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Demand response
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Demand response is a change in the power consumption of an electric utility customer to better match the demand for power with the supply.[1] Until the 21st century decrease in the cost of pumped storage and batteries, electric energy could not be easily stored, so utilities have traditionally matched demand and supply by throttling the production rate of their power plants, taking generating units on or off line, or importing power from other utilities. There are limits to what can be achieved on the supply side, because some generating units can take a long time to come up to full power, some units may be very expensive to operate, and demand can at times be greater than the capacity of all the available power plants put together. Demand response, a type of energy demand management, seeks to adjust in real-time the demand for power instead of adjusting the supply.
Utilities may signal demand requests to their customers in a variety of ways, including simple off-peak metering, in which power is cheaper at certain times of the day, and smart metering, in which explicit requests or changes in price can be communicated to customers.
The customer may adjust power demand by postponing some tasks that require large amounts of electric power, or may decide to pay a higher price for their electricity. Some customers may switch part of their consumption to alternate sources, such as on-site solar panels and batteries.
In many respects, demand response can be put simply as a technology-enabled economic rationing system for electric power supply. In demand response, voluntary rationing is accomplished by price incentives—offering lower net unit pricing in exchange for reduced power consumption in peak periods. The direct implication is that users of electric power capacity not reducing usage (load) during peak periods will pay "surge" unit prices, whether directly, or factored into general rates.
Involuntary rationing, if employed, would be accomplished via rolling blackouts during peak load periods. Practically speaking, summer heat waves and winter deep freezes might be characterized by planned power outages for consumers and businesses if voluntary rationing via incentives fails to reduce load adequately to match total power supply.
Background
[edit]As of 2011, according to the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, demand response (DR) was defined as: "Changes in electric usage by end-use customers from their normal consumption patterns in response to changes in the price of electricity over time, or to incentive payments designed to induce lower electricity use at times of high wholesale market prices or when system reliability is jeopardized."[2] DR includes all intentional modifications to consumption patterns of electricity to induce customers that are intended to alter the timing, level of instantaneous demand, or the total electricity consumption.[3] In 2013, it was expected that demand response programs will be designed to decrease electricity consumption or shift it from on-peak to off-peak periods depending on consumers' preferences and lifestyles.[4] In 2016 demand response was defined as "a wide range of actions which can be taken at the customer side of the electricity meter in response to particular conditions within the electricity system such as peak period network congestion or high prices".[5] In 2010, demand response was defined as a reduction in demand designed to reduce peak demand or avoid system emergencies. It can be a more cost-effective alternative than adding generation capabilities to meet the peak and occasional demand spikes. The underlying objective of DR is to actively engage customers in modifying their consumption in response to pricing signals. The goal is to reflect supply expectations through consumer price signals or controls and enable dynamic changes in consumption relative to price.[6]
In electricity grids, DR is similar to dynamic demand mechanisms to manage customer consumption of electricity in response to supply conditions, for example, having electricity customers reduce their consumption at critical times or in response to market prices.[7] The difference is that demand response mechanisms respond to explicit requests to shut off, whereas dynamic demand devices passively shut off when stress in the grid is sensed. Demand response can involve actually curtailing power used or by starting on-site generation which may or may not be connected in parallel with the grid.[8] This is a quite different concept from energy efficiency, which means using less power to perform the same tasks, on a continuous basis or whenever that task is performed. At the same time, demand response is a component of smart energy demand, which also includes energy efficiency, home and building energy management, distributed renewable resources, and electric vehicle charging.[9][10]
Current demand response schemes are implemented with large and small commercial as well as residential customers, often through the use of dedicated control systems to shed loads in response to a request by a utility or market price conditions. Services (lights, machines, air conditioning) are reduced according to a preplanned load prioritization scheme during the critical time frames. An alternative to load shedding is on-site generation of electricity to supplement the power grid. Under conditions of tight electricity supply, demand response can significantly decrease the peak price and, in general, electricity price volatility.
Demand response is generally used to refer to mechanisms used to encourage consumers to reduce demand, thereby reducing the peak demand for electricity. Since electrical generation and transmission systems are generally sized to correspond to peak demand (plus margin for forecasting error and unforeseen events), lowering peak demand reduces overall plant and capital cost requirements. Depending on the configuration of generation capacity, however, demand response may also be used to increase demand (load) at times of high production and low demand. Some systems may thereby encourage energy storage to arbitrage between periods of low and high demand (or low and high prices). Bitcoin mining is an electricity intensive process to convert computer hardware infrastructure, software skills and electricity into electronic currency.[11] Bitcoin mining is used to increase the demand during surplus hours by consuming cheaper power.[12]
There are three types of demand response - emergency demand response, economic demand response and ancillary services demand response.[13] Emergency demand response is employed to avoid involuntary service interruptions during times of supply scarcity. Economic demand response is employed to allow electricity customers to curtail their consumption when the productivity or convenience of consuming that electricity is worth less to them than paying for the electricity. Ancillary services demand response consists of a number of specialty services that are needed to ensure the secure operation of the transmission grid and which have traditionally been provided by generators.
Electricity pricing
[edit]
If demand response measures are employed the demand becomes more elastic (D2). A much lower price will result in the market (P2).
It is estimated[14] that a 5% lowering of demand would result in a 50% price reduction during the peak hours of the California electricity crisis in 2000/2001. The market also becomes more resilient to intentional withdrawal of offers from the supply side.
In most electric power systems, some or all consumers pay a fixed price per unit of electricity independent of the cost of production at the time of consumption. The consumer price may be established by the government or a regulator, and typically represents an average cost per unit of production over a given timeframe (for example, a year). Consumption therefore is not sensitive to the cost of production in the short term (e.g. on an hourly basis). In economic terms, consumers' usage of electricity is inelastic in short time frames since the consumers do not face the actual price of production; if consumers were to face the short run costs of production they would be more inclined to change their use of electricity in reaction to those price signals. A pure economist might extrapolate the concept to hypothesize that consumers served under these fixed-rate tariffs are endowed with theoretical "call options" on electricity, though in reality, like any other business, the customer is simply buying what is on offer at the agreed price.[15] A customer in a department store buying a $10 item at 9.00 am might notice 10 sales staff on the floor but only one occupied serving him or her, while at 3.00 pm the customer could buy the same $10 article and notice all 10 sales staff occupied. In a similar manner, the department store cost of sales at 9.00 am might therefore be 5-10 times that of its cost of sales at 3.00 pm, but it would be far-fetched to claim that the customer, by not paying significantly more for the article at 9.00 am than at 3.00 pm, had a 'call option' on the $10 article.
In virtually all power systems electricity is produced by generators that are dispatched in merit order, i.e., generators with the lowest marginal cost (lowest variable cost of production) are used first, followed by the next cheapest, etc., until the instantaneous electricity demand is satisfied. In most power systems the wholesale price of electricity will be equal to the marginal cost of the highest cost generator that is injecting energy, which will vary with the level of demand. Thus the variation in pricing can be significant: for example, in Ontario between August and September 2006, wholesale prices (in Canadian Dollars) paid to producers ranged from a peak of $318 per MW·h to a minimum of - (negative) $3.10 per MW·h.[16][17] It is not unusual for the price to vary by a factor of two to five due to the daily demand cycle. A negative price indicates that producers were being charged to provide electricity to the grid (and consumers paying real-time pricing may have actually received a rebate for consuming electricity during this period). This generally occurs at night when demand falls to a level where all generators are operating at their minimum output levels and some of them must be shut down. The negative price is the inducement to bring about these shutdowns in a least-cost manner.[18]
Two Carnegie Mellon studies in 2006 looked at the importance of demand response for the electricity industry in general terms[19] and with specific application of real-time pricing for consumers for the PJM Interconnection Regional Transmission authority, serving 65 million customers in the US with 180 gigawatts of generating capacity.[20] The latter study found that even small shifts in peak demand would have a large effect on savings to consumers and avoided costs for additional peak capacity: a 1% shift in peak demand would result in savings of 3.9%, billions of dollars at the system level. An approximately 10% reduction in peak demand (achievable depending on the elasticity of demand) would result in systems savings of between $8 and $28 billion.
In a discussion paper, Ahmad Faruqui, a principal with the Brattle Group, estimates that a 5 percent reduction in US peak electricity demand could produce approximately $35 billion in cost savings over a 20-year period, exclusive of the cost of the metering and communications needed to implement the dynamic pricing needed to achieve these reductions. While the net benefits would be significantly less than the claimed $35 billion, they would still be quite substantial.[21] In Ontario, Canada, the Independent Electricity System Operator has noted that in 2006, peak demand exceeded 25,000 megawatts during only 32 system hours (less than 0.4% of the time), while maximum demand during the year was just over 27,000 megawatts. The ability to "shave" peak demand based on reliable commitments would therefore allow the province to reduce built capacity by approximately 2,000 megawatts.[22]
Electricity grids and peak demand response
[edit]
In an electricity grid, electricity consumption and production must balance at all times; any significant imbalance could cause grid instability or severe voltage fluctuations, and cause failures within the grid. Total generation capacity is therefore sized to correspond to total peak demand with some margin of error and allowance for contingencies (such as plants being off-line during peak demand periods). Operators will generally plan to use the least expensive generating capacity (in terms of marginal cost) at any given period, and use additional capacity from more expensive plants as demand increases. Demand response in most cases is targeted at reducing peak demand to reduce the risk of potential disturbances, avoid additional capital cost requirements for additional plants, and avoid use of more expensive or less efficient operating plants. Consumers of electricity will also pay higher prices if generation capacity is used from a higher-cost source of power generation.
