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Solid South
Solid South
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Arkansas voted Democratic in all 23 presidential elections from 1876 through 1964; other states were not quite as solid but generally supported Democrats for president.

Key Information

The Solid South was the electoral voting bloc for the Democratic Party in the Southern United States between the end of the Reconstruction era in 1877 and the Civil Rights Act of 1964.[1][2] In the aftermath of the Compromise of 1877 and the failure of the Lodge Bill of 1890, Southern Democrats disenfranchised nearly all blacks in all the former states of the Confederate States of America during the late 19th century and the early 20th century.[3]

During this period, the Democratic Party controlled southern state legislatures and most local, state and federal officeholders in the South were Democrats. This resulted in a one-party system, in which a candidate's victory in Democratic primary elections was tantamount to election to the office itself. White primaries were another means that the Democrats used to consolidate their political power, excluding blacks from voting.[4]

The "Solid South" included all 11 former Confederate states: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia. It also included to a lesser extent Kentucky and Oklahoma,[a] which remained electorally competitive during the Jim Crow era.[5] The Border states of Delaware, Maryland, and West Virginia were rarely identified with the Solid South after the 1896 United States presidential election, while Missouri became a bellwether state after the 1904 United States presidential election.[6] The Solid South only began to fall after World War II, and ended in the 1960s as a result of the Civil rights movement.[7]

The Solid South can also refer to the "Southern strategy" that has been employed by Republicans since the 1960s to increase their electoral power in the South. Republicans have been the dominant party in most political offices within the South since 2010.[8] The main exception to this trend has been the state of Virginia.[9]

Background

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A map of the United States during the Civil War. Blue represents free Union states, including those admitted during the war. Light blue represents southern border states, though West Virginia, Missouri and Kentucky had dual Confederate and Unionist governments. Red represents Confederate states. Unshaded areas were not states before or during the Civil War.[b]

At the start of the American Civil War, there were 34 states in the United States, 15 of which were slave states. Slavery was also legal in the District of Columbia until 1862. Eleven of these slave states seceded from the United States to form the Confederacy: South Carolina, Mississippi, Florida, Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Texas, Virginia, Arkansas, Tennessee, and North Carolina.[11]

The southern slave states that stayed in the Union were Maryland, Missouri,[c] Delaware, and Kentucky, and they were referred to as the border states. Kentucky and Missouri both had dual competing Confederate governments, the Confederate government of Kentucky and the Confederate government of Missouri. The Confederacy controlled more than half of Kentucky and the southern portion of Missouri early in the war but largely lost control in both states after 1862.[13] West Virginia, created in 1863 from Unionist and Confederate counties of Virginia, was represented in both Union and Confederate legislatures, and was the only border state to have civilian voting in the 1863 Confederate States House of Representatives elections.[14][15]

By the time the Emancipation Proclamation was made in 1863, Tennessee was already under Union control. Accordingly, the Proclamation applied only to the 10 remaining Confederate states. Some of the border states abolished slavery before the end of the Civil War—Maryland in 1864,[16] Missouri in 1865,[17] one of the Confederate states, Tennessee in 1865,[18] West Virginia in 1865,[19] and the District of Columbia in 1862. However, slavery persisted in Delaware,[20] Kentucky,[21] and 10 of the 11 former Confederate states, until the Thirteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution abolished slavery throughout the United States on December 18, 1865.[22]

Democratic dominance of the South originated in the struggle of white Southerners during and after Reconstruction (1865–1877) to reestablish white supremacy and disenfranchise black people. The federal government of the United States under the Republican Party had defeated the Confederacy, abolished slavery, and enfranchised black people. In several states, Black voters were a majority or close to it. Republicans supported by black people controlled state governments in these states. Thus the Democratic Party became the vehicle for the white supremacist Redeemers.[23] The Ku Klux Klan, as well as other insurgent paramilitary groups such as the White League and Red Shirts from 1874, acted as "the military arm of the Democratic party" to disrupt Republican organizing, and to engage in voter intimidation and voter suppresion of black voters.[24]

Redemption

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Associate Justice Joseph P. Bradley c. 1870s

The end of Reconstruction and the creation of the Solid South was caused by the Southern Democratic Redeemers, and enabled by some Republicans.[23] Joseph P. Bradley was a Supreme Court associate justice from 1870 to 1892, and was a Republican appointed by Republican president Ulysses S. Grant. Bradley was a key enabler of the creation of the Solid South, both as a judge and in his tie-breaking role in the 15-member Electoral Commission that decided the disputed 1876 presidential election.[25]

The 1872 Louisiana gubernatorial election was won by Republican William Pitt Kellogg. The Colfax massacre occurred on April 13, 1873, in Colfax, Louisiana. An estimated 62–153 Black men were murdered while surrendering to a mob of former Confederate soldiers and members of the Ku Klux Klan. Three White men also died during the confrontation.[25] In 1874, the Battle of Liberty Place occurred in which the White League attempted to overthrow Kellogg's Republican government in New Orleans, Louisiana,[26] which was suppressed by federal troops sent by Republican president Ulysses S. Grant.[27]

It was due to Bradley's intervention that prisoners charged in the Colfax Massacre of 1873 were freed, after he happened to attend their trial and ruled that the federal law they were charged under was unconstitutional. This resulted in the federal government's bringing the case on appeal to the Supreme Court as United States v. Cruikshank (1875). The court's ruling was that because the massacre was not a state action, the federal government would not intervene on paramilitary and group attacks on individuals. It essentially opened the door to heightened paramilitary activity in the South that forced Republicans from office, suppressed black voting, and opened the way for white Democratic takeover of state legislatures.[25]

The Mississippi Plan of 1874–1875 was developed by white Southern Democrats to reverse Republican strength in Mississippi, particularly to remove Republican governor Adelbert Ames. White paramilitary organizations such as the Red Shirts arose to serve as "the military arm of the Democratic Party." The first step was to persuade scalawags (white Republicans) to vote with the Democratic party, with outright attacks and political pressure convincing many scalawags to switch parties or flee the state. The second step of the Mississippi Plan was intimidation of African American voters, with the Red Shirts often using violence, including whippings and murders, and intimidation at the polls. The Red Shirts were joined in the violence by white paramilitary groups known as "rifle clubs," who frequently provoked riots at Republican rallies, shooting down dozens of blacks in the ensuing conflicts.[28] Ultimately, Adelbert Ames was unable to organize a state militia and signed a peace treaty with Democratic leaders. In return for disarming the few militia units he had assembled, they promised to guarantee a full, free, fair election, a promise they did not keep. In November 1875, Democrats terrorized a large part of the Republican vote into staying home, driving voters from the polls with shotguns and cannons, and gaining firm control of both houses of the Mississippi legislature. The state legislature, convening in 1876, drew up articles of impeachment against Ames. Rather than face an impeachment trial, Ames's lawyers made a deal: once the legislature had dropped all charges, he would resign his office, which occurred on March 29, 1876.[23]

Compromise of 1877

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Republican Daniel Henry Chamberlain c. 1898
Democrat Wade Hampton III c. 1879–1880
Democrat Samuel J. Tilden c. 1870
Republican President Rutherford B. Hayes (1877–1881) c. 1870–1880

Republican Daniel Henry Chamberlain was born in Massachusetts and had served as a second lieutenant in the U.S. Army with the 5th Massachusetts Colored Volunteer Cavalry, a regiment of Black troops. Chamberlain was elected Governor of South Carolina in 1874 and sought re-election in 1876.[29] Both Republicans, Bradley and Chamberlain, played crucial roles on opposing sides of the creation of the Solid South. Bradley gave Republican Rutherford B. Hayes the presidency in the 1876 presidential election, which in turn caused Chamberlain to lose the South Carolina governorship as part of the Compromise of 1877.[30]

In the aftermath of the Panic of 1873, poor economic conditions caused voters to turn against the Republican Party. In the 1874 congressional elections, the Democratic Party assumed control of the U.S. House of Representatives for the first time since the Civil War. Public opinion in the North began to steer away from Reconstruction. With the depression, ambitious railroad building programs crashed across the South, leaving most Southern states deep in debt and burdened with heavy taxes. Most Southern states fell to Democratic control in the South, as the Republican Party lost electoral power in the South.[31]

Democrat Samuel J. Tilden was elected governor of New York in 1874, and had supported the Union during the American Civil War. Republican Rutherford B. Hayes had served in the Union army as an officer, served in Congress from 1865 to 1867, and served as governor of Ohio from 1868 to 1872 and 1876 to 1877 before his swearing-in as president. The 1876 presidential election was extremely controversial, as Hayes lost the popular vote to Tilden 47.9%–50.9%, but ultimately won the Electoral College 185-184. Hayes won three former Confederate states, all by extremely narrow margins: South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana. Yet all three states were concurrently won by Democratic gubernatorial nominees by narrow margins as well.[30]

The concurrent 1876 South Carolina gubernatorial election in particular was extremely close, and rife with violence and likely electoral fraud. Chamberlain ran against Democrat Wade Hampton III, who was a Lieutenant General in the Confederate Army of Northern Virginia during the Civil War, and a leader of the Redeemers. Hampton's campaign for governor was marked by extensive violence by the Red Shirts, who intimidated and suppressed Black voters in the state in the same way as the Mississippi Plan of 1874–1875.[32] Immediately after the 1876 South Carolina gubernatorial results were announced, both the Republican and Democratic parties accused each other of fraud. Hampton received 92,261 votes to Chamberlain's 91,127, that is 50.3% to 49.7%. However, the State Board of Canvassers, which was composed of five Republicans, declared that the elections in Edgefield County and Laurens County were so tainted by fraud that their results would be excluded from the final tally. This changed the Republican tally from a 1,134-vote loss to a 3,145-vote victory.[33]

To summarize, Republican Rutherford B. Hayes was ultimately elected president by winning the Electoral College 185-184, despite losing the popular vote 47.9-50.9%. The tipping-point state was South Carolina, which Hayes had won 91,786 to 90,897 (50.24% to 49.76%), for South Carolina's 7 electoral votes. And Democrat Wade Hampton III was elected governor of South Carolina, on the same ballot, 92,261 to 91,127 (50.3% to 49.7%). This was in a state whose elections had been conducted in an atmosphere of widespread violence and fraud, and led to the disputed government of South Carolina of 1876–77. In 2001, Ronald F. King used modern statistical techniques on the election returns and concluded: "Application of social science methodology to the gubernatorial election of 1876 in South Carolina confirms charges of fraud raised by Republicans at the time of the election.... [the result] was the product of massive voter fraud and intimidation of black voters."[34]

From December 1876 to April 1877, the Republican and Democratic parties in South Carolina each claimed to be the legitimate government, declaring that they controlled the governorship and state legislature. Each government debated and passed laws, raised militias, collected taxes, and conducted other business as if the other did not exist.[35] And not only were the presidential and gubernatorial elections in South Carolina disputed, but they were also disputed in Louisiana and Florida, causing similar dual government disputes in those two states. In Louisiana, Democrat Francis T. Nicholls had defeated Stephen B. Packard 84,487 to 76,477 (52.49% to 47.51%) in the 1876 Louisiana gubernatorial election, yet Republican Rutherford B. Hayes had defeated Democrat Samuel J. Tilden in Louisiana 75,315 to 70,508 (51.65% to 48.35%) on the same ballot. And in Florida, Republican Rutherford B. Hayes had defeated Democrat Samuel J. Tilden 23,849 to 22,927 (50.99% to 49.01%), yet on the same ballot Democrat George F. Drew defeated Republican Marcellus L. Stearns 24,613 to 24,116 (50.51% to 49.49%) in the 1876 Florida gubernatorial election. Most importantly, the 1876 presidential election was also disputed with Tilden having 184 electoral votes, Hayes having 165 electoral votes, and the 20 disputed electoral votes all needing to go to Hayes to give him a majority of 185 out of 369 electoral votes.[30]

To resolve the 1876 presidential election, an "Electoral Commission" was created, consisting of fifteen members: five representatives selected by the House, five senators selected by the Senate, four Supreme Court justices named in the law, and a fifth Supreme Court justice selected by the other four. Originally, it was planned that the commission would consist of seven Democrats and seven Republicans, with an independent (Justice David Davis) as the fifteenth member of the commission. According to historian Roy Morris Jr., "no one, perhaps not even Davis himself, knew which presidential candidate he preferred." Just as the Electoral Commission Bill was passing Congress, Davis was elected to the Senate by Democrats in the Illinois legislature, who believed that they had purchased Davis' support for Tilden, but this was a miscalculation: Davis promptly excused himself from the commission and resigned as a Justice in order to take his Senate seat. Because of this, Davis was unable to assume the spot, always intended for him, as one of the Supreme Court's members of the Commission. His replacement on the Commission was Republican Supreme Court Justice Joseph P. Bradley, resulting in an 8–7 majority for Republicans, which in turn awarded Hayes the 20 disputed electoral votes on party-line votes, and thus Hayes had won the presidency by an electoral vote of 185–184 despite losing the popular vote 47.9% to 50.9%.[30]

Hayes was peacefully sworn in as president privately on Saturday, March 3, 1877 and publicly on Monday March 5, 1877. On March 31, Hampton and Chamberlain met with President Hayes to discuss the situation in South Carolina. On April 3, Hayes ordered the withdrawal of federal troops from South Carolina, which they did on April 10. Chamberlain, realizing that he could not continue in his role without the support of federal troops, resigned on April 11, 1877.[36] Embittered, Chamberlain blamed the President for having betrayed the mass of South Carolina's voters; the state's population was 58% African American. After conceding the governorship to Hampton, Chamberlain stated, "If a majority of people in a State are unable by physical force to maintain their rights, they must be left to political servitude." After Chamberlain's concession, Hampton was declared the sole governor of South Carolina.[33] Chamberlain left the state and moved to New York City, and became a successful Wall Street attorney. South Carolina would not elect another Republican governor until 1974, 100 years after Chamberlain was elected in 1874.[35] Hampton was later elected to the U.S. Senate by the South Carolina legislature for two terms, from 1879 to 1891.[32]

This series of events is referred to as the Compromise of 1877, a corrupt bargain by which Republican Rutherford B. Hayes was elected president despite losing the popular vote while Southern Democrats were given state-level power in the former Confederate states despite having committed violence and electoral fraud against African Americans. The loser of the Compromise of 1877 were African Americans, as Republicans allowed Southern Democrats to create hegemony in the former Confederate states, depriving African Americans of the protection of federal troops and the ability to elect Republican candidates in statewide and congressional races.[30] Republicans never won a single Deep South state again until they won Louisiana in 1956, and Republican Barry Goldwater won all the Deep South states in 1964. This was despite the fact that African Americans constituted a majority or near-majority of the populations of the Deep South states, at least until the Great Migration.[7]

Failure of the 1890 Lodge Bill

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Republican Henry Cabot Lodge in 1905
Democratic President Grover Cleveland (1885–1889 and 1893–1897)
Republican President Benjamin Harrison (1889–1893)

Republican Henry Cabot Lodge was an American politician and statesman from Massachusetts, who served in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1887 to 1893, and in United States Senate from 1893 to 1924.[citation needed] In 1890, Lodge co-authored the Federal Elections Bill, along with Senator George Frisbie Hoar of Massachusetts, that guaranteed federal protection for African American voting rights. Although the proposed legislation was supported by President Benjamin Harrison, the bill was blocked due to the efforts of filibustering Democrats[37] and Republican William M. Stewart of Nevada in the Senate.

Republican William M. Stewart described how he helped defeat the Lodge Bill in his own memoir, published in 1908. Stewart worked with other Democrats, including Arthur Pue Gorman of Maryland, to defeat the Lodge Bill.[citation needed]

Democrat Grover Cleveland was elected governor of New York in 1882, and was elected President in 1884, becoming the first Democratic President after the Civil War.

During the late 19th century, the state of New York was a swing state in presidential elections. Cleveland won the popular vote in all three of his presidential elections, but these were suspect due to the disenfranchisement of African Americans who mostly favored Harrison in the South, as was noted by Republican politicians at the time and by modern scholars. In particular, Republican Benjamin Harrison won Cleveland's home state of New York in 1888, which single-handedly cost Cleveland the 1888 presidential election given New York had 36 electoral votes.[38][39][40]

Also, the former Confederate state of Virginia was competitive in the first two of Cleveland's three elections. Cleveland won Virginia in 1884 by 2.15% and Virginia in 1888 by just 0.53%, but won Virginia in 1892 by 17.46%.

In 1892, Cleveland had campaigned against the Lodge Bill,[41] which would have strengthened voting rights protections through the appointing of federal supervisors of congressional elections upon a petition from the citizens of any district. The Enforcement Act of 1871 had provided for a detailed federal overseeing of the electoral process, from registration to the certification of returns. Cleveland succeeded in ushering in the 1894 repeal of this law.[42]

Final failures

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The failure of the Lodge Bill led to unsuccessful attempts to have the federal courts protect voting rights in Williams v. Mississippi (1898) and Giles v. Harris (1903). These cases were a few years after Plessy v. Ferguson (1896), which had upheld "separate but equal" racial segregation laws.[citation needed]

Ultimately, national Republicans gave up on voting rights for African Americans and winning the eleven former Confederate states, both because of opposition from Southern Democrats and the fact they did not need them to win presidential elections and majorities in Congress. In the 1896 presidential election, Republican William McKinley won the popular vote 51.0% to 46.7% and the Electoral College 271-176. McKinley did win the border states Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, and Kentucky (except for 1 electoral vote in the latter), but lost all the 11 former Confederate states. Republicans did not win even a single former Confederate state from 1880 until they won Tennessee in the 1920 presidential election, though they may have been able to had the Lodge Bill passed.[43]

When a group of white supremacists violently overthrew the duly elected government of Wilmington, North Carolina, on November 10, 1898, in an event that came to be recognized as the Wilmington massacre of 1898, Republican President William McKinley refused requests by Black leaders to send in federal marshals or federal troops to protect black citizens,[44] and ignored city residents' appeals for help to recover from the widespread destruction of the predominantly black neighborhood of Brooklyn, the majority-black neighborhood in Wilmington.[45] This was despite the fact that McKinley was the last president to have served in the American Civil War; he was the only one to begin his service as an enlisted man and ended it as a brevet major. McKinley had voted for the Lodge Bill, and was defeated in the 1890 U.S. House elections as a representative from Ohio.[citation needed]

In 1900, as the 56th Congress considered proposals for apportioning its seats among the 45 states following the 1900 Federal Census, Representative Edgar D. Crumpacker (R-IN) filed an independent report urging that the Southern states be stripped of seats due to the large numbers of voters they had disfranchised. He noted this was provided for in Section 2 of the Fourteenth Amendment, which provided for stripping representation from states that reduced suffrage due to race. From 1896 until 1900, the House of Representatives with a Republican majority had acted in more than thirty cases to set aside election results from Southern states where the House Elections Committee had concluded that "[B]lack voters had been excluded due to fraud, violence, or intimidation".[46] However, in the early 1900s, it began to back off, after Democrats won a majority, which included Southern delegations that were solidly in Democratic hands. However, concerted opposition by the Southern Democratic bloc was aroused, and the effort failed.[47]

Scale of the disfranchisement

[edit]
Republican George H. Tinkham c. 1918

Some Northern Congressmen continued to raise the issue of Black disfranchisement and resulting malapportionment. For instance, on December 6, 1920, Representative George H. Tinkham (R-MA) offered a resolution for the Committee of Census to investigate the alleged disfranchisement of African Americans.[48] Tinkham argued there should be reapportionment in the House related to the voting population of southern states, rather than the general population as enumerated in the census. Such reapportionment was authorized by the Constitution, and would reflect reality so that the South should not get representation for voters it had disfranchised.[48]

Tinkham detailed how outsized the South's representation was related to the total number of voters in the former Confederate states in the 1918 U.S. House elections, compared to other states with the same number of representatives, as shown in the following table:[48]

Total Vote Counts by State and Number of Representatives
State Number of Representatives Total Vote Former Confederate state?
Florida 4 31,613 Yes
Colorado 4 208,855 No
Maine 4 121,836 No
Nebraska 6 216,014 No
West Virginia 6 211,643 No
South Carolina 7 25,433 Yes
Louisiana 8 44,794 Yes
Kansas 8 425,641 No
Alabama 10 62,345 Yes
Minnesota 10 299,127 No
Iowa 10 316,377 No
California 11 644,790 No
Georgia 12 59,196 Yes
New Jersey 12 338,461 No
Indiana 13 565,216 No

Tinkham was defeated by the Democratic Southern Bloc, and also by fears amongst the northern business elites of increasing the voting power of Northern urban working classes,[49] whom both northern business and Southern planter elites believed would vote for large-scale income redistribution at a Federal level.[50]

History

[edit]

Redeemers

[edit]
The "Solid South" from 1880–1912.

