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Kassym-Jomart Tokayev
Kassym-Jomart Tokayev
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Key Information

Kassym-Jomart Kemeluly Tokayev[d] (born 17 May 1953) is a Kazakh politician and diplomat who has served as the second president of Kazakhstan since 2019. He previously served as Prime Minister from 1999 to 2002 and as Chairman of the Senate from 2007 to 2011 and again from 2013 to 2019. Tokayev also held the position of Director-General of the United Nations Office at Geneva from 2011 to 2013.

Born in Alma-Ata (now Almaty), Tokayev studied at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations and later trained at diplomatic institutions in China. He began his career in the Soviet Ministry of Foreign Affairs before joining Kazakhstan's foreign service after independence in 1991. Tokayev twice served as foreign minister, from 1994 to 1999 and 2002 to 2007, as well as state secretary from 2002 to 2003, playing a key role in shaping Kazakhstan's foreign policy and its nuclear disarmament policies.

In March 2019, Tokayev became acting president following the resignation of Nursultan Nazarbayev.[2] In June that year, he won the first round of a snap presidential election as the candidate of the ruling Nur Otan party.[3] Initially aligned with Nazarbayev, Tokayev gradually consolidated power by removing key figures associated with the former president.[4] His presidency has included various economic initiatives and a shift toward political reforms.[5] In January 2022, large-scale protests over fuel prices escalated into violent unrest, prompting Tokayev to declare a state of emergency and request peacekeeping assistance from the CSTO.[6] The subsequent crackdown resulted in casualties and mass arrests.[7] Following the crisis, he distanced himself from Nazarbayev, removed key figures associated with the former leader, and implemented constitutional changes, including reducing presidential terms.[8] In 2022, Tokayev was re-elected in a snap presidential election, winning 81% of the vote in first round.[9] He ran as an independent candidate with the support of People's Coalition after leaving the Amanat (formerly Nur Otan) party, positioning himself as a reformist. His administration has focused on political restructuring, economic modernization, and maintaining a multi-vector foreign policy, balancing relations with Russia, China, and the West.[10]

Despite advocating political modernization, Tokayev's government has faced criticism for restricting opposition parties, limiting press freedoms, and suppressing protests.[11] In 2022, leaked financial records revealed that his family held offshore assets since at least 1998.[12][13]

Early life and education

[edit]

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev (Kazakh pronunciation) was born into a prominent Kazakh family in the city of Alma-Ata (now Almaty). His father, Kemel Tokayev (1923–1986), a World War II veteran and renowned writer, is considered the founder of Kazakh detective fiction. His mother, Turar Shabarbayeva (1931–2000), worked at the Alma-Ata Institute of Foreign Languages. He was named after his uncle, Kassym Tokayev, a Red Army soldier who was killed during the Battle of Rzhev. In reflecting on the impact of the war on his father, Tokayev shared that his father "did not like to talk about the war," only revealing his thoughts when discussing "his first encounter with the enemy, the courage of the average soldier, and his burning desire to return home." Kemel Tokayev later received a medal for his contributions to the development of the Virgin Lands campaign after the war.[14]

Tokayev spent part of his childhood in the village of Kälpe, Karatal District, in the Jetisu Region, where his family had deep roots.[15] In 1970, Tokayev enrolled in the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, where he studied Mandarin. During his fifth year, he was sent to the Soviet embassy in China for a six-month training course.[citation needed]

Early career

[edit]

Upon graduating from the Moscow State Institute of International Relations in 1975,[16] Tokayev joined the Soviet Ministry of Foreign Affairs and was posted to the Soviet Embassy in Singapore.[17]

In 1979, Tokayev returned to the Soviet Ministry of Foreign Affairs. In 1983, he attended training courses at the Beijing Language Institute in China. From 1984 to 1991, he served in various diplomatic roles at the Soviet embassy in Beijing, including Second Secretary, First Secretary, and Counsellor. In 1991, he enrolled at the Soviet Diplomatic Academy in Moscow to further his diplomatic training.[17]

Political career

[edit]

Deputy foreign minister (1992–1994)

[edit]

In March 1992, Tokayev was appointed a deputy foreign minister of the Republic of Kazakhstan. From there, he briefly took stance against nuclear disarmament in the former Soviet republics of Belarus and Ukraine under pressure by Russia, letting negotiations to be held under the United Nations Security Council, writing it as "a significant success of Kazakh diplomacy, which was taking its first steps in the international arena, opened the way for further negotiations with all influential states at the highest level."[18]

In 1993, he became first deputy foreign minister and on 13 October 1994, Tokayev was appointed to the post of minister of foreign affairs.

In March 1999, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was appointed Deputy Prime Minister of Kazakhstan.

Prime Minister of Kazakhstan (1999–2002)

[edit]
Tokayev with Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin, 19 January 2000

On 12 October 1999, with the endorsement of the Parliament of Kazakhstan, he was appointed Prime Minister of Kazakhstan by decree of President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Upon assuming office, Tokayev's government placed a strong emphasis on the agricultural sector, recognizing it as a fundamental pillar of the nation's economy. He cautioned against prematurely introducing legislation on land privatization, thereby signaling a cautious approach to such significant reforms. Additionally, Tokayev outlined several key areas of focus for the government, including the development of sports, the timely payment of pensions, and providing support for domestic producers—measures deemed essential for ensuring the long-term economic and social stability of Kazakhstan.[19]

Under Tokayev's leadership, Kazakhstan's economy showed significant growth, with GDP expanding by 13.5% in 2001, while inflation was successfully reduced by 11.2%.[20] However, in November 2001, during an interview with Khabar Agency, Tokayev threatened to resign unless Nazarbayev took action against certain government officials whom he accused of undermining the executive branch and obstructing necessary democratic reforms. As a result of this pressure, six cabinet members were dismissed, including Deputy Prime Minister Oraz Jandosov, Minister of Labour and Social Protection Alikhan Baimenov, Pavlodar Region akim Galymzhan Zhakiyanov, and Deputy Defense Minister Janat Ertlesova.[21][22]

On 28 January 2002, Tokayev resigned from his post as prime minister, citing the centralization of power under the strong presidential system as the cause of his resignation. He was subsequently appointed as State Secretary and Minister of Foreign Affairs, where he continued to play a key role in shaping Kazakhstan's foreign policy.[23]

Tokayev with President Nursultan Nazarbayev (right) during a visit to the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna, Austria, September 2004

Foreign minister and state secretary (1994–1999, 2002–2007)

[edit]

As a minister of foreign affairs, Tokayev played an active role in the field of nuclear non-proliferation. In 1995 and 2005, he participated in the Review Conferences for the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in New York City. In 1996, he signed the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) in New York, and in 2005 the Treaty on a Nuclear-Weapons-Free Zone in Central Asia (CANWFZ) in Semipalatinsk.

He was elected Chairman of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Commonwealth of Independent States and of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. Tokayev took part in ten sessions of the United Nations General Assembly. He held a diplomatic rank of Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary.

On 28 March 2003, Tokayev expressed support for the US invasion of Iraq, citing concerns over Saddam Hussein's potential development of weapons of mass destruction.[24]

Throughout his tenure, Tokayev pursued a multi-vector foreign policy, balancing Kazakhstan's relations with Russia, China, and the West. His diplomatic efforts helped Kazakhstan avoid confrontations with other states, instead fostering cooperation and promoting stability both regionally and globally.

Chairman of the Senate (2007–2011, 2013–2019)

[edit]
Kassym-Jomart Tokayev with Sergey Lavrov and John Kerry on 13 September 2013

On 11 January 2007, Tokayev was appointed Deputy and Chairman of the Senate of Kazakhstan by Nursultan Nazarbayev. He was elected unanimously by the Senate deputies to the position. Tokayev emphasized that Kazakhstan was facing important tasks at this moment in history and pledged to make every effort to achieve the country's goals, including the strategy to place Kazakhstan among the top 50 most competitive states.

He served the post until being relieved on 15 April 2011 after being appointed Director-General of the United Nations. President Nazarbayev expressed his gratitude towards Tokayev, stating that he's "absolutely committed to the path of reforms that I am pursuing."[25]

On 16 October 2013, he was reappointed again as the Senate Chair and was unanimously confirmed by the Senate MPs.[26]

During the 2016 Protests against land reforms in Kazakhstan, Tokayev stressed the issue of land lease to be dealt with in a critical matter.[27]

During the interview to BBC News in June 2018, Tokayev hinted a possibility on Nazarbayev's succession by expressing his belief that he wouldn't run for re-election as his presidential term was to end in 2020.[28]

Vice-President of the OSCE PA

[edit]

While serving as a deputy of the Senate, Tokayev was elected Vice-President of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE PA) during its 31st Annual Session in Astana on 3 July 2008.[29] From there, he played a key part in international parliamentary diplomacy, election monitoring, and regional security discussions. Tokayev contributed to OSCE PA initiatives, including serving as deputy head of the election observation mission under Tony Lloyd to Belarus during the 2010 presidential election,[30] which raised concerns about electoral transparency and human rights violations.[31]

Tokayev also prioritized trans-regional cooperation, particularly in addressing security challenges in Central Asia, such as the unrest in Kyrgyzstan and the conflict in Afghanistan.[32] He advocated for stronger OSCE engagement in the region and efforts to enhance stability.[33] His leadership was instrumental in hosting key OSCE PA events in Kazakhstan, including the 2010 Trans-Asian Parliamentary Forum in Almaty, where Tokayev reinforced Kazakhstan's commitment to international cooperation and parliamentary diplomacy.[32]

Director-General of the UN Office at Geneva

[edit]
Tokayev speaking at the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, October 2012

In March 2011, the Secretary-General of the United Nations, Ban Ki-moon, announced the appointment of Tokayev to succeed Sergei Ordzhonikidze as the Under-Secretary-General and Director-General of the United Nations Office at Geneva, a key hub for the UN's international diplomatic and humanitarian work, citing his wealth of experience at senior government levels, his thorough knowledge of the Conference on Disarmament (CD) and his extensive management expertise.[34] With this appointment, Tokayev made history as the first Asian representative to hold the position.[35]

Tokayev was appointed as the Personal Representative of the United Nations Secretary-General to the CD, a vital body for negotiating international arms control and disarmament agreements. During his leadership, he navigated financial challenges, implemented reforms to improve efficiency, and ensured the office's continued effectiveness.[36] He worked to overcome the deadlock on critical disarmament issues, including the Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty, proposing in February 2012 procedural reforms such as extending the presidency duration and expanding membership.[37] Tokayev emphasized the need for political will and urgent action to revitalize the CD and advance global disarmament efforts.[38] His tenure also saw his participation in the 2012 Nuclear Security Summit in Seoul, where he highlighted Kazakhstan's commitment to nuclear disarmament and global security.[39]

Tokayev's tenure was marked by his efforts to promote Geneva as a diplomatic hub on issues such as human rights, global health, economic cooperation, and climate change for international dialogue as well as addressing conflicts, such as the Syrian civil war, and territorial disputes. He strongly supported UN reforms, including Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon's initiatives to reduce administrative costs and enhance transparency in UN operations, aligning with his broader goal of maintaining the UN Office's effectiveness.[36]

Following his appointment as Chairman of the Senate, Tokayev stepped down as Director-General of the UN Office in Geneva and was succeeded by Michael Møller on 5 November 2013.[40]

Presidency

[edit]

Acting president

[edit]

On 19 March 2019, then-President Nursultan Nazarbayev announced his resignation.[41] According to the Constitution of Kazakhstan, in case of early termination of powers, the Senate chairman becomes the acting president until the end of the previous term.[42] On 20 March, Tokayev officially took office as president.[43][44][45]

Immediately upon assuming office, Tokayev proposed renaming the capital city of Kazakhstan after his predecessor, and the same day the Parliament of Kazakhstan approved the renaming of Astana to Nur-Sultan.[46][47]

In his first weeks of office, Tokayev conducted trips across regions, meeting with various groups, and emphasized the importance of political stability, socio-economic development, and alignment with Nazarbayev's legacy. He focused on ensuring continuity and stability in Kazakhstan's policies, while addressing new global challenges.[48][49]

2019 snap presidential election

[edit]

On 9 April 2019, Tokayev signed decree scheduling snap presidential elections to be held on 9 June.[50] He pledged electoral transparency and emphasized that Kazakhstan is a democratic state, asserting that a president should be elected according to the "will of the people" to eliminate political uncertainty.[50][51]

Tokayev became a presidential candidate after being nominated by the ruling Nur Otan party on 23 April 2019, with the endorsement of party chairman and former president Nursultan Nazarbayev.[52][53] His campaign focused on continuing existing policies, ensuring justice, and promoting progress. A key part of his platform was maintaining Nazarbayev's legacy, which Tokayev cited as his reason for running.[54] During the campaign, Tokayev was mocked on social media for using photo manipulation software to remove wrinkles and his double chin from official photos.[55]

On 9 June 2019, Tokayev was elected president of Kazakhstan with 71% of the popular vote in the first round.[56] His victory was acknowledged by several foreign leaders, including Xi Jinping, Ilham Aliyev, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Emomali Rahmon, and Sooronbay Jeenbekov.[57][58][59][60] However, the election was marked by protests, with security forces detaining thousands of demonstrators in major cities such as Nur-Sultan and Almaty.[61][62] The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) criticized the election, stating that it lacked genuine pluralism and was marred by irregularities, including ballot stuffing and restrictions on freedom of assembly.[63]

Early years

[edit]

After being elected in the 2019 election, Tokayev was fully sworn in as Kazakhstan's second president on 12 June 2019 at the Palace of Independence in Nur-Sultan, which was attended by high-ranking Kazakh officials including former president Nazarbayev himself.[64] From there, Tokayev addressed the nation that he would serve the nation's citizens fairly, embarking that "different opinions, united nation" would be a slogan of his presidency.[64]

In June 2019, following a military ammo deposit blast in the town of Arys which resulted in evacuations of residents and hundreds of injuries, Tokayev launched a criminal case and ordered the Interior and Defence ministries to prevent possible more explosions, pledging that any perpetrators would be prosecuted.[65][66] Tokayev paid visit to the town on 25 June, touring buildings that were affected by the blast as well as meeting with hospitalised victims.[67]

Tokayev delivered his first State of the Nation Address on 2 September 2019. The address focused on strengthening civil society and social security, supporting domestic business and economic development.[68]

After the Bek Air Flight 2100 crash, Tokayev declared the following day, 28 December 2019, a national day of mourning and said that "all those responsible will be severely punished in accordance with the law."[69] He also ordered the suspension of the flight authorisation of Bek Air, the domestic airline involved.[70]

