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Food security
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Food security is the state of having reliable access to a sufficient quantity of affordable, healthy food. The availability of food for people of any class, gender, ethnicity, or religion is another element of food protection. Similarly, household food security is considered to exist when all the members of a family have consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life.[1] Food-secure individuals do not live in hunger or fear of starvation.[2] Food security includes resilience to future disruptions of food supply. Such a disruption could occur due to various risk factors such as droughts and floods, shipping disruptions, fuel shortages, economic instability, and wars.[3] Food insecurity is the opposite of food security: a state where there is only limited or uncertain availability of suitable food.
The concept of food security has evolved over time. The four pillars of food security include availability, access, utilization, and stability.[4] In addition, there are two more dimensions that are important: agency and sustainability. These six dimensions of food security are reinforced in conceptual and legal understandings of the right to food.[5][6] The World Food Summit in 1996 declared that "food should not be used as an instrument for political and economic pressure."[7][8]
There are many causes of food insecurity. The most important ones are high food prices and disruptions in global food supplies for example due to war. There is also climate change, water scarcity, land degradation, agricultural diseases, pandemics and disease outbreaks that can all lead to food insecurity. Additionally, food insecurity affects individuals with low socioeconomic status, affects the health of a population on an individual level, and causes divisions in interpersonal relationships. Food insecurity due to unemployment causes a higher rate of poverty.[9]
The effects of food insecurity can include hunger and even famines. Chronic food insecurity translates into a high degree of vulnerability to hunger and famine.[10] Chronic hunger and malnutrition in childhood can lead to stunted growth of children.[11] Once stunting has occurred, improved nutritional intake after the age of about two years is unable to reverse the damage. Severe malnutrition in early childhood often leads to defects in cognitive development.[12]
Definition
[edit]Food security, as defined by the World Food Summit in 1996, is "when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to "sufficient, safe and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life".[13][14]
Food insecurity, on the other hand, as defined by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), is a situation of "limited or uncertain availability of nutritionally adequate and safe foods or limited or uncertain ability to acquire acceptable foods in socially acceptable ways."[15]
At the 1974 World Food Conference, the term food security was defined with an emphasis on supply; it was defined as the "availability at all times of adequate, nourishing, diverse, balanced and moderate world food supplies of basic foodstuffs to sustain a steady expansion of food consumption and to offset the fluctuations in production and prices."[16] Later definitions added demand and access issues to the definition. The first World Food Summit, held in 1996, stated that food security "exists when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life."[17][7]
Chronic (or permanent) food insecurity is defined as the long-term, persistent lack of adequate food.[18] In this case, households are constantly at risk of being unable to acquire food to meet the needs of all members. Chronic and transitory food insecurity are linked since the recurrence of transitory food security can make households more vulnerable to chronic food insecurity.[19]
As of 2015[update], the concept of food security has mostly focused on food calories rather than the quality and nutrition of food. The concept of nutrition security or nutritional security evolved as a broader concept. In 1995, it was defined as "adequate nutritional status in terms of protein, energy, vitamins, and minerals for all household members at all times."[20]: 16 It is also related to the concepts of nutrition education and nutritional deficiency.[21]
Measurement
[edit]
Food security can be measured by the number of calories to digest per person per day, available on a household budget.[23][24] In general, the objective of food security indicators and measurements is to capture some or all of the main components of food security in terms of food availability, accessibility, and utilization/adequacy. While availability (production and supply) and utilization/adequacy (nutritional status/ anthropometric measurement) are easier to estimate and therefore more popular, accessibility (the ability to acquire a sufficient quantity and quality of food) remains largely elusive.[25] The factors influencing household food accessibility are often context-specific.[26]
FAO has developed the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES) as a universally applicable experience-based food security measurement scale derived from the scale used in the United States. Thanks to the establishment of a global reference scale and the procedure needed to calibrate measures obtained in different countries, it is possible to use the FIES to produce cross-country comparable estimates of the prevalence of food insecurity in the population.[27] Since 2015, the FIES has been adopted as the basis to compile one of the indicators included in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) monitoring framework.[28]
The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), the World Health Organization (WHO), and the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) collaborate every year to produce The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World, or SOFI report (known as The State of Food Insecurity in the World until 2015).[29]
The SOFI report measures chronic hunger (or undernourishment) using two main indicators, the Number of undernourished (NoU) and the Prevalence of undernourishment (PoU).[30] Beginning in the early 2010s, FAO incorporated more complex metrics into its calculations, including estimates of food losses in retail distribution for each country and the volatility in agri-food systems. Since 2014, it has also reported the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity based on the FIES.[31]
The report plays a critical role in tracking global progress toward Sustainable Development Goal 2 (Zero Hunger), identifying emerging crises, and shaping international policy responses by providing reliable, comparable data across regions and over time.[32]
Several measurements have been developed to capture the access component of food security, with some notable examples developed by the USAID-funded Food and Nutrition Technical Assistance (FANTA) project.[26][33][34][35] These include:
- Household Food Insecurity Access Scale – measures the degree of food insecurity (inaccessibility) in the household in the previous month on a discrete ordinal scale.
- Household Dietary Diversity Scale – measures the number of different food groups consumed over a specific reference period (24hrs/48hrs/7days).
- Household Hunger Scale – measures the experience of household food deprivation based on a set of predictable reactions, captured through a survey and summarized in a scale.
- Coping Strategies Index (CSI) – assesses household behaviors and rates them based on a set of varied established behaviors on how households cope with food shortages. The methodology for this research is based on collecting data on a single question: "What do you do when you do not have enough food, and do not have enough money to buy food?"[36][37][38]
Prevalence of food insecurity
[edit]



Close to 12 percent of the global population was severely food insecure in 2020, representing 928 million people -148 million more than in 2019.[5] In 2023 prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity in Africa (58.0%) is nearly double the global average.[40] A variety of reasons lie behind the increase in hunger over the past few years. Slowdowns and downturns since the 2008–9 financial crisis have conspired to degrade social conditions, making undernourishment more prevalent. Structural imbalances and a lack of inclusive policies have combined with extreme weather events, altered environmental conditions, and the spread of pests and diseases, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, triggering stubborn cycles of poverty and hunger. In 2019, the high cost of healthy diets together with persistently high levels of income inequality put healthy diets out of reach for around 3 billion people, especially the poor, in every region of the world.[5] In 2023 28.9 percent of the global population – 2.33 billion people – were moderately or severely food insecure, meaning they did not have regular access to adequate food. These estimates include 10.7 percent of the population – or more than 864 million people – who were severely food insecure, meaning they had run out of food at times during the year and, at worst, gone an entire day or more without eating.[41]
Inequality in the distributions of assets, resources and income, compounded by the absence or scarcity of welfare provisions in the poorest of countries, is further undermining access to food. Nearly a tenth of the world population still lives on US$1.90 or less a day, with sub-Saharan Africa and southern Asia the regions most affected.[42]
High import and export dependence ratios are meanwhile making many countries more vulnerable to external shocks. In many low-income economies, debt has swollen to levels far exceeding GDP, eroding growth prospects.
Finally, there are increasing risks to institutional stability, persistent violence, and large-scale population relocation as a consequence of the conflicts. With the majority of them being hosted in developing nations, the number of displaced individuals between 2010 and 2018 increased by 70% between 2010 and 2018 to reach 70.8 million.[43]
Recent editions of the SOFI report (The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World) present evidence that the decades-long decline in hunger in the world, as measured by the number of undernourished (NoU), has ended. In the 2020 report, FAO used newly accessible data from China to revise the global NoU downwards to nearly 690 million, or 8.9 percent of the world population – but having recalculated the historic hunger series accordingly, it confirmed that the number of hungry people in the world, albeit lower than previously thought, had been slowly increasing since 2014. On broader measures, the SOFI report found that far more people suffered some form of food insecurity, with 3 billion or more unable to afford even the cheapest healthy diet.[44] Nearly 2.37 billion people did not have access to adequate food in 2020 – an increase of 320 million people compared to 2019.[45][46]
FAO's 2021 edition of The State of Food and Agriculture (SOFA) further estimates that an additional 1 billion people (mostly in lower- and upper-middle-income countries) are at risk of not affording a healthy diet if a shock were to reduce their income by a third.[47]
The 2021 edition of the SOFI report estimated the hunger excess linked to the COVID-19 pandemic at 30 million people by the end of the decade[5] – FAO had earlier warned that even without the pandemic, the world was off track to achieve Zero Hunger or Goal 2 of the Sustainable Development Goals – it further found that already in the first year of the pandemic, the prevalence of undernourishment (PoU) had increased 1.5 percentage points, reaching a level of around 9.9 percent. This is the mid-point of an estimate of 720 to 811 million people facing hunger in 2020 – as many as 161 million more than in 2019.[45][46] The number had jumped by some 446 million in Africa, 57 million in Asia, and about 14 million in Latin America and the Caribbean.[5]
At the global level, the prevalence of food insecurity at a moderate or severe level, and severe level only, is higher among women than men, magnified in rural areas.[48]
In 2023, the Global Report on Food Crises revealed that acute hunger affected approximately 282 million people across 59 countries, an increase of 24 million from the previous year. This rise in food insecurity was primarily driven by conflicts, economic shocks, and extreme weather. Regions like the Gaza Strip and South Sudan were among the hardest hit, highlighting the urgent need for targeted interventions to address and mitigate global hunger effectively.[49]
Vulnerable groups most affected
[edit]Children
[edit]Food insecurity in children can lead to developmental impairments and long term consequences such as weakened physical, intellectual and emotional development.[50]
By way of comparison, in one of the largest food producing countries in the world, the United States, approximately one out of six people are "food insecure," including 17 million children, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture in 2009.[51] A 2012 study in the Journal of Applied Research on Children found that rates of food security varied significantly by race, class and education. In both kindergarten and third grade, 8% of the children were classified as food insecure, but only 5% of white children were food insecure, while 12% and 15% of black and Hispanic children were food insecure, respectively. In third grade, 13% of black and 11% of Hispanic children were food insecure compared to 5% of white children.[52][53]
Households with children are also more susceptible to being food insecure. In 2016, 16.5% of families with children under the age of 18 did not have food security.[54] According to a report from American Journal of Nursing, there are times where parents will reduce their own food intake in order to let their children be more food secure.[55] However, this does not always protect the children, leaving many children of larger families to be vulnerable to food insecurity. A U.S. Department of Agriculture report in 2016 showed that half of the children in food insecure households were also food insecure themselves.[54] Furthermore, 5% of children in food insecure households had very low food security.[54]
Women

Gender inequality both leads to and is a result of food insecurity. According to estimates, girls and women make up 60% of the world's chronically hungry and little progress has been made in ensuring the equal right to food for women enshrined in the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women.[56][57]
At the global level, the gender gap in the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity grew even larger in the year of COVID-19 pandemic. The 2021 SOFI report finds that in 2019 an estimated 29.9 percent of women aged between 15 and 49 years around the world were affected by anemia.[5]
The gap in food insecurity between men and women widened from 1.7 percentage points in 2019 to 4.3 percentage points in 2021.[58]
Women play key roles in maintaining all four pillars of food security: as food producers and agricultural entrepreneurs; as decision-makers for the food and nutritional security of their households and communities and as "managers" of the stability of food supplies in times of economic hardship.[48]
The gender gap in accessing food increased from 2018 to 2019, particularly at moderate or severe levels.[48]

Racial and ethnic groups
