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First-past-the-post voting
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| A joint Politics and Economics series |
| Social choice and electoral systems |
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First-past-the-post (FPTP)—also called choose-one, first-preference plurality (FPP), or simply plurality—is a single-winner voting rule. Voters mark one candidate as their favorite, or first-preference, and the candidate with more first-preference votes than any other candidate (a plurality) is elected, even if they do not have more than half of votes (a majority).
FPP has been used to elect part of the British House of Commons since the Middle Ages[1] before spreading throughout the British Empire. Throughout the 20th century, many countries that previously used FPP have abandoned it in favor of other electoral systems, including the former British colonies of Australia and New Zealand. FPP is still officially used in the majority of US states for most elections. However, the combination of partisan primaries and a two-party system in these jurisdictions means that most American elections behave effectively like two-round systems, in which the first round chooses two main contenders (of which one of them goes on to receive a majority of votes).[2][3][4]

Example
[edit]
Suppose that Tennessee is holding an election on the location of its capital. The population is concentrated around four major cities. All voters want the capital to be as close to them as possible. The options are:
- Memphis, the largest city, but far from the others (42% of voters)
- Nashville, near the center of the state (26% of voters)
- Chattanooga, somewhat east (15% of voters)
- Knoxville, far to the northeast (17% of voters)
The preferences of each region's voters are:
| 42% of voters Far-West |
26% of voters Center |
15% of voters Center-East |
17% of voters Far-East |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
In FPTP, only the first preferences matter. As such, the votes would be counted as 42% for Memphis, 26% for Nashville, 17% for Knoxville, and 15% for Chattanooga. Since Memphis has the most votes, it would win a FPTP election, even though it is far from the center of the state and a larger majority of voters would more strongly prefer Nashville than any other option. Conversely, instant-runoff voting would elect Knoxville, the easternmost city. This makes the election a center squeeze.
By contrast, both Condorcet methods and score voting would return Nashville (the capital of Tennessee).
Properties and effects
[edit]| Pathology | Explanation/details | |
|---|---|---|
| Frustrated majority | The frustrated majority paradox occurs when a majority of voters prefer some candidate Brighton to every other candidate, but Brighton still loses the election. First-past-the-post is vulnerable to this paradox because of vote-splitting.[5] | |
| Condorcet loser paradox | The Condorcet loser paradox happens when a majority of voters prefer every other candidate to B, but Brighton still wins. First-past-the-post is vulnerable to this paradox because of vote-splitting.[5] | |
| Center squeeze | The center squeeze describes a type of violation of Independence of irrelevant alternatives primarily affecting voting rules in the Plurality-rule family where the Condorcet winner is eliminated in an early round or otherwise due to a lack of first-preference support. | |
| Spoiler effect | A spoiler effect is when the results of an election between A and B is affected by voters' opinions on an unrelated candidate C. First-past-the-post does not meet this criterion, which makes it vulnerable to spoilers. | |
| Cloning paradox | The cloning paradox is a particular kind of spoiler effect that involves several perfect copies, or "clones", of a candidate. Candidate-cloning causes vote-splitting in FPP. | |
| Best-is-worst paradox | The best-is-worst paradox occurs when an electoral system declares the same candidate to be in first and last place, depending on whether voters rank candidates from best-to-worst or worst-to-best. FPP demonstrates this pathology, because a candidate can be both the FPP winner and also the anti-plurality loser. | |
| Lesser-evil voting | Lesser-evil voting occurs when voters are forced to support a "lesser of two evils" by rating them higher than their actual favorite candidate. FPP is vulnerable to this pathology. | |
| Later-no-harm | Since plurality does not consider later preferences on the ballot at all, it is impossible to either harm or help a favorite candidate by marking later preferences. Thus it passes both Later-No-Harm and Later-No-Help. | |
| Later-no-help | ||
| Multiple-districts paradox | The multiple-districts paradox refers to a particularly egregious kind of gerrymander, when it is possible to draw a map where a candidate who loses the election nevertheless manages to win in every electoral district. This is not possible under FPP, or other positional voting methods. | |
| Perverse response | Perverse response occurs when a candidate loses as a result of receiving too much support from some voters, i.e. it is possible for a candidate to lose by receiving too many votes. FPP is not affected by this pathology. | |
| No-show paradox | The no-show paradox is a situation where a candidate loses as a result of having too many supporters. In other words, adding a voter who supports A over B can cause A to lose to B. FPP is not affected by this pathology. |
Two-party rule
[edit]
Perhaps the most striking effect of FPP is the fact that the number of a party's seats in a legislature has little to do with its vote count in an election, only in how those votes were geographically distributed. Parties with few votes sometimes take more than few seats; often the most-popular party takes 20 percent more seats than its portion of the popular vote. Some criticize FPP for this, arguing that a fundamental requirement of an election system is to accurately represent the views of voters. FPP often creates "false majorities" by over-representing larger parties (giving a majority of the parliamentary/legislative seats to a party that did not receive a majority of the votes) while under-representing smaller ones.
In Canada, majority governments have been formed often but usually they are made up of a party that received less than a majority of votes in the election. A party forming a majority government and also winning a majority of the votes cast has happened only six times since 1900: 1900; 1904; 1917; 1940, 1958 and 1984.
In the United Kingdom, 19 of the 24 general elections since 1922 have produced a single-party majority government. In only two of them (1931 and 1935), the leading party took a majority of the votes across the UK.
In some cases, this can lead to a party receiving the plurality or even majority of the votes cast overall, yet still failing to gain a plurality of legislative seats. This results in a situation called a majority reversal or electoral inversion or wrong-winner result.[6][7] Famous examples of the second-place party (in votes nationally) winning a majority of seats include the elections in Ghana in 2012, New Zealand in 1978 and 1981, and the United Kingdom in 1951.
Famous examples of the second most popular party (in votes nationally) winning a plurality of seats include the elections in Canada in 2019 and 2021. Even when a party wins more than half the votes in an almost purely two-party-competition, it is possible for the runner-up to win a majority of seats. This happened in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in 1966, 1998, and 2020 and in Belize in 1993. Even with only two parties and equally-sized constituencies, winning a majority of seats just requires receiving more than half the vote in more than half the districts—even if the other party receives all the votes cast in the other districts—so just over a quarter of the vote is theoretically enough to win a majority in the legislature. With enough candidates splitting the vote in a district, the total number of votes needed to win can be made arbitrarily small.[citation needed]
Under first-past-the-post, a small party may draw votes and seats away from a larger party that it is more similar to, and therefore give an advantage to one it is less similar to. For example, in the 2000 United States presidential election, the left-leaning Ralph Nader drew more votes from the left-leaning Al Gore, resulting in Nader spoiling the election for the Democrats. According to the political pressure group Make Votes Matter, FPTP creates a powerful electoral incentive for large parties to target similar segments of voters with similar policies. The effect of this reduces political diversity in a country because the larger parties are incentivized to coalesce around similar policies.[8] The ACE Electoral Knowledge Network describes India's use of FPTP as a "legacy of British colonialism".[9]
Duverger's law is an idea in political science which says that constituencies that use first-past-the-post methods will lead to two-party systems, given enough time. Economist Jeffrey Sachs explains:
The main reason for America's majoritarian character is the electoral system for Congress. Members of Congress are elected in single-member districts according to the "first-past-the-post" (FPTP) principle, meaning that the candidate with the plurality of votes is the winner of the congressional seat. The losing party or parties win no representation at all. The first-past-the-post election tends to produce a small number of major parties, perhaps just two, a principle known in political science as Duverger's Law. Smaller parties are trampled in first-past-the-post elections.
— from Sachs's The Price of Civilization, 2011[10]
However, most countries with first-past-the-post elections have multiparty legislatures (albeit with two parties larger than the others), the United States being the major exception.[11] There is a counter-argument to Duverger's Law, that while on the national level a plurality system may encourage two parties, in the individual constituencies supermajorities may cause the largest party to suffer fracturing.[12]
Strongholds, key constituencies and kingmakers
[edit]The distortions in geographical representation (artificial regionalism) provide incentives for parties to "write off regions" where they are weak and not have much chance of being elected. So they ignore the interests of areas in which they are too weak to stand much chance of gaining representation, leading to governments that do not govern in the national interest.
