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Gamma process
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A gamma process, also called the Moran-Gamma subordinator,[1] is a two-parameter stochastic process which models the accumulation of effort or wear over time. The gamma process has independent and stationary increments which follow the gamma distribution, hence the name. The gamma process is studied in mathematics, statistics, probability theory, and stochastics, with particular applications in deterioration modeling[2] and mathematical finance.[3]
Notation
[edit]The gamma process is often abbreviated as where represents the time from 0. The shape parameter (inversely) controls the jump size, and the rate parameter controls the rate of jump arrivals, analogously with the gamma distribution.[4] Both and must be greater than 0. We use the gamma function and gamma distribution in this article, so the reader should distinguish between (the gamma function), (the gamma distribution), and (the gamma process).
Definition
[edit]The process is a pure-jump increasing Lévy process with intensity measure for all positive . It is assumed that the process starts from a value 0 at meaning . Thus jumps whose size lies in the interval occur as a Poisson process with intensity
The process can also be defined as a stochastic process with and independent increments, whose marginal distribution of the random variable for an increment is given by[4]
Inhomogenous process
[edit]It is also possible to allow the shape parameter to vary as a function of time, .[4]
Properties
[edit]This section needs additional citations for verification. (June 2023) |
Mean and variance
[edit]Because the value at each time has mean and variance [5] the gamma process is sometimes also parameterised in terms of the mean () and variance () of the increase per unit time. These satisfy and .
Scaling
[edit]Multiplication of a gamma process by a scalar constant is again a gamma process with different mean increase rate.
Adding independent processes
[edit]The sum of two independent gamma processes is again a gamma process.
Moments
[edit]The moment function helps mathematicians find expected values, variances, skewness, and kurtosis. where is the Gamma function.
Moment generating function
[edit]The moment generating function is the expected value of where X is the random variable.
Correlation
[edit]Correlation displays the statistical relationship between any two gamma processes. , for any gamma process
Related processes
[edit]The gamma process is used as the distribution for random time change in the variance gamma process. Specifically, combining Brownian motion with a gamma process produces a variance gamma process,[6] and a variance gamma process can be written as the difference of two gamma processes.[3]
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Klenke 2008, p. 536.
- ^ Sánchez-Silva & Klutke 2016, p. 93.
- ^ a b Fu & Madan 2007, p. 38.
- ^ a b c Sánchez-Silva & Klutke 2016, p. 133.
- ^ Sánchez-Silva & Klutke 2016, p. 94.
- ^ Applebaum 2004, pp. 58–59.
References
[edit]- Applebaum, David (2004). Lévy processes and stochastic calculus. Cambridge, UK; New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-83263-2.
- Fu, Michael; Madan, Dilip B. (2007). Advances in mathematical finance. Boston: Birkhauser. ISBN 978-0-8176-4545-8.
- Klenke, Achim (2008). Probability theory: a comprehensive course. London: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-1-84800-048-3_24. ISBN 978-1-84800-048-3.
- Sánchez-Silva, Mauricio; Klutke, Georgia-Ann (2016). Reliability and life-cycle analysis of deteriorating systems. Cham: Springer. ISBN 978-3-319-20946-3.
