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Gamma process
Gamma process
from Wikipedia
Two different gamma processes from time 0 until time 4. The red process has more occurrences in the timeframe compared to the blue process because its shape parameter is larger than the blue shape parameter.

A gamma process, also called the Moran-Gamma subordinator,[1] is a two-parameter stochastic process which models the accumulation of effort or wear over time. The gamma process has independent and stationary increments which follow the gamma distribution, hence the name. The gamma process is studied in mathematics, statistics, probability theory, and stochastics, with particular applications in deterioration modeling[2] and mathematical finance.[3]

Notation

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The gamma process is often abbreviated as where represents the time from 0. The shape parameter (inversely) controls the jump size, and the rate parameter controls the rate of jump arrivals, analogously with the gamma distribution.[4] Both and must be greater than 0. We use the gamma function and gamma distribution in this article, so the reader should distinguish between (the gamma function), (the gamma distribution), and (the gamma process).

Definition

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The process is a pure-jump increasing Lévy process with intensity measure for all positive . It is assumed that the process starts from a value 0 at meaning . Thus jumps whose size lies in the interval occur as a Poisson process with intensity

The process can also be defined as a stochastic process with and independent increments, whose marginal distribution of the random variable for an increment is given by[4]

Inhomogenous process

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It is also possible to allow the shape parameter to vary as a function of time, .[4]

Properties

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Mean and variance

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Because the value at each time has mean and variance [5] the gamma process is sometimes also parameterised in terms of the mean () and variance () of the increase per unit time. These satisfy and .

Scaling

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Multiplication of a gamma process by a scalar constant is again a gamma process with different mean increase rate.

Adding independent processes

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The sum of two independent gamma processes is again a gamma process.

Moments

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The moment function helps mathematicians find expected values, variances, skewness, and kurtosis. where is the Gamma function.

Moment generating function

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The moment generating function is the expected value of where X is the random variable.

Correlation

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Correlation displays the statistical relationship between any two gamma processes. , for any gamma process

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The gamma process is used as the distribution for random time change in the variance gamma process. Specifically, combining Brownian motion with a gamma process produces a variance gamma process,[6] and a variance gamma process can be written as the difference of two gamma processes.[3]

See also

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Notes

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References

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
The Gamma process is a non-decreasing , specifically a subordinator, defined as a {Γ(t):t0}\{\Gamma(t) : t \geq 0\} with Γ(0)=0\Gamma(0) = 0 , independent and stationary increments, and such that the increment Γ(t)Γ(s)\Gamma(t) - \Gamma(s) for t>s0t > s \geq 0 follows a with proportional to tst - s and a fixed . This is characterized by its infinite activity, meaning it has infinitely many small jumps over any finite interval, and it arises as a weak limit of renormalized α\alpha-stable subordinators as α0+\alpha \to 0^+. Key include the independence of the normalized {Γ(u)/Γ(t):0ut}\{\Gamma(u)/\Gamma(t) : 0 \leq u \leq t\} from future increments {Γ(v):vt}\{\Gamma(v) : v \geq t\}, and quasi-invariance under linear scalings, where the law of {(1+a)Γ(u):ut}\{(1+a)\Gamma(u) : u \leq t\} is absolutely continuous with respect to that of {Γ(u):ut}\{\Gamma(u) : u \leq t\} for a>1a > -1. The of Γ(t)\Gamma(t) is ctc t and the variance is ct/βc t / \beta, where c > 0 is the mean per unit time and β>0\beta > 0 is the rate parameter, making it suitable for modeling phenomena with positive, unbounded growth. Gamma processes are prominently applied in to model monotonic degradation mechanisms such as , crack growth, and in structures and components, enabling time-dependent reliability assessments through the probability that degradation exceeds a critical threshold. In , extensions like the variance gamma process, which time-changes with a gamma subordinator, are used for asset price modeling and option pricing due to their ability to capture skewness and heavy tails in return distributions. Additionally, they appear in Bayesian nonparametrics via connections to Dirichlet processes and in as limits of stable processes.

