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Deforestation
Deforestation
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Deforestation of the Amazon rainforest in Brazil's Maranhão state, 2016
Deforestation in Riau province, Sumatra, Indonesia to make way for an oil palm plantation in 2007.
Deforestation in the city of Rio de Janeiro in Brazil's Rio de Janeiro state, 2009

Deforestation or forest clearance is the removal and destruction of a forest or stand of trees from land that is then converted to non-forest use.[1] Deforestation can involve conversion of forest land to farms, ranches, or urban use. About 31% of Earth's land surface is covered by forests at present.[2] This is one-third less than the forest cover before the expansion of agriculture, with half of that loss occurring in the last century.[3] Between 15 million to 18 million hectares of forest, an area the size of Bangladesh, are destroyed every year. On average 2,400 trees are cut down each minute.[4] Estimates vary widely as to the extent of deforestation in the tropics.[5][6] In 2019, nearly a third of the overall tree cover loss, or 3.8 million hectares, occurred within humid tropical primary forests. These are areas of mature rainforest that are especially important for biodiversity and carbon storage.[7][8]

The direct cause of most deforestation is agriculture by far.[9] More than 80% of deforestation was attributed to agriculture in 2018.[10] Forests are being converted to plantations for coffee, palm oil, rubber and various other popular products.[11] Livestock grazing also drives deforestation. Further drivers are the wood industry (logging), urbanization and mining. The effects of climate change are another cause via the increased risk of wildfires (see deforestation and climate change).

Deforestation results in habitat destruction which in turn leads to biodiversity loss. Deforestation also leads to extinction of animals and plants, changes to the local climate, and displacement of indigenous people who live in forests. Deforested regions often also suffer from other environmental problems such as desertification and soil erosion.

Another problem is that deforestation reduces the uptake of carbon dioxide (carbon sequestration) from the atmosphere. This reduces the potential of forests to assist with climate change mitigation. The role of forests in capturing and storing carbon and mitigating climate change is also important for the agricultural sector.[12] The reason for this linkage is because the effects of climate change on agriculture pose new risks to global food systems.[12]

Since 1990, it is estimated that some 420 million hectares of forest have been lost through conversion to other land uses, although the rate of deforestation has decreased over the past three decades. Between 2015 and 2020, the rate of deforestation was estimated at 10 million hectares per year, down from 16 million hectares per year in the 1990s. The area of primary forest worldwide has decreased by over 80 million hectares since 1990. More than 100 million hectares of forests are adversely affected by forest fires, pests, diseases, invasive species, drought and adverse weather events.[13]

Definition

[edit]
This screen shot shows a map that highlights countries based on their net change rate of forest area. Areas that appear more blue have a higher net change rate than areas that appear tan. Brown areas indicate a net loss of forest area.
Forest area net change rate per country in 2020

Deforestation is defined as the conversion of forest to other land uses (regardless of whether it is human-induced).[14]

Deforestation and forest area net change are not the same: the latter is the sum of all forest losses (deforestation) and all forest gains (forest expansion) in a given period. Net change, therefore, can be positive or negative, depending on whether gains exceed losses, or vice versa.[14]

Current status by continent, region, country

[edit]
Annual deforestation
Annual change in forest area

The FAO estimates that the global forest carbon stock has decreased 0.9%, and tree cover 4.2% between 1990 and 2020.[15]: 16, 52 

Changes in forest carbon stock by region
Figures in gigatons[15]: 52, table 43 
Region 1990 2020
Europe (including Russia) 158.7 172.4
North America 136.6 140.0
Africa 94.3 80.9
South and Southeast Asia combined 45.8 41.5
Oceania 33.4 33.1
Central America 5.0 4.1
South America 161.8 144.8

As of 2019 there is still disagreement about whether the global forest is shrinking or not: "While above-ground biomass carbon stocks are estimated to be declining in the tropics, they are increasing globally due to increasing stocks in temperate and boreal forest.[16]: 385 