According to a 2024 USDA study, between 2016 and 2021, the prevalence of food insecurity in the United States exhibited significant variation across different racial and ethnic groups. All households had a prevalence of food insecurity of 11.1%.[59] Households led by individuals identifying as American Indian and Alaska Native experienced a food insecurity rate of 23.3%, while those identifying as Multiracial, American Indian-White reported a rate of 21.7%.[59] Black households faced a 21.0% rate.[59] Multiracial households of all other combinations reported 18.4%, and Multiracial, Black-White households had an 18.0% rate.[59] Hispanic households experienced a 16.9% rate, and Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander households reported 15.6%.[59]
These rates were all significantly higher than the national average for all households. In contrast, households headed by White individuals had a food insecurity rate of 8.0%, and those headed by Asian individuals reported a rate of 5.4%, both significantly lower than the national average.[59]
The pattern was similar for very low food security, a more severe form of food insecurity. Multiracial, American Indian-White households experienced the highest rate at 11.3%, while Asian households had the lowest at 1.6%. These disparities highlight the persistent differences in food security status across and within various racial and ethnic groups in the United States.[59]
History
[edit]
Famines have been frequent in world history. Some have killed millions and substantially diminished the population of a large area. The most common causes have been drought and war, but the greatest famines in history were caused by economic policy.[61] One economic policy example of famine was the Holodomor (Great Famine) induced by the Soviet Union's communist economic policy resulting in 7–10 million deaths.[62]
In the late 20th century the Nobel Prize-winning economist Amartya Sen observed that "there is no such thing as an apolitical food problem."[63] While drought and other naturally occurring events may trigger famine conditions, it is government action or inaction that determines its severity, and often even whether or not a famine will occur. The 20th century has examples of governments, such as Collectivization in the Soviet Union or the Great Leap Forward in the People's Republic of China undermining the food security of their nations. Mass starvation is frequently a weapon of war, as in the blockade of Germany in World War I[64] and World War II, the Battle of the Atlantic, and the blockade of Japan during World War I and World War II and in the Hunger Plan enacted by Nazi Germany.[65]
Pillars of food security
[edit]

The WHO states that three pillars that determine food security: food availability, food access, and food use and misuse.[66] The FAO added a fourth pillar: the stability of the first three dimensions of food security over time.[2] In 2009, the World Summit on Food Security stated that the "four pillars of food security are availability, access, utilization, and stability."[4] Two additional pillars of food security were recommended in 2020 by the High-Level Panel of Experts for the Committee on World Food Security: agency and sustainability.[6]
Availability
[edit]Food availability relates to the supply of food through production, distribution, and exchange.[67] Food production is determined by a variety of factors including land ownership and use; soil management; crop selection, breeding, and management; livestock breeding and management; and harvesting.[19] Crop production can be affected by changes in rainfall and temperatures.[67] The use of land, water, and energy to grow food often compete with other uses, which can affect food production.[68] Land used for agriculture can be used for urbanization or lost to desertification, salinization or soil erosion due to unsustainable agricultural practices.[68] Crop production is not required for a country to achieve food security. Nations do not have to have the natural resources required to produce crops to achieve food security, as seen in the examples of Japan[69][70] and Singapore.[71]
Because food consumers outnumber producers in every country,[71] food must be distributed to different regions or nations. Food distribution involves the storage, processing, transport, packaging, and marketing of food.[19] Food-chain infrastructure and storage technologies on farms can also affect the amount of food wasted in the distribution process.[68] Poor transport infrastructure can increase the price of supplying water and fertilizer as well as the price of moving food to national and global markets.[68] Around the world, few individuals or households are continuously self-reliant on food. This creates the need for a bartering, exchange, or cash economy to acquire food.[67] The exchange of food requires efficient trading systems and market institutions, which can affect food security.[18] Per capita world food supplies are more than adequate to provide food security to all, and thus food accessibility is a greater barrier to achieving food security.[71]
Access
[edit]
Food access refers to the affordability and allocation of food, as well as the preferences of individuals and households.[67] The UN Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights noted that the causes of hunger and malnutrition are often not a scarcity of food but an inability to access available food, usually due to poverty.[72] Poverty can limit access to food, and can also increase how vulnerable an individual or household is to food price spikes.[18] Access depends on whether the household has enough income to purchase food at prevailing prices or has sufficient land and other resources to grow its food.[73] Households with enough resources can overcome unstable harvests and local food shortages and maintain their access to food.[71]
There are two distinct types of access to food: direct access, in which a household produces food using human and material resources, and economic access, in which a household purchases food produced elsewhere.[19] Location can affect access to food and which type of access a family will rely on.[73] The assets of a household, including income, land, products of labor, inheritances, and gifts can determine a household's access to food.[19] However, the ability to access sufficient food may not lead to the purchase of food over other materials and services.[18] Demographics and education levels of members of the household as well as the gender of the household head determine the preferences of the household, which influences the type of food that is purchased.[73] A household's access to adequate nutritious food may not assure adequate food intake for all household members, as intrahousehold food allocation may not sufficiently meet the requirements of each member of the household.[18] The USDA adds that access to food must be available in socially acceptable ways, without, for example, resorting to emergency food supplies, scavenging, stealing, or other coping strategies.[1]
The monetary value of global food exports multiplied by 4.4 in nominal terms between 2000 and 2021, from US$380 billion in 2000 to US$1.66 trillion in 2021.[74]
Utilization
[edit]The next pillar of food security is food utilization, which refers to the metabolism of food by individuals.[71] Once the food is obtained by a household, a variety of factors affect the quantity and quality of food that reaches members of the household. To achieve food security, the food ingested must be safe and must be enough to meet the physiological requirements of each individual.[18] Food safety affects food utilization,[67] and can be affected by the preparation, processing, and cooking of food in the community and household.[19]
Nutritional values[67] of the household determine food choice,[19] and whether food meets cultural preferences is important to utilization in terms of psychological and social well-being.[75] Access to healthcare is another determinant of food utilization since the health of individuals controls how the food is metabolized.[19] For example, intestinal parasites can take nutrients from the body and decrease food utilization.[71] Sanitation can also decrease the occurrence and spread of diseases that can affect food utilization.[19][76] Education about nutrition and food preparation can affect food utilization and improve this pillar of food security.[71]
Stability
[edit]Food stability refers to the ability to obtain food over time. Food insecurity can be transitory, seasonal, or chronic.[19] In transitory food insecurity, food may be unavailable during certain periods of time.[18] At the food production level, natural disasters[18] and drought[19] result in crop failure and decreased food availability. Civil conflicts can also decrease access to food.[18] Instability in markets resulting in food-price spikes can cause transitory food insecurity. Other factors that can temporarily cause food insecurity are loss of employment or productivity, which can be caused by illness. Seasonal food insecurity can result from the regular pattern of growing seasons in food production.[19]
Agency
[edit]Agency refers to the capacity of individuals or groups to make their own decisions about what foods they eat, what foods they produce, how that food is produced, processed, and distributed within food systems, and their ability to engage in processes that shape food system policies and governance.[6] This term shares similar values to those of another important concept, Food sovereignty.[77]
Sustainability
[edit]Sustainability refers to the long-term ability of food systems to provide food security and nutrition in a way that does not compromise the economic, social, and environmental bases that generate food security and nutrition for future generations.[6]
Causes of food insecurity
[edit]High food prices
[edit]

During 2022 and 2023 there were food crises in several regions as indicated by rising food prices. In 2022, the world experienced significant food price inflation along with major food shortages in several regions. Sub-Saharan Africa, Iran, Sri Lanka, Sudan and Iraq were most affected.[78][79][80] Prices of wheat, maize, oil seeds, bread, pasta, flour, cooking oil, sugar, egg, chickpea and meat increased.[81][82][83] Many factors have contributed to the ongoing world food crisis. These include supply chain disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Global energy crisis (2021–2023), the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and floods and heatwaves during 2021 (which destroyed key American and European crops).[84] Droughts were also a factor; in early 2022, some areas of Spain and Portugal lost 60–80% of their crops due to widespread drought.[85]
Even before the Russian invasion of Ukraine, food prices were already at a record high. 82 million East Africans and 42 million West Africans faced acute food insecurity in 2021.[86] By the end of 2022, more than 8 million Somalis were in need of food assistance.[87] In February 2022, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) reported a 20% rise in food prices since February 2021.[88] The war further pushed this increase to 40% in March 2022 but was reduced to 18% by January 2023.[82] But the FAO warns that inflation of food prices will continue in many countries.[89]Pandemics and disease outbreaks
[edit]
The World Food Programme has stated that pandemics such as the COVID-19 pandemic risk undermining the efforts of humanitarian and food security organizations to maintain food security.[90] The International Food Policy Research Institute expressed concerns that the increased connections between markets and the complexity of food and economic systems could cause disruptions to food systems during the COVID-19 pandemic, specifically affecting the poor.[91]
The Ebola outbreak in 2014 led to increases in the prices of staple foods in West Africa.[92] Stringent lockdowns, travel restrictions, and disruptions to labor forces resulted in bottlenecks affecting the production and distribution of goods. Notably, the food supply chain experienced significant disruptions as the pandemic strained logistics, labor availability, and demand patterns. While progress in combating COVID-19 has provided some relief, the pandemic's lasting effects persist, including shifts in consumer behavior and the ongoing necessity for health and safety measures.[93]
Fossil fuel dependence
[edit]
Between 1950 and 1984, as the Green Revolution transformed agriculture around the globe, world grain production increased by 250%. The energy for the Green Revolution was provided by fossil fuels in the form of fertilizers (natural gas), pesticides (oil), and hydrocarbon-fueled irrigation.[95]
Natural gas is a major feedstock for the production of ammonia, via the Haber process, for use in fertilizer production.[96][97] The development of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer has significantly supported global population growth — it has been estimated that almost half the people on Earth are currently fed as a result of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer use.[98][99]
Agricultural diseases
[edit]Diseases affecting livestock or crops can have devastating effects on food availability especially if there are no contingency plans in place. For example, Ug99, a lineage of wheat stem rust, which can cause up to 100% crop losses, is present in wheat fields in several countries in Africa and the Middle East and is predicted to spread rapidly through these regions and possibly further afield, potentially causing a wheat production disaster that would affect food security worldwide.[100][101] As of 2025, the Avian Flu has plagued the U.S. poultry industry, resulting in rapidly increasing egg prices for consumers and farmers unable to keep up with demand. U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), looks for solutions to combat increasing prices and the spread of pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Proposed solutions include, increasing investments in biosecurity to stop the spread of HPAI, extending relief to poultry farmers impacted, and removing unnecessary regulatory burdens to expand the commercial market for eggs.[102]
Disruption in global food supplies due to war
[edit]The Russian invasion of Ukraine has disrupted global food supplies.[103] The conflict has severely impacted food supply chains with noteworthy effects on production, sourcing, manufacturing, processing, logistics, and significant shifts in demand among nations reliant on imports from Ukraine.[103] The European Union's imposition of sanctions on Russia has added complexity to trade relations.[93] In Asia and the Pacific, many of those regions' countries depend on the importation of basic food staples such as wheat and also fertilizer, with nearly 1.1 billion lacking a healthy diet caused by poverty and ever-increasing food prices.[104]
Environmental degradation and overuse
[edit]Land degradation
[edit]Intensive farming often leads to a vicious cycle of exhaustion of soil fertility and a decline of agricultural yields.[105] Other causes of land degradation include for example deforestation, overgrazing, and over-exploitation of vegetation for use.[106] Approximately 40 percent of the world's agricultural land is seriously degraded.[107]
While the Green Revolution was critical in supporting a larger population through the mid-1900s to now by increasing crop yields, it has also resulted in environmental degradation particularly through land use, soil degradation, and deforestation. Over-farming of agricultural land due to the Green Revolution has caused contamination and erosion of soil, and a reduction in biodiversity due to pesticide usage (as well as deforestation). Malnutrition rates and food insecurity could increase again as land and water resources are depleted.[108]
