline to 374 by 2010, before rebounding to 444 in the 2020 Census, an 18.7% increase over the prior decade.[14][36]| Year | U.S. Decennial Census Population |
|---|---|
| 1990 | 317 |
| 2000 | 377 |
| 2010 | 374 |
| 2020 | 444 |
Subsistence and Wage Employment
The economy of Kivalina is characterized by a mixed system where traditional subsistence activities provide the majority of food and cultural continuity, supplemented by limited wage employment. Residents primarily harvest marine mammals such as bowhead whales, seals, and walrus; fish including salmon and whitefish; caribou; and berries, with seasonal patterns dictating activities like spring whaling and sealing, summer marine and berry gathering, fall caribou hunts, and winter ice fishing and sealing.[21][40] In 2007, marine mammals accounted for 126,002 pounds of the community's subsistence harvest, underscoring their dominance in caloric intake.[14] Per capita subsistence food consumption reached nearly 600 pounds annually around that period, reflecting heavy reliance despite stable total harvests from 1964 to 1992 amid population growth reducing per-person yields.[41][21] Wage employment opportunities remain scarce and often seasonal or part-time, with key sectors including local government, the McQueen School District, Maniilaq Association health services, the Native Village of Kivalina IRA Council, Alaska Village Electric Cooperative, small businesses, and occasional roles at the nearby Red Dog Mine operated by NANA Regional Corporation.[21][40] In 2013, 167 residents held wage jobs, including two commercial fishing permits, though 88 filed unemployment claims, indicating underemployment.[40] Total employment stood at 188 in 2023, down 6% from 200 the prior year, with median household income at $59,167 (2009–2013 data) and per capita income at $14,185, alongside a 27.7% poverty rate.[4][40] An expanding Native crafts sector, producing items from ivory, baleen, bone, skins, and furs, offers supplementary income tied to cultural preservation.[40] This dual structure sustains the community but highlights vulnerabilities to environmental changes affecting subsistence access.[21]Social Structure and Health Indicators
Kivalina's social structure reflects traditional Iñupiaq kinship systems, emphasizing extended family networks, multigenerational households, and communal subsistence roles such as hunting and whaling leadership passed through families.[42] The community maintains minimal formal institutions beyond tribal governance, with organizations like a women's club supporting social welfare and cultural activities.[43] Household data from the 2018-2022 American Community Survey indicate 144 households with an average size of 5.34 persons, higher than state averages and indicative of close-knit, extended family units where married-couple households constitute 47.9% of arrangements.[5] Health services are provided through a village clinic operated by the Maniilaq Association, addressing primary care needs in this remote setting.[8] Like other rural Alaska Native communities, Kivalina faces elevated risks of mental health challenges, including high suicide rates, substance abuse, and domestic violence, exacerbated by isolation, poverty, and environmental stressors.[44] [45] In response, the Kivalina Wellness Coalition was established in 2017 to promote suicide prevention through community-based programs, including school initiatives like Signs of Suicide.[46] Specific health indicators remain limited due to the community's small size (approximately 400 residents), but regional data for Alaska Natives in the Maniilaq service area show patterns of higher mortality from heart disease and accidents compared to statewide figures.[47] Gastrointestinal infections have remained low and stable, averaging 0.05 clinic visits per person per year, with no unusual spikes in foodborne illnesses reported.[48] Overall life expectancy for Alaska Natives lags behind national averages, at around 65.2 years for those born in 2021, reflecting broader disparities in access to specialized care and behavioral health support.[49] Climate-related disruptions have been linked to increased mental health strain and injury risks, though direct causation requires further empirical validation beyond anecdotal reports.[50]Governance and Infrastructure
Local Government and Administration
Kivalina is governed by the City of Kivalina, a second-class city incorporated under Alaska Statute Title 29, which authorizes municipal powers including taxation and local ordinances.[21] The city maintains a mayor-council form of government, with the council handling legislative functions such as budgeting and a 2% sales tax to fund operations.[21][51] Daily administration is managed by a city administrator, supported by a single police officer and a volunteer fire department, reflecting the community's limited municipal staff of approximately five employees as of early assessments.[8][14] The Native Village of Kivalina, a federally recognized Alaska Native tribe operating under an Indian Reorganization Act council, addresses tribal sovereignty matters, cultural preservation, and federal grant pursuits, often collaborating with the city on shared priorities like infrastructure and emergency response.[20] As part of the Northwest Arctic Borough, a home rule regional government, Kivalina receives supplemental services including education through the borough school district and regional planning support, with local representation on the borough assembly via elected district seats.[52][53] Borough-level administration coordinates broader utilities and public works, augmenting the city's capacity in this remote area.[54] Inter-agency work groups, involving state and federal partners, further assist local leaders in adaptive planning, such as through strategic management plans developed since 2016.[55][56]Transportation and Utilities