Fundamentals

Notation

The gamma process is parameterized using a shape function ν(t)\nu(t), defined for t0t \geq 0, along with a scale parameter c>0c > 0. The shape function ν(t)\nu(t) is non-decreasing and satisfies ν(0)=0\nu(0) = 0. The process, denoted X(t)X(t), initializes at X(0)=0X(0) = 0. For 0s<t0 \leq s < t, the increment follows the distribution X(t)X(s)Gamma(ν(t)ν(s),c)X(t) - X(s) \sim \operatorname{Gamma}(\nu(t) - \nu(s), c), with increments over disjoint intervals being independent. The gamma distribution Gamma(α,c)\operatorname{Gamma}(\alpha, c) employs a shape parameter α>0\alpha > 0 and c>0c > 0, equivalent to a rate parameter [β=1/c](/page/Beta=1/c)[\beta = 1/c](/page/Beta = 1/c). Its probability density function is given by f(x;α,β)=βαΓ(α)xα1eβx,x>0,f(x; \alpha, \beta) = \frac{\beta^\alpha}{\Gamma(\alpha)} x^{\alpha - 1} e^{-\beta x}, \quad x > 0, where Γ()\Gamma(\cdot) denotes the , and for the increment, α=ν(t)ν(s)\alpha = \nu(t) - \nu(s). In the homogeneous case, the shape function is linear: ν(t)=αt\nu(t) = \alpha t for some shape rate α>0\alpha > 0.

Homogeneous Definition

A homogeneous gamma process is a Lévy subordinator defined as a stochastic process {X(t):t0}\{X(t) : t \geq 0\} with X(0)=0X(0) = 0 almost surely, independent and stationary increments, right-continuous paths with left limits, and such that the increments X(t)X(s)X(t) - X(s) for 0s<t0 \leq s < t follow a gamma distribution Γ(α(ts),β)\Gamma(\alpha (t - s), \beta), where α>0\alpha > 0 is the shape rate parameter and β>0\beta > 0 is the rate parameter (shape α(ts)\alpha (t - s), mean α(ts)/β\alpha (t - s) / \beta). This parameterization ensures that X(t)Γ(αt,β)X(t) \sim \Gamma(\alpha t, \beta) for each t>0t > 0, with the probability density function given by f(x;αt,β)=βαtΓ(αt)xαt1eβx,x>0.f(x; \alpha t, \beta) = \frac{\beta^{\alpha t}}{\Gamma(\alpha t)} x^{\alpha t - 1} e^{-\beta x}, \quad x > 0. As a special case of a , the homogeneous gamma process exhibits stationary independent increments, meaning the distribution of X(t)X(s)X(t) - X(s) depends only on tst - s, and the increments over disjoint time intervals are independent. It is a subordinator because all jumps are positive, resulting in non-decreasing sample paths . The underlying infinite activity is captured by its Lévy measure ν(dy)=αyeβydy\nu(dy) = \frac{\alpha}{y} e^{-\beta y} \, dy for y>0y > 0, which has infinite total mass but satisfies the integrability conditions for with no Gaussian component and zero drift. The of an increment X(t)X(s)X(t) - X(s) is E[eiu(X(t)X(s))]=exp((ts)0(eiuy1)αyeβydy)=exp(α(ts)log(1iuβ)),\mathbb{E}\left[ e^{i u (X(t) - X(s))} \right] = \exp\left( (t - s) \int_0^\infty (e^{i u y} - 1) \frac{\alpha}{y} e^{-\beta y} \, dy \right) = \exp\left( \alpha (t - s) \log\left(1 - \frac{i u}{\beta}\right) \right), for uRu \in \mathbb{R}, reflecting the of the . This form underscores the process's role as a pure jump Lévy subordinator with positive increments.