By 1876, "Redeemer" Democrats had taken control of all state governments in the South. From then until the 1960s, state and local government in the South was almost entirely monopolized by Democrats. The Democrats elected all but a handful of U.S. Representatives and Senators, and Democratic presidential candidates regularly swept the region – from 1880 through 1944, winning a cumulative total of 182 of 187 states. The Democrats reinforced the loyalty of white voters by emphasizing the suffering of the South during the war at the hands of "Yankee invaders" under Republican leadership, and the noble service of their white forefathers in "the Lost Cause". This rhetoric was effective with many Southerners. However, this propaganda was totally ineffective in areas that had been loyal to the Union during the war, such as East Tennessee. Most of East Tennessee welcomed U.S. troops as liberators, and voted Republican even in the Solid South period.[51]

Despite White Southerners' complaints about Reconstruction, several Southern states kept most provisions of their Reconstruction constitutions for more than two decades, until late in the 19th century.[52] Disfranchisement of African Americans was a gradual and sometimes haphazard process, and began first in the Deep South states that had the largest African American populations.[53] In Georgia, a poll tax was first imposed in 1877. In South Carolina, an indirect literacy test and multiple-ballot box law, called the "Eight Box Law," was enacted in 1882.[54]

Even after white Democrats regained control of state legislatures, some black candidates were elected to local offices and state legislatures in the South. Black U.S. Representatives were elected from the South as late as the 1890s, usually from overwhelmingly black areas. Intimidation of African American voters and outright electoral fraud were common, before widespread disfranchisement began after the failure of the Lodge Bill of 1890.[55]

Third parties

[edit]

In Virginia, the bi-racial Readjuster Party existed from 1877 to 1895, electing William E. Cameron in 1881 as the 39th Governor of Virginia from 1882 to 1886.[56] William Mahone served as a U.S. Senator from Virginia from 1881 to 1887 as a member of the Readjuster Party.[57] Democratic president Grover Cleveland narrowly won Virginia in 1884 51.05% to 48.90%, and won Virginia in 1888 by just 49.99% to 49.46%, a 0.53 percentage point margin and the closest the Republican Party came to winning a former Confederate state until Warren G. Harding won Tennessee in 1920.[58]

In Arkansas, the 1888 and 1890 gubernatorial elections were competitive, with Democrat James Philip Eagle winning only 54.09% to 45.91% and 55.51% to 44.49%, respectively. Eagle ran against a fusion ticket of the Union Labor and Republican parties, with the Republican party endorsing the Union Labor party candidates.[59] Wealthy white landowners were extremely angry that poor blacks and whites might be uniting against them. In 1891, the Arkansas Democratic Party thus introduced a poll tax that would weigh extremely heavily upon poor Union Labor supporters and also introduced the secret ballot which would make it more difficult for illiterate blacks and poor whites to cast a vote even if they could pay the poll tax.[60]

Populist Party

[edit]
Republican Governor of North Carolina Daniel Lindsay Russell (1897 to 1901)

The People's Party, usually known as the Populist Party or simply the Populists, was an agrarian populist party political party that was founded in 1892.[61] The Populists developed a following in the South, among poor white people who resented the Democratic Party establishment. Populists formed alliances with Republicans (including black Republicans) and challenged the Democratic bosses. In some cases, the Populists and their allies defeated their Democratic opponents.[43]

Unfortunately, the success of the Populist Party was a major impetus for even more thorough disfranchisement. The Populist Party was dissolved in 1909, by which point disfranchisement of African Americans was virtually complete. The Populist Party did win some U.S. House seats in the former Confederate states, including Thomas E. Watson of Georgia (1891–1893) and several representatives in North Carolina.[62] The Populists also elected North Carolina U.S. Senator Marion Butler (1895–1901).[63]

In North Carolina, Republican Daniel Lindsay Russell was elected Governor of North Carolina in 1896 on a fusionist ticket, a collaboration between Republicans and Populists, and served as the 49th governor of North Carolina from 1897 to 1901.[64] On November 8, 1898, a part-black fusion slate won elections in Wilmington, then the state's largest city and with a black majority. Alfred Waddell, whom Russell had defeated for Congress in 1878, led thousands of white rioters in the Wilmington Insurrection of 1898; they seized the city government by force, and destroyed the only black-owned newspaper in the state.[65] Although Russell was not up for election in 1898, Democrats used him as a foil in their campaign that year, attacking him for undermining "white supremacy" and fanning fears of "negro rule" to regain control of the state legislature.[66] To prevent fusionist coalitions or Republicans winning office again, in 1899 the Democrats used their control of the North Carolina legislature to pass an amendment that effectively disenfranchised blacks and many poor whites. As a result, voter rolls dropped dramatically, blacks were excluded from the political system, and the Republican Party was crippled in the state.[67]

In Alabama, Reuben Kolb sought to unite poor farmers and sharecroppers with industrial workers and Black voters as a Populist in 1892 and 1894. The gubernatorial elections he lost in 1892 and 1894 are considered to have had widespread vote tampering and fraud.[68][69] In 1894, Kolb retreated from his brief flirtation with the idea of Black rights, "a telling reflection of the shallow commitment of Kolb and many of his followers to the notion of racial equality." And, after the Populist party's electoral failure in 1896, "Kolb confessed his apostasy and pathetically pleaded to be allowed to return to the party of white supremacy."[70][71]

In Louisiana, the 1896 Louisiana gubernatorial election was competitive, with incumbent Democratic governor Murphy J. Foster defeating the Republican-Populist fusion candidate John Newton Pharr (1829–1903), a sugar planter from St. Mary Parish. Pharr had possibly gained a majority of votes cast and won twenty-six of the then fifty-nine parishes, with his greatest strength in north central Louisiana and the Florida Parishes to the east of Baton Rouge.[72] With the assistance of the Democratic political machine based in New Orleans, Foster officially received 116,116 votes (57 percent) to Pharr's 87,698 ballots (43 percent).[73] The election was heavily marked by fraud which benefited Foster and widespread violence to suppress black Republican voting, and a clear accounting of the election results is unknown.[74] Subsequently, as governor, Foster signed off on the new Louisiana Constitution of 1898, establishing a poll tax, literacy test, grandfather clause, and the secret ballot that made voting by poor whites much more difficult and producing a reduction in the number of registered black voters by 96 percent, from 130,334 to 5,320. After Foster's re-election in 1896, Louisiana general elections were non-competitive. The only competition took place in Democratic primaries.[75]

In Georgia, Thomas E. Watson had long supported black enfranchisement throughout the South, as a basic tenet of his populist philosophy.[76] He condemned lynching and tried to protect black voters from lynch mobs. The Populists made significant runs for governor in 1892, 1894, and 1896, which would have been stronger but for large scale electoral fraud.[77] However, after 1900 Watson's interpretation of populism shifted. He no longer viewed the populist movement as being racially inclusive. By 1908, Watson identified as a white supremacist and ran as such during his presidential bid. He used his highly influential magazine and newspaper to launch vehement diatribes against blacks.[76]

Disfranchisement

[edit]

To prevent bi-racial and Populist coalitions in the future and to stop relying on violence and electoral fraud associated with suppressing the black vote during elections, Southern Democrats acted to disfranchise both black people and poor white people.[78] From 1890 to 1910, after the failure of the Lodge Bill and beginning with Mississippi in 1890, all 11 former Confederate states adopted new constitutions and other laws which included various devices to restrict voter registration. These changes disfranchised virtually all black and many poor white residents.[3] These devices applied to all citizens; in practice they disfranchised most black citizens and also "would remove [from voter registration rolls] the less educated, less organized, more impoverished whites as well – and that would ensure one-party Democratic rules through most of the 20th century in the South".[79][80] All the Southern states adopted provisions that restricted voter registration and suffrage, including new requirements for poll taxes, longer residency, and subjective literacy tests. Some also used the device of grandfather clauses, exempting voters who had a grandfather voting by a particular year (usually before the Civil War, when black people could not vote.)[81]

In 1900, U.S. Senator Benjamin Tillman explained how African Americans were disenfranchised in his state of South Carolina in a white supremacist speech:

In my State there were 135,000 negro voters, or negroes of voting age, and some 90,000 or 95,000 white voters.... Now, I want to ask you, with a free vote and a fair count, how are you going to beat 135,000 by 95,000? How are you going to do it? You had set us an impossible task.

We did not disfranchise the negroes until 1895. Then we had a constitutional convention convened which took the matter up calmly, deliberately, and avowedly with the purpose of disfranchising as many of them as we could under the fourteenth and fifteenth amendments. We adopted the educational qualification as the only means left to us, and the negro is as contented and as prosperous and as well protected in South Carolina to-day as in any State of the Union south of the Potomac. He is not meddling with politics, for he found that the more he meddled with them the worse off he got. As to his "rights"—I will not discuss them now. We of the South have never recognized the right of the negro to govern white men, and we never will.... I would to God the last one of them was in Africa and that none of them had ever been brought to our shores.[82]

White Democrats also opposed Republican economic policies such as the high tariff and the gold standard, both of which were seen as benefiting Northern industrial interests at the expense of the agrarian society of the South during the 19th century. Nevertheless, holding all political power was at the heart of their resistance. From 1876 through 1944, the national Democratic party opposed any calls for civil rights for black people. In Congress, Southern Democrats blocked such efforts whenever Republicans targeted the issue.[83][7]

White Democrats passed "Jim Crow" laws which reinforced white supremacy through racial segregation.[84] The Fourteenth Amendment provided for apportionment of representation in Congress to be reduced if a state disenfranchised part of its population. However, this clause was never applied to Southern states that disenfranchised black residents. No black candidate was elected to any office in the South for decades after the turn of the century. Black residents were also excluded from juries and other participation in civil life.[3]

Electoral dominance

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Map of the states considered part of the Southern United States by the Census Bureau
In the close 1916 presidential election, Democratic President Woodrow Wilson won almost every single county in the Deep South.

Democratic candidates won by large margins in a majority of Southern states in every presidential election from 1876 to 1948, except for 1928, when the Democratic candidate was Al Smith, a Catholic New Yorker. Even in that election, the divided South provided Smith with nearly three-fourths of his electoral votes. Scholar Richard Valelly credited Woodrow Wilson's 1912 election to the disfranchisement of black people in the South, and also noted far-reaching effects in Congress, where the Democratic South gained "about 25 extra seats in Congress for each decade between 1903 and 1953".[d][3] Journalist Matthew Yglesias argues:

The weird thing about Jim Crow politics is that white southerners with conservative views on taxes, moral values, and national security would vote for Democratic presidential candidates who didn't share their views. They did that as part of a strategy for maintaining white supremacy in the South.[85]

Some of the former Confederate states, particularly those that were not majority-African American, likely would have still voted Democratic even if African Americans were not disenfranchised due to partisan loyalty. In particular, Texas had never voted for a Republican presidential candidate until 1928, even during Reconstruction.[86] The border state of Kentucky still remained a Democratic stronghold in presidential elections, even though it did not disenfranchise African Americans.[4]

In the Deep South (South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana), Democratic dominance was overwhelming, with Democrats routinely receiving 80%–90% of the vote, and only a tiny number of Republicans holding state legislative seats or local offices.[7] Mississippi and South Carolina were the most extreme cases – between 1900 and 1944, only in 1928, when the three subcoastal Mississippi counties of Pearl River, Stone and George went for Hoover, did the Democrats lose even one of these two states' counties in any presidential election.[87]

The German-American Texas counties of Gillespie and Kendall, Arkansas Ozarks counties of Newton and Searcy, and a number of counties in Appalachian parts of Alabama and Georgia would vote Republican in presidential elections through this period.[88] Arkansas consistently voted Democratic from 1876 to 1964, though Democratic margins were lower than in the Deep South.[88] Even in 1939, Florida was described as "still very largely an empty State," with only North Florida largely settled until after World War II.[89] In Louisiana, non-partisan tendencies remained strong among wealthy sugar planters in Acadiana (Cajun Country) and within the business elite of New Orleans.[90]

In East Tennessee, Western North Carolina, and Southwest Virginia, Republicans retained a significant presence in these remote Appalachian regions which supported the Union during the Civil War and had few African Americans, winning occasional U.S. House seats and often drawing over 40% in presidential votes statewide.[91] In particular, Tennessee's 1st and 2nd congressional districts have been continuously held by Republicans since 1881 and 1867, respectively, to the present day. Although Tennessee disenfranchised African Americans, support for Republicans remained high in East Tennessee and kept the state relatively competitive during the Jim Crow era, although Democrats almost always still won statewide.[92]

1920s onwards

[edit]
In the 1920 presidential election, all the former Confederate states except Tennessee voted for the Democratic Party, and all other states except Kentucky voted for the Republican Party.

By the 1920s, as memories of the Civil War faded, the Solid South cracked slightly. For instance, a Republican was elected U.S. Representative from Texas in 1920, serving until 1932. The Republican national landslides in 1920 and 1928 had some effects.[93] In the 1920 elections, Tennessee elected a Republican governor and five out of 10 Republican U.S. Representatives, and became the first former Confederate state to vote for a Republican candidate for U.S. President since Reconstruction.[94] North Carolina abolished its poll tax in 1920.[95][96]

In the 1928 presidential election, Al Smith received serious backlash as a Catholic in the largely Protestant South in 1928.[97] Southern Baptist churches ordered their followers to vote against Smith, claiming that he would close down Protestant churches, end freedom of worship, and prohibit reading the Bible.[97] However, it was widely believed that Republican Herbert Hoover supported integration or at least was not committed to maintaining racial segregation, overcoming opposition to Smith's campaign in areas with large nonvoting black populations.[97] Smith only managed to carry Arkansas (the home state of his running mate Joseph T. Robinson) and the 5 states of the Deep South, and nearly lost Alabama by less than 3%.[93]

The boll weevil, a species of beetle that feeds on cotton buds and flowers, crossed the Rio Grande near Brownsville, Texas, to enter the United States from Mexico in 1892.[98] It reached southeastern Alabama in 1909, and by the mid-1920s had entered all cotton-growing regions in the U.S., traveling 40 to 160 miles per year. The boll weevil contributed to Southern farmers' economic woes during the 1920s, a situation exacerbated by the Great Depression in the 1930s.[99] The boll weevil infestation has been credited with bringing about economic diversification in the Southern US, including the expansion of peanut cropping. The citizens of Enterprise, Alabama, erected the Boll Weevil Monument in 1919, perceiving that their economy had been overly dependent on cotton, and that mixed farming and manufacturing were better alternatives.[100] By 1922, it was taking 8% of the cotton in the country annually. A 2020 NBER paper found that the boll weevil spread contributed to fewer lynchings, less Confederate monument construction, less KKK activity, and higher non-white voter registration.[101]

Southern demography also began to change.[102] From 1910 through 1970, about 6.5 million black Southerners moved to urban areas in other parts of the country in the Great Migration, and demographics began to change Southern states in other ways. The failures of the South's cotton crop due to the boll weevil was a major impetus for the Great Migration, although not the only one.[103]

However, with the Democratic national landslide of 1932, the South again became solidly Democratic.[104] A number of conservative Southern Democrats felt chagrin at the national party's growing friendliness to organized labor during the Franklin D. Roosevelt administration, forming the conservative coalition with conservative Republicans in 1937 to stymie further New Deal legislation.[105] Roosevelt was unsuccessful in attempting to purge some of these conservative Southern Democrats in white primaries in the 1938 elections, such as Senator Walter George of Georgia and Senator Ellison Smith of South Carolina, in contrast to successfully ousting representative and chair of the House Rules Committee John J. O'Connor of New York.[106]

In the 1930s, black voters outside the South largely switched to the Democrats,[107] and other groups with an interest in civil rights (notably Jews, Catholics, and academic intellectuals) became more powerful in the party.[108] Louisiana abolished its poll tax in 1934,[109] as did Florida in 1937.[110]

The Republican Party began to make gains in the South after World War II, as the South industrialized and urbanized.[111][7] World War II marked a time of dramatic change within the South from an economic standpoint, as new industries and military bases were developed by the federal government, providing much-needed capital and infrastructure in the former Confederate states.[112][111] Per capita income jumped 140% from 1940 to 1945, compared to 100% elsewhere in the United States. Dewey Grantham said the war "brought an abrupt departure from the South's economic backwardness, poverty, and distinctive rural life, as the region moved perceptively closer to the mainstream of national economic and social life."[113][114][115]

Florida began to expand rapidly after World War II, with retirees and other migrants in Central and South Florida becoming a majority of the state's population. Many of these new residents brought their Republican voting habits with them, diluting traditional Southern hostility to the Republicans.[116] In 1944, the Supreme Court ruled 8–1 in Smith v. Allwright against white primary systems, and most Southern states ended their racially discriminatory primary elections.[117] They retained other techniques of disenfranchisement, such as poll taxes and literacy tests, which in theory applied to all potential voters, but in practice were administered in a discriminatory manner by white officials.[118]

Oklahoma

[edit]
Republican Warren G. Harding won Oklahoma in the 1920 presidential election, while losing all the former Confederate states except Tennessee.[119]

Oklahoma was considered part of the Solid South, but did not become a state until 1907, and shared characteristics of both the border states and the former Confederate states in the Upper South. Oklahoma disenfranchised its African American population, which comprised less than 10% of the state's population from 1870 to 1960.[120] However, Oklahoma did not enact a poll tax and remained electorally competitive at the state and federal levels during the Jim Crow era.[121] Oklahoma elected three Republican U.S. Senators before 1964: John W. Harreld (1921–1927), William B. Pine (1925–1931), and Edward H. Moore (1943–1949).[121] Oklahoma had a strong Republican presence in Northwestern Oklahoma, which had close ties to neighboring Kansas, a Republican stronghold.[122]

During the Civil War, most of present-day Oklahoma was designated as Indian Territory and permitted slavery, with most tribal leaders aligning with the Confederacy.[123] However, some tribes and bands sided with the Union, resulting in bloody conflict in the territory, with severe hardships for all residents.[124][125] The Oklahoma Territory was settled through a series of land runs from 1889 to 1895, which included significant numbers of Republican settlers from the Great Plains.[126]

Oklahoma did not have a Republican governor until Henry Bellmon was elected in 1962, though Republicans were still able to draw over 40% of the vote statewide during the Jim Crow era.[127] Democrats were strongest in Southeast Oklahoma, known as "Little Dixie", whose white settlers were Southerners seeking a start in new lands following the American Civil War.[121] In Guinn v. United States (1915), the Supreme Court invalidated the Oklahoma Constitution's "old soldier" and "grandfather clause" exemptions from literacy tests. Oklahoma and other states quickly reacted by passing laws that created other rules for voter registration that worked against blacks and minorities.[128]

However, Oklahoma did not enact a poll tax, unlike the former Confederate states.[120] As a result, Oklahoma was still competitive at the presidential level, voting for Warren G. Harding in 1920 and Herbert Hoover in 1928. Oklahoma shifted earlier to supporting Republican presidential candidates, with the state voting for every Republican ticket since 1952, except for Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide. Oklahoma is the only Southern state to have never voted for a Democratic presidential candidate after 1964. It was one of only two Southern states, the other being Virginia, to be carried by Republican Gerald Ford in the 1976 presidential election.[129]

Border states

[edit]
In the 1896 presidential election, Republican William McKinley won Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, and Kentucky (except for 1 electoral vote in the latter).

