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Palsa
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Palsas are peat mounds with a permanently frozen peat and mineral soil core. They are a typical phenomenon in the polar and subpolar zone of discontinuous permafrost. One of their characteristics is having steep slopes that rise above the mire surface. This leads to the accumulation of large amounts of snow around them. The summits of the palsas are free of snow even in winter, because the wind carries the snow and deposits on the slopes and elsewhere on the flat mire surface. Palsas can be up to 150 m (490 ft) in diameter and can reach a height of 12 m (39 ft).[1]
Permafrost is found on palsa mires only in the palsas themselves, and its formation is based on the physical properties of peat. Dry peat is a good insulator, but wet peat conducts heat better, and frozen peat is even better at conducting heat. This means that cold can penetrate deep into the peat layers, and that heat can easily flow from deeper wet layers in winter, whereas the dry peat on the palsa surface insulates the frozen core and prevents it from thawing in the summer.[1] This means that palsas can survive in a climate where the mean annual temperature is just below the freezing point.[2]
A lithalsa is a palsa without peat cover. They exist in a smaller range than palsas, commonly occurring in oceanic climate regimes. However both palsas and lithalsas are relatively small compared to pingos, typically less than 3 m (9.8 ft).[3]
Palsa development
[edit]Palsas may be initiated in areas of a moor or bog where the winter freezing front penetrates relatively faster than surrounding areas, perhaps due to an unusually thin cover of snow.[4] The lack of thermal insulation provided by thick snow permits much deeper freezing in winter. This ice may then last through the summer with a persistent 'bump' of up to several cm due to frost heave. The elevated surface of a palsa will tend also to have thinner snow cover, allowing greater winter cooling, while in summer the surface material (especially if organic) will dry out and provide thermal insulation.[5] Thus the interior temperature is consistently lower than that of adjacent ground. This contributes to the formation of an ice lens which grows by drawing up surrounding water. The expansion of the ice upon freezing exerts pressure on the surrounding soil, further forcing water out of its pore spaces which then accumulates on and increases the volume of the growing ice lens. A positive feedback loop develops. Changes in surface moisture and vegetation will then be such as to preserve the newly formed permafrost.[6]
The overlying soil layer is gradually lifted up by frost heaving.[7] In cross-section, the ice cores of a palsa show layering, which is caused by the successive winter freezing intervals. The pressing out of water from the pores is not crucial, however, since the boggy soil is water-saturated and thus always provides enough water for ice core growth.
Many scientists agree that the development of a palsa is cyclic where growth continues until a convex form of the palsa is reached. When this occurs an increasing pressure in the uppermost layer of peat will cause cracks in the peat layer which will result in the sliding of the peat layer toward the sides of the palsa. As this layer of peat generates an insulating effect the regression of the layer will thereby expose the permafrost in the palsa and initiate melting. In this case, the melting of the palsa is a normal part of the cyclic development and, it will be possible for new embryonic palsa forms to develop in the same area. However, the studies done on palsa forms has primarily been observing dome palsas in the northern regions. These study areas lie within the core area for palsa occurrences and therefore are the cyclic development applicable only to dome palsas within the core area.[8]
Palsa plateaus often lack the convex form which causes cracks in the peat layers and the decay of dome palsas. But in palsa plateaus, frost expansion which causes swelling will with time create an uneven surface and increase the possibility for water accumulation on the surface and cause local regression and melting. This process, which causes melting likewise the cracking of the peat layer in dome palsas, is a normal part in the life span of palsa plateaus but are not a part of a cyclic evolvement.[8]
Palsas appear to go through a developmental cycle that eventually leads to thawing and collapse. Open cracks that commonly accompany palsa growth and the water that tends to accumulate around palsas, probably as a result of their weight depressing the adjacent bog surface, are important factors in this process. The fact that palsas in various stages of growth and decay occur together shows that their collapse is not necessarily indicative of climatic change. All that is usually left after a palsa collapses is a depression surrounded by a rim.[7]
Morphology
[edit]One specific type of mire at which palsa structures appear is called a palsa mire.[9] But, sometimes the nature type is described as palsa bogs,[10] however, they both refer to a peaty wetland where palsa mounds occur. In palsa mires, palsas which are in different stages of development can appear due to the cyclic development of the structure.[6][11] Therefore, the collapsed form of the palsas are common in these areas which can be seen as rounded ponds, open peat surfaces or low circular rim ridges.[6]
The individual palsa is described as a mound or a larger elevation in peatland with a core of permanently frozen peat and/or mineral soil with an uppermost active layer of peat.[5][9] The landform occurs in areas with discontinuous permafrost.[9][12] The core of palsas stays frozen permanently, including summertime, as the peat layer creates an insulating effect.[6][5] Mostly palsas have an oval or elongated form but different shapes of palsas have been described. In some places (Laivadalen and Keinovuopio in northern Sweden), palsa complexes which consist of several dome-shaped palsas have been found. At other places (Seitajaure in northern Sweden), another palsa structure is described. Here several palsa-plateaus have been found which have flatter surfaces and steep edges.[10]
Palsa forms include mounds, plateaus and ridges of different sizes.[13] Palsas in Iceland have been described as hump-shaped, dike-shaped, plateau-shaped, ring-shaped, and shield-shaped.[citation needed] Those in Norway have been referred to as palsa plateaus, esker palsas, string palsas, conical or dome-shaped palsas, and palsa complexes.[citation needed]
Widths are commonly 10–30 m (33–98 ft), and lengths 15–150 m (49–490 ft).[1] However, lengths of up to 500 m (1,600 ft) have been reported for esker-like palsa ridges running parallel to the gradient of a bog. Heights range from less than 1 m (3 ft 3 in) up to 6–7 m (20–23 ft),[5][9] but can reach about 10 m (33 ft) at a maximum above the surrounding area. Large forms tend to be considerably less conical than small ones. In places, palsas combine to form complexes several hundred meters in extent. The permafrost core contains ice lenses no thicker than 2–3 cm (0.79–1.2 in), though locally lenses up to almost 40 cm (16 in) thick have been described.
During the cyclic development, the palsa goes through several stages at which the morphology differs. In the initial aggrading stage of development, the palsas have smooth surfaces with no cracks in the peat layer and no visible signs of erosion can be seen. They are often small and dome-shaped and often referred to as embryo palsas.[10] In this stage ice layers are created which are commonly found in the frozen peat core. It has been suggested that these ice layers are created by ice segregation but, it is most certainly buoyancy that is the reason for the formation of the ice layers. Buoyant rise of the core occurs which freezes when the permafrost reaches the area and creates the ice layers.[5] In the stable, mature phase, the surface has risen further to a level at which the snow cover during winter is thinned by the wind which in turn makes it possible for deeper freezing. In the mature stage, the frozen core has reached beyond the peat layer into the underlying silty sediments and during summer thawing of the core occurs but not to an extent where the core thaws completely. The thawing can sometimes create water filled ponds adjacent to the palsa and in some cases, cracks in the peat layer along these ponds can be present in the stable stage. However, these cracks are small in size and no visible signs of block erosion are seen during the sable stage. During the degrading stage, however, the palsas have large cracks up to several meters which divide the peat layer into blocks and so-called block erosion occurs. Adjacent to palsas in the degrading stage often several individual ponds are found, due to thawing of the frozen core.[10] Wind erosion often affect the peat layer to such a degree that it decreases in thickness with sometimes several decimeters.[11] When palsa plateaus are in the degrading stage several ponds on the flat plateau-surface can be seen which often have neighbouring block erosion. When block erosion occurs the mineral soil is often exposed along the cracks, especially when the peat layer is thin.[10]
Geographic distribution
[edit]
Palsas are typical forms of the discontinuous permafrost zone regions and are therefore found in Subarctic regions of northern Canada and Alaska, Siberia, northern Fennoscandia and Iceland.[6][12] They are almost exclusively associated with the presence of peat[12] and commonly occur in areas where the winters are long and the snow cover tends to be thin. In some places palsas extend into underlying permafrost; in others they rest on an unfrozen substratum.