Demand response may also be used to increase demand during periods of high supply and low demand. Some types of generating plant must be run at close to full capacity (such as nuclear), while other types may produce at negligible marginal cost (such as wind and solar). Since there is usually limited capacity to store energy, demand response may attempt to increase load during these periods to maintain grid stability. For example, in the province of Ontario in September 2006, there was a short period of time when electricity prices were negative for certain users. Energy storage such as pumped-storage hydroelectricity is a way to increase load during periods of low demand for use during later periods. Use of demand response to increase load is less common, but may be necessary or efficient in systems where there are large amounts of generating capacity that cannot be easily cycled down.
Some grids may use pricing mechanisms that are not real-time, but easier to implement (users pay higher prices during the day and lower prices at night, for example) to provide some of the benefits of the demand response mechanism with less demanding technological requirements. In the UK, Economy 7 and similar schemes that attempt to shift demand associated with electric heating to overnight off-peak periods have been in operation since the 1970s. More recently, in 2006 Ontario began implementing a "smart meter" program that implements "time-of-use" (TOU) pricing, which tiers pricing according to on-peak, mid-peak and off-peak schedules. During the winter, on-peak is defined as morning and early evening, mid-peak as midday to late afternoon, and off-peak as nighttime; during the summer, the on-peak and mid-peak periods are reversed, reflecting air conditioning as the driver of summer demand. As of May 1, 2015, most Ontario electrical utilities have completed converting all customers to "smart meter" time-of-use billing with on-peak rates about 200% and mid-peak rates about 150% of the off-peak rate per kWh.
Australia has national standards for Demand Response (AS/NZS 4755 series), which has been implemented nationwide by electricity distributors for several decades, e.g. controlling storage water heaters, air conditioners and pool pumps. In 2016, how to manage electrical energy storage (e.g., batteries) has been added into the series of standards.
Load shedding
[edit]When the loss of load happens (generation capacity falls below the load), utilities may impose load shedding on service areas via targeted blackouts, rolling blackouts, or emergency load reduction program,[23] (ELRP) by agreements with specific high-use industrial consumers to turn off equipment at times of system-wide peak demand.[24]
Incentives to shed loads
[edit]Energy consumers need some incentive to respond to such a request from a demand response provider. Demand response incentives can be formal or informal. The utility might create a tariff-based incentive by passing along short-term increases in the price of electricity, or they might impose mandatory cutbacks during a heat wave for selected high-volume users, who are compensated for their participation. Other users may receive a rebate or other incentive based on firm commitments to reduce power during periods of high demand,[25] sometimes referred to as negawatts[22] (the term was coined by Amory Lovins in 1985).[26] For example, California introduced its own ELRP, where upon an emergency declaration enrolled customers get a credit for lowering their electricity use ($1 per kWh in 2021, $2 in 2022).[27]
Commercial and industrial power users might impose load shedding on themselves, without a request from the utility. Some businesses generate their own power and wish to stay within their energy production capacity to avoid buying power from the grid. Some utilities have commercial tariff structures that set a customer's power costs for the month based on the customer's moment of highest use, or peak demand. This encourages users to flatten their demand for energy, known as energy demand management, which sometimes requires cutting back services temporarily.
Smart metering has been implemented in some jurisdictions to provide real-time pricing for all types of users, as opposed to fixed-rate pricing throughout the demand period. In this application, users have a direct incentive to reduce their use at high-demand, high-price periods. Many users may not be able to effectively reduce their demand at various times, or the peak prices may be lower than the level required to induce a change in demand during short time periods (users have low price sensitivity, or elasticity of demand is low). Automated control systems exist, which, although effective, may be too expensive to be feasible for some applications.
Smart grid application
[edit]Smart grid applications improve the ability of electricity producers and consumers to communicate with one another and make decisions about how and when to produce and consume electrical power.[10][28] This emerging technology will allow customers to shift from an event-based demand response where the utility requests the shedding of load, towards a more 24/7-based demand response where the customer sees incentives for controlling load all the time. Although this back-and-forth dialogue increases the opportunities for demand response, customers are still largely influenced by economic incentives and are reluctant to relinquish total control of their assets to utility companies.[29]
One advantage of a smart grid application is time-based pricing. Customers who traditionally pay a fixed rate for consumed energy (kWh) and requested peak load can set their threshold and adjust their usage to take advantage of fluctuating prices. This may require the use of an energy management system to control appliances and equipment and can involve economies of scale. Another advantage, mainly for large customers with generation, is being able to closely monitor, shift, and balance load in a way that allows the customer to save peak load and not only save on kWh and kW/month but be able to trade what they have saved in an energy market. Again, this involves sophisticated energy management systems, incentives, and a viable trading market.
Smart grid applications increase the opportunities for demand response by providing real time data to producers and consumers, but the economic and environmental incentives remain the driving force behind the practice.
One of the most important means of demand response in the future smart grids is electric vehicles. Aggregation of this new source of energy, which is also a new source of uncertainty in the electrical systems, is critical to preserving the stability and quality of smart grids, consequently, the electric vehicle parking lots can be considered a demand response aggregation entity.[30]
Application for intermittent renewable distributed energy resources
[edit]The modern power grid is making a transition from the traditional vertically integrated utility structures to distributed systems as it begins to integrate higher penetrations of renewable energy generation. These sources of energy are often diffusely distributed and intermittent by nature. These features introduce problems in grid stability and efficiency which lead to limitations on the amount of these resources which can be effectively added to the grid. In a traditional vertically integrated grid, energy is provided by utility generators which are able to respond to changes in demand. Generation output by renewable resources is governed by environmental conditions and is generally not able to respond to changes in demand. Responsive control over noncritical loads that are connected to the grid has been shown to be an effective strategy able to mitigate undesirable fluctuations introduced by these renewable resources.[31] In this way instead of the generation responding to changes in demand, the demand responds to changes in generation. This is the basis of demand response. In order to implement demand response systems, coordination of large numbers of distributed resources through sensors, actuators, and communications protocols becomes necessary. To be effective, the devices need to be economical, robust, and yet still effective at managing their tasks of control. In addition, effective control requires a strong capability to coordinate large networks of devices, managing and optimizing these distributed systems from both an economic and a security standpoint.
In addition, the increased presence of variable renewable generation drives a greater need for authorities to procure more ancillary services for grid balance. One of these services is contingency reserve, which is used to regulate the grid frequency in contingencies. Many independent system operators are structuring the rules of ancillary service markets such that demand response can participate alongside traditional supply-side resources - the available capacity of the generators can be used more efficiently when operated as designed, resulting in lower costs and less pollution. As the ratio of inverter-based generation compared to conventional generation increases, the mechanical inertia used to stabilize frequency decreases. When coupled with the sensitivity of inverter-based generation to transient frequencies, the provision of ancillary services from other sources than generators becomes increasingly important.[32][33]
Technologies for demand reduction
[edit]Technologies are available, and more are under development, to automate the process of demand response. Such technologies detect the need for load shedding, communicate the demand to participating users, automate load shedding, and verify compliance with demand-response programs. GridWise and EnergyWeb are two major federal initiatives in the United States to develop these technologies. Universities and private industry are also doing research and development in this arena. Scalable and comprehensive software solutions for DR enable business and industry growth.
Some utilities are considering and testing automated systems connected to industrial, commercial and residential users that can reduce consumption at times of peak demand, essentially delaying draw marginally. Although the amount of demand delayed may be small, the implications for the grid (including financial) may be substantial, since system stability planning often involves building capacity for extreme peak demand events, plus a margin of safety in reserve. Such events may only occur a few times per year.
