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Stochastic calculus
Stochastic calculus
from Wikipedia

Stochastic calculus is a branch of mathematics that operates on stochastic processes. It allows a consistent theory of integration to be defined for integrals of stochastic processes with respect to stochastic processes. This field was created and started by the Japanese mathematician Kiyosi Itô during World War II.

The best-known stochastic process to which stochastic calculus is applied is the Wiener process (named in honor of Norbert Wiener), which is used for modeling Brownian motion as described by Louis Bachelier in 1900 and by Albert Einstein in 1905 and other physical diffusion processes in space of particles subject to random forces. Since the 1970s, the Wiener process has been widely applied in financial mathematics and economics to model the evolution in time of stock prices and bond interest rates.

The main flavours of stochastic calculus are the Itô calculus and its variational relative the Malliavin calculus. For technical reasons the Itô integral is the most useful for general classes of processes, but the related Stratonovich integral is frequently useful in problem formulation (particularly in engineering disciplines). The Stratonovich integral can readily be expressed in terms of the Itô integral, and vice versa. The main benefit of the Stratonovich integral is that it obeys the usual chain rule and therefore does not require Itô's lemma. This enables problems to be expressed in a coordinate system invariant form, which is invaluable when developing stochastic calculus on manifolds other than Rn. The dominated convergence theorem does not hold for the Stratonovich integral; consequently it is very difficult to prove results without re-expressing the integrals in Itô form.

Itô integral

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The Itô integral is central to the study of stochastic calculus. The integral is defined for a semimartingale X and locally bounded predictable process H. [citation needed]

Stratonovich integral

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The Stratonovich integral or Fisk–Stratonovich integral of a semimartingale against another semimartingale Y can be defined in terms of the Itô integral as

where [XY]tc denotes the optional quadratic covariation of the continuous parts of X and Y, which is the optional quadratic covariation minus the jumps of the processes and , i.e.

.

The alternative notation

is also used to denote the Stratonovich integral.

Applications

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An important application of stochastic calculus is in mathematical finance, in which asset prices are often assumed to follow stochastic differential equations. For example, the Black–Scholes model prices options as if they follow a geometric Brownian motion, illustrating the opportunities and risks from applying stochastic calculus.

Stochastic integrals

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Besides the classical Itô and Fisk–Stratonovich integrals, many other notions of stochastic integrals exist, such as the Hitsuda–Skorokhod integral, the Marcus integral, and the Ogawa integral.

See also

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References

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
Stochastic calculus is a branch of mathematics that extends classical calculus to handle stochastic processes, particularly through the development of integrals and differential equations involving random phenomena such as Brownian motion. It provides essential tools for modeling and analyzing systems influenced by uncertainty, with foundational concepts including the Itô integral and stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The origins of stochastic calculus trace back to the late 19th and early 20th centuries, beginning with Thorvald Nicolai Thiele's 1880 modeling of Brownian motion for time series analysis. Louis Bachelier's 1900 thesis applied Brownian motion to stock price fluctuations, introducing the idea of independent, normally distributed increments in financial markets. Albert Einstein's 1905 physical interpretation of Brownian motion further solidified its theoretical basis, while Norbert Wiener's 1923 rigorous construction using measure theory formalized the Wiener process. Andrey Kolmogorov's 1931 work on Markov processes connected diffusions to partial differential equations, laying groundwork for later developments. The pivotal advancement came in 1944 with Kiyosi Itô's introduction of stochastic integration, followed by his 1951 formulation of Itô's lemma, which enables differentiation of stochastic processes and is central to solving SDEs. By the 1960s and 1970s, contributions from Paul-André Meyer and others, including the Doob-Meyer decomposition in 1962 and the concept of semimartingales in 1970, broadened the theory beyond Markov processes, establishing stochastic calculus as a robust framework. At its core, stochastic calculus revolves around stochastic processes, which are collections of random variables evolving over time, defined on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P) with a filtration {Ft}\{\mathcal{F}_t\} representing accumulating information. The Wiener process, or Brownian motion, serves as the canonical example: a continuous-time process with independent, normally distributed increments WtWsN(0,ts)W_t - W_s \sim \mathcal{N}(0, t-s) for t>st > s, exhibiting quadratic variation [W,W]t=t[W, W]_t = t. The Itô integral, 0thsdWs\int_0^t h_s \, dW_s, extends integration to non-deterministic integrands hh adapted to the filtration, defined as an L2L^2 limit for simple processes and possessing properties like zero mean (E[hdW]=0\mathbb{E}[\int h \, dW] = 0) and Itô isometry (E[(hdW)2]=E[h2]ds\mathbb{E}[(\int h \, dW)^2] = \int \mathbb{E}[h^2] \, ds). This integral underpins stochastic differential equations of the form dXt=b(t,Xt)dt+σ(t,Xt)dWtdX_t = b(t, X_t) \, dt + \sigma(t, X_t) \, dW_t, where bb is the drift and σ\sigma the diffusion coefficient, solved using Itô's lemma—a chain rule analogue that accounts for the quadratic variation of the Wiener process: for f(t,Xt)f(t, X_t), df=ftdt+fxdX+122fx2(dX)2df = \frac{\partial f}{\partial t} dt + \frac{\partial f}{\partial x} dX + \frac{1}{2} \frac{\partial^2 f}{\partial x^2} (dX)^2, with (dX)2=σ2dt(dX)^2 = \sigma^2 dt. Applications of stochastic calculus span multiple fields, most notably mathematical finance, where it derives the Black-Scholes equation for option pricing under the geometric Brownian motion model dSt=μStdt+σStdWtdS_t = \mu S_t \, dt + \sigma S_t \, dW_t, enabling risk-neutral valuation and hedging strategies. In physics and engineering, it models particle diffusion, noise in signal processing, and optimal control problems, such as minimizing costs in SDEs via the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation. Filtering theory, including the Kalman filter extension to nonlinear cases, uses stochastic calculus for state estimation in noisy environments, as in tracking or navigation systems. Additionally, it connects to partial differential equations through Feynman-Kac representations, linking SDEs to solutions of parabolic PDEs like the heat equation. These tools have transformed quantitative modeling, emphasizing martingales—processes with constant conditional expectation—for fair pricing and no-arbitrage principles.