In the southern hemisphere palsa remains from the last glacial maximum have been identified on the Argentine side of Isla Grande de Tierra del Fuego just north of Cami Lake.[14] Remainders of Ice-Age palsas are to be found also in Hochmooren of Central Europe, such as Hohen Venn in the German-Belgian border area.
Effects of climate change
[edit]Effect on palsa forms due to change in climatic conditions
[edit]Erosion of palsa forms and the receding of the permafrost in the core of the palsa does not directly indicate a change in climatic conditions. As the palsas have a cyclic development the thawing of the core is a normal part of the palsa development. However, change in climatic conditions does affect palsa forms. The palsa forms that lay in the outskirt of the occurrence area are more dependent on climatic conditions for existence than the palsa forms near the core of the occurrence area.[8] A study on palsa forms was done in 1998 at Dovrefjell, in southern Norway. At the time of observation, the mean annual temperature lied just under 0 °C (32 °F) in the area. These areas are certainly sensitive to changes in temperature; just a small temperature rise can have a great effect on the lasting existence of palsas in the specific region.[8] Measurements from meteorological stations in the area show that the mean annual temperature rose 0.8 °C between the time periods of 1901–1930 and 1961–1990. Since the start of the warming trend in the 1930s, entire palsa bogs and large palsa plateaus have completely melted in the Dovrefjell area.[8] Palsa bogs' sensitivity to changes in temperature makes them a good climate indicator.[15] The study in the Dovrefjell area concluded that if palsas are used as climate indicators it is essential to separate large changes in the distribution of permafrost from smaller changes. Smaller changes are caused by shorter climatic variations which only last a few years. Small dome palsas, which also can be called embryo palsas, can develop as a result of smaller variations in climatic conditions such as a few following cold winters. As these small palsas disappear after just a few years, they fail to establish as permanent formations. This phenomenon has been observed in the Dovrefjell in the last decades and is caused by a larger change in the climatic condition where the temperature has risen to a level at which the palsas cannot fully initiate their cyclic development. This is a consequence of climate change with the warming trend which has been observed in the Dovrefjell area. In this area, the climate has not been cold enough for new palsa forms to establish during the whole of the 20th century.[8]
However, some uncertainties of how the local conditions affect the formation of palsa forms and especially the hydrology of palsa mires still exist. Additionally, more active-layer monitoring and its correlation to local weather conditions is needed to better determine the effect of climate change on palsa mires.[5]
Palsa and GHG-fluxes
[edit]Because the top mounds of the palsas are more dry and nutrient poor than their wet surroundings, they create a mosaic of microhabitats within the mire. The occurrence of a palsa is determined by several climatological factors, such as air temperature, precipitation and snow thickness. Therefore, an increase in temperature and precipitation may induce thawing of frozen peat and subsidence of the peat surface. This results in a thicker active layer and wetter conditions. The vegetation, therefore, changes in adaptation to the wetter conditions. The expanding wetness is projected to benefit sphagnum mosses and graminoids, at the expense of the dryer palsa vegetation. The associated changes in greenhouse gases fluxes are increased CO2 uptake and increased methane emission, mainly due to the expansion of tall graminoids.[16]
The continued occurrence of palsa mires in Fennoscandia
[edit]The lasting occurrence of palsa mires is endangered by several factors. Foremost of these is climate change, with palsa mires located on the margins of their climatic distribution being the most vulnerable. Climate change causes an increase in the average annual temperature, which must lay under 0 °C (32 °F) for palsas to persist.[17][8] Palsas also generally require relatively low precipitation (generally < 500 mm annually [18]), and increases in precipitation due to climate change may result in palsa degradation and thaw. Increases in snowfall can mean that the palsas are more insulated and therefore do not get as cold in winter. Conversely, increased rainfall in the summer months can result in higher ground thermal conductivities and greater heat transfer to the palsa core. The effects are already visible: many studies[19][20][8][9] report degradation of palsa mires during the last decades with the primary cause for the loss of habitat area being climate change. Climate envelope models have been used to predict the future distribution of palsas under different climate change scenarios: one such study found that Fennoscandia is likely to become climatically unsuitable for palsas by 2040, and that strong mitigation (SSP1-2.6) is required to retain a significant suitable area for palsas in Western Siberia.[21]
Another factor is particles from atmospheric fallout which can influence the hydrochemistry and degradation rate of organic matter. Furthermore, community building and primarily such that have an impact on the hydrology and hydrochemistry can damage the habitat of palsa mires. But, the impact from this kind of activity is minimal considering the extent of the occurrence area which is relatively large compared to the impacted area.[17] Palsa mires are a prioritized habitat type in EU's Species and Habitats Directive and therefore conservation of palsa mires within Sweden and Finland is of great interest.[9] Conservation of this habitat can be fulfilled with measures of such kind that they sustain a favourable conservation status and degradation of the palsa mires are avoided. But in 2013 Sweden reported the conservation status for the palsa mires to be poor and in many areas the palsas have collapsed and there is a high risk for extinction.
Effects on ecosystems and species
[edit]A typical palsa mire has a high level of biodiversity, ranging from several different types of bird species to tiny organisms like bacteria. This is largely because of particularly due to its outstanding minerotrophic-ombrotrophic and water table gradients, which enables the presence of several microhabitats distributed in different degrees of wetness. Palsa mires are listed as a priority habitat type by the European Union, and climate change may pose a great risk to its ecosystems.[22] Although much research has been carried out on degradation of palsa mires, there is still an enormous information gap on what implications on biodiversity disruptions in ecosystems may have. In fact, there is not much at all known about many organisms inhabiting palsas. It is vital to gain more knowledge about the distribution of these organisms, as well as patterns of species richness long-term, in order to understand and predict possible implications of potential loss of palsa. Without this key knowledge, understanding the biological importance of palsa mires is hard to assess.
In palsa mire zones in Northern Europe, abundance of bird species breeding finds it peak. This is particularly true in the case of North European waders.[22] In the northernmost of Finland, palsa mires host the highest bird species density of all compared to several different biotopes, and there are most likely the heterogeneity of habitats and availability of shallow waters (a basic source of food) that creates such a massive diversity of birds. Due to likely loss of palsa mires in this century, effects on wildlife and biodiversity is undeniable. Shallow waters might disappear or decrease dramatically, creating a more homogenous environment. This will likely have a negative impact on certain species of breeding birds as well as other organisms inhabiting palsa mires permanently or seasonally.[22]
The available research on ecological effects of palsa regression is scarce. As many breeding species are not exclusive to palsa mires, the question of possible extinction as a result of declining palsa mires are yet not certain. It is not a reach though, to suggest that the homogenization of palsa mires will bring biological consequences. There are some (however few) studies conducted on the ecological factors responsible for species abundance, in which water table depth is a suggested factor. To successfully conduct a comprehensive study on biodiversity effects in this area, much more research is needed to map out a lot of species living in palsa areas.[22]
Differences and commonalities between pingos and palsas
[edit]Both palsas and pingos are perennial frost mounds; however, pingos are typically larger than palsas and can reach heights greater than 50 m,[3] while the highest palsas rarely exceed 7-10 m.[12] More importantly, palsas do not have an intrusive ice core, or ice that forms as a result of local groundwater. However, for pingos, the defining characteristic is the presence of intrusive ice throughout most of the core. Palsas form as a result of ice-lens accumulation by cryosuction, and pingos as the result of hydraulic pressure if it is open, and hydrostatic pressure if it is closed.[3]
Moreover, contrary to pingos which are usually isolated, palsas usually arise in groups with other palsas, such as in a so-called palsa bog.[12][4] Unlike pingos, palsas do not require surrounding permafrost to grow, seeing as palsa are permafrost. Pingos also grow below the active layer, which is the depth that the annual freeze-thaw cycle occurs, and palsas grow in the active layer.[4]
Both palsas and pingos result from freezing of water to an ice core. Palsas, however, do not necessarily require positive hydrostatic pressure (to inject water), since the boggy soil is water-saturated and therefore has sufficient supply for the growing ice core.[4]
Palsas can grow laterally to a wide extent forming a "palsa plateau", also known as a "permafrost plateau". Pingos do not grow laterally to the same extent because the growth of pingos is chiefly upward; thus they are always hills. Similarly, palsas can laterally decrease in size while maintaining their height; the decay of pingos follows a different pattern.[23]
Terminology and synonyms
[edit]Palsa (plural: palsas) is a term from the Finnish language meaning "a hummock rising out of a bog with a core of ice", which in turn is a borrowing from Northern Sami, balsa.[24] As palsas particularly develop in moorlands, they are therefore also named palsamoors. Bugor and bulginniakhs are general terms in the Russian language (the latter of Yakutian origin) for both palsas and pingos.