Water scarcity
[edit]Regionally, Sub-Saharan Africa has the largest number of water-stressed countries of any place on the globe, as of an estimated 800 million people who live in Africa, 300 million live in a water-stressed environment.[109] It is estimated that by 2030, 75 million to 250 million people in Africa will be living in areas of high water stress, which will likely displace anywhere between 24 million and 700 million people as conditions become increasingly unlivable.[109] Because the majority of Africa remains dependent on an agricultural lifestyle and 80 to 90 percent of all families in rural Africa rely upon producing their food,[110] water scarcity translates to a loss of food security.[111]
Overfishing
[edit]The overexploitation of fish stocks can pose serious risks to food security. Risks can be posed both directly by overexploitation of food fish and indirectly through overexploitation of the fish that those food fish depend on for survival.[112] In 2022 the United Nations called attention "considerably negative impact" on food security of the fish oil and fishmeal industries in West Africa.[113]
Food loss and waste
[edit]
Food waste may be diverted for alternative human consumption when economic variables allow for it. In the 2019 edition of the State of Food and Agriculture, FAO asserted that food loss and waste have potential effects on the four pillars of food security. However, the links between food loss and waste reduction and food security are complex, and positive outcomes are not always certain. Reaching acceptable levels of food security and nutrition inevitably implies certain levels of food loss and waste. Maintaining buffers to ensure food stability requires a certain amount of food to be lost or wasted. At the same time, ensuring food safety involves discarding unsafe food, which then is counted as lost or wasted, while higher-quality diets tend to include more highly perishable foods.[115]
How the impacts on the different dimensions of food security play out and affect the food security of different population groups depends on where in the food supply chain the reduction in losses or waste takes place as well as on where nutritionally vulnerable and food-insecure people are located geographically.[115]
Climate change
[edit]In 2023, climate change significantly impacted food security, with extreme weather events being primary drivers in 18 countries, affecting over 77 million people. The year marked the hottest on record, leading to severe climatic disturbances such as droughts, floods, and hurricanes. These events disrupted agriculture, damaged crops, and decreased food availability, underlining the crucial need for urgent global action to adapt to and mitigate climate impacts to protect food sources.[49]
Recent climate modeling suggests that even when accounting for farmer adaptation, global yields of calories from six major staple crops are projected to be 24% lower by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario than they would be without climate change.[116]
Effects
[edit]
Climate change will affect agriculture and food production around the world. The reasons include the effects of elevated CO2 in the atmosphere. Higher temperatures and altered precipitation and transpiration regimes are also factors. Increased frequency of extreme events and modified weed, pest, and pathogen pressure are other factors.[118]: 282 Droughts result in crop failures and the loss of pasture for livestock.[119] Loss and poor growth of livestock cause milk yield and meat production to decrease.[120] The rate of soil erosion is 10–20 times higher than the rate of soil accumulation in agricultural areas that use no-till farming. In areas with tilling it is 100 times higher. Climate change worsens this type of land degradation and desertification.[121]: 5
Climate change is projected to negatively affect all four pillars of food security. It will affect how much food is available. It will also affect how easy food is to access through prices, food quality, and how stable the food system is.[122] Climate change is already affecting the productivity of wheat and other staples.[123][124]
In many areas, fishery catches are already decreasing because of global warming and changes in biochemical cycles. In combination with overfishing, warming waters decrease the amount of fish in the ocean.[125]: 12 Per degree of warming, ocean biomass is expected to decrease by about 5%. Tropical and subtropical oceans are most affected, while there may be more fish in polar waters.[126]
Multiple breadbasket failure
[edit]Effects of food insecurity
[edit]Social and economic impacts
[edit]Famine and hunger are both rooted in food insecurity. Chronic food insecurity translates into a high degree of vulnerability to famine and hunger; ensuring food security presupposes the elimination of that vulnerability.[10]
Food insecurity can force individuals to undertake risky economic activities such as prostitution.[127]
The International Monetary Fund cautioned in September 2022 that "the impact of increasing import costs for food and fertilizer for those extremely vulnerable to food insecurity will add $9 billion to their balance of payments pressures – in 2022 and 2023." This would deplete countries' foreign reserves as well as their capacity to pay for food and fertilizer imports."[128][129]
Stunting and chronic nutritional deficiencies
[edit]
Many countries experience ongoing food shortages and distribution problems. These result in chronic and often widespread hunger amongst significant numbers of people. Human populations can respond to chronic hunger and malnutrition by decreasing body size, known in medical terms as stunting or stunted growth.[11] This process starts in utero if the mother is malnourished and continues through approximately the third year of life. It leads to higher infant and child mortality, but at rates far lower than during famines.[130] Once stunting has occurred, improved nutritional intake after the age of about two years is unable to reverse the damage. Severe malnutrition in early childhood often leads to defects in cognitive development.[12] It, therefore, creates a disparity a between children who did not experience severe malnutrition and those who experience it.[131]
Worldwide, the prevalence of child stunting was 21.3 percent in 2019, or 144 million children. Central Asia, Eastern Asia, and the Caribbean have the largest rates of reduction in the prevalence of stunting and are the only subregions on track to achieve the 2025 and 2030 stunting targets.[132] Between 2000 and 2019, the global prevalence of child stunting declined by one-third.[133]
Data from the 2021 FAO SOFI showed that in 2020, 22.0 percent (149.2 million) of children under 5 years of age were affected by stunting, 6.7 percent (45.4 million) were suffering from wasting and 5.7 percent (38.9 million) were overweight. FAO warned that the figures could be even higher due to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.[5]
Africa and Asia account for more than nine out of ten of all children with stunting, more than nine out of ten children with wasting, and more than seven out of ten children who are affected by being overweight worldwide.[5]
Mental health outcomes
[edit]Food insecurity is one of the social determinants of mental health. A recent comprehensive systematic review showed that over 50 studies have shown that food insecurity is strongly associated with a higher risk of depression, anxiety, and sleep disorders.[134] For depression and anxiety, food-insecure individuals have almost a threefold risk increase compared to food-secure individuals.[135] Adolescents experiencing food insecurity are more likely to experience suicidal ideation, suicide planning and suicide attempts than those who are food-secure. This is more common in countries where food insecurity is less common, potentially because it indicates a reduced standard of living and low social standing within that country.[136]
Individuals who are pregnant and suffer from HFI (Household Food Insecurity) have a higher likelihood of experiencing symptoms of depression and possibly anxiety. Data from 18 observational studies involving over 27,000 participants, the analysis found that pregnant individuals experiencing HFI had significantly higher odds of reporting depressive symptoms. While the association with anxiety symptoms was noted, there was insufficient data for a full meta-analysis. The prevalence of HFI among pregnant individuals ranged from 12.6% to 62.1%. Depressive symptoms were reported in 18% to 49% of cases, while anxiety symptoms ranged from 23% to 34%.[137]
Approaches to food security
[edit]Agrifood systems resilience
[edit]Resilient agrifood systems can achieve food security. The resilience of agrifood systems refers to the capacity over time of agrifood systems, in the face of any disruption, to sustainably ensure availability of and access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food for all, and sustain the livelihoods of agrifood systems' actors. Truly resilient agrifood systems must have a robust capacity to prevent, anticipate, absorb, adapt and transform in the face of any disruption, with the functional goal of ensuring food security and nutrition for all and decent livelihoods and incomes for agrifood systems' actors. Such resilience addresses all dimensions of food security, but focuses specifically on stability of access and sustainability, which ensure food security in both the short and the long term.[47] Resilience-building involves preparing for disruptions, particularly those that cannot be anticipated, in particular through: diversity in domestic production, in imports,[138][47] and in supply chains; robust food transport networks;[139][47] and guaranteed continued access to food for all.[140][47]
The FAO finds that there are six pathways to follow towards food systems transformation:[141]
- integrating humanitarian, development and peacebuilding policies in conflict-affected areas;
- scaling up climate resilience across food systems;
- strengthening resilience of the most vulnerable to economic adversity;
- intervening along the food supply chains to lower the cost of nutritious foods;
- tackling poverty and structural inequalities, ensuring interventions are pro-poor and inclusive; and
- strengthening food environments and changing consumer behaviour to promote dietary patterns with positive impacts on human health and the environment.
Approaches by FAO
[edit]
Over the last decade, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has proposed a "twin track" approach to fight food insecurity that combines sustainable development and short-term hunger relief. Development approaches include investing in rural markets and rural infrastructure.[2] In general, FAO proposes the use of public policies and programs that promote long-term economic growth that will benefit the poor. To obtain short-term food security, vouchers for seeds, fertilizer, or access to services could promote agricultural production. The use of conditional or unconditional food or cash transfers is another approach promoted by FAO. Conditional transfers may include school feeding programs, while unconditional transfers could include general food distribution, emergency food aid or cash transfers. A third approach is the use of subsidies as safety nets to increase the purchasing power of households. FAO has stated that "approaches should be human rights-based, target the poor, promote gender equality, enhance long-term resilience and allow sustainable graduation out of poverty."[142]
FAO has noted that some countries have been successful in fighting food insecurity and decreasing the number of people suffering from undernourishment. Bangladesh is an example of a country that has met the Millennium Development Goal hunger target. The FAO credited growth in agricultural productivity and macroeconomic stability for the rapid economic growth in the 1990s that resulted in an increase in food security. Irrigation systems were established through infrastructure development programs.[3]
In 2020, FAO deployed intense advocacy to make healthy diets affordable as a way to reduce global food insecurity and save vast sums in the process. The agency said that if healthy diets were to become the norm, almost all of the health costs that can currently be blamed on unhealthy diets (estimated to reach US$1.3 trillion a year in 2030) could be offset; and that on the social costs of greenhouse gas emissions that are linked to unhealthy diets, the savings would be even greater (US$1.7 trillion, or over 70 percent of the total estimated for 2030).[143]
FAO urged governments to make nutrition a central plank of their agricultural policies, investment policies and social protection systems. It also called for measures to tackle food loss and waste, and to lower costs at every stage of food production, storage, transport, distribution and marketing. Another FAO priority is for governments to secure better access to markets for small-scale producers of nutritious foods.[143]
The World Summit on Food Security, held in Rome in 1996, aimed to renew a global commitment to the fight against hunger. The conference produced two key documents, the Rome Declaration on World Food Security and the World Food Summit Plan of Action.[7][144] The Rome Declaration called for the members of the United Nations to work to halve the number of chronically undernourished people on the Earth by 2015. The Plan of Action set several targets for government and non-governmental organizations for achieving food security, at the individual, household, national, regional, and global levels.[145]
Another World Summit on Food Security took place at the FAO's headquarters in Rome between November 16 and 18, 2009.[146]
FAO has also created a partnership that will act through the African Union's CAADP framework aiming to end hunger in Africa by 2025. It includes different interventions including support for improved food production, a strengthening of social protection and integration of the Right to Food into national legislation.[147]
Improving agricultural productivity to benefit the rural poor
[edit]
According to the Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture, a major study led by the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), managing rainwater and soil moisture more effectively, and using supplemental and small-scale irrigation, hold the key to helping the greatest number of poor people. It has called for a new era of water investments and policies for upgrading rainfed agriculture that would go beyond controlling field-level soil and water to bring new freshwater sources through better local management of rainfall and runoff.[148] Increased agricultural productivity enables farmers to grow more food, which translates into better diets and, under market conditions that offer a level playing field, into higher farm incomes.[149]
The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) proposes several key steps to increasing agricultural productivity, which is in turn key to increasing rural income and reducing food insecurity.[150] They include:
- Boosting agricultural science and technology. Current agricultural yields are insufficient to feed the growing populations. Eventually, the rising agricultural productivity drives economic growth.
- Securing property rights and access to finance
- Enhancing human capital through education and improved health
- Conflict prevention and resolution mechanisms and democracy and governance based on principles of accountability and transparency in public institutions and the rule of law are basic to reducing vulnerable members of society.