Deforestation in many countries—both naturally occurring[17] and human-induced—is an ongoing issue.[18] Between 2000 and 2012, 2.3 million square kilometres (890,000 square miles) of forests around the world were cut down.[19] Deforestation and forest degradation continue to take place at alarming rates, which contributes significantly to the ongoing loss of biodiversity.[12]

The amount of globally needed agricultural land would be reduced by three quarters if the entire population adopted a vegan diet.[20]

Deforestation is more extreme in tropical and subtropical forests in emerging economies. More than half of all plant and land animal species in the world live in tropical forests.[21] As a result of deforestation, only 6.2 million square kilometres (2.4 million square miles) remain of the original 16 million square kilometres (6 million square miles) of tropical rainforest that formerly covered the Earth.[19] More than 3.6 million hectares of virgin tropical forest was lost in 2018.[22]

The global annual net loss of trees is estimated to be approximately 10 billion.[23][24] According to the Global Forest Resources Assessment 2020 the global average annual deforested land in the 2015–2020 demi-decade was 10 million hectares and the average annual forest area net loss in the 2000–2010 decade was 4.7 million hectares.[14] The world has lost 178 million ha of forest since 1990, which is an area about the size of Libya.[14]

An analysis of global deforestation patterns in 2021 showed that patterns of trade, production, and consumption drive deforestation rates in complex ways. While the location of deforestation can be mapped, it does not always match where the commodity is consumed. For example, consumption patterns in G7 countries are estimated to cause an average loss of 3.9 trees per person per year. In other words, deforestation can be directly related to imports—for example, coffee.[25][26]

In 2023, the Global Forest Watch reported a 9% decline in tropical primary forest loss compared to the previous year, with significant regional reductions in Brazil and Colombia overshadowed by increases elsewhere, leading to a 3.2% rise in global deforestation. Massive wildfires in Canada, exacerbated by climate change, contributed to a 24% increase in global tree cover loss, highlighting the ongoing threats to forests essential for carbon storage and biodiversity. Despite some progress, the overall trends in forest destruction and climate impacts remain off track.[27]

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report stated in 2022: "Over 420 million ha of forest were lost to deforestation from 1990 to 2020; more than 90% of that loss took place in tropical areas (high confidence), threatening biodiversity, environmental services, livelihoods of forest communities and resilience to climate shocks (high confidence)."[28]

See also:

Rates of deforestation

[edit]
The period since 1950 has brought "the most rapid transformation of the human relationship with the natural world in the history of humankind".[29]
Through 2018, humans have reduced forest area by ~30% and grasslands/shrubs by ~68%, to make way for livestock grazing and crops for humans.[30]

Global deforestation[31] sharply accelerated around 1852.[32][33] As of 1947, the planet had 15 to 16 million km2 (5.8 to 6.2 million sq mi) of mature tropical forests,[34] but by 2015, it was estimated that about half of these had been destroyed.[35][21][36] Total land coverage by tropical rainforests decreased from 14% to 6%. Much of this loss happened between 1960 and 1990, when 20% of all tropical rainforests were destroyed. At this rate, extinction of such forests is projected to occur by the mid-21st century.[citation needed]

In the early 2000s, some scientists predicted that unless significant measures (such as seeking out and protecting old growth forests that have not been disturbed)[34] are taken on a worldwide basis, by 2030 there will only be 10% remaining,[32][36] with another 10% in a degraded condition.[32] 80% will have been lost, and with them hundreds of thousands of irreplaceable species.[32]

Estimates vary widely as to the extent of deforestation in the tropics.[5][6] In 2019, the world lost nearly 12 million hectares of tree cover. Nearly a third of that loss, 3.8 million hectares, occurred within humid tropical primary forests, areas of mature rainforest that are especially important for biodiversity and carbon storage. This is equivalent to losing an area of primary forest the size of a football pitch every six seconds.[7][8]