Further, during election campaigns the campaigning activity of parties tends to focus on marginal seats held by opponents where there is a prospect of a change in representation. These decisions leave safer areas (safe to one party or the other) excluded from participation in an active campaign.[13] Political parties operate by targeting districts, directing their activists and policy proposals toward those areas considered to be marginal, either possible to be lost or won, where each additional vote is potentially more critical and has more value.[14][15][16]
The ability of FPTP to manufacture majority governments has been cited by its supporters as an advantage over proportional representation systems. In the latter, smaller parties may act as 'kingmakers' in coalitions using their bargaining power and therefore, arguably, their influence on policy is more than proportional to their parliamentary size. This is largely avoided in FPP systems where majorities are generally achieved, even if the party holding power does not have majority of votes.[17] FPP often produces governments which have legislative voting majorities,[18] thus providing such governments the legislative power necessary to implement their electoral manifesto commitments during their term in office, if they choose to.
This may be beneficial in a country where the party's legislative agenda has broad public support, albeit potentially divided across party lines, or at least benefits society as a whole. However handing a legislative voting majority to a government that lacks popular support can be problematic where said government's policies favor only a fraction of the electorate, particularly if the electorate divides on tribal, religious, or urban–rural lines. There is also the perceived issue of unfair coalitions where a smaller party forms a coalition with other smaller parties and form a government, without a clear mandate as was the case in the 2009 Israeli legislative election where the leading party Kadima, was unable to form a coalition so Likud, a smaller party, formed a government without being the largest party.
The use of proportional representation (PR) may enable smaller parties to become decisive in the country's legislature and gain leverage they would not otherwise enjoy, although this can be somewhat mitigated by a large enough electoral threshold. FPP supporters argue that FPP generally reduces this possibility, except where parties have a strong regional basis. A journalist at Haaretz reported that Israel's highly proportional Knesset "affords great power to relatively small parties, forcing the government to give in to political blackmail and to reach compromises";[19][20] Tony Blair, defending FPP, argued that other systems give small parties the balance of power, and influence disproportionate to their votes.[21]
The concept of kingmaker small parties is similar to Winston Churchill's criticism of the alternative vote system as "determined by the most worthless votes given for the most worthless candidates."[22] meaning that votes for lesser-supported candidates may change the outcome of the election between the most-popular candidates. In this case however, it is an intended feature of the alternative vote, since those votes would have otherwise been wasted. In some sense the cross-party vote transfers make every vote count, as opposed to FPP, where as many as three-quarters or more of the votes may be wasted in a district. Anyway this effect is only possible when no candidate receives a majority of first preference votes. It is related to kingmaker premise in that the lesser-known candidates may encourage their supporters to rank the other candidates a certain way and thus have undue influence.
Supporters of electoral reform generally see the kingmaker ability as a positive development, and claim that cross party ties produced by some alternatives to FPP encourage less negative campaigning and encourage more positive campaigning, as candidates are pushed to appeal to a wider group of people. Opinions are split on whether the alternative vote (better known as instant runoff voting outside the UK) achieves this better than other systems.
Extremist parties
[edit]Supporters and opponents of FPP often argue whether FPP advantages or disadvantages extremist parties, and whether or not it pushes parties to less moderate positions.
FPP suffers from the center squeeze phenomenon, where more moderate candidates are squeezed out by more extreme ones. However, the different types (or the absence of) of party primaries may strengthen or weaken this effect. In general, FPP has no mechanism that would benefit more moderate candidates and many supporters of FPP defend it, even when it elects the largest and most unified (even if more polarizing) minority over a more consensual majority supported candidate. Allowing people into parliament who did not finish first in their district, as can occur in PR systems, was described by David Cameron as creating a "Parliament full of second-choices who no one really wanted but didn't really object to either."[23] But he overlooks how his premise only uses first choice votes, when affection for a voter's secondary preference might be almost on par with the affection held for their first choice, and also how under STV and IRV the final elected choices were all – or almost all – high up in popularity on the first count anyway.[24]
Because under FPP only the winner in each district gets representation, voters often engage in strategic voting, a form of self-censorship. This has prevented extreme left- and right-wing parties from gaining parliamentary seats[citation needed]. Proportional representation generally does give these parties their due share of representation, so there is less push for strategic voting. Thus, strategic voting is applauded by some[who?] as it keeps extremists from gaining seats.
But supporters of extremist parties do not always engage in strategic voting, and sometimes do achieve representation under FPP anyway. For one thing, winning a plurality in a district (perhaps 33 percent of votes in a district where likely no more votes are cast than equivalent to total votes/total seats) may take much fewer votes than it does to win a seat under PR, where the effective threshold is seldom much less than total votes/total seats. The need for strategic voting is mostly obviated under preferential voting systems, such as STV or IRV. Voters are allowed to rank other candidates, and if necessary their votes are transferred to where they will be used. Therefore they do not have to (or at least less often have to) strategically compromise on their first choice.
Additionally, due to the safe seats produced by FPP and the ability of the leading party to take majority of seats with less than majority of votes, extremists may use "burrowing from within" and conspiratorial nomination machinations to take over a professedly big-tent party. The Constitution Society published a report in April 2019 stating that, "[in certain circumstances] FPP can ... abet extreme politics, since should a radical faction gain control of one of the major political parties, FPP works to preserve that party's position. ...This is because the psychological effect of the plurality system disincentivises a major party's supporters from voting for a minor party in protest at its policies, since to do so would likely only help the major party's main rival. Rather than curtailing extreme voices, FPP today empowers the (relatively) extreme voices of the Labour and Conservative party memberships."[25][26] For example, the electoral system of Hungary, a mixed system dominated by FPP, saw the right-wing, populist party Fidesz win 135 seats in the 2022 Hungarian parliamentary election and has remain the largest party in Hungary since 2010 by changing the electoral system to mostly use FPP instead of the previous mixed system using mostly the two-round system. Since 2010, Fidesz has implemented other anti-democratic reforms, leading to the European Parliament no longer considering Hungary a full democracy.[27] Additionally, electoral reform campaigners have argued that the use of FPP in South Africa was a contributory factor in the country adopting the apartheid system after the 1948 general election in that country.[28][29]
Leblang and Chan found that a country's electoral system is the most important predictor of a country's involvement in war, according to three different measures: (1) when a country was the first to enter a war; (2) when it joined a multinational coalition in an ongoing war; and (3) how long it stayed in a war after becoming a party to it.[30][31] When the people are fairly represented in parliament, more of those groups who may object to any potential war have access to the political power necessary to prevent it. In a proportional democracy, war and other major decisions generally require the consent of the majority.[31][32][33] The British human rights campaigner Peter Tatchell, and others, have argued that Britain entered the Iraq War primarily because of the political effects of FPP and that proportional representation would have prevented Britain's involvement in the war.[34][35][36]
Wasted votes
[edit]Wasted votes are seen as those cast for losing candidates, and for winning candidates in excess of the number required for victory. For example, in the UK general election of 2005, 52% of votes were cast for losing candidates and 18% were excess votes—a total of 70% "wasted" votes. On this basis a large majority of votes may play no part in determining the outcome. This winner-takes-all system may be one of the reasons why "voter participation tends to be lower in countries with FPP than elsewhere."[37]
Primary elections, two-round systems[38], instant runoff voting, and less tested methods such as approval voting and condorcet methods can reduce wasted votes, the need for strategic voting and the spoiler effect.