The process may involve turning down or off certain appliances or sinks (and, when demand is unexpectedly low, potentially increasing usage). For example, heating may be turned down or air conditioning or refrigeration may be turned up (turning up to a higher temperature uses less electricity), delaying slightly the draw until a peak in usage has passed.[34] In the city of Toronto, certain residential users can participate in a program (Peaksaver AC[35]) whereby the system operator can automatically control hot water heaters or air conditioning during peak demand; the grid benefits by delaying peak demand (allowing peaking plants time to cycle up or avoiding peak events), and the participant benefits by delaying consumption until after peak demand periods, when pricing should be lower. Although this is an experimental program, at scale these solutions have the potential to reduce peak demand considerably. The success of such programs depends on the development of appropriate technology, a suitable pricing system for electricity, and the cost of the underlying technology. Bonneville Power experimented with direct-control technologies in Washington and Oregon residences, and found that the avoided transmission investment would justify the cost of the technology.[36]
Other methods to implementing demand response approach the issue of subtly reducing duty cycles rather than implementing thermostat setbacks.[37] These can be implemented using customized building automation systems programming, or through swarm-logic methods coordinating multiple loads in a facility (e.g. Encycle's EnviroGrid controllers).[38][39]
Similar approach can be implemented for managing air conditioning peak demand in summer peak regions. Pre-cooling or maintaining slightly higher thermostat setting can help with the peak demand reduction.[40]
In 2008 it was announced that electric refrigerators will be sold in the UK sensing dynamic demand which will delay or advance the cooling cycle based on monitoring grid frequency[41] but they are not readily available as of 2018.
Industrial customers
[edit]Industrial customers are also providing demand response. Compared with commercial and residential loads, industrial loads have the following advantages:[42] the magnitude of power consumption by an industrial manufacturing plant and the change in power it can provide are generally very large; besides, the industrial plants usually already have the infrastructures for control, communication and market participation, which enables the provision of demand response; moreover, some industrial plants such as the aluminum smelter[43] are able to offer fast and accurate adjustments in their power consumption. For example, Alcoa's Warrick Operation is participating in MISO as a qualified demand response resource,[44] and the Trimet Aluminium uses its smelter as a short-term nega-battery.[45] The selection of suitable industries for demand response provision is typically based on an assessment of the so-called value of lost load.[46] Some data centers are located far apart for redundancy and can migrate loads between them, while also performing demand response.[47]
Short-term inconvenience for long-term benefits
[edit]Shedding loads during peak demand is important because it reduces the need for new power plants. To respond to high peak demand, utilities build very capital-intensive power plants and lines. Peak demand happens just a few times a year, so those assets run at a mere fraction of their capacity. Electric users pay for this idle capacity through the prices they pay for electricity. According to the Demand Response Smart Grid Coalition, 10%–20% of electricity costs in the United States are due to peak demand during only 100 hours of the year.[48] DR is a way for utilities to reduce the need for large capital expenditures, and thus keep rates lower overall; however, there is an economic limit to such reductions because consumers lose the productive or convenience value of the electricity not consumed. Thus, it is misleading to only look at the cost savings that demand response can produce without also considering what the consumer gives up in the process.
Importance for the operation of electricity markets
[edit]It is estimated[14] that a 5% lowering of demand would have resulted in a 50% price reduction during the peak hours of the California electricity crisis in 2000–2001. With consumers facing peak pricing and reducing their demand, the market should become more resilient to intentional withdrawal of offers from the supply side.
Residential and commercial electricity use often vary drastically during the day, and demand response attempts to reduce the variability based on pricing signals. There are three underlying tenets to these programs:
- Unused electrical production facilities represent a less efficient use of capital (little revenue is earned when not operating).
- Electric systems and grids typically scale total potential production to meet projected peak demand (with sufficient spare capacity to deal with unanticipated events).
- By "smoothing" demand to reduce peaks, less investment in operational reserve will be required, and existing facilities will operate more frequently.
In addition, significant peaks may only occur rarely, such as two or three times per year, requiring significant capital investments to meet infrequent events.
US Energy Policy Act regarding demand response
[edit]This section may contain an excessive amount of intricate detail that may only interest a particular audience. Specifically, this is not a US specific article. (January 2023) |
The United States Energy Policy Act of 2005 has mandated the Secretary of Energy to submit to the US Congress "a report that identifies and quantifies the national benefits of demand response and makes a recommendation on achieving specific levels of such benefits by January 1, 2007." Such a report was published in February 2006.[49]
The report estimates that in 2004 potential demand response capability equaled about 20,500 megawatts (MW), 3% of total U.S. peak demand, while actual delivered peak demand reduction was about 9,000 MW (1.3% of peak), leaving ample margin for improvement. It is further estimated that load management capability has fallen by 32% since 1996. Factors affecting this trend include fewer utilities offering load management services, declining enrollment in existing programs, the changing role and responsibility of utilities, and changing supply/demand balance.
To encourage the use and implementation of demand response in the United States, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) issued Order No. 745 in March 2011, which requires a certain level of compensation for providers of economic demand response that participate in wholesale power markets.[50] The order is highly controversial and has been opposed by a number of energy economists, including Professor William W. Hogan at Harvard University's Kennedy School. Professor Hogan asserts that the order overcompensates providers of demand response, thereby encouraging the curtailment of electricity whose economic value exceeds the cost of producing it. Professor Hogan further asserts that Order No. 745 is anticompetitive and amounts to "...an application of regulatory authority to enforce a buyer's cartel."[51] Several affected parties, including the State of California, have filed suit in federal court challenging the legality of Order 745.[52] A debate regarding the economic efficiency and fairness of Order 745 appeared in a series of articles published in The Electricity Journal.[53][54][55]
On May 23, 2014, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals vacated Order 745 in its entirety.[56] On May 4, 2015, the United States Supreme Court agreed to review the DC Circuit's ruling, addressing two questions:
- Whether the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission reasonably concluded that it has authority under the Federal Power Act, 16 U. S. C. 791a et seq., to regulate the rules used by operators of wholesale electricity markets to pay for reductions in electricity consumption and to recoup those payments through adjustments to wholesale rates.
- Whether the Court of Appeals erred in holding that the rule issued by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is arbitrary and capricious.[57]
On January 25, 2016, the United States Supreme Court in a 6-2 decision in FERC v. Electric Power Supply Ass'n concluded that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission acted within its authority to ensure "just and reasonable" rates in the wholesale energy market.[58]
FERC issued its Order No. 2222 on September 17, 2020, enabling distributed energy resources to participate in regional wholesale electricity markets.[59][60] Market operators submitted initial compliance plans by early 2022.[61]
Demand reduction and the use of diesel generators in the British National Grid
[edit]This section needs to be updated. (January 2023) |
As of December 2009 National Grid had 2369 MW contracted to provide demand response, known as STOR, the demand side provides 839 MW (35%) from 89 sites. Of this 839 MW approximately 750 MW is back-up generation with the remaining being load reduction.[62] A paper based on extensive half-hourly demand profiles and observed electricity demand shifting for different commercial and industrial buildings in the UK shows that only a small minority engaged in load shifting and demand turn-down, while the majority of demand response is provided by stand-by generators.[63]
See also
[edit]- Brittle Power
- Calculating the cost of the UK transmission network: estimating costs per kWh of transmission
- Calculating the cost of back up: See spark spread
- Control of the National Grid
- Dynamic demand power - Demand response without smart grid
- Dumsor
- Economics of new nuclear power plants (for cost comparisons)
- Energy conservation
- Energy intensity
- Energy security and renewable technology
- Energy use and conservation in the United Kingdom
- High-voltage direct current
- Intermittent energy source
- List of power outages
- Load bank
- Load profile
- National Grid Reserve Service
- Northeast blackout of 2003
- Relative cost of electricity generated by different sources
- Energy Reduction Assets
References
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- ^ "Load management using diesel generators - talk at Open University - Dave Andrews Claverton Energy Group". Archived from the original on 2010-02-17. Retrieved 2008-11-19.
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- ^ "The Russian Energy Giant Mining Bitcoin With Virtually Free Energy". Retrieved 4 January 2021.
- ^ "Bitcoin electricity consumption". Retrieved 20 December 2020.
- ^ "Description of the two types of demand response". 2 June 2011. Archived from the original on 2011-08-19.
- ^ a b The Power to Choose - Enhancing Demand Response in Liberalised Electricity Markets Findings of IEA Demand Response Project, Presentation 2003
- ^ Borlick, Robert L., Pricing Negawatts - DR design flaws create perverse incentives, PUBLIC UTILITIES FORTNIGHTLY, August 2010.
- ^ "Monthly Market Report - July 2006" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2007-03-24. Retrieved 2007-01-30.
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- ^ Liasi, Sahand Ghaseminejad; Bathaee, Seyed Mohammad Taghi (2017). "Optimizing microgrid using demand response and electric vehicles connection to microgrid". 2017 Smart Grid Conference (SGC). pp. 1–7. doi:10.1109/SGC.2017.8308873. ISBN 978-1-5386-4279-5. S2CID 3817521.
- ^ "CEIC Working Paper Abstract". Archived from the original on 2007-06-11. Retrieved 2007-01-30.
- ^ "CEIC Working Paper Abstract". Archived from the original on 2007-06-11. Retrieved 2007-01-30.
- ^ The Brattle Group, The Power of Five Percent, How Dynamic Pricing Can Save $35 Billion in Electricity Costs, May 16, 2007.
- ^ a b Tyler Hamilton (August 6, 2007). "A megawatt saved is a 'negawatt' earned". The Toronto Star.
- ^ United States. Federal Power Commission (1967). Report of the commission. U.S. Government Printing Office. p. 122. OCLC 214707924.