Kivalina has no road connections to regional or state highway systems, making it accessible primarily by air and seasonal marine transport. The Kivalina Airport (FAA LID: LVR), a state-owned gravel airstrip approximately 3,000 feet long, supports year-round bush plane operations for passengers, medical evacuations, and cargo, serving as the village's main lifeline for imported goods outside of summer barge deliveries.[57] Seasonal barge services, operating during ice-free months from May to October, deliver bulk supplies such as fuel, construction materials, and vehicles from ports like Kotzebue, though weather and sea ice can delay or disrupt these shipments.[58] Local travel for subsistence hunting and fishing relies on snowmobiles in winter, all-terrain vehicles in summer, and small boats, but erosion and shifting barrier island conditions limit overland routes within the village.[14] In December 2020, the Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities completed the Kivalina Evacuation and School Site Access Road, a 1.8-mile gravel route connecting the current village site to higher ground inland. This road, designed for all-terrain vehicles and emergency use, provides a critical evacuation path during storms or flooding but does not link to external infrastructure.[59] Ongoing feasibility studies explore relocating the airport to mitigate erosion risks, with proposed sites evaluated for runway length, permafrost stability, and access to subsistence areas.[57] Utilities in Kivalina are constrained by remoteness and environmental challenges, with electricity generated by diesel-powered plants operated by the Alaska Village Electric Cooperative (AVEC), serving about 140 residents through a small grid. Power costs average $0.50 per kWh without subsidies, reduced to $0.16 per kWh via the state's Power Cost Equalization program, though high fuel transport expenses and generator maintenance pose ongoing issues.[60] [61] Water supply depends on hauled sources from the Kivalina River or melted snow, distributed via a washeteria—a public facility for showers, laundry, and limited potable water—while most homes lack indoor plumbing.[1] Wastewater management uses honeybucket systems, where human waste is collected in portable containers and hauled to a treatment lagoon or disposal site, contributing to public health risks from incomplete sanitation.[1] Efforts to upgrade include pilot programs for innovative systems like biochar-based sanitation to reduce hauling needs and energy use, though full implementation awaits funding and relocation planning.[62] A Class III landfill handles solid waste, with recent federal funding allocated for improvements to meet regulatory standards.[63]Education and Community Facilities
Kisimġiugtuq School serves as the sole public K-12 educational institution in Kivalina, enrolling approximately 156 students, all of whom are Alaska Native, with a student-teacher ratio of 32:1.[64][65] The school, part of the Northwest Arctic Borough School District, reports proficiency rates of 5% or fewer in both mathematics and English language arts.[66] In 2023, a new 33,437-square-foot facility replaced the previous K-12 school building at a cost of $50.5 million, addressing longstanding infrastructure needs in the remote village.[67] Community health services are provided through the Kivalina Village Clinic, operated by the Maniilaq Association, which relies on Community Health Aides for primary care in this rural setting lacking full-time physicians.[48][68] The clinic offers outpatient mental health treatment and general medical services, supporting the village's approximately 400 residents.[69] Other public facilities include a recreation center, community hall, post office, and two churches, which serve social and cultural functions in the tight-knit Iñupiaq community.[8] These amenities support subsistence-based lifestyles and limited wage employment, though broader infrastructure challenges, such as erosion threats, impact their long-term viability.[60]Environmental Challenges and Adaptation
Observed Physical Changes