Gerrymandering
[edit]Because FPP produces many wasted votes and because the electorate are divided into the maximum number of separate districts, an election under FPP may be gerrymandered. When gerrymandering is used, electoral areas are designed deliberately to unfairly increase the number of seats won by one party by redrawing the map such that votes of the disadvantaged party are "packed" by creating one district in which it has an overwhelming majority of votes (whether due to policy, demographics which tend to favor one party, or other reasons), and many districts where it is at a disadvantage and will not win any seats, or the small party's votes are "cracked" where districts are drawn so that there is no district where the small party has a plurality. [39]
Strategic voting
[edit]To a greater extent than many others, the first-past-the-post method encourages strategic voting. Voters have an incentive to vote for a candidate who they predict is more likely to win, as opposed to their preferred candidate who may be unlikely to win and for whom a vote could be considered as wasted. FPP wastes fewer votes when it is used in two-party contests. But waste of votes and minority governments are more likely when large groups of voters vote for three, four or more parties as in Canadian elections. Canada uses FPP and only two of the last seven federal Canadian elections (2011 and 2015) produced single-party majority governments. In none of them did the leading party receive a majority of the votes.
The position is sometimes summarized, in an extreme form, as "all votes for anyone other than the runner-up are votes for the winner."[40] This is because votes for these other candidates deny potential support from the second-placed candidate, who might otherwise have won. Following the extremely close 2000 U.S. presidential election, some supporters of Democratic candidate Al Gore believed one reason he lost to Republican George W. Bush is that a portion of the electorate (2.7%) voted for Ralph Nader of the Green Party, and exit polls indicated that more of them would have preferred Gore (45%) to Bush (27%).[41] The election was ultimately determined by the results from Florida, where Bush prevailed over Gore by a margin of only 537 votes (0.009%), which was far exceeded by the 97488 (1.635%) votes cast for Nader in that state.
In Puerto Rico, there has been a tendency for Independentista voters to support Populares candidates. This phenomenon is responsible for some Popular victories, even though the Estadistas have the most voters on the island, and is so widely recognised that Puerto Ricans sometimes call the Independentistas who vote for the Populares "melons", because that fruit is green on the outside but red on the inside (in reference to the party colors).
Because voters have to predict who the top two candidates will be, results can be significantly distorted:
- Some voters will vote based on their view of how others will vote as well, changing their originally intended vote;
- Substantial power is given to the media, because some voters will believe its assertions as to who the leading contenders are likely to be. Even voters who distrust the media will know that others do believe the media, and therefore those candidates who receive the most media attention will probably be the most popular;
- A new candidate with no track record, who might otherwise be supported by the majority of voters, may be considered unlikely to be one of the top two, and thus lose votes to tactical voting;
- The method may promote votes against as opposed to votes for. For example, in the UK (and only in the Great Britain region), entire campaigns have been organised with the aim of voting against the Conservative Party by voting Labour, Liberal Democrat in England and Wales, and since 2015 the SNP in Scotland, depending on which is seen as best placed to win in each locality. Such behavior is difficult to measure objectively.
Geography
[edit]The effect of a system based on plurality voting but in which the electorate are divided among many separate districts is that the larger parties, and parties with more geographically concentrated support, win a disproportionately large share of seats, while smaller parties and parties with more evenly distributed support win a disproportionately small share of seats. This is because the large parties win many seats and do not 'waste' many of their votes. As voting patterns are similar in about two-thirds of the districts, it is more likely that a single party will hold a majority of legislative seats under FPP than happens in a proportional system. This is especially true in multi-party situations where no party takes a majority of the vote. Despite the bias of FPP toward large parties, under FPP it is rare to elect a majority government that actually has the support of a majority of voters.
The British Electoral Reform Society (ERS) says that regional parties benefit from this system. "With a geographical base, parties that are small UK-wide can still do very well" if they have local dominance or at least receive a plurality of votes in districts.[42]
On the other hand, minor parties that do not concentrate their vote usually end up getting a much smaller proportion of seats than votes, as they lose most of the seats they contest and 'waste' most of their votes.[16]
The ERS also says that in FPP elections using many separate districts "small parties without a geographical base find it hard to win seats".[42]
Make Votes Matter said that in the 2017 general election, "the Green Party, Liberal Democrats and UKIP (minor, non-regional parties) received 11% of votes between them, yet they shared just 2% of seats", and in the 2015 general election, "[t]he same three parties received almost a quarter of all the votes cast, yet these parties shared just 1.5% of seats."[43]
According to Make Votes Matter, in the 2015 UK general election UKIP came in third in terms of number of votes (3.9 million/12.6%), but gained only one seat in Parliament, resulting in one seat per 3.9 million votes. The Conservatives on the other hand received one seat per 34,000 votes.[43]
The winner-takes-all nature of FPP leads to distorted patterns of representation, since it exaggerates the correlation between party support and geography. It creates artificial regionalism.
For example, in the UK the Conservative Party represents most of the rural seats in England, and most of the south of England, while the Labour Party represents most of the English cities and most of the north of England.[44] This pattern hides the large number of votes cast for candidates of the non-dominant party in each place. Parties can find themselves without elected politicians in large portions of the country, heightening feelings of regionalism. Party supporters (who may nevertheless be a significant minority) in those sections of the country are unrepresented.
In the 2019 Canadian federal election Conservatives won 98% of the seats in Alberta and Saskatchewan with only 68% of the vote cast in those provinces. The lack of non-Conservative representation gives the appearance of greater Conservative support than actually exists.[45] Similarly, in Canada's 2021 elections, the Conservative Party won 88% of the seats in Alberta with only 55% of the Alberta vote and won 100% of the seats in Saskatchewan with only 59% of the provincial vote.[46]
First-past-the-post within geographical areas tends to deliver (particularly to larger parties) a significant number of safe seats, where a representative is sheltered from any but the most dramatic change in voting behavior. In the UK, the Electoral Reform Society estimates that more than half the seats can be considered as safe.[47] It has been claimed that members involved in the 2009 expenses scandal were significantly more likely to hold a safe seat.[48][49]
FPP variants
[edit]In some election systems, multi-seat districts (plural districts in the U.S.) are used but FPP may not be used because multi-seat contests are not used to fill the seats. This may be done by the members serving in staggered terms, with one being up for election in different years. This system is used in city elections in Portland, Maine.
Another way to avoid multi-seat contests in a multi-seat district is the seat/post system, where each seat is filled using a separate ballot. This was used in Canadian provincial elections – to elect MLAs in Winnipeg districts in 1914 and 1915, and to elect all members in Prince Edward Island from 1867 to 1996.[50]
History
[edit]The House of Commons of England originated in 1341, during the Middle Ages as an assembly that included church leaders as well as the knights of each shire and burgesses of each large city of the Kingdom, each of which elected two members of parliament (MPs) by block plurality voting. Starting in the 19th century, electoral reform advocates pushed to replace these multi-member constituencies with single-member districts or like the Diggers to at least begin to use equal-sized districts. Reforms were made through the years, but a complete change to equal-sized single-member districts did not occur until 1948. In the meantime, block voting, limited voting and STV were used in multi-member districts holding as many as four members.[51]
Elections to the Canadian House of Commons have mostly been conducted using FPP. But eleven ridings at various times elected two MPs using block voting.[52]
The United States broke away from British rule in 1783, and its constitution provides for an electoral college to elect its president. Despite original intentions to the contrary, by the mid-19th century this college had transformed into a de facto use of FPP for each state's presidential election, with each state (excepting Nebraska and Maine) electing a party block voting or general ticket (multi-member slate) by mere plurality state-wide. This was further morphed through the introduction of the party primary, which made American presidential elections into a sort of two-round system in practice.
Criticism and replacement
[edit]Non-plurality voting systems have been devised since at least 1299, when Ramon Llull came up with both the Condorcet and Borda count methods, which were respectively reinvented in the 18th century by the Marquis de Condorcet and Jean-Charles de Borda. More serious investigation into electoral systems came in the late 18th century, when several thinkers independently proposed systems of proportional representation to elect legislatures. The single transferable vote (STV) in particular was invented in 1819 by Thomas Wright Hill, and a quota-based electoral system was first used in a public election in 1840 by his son Rowland for the Adelaide City Council in Australia.[53] STV saw its first national use in Denmark in 1855 and was used in Tasmania state elections starting in 1897, permanently starting in 1909. STV was reinvented several times in the 19th century.