Following the Dungan–Kazakh ethnic clashes which broke out in February 2020, Tokayev fired the governor, deputy governor and police chief of the southern Jambyl Region.[71][72][73] Tokayev blamed "two criminal groups" fighting over contraband for the deadly ethnic violence between ethnic Kazakhs and the relatively wealthier Dungan minority.[74]

In an interview to Informburo news agency, Tokayev commented on the fate of Mukhtar Dzhakishev, saying "this issue is exclusively within the competence of the court. Of course, I am aware that Dzhakishev has repeatedly applied for parole on ill-health. The session of the court of first instance will be held on 3 March. Let's wait for its decision, which I am sure will be fair."[75] On 3 March 2020, the Semey City Court upheld the motion to grant parole to Dzhakishev. He served a 14-year prison sentence since 2009.[76]

In his second State of the Nation Address on 1 September 2020, Tokayev unveiled seven reforms with most focus on economic recovery. From there, he spoke of optimizing Kazakhstan's social system, increasing productivity and a greener economy, leveling business conditions, investing more in education and overseeing the state's administration as it becomes more sensitive and accountable.[77]

Relationship with Nazarbayev

[edit]

In the early years of his presidency, Tokayev governed under the significant influence of Nursultan Nazarbayev, who continued to hold key positions, including the chairmanship of the Security Council, the ruling Nur Otan party, and the Assembly of People of Kazakhstan (QHA).[78] Additionally, Dariga Nazarbayeva’s appointment as Senate Chairwoman positioned her as Tokayev's constitutional successor, which contributed to the perception of a dual power structure.[79]

In October 2019, Tokayev signed a decree stipulating that ministerial appointments required Nazarbayev's approval, with the exception of the ministers of defense, interior, and foreign affairs.[80] This move further underscored Nazarbayev's continued influence over key governmental decisions.[81] However, in May 2020, Tokayev dismissed Dariga Nazarbayeva from her position as Senate Chairwoman, signaling a potential shift in the balance of power and fueling speculation about Tokayev's increasing political independence.[82][83]

Throughout this period, Tokayev rejected the notion of a dual power structure, emphasizing that there was no diarchy between himself and Nazarbayev. He asserted that while he occasionally sought advice from Nazarbayev, he was the legitimately elected head of state and that there were no contradictions in his exercise of presidential authority.[84]

Nazarbayev's gradual retreat from the political scene became more evident on 28 April 2021, when he resigned from the chairmanship of the QHA and nominated Tokayev as his successor.[85] By November 2021, Nazarbayev officially ceded leadership of the Nur Otan party to Tokayev, thus consolidating Tokayev's control over both the presidency and the ruling party.[86]

Abolition of capital punishment
[edit]

Tokayev played a pivotal role in Kazakhstan's decision to abolish the death penalty, a move shaped by domestic human rights advocacy and international commitments. In December 2019, he announced the country's intention to join the Second Optional Protocol to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, responding to concerns raised by Kazakh human rights activists and experts during discussions at the National Council of Public Trust. He directed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to initiate the process of accession, setting the stage for legislative changes.[87][88]

Addressing the United Nations General Assembly in 2020, Tokayev framed the decision as a step toward fulfilling "a fundamental right to life and human dignity." Shortly after, on 23 September 2020, Kazakhstan's representative to the UN, Kairat Umarov, formally signed the protocol.[87] The Parliament ratified the document on 29 December 2020, and on 2 January 2021, Tokayev signed the decree officially abolishing the death penalty.[89]

2021 legislative elections
[edit]

In autumn 2020, Tokayev announced date for 2021 legislative elections, where he asserted that the electoral and political process had been liberalised to allow for greater involvement in civil society and that the newly incoming parliament convocation will focus on support for socio-economic reforms.[90] During election day, Tokayev said that the government would resign in accordance with law and that he would consult with newly elected deputies and party leaders in regard to the appointments of prime minister and cabinet members.[91]

In the aftermath of vote, the ruling Nur Otan despite losing dozen seats, topped the results in which the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) citied that the elections "lacked genuine competition".[92] At the opening session of the 7th Parliament held on 15 January 2021, Tokayev reappointed Asqar Mamin as the prime minister.[93]

Domestic policy

[edit]

Tokayev outlined main directions for Kazakhstan which were increasing the incomes of population, eradication of corruption, judicial reforms, creating new jobs with decent wages, solving housing issues, fair social policies, regional developments, spiritualism, foreign national interests and youth opportunities.[94] In his first month of presidency, Tokayev made several reorganisations and appointments within the administration and the ministerial cabinet with some top officials such as Presidential Administration head Bakhytzhan Sagintayev and National Security Committee chairman Karim Massimov keeping their posts while others being reshuffled or forced to stepped down.[95]

Economic reforms
[edit]

Tokayev has emphasized economic equity, advocating for a fair distribution of national income, which he described as "strategically important" for Kazakhstan. Early in his presidency, he took steps to enhance trade and economic growth, establishing the Ministry of Trade and Integration in June 2019 and appointing Bakhyt Sultanov as its head. The Ministry was tasked with boosting exports, a key driver of job creation and economic expansion.

In response to financial difficulties faced by citizens, Tokayev prioritized wage increases and debt relief. In a national address, he announced a raise in the minimum wage—the first since 2018—from 42,500 to 60,000 ₸, effective 1 January 2022. He framed this decision as a necessary step to stimulate domestic consumption amid the financial strain caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. To further support workers, he urged businesses to increase salaries and pledged state-backed incentives to facilitate wage growth.

Tokayev also pursued social support policies aimed at relieving personal debt. In an interview with Bloomberg News, he outlined an initiative to assist citizens in extreme financial hardship, ultimately benefitting 16% of Kazakhstan's population. Rejecting government bailouts for banks, he instead signed a decree on 26 June 2019 directing the government and National Bank to begin decommissioning unsecured consumer loans, signaling a shift toward financial self-reliance.

His administration also focused on economic governance and structural reforms. In January 2020, Tokayev initiated the formation of the Centre for Analysis and Monitoring of Socio-Economic Reforms, later evolving into the Presidential Reform Agency. That same month, he called for stricter registration policies for cars imported from the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), despite protests from vehicle owners with foreign plates.

The economic challenges brought by the COVID-19 pandemic prompted further government intervention. In March 2020, Tokayev directed the government to develop an anti-crisis plan to uphold social obligations.[96] The plan introduced tax incentives, subsidized credit, and employment support to ease the burden on the private sector.[97] However, as inflation surged, public dissatisfaction grew.[98] Tokayev criticized the government and central bank for their inaction, calling for a reduction in inflation to 2–4% and attributing the rise in prices to an excess money supply generated by pandemic relief measures.[99]

Credit amnesty
[edit]

On 26 June 2019, the President signed a Decree "On Measures to Reduce the Debt Burden of Citizens of the Republic of Kazakhstan" to provide timely assistance to citizens with financial difficulties.[100] The credit amnesty was a one-time measure and affected families with many children, disabled people, and recipients of state-targeted social assistance. The amount of loans to be written off had to be no more than 3 million tenge (around $6,500) as of 1 June 2019.

Education
[edit]

At the teacher's conference held in August 2019, Tokayev announced that the average salary for schoolteachers in Kazakhstan would be increased by double within four years. He also instructed the Ministry of Education and Science to develop and launch special programs to overcome the academic gap of children from low-income families and schools in socially troubled areas, noting the need of overcome educational inequality specially between rural and urban areas.[101]

Energy and cryptocurrency
[edit]

Tokayev expressed the need for Kazakhstan to have a nuclear power plant in April 2019, claiming that the country would face an electricity deficit by 2030.[102] From early 2021, energy consumption in Kazakhstan sharply rose by 8% as a result of increase in cryptocurrency mining from miners fleeing China.[103]

In May 2021, Tokayev announced the Low-Carbon Development Concept, a national project which seeks to reduce Kazakhstan's dependency on coal by development electric power industry and the country's energy balance by 2035.[104]

Environment
[edit]

From the outset of his presidency, Tokayev signaled a commitment to addressing environmental challenges, describing them as "concerning" in his inaugural speech.[105][106] To streamline environmental governance, he established the Ministry of Ecology, Geology, and Natural Resources in June 2019, appointing Magzum Myrzagaliev as its head.[107][108] The Ministry was tasked with overseeing environmental protection, resource management, and waste treatment, reflecting Tokayev's broader agenda of sustainable development.[109]

One of the key environmental issues Tokayev addressed was air pollution in Almaty, where he emphasized the need for decisive action.[110] He directed the government, the city administration, and Samruk-Energy to expedite the transition of the Almaty-2 thermal power station to natural gas, citing its emissions as a major source of pollution. Tokayev warned against any delays in implementation, calling them "absolutely unacceptable."[110][111]

His administration also pursued legislative measures to protect Kazakhstan's natural resources. In 2021, the Mäjilis ratified a protocol under the Caspian Sea Framework Convention, aimed at regulating pollution from land-based sources. Tokayev signed the law into effect on 4 October 2021, reinforcing Kazakhstan's commitment to regional environmental cooperation.[112]

Healthcare
[edit]

Tokayev supported a health insurance mandate in Kazakhstan as a way to improve the quality and accessibility of medical services as well as maintained funding for free medical care and the development of healthcare system.[113]

On 7 July 2020, Tokayev signed the new code "On public health and healthcare system" and law "On amendments and additions to certain legislative acts on healthcare issues" into place, which strengthened legal protection for medical personnel, introduced a differentiated approach to medical errors, and redefined a citizen's rights regarding vaccination. The code also restricted the consumption of e-cigarettes and introduced a ban on the import, production and distribution of snus and other non-smoking tobacco products, as well as introduced administrative responsibility for the sale of tobacco products to persons under the age of 21.[114]

Infrastructure
[edit]

Tokayev pledged for the government to continue in investing for the development of infrastructure so that Kazakh citizens would have an access for clean drinking water, natural gas and public transport and continue in monitoring the implementation of the Nurly Zhol programme, of which was enacted by Nazarbayev.[113] He called for the officials along with the Parliament and Accounts Committee to ensure the efficient use of budget funds.[113]

During a visit to Almaty in May 2020, Tokayev was presented with plans for the reconstruction of the Almaty International Airport which included a new terminal, from there he expressed his desire that the Almaty Airport would become largest aviation hub in Central Asia.[115]

Political reforms
[edit]
Tokayev meeting with government officials and deputies, 15 January 2021

One of the significant elements of the President's public policy was to propose the concept of a "Listening State", where the public administration would follow the basic principle of "not a citizen for the state, but a state for the citizen". Tokayev advocated political reforms that would promote the concept of a "state that listens" to civil society creating a constructive dialogue.[68] Tokayev initiated the establishment of the new National Council of Public Trust to facilitate this dialogue.[68]

He also called for direct elections for the äkıms (local heads) of rural districts, townships, and villages to be held in 2021 to which he signed decree on 14 September 2020 of the implementation of National Plan of Measures which set tasks for the drafting of constitutional amendments that would allow for rural äkım direct elections as well as the development of local government and its functions.[116][117]

In May 2020, Tokayev signed the laws "On the procedure for organizing and holding peaceful assemblies in the Republic of Kazakhstan", "On introducing amendments to the Constitutional Law of the Republic of Kazakhstan", "On Elections in the Republic of Kazakhstan", and "On introducing amendments and additions to the Law of the Republic of Kazakhstan "On Political Parties".[118] The new laws are an important part of the measures to strengthen the state's democratic foundations, and enhance the role of civil society.[118] In his State of the Nation Address, he emphasised that "Kazakhstan must create a multi-party system to build a modern, effective state", also saying that the ruling Nur Otan party should collaborate more with other parties.[119][120]

In January 2021, Tokayev at the opening first session of the 7th Parliament proposed to reduce the electoral threshold from 7% to 5%, stating it would encourage more registered parties to participate in the future parliamentary elections as well as the vote option "Against all" to be re-included in the ballots once again.[121] As the Parliament ratified Tokayev's proposed constitutional amendments, he signed the laws into place on 25 May 2021.[122]

Foreign policy

[edit]
Tokayev (right) with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the United Nations General Assembly in New York City, 25 September 2019
Tokayev at the 2019 Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit

In his first month as president, Tokayev met with four world leaders — Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping during trips abroad,[123] and South Korean President Moon Jae-in and Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Nur-Sultan — strengthening Kazakhstan's international relations.