Kivalina, situated on a narrow barrier island along Alaska's Chukchi Sea coast, has experienced measurable shoreline retreat primarily through coastal erosion exacerbated by wave action and storm events. Analysis of historical aerial imagery indicates an average annual erosion rate of 0 to 3 meters along the regional coastline from Cape Prince of Wales to Point Hope, encompassing Kivalina, based on data spanning multiple decades up to the early 2000s.[33] More localized assessments report a cumulative loss exceeding 19 acres in the Kivalina vicinity since 1952, with average shoreline retreat of 10 to 35 feet along the adjacent Chukchi Sea coast, derived from topographic and bathymetric surveys.[15] However, shoreline dynamics have varied temporally: erosion predominated from 1950 to 1980, followed by relative stabilization or slight accretion between 1980 and 2003 on segments of the northern and southern shores near Kivalina.[70] Permafrost degradation beneath the island has manifested as deepening seasonal thaw layers, observed through ground investigations and aerial photography reviews. A 2007 analysis of historical images confirmed ongoing permafrost melting over several decades, contributing to subsidence and instability in the sandy, ice-rich subsurface.[16] Summer thaw depths have increased progressively, rendering the ground more susceptible to slumping during erosive events, though quantitative rates specific to Kivalina remain limited to regional permafrost models indicating gradual active-layer thickening.[15] Storm surges have periodically accelerated these changes, with documented impacts including flooding and acute erosion. The 2004 Bering Strait storm resulted in approximately 12 meters of shoreline retreat and inundation damaging infrastructure.[71] Hydrologic modeling estimates a 100-year storm surge elevation of 10.6 feet at Kivalina, capable of overtopping the low-lying island (elevation typically under 5 meters), with maximum wave runup reaching about 2 meters.[33] Reduced seasonal sea ice cover has extended the window for such surges, correlating with higher reported storm frequencies and intensities from 1970 to 2015, though long-term tide gauge data for precise surge trends at Kivalina are sparse.[72] Overall, these observations reflect episodic rather than linear progression, with erosion hotspots varying spatially along the 2.5-mile island length.[73]Local Adaptation Measures
In response to persistent coastal erosion threatening homes, the school, fuel storage, airport, and landfill, Kivalina has implemented temporary shoreline protection measures, primarily consisting of rock revetments and barriers designed to mitigate wave action and storm surges.[74] In 2008, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers constructed a 2,000-foot rock revetment wall along the shoreline, engineered for a 15- to 20-year lifespan to slow erosion rates exacerbated by reduced sea ice cover and intensified storms.[74] These efforts build on earlier state-funded erosion controls from 1985 to 2002, which totaled approximately $477,000 in expenditures for basic stabilization.[75] The community, in collaboration with the Northwest Arctic Borough and federal agencies, has prioritized protecting critical infrastructure through targeted interventions. Temporary erosion barriers have been erected to shield the school and fuel facilities from immediate wave impacts, with designs and construction supported by the Denali Commission and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.[2] Emergency erosion control projects at the airport—vulnerable since at least the October 2015 storm—and landfill have received ongoing Denali Commission funding, alongside revetment design work and flood vulnerability studies to inform short-term defenses.[55] The 2016 Kivalina Strategic Management Plan identifies erosion controls for the airport and landfill as urgent priorities, recommending implementation within five years to extend habitability amid permafrost thaw and land loss.[76] Community-led monitoring complements these physical measures, with proposals for local observer programs to track erosion, permafrost changes, and water quality via GPS and seasonal assessments, enabling adaptive adjustments to barriers and evacuation protocols.[74] Regular emergency drills and communication plans have been developed to enhance resilience during high-risk storm seasons, particularly September through November, when historical data records six major events between 2001 and 2008.[74] Despite these initiatives, local assessments indicate that such protections remain interim, as underlying geomorphic processes and increasing storm intensity limit long-term efficacy without broader interventions.[76]Debates on Causal Factors
The primary causal factors debated in relation to Kivalina's coastal erosion include the roles of regional warming leading to reduced sea ice extent and permafrost thaw, versus inherent geological dynamics of barrier islands and natural climate variability. Scientific assessments from agencies like the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and U.S. Geological Survey predominantly attribute heightened erosion risks to anthropogenic-driven Arctic amplification, where diminished seasonal sea ice fails to buffer shorelines from wave action and storm surges, exacerbating mechanical erosion of ice-rich bluffs.[21][77] Thawing permafrost further contributes by causing ground subsidence and soil saturation, which amplifies block collapse along the coast, with rates potentially increasing due to prolonged open-water seasons observed since the late 20th century.[78] These views, often presented in government reports and peer-reviewed studies, emphasize empirical trends like a lengthening ice-free period in the Chukchi Sea, correlating with higher storm impacts documented in local records from 1970 onward.[17] Counterarguments highlight the long-term stability of Kivalina's shoreline, with geological surveys indicating a net balance of erosion and accretion from 1952 to 2016, suggesting the barrier island's position remains dynamically stable rather than undergoing unprecedented retreat.