- ^ "What is Load Shedding". Archived from the original on April 9, 2008.
- ^ "Description of French EJP tariff - Claverton Energy Group". Archived from the original on July 7, 2012.
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- ^ CPUC. "Emergency Load Reduction Program". cpuc.ca.gov. California Public Utilities Commission. Retrieved 8 September 2022.
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Demand response
View on GrokipediaFundamentals
Definition and Core Principles
Demand response constitutes changes in electric usage by end-use customers from their normal consumption patterns in response to changes in the price of electricity over time, or to incentive payments designed to induce lower electricity use at times of high wholesale market prices or when system reliability is jeopardized.[7] This adjustment enables consumers to reduce or shift their electricity demand from peak periods to off-peak times, thereby supporting the operational stability of the electric grid without necessitating immediate increases in generation capacity.[8] At its foundation, demand response operates as a market-oriented mechanism to align consumption more closely with supply availability, particularly in systems integrating variable renewable sources where demand fluctuations can strain infrastructure.[9] The core principles of demand response rest on economic incentives and behavioral flexibility, where price signals—such as time-of-use rates or critical peak pricing—encourage users to defer non-essential loads, while direct payments reward verifiable reductions during grid stress events.[8][9] These principles prioritize voluntary participation, ensuring that responses are predictable and reliable enough to serve as substitutes for peaking generation or transmission upgrades, with potential peak reductions estimated at up to 5% of U.S. system load in assessments from the mid-2000s.[7] Reliability enhancement forms another pillar, as aggregated demand reductions provide ancillary services like frequency regulation and reserves, mitigating risks of blackouts during high-demand scenarios without relying solely on supply-side expansions.[2] Fundamentally, demand response embodies causal realism in energy systems by treating electricity as a time-sensitive commodity whose value varies with instantaneous supply constraints, rather than assuming uniform availability; this contrasts with traditional rate structures that ignore temporal mismatches between generation and load.[8] Effective implementation requires clear signals to consumers, verifiable measurement of load adjustments, and integration into wholesale markets to avoid distortions from subsidized fixed pricing, which can suppress responsiveness and inflate peak-period costs.[7] By fostering these dynamics, demand response not only defers costly infrastructure investments—potentially saving billions in capital expenditures—but also promotes overall system efficiency through reduced price volatility and enhanced resource utilization.[9][8]Economic Foundations from First Principles
The non-storability of electricity necessitates that supply and demand balance continuously in real time, as imbalances risk blackouts or curtailments, with supply often relying on costly marginal generators during peaks.[10] In such systems, fixed retail rates obscure these real-time marginal costs, leading consumers to undervalue usage at high-demand periods and prompting utilities to overinvest in peaker capacity, which incurs fixed costs averaging $75 per kW-year.[10] Demand response addresses this by enabling load adjustments that reflect opportunity costs, where consumers forgo non-essential usage when its value falls below signaled prices or incentives.[11] From economic reasoning, rational agents maximize utility by equating marginal benefit to marginal cost; time-varying prices or payments thus elicit substitution away from peak periods, enhancing price elasticity of demand, which averages -0.1 in the short run for aggregate residential use but rises to -0.18 to -0.28 for industrial participants in responsive programs.[12][10] This flexibility integrates demand-side resources into markets, competing with generation on equal terms—as affirmed by FERC Order 745 in 2011, which mandated comparable compensation—and mitigates supplier market power by broadening effective supply.[13][11] By flattening load curves, demand response lowers system-wide costs through deferred infrastructure and reduced wholesale peaks, as evidenced by 20,500 MW of potential capacity in U.S. programs circa 2004, while bolstering reliability without proportional efficiency losses.[10][14] Overall, it promotes allocative efficiency by directing consumption toward lower-marginal-cost periods, avoiding deadweight losses from rigid demand and enabling competitive resource dispatch.[11]Historical Development
Origins in Energy Crises (1970s-1990s)
The 1973 Arab oil embargo, imposed by the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) in response to U.S. support for Israel during the Yom Kippur War, triggered widespread fuel shortages and quadrupled oil prices globally, exposing U.S. vulnerabilities to foreign energy supplies. This crisis, compounded by the 1979 Iranian Revolution and subsequent oil shock, prompted federal policies emphasizing conservation and domestic resource efficiency, laying groundwork for demand-side interventions in electricity systems. U.S. utilities, facing rising peak loads and constrained generation, initiated modest load management efforts, such as voluntary customer curtailments during shortages, to avert blackouts without expanding supply infrastructure.[15] The Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act (PURPA) of November 9, 1978, marked a pivotal legislative push for demand-side measures, requiring utilities to evaluate cost-effective alternatives to new fossil fuel plants, including load management techniques like interruptible service for industrial users.[16] Enacted amid ongoing energy insecurity, PURPA promoted efficient electricity use by mandating state commissions to consider integrated resource planning, which incorporated demand reduction as a resource equivalent to supply additions. Early programs focused on direct load control, enabling utilities to remotely cycle off residential appliances like water heaters and air conditioners during peaks, with pilots emerging in states like California and Wisconsin by 1975.[17] Through the 1980s, demand response expanded via regulated utility programs offering incentives such as discounted rates for curtailable loads, achieving measurable peak reductions—utilities collectively shaved thousands of megawatts during high-demand events.[18] Time-of-use pricing gained traction, signaling consumers to shift usage from peak to off-peak hours, while federal incentives under the 1978 National Energy Conservation Policy Act bolstered utility audits and rebates for efficiency-linked load control.[19] By the early 1990s, these efforts peaked in scope but faced cutbacks mid-decade as deregulation loomed, with utilities reallocating resources toward competitive markets; nonetheless, interruptible tariffs remained common, providing reliability during system stress.[20]Deregulation and Market Integration (2000s-2010s)
In the early 2000s, the maturation of deregulated wholesale electricity markets in the United States enabled greater integration of demand response (DR) as a competitive resource alongside traditional generation. Regional Transmission Organizations (RTOs) and Independent System Operators (ISOs), established under FERC Order 2000 (1999), facilitated this by managing competitive bidding in energy and capacity markets. By summer 2001, four major RTOs—PJM Interconnection, ISO-New England, New York ISO, and California ISO—had implemented DR programs allowing curtailment of load to respond to real-time price signals or reliability needs, marking a shift from utility-led interruptible tariffs to market-based participation.[21][22] This period saw DR evolve from ancillary services to core components of market operations, driven by the need to address peak demand volatility exposed during events like the 2000-2001 California energy crisis, which underscored the limitations of supply-only deregulation without demand-side flexibility. In PJM, for example, the Economic Load Response program, launched in the early 2000s, permitted large industrial and commercial users to bid load reductions into the day-ahead and real-time energy markets, with participation growing to provide measurable price suppression during high-demand periods. Similarly, ISO-New England initiated its first DR programs around 2001, achieving 100 MW of demand resources by 2003, primarily through incentive payments for peak reductions. These mechanisms demonstrated DR's ability to mitigate locational marginal price (LMP) spikes, with RTO analyses by 2007 confirming its cost-effectiveness in reducing wholesale prices by 5-10% during stress events in PJM, NYISO, and ISO-NE.[23][22][24] A pivotal regulatory advancement came with FERC Order 745, issued on March 15, 2011, which required organized markets to compensate DR resources at the full LMP when dispatched, conditional on passing a benefits test ensuring net savings relative to generation costs. This order applied to RTOs/ISOs covering about 75% of U.S. load, standardizing DR's economic parity with supply-side resources and spurring enrollment; for instance, PJM's DR capacity exceeded 7,000 MW by 2012, equivalent to multiple large power plants. The policy faced legal challenges from generators arguing it distorted markets by undercompensating avoided transmission costs, but empirical evidence from pre-Order implementations showed DR reducing system peaks without reliability trade-offs.[25][26] In Europe, parallel liberalization under the EU's Second (2003) and Third (2009) Energy Packages promoted wholesale market coupling and unbundling, yet DR integration progressed more slowly due to fragmented national regulations and limited aggregation frameworks. While Nordic and UK markets experimented with price-responsive demand in the 2000s, widespread wholesale participation remained nascent by the 2010s, constrained by fixed retail tariffs and inadequate metering infrastructure, contrasting the U.S. model where competitive RTOs accelerated DR's scale-up.[27]Recent Expansion Amid Rising Loads (2020s)