On 4 December 2019, on the eve of a state visit to Germany, he gave an interview to Deutsche Welle, in which he called Germany a "key European partner for Kazakhstan".[124] In that same interview, he drew controversy by saying that he did not believe that the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation was an invasion while also saying that he believed in the "wisdom of the Russian leadership", drawing condemnation from the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, who issued a demarche in response.[125]

In April 2021, Tokayev signed a decree forming the Special Representative for International Cooperation, claiming that such post would increase attention of Kazakhstan's leadership to international cooperation concerns in the light of the dynamically changing global and regional agenda.[126] He appointed Erzhan Kazykhanov to the post, whom was instructed to deal with issues of expanding international cooperation in the humanitarian sphere, climate diplomacy, as well as promoting Kazakhstan's key foreign policy initiatives.[126]

Tokayev at the 2021 Cooperation Council of Turkic-Speaking States in Istanbul, Turkey

During the sixth meeting of the Conference on Interaction and Confidence-Building Measures in Asia held on 10–11 October 2021, Tokayev proposed turning the intergovernmental forum into a full-fledged organisation, outlining that the transformation would emphasise Asia's new role in global affairs which in turn give the member states commitment to create "a truly common, indivisible, and comprehensive security architecture on the largest continent".[127][128]

2021 Taliban offensive
[edit]

Following the 2021 Taliban offensive, Tokayev urged to take measures in ensuring safety of Kazakhstani citizens and diplomats within Afghanistan, in which Kazakhstan would closely follow its developments.[129] During a meeting with the EU Special Representative for Central Asia Tehri Hakala, Tokayev expressed concern in regards to the stability in Afghanistan, warning that entire region of Central Asian is facing a risk due to the conflict.[130] On 18 August 2021, he instructed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to attempt to provide a maximum assistance in returning ethnic Kazakhs residing in Afghanistan, while noting that the issue of accepting Afghan refugees would not be considered.[131]

Russia
[edit]
Tokayev and Putin in the Kremlin, 4 April 2019

According to political analyst Rico Isaacs, the decision in Tokayev replacing Nursultan Nazarbayev was due to his own full will to not rapidly implement democratic reforms, which would hurt Nazarbayev's legacy of stability and relations with Russia.[132] Just two weeks after taking office, Tokayev visited Moscow in his first foreign state visit on 4 April 2019, meeting with Putin alongside other Russian officials.[133] During the visit, Putin offered Russian assistance to Tokayev in the construction of a proposed nuclear power plant in the country.[134] In June 2019, Tokayev stated that the decision of constructing a nuclear power plants would be made on decision by local matter, if by means of a referendum.[135]

In late 2020, Russian lawmakers Vyacheslav Nikonov and Yevgeny Fyodorov made remarks on how the entire Kazakhstani territory was a gift given by the Soviet Union and that was currently being leased by Russia. This sparked backlash from the Kazakh Ministry of Foreign Affairs which warned about severing relations between both nations due to "provocative attacks".[136][137] In response to controversial statements, Tokayev in response on Egemen Qazaqstan, wrote that such words from "some foreign citizens" are aimed at "spoiling" relations between two states, insisting that "nobody from outside gave Kazakhs this large territory as a gift."[138]

China
[edit]

Tokayev made a state visit to China in September 2019.[139]: 158  There, he met with CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping in Beijing of which both leaders agreed to form a permanent comprehensive strategic partnership.[140] Tokayev vowed to triple wheat exports to China to 2 million tonnes possibly including salt, dairy products, meat and poultry as well.[141] During a visit to Peking University, he met with his long-term intern language teacher Liu Shiqing as well as Kazakhstani students. Shiqing described Tokayev as "sociable, active, quick" who became fluent in Chinese and as "one of the best students."[142]

Former Soviet republics
[edit]

On 14 April 2019, Tokayev visited neighboring Uzbekistan for talks with President Shavkat Mirziyoyev.[143] On 16–17 May, Tokayev hosted foreign leaders such as Armen Sarkissian and Mamuka Bakhtadze in the capital for the 12th annual Astana Economic Forum, the first to be hosted by its pioneer, President Nazarbayev.[144] He also hosted the regional leaders of Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Belarus, Tajikistan, Armenia and Moldova for the Eurasian Economic Union and Supreme Eurasian Economic Council summit on 29 May.

During a visit to Kyrgyzstan in late 2019, he visited the House-Museum of Kyrgyz writer Chingiz Aitmatov in Bishkek, where he met with the late writer's wife and reminisced about his first encounters with Aitmatov in Beijing in 1989.[145]

Following the breakout of the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, Tokayev called on Armenia to withdraw from the disputed territory, citing the United Nations Security Council accordance to which he claimed that the Armenian government failed to fulfill for its past 30 years.[146]

United States
[edit]

After becoming president, Tokayev maintained strong relations with Kazakhstan's strategic allies, including the United States. On 2 February 2020, he met with U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo during his visit to Astana where both sides expressed the importance of deepening bilateral ties across the entire spectrum of cooperation, including trade, investment, IT technologies, promoting democratic values and combating international terrorism. Pompeo wished for Tokayev in his success in implementing political reforms with an open skies agreement being signed which created a legal basis for launching direct regular flights between Kazakhstan and U.S.[147] According to some analysts, Pompeo's visit to Kazakhstan was seen as an attempt to counter China's influence within the country as he had met with ethnic Kazakh families of whom were victims of the Xinjiang internment camps and urged for Tokayev to pressure China over its persecution of ethnic Uyghur and Kazakhs.[148][149]

In June 2020, U.S. President Donald Trump congratulated President Tokayev on his one-year anniversary of presidency. In his congratulatory letter, Trump expressed his support for the reforms that had been undertaken in Kazakhstan and reaffirmed his intention to further develop strategic partnership between the two countries.[150]

2022 unrest and consolidation of power

[edit]
President's Residence after being stormed by protesters during the unrest in Almaty,

In January 2022, protests erupted in Zhanaozen, Mangystau Region, following a sudden increase in liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) prices. In response to the sharp rise, Tokayev introduced price controls on LPG, diesel, gasoline, and essential goods in an effort to stabilize the situation and address public concerns.[151][152][153] However, the protests quickly escalated into large-scale nationwide civil unrest, driven by grievances over economic inequality, corruption, and political stagnation under Tokayev's administration and the long rule of former president Nursultan Nazarbayev.[154][155]

On 5 January 2022, Tokayev declared a state of emergency, imposed a curfew, and authorized security forces to use deadly force against demonstrators, stating they would "shoot to kill, without warning."[156][157][158] He labeled the protesters as "bandits and terrorists" and accused them of attempting to destabilize the country as part of an alleged coup d'état attempt orchestrated by "foreign-trained militants".[159][160][161] That same day, he dismissed Prime Minister Asqar Mamin and assumed control of the Security Council, removing Nazarbayev from his long-held position as chairman.[162][163] He also replaced National Security Committee (NSC) chairman Karim Massimov with Ermek Sagimbayev.[164] To restore order, Tokayev requested military assistance from the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), marking the first deployment of CSTO forces in a member state as part of a peacekeeping operation.[165] Later, Massimov was arrested on charges of high treason.[166][167]

The aftermath of the unrest resulted in significant mass detentions, civilian casualties and property damage,[168][169][170] prompting Tokayev in an address given to the Parliament on 11 January 2022 to initiate sweeping political and economic reforms, which included a focus on economic justice, political decentralization, anti-corruption measures, and enhanced security.[171] As part of this shift in policy, several of Nazarbayev's close relatives lost key positions. On 15 January, the sovereign wealth fund Samruk-Kazyna announced the resignations of Qairat Sharipbaev as CEO of QazaqGaz and Dimash Dosanov as head of KazTransOil, both sons-in-law of Nazarbayev.[172] On 17 January, Timur Kulibayev, Nazarbayev's son-in-law and one of Kazakhstan's wealthiest individuals, resigned as chairman of the Atameken National Chamber of Entrepreneurs. That same day, Tokayev dismissed Nazarbayev's nephew, Samat Abish, from his role as deputy chairman of the NSC.[173] This marked a move in Tokayev's consolidation of power and his shift toward greater political independence from Nazarbayev's influence, setting the stage for a reshaped political hierarchy in Kazakhstan.[174][175]

First Smaiylov government

[edit]

Amidst the 2022 unrest, Tokayev dismissed the government of Asqar Mamin and appointed Älihan Smaiylov as acting prime minister on 5 January 2022.[176] Smaiylov, a technocrat who had previously served as First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance under Mamin, was confirmed as prime minister on 11 January 2022 following unanimous parliamentary approval by the Mäjilis.[177]

Tokayev endorsed his nomination, citing Smaiylov's economic expertise and governance experience as essential for ensuring stability and implementing reforms in the aftermath of the unrest.[178] Smaiylov's appointment during a period of post-turmoil marked a political transition, with his cabinet comprising a mix of established officials and new ministers, maintaining continuity while implementing Tokayev's reform agenda. The reliance on existing bureaucratic structures largely suggested that systemic changes under Tokayev would be gradual.[179]

Amanat chairmanship

[edit]

On 28 January 2022, at the 21st Nur Otan Extraordinary Congress, Tokayev was unanimously elected as the chairman of the Nur Otan party, succeeding Nursultan Nazarbayev, who had held the position since 1999.[180] In his speech, Tokayev outlined his priorities, including strengthening societal unity, addressing socio-economic issues, fighting corruption, and improving public reception. He also suggested that he might step down from the party by the end of 2022 to maintain presidential impartiality.[181][182]

During Tokayev's tenure, several key changes occurred shortly after within the Nur Otan party ranks. Nurlan Nigmatullin, a prominent Nur Otan deputy, resigned as chairman of the Mäjilis, and Erlan Qoşanov, Tokayev's former chief of staff, took over the position.[183][184] Additionally, Dariga Nazarbayeva, a key figure in the party and the daughter of Nursultan Nazarbayev, stepped down from her deputy seat.[185][186][187][188]

At the 22nd Nur Otan Extraordinary Congress on 1 March 2022, Tokayev supported a proposal to rename the party to Amanat. He emphasized decentralizing the party, improving voter engagement, and addressing real issues. During the congress, Nigmatullin was removed from the Amanat political council.[189][190]

On 26 April 2022, at the 23rd Amanat Extraordinary Congress, Tokayev resigned as party chairman and withdrew from Amanat membership to maintain presidential neutrality and separation of powers.[191][192] The delegates unanimously approved Tokayev's proposal to have Erlan Qoşanov take over as party chairman.[193]

Political reforms

[edit]

Constitutional

[edit]

On 16 March 2022, Tokayev proposed package of constitutional reforms to reduce presidential powers and strengthen parliament, transitioning from a "superpresidential" system to a "presidential republic with a strong parliament".[194] The reforms amended 33 out of 99 articles—one-third of the Kazakh Constitution—introducing measures such as barring the president from party membership, prohibiting relatives from holding top government positions, and limiting presidential control over appointing regional governors (akims) by requiring regional assemblies (maslihats) to approve akim nominees.[195][196][197] Other key changes included reducing presidentially appointed seats in the Senate, introducing a mixed electoral system, restoring the Constitutional Court, and removing Nursultan Nazarbayev's constitutional title of "Elbasy" (Leader of the Nation).[198][199]

A referendum on 5 June 2022 approved these amendments with a majority of voters.[200] The constitutional amendments were later signed into law by Tokayev on 5 November 2022.[201]

In September 2022, Tokayev introduced nonrenewable seven-year presidential term and renamed the capital back to Astana from Nur-Sultan.[202]

Administrative-territorial
[edit]

On 4 May 2022, President Tokayev signed a decree creating three new regions — Ulytau, Jetisu, and Abai Region — and moving the administrative center of Almaty Region to the city of Qonayev as part of administrative reforms aimed at improving public administration and regional development. As a result, Kazakhstan consisted of 17 regions and three cities of national significance, totaling 20 territorial units.[203][204]

Institutional
[edit]

On 14 June 2022, Tokayev signed a decree establishing the National Kurultai, a new civic institution designed to have broader and more relevant functions than its predecessor, the National Council of Public Trust.[205] The first meeting of the National Kurultai took place on 16 June in Ulytau Region.[206]

2022 snap presidential election

[edit]

On 1 September 2022, during his State of the Nation Address, Tokayev announced snap presidential elections, citing the need for a new mandate of trust from the people and officially declared his bid for re-election.[207] He later signed a decree on 21 September, officially scheduling the election for 20 November.[208] Tokayev promised that the election would be a major reset of Kazakhstan's political system and assured it would be fair and transparent, with both domestic and international observers taking part.[209]

In his bid for presidency an independent, Tokayev expressed his interest in being nominated by "a broad coalition of socio-political forces".[210] On 6 October 2022, a People's Coalition (HK) consisting of the parliamentary parties of Amanat, Aq Jol, and People's, as well as several public associations was formed in support of Tokayev's candidacy.[211] During the forum, the HK nominated Tokayev as their presidential candidate, stating that the election would shape Kazakhstan's future.[212] Tokayev's campaign programme, Fair State – Fair Economy – Fair Society (Kazakh: Әділетті мемлекет – Әділетті экономика – Әділетті қоғам), focused on political reforms, economic development, and social investments to build a Fair Kazakhstan.[213][214][215][216]

On 20 November 2022, Tokayev was re-elected as president in an electoral landslide, winning 81.3% of the vote in the first round, with little serious opposition.[217][218] The presidential election featured an "against all" option, which received 6% of the vote share,[219][220] and most of Tokayev's challengers were viewed as "pocket candidates" with low recognition and limited support.[221] While the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe praised the election's preparation, it criticized the lack of real competition and called for legal reforms to ensure greater political pluralism.[222]

Presidency since 2022

[edit]

On 26 November 2022, Tokayev was solemnly inaugurated at the Palace of Independence in Astana. In his inaugural address, Tokayev reaffirmed his commitment to implementing comprehensive political reforms aimed at establishing a Fair Kazakhstan, grounded in the principles of democracy, rule of law, and respect for human rights.[223]

Following the inauguration, Tokayev signed a series of significant decrees, including the appointment of the Senate election date for 14 January 2023, the initiation of a state program for rural development covering the period 2023–2027, measures for the return of illegally exported national assets, and reforms of the Supreme Audit Chamber to enhance governmental transparency and accountability.[224][225] Tokayev also approved an action plan for the implementation of his 2022 electoral program to ensure the continuation and consolidation of constitutional and institutional reforms throughout his term of office.[226]

On 15 February 2023, Tokayev signed a law officially repealing the "Law on the First President of the Republic of Kazakhstan – Elbasy", formally ending Nursultan Nazarbayev's constitutional title as Leader of the Nation. The law also removed special privileges for him and his family, including lifetime immunity from prosecution. This action followed a ruling by the newly re-established Constitutional Court, which found the law inconsistent with constitutional amendments approved by a nation.[227][228]

On 2 September 2024, Tokayev delivered his annual State of the Nation Address, outlining priorities for Kazakhstan's economic, political, and social future. The speech emphasized critical areas such as addressing the budget deficit, strengthening governance, and improving living standards.