Introduction

Overview

Stochastic calculus is the branch of mathematics that extends the methods of calculus to stochastic processes, particularly emphasizing integration and differentiation in environments characterized by randomness. It provides tools for analyzing systems where outcomes are probabilistic rather than deterministic, enabling the rigorous treatment of uncertainty in continuous time. The core components of stochastic calculus include stochastic integrals, which define integration with respect to random processes; stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which model dynamics driven by noise; and Itô's lemma, a fundamental theorem analogous to the chain rule but adapted for stochastic settings. These elements allow for the manipulation of expressions involving randomness, such as computing expectations or solving equations under uncertainty. In contrast to deterministic calculus, which assumes smooth and differentiable paths, stochastic calculus addresses the irregularities of random paths, such as those with infinite variation but finite quadratic variation, exemplified by Brownian motion. This distinction necessitates new definitions and rules to handle the non-differentiability inherent in noise-driven evolutions. Stochastic calculus is essential for modeling phenomena with intrinsic randomness, including financial markets where asset prices fluctuate unpredictably and physical processes like particle diffusion. A representative example is the basic SDE dXt=μdt+σdWt,dX_t = \mu \, dt + \sigma \, dW_t, where μdt\mu \, dt captures the deterministic drift, σdWt\sigma \, dW_t the random volatility term, and WtW_t the Wiener process representing the noise source.

Historical development

The foundations of stochastic calculus emerged in the early 20th century, building on probabilistic models of random phenomena. In 1900, Louis Bachelier presented his doctoral thesis Théorie de la spéculation, which modeled stock price fluctuations as an arithmetic Brownian motion, introducing the concept of a continuous-time random walk to financial mathematics for the first time. This work laid an early groundwork for applying stochastic processes to economic systems, though it initially received limited attention. Five years later, Albert Einstein's seminal paper on the Brownian motion of suspended particles provided a physical interpretation through the lens of molecular diffusion, rigorously deriving the mean squared displacement proportional to time and connecting microscopic chaos to macroscopic randomness. The 1920s and 1930s saw mathematical formalization that enabled a rigorous framework for stochastic analysis. Norbert Wiener constructed the Wiener process in 1923, defining Brownian motion as a continuous but nowhere differentiable path in a probabilistic space, which became the canonical model for random fluctuations. This was complemented by Andrey Kolmogorov's 1933 axiomatization of probability theory, which provided the measure-theoretic foundations necessary for handling infinite-dimensional path spaces and ensuring the consistency of stochastic integrals. During World War II, practical needs in electronics and signal processing, such as modeling thermal noise in circuits and radar interference, accelerated research into stochastic processes, influencing the development of tools for noisy dynamical systems. A pivotal breakthrough occurred in 1944 when Kiyosi Itô invented the Itô stochastic integral, motivated by his efforts to solve stochastic differential equations describing physical systems perturbed by Brownian noise, such as turbulence and electronic fluctuations. Itô expanded on this in his 1951 memoir On Stochastic Differential Equations, establishing the calculus for non-anticipating integrands with respect to Brownian motion. In the 1950s, Joseph Doob's Stochastic Processes formalized martingale theory, offering a probabilistic structure essential for convergence and optional sampling in stochastic settings. The 1960s introduced Ruslan Stratonovich's integral, developed around 1961 for applications in physics where ordinary chain rules apply, facilitating modeling in quantum mechanics and control theory. From the 1970s onward, stochastic calculus exploded in applications, particularly in finance and beyond. The 1973 Black-Scholes model for option pricing relied on Itô calculus to derive a partial differential equation for asset prices under geometric Brownian motion, revolutionizing quantitative finance. Later extensions addressed limitations with rougher paths; in the 1990s, Terry Lyons developed rough path theory to generalize stochastic integrals to signals with finite p-variation where p > 2, enabling solutions to equations driven by paths beyond semimartingales. These advancements continue to underpin modern probability and its interdisciplinary uses.