References
[edit]- ^ a b c Kujala, Kauko; Seppälä, Matti; Holappa, Teuvo (2008). "Physical properties of peat and palsa formation". Cold Regions Science and Technology. 52 (3): 408–414. Bibcode:2008CRST...52..408K. doi:10.1016/j.coldregions.2007.08.002. ISSN 0165-232X.
- ^ Sollid, J. L.; Sørbel, L. (1974). "Palsa bogs at Haugtjørnin, Dovrefjell, South Norway". Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift. 28 (1): 53–60. Bibcode:1974NGTid..28...53S. doi:10.1080/00291957408621868. ISSN 0029-1951.
- ^ a b c Rowley, Taylor; Giardino, John R.; Granados-Aguilar, Raquel; Vitek, John D. (2015), "Periglacial Processes and Landforms in the Critical Zone", Developments in Earth Surface Processes, 19, Elsevier: 397–447, Bibcode:2015DvESP..19..397R, doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-63369-9.00013-6, ISBN 978-0-444-63369-9
- ^ a b c d "OUGS Mainland Europe | The Open University Geological Society: Palsas & Lithalsas (2005)". www.ougseurope.org. Retrieved 27 May 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f Seppälä, Matti (2011). "Synthesis of studies of palsa formation underlining the importance of local environmental and physical characteristics". Quaternary Research. 75 (2): 366–370. Bibcode:2011QuRes..75..366S. doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2010.09.007. ISSN 0033-5894. S2CID 129299212.
- ^ a b c d e Seppälä, Matti (1986). "The origin of palsas". Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography. 68 (3): 141–147. Bibcode:1986GeAnA..68..141S. doi:10.1080/04353676.1986.11880167.
- ^ a b De Schutter, Paul (3 December 2005), Palsas & Lithalsas, retrieved 10 June 2013
- ^ a b c d e f g h Sollid, Johan Ludvig; Sørbel, Leif (1998). "Palsa Bogs as a Climate Indicator: Examples from Dovrefjell, Southern Norway". Ambio. 27 (4): 287–291. ISSN 0044-7447. JSTOR 4314737.
- ^ a b c d e f Wramner, P. Wester, K. Backe, S. Gunnarsson, U. Hahn, N. (2017). "Palsmyren Mannavuoma – förändringar under ett halvsekel". Svensk Botanisk Tidskrift. 111: 3–4: 140–151.
{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ a b c d e Zuidhoff, Frieda S.; Kolstrup, Else (2005). "Palsa Development and Associated Vegetation in Northern Sweden". Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research. 37 (1): 49–60. doi:10.1657/1523-0430(2005)037[0049:PDAAVI]2.0.CO;2. ISSN 1523-0430. S2CID 130063886.
- ^ a b Per Wramner, Susanne Backe, Kjell Wester, Thomas Hedvall, Urban Gunnarsson, Saad Alsam och Wenche Eide (2012). "Förslag till övervakningsprogram för Sveriges palsmyrar". Länsstyrelsens rapportserie. 16/2012: p. 65-72.
- ^ a b c d e Jahn, Alfred (1986). "Remarks on the origin of palsa frost mounds". Biuletyn Peryglacjalny. 31: 123–130.
- ^ "pals". Nationalencyklopedin (in Swedish). Cydonia Development. Retrieved 23 November 2022.
- ^ Trombotto Liaudat, Darío (2008). "Geocryology of Southern South America". In Rabassa, J. (ed.). The Late Cenozoic of Patagonia and Tierra del Fuego. Elsevier Science. pp. 255–268. ISBN 978-0-444-52954-1.
- ^ Using indicators to explain our changing climate to policymakers and the public WMO
- ^ Karlgård, Julia (2008). Degrading palsa mires in northern Europe: changing vegetation in an altering climate and its potential impact on greenhouse gas fluxes. Lunds universitet/Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap. OCLC 1001436074.
- ^ a b "Natura 2000: Myrar -> Palsmyrar". Naturvårdsverket (in Swedish). Retrieved 27 May 2020.
- ^ Parviainen, Miia; Luoto, Miska (2007). "Climate envelopes of mire complex types in fennoscandia". Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography. 89 (2): 137–151. Bibcode:2007GeAnA..89..137P. doi:10.1111/j.1468-0459.2007.00314.x. ISSN 0435-3676.
- ^ Borge, Amund F.; Westermann, Sebastian; Solheim, Ingvild; Etzelmüller, Bernd (2 January 2017). "Strong degradation of palsas and peat plateaus in northern Norway during the last 60 years". The Cryosphere. 11 (1): 1–16. Bibcode:2017TCry...11....1B. doi:10.5194/tc-11-1-2017. hdl:10852/62031. ISSN 1994-0416.
- ^ Zuidhoff, Frieda S; Kolstrup, Else (2000). "Changes in palsa distribution in relation to climate change in Laivadalen, northern Sweden, especially 1960-1997". Permafrost and Periglacial Processes. 11 (1): 55–69. Bibcode:2000PPPr...11...55Z. doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1530(200001/03)11:1<55::aid-ppp338>3.0.co;2-t. ISSN 1045-6740.
- ^ Fewster, Richard E.; Morris, Paul J.; Ivanovic, Ruza F.; Swindles, Graeme T.; Peregon, Anna M.; Smith, Christopher J. (2022). "Imminent loss of climate space for permafrost peatlands in Europe and Western Siberia". Nature Climate Change. 12 (4): 373–379. Bibcode:2022NatCC..12..373F. doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01296-7. ISSN 1758-6798.
- ^ a b c d Luoto, Miska; Heikkinen, Risto K.; Carter, Timothy R. (2004). "Loss of palsa mires in Europe and biological consequences". Environmental Conservation. 31 (1): 30–37. Bibcode:2004EnvCo..31...30L. doi:10.1017/S0376892904001018. ISSN 0376-8929. S2CID 86157282.
- ^ Ross Mackay, J. (1978). "Contemporary pingos: A discussion". Biuletyn Peryglacjalny. 27: 133–154.
- ^ "Definition of palsa | Dictionary.com". www.dictionary.com. Retrieved 27 May 2020.
Further reading
[edit]- Brown, R.J.W.; Kupsch W.O. (1974). Permafrost terminology. Altona, Manitoba: National Research Council Canada.
- Washburn, A.L. (1980). Geocryology. New York: John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 0-470-26582-5.
- Williams, Peter J.; Michael W. Smith (1989). The frozen Earth. New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-36534-1.
External links
[edit]Pictures of palsas and further information:
- Palsa, a Fennoscandian term for a round or elongated hillock or mound, maximum height of about 10 m, composed of a peat layer overlying mineral soil.