2023 snap legislative election

[edit]

On 19 January 2023, Tokayev signed a decree dissolving the 7th Parliament of Kazakhstan and announced early legislative elections for lower house Mäjilis on 19 March 2023. This move was part of his broader political modernization agenda following constitutional reforms initiated in 2022.[229][230] In a public statement, Tokayev expressed hope that the new composition of deputies would contribute to the comprehensive modernization of Kazakhstan, emphasizing the importance of transparency and fairness in the electoral process.[231]

The 2023 legislative elections used a mixed electoral system for the first time since 2004, with 70% of seats from party lists and 30% from single-member districts, reflecting recent constitutional reforms. The ruling Amanat party retained a majority control of Mäjilis amid participation from six parties and independent candidates.[232][233][234] Despite increased pluralism, pro-government factions remained dominant, and some electoral irregularities were reported.[235] Overall, the elections demonstrated Tokayev's approach of controlled political modernization while maintaining presidential influence.[236]

Second Smaiylov government

[edit]

Bektenov government

[edit]

Proposal for unicameral parliament (2025)

[edit]

In his State of the Nation Address on September 8, 2025, Tokayev proposed a major constitutional reform to transition the Parliament of Kazakhstan from a bicameral to a unicameral system. He argued that the Senate, which he chaired for a decade, had fulfilled its historic mission but was no longer necessary for the country's next stage of development. Tokayev emphasized that the reform would eliminate the presidential quota for appointing deputies, aiming to create a "truly professional parliament" elected entirely through party lists.[237][238] He stated that the proposal would be subject to extensive public discussion for at least one year, with a nationwide constitutional referendum tentatively scheduled for 2027.[239]

Alongside these political reforms, Tokayev pursued digital modernization, opening the "Digital Bridge 2025" forum in October. He announced the creation of the "Alem.ai" International Center for Artificial Intelligence and set a goal to transform Kazakhstan into a "fully digital state" within three years.[240]

Internationally, Tokayev sought to position Kazakhstan as a key transit hub rather than just a raw material exporter. Addressing the UN General Assembly in September 2025, he pledged to build 5,000 kilometers of railway by 2029 to strengthen the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route ("Middle Corridor"), supported by a locomotive supply deal with Wabtec.[241][242] His administration also oversaw a surge in outbound capital; between January and October 2025, Kazakhstan became the second-largest source of foreign direct investment (FDI) into Turkey ($1.1 billion), trailing only the Netherlands.[243][244]

Domestic policy

[edit]

Tokayev's domestic policy, emphasized economic modernization, anti-corruption measures, and strengthening governance, with a focus on national security and decentralization.[245] He highlights reducing inequality, promoting political accountability, fair wealth distribution, and creating job opportunities for youth, alongside reforms in education and technological innovation with an aim to foster a more inclusive society, national unity, and social stability.[246]

Economic policy

[edit]

Tokayev has placed strong emphasis on reducing Kazakhstan's reliance on raw materials by promoting the development of a diversified industrial base. In his State of the Nation Address in September 2023, he called for the accelerated growth of manufacturing clusters, including metals, heavy machinery, uranium processing, automotive parts, and fertilizers, with three-year tax exemptions offered to investors. He also set a target for processed agricultural products to represent 70 percent of total agricultural output within three years.[247]

The government has aimed to attract up to US $150 billion in foreign investment and introduced banking reforms to encourage prudent business lending.[248] In 2024, Kazakhstan attracted US $15.7 billion in foreign direct investment, marking the highest level in North and Central Asia.[249] In 2025, the country reaffirmed its position as a reform-oriented investment destination, focusing on sectors such as mining, logistics, digital infrastructure, and sustainability.[250]

Governance reforms have targeted demonopolization, the recovery of illegally privatized assets, and greater transparency.[251] Major state-owned enterprises have begun privatization through public offerings. Support measures for small and medium enterprises, modernization of tax legislation, and reduction of state dominance in the economy have also been pursued.[252]

Tokayev stressed macroeconomic stability and set a goal to double Kazakhstan's GDP by 2029. In July 2024, he approved the National Development Plan focusing on quality growth, innovation, and well-being.[253][254] The plan aims to raise the national GDP to $450 billion, increase growth to 6.7%, and improve life expectancy to 77 years, positioning Kazakhstan as a high-income country.[255]

Energy and infrastructure development

[edit]

Tokayev has led major initiatives to modernize Kazakhstan's energy sector and infrastructure. In response to the 2022 energy crisis, Tokayev signed decree launching a national energy efficiency program aimed at reducing energy waste, modernizing power plants, and improving grid resilience.[256] In 2024, the Kazakh government under Tokayev's initiative launched a comprehensive national infrastructure plan valued at 40 trillion tenge, covering energy, transportation, water management, and digital technologies. This plan aims to strengthen Kazakhstan's position as a Eurasian transit hub, including expanded capacity on the Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline.[257][258] He approved a five-year National Project for the Modernization of the Energy and Utilities Sectors in December 2024 to upgrade infrastructure, enhance efficiency, and attract investment.[259][260][261][262]

Tokayev actively supported the development of nuclear energy in Kazakhstan,[263][264] championing the October 2024 nuclear power referendum which secured 71 percent voter approval to build the country's first nuclear power plant in the village of Ülken near Lake Balkhash.[265][266][267][268] In March 2025, Tokayev established the Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan for Atomic Energy, tasked with overseeing Kazakhstan's nuclear industry, uranium mining, and radiation safety.[269][270][271] Later that year, Russia's Rosatom was selected as the lead consortium to construct the Ülken Nuclear Power Plant,[272][273][274] with construction starting in August 2025 and expected completion by 2035–2036.[275][276] Plans for second and third plant, to be built by China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) near Kurchatov or Aktau, are also underway.[277]

Simultaneously, Tokayev's administration renegotiated production-sharing agreements with foreign oil firms to secure better terms, while regulatory reforms encourage private investment and strengthen partnerships in the energy sector.[278]

Social and education policies

[edit]

Tokayev has introduced a series of social and educational reforms aimed at improving public welfare, strengthening the national education system, and expanding legal protections. Notably, the government has implemented annual 20% salary increases for approximately 600,000 public-sector employees, including cultural, technical, and educational staff.[279] In his September 2022 State of the Nation Address, Tokayev announced that starting in 2024, half of the National Fund's annual investment income would be allocated to a newly established National Fund for Children, with savings accounts accessible upon reaching adulthood.[280][281][282] The initiative was formalized in November 2023, when he signed a law establishing the fund and setting its implementation framework.[283][284][285][286]

Education policy under Tokayev's administration has focused on expanding internet connectivity and digital resources in schools, improving the overall education system, and modernizing vocational training to align with labour market requirements.[287][288][289][290] In December 2024, Tokayev signed a decree declaring 2025 the "Year of Working Professions", emphasizing the strategic role of vocational and skilled trades in national development.[291][292] In January 2025, the government launched the Keleshek voluntary education savings program, providing a one-time educational capital to children turning five years old to support future access to higher education.[293][294][295]

In April 2024, Tokayev signed the Saltanat law, restoring criminal liability for domestic violence against women and children in response to public outcry over the high-profile case trial following the murder of Saltanat Nukenova.[296][297][298] In June 2025, he signed a law banning face-covering Islamic garments, including niqabs and burqas, in public spaces, with exemptions for medical reasons or severe weather, framing it as a measure to promote national clothing and uphold Kazakhstan's secular identity.[299][300][301][302][303][304]

Foreign policy

[edit]
Map of the international presidential trips made by Tokayev
Tokayev with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on 24 August 2022

Tokayev has pledged to continue the foreign policy initiated by Nursultan Nazarbayev, maintaining Kazakhstan's multi-vector approach.[305] This strategy balances relations with global powers, including allied relations with Russia, an eternal strategic partnership with China, and a strategic partnership with the United States, while prioritizing regional cooperation and expanding ties with Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.[306] Tokayev emphasizes Kazakhstan's neutrality, sovereignty, and commitment to international law, actively participating in organizations like the United Nations, Eurasian Economic Union, and Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.[306] Since 2022, he has reinforced Kazakhstan's independent foreign policy, focusing on economic diplomacy, security, and regional stability amidst global tensions.[307]

During the October 2022 Council of Heads of State of the CIS summit in Astana, Tokayev proposed the creation of an International Organisation for the Russian Language (IORL) to strengthen cultural and humanitarian ties among CIS countries, using the Russian language to foster regional cooperation and intercultural dialogue.[308] On 12 October 2023, Tokayev approved a draft treaty for the creation of the IORL,[309][310] which was later ratified by the Parliament on 20 November 2024.[311][312][313][314]

In September 2023, Tokayev emphasized the need for a new global movement for peace, highlighting Kazakhstan's role in the Astana Process for Syria and the Congress of Leaders of World and Traditional Religions as key platforms for fostering inter-civilizational dialogue. Writing in The Jerusalem Post, he stressed the role of religious leaders in promoting global stability, healing conflicts, and countering extremism. Tokayev called for diplomacy to address global crises and warned against the risks of a new arms race, nuclear threats, and escalating geopolitical rivalries reminiscent of the Cold War.[315]

Kazakhstan decided to refrain from submitting a formal application for BRICS membership in October 2024, citing the complex multi-stage process and uncertainties regarding the association's future development.[316][317][318] Despite this, Kazakhstan accepted an invitation to become a BRICS partner state, effective 1 January 2025, allowing for closer cooperation without full membership.[319] In an interview with Al Jazeera English, Tokayev stated that Kazakhstan chose to remain an observer and partner state in BRICS, citing the group's lack of permanent structures and uncertain long-term effectiveness as reasons for not pursuing full membership.[320]

Russia

[edit]
Tokayev and Russian President Vladimir Putin on 19 August 2022

After Russia invaded its neighboring Ukraine, Tokayev and Kazakh foreign minister Mukhtar Tleuberdi refused to recognize the Russian puppet states of Donetsk People's Republic and Luhansk People's Republic.[321] He said that "we recognize neither Taiwan, nor Kosovo, nor South Ossetia and Abkhazia. In all likelihood, this principle will be applied to quasi-state entities, which, in our opinion, are Luhansk and Donetsk."[322] He refused to accept the Order of Alexander Nevsky from Putin.[323]

Tokayev and other post-Soviet leaders with Vladimir Putin at the 2023 Moscow Victory Day Parade

Tokayev also emphasized that Kazakhstan would comply with Western sanctions imposed on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine, and that the country "will abide by the restrictions imposed on Russia and Belarus."[324][325] In September 2022, Kazakhstan closed a loophole through which Russian and Belarusian trucks were able to import goods from the European Union into the country without the necessary paperwork.[326]

Following Tokayev's electoral victory in November 2022, international observers expect him to maintain Kazakhstan's pivot towards the EU and China, and away from Russia.[327][328]

In September 2022, Tokayev said that Kazakhstan would help Russians fleeing the mobilization and war in Ukraine, saying that "most of them are forced to leave because of the current hopeless situation."[329] However, in December 2022, Kazakhstan deported back to Russia a Russian citizen who fled mobilization.[330] In January 2023, Kazakhstan announced they were tightening visa rules, a move that is expected to make it more difficult for Russians to remain in the country.[331]

On 9 May 2023, he attended the Victory Day parade in Moscow and met with Russian President Vladimir Putin.[332]

China

[edit]
Tokayev and other leaders with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the 2025 China Victory Day Parade

Since 2022, Tokayev has consistently intensified Kazakhstan's relations with the People's Republic of China, which, as of 2024, stands as Kazakhstan’s leading trading partner and largest foreign investor.[139]: 158   In September 2022, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party Xi Jinping conducted an official state visit to Kazakhstan, during which he reaffirmed China's unwavering support for Kazakhstan's sovereignty and territorial integrity, while emphasizing enhanced cooperation in trade, infrastructure development, and the energy sector.[333]

In May 2023, Tokayev paid a working visit to Beijing, where the parties agreed to broaden economic collaboration and to elevate Kazakhstan's participation in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Both nations set an ambitious target to double bilateral trade turnover in the coming years. Under Tokayev's guidance, Kazakhstan has emerged as China’s primary trade partner within Central Asia, actively engaging in strategic projects across energy, agriculture, and infrastructure, including significant involvement in the development of the Middle Corridor — a crucial trade route connecting China with European markets.

In 2023, visa-free travel arrangements between Kazakhstan and China were expanded to facilitate tourism and strengthen cultural exchanges.[334] Additionally, Kazakhstan continues to provide steadfast support for China's regional initiatives, such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the BRI. In early 2024, China publicly endorsed Kazakhstan's bid to join the BRICS economic bloc, signaling recognition of Kazakhstan's rising international profile and the deepening of its strategic partnership with China.[335]

United States

[edit]
Tokayev with U.S. President Donald Trump, 6 November 2025

Tokayev has sought to strengthen Kazakhstan's ties with the United States, emphasizing a "friendly and predictable" relationship.[336] Tokayev highlighted the importance of expanding economic and business relations with the US, particularly in energy, agriculture, and IT sectors, during his September 2022 visit to New York City.[337]

In February 2023, Tokayev met with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, where he thanked the United States for its support of Kazakhstan's territorial integrity following the 2022 unrest.[338][339] Later in August 2023, he met with US Senator Gary Peters, reaffirming Kazakhstan's commitment to the US as a strategic partner, particularly in areas like nuclear non-proliferation and global security.[340]

On 19 September 2023, during the first-ever U.S. presidential hosted C5+1 summit, Tokayev met U.S. President Joe Biden. He emphasized the importance of the U.S.'s security guarantees for Central Asia and Kazakhstan's nuclear-free stance, underscoring the region's role in global efforts to prevent nuclear weapons proliferation.[341]

In response to US President Donald Trump's decision in July 2025 to impose 25% reciprocal tariffs on Kazakh goods—excluding key exports such as oil, uranium, and rare metals—Tokayev expressed Kazakhstan's commitment to constructive dialogue and voiced confidence in the possibility of reaching a mutually beneficial resolution with Washington.[342][343]

Political positions

[edit]

Tokayev is described as a "moderate conservative" with years of political experience domestically and internationally.[344] Nevertheless, in an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Tokayev referred himself as a "reformer", stressing that without political reforms, there wouldn't be progress in economic reforms.[345]

According to The Diplomat, Tokayev's political capital was seen to not extend beyond the support by Nazarbayev, which enabled him to garner support and trust from business elites, civil servants, and political institutions.[346] Because of that, Tokayev has been described as "Nazarbayev's political birthchild",[347] while his opponents and critics referred him as "furniture" (Russian: мебель, mebel), a ridicule term first coined by exiled Kazakh businessman Mukhtar Ablyazov in 2019.[348][349]

Authoritarianism

[edit]

Tokayev expressed his point of view on the political system of Kazakhstan in which he favoured a "strong President, authoritative Parliament, accountable Government."[350]

In 2005, at the business conference of the Asian Society held in Almaty, Tokayev clashed with George Soros after his remarks about Kazakhstan sliding towards authoritarianism, calling it "unreasonable to demand from a country that recently celebrated its 13th anniversary to achieve the democratic values inherent in states with centuries-old traditions of building a free society."[18]

Climate change

[edit]

Tokayev expressed support for the tackling of climate change, calling it "urgent and existential."[351] At the Climate Ambitions Summit in which was held remotely on 12 December 2020, Tokayev pledged for Kazakhstan to reach carbon neutrality by 2060 with a development and adoption of a long-term development strategy to lower emissions and de-carbonisation of the economy. He said that Kazakhstan is "highly vulnerable to climate change as a landlocked and developing state" with a heavy reliance on fossil fuels and proposed for the planting for two billion trees within the country in order increase carbon absorption and curb looming desertification problems.[351]

Corruption

[edit]

Tokayev described his vision regarding corruption, calling it a "direct damage to national security" and advocated for the need of accountability for implementation of state programs and the use of budget funds by äkıms.[352] On 28 November 2019, he signed the "On Amendments and Additions to Certain Legislative Acts of the Republic of Kazakhstan on Civil Service and Anti-Corruption Issues" law into place, which obliged government ministers and äkıms to resign if the top officials within institutions are found guilty of corruption.[353][354]