Development aid activities
[edit]In September 2022, the United States announced a $2.9 billion contribution to aid efforts of global food security at the UN General Assembly in New York. $2 billion will go to the U.S. Agency for International Development for its humanitarian assistance efforts around the world, along with $140 million for the agency's Feed the Future Initiative. The United States Department of Agriculture will receive $220 million to fund eight new projects, all of which is expected to benefit nearly a million children residing in food-insecure countries in Africa and East Asia. The USDA will also receive another $178 million for seven international development projects to support U.S. government priorities on four continents.[151][152]

The World Food Programme (WFP) is an agency of the United Nations that uses food aid to promote food security and eradicate hunger and poverty. In particular, the WFP provides food aid to refugees and to others experiencing food emergencies. It also seeks to improve nutrition and quality of life to the most vulnerable populations and promote self-reliance.[153] An example of a WFP program is the "Food For Assets" program in which participants work on new infrastructure, or learn new skills, that will increase food security, in exchange for food.[154]
In April 2012, the Food Assistance Convention was signed, the world's first legally binding international agreement on food aid. The May 2012 Copenhagen Consensus recommended that efforts to combat hunger and malnutrition should be the first priority for politicians and private sector philanthropists looking to maximize the effectiveness of aid spending. They put this ahead of other priorities, like the fight against malaria and AIDS.[155]
Alternative diets
[edit]Food security could be increased by integrating alternative foods that can be grown in compact environments, that are resilient to pests and disease, and that do not require complex supply chains. Foods meeting these criteria include algae, mealworm, and fungi-derived mycoprotein. While unpalatable on their own to most people, such raw ingredients might be processed into more palatable foods.[156]

With over 2000 identified edible insects, there are many options for consumption. Insects may provide a sustainable option for protein sources containing 13-77% protein by dry weight. The energy obtained by eating insects can be similar to other food sources like beef and chicken depending on what kind of insect is eaten.[157] Insects may be a sustainable commercial farming option to support populations struggling with food security due to their nutrition and farming capacities, taking less room to cultivate than other protein sources.[158]
Food Justice Movement
[edit]The Food Justice Movement is a multifaceted movement with relevance to the issue of food security. It has been described as a movement about social-economic and political problems in connection to environmental justice, improved nutrition and health, and activism. Today, a growing number of individuals and minority groups are embracing the Food Justice due to the perceived increase in hunger within nations such as the United States as well as the amplified effect of food insecurity on many minority communities, particularly the Black and Latino communities.[159]
Controlled Environmental Agriculture
[edit]Controlled Environmental Agriculture (CEA) is a system that uses hydroponics and vertical farming that provides a solution to water scarcity and food insecurity, especially in arid regions like the Mediterranean. This system uses significantly less water and land compared to traditional farming making them highly efficient to areas with limited resources. Regions with strong infrastructure and skilled labor are particularly well-suited for CEA, which can enhance local food production and contribute to long-term food security.[160]
Digital Technologies
[edit]The adaptation of digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and the Internet of Things (IoT) in agriculture enable farmers to access real-time data, optimize resource use, and improve decision-making, leading to increased productivity and reduced environmental impact. For instance, precision agriculture tools allow for targeted application of inputs, minimizing waste and preserving natural resources.[161]
By country
[edit]Afghanistan
[edit]In Afghanistan, about 35.5% of households are food insecure (as of 2018). The prevalence of underweight, stunting, and wasting in children under five years of age is also very high.[162] In October 2021, more than half of Afghanistan's 39 million people faced an acute food shortage.[163] On 11 November 2021, Human Rights Watch reported that Afghanistan is facing widespread famine due to collapsed economy and broken banking system. The UN World Food Program has also issued multiple warnings of worsening food insecurity.[164] As of 2025 it is estimated that 22.9 million Afghans, that is more than half of the population, is in need of humanitarian aid, this includes 12.6 million at "crisis" or "emergency" levels of acute food insecurity.[165][166]
Australia
[edit]In 2012, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) conducted a survey measuring nutrition, which included food security. It was reported that 4% of Australian households were food insecure.[167] 1.5% of those households were severely food insecure.[167] Additionally, the Australian Institute of Family Studies (AIFS), reported that certain demographics are more vulnerable to being food insecure; such as indigenous, elderly, regional, and single-parent households.[168] Financial issues were cited as the main cause of food insecurity.[167]
Climate change may present future challenges for Australia regarding food security, as Australia already experiences extreme weather. Australia's history in biofuel production and use of fertilizers has reduced the quality of the land.[169] Increased extreme weather is projected to affect crops, livestock, and soil quality.[170] Wheat production, one of Australia's main food exports, is projected to decrease by 9.2% by 2030.[171] Beef production is also expected to fall by 9.6%.[171]
Bangladesh
[edit]In 2023, approximately 11.9 million people in Bangladesh faced high levels of acute food insecurity.[172] Contributing factors include extreme weather events, economic shocks, and high levels of domestic food inflation.[172] The situation is projected to deteriorate, with the number of people in IPC Phase 3 or above likely to increase to 16.5 million (22% of the analyzed population) between April and October 2024.[173]
Brazil
[edit]In 2023, approximately 27.6% of Brazilian households, equating to 21.6 million homes, experienced some level of food insecurity. This included 18.2% facing mild food insecurity, 5.3% moderate, and 4.1% severe.[174]
On an individual level, remarkably severe food insecurity saw a significant decline, dropping from 8% of the population in 2022 to 1.2% in 2023 according to the Brazilian government.[175] This reduction lifted 14.7 million people out of severe hunger conditions.[175]
Canada
[edit]Since 2005, Canada has monitored the level of food insecurity by province and territory. Rates of food insecurity in Canada ranged from 11.1% in Québec to 57% in Nunavut as of a 2017-2018 survey. Of the 57% of household affected by food insecurity in Nunavut, almost half of them are severely food insecure. These rates of food security equal 4.4 million people, of which 1.2 million were under the age of 18.[176] Some common co-occurring conditions were households with lower incomes, single-income, and renting rather than owning their home. Food insecurity is more prevalent in households that receive social assistance, Employment Insurance, and Worker's Compensation, as well as in pension-reliant homes. People who identified as Indigenous or Black also face higher rates of food insecurity than those who identify otherwise.[176]
Food insecurity has been associated with a poorer quality of diet including a significant difference in micronutrient intake which varies across age and sex. In a 2015 study, the caloric intake was higher in severely food insecure households however with fewer micronutrients indicating a shift towards less nutrient-dense food options. In addition to micronutrient deficiencies across all age groups, food insecurity is correlated with higher rates of chronic disease biomarkers. In Canada, food insecurity is associated with worse mental health and higher mortality rates.[176]
China
[edit]The persistence of wet markets has been described as "critical for ensuring urban food security,"[177][178] particularly in Chinese cities.[179] The influence of wet markets on urban food security includes food pricing and physical accessibility.[179]
Despite initial public resistance, China is advancing the development and potential commercialization of GM crops, such as soybeans and maize, to bolster domestic production and reduce dependence on imports.[180]
Calling food waste "shameful", General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, Xi Jinping, launched the Clean Plate campaign. Xi stressed that there should be a sense of crisis regarding food security. In 2020, China witnessed a rise in food prices, due to the COVID-19 outbreak and mass flooding that wiped out the country's crops, which made food security a priority for Xi.[181][182] As part of its goals of ensuring food security, the Chinese Communist Party emphasizes agricultural research, including at the Chinese Academy of Sciences.[183]
Democratic Republic of Congo
[edit]In the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), about 33% of households are food insecure, and nearly 60% in eastern provinces.[184] Millions of DRC inhabitants are living below the poverty line, contributing to this widespread hunger in the country that in some cases is so severe, that families can't afford to eat everyday.[185] A study showed the correlation of food insecurity and its negative effects on at-risk HIV adults in the Democratic Republic of Congo, exacerbating the vulnerability of these populations even further.[184]
The state of food insecurity in the DRC has been long prevalent, but worsened greatly following the Congolese Wars (1996–1998; 1998–2003). In 2002, about 80% of the population lived below the poverty line, and more than 90% of the rural population had no easy access to safe drinking water. This contributed to the food insecurity of the nation, in which chronic infant malnutrition was over 45% for children under 5 years old. The nation's lack of access to markets, limited financial means, and low levels of food production have been other contributors to their poor levels of food security.[186]
Furthermore, the nation has an influx of imported food products that are often of poor nutritional quality, but are placed at competitive prices that the nation can afford. This results in the majority of households turning to cheaper, high-calorie food products over more healthy, unaffordable, high-protein foods that are not as accessible to them. This then results in unbalanced and unhealthy diets that contribute to poor health outcomes for these populations. Furthermore, many urban areas are forced to turn to mainly consume bushmeat as their primary source of protein, because they cannot afford to access other types of safer, healthier and even more legal options.[187][188]
India
[edit]Mexico
[edit]Pakistan
[edit]According to the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (ITC), Between April and October 2023, nearly 10.5 million people in Pakistan, or 29% of the analyzed population, were experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity.[196] This includes approximately 2.1 million people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and around 8.4 million in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).[196] The situation is projected to worsen, with 11.8 million people (32% of the analyzed population) likely to experience high levels of acute food insecurity between November 2023 and January 2024.[196]
Singapore
[edit]Singapore's population increased from just over 3 million to around 5.7 million people (as of 2019). Following their significant increase in population, Singapore then faced a significant decrease in agricultural land (from 25% allocated land in 1965 to less than 1% in 2014) making food production rates decline drastically. Due to the minimal amount of agricultural output, Singapore imports about 90% of their food. Singapore was rated as the top country in affordability, availability, quality, and safety.[197] These conditions contribute to a high rate of food secure individuals, about 92.5% of the population have experienced no food security concerns.[198] A challenge with this structure is that importing food leaves the country's food supply chain vulnerable to price changes in the global food market from factors such as, disease (like Coronavirus) and climate change which can cause droughts and floods disrupting agriculture in countries like Thailand which Singapore relies on.[197]
Singapore is implementing many different methods and techniques to increase internal agricultural output.[197]
In 2019 the Singapore government launched the "30 by 30" program which aims to drastically reduce food insecurity through hydroponics and aquaculture.[199][200]
South Africa
[edit]In South Africa, between a quarter and a third of households are food insecure.[201] Following the COVID-19 lockdowns, child and household hunger have not decreased. In contrast, hunger has stabilized at a higher rate than pre-pandemic rates. This increase in hunger may be due to slow economic growth, low employment and a loss of government financial support following the pandemic.[202] The social grants given by the government along with the child support grants, school food initiatives, and the Integrated Food Security and Nutrition Programme have all been influential in lowering the food insecurity rate particularly before the Coronavirus outbreak.[203]
Sudan
[edit]Throughout 2024, the population of Sudan suffered from severe malnutrition and famine conditions as a result of the Sudanese civil war beginning in 2023, primarily in Darfur, Kordofan, and neighboring refugee-taking nations such as Chad.[204] On 1 August, the Global Famine Review Committee released a report officially declaring that it was possible that IPC Phase 5 famine conditions were ongoing in North Darfur near Al-Fashir and there was a high risk of similar conditions throughout internally displaced persons (IDP) camps.[205] Human rights groups say famine conditions in Sudan have been worsened by the Rapid Support Forces looting cities and destroying harvests, while the Sudanese army has restricted humanitarian aid deliveries by blocking food shipments into RSF-controlled areas, severely limiting access to life-saving assistance.[204]
The Sudan Doctors Union estimated in January 2025 that 522,000 children have already died due to malnutrition.[206] Additionally, the United Nations reports that, during the war, Sudan "endured a 500% increase in verified cases of killings, sexual violence and recruitment into armed groups."[207] In total, over 9 million people have been displaced as a result of the famine and war.[208]
As of 2025, the United Nations' World Food Program reports that 24.6 million people suffer from acute hunger and 2 million face famine or risk of famine.[209]Syria
[edit]The 2025 hunger crisis in Syria is one of the country's worst humanitarian disasters, with over 14.5 million people facing food insecurity. A severe drought, the harshest in 36 years, slashed wheat production by 40%, while years of war, the 2023 earthquake, and the return of refugees devastated agriculture and infrastructure.[210][211] Economic collapse, soaring food and fuel prices, and reduced subsidies left families unable to afford essentials, with basic food costs nine times higher than the minimum wage. Political instability after Assad's fall further disrupted supply chains and aid delivery, while international support waned; the World Food Programme reported a funding gap of $335 million. Despite reaching 1.5 million people monthly, relief efforts remain far below the scale of need, leaving millions at risk of famine and malnutrition.[211][212]
United States
[edit]

Food insecurity and hunger in the United States of America affects millions of Americans, including some who are middle class, or who are in households where all adults are in work. The United States produces far more food than it needs for domestic consumption—hunger within the U.S. is caused by some Americans having insufficient money to buy food for themselves or their families. Additional causes of hunger and food insecurity include neighborhood deprivation and agricultural policy.[213][214] Hunger is addressed by a mix of public and private food aid provision. Public interventions include changes to agricultural policy, the construction of supermarkets in underserved neighborhoods, investment in transportation infrastructure, and the development of community gardens.[215][216][217][218] Private aid is provided by food pantries, soup kitchens, food banks, and food rescue organizations.[219][220][221]
Reliance on food banks has led to a rise in obesity and diabetes within the food insecure community.[222] Many foods in food banks are highly processed and low in nutritional value leading to further health effects. One study showed 33% of American households visiting food pantries had diabetes.[223] Food insecure individuals living in low-income communities experience higher rates of chronic disease, leading to healthcare costs and more financial hardships.[222]
Historically, the U.S. was a world leader in reducing hunger both domestically and internationally. In the latter half of the twentieth century, other advanced economies in Europe and Asia began to overtake the U.S. in terms of reducing hunger among their own populations. In 2011, a report presented in the New York Times found that among 20 economies recognized as advanced by the International Monetary Fund and for which comparative rankings for food security were available, the U.S. was joint worst.[224] Nonetheless, in March 2013, the Global Food Security Index ranked the U.S. number one for food affordability and overall food security.[225] The Human Rights Measurement Initiative[226] finds that the US is achieving 87.6% of what should be possible at their income level for fulfilling the right to food.[227]
In 2023, about 13.5 percent of American households were food insecure.[228] Surveys have consistently found much higher levels of food insecurity for students, with a 2019 study finding that over 40% of US undergraduate students experienced food insecurity. Indicators suggested the prevalence of food insecurity for US households approximately doubled during the COVID-19 pandemic, with an especially sharp rise for households with young children.[229][230][231]Uganda
[edit]In 2022, 28% of Ugandan households experienced food insecurity. This insecurity has negative effects on HIV transmission and household stability.[127]
Uganda faces challenges associated with food security related to agricultural soil management, forest destruction, and anthropogenic pressure on the land. This is an issue as agriculture is the main form of food acquisition in places such as Tororo and Busia. In these areas the 90% of families rely on farming so disruptions to their farming could increase their chances of economic instability and food insecurity. Many families report that lack of funds, disease, and lack of land, among other variables, are significant barriers to food security.[232] In the wetlands system associated in Uganda, 93% of families are food insecure with 75% of inhabitants eating 2 meals and 8% eating only 1 meal a day. This was made worse by socioeconomic factors like disease (HIV/AIDS), poverty, and agricultural reasons like land degradation or management (regulation of food production using wetlands).[233]
Yemen
[edit]Food insecurity is highly prevalent in Yemen, with 60% of the population being affected by agricultural decline. The Integrated Security Phase Classification system places 53% of Yemenis as at risk (36%) or as an emergency (17%). Between 23 and 30% of Yemenis must change their choice of food and compromise on the quality of their food to account for food shortages while 8 to 13% of Yemenis admit to decreasing the number of meals they eat. The state of nutrition is most dire for vulnerable populations like children who face developmental issues like stunting or wasting as a result of malnutrition. Over 462,000 Yemeni children are severely acutely malnourished which increases their risk of disease. In a 2019 study, children with severe acute malnutrition were reported to have an increased rate of measles, diarrhea, fever, and cough when compared to non-severely acutely malnourished children.[234]
Society and culture
[edit]Food security related UN days
[edit]October 16 has been chosen as World Food Day, in honour of the date FAO was founded in 1945. On this day, FAO hosts a variety of events at its headquarters in Rome and around the world, as well as seminars with UN officials.[235]
Human rights approach
[edit]The United Nations (UN) recognized the Right to Food in the Declaration of Human Rights in 1948,[2] and has since said that it is vital for the enjoyment of all other rights.[236]
United Nations Goals
[edit]
The UN Millennium Development Goals were one of the initiatives aimed at achieving food security in the world. The first Millennium Development Goal states that the UN "is to eradicate extreme hunger and poverty" by 2015.[149] The UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food, advocates for a multidimensional approach to food security challenges. This approach emphasizes the physical availability of food; the social, economic and physical access people have to food; and the nutrition, safety and cultural appropriateness or adequacy of food.[237]
Multiple different international agreements and mechanisms have been developed to address food security. The main global policy to reduce hunger and poverty is in the Sustainable Development Goals. In particular Goal 2: Zero Hunger sets globally agreed targets to end hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition, and promote sustainable agriculture by 2030.[238] Although there has been some progress, the world is not on track to achieve the global nutrition targets, including those on child stunting, wasting and overweight by 2030.[133]
See also
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The Preparatory Committee of the Sudanese Doctors Syndicate revealed on Saturday that more than 500,000 infants have died due to malnutrition. Adiba Ibrahim Al-Sayed, a member of the Omdurman Private Branch of the Preparatory Committee of the Doctors Syndicate, told Sudan Tribune that the number of child deaths reached 522,000 infants, while cases of malnutrition rose to 286,000 cases since the outbreak of the war until today.