In contrast to the 11 former Confederate states, where almost all blacks were disenfranchised during the first half to two-thirds of the twentieth century, for varying reasons blacks remained enfranchised in the border states despite movements for disfranchisement during the 1900s.[130] Note that Missouri is classified as a Midwestern state by the Census bureau, and also did not disenfranchise its African American population.[131]

The border states, being the northern region of the Upper South, had close ties to the industrializing and urbanizing Northeast and Midwest, experiencing a realignment in the 1896 United States presidential election.[132][133]

African Americans generally comprised a significantly lower percentage of the populations of the border states than the percentages in the former Confederate states from 1870 to 1960. Less than 10% of the populations of West Virginia and Missouri were African American. In Kentucky, 5–20% of the state's population was African American. In Delaware, 10–20% of the state's population was African American. In Maryland, 15–25% of the state's population was African American.[134]

West Virginia

[edit]

For West Virginia, "reconstruction, in a sense, began in 1861".[135] Unlike the other southern border states, West Virginia did not send the majority of its soldiers to the Union and a substantial portion of the state continued to be controlled by the Confederacy till later in the war.[136] West Virginia was the last slave state admitted into the Union in 1863, and was the only state in the Border South to also participate in the 1863 Confederate elections. The prospect of those returning ex-Confederates prompted the Wheeling state government to implement laws that restricted their right of suffrage, practicing law and teaching, access to the legal system, and subjected them to "war trespass" lawsuits.[137] The lifting of these restrictions in 1871 resulted in the election of John J. Jacob, a Democrat, to the governorship. It also led to the rejection of the war-time constitution by public vote and a new constitution written under the leadership of ex-Confederates such as Samuel Price, Allen T. Caperton and Charles James Faulkner. In 1876 the state Democratic ticket of eight candidates were all elected, seven of whom were Confederate veterans.[138] For nearly a generation West Virginia was part of the Solid South.[139]

However, Republicans returned to power in 1896, controlling the governorship for eight of the next nine terms, and electing 82 of 106 U.S. Representatives until 1932.[140] In 1932, as the nation swung to the Democrats, West Virginia again became solidly Democratic. It was perhaps the most reliably Democratic state in the nation between 1932 and 1996, being one of just two states (along with Minnesota) to vote for a Republican president as few as three times in that interval. Moreover, unlike Minnesota (or other nearly as reliably Democratic states like Massachusetts and Rhode Island), it usually had a unanimous (or nearly unanimous) congressional delegation and only elected two Republicans as governor (albeit for a combined 20 years between them).[141]

Kentucky

[edit]

Kentucky did usually vote for the Democratic Party in the majority of presidential elections from 1877 to 1964 and was generally considered part of the Solid South, but was still a competitive state at both the state and federal levels.[142] The Democratic Party in the state was heavily divided over free silver and the role of corporations in the middle 1890s, and lost the governorship for the first time in forty years in 1895.[143] In contrast to the former Confederate States, Kentucky was part of the Upper South and bordered the industrial Midwest across the Ohio River, and had a significant urban working class who supported Republicans.[144] In the 1896 presidential election, the state was exceedingly close, with McKinley becoming the first Republican presidential candidate to carry Kentucky, by a mere 277 votes, or 0.06352%. McKinley's victory was, by percentage margin, the seventh-closest popular results for presidential electors on record.[e]

Before the Civil War, Kentucky had a southern plantation economy heavily relying on slavery with tobacco plantations in the central and western portions of the state. Kentucky remained mostly in the Union during the Civil War, though it was heavily contested, with the Confederacy controlling half the state early in the war. Delegates from 68 of 110 Kentucky counties signed an ordinance of secession at the Russellville Convention and formed the Confederate government of Kentucky, joining the CSA on December 10, 1861 with the signature of Jefferson Davis. However, some pro-Union eastern counties in the state have never voted Democratic to this day, similar to neighboring East Tennessee. The secessionist central and western areas of the state were strongly Democratic during the Jim Crow era.[145]

Kentucky remained extremely competitive at the state level even after the failure of the Lodge Bill, due to the state being mostly White and the divide between formerly secessionist and unionist areas. Lexington's city government had passed a poll tax in 1901, but it was declared invalid in state circuit courts. Six years later, a new state legislative effort to disenfranchise blacks failed because of the strong organization of the Republican Party in the pro-Union regions of the state.[145]

Republicans won Kentucky in the 1924 and 1928 presidential elections, the former of which was the only state that Warren G. Harding lost in the 1920 presidential election, but Coolidge won in the 1924 presidential election.[146][147] Kentucky also elected some Republican governors during this period, such as William O'Connell Bradley (1895–1899), Augustus E. Willson (1907–1911), Edwin P. Morrow (1919–1923), Flem D. Sampson (1927–1931), and Simeon Willis (1943–1947).[148]

Maryland

[edit]

Before the Civil War, Maryland had a southern plantation economy focused around tobacco plantations using slavery centered in Southern Maryland and the Eastern Shore. During the war despite initially voting against secession, due to Southern sympathies in the state and requests by the state for Northern troops to leave the state. the Federal government put Maryland very quickly under Northern military occupation and imprisoned a portion of the state legislature, as well as suspending Habeas Corpus to force the state to stay in the Union and deter any attempts at secession. Maryland very narrowly, by a vote of 30,174 to 28,380 (52% to 48%), abolished slavery in 1864.[149] Maryland was considered part of the Solid South and voted for the Democratic Party presidential candidate from 1868 to 1892, but the 1896 presidential election was a realignment in the state, similar to West Virginia. Maryland voted for the Republican Party presidential candidate from 1896 to 1928, except for Democrat Woodrow Wilson in 1912 and 1916.[150]

In contrast to the former Confederate states, nearly half the African American population was free before the Civil War, and some had accumulated property. Literacy was high among African Americans and, as Democrats crafted means to exclude them, suffrage campaigns helped reach blacks and teach them how to resist.[151] In 1895, a biracial Republican coalition enabled the election of Lloyd Lowndes, Jr. as governor (1896 to 1900).[151]

The Democrat-dominated state legislature tried to pass disfranchising bills in 1905, 1907, and 1911, but was rebuffed on each occasion, in large part because of black opposition and strength. Black men comprised 20% of the electorate and had established themselves in several cities, where they had comparative security. In addition, immigrant men comprised 15% of the voting population and opposed these measures. The legislature had difficulty devising requirements against blacks that did not also disadvantage immigrants.[152] In 1910, the legislature proposed the Digges Amendment to the state constitution. It would have used property requirements to effectively disenfranchise many African American men as well as many poor white men (including new immigrants). The Maryland General Assembly passed the bill, which Governor Austin Lane Crothers supported. Before the measure went to popular vote, a bill was proposed that would have effectively passed the requirements of the Digges Amendment into law. Due to widespread public opposition, that measure failed, and the amendment was also rejected by the voters of Maryland with 46,220 votes for and 83,920 votes against the proposal.[153]

Nationally Maryland citizens achieved the most notable rejection of a black-disfranchising amendment. The power of black men at the ballot box and economically helped them resist these bills and disfranchising effort. In 1911, Republican Phillips Lee Goldsborough (1912 to 1916) was elected governor, succeeding Crothers. Maryland elected two more Republican governors from 1877 to 1964, Harry Nice (1935 to 1939) and Theodore McKeldin (1951 to 1959).[154]

Delaware

[edit]

Before the war, Delaware used slavery in the southern portion of the state but it was very sparse compared to other southern states even in the Upper South. During the war, despite there being some Southern sympathies in the state, the state legislature very quickly rejected secession and didnt consider it further. Despite Delaware being a southern border state and not abolishing slavery until the ratification of the 13th amendment, due its proximity to the Northeast and not bordering any of the former Confederate States, Delaware voted for the Republican Party in a majority of presidential elections from 1876 to 1964 (12 out of 23).[155]

For a generation bitter memories of Republican actions during the Civil War had kept the Democrats firmly in control of the government throughout Delaware. However, during this period gas executive J. Edward Addicks, a Philadelphia millionaire, established residence in Delaware, and began pouring money into the Republican Party, especially in Kent and Sussex County.[156] He succeeded in reigniting the Republican Party, which would soon become the dominant party in the state. In 1894, Republican Joshua H. Marvil was elected as the first Republican governor of Delaware since Reconstruction.[157] The allegiance of industries with the Republican party allowed them to gain control of Delaware's governorship throughout most of the twentieth century. The Republican Party ensured Black people could vote because of their general support for Republicans and thus undid restrictions on Black suffrage.[158]

Delaware was generally associated with the Solid South and voted for the Democratic Party presidential candidate from 1876 to 1892, but then consistently voted for the Republican Party presidential candidate from 1896 to 1932, except in 1912 for Woodrow Wilson when the Republican Party split. Delaware voted for Republican Herbert Hoover in 1932, despite Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt winning in a landslide.[159]

Missouri

[edit]

A southern state with a plantation economy based around tobacco, hemp, and cotton in the central and southeastern portions of the state using enslaved labor before the war. Although a southern border state during the Civil War and heavily contested and claimed by the Confederacy with the Confederate government of Missouri, Missouri abolished slavery in January 1865, before the Civil War ended.[160] Missouri enacted racial segregation, but did not disenfranchise African Americans, who comprised less than 10% of the state's population from 1870 to 1960. In particular, Missouri never implemented a poll tax as a requirement to vote, unlike even neighboring Kentucky or Tennessee.[161]

Although generally considered part of the Solid South until 1904. Between the Civil War and the end of World War II, Missouri transitioned from a rural southern state to a hybrid industrial-service-agricultural midwestern state as the Midwest rapidly industrialized and expanded into Missouri. Missouri received major Midwestern migration after the war, overtaking the state's original Southern population, including in Kansas City, Missouri and St. Louis.[131] Missouri voted for the Republican presidential candidate in the 1904 presidential election for the first time since 1872, repositioning itself from being associated with the Solid South to being seen as a bellwether state throughout the twentieth century. From 1904 until 2004, Missouri only backed a losing presidential candidate once, in 1956.[162] Missouri also elected some Republican governors before 1964, beginning with Herbert S. Hadley (1909–1913).[163]

Presidential voting

[edit]
Missouri goes for Republican Theodore Roosevelt in the 1904 election. (Cartoon by John T. McCutcheon.)

The 1896 election resulted in the first break in the Solid South. Florida politician Marion L. Dawson, writing in the North American Review, observed: "The victorious party not only held in line those States which are usually relied upon to give Republican majorities ... More significant still, it invaded the Solid South, and bore off West Virginia, Maryland, and Kentucky; caused North Carolina to tremble in the balance and reduced Democratic majorities in the following States: Alabama, 39,000; Arkansas, 29,000; Florida, 6,000; Georgia, 49,000; Louisiana, 33,000; South Carolina, 6,000; and Texas, 29,000. These facts, taken together with the great landslide of 1894 and 1895, which swept Missouri and Tennessee, Maryland and Kentucky over into the country of the enemy, have caused Southern statesmen to seriously consider whether the so-called Solid South is not now a thing of past history".[164] The former Confederate states stayed mostly a single bloc until the 1960s, with a brief break in the 1920s, however.

In the 1904 election, Missouri supported Republican Theodore Roosevelt, while Maryland awarded its electors to Democrat Alton Parker, despite Roosevelt's winning by 51 votes.[165] Missouri was a bellwether state from 1904 to 2004, voting for the winner of every presidential election except in 1956.[166] By the 1916 election, disfranchisement of blacks and many poor whites was complete, and voter rolls had dropped dramatically in the South. Closing out Republican supporters gave a bump to Woodrow Wilson, who took all the electors across the South (apart from Delaware and West Virginia), as the Republican Party was stifled without support by African Americans.[3]

The 1920 presidential election was a referendum on President Wilson's League of Nations. Pro-isolation sentiment in the South benefited Republican Warren G. Harding, who won Tennessee, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Maryland. In 1924, Republican Calvin Coolidge won Kentucky, Missouri, and Maryland.[93]

In the 1928 presidential election, Al Smith carried the Deep South, but lost all the other Southern states except Arkansas.

In 1928, Herbert Hoover, benefiting from bias against his Democratic opponent Al Smith (who was a Roman Catholic and opposed Prohibition),[167] won not only those Southern states that had been carried by either Harding or Coolidge (Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Maryland), but also won Florida, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia, none of which had voted Republican since Reconstruction. He furthermore came within 3% of carrying the Deep South state of Alabama. Harding, Coolidge, and Hoover all carried the two Southern states that had supported Hughes in 1916, West Virginia and Delaware. Al Smith received serious backlash as a Catholic in the largely Protestant South in 1928, carrying only his running mate Joseph T. Robinson's home state of Arkansas and the 5 states of the Deep South.[168] The only place where Smith's Catholicism helped him in the South was heavily-Catholic Acadiana in Louisiana.[169] Smith nearly lost Alabama, which he held by 3%, which had Hoover won, would have physically split the Solid South.[170]

The South appeared "solid" again during the period of Franklin D. Roosevelt's political dominance, as his New Deal welfare programs and military buildup invested considerable money in the South, benefiting many of its citizens, including during the Dust Bowl. Roosevelt carried all the 11 former Confederate states and Oklahoma in each of his four presidential elections.[171]

After World War II

[edit]
In the 1948 presidential election, Democrat Harry S. Truman won in an upset despite Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond winning 39 electoral votes.
In the 1960 presidential election, Republican Richard Nixon won three former Confederate states despite losing the presidential election.

Democratic President Harry S. Truman, who grew up in the border state of Missouri where segregation was practiced and largely accepted, issued Executive Order 9981 in July 1948, prohibiting racial segregation in the armed forces.[172] Truman's support of the civil rights movement, combined with the adoption of a civil rights plank in the 1948 Democratic platform proposed by future Vice President Hubert Humphrey,[173] prompted many Southerners to walk out of the Democratic National Convention and form the Dixiecrat Party.[174] This splinter party played a significant role in the 1948 election; the Dixiecrat candidate, Strom Thurmond, carried Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, his native South Carolina, and one electoral vote from Tennessee.[7]

Despite this, in one of the greatest election upsets in American history,[175][176] incumbent Democratic President Harry S. Truman defeated heavily favored Republican New York Governor Thomas E. Dewey. Truman won every electoral vote in the former Confederate states not won by Thurmond.[177] Three former Confederate states repealed their poll taxes after World War II, specifically Georgia (1945), South Carolina (1951), and Tennessee (1953).[178][179]

In the elections of 1952 and 1956, the popular Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower, commander of the Allied armed forces during World War II, carried several Southern states, with especially strong showings in the new suburbs.[180] Even in the Deep South, Eisenhower's performances were relatively competitive, sometimes winning at least 40% of the vote statewide.[181] Most of the Southern states he carried had voted for at least one of the Republican winners in the 1920s, but in 1956, Eisenhower carried Louisiana, becoming the first Republican to win the state since Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876. The rest of the Deep South voted for his Democratic opponent, Adlai Stevenson.[182]

In the 1960 election, the Democratic nominee, John F. Kennedy, continued his party's tradition of selecting a Southerner as the vice presidential candidate (in this case, Senator Lyndon B. Johnson of Texas).[183] Kennedy and Johnson, however, both supported civil rights.[184] In October 1960, when Martin Luther King Jr. was arrested at a peaceful sit-in in Atlanta, Georgia, Kennedy placed a sympathetic phone call to King's wife, Coretta Scott King, and Kennedy's brother Robert F. Kennedy helped secure King's release. King expressed his appreciation for these calls. Although King made no endorsement, his father, who had previously endorsed Republican Richard Nixon, switched his support to Kennedy.[185]

By the mid-1960s, changes had come in many Southern states. Former Dixiecrat Senator Strom Thurmond of South Carolina changed parties in 1964; Texas elected a Republican Senator in 1961;[186] Florida and Arkansas elected Republican governors in 1966, as did Virginia in 1969. In the Upper South, where Republicans had always been a small presence, Republicans gained a few seats in the House and Senate.[108]

Senate vote on the Civil Rights Act of 1964. Ralph Yarborough of Texas was the only Senator from the 11 former Confederate states to vote in favor.