The Proportional Representation Society was founded in England in 1884 and began campaigning. STV was used to elect the British House of Commons's university constituencies between 1918 and their abolition in 1950.[citation needed]
Many countries that use first-past-the-post voting have active campaigns to switch to proportional representation (e.g. UK[54] and Canada[55]). Most modern democracies use some form of proportional representation.[56]
Naming
[edit]The name first-past-the-post is a reference to a kind of gambling in horse races. In a first-past-the-post wager, bettors would choose the single horse they thought would be the first one to make it past the finishing post.[57][58][59] In academic contexts, the rule is typically called first-preference plurality (FPP), which describes the rule's behavior more precisely, or simply plurality.
Countries using FPP
[edit]Legislatures elected exclusively by single-member plurality
[edit]The following is a list of countries currently following the first-past-the-post voting system for their national legislatures.[60][61]

Antigua and Barbuda
Azerbaijan
Bahamas
Bangladesh
Barbados
Belarus
Belize
Botswana
Dominica
Eritrea
Eswatini
Ethiopia
The Gambia
Ghana
Grenada
Jamaica
Kenya
North Korea
Liberia
Malaysia
Malawi
Maldives
Mauritius
Federated States of Micronesia
Myanmar
Nigeria
Qatar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Samoa
Solomon Islands
Transnistria[62]
Trinidad and Tobago
Turkmenistan
Uganda
Yemen
Zambia
Upper house only
[edit]Lower house only
[edit]
Canada (upper house not elected at all)
India
Palau
United Kingdom
Varies by state
[edit]
United States (both houses)[a]
Subnational legislatures
[edit]
Cook Islands (New Zealand)
US Virgin Islands
Bermuda
Cayman Islands
Use of single-member plurality in mixed systems for electing legislatures
[edit]The following countries use single-member plurality to elect part of their national legislature, in different types of mixed systems.
Mixed or hybrid system where FPP is used alongside block voting (fully majoritarian/plurality systems) or as part of mixed-member majoritarian systems (semi-proportional representation)
Brazil – in the Federal Senate, alongside plurality block voting (alternating elections)
Hungary – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting with partial compensation)
Côte d'Ivoire – in single-member electoral districts, alongside party block voting
Iran – in single-member electoral districts for Khobregan, alongside plurality block voting
Japan – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)
Marshall Islands – FPP in single-member electoral districts, alongside MMDs of 2 to 5 seats using plurality block voting
Mexico – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)
Nepal – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)[64]
Oman – in single-member electoral districts, alongside plurality block voting
Pakistan – alongside seats distributed proportional to seats already won
Philippines – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)[b]
Singapore – in single-member electoral districts, alongside party block voting
South Korea – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)[c][b]
Taiwan – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)
Tanzania – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)
Thailand – as part of a mixed system (parallel voting)[b]
- As part of mixed-member proportional (MMP) or additional member systems (AMS)
Bolivia
Germany
Lesotho
New Zealand
Scotland (United Kingdom) (subnational legislature)
Heads of state elected by FPP
[edit]
Angola (Double simultaneous vote for the presidential and legislative elections)
Bosnia and Herzegovina (one for each main ethnic group)
Cameroon
Democratic Republic of the Congo
El Salvador
Equatorial Guinea
The Gambia
Guyana (Double simultaneous vote for the presidential and legislative elections)
Honduras
Iceland
Kiribati
Malawi
Mexico
Nicaragua
Nigeria
Palestine
Panama
Paraguay
Philippines
Rwanda
Singapore
South Korea
Taiwan (from 1996 constitutional amendment)
Tanzania
Venezuela
Former use
[edit]
Argentina (The Chamber of Deputies uses party list PR. Only twice used FPTP, first between 1902 and 1905 used only in the elections of 1904,[66] and the second time between 1951 and 1957 used only in the elections of 1951 and 1954.)[67]
Australia (replaced by IRV in 1918 for both the House of Representatives and the Senate, with STV being introduced to the Senate in 1948)
Belgium (adopted in 1831, replaced by party list PR in 1899)—[68] the Member of the European Parliament for the German-speaking electoral college is still elected by FPTP[69]
Cyprus (replaced by proportional representation in 1981)
Denmark (replaced by proportional representation in 1920)
Hong Kong (adopted in 1995, replaced by party list PR in 1998)
Italy (used between 1860 and 1882, and between 1892 and 1919)
Lebanon (replaced by proportional representation in June 2017)
Lesotho (replaced by MMP Party list in 2002)
Malta (replaced by STV in 1921)
New Zealand (replaced by MMP in 1996)
Papua New Guinea (replaced by IRV in 2002)[70]
Portugal (replaced by party list PR)[71]
Serbia (adopted in 1990, replaced by party list PR in 1992)[72]
South Africa (replaced by party list PR in 1994)
See also
[edit]- Approval voting – Single-winner electoral system
- Cube rule – Law regarding first-past-the-post elections
- Deviation from proportionality
- Plurality-at-large voting – Non-proportional electoral system
- Single non-transferable vote – Multi-winner, semi-proportional electoral system
- Single transferable vote – Multi-winner electoral system
Notes
[edit]- ^ Prior to the 2020 election, the US states of Alaska and Maine completely abandoned FPTP in favor of Instant-runoff voting or IRV. In the US, 48 of the 50 states and the District of Columbia use FPTP-GT to choose the electors of the Electoral College (which in turn elects the president); Maine and Nebraska use a variation where the electoral vote of each congressional district is awarded by FPTP (or by IRV in Maine beginning in 2020), and the statewide winner (using the same method used in each congressional district in the state) is awarded an additional two electoral votes. In states that employ FPTP-GT, the presidential candidate gaining the greatest number of votes wins all the state's available electors (seats), regardless of the number or share of votes won (majority vs non-majority plurality), or the difference separating the leading candidate and the first runner-up.[63]
- ^ a b c The Philippines, South Korea and Thailand use the first-past-the-post voting system primarily; 80% or above of their members of parliament are elected by FPTP.
- ^ As the usage of decoy lists by major parties is prevalent, the additional member system is de facto nullified.[65]
References
[edit]- ^ "The Boundaries Review is a chance to bring back multi-member constituencies". 26 September 2016.
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Finally, we should not discount the role of primaries. When we look at the range of countries with first-past-the-post (FPTP) elections (given no primaries), none with an assembly larger than Jamaica's (63) has a strict two-party system. These countries include the United Kingdom and Canada (where multiparty competition is in fact nationwide). Whether the U.S. should be called 'FPTP' itself is dubious, and not only because some states (e.g. Georgia) hold runoffs or use the alternative vote (e.g. Maine). Rather, the U.S. has an unusual two-round system in which the first round winnows the field. This usually is at the intraparty level, although sometimes it is without regard to party (e.g. in Alaska and California).
- ^ Gallagher, Michael; Mitchell, Paul (15 September 2005). "The American Electoral System". The Politics of Electoral Systems. OUP Oxford. p. 192. ISBN 978-0-19-153151-4.
American elections become a two-round run-off system with a delay of several months between the rounds.
- ^ Bowler, Shaun; Grofman, Bernard; Blais, André (2009), "The United States: A Case of Duvergerian Equilibrium", Duverger's Law of Plurality Voting: The Logic of Party Competition in Canada, India, the United Kingdom and the United States, New York, NY: Springer, pp. 135–146, doi:10.1007/978-0-387-09720-6_9, ISBN 978-0-387-09720-6, retrieved 31 August 2024,
In effect, the primary system means that the USA has a two-round runoff system of elections.
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- ^ Parliament Guide
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The European Parliament elections in Belgium will be held on 26 May, the same day as the regional and federal elections. In the European elections there are three Belgian constituencies: the Dutch-speaking electoral college, the Francophone electoral college and the German-speaking electoral college.
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External links
[edit]- A handbook of Electoral System Design from International IDEA
- ACE Project: What is the electoral system for Chamber 1 of the national legislature?
- ACE Project: First Past The Post—detailed explanation of first-past-the-post voting
- ACE Project: Electing a President using FPTP
- ACE Project: FPTP on a grand scale in India
- The Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform says the new proportional electoral system it proposes for British Columbia will improve the practice of democracy in the province.