Gamma process
View on GrokipediaFundamentals
Notation
The gamma process is parameterized using a shape function , defined for , along with a scale parameter .[5] The shape function is non-decreasing and satisfies .[5] The process, denoted , initializes at .[5] For , the increment follows the distribution , with increments over disjoint intervals being independent.[5] The gamma distribution employs a shape parameter and scale parameter , equivalent to a rate parameter .[5] Its probability density function is given by where denotes the gamma function, and for the increment, .[5] In the homogeneous case, the shape function is linear: for some shape rate .[5]Homogeneous Definition
A homogeneous gamma process is a Lévy subordinator defined as a stochastic process with almost surely, independent and stationary increments, right-continuous paths with left limits, and such that the increments for follow a gamma distribution , where is the shape rate parameter and is the rate parameter (shape , mean ).[1][6] This parameterization ensures that for each , with the probability density function given by [6] As a special case of a Lévy process, the homogeneous gamma process exhibits stationary independent increments, meaning the distribution of depends only on , and the increments over disjoint time intervals are independent.[1] It is a subordinator because all jumps are positive, resulting in non-decreasing sample paths almost surely.[6] The underlying infinite activity is captured by its Lévy measure for , which has infinite total mass but satisfies the integrability conditions for Lévy processes with no Gaussian component and zero drift.[1][6] The characteristic function of an increment is for , reflecting the infinite divisibility of the gamma distribution.[1] This form underscores the process's role as a pure jump Lévy subordinator with positive increments.[6]Extensions and Variations
Inhomogeneous Gamma Process
The inhomogeneous gamma process extends the homogeneous gamma process to allow for time-dependent, non-stationary increments, making it suitable for modeling degradation or accumulation phenomena where the rate varies over time. It is defined as a stochastic process with , independent increments, and non-negative sample paths, such that for any , the increment follows a gamma distribution , where is a constant rate parameter and is a deterministic, non-decreasing function with . This structure ensures that the expected increment scales with , capturing varying intensity of change across different time intervals.[2] In contrast to the homogeneous gamma process, where increments depend solely on the interval length due to a linear for constant , the inhomogeneous version allows the distribution of increments to vary based on the specific positions of and through , enabling representation of non-constant degradation rates such as those observed in aging materials or reliability contexts.[2] The homogeneous case emerges as a special instance when is linear.[7] Common forms of include the linear , which aligns with constant-rate accumulation, and power-law for and , frequently applied to model wear processes where degradation accelerates () or progresses sublinearly (), such as in corrosion or fatigue crack growth.[2] More flexibly, where is an intensity function, permits arbitrary non-decreasing profiles tailored to empirical data on degradation dynamics.[7] At the process level, the inhomogeneous gamma process admits an adapted Lévy-Khintchine representation as a time-inhomogeneous subordinator, with the cumulant function of the characteristic function given by , where the compensator measure incorporates the time-varying intensity via .[8] This formulation underscores its role in generalizing pure-jump processes with infinite activity while emphasizing the structural dependence on for practical modeling.[8]Scaling and Parameterization
The Gamma process exhibits well-defined scaling properties that facilitate adjustments in modeling deterioration or accumulation phenomena under different time or amplitude regimes. For time scaling with a positive constant , the rescaled process follows a Gamma process distribution with modified shape function and transformed rate parameter . This adjustment ensures the expected value of the process aligns with the original mean structure while adapting the rate of shape accumulation and variability to the compressed time scale.[9] Space scaling of the process is similarly straightforward. For a constant , the process is distributed as a Gamma process with the original shape function but a transformed rate parameter . This equivalence holds because a Gamma-distributed random variable with shape and rate is equal in distribution to times a Gamma random variable with shape and rate . Such scaling preserves the structural form of the process while linearly amplifying the amplitude of increments. Standardization of the Gamma process often involves rescaling to achieve a unit mean rate, particularly in the homogeneous case where . By dividing the process by , the standardized version satisfies , simplifying comparisons across models or applications while retaining the stochastic properties. This rescaling highlights the flexibility of the parameterization for practical reliability analyses. The parameters of the Gamma process carry specific interpretations that underscore its utility in stochastic modeling. The rate parameter governs the dispersion of the increments, influencing the variability relative to the mean accumulation. In contrast, the shape function captures the cumulative rate of accumulation over time, determining how the expected degradation or growth evolves, often specified as a non-decreasing function to reflect monotonic processes like wear. These interpretations enable precise fitting to empirical data in fields such as structural reliability.Statistical Properties
Mean, Variance, and Moments