Islam

[edit]

In the aftermath of the 2016 Orlando nightclub shooting event, Tokayev proclaimed the incident as a "signature dish", calling it "another manifestation of Islamic radicalism."[355]

At the Forum of Muslim Scientists of Eurasia which was held in Astana in March 2018, Tokayev addressed the audience the need for the country to have "enlightened Islam" by strengthening science and cultural traditions in the Islamic civilization.[356]

Relations with EU

[edit]

As a foreign minister, Tokayev visited Berlin, Germany on 3–4 October 2006, where he addressed the European Parliament's Foreign Affairs Committee on 3 October in an attempt to gain support amongst members of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe for Kazakhstan's bid to lead the organisation in 2009. In his address he discussed the "fierce" competition between the European Union, China, and India to secure energy sources, saying that Kazakhstan is "one of the very few countries capable of boosting its oil production and thus becoming an important alternative energy supplier to global and European markets." He expressed interest in the Burgas-Alexandroupoli and Odesa-Brody-Gdansk pipeline projects, asking the EU for $80 billion in investment from 2006 to 2021. Tokayev criticised Lithuania for opposing a Russian offer for its Mažeikių oil refinery. He also reaffirmed Kazakhstan's desire to join the European Neighbourhood Policy. Tokayev also rejected the proposed construction of the Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline to Azerbaijan, in which the EU officials desired due to the likelihood of opposition from other nations bordering the Caspian Sea.[357] Gernot Erler, an official in the German Federal Foreign Office, announced his support for Kazakhstan leading the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) for 2009. Portuguese Socialist MP Ana Gomes said to Tokayev, "Minister, you're bidding for the presidency of the OSCE. Yet, the OSCE gave a report on your last elections, on the observation of the elections, which said they failed to meet international standards for genuine elections in many important points. And we hear about political dissent being crushed, we hear even about religious groups being crushed." Tokayev replied that political opposition forces in Kazakhstan "cannot challenge the government" because of their own weaknesses, and that Kazakhstanis need to be "educated" about democracy because the concept is foreign, and the government considers religious tolerance a priority. He criticized the OSCE's election report for "technical irregularities" and biased targeting while calling for more of a "mutual understanding." He further stated that his government believes it would "contribute a lot as a representative, as a country which is located in Central Asia. The geographical dimension of the OSCE has changed [since Kazakhstan joined], this is a unique Eurasian, as well as Pan-American organization. So, the leadership, the presidency of this organization also must reflect this unique character, [this] unique dimension of the organization."[357] He cited efforts to reform Kazakhstan's election process that included a "special program" to modernize the system and establishing "party dominance" in the Parliament so that "parties [that] win the parliamentary elections, obtain [a] majority in the parliament" and "will be able to establish their own governments." He called creating a multi-party system in Kazakhstan a "huge step forward in the process of democratization."[357]

Relations with United States

[edit]
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice with Tokayev, 25 September 2006

Tokayev met with United States Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Barry Lowenkron, the U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Human Rights, on 25 September 2006 in Rice's suite at the Waldorf-Astoria hotel. According to Anne Gearan, a diplomatic writer for the Associated Press, the U.S. wanted to improve its relations with Kazakhstan. Kazakh oil output was expected to significantly increase, along with other Central Asian countries whom were "more authoritarian, too unstable, too poor, or a combination of all three." Prior to her meeting with Tokayev, when Rice was asked whether human rights or energy "would top the agenda" for the meeting with Tokayev, she refused to answer. The United States State Department released a statement saying the diplomats discussed Kazakhstan's cooperation in Afghanistan and Iraq and expressed hope for "a multidimensional relationship with Kazakhstan, which includes U.S. encouragement for continuing reforms."[358]

Middle-Eastern affairs

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Jordan

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On February 19, 2025, His Majesty King Abdullah II of Jordan met with President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev of Kazakhstan in Astana. During their discussions, both leaders agreed to expand mutual investments and enhance trade relations between their countries. President Tokayev congratulated King Abdullah II on the 25th anniversary of his reign, commending his efforts in promoting sustainable growth and elevating Jordan's international standing.

His Majesty King Abdullah II of Jordan meeting with President Tokayev of Kazakhstan

This meeting followed President Tokayev's official visit to Jordan from February 18 to 19, 2025, at the invitation of King Abdullah II. The visit aimed to strengthen cooperation in trade, economic, and cultural-humanitarian sectors. The meeting commenced with President Tokayev extending his congratulations to Abdullah II of Jordan on the occasion of the 25th year of the latter's reign, wishing him continued success in creative initiatives aimed at ensuring sustainable growth and prosperity of the people of Jordan and increasing the authority of the country on the global scene.

The Kazakh President expressed gratitude to the Jordanian leader for his contribution to enhancing friendship and cooperation ties between the two nations.[359]

Russian language

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As president, Tokayev encouraged the Kazakhstani public to learn Kazakh, calling it a "duty of every citizen of Kazakhstan".[360] At the same time, he believed that strengthening the role of the Kazakh language shouldn't infringe on the Russian language, warning that improper handling of the issue would lead to "irreparable consequences" in which he compared to Ukraine that faced interethnic conflicts.[361]

During the 2021 State of the Nation Address, Tokayev noted that Russian is an official language within Kazakhstan, adding that its use can't be hindered in accordance with the law. He promised to punish any person practising discrimination on the basis of "linguistic and national grounds", a move that was viewed to have occurred as a result of a backlash by Russian officials after a viral incident on YouTube showing Kostanay native Quat Ahmetov visiting places and forcing employees to speak Kazakh, which led to a series of criminal cases by security agencies and Ahmetov fleeing the country.[362][363]

LGBTQ rights

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Tokayev has expressed a conservative stance on LGBTQ. In February 2024, he signed a law preventing LGBTQ individuals from adopting or mentoring orphans.[364]

In 2025, Tokayev criticized the promotion of LGBTQ rights by international organizations, accusing them of interfering in sovereign nations' affairs under the guise of advancing democratic values, while masking financial corruption.[365]

In the same year, Parliament of Kazakhstan proposed legislation that would ban "LGBT propaganda"[366] and mirrored the 2013 Russian anti-LGBTQ law.[367] Despite concerns by several human rights organizations, including Human Rights Watch,[368] the draft law was approved by Mäjilis in November 2025. It officially plans to ban "information containing propaganda of pedophilia and/or non-traditional sexual orientation in public spaces, as well as in the media".[367]

Nationalism

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Tokayev has had a nuanced stance on nationalism. Initially, he expressed concern about nationalism becoming a dominant global force, particularly after the 2016 United States presidential election and the rise of leaders like Donald Trump.[369] He criticized nationalism for exacerbating tensions between nations, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, and warned it could undermine global cooperation and provoke conflict and economic losses, especially for countries like Kazakhstan.[370]

However, more recently, Tokayev has acknowledged the growing relevance of state nationalism, seeing it as a moral response to the diminishing influence of globalism and a key driver in the struggle for global spheres of influence by the deep state.[365]

Honors

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Kazakh

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Foreign

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Other

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Personal life

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Since March 2019, Tokayev stopped wearing his wedding ring, following his divorce with Nadezhda Tokayeva.[1]

Now divorced, Tokayev was married to Nadezhda Tokayeva, with whom he had one son.[389] It is presumed that they divorced in March 2019, the time when the divorce was made official and Tokayev stopped wearing his wedding ring.[1] His son Timur (born in 1984) is an oil entrepreneur who currently resides in Geneva, Switzerland.[390][391] His brother-in-law Temirtai Izbastin (married to Tokayev's sister Karlygash Izbastina) is currently Kazakhstan's Ambassador to Bulgaria.[392] Tokayev is a polyglot, fluent in Kazakh, Russian, English, Chinese and French.[393]

Tokayev was president of the Table Tennis Federation of Kazakhstan for 13 years.[389] In 2025, he was awarded a ninth-degree black belt in taekwondo by World Taekwondo president Chungwon Choue during the Kazakhstan Open in Astana, reflecting his long-standing interest in the sports.[394]

Tokayev has made it a point not to mark his birthday with celebrations, with his press secretary saying in 2020 that he "does not like to celebrate this day because his family has never celebrated the birthdays of either the children or parents".[395]

Books

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Tokayev had authored some ten books as of 2024, mostly on the subject of international relations, including Overcoming about his diplomatic service published in 2003.[396]

See also

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Notes

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References

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia

Kassym-Jomart K. Tokayev (born 17 May 1953) is a Kazakhstani , , and the second since 20 March 2019.
Educated at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, graduating in 1975 with a degree in , Tokayev began a diplomatic career in the Soviet , serving in embassies in and before Kazakhstan's independence. He later held key national roles, including Minister of Foreign Affairs from 1994 to 1999 and 2002 to 2007, from 1999 to 2002, and Chairman of the from 2007 to 2011 and 2013 to 2019. Internationally, he served as Director-General of the from 2011 to 2013. Tokayev assumed acting presidency after Nursultan Nazarbayev's abrupt resignation in March 2019, winning to a full term in June with 70.96% of the vote amid criticisms from international observers of limited opposition. His tenure emphasizes multi-vector diplomacy balancing relations with , , the , and , alongside domestic economic diversification away from oil dependency and investments in technology sectors like . In January 2022, nationwide protests over fuel price hikes escalated into coordinated attacks on and , resulting in 225 deaths and over 9,900 arrests; Tokayev described the violence as a terrorist coup attempt, requested intervention from the (CSTO), and oversaw a security operation that restored order within days. In response, he advanced the "New Kazakhstan" agenda with constitutional reforms ratified by in June 2022, abolishing Nazarbayev's "elbasy" status, limiting presidential terms, enhancing parliamentary powers, and prohibiting family members from holding certain offices, though implementation has faced skepticism regarding depth amid ongoing corruption issues and restricted . Tokayev won re- in a snap November 2022 vote with 81.3% support, positioning his leadership as a break from prior elite dominance toward a "Just Kazakhstan" focused on , , and .

Early life and education

Family background and upbringing

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was born on May 17, 1953, in Alma-Ata (now Almaty), the capital of the Kazakh Soviet Socialist Republic, into an intellectual family of Kazakh ethnicity. His father, Kemal Tokayev (1923–1986), was a prominent writer, journalist, and public figure who served as a participant in the Great Patriotic War during World War II, authoring novels such as Soldier Left and working as an editor. Kemal Tokayev's literary career and wartime experiences contributed to a household environment emphasizing cultural and historical awareness, though the family lived modestly as one of four children, with the father as the sole breadwinner. Tokayev's mother, Turar Shabarbayeva (1931–2000), was a languages educator employed at the Pedagogical Institute of Foreign Languages, fostering an early exposure to and academic pursuits in the home. The family's intellectual milieu, centered in urban , shaped Tokayev's formative years amid the Soviet system's emphasis on education and state loyalty, with parental influences promoting discipline and scholarly interests from childhood. This background, rooted in post-war recovery and Kazakh cultural preservation efforts by figures like his father, provided a foundation of resilience and cosmopolitan outlook, though constrained by the era's economic limitations and ideological controls.

Academic and early professional training

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev completed his higher education at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) of the USSR , graduating in 1975. Prior to graduation, he undertook a pre-degree at the USSR Embassy in the . Upon entering professional service, Tokayev joined the USSR in 1975 and was initially assigned to the Soviet Embassy in , where he served until 1979. In 1979, he returned to the central apparatus of the USSR in . Tokayev furthered his linguistic and diplomatic expertise through a probation period at the Beijing Linguistic Institute from 1983 to 1984, followed by work in the USSR from 1984 to 1985. He then served at the Soviet Embassy in from 1985 to 1991, advancing through positions as second secretary, first secretary, and counsellor. In 1992, he graduated from the Diplomatic Academy of the of the Russian Federation, completing advanced training in .

Pre-presidential diplomatic and political career

Initial diplomatic appointments (1992–1999)

In 1992, following Kazakhstan's independence from the , Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was appointed Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, where he helped build the nascent ministry's framework during the chaotic early years of statehood. This role involved negotiating Kazakhstan's entry into international organizations and establishing bilateral ties, leveraging his prior experience in Soviet diplomacy. By 1993, Tokayev had been promoted to First Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, overseeing operational aspects of foreign policy formulation and execution as the country navigated relations with former Soviet republics, , and Western powers. His elevation reflected trust from President in Tokayev's expertise in multilateral negotiations, including early discussions on nuclear non-proliferation given Kazakhstan's denuclearization commitments. Tokayev served as Minister of Foreign Affairs from 1994 to March 1999, directing Kazakhstan's multi-vector diplomacy that balanced ties with , , the , and Central Asian neighbors to secure economic aid and border agreements. Key initiatives under his leadership included Kazakhstan's accession to the in 1991 (formalized post-independence) and participation in the Conference on and in , later the OSCE, emphasizing pragmatic engagement over ideological alignment. In 1999, he transitioned to , marking the end of his initial foreign ministry phase.

Prime Minister and senior roles (1999–2007)

In March 1999, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was appointed Deputy Prime Minister of Kazakhstan. Later that year, on October 20, 1999, he was endorsed by the Parliament and appointed Prime Minister by President Nursultan Nazarbayev, succeeding Nurlan Balgimbayev. Tokayev held the position of Prime Minister until January 18, 2002, when he was dismissed and reassigned to diplomatic roles. On January 18, 2002, Tokayev was appointed State Secretary and Minister of Foreign Affairs of , a combined role that positioned him as a key advisor on . From 2003 to April 2007, he served solely as Minister of Foreign Affairs, leading efforts to advance 's multi-vector , which balanced relations with major powers including , , the , and European countries. During this period, Tokayev actively engaged in international diplomacy, contributing to global non-proliferation initiatives and strengthening 's participation in multilateral organizations. His tenure emphasized pragmatic to attract foreign investment and secure 's role in regional security frameworks.