- William W. Shilts Geologic Image Gallery (Illinois State Geological Survey)
- Field trip guide on periglacial (cryogenic) geomorphology (html)
- Field trip guide on periglacial (cryogenic) geomorphology (pdf)
- Interpretation guide of natural geographic features: Palsa bog (index)
- Interpretation guide of natural geographic features: Palsa bog (aerial photographs)
- €U(RO)CK article from a 2005 issue
Palsa
View on GrokipediaDefinition and Formation
Physical Definition and Core Mechanisms
A palsa constitutes a dome-shaped frost mound primarily formed from accumulated peat overlying a perennial permafrost core, typically elevating 1 to 7 meters above the adjacent mire surface. The structure features a frozen substrate containing segregated ice lenses, small ice crystals, and interspersed peat or mineral soil, distinguishing it from mineral-based cryoturbations like lithalsas. These landforms develop exclusively within sporadic or discontinuous permafrost zones of subarctic and boreal mires, where mean annual air temperatures range from -2°C to -4°C.[9][10] The initiation of palsa formation stems from localized permafrost aggradation at the peat base, often triggered by microtopographic variations such as differential snow accumulation that enhances ground cooling. Cryosuction occurs as the advancing freezing front extracts moisture from unfrozen pore water above, leading to the crystallization and horizontal expansion of segregated ice lenses within the core. This process, governed by thermodynamic disequilibrium between frozen and thawed zones, generates hydrostatic pressures exceeding 1-2 MPa, sufficient to heave the insulating peat cap and propagate the mound's growth vertically and laterally over decades to centuries.[11][12] Maintenance of the permafrost core relies on the thermal insulation provided by the overlying peat layer, which typically exceeds 0.5 meters in thickness and exhibits low thermal conductivity (around 0.5 W/m·K when dry). This insulation minimizes summer heat flux to the core, preserving subzero temperatures essential for ice stability, while winter freezing reinforces lens development. Disruptions to this balance, such as increased precipitation or warmer conditions, can initiate thaw subsidence, underscoring the precarious equilibrium inherent to palsa dynamics.[11][13]Stages of Cryoturbation and Ice Lens Development
The development of ice lenses in palsas begins with differential freezing in peatlands where snow cover is thin or patchy, often in wind-exposed areas, allowing the freezing front to advance deeper into the mineral soil beneath the insulating peat layer, typically 0.5–2 meters thick. This deeper penetration, reaching depths of up to 1–2 meters during severe winters, induces cryosuction—a process where unfrozen pore water from adjacent thawed zones is drawn upward via capillary forces to the advancing freezing plane, nucleating segregated ice crystals that coalesce into initial thin lenses, often 5–10 cm thick.[2][14][15] Subsequent stages involve iterative freezing-thawing cycles over multiple seasons, where persistent cold conditions (mean winter temperatures below -10°C) enable water migration from regional groundwater or saturated peat, accumulating additional segregated ice layers atop existing ones through repeated cryosuction and frost heave. Each annual increment adds discrete lenses, observable in cross-sections as horizontal banding with thicknesses increasing from millimeters in early stages to centimeters in mature forms, elevating the surface by 0.5–1 cm per year initially. Cryoturbation emerges concurrently as this heaving disrupts the overlying active layer (0.3–1 m thick), causing shear deformation, injection of peat fragments into cracks, and localized mixing of organic and mineral materials, which sustains moisture supply for further ice segregation.[16][17][18] In advanced stages, the stacked ice lenses form a coherent core, up to 2–4 m thick in mineral-rich substrates like silts or clays prone to high unfrozen water content (10–20% by volume), driving mound heights of 1–7 m and promoting lateral expansion via secondary cracking and ice-wedge infilling. This cyclic buildup, spanning decades to centuries, transitions cryoturbation from vertical heaving dominance to integrated soil disturbance, where thaw pockets and block slumps redistribute materials, though primary growth relies on sustained ice aggradation rather than extensive mixing. Observations from northern Finnish mires indicate embryonic mounds (initial lens formation) evolve to mature stages with pronounced layering, confirmed by ground-penetrating radar and coring data showing ice volumes comprising 30–50% of the core.[15][17][19]Influencing Environmental Factors
Palsas form primarily in subarctic regions under discontinuous permafrost conditions, requiring a mean annual air temperature (MAAT) typically below -3°C to -1°C to enable the segregation of ice lenses through cryoturbation processes.[20] This cold thermal regime ensures that winter freezing degree days (FDD) exceed thawing degree days (TDD), promoting deep ground frost penetration while limiting summer thaw depths to less than the peat layer thickness.[21] Long periods of subzero air temperatures during winter, often exceeding 150-200 FDD, are essential for the initial frost heaving that elevates the peat surface and initiates ice lens development.[22] Thin snow cover, generally less than 30-50 cm in mean winter depth, plays a critical role by minimizing insulation against cold air, allowing frost to penetrate deeply into the mineral soil beneath the peat.[22] Thicker snow accumulation, as observed in more maritime-influenced areas, reduces FDD and hinders palsa initiation, whereas continental climates with sparser snowfall favor their stability.[20] Precipitation levels below 450-500 mm annually are also necessary, as higher moisture inputs can enhance summer thawing and promote thermokarst formation, counteracting the dry conditions that preserve permafrost cores.[21] Hydrological factors, including flat or gently sloping topography with impeded drainage, contribute to peat accumulation over preceding millennia, providing the insulating organic layer (typically 0.5-2 m thick) required for differential frost action.[22] Vegetation cover, dominated by mosses like Sphagnum species, further influences microclimate by retaining moisture yet allowing sufficient winter exposure for freezing, though excessive wetness from nearby wetlands can inhibit formation.[21] These factors interact synergistically; for instance, low precipitation supports thin snow and reduces groundwater influx, amplifying the thermal imbalance needed for ice segregation.[20]Morphology and Internal Structure
External Features and Dimensions
Palsas manifest as dome-shaped or low-relief plateau-like mounds elevated above the adjacent mire surface, formed by differential frost heaving in peatlands underlain by discontinuous permafrost.[4] The external morphology includes a gently sloping to steep-sided profile, with summit areas often flat or rounded, and margins transitioning to wetter, vegetated lowlands or thermokarst pools in degrading forms.[10] Surface features commonly comprise contraction cracks and fissures from cryogenic processes, though wind abrasion in exposed areas can smooth or infill these with drifted peat, particularly on vegetated summits.[23] The peat-covered surface supports specialized dry hummock vegetation, dominated by lichens, feathermosses, and dwarf shrubs such as Empetrum hermaphroditum and Betula nana on stable, elevated portions, reflecting adaptation to desiccated, nutrient-poor conditions. Steeper flanks may exhibit sparser cover or erosion scars, exposing underlying peat layers vulnerable to slumping upon permafrost thaw.[4] Dimensions of individual palsas vary regionally and by developmental stage, with typical heights ranging from 0.5 to 7 meters and basal diameters or widths of 10 to 50 meters.[2] Larger forms, including elongated plateaus, can extend up to 150 meters in length and reach heights of 10 meters or more in optimal permafrost conditions.[4] Site-specific surveys, such as in subarctic Fennoscandia, report maximum extents of 100 meters in length and width, with average heights around 0.75 meters for mature mounds.[24] In the Kola Peninsula, examples measure approximately 125 meters long by 40 meters wide.[25]Subsurface Composition and Ice Content