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This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from The State of Food and Agriculture 2021. Making agrifood systems more resilient to shocks and stresses, In brief, FAO.
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This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from Ensuring economic access to healthy diets during times of crisis, FAO, FAO.
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This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY-SA (license statement/permission). Text taken from NENA Regional Network on Nutrition-sensitive Food System, FAO, FAO.
This article incorporates text from a free content work (license statement/permission). Text taken from The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2021: Transforming food systems for food security, improved nutrition and affordable healthy diets for all, In brief, FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP & WHO, FAO.
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This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY-SA IGO 3.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from World Food and Agriculture – Statistical Yearbook 2023, FAO, FAO.
This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Text taken from The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2024, FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO, FAO.
External links
[edit]Food security
View on GrokipediaConceptual Foundations
Definition and Core Principles
Food security exists when all people, at all times, have physical, social, and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life.[1] Conversely, food insecurity is the condition in which individuals or households experience limited or uncertain physical, social, or economic access to nutritionally adequate, safe, and culturally appropriate food to meet their needs, often resulting from failures in one or more of the four pillars of food security.[12] This formulation, established by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations in 1996 at the World Food Summit, represents a consensus among international bodies and emphasizes access over mere aggregate supply, reflecting empirical observations that production surpluses do not guarantee individual or household-level security. Earlier conceptualizations, such as the 1975 World Food Conference's focus on stabilizing global food supplies to avoid shortages, evolved to incorporate these broader elements after evidence showed that famines often persisted amid adequate national production due to distribution failures.[13] The core principles of food security rest on four interrelated pillars—availability, access, utilization, and stability—which provide a framework for assessing and addressing vulnerabilities through causal analysis of supply chains, economic incentives, and human factors.[3] [14]- Availability refers to the sufficient supply of food through domestic production, imports, or reserves, determined by agricultural yields, trade flows, and storage infrastructure; disruptions like crop failures or export bans empirically reduce availability, as seen in global wheat shortages following the 2022 Ukraine conflict.[3][15]
- Access encompasses physical and economic means for households to obtain food, influenced by incomes, markets, and prices; data indicate that a 10% rise in staple food prices correlates with a 2-5% increase in undernourishment rates in low-income countries, highlighting market distortions as a primary barrier.[14]
- Utilization involves biological and behavioral processes ensuring nutritional benefits, including safe preparation, sanitation, clean water, and health knowledge; studies show that even with caloric sufficiency, micronutrient deficiencies persist due to poor absorption from infections or imbalanced diets, affecting over 2 billion people globally as of 2022.[3]
- Stability requires resilience of the other pillars against shocks such as weather variability, economic volatility, or conflicts; longitudinal data from 2000-2020 reveal that recurrent droughts in sub-Saharan Africa increased chronic food insecurity by 20-30% in affected regions, underscoring the need for adaptive systems like diversified farming.[14]
Measurement and Indicators
The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations defines food security measurement across its four pillars—availability, access, utilization, and stability—using indicators that quantify insufficient dietary energy, experiential deprivations, and broader systemic factors. The Prevalence of Undernourishment (PoU), a core metric for Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Target 2.1, estimates the proportion of a population with habitual caloric intake below the minimum level for active, healthy life, typically 1,800–2,000 kcal per day adjusted for age, sex, and activity. PoU is derived from national food balance sheets providing average dietary energy supply adequacy (DESA), minimum energy requirements, and modeled distributions of consumption, often assuming a log-normal curve for inequality; for instance, if DESA exceeds requirements but skewness indicates high variance, PoU rises.[16][17][18] Complementing PoU, which focuses on chronic undernourishment, the FAO's Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES) assesses moderate and severe food insecurity via an eight-item survey module administered household- or individual-level, capturing self-reported experiences over the prior 12 months, such as worrying about food shortages, reducing portion sizes, or going whole days without eating. Responses are scored using Rasch analysis for global comparability, yielding prevalence estimates calibrated against a reference dataset; FIES supports SDG Indicator 2.1.2 and has been integrated into surveys like Gallup World Poll since 2014.[19][20][21] Household-level tools like the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale (HFIAS) extend access-focused measurement by scoring the frequency of nine conditions, such as anxiety over food or undesirable coping strategies, over 30 days, categorizing insecurity from mild to severe. Globally, the Global Food Security Index (GFSI), compiled annually by Economist Impact since 2012, aggregates 34 indicators—spanning affordability (e.g., food purchasing power), availability (e.g., supply sufficiency), quality and safety (e.g., micronutrient availability), and sustainability/resilience (e.g., exposure to climate risks)—to rank 113 countries on a 0–100 scale, incorporating qualitative adjustments for policy and infrastructure.[22][23] These indicators face methodological constraints: PoU relies on aggregate supply data prone to overestimation in unequal societies and excludes micronutrient gaps or overconsumption, potentially understating insecurity in contexts of obesity or hidden hunger.[24] FIES and HFIAS, being experiential, introduce subjectivity, recall inaccuracies, and cultural response biases, limiting cross-national precision without calibration.[25] GFSI's breadth invites criticism for arbitrary weighting, incomplete country coverage, and aggregation that obscures causal drivers like trade distortions.[26] Data scarcity in low-income regions further undermines reliability, as FAO models interpolate missing inputs, emphasizing the need for granular, real-time surveys over modeled estimates.[27]Historical Evolution
Pre-20th Century Perspectives
In prehistoric and early Neolithic societies, evidence of organized food storage emerged around 11,000 years ago in the Jordan Valley, where predomestication granaries held large quantities of wild cereals, reflecting an early recognition of the need to buffer against seasonal scarcities and environmental variability to support sedentary communities.[28] This practice preceded full domestication and agriculture, demonstrating causal links between storage infrastructure and population stability, as stored surpluses enabled risk mitigation without reliance on immediate foraging.[29] Ancient Egyptian agriculture depended heavily on the annual Nile floods, which deposited nutrient-rich silt and enabled predictable inundation cycles from approximately 3000 BCE, allowing for surplus production of staples like emmer wheat and barley that pharaohs stored in state granaries to avert famine during low-flood years. Variations in flood heights, recorded via nilometers since the Old Kingdom (c. 2686–2181 BCE), directly influenced harvests and prompted administrative measures like centralized redistribution, underscoring a state-centric perspective on food security tied to hydrological reliability rather than market mechanisms.[30] The Roman annona system, evolving from the late Republic (c. 123 BCE with Gaius Gracchus's reforms) and institutionalized under Augustus in 7 BCE, supplied subsidized or free grain to up to 200,000–300,000 urban citizens in Rome, sourced from provinces like Egypt and North Africa via state fleets and warehouses to prevent urban unrest from shortages.[31] This cura annonae emphasized logistical state intervention over individual farming, with officials managing procurement, transport, and distribution to maintain social order, though it strained imperial resources and fostered dependency on imported staples.[32] In imperial China, the ever-normal granaries (changpingcang), formalized during the Han dynasty (206 BCE–220 CE) and expanded in later eras like the Tang (618–907 CE), involved state purchases of grain during surpluses and sales during deficits to stabilize prices and ensure availability, preventing hoarding and famine as articulated in policies from 806 CE allocating 20% of harvests to such reserves.[33] This approach reflected a bureaucratic philosophy of proactive market regulation, rooted in Confucian ideals of governance, where officials monitored local supplies to mitigate cyclical scarcities from droughts or floods.[34] Medieval Europe faced recurrent famines, such as the Great Famine of 1315–1317 triggered by excessive rains and crop failures across northern regions, which killed an estimated 5–10% of the population and exposed vulnerabilities in manorial agriculture reliant on weather-dependent yields without robust storage networks.[35] Responses included ad hoc poor relief, church alms, and emerging community granaries in England and Aragon by the 14th century, but these were often insufficient, highlighting a perspective shift toward recognizing systemic dearth risks yet limited by feudal fragmentation and absent centralized redistribution.[36] Early modern expansions of public granaries in Europe from the 16th century onward built on these precedents, aiming to curb speculation amid population growth, though effectiveness varied by region and governance capacity.[37]20th Century Developments and Green Revolution
The 20th century saw significant advancements in food security driven by technological innovations and international cooperation amid recurring crises like the Great Depression and World War II famines. In 1943, the United Nations Conference on Food and Agriculture at Hot Springs, Virginia, laid the groundwork for enhanced global food production and distribution efforts, leading to the founding of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in 1945.[38] The FAO promoted agricultural development in post-war reconstruction, emphasizing increased yields to combat hunger in developing regions.[39] The Green Revolution, originating in the 1940s, represented a transformative shift through plant breeding and agronomic practices. Norman Borlaug, working in Mexico from 1944 under the Rockefeller Foundation, developed semi-dwarf wheat varieties resistant to stem rust and responsive to fertilizers, which by 1956 enabled Mexico to become self-sufficient in wheat production, increasing output sixfold from 1944 levels.[40][41] These high-yielding varieties (HYVs), combined with expanded irrigation, synthetic nitrogen fertilizers, and pesticides, formed the core package that spread globally, particularly to wheat- and rice-dependent Asia in the 1960s.[42] Adoption in countries like India and Pakistan dramatically boosted cereal yields; in India, wheat production rose over 200% from 1965 to 1990, while rice output also doubled post-Green Revolution, averting predicted mass famines.[43][44] Globally, cereal production tripled between the 1960s and 1990s as populations doubled and cultivated land expanded by only 30%, markedly improving per capita food availability.[45] This productivity surge is credited with saving 18 to 27 million lives from starvation by enhancing supply in vulnerable areas.[46] While the Green Revolution prioritized staple crop yields over dietary diversity, its emphasis on input-intensive farming raised long-term concerns about environmental sustainability, including soil nutrient depletion and aquifer strain from overuse, often amplified by subsidies rather than inherent to the technologies.[45] Borlaug received the Nobel Peace Prize in 1970 for these contributions, underscoring the Revolution's role in stabilizing food security amid rapid population growth.[40] Despite uneven access favoring larger farmers, empirical evidence affirms its causal impact in averting hunger crises through causal chains of higher yields to greater caloric supply.[47]Late 20th to Early 21st Century Shifts
In the 1980s and 1990s, structural adjustment programs (SAPs) imposed by the International Monetary Fund and World Bank on debt-burdened developing countries, particularly in Africa, emphasized market liberalization, subsidy reductions, and export-oriented agriculture to stabilize economies. These reforms often led to short-term increases in food prices due to the removal of consumer subsidies and trade barriers, exacerbating household food insecurity among urban poor and smallholder farmers who faced reduced access to affordable staples. While SAPs spurred some agricultural export growth and macroeconomic stabilization in select cases, empirical evidence indicates they widened income disparities and undermined local food production in net food-importing nations, with undernutrition rates stagnating or rising in sub-Saharan Africa during the late 1980s.[48][49][50] The 1996 World Food Summit, convened by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in Rome, marked a pivotal redefinition of food security as encompassing availability, access, utilization, and stability, while committing 186 countries to halve the number of undernourished people by 2015—a target integrated into the 2000 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). This era saw accelerated adoption of genetically modified (GM) crops, beginning with commercial approvals in the United States in 1996 for insect-resistant corn and herbicide-tolerant soybeans, expanding globally to over 25 countries by 2010. GM varieties demonstrably boosted yields by 10-25% in adopting regions like South Africa and India for crops such as Bt maize and cotton, enhancing caloric availability and farmer incomes, though critics highlighted risks of pest resistance and seed dependency without conclusive evidence of widespread health harms from peer-reviewed trials.[51][52][53] MDG 1 achieved partial success, reducing the global prevalence of undernourishment from 23.3% in 1990-1992 to 14.9% by 2014-2016 through expanded agricultural research, trade liberalization under the World Trade Organization, and targeted interventions, averting an estimated 167 million cases of hunger. However, progress stalled in conflict zones and lagged in Africa, where population growth outpaced production gains. The 2007-2008 food price crisis exposed systemic vulnerabilities, with staple prices surging 50-100% due to biofuel mandates diverting 5-10% of global grain to ethanol, oil price spikes inflating input costs, and weather-induced shortages compounded by export restrictions. This triggered food riots in over 30 countries, pushed 44 million more people into undernourishment, and prompted a policy shift toward resilient supply chains and safety nets, though underlying demand pressures from urbanization persisted.[54][55][56] ![Commodity Prices 2000-2024 showing spikes in 2008][center]Current Global Status