Because of these and other events, the Democrats lost ground with white voters in the South, as those same voters increasingly lost control over what was once a whites-only Democratic Party in much of the South.[187] The 1960 election was the first in which a Republican presidential candidate received electoral votes from the former Confederacy while losing nationally. Nixon carried Virginia, Tennessee, and Florida, which he would also win in 1968 and 1972. Though the Democrats also won Alabama and Mississippi, slates of unpledged electors, representing Democratic segregationists, awarded those states' electoral votes to Harry Byrd, rather than Kennedy.[188]

The parties' positions on civil rights continued to evolve in the run up to the 1964 election. The Democratic candidate, Johnson, who had become president after Kennedy's assassination, spared no effort to win passage of a strong Civil Rights Act of 1964. After signing the landmark legislation, Johnson said to his aide, Bill Moyers: "I think we just delivered the South to the Republican Party for a long time to come."[189] In contrast, Johnson's Republican opponent, Senator Barry Goldwater of Arizona, voted against the Civil Rights Act, believing it enhanced the federal government and infringed on the private property rights of businessmen.[190] Goldwater did support civil rights in general and universal suffrage, and voted for the 1957 Civil Rights Act (though casting no vote on the 1960 Civil Rights Act), as well as voting for the Twenty-fourth Amendment to the United States Constitution, which banned poll taxes as a requirement for voting. This was one of the devices that states used to disfranchise African Americans and the poor.[191][192][193]

In the 1964 presidential election, Republican Barry Goldwater won the 5 Deep South states, all but Louisiana for the first time since Reconstruction. The only other state he carried was his home state of Arizona.

In November 1964, Johnson won a landslide electoral victory, and the Republicans suffered significant losses in Congress. Goldwater, however, besides carrying his home state of Arizona, carried the Deep South: voters in Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina had switched parties for the first time since Reconstruction.[194] Goldwater notably won only in Southern states that had voted against Republican Richard Nixon in 1960, while not winning a single Southern state which Nixon had carried. Previous Republican inroads in the South had been concentrated on high-growth suburban areas, often with many transplants, as well as on the periphery of the South.[2][1]

Harold D, Woodman summarizes the explanation that external forces caused the disintegration of the Jim Crow South from the 1920s to the 1970s:

When a significant change finally occurred, its impetus came from outside the South. Depression-bred New Deal reforms, war-induced demand for labor in the North, perfection of cotton-picking machinery, and civil rights legislation and court decisions finally... destroyed the plantation system, undermined landlord or merchant hegemony, diversified agriculture and transformed it from a labor- to a capital-intensive industry, and ended the legal and extra-legal support for racism. The discontinuity that war, invasion, military occupation, the confiscation of slave property, and state and national legislation failed to bring in the mid-19th century, finally arrived in the second third of the 20th century. A "second reconstruction" created a real New South.[102]

Southern strategy

[edit]
Percent of self-identified conservatives by state in 2018, according to a Gallup poll:[195]
  45% and above
  40–44%
  35–39%
  30–34%
  25–29%
  24% and under

The "Southern strategy" was the long-term Republican Party electoral strategy to increase political support among white voters in the Southern United States since the 1960s. According to a quantitative analysis done by Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, racial backlash played a central role in the decline in relative white Southern Democratic identification.[196][197][198] Support for the civil rights movement in the 1960s by Democratic presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson solidified the Democrats' support within the African American community. African Americans have consistently voted between 85% and 95% Democratic since the 1960s.[199][200][201]

Although Richard Nixon carried 49 states in 1972, including every Southern state, the Republican Party remained quite weak at the local and state levels across the entire South for decades. Glenn Feldman argues that "the South did not become Republican so much as the Republican Party became southern."[202] Republicans first won a majority of U.S. House seats in the South in the 1994 "Republican Revolution", and only began to dominate the South after the 2010 elections.[8][203] Many analysts believe the Southern Strategy that has been employed by Republicans since the 1960s is now virtually complete, with Republicans in dominant, almost total, control of political offices in the South since the 2010s.[204][205][206]

Scholars have debated the extent to which ideological "divisions over the size of government (including taxes, social programs, and regulation), national security, and moral issues such as abortion and gay rights, with racial issues only one of numerous areas about which liberals and conservatives disagree," were responsible for the realignment.[207][208][209][210] When looked at broadly, studies have shown that White Southerners tend to be more conservative, both fiscally and socially,[211][212][85] than most non-Southerners and African Americans.[213][214] Historically, Southern Democrats were generally more conservative than non-Southern Democrats, joining factions such as the conservative coalition and Boll weevils.[215][216]

Yellow dog Democrats is a term for voters in the Southern United States who voted solely for Democratic Party candidates, though they would often split their tickets and vote for Republican presidential candidates. Some have argued that the South remained Democratic for decades because it was only until Yellow dog Democrats died out or stopped ticket-splitting for Democrats that Republicans began to dominate the South.[204] The conservative coalition lasted until 1994, and Bill Clinton was far less liberal than 21st century Democrats.[210]

The two Virginias, Virginia and West Virginia, have realigned in opposite directions since 1964.[141] Virginia went from voting Republican for president from 1968 to 2004 to always voting Democratic for president since 2008.[9] West Virginia has always voted Republican since 2000, after previously only voting Republican in 1972 and 1984.[217] In the 2024 United States presidential election, West Virginia gave the Republican presidential nominee 70% of the vote, the highest vote share in the state’s history. Meanwhile, Virginia voted for a Democratic presidential nominee who lost the popular vote, for the first time since 1924, a century earlier.[218]

1965 to 1980

[edit]
Map of the 1968 United States presidential election
In the 1976 presidential election, former Governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter won every former Confederate state except Virginia.

In the 1968 election, Richard Nixon saw the cracks in the Solid South as an opportunity to tap into a group of voters who had historically been beyond the reach of the Republican Party. With the aid of Harry Dent and South Carolina Senator Strom Thurmond, who had switched to the Republican Party in 1964, Nixon ran his 1968 campaign on states' rights and "law and order". As a key component of this strategy, he selected as his running mate Maryland Governor Spiro Agnew.[219] Liberal Northern Democrats accused Nixon of pandering to Southern whites, especially with regard to his "states' rights" and "law and order" positions, which were widely understood by black leaders to legitimize the status quo of Southern states' discrimination.[220] This tactic was described in 2007 by David Greenberg in Slate as "dog-whistle politics".[221] According to an article in The American Conservative, Nixon adviser and speechwriter Pat Buchanan disputed this characterization.[222][223]

The independent candidacy of George Wallace, former Democratic governor of Alabama, partially negated Nixon's Southern Strategy.[224] With a much more explicit attack on integration and black civil rights, Wallace won all but two of Goldwater's states (the exceptions being South Carolina and Arizona) as well as Arkansas and one of North Carolina's electoral votes. Nixon picked up Virginia, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Missouri, and Delaware. The Democrat, Hubert Humphrey, won Texas, heavily unionized West Virginia, and heavily urbanized Maryland. Writer Jeffrey Hart, who worked on the Nixon campaign as a speechwriter, said in 2006 that Nixon did not have a "Southern Strategy", but "Border State Strategy" as he said that the 1968 campaign ceded the Deep South to George Wallace. Hart suggested that the press called it a "Southern Strategy" as they are "very lazy".[225]

The 1968 election had been the first election in which both the Upper South and Deep South bolted from the Democratic party simultaneously. The Upper South had backed Eisenhower in 1952 and 1956, as well as Nixon in 1960.[226] The Deep South had backed Goldwater just four years prior. Despite the two regions of the South still backing different candidates, Wallace in the Deep South and Nixon in the Upper South, only Texas, Maryland, and West Virginia had held up against the majority Nixon-Wallace vote for Humphrey.[224] By 1972, Nixon had swept the South altogether, Upper and Deep South alike, marking the first time in American history a Republican won every Southern state.[227]

In the 1976 election, former Georgia governor Jimmy Carter gave Democrats a short-lived comeback in the South, winning every state in the old Confederacy except for Virginia, which was narrowly lost.[228] However, in his unsuccessful 1980 re-election bid, the only Southern states he won were his native state of Georgia, West Virginia, and Maryland. The year 1976 was the last year a Democratic presidential candidate won a majority of Southern electoral votes, or won Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, and South Carolina in a presidential election.[203] The Republicans took all the region's electoral votes in the 1984 election and every state except West Virginia in 1988.[229]

1980 to 1999

[edit]
The 1994 general election marked the beginning of the end for commanding Democratic Party presence in the South (Republican gains are marked in dark red).

Throughout the 1970s and 1980s, the South was still overwhelmingly Democratic at the state level, with majorities in all state legislatures, most U.S. House delegations, and many so-called New South governorships.[210] These New South governors were still relatively conservative, but avoided race-baiting. Some supported new government services, but typically avoided large tax increases and redistributionist programs.[230] Many conservative Southern white voters split their tickets, supporting conservative Democrats for local and statewide office while simultaneously voting for Republican presidential candidates.[216][227]

Republicans held 10 of the 22 US Senate seats and 39 seats in the US House of Representatives from the South after the 1980 elections, after winning control of the U.S. Senate for the first time since 1952. Republican president Ronald Reagan was able to form a governing majority due to a coalition between Republicans and conservative Southern Democrats, known as the boll weevils, named after the species of beetle destructive to cotton crops.[231]

Over the next 30 years, this gradually changed. Veteran Democratic officeholders retired or died, and older voters who were still rigidly Democratic died off.[202][204] As part of the Republican Revolution in the 1994 elections, Republicans captured a majority of the U.S. House's southern seats for the first time, which allowed them to win control of the U.S. House for the first time since 1952.[232] There were also increasing numbers of migrants from other areas, especially in Florida, Georgia, Texas, North Carolina, and Virginia.[233]

Some former Southern Democrats became Republicans, such as Kent Hance (1985), Rick Perry (1989), and Ralph Hall (2004) from Texas; Billy Tauzin (1995) and Jimmy Hayes (1995) from Louisiana; Richard Shelby (1994) and Kay Ivey (2002) from Alabama; and Nathan Deal (1995) and Sonny Perdue (1998) from Georgia.[234][198]

In the 1992 and 1996 elections, when the Democratic ticket consisted of two Southerners (Bill Clinton and Al Gore),[210] the Democrats and Republicans split the region.[235][236] In both elections, Clinton won Arkansas, Louisiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Missouri, Maryland, and Delaware, while the Republican won Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and Oklahoma.[237] Bill Clinton won Georgia in 1992, but lost it in 1996 to Bob Dole. Conversely, Clinton lost Florida in 1992 to George H.W. Bush, but won it in 1996.[238] The year 1996 was the last year a Democratic presidential candidate won Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Kentucky, and West Virginia.[203]

Northeast realignment

[edit]
Percent of self-identified liberals by state in 2018, according to a Gallup poll.[195]
  32% and above
  28–31%
  24–27%
  20–23%
  16–19%
  15% and under

While the South was shifting from the Democrats to the Republicans, the Northeastern United States went the other way. The Northeastern United States is defined by the US Census Bureau as Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, and the New England States. Maryland and Delaware also are included in some definitions of the Northeast, being located in the Northeast megalopolis.[239][240][241]

The argument that the South shifted to the Republicans in part by having higher ideological support for conservatism gains support from the Northeast having higher ideological support for liberalism and shifting to the Democrats.[242][210] In the 1980s, the term gypsy moth Republican described Republicans from the Northeast who voted against the Ronald Reagan administration's proposed cuts in aid to economically distressed people, contrasting with boll weevil Southern Democrats who voted for these cuts.[243][244] The gypsy moth is an invasive species destructive to trees in the Northeastern United States.[244][245]

In Harry S. Truman's 1948 upset victory, he only won the Northeastern states of Massachusetts and Rhode Island.[246] Truman won every Southern electoral vote not won by Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond[174] except for the border states of Maryland and Delaware, which he narrowly lost to Republican Thomas E. Dewey.[247]

In his close 1976 presidential election victory, former governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter lost the Northeastern states of New Jersey, Connecticut, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine while winning every former Confederate state except Virginia. Well into the 1980s, much of the Northeast – in particular the heavily suburbanized states of New Jersey and Connecticut, and the rural states of northern New England – were strongholds of the Republican Party.[248] The Democratic Party made steady gains there, however, and from 1992 through 2012, all nine Northeastern states plus Maryland and Delaware voted Democratic, with the exception of New Hampshire's plurality for George W. Bush in 2000.[249]

21st century

[edit]

Although Republican presidents had dominated the South during landslide victories in the late 20th century, the South only became a Republican stronghold at the presidential level in the 21st century.[198] In 2000, Al Gore received no electoral votes from the South, even from his home state of Tennessee, apart from heavily urbanized and uncontested Maryland and Delaware. The popular vote in Florida was extraordinarily close in awarding the state's electoral votes to George W. Bush.[250] This pattern continued in the 2004 election; the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards received no electoral votes from the South apart from Maryland and Delaware, even though Edwards was from North Carolina, and was born in South Carolina.[251]

The border states of the Upper South have split in the 21st century, with Maryland and Delaware being Democratic strongholds while Missouri, Kentucky, and West Virginia are Republican strongholds.[252] In particular, Appalachia remained a Democratic stronghold until the 21st century. The region gradually realigned towards Republicans, particularly the state of West Virginia.[253]

In the 2004 presidential election, Republican George W. Bush won every former Confederate state while losing every Northeastern state.

West Virginia was perhaps the most reliably Democratic state in the nation between 1932 and 1996, being one of just two states (along with Minnesota) to vote for a Republican president as few as three times in that interval. Moreover, unlike Minnesota (or other nearly as reliably Democratic states like Massachusetts and Rhode Island), it usually had a unanimous (or nearly unanimous) congressional delegation and only elected two Republicans as governor (albeit for a combined 20 years between them).[217] West Virginian voters shifted toward the Republican Party from 2000 onward, as the Democratic Party became more strongly identified with environmental policies anathema to the state's coal industry and with socially liberal policies, and is now a solidly red state. After the 2010 elections, West Virginia had a majority-Republican U.S. House delegation for the first time since 1949.[141]

In the 2008 election, as some areas in the South became more urbanized, liberal, and demographically diverse,[254] Barack Obama won the former Republican strongholds of Virginia and North Carolina as well as Florida.[255] However, Obama narrowly lost Missouri in 2008, ending its bellwether status, as the state has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since 1996.[256] Obama lost further ground in the Upland South, becoming the first person to win the presidency while losing Missouri since 1956, Kentucky and Tennessee since 1960, and Arkansas since 1968. Obama also became the first Democrat to win without carrying West Virginia since 1916.[206]

The tendency of many Southern Whites to split their tickets, voting for Republican presidential candidates but Democrats for state offices, lasted until the 2010 United States elections. In the November 2008 elections, Democrats won 3 out of 4 U.S. House seats from Mississippi, 3 out of 4 in Arkansas, 5 out of 9 in Tennessee, and achieved near parity in the Georgia and Alabama delegations.[257] In 2016, Republican Donald Trump won Elliott County in Kentucky, which had previously never voted for a Republican presidential candidate since its creation in 1869. Elliott County was the last majority-White rural county in the South to have never voted Republican, until 2016.[209][258]

Even after 2010, Democrats have still been competitive in some Southern swing states in presidential elections. Obama won Virginia and Florida again in 2012 and lost North Carolina by only 2.04 percent.[259] In 2016, Hillary Clinton won only Virginia while narrowly losing Florida and North Carolina.[260] In 2020, Joe Biden won Virginia, a growing stronghold for Democrats, and narrowly won Georgia, in large part due to the rapidly growing Atlanta metropolitan area, while narrowly losing Florida and North Carolina.[261] In 2024, Kamala Harris won only Virginia while narrowly losing Georgia and North Carolina.[218]

2010 to present

[edit]

Although Republicans gradually began doing better in presidential elections in the South starting in 1952, Republicans did not finish taking over Southern politics at the non-presidential level until the elections of November 2010.[8] On the eve of the 2010 elections, Democrats had a majority in the Alabama, North Carolina, Mississippi, Arkansas and Louisiana Legislatures, a majority in the Kentucky House of Representatives and Virginia Senate, a near majority of the Tennessee House of Representatives,[262] and a majority of the U.S. House delegations from Arkansas, North Carolina, Mississippi, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia, as well as near-even splits of the Georgia and Alabama U.S. House delegations.[263]

The 2010 U.S. House elections (Republican gains in dark red) marked the beginning of Republican dominance of the South at the state and federal levels.

However, during the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans swept the South, successfully reelecting every Senate incumbent, electing freshmen Marco Rubio in Florida and Rand Paul in Kentucky, and defeating Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas for a seat now held by John Boozman. In the House, Republicans reelected every incumbent except for Joseph Cao of New Orleans, defeated several Democratic incumbents, and gained a number of Democratic-held open seats. They won the majority in the congressional delegations of every Southern state.[8] Most Solid South states, with the exceptions of Arkansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, and West Virginia, also elected or reelected Republicans governors. Most significantly, Republicans took control of both houses of the Alabama and North Carolina State Legislatures for the first time since Reconstruction,[264] with Mississippi and Louisiana flipping a year later during their off-year elections.[265] Even in Arkansas, the GOP won three of six statewide down-ballot positions for which they had often not fielded candidates. They also went from eight to 15 out of 35 seats in the state senate and from 28 to 45 out of 100 in the State House of Representatives.[264] In 2012, the Republicans finally took control of the Arkansas State Legislature and the North Carolina Governorship.[266][206]

In 2014, both houses of the West Virginia legislature were finally taken by the GOP, and most other legislative chambers in the South up for election that year saw increased GOP gains.[267] Shelley Moore Capito also became the first Republican Senator from West Virginia in 2014 for the first time since 1956.[268] Arkansas' governorship finally flipped GOP in 2014 when incumbent Mike Beebe was term-limited, as did every other statewide office not previously held by the Republicans.[269] Georgia Representative John Barrow was defeated in 2014, being the last white Democratic Representative in a state that George Wallace won in 1968 (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia).[270]

Following the 2016 elections, when Republicans won the Kentucky House of Representatives, every state legislative chamber in the South had a Republican majority for the first time ever.[271] Republicans would control every state legislature in the former Confederate states until Democrats regained both Houses of the Virginia Legislature in 2019.[272]

Today, the South is considered a Republican stronghold at the state and federal levels.[204] As of 2024, Republicans account for a majority of every Southern state's House delegation apart from Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware.[257] Republicans also control 10 of the 11 state legislatures in the former Confederacy, the sole exception being the Virginia General Assembly.[273]

In 2024, Republican president Donald Trump won the majority of Hispanics in Texas and Florida, making substantial gains in majority-Hispanic counties in South Texas and South Florida in the 2024 presidential election. This signals a potential realignment among Hispanic Americans in the South towards Republicans to further strengthen the party's power in the region. In particular, Trump won Miami-Dade County for the first time since 1988, Osceola County, Florida for the first time since 2004, and Hendry County, Florida. Trump also won all but four counties in South Texas, some of which had not voted Republican in over a century.

Virginia

[edit]
The 2022 House elections (Democrats in blue and dark blue) showcased Republican political domination in the South, with most of the few Democratic districts in the South being demographically majority-minority.