In the early 2020s, U.S. electricity consumption began accelerating after a period of stagnation, driven primarily by commercial sector growth including data centers fueled by artificial intelligence expansion, alongside increasing electric vehicle adoption and broader electrification trends. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that annual electricity use reached a record high in 2024 and is projected to grow at 1.7% per year through 2026, with much of this surge attributable to data centers and related computing demands.[28] Similarly, the Department of Energy estimated that data center electricity loads had tripled over the prior decade and could double or triple again by 2028, potentially accounting for nearly 9% of total U.S. demand by 2030 when combined with AI-specific growth.[29] [30] Forecasts for overall power demand have revised upward sharply, with five-year load growth projections increasing nearly fivefold from 23 GW to 128 GW over the past two years as of 2024.[31] Demand response programs have expanded in response to these pressures, positioning flexible loads as a critical tool for grid operators to avert shortages without proportional supply-side investments. Utilities and grid managers have increasingly integrated data centers and other large commercial users into demand response mechanisms, with analyses suggesting that even brief curtailments—such as 1% of annual operations (less than four days)—could unlock 126 GW of capacity nationwide.[32] Smaller data centers and industrial facilities have participated in targeted programs to provide ancillary services, enhancing grid stability amid intermittent renewables and peak events.[33] In June 2025, demand response activations during a record heatwave delivered 2.7 GW of capacity and 10 GWh of load reductions, demonstrating operational scale in real-time reliability management.[34] This resurgence follows a stall in program participation during the 2010s, with recent policy and technological pushes— including improved incentives and smart controls—reviving growth to align with load forecasts averaging 2.5% annually through 2035.[35] [36] Internationally, similar dynamics have spurred demand response adoption, as global electricity demand rose 4.3% in 2024—double the decade's prior average—prompting utilities to leverage consumer and industrial flexibility for balancing grids strained by renewables and electrification.[37] In the U.S., federal reports emphasize demand response's role in accelerating clean energy deployment while mitigating risks from concentrated large loads, though challenges persist in standardizing participation across regions and load types.[38] Despite modest declines in firm demand response capacity as a share of total resources from 2015 to 2024, 2025 trends indicate renewed momentum through virtual power plants and automated responses tailored to hyperscale data operations.[39]Operational Mechanisms
Price-Based Responses
Price-based demand response, also known as implicit demand response, incentivizes electricity consumers to adjust their usage patterns in response to varying price signals rather than direct utility directives or incentives. These mechanisms rely on time-varying tariffs that reflect underlying supply costs, wholesale market dynamics, or system conditions, encouraging voluntary load shifting from high-price periods to lower-price ones or outright curtailment during peaks.[9][10] By aligning consumer behavior with grid economics, price-based programs promote efficiency without requiring centralized control, though their effectiveness hinges on consumer awareness, enabling technologies like smart meters, and the magnitude of price differentials.[40] Common variants include time-of-use (TOU) pricing, real-time pricing (RTP), and critical peak pricing (CPP). TOU rates apply fixed, pre-determined price schedules with higher rates during anticipated peak hours (e.g., evenings) and lower off-peak rates, facilitating predictable shifting of flexible loads such as electric vehicle charging or water heating.[41] RTP transmits prices that closely track wholesale market fluctuations or utility marginal costs, often updated hourly or in real-time via smart meters, enabling dynamic responses to unforeseen events like generation outages.[42] CPP overlays exceptionally high rates—sometimes 5-10 times baseline levels—on a baseline tariff during a limited number of declared peak events (typically 10-15 per year), announced day-ahead, which can achieve sharper reductions without necessitating advanced metering infrastructure.[43][44] Implementation typically involves regulatory approval for tariff structures, consumer opt-in or default enrollment, and communication tools for price notifications. For instance, in deregulated markets, RTP allows participants to bid load reductions akin to supply-side resources, with payments tied to avoided energy costs at spot prices. Empirical studies indicate these programs can reduce peak demand by 5-20%, with CPP and RTP outperforming basic TOU rates, particularly when paired with automation; one analysis of U.S. utilities projected up to 20% load flexibility from advanced variants in resource planning.[40][45] However, response elasticities vary, with residential sectors showing modest shifts (e.g., 0.1-0.3 price elasticity) absent behavioral nudges or devices, underscoring the need for enabling infrastructure to realize full potential.[46] Benefits accrue through lowered system peaks, deferred infrastructure investments, and enhanced wholesale market efficiency, as price-responsive demand dampens volatility and integrates intermittent renewables by signaling scarcity. A Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory assessment found that incorporating price-based DR into integrated resource plans could yield substantial flexibility, reducing reliance on peaker plants. Critics note potential equity issues for low-income households facing higher bills without opt-out protections, though evidence from pilots shows net savings for most participants via off-peak incentives.[40][10] Overall, these programs embody market-driven causality, where price signals directly causal to consumption adjustments foster grid resilience without subsidies.[47]Incentive and Reliability-Based Programs
Incentive-based demand response programs provide direct financial compensation to electricity consumers for voluntarily reducing or shifting their load during periods of high demand or grid stress, distinct from price-based mechanisms that rely on dynamic tariffs. These programs typically involve contracts where participants, often large industrial or commercial users, receive payments per kilowatt-hour (kWh) curtailed or fixed capacity payments for committed reductions, with performance verified against a pre-event baseline load. For instance, in performance-based schemes, reductions are measured by comparing actual usage during an event to a calculated baseline derived from historical data, ensuring payments reflect verifiable savings. Such programs encourage rapid response capabilities, with examples including interruptible service tariffs that offer discounted rates in exchange for load curtailment on demand.[48][8] Reliability-based demand response programs specifically target grid stability by procuring capacity or immediate reductions to prevent outages, often activated during emergencies or capacity shortages rather than purely economic signals. These include emergency demand response initiatives, where operators like independent system operators (ISOs) issue calls for curtailment, and capacity market programs that pay participants for reserving reduction potential as a reliability resource. In the New York ISO (NYISO), for example, the Emergency Demand Response Program compensates participants for reductions during reliability events, while the Installed Capacity program integrates demand resources into forward capacity auctions to ensure system adequacy. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) assessments classify these as key tools for maintaining local and system reliability, with wholesale programs contributing measurable peak reductions; the 2024 FERC report notes that reliability-based efforts in regions like PJM and NYISO provided up to several gigawatts of responsive capacity during critical periods.[49][50] Empirical evidence demonstrates these programs' effectiveness in enhancing grid reliability and yielding economic benefits. Incentive-based emergency demand response has achieved statistically significant load reductions, such as a 13.5% decrease in peak usage during targeted events, with returns on investment exceeding 10:1 through avoided generation costs. Reliability-focused implementations, like those in PJM, have mitigated price volatility and supported capacity needs, reducing the risk of blackouts by providing flexible resources equivalent to peaking plants without new infrastructure. In one analysis, coordinating such programs with energy efficiency measures further amplified reductions during contingencies, lowering system-wide costs by deferring expensive supply-side investments. However, program success depends on accurate baseline calculations and participant opt-in rates, with wholesale contributions varying by region—FERC data indicate national potential from these programs reached billions of kWh in annual reductions by 2023.[51][52][49]Enabling Technologies and Smart Grid Integration
Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), consisting of smart meters, communication networks, and data management systems, serves as a foundational enabling technology for demand response by enabling real-time, two-way communication between utilities and end-users. As of 2022, U.S. electric utilities had deployed 119.3 million advanced meters, achieving a 72.3% penetration rate of total meters and supporting dynamic pricing and load control signals critical for demand flexibility.[53] These systems provide granular usage data, allowing utilities to implement time-varying rates and automated adjustments that reduce peak demand without manual consumer action.[54] Internet of Things (IoT) devices extend AMI capabilities to individual appliances and equipment, such as smart thermostats, programmable dryers, and lighting controls, facilitating precise demand shedding at the point of consumption.[55] By 2024, IoT integration in smart grids supported real-time monitoring and automated responses in residential and commercial settings, enabling up to 15% short-term load reductions in some demand response scenarios through connected device orchestration.[56] Communication protocols like Zigbee or cellular networks ensure secure, low-latency signal transmission from utilities to these devices, minimizing response times to grid events.[57] Automated control systems, including building energy management systems (EMS) and programmable logic controllers, automate demand response by integrating with AMI and IoT for pre-programmed load curtailment strategies, such as temperature setbacks or equipment cycling.[58] These systems eliminate reliance on human intervention, improving curtailment reliability; studies indicate that enabling technologies like automation increase load reduction potential by enhancing participation accuracy and speed.[59] Programs like California's Auto-DR have demonstrated scalable incentives covering up to 100% of installation costs for qualifying controls, fostering widespread adoption since the early 2000s.[58] Integration with the smart grid amplifies these technologies through distributed sensors, advanced analytics, and bidirectional power flow capabilities, creating a resilient framework for demand response amid variable renewable generation.[60] Smart grid architectures enable predictive algorithms to forecast demand and automate responses, deferring infrastructure investments by optimizing existing capacity; for instance, early deployments like Austin Energy's 70,000 smart thermostats by 2009 illustrated peak reduction via integrated pricing signals.[60] This convergence supports virtual power plants aggregating distributed resources, with U.S. retail demand response potential reaching 30,448 MW in peak savings as of 2022, driven by AMI-enabled programs.[53]Sector-Specific Applications
Residential and Small-Scale Users