Prevalence and Trends
In 2023, an estimated 733 million people worldwide, equivalent to approximately 9 percent of the global population, experienced chronic hunger, or undernourishment, where dietary energy consumption is insufficient to meet daily requirements.[58] This figure marks the third consecutive year of stagnation at elevated levels, following sharp increases during the COVID-19 pandemic.[59] Broader measures of food insecurity, encompassing moderate and severe forms, affected about 2.33 billion individuals, or nearly 29 percent of the world population, who faced difficulties in accessing adequate food.[60] Trends in undernourishment reveal a reversal of prior progress; between 2000 and 2015, the prevalence declined steadily from around 14 percent to under 9 percent globally, driven by economic growth and agricultural advancements.[61] However, post-2015, the decline halted, and numbers rose to 613 million by 2019 before surging to over 720 million in 2020-2021 amid pandemic disruptions.[62] Preliminary estimates for 2024 suggest a modest reduction to 673 million undernourished individuals, or 8.2 percent of the population, though this remains well above pre-pandemic baselines and far short of Sustainable Development Goal targets to eradicate hunger by 2030.[63] The Global Hunger Index score for 2024 stood at 18.3, classified as moderate but indicative of persistent challenges, with undernourishment data underscoring that sufficient global food production exists yet access remains uneven due to distributional failures.[64] Regional disparities amplify global trends, with Africa bearing the highest burden at nearly 20 percent prevalence, while Asia hosts the largest absolute numbers.[58] These patterns highlight the fragility of recent gains and the need for targeted interventions beyond aggregate supply increases.Regional and Demographic Disparities
Food insecurity exhibits stark regional variations, with Africa bearing the heaviest burden. In 2023, the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity in Africa reached 58.0 percent, affecting 846.6 million people, compared to the global average of 28.9 percent impacting 2.33 billion individuals.[65] Sub-Saharan Africa, in particular, drives this disparity, where protracted crises in countries such as the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and Yemen contribute to acute phases of hunger affecting over 108 million people.[65] In contrast, Asia reported 24.8 percent prevalence, with 1.18 billion affected, reflecting a more stable but still substantial challenge amid population density and varying conflict impacts.[65] Latin America and the Caribbean saw 28.2 percent, impacting 187.6 million, while Northern America and Europe maintained low rates at 4.8 percent.[65] These differences stem from factors including conflict prevalence, agricultural productivity, and economic resilience, with Africa's rate deteriorating further between 2021 and 2023.[65] The following table summarizes moderate or severe food insecurity by major regions in 2023:| Region | Prevalence (%) | Affected (millions) |
|---|---|---|
| Africa | 58.0 | 846.6 |
| Asia | 24.8 | 1,180 |
| Latin America & Caribbean | 28.2 | 187.6 |
| Oceania | 26.8 | 12.2 |
| Global | 28.9 | 2,330 |
Primary Causes
Economic and Market Distortions
Agricultural subsidies in developed countries, totaling approximately $600 billion annually as of 2022, often distort global markets by artificially lowering commodity prices through overproduction and dumping, which undermines competitiveness for unsubsidized farmers in developing nations. For instance, European Union and U.S. subsidies for crops like wheat and corn have been estimated to depress international prices by 10-20%, reducing incentives for investment in agriculture in low-income countries and exacerbating rural poverty.[66] These interventions, while intended to support domestic producers, create dependency on aid and hinder market-driven efficiency, as evidenced by World Trade Organization analyses showing that subsidy reforms could boost global agricultural output by up to 5.5% in affected regions. Biofuel mandates represent another significant distortion, diverting substantial cropland from food to fuel production and contributing to price volatility. In the 2007-2008 food crisis, the expansion of corn-based ethanol in the U.S., mandated under the Renewable Fuel Standard, absorbed about 30% of the domestic corn crop, helping drive global food prices up by 75-83% according to empirical models.[67] Similarly, during the 2022 energy shocks following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, biofuel policies in the EU and U.S. sustained high feedstock demand, amplifying wheat and maize price spikes by an estimated 15-20% beyond supply disruptions alone.[68] Such policies prioritize energy security over food access, with studies indicating they increase caloric costs for the poor by 2-5% per percentage point rise in biofuel blending targets.[69] Export restrictions, including bans and taxes imposed by net-exporting countries, further aggravate global food insecurity by constricting supply during shortages and inflating international prices. A 1% increase in the share of global food trade covered by such measures correlates with a 1.1% rise in world food prices, as seen in the 2008 crisis where restrictions explained up to 30% of the price surge.[70] In 2022, following the Ukraine conflict, at least 16 countries enacted export curbs on staples like wheat and rice, pushing global prices higher by 9-12% for affected commodities and worsening hunger for 828 million people reliant on imports.[71] These ad hoc interventions, often justified as domestic protections, ignore spillover effects, reducing exporter revenues long-term by eroding trust in supply chains.[72] Domestic price controls, frequently applied to basic staples in response to inflation, lead to shortages by suppressing producer incentives and encouraging black markets. Empirical evidence from Argentina's 2007-2015 targeted controls on supermarket goods shows they reduced supply by 10-15%, fostering queues and informal trade while failing to curb overall inflation.[73] In Venezuela, price caps on maize and wheat since 2003 contributed to production drops of over 50%, importing dependency, and widespread malnutrition, as producers shifted to unregulated crops or exited farming.[74] Cross-country analyses confirm that such controls distort allocation, increasing food insecurity by 5-10% in controlled markets compared to flexible pricing regimes.[75] Tariffs and non-tariff barriers compound these issues by fragmenting markets and raising costs for importers. High import tariffs in many developing countries, averaging 15-20% on processed foods as of 2023, shield inefficient local producers but elevate consumer prices and limit access to diverse nutrition, contributing to stunted growth rates 20% higher in tariff-heavy economies.[76] Conversely, developed-country tariffs on tropical exports like sugar and bananas, peaking at 100-200% in some cases, perpetuate poverty traps in origin countries by capping earnings and discouraging diversification.[6] Reforming these distortions through multilateral agreements could enhance efficiency, with simulations projecting a 2-3% global GDP gain from subsidy and barrier reductions.Governance and Policy Failures
Government policies intended to enhance food security have frequently produced counterproductive outcomes by distorting markets, disrupting supply chains, and prioritizing short-term political objectives over long-term productivity. In many cases, these interventions ignore basic economic incentives, leading to reduced agricultural output and higher prices that disproportionately affect vulnerable populations. Empirical analyses highlight how subsidies, land redistributions, and trade barriers exacerbate rather than alleviate insecurity, as evidenced by production declines and price spikes in affected regions.[68] Biofuel mandates in developed nations exemplify market distortions that redirect staple crops from food to energy uses, inflating global prices. The United States and European Union policies, which mandated blending biofuels into transport fuels, diverted significant volumes of corn and oilseeds; for instance, U.S. ethanol production consumed about 40% of the corn crop by 2012, contributing to the 2008 food price surge where global commodity prices rose by up to 83%. Studies attribute 20-30% of the 2007-2008 price increase directly to biofuel expansion, as fixed demand for feedstocks amplified volatility amid supply shocks. These mandates persisted post-crisis, with ongoing effects in subsequent spikes, underscoring how environmental or energy security rationales can undermine food availability when not balanced against competing uses.[67][77][68] Land reform programs in Zimbabwe illustrate the perils of abrupt expropriation without supporting infrastructure, resulting in agricultural collapse. The Fast Track Land Reform Programme, launched in 2000, seized approximately 10 million hectares from commercial farms, redistributing them to smallholders lacking capital, expertise, or inputs; maize production plummeted from 2.3 million tons in 2000 to under 500,000 tons by 2008, a 60% overall drop in food output over the decade. This policy shift replaced skilled operators with politically connected elites and under-resourced farmers, eroding export earnings from 20% of GDP to near zero and necessitating food imports that strained foreign reserves. Recovery has been partial, with output still 50% below pre-reform peaks as of 2018, highlighting how coercive redistribution without tenure security or investment incentives destroys productive capacity.[78][79][80] Export prohibitions during crises further compound global shortages by fragmenting supply and signaling hoarding, often harming net importers more than intended domestic beneficiaries. In 2022, amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, 32 countries enacted 77 restrictions on grains and fertilizers, covering over 16% of calories imported by least developed countries and exacerbating price hikes of 20-30% in affected markets. India's wheat and rice bans from May 2022, for example, reduced global supplies by 10 million tons annually, while empirical models show such measures raise world prices by 5-10% without stabilizing domestic ones long-term, as producers withhold planting in anticipation of future controls. These beggar-thy-neighbor tactics, repeated in the 2008 crisis with over 20 countries restricting rice and wheat, demonstrate how national self-sufficiency pursuits in interconnected markets amplify collective insecurity.[81][82][83]Conflict and Sociopolitical Instability
Armed conflicts disrupt food security primarily through the destruction of agricultural infrastructure, displacement of populations, and interruption of supply chains, leading to reduced production and market access.[84] In regions experiencing violence, farm households face decreased output due to limited access to land, inputs, and labor, exacerbating food shortages.[85] Empirical studies indicate that a 1% increase in conflict-related fatalities correlates with heightened food insecurity, while direct exposure to violence reduces household food consumption scores by approximately 16%.[86][87] Sociopolitical instability, including civil unrest and governance breakdowns, compounds these effects by enabling looting of food stocks and hindering aid distribution. In 2021, conflicts drove acute hunger for 139 million people globally, representing about three-quarters of such cases, up from 99 million in 2020.[88] The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 blocked Black Sea ports, causing a 60% drop in trade, wheat prices to surge by 50%, and severe food insecurity for 30% more people in affected import-dependent nations.[89][90] Global food prices reached an all-time high in March 2022 as a result, though they later moderated below pre-invasion levels by early 2024.[91] In Yemen's ongoing civil war since 2014, conflict has pushed nearly half the population—around 17.4 million people—into acute food insecurity as of 2022, with projections rising to 19 million amid blockades and economic collapse.[92] By mid-2025, 4.95 million faced crisis-level or worse hunger, including 1.5 million in emergency phases, driven by fighting that damages farms and restricts imports.[93] Similarly, in the Sahel region, persistent insurgencies and intercommunal violence have fueled a major food crisis since 2019, affecting 55 million in West and Central Africa during the 2024 lean season, with acute insecurity nearly quadrupling from 10.8 million in 2019 to 40.7 million by 2022.[94][95] Historical precedents underscore these patterns, such as the 1943 Bengal famine during World War II, where wartime policies and disruptions contributed to 2-3 million deaths, and Ethiopia's 1983-1985 famine amid civil war, claiming about 1 million lives through starvation and disease.[96] In cases like Biafra (1967-1970) and Cambodia under the Khmer Rouge (1975-1979), belligerents deliberately weaponized hunger via sieges and forced relocations, amplifying mortality beyond combat losses.[97] Such instability often stems from internal governance failures that sustain cycles of violence, rather than isolated external shocks, highlighting the need for stable institutions to mitigate famine risks.[98]Resource and Environmental Pressures
Land degradation affects approximately 52% of the world's agricultural land, primarily through soil erosion, nutrient depletion, and salinization, reducing crop productivity and contributing to food insecurity for billions.[99] Annually, around 120,000 square kilometers of land are lost to degradation, impacting over 3.2 billion people and threatening to decrease global food productivity by up to 12% within the next 25 years.[100] In regions like sub-Saharan Africa and Central Asia, soil fertility decline has directly lowered agricultural output, with studies using computable general equilibrium models showing cascading effects on food availability and prices.[101] Water scarcity poses acute risks to irrigation-dependent farming, which accounts for 70% of global freshwater withdrawals and supports over 40% of agricultural production reliant on unsustainable groundwater extraction.[102] [103] One-quarter of global staple crops, including wheat, rice, and maize, are cultivated in areas facing high water stress or unreliable supply, potentially jeopardizing half of world food output within 25 years if extraction patterns persist.[104] [105] In low-income countries, where agriculture consumes up to 90% of water resources, droughts exacerbated by overuse have already triggered yield drops of 20-30% in vulnerable basins like the Indus and Nile.[106] Climate variability, including rising temperatures and erratic precipitation, influences crop yields unevenly; peer-reviewed analyses indicate likely declines for maize and soybeans by 2050 due to heat stress, but potential gains for wheat from CO2 fertilization effects.[107] [108] Excessive rainfall and flooding can reduce yields comparably to droughts via waterlogging, with global meta-analyses showing no uniform catastrophe but slowed productivity growth in tropical staples amid +1°C warming since pre-industrial levels.[109] [110] Global agriculture's heavy reliance on synthetic fertilizers, particularly nitrogen, sustains yields but creates vulnerabilities; nitrogen dependency in cropping systems has reached 83% over the past five decades, with supply disruptions from geopolitical events like the 2022 Ukraine conflict spiking prices and threatening output reductions of 5-10% in fertilizer-intensive regions.[111] [112] Without alternatives, this dependency underpins food for half the world's population, as synthetic nitrogen enables support for over 4 billion people beyond natural soil capacities. Biodiversity loss in agroecosystems heightens risks from pests and diseases, with 75% of plant genetic diversity eroded since the early 20th century, leaving crops more uniform and susceptible to shocks.[113] FAO assessments link this erosion to increased vulnerability in food systems, where reduced pollinator and soil organism diversity has correlated with yield instability in over 30% of livestock and crop-dependent areas.[114] Agriculture itself drives much of this loss through habitat conversion, amplifying feedback loops that undermine long-term productivity without diversified genetic resources.[115]Impacts and Consequences