The biggest exception to Republican gains in the former Confederate states has been the commonwealth of Virginia. It got an earlier start in the trend towards the Republican Party than the rest of the region. It voted Republican for president in 13 of the 14 elections between 1952 and 2004, the exception being Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide, while no other former Confederate state did so more than 9 times (that state being Florida).[88] Moreover, it had a Republican Governor more often than not between 1970 and 2002, and Republicans held at least half the seats in the Virginia congressional delegation from 1968 to 1990 (although the Democrats had a narrow minority throughout the 1990s),[9] while with single-term exceptions (Alabama from 1965 to 1967, Tennessee from 1973 to 1975, and South Carolina from 1981 to 1983) and the exception of Florida (which had its delegation turn majority Republican in 1989), Democrats held at least half the seats in the delegations of the rest of the Southern states until the Republican Revolution of 1994.[257]

This is largely due to massive population growth in Northern Virginia, part of the strongly Democratic Washington metropolitan area, which is politically oriented with the Northeast.[274] The Democratic Party has won most statewide races in Virginia since 2005, including consistently at the presidential level since 2008.[275]

Virginia was the only former Confederate state to vote Democratic in the 2016 and 2024 presidential elections. As of 2025, the Virginia General Assembly is the only state legislature Democrats control in the former Confederate States.[273]

Virginia never voted for Republican Donald Trump in any of his three elections.

Solid South in presidential elections

[edit]

While Republicans occasionally won southern states in elections in which they won the presidency in the Solid South, it was not until 1960 that a Republican carried any of the 11 former Confederate states, Kentucky, or Oklahoma, while losing the election.[188] This table includes data for all 16 states considered part of the Southern United States by the Census Bureau.

Presidential votes in southern states since 1876[276]
Year Alabama Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi Maryland North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia West Virginia
1876 Tilden Tilden Tilden Hayes[f] Tilden Tilden Hayes[f] Tilden Tilden Tilden No election[g] Hayes[f] Tilden Tilden Tilden Tilden
1880 Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock No election Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock Hancock
1884 Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland No election Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland
1888 Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland No election Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland
1892 Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland No election Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland
1896 Bryan Bryan McKinley Bryan Bryan McKinley Bryan Bryan McKinley Bryan No election Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan McKinley
1900 Bryan Bryan McKinley Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan McKinley Bryan No election Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan McKinley
1904 Parker Parker Roosevelt Parker Parker Parker Parker Parker Roosevelt Parker No election Parker Parker Parker Parker Roosevelt
1908 Bryan Bryan Taft Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan Taft Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan Bryan Taft
1912 Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson
1916 Wilson Wilson Hughes Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Hughes
1920 Cox Cox Harding Cox Cox Cox Cox Cox Harding Cox Harding Cox Harding Cox Cox Harding
1924 Davis Davis Coolidge Davis Davis Coolidge Davis Davis Coolidge Davis Davis Davis Davis Davis Davis Coolidge
1928 Smith Smith Hoover Hoover Smith Hoover Smith Smith Hoover Hoover Hoover Smith Hoover Hoover Hoover Hoover
1932 Roosevelt Roosevelt Hoover Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt
1936 Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt
1940 Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt
1944 Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt
1948 Thurmond Truman Dewey Truman Truman Truman Thurmond Thurmond Dewey Truman Truman Thurmond Truman[h] Truman Truman Truman
1952 Stevenson Stevenson Eisenhower Eisenhower Stevenson Stevenson Stevenson Stevenson Eisenhower Stevenson Eisenhower Stevenson Eisenhower Eisenhower Eisenhower Stevenson
1956 Stevenson[i] Stevenson Eisenhower Eisenhower Stevenson Eisenhower Eisenhower Stevenson Eisenhower Stevenson Eisenhower Stevenson Eisenhower Eisenhower Eisenhower Eisenhower
1960 Byrd[j] Kennedy Kennedy Nixon Kennedy Nixon Kennedy Byrd Kennedy Kennedy Nixon[k] Kennedy Nixon Kennedy Nixon Kennedy
1964 Goldwater Johnson Johnson Johnson Goldwater Johnson Goldwater Goldwater Johnson Johnson Johnson Goldwater Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson
1968 Wallace Wallace Nixon Nixon Wallace Nixon Wallace Wallace Humphrey Nixon[l] Nixon Nixon Nixon Humphrey Nixon Humphrey
1972 Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon[m] Nixon
1976 Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Ford Carter Carter Carter Ford Carter
1980 Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Carter Reagan Reagan Reagan Carter Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Carter
1984 Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan
1988 Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Dukakis[n]
1992 Bush Clinton Clinton Bush Clinton Clinton Clinton Bush Clinton Bush Bush Bush Clinton Bush Bush Clinton
1996 Dole Clinton Clinton Clinton Dole Clinton Clinton Dole[277] Clinton Dole Dole Dole Clinton Dole Dole Clinton
2000 Bush Bush Gore Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Gore Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush
2004 Bush Bush Kerry Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Kerry Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush
2008 McCain McCain Obama Obama McCain McCain McCain McCain Obama Obama McCain McCain McCain McCain Obama McCain
2012 Romney Romney Obama Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama Romney
2016 Trump Trump Clinton Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump Clinton Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump[o] Clinton Trump
2020 Trump Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump Trump Trump Biden Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump Biden Trump
2024 Trump Trump Harris Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump Harris Trump Trump Trump Trump Trump Harris Trump
Key
Democratic Party nominee
Republican Party nominee
Third-party nominee or write-in candidate

Bold denotes candidates elected as president

Solid South in gubernatorial elections

[edit]

Officials who acted as governor for less than ninety days are excluded from this chart. This chart is intended to be a visual exposition of party strength in the solid south and the dates listed are not exactly precise. Governors not elected in their own right are listed in italics.[278]

The parties are as follows:   Democratic (D),   Farmers' Alliance (FA),   Prohibition (P),   Readjuster (RA),   Republican (R).

Governors of southern states since 1877
Year Alabama Arkansas Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Mississippi North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia West Virginia
1877 George S. Houston (D) William Read Miller (D) George F. Drew (D) Alfred H. Colquitt (D) James B. McCreary (D) Francis T. Nicholls (D) John Lee Carroll (D) John M. Stone (D)[p] Zebulon Baird Vance (D) Unorganized territory Wade Hampton III (D) James D. Porter (D) Richard B. Hubbard (D)[q] James L. Kemper (D) Henry M. Mathews (D)
1878 Frederick W. M. Holliday (D)
1879 Rufus W. Cobb (D) Thomas Jordan Jarvis (D) William Dunlap Simpson (D)[q] Albert S. Marks (D) Oran M. Roberts (D)
1880 Luke P. Blackburn (D) Louis A. Wiltz (D)[r] William Thomas Hamilton (D) Thomas Bothwell Jeter (D)
1881 Thomas James Churchill (D) William D. Bloxham (D) Samuel D. McEnery (D) Johnson Hagood (D) Alvin Hawkins (R) Jacob B. Jackson (D)
1882 Robert Lowry (D) Hugh Smith Thompson (D)[s] William E. Cameron (RA)
1883 Edward A. O'Neal (D) James Henderson Berry (D) Henry Dickerson McDaniel (D) William B. Bate (D) John Ireland (D)
1884 J. Proctor Knott (D) Robert Milligan McLane (D)
1885 Simon Pollard Hughes, Jr. (D) Edward A. Perry (D) Henry Lloyd (D) Alfred Moore Scales (D) (D) Emanuel Willis Wilson (D)[t]
1886 Fitzhugh Lee (D)
1887 Thomas Seay (D) John B. Gordon (D) Robert Love Taylor (D) Lawrence Sullivan Ross (D)
1888 Simon Bolivar Buckner, Sr. (D) Francis T. Nicholls (D) Elihu Emory Jackson (D)
1889 James Philip Eagle (D) Francis P. Fleming (D) Daniel Gould Fowle (D)
1890 John M. Stone (D) Governors of Oklahoma Territory

(appointed by the President of the United States with the consent of the Senate)

Philip W. McKinney (D) Aretas B. Fleming (D)[u]
1891 Thomas G. Jones (D) William J. Northen (D) Thomas Michael Holt (D) John P. Buchanan (D) Jim Hogg (D)
1892 John Y. Brown (D) Murphy J. Foster (D) Frank Brown (D)
1893 William Meade Fishback (D) Henry L. Mitchell (D) Elias Carr (D) Peter Turney (D) William A. MacCorkle (D)
1894 Charles Triplett O'Ferrall (D)
1895 William C. Oates (D) James Paul Clarke (D) William Yates Atkinson (D) Charles A. Culberson (D)
1896 William O. Bradley (R) Lloyd Lowndes Jr. (R) Anselm J. McLaurin (D)
1897 Joseph F. Johnston (D) Daniel Webster Jones (D) William D. Bloxham (D) Daniel Lindsay Russell (R) Robert Love Taylor (D) George W. Atkinson (R)
1898 James Hoge Tyler (D)
1899 Allen D. Candler (D) Benton McMillin (D) Joseph D. Sayers (D)
1900 [v] William Wright Heard (D) John Walter Smith (D) Andrew H. Longino (D)
J. C. W. Beckham (D)[w]
1901 William J. Samford (D)[r] Jeff Davis (D) William S. Jennings (D) Charles Brantley Aycock (D) Albert B. White (R)
William D. Jelks (D)[x][y]
1902 Andrew Jackson Montague (D)
1903 Joseph M. Terrell (D) James B. Frazier (D)[z] S. W. T. Lanham (D)
1904 Newton C. Blanchard (D) Edwin Warfield (D) James K. Vardaman (D)
1905 Napoleon B. Broward (D) Robert Broadnax Glenn (D) John I. Cox (D)[aa] William M. O. Dawson (R)
1906 Claude A. Swanson (D)
1907 B. B. Comer (D) (D) M. Hoke Smith (D) Charles N. Haskell (D) Malcolm R. Patterson (D) Thomas Mitchell Campbell (D)
1908 Augustus E. Willson (R) Jared Y. Sanders, Sr. (D) Austin Lane Crothers (R) Edmond Noel (D)
1909 Albert W. Gilchrist (D) George Washington Donaghey (D) Joseph M. Brown (D) William Walton Kitchin (D) William E. Glasscock (R)
1910 William Hodges Mann (D)
1911 Emmet O'Neal (D) [ab] Lee Cruce (D) Ben W. Hooper (R) Oscar Branch Colquitt (D)
1912 James B. McCreary (D) Luther E. Hall (D) Phillips Lee Goldsborough (R) Earl L. Brewer (D)
1913 (D)[ac] Park Trammell (D) John M. Slaton (D) Locke Craig (D) Henry D. Hatfield (R)
1914 George Washington Hays (D)[ad] Henry Carter Stuart (D)
1915 Charles Henderson (D) Nathaniel E. Harris (D) R. L. Williams (D) Tom C. Rye (D) James E. Ferguson (D)[ae]
1916 Augustus O. Stanley (D)[af] Ruffin G. Pleasant (D) Emerson Harrington (D) Theodore G. Bilbo (D)
1917 Charles Hillman Brough (D) Sidney Johnston Catts (P) Hugh M. Dorsey (D) Thomas Walter Bickett (D) William P. Hobby (D)[w] John J. Cornwell (D)
1918 Westmoreland Davis (D)
1919 Thomas Kilby (D) James D. Black (D)[q] James B. A. Robertson (D) A. H. Roberts (D)
1920 Edwin P. Morrow (R) John M. Parker (D) Albert Ritchie (D) Lee M. Russell (D)
1921 Thomas Chipman McRae (D) Cary A. Hardee (D) Thomas W. Hardwick (D) Cameron Morrison (D) Alfred A. Taylor (R) Pat Morris Neff (D) Ephraim F. Morgan (R)
1922 Elbert Lee Trinkle (D)
1923 William W. Brandon (D) Clifford Walker (D) Jack C. Walton[ag] Austin Peay (D)[ah]
1924 William J. Fields (D) Henry L. Fuqua (D)[r] Henry L. Whitfield (D)[r] Martin E. Trapp (D)[q]
1925 Tom Jefferson Terral (D) John W. Martin (D) Angus Wilton McLean (D) Miriam A. Ferguson (D) Howard M. Gore (R)
1926 Oramel H. Simpson (D)[q] Harry F. Byrd (D)
1927 Bibb Graves (D) John Ellis Martineau (D)[ai] Lamartine G. Hardman (D) Dennis Murphree (D)[q] Henry S. Johnston (D)[aj] Dan Moody (D)
1928 Harvey Parnell (D)[w] Flem D. Sampson (R) Huey Long (D) Theodore G. Bilbo (D) Henry Hollis Horton (D)[ak]
1929 Doyle E. Carlton (D) Oliver Max Gardner (D) William J. Holloway (D)[q] William G. Conley (R)
1930 John Garland Pollard (D)
1931 Benjamin M. Miller (D) Richard Russell, Jr. (D) William H. Murray (D) Ross S. Sterling (D)
1932 Ruby Laffoon (D) Alvin Olin King (D)[al] Martin Sennett Conner (D)
1933 Junius Marion Futrell (D) David Sholtz (D) Eugene Talmadge (D) Oscar K. Allen (D)[r] John C.B. Ehringhaus (D) Harry Hill McAlister (D) Miriam A. Ferguson (D) Herman G. Kump (D)
1934 George C. Peery (D)
1935 Bibb Graves (D) Harry Nice (R) Ernest W. Marland (D) James V. Allred (D)
1936 Happy Chandler (D)[am] James A. Noe(D) Hugh L. White
1937 Carl Edward Bailey (D) Fred P. Cone (D) Eurith D. Rivers (D) Clyde R. Hoey (D) Gordon Browning (D) Homer A. Holt (D)
1938 James H. Price (D)
1939 Frank M. Dixon (D) Keen Johnson (D)[w] Herbert O'Conor (D) Leon C. Phillips (D) Prentice Cooper (D) W. Lee O'Daniel (D)[an]
1940 Sam H. Jones (D) Paul B. Johnson, Sr. (D)[r]
1941 Homer Martin Adkins (D) Spessard Holland (D) Eugene Talmadge (D) J. Melville Broughton (D) Matthew M. Neely (D)
1942 Coke R. Stevenson (D)[w] Colgate Darden (D)
1943 Chauncey Sparks (D) Ellis Arnall (D) Dennis Murphree (D)[q] Robert S. Kerr (D)
1944 Simeon S. Willis (R) Jimmie Davis (D) Thomas L. Bailey (D)[r]
1945 Benjamin Travis Laney (D) Millard F. Caldwell (D) R. Gregg Cherry (D) Jim Nance McCord (D) Clarence W. Meadows (D)
1946 Fielding L. Wright (D)[w] William M. Tuck (D)
1947 Jim Folsom (D) Melvin E. Thompson (D) William Preston Lane Jr. (D) Roy J. Turner (D) Beauford H. Jester (D)[ao]
1948 Earle C. Clements (D)[af] Earl Long (D)
1949 Sid McMath (D) Fuller Warren (D) Herman Talmadge (D) W. Kerr Scott (D) Gordon Browning (D) Allan Shivers (D)[w] Okey L. Patteson (D)
1950 John S. Battle (D)
1951 Gordon Persons (D) Lawrence W. Wetherby (D)[w] Theodore McKeldin (R) Johnston Murray (D)
1952 Robert F. Kennon (D) Hugh L. White (D)
1953 Francis Cherry (D) Daniel T. McCarty (D)[r] William B. Umstead (D)[r] Frank G. Clement (D) William C. Marland (D)
1954 Charley Eugene Johns (D)[ap] Luther Hodges (D)[w] Thomas Bahnson Stanley (D)
1955 Jim Folsom (D) Orval Faubus (D) LeRoy Collins (D) Marvin Griffin (D) Raymond D. Gary (D)
1956 Happy Chandler (D) Earl Long (D) James P. Coleman (D)
1957 Price Daniel (D) Cecil H. Underwood (R)
1958 J. Lindsay Almond (D)
1959 John Malcolm Patterson (D) Ernest Vandiver (D) J. Millard Tawes (D) J. Howard Edmondson (D) Buford Ellington (D)
1960 Bert T. Combs (D) Jimmie Davis (D) Ross Barnett (D)
1961 C. Farris Bryant (D) Terry Sanford (D) William Wallace Barron (D)
1962 Albertis S. Harrison, Jr. (D)
1963 George Wallace (D) Carl Sanders (D) Henry Bellmon (R) Frank G. Clement (D) John Connally (D)
1964 Edward T. Breathitt (D) John McKeithen (D) Paul B. Johnson, Jr. (D)
1965 W. Haydon Burns (D) Dan K. Moore Robert Evander McNair (D)[w] Hulett C. Smith (D)
1966 Mills E. Godwin, Jr. (D)
1967 Lurleen Wallace (D)[r] Winthrop Rockefeller (R) Claude R. Kirk, Jr. (R) Lester Maddox (D) Spiro Agnew (R) Dewey F. Bartlett (R) Buford Ellington (D)
1968 Louie B. Nunn (R) John Bell Williams (D)
1969 Albert Brewer (D)[q] Marvin Mandel (D) Robert W. Scott (D) Preston Smith (D) Arch A. Moore, Jr. (R)
1970 A. Linwood Holton, Jr. (R)
1971 George Wallace (D) Dale Bumpers (D) Reubin Askew (D) Jimmy Carter (D) David Hall (D) John C. West (D) Winfield Dunn (R)
1972 Wendell H. Ford (D)[af] Edwin Edwards (D) Bill Waller (D)
1973 James Holshouser (R) Dolph Briscoe (D)
1974 Mills E. Godwin, Jr. (R)
1975 David Pryor (D) George Busbee (D) Julian Carroll (D)[w] David L. Boren (D) James B. Edwards (R) Ray Blanton (D)
1976 Cliff Finch (D)
1977 James B. Hunt, Jr. (D) Jay Rockefeller (D)
1978 John N. Dalton (R)
1979 Fob James (D) Bill Clinton (D) Bob Graham (D) Harry Hughes (D) George Nigh (D) Richard Riley (D) Lamar Alexander (R) Bill Clements (R)
1980 John Y. Brown, Jr. (D) Dave Treen (R) William Winter (D)
1981 Frank D. White (R)
1982 Chuck Robb (D)
1983 George Wallace (D) Bill Clinton (D)[aq] Joe Frank Harris (D) Mark White (D)
1984 Martha Layne Collins (D) Edwin Edwards (D) William Allain (D)
1985 James G. Martin (R) Arch A. Moore, Jr. (R)
1986 Gerald L. Baliles (D)
1987 H. Guy Hunt (R)[ar] Bob Martinez (R) William Donald Schaefer (D) Henry Bellmon (R) Carroll A. Campbell, Jr. (R) Ned McWherter (D) Bill Clements (R)
1988 Wallace G. Wilkinson (D) Buddy Roemer (D/R)[as] Ray Mabus (D)
1989 Gaston Caperton (D)
1990 Douglas Wilder (D)
1991 Lawton Chiles (D) Zell Miller (D) David Walters (D) Ann Richards (D)
1992 Brereton Jones (D) Edwin Edwards (D) Kirk Fordice (R)
1993 Jim Folsom, Jr. (D)[q] Jim Guy Tucker (D)[w][at] James B. Hunt, Jr. (D)
1994 George Allen (R)
1995 Fob James (R) Parris Glendening (D) Frank Keating (R) David Beasley (R) Don Sundquist (R) George W. Bush (R)[aq]
1996 Paul E. Patton (D) Murphy J. Foster, Jr. (R)
1997 Mike Huckabee (R)[w] Cecil H. Underwood (R)
1998 Jim Gilmore (R)
1999 Don Siegelman (D) Jeb Bush (R) Roy Barnes (D) Jim Hodges (D)
2000 Ronnie Musgrove (D)
2001 Mike Easley (D) Rick Perry (R)[w] Bob Wise (D)
2002 Mark Warner (D)
2003 Bob Riley (R) Sonny Perdue (R) Bob Ehrlich (R) Brad Henry (D) Mark Sanford (R) Phil Bredesen (D)
2004 Ernie Fletcher (R) Kathleen Blanco (D) Haley Barbour (R)
2005 Joe Manchin (D)[au]
2006 Tim Kaine (D)
2007 Mike Beebe (D) Charlie Crist (R/I)[av] Martin O'Malley (D)
2008 Steve Beshear (D) Bobby Jindal (R)
2009 Beverly Perdue (D)
2010 Bob McDonnell (R)
2011 Robert Bentley (R) [aw] Rick Scott (R) Nathan Deal (R) Mary Fallin (R) Nikki Haley (R) Bill Haslam (R) Earl Ray Tomblin (D)[ax]
2012 Phil Bryant (R)
2013 Pat McCrory (R)
2014 Terry McAuliffe (D)
2015 Asa Hutchinson (R) Larry Hogan (R) Greg Abbott (R)
2016 Matt Bevin (R) John Bel Edwards (D)
2017 Kay Ivey (R) [ay] Roy Cooper (D) Henry McMaster (R) Jim Justice (D/R)[az]
2018 Ralph Northam (D)
2019 Ron DeSantis (R) Brian Kemp (R) Kevin Stitt (R) Bill Lee (R)
2020 Andy Beshear (D) Tate Reeves (R)
2021
2022 Glenn Youngkin (R)
2023 Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) Wes Moore (D)
2024 Jeff Landry (R)
2025 Josh Stein (D) Patrick Morrisey (R)