The subsurface of palsas comprises layered peat overlying mineral soil, with the permafrost core dominated by segregated ice lenses formed through cryogenic processes such as frost heave and cryoturbation. The upper active layer consists of fibrous, poorly decomposed Sphagnum peat, typically 30-100 cm thick, underlain by more humified peat that transitions into silty or clayey mineral sediments conducive to ice segregation due to their fine particle size distribution (e.g., 55% in the 0.006-0.02 mm silt fraction).[26][27] These mineral layers, often derived from glacial till or fluvial deposits, provide the capillary fringe necessary for upward water migration during freezing, enabling lens development.[28] Ice content within the permafrost table is primarily segregated, manifesting as horizontal or lenticular bodies up to 15-30 cm thick, interspersed with frozen peat and soil matrices. Excess ice volumes—calculated as the difference between in-situ and thawed pore volumes—can reach maxima of approximately 48% at depths 0.3 m below the permafrost table in subarctic palsa mires, though dispersed ice in pore spaces below the active layer contributes additional unfrozen water equivalents upon thaw.[29][26] This ice is predominantly meteoric in origin, formed under semi-closed system freezing where segregation dominates over injection, with volumetric contents varying by site hydrology and sediment texture but generally exceeding 30-40% in mature palsas to sustain mound elevation.[27][30] Dispersed ice in peat matrices, distinct from lenses, represents a labile reservoir of nutrients, with contents quantified via gravimetric differences in frozen versus thawed subsamples.[30]Variations Across Peat Types
Palsas develop distinct morphological and structural characteristics depending on the dominant peat type, which influences thermal insulation, ice lens formation, and overall stability. In Sphagnum-dominated peat, characteristic of ombrotrophic bogs, the fibrous, low-density structure of undecomposed Sphagnum provides superior dry-season insulation against heat penetration, facilitating the growth of taller hummocks (often 1–2 meters high) with thicker permafrost cores up to 3–4 meters deep. This is evident in northern Swedish palsa mires, where surface Sphagnum layers minimize thaw risk, supporting persistent ice segregation through cryoturbation cycles.[17] In contrast, Sphagnum peat's acidity and recalcitrance slow decomposition, preserving low bulk density (around 0.05–0.1 g/cm³) that enhances frost heave but limits nutrient cycling, resulting in sparser vascular vegetation on palsa summits dominated by lichens and dwarf shrubs.[31] Herbaceous peat types, prevalent in minerotrophic fens with sedges (e.g., Carex spp.) and brown mosses, exhibit higher water-holding capacity and thermal conductivity when saturated, leading to shallower permafrost tables (typically 0.5–1.5 meters) and flatter, more expansive landforms transitional to peat plateaus. These peats, with decomposition degrees often exceeding 30–50%, conduct heat more efficiently, as observed in sedge-Sphagnum fens of discontinuous permafrost zones, where summer soil temperatures remain cooler but winter insulation from snow allows partial refreezing, promoting lateral rather than vertical expansion.[32] Such composition correlates with higher mineral content and faster organic matter turnover, yielding palsas with reduced elevation (under 1 meter) but broader coverage, as documented in Hudson Bay Lowlands peatlands where fen peat types show 20–30% lower carbon density than Sphagnum equivalents due to enhanced decomposition.[33] Woody peat variants, incorporating shrub roots (e.g., Betula nana) in transitional mire zones, introduce intermediate properties: moderate insulation from fibrous litter but increased vulnerability to desiccation cracks that accelerate thaw. In these settings, palsas display hybrid features, with ice content varying 20–40% by volume, and degradation rates elevated by 10–15% compared to pure Sphagnum types under similar climates, reflecting the peat's higher susceptibility to vascular plant invasion post-disturbance.[34] Across types, peat organic matter quality—measured by oxidation state—differs markedly, with sedge peat exhibiting higher lability (NOSC values near 0) conducive to rapid post-thaw mineralization, versus Sphagnum's recalcitrance (NOSC below -0.2), underscoring causal links between composition and palsa resilience.[35]Geographic Distribution and Historical Context
Primary Regions of Occurrence
Palsas primarily occur in the discontinuous and sporadic permafrost zones of subarctic and low arctic peatlands across the Northern Hemisphere, where mean annual air temperatures range from -2°C to -6°C and precipitation is relatively low, facilitating ice aggradation beneath peat layers.[21] These landforms are absent from continuous permafrost areas due to insufficient drainage contrasts and predominate in regions with flat or gently undulating terrain conducive to mire development.[20] In Fennoscandia, palsas are concentrated in northern Norway, Sweden, and Finland, particularly above 65°N latitude, with over 90% of European occurrences forming a southwest-to-northeast belt in areas like Finnish Lapland and the Finnmark region of Norway, where they cover thousands of square kilometers in ombrotrophic mires.[4][36] The largest contiguous European palsa field exists in central Iceland's Þjórsárver area, spanning peatlands at elevations around 400–500 m a.s.l., though Icelandic forms often exhibit plateau-like extensions distinct from classic mound morphologies elsewhere.[20] North American distributions center on northern Canada, including the Hudson Bay Lowlands, Canadian Shield, and Northwest Territories, as well as interior Alaska, where palsas and peat plateaus aggregate in sporadic permafrost mires influenced by continental climates; these regions host some of the most extensive complexes, with individual mires exceeding 100 km².[36] In Eurasia beyond Europe, palsas appear more broadly dispersed in Siberia, Russia, particularly in west and central Siberian peatlands, though mapping remains incomplete due to remote terrain and variable ice segregation patterns.[37] Isolated or relict occurrences may extend into higher elevations of the Alps or Scottish Highlands, but these lack the scale and persistence of primary subarctic sites.[21]Evidence of Past Stability and Migration
Palsas and associated peat plateaus in western North America have maintained a stable climatic envelope since approximately 11,500 years before present (BP), reflecting long-term persistence under cold, dry conditions with large seasonal temperature ranges.[37] This stationary distribution indicates minimal large-scale migration or expansion in that region throughout the Holocene, supported by modeling of paleoclimate data that aligns modern occurrences with historical suitability.[37] In contrast, eastern North American palsas experienced a northward migration of their climatic envelope from 11,500 BP to 6,000 BP, constrained by delayed deglaciation, drainage patterns, and initial peat accumulation that limited southern extents.[37] In Fennoscandia, permafrost aggradation in peatlands, enabling palsa formation, typically occurred around 3,000–2,000 years BP following a mid-Holocene phase of wet, permafrost-free fens and a subsequent shift to ombrotrophic bog conditions.[38] Radiocarbon dating and macrofossil analyses from multiple sites confirm stability of these permafrost features for millennia prior to 20th-century warming, with no evidence of significant reformation or relocation until recent degradation.[38] Ground surface temperature records from stable sites cluster at -2 to -2.5 °C mean annual values, underscoring thermal thresholds for persistence absent modern perturbations.[39] Overall, Holocene records demonstrate that palsa distributions were largely stable or underwent limited poleward adjustments tied to post-glacial cooling and moisture dynamics, rather than dynamic migration, with individual landforms exhibiting multi-centennial to millennial lifespans before abrupt recent collapses.[37][38] This contrasts with accelerated area losses of 50–90% since the 1950s in monitored regions, implying prior equilibrium under pre-industrial climates.[7][40]Factors Limiting Southern Extent
The southern extent of palsas is fundamentally limited by mean annual air temperature (MAAT) thresholds that preclude the net aggradation of permafrost through ice lens formation in peat. In Fennoscandia, the boundary aligns with the -1 °C MAAT isotherm, beyond which insufficient winter freezing degree-days fail to overcome summer thaw in the active layer, preventing cryoturbation and mound development.[41] European distributions similarly terminate near the 0 °C to 1 °C MAAT isotherm, where marginal permafrost conditions cannot sustain the thermal disequilibrium required for palsa persistence, as ground temperatures remain too close to 0 °C for stable ice segregation.[42] Precipitation regimes and seasonal temperature variability further constrain southward expansion by influencing surface insulation and hydrological stability. Palsas favor continental climates with low annual precipitation (typically under 600 mm) and large temperature ranges, which promote dry peat surfaces for deep winter frost penetration while minimizing snow accumulation that could excessively insulate against cold air.[37] In southern regions, higher precipitation elevates water tables, enhancing latent heat release during freezing and accelerating thaw, while reduced continentality shortens effective freeze periods. Wetter and shorter winters, as observed in sub-arctic degradation trends since the 1950s, exacerbate these effects at margins by diminishing the cryogenic potential of peatlands.[43] Local edaphic and topographic factors provide limited southward extension in discontinuous permafrost zones but cannot override climatic controls. Elevated terrains or well-drained mires enable sporadic palsa formation slightly beyond the primary isotherm by fostering microclimatic cooling and low moisture conditions conducive to frost heave. However, studies at southern edges, such as the Kola Peninsula, reveal that even these are vulnerable, with permafrost thickness and stability declining sharply under minor warming, underscoring temperature as the dominant barrier.[44]Ecological Functions and Biogeochemical Role