- Vote No to Proportional Representation BC
- Fact Sheets on Electoral Systems provided to members of the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform, British Columbia.
- The Problem With First-Past-The-Post Electing (data from UK general election 2005) Archived 21 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine
- The Problems with First Past the Post Voting Explained (video) on YouTube
- The fatal flaws of First-past-the-post electoral systems
First-past-the-post voting
View on GrokipediaDefinition and Mechanics
Core Principles and Process
First-past-the-post (FPTP), also known as plurality voting, is the simplest form of electoral system within the plurality/majority category, utilizing single-member districts where voters select one candidate and the individual receiving the most votes wins the seat, even without an absolute majority of votes cast.[4] This candidate-centered approach emphasizes direct choice between contenders, with no mechanisms for vote transfers, ranked preferences, or runoffs, thereby prioritizing the raw tally of first-choice support.[4] The system's core principle lies in its winner-take-all outcome per district, which allocates representation based solely on relative vote shares rather than proportional distribution across broader electorates.[5] In practice, eligible voters in each district receive a ballot listing all candidates, typically marking a single selection—such as an "X" beside their preferred name—to indicate support, with no option for additional rankings or conditional votes.[5] This straightforward ballot design facilitates rapid participation and minimizes complexity, though it can incentivize strategic voting if voters perceive their top choice as unlikely to prevail.[5] Following the close of polls, votes are counted district by district, aggregating tallies for each candidate without redistribution or elimination rounds; the candidate with the highest total—potentially as low as a plurality under 50% if opposition votes fragment— is declared the winner and awarded the seat.[4][5] This determination occurs independently per district, enabling quick results aggregation at higher levels, such as national parliaments, while ensuring local outcomes reflect undiluted first-preference majorities within bounded geographic units.[4]Illustrative Example
In first-past-the-post systems, each voter selects a single candidate on the ballot, usually by marking an 'X' beside the chosen name. Votes are tallied for each candidate, and the one receiving the highest total—known as the plurality—is declared the winner of the district or constituency, irrespective of whether that total constitutes an absolute majority (over 50%) of votes cast.[4] To illustrate, consider a hypothetical single-member district with 100 voters and three competing candidates: A, B, and C. The vote distribution is as follows:| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| A | 45 | 45% |
| B | 30 | 30% |
| C | 25 | 25% |
Historical Origins and Evolution
Early Development and Adoption
The plurality voting principle, which awards victory to the candidate receiving the most votes without necessitating an absolute majority, represents one of the earliest and simplest methods for determining electoral outcomes in competitive settings.[8] This approach underpins first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems and traces its conceptual origins to pre-modern practices where support was gauged by acclamation or countable preferences among eligible participants, though formalized rules emerged with the rise of representative institutions.[8] In the British parliamentary tradition, plurality voting developed through the evolution of elections to the House of Commons, beginning irregularly in the 13th century but gaining structure by the 17th century. County constituencies, electing two knights of the shire, operated as multi-member districts where freeholders voted for up to two candidates, with the top vote recipients declared winners under plurality rules; borough elections similarly employed plurality in variable multi-seat formats, often with restricted franchises favoring property owners.[9] These mechanisms prioritized decisive results over proportional allocation, reflecting a preference for local notables and avoiding deadlock-prone alternatives amid limited voter literacy and administrative capacity.[9] The distinct FPTP variant—featuring single-member districts for streamlined plurality contests—crystallized in the United Kingdom during the late 19th century amid suffrage expansions. The Representation of the People Act 1884 extended voting rights to most adult males, while the Redistribution of Seats Act 1885 redrew boundaries to create approximately 670 equal-sized, predominantly single-member constituencies, replacing uneven multi-member arrangements and embedding FPTP as the uniform method for parliamentary elections.[10] This shift, enacted under the Third Reform Act framework, addressed representational imbalances from prior acts (1832 and 1867) by standardizing district magnitudes around one seat, thereby enhancing geographic accountability while preserving the system's inherent majoritarian logic.[11] Early adoption extended to former British colonies and the United States, where plurality in single-member districts predated the UK's full implementation. In the U.S., some states employed district-based plurality for congressional seats from the First Congress in 1789, with federal law mandating single-member districts nationwide via the Apportionment Act of 1842 to curb at-large elections and align representation with population centers.[12] This U.S. practice, rooted in constitutional flexibility rather than prescriptive design, emphasized district-level competition to foster constituent ties, influencing subsequent Westminster-style systems in Canada (Confederation in 1867) and Australia (initially, before proportional reforms).[13]Spread to Modern Democracies
The first-past-the-post (FPTP) voting system proliferated among modern democracies largely through the influence of the British Empire, which exported the Westminster model of parliamentary governance—including FPTP electoral mechanics—to its colonies and dominions during the 19th and 20th centuries. This dissemination began with settler colonies like Canada, where FPTP was formalized for federal elections under the British North America Act of 1867, reflecting the system's established use in the United Kingdom and its perceived suitability for stable representation in single-member districts.[14] Similarly, other dominions such as Australia initially employed FPTP before transitioning to preferential voting in 1918, while New Zealand retained it until adopting proportional representation in 1996.[15] In the post-World War II era of decolonization, numerous newly independent states in Asia and Africa incorporated FPTP into their constitutions as a familiar legacy of colonial legislative practices, prioritizing simplicity and continuity over alternatives that might require more complex institutional redesign. India exemplifies this pattern: following independence in 1947, the Constituent Assembly adopted FPTP in the 1950 Constitution for Lok Sabha elections, conducting the first nationwide polls under this system in 1952, which elected 489 members from single-member constituencies.[16] Other nations followed suit, including Pakistan (1956 Constitution), Ghana (1957 independence), and Nigeria (1960 independence), where FPTP was selected for its alignment with British-style majoritarian governance aimed at producing decisive legislative majorities in emerging democracies.[16] This adoption persisted in many cases due to the system's low administrative demands and its role in facilitating rapid political organization amid decolonization pressures, though subsequent instability in ethnically diverse African states like Nigeria—marked by regional vote concentration and ethnic mobilization—prompted reforms away from FPTP in some instances by the late 20th century. By contrast, countries like Bangladesh and Malaysia retained modified FPTP frameworks, underscoring the system's enduring appeal for governments seeking to minimize fragmentation in multi-party contexts. Overall, as of the early 21st century, over 40 sovereign states, predominantly former British territories, continue to use FPTP for national legislative elections, reflecting its historical entrenchment despite criticisms of disproportionality.[1]Post-20th Century Reforms and Retention
In the United Kingdom, a nationwide referendum on May 5, 2011, asked voters whether to replace first-past-the-post (FPTP) with the alternative vote (AV) system for House of Commons elections, as part of the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition agreement.[17] The proposal was rejected by 67.9% of voters on a turnout of 42.0%, with opposition strongest in England (68.5% no) and varying regionally, leading to the retention of FPTP for subsequent general elections, including those in 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2024.[17] In Canada, the Liberal Party under Justin Trudeau campaigned in 2015 on ending FPTP for federal elections, promising a reform process involving public consultation.[18] A 2016 parliamentary committee recommended proportional representation or similar systems, but the government abandoned reform in February 2019, citing insufficient consensus among Canadians, thereby retaining FPTP for the 2019, 2021, and subsequent federal elections.[18] The United States has seen localized shifts away from FPTP since 2000, with states like Maine adopting ranked-choice voting (RCV) via referendum in 2016 for federal primaries and general elections starting in 2018, and Alaska implementing it statewide in 2022 following a 2020 ballot initiative.[19] However, these changes apply only to state-level contests or specific federal races in those jurisdictions, while FPTP remains the standard for U.S. House and Senate elections nationwide, with over 700 failed congressional proposals since 1800 to amend related plurality elements like the Electoral College, and no national reform enacted post-2000.[20] Globally, FPTP has been retained for national legislative elections in countries including India, where it governs Lok Sabha contests as of the 2024 general election; Bangladesh; and several Commonwealth nations, despite reform advocacy, reflecting persistent institutional inertia and voter familiarity in plurality systems.[1] Failed referendums and abandoned initiatives in established democracies underscore empirical resistance to change, often linked to FPTP's role in producing clear majorities, though critics argue this entrenches two-party dominance.[15]Key Operational Features