[28] Barrier islands in the Arctic, including Kivalina's, are inherently subject to accretion-erosion cycles driven by sediment transport, tidal influences, and geological features like ice-wedge polygons that promote niche erosion independent of recent warming. Relative sea level in northwest Alaska is influenced by post-glacial isostatic rebound causing land uplift that offsets global eustatic rise, though local permafrost subsidence can produce site-specific apparent rises; projections estimate minimal net change of 0.3-0.6 meters over a century, insufficient alone to explain observed bluff retreat without wave mechanics.[30][21] Debates persist on attribution, as natural oscillations such as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation may contribute to multidecadal sea ice variability, complicating claims of dominant anthropogenic forcing; historical data from nearby Arctic coasts show erosion rates averaging 0.08-0.12 meters per year over 1950-2003 without clear acceleration tied solely to CO2 increases.[70] Sources advancing climate change primacy, including advocacy-linked reports, may overstate causality by downplaying these baselines, whereas neutral geological analyses prioritize empirical shoreline mapping over modeled projections.[79] Overall, while warming modulates exposure, the consensus leans toward multifaceted causes where geological predisposition and storm frequency play indispensable roles, warranting caution against narratives framing erosion as exclusively climatically catastrophic.[80]Relocation Planning
Early Initiatives and Site Evaluations
Discussions of relocating Kivalina due to flooding risks date back to at least 1911, when school teacher Clinton Replogle documented community concerns about potential inundation and proposals to move inland.[15] A 1953 election yielded a split decision on relocation, reflecting early but inconclusive efforts amid ongoing erosion threats.[16] Formal initiatives intensified in the 1990s. In 1992, residents voted overwhelmingly (65 to 7) to pursue relocation, prompted by accelerating coastal erosion and overcrowding on the barrier island.[81] [16] That year marked the start of structured planning, with a 1994 engineering study by DOWL Engineers evaluating 11 options, including staying in place, building a bridge across Singuak Entrance, and eight relocation sites; Kuugruaq ranked highest but was hampered by prior flooding events and unresolved land ownership issues, while Igrugaivik placed second, requiring at least 60 acres for development.[16] U.S. Government Accountability Office assessments from 2002 to 2004 underscored the urgency, deeming immediate relocation necessary due to storm damage and erosion encroaching on infrastructure like the school and fuel storage.[15] Community votes shaped site preferences in the late 1990s and early 2000s. A 1998 election favored Igrugaivik following a U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) study that analyzed flood risks, groundwater, and water supply for select sites.[16] However, a 2000 special election shifted focus, with 53 votes selecting Kiniktuuraq—a site about 1 mile southeast of the village—for its proximity and potential barge access, though it sat at similar low elevation to the current location.[15] [16] A 2001 vote affirmed a community layout plan for Kiniktuuraq, and Phase I planning estimated $85 million for gravel pad construction alone.[21] The 2006 USACE Relocation Master Plan provided the most comprehensive early site evaluations, assessing seven alternatives against criteria including erosion, flooding, permafrost stability, constructability, utilities, subsistence access, and costs (ranging from $123 million to $251 million in 2006 USD). Kiniktuuraq, the community-favored option, required 9 feet of gravel fill (200,000 cubic yards) to reach 19 feet elevation but was deemed geotechnically unsuitable due to ice-rich soils prone to thaw-induced instability, persistent storm surge vulnerability, and inadequate protection from flooding—issues a 2008 permafrost study later confirmed, finding gravel ineffective against melting.[21] [16] Tatchim Isua (9 miles north) ranked highest overall, benefiting from superior soils, minimal gravel needs (3 feet pad), elevation above flood levels, and a local gravel source, though it offered poorer access to subsistence hunting grounds; Imnakuk Bluff (5.5 miles north-northeast) placed second, elevated at 50 feet but requiring 9 feet of fill amid ice-rich permafrost and unresolved land status.[21] Other sites like Simiq faced access and permafrost challenges, while redeveloping the existing location was unviable due to space constraints and ongoing hazards.[21]| Site | Distance/Direction | Elevation (ft) | Gravel Pad (ft) | Est. Cost (2006 USD, millions) | Key Strengths | Key Challenges |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatchim Isua | 9 miles north | Above flood | 3 | 154.9 | Best soils, low gravel needs | Poor subsistence access |
| Imnakuk Bluff | 5.5 miles NNE | 50 (bluff) | 9 | 248.7 | Above flooding | Ice-rich permafrost, land status |
| Kiniktuuraq | 1 mile SE | 10 | 9 | 248.2 | Proximity, barge access | Storm surge, ice-rich soils, flooding |
| Simiq | 4 miles NNE | Elevated | N/A | 251.5 | Elevated terrain | Permafrost, access issues |