The expected value of a gamma process at time , with , is given by where is the scale parameter and is the non-decreasing shape function with . This expression derives directly from the property of the gamma distribution, under which (shape-scale parameterization), having mean for shape .[10][7] The variance of is which scales linearly with the shape function and thus increases over time, capturing the growing uncertainty in the process's cumulative effect, such as degradation accumulation. This follows from the gamma variance formula .[10][7] For an increment over , where increments are independent and , the mean is and the variance is . The -th raw moment of the increment is expressed via the rising factorial (Pochhammer symbol) , a standard result for gamma moments that highlights the process's positive skewness and heavy tails for small shape values.[10][9] In the asymptotic regime for large , where increases without bound (e.g., in the homogeneous case), the -th moment grows on the order of , as the product in the moment formula is asymptotically dominated by its leading term , with governing the overall scaling behavior.[10]Moment Generating Function
The moment generating function (MGF) of the increment of a gamma process over the interval with is given by where is the scale parameter and is the non-decreasing shape function of the process. This form arises directly because the increments follow a gamma distribution with shape parameter and scale parameter . For the value of the process at time , assuming , the MGF simplifies to M_{X(t)}(\theta) = \left(1 - c \theta \right)^{-\nu(t)}, \quad \theta < \frac{1}{c}. $$ Similarly, this follows from the marginal distribution $X(t) \sim \mathrm{[Gamma](/page/Gamma_distribution)}(\nu(t), c)$. The cumulant generating function, obtained as the natural logarithm of the MGF, is \log M_{X(t) - X(s)}(\theta) = -(\nu(t) - \nu(s)) \log(1 - c \theta), \quad \theta < \frac{1}{c}. $$ This expression corresponds to the Lévy exponent of the process evaluated at , reflecting its structure as a Lévy subordinator with no Gaussian component or drift in certain parameterizations. The MGF provides a generating tool for the moments of the increments and marginals; specifically, the -th moment is obtained as the -th derivative of evaluated at .Correlation and Dependence
The dependence structure of the Gamma process arises from its definition as a Lévy subordinator with stationary and independent increments over disjoint time intervals.[11] This property implies that increments over non-overlapping intervals are independent, resulting in zero covariance between such increments and thus no dependence between process values that do not share common history.[11] However, when intervals overlap, the shared portion of the path induces positive dependence, as the process accumulates degradation monotonically without negative jumps. For , the covariance between process values is given by where the Gamma process is parameterized such that with shape function and scale parameter .[11] This structure follows directly from the independent increments: , where is independent of , yielding .[11] The correlation function is which decreases as the time separation increases, since is non-decreasing.[12] This reflects the positive but weakening association between distant points in the path, consistent with the accumulating nature of the process. For fixed and , if , then , establishing asymptotic independence.[12]Construction and Operations
The gamma process can be constructed explicitly as a pure-jump Lévy process using a Poisson random measure. Specifically, , where is a Poisson random measure on with intensity measure , and the Lévy measure is for , consistent with the parameters (shape scale) and (rate) from the article introduction.[13] This representation captures the infinite activity and positive jumps inherent to the process.Adding Independent Processes
The sum of independent gamma processes possesses notable closure properties, particularly when their rate parameters align. Suppose are independent gamma processes, where each has shape function and rate parameter (noting the article's use of scale as reciprocal, but aligning with exponential form). The pointwise sum at time , defined as , follows a distribution that arises from the convolution of the marginal gamma distributions in shape-rate parameterization. In the special case where all rate parameters are identical, i.e., for every , the sum is distributed as . Consequently, the process itself constitutes a gamma process with shape function and rate , preserving the class of gamma processes under addition. This closure stems from the additive property of gamma shapes under convolution when rates match, extended to the process level via independent stationary increments. When the rate parameters differ, however, becomes a sum of independent gamma random variables with mismatched rates, which does not yield a pure gamma distribution. In this scenario, forms a broader Lévy subordinator with Lévy measure for , where for the homogeneous case, reflecting the superposition of the individual Lévy measures.[13] Practical approximations, such as single-gamma fits via moment matching, are frequently employed to simplify analysis while capturing key distributional features like mean and variance. The convolution structure extends naturally to increments over time intervals. For a fixed interval with , the increment involves independent gamma increments from each process, each distributed as , but the primary focus remains on the marginal sums at fixed times rather than pathwise convolutions over overlapping intervals. This superposition property finds direct application in modeling compound degradation, where overall system wear is conceptualized as the aggregate of multiple independent homogeneous degradation mechanisms, each governed by a gamma process. When these components share a common rate parameter, the total degradation retains the gamma process form, facilitating tractable reliability predictions and maintenance scheduling in engineering contexts.Sample Path Characteristics