Single-Member Districts and Local Accountability
In first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems, elections occur within single-member districts, each electing one representative who receives the plurality of votes cast by constituents in that defined geographic area. This arrangement establishes a direct electoral connection between voters and their representative, as the elected official is solely accountable to the residents of that specific district rather than a broader party list or multi-member constituency. Proponents argue that this structure fosters geographic representation, where members of parliament or congress represent particular cities, towns, or regions, enabling voters to identify and evaluate their personal advocate in legislative bodies.[21] The single-member district framework incentivizes representatives to prioritize local issues, such as infrastructure, community services, and constituent casework, because re-election hinges on district-level voter approval rather than national party performance alone. Voters can readily monitor and sanction their representative by re-electing or ousting them at the next election, promoting what is termed "geographic accountability." This link is particularly emphasized in systems like the United Kingdom's, where members of Parliament maintain constituency offices to address individual voter concerns, reinforcing the perception of localized responsiveness. In the United States House of Representatives and Canada's House of Commons, similar district-based FPTP elections tie lawmakers to specific locales, encouraging engagement through town halls and district-specific advocacy.[21] Empirical studies support enhanced accountability in single-member districts compared to proportional representation systems using party lists. Research on Germany's mixed system found that single-member district representatives align their voting behavior more closely with constituent preferences, reducing party-line adherence by 3-7 percentage points when local media coverage increases congruency between district views and national debates. This effect stems from heightened voter monitoring via local transparency, with district representatives showing 11-13 percentage points lower likelihood of following party leadership pre-election due to direct electoral incentives. In contrast, list-system representatives exhibit no such alignment, as their accountability prioritizes party hierarchies over constituents. Such findings indicate that single-member districts under FPTP can strengthen principal-agent linkages, though outcomes depend on factors like media access and voter information.[22]Vote Aggregation and Winner Determination
In first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems, vote aggregation is performed independently within each single-member electoral district, where voters select one candidate via a simple mark on the ballot paper.[4] After polls close, sealed ballot boxes from polling stations are transported to a central counting venue under supervision, where election officials open the boxes and sort ballots by candidate before conducting a manual or machine-assisted tally of valid votes.[23] Spoiled or invalid ballots—those with unclear marks, multiple selections, or other disqualifying features—are segregated and excluded from the final count, typically comprising a small fraction of total ballots cast.[23] The winner is determined by the plurality rule: the candidate receiving the highest absolute number of votes secures the district's seat, regardless of whether this exceeds 50 percent of valid votes cast.[4] No minimum threshold or absolute majority is required; for instance, a candidate could prevail with as few as one more vote than competitors in a fragmented field.[4] This process emphasizes direct, candidate-centered tabulation without redistributing preferences, eliminating lower-ranked votes, or conducting runoffs, ensuring results are finalized promptly after counting concludes, often overnight.[4][23] District-level outcomes are not aggregated nationally for seat allocation; instead, the collective seats won across all districts determine legislative composition and government formation, with the party or coalition holding the most seats typically claiming executive authority.[4] In close races, provisions for recounts or judicial challenges exist to verify accuracy, but the core plurality mechanism remains unaltered.[23] This decentralized aggregation reinforces local majorities while precluding compensatory mechanisms seen in proportional systems.[4]Variants Within FPTP Frameworks
Within the broader framework of plurality voting systems, of which first-past-the-post (FPTP) in single-member districts represents the standard form, variants adapt the plurality principle—electing candidates with the most votes—to multi-member districts. These modifications allow multiple seats per constituency while retaining non-proportional outcomes, often exacerbating winner-take-all dynamics or intra-party competition. Such systems prioritize simplicity but can amplify majoritarian biases, as seats go to top vote recipients without vote transfers or thresholds.[24] The block vote, also termed plurality-at-large or multiple non-transferable vote, operates in multi-member districts where voters cast votes equal to the number of available seats, selecting candidates individually or via party lists in some implementations. The highest-polling candidates secure the seats, enabling dominant parties or blocs to sweep entire districts; for instance, a party capturing a bare majority of votes could claim all seats if its candidates concentrate support effectively. This variant has been employed historically in British university constituencies until 1950 and in some local elections, such as those for municipal councils in certain developing nations, though its use has declined due to disproportionality concerns. In list-based block voting, as seen in Mauritania's former system until 2017 reforms, parties submit ordered lists and the leading list takes all seats proportional to district magnitude.[25][26] Single non-transferable vote (SNTV) applies plurality in multi-member districts by limiting each voter to one vote, with the top vote-getters—matching the seat count—elected regardless of totals. This fosters fragmentation, as parties risk splitting votes across candidates, incentivizing fielding fewer nominees per district than seats; empirical analysis of Jordan's lower house elections under SNTV from 1989 onward shows it produced fragmented assemblies, with independents and small factions gaining seats despite low vote shares. SNTV was used in Japan's House of Representatives multi-member districts until the 1994 shift to mixed-member majoritarian, where district magnitudes of 3–5 seats led to intra-party rivalries and elevated minor party viability in urban areas. Contemporary examples include Afghanistan's Wolesi Jirga elections since 2005, where 249 seats across 364 single- and multi-member districts (mostly single- or two-member) have yielded diverse ethnic representation but persistent warlord influence due to vote-buying in low-turnout contexts. Kuwait employs SNTV in ten five-member districts for its National Assembly, as in the 2024 election where top candidates per district won with 10–15% of votes.[27][28] Limited voting, a constrained form of block voting, allocates voters fewer votes than seats in multi-member districts—often one fewer—to curb total sweeps by majorities while still favoring them. Winning candidates are those with the most votes, potentially allowing minority groups limited penetration; for example, if three seats exist and voters get two votes, a 60% majority might secure two seats but leave one for others. This system was enacted in Britain's Representation of the People Act 1867 for large boroughs like Manchester, electing multiple MPs until 1885, and persists in Gibraltar's House of Assembly, where voters cast up to 10 votes for 17 seats as of the 2023 election. In the United States, limited voting has been used in select local jurisdictions, such as Peoria, Illinois, school board elections until the 1980s, though federal courts have scrutinized it under Voting Rights Act challenges for diluting minority votes in at-large settings. Its rarity stems from tendencies toward strategic abstention and persistent disproportionality compared to quota-based alternatives.[29][30]Positive Effects and Advantages
Simplicity, Voter Accessibility, and Low Barriers
First-past-the-post (FPTP) voting requires voters to select only one candidate per district, with the candidate receiving the plurality of votes declared the winner, a process that demands minimal cognitive effort and instruction compared to systems involving preference rankings or proportional allocations. This simplicity arises from the absence of complex rules, such as transferring surplus votes or calculating Droop quotas, allowing ballots to consist of a single mark beside a name, which can be explained in seconds.[21] Electoral experts, including those from the ACE Electoral Knowledge Network, defend FPTP on these grounds, noting it provides voters a "clear cut choice" without the need for advanced mathematical understanding. Voter accessibility is bolstered by FPTP's intuitive design, which aligns with basic decision-making: choosing a favorite without fear of vote-splitting complexities inherent in multi-preference systems. In practice, this format accommodates diverse electorates, including those with lower literacy rates, as evidenced by its widespread use in large-scale elections like India's 2019 general election, where over 900 million eligible voters participated using paper ballots marked with a single symbol, achieving a turnout of 67.4%. Empirical analyses indicate that such straightforward mechanics reduce invalid ballot rates; for example, in U.S. congressional elections under FPTP, spoiled votes typically comprise less than 1% of total ballots, far below rates in initial implementations of ranked-choice systems.[31] Administratively, FPTP imposes low barriers to implementation, relying on localized counting that avoids the data aggregation and formulaic seat distributions required for proportional representation. This enables deployment with basic infrastructure, such as manual tabulation in single-member districts, minimizing technology dependence and training needs for poll workers. In jurisdictions like the United Kingdom, where FPTP has been used since the 19th century, election costs remain competitive, with the 2019 general election managed at approximately £1.40 per elector, facilitated by decentralized processes that scale easily to rural or remote areas.[21] Consequently, FPTP supports rapid result announcements—often within hours of polls closing—enhancing public trust in the process without the delays associated with more intricate vote reallocations.Promotion of Stable, Decisive Governments