Residential demand response involves households voluntarily reducing or shifting electricity consumption during peak demand periods in response to price signals, incentives, or utility directives. Participation typically occurs through utility-administered programs that employ direct load control or automated devices to manage high-energy appliances such as air conditioners, water heaters, and electric dryers. In the United States, major utilities like Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E) offer programs such as SmartAC for air conditioning control and Power Saver Rewards for automated responses, enabling remote adjustments during events.[61] Key enabling technologies include smart thermostats that adjust setpoints by 1–4°F during events and load control switches compliant with standards like CTA-2045 for appliances. Electric water heaters with demand-responsive controls can achieve load shedding or load-up strategies, potentially yielding 60–70% energy savings when paired with heat pump models. Automation via smart plugs or thermostats enhances effectiveness; for instance, automated households in California programs achieved up to 49% greater reductions compared to manual participants.[62][63] Empirical data from California utilities demonstrate average household reductions of 12–14% per demand response event across approximately 13,000 participants serviced by PG&E, Southern California Edison, and San Diego Gas & Electric. Nationwide enrollment stands at about 6.5% of customers as of 2023, with programs contributing to grid stability amid rising intermittent renewables. Small-scale users, such as small businesses or aggregated residential groups, participate similarly through virtual power plants that coordinate distributed resources like rooftop solar and battery storage for flexibility.[63][64] Challenges include consumer concerns over privacy from data collection and potential discomfort from load interruptions, though satisfaction remains high among enrollees with incentives offsetting risks. Programs like those from Duke Energy incorporate home energy assessments and rebates to boost adoption, addressing barriers like low awareness. Overall, residential participation supports peak load management, with national potential for $100–200 billion in savings over 20 years through widespread integration.[65][62]Industrial and Commercial Operations
Industrial and commercial sectors leverage demand response to curtail or shift substantial electricity loads, often comprising a significant portion of peak grid demand due to process-intensive operations and large-scale HVAC systems. In 2022, potential peak demand savings reached 6,544.7 MW in commercial applications and 14,864 MW in industrial ones across the United States.[53] Participation has grown, with advanced metering penetration rates at 69.3% for commercial and 68.5% for industrial sectors by 2022, enabling automated responses.[53] In industrial settings, demand response typically involves shedding non-essential processes or shifting flexible loads, such as rescheduling batch operations, electrolysis, or metal crushing during peak events.[66] Key industries include food processing (e.g., chillers and packaging), chemicals (e.g., compressors), primary metals (e.g., electric furnaces), and paper products (e.g., chippers).[66] For instance, cement plants have demonstrated 22 MW reductions by halting rock crushing, while refrigerated warehouses shift cooling loads.[67] Technical potential in the Western Interconnect alone estimates up to 2,721 MW for capacity services from such facilities.[66] Barriers include equipment wear from cycling and process constraints requiring advance notice.[67] Commercial operations focus on HVAC modulation, lighting dimming, and plug load controls, often automated via energy management systems compliant with standards like OpenADR 2.0.[67] Office buildings may raise thermostat setpoints by 2°F for several hours, yielding measurable reductions without disrupting core functions.[67] Retail and data centers participate by curtailing refrigeration or server cooling, though implementation costs range from $10 to $350 per kW reduced.[67] Quantifiable outcomes include financial incentives offsetting peak charges; for example, a dairy cooperative reduced 1,000 kW per event, earning $12,000 annually in payments, while a steel producer halved peak demand to secure $500,000–$1,000,000 yearly.[68] Smaller tactics, like nighttime forklift charging or event-based lighting shutdowns, deliver annual savings of $1,800–$2,520 per site.[68] These programs enhance grid stability but demand site-specific strategies to minimize operational disruptions.[67]Role in Managing Intermittent Renewables
Intermittent renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar photovoltaic systems, exhibit significant variability in output due to dependence on meteorological conditions and diurnal cycles, necessitating flexible grid resources to prevent imbalances between supply and demand. Demand response (DR) addresses this by enabling rapid adjustments in electricity consumption to align with fluctuating generation, thereby reducing the need for curtailment—where excess renewable power is wasted—or backup from less efficient dispatchable sources. For instance, DR can curtail load during periods of low renewable output, such as nighttime or calm weather, while shifting non-essential usage to times of surplus production, like midday solar peaks.[69][70] Empirical analyses demonstrate DR's efficacy in enhancing renewable integration. A National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) assessment of high-growth U.S. electric demand scenarios found that DR deployment reduces renewable curtailment rates, yielding net emissions reductions by optimizing the use of variable resources over fossil alternatives; in modeled cases, this flexibility lowered operational costs and improved system reliability without proportional increases in infrastructure investment.[69] Similarly, a U.S. Department of Energy study on DR and energy storage integration highlighted DR's role in providing ancillary services like frequency regulation, which are essential for accommodating up to 30-40% variable renewable penetration in bulk power systems, based on simulations of real-world grid operations.[70] Fast-acting automated DR, particularly in commercial and industrial sectors, offers a cost-competitive alternative to alternatives like grid-scale batteries for mitigating intermittency. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory research from 2012, validated through building-level simulations, showed that such DR can respond within minutes to supply variations, achieving energy shifting at lower lifecycle costs than storage technologies, with potential savings of 20-50% in flexibility provisioning for renewable-heavy grids.[71] In regions like California, where solar intermittency has led to curtailment exceeding 2.5 million MWh annually in peak years, state initiatives have leveraged DR to shift demand via distributed resources, correlating with observed reductions in wasted generation and stabilized wholesale prices during high-renewable periods.[69] These mechanisms underscore DR's causal contribution to grid stability, grounded in load-matching rather than supply-side overbuild.Empirical Benefits and Evidence
Enhancements to Grid Reliability
Demand response enhances grid reliability by enabling rapid load curtailment during periods of high demand or supply constraints, thereby maintaining system balance and averting potential blackouts. In organized wholesale electricity markets, demand response resources provide ancillary services such as frequency regulation and operating reserves, which stabilize the grid against fluctuations. This flexibility reduces the likelihood of cascading failures, as operators can dispatch demand-side reductions faster than many generation resources.[2] Empirical data from U.S. regional transmission organizations demonstrate these benefits. Across seven RTOs/ISOs, wholesale demand response capacity reached 33,055 MW in 2023, accounting for 6.5% of total peak demand of 512 GW. Specific deployments include the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) dispatching 850 MW during a July 2023 Energy Emergency Alert and the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) activating 1,482 MW in September 2023 to ensure reliability. In PJM Interconnection, approximately 7,900 MW of contracted demand response was available for summer 2025 operations, contributing to resource adequacy amid record peaks exceeding 162,000 MW.[49][72] Regulatory actions further underscore demand response's role in bolstering reliability. In May 2025, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approved enhancements to PJM's demand response dispatch and accreditation mechanisms, allowing greater integration of these resources into reliability planning. Such measures have proven effective in high-stress scenarios, where demand response has repeatedly prevented emergency curtailments by substituting for scarce generation capacity. Studies indicate that without demand response, peak-period reliability margins would diminish, increasing outage risks during extreme weather events.[73][49]Quantifiable Economic and Efficiency Gains
Demand response programs have demonstrated measurable reductions in peak electricity demand, contributing to economic savings by minimizing reliance on costly peaker plants and deferring infrastructure investments. In 2023, wholesale demand response resources across U.S. Regional Transmission Organizations and Independent System Operators totaled 33,055 MW, equivalent to 6.5% of peak demand in those markets. Retail programs achieved 30,448 MW of peak reduction capability in 2022, reflecting a 4.2% increase from 2021 levels. These reductions lower system-wide costs by enabling more efficient dispatch of baseload generation and avoiding high marginal costs during peaks, where peaker unit operations can exceed $100/MWh in fuel and variable expenses.[49] Quantified savings from scaled demand response, particularly through virtual power plants (VPPs), underscore potential grid-wide efficiencies. The U.S. Department of Energy estimates that tripling VPP capacity to 80-160 GW by 2030 could satisfy 10-20% of peak demand and yield $10 billion in annual savings by optimizing resource allocation and reducing curtailments of intermittent renewables. In California, VPP deployment is projected to generate $750 million in yearly benefits by 2035, with approximately $550 million accruing directly to consumers via incentives and bill reductions. Industrial applications have shown net present values in the tens of millions of dollars per facility under favorable scenarios, driven by flexible load management that aligns production with off-peak pricing.[49][49][74] Efficiency gains manifest in deferred capital expenditures and operational optimizations. Peak shaving via demand response can postpone transmission and distribution upgrades, with avoided capacity costs estimated at $75 per kW-year for peaking resources. Programs like critical peak pricing have achieved load reductions of up to 41% in residential sectors during events, enhancing overall system load factors and reducing transmission congestion losses, which typically range from 5-10% of generated power. The U.S. Department of Defense realized $4.6 million in savings in fiscal year 2023 from 139 MW of enrolled demand response, illustrating scalable efficiency in high-reliability contexts. These outcomes reflect causal links between responsive demand and lower locational marginal prices, as empirical spot market analyses confirm price-responsive loads suppress peaks and stabilize wholesale costs.[10][10][49]| Program Type | Customer Segment | Location | Peak Load Reduction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Peak Pricing | Residential | SDG&E, CA | 27% (0.64 kW avg.) | Includes 0.4 kW from enabling tech.[10] |