Carbon Sequestration in Intact Palsas
Intact palsas sequester carbon primarily through the long-term accumulation of undecomposed organic matter in their peat layers, facilitated by the insulating permafrost core that maintains subzero temperatures and suppresses microbial decomposition. The elevated, dome-like morphology of palsas promotes surface dryness and aeration, minimizing anaerobic conditions that favor methane production while enabling slow net primary production from specialized vegetation such as Sphagnum mosses and lichens. This results in a stable carbon sink under undisturbed conditions, where annual inputs from photosynthesis exceed minimal respiratory losses and trace gas emissions.[45][46] Permafrost-affected peatlands, including palsas, account for approximately 185 ± 66 Pg of the 415 ± 147 Pg of carbon stored in northern peatlands, representing a substantial portion locked in frozen peat to depths exceeding 2 meters in mature formations. Carbon density in intact palsa peat can reach 20–50 kg C m⁻², with the permafrost lens preventing vertical drainage and lateral export, thereby preserving accumulated stocks over millennia. These estimates derive from soil coring and geophysical surveys, highlighting palsas' role in regional carbon budgets despite their limited areal coverage of less than 1% of northern peatland extent.[47] Eddy covariance measurements over multi-year periods in subarctic palsa mires indicate net ecosystem carbon uptake rates of 20–50 g C m⁻² yr⁻¹, comparable to those in permafrost-free peatlands, driven by low ecosystem respiration under frozen conditions. Annual CO₂ efflux remains subdued at 50–100 g C m⁻² yr⁻¹, while CH₄ emissions are negligible (<1 g C m⁻² yr⁻¹) due to oxic surface layers, confirming intact palsas as persistent sinks absent thaw-induced disruptions. Such empirical flux data underscore the causal link between permafrost stability and sequestration efficacy, with degradation tipping balances toward net release.[48][49][45]Habitat Provision for Specialized Species
Palsas create elevated, dry hummocks with permafrost cores that differ markedly from the surrounding waterlogged mire surfaces, fostering microhabitats suited to drought-tolerant and cold-adapted species otherwise scarce in peatland ecosystems.[17] These features support specialized vascular plants such as Betula nana, which reaches greater heights on taller palsas, alongside lichens and mosses like Sphagnum fuscum on stable hummocks, transitioning from hydrophilous species in early developmental stages to more xeric communities as permafrost aggradation raises the surface.[17] In northern Fennoscandia, palsa mires host indicator plants including Carex saxatilis, Eriophorum russeolum, Ledum palustre (now Rhododendron tomentosum), and Vaccinium species, which exploit the insulated, frost-protected niches unavailable in non-permafrost mires.[50] Avian communities benefit substantially from the structural diversity of palsa landscapes, with the mire complexes exhibiting the highest bird species densities among boreal biotopes in northern Finland, particularly for ground-nesting waders.[6] Palsa mires positively influence abundances of species such as common snipe (Gallinago gallinago), dunlin (Calidris alpina), European golden plover (Pluvialis apricaria), jack snipe (Lymnocryptes minimus), red-necked phalarope (Phalaropus lobatus), and ruff (Calidris pugnax), drawn to the mosaic of hummocks, ponds, and thermokarst features for breeding and foraging.[51] Migratory birds preferentially select these sites for the varied successional stages of palsa degradation, which offer exposed mineral soils and shallow waters absent in uniform wetland habitats.[6] Invertebrate assemblages, including oribatid mites, exhibit community structures strongly tied to permafrost dynamics, with distinct compositions on intact palsas versus thawing margins, indicating specialization to the stable, low-temperature conditions of frozen peat.[52] Similarly, soil nematodes show shifts in feeding guilds—such as bacterivores and fungivores—under permafrost thaw, underscoring the reliance of these microfauna on the cold, aerobic hummock environments for survival and trophic interactions.[53] Overall, palsa degradation reduces these specialized habitats, threatening biodiversity by homogenizing the mire into wetter, less varied conditions that favor generalist species over permafrost-dependent ones.[4][20]Interactions with Surrounding Mire Ecosystems
Palsas within mire complexes generate pronounced microtopographic and hydrological gradients, elevating dry hummocks 1–3 meters above surrounding wetter flarks and fen-like depressions, which compartmentalize water flows and restrict lateral nutrient transport between mound tops and adjacent peatlands.[54] This contrast fosters distinct vegetation zones—dominated by lichens and dwarf shrubs like Empetrum nigrum on palsas versus sedge-moss communities in surrounding areas—enhancing overall mire biodiversity through habitat mosaics that support specialist invertebrates and birds, such as waders (Calidris alpina), via prey availability and dispersal across ecotones.[55] The raised morphology also modulates local microclimates by altering wind patterns and snow accumulation, potentially insulating adjacent lower mires during winter and influencing seasonal thaw depths.[21] Permafrost degradation disrupts these interactions by initiating collapse phases that release meltwater, raising water tables in surrounding ecosystems and promoting thermokarst pond formation, which initially increases habitat heterogeneity but eventually homogenizes landscapes through fen expansion and vegetation shifts from dry-adapted to wet-tolerant species like Carex spp..[54] [55] This hydrological rewetting enhances anaerobic conditions and methane emissions in adjacent areas, with potential threefold increases tied to litter input changes, while altering groundwater flows that connect palsa remnants to broader mire carbon pools, risking net GHG release before possible recovery as carbon-accumulating fens.[54] Observations from sites like Abisko, Sweden, document divergent responses, with drying bogs adjacent to collapsing palsas exhibiting heightened decomposition versus wetter zones showing productivity gains, underscoring feedback loops between palsa stability and mire-wide biogeochemical functioning.[54]Observed Changes and Climate Influences
Empirical Trends in Degradation Rates
Empirical observations from aerial imagery and field surveys indicate widespread degradation of palsas across subarctic regions, primarily through permafrost thaw leading to collapse and area reduction. In northern Norway, palsas and peat plateaus have exhibited mean annual area loss rates of approximately 1% per year, with extrapolations suggesting substantial regional declines if trends persist.[36] Similarly, at monitored sites in north-west Finland, palsa areas have decreased by 77% to 90% since 1959, accompanied by height reductions of 16% to 49% between 2007 and 2022.[7] Degradation rates vary by location and period, with faster losses in Finnish Lapland ranging from -2.4% to -3.6% annually between 1959 and 2021, based on repeated aerial photography analyses.[4] In the Pallas-Yllästunturi National Park area, palsa extent diminished at -1.5% per year from the 1960s to 2014, reflecting progressive mire transformation.[4] At the Storflaket palsa mire in Sweden, total area loss reached 21% from 1960 to 2018, with accelerating annual rates in recent decades.[56] Lateral thaw dynamics contribute to these trends, with collapse scar margins advancing at rates of 6 to 63 cm per year, averaging 22 cm annually in studied peat plateau systems.[57] Overall, Fennoscandian palsas have lost over 75% of their area at key observation sites since the mid-20th century, underscoring a consistent pattern of rapid, ongoing degradation linked to rising temperatures.[58]| Study Location | Time Period | Area Loss Rate (%/year) | Total Area Loss (%) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finnish Lapland | 1959–2021 | -2.4 to -3.6 | >75 | [4][58] |
| Northern Norway | Recent decades | ~1 | N/A | [36] |
| North-west Finland sites | 1959–2022 | Variable | 77–90 | [7] |
| Storflaket, Sweden | 1960–2018 | Increasing | 21 | [56] |
Causal Analysis: Temperature vs. Hydrological Drivers