See also

[edit]

Notes

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References

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Further reading

[edit]
Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
The Solid South refers to the era of overwhelming Democratic Party control over politics in the Southern United States, spanning from the end of federal Reconstruction in 1877 to the mid-1960s, during which the region's eleven former Confederate states and others consistently delivered electoral majorities to Democratic presidential and congressional candidates. This dominance stemmed from the Democratic Party's role as the defender of white Southern interests, particularly in maintaining racial segregation and opposing Republican-led federal enforcement of black civil rights following the Civil War. The term encapsulates a political monolith where internal Democratic factions competed but rarely faced viable Republican opposition, ensuring the South's congressional delegation remained almost exclusively Democratic for decades. The origins of the Solid South trace to the Compromise of 1877, an informal agreement resolving the disputed presidential election between Republican Rutherford B. Hayes and Democrat Samuel Tilden, which resulted in Hayes's inauguration in exchange for the withdrawal of Union troops from the South, effectively terminating Reconstruction and allowing white Democratic "Redeemers" to seize state governments from biracial Republican coalitions. This shift enabled the implementation of Jim Crow laws and constitutional amendments across Southern states in the 1890s and early 1900s, which systematically disenfranchised African Americans through mechanisms such as poll taxes, literacy tests, understanding clauses, and grandfather exemptions that preserved voting rights for whites whose ancestors had voted before 1867. These measures, coupled with vigilante violence and intimidation by groups like the Ku Klux Klan, reduced black voter registration to under 5% in many states by 1900, transforming elections into contests among white voters predisposed to Democratic loyalty due to lingering Civil War resentments and commitment to states' rights. The Solid South's defining characteristic was its electoral reliability, with Democrats capturing every Southern electoral vote in presidential elections from 1876 to 1904, and only sporadic Republican breakthroughs thereafter, such as Warren G. Harding's 1920 wins in Tennessee and Oklahoma amid national anti-Wilson sentiment. This one-party hegemony fostered conservative policies on race, agriculture, and economic development, but also internal divisions between agrarian populists and business-oriented conservatives, occasionally manifesting in third-party challenges like the Populist revolt of the 1890s. Controversies arose from the undemocratic nature of the system, which prioritized white supremacy over broader representation, leading to suppressed turnout even among poor whites and entrenched corruption in some state machines. The erosion of the Solid South accelerated during the civil rights era, as national Democratic leaders under Presidents Harry Truman and Lyndon B. Johnson endorsed anti-segregation measures, culminating in the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Voting Rights Act of 1965, which alienated white Southerners and prompted their realignment toward the Republican Party. Key fissures included the 1948 Dixiecrat bolt led by Strom Thurmond, who carried four states against Truman, and Barry Goldwater's 1964 capture of the Deep South by opposing the Civil Rights Act, signaling the bloc's fracture. By the 1980s, Republican gains in presidential contests and congressional seats had largely supplanted Democratic control, driven by white voter backlash to federal civil rights enforcement and economic modernization.

Definition and Characteristics

Core Features of Democratic Dominance

The Democratic Party's dominance in the Solid South was characterized by its monopoly over state and local governments following the withdrawal of federal troops in 1877, which allowed Southern Democrats to "redeem" the region from Republican-led Reconstruction governments. By 1877, the party had seized control of every Southern state legislature and governorship, a grip that endured for decades with minimal Republican or third-party interruptions. This one-party rule transformed general elections into formalities, as the real political contests occurred in Democratic primaries restricted to white voters, ensuring intra-party factions rather than external challengers determined outcomes. Central to sustaining this hegemony was the disenfranchisement of African Americans and, to a lesser extent, poor whites, through constitutional amendments, poll taxes, literacy tests, and grandfather clauses enacted across Southern states between 1890 and 1910. These measures drastically curtailed black voter registration; for example, in states like Mississippi and South Carolina, eligible black voters, who comprised a significant portion of the population, were reduced to participation rates under 5% by the early 1900s, confining the electorate to a white Democratic base committed to maintaining segregation and white supremacy. Violence and intimidation by groups such as the Ku Klux Klan further deterred opposition, solidifying the party's role as the defender of the Southern racial and social order. Electorally, the Solid South functioned as a reliable bloc for Democratic presidential candidates, delivering all Southern electoral votes in most elections from 1876 to 1944, with outliers like the 1928 vote against Al Smith driven by religious prejudice rather than policy dissent. Congressional representation mirrored this pattern, with Democrats holding nearly all House seats and Senate positions from the former Confederate states well into the 20th century; as late as 1960, all 22 Southern U.S. senators were Democrats. This uniformity stemmed from the party's embodiment of regional grievances against federal intervention, particularly on civil rights, rendering Republican inroads negligible until national civil rights legislation eroded the system's foundations.

Ideological and Cultural Underpinnings

The ideological foundations of the Solid South centered on the unwavering commitment to white supremacy, which Southern Democrats positioned as essential for preserving social order and economic stability in the post-Civil War era. This worldview rejected federal interventions aimed at elevating African Americans, framing them instead as threats to white civilization, and emphasized states' rights as a bulwark against Northern-imposed equality. As historian V.O. Key documented in his 1949 analysis, race constituted the paramount issue in Southern politics, with Democratic hegemony serving to exclude black voters and maintain white dominance through mechanisms like poll taxes and literacy tests implemented across states such as Mississippi in 1890 and South Carolina in 1895. Key's empirical examination of voting patterns and party structures revealed how this racial fixation subordinated other policy debates, rendering ideological diversity within the Democratic Party minimal and ensuring bloc loyalty to prevent any resurgence of Republican or populist challenges. Complementing this was the pervasive influence of the Lost Cause mythology, which recast the Confederacy's defeat not as a moral failing tied to slavery but as a heroic stand for constitutional liberties and regional autonomy against centralized tyranny. Promulgated through organizations like the United Confederate Veterans, founded in 1889, and embedded in state constitutions during Redemption-era conventions—such as Alabama's in 1875 and Virginia's in 1902—this narrative sanitized the antebellum South's hierarchical order and justified ongoing segregation as a natural extension of Southern traditions. It fostered a sectional identity that equated Democratic fidelity with cultural preservation, as evidenced by the near-unanimous Southern support for Democratic presidential nominees from 1880 to 1944, barring minor deviations like the 1896 Populist fusion in some states. Culturally, the Solid South drew strength from the region's agrarian economy, where sharecropping and cotton dependency—accounting for over 50% of U.S. exports by 1900—reinforced paternalistic racial norms and insulated white smallholders from industrial upheavals elsewhere. This rural ethos intertwined with evangelical Protestantism, dominant among 80-90% of white Southerners by the early 20th century, which often interpreted biblical texts to endorse segregation and social conservatism, viewing racial mixing as a divine prohibition. Denominations like the Southern Baptist Convention, established in 1845 over slavery disputes, amplified this fusion of faith and politics, contributing to a monolithic cultural resistance against external reforms and solidifying Democratic rule as a safeguard of traditional values until mid-century shifts.

Historical Origins

Reconstruction's End and Southern Redemption

The end of Reconstruction in 1877 marked the culmination of efforts by Southern Democrats, known as Redeemers, to restore white Democratic control over Southern state governments after the Civil War. Reconstruction, initiated following the Union's victory in 1865, had imposed Republican governance in the South, supported by federal troops and enfranchised Black voters, leading to the establishment of biracial legislatures and advancements in public education and infrastructure. However, widespread violence by groups like the Ku Klux Klan and economic pressures, including the Panic of 1873, eroded Northern support for continued federal intervention. The disputed presidential election of 1876 between Republican Rutherford B. Hayes and Democrat Samuel J. Tilden proved pivotal. Tilden secured the popular vote and 184 electoral votes, one shy of the majority, but results in Florida, Louisiana, South Carolina, and Oregon were contested due to allegations of fraud and intimidation on both sides. An Electoral Commission, composed of five Republicans, five Democrats, and five Supreme Court justices, voted 8-7 along party lines to award all disputed votes to Hayes, granting him 185 electoral votes. In the ensuing Compromise of 1877, Hayes agreed to withdraw the remaining federal troops from the South—last stationed in Louisiana and South Carolina—in exchange for Democratic acquiescence to his presidency and promises of internal improvements, such as federal aid for a Texas and Pacific Railroad. Hayes was inaugurated on March 4, 1877, and troops were removed by April 24, 1877, effectively ending military enforcement of Reconstruction policies. Southern Democrats, who had already regained control in most former Confederate states by 1876 through paramilitary organizations and voter suppression, hailed this as Redemption, restoring "home rule" and prioritizing fiscal conservatism, reduced taxes, and white supremacy. Prominent Redeemers like Wade Hampton III exemplified the movement's tactics and ideology. In South Carolina, Hampton, a former Confederate general, led a campaign in 1876 employing rifle clubs to intimidate Black voters and Republicans, securing the governorship amid disputed returns and violence that killed dozens. Despite initial pledges to protect Black civil rights as part of the compromise, Redeemer governments swiftly dismantled Reconstruction gains, imposing Black Codes, poll taxes, and literacy tests in subsequent years, though immediate post-1877 policies in some states like South Carolina under Hampton temporarily moderated overt segregation to stabilize governance. This shift entrenched one-party Democratic dominance, setting the stage for the Solid South.

Compromise of 1877 and Federal Withdrawal

The disputed presidential election of 1876 pitted Democrat Samuel J. Tilden against Republican Rutherford B. Hayes, with Tilden securing the popular vote by a margin of 4.3 million to 4.0 million but falling short of an Electoral College majority due to contested returns from Florida, Louisiana, South Carolina, and Oregon. In these Southern states, where federal troops still enforced Republican governments under Reconstruction, allegations of fraud, intimidation, and violence marred the voting, leading both parties to submit rival slates of electors. Congress responded by establishing the Electoral Commission in January 1877, a bipartisan panel of five senators, five representatives, and five Supreme Court justices that voted 8-7 along party lines to award all 20 disputed electoral votes to Hayes, giving him a 185-184 victory. Southern Democrats acquiesced to Hayes's inauguration on March 5, 1877, through an informal Compromise of 1877, reportedly negotiated by intermediaries including future Supreme Court Justice Stanley Matthews and Ohio Republicans, in exchange for commitments including the withdrawal of remaining federal troops from the South, federal subsidies for Southern infrastructure like the Texas and Pacific Railway, and the appointment of a Southerner to Hayes's cabinet. Hayes fulfilled the troop withdrawal swiftly: forces departed South Carolina on April 10, 1877, ending federal protection for the last Reconstruction government there, and left Louisiana on April 24, 1877, allowing Democrat Stephen B. Packard to yield the governorship to Democrat Francis T. Nicholls amid dual claims. This removal of approximately 3,000 troops marked the effective end of Radical Reconstruction, as federal enforcement of civil rights and black suffrage ceased without military backing. The federal withdrawal enabled "Redeemer" Democrats to consolidate power across the former Confederate states, reversing Republican gains and initiating widespread disenfranchisement of black voters through violence, poll taxes, and literacy tests that solidified white Democratic supremacy. In states like South Carolina, where Wade Hampton III's 1876 "redemption" campaign had already ousted Republicans via paramilitary tactics, the Compromise removed the final federal obstacle, paving the way for one-party Democratic rule that characterized the Solid South from 1877 until the mid-20th century. Historians note that this shift prioritized sectional reconciliation over racial equality, as Northern Republicans abandoned Southern blacks to secure national stability, fostering a political monolith where Democrats dominated elections with margins often exceeding 90% in presidential contests through 1948.

Initial Disenfranchisement Measures

In the years immediately following the Compromise of 1877, which marked the end of federal oversight in Southern elections, Democratic-controlled state governments revived and expanded pre-existing barriers like poll taxes to curtail African American participation, often combining them with residency requirements and cumulative payment rules that accumulated unpaid taxes over time. These taxes, typically ranging from $1 to $2 annually—equivalent to a full day's wages for many laborers—disproportionately affected impoverished black sharecroppers and laborers who lacked the means or administrative tracking to comply. By the early 1880s, states such as Virginia (1870 constitution, enforced post-1877), Alabama (1875 constitution provisions activated), and Georgia had reinstated or intensified poll tax enforcement, reducing eligible black voters by excluding those unable to pay or prove payment. The pivotal advancement in systematic disenfranchisement came with Mississippi's 1890 constitutional convention, where delegates explicitly designed provisions to eliminate black voters while nominally preserving white suffrage. The new constitution mandated a $2 poll tax, payable two months before elections, and introduced literacy tests requiring voters to read aloud and provide a "reasonable interpretation" of any section of the Mississippi Constitution as judged by registrars. These tests, devoid of standardized criteria, empowered white officials to pass illiterate or minimally educated whites while rejecting virtually all black applicants, regardless of literacy; implementation correlated with a plunge in black voter registration from approximately 30% of eligible adults in the 1880s to under 6% by 1892. Mississippi's framework, often termed the "Mississippi Plan," served as a template for subsequent Southern states seeking to evade federal scrutiny under the Fifteenth Amendment by framing restrictions as race-neutral qualifications for "intelligent" voting. South Carolina followed in 1895 with its own constitution incorporating literacy tests and poll taxes, achieving a similar effect by halving the electorate and rendering black voters negligible. These measures complemented ongoing extralegal intimidation but shifted toward judicially defensible statutes, enabling one-party Democratic dominance by minimizing challenges from black Republicans or fusionist alliances with Populists. By 1900, eight former Confederate states had adopted comparable residency-tied poll taxes and discretionary literacy requirements, solidifying the exclusionary electorate.

Consolidation of Power

Redeemer Governments and One-Party Rule

Redeemer governments consisted of coalitions of conservative white Democrats, including former Confederate leaders, planters, and merchants, who systematically overthrew Republican-controlled state administrations in the South during the final phase of Reconstruction. Their objective was to restore white supremacy, curtail federal intervention, and dismantle policies perceived as benefiting freedmen and Northern interests. The redemption process commenced in Tennessee on August 2, 1869, when conservative Democrats secured control of the General Assembly, marking the first successful overthrow of a Reconstruction government. Subsequent victories unfolded across the former Confederate states: Virginia and North Carolina achieved redemption by 1870, Georgia by 1872 with James M. Smith's election as governor following Democratic gains in the legislature in December 1870, Texas in 1873, Alabama and Arkansas in 1874— the latter through a new constitution ratified on October 13 that limited government powers and elected Augustus Garland as governor—Mississippi in 1876, and the remaining states of South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana in 1877. The Compromise of 1877 resolved the contested presidential election between Republican Rutherford B. Hayes and Democrat Samuel J. Tilden by awarding Hayes the presidency in exchange for withdrawing the last federal troops from Southern states, thereby terminating military enforcement of Reconstruction. This federal disengagement enabled Redeemers to consolidate power unhindered, as Hayes's administration 185 electoral votes to Tilden's 184, prioritizing national reconciliation over continued protection of Southern Republicans. With control secured, Redeemer governments instituted one-party rule under the Democratic Party, effectively marginalizing Republicans—who drew primary support from Black voters—and forestalling viable opposition. This dominance manifested in uniform Democratic victories in state elections, legislative majorities, and congressional delegations, forming the "Solid South" where intra-party factions rather than inter-party competition defined politics. Policies under these regimes focused on reducing taxes, repudiating certain Reconstruction-era debts, and reallocating resources to white constituencies, while maintaining social hierarchies that perpetuated Democratic hegemony for generations.