Extensions and Variations

Inhomogeneous Gamma Process

The inhomogeneous gamma process extends the homogeneous gamma process to allow for time-dependent, non-stationary increments, making it suitable for modeling degradation or accumulation phenomena where the rate varies over time. It is defined as a {X(t):t0}\{X(t): t \geq 0\} with X(0)=0X(0) = 0, independent increments, and non-negative sample paths, such that for any 0s<t0 \leq s < t, the increment X(t)X(s)X(t) - X(s) follows a gamma distribution Γ(ν(t)ν(s),c)\Gamma(\nu(t) - \nu(s), c), where c>0c > 0 is a constant rate parameter and ν(t)\nu(t) is a deterministic, non-decreasing function with ν(0)=0\nu(0) = 0. This structure ensures that the expected increment scales with ν(t)ν(s)\nu(t) - \nu(s), capturing varying intensity of change across different time intervals. In contrast to the homogeneous gamma process, where increments depend solely on the interval length tst - s due to a linear ν(t)=μt\nu(t) = \mu t for constant μ>0\mu > 0, the inhomogeneous version allows the distribution of increments to vary based on the specific positions of ss and tt through ν\nu, enabling representation of non-constant degradation rates such as those observed in aging materials or reliability contexts. The homogeneous case emerges as a special instance when ν(t)\nu(t) is linear. Common forms of ν(t)\nu(t) include the linear ν(t)=μt\nu(t) = \mu t, which aligns with constant-rate accumulation, and power-law ν(t)=atγ\nu(t) = a t^{\gamma} for a>0a > 0 and γ>0\gamma > 0, frequently applied to model wear processes where degradation accelerates (γ>1\gamma > 1) or progresses sublinearly (0<γ<10 < \gamma < 1), such as in corrosion or fatigue crack growth. More flexibly, ν(t)=0tλ(u)du\nu(t) = \int_0^t \lambda(u) \, du where λ(u)0\lambda(u) \geq 0 is an intensity function, permits arbitrary non-decreasing profiles tailored to empirical data on degradation dynamics. At the process level, the inhomogeneous gamma process admits an adapted Lévy-Khintchine representation as a time-inhomogeneous subordinator, with the cumulant function of the characteristic function given by ψ(u)=0t0(eiuy1)ν(ds,dy)\psi(u) = \int_0^t \int_0^\infty (e^{i u y} - 1) \, \nu(ds, dy), where the compensator measure ν(ds,dy)\nu(ds, dy) incorporates the time-varying intensity via λ(s)ds×cyecydy\lambda(s) \, ds \times \frac{c}{y} e^{-c y} \, dy. This formulation underscores its role in generalizing pure-jump processes with infinite activity while emphasizing the structural dependence on ν(t)\nu(t) for practical modeling.

Scaling and Parameterization

The Gamma process exhibits well-defined scaling properties that facilitate adjustments in modeling deterioration or accumulation phenomena under different time or amplitude regimes. For time scaling with a positive constant a>0a > 0, the rescaled process {aX(t/a),t0}\{a X(t/a), t \geq 0\} follows a Gamma process distribution with modified shape function ν(t)=ν(t/a)\nu'(t) = \nu(t/a) and transformed rate parameter c/ac/a. This adjustment ensures the expected value of the process aligns with the original mean structure while adapting the rate of shape accumulation and variability to the compressed time scale. Space scaling of the process is similarly straightforward. For a constant k>0k > 0, the process {kX(t),t0}\{k X(t), t \geq 0\} is distributed as a Gamma process with the original shape function ν(t)\nu(t) but a transformed rate parameter c/kc/k. This equivalence holds because a Gamma-distributed random variable with shape α\alpha and rate c/kc/k is equal in distribution to kk times a Gamma random variable with shape α\alpha and rate cc. Such scaling preserves the structural form of the process while linearly amplifying the amplitude of increments. Standardization of the Gamma process often involves rescaling to achieve a unit rate, particularly in the homogeneous case where E[X(t)]=μtE[X(t)] = \mu t. By dividing the process by μ\mu, the standardized version satisfies E[X~(t)]=tE[\tilde{X}(t)] = t, simplifying comparisons across models or applications while retaining the properties. This rescaling highlights the flexibility of the parameterization for practical reliability analyses. The of the Gamma process carry specific interpretations that underscore its utility in modeling. The rate cc governs the dispersion of the increments, influencing the variability relative to the accumulation. In contrast, the function ν(t)\nu(t) captures the cumulative rate of accumulation over time, determining how the expected degradation or growth evolves, often specified as a non-decreasing function to reflect monotonic processes like . These interpretations enable precise fitting to empirical data in fields such as structural reliability.