Degradation of palsas, characterized by permafrost thaw and mound collapse, involves interplay between rising air temperatures and alterations in hydrological conditions, such as snow cover and water table dynamics. Empirical observations indicate that air temperature increases, particularly in winter and shoulder seasons, extend the thaw period and reduce the cumulative freezing degree days necessary for permafrost stability. For instance, in the Vissátvuopmi palsa complex in Sweden, air temperatures rose by approximately 2°C during March-May and September-October, and 0.8°C in summer (June-August) from 1994 to 2016, correlating with a 19-day increase in thaw days and a shift in the frost-thaw balance from -1100 to -600 degree days.[43] This thermal forcing directly elevates ground temperatures, promoting active layer deepening and top-down thaw, with models identifying a critical equilibrium air temperature of around -4.0°C for palsa persistence, exceeded by a +1.9°C anomaly in recent decades.[43] Hydrological drivers, including enhanced precipitation leading to thicker snow cover and elevated water tables, modulate permafrost stability by altering thermal conductivity and insulation. Increased winter precipitation, often manifesting as deeper snowpack, insulates the ground against subzero air temperatures, hindering winter refreezing and contributing to net heat accumulation. In the same Swedish study, midwinter (December-February) precipitation increased by over 20 mm, with summer totals rising by more than 50 mm, pushing annual precipitation to 481 mm against a modeled equilibrium of 363 mm; regression analyses showed winter precipitation as the strongest predictor of palsa extent loss, with mean squared error lowest for this variable compared to temperature metrics.[43] Similarly, local water table positions relative to the frost table govern thermokarst retreat rates, where shallower external water tables saturate peat, accelerating lateral thaw at 0–>2 m/year through enhanced heat conduction and ground ice melt; variations in water table depth can reduce retreat rates by up to 66% for equivalent ice volumes, underscoring hydrology's overriding local influence over regional temperature signals.[59] Causal distinctions emerge from site-specific modeling and observations: temperature provides the baseline energy imbalance, with thawing degree days (500–1500°C-days) and freezing degree days (500–4000°C-days) setting regional viability thresholds, but hydrological factors like snow depth (200–250 mm optimal for insulation effects) and topographic wetness index amplify or mitigate thaw rates.[20] In northern mires, warmer, wetter, and shorter winters—combining elevated temperatures and precipitation—drove 30–54% palsa area loss from the mid-1950s to 2016, with annual decay rates doubling post-1994 to -0.83% overall, as snow-enhanced insulation reduced winter ground cooling more than summer warming advanced thaw.[43] While air temperature anomalies initiate disequilibrium, hydrological feedbacks, such as snow-induced warmer winter soils and ponding from collapsed mounds, sustain degradation, with studies emphasizing winter climate as the dominant signal over summer conditions.[43][59] This suggests that precipitation-driven hydrology often exerts stronger proximate control in observed trends, though both are ultimately tied to broader climatic shifts.[43]Regional Case Studies from Fennoscandia and Beyond
In northern Norway, particularly in Finnmark county, palsa mires and peat plateaus have undergone substantial degradation since the 1950s, with total area losses ranging from 33% to 71% across monitored sites by the 2010s. For instance, at the Karlebotn site, palsa area decreased by 54% from 2.17 km² in 1957 to 1.0 km² in 2005–2008, equating to an approximate annual loss of 1%, primarily through lateral block erosion and thermokarst pond formation. Similar patterns occurred at Lakselv (48% loss from 0.95 km² in 1959 to 0.49 km² in 2008), Suossjavri (33% loss from 739,817 m² in 1956–1959 to 494,507 m² in 2011), and Goatheluoppal (71% loss from 501,659 m² in 1958 to 146,834 m² in 2012, or ~1.3% annually), with degradation accelerating in recent decades despite some coastal persistence linked to local topography. In north-west Finland, long-term monitoring of two palsa mires has documented severe permafrost thaw, with palsa area reductions of 77% to 90% since 1959 and height decreases of 16% to 49% since 2007, driven by rising winter temperatures and snow depths that enhance ground thermal insulation.[7] These sites, characterized by discontinuous permafrost, show ongoing collapse into thermokarst lakes, reducing elevated hummock coverage and altering mire hydrology, as evidenced by repeated aerial surveys and ground-penetrating radar measurements.[7] Northern Sweden exhibits comparable trends, with field observations from multiple sites indicating palsa decay tied to climatic shifts, including shorter winters and increased precipitation since the mid-20th century, leading to shifts from frost-resistant vegetation to wet-adapted species on degrading surfaces.[24] Studies along a northeast-southwest transect reveal cyclic formation followed by erosion, with active degradation documented in mires like those near Abisko, where palsa heights have diminished and peripheral peat pooling has expanded over decades.[17] Beyond Fennoscandia, analogous peat plateau landforms in subarctic Canada, such as those in the Hudson Bay Lowlands, have experienced multi-decadal fragmentation, with widespread area losses over 28–73 years attributed to regional warming and associated greening that exacerbates thaw.[60] In western Canada, localized permafrost peatlands show internal collapses and edge erosion, reducing plateau extents by up to 50% in some boreal sites since the late 20th century, as mapped via historical air photos and linked to increased active layer depths.[61] In Siberia, palsa mires occur in discontinuous permafrost zones, including the West Siberian Lowlands and Western Sayan Mountains, where pilot studies document unique highland variants with peat mounds up to several meters high, undergoing degradation influenced by regional hydroclimatic variability.[42] For example, in the Yenisei Siberia forest-tundra ecotone, mid- to late-Holocene records from palsa mires indicate past stability during cooler phases but recent thaw signals from pollen and macrofossil analyses, mirroring Fennoscandian patterns but modulated by continental aridity.[62] Large-scale mapping in southern Western Siberia reveals palsas clustered in ridge areas of sporadic permafrost, with ongoing erosion rates potentially exceeding 1% annually in response to amplified winter warming.[63]Projections, Uncertainties, and Debates
Model-Based Forecasts of Disappearance
Statistical models correlating palsa distribution with climatic variables, such as mean annual temperature and precipitation, have projected significant declines in palsa mire extent under future warming scenarios. In subarctic Fennoscandia, ensemble climate projections indicate that palsa areas could halve by the 2030s relative to late 20th-century baselines, driven primarily by rising temperatures exceeding permafrost stability thresholds.[64] These models, calibrated against observed distributions, achieve high accuracy in hindcasting current ranges and attribute projected losses to shifts in the climatic niche where mean July temperatures surpass 10–12 °C, rendering permafrost cores unstable.[64] Probabilistic impact assessments integrating multiple global climate models (GCMs) with response surfaces for palsa occurrence forecast further contraction through the 21st century, with median scenarios predicting near-total disappearance in southern Fennoscandia by 2080–2100 under moderate emissions pathways like RCP4.5.[65] Such projections incorporate uncertainties from GCM spread, estimating 90% confidence intervals for area loss ranging from 60–95% by century's end. Complementary statistical models for broader periglacial landforms, including palsas, predict a 72% reduction in suitable environments across northern Europe by 2050, escalating to near-complete loss (>95%) by 2100, based on logistic regression against temperature and snow cover variables.[66] Mechanistic elements in these forecasts, such as temperature-at-the-top-of-permafrost (TTOP) simulations, link palsa viability to ground thermal regimes, projecting thaw initiation when modeled top-of-permafrost temperatures exceed 0 °C for sustained periods.[67] However, models vary in resolution and parameterization; spatial-statistical approaches emphasize topographic modulation of microclimates, potentially buffering northern refugia, while coarser GCM-driven ensembles overlook fine-scale hydrological feedbacks that could accelerate degradation.[21] Ongoing efforts aim to refine these through coupled thermo-hydrological simulations, though current forecasts consistently signal palsa persistence only in high-Arctic margins under low-emissions trajectories.[20]Discrepancies Between Predictions and Observations