Nutritional and Health Outcomes
![A_malnourished_child_in_an_MSF_treatment_tent_in_Dolo_Ado.jpg][float-right] Food insecurity manifests in nutritional deficits that compromise growth, immunity, and organ function, leading to stunting, wasting, and micronutrient deficiencies. Stunting, characterized by impaired linear growth from chronic undernutrition, affected 149 million children under five years old globally in 2022, representing 22.3% prevalence and correlating with irreversible cognitive deficits and reduced adult stature and productivity.[116][117] Wasting, an acute form involving rapid weight loss and heightened mortality risk, impacted 45 million children under five in the same year, at 6.8% prevalence, often exacerbated by infections in food-scarce environments.[116][117] Micronutrient shortfalls, such as vitamin A deficiency in 340 million and iron deficiency anemia in 252 million children under five, further elevate vulnerability to blindness, anemia, and developmental delays.[116] These nutritional impairments drive adverse health outcomes across life stages. In children, undernutrition weakens immune responses, increasing morbidity from diarrhea, pneumonia, and measles, with stunted individuals facing up to twice the mortality risk from these causes compared to well-nourished peers.[116] Food-insecure youth also exhibit higher incidences of mental health disorders, including depression and anxiety, alongside physical issues like overweight in paradoxical "double burden" scenarios where caloric intake persists amid nutrient voids.[118] Adults experiencing food insecurity encounter elevated risks of chronic conditions, including type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease, stemming from erratic eating patterns and poor dietary quality that promote inflammation and metabolic dysregulation.[119] Systematic analyses link household food insecurity to poorer self-reported health and increased healthcare utilization due to unmanaged comorbidities.[120] Mortality burdens underscore the severity, with food insecurity independently raising all-cause death risk after adjusting for demographics and illnesses. In the United States, severe food insecurity correlated with 1.4 to 2.3 years shorter life expectancy in 2021 data, reflecting cumulative physiological stress.[121] Globally, undernutrition contributes to 45% of child deaths under five, while adult cohorts show heightened premature mortality from diet-related pathologies.[116] Longitudinal studies affirm childhood food insecurity trajectories predict adult obesity and psychological distress, perpetuating intergenerational health disparities.[122][123]Broader Economic and Social Ramifications
Food insecurity imposes substantial economic burdens through diminished workforce productivity and stunted human capital development. Malnutrition, a direct consequence of inadequate access to nutritious food, reduces cognitive function and physical capacity, leading to lower output per worker; estimates indicate that undernutrition alone accounts for at least $1 trillion in annual global productivity losses.[124] In developing economies, chronic hunger correlates with reduced GDP growth rates, as affected populations exhibit up to 20% lower efficiency due to fatigue, absenteeism, and impaired decision-making.[125] These effects compound over generations, trapping households in poverty cycles where nutritional deficits hinder education and skill acquisition, perpetuating low-wage labor and limited economic mobility.[126] Healthcare expenditures escalate as food insecurity exacerbates diet-related diseases, including obesity, diabetes, and micronutrient deficiencies, which strain public budgets and divert resources from productive investments. Globally, the hidden costs of agrifood systems—encompassing externalities like environmental degradation and health burdens from poor nutrition—exceed $10 trillion annually, equivalent to roughly 10% of global GDP.[127] In the United States, food insecurity contributes tens of billions in additional illness costs yearly while eroding lifetime earnings potential through early-life cognitive impairments.[128] Such fiscal pressures reinforce inequality, as vulnerable groups bear disproportionate burdens, slowing overall economic resilience and innovation capacity. Socially, persistent food shortages foster instability by heightening grievances that can precipitate unrest or conflict; empirical analyses link severe hunger to outbreaks of civil disorder, as seen in historical cases where scarcity acted as a catalyst for societal cleavages.[129] Food insecurity also drives irregular migration patterns, with affected individuals either compelled to relocate in search of sustenance—exacerbating displacement pressures—or deterred from urban opportunities due to heightened risks, disrupting community cohesion and family structures.[130] [131] Furthermore, it correlates with elevated crime rates and psychological distress, undermining social trust and amplifying intergenerational trauma, particularly in regions with weak institutions where hunger amplifies existing divisions.[132]Key Debates and Controversies
Population Dynamics vs. Technological Capacity
The debate over population dynamics versus technological capacity in food security revives classical Malthusian concerns that exponential population growth would inevitably outstrip linear increases in food supply, leading to widespread famine.[133] However, empirical evidence from the past century demonstrates that agricultural productivity gains, driven by innovations such as high-yield varieties, synthetic fertilizers, and mechanization, have consistently exceeded population growth rates. Global population tripled from 2.5 billion in 1950 to over 8 billion by 2023, yet per capita food availability rose by approximately 30% in caloric terms during the same period, averting predicted collapses.[134] [135] The Green Revolution, initiated in the 1960s, exemplifies how targeted technological interventions can expand food production capacity beyond demographic pressures. In regions like Asia, adoption of semi-dwarf wheat and rice varieties, coupled with expanded irrigation and fertilizer use, tripled cereal yields and prevented famines despite rapid population surges; India's wheat production, for instance, increased from 12 million tons in 1960 to over 100 million tons by 2020.[45] These advancements not only boosted output per hectare—reducing the land needed per person—but also lowered food prices, enhancing affordability for billions. Synthetic nitrogen fertilizers alone now support roughly half of the world's population through yield multipliers, underscoring technology's role in decoupling food supply from arable land constraints.[136] Projections indicate that current and emerging technologies can sustain a global population peaking near 10 billion by mid-century without inherent shortages, provided productivity growth continues at historical rates of 1-2% annually. The FAO estimates that agricultural production must rise by 60% from 2005-07 levels by 2050 to meet demand, a target deemed achievable through precision agriculture, biotechnology, and efficient resource use, as global output has already grown faster than population in most crops.[137] [138] Yet, regional disparities persist, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, where low yields stem more from institutional barriers and underinvestment than absolute population limits, challenging neo-Malthusian narratives that prioritize demographic controls over enabling policies.[139] Controversies arise from persistent advocacy for population restraint in academic and environmental circles, despite repeated empirical refutations of dire forecasts, such as Paul Ehrlich's 1968 predictions of mass starvation by the 1980s that failed to materialize amid yield doublings.[140] Sources promoting such views often exhibit ideological biases favoring redistribution or restrictions over market-driven innovation, overlooking how free enterprise and property rights have historically amplified technological diffusion. True causal realism points to sustained investment in R&D—evidenced by total factor productivity gains outpacing labor inputs—as the decisive factor in maintaining food surpluses, rather than curbing birth rates in developing nations.[141]Biotechnology and Genetic Modification
Biotechnology, including genetic modification, has been deployed to enhance crop resilience, yield, and nutritional content, addressing food security challenges through targeted improvements in agricultural productivity. Genetically modified (GM) crops, engineered for traits like pest resistance or drought tolerance, have demonstrated yield increases of approximately 22% globally while reducing pesticide use, contributing to higher net farm incomes by 34% in adopting regions between 2010 and 2012.[53] Meta-analyses of peer-reviewed studies from 1996 to 2013 confirm an average 20% yield boost from GM varieties, particularly in developing countries facing pest pressures and resource constraints.[142] These gains stem from precise insertions of genes, such as Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) toxins, which enable plants to produce insecticides internally, minimizing chemical applications without compromising output.[143] In India, Bt cotton adoption since 2002 has yielded a 24% increase in per-acre production and a 50% rise in smallholder profits, alongside substantial pesticide reductions that lowered environmental exposure and costs.[143] [144] Globally, Bt crops have curtailed insecticide use by an estimated 136.6 million kilograms annually, fostering sustainable intensification where land and water scarcity threaten supply.[145] Nutritional enhancements, exemplified by Golden Rice—genetically fortified with beta-carotene to combat vitamin A deficiency—affecting over 250 million preschool children in rice-dependent regions, could supply 57-113% of daily requirements when substituted for conventional varieties, potentially averting blindness and mortality linked to malnutrition.[146] [147] Scientific assessments affirm GM foods pose no unique health risks beyond those of conventional breeding, with the U.S. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine concluding in 2016 that available evidence does not support claims of harm after decades of consumption.[148] [149] This consensus, echoed by bodies like the American Academy of Arts and Sciences where 88% of members deem GMOs safe, contrasts with persistent opposition rooted in activism rather than empirical data; groups like Greenpeace have delayed approvals, such as Golden Rice in the Philippines until 2021, despite regulatory validations.[150] [151] Debates intensify over regulatory frameworks, where precautionary policies in Europe and activist-driven narratives amplify unfounded fears of ecological disruption or corporate dominance, often ignoring first-mover benefits in adopter nations like the U.S. and Brazil, which harvested over 90% of global GM acreage by 2022.[152] Such opposition, frequently funded by non-transparent sources and exploiting intuitive aversion to novelty, has protracted approvals in Africa and Asia, hindering potential yield doublings needed for population growth projections to 9.7 billion by 2050.[153] [154] Empirical tracking reveals no verified adverse events from approved GM traits, underscoring that barriers to diffusion—rather than inherent flaws—constrain biotechnology's role in stabilizing food supplies amid climate variability and arable land limits.[155]International Aid Efficacy vs. Market Incentives
International aid, intended to bolster food security in developing nations, has faced substantial scrutiny for its limited long-term efficacy, often exacerbating dependency and distorting local economies rather than fostering self-sufficiency. Over the past five decades, Africa has received more than $1 trillion in development aid, yet poverty and hunger metrics have stagnated or worsened in many recipient countries, with undernourishment persisting despite inflows.[156] Empirical analyses indicate that foreign aid frequently fails to translate into sustained agricultural productivity gains, as funds are prone to corruption, elite capture, and inefficient allocation, crowding out private investment and weakening governance incentives for reform.[157] For instance, food aid shipments can flood local markets, depressing prices and undermining incentives for domestic farmers to produce, thereby harming rural livelihoods and long-term food supply chains.[158] Critics, including economist Dambisa Moyo in her 2009 analysis Dead Aid, argue that aid perpetuates a cycle of reliance by insulating governments from market accountability, leading to policy failures such as over-reliance on imports and neglect of export-oriented agriculture.[156] Studies on sub-Saharan Africa reveal mixed short-term benefits—like temporary household access improvements—but negligible or negative impacts on national food security indicators, with no significant causal effects detected at the country level due to data limitations and confounding factors like conflict.[159] [160] Moreover, aid's fungibility allows recipients to divert resources away from agriculture toward non-productive uses, while donor motives—often geopolitical rather than developmental—further dilute outcomes.[161] This contrasts with evidence from regions where aid dependency is low, highlighting systemic issues in aid design that prioritize disbursement over verifiable impact. In opposition, market incentives—through mechanisms like secure property rights, open trade, and price signals—have demonstrably enhanced food production and security by aligning producer efforts with consumer demand. Transition economies in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, following market liberalization reforms in the 1990s and 2000s, experienced agricultural restructuring that boosted output via farm privatization and reduced state distortions, leading to more efficient food systems. Similarly, regulatory reforms in 47 developing countries between 2017 and 2019, such as streamlined seed access and pest management, facilitated farmer-led productivity gains without reliance on subsidies.[162] Private capital inflows, like foreign direct investment, outperform aid by imposing performance discipline and risk-sharing, spurring innovation in supply chains and reducing waste through competitive pressures.[163] Empirical contrasts underscore this divergence: while aid-heavy African nations saw minimal per capita food production growth from 2000 to 2020, market-oriented reforms in Asia—exemplified by Vietnam's Doi Moi policy shift in 1986—transformed the country from a chronic rice importer to the world's second-largest exporter by 2000, lifting millions from hunger via export incentives and land rights.[164] Market approaches mitigate aid's pitfalls by rewarding efficiency and penalizing inefficiency, fostering endogenous growth over exogenous transfers. Proponents advocate phasing out distortive aid in favor of trade liberalization and entrepreneurial incentives to achieve durable food security.[165]Climate Narratives and Empirical Realities