| Direct Load Control | Residential A/C | Various U.S. | 0.10-0.81 kW | Event-based cycling.[10] |
| Incentive-Based | Wholesale Markets | RTOs/ISOs | 6.5% of peak (2023) | 33,055 MW total.[49] |
Data-Driven Environmental Outcomes
Empirical analyses indicate that demand response (DR) can reduce CO₂ emissions by shifting loads to periods of lower marginal emission factors, often coinciding with higher renewable output, thereby displacing fossil fuel-based peaker plants. A peer-reviewed study on district heating systems found DR implementation yields 2.8–4.7% energy savings, translating to proportional greenhouse gas reductions through optimized renewable integration and reduced auxiliary fuel use.[75] Similarly, in German residential heating scenarios, DR strategies cut emissions by enhancing renewable energy utilization, with potential savings of 2.8–4.9% in CO₂ equivalent based on varying production mixes as of 2022 data.[76] Targeted DR for electric vehicle charging demonstrates up to 15% emissions reduction by 2035 via low-carbon scheduling that prioritizes off-peak renewable-heavy hours, according to modeling in a 2025 Applied Energy analysis.[77] Residential load management programs show 1–20% CO₂ abatement potential, with some scenarios exceeding 20% through behavioral and technological shifts, as quantified in a 2025 assessment of demand-side resources.[78] However, outcomes vary; a 2022 Iberian market study revealed that pure price-based DR may not consistently lower emissions if shifts occur during high-emission periods, emphasizing the need for emission-aware designs over cost-only optimization.[79] At the grid scale, integrating DR with energy efficiency reduces system-wide carbon intensity, with a 2022 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory evaluation across U.S. scenarios showing combined approaches lower emissions by enabling greater renewable penetration without additional infrastructure.[80] Explicit DR in industrial use cases, such as a modeled Spanish facility, achieved 50.81 kg CO₂ savings annually by curtailing peak demand and avoiding marginal fossil generation.[81] These data underscore DR's causal role in emissions mitigation when aligned with real-time grid carbon signals, though quantification relies on accurate baseline measurements and marginal emission tracking.[82]Challenges and Criticisms
Technical and Measurement Difficulties
One primary technical challenge in demand response programs involves accurately estimating customer baselines, which represent counterfactual electricity consumption during an event absent any load reduction incentives or signals. Baseline methodologies, such as averaging historical usage from similar non-event days adjusted for weather and daylight variables, often introduce estimation errors due to unmodeled factors like behavioral changes or end-use variability, with studies showing average errors exceeding 6% in residential settings without advanced corrections.[83] ERCOT's adoption of seven baseline types, including daily energy and hourly adjustments, acknowledges these issues but requires exhaustive analysis to mitigate inaccuracies in measurement and verification.[84] Peer-reviewed evaluations highlight that simpler averaging methods can overestimate or underestimate reductions by 10-20% during atypical conditions, complicating cost-effectiveness assessments and resource planning.[85][86] Communication and control system reliability pose further difficulties, as demand response relies on real-time signals from grid operators to distributed devices like smart thermostats or industrial controllers, where latency or signal failures can lead to incomplete or mistimed responses. Interoperability standards remain incomplete, with NIST identifying demand response protocols as a top priority due to fragmented device compatibility across vendors, hindering scalable deployment in smart grids.[87] In practice, this results in mismatched responses, such as over-shedding in some sectors while under-responding in others, as evidenced by evaluations of automated programs where control discrepancies affected up to 15% of targeted load.[88] Cybersecurity vulnerabilities exacerbate these technical hurdles, particularly with the integration of internet-connected appliances and distributed energy resources that enable demand response but expose grids to deception attacks, such as false data injection altering consumption signals. DOE reports emphasize that the proliferation of such devices without "security by design" increases risks of cascading failures, with threat modeling revealing potential for manipulated load reductions to destabilize grid balance during peaks.[89] EPRI analyses of demand response use cases confirm that unmitigated cyber threats can compromise program integrity, leading to unreliable verification of actual versus signaled reductions.[90] These issues collectively undermine the precision required for effective grid management, necessitating robust standards and verification protocols.[91]Economic and Consumer Burdens
Participation in demand response programs frequently entails upfront investments in enabling technologies, such as smart thermostats, programmable controllers, or advanced metering infrastructure, which impose financial barriers particularly for smaller residential and commercial consumers. Transaction costs associated with program enrollment, monitoring, and compliance further disadvantage these users, often excluding them from benefits while larger entities capture incentives.[92][93] Industrial and commercial participants face significant opportunity costs, including lost production revenue and operational disruptions during curtailment events, which can exceed the compensation provided by utilities or grid operators. For instance, factories may halt manufacturing processes, leading to foregone output valued higher than demand response payments, compounded by regulatory risks such as certification losses under standards like ISO 50001. These economic disincentives contribute to low participation rates among potentially eligible firms.[93] Non-participants and the broader economy bear indirect burdens through cross-subsidization, as utilities recover demand response incentive payments—often in the form of capacity or energy credits—from general rate bases, elevating electricity bills for all customers. Inefficiencies exacerbate this, such as documented over-reporting by aggregators in California programs, where claimed energy reductions were 1.5 to 22 times actual deliveries, resulting in inflated payouts passed onto ratepayers without commensurate grid benefits. Such issues highlight systemic risks of fraud or measurement inaccuracies inflating program costs.[94] Price-based demand response mechanisms, including time-of-use tariffs, can inadvertently increase costs for consumers unable to shift usage patterns, as peak-period surcharges apply regardless of participation flexibility, disproportionately affecting low-mobility households or those with inflexible loads. Behavioral and informational barriers, including distrust of program reliability and complexity in event notifications, further amplify effective economic burdens by deterring optimal engagement and perpetuating higher baseline rates to fund underutilized capacity.[43]Over-Reliance Risks in Policy-Driven Scenarios
In scenarios where energy policies heavily emphasize demand response (DR) to offset the retirement of dispatchable fossil fuel and nuclear plants in favor of intermittent renewables, over-reliance introduces significant reliability vulnerabilities, as DR lacks the sustained, on-demand firmness of traditional generation capacity. Policy-driven integrations, such as those under net-zero mandates, often accredit DR equivalently to firm resources in capacity planning, but empirical assessments reveal DR's capacity value is diminished by its dependence on voluntary participation and short-duration responsiveness, typically limited to 2-4 hours per event.[96][97] For example, PJM Interconnection's market analyses show that while DR can reduce peak energy needs, it cannot replicate the full capacity credit of thermal plants, leading to underestimation of reserve margins during multi-day stress periods.[98] Performance data underscores these limitations: in the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) during 2023, utility-administered DR achieved only about 88% of scheduled curtailments, with supply-side DR underperforming due to factors like participant opt-outs and measurement inaccuracies, exacerbating shortfalls when combined with renewable variability.[99] Over-reliance in such contexts has manifested in real-world failures; California's policy push for renewables and DR, including the closure of baseload plants like Diablo Canyon, contributed to rolling blackouts on August 14-15, 2020, amid a heatwave, as DR reductions proved insufficient against simultaneous spikes in residential cooling loads and solar output drops.[99] Similarly, NERC's assessments highlight elevated blackout risks in regions like Texas and the Western Interconnection, where policy incentives for DR to balance load growth outpace firm capacity additions, projecting potential energy shortfalls if DR enrollment falters under extreme weather.[100] Economically, policy-induced over-reliance distorts investment signals, delaying construction of resilient infrastructure; capacity market reforms are urged to de-rate DR's accredited value, as uncritical substitution risks costlier emergency procurements or imports during crises.[101] Critics, including grid strategists, argue this approach assumes perfect behavioral compliance, ignoring causal factors like consumer priority for essential loads (e.g., heating in winter storms), which rendered DR ineffective in Texas's 2021 freeze despite programs like ERCOT's Responsive Reserve Service.[102][103] Overall, while DR supplements grid flexibility, policies treating it as a primary reliability pillar without diversified backups heighten systemic fragility, as evidenced by rising reserve deficiency probabilities in high-renewables scenarios.[100][104]Policy and Regulatory Frameworks
United States Federal and State Policies
The Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct 2005) established a foundational federal framework for demand response by directing the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) to identify and eliminate barriers to its participation in organized wholesale electricity markets, while requiring annual assessments of demand response and advanced metering penetration.[10][105] This legislation aimed to enhance grid reliability and efficiency by treating demand-side reductions comparably to supply-side resources, with FERC issuing its first assessment in 2006 showing initial potential for 33,000–41,000 MW of demand response nationwide.[105] In 2011, FERC Order No. 745 mandated that demand response resources in regional transmission organization (RTO) and independent system operator (ISO) markets receive compensation at the locational marginal price (LMP) for energy reduced, net of avoided retail costs, provided a net benefits test confirmed cost-effectiveness relative to generation.[25][106] The U.S. Supreme Court upheld this order in 2016, affirming FERC's authority over wholesale demand response under the Federal Power Act, which spurred participation in markets like PJM and ISO-NE, where demand response cleared up to 10–15% of peak capacity in some years.[107][108] FERC continues to oversee implementation through annual reports, with the 2024 assessment noting advanced metering enabling 57% of U.S. customers to participate in time-based rates supporting demand response.[49] At the state level, policies vary significantly, with public utility commissions (PUCs) mandating utility-administered programs, incentives, and performance standards tailored to regional needs. In California, the Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) requires investor-owned utilities to procure at least 1.25% of system peak demand annually through demand response by 2020, extended via programs like Critical Peak Pricing and emergency load reduction, which averted blackouts during the 2020 heatwave by curtailing 2,500 MW.[109][110] Texas, operating under the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), incentivizes demand response via ancillary services markets and responsive reserves, where participants like large industrial users provide up to 3,000 MW during scarcity events, supported by Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUCT) rules emphasizing voluntary participation without federal oversight.[110][111] New York State's Public Service Commission (NYPSC) promotes demand response through the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO), targeting 2,400 MW by 2030 via special case resources and behind-the-meter programs, integrated with clean energy goals to defer infrastructure costs exceeding $1 billion.[111] Other states like Florida maintain mature programs focused on commercial and industrial curtailment, while emerging markets such as those in the Northeast expand residential incentives tied to smart thermostats and electric vehicle integration.[110] State-level adoption often hinges on PUC approvals for utility budgets, with 36 states plus D.C. reporting active demand response activities as of 2023, though participation rates lag in regions without competitive wholesale markets.[49]International Implementations and Variations
In Europe, demand response implementations emphasize regulatory harmonization and integration of distributed resources to support renewable energy penetration, differing from more capacity-focused U.S. approaches by prioritizing transmission-distribution system operator (TSO-DSO) coordination. Flexibility and demand-side response efforts focus on unlocking resources such as electric vehicle (EV) flexibility, demand response, and storage to stabilize grids, reduce costs, manage congestion, integrate variable renewables, and shift from gas dependency.[112] A key measure includes the rollout of 15-minute trading intervals in the day-ahead market on 30 September 2025, for delivery starting 1 October 2025.[113] The European Union's Energy Efficiency Directive (2012/27/EU) set targets for 20% energy savings by 2020, promoting demand-side flexibility through market access for aggregators.[114] In France, 2.4 GW of demand-side capacity was activated in 2022 via wholesale market auctions, with aggregators allowed to participate since regulatory reforms enabled non-interruptible loads.[115] The United Kingdom secured 405 MW in a February 2023 one-year-ahead capacity auction, using dynamic baselines like the 10-in-10 method for measurement.[9] Germany's programs lag due to persistent regulatory barriers, though pilots like InterFlex test flexibility markets; the Netherlands mandates demand response for users exceeding 60 MW since 2022.[116] Variations include diverse baseline calculations—such as 45-day averages in some markets—and real-time metering, with EU-wide proposals for a network code in 2025 aiming to standardize participation of small-scale resources.[117] Australia's demand response centers on enhancing National Electricity Market (NEM) price signals and virtual power plants (VPPs) to manage peaks amid high renewable variability, contrasting Europe's policy-driven aggregation with market-based incentives for large users. The Demand Response Mechanism (DRM) launched in 2021 allows direct wholesale participation, while the Five-Minute Settlement rule implemented in October 2022 improves granular pricing.[116] A 2017-2020 trial by the Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) and Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) funded projects yielding over 200 MW across Victoria, South Australia, and New South Wales.[118] South Australia requires demand response-ready air conditioners for new installations after July 2023, using standards like AS 4755 for automated load shifting.[9] Baselines rely on average coincident load from peak hours, with telemetry for verification, enabling 31 MW VPP enrollment by 2021.[119] In Asia, implementations vary by maturity, with advanced markets like South Korea and Japan achieving substantial peak reductions through incentive-based programs, while China and India focus on pilots amid rapid demand growth. South Korea registered 4.9 GW by November 2022, avoiding 43 GWh in December 2022 via emergency calls.[120] Japan secured 2.3 GW in its 2022 Power Source I market for capacity provision.[9] China's provincial pilots, including Beijing's 2015 program and Shanghai's emerging market, emphasize virtual power plants and data platforms, though nationwide scaling remains limited by non-liberalized pricing.[121] India’s Tata Power targets 75 MW peak cuts for 61,000 consumers, aiming for 200 MW by 2025 via residential incentives.[9] These differ from Western models by prioritizing industrial loads and government-led trials over retail aggregation, with baselines often fixed or historical averages to accommodate data gaps.[122]Case Studies and Real-World Outcomes
Historical Events and Program Evaluations
Demand response programs emerged in the United States during the 1970s amid the oil crises, with initial efforts focused on interruptible tariffs and load management to mitigate supply shortages and reduce reliance on imported oil.[15] These early programs, often termed Demand Response 1.0, emphasized providing megawatt-hours (MWh) or capacity (MW) during high wholesale prices through voluntary customer curtailments, primarily targeting industrial users.[123] By the 1990s, deregulation and the formation of independent system operators (ISOs) and regional transmission organizations (RTOs) expanded DR into wholesale markets, with PJM Interconnection launching economic DR auctions in 1997 to procure load reductions for reliability and price stability.[24] A pivotal historical event was the California electricity crisis of 2000–2001, where surging demand and constrained supply led to rolling blackouts, exacerbated by flawed market design and inadequate DR integration.[124] Despite some interruptible contracts, DR capacity was limited to about 3,000 MW—insufficient against peak demands exceeding 50,000 MW—and failed to prevent widespread outages, prompting regulatory reforms like expanded emergency load reduction incentives under Assembly Bill 1 in 2001.[125] In contrast, PJM's DR programs during this period demonstrated efficacy, with participants reducing load by up to 2,000 MW in response to price signals, avoiding similar disruptions in the Midwest.[126] The 2003 Northeast blackout, affecting 50 million people across eight states, further underscored DR's value, as post-event analyses revealed that proactive load shedding could have mitigated cascading failures, leading to federal mandates under the Energy Policy Act of 2005 for better DR participation in organized markets.[126] Program evaluations have consistently shown DR's empirical benefits in peak reduction and cost savings, though measurement challenges persist. A Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory study of U.S. wholesale markets found DR resources provided 5–10% of peak capacity in regions like PJM and ISO-New England by 2010, with average response times under 30 minutes and load drops of 1–2 GW per event.[126] Evaluations of retail programs, such as those by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), indicate wholesale DR yields higher reliability value (up to $100/kW-year) compared to retail incentives, but baseline load estimation errors can overstate impacts by 20–50% without advanced metering.[127] In the Bonneville Power Administration's service area, a 2018 assessment projected DR potential to curtail 500–1,000 MW during critical peaks, equating to $50–100 million in avoided generation costs annually, based on historical participation rates of 10–15% among eligible industrial customers.[128] These results affirm DR's causal role in enhancing grid resilience, though critics note that without competitive pricing, programs risk free-rider effects reducing net efficacy by 30%.[129]Recent Developments (2023-2025)
In 2023, demand response programs saw expanded adoption amid rising grid pressures, with winter programs added at a record pace driven by increased climate variability and the need for year-round flexibility.[130] During the Texas heatwave that summer, demand response contributed significantly to ERCOT's grid stability by curtailing loads and averting potential shortages, highlighting its role in managing extreme weather events.[131] The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's (FERC) 2023 assessment noted a modest increase in wholesale market participation, rising by 135 MW or 0.4% from 2022 levels, while retail programs continued to grow through incentives for distributed energy resources.[132] By 2024, demand response achieved new records during summer peaks, providing essential capacity to prevent blackouts amid surging electricity demand from data centers and electrification.[133] FERC's 2024 report confirmed sustained but incremental wholesale growth, emphasizing advanced metering infrastructure's role in enabling precise load reductions.[49] A U.S. Department of Energy analysis highlighted data center load tripling over the prior decade, projecting further doubling or tripling by 2028, underscoring demand response's necessity for balancing supply constraints without overbuilding generation.[29] In 2025, integrations advanced with technology sectors, as Google expanded programs to curtail machine learning workloads via agreements with utilities like Indiana Michigan Power, targeting high-flexibility compute resources.[134] During the June heatwave, demand response delivered 2.7 GW of capacity and 10 GWh of reductions, maintaining stability under record demand.[34] PJM Interconnection broadened participation windows for around-the-clock flexibility in its 2025 summer outlook, while a California study estimated substantial potential for investor-owned utilities through enhanced virtual power plants.[72][135] Trends included rising load growth from electrification, improved battery storage incentives, and emphasis on data access for aggregated resources, positioning demand response as a cost-effective alternative to new infrastructure amid aging grids and severe weather.[136][137]References
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