Statistical models projecting the loss of climatic suitability for palsas, such as bioclimatic envelope approaches, forecast a near-complete disappearance of favorable environmental spaces across much of the Northern Hemisphere by 2100 under RCP4.5 and higher emissions scenarios, driven primarily by rising mean annual air temperatures exceeding -3 to -4°C thresholds for permafrost stability.[21] These predictions imply rapid mire transformation as warming surpasses critical limits observed in historical distributions.[68] In contrast, field observations document heterogeneous degradation rates that often lag behind these projections, with many palsa features exhibiting persistence due to thermal inertia, where the frozen core buffers against short-term climatic shifts, and local factors like elevated microtopography reducing thaw vulnerability. For example, in north-west Finland, palsa coverage declined by 77–90% from 1959 to 2020, yet height reductions of only 16–49% since 2007 suggest incomplete collapse in remnants, slower than uniform model-expected timelines for total loss under similar warming of 2–3°C since the mid-20th century.[7] Similarly, subarctic Swedish sites show annual area loss rates of 0.3–1.3% from 1955–2016, influenced more by precipitation-driven hydrology than temperature alone, indicating stabilizing feedbacks not captured in coarse-scale forecasts.[4] Such discrepancies underscore model sensitivities to assumptions about equilibrium responses, where statistical projections based on current distributions may overestimate degradation pace by underweighting non-climatic drivers like snow cover insulation or peat hydraulic conductivity changes that delay thermokarst initiation.[21] Long-term monitoring in Fennoscandian mires reveals abrupt thaw events in some locales but gradual retreat in others, challenging predictions of synchronous regional extinction and emphasizing the role of site-specific variability in actual timelines.[7][4]Attribution Debates: Anthropogenic Forcing vs. Natural Variability
Palsas exhibit inherent cycles of formation, maturation, and degradation spanning centuries, driven by fluctuations in winter severity, snow cover, and peat hydrology, independent of human influence. Formation initiates in areas of thin snow allowing deep frost penetration and ice lens development, leading to frost heave and doming; degradation ensues via basal thaw, promoting thermokarst ponds, block slumping, and eventual collapse into fen-like wetlands, after which new palsas may reform under cooling conditions. These dynamics, outlined in foundational work on Finnish Lapland mires, reflect autogenic peatland processes and regional paleoclimate variability observed in Holocene records, where similar thaw-collapse sequences occurred during warmer intervals like the Medieval Warm Period without industrial emissions.[24][11] Contemporary observations, however, document synchronous and accelerated degradation across discontinuous permafrost zones, with palsa coverage declining 33–93% in sites from northern Sweden to coastal Labrador between the 1950s and 2020s, at rates of 0.8–1.5% per year, intensifying to 1.4–2.9% annually post-1990. This aligns with documented Arctic temperature anomalies of 1–2°C since 1960, amplified by vegetation shifts toward denser shrub cover that reduces albedo and increases snow insulation, exacerbating thaw. Most peer-reviewed analyses attribute the scale and uniformity—lacking offsetting aggradation elsewhere—to external climatic forcing, positing that anthropogenic greenhouse gas accumulation has shifted baselines beyond natural oscillatory bounds, as evidenced by the absence of incipient palsas in degrading landscapes and correlations with modeled radiative forcing.[60][7][43] Counterarguments emphasize that many degrading palsas originated during Little Ice Age minima (circa 1850–1900), when expanded winter cold facilitated widespread aggradation, and current losses may principally reflect maturation of that cohort hastened by post-1930 warming and snowfall trends, rather than a rupture from cyclical norms. In northern Swedish valleys like Laivadalen, half the palsa area vanished since 1960 through standard erosional mechanisms (e.g., 180 cm height loss via slumping and deflation), with temperatures rising only 1–1.5°C—insufficient alone for "runaway" thaw per process models, suggesting amplification of endogenous decay over novel anthropogenic dominance. Uncertainties arise from sparse long-term monitoring (often <50 years versus cycle durations >200 years), model limitations in capturing microtopographic feedbacks, and challenges in disentangling anthropogenic signals from multidecadal modes like the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation; formal detection-attribution frameworks, common in tropospheric studies, remain underdeveloped for localized permafrost landforms, relying instead on inductive correlations prone to equifinality.[24][69]Comparisons with Analogous Permafrost Landforms
Key Distinctions from Pingos
Palsas and pingos are both ice-cored permafrost mounds, but they differ fundamentally in genesis, morphology, and ecological context. Palsas develop through localized segregation ice formation driven by cryosuction—water migration toward freezing fronts in saturated peat—without reliance on confined pressure, resulting in horizontal ice lenses within organic-rich substrates.[70] In contrast, pingos arise from cryostatic or hydraulic processes involving pressurized water injection, forming massive vertical ice cores that uplift overlying sediments.[71] These mechanistic differences stem from substrate properties: palsas require thick peat (>3 m in dome forms) for insulation and moisture retention in mires, whereas pingos form in unconsolidated mineral soils like silts, gravels, or fractured bedrock, often post-thaw lake basins or alluvial settings.[71][72] Morphologically, palsas are smaller and flatter, typically 2–7 m high (up to 10 m in exceptional dome-shaped variants), with diameters of 5–30 m and pancake-like profiles featuring steep margins and vegetated peat caps.[70] Pingos, by comparison, attain heights of 10–70 m and diameters up to 600 m, exhibiting conical or domed shapes prone to tensile cracking and rampart formation upon degradation.[71] Palsas predominate in discontinuous or sporadic permafrost zones at climatic margins (mean annual temperatures -1°C to -5°C), confined to peatland mires across subarctic Fennoscandia, Canada, and Russia.[70] Pingos occur more broadly in continuous permafrost regions (e.g., Mackenzie Delta, northern Alaska), though some open-system variants appear in discontinuous zones with deep aquifers.[71] The following table summarizes core distinctions:| Aspect | Palsa | Pingo |
|---|---|---|
| Ice Type | Segregated lenses (horizontal, 15 cm thick max) in peat/mineral mix | Injection ice (massive, vertical) from pressurized sources |
| Degradation Form | Peat collapse without ramparts; gradual thaw under warming | Crater/lake formation with peripheral ramparts from brittle failure |
| Vegetation/Ecology | Thick peat cover supports mire-specific flora; tied to bog hydrology | Sparse tundra cover post-cracking; less organic integration |
Overlaps and Differences with Lithalsas and Peat Plateaus
Palsas, lithalsas, and peat plateaus share fundamental formation mechanisms rooted in ice segregation and cryosuction within discontinuous permafrost zones, where differential frost heave elevates the landforms above surrounding terrain.[20] All three feature a core of segregated ice lenses that drive vertical expansion, typically under mean annual air temperatures between -4°C and -1°C, and rely on sufficient moisture availability for ice accumulation during freezing cycles.[37] They exhibit analogous degradation patterns under warming climates, including thermokarst ponding and lateral retreat, with observed collapse rates accelerating since the mid-20th century in regions like Fennoscandia and subarctic Canada.[21] Key differences arise in substrate composition and morphology. Palsas and peat plateaus develop exclusively in organic-rich peatlands, with thick peat layers (often >0.5 m) providing insulation that sustains the permafrost core, whereas lithalsas form in mineral soils lacking significant organic cover, leading to thinner insulation and greater susceptibility to atmospheric temperature fluctuations.[26] Morphologically, palsas present as steep-sided, dome-shaped mounds 2–7 m high and 10–30 m wide, while peat plateaus are expansive, flat-topped features 1–2 m high spanning hundreds of meters, often representing coalesced or mature palsas; lithalsas mirror palsa shapes but with exposed mineral surfaces and potentially thicker ice lenses due to reduced organic buffering. Distributional overlaps exist in transitional peat-mineral environments, where palsas and lithalsas can coexist, but lithalsas predominate in more oceanic, maritime climates with higher precipitation, contrasting the continental settings favored by palsas and peat plateaus.[73] Peat plateaus, prevalent in North American subarctic bogs, differ from both by their plateau-like extent, which influences hydrology through broader drainage impedance compared to the localized effects of individual palsa or lithalsa mounds.[20]| Feature | Palsas | Lithalsas | Peat Plateaus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Substrate | Thick peat (>0.5 m) | Mineral soil, minimal organics | Thick peat, extensive coverage |
| Height | 2–7 m | 1–5 m | 1–2 m |
| Shape/Size | Dome-shaped, 10–30 m diameter | Dome-shaped, similar to palsas | Flat-topped, >100 m extent |
| Climate Preference | Continental, dry peatlands | Oceanic, mineral terrains | Subarctic, bog complexes |
| Insulation | High (organic layer) | Low (exposed mineral) | High, but uniform across area |