First-past-the-post (FPTP) systems frequently translate a party's plurality of votes into a legislative majority, enabling the formation of single-party governments capable of governing without reliance on coalition partners.[21] This mechanical effect arises from the winner-take-all allocation in single-member districts, which disproportionately rewards the leading party with seats, as observed in the United Kingdom's 2024 general election where the Labour Party secured 412 of 650 seats (63%) with 33.7% of the national vote.[32] Such outcomes provide governments with a clear mandate, allowing for coherent policy implementation and direct accountability to voters, in contrast to the negotiation delays inherent in multi-party coalitions. Underpinning this stability is Duverger's law, which posits that FPTP incentivizes a two-party dominant system through both psychological (voters avoiding "wasted" votes on minor candidates) and mechanical (district-level elimination of smaller parties) effects, thereby minimizing parliamentary fragmentation.[33] In practice, this fosters decisive executive-legislative alignment in parliamentary systems, as the government party controls both the executive and a working majority in the legislature, reducing the risk of frequent no-confidence votes or policy gridlock.[34] For example, Canada's FPTP framework has historically produced majority governments in over 60% of federal elections since 1867, enabling sustained policy agendas despite occasional minorities.[14] Critics, often affiliated with electoral reform organizations, argue that FPTP can yield unstable minorities or exaggerated majorities unresponsive to pluralistic opinion, citing comparative data purportedly favoring proportional representation (PR) for longevity of governments.[35] However, such claims frequently draw from advocacy-driven analyses that overlook causal factors like institutional culture or overlook FPTP's role in enforcing party discipline and clear opposition roles, which enhance governance predictability in majoritarian democracies.[21] Empirical patterns in FPTP-adopting nations, including Australia and India, demonstrate lower incidences of government collapse compared to highly fragmented PR systems, attributing durability to the system's bias toward broad electoral coalitions.Enhanced Representative Accountability
In first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems, the use of single-member districts creates a direct, personal link between voters and their elected representative, as the candidate who receives the most votes in that geographic area solely represents it in the legislature. This structure compels representatives to address constituent needs effectively, since their re-election depends on maintaining support from the same local electorate rather than relying on party lists or national vote shares.[21] This localized focus enhances accountability by making it straightforward for voters to attribute outcomes—such as infrastructure improvements or policy responses to regional issues—to a specific individual, enabling targeted punishment or reward at the ballot box. Representatives in FPTP districts often prioritize constituency service, including casework on personal matters like benefits claims or local advocacy, which reinforces their responsiveness to voter priorities.[36] Empirical evidence from hybrid systems underscores this advantage. In Ghana, where FPTP applies to direct constituency seats alongside proportional representation lists, directly elected members showed 11 to 13 percentage points higher alignment with district interests in legislative voting compared to list members, with the effect most pronounced in the lead-up to elections when re-election incentives peak.[22] This suggests majoritarian districting causally boosts representative attentiveness to local preferences over diffuse party loyalties. Comparatively, in established FPTP democracies like the United Kingdom and Canada, elected officials devote substantial time to district-specific duties, such as surgeries for voter consultations and lobbying for regional funding, which data from parliamentary records indicate correlates with higher voter perception of accessibility than in multi-member proportional systems.[36] Such mechanisms reduce agency problems between voters and representatives, as the single-winner format minimizes excuse-making through coalition blame-shifting.Negative Effects and Criticisms
Disproportionality and Wasted Votes
First-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral systems produce notable disproportionality, where parties' shares of legislative seats diverge from their shares of the popular vote, primarily due to the winner-take-all mechanism in single-member districts that disregards vote margins and non-winning ballots. This structural feature causes small national vote leads for frontrunners to translate into disproportionately large seat majorities, while smaller parties with dispersed support receive few or no seats despite substantial vote totals. The Gallagher index, a standard metric computing the square root of the sum of squared differences between national vote percentages and seat percentages across parties, quantifies this disparity; FPTP systems routinely exhibit indices of 10 or higher, reflecting greater deviation than proportional systems, which often score below 5.[37] In the United Kingdom's 2024 general election, held on July 4, Labour secured 412 seats (63.4% of 650 total) with just 33.7% of the vote, yielding a Gallagher index of approximately 23—the highest in over a century and underscoring extreme disproportionality amid vote fragmentation.[38][39] Reform UK, by contrast, garnered 14.3% of votes but only 5 seats (0.8%), illustrating how FPTP penalizes parties without localized strongholds. Similar patterns appear in Canada: in the 2021 federal election, the Liberal Party won 47.3% of seats with 32.6% of the vote, while the New Democratic Party obtained 8.6% of seats despite 17.8% of votes, amplifying the seat bonus for the plurality winner.[40] These outcomes stem causally from district-level aggregation, where national proportionality is sacrificed for local plurality victories, systematically overrewarding concentrated support. Wasted votes exacerbate this disproportionality, defined as ballots cast for non-winning candidates or surplus votes for winners exceeding the minimum needed for victory—typically comprising over 50% of total votes in FPTP districts due to the binary seat allocation. In aggregate, this renders a majority of votes ineffective for seat gains, distorting representation; for instance, in the UK's 2024 contest, roughly 66% of ballots were wasted, as calculated from district results where winners often prevailed by narrow margins or large surpluses.[41] Such inefficiency incentivizes vote concentration in winnable districts but leaves diffuse support unrepresented, as evidenced in U.S. House elections where third-party votes (averaging 2-3% nationally) yield zero seats, effectively wasting them entirely. Empirical analyses confirm FPTP's higher wasted vote ratios compared to systems with vote transfers or multi-member proportionality, though the metric's interpretation varies by assuming sincere voting without strategic adjustments.[42]| Election | Party | Vote Share (%) | Seat Share (%) | Gallagher Index Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK 2024 | Labour | 33.7 | 63.4 | High deviation |
| UK 2024 | Reform UK | 14.3 | 0.8 | Extreme underrepresentation |
| Canada 2021 | Liberals | 32.6 | 47.3 | Overrepresentation |
| Canada 2021 | NDP | 17.8 | 8.6 | Underrepresentation |
Incentives for Strategic Voting and Gerrymandering
In first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems, strategic voting—also termed tactical voting—occurs when voters abandon their most preferred candidate to support a more viable alternative, aiming to influence the outcome in winner-take-all single-member districts. This behavior is incentivized by the risk of wasted votes: supporting a low-polling candidate increases the chance that the voter's least-preferred option wins, as the plurality rule awards the seat to the highest vote-getter regardless of majority support.[44] Voters weigh their preferences against perceived viability, often derived from polls or historical data, leading to coordination toward frontrunners in multi-candidate contests.[45] Empirical analyses quantify this incentive's prevalence. In Germany's federal elections, which use FPTP for district seats, structural estimates indicated that roughly 30% of voters strategically deserted non-competitive candidates, with rates varying from 25% in 2009 to 45% in 2005.[46] Counterfactual simulations showed such voting altered outcomes in about 10% of districts, though national seat shares shifted by no more than 5 percentage points overall.[46] Similar patterns appear in other FPTP contexts, such as Britain's 2005 election, where Conservative voters backed Liberal Democrats to block Labour victories in marginal seats.[45] Gerrymandering complements these voter-level incentives by enabling parties in power to redraw district lines for partisan advantage, exploiting FPTP's district-based aggregation. Mapmakers pack opponents' supporters into concentrated districts (yielding lopsided losses) or crack them across many (diluting influence to sub-plurality levels), maximizing seats from efficient vote distributions.[47] This is feasible due to granular voter data and the winner-take-all mechanic, where minimal margins secure full representation.[48] United States congressional redistricting illustrates the scale: after the 2010 census, Republican-controlled states reduced national competitive seats from around 50 to 34 out of 435, netting a small overall bias but entrenching local strongholds, as in Texas where Democrats garnered ~50% of votes yet only ~33% of seats.[47][48] While national biases often offset between parties, the practice diminishes electoral responsiveness and competition at the district level.[47]Marginalization of Minor and Extremist Parties