Prominent narratives in media and policy discourse assert that anthropogenic climate change poses an existential threat to global food security, primarily through intensified extreme weather events, prolonged droughts, and elevated temperatures that diminish crop yields and exacerbate hunger. Organizations such as the IPCC and UN agencies frequently highlight these risks, projecting yield reductions of 2-10% per degree of warming for major staples like maize and wheat in tropical regions, while attributing recent food crises in areas like sub-Saharan Africa to climate variability. [4] However, such claims often rely on model-based projections rather than historical observations, and overlook confounding factors like technological advancements and policy decisions. Empirical data reveal a contrasting reality: global crop yields have risen substantially amid observed warming, with maize yields increasing from 1.8 tonnes per hectare in 1961 to over 5.5 tonnes in 2023, wheat from 1.3 to 3.5 tonnes, and rice from 2.0 to 4.7 tonnes, driven by hybrid seeds, fertilizers, and irrigation rather than climatic deterioration. Primary crop production reached 9.9 billion tonnes in 2023, a 27% increase since 2010, outpacing population growth and enabling per capita food availability to climb from 2,196 kcal/day in 1961 to approximately 2,900 kcal/day by 2020. Moreover, elevated atmospheric CO2 has provided a fertilization effect, boosting C3 crop yields (e.g., wheat and rice) by an estimated 7.1% from 1961-2017 and preventing yield stagnation or losses in recent decades, as evidenced by field experiments and econometric analyses.[166] [167] [108] [168] Recent spikes in food insecurity, affecting 733 million people in 2023—up from pre-2019 levels but stable since—stem predominantly from non-climatic factors, including the COVID-19 pandemic's disruptions, the Russia-Ukraine conflict's export restrictions, and inflationary economic shocks, as detailed in FAO assessments that rank conflict and macroeconomic instability as primary drivers over weather extremes. While isolated events like droughts in the Horn of Africa contribute locally, global hunger declined steadily from 2000-2019 despite rising temperatures, and comprehensive reviews indicate that adaptation measures have mitigated projected climate impacts, with no evidence of systemic yield collapse. Sources amplifying climate's role, often from institutions with documented alarmist tendencies, tend to underemphasize these trends, prioritizing attribution to greenhouse gases over verifiable causal chains like governance failures.[59] [169] [170] Projections of future food scarcity under climate scenarios frequently overestimate risks by neglecting CO2 benefits and innovation trajectories; for instance, historical forecasts from the 1970s and 1980s predicted mass famines that failed to materialize due to the Green Revolution's yield doublings. Empirical attribution studies linking temperature anomalies to insecurity exist but are contested, as they isolate variables insufficiently and ignore offsetting gains, underscoring the need for causal realism over narrative-driven alarmism in policy formulation.[171]Effective Strategies
Boosting Productivity through Innovation
The Haber-Bosch process, developed in the early 20th century, revolutionized agriculture by enabling large-scale production of synthetic nitrogen fertilizers, which now support approximately half of the global population through increased crop yields.[172] Without these fertilizers, food production would be insufficient to feed current world numbers, as they have boosted cereal yields by providing essential nutrients that natural sources alone cannot match at scale.[173] The Green Revolution of the mid-20th century further amplified productivity through the introduction of high-yield crop varieties (HYVs), combined with expanded irrigation and fertilizer use, particularly in wheat and rice. In regions like Asia, cereal production tripled from 1960 to the 1990s while cultivated land increased by only 30%, despite population doubling, averting widespread famines.[45] Empirical studies estimate HYVs raised yields by 44% between 1965 and 2010, with additional gains from input reallocation enhancing total factor productivity.[174] Genetically modified (GM) crops, commercialized since the 1990s, have sustained yield gains by conferring pest resistance and herbicide tolerance, leading to average increases of 22% across major crops like corn and soybeans, per meta-analyses of field trials.[175] In the U.S., GMO corn varieties delivered yield boosts of 5.6% to 24.5% relative to non-GMO counterparts over two decades, alongside reduced pesticide applications that indirectly support higher net output.[176] Emerging biotechnologies like CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing target specific traits to further elevate yields, such as improved nutrient efficiency and stress tolerance in cereals, with early applications showing potential for substantial agronomic enhancements without broad genetic disruptions.[177] Precision agriculture technologies, including GPS-guided machinery and data analytics, complement these by optimizing input use, achieving 4-10% production increases while cutting fertilizer and fuel needs by up to 7-9%.[178] These innovations collectively demonstrate causal links between technological adoption and productivity, underpinning food security by expanding output per unit of land and labor.[179]Promoting Free Trade and Property Rights
Promoting free trade facilitates the efficient allocation of agricultural resources by enabling countries to specialize in commodities where they hold comparative advantages, thereby increasing global food supply and reducing prices for consumers worldwide. Empirical analyses indicate that international trade enhances food availability by transferring surpluses from exporting regions to import-dependent areas, mitigating localized shortages and supporting dietary diversity. For instance, during periods of trade liberalization from the 1980s onward, global hunger rates declined as expanded agricultural exports from efficient producers lowered staple food costs in developing markets, contributing to improved caloric access for over a billion people. Trade restrictions, conversely, exacerbate price spikes and hunger, as evidenced by export bans during the 2022 food crisis, which inflated global wheat prices by up to 30% and deepened shortages in net-importing nations.[180][181][182][83] In sub-Saharan Africa, the prospective African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), implemented starting in 2021, is projected to boost intra-regional agri-food trade by 20-30%, enhancing calorie availability and reducing undernourishment rates by reallocating production toward high-yield areas like maize exporters in the south to deficit zones in the east. Similarly, models simulating climate-induced yield variations under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenarios demonstrate that freer trade could offset regional production losses, stabilizing global food supplies and averting up to 100 million additional undernourished individuals by mid-century through adjusted import-export flows. These outcomes stem from trade's role in equilibrating supply-demand imbalances, though benefits accrue most when complemented by domestic policies addressing transport and tariff barriers, rather than relying solely on protectionism which often entrenches inefficiencies.[183][184] Secure property rights in land underpin agricultural investment by assuring farmers of returns on improvements such as irrigation or soil enhancement, directly elevating productivity in developing contexts where tenure insecurity historically deters capital outlays. Systematic reviews of interventions in low-income countries reveal that formalizing land titles increases farm investments by 15-30% and boosts yields through enhanced credit access and dispute resolution, with effects most pronounced in staple crop regions. In Ethiopia's land certification program, initiated in 2003 and expanded nationwide by 2010, titled households saw rice productivity rise by 25-40% due to reallocation of underused plots and adoption of mechanized inputs, reducing local food deficits.[185][186][187] Evidence from China underscores this causal link: ambiguous rural land rights, prevalent until reforms in the 2010s, suppressed output by 10-20% among skilled operators by limiting collateral for loans and encouraging short-term cropping over sustainable practices, exacerbating insecurity in grain-dependent provinces. Formal rights confirmation policies, as implemented in pilot areas from 2003, elevated pure technical efficiency by enabling scale economies and technology uptake, yielding 5-15% higher per-hectare outputs in rice and wheat. In broader developing economies, overlapping or informal claims fragment holdings, misallocating resources and stifling productivity growth rates by up to 2 percentage points annually; titling resolves this by incentivizing optimal factor use, thereby expanding domestic food supplies and buffering against price volatility. These mechanisms align with causal principles where enforceable ownership reduces risk premiums, fostering long-term enhancements in caloric production per capita essential for sustained security.[188][189][190]Institutional Reforms and Local Empowerment
Institutional reforms that secure individual property rights over land and resources have demonstrably enhanced agricultural investment and productivity, thereby bolstering food security in regions with insecure tenure systems. In sub-Saharan Africa, formalizing land titles has increased farmers' incentives to invest in soil conservation and long-term crops, with empirical studies showing yield improvements of 20-50% in titling programs across countries like Ethiopia and Ghana. [191] Similarly, Vietnam's 1988 land reforms under Doi Moi, which granted farmers heritable use rights, led to a tripling of rice production within a decade, transforming the country from a net importer to the world's second-largest rice exporter by 1997. [192] These outcomes stem from reduced uncertainty and improved access to credit, as secure titles serve as collateral, countering the inefficiencies of communal or state-controlled systems that often discourage innovation. [193] Decentralization of agricultural policymaking empowers local authorities to tailor interventions to regional conditions, yielding better food security outcomes than centralized mandates. In Mali, devolving land administration to communes has facilitated adaptive tenure arrangements that integrate customary practices with formal rights, resulting in sustained food production gains amid variable rainfall. [194] Empirical analysis across EU states from 2012-2020 indicates that stronger local institutional frameworks correlate with higher food availability and stability, as decentralized governance reduces bureaucratic delays in input distribution and extension services. [195] However, success hinges on accountability mechanisms; poorly implemented decentralization can exacerbate elite capture, underscoring the need for transparent local elections and anti-corruption measures to ensure benefits accrue to smallholders. [196] Local empowerment strategies, including community-based organizations and participatory extension programs, foster self-reliance and resilience by building capacity among producers. Systematic reviews of interventions in low-income settings reveal that farmer cooperatives and women's groups enhance food access through collective bargaining for inputs and markets, with one meta-analysis of 20 studies reporting 15-30% reductions in household food insecurity. [197] In Indonesia's Sustainable Food Garden program, empowering women via training in home-based production cut stunting rates by integrating local knowledge with scalable techniques. [198] Such bottom-up approaches outperform top-down aid by prioritizing market linkages over subsidies, as evidenced by agroecology initiatives in West Africa where participant-led soil management increased yields without external dependencies. [199] Critically, these must avoid over-reliance on NGOs, favoring reforms that strengthen indigenous institutions to sustain gains post-intervention. [200]Role of Private Sector and Entrepreneurship
The private sector contributes to food security by channeling investments into agricultural research, technology development, and supply chain efficiencies that enhance productivity and resilience. Empirical analyses indicate that private investments in agriculture positively correlate with increased output; for instance, a study of selected Asian economies from 2001 to 2020 found that such investments significantly boosted agricultural production, with coefficients showing a robust positive effect after controlling for public spending and other factors.[201] In the United States, total farm output nearly tripled from 1948 to 2021, achieving an average annual growth of 1.46 percent despite slight declines in input use, largely attributable to private-sector innovations in seeds, machinery, and management practices.[202] These advancements, including precision agriculture tools that optimize resource use, have enabled higher yields per unit of land and labor, countering population pressures without proportional expansions in cultivated area.[203] Entrepreneurship within agribusiness amplifies these effects by fostering localized adaptations and market-driven solutions. Programs empowering youth in agribusiness have demonstrated measurable gains, with participants experiencing a 7 percent increase in entrepreneurial income and a 75 percent improvement in household food security metrics, based on surveys across multiple African countries from 2018 to 2022.[204] AgriFoodTech startups, by integrating digital tools like AI-driven crop monitoring and blockchain for traceability, address inefficiencies in value chains, potentially transforming smallholder farming into scalable operations that improve access to nutritious foods.[205] Such ventures thrive in environments with secure property rights and reduced regulatory barriers, which incentivize risk-taking and innovation over subsistence practices, as evidenced by higher adoption rates of hybrid seeds and mechanization in market-oriented regions compared to state-dominated systems.[206] Overall, private-sector engagement outperforms aid-dependent models by aligning incentives with long-term viability, though outcomes depend on supportive policies that minimize expropriation risks and transaction costs. Cross-country data reveal that nations with greater private agricultural R&D spending—estimated to have grown substantially over the past 25 years, outpacing public efforts in many cases—exhibit stronger total factor productivity gains, essential for sustaining food availability amid global demand projected to rise 50 percent by 2050.[207] Investments in smallholder-linked agribusiness, such as vegetable production chains, have similarly reduced poverty and elevated dietary diversity, underscoring the causal link between entrepreneurial capital flows and measurable security improvements.[208]References
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