Suppression of Third Parties and Populism

The Populist Party, formed in the early 1890s amid agrarian economic distress from falling crop prices and debt burdens, posed the most significant third-party challenge to Democratic hegemony in the South. Attracting primarily white farmers disillusioned with Bourbon Democrat policies favoring elites, Populists advocated for currency expansion via free silver, government ownership of railroads, and an income tax, but their alliances with Republicans—often including black voters—threatened the racial order. In states like North Carolina and Alabama, Populist-Republican fusion tickets won governorships and legislative majorities in 1894, temporarily displacing Democrats and enacting reforms such as railroad regulation. Democrats countered with demagogic campaigns emphasizing white supremacy, portraying fusion governments as harbingers of "Negro rule" and interracial equality. In North Carolina, Democratic leader Furnifold Simmons orchestrated a statewide white supremacy drive in 1898, mobilizing paramilitary groups like the Red Shirts for voter intimidation and ballot stuffing. This culminated in the November 10, 1898, Wilmington coup, where armed white mobs overthrew the multiracial Fusionist city government, killed an estimated 60 to 300 black residents, and forced Republican-Populist officials from office, restoring Democratic control. Similar violence and fraud occurred in South Carolina and Louisiana, where Tillmanite Democrats suppressed Populist insurgencies through lynchings, beatings, and electoral manipulation, framing third-party support as betrayal of racial solidarity. To prevent future alliances, Southern legislatures enacted anti-fusion laws prohibiting multiple parties from nominating the same candidate, alongside secret ballots that disadvantaged illiterate rural voters. North Carolina's 1900 constitutional amendment imposed literacy tests, poll taxes, and grandfather clauses, disenfranchising over 100,000 mostly black and poor white voters by 1904, while Alabama's 1901 constitution similarly reduced the electorate by half. The 1896 presidential election accelerated Populism's demise when Southern Populists endorsed Democrat William Jennings Bryan on a fusion ticket, absorbing the party's economic platform but subordinating it to Democratic racial priorities. By 1900, third-party votes in Southern congressional elections had plummeted below 5%, entrenching Democratic one-party rule until the mid-20th century.

Scale and Methods of Voter Disenfranchisement

Following the end of Reconstruction, Southern states implemented a combination of constitutional provisions, statutes, and administrative practices to systematically disenfranchise black voters, thereby entrenching Democratic Party control in the Solid South. These measures were often facially race-neutral but applied discriminatorily by white registrars, resulting in near-total exclusion of eligible black men while minimally affecting whites. Poll taxes, requiring payment of a fee (typically $1–$2 annually, cumulative over prior years) as a prerequisite for voting, were adopted in every former Confederate state by 1904, with Mississippi enacting the first in 1890. Literacy tests, introduced starting with Mississippi's 1890 constitution, demanded that voters read and interpret arbitrarily selected passages from the U.S. or state constitutions, often administered subjectively to fail black applicants while passing whites of similar education levels. Grandfather clauses, upheld temporarily by the U.S. Supreme Court in Guinn v. United States (1915) before being struck down, exempted from these tests those whose ancestors had voted before 1867—effectively grandfathering in white voters while barring blacks, as most were enslaved prior to the Civil War. Property ownership and residency requirements further restricted access, mandating proof of land or assets and extended local domicile periods, which disproportionately impacted impoverished sharecroppers and tenant farmers comprising much of the black population. White primaries, prevalent from the 1890s onward, excluded blacks from participating in Democratic nominating contests, which served as de facto general elections in the one-party South; Texas formalized this in 1923, and the practice was widespread until the Supreme Court's Smith v. Allwright decision in 1944 invalidated it. Felony disenfranchisement laws, expanded post-Reconstruction to include minor offenses like petty theft, targeted black communities through biased enforcement, permanently barring thousands despite the 14th and 15th Amendments' protections. Extra-legal methods complemented these barriers, including economic coercion—landlords threatening eviction or credit denial—and physical intimidation by groups like the Ku Klux Klan, which conducted lynchings, beatings, and arson against would-be black voters and organizers, with over 2,000 documented lynchings in the South from 1882 to 1903 often tied to electoral suppression. Fraudulent practices, such as ballot stuffing, miscounting, or purging rolls, were routine in Democratic-controlled precincts. These tactics not only nullified black votes but also deterred poor white Populists, as seen in the violent overthrow of fusion governments in North Carolina (1898) and elsewhere. The scale of disenfranchisement was profound, reducing black voter registration across the South from hundreds of thousands during Reconstruction—when turnout approached 90% among eligible black men in states like Mississippi—to negligible levels by the early 20th century. In Alabama, approximately 100,000 blacks were registered in 1900, but this fell to just 3,742 by 1908 amid literacy tests and poll taxes. Louisiana's black registered voters dropped from 130,344 in 1896 to under 5,000 by 1900 following its 1898 constitution's "grandfather" and test provisions. By 1910, black registration stood at under 2% in Alabama and Mississippi, and around 15% in Virginia, with similar patterns in South Carolina (where the 1895 constitution halved total voters, overwhelmingly blacks) and Georgia. Overall, these measures excluded an estimated 90–95% of the South's black male population from suffrage, transforming potential biracial coalitions into unchallenged Democratic hegemony and suppressing turnout among over 1 million eligible blacks by 1900.

Regional Variations

Border States' Partial Exceptions

The border states—Delaware, Maryland, Kentucky, and Missouri—deviated from the Deep South's unyielding Democratic dominance due to their Union allegiance during the Civil War, which fostered persistent Republican pockets, less aggressive disenfranchisement of black voters (who often backed Republicans until the early 1900s), and greater exposure to national two-party competition through trade and migration ties to the North. These states delivered Democratic majorities in most presidential elections from 1876 to 1944, but with notable Republican breakthroughs, contrasting the former Confederate states' near-total rejection of GOP candidates until the 1928 Catholic backlash against Al Smith. Black voter turnout remained higher longer here than in the Deep South; for example, Missouri's black population, about 6% in 1900, supported Republicans in urban areas like St. Louis before literacy tests and residency requirements curtailed participation by 1910. Missouri exemplified these exceptions, voting Republican in four presidential contests: William McKinley in 1896 (by 17,000 votes), Theodore Roosevelt in 1904 (by 30,000 votes), Warren G. Harding in 1920 (by 107,000 votes), and Calvin Coolidge in 1924 (by 57,000 votes). State-level politics reflected similar fluidity; Republicans held the governorship intermittently, including Joseph Folk (Democrat but reformist) challenged by GOP strength in 1908, and full Republican control in the legislature by 1921 amid post-World War I disillusionment with Wilsonian Democrats. Kentucky leaned more Democratic overall, supporting Grover Cleveland in 1884 and 1892, but flipped to McKinley in 1896 (by 19,000 votes) and Harding in 1920 (by 46,000 votes), driven by agrarian discontent and Prohibition-era dry Republican appeals in Appalachian counties. Maryland and Delaware showed even stronger Republican tendencies. Maryland backed Republicans in 1896, 1904, 1916, 1920, and 1924, with Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 margin exceeding 6,000 votes amid Baltimore's industrial Republican base. Delaware, with its small population and Northern-oriented economy, voted Republican in seven of twelve presidential elections from 1880 to 1940, including narrow wins for Benjamin Harrison in 1888 and Herbert Hoover in 1936; GOP control of the statehouse persisted through much of the era, as in the 1897-1901 governorship of Ebe W. Tunnell (wait, no—actually Republican dominance pre-1932). Disenfranchisement methods, such as Maryland's 1900-1901 constitutional amendments imposing residency and literacy hurdles, were milder than Southern poll taxes and grandfather clauses, preserving some black and immigrant Republican voting blocs into the 1920s. These patterns stemmed from demographic realities—smaller black percentages (Delaware 11% in 1900, Maryland 17%) and Unionist white enclaves—yielding legislatures with GOP minorities capable of blocking extreme Democratic measures, unlike the one-party fiefdoms below the Mason-Dixon line.

Oklahoma and Non-Conforming Territories

Oklahoma, admitted to the Union as the 46th state on November 16, 1907, did not conform to the Solid South's Democratic dominance due to its origins as combined territories with divergent settlement patterns. The northern Oklahoma Territory drew migrants primarily from Midwestern and Northern states, fostering Republican leanings, while the southern Indian Territory attracted more emigrants from the South, supporting Democrats. This duality resulted in competitive politics, contrasting with the ex-Confederate states' one-party rule. In presidential elections, Oklahoma deviated notably from Southern patterns. It supported Democrat William Jennings Bryan in 1908 with 47.99% of the vote, Woodrow Wilson in 1912 (46.95%) and 1916 (59.59%), and John W. Davis in 1924 (48.1%), aligning temporarily with Democratic nominees. However, in 1920, Republican Warren G. Harding won with 50.11%, becoming the first Republican to carry the state, while all Solid South states backed Democrat James M. Cox. The 1928 election further highlighted non-conformity, as Republican Herbert Hoover prevailed in Oklahoma amid national anti-Catholic sentiment against Democrat Al Smith, whereas the Solid South remained loyal to Smith despite his religion. State-level governance, however, stayed Democratic-controlled for decades, bolstered by Populist influences in the state's progressive 1907 constitution and strong socialist voting in early elections, such as Eugene V. Debs's 16.42% in 1912. Southeastern Oklahoma's "Little Dixie" region, settled by Southerners post-Civil War, exhibited closer ties to Solid South politics, maintaining Democratic strongholds longer than the state's northern areas. Non-conforming territories like Arizona and New Mexico, admitted in 1912, similarly bucked Southern trends; both supported Harding in 1920 and Hoover in 1928, reflecting Western settlement dynamics over Confederate legacies.

Mid-Century Stability and Tensions

New Deal Alignment and Southern Support

The New Deal programs initiated by President Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1933 addressed the severe economic distress of the Great Depression, which hit the agrarian South particularly hard through plummeting crop prices and widespread poverty. Southern states, reliant on cotton, tobacco, and other commodities, benefited from initiatives like the Agricultural Adjustment Act (AAA) of May 12, 1933, which paid farmers to reduce production and thereby raise market prices, stabilizing incomes for many white landowners despite displacing sharecroppers and tenant farmers. The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), established on May 18, 1933, brought electrification, flood control, and infrastructure to seven Southern states, fostering rural development and industrial growth in regions long neglected by private enterprise. These measures aligned Southern economic interests with federal intervention, reinforcing Democratic loyalty amid one-party dominance. Southern Democrats in Congress played a pivotal role in enacting New Deal legislation, leveraging their seniority to chair key committees and secure passage of economic relief bills while insulating social policies from reforms threatening segregation. To maintain this support, Roosevelt acquiesced to Southern demands, such as excluding agricultural and domestic workers—disproportionately Black Southern laborers—from the Social Security Act of August 14, 1935, ensuring the program's viability in exchange for votes. This coalition tolerated Southern opposition to organized labor and civil rights measures, like anti-lynching bills, prioritizing fiscal and relief policies that funneled federal funds into the region via Works Progress Administration projects and rural electrification. Electorally, the Solid South delivered resounding victories for Roosevelt, underscoring the alignment's durability. In the November 8, 1932, presidential election, Roosevelt captured all eleven former Confederate states, securing over 22 million popular votes nationwide against Herbert Hoover's 15 million. The 1936 election on November 3 yielded even larger margins, with Roosevelt amassing 523 electoral votes to Alf Landon's 8, including unanimous Southern support that reflected gratitude for Depression-era aid despite ideological frictions over federal power. This pattern persisted through 1940 and 1944, as Southern voters prioritized tangible economic recovery over national party shifts toward liberalism.

Post-World War II Cracks in Unity

Following World War II, the Solid South's monolithic Democratic allegiance began to fracture amid national party shifts toward civil rights advocacy, culminating in the 1948 Dixiecrat revolt. President Harry S. Truman, responding to postwar racial violence and demands for equality, established the President's Committee on Civil Rights in December 1946, which released the report To Secure These Rights on October 29, 1947. The report urged Congress to enact anti-lynching laws, abolish poll taxes, and end federal tolerance of segregation, recommendations that alarmed Southern Democrats committed to maintaining Jim Crow structures. Tensions escalated when Truman issued Executive Order 9981 on July 26, 1948, mandating desegregation of the armed forces, a move rooted in wartime contributions by Black servicemen but viewed by Southern leaders as federal overreach into state racial policies. At the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia that July, adoption of a robust civil rights plank—calling for enforcement of the Fourteenth Amendment and anti-discrimination measures—prompted a walkout by Southern delegates, including governors from Alabama, Mississippi, and South Carolina. These bolters convened in Birmingham, Alabama, on July 17, 1948, to form the States' Rights Democratic Party, nominating South Carolina Governor Strom Thurmond for president and Mississippi Governor Fielding L. Wright for vice president. The Dixiecrat platform explicitly rejected "federal political interference with the sovereign right of a State to handle its domestic issues," prioritizing states' rights to preserve segregation against encroaching national reforms. In the November 1948 election, Thurmond secured 1,175,930 popular votes (2.4 percent nationally) and carried four Deep South states—Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Louisiana—for 39 electoral votes, marking the first presidential election since 1876 in which Southern states did not uniformly support the Democratic nominee. Though Truman won the presidency with 303 electoral votes, the Dixiecrat insurgency exposed irreconcilable divides between Southern conservatives and the increasingly liberal national party, foreshadowing broader realignments. These cracks persisted into the 1950s, as Southern Democrats in Congress mounted filibusters against Truman's civil rights bills, such as the failed 1949-1950 proposals for anti-lynching and fair employment practices legislation, underscoring the region's resistance to federal intervention. Economic modernization and urbanization in the South, coupled with Black voter mobilization in border states, further strained one-party unity, though Democratic dominance endured at state and local levels. The 1948 schism, however, initiated a gradual erosion, with Southern bolters signaling that loyalty to national Democrats was conditional on preserving local racial hierarchies.

Civil Rights Era Challenges

The Supreme Court's decision in Brown v. Board of Education on May 17, 1954, declared racial segregation in public schools unconstitutional, directly challenging the Jim Crow system that underpinned Democratic dominance in the South. Southern political leaders, predominantly Democrats, responded with "massive resistance," including school closures and legal maneuvers to evade desegregation; Virginia's Senator Harry F. Byrd Sr. orchestrated statewide school shutdowns in 1958-1959 to protest integration. This resistance manifested in the Southern Manifesto of 1956, endorsed by 19 Southern Democratic senators and 82 House members, which decried Brown as judicial overreach and pledged defiance. Federal civil rights legislation intensified these fissures. The Civil Rights Act of 1964, signed by President Lyndon B. Johnson on July 2, faced a 75-day filibuster led by Southern Democrats, requiring cloture votes supported by a majority of Republicans in both chambers; 21 of 22 Southern Democratic senators voted against final passage. Similarly, the Voting Rights Act of 1965, enacted August 6 amid Selma marches and violence against activists, targeted Southern disenfranchisement tactics like literacy tests, drawing vehement opposition from the same bloc despite bipartisan backing elsewhere. These laws, enforced by federal intervention, eroded the mechanisms of black voter suppression that had sustained one-party Democratic rule since Redemption. Electorally, the era's pressures cracked the Solid South's presidential monolith. In the 1964 election, Republican Barry Goldwater, who opposed the Civil Rights Act on states' rights grounds, carried five Deep South states—Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina—securing 47% of the white Southern vote against Johnson's 49%, the first Republican breakthrough there since 1860. This shift reflected white Southern backlash against perceived federal overreach on race, foreshadowing party realignment; Johnson privately remarked to aides that signing the 1964 Act meant Democrats had "lost the South for a generation." Southern Democrat Strom Thurmond defected to the GOP that year, symbolizing elite-level fractures.

Decline and Realignment

Early Republican Inroads: 1948-1964

The erosion of Democratic dominance in the Southern United States began to manifest in presidential elections during the late 1940s and early 1960s, driven primarily by growing conservative discontent with federal civil rights interventions and the appeal of Republican candidates emphasizing limited government and economic growth. In the 1948 election, President Harry S. Truman's support for civil rights reforms, including a proposed anti-lynching law and the desegregation of the armed forces via Executive Order 9981 on July 26, 1948, provoked a secessionist States' Rights Democratic (Dixiecrat) revolt led by Governor Strom Thurmond, who carried four Deep South states—Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina—totaling 39 electoral votes. However, Republican nominee Thomas E. Dewey secured no Southern electoral votes, underscoring that initial fissures exploited Democratic internal divisions rather than direct Republican advances. Dwight D. Eisenhower's candidacies marked the first substantive Republican breakthroughs, capitalizing on his World War II heroism, national popularity, and moderate positioning that avoided alienating Southern conservatives while promising fiscal restraint and infrastructure development appealing to urbanizing Sun Belt areas. In 1952, Eisenhower defeated Adlai Stevenson in four Southern states—Florida, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia—garnering their 42 electoral votes, the first Republican presidential wins in the region since Reconstruction in most cases; these victories reflected localized factors such as Texas oil interests favoring Eisenhower's anti-corruption stance and Tennessee's relative moderation. Eisenhower expanded these gains in 1956, adding Louisiana for a total of five states and 50 electoral votes from the South, amid economic prosperity and his administration's emphasis on states' rights, despite enforcing school desegregation in Little Rock, Arkansas, via federal troops on September 24, 1957, following the Supreme Court's Brown v. Board of Education ruling. These inroads were limited to peripheral and border Southern states, with Deep South core remaining solidly Democratic, as evidenced by Stevenson's sweeps in Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina. The 1960 election saw a partial Republican retrenchment, with Richard Nixon carrying only Florida's 10 electoral votes against John F. Kennedy, amid Catholic-Protestant tensions and Kennedy's narrow national win; however, this period highlighted emerging patterns of suburban and business-oriented voters shifting toward Republicans on economic issues. Local-level gains accelerated modestly, including the election of Tennessee's Howard Baker as the first Republican U.S. Senator from the South since Reconstruction in 1966 (though outside this subsection's timeframe, foreshadowed by 1950s trends), and scattered state legislative wins in Florida and Texas tied to population growth and anti-union sentiments. The pivotal 1964 election crystallized early Republican inroads with Barry Goldwater's capture of five Deep South states—Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina—for 47 electoral votes, the first Republican presidential victories there since 1872, directly stemming from Goldwater's June 1964 Senate vote against the Civil Rights Act (H.R. 7152), which he opposed on constitutional grounds favoring states' rights over federal mandates. This backlash against President Lyndon B. Johnson's July 2, 1964, signing of the Act, which prohibited discrimination in public accommodations and employment, mobilized white Southern conservatives alienated by perceived overreach, though Goldwater's national popular vote totaled only 27.3% amid broader rejection of his uncompromising conservatism. These shifts were not solely racial but intertwined with resistance to federal economic regulations and welfare expansions, as Southern economies diversified post-World War II; nonetheless, the 1964 results presaged a partisan realignment where opposition to civil rights enforcement became a Republican lodestar in the region.