Prerequisites

Stochastic processes

A stochastic process is formally defined as a family of random variables {Xt:tT}\{X_t : t \in T\}, where TT is an index set typically representing time, and each XtX_t is defined on a common probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P). This collection describes the evolution of a random phenomenon over time, with realizations known as sample paths or trajectories. In the context of stochastic calculus, continuous-time processes—where T=[0,)T = [0, \infty) or a similar interval—are of primary interest, as they model phenomena like asset prices or physical systems with smooth temporal progression. Stochastic processes are classified based on key properties, such as the Markov property, which states that the future state depends only on the current state and not on the history, leading to Markov processes. Another important class is Lévy processes, characterized by stationary and independent increments, starting at zero almost surely, and having right-continuous paths with left limits (càdlàg). Stationarity refers to the invariance of the process's statistical properties over time shifts; strict stationarity requires the joint distribution of any finite collection of variables to remain unchanged under time translation, while weak (or second-order) stationarity assumes constant mean and autocovariance depending only on the time lag, provided second moments exist. Independent increments mean that the differences XtXsX_t - X_s for disjoint intervals (s,t](s, t] are independent random variables, a property central to processes like Lévy. Examples illustrate these concepts: the Poisson process, a counting process with independent increments and jumps at random times, models events like arrivals in a queue, where the number of events in an interval follows a Poisson distribution with mean proportional to the interval length. Gaussian processes, where every finite-dimensional distribution is multivariate normal, provide smooth examples with continuous paths, serving as a bridge to processes without jumps. Path properties are crucial for analysis; continuity implies no jumps, while càdlàg paths—right-continuous with left limits—accommodate jumps common in financial modeling, ensuring well-defined limits for stochastic integrals. A fundamental result connecting discrete to continuous processes is that the central limit theorem implies sums of independent random variables, suitably scaled and centered, approximate a Brownian motion in distribution, justifying the use of continuous paths for large-scale random walks. Brownian motion stands out as a key example of a continuous-time stochastic process with these properties, underpinning much of stochastic calculus.

Brownian motion

Brownian motion, also known as the Wiener process, originates from the empirical observation of erratic particle movement in fluids, first systematically documented by the Scottish botanist Robert Brown in 1827 while examining pollen grains under a microscope. This phenomenon was later mathematically formalized by Norbert Wiener in 1923, who provided the first rigorous construction of the process as a continuous-time stochastic model. The standard Brownian motion W=(Wt)t0W = (W_t)_{t \geq 0} is defined on a probability space as a stochastic process starting at W0=0W_0 = 0 almost surely, with continuous sample paths with probability 1, independent increments, and normally distributed increments such that for 0s<t0 \leq s < t, WtWsN(0,ts)W_t - W_s \sim \mathcal{N}(0, t - s). The covariance function of the process is given by E[WsWt]=min(s,t)\mathbb{E}[W_s W_t] = \min(s, t) for s,t0s, t \geq 0, which encapsulates its Gaussian nature and the stationary variance of increments. Key path properties distinguish Brownian motion: almost every sample path is continuous but nowhere differentiable, reflecting its infinite variation despite bounded quadratic variation defined as [W]t=t[W]_t = t. Additionally, the process exhibits scaling invariance, where for any c>0c > 0, the rescaled process satisfies Wct=dcWtW_{ct} \stackrel{d}{=} \sqrt{c} \, W_t
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