In first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems, minor parties face structural barriers to representation because victory requires a plurality of votes within specific single-member districts, demanding geographically concentrated support rather than diffuse national backing. This mechanical effect, combined with voters' strategic tendencies to avoid "wasted" votes on non-viable candidates, amplifies the marginalization, as small parties rarely surpass major competitors even with substantial overall vote shares. Political scientists term this the "mechanical effect" of plurality rules, which disproportionately favors established large parties by converting their broader but shallower support into seats while nullifying dispersed minority votes. Empirical data from FPTP-using nations illustrate this dynamic. In the 2019 United Kingdom general election, the Liberal Democrats secured 11.5% of the national vote but only 11 seats out of 650 (1.7%), while the Green Party obtained 2.7% of votes for a single seat (0.2%), and the Brexit Party received 9.6% without any representation.[7] Similarly, in Canada's 2021 federal election, the New Democratic Party (NDP) garnered 17.8% of the vote across the country but won just 25 of 338 seats (7.4%), reflecting the penalty for support spread thinly outside urban strongholds.[40] These outcomes stem from FPTP's district-level aggregation, where minor parties must dominate entire constituencies to gain any foothold, a threshold unmet by parties with ideologically niche or regionally varied appeal. For parties espousing extremist positions—defined here as those advocating policies far outside the median voter preference—FPTP imposes even steeper hurdles, as their voter bases are typically fragmented and insufficient for pluralities in most districts without moderation or alliance. This exclusion arises because FPTP incentivizes candidates to appeal broadly within districts to avoid vote splitting, sidelining purist fringe groups unless their support coalesces in isolated areas. Comparative analyses confirm that plurality systems yield fewer effective parties than proportional representation (PR) alternatives, with effective number of parties indices often below 2.5 in pure FPTP contexts like the U.S. House of Representatives, compared to 3-5 under PR.[49] While this can stabilize legislatures by curbing fragmentation, critics argue it undermines pluralism by denying seats to views held by 10-20% of voters, potentially alienating minorities and fostering unrepresented grievances. Cross-national studies further quantify the underrepresentation: in FPTP systems, parties with under 10% national vote share average less than 1% of seats, versus 5-15% under list PR, based on data from 50+ democracies since 1946. This pattern holds despite exceptions like regionally dominant minors (e.g., Scotland's SNP in the UK), underscoring FPTP's bias toward nationally viable giants. For extremists, the effect is causal: diffuse radical support evaporates under strategic voting pressures, as modeled in Duvergerian frameworks where third-party persistence requires exceptional coordination, rarely achieved without district tailoring.[50]Empirical Evidence from Comparative Studies
Impacts on Political Stability and Policy Outcomes
First-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral systems tend to enhance political stability in parliamentary contexts by generating single-party majority governments, which reduce the frequency of coalition negotiations and potential breakdowns. This dynamic fosters decisive executive authority and accountability, as the governing party bears sole responsibility for outcomes, minimizing intra-governmental disputes. For example, in Canada, FPTP has produced majority federal governments in approximately 70% of elections since 1867, enabling governments to serve full terms without reliance on precarious alliances and contributing to sustained policy execution.[36] Similarly, in the United Kingdom, FPTP yielded clear parliamentary majorities in 18 of 19 general elections from 1945 to 2010, supporting extended cabinet durations averaging over four years and limiting veto points that could precipitate instability.[21] Cross-national empirical analyses, however, indicate that FPTP's stability advantages may be context-specific and not universally superior to proportional representation (PR) systems. Arend Lijphart's examination of 36 democracies from 1946 to 2010 reveals that majoritarian systems like FPTP correlate with higher executive dominance but also greater electoral volatility, as disproportionate seat allocations can amplify swings between parties, leading to sharp policy reversals. In contrast, PR-based consensus democracies demonstrate longer average cabinet durations—often exceeding those in FPTP systems—due to institutionalized power-sharing that mitigates opposition extremism and fosters durable coalitions, as evidenced in Nordic countries where government stability indices surpass Westminster models despite multiparty fragmentation.[51] Recent data from 25 established democracies (1946–2020) further suggest no significant causal link between FPTP and reduced political instability, with PR nations exhibiting fewer government crises per capita when adjusted for societal diversity.[52] On policy outcomes, FPTP promotes moderation and coherence by Duverger's law-induced two-party convergence toward the median voter, yielding less ideologically extreme platforms than PR systems. A quantitative analysis of party manifestos in 50 democracies (1946–2008) found majoritarian systems position party systems 15–20% closer to the ideological center on left-right scales, as FPTP's winner-take-all districts penalize fringe parties unable to secure local pluralities, thereby curbing extremist influence on legislation.[53] This facilitates bold, unified policy implementation, such as the UK's Thatcher-era privatizations (1979–1990), which a unified Conservative majority enacted without coalition dilution.[21] Yet, FPTP can distort national policy responsiveness by overweighting swing districts, fostering short-termism or regional biases; New Zealand's pre-1996 FPTP era, for instance, saw rapid policy pivots (e.g., 1984 economic liberalization) but neglected minority views, contrasting post-MMP inclusivity that slowed but broadened reforms like electoral law changes.[54] Overall, while FPTP enables decisive outcomes in homogeneous electorates, its exclusionary mechanics may exacerbate policy polarization in divided societies, as unrepresented groups disengage or radicalize outside formal channels.[55]Representation Metrics and Voter Turnout Data
The Gallagher least-squares index (LSq), which quantifies disproportionality as the squared differences between parties' vote and seat percentages summed and divided by twice the number of parties, consistently shows higher values in first-past-the-post (FPTP) systems than in proportional representation (PR) systems, indicating poorer translation of votes into seats. For example, FPTP elections in countries like the United Kingdom and Canada yield average LSq scores exceeding 10, as seen in the UK's 2019 election with an LSq of approximately 15, whereas PR systems such as those in Scandinavia or the Netherlands produce scores below 4 across comparable periods.[37][56] This disparity arises because FPTP awards all seats in a district to the plurality winner, amplifying overrepresentation for large parties and underrepresentation for others, even after accounting for district magnitude.[57] The effective number of parties (ENP), calculated via Laakso-Taagepera formula as 1 / Σp_i^2 where p_i is each party's seat share, further highlights FPTP's tendency toward two-party dominance. Empirical cross-national data reveal an average ENP for seats of about 2.2-2.5 in majoritarian systems like FPTP, compared to 3.5-4.5 in PR systems, reflecting how FPTP's winner-take-all mechanics suppress smaller parties' legislative presence.[58][59] Voter equality metrics, such as the ratio of largest to smallest constituency margins, also demonstrate greater inequality under FPTP, with studies finding representational bias favoring majority voters by factors of 2-3 times higher than in PR.[60] Voter turnout data from comparative analyses indicate lower participation in FPTP systems, attributable to perceptions of wasted votes and reduced efficacy for non-viable candidates. Cross-national regressions controlling for socioeconomic factors, compulsory voting, and institutional variables estimate turnout 5-8 percentage points higher in PR than in plurality systems; for instance, PR countries averaged 77% turnout from 1945-2018 per International IDEA data, versus 68% in majoritarian ones.[61][62] Subnational evidence, such as Swiss cantons using PR yielding 6-10% higher turnout than majoritarian counterparts, supports causality via district-level fixed effects, though confounders like urban density persist.[63] These patterns hold in panel studies of electoral reforms, where shifts to PR elements correlate with 2-4% turnout gains.[64]| Metric | FPTP Average | PR Average | Source Example |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gallagher LSq | 10-15 | 2-5 | Gallagher election indices (multi-election data)[37] |
| ENP (Seats) | 2.2-2.5 | 3.5-4.5 | Votes from Seats model (1946-2017 democracies)[59] |
| Voter Turnout (%) | 65-70 | 75-80 | Electoral Studies cross-national (post-1945)[61] |