International organizations and Senate leadership (2007–2019)

In 2007, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was elected Chairman of the of the , a position to which he was appointed by President and confirmed unanimously by the chamber's members. He retained the role until 15 April 2011, during which time the , as the , focused on legislative oversight, regional representation, and of international treaties aligned with Kazakhstan's multi-vector . In this capacity, Tokayev emphasized parliamentary diplomacy, including Kazakhstan's contributions to regional stability initiatives. Concurrently, Tokayev engaged deeply with the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE). In 2008, he was elected Vice-President of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly (PA), advocating for enhanced OSCE involvement in to promote and democratic processes. He served as deputy head of the OSCE PA election observation mission to in 2010, assessing compliance with international standards amid reported irregularities. Under his Senate leadership, Kazakhstan hosted the 2010 Trans-Asian Parliamentary Forum in , facilitating dialogue on economic cooperation and among Asian legislatures. On 11 March 2011, Secretary-General appointed Tokayev as Director-General of the (UNOG), a role he held until October 2013. In this senior multilateral position, Tokayev managed operations for over 40 UN agencies, funds, and programs based in , emphasizing efficient coordination on global issues such as , , and . He engaged with host-country authorities, including a 2012 visit to where he discussed UN-Swiss collaboration, and supported specialized initiatives like geospatial analysis through UNOSAT. Tokayev returned to domestic on 16 October 2013, when the re-elected him as Chairman, a post he held until 19 March 2019. During this second term, he oversaw legislative priorities such as economic diversification and anti-corruption measures, while maintaining Kazakhstan's active role in international parliamentary forums. His leadership bridged domestic governance with multilateral commitments, reflecting Kazakhstan's strategy of balanced engagement with organizations like the OSCE and UN to advance national interests without over-reliance on any single bloc.

Path to the presidency

Acting presidency and 2019 election

On 19 March 2019, resigned as after nearly 30 years in power, leading to Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, the chairman of the and a long-time associate of Nazarbayev, assuming the role of effective immediately under constitutional provisions. Tokayev's interim tenure was marked by pledges to maintain continuity with Nazarbayev's policies while initiating modest reforms, though Nazarbayev retained significant influence as head of the Security Council and leader of the ruling Nur Otan party. On 9 April 2019, Tokayev signed a dissolving parliament's and calling snap presidential elections for 9 June 2019, shortening the typical timeline to facilitate a swift transition. The 2019 election featured seven candidates, but all but one were aligned with the , with opposition figures facing registration barriers and limited media access, creating an uneven playing field. Tokayev, endorsed by Nazarbayev, campaigned on themes of stability and economic modernization, receiving 6,041,848 votes, or 70.96 percent of the total, with official turnout at 77.54 percent across 3,704 polling stations. International observers from the OSCE's Office for Democratic Institutions and (ODIHR) reported that the vote was technically efficient but undermined by severe restrictions on fundamental freedoms, including and association, as well as credible allegations of stuffing and group voting in over 20 percent of observed polling stations. Tokayev was inaugurated on 12 June 2019, solidifying the transfer of executive power while Nazarbayev's enduring institutional roles ensured policy alignment with the prior administration's authoritarian framework. The election outcome, criticized by Western observers for lacking genuine competition, reflected Kazakhstan's systemic preference for managed succession over pluralistic contestation, with domestic media largely supportive and protests against the process met with detentions.

Early presidency and Nazarbayev dynamics (2019–2022)

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev became on March 20, 2019, immediately following Nursultan Nazarbayev's abrupt after 29 years in office, positioning Tokayev as the constitutional successor in his role as Senate chairman. Snap elections on June 9, 2019, confirmed his presidency, with Tokayev receiving 70.96% of the vote amid criticism from international observers for lacking genuine competition and featuring irregularities such as ballot stuffing. Nazarbayev, granted lifelong "Elbasy" (Leader of the Nation) status with immunity and veto powers, retained de facto authority through his chairmanship of the , leadership of the ruling Nur Otan party, and family control over strategic sectors like oil and gas via figures such as daughter Dinara Kulibayeva. Tokayev's initial governance emphasized policy continuity with Nazarbayev's era, pledging in public addresses to uphold the former leader's multi-vector and focused on stability over rapid . This deference was evident in minimal disruptions to the entrenched networks, where Nazarbayev's allies dominated the cabinet and , fostering skepticism among analysts that Tokayev served more as a caretaker than an independent executive. Early initiatives included a package of reforms announced in his address to the nation, such as decriminalizing certain protest-related offenses, simplifying party registration by lowering the vote threshold from 7% to 5%, and introducing local council elections to decentralize some administrative functions—measures framed as steps toward "enlightened " but criticized for their superficial scope amid ongoing media censorship and opposition suppression. Subtle frictions emerged by 2020–2021, as economic pressures from and oil price volatility exposed governance rigidities inherited from Nazarbayev's rule, with Tokayev occasionally signaling intent for "evolutionary" changes like enhanced parliamentary oversight, though implementation remained constrained by loyalist resistance. The dynamic shifted decisively during the January 2022 protests, triggered by fuel price hikes but escalating into broader demands; on January 5, amid violence in and other cities, Tokayev unilaterally assumed chairmanship of the Security Council, relieving Nazarbayev of the position and effectively dismantling the ex-leader's final formal lever of control. This maneuver, justified by Tokayev as necessary for unified command during , marked the culmination of underlying power consolidation efforts and the erosion of Nazarbayev's shadow influence, though it relied on external CSTO intervention to stabilize the regime.

2022 unrest and regime stabilization

January 2022 protests and security response

The protests erupted on January 2, 2022, in , , sparked by the doubling of (LPG) prices from 60 to 120 tenge per liter after the government lifted on January 1. Demonstrations rapidly expanded to other cities, particularly , where they evolved into widespread anti-government actions criticizing economic hardships, corruption, and the enduring political dominance of former President despite his 2019 resignation. By January 4, the unrest escalated into violence, with protesters in storming administrative buildings, the presidential residence, and engaging in widespread and , resulting in attacks on symbols of state authority. President Tokayev initially responded by dismissing the government cabinet on January 5 and announcing the reversal of the LPG price increase, while declaring a nationwide and imposing restrictions on movement and communications. Tokayev characterized the disturbances as a "band of terrorists" and an attempted coup involving foreign-trained elements and criminal groups, rejecting claims of spontaneous popular discontent. On January 7, he issued orders authorizing security forces to "open fire with lethal force" without warning against armed assailants, stating in a televised address that "the fight against them must be brought to an end" and "those who do not surrender will be eliminated." The intensified security operations quelled the violence by January 8, with official reports documenting 227 deaths—including 19 personnel—and over 9,900 detentions amid allegations of excessive force and by rights groups, though Tokayev maintained the response was necessary to restore constitutional order.

Immediate aftermath and CSTO intervention

Following the peak of violence on , 2022, when protesters stormed and airports in and other cities, Kazakh security forces, bolstered by shoot-to-kill orders issued by Tokayev, regained control of key sites by , with reports of over 225 deaths and thousands injured in clashes nationwide. Tokayev declared a nationwide on , imposing curfews, internet restrictions, and border closures to contain the unrest, which he described as a to national security orchestrated by "armed bandits and terrorists" with foreign backing. On the same day, Tokayev invoked Article 4 of the (CSTO) charter, requesting assistance to safeguard government institutions amid what he termed an "external aggression" equivalent to a coup attempt. The CSTO, comprising , , , , , and , approved the request within hours; approximately 2,500 troops—primarily from , with contingents from , , and —deployed to and other areas starting January 6, marking the alliance's first-ever operational intervention. The CSTO forces focused on guarding strategic sites like the airport, presidential residence, and media outlets, without engaging in direct combat or suffering casualties, providing a deterrent effect that Tokayev credited with stabilizing the situation by January 10. Tokayev announced the mission's completion on , with full withdrawal by , emphasizing that the intervention prevented further escalation while rejecting claims of loss. Independent analyses, however, noted the deployment's symbolic nature, as local forces had already quelled most violence, and raised concerns over for ' use of lethal force against protesters.

Power consolidation measures

On January 5, 2022, amid escalating protests, President Tokayev assumed chairmanship of the , relieving of the lifelong position he had held since 1991, thereby centralizing control over key security decisions. This move addressed perceived command failures during the initial response to unrest, as Tokayev publicly stated that orders had not been executed promptly. Tokayev initiated purges within the security apparatus, dismissing National Security Committee (KNB) Chairman Karim Massimov on January 5 and ordering his arrest three days later on charges of high treason and coup plotting linked to the protests. Massimov, a close Nazarbayev associate who had served multiple terms as prime minister, was convicted in April 2023 and sentenced to 18 years in prison. Similar actions targeted other Nazarbayev loyalists, including the dismissal of Defense Minister Murat Bektanov on January 19 for inadequate leadership in quelling the violence, and the removal of Nazarbayev's nephew Samat Abish from a deputy KNB role. In February 2022, Tokayev signed legislation formally stripping Nazarbayev of lifelong privileges, including permanent chairmanship of the Security Council and leadership of of People of Kazakhstan, measures that had enshrined his influence post-resignation. These steps extended to broader , with investigations into Nazarbayev-era figures for asset ; by May 2023, the government had reclaimed approximately $1.7 billion in illegally appropriated state assets through this drive launched in February 2022. Symbolic consolidation followed, as Tokayev approved the restoration of the capital's name to on September 16, 2022, reversing its 2019 redesignation as Nur-Sultan in Nazarbayev's honor and signaling the erosion of the former leader's pervasive legacy. These actions, framed by Tokayev as necessary to prevent elite infighting and restore stability, effectively neutralized competing power centers while bolstering his authority ahead of promised structural reforms.

Reforms and governance post-2022

Constitutional amendments and political restructuring

In the aftermath of the January 2022 unrest, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev initiated a package of constitutional reforms framed as a foundational step toward a "New ," emphasizing the redistribution of powers to reduce super-presidential dominance and enhance parliamentary oversight. On May 5, 2022, Tokayev announced a national to approve 33 amendments, positioning the changes as a response to public demands for limiting elite influence and bolstering institutional checks. The reforms targeted the lingering authority structures associated with former President , including the abolition of his lifelong "elbasy" (leader of the nation) status and his chairmanship of the Security Council, which Tokayev assumed himself. The occurred on June 5, , with preliminary results showing 77% approval from participating voters, amid a turnout of approximately 64%. International observers from the OSCE's ODIHR noted efficient administration but highlighted a campaign lacking substantive and marked by restrictions on independent voices, which limited genuine on the proposals. Post-, Tokayev pledged accelerated democratic measures, including greater accountability to , though implementation has been critiqued for prioritizing regime stability over pluralism. Key amendments included transitioning to a single seven-year presidential term (resetting Tokayev's eligibility for re-election), prohibiting relatives of the president and from holding senior public offices, and re-establishing the to review laws for compliance. gained expanded roles, such as approving the and cabinet members, while local saw with akims (governors) increasingly elected rather than appointed. The death penalty was constitutionally banned, and environmental rights were enshrined, reflecting incremental shifts toward a presidential with a stronger legislative branch, though the executive retained powers and influence over appointments. These changes facilitated political restructuring by diminishing Nazarbayev-era holdovers, enabling Tokayev to centralize control through loyal institutions while nominally empowering parliament, which saw increased representation in budgeting and oversight. Critics, including international analysts, argue the reforms served primarily to legitimize Tokayev's consolidation amid suppressed opposition, as evidenced by the exclusion of alternative viewpoints during the referendum process. In September 2025, during his State of the Nation Address, Tokayev proposed further amendments to streamline the legislature into a unicameral body by abolishing the , with all members elected via party lists to enhance representation and efficiency. This restructuring, potentially subject to a 2027 , would affect around 40 constitutional articles and over 50 laws, while preserving a "strong " to ensure decisive leadership, according to Tokayev. He emphasized measured implementation to avoid instability, signaling continuity in balancing executive authority with parliamentary strengthening.

2022 presidential election and re-election

In the aftermath of the January 2022 unrest and a constitutional on 5 2022 that introduced a single seven-year presidential , abolished lifetime privileges for former president , and redistributed some powers from the presidency to and the , Kassym-Jomart Tokayev announced a snap on 1 2022. The , which passed with 77.18% approval and 63.66% turnout according to the Central , aimed to formalize Tokayev's "New " reforms and reset his term, as his 2019 election had been under the prior five-year renewable framework. Tokayev stated the early vote would "reload the political system" and provide a mandate for further changes amid economic challenges and post-protest stabilization. The election occurred on 20 November 2022, with Tokayev running as the candidate of the pro-presidential Amanat party. He competed against four other candidates from registered parties—Zhanat Kozhamet of the , Meirzhan Berdyqul of the Qazaqstan Umit Party, Zhanaozhen Zhumaguly of the Supreme Patriotic Party, and Saltanat Rakhimbekova of the Baytaq-Green Party—who collectively garnered under 12% of votes and were described by observers as lacking independent platforms or broad support. The brief two-month campaign emphasized Tokayev's handling of the unrest, drives, and economic diversification, with providing dominant coverage favoring the incumbent. The Central Election Commission reported final results on 22 November , showing Tokayev with 81.31% of the vote from 7.94 million valid ballots, a of 69.43% among 11.95 million registered voters, and no significant irregularities in . The OSCE/ODIHR observation mission, deploying over experts, assessed the process as technically efficient but occurring in a restrictive environment lacking genuine pluralism, with barriers to opposition registration, biased media, and limitations on freedoms of association and expression undermining competitiveness. Kazakh officials rejected these critiques, arguing the election demonstrated public support for stability and reforms, while international figures including Russian President and U.S. Secretary of State congratulated Tokayev. Tokayev's re-election secured him a full seven-year term ending in 2029, enabling power consolidation by sidelining Nazarbayev-era influences and advancing parliamentary elections in March 2023 under the new framework. Critics, including domestic activists and Western analysts, viewed the outcome as perpetuating authoritarian continuity despite rhetorical shifts toward multi-party representation, given the absence of viable challengers and state control over political processes.