Statistical Properties

Mean, Variance, and Moments

The expected value of a gamma process X(t)X(t) at time t0t \geq 0, with X(0)=0X(0) = 0, is given by E[X(t)]=cν(t),E[X(t)] = c \, \nu(t), where c>0c > 0 is the and ν(t)\nu(t) is the non-decreasing function with ν(0)=0\nu(0) = 0. This expression derives directly from the property of the , under which X(t)Γ(ν(t),c)X(t) \sim \Gamma(\nu(t), c) (shape-scale parameterization), having αc\alpha c for α=ν(t)\alpha = \nu(t). The variance of X(t)X(t) is Var(X(t))=c2ν(t),\mathrm{Var}(X(t)) = c^2 \, \nu(t), which scales linearly with the shape function ν(t)\nu(t) and thus increases over time, capturing the growing in the process's cumulative effect, such as degradation accumulation. This follows from the gamma variance formula αc2\alpha c^2. For an increment Y=X(t)X(s)Y = X(t) - X(s) over s<ts < t, where increments are independent and YΓ(ν(t)ν(s),c)Y \sim \Gamma(\nu(t) - \nu(s), c), the mean is E[Y]=c(ν(t)ν(s))E[Y] = c \, (\nu(t) - \nu(s)) and the variance is Var(Y)=c2(ν(t)ν(s))\mathrm{Var}(Y) = c^2 \, (\nu(t) - \nu(s)). The kk-th raw moment of the increment is E[Yk]=cki=0k1(ν(t)ν(s)+i),E[Y^k] = c^k \prod_{i=0}^{k-1} \bigl( \nu(t) - \nu(s) + i \bigr), expressed via the rising factorial (Pochhammer symbol) (ν(t)ν(s))k(\nu(t) - \nu(s))_k, a standard result for gamma moments that highlights the process's positive skewness and heavy tails for small shape values. In the asymptotic regime for large tt, where ν(t)\nu(t) increases without bound (e.g., ν(t)t\nu(t) \propto t in the homogeneous case), the kk-th moment E[X(t)k]E[X(t)^k] grows on the order of [cν(t)]k[c \, \nu(t)]^k, as the product in the moment formula is asymptotically dominated by its leading term ν(t)k\nu(t)^k, with ν(t)\nu(t) governing the overall scaling behavior.

Moment Generating Function

The moment generating function (MGF) of the increment of a gamma process XX over the interval (s,t](s, t] with s<ts < t is given by MX(t)X(s)(θ)=E[eθ(X(t)X(s))]=(1cθ)(ν(t)ν(s)),θ<1c,M_{X(t) - X(s)}(\theta) = \mathbb{E}\left[ e^{\theta (X(t) - X(s))} \right] = \left(1 - c \theta \right)^{-(\nu(t) - \nu(s))}, \quad \theta < \frac{1}{c}, where c>0c > 0 is the and ν\nu is the non-decreasing function of the process. This form arises directly because the increments X(t)X(s)X(t) - X(s) follow a with ν(t)ν(s)\nu(t) - \nu(s) and cc. For the value of the process at time tt, assuming X(0)=0X(0) = 0, the MGF simplifies to M_{X(t)}(\theta) = \left(1 - c \theta \right)^{-\nu(t)}, \quad \theta < \frac{1}{c}. $$ Similarly, this follows from the marginal distribution $X(t) \sim \mathrm{[Gamma](/page/Gamma_distribution)}(\nu(t), c)$. The cumulant generating function, obtained as the natural logarithm of the MGF, is \log M_{X(t) - X(s)}(\theta) = -(\nu(t) - \nu(s)) \log(1 - c \theta), \quad \theta < \frac{1}{c}. $$ This expression corresponds to the Lévy exponent of the process evaluated at θ\theta, reflecting its structure as a Lévy subordinator with no Gaussian component or drift in certain parameterizations. The MGF provides a generating tool for the moments of the increments and marginals; specifically, the kk-th moment is obtained as the kk-th derivative of M(θ)M(\theta) evaluated at θ=0\theta = 0.

Correlation and Dependence

The dependence structure of the Gamma process arises from its definition as a Lévy subordinator with stationary and independent increments over disjoint time intervals. This property implies that increments over non-overlapping intervals are independent, resulting in zero covariance between such increments and thus no dependence between process values that do not share common history. However, when intervals overlap, the shared portion of the path induces positive dependence, as the process accumulates degradation monotonically without negative jumps. For 0<s<t0 < s < t, the covariance between process values is given by Cov(X(s),X(t))=c2ν(min(s,t))=c2ν(s),\text{Cov}(X(s), X(t)) = c^2 \nu(\min(s,t)) = c^2 \nu(s), where the Gamma process is parameterized such that X(t)Gamma(ν(t),c)X(t) \sim \text{Gamma}(\nu(t), c) with shape function ν(t)\nu(t) and scale parameter c>0c > 0. This structure follows directly from the independent increments: X(t)=X(s)+[X(t)X(s)]X(t) = X(s) + [X(t) - X(s)], where X(t)X(s)X(t) - X(s) is independent of X(s)X(s), yielding Cov(X(s),X(t))=Var(X(s))\text{Cov}(X(s), X(t)) = \text{Var}(X(s)). The correlation function is Corr(X(s),X(t))=ν(min(s,t))ν(max(s,t)),\text{Corr}(X(s), X(t)) = \sqrt{ \frac{\nu(\min(s,t))}{\nu(\max(s,t))} },
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