Southern Strategy Mechanics

The Southern Strategy encompassed Republican efforts from the mid-1960s onward to attract white Southern voters through appeals emphasizing states' rights, opposition to federal civil rights enforcement, and cultural conservatism, rather than explicit racial appeals that could alienate moderates. Barry Goldwater's 1964 presidential campaign exemplified early mechanics, as his opposition to the Civil Rights Act of 1964—specifically Titles II and VII, which he viewed as unconstitutional intrusions on property rights and free association—resonated with Southern segregationist sentiments, securing victories in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina, states that overwhelmingly rejected him elsewhere. This approach built on Goldwater's philosophical conservatism, prioritizing limited government over egalitarian mandates, and marked the first Republican presidential wins in the Deep South since Reconstruction. Richard Nixon refined these tactics in 1968, employing "law and order" rhetoric to address urban riots and crime waves, implicitly critiquing federal policies perceived as enabling disorder without naming race directly. Advised by strategist Kevin Phillips, whose 1969 book The Emerging Republican Majority outlined targeting the "Negrophobe" South by exploiting Democratic divisions on civil rights, Nixon secured five Southern states (Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia) while independent George Wallace captured the Deep South core. Nixon's campaign avoided overt segregationist endorsements but appointed Southern conservatives like Strom Thurmond's allies to federal posts and slowed aggressive school desegregation enforcement, fostering perceptions of restraint against "forced busing." Empirical analyses indicate this gradualism appealed to white voters wary of rapid social change, with Nixon's Southern popular vote share rising from negligible in 1960 to competitive levels by prioritizing economic stability and anti-communism alongside subtle cultural signals. By 1972, Nixon's landslide included a complete Southern sweep, attributed to mechanisms like welfare reform critiques framing Democratic policies as rewarding dependency, which resonated amid stagflation and Vietnam disillusionment. Ronald Reagan advanced the strategy in 1980, launching his general election campaign at the Neshoba County Fair in Philadelphia, Mississippi—near the site of the 1964 murders of civil rights workers Chaney, Goodman, and Schwerner—with a speech affirming "I believe in states' rights," interpreted by critics as a coded appeal to resistance against federal overreach in integration. Reagan paired this with explicit conservatism on abortion, school prayer, and tax cuts, attracting evangelical voters mobilized post-Roe v. Wade (1973), while economic deregulation addressed Southern business interests. Data from voter surveys show these tactics shifted white Southern support toward Republicans on composite issues of federalism and traditional values, not isolated racial animus, as Reagan garnered 61% of the white Southern vote despite Carter's incumbency. Critics, often from academic and media outlets with documented left-leaning biases, emphasize racial "dog-whistles" as primary drivers, yet evidence from contemporaneous polls reveals multifaceted causation: white Southern defections correlated with opposition to busing (peaking at 74% disapproval among Southern whites in the 1972 Gallup poll) and affirmative action, alongside rising economic conservatism amid deindustrialization. Proponents counter that the strategy's success stemmed from causal realism—aligning party platforms with regional preferences for limited government and cultural preservation—evidenced by sustained Republican gains even as overt segregationist rhetoric waned. Phillips' framework predicted a "Sun Belt" coalition of disaffected Democrats, validated by Reagan's 1984 sweep of 100% of Southern electoral votes. This mechanics of indirect appeals, issue bundling, and candidate positioning facilitated realignment without alienating national audiences, though debates persist on the weight of racial versus ideological factors.

Post-1980 Consolidation of Republican South

The Republican Party's electoral dominance in the South solidified after 1980, building on earlier realignments to encompass not only presidential contests but also congressional, gubernatorial, and state legislative majorities across the region. Ronald Reagan's 1980 presidential victory marked a pivotal acceleration, as he carried six of the eleven former Confederate states—Alabama, Florida, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Texas—securing 489 electoral votes nationwide against Jimmy Carter's narrow hold on Georgia and Arkansas. By Reagan's 1984 reelection, he swept all southern states with margins exceeding 60% in most, amassing 525 electoral votes and underscoring the GOP's appeal to white southern voters disillusioned with Democratic economic policies amid stagflation and federal expansion. This presidential lock-in reflected deeper alignments on issues like tax cuts, deregulation, and anti-communism, which resonated with the region's growing suburban and entrepreneurial demographics, rather than isolated cultural appeals. Congressional breakthroughs further entrenched Republican control, particularly through the 1994 midterm elections, often termed the "Republican Revolution." Led by Newt Gingrich's Contract with America, which emphasized welfare reform, balanced budgets, and term limits, the GOP netted 54 House seats nationwide, flipping a majority of southern districts for the first time since Reconstruction; southern Republicans gained approximately 20 seats, transforming the region's delegation from Democratic stronghold to competitive or GOP-led. In the Senate, Republicans captured a southern majority for the first time in over a century, including pickups in states like North Carolina and South Carolina. These gains stemmed from voter prioritization of fiscal conservatism and crime reduction amid urban decay and federal deficits, with southern whites increasingly sorting into the GOP on ideological grounds—evident in exit polls showing 60-70% support for Republican congressional candidates by the mid-1990s. Mainstream analyses often overemphasize racial backlash, but empirical voting data indicate stronger correlations with economic self-interest and resistance to expansive welfare programs, as southern per capita income growth outpaced national averages under GOP-aligned policies. At the state level, Republican trifectas—unified control of governorships, both legislative chambers, and key offices—proliferated in the South by the 2000s, reversing Democratic monopolies. By 1995, following 1994 gains, southern states like Alabama, Florida, and Texas saw initial GOP governors and legislatures; by 2010, eight of eleven core southern states held Republican trifectas or near-trifectas, expanding to ten by 2020 amid redistricting and demographic shifts favoring exurban conservatives. This consolidation facilitated policy divergences, such as tax reductions averaging 15-20% in states like Georgia and South Carolina, correlating with GDP growth rates 1-2% above the national average from 2000-2010. Evangelical mobilization and opposition to federal mandates on education and healthcare further cemented loyalty, with white southern turnout for GOP candidates reaching 70-80% in off-year elections by the 2010s. While black voters remained overwhelmingly Democratic (90%+), comprising 20-30% of the electorate, the white majority's ideological migration—driven by first-hand experiences of economic liberalization—ensured sustained Republican hegemony, rendering the South a reliable base yielding over 150 electoral votes by the 2000s.

21st-Century Electoral Dynamics

In the 21st century, the former Solid South has solidified as a Republican bastion in presidential elections, with GOP candidates securing the region's electoral votes in most cycles since 2000. George W. Bush swept all 13 core Southern states (Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and West Virginia) in both 2000 and 2004, reflecting white Southern voters' shift toward Republicanism on issues like national security and cultural conservatism. Barack Obama broke through in 2008 by winning Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia, aided by high African American turnout and economic discontent, but subsequent elections reaffirmed Republican strength: Mitt Romney carried nine Southern states in 2012, Donald Trump won all except Virginia in 2016 and all except Georgia in 2020 (where Joe Biden prevailed by 11,779 votes amid urban mobilization), and Trump recaptured Georgia and North Carolina in 2024 en route to 312 electoral votes overall. This pattern underscores a causal shift from Democratic loyalty rooted in historical resentment to Republican alignment driven by evangelical turnout, rural demographics, and opposition to federal overreach, with Republicans averaging over 55% of the white vote in the region. At the state level, Republican dominance extended to gubernatorial and legislative control by the 2010s, completing the realignment begun decades earlier. The 2010 midterm wave flipped legislatures in Alabama, Louisiana, North Carolina, and others to GOP majorities, enabling redistricting advantages that entrenched control; by 2024, Republicans held trifectas (governor plus both legislative chambers) in nine of the 13 core Southern states, including Alabama (R gov. Kay Ivey until 2023, then R successor; R supermajorities), Florida (R gov. Ron DeSantis; R supermajorities), Georgia (R gov. Brian Kemp; R majorities), and Texas (R gov. Greg Abbott; R supermajorities). Exceptions persisted in Virginia, where Democrats captured the governorship in 2013 and legislature in 2019, reflecting suburban growth and demographic diversification around Northern Virginia, though Republicans retained competitiveness in off-year cycles. Gubernatorial elections further illustrate this: Republicans won 10 of 13 Southern governorships up for grabs between 2021 and 2023, with incumbents like DeSantis securing reelection by 19 points in 2022 amid policy contrasts on education and immigration. Legislative partisan gaps widened, with Republicans holding over two-thirds of seats in states like South Carolina and Tennessee, bolstered by low Democratic turnout in rural areas comprising 70-80% of the electorate. Electoral dynamics reveal deepening geographic polarization within the South, with urban centers like Atlanta (Fulton County voted 73% Democratic in 2024) and Charlotte providing Democratic enclaves, while rural and exurban counties delivered margins exceeding 70% for Republicans, amplifying the latter's statewide edges. Hispanic voters in Texas and Florida trended Republican, with Trump gaining 13 points among them in 2020 and further in 2024 on economic and border issues, per exit polls, challenging assumptions of inevitable Democratic growth. Voter registration shifts paralleled this: Republicans achieved plurality edges in Florida (2022), Kentucky (2024), and West Virginia earlier, with white non-college voters—over 60% of the Southern electorate—consistently favoring GOP candidates by 20-30 points. This stability contrasts with national volatility, positioning the South as a firewall delivering 100+ electoral votes reliably Republican since 2000, barring targeted mobilization in battlegrounds like Georgia.

Electoral Analysis

Presidential Voting Patterns

The presidential voting patterns of the Solid South were characterized by unwavering support for Democratic candidates in the former Confederate states from the late 19th century through the mid-20th century, reflecting the region's political consolidation under Democratic control following the end of Reconstruction in 1877. In every presidential election from 1880 to 1944, the 11 ex-Confederate states—Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia—awarded their electoral votes to the Democratic nominee, with Republicans securing zero electoral votes from these states during that 16-election span. This bloc typically provided between 100 and 150 electoral votes, often decisive in tight national races, as Democrats won eight of those 16 elections overall. The first major deviation occurred in 1948 amid backlash against President Harry S. Truman's support for civil rights measures, prompting Southern Democrats to bolt and nominate Strom Thurmond as the States' Rights Democratic (Dixiecrat) candidate. Thurmond captured the electoral votes of Alabama (11), Louisiana (10), Mississippi (9), and South Carolina (8), totaling 39 votes, while Truman retained Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia. No Southern electoral votes went to Republican Thomas E. Dewey, preserving the anti-Republican pattern despite the intra-Democratic split. Subsequent elections showed further erosion at the periphery. In 1952, Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower, benefiting from his World War II hero status and perceived moderation on racial issues, won Florida (10 votes), Tennessee (11), Texas (24), and Virginia (12), while Democrat Adlai Stevenson II carried the remaining seven ex-Confederate states. Eisenhower expanded these gains in 1956, adding Louisiana (10) and North Carolina (14) to secure six Southern states overall, though Stevenson held the Deep South core (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina). Democrat John F. Kennedy reversed these losses in 1960, sweeping all 11 ex-Confederate states with targeted appeals to Southern sensibilities, including selecting Lyndon B. Johnson as running mate, amid narrow national margins. The 1964 election marked a pivotal rupture, as Republican Barry Goldwater's opposition to the Civil Rights Act of 1964 resonated with white Southern voters alienated by President Lyndon B. Johnson's signing of the legislation. Goldwater carried Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina (totaling 47 electoral votes), while Johnson won only North Carolina and Texas from the ex-Confederate bloc. This Deep South shift, where Goldwater garnered over 60% of the white vote in several states, foreshadowed the broader realignment, with no Democratic presidential nominee thereafter winning a majority of Southern states until peripheral exceptions in later cycles.
Election YearDemocratic States (ex-Confederate)Republican/Other Wins (ex-Confederate)
1948AR, FL, GA, NC, TX, VAAL, LA, MS, SC (Thurmond, Dixiecrat)
1952AL, AR, GA, LA, MS, NC, SCFL, TN, TX, VA (Eisenhower)
1956AL, AR, GA, MS, SCFL, LA, NC, TN, TX, VA (Eisenhower)
1960All 11None
1964NC, TXAL, GA, LA, MS, SC (Goldwater)

State and Gubernatorial Dominance Shifts

The Democratic Party exercised exclusive control over all eleven former Confederate states' governorships from the end of Reconstruction in 1877 through the mid-1960s, reflecting the entrenched one-party system of the Solid South. This dominance extended to state legislatures, where Republican representation remained negligible due to factors including disfranchisement of Black voters, gerrymandering, and cultural loyalty to the party of sectional redemption. The first cracks in gubernatorial hegemony appeared in 1966, when Winthrop Rockefeller won the Arkansas governorship and Claude Kirk secured Florida's, marking the initial post-Reconstruction Republican victories in the core South. These breakthroughs initiated a broader pattern, with Republicans capturing governorships in Virginia (Linwood Holton, 1969), Tennessee (Winfield Dunn, 1970), North Carolina (James Holshouser, 1972), South Carolina (James B. Edwards, 1974), Alabama (Guy Hunt, 1986), Texas (Bill Clements, 1978), Louisiana (Dave Treen, 1979), Mississippi (Kirk Fordice, 1991), and Georgia (Sonny Perdue, 2002). By the early 2000s, every Southern state had elected at least one Republican governor since the late 1960s, transforming previously uncompetitive races into battlegrounds driven by suburban growth, economic diversification, and voter realignment on issues like taxes and law enforcement. State legislative control shifted more slowly, as Democratic incumbents leveraged seniority and redistricting to retain majorities well into the 1990s despite gubernatorial volatility. Republican gains accelerated after the 1994 congressional wave, with breakthroughs in states like Florida (full legislative control by 1996) and Texas (Senate in 1997, House in 2003). By 2006, Republicans held half of Southern legislative chambers and seven governorships, signaling the onset of unified Republican dominance in several states. Full partisan trifectas—governor plus both legislative chambers—emerged piecemeal, with enduring examples in Texas (from 2003 onward) and Florida (consolidated post-2010), reflecting cumulative effects of demographic changes and Democratic overreach on social issues. These transitions prioritized empirical voter preferences over institutional inertia, though entrenched local networks prolonged Democratic holdouts in rural areas.

Controversies and Alternative Interpretations

Racial Motivations vs. Broader Causal Factors

While racial motivations undeniably played a central role in sustaining the Solid South, with white Democrats coalescing around the defense of segregation, disenfranchisement, and Jim Crow laws to preserve white supremacy, this explanation has faced scrutiny for potentially oversimplifying deeper structural and sectional dynamics. V.O. Key, Jr.'s 1949 analysis portrayed the region's one-party system as inherently tied to the "master-race complex," where politics prioritized racial hierarchy over policy innovation, enabling Democrats to suppress black voters through mechanisms like poll taxes and literacy tests implemented across Southern states in the 1890s and early 1900s. This racial solidarity manifested in congressional voting blocs, where Southern Democrats achieved cohesion rates exceeding 70% on race-related issues far more consistently than on economic ones, transforming internal diversity into unified opposition to federal civil rights encroachments. Key's framework, drawn from extensive state-level data, underscored how racial fears—amplified by Reconstruction's legacy—eclipsed factional divides, ensuring Democratic hegemony from 1877 onward. Broader causal factors, however, highlight economic, cultural, and institutional elements that reinforced Democratic loyalty independent of, or intertwined with, race. The South's agrarian economy, dominated by cotton and sharecropping systems that depended on cheap labor and resisted Northern tariffs favoring industrialization, aligned white voters with Democratic free-trade and low-taxation stances, as evidenced by persistent support for the party despite national shifts like the New Deal's federal interventions—which Southern Democrats tolerated so long as they avoided racial disruption. Sectional resentment from the Civil War and the "redemption" via the 1877 Compromise, which ended Reconstruction in exchange for Rutherford B. Hayes's presidency, cemented a cultural narrative of Democratic restoration of Southern autonomy and honor, fostering generational loyalty that outlasted slavery itself. Institutional one-party dominance further entrenched this through patronage networks, where local factions competed for spoils like public jobs and contracts rather than ideological platforms, stifling Republican alternatives and prioritizing stability over reform—a dynamic Key himself noted as debilitating governance but sustaining control. Historians debate the relative weight of these elements, with some empirical studies revealing latent class tensions among whites that racial appeals suppressed rather than solely drove allegiance. Devin Caughey's 2018 examination of roll-call data and voter surveys from the early 20th century demonstrates the South was "unsolid" in practice, with poorer whites exhibiting economic grievances—such as demands for better infrastructure and relief from debt peonage—that occasionally challenged Democratic elites, though race consistently mobilized cross-class unity against perceived external threats. This interplay suggests causal realism: racial motivations provided the proximate glue for the Solid South, overriding potential class fractures rooted in economic underdevelopment, yet broader factors like anti-federalism and patronage created a resilient ecosystem where race served as both cause and tool for perpetuating Democratic rule. Scholarship emphasizing economics, such as analyses linking the low-wage model to racial hierarchies, argues these were co-constitutive, with white unity engineered to protect elite interests amid poverty rates exceeding 50% in rural areas by the 1930s. Ultimately, while race's primacy is empirically robust in unifying disparate white interests, dismissing ancillary drivers risks understating the South's multifaceted conservatism.

Achievements in Stability vs. Criticisms of Corruption

The Democratic one-party dominance in the Solid South from the late 1870s through the mid-20th century delivered a form of political stability characterized by near-unanimous electoral victories, enabling consistent policy implementation without the disruptions of competitive partisanship. For instance, between 1880 and 1948, Democratic candidates won every presidential election in the 11 former Confederate states, while state-level control allowed sustained focus on regional priorities such as agricultural subsidies and resistance to federal oversight on race relations. This predictability extended to congressional influence, where Southern Democrats formed a reliable bloc to block tariff hikes and civil rights measures, preserving economic structures tied to cotton and sharecropping. Proponents, including some contemporary Southern leaders, argued this fostered administrative continuity, as intra-party primaries introduced limited competition that aligned policies with voter preferences among the enfranchised white electorate. However, this stability masked systemic corruption enabled by the absence of viable opposition, with patronage networks, vote-buying, and intimidation becoming hallmarks of governance. Historical analyses document widespread electoral fraud, such as ballot stuffing in Georgia's 1870s "redeemer" campaigns and the 1890 Mississippi constitution's poll taxes and literacy tests, which disenfranchised most Black voters while entrenching Democratic machines through coerced turnout. In Louisiana under Governor Huey Long (1928–1932), achievements included building approximately 9,000 miles of roads, establishing free textbooks for public school students by 1926, and expanding higher education via Louisiana State University Medical Center, which modernized infrastructure during economic hardship. Yet these were underwritten by corrupt practices, including legislative bribery, kickback schemes from contractors, and authoritarian control over state agencies, culminating in Long's 1932 U.S. Senate expulsion attempt amid graft charges, though evidence was deemed insufficient for conviction. Critics, drawing from empirical studies of one-party systems, contend that the Solid South's structure inherently bred inefficiency and malfeasance by eliminating accountability mechanisms present in multiparty competition. Virginia's Byrd Organization (1920s–1950s), for example, maintained fiscal stability through pay-as-you-go budgeting and rural road networks but prioritized low taxes over public services, resulting in the South's lowest per-pupil education spending and perpetuating underdevelopment, with corruption allegations surfacing in patronage appointments. Overall, while stability shielded entrenched interests, it correlated with the region's economic lag—per capita income in Southern states trailed the national average by 50% or more through the 1940s—attributable in part to uncompetitive governance stifling innovation and reform. Modern scholarship attributes much of this to causal factors like disfranchisement rather than mere one-partyism, yet underscores how suppressed dissent amplified corrupt incentives.

References

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