Government reshuffles and legislative elections (2023–2025)

Snap legislative elections for the , Kazakhstan's of parliament, were held on , 2023, as part of post-2022 reforms to introduce a with 70% (69 seats) and 30% single-mandate districts (29 seats). Voter turnout reached 54%, with approximately 6.37 million ballots cast out of over 12 million eligible voters. The ruling Amanat party, aligned with President Tokayev, dominated the proportional vote with 53.9% (3.43 million votes), securing 40 seats from party lists and all 29 single-mandate seats for a total of 69 out of 98.
PartyProportional Vote ShareProportional Seats
Amanat53.9%40
Auyl People's Patriotic Democratic Party10.9%8
8.59%6
Aq Jol Democratic Party8.41%6
6.8%5
National Social Democratic Party5.2%4
The elections marked the first entry of six parties into the since independence, surpassing the prior single-party dominance, though the 5% threshold excluded smaller contenders like Baytaq (2.3%). International analyses described the process as consolidating Tokayev's authority rather than fostering pluralism, citing the absence of viable opposition due to registration barriers and state media bias favoring pro-government parties. In the immediate aftermath, Tokayev initiated a reshuffle on March 29, 2023, dismissing several ministers to integrate the new parliamentary composition and advance modernization goals post-unrest. By September 2023, further changes included creating the Ministry of Water and Irrigation (headed by Nurzhan Nurzhigitov) and Ministry of Transport (Marat Karabayev), alongside appointments such as Aida Balayeva as Minister of Culture and Information and reassignments in agriculture, industry, and ecology to streamline and . On February 5, 2024, Tokayev dismissed Alikhan Smailov and the entire cabinet amid persistent , delayed projects, and drives, nominating Olzhas Bektenov—a former official—as the new , who retained much of the prior ministerial lineup with limited changes like Madi Takiyev at . In June 2025, Tokayev replaced the ministers of defense and transport, targeting inefficiencies in and sectors. September 2025 saw additional adjustments, including the appointment of Yermek Kosherbayev as foreign minister, a new , and following the restructuring of digital and innovation portfolios; Tokayev also dismissed three presidential aides, including economic advisor Kanat Sharlapaev, signaling a reset in and administrative priorities ahead of his annual address. No further legislative elections occurred through 2025, though Tokayev proposed shifting to a unicameral by 2027 via , potentially reducing checks on executive power. These personnel shifts, often timed with annual addresses or crises, emphasized loyalty to Tokayev's vision of "Just Kazakhstan" but drew critiques for prioritizing regime stability over independent oversight.

Domestic policies and economic management

Economic diversification and growth initiatives

Upon assuming the in June 2019, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev identified Kazakhstan's heavy reliance on hydrocarbons as a , initiating policies to diversify the toward , , and sectors. These efforts intensified following the 2022 unrest, with Tokayev announcing a "New Kazakhstan" framework in March 2022 that emphasized structural reforms to reduce resource dependence, including incentives for private investment in non-oil industries and of state assets. By 2023, he outlined a "new paradigm" for development prioritizing expansion and export-oriented growth, aiming to elevate the sector's GDP contribution from under 15% to competitive levels through targeted subsidies and special economic zones. Key initiatives included bolstering agriculture to position as a regional "," with investments in , seed technology, and processing facilities to boost output by 20-30% over five years, alongside incentives like breaks for machinery production and petrochemical alternatives. In September 2024, Tokayev approved the National Development Plan through 2029, setting goals for fixed capital investment to reach 25.1% of GDP and attracting at least $150 billion in (FDI) via streamlined regulations and corridors. For 2025, the planned 190 industrial projects valued at 1.5 trillion (approximately $3.1 billion), projected to create 23,000 jobs, focusing on high-tech sectors like and green energy, including 6.3 gigawatts of additional renewable capacity. Tokayev's administration also advanced digital and innovation-driven growth, establishing a Ministry of in 2025 to integrate AI into and industry, alongside a national digital strategy targeting full digitization of public services and infrastructure by 2030. These measures contributed to , with GDP growth reaching 6% in the first five months of 2025, driven by non-oil sectors like and logistics, while FDI stock stood at $166 billion as of January 2025, including $40.1 billion from the . Annual FDI inflows over the prior six years totaled $130 billion, though critics note persistent challenges in judicial enforcement and resource sector dominance hindering faster diversification.

Infrastructure, energy, and digital transformation

Under President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, has prioritized infrastructure development to position the country as Eurasia's primary hub, emphasizing connectivity along the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route, also known as the Middle Corridor. Key projects include the completion of the 836-kilometer Dostyk-Moiynty , expected to boost cargo throughput from 18 to 50 trains per day and enhance export capacities to and . In 2025, Tokayev signed agreements with to accelerate Middle Corridor , including joint ventures in and , aiming to double turnover. A September 2025 memorandum with the commits up to $6 billion for 14 sovereign-backed projects, focusing on sustainable to support economic diversification. In the energy sector, Tokayev's administration has pursued contract revisions to address fiscal shortfalls and enhance revenue from hydrocarbon exports, Kazakhstan's dominant energy source. In January 2025, he directed the government to renegotiate energy agreements for greater state benefits, amid efforts to stabilize budgets strained by global price volatility. International cooperation has expanded, including energy infrastructure ties with signed in October 2025, building on Kazakhstan's role as a major and gas producer. Domestic reforms emphasize modernization, as outlined in Tokayev's September 2025 State of the Nation Address, integrating energy policy with broader strategic updates to reduce reliance on raw exports. Digital transformation has emerged as a core pillar, with Tokayev announcing in September 2025 a goal to achieve full national digitalization by 2028, leveraging (AI) for economic and overhaul. A new Ministry of and Digital Development, led by a , was established to coordinate this shift, focusing on AI integration in public services, smart cities, and applications. By 2024, 92% of public services were digitized, ranking 24th globally in digitalization and top-10 worldwide for online service availability, supported by biometric identification and QR-code signatures. Tokayev's strategy targets a "knowledge-based economy," with AI-driven reforms projected to add 2-3% to annual GDP growth through and tech exports.

Social welfare, anti-corruption, and institutional reforms

Under Tokayev's administration, social welfare policies have emphasized targeted support for vulnerable groups while aiming to reduce dependency on state aid. In 2024, the government began allocating a portion of the National Fund's revenues to annual payments for children, intended to bolster family welfare amid economic pressures. pensions increased by 10.5% from the start of 2023, with further hikes in pensions and planned for 2025 to address inflation and living costs. In his September 2024 State of the Nation Address, Tokayev criticized excessive and proposed combating "social dependency" through labor market incentives, declaring 2025 the Year of Working Professions to reform technical and systems. A "Social Wallet" program is slated for launch in 2026, providing income-based targeted assistance to households in need, building on existing protections for the unemployed and disabled. Anti-corruption measures gained momentum post-2022 protests as part of the "Fair Kazakhstan" agenda, focusing on asset recovery and institutional oversight. The Anti-Corruption Agency, established under Tokayev, recovered approximately $241 million by April 2023 through investigations into , , and , with Tokayev publicly prioritizing eradication of such practices. Grand remains a stated priority, supported by law enforcement reorganization including an Anti-Corruption Service reporting directly to the president. However, in July 2025, Tokayev dissolved the standalone agency, transferring its functions to the National Security Committee, a move aimed at streamlining but raising concerns over independence from executive control. An review in 2025 commended efforts to enhance transparency in decision-making, though implementation varies across sectors due to entrenched networks. Institutional reforms have targeted administrative efficiency and service delivery, integrating with broader post-2022 governance changes. Healthcare restructuring in July 2024 separated guaranteed free medical packages from social services to improve accessibility and quality, per Tokayev's directives. Regional policy enhancements aim to devolve powers from central to local levels, increasing accountability while reforming education and public administration ecosystems. These build on Tokayev's March 2022 "New Kazakhstan" framework, which sought to instill a service-oriented mentality in state bodies, though critics note top-down execution limits grassroots impact.

Foreign policy and international relations

Multi-vector diplomacy framework

Kazakhstan's multi-vector diplomacy under President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev maintains a balanced approach to , prioritizing economic pragmatism, national , and diversification of partnerships to avoid over-reliance on any single power. This framework, inherited from predecessor but refined by Tokayev, seeks equitable engagement with , , the , the , and regional actors in and beyond. Tokayev has described it as "constructive and balanced," emphasizing its role in safeguarding Kazakhstan's independence amid geopolitical tensions. In his June 12, 2019, inauguration speech, Tokayev pledged to "firmly promote and defend our national interests" through this policy, highlighting active participation in multilateral organizations such as the , , and while pursuing strategic autonomy. The approach proved resilient during the January 2022 unrest, when Kazakhstan invoked the for assistance but simultaneously deepened ties with Western partners, demonstrating the framework's flexibility. Official assessments from Kazakhstan's affirm that multi-vector diplomacy has navigated new challenges, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, by sustaining trade and investment flows across vectors without alignment in bloc confrontations. Tokayev's addresses underscore the policy's evolution toward "strategic neutrality," as articulated in his September 2025 speech, where he positioned Kazakhstan as a bridge-builder in rather than a passive balancer. This includes prioritizing logistics hubs and AI-driven growth through diversified , with balanced projected to yield significant economic benefits by fostering mutual respect and dialogue. Cooperation with the , for instance, ranks as a core priority, evidenced by enhanced trade agreements and joint initiatives post-2022. Critics from Western analyses note potential strains from Russian influence, yet empirical data on sustained GDP growth and —averaging 5-7% annual increases through 2024—support the framework's causal effectiveness in promoting stability. This multi-vector approach extends to South Asia, exemplified by Tokayev's first state visit to Pakistan on February 3–4, 2026, to discuss bilateral trade, connectivity, and cooperation.

Ties with Russia and post-Ukraine war adjustments

Kazakhstan under President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev maintains a strategic partnership with Russia, rooted in shared membership in the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and the Eurasian Economic Union. In January 2022, amid widespread unrest known as Qandy Qantar, Tokayev invoked Article 4 of the CSTO treaty on January 5, requesting assistance to stabilize the situation; Russian-led CSTO forces, totaling around 2,500 troops primarily from Russia, deployed from January 6 to January 19, aiding in securing key facilities without direct combat involvement before withdrawing. Following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Tokayev has sustained close ties through frequent bilateral engagements with President , including over 40 meetings or calls by mid-2025, such as in-person discussions at the CIS summit on October 10, 2025, and a planned to on November 12, 2025. These interactions have reaffirmed commitments, with Putin describing relations as at a "very high level" in October 2025 greetings. Adjustments post-invasion reflect Kazakhstan's multi-vector diplomacy, emphasizing territorial integrity and neutrality. Tokayev publicly refused to recognize the independence of and people's republics in June 2022 and has consistently stated Kazakhstan recognizes only 's internationally recognized borders, rejecting Russia's annexations of Ukrainian territories. abstained from UN resolutions condemning the invasion and has not imposed sanctions on , instead providing to and increasing oil exports to via the , which saw volumes rise to 1.7 million barrels per day by 2023 amid Russia's redirected flows. Tokayev has advocated for negotiated settlements, stating in September 2024 that "Russia cannot be defeated in the military sense" during talks with German Chancellor and urging both sides toward with the maxim "a bad is better than a good " in 2025 remarks. He offered as a potential venue for -Ukraine talks in September 2025 but clarified does not position itself as a . Economically, while trade with reached $30 billion in 2023—up from pre-war levels— has curtailed some parallel imports to comply with Western secondary sanctions and pursued diversification, including enhanced ties with the and , amid domestic de-Russification sentiments. Despite these shifts, Russia's security and economic leverage persists, with CSTO obligations intact and no withdrawal signaled.

Engagement with China and Central Asia

Tokayev has pursued deepened economic and strategic ties with China, framing bilateral relations as a "model of strategic partnership" rooted in historical neighborly bonds and mutual interests. During an official visit to Beijing in October 2023, he participated in the Third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation and held talks with President Xi Jinping, emphasizing Kazakhstan's commitment to high-quality Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) projects, including connectivity enhancements like the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route. In May 2023, Xi hosted Tokayev in Xi'an for the inaugural China-Central Asia Summit, where discussions focused on advancing BRI synergy with Kazakhstan's domestic economic policies. This was followed by further talks in July 2024 in Astana, reinforcing commitments to trade, investment, and industrial cooperation amid Kazakhstan's export of over 20 million tons of oil annually via Chinese pipelines. Bilateral agreements under Tokayev have expanded across , , and , with 24 pacts signed during Xi's June 2025 visit to , covering sustainable socio-economic development and regional stability contributions. Tokayev has publicly endorsed China's Global Development Initiative, Global Security Initiative, and Global Civilization Initiative as mechanisms for a "fairer world order," aligning them with BRI participation by over 150 countries and Kazakhstan's diversification goals. These engagements reflect pragmatic , with as Kazakhstan's largest trading partner, though Tokayev has stressed balanced connectivity to mitigate over-reliance risks through diversified routes. In , Tokayev has positioned Kazakhstan as a regional convener, promoting institutionalized cooperation via the format and consultative summits to foster trade, transport, and technology integration. At the 2024 Astana summit of Central Asian presidents, he advanced a strategic vision for unified economic policies, water resource management, and cross-border infrastructure, building on 2018-2019 and initiatives. Bilateral outreach includes his August 2025 visit to for high-level talks on industrial collaboration and border delineation, alongside multilateral engagements like the April 2025 EU-Central Asia Summit in , where connectivity and green energy were prioritized. Tokayev hosted the Second China-Central Asia Summit in on June 17, 2025, outlining priorities in trade (targeting $100 billion regional volume with by 2030), , and logistics hubs, while reporting progress in bilateral economic ties post the 2023 summit. This mechanism, initiated in 2023, underscores Tokayev's strategy of leveraging 's investment—exceeding $30 billion in —to complement intra-regional efforts, such as joint industrial zones and rail upgrades, without subordinating sovereignty to external powers.

Relations with the United States and the West

Under President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, Kazakhstan has intensified diplomatic and economic engagement with the United States as part of its multi-vector foreign policy, emphasizing energy security, investment, and regional stability amid geopolitical shifts following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. In February 2023, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken met Tokayev in Astana, where they discussed strengthening bilateral ties, enhancing economic connectivity, and cooperating on counterterrorism and energy diversification through the C5+1 framework, which facilitates U.S. dialogue with Central Asian states including Kazakhstan. Tokayev welcomed U.S. initiatives to bolster Central Asian cooperation while reaffirming Kazakhstan's commitment to sovereignty and non-alignment. Economic cooperation has been a cornerstone, with Kazakhstan positioning itself as a key supplier of oil, , and critical minerals to the U.S., alongside efforts to attract American investment in diversification projects. The platform has advanced initiatives in border security, trade, and , with ongoing U.S. support for Kazakhstan's reforms under Tokayev. In September 2025, during the UN General Assembly in New York, Tokayev met U.S. President to explore prospects for expanded cooperation, followed by discussions with U.S. Secretary of Commerce on trade and investment opportunities. Tokayev has advocated for up to $100 billion in U.S. investments, highlighting energy as a primary pillar, and responded to U.S. concerns by underscoring Kazakhstan's role as a reliable partner. Relations with the have similarly deepened, building on the 2015 Enhanced Partnership and Cooperation Agreement, with trade reaching approximately $50 billion in 2024, driven by Kazakhstan's exports of oil and raw materials. In March 2025, Tokayev met High Representative , who announced the start of visa facilitation negotiations, signaling improved people-to-people ties. During the September 2025 UNGA, Tokayev held talks with President , reaffirming commitments to bilateral and multilateral cooperation in trade, investment, and green energy. The has acknowledged Tokayev's domestic reforms while encouraging further progress in governance and as conditions for enhanced partnership. These engagements reflect Kazakhstan's strategy to leverage Western partnerships for economic resilience without alienating eastern neighbors.