The sample paths of a gamma process are non-decreasing almost surely, meaning with probability 1 for all , and moreover, almost surely, reflecting its nature as a subordinator with strictly positive increments over any positive time interval.[13][14] This property arises from the underlying Lévy measure for , which ensures only positive jumps and no negative movements.[15] As a special case of a Lévy process, the sample paths of the gamma process are right-continuous with left limits (càdlàg) almost surely, providing a regular version suitable for stochastic calculus.[14][16] This cadlag structure accommodates the discontinuities induced by jumps while maintaining continuity from the right at every time point. The gamma process is a pure jump process with no diffusion (Gaussian) component, as its characteristic triplet features zero Brownian variance .[14] Its paths consist entirely of jumps governed by a Poisson random measure with intensity measure , where the jump sizes follow the singular distribution dictated by the Lévy measure near zero, leading to an infinite number of small jumps in any finite interval (infinite activity).[13][15] Despite this infinite activity, the paths exhibit bounded total variation over any compact interval almost surely, as the condition holds, ensuring the sum of absolute jump sizes remains finite.[14][16] Regarding regularity, the sample paths of the gamma process are not continuous due to the presence of jumps but possess limited Hölder continuity properties influenced by the accumulation of small jumps. Specifically, the paths are Hölder continuous almost surely for any exponent , but fail to be so for , with the roughness stemming from the infinite small jumps near zero as captured by the Lévy measure's singularity.[15] This behavior aligns with the fractal-like structure observed in subordinators of infinite activity, where the dense set of discontinuities limits higher-order regularity.Applications and Related Concepts
Reliability and Degradation Modeling
The gamma process is widely applied in reliability engineering to model monotone increasing degradation phenomena, such as fatigue crack growth in structural components or wear in mechanical systems, where the process represents the cumulative damage accumulated by time . Failure is defined as the first passage time , with denoting a critical failure threshold. This approach captures the stochastic nature of degradation through independent, non-negative increments following a gamma distribution, making it suitable for systems exhibiting gradual, irreversible deterioration without sudden jumps beyond the monotonic trend.[17][18] For the homogeneous gamma process, the cumulative distribution function of the first passage time to a fixed threshold is given by , where is the upper incomplete gamma function, is the shape rate parameter, and is the scale parameter. Exact closed-form expressions for the density are unavailable, but for large , the tail probability admits a Pareto approximation, facilitating reliability assessments in the long-term regime.[18] Key advantages of the gamma process over alternative degradation models, such as the Wiener process, include its strict monotonicity, which aligns with physical degradation paths, along with closed-form expressions for moments—e.g., and —enabling straightforward computation of expected lifetimes and uncertainties. Additionally, the gamma distribution's conjugacy with gamma priors supports efficient Bayesian inference for parameter updating in real-time monitoring. Introduced in the 1970s for modeling wear processes in accelerated life testing, the gamma process has evolved into a cornerstone of modern prognostics and health management, applied in sectors like aerospace for predicting remaining useful life from degradation signals.[17][18][20] Parameter estimation typically employs maximum likelihood methods based on observed degradation increments, which are independently gamma-distributed with shape and scale , allowing robust fitting even with sparse or censored data from inspections. This contrasts with non-parametric approaches by providing interpretable parameters tied to degradation rate and variability.[18][21]Related Stochastic Processes
The gamma process belongs to the class of subordinators, which are non-decreasing Lévy processes featuring only positive drifts and jumps, ensuring sample paths that are almost surely increasing; this contrasts with general Lévy processes, which permit negative jumps and thus potentially decreasing paths.[22] A key connection exists between the gamma process and the Dirichlet process, where the latter arises as the normalization of a gamma process serving as the underlying measure in the stick-breaking construction, as originally defined by Ferguson in 1973.[23][24] The variance gamma process extends the gamma process bilaterally by subordinating a Brownian motion with drift to an independent gamma process, enabling symmetric movements in both directions while inheriting the gamma's infinite activity and positive skewness properties.[4] The inverse gamma process, as proposed by Guida and Pulcini (2012), models state-dependent deterioration in survival analysis, particularly capturing decreasing hazard rates through its bounded jumps and concave mean function.[25] Conversely, the gamma process arises as the weak limit of renormalized α-stable subordinators as α → 0⁺, transitioning from the power-law Lévy measure of the stable (with heavier tails) to the gamma's exponential decay.[1]References
- https://www.[researchgate](/page/ResearchGate).net/publication/4864458_Approximating_the_Randomized_Hitting_Time_Distribution_of_a_Non-Stationary_Gamma_Process