Controversies and criticisms

Handling of 2022 unrest and human rights allegations

Protests erupted in Kazakhstan on January 2, 2022, initially in the western city of over a sudden doubling of prices from 60 to 120 tenge per liter, reflecting broader socioeconomic grievances accumulated under prolonged authoritarian rule. The demonstrations rapidly escalated into widespread violence, particularly in , where crowds stormed government buildings, engaged in , and clashed with security forces, resulting in official reports of 225 to 238 deaths, including 19 security personnel, and over 1,500 injuries. President Tokayev responded by declaring a nationwide on January 5, authorizing security forces to use lethal force against participants in the unrest on , and requesting assistance from the (CSTO). CSTO troops, primarily from , arrived on January 6 and withdrew by January 19 after order was restored, without firing shots, marking the alliance's first operational intervention. Tokayev framed the events as an "attempted " orchestrated by a "single center" involving extremists, criminals, religious radicals, and elements linked to former President Nursultan Nazarbayev, who was subsequently removed from his position as head of the Security Council. Authorities detained over 10,000 individuals in the immediate aftermath, with trials resulting in convictions on charges ranging from to ; by mid-2022, nearly 1,400 faced prosecution. Tokayev's administration conducted internal investigations, leading to accountability for about 24 low-level police officers for abuses, while attributing the violence to organized armed groups estimated at 20,000 participants. Human rights organizations, including and , documented allegations of arbitrary arrests, incommunicado detentions, and widespread of detainees, encompassing beatings, electric shocks, , and at least six to eight deaths in custody. Critics contend that government probes lacked independence, often concluding with "no crime" findings for and shielding higher officials, despite calls for transparent international scrutiny. Tokayev's government has rejected these claims, emphasizing the necessity of decisive action against threats to state stability and pointing to subsequent reforms, including a June 2022 constitutional referendum that curtailed Nazarbayev's influence and expanded parliamentary powers, as evidence of responsiveness to public demands.

Offshore financial disclosures and corruption claims

In February 2022, leaks from the investigation, coordinated by the and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP), revealed that Tokayev's then-wife, , and their son, Timur Tokayev, opened a bank account in in 1998 holding approximately $1 million. The account, linked to offshore entities, was part of broader holdings that included three companies established by the family, which controlled a UK-based firm managing assets valued at around $5 million. These structures were dissolved by the early , but the disclosures highlighted previously unreported family wealth accumulated during Tokayev's diplomatic career, including his tenure as Kazakhstan's foreign minister from 2002 to 2007. The revelations drew scrutiny amid Tokayev's post-2022 unrest campaign, where he pledged to repatriate illicitly exported assets and prosecute graft, recovering billions in state funds by late . Critics, including OCCRP investigators, argued the offshore arrangements exemplified the systemic enrichment Tokayev vowed to dismantle, potentially undermining his credibility given the opacity of the dealings and their timing during periods of . Tokayev's administration did not publicly confirm or deny the specific holdings but emphasized ongoing efforts to combat , including a February directive mandating plans to recover offshore Kazakh assets within two months. No formal corruption charges have been filed against Tokayev or his based on these disclosures, which stem from leaked banking records rather than proven illicit activity. Independent analyses, such as those from The Diplomat, noted the leaks' potential to fuel perceptions of hypocrisy in a resource-dependent where public trust in remains low, though Kazakh authorities have prioritized prosecutions against Nazarbayev-era figures over Tokayev-linked probes. Transparency International's ranked Kazakhstan 93rd out of 180 countries in 2022, reflecting persistent challenges despite Tokayev's initiatives.

Authoritarian tendencies and democratic backsliding

Following the January 2022 unrest, known as Bloody January, President Tokayev requested intervention from the (CSTO), leading to a that resulted in at least 238 deaths and over 12,000 arrests, as reported by Kazakh authorities. This action underscored reliance on external authoritarian support to maintain regime stability, revealing underlying fragilities in domestic control mechanisms. In response, Tokayev initiated constitutional reforms via a June 2022 , which passed with 77.18% approval on a 63.66% turnout, ostensibly curtailing presidential powers by transferring authority to and abolishing Nazarbayev's lifetime titles. However, analysts argue these changes facilitated Tokayev's power consolidation by neutralizing his predecessor's influence while preserving executive dominance, as evidenced by subsequent snap elections. He dissolved in 2023, calling early legislative elections where the pro-presidential Amanat party secured 54% of seats amid limited opposition participation. Tokayev won the November 2022 presidential election with 81.3% of the vote, but international observers noted the absence of genuine pluralism and restrictions on freedoms, cementing a system reliant on regime-aligned parties. Freedom House's Nations in Transit 2024 report classified Kazakhstan's governance as authoritarian, with the Democracy Score declining from 1.32 in 2022 to 1.29 in 2023, reflecting stalled institutional checks despite reform rhetoric. Recent developments indicate potential reversal of prior changes; in September 2025, Tokayev proposed abolishing the for a unicameral elected solely by lists, eliminating independent candidacies and majority-elected deputies introduced in 2022, which critics view as undermining nascent democratic elements to reinforce centralized control. Concurrently, a June 2024 media law expanded state oversight, contributing to ongoing restrictions on independent journalism and protests, as documented in Freedom on the Net reports. These measures align with broader patterns of autocratization, where superficial liberalization masks entrenched executive authority.

Political ideology and positions

Views on governance, nationalism, and stability

Tokayev has articulated a vision of governance centered on the rule of law, efficiency, and modernization through systemic reforms. In his September 2025 address to the United Nations General Assembly, he asserted that "only a governance rooted in common-sense and the rule of law can ensure public order and protect the rights of all citizens," positioning legal frameworks as essential for societal stability amid global turbulence. He has proposed streamlining Kazakhstan's legislative process by abolishing the Senate and adopting a unicameral parliament to enhance decision-making speed and reduce bureaucratic overlap, reflecting a pragmatic approach to administrative efficacy. Regarding nationalism, Tokayev endorses a concept of patriotism redefined to emphasize national unity and , particularly in response to external pressures. In September 2025, he described patriotism as acquiring "new meaning" in , tied to for the nation's progress and . He has promoted "peace and " as the state ideology, urging citizens to transcend ethnic divisions and prioritize shared Kazakh identity while rejecting divisive forces that threaten cohesion. Tokayev has critiqued waning , arguing in March 2025 that nations must prioritize their interests, which aligns with Kazakhstan's emphasis on internal resilience over supranational dependencies. On stability, Tokayev prioritizes it as the precondition for socio-economic advancement and reform implementation, especially following the 2022 unrest. In a May 2025 , he stated that "without stability, there will be no reforms," underscoring efforts to strengthen institutions and maintain order through balanced leadership. His administration's focus includes and institutional fortification to safeguard against volatility, as outlined in his September 2025 State of the Nation Address, where he committed to ensuring "stable socio-economic development and security" for future generations. This approach integrates technological progress with robust governance to mitigate risks from geopolitical shifts and domestic challenges.

Stances on Islam, language, and social issues

Tokayev has advocated for a while promoting moderate, traditional interpretations of in , a with a Muslim-majority . In October 2023, he publicly endorsed alongside religious freedom, emphasizing the need to counter through . He has hosted international forums like the Congress of Leaders of World and Traditional Religions, where he urged religious leaders to foster peace and reject the use of faith for conflict or , stating in September 2025 that religion should serve as a source of reconciliation rather than division. In June 2025, Tokayev signed legislation banning facial coverings such as the in public spaces, framing it as a measure to preserve ethnic identity and national cohesion in a multi-ethnic society. His administration has intensified efforts against religious extremism, including instructions in May 2024 to strengthen measures and warnings in April 2025 about the global resurgence of extremist ideologies. On language policy, Tokayev supports elevating the Kazakh language as the state tongue while upholding multilingualism and individual choice, reflecting Kazakhstan's post-Soviet linguistic diversity where Russian remains widely used. In October 2025, he affirmed that Kazakh would receive continued priority but stressed that "every citizen has the right to speak the language most convenient for them," rejecting imposition. This approach includes initiatives to increase Kazakh usage in media and public life, such as draft laws in 2023 mandating more Kazakh content, amid efforts to transition the Kazakh script from Cyrillic to Latin to assert cultural independence. In diplomatic contexts, he has signaled this policy by delivering key addresses in Kazakh, as during a November 2023 meeting with Russian officials, underscoring national sovereignty without diminishing Russian's role. Regarding social issues, Tokayev emphasizes traditional family structures, women's roles in upbringing, and child protection as foundational to societal stability, aligning with conservative norms in Kazakh culture. He signed laws in April 2024 enhancing safeguards against domestic violence and bolstering family infrastructure, describing family well-being as "a guarantee of the country's future" and urging the establishment of values in every home. In March 2025, he linked preservation of traditions and family values to national policy, positioning women's contributions to child-rearing as central to modernization without contradicting protective measures. His government has prohibited adoption by same-sex couples, reinforcing priorities on conventional family units over alternative models, amid broader resistance to external influences on social norms. These stances prioritize empirical social cohesion through established institutions, viewing deviations as potential risks to demographic and cultural continuity in a resource-dependent nation.

Positions on global challenges like climate and corruption

Tokayev has articulated Kazakhstan's commitment to the , targeting carbon neutrality by 2060, while emphasizing pragmatic energy transitions suited to the country's resource base. In November 2024, at COP29 in , he proposed enhanced international cooperation on and to support developing nations' efforts. Kazakhstan under his leadership plans to host a Regional Climate Summit in 2026 under UN auspices to address Central Asian issues like and the crisis. However, Tokayev has expressed reservations about uniform global mandates, arguing in a September 2025 UN General Assembly speech that " and the green agenda cannot be accepted by all countries" without considering economic disparities and . This stance aligns with Kazakhstan's dependency, including 113 million tons of annual production, where he prioritized efficient resource use over rapid decarbonization. By October 2025, official rhetoric echoed skepticism, quoting former U.S. President Donald Trump's characterization of certain claims as "," reflecting a pivot toward national interests amid perceived overreach in international green policies. On corruption, Tokayev has positioned it as a core barrier to a "Just Kazakhstan," stating in October 2025 that systemic measures are essential for equitable governance and . His administration has pursued aggressive asset recovery and enforcement, preventing state losses of 3.8 trillion tenge (approximately $7.9 billion) through National Security Committee investigations by October 2025. Since 2022 unrest, efforts have recovered nearly $1.8 billion in illicit assets, with over 1,500 cases prosecuted. These initiatives include dissolving the standalone Anti-Corruption Agency in July 2025 and integrating its functions into the National Security Committee for streamlined operations. Kazakhstan's score improved to 40 out of 100 in 2024, ranking 88th globally, a five-position gain attributed to judicial reforms and public procurement transparency. Despite progress, cases rose 27.5% in early 2025, indicating persistent challenges in petty sectors like public services. Tokayev's approach emphasizes political will from the top, targeting elite networks from the prior regime while institutionalizing preventive mechanisms.

Honors and recognition

Domestic Kazakh awards

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has received multiple state awards from the Republic of in recognition of his long-standing contributions to , , and national development prior to and during his ascent to the presidency. In 2004, while serving as Deputy Foreign Minister and later in higher diplomatic roles, he was conferred the Order of the First President of the Republic of – Leader of the Nation for outstanding services in strengthening the country's international standing and foreign policy achievements. This honor, established in , is bestowed upon prominent statesmen for exceptional merits in and is among the highest domestic distinctions named after the founding leader. The presidential administration's official affirms that Tokayev holds numerous additional Kazakh state awards and commemorative medals, reflecting his career trajectory from foreign service to parliamentary .

International honors and diplomatic accolades

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has received select international honors reflecting his extensive diplomatic , including roles as Kazakhstan's Foreign Minister, UN Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs, and Director-General of the . These positions underscore his contributions to multilateral diplomacy, though specific foreign state decorations awarded to him remain sparingly documented in public records beyond recent exchanges. On September 29, 2025, during an official visit to , Tokayev was conferred the of the Italian Republic—Italy's highest civilian honor—by President , recognizing bilateral cooperation and his role in strengthening ties between the two nations. This accolade highlights reciprocal diplomatic gestures, as Tokayev simultaneously awarded Mattarella Kazakhstan's Order of Dostyk (Friendship) of the first degree. In academic spheres, Tokayev holds the title of Honorary Dean of the School of Diplomacy and International Relations, an position acknowledging his expertise in international affairs and prior leadership of UN operations in Geneva. Official biographies note additional foreign state awards and commemorative medals, though detailed lists are not publicly enumerated, consistent with the discreet nature of such recognitions in Kazakh diplomatic tradition.

Personal life

Family and personal relationships

Tokayev was married to , a Russian citizen, from 1980 until their divorce in 2020, shortly after he assumed the presidency. The couple has one son, Timur Tokayev, born on February 15, 1984, who operates in the oil sector as an entrepreneur. biographies, including the Kazakh presidential website, acknowledge only this son and confirm Tokayev's divorced status, with no public details on additional children or current personal relationships. Unverified reports in non- media have referenced a possible named Manira, but these lack corroboration from primary or governmental sources.

Interests, residences, and public persona

Tokayev promotes a healthy and lists reading fiction, political literature, and memoirs among his personal interests. He has shown engagement with sports, particularly and ; on June 19, 2025, he visited the Daulet Tennis Center in to assess its operations, and he has played with young athletes during official visits, including in Uralsk. These activities align with his support for youth sports development in . As President, Tokayev's primary residence is the in , the capital of , where official duties are conducted. Reports on his family's properties, including apartments and a house in the region linked to his ex-wife and son, have surfaced in , though Tokayev has not publicly confirmed personal ownership of these assets. Tokayev cultivates a public persona as a pragmatic, multilingual shaped by his career in , including fluency in Kazakh, Russian, English, French, and Chinese acquired during postings in and . His image emphasizes stability and reformist intent following the 2022 unrest, with portraying him in formal, composed settings during diplomatic engagements and domestic inspections, though some official photos have faced scrutiny for apparent digital alterations to enhance his appearance. This reserved, professional demeanor contrasts with the more flamboyant style of his predecessor, , positioning Tokayev as a continuity figure focused on institutional steadiness.

References

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