Rates of change

[edit]
In decades since 1990, South America and Africa have shown the greatest loss of forest area, with global net loss in the 2010s still about 60% of the 1990s value.[37]
The rate of global tree cover loss has approximately doubled since 2001, to an annual loss approaching an area the size of Italy.[38]
Loss of primary (old-growth) forest in the tropics has continued its upward trend, with fire-related losses contributing an increasing portion.[39]

A 2002 analysis of satellite imagery suggested that the rate of deforestation in the humid tropics (approximately 5.8 million hectares per year) was roughly 23% lower than the most commonly quoted rates.[40] A 2005 report by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) estimated that although the Earth's total forest area continued to decrease at about 13 million hectares per year, the global rate of deforestation had been slowing.[41][42] On the other hand, a 2005 analysis of satellite images reveals that deforestation of the Amazon rainforest is twice as fast as scientists previously estimated.[43][44]

From 2010 to 2015, worldwide forest area decreased by 3.3 million ha per year, according to FAO. During this five-year period, the biggest forest area loss occurred in the tropics, particularly in South America and Africa. Per capita forest area decline was also greatest in the tropics and subtropics but is occurring in every climatic domain (except in the temperate) as populations increase.[45]

An estimated 420 million ha of forest has been lost worldwide through deforestation since 1990, but the rate of forest loss has declined substantially. In the most recent five-year period (2015–2020), the annual rate of deforestation was estimated at 10 million ha, down from 12 million ha in 2010–2015.[14]

Home to much of the Amazon rainforest, Brazil's tropical primary (old-growth) forest loss greatly exceeds that of other countries.[46]
Overall, 20% of the Amazon rainforest has been "transformed" (deforested) and another 6% has been "highly degraded", causing Amazon Watch to warn that the Amazonia is in the midst of a tipping point crisis.[47]

Africa had the largest annual rate of net forest loss in 2010–2020, at 3.9 million ha, followed by South America, at 2.6 million ha. The rate of net forest loss has increased in Africa in each of the three decades since 1990. It has declined substantially in South America, however, to about half the rate in 2010–2020 compared with 2000–2010. Asia had the highest net gain of forest area in 2010–2020, followed by Oceania and Europe. Nevertheless, both Europe and Asia recorded substantially lower rates of net gain in 2010–2020 than in 2000–2010. Oceania experienced net losses of forest area in the decades 1990–2000 and 2000–2010.[14]

Some claim that rainforests are being destroyed at an ever-quickening pace.[48] The London-based Rainforest Foundation notes that "the UN figure is based on a definition of forest as being an area with as little as 10% actual tree cover, which would therefore include areas that are actually savanna-like ecosystems and badly damaged forests".[49] Other critics of the FAO data point out that they do not distinguish between forest types,[50] and that they are based largely on reporting from forestry departments of individual countries,[51] which do not take into account unofficial activities like illegal logging.[52] Despite these uncertainties, there is agreement that destruction of rainforests remains a significant environmental problem.

The rate of net forest loss declined from 7.8 million ha per year in the decade 1990–2000 to 5.2 million ha per year in 2000–2010 and 4.7 million ha per year in 2010–2020. The rate of decline of net forest loss slowed in the most recent decade due to a reduction in the rate of forest expansion.[14]

Reforestation and afforestation

[edit]

In many parts of the world, especially in East Asian countries, reforestation and afforestation are increasing the area of forested lands.[53] The amount of forest has increased in 22 of the world's 50 most forested nations. Asia as a whole gained 1 million hectares of forest between 2000 and 2005. Tropical forest in El Salvador expanded more than 20% between 1992 and 2001. Based on these trends, one study projects that global forestation will increase by 10%—an area the size of India—by 2050.[54] 36% of globally planted forest area is in East Asia – around 950,000 square kilometers. From those 87% are in China.[55]

Status by region

[edit]

Rates of deforestation vary around the world. Up to 90% of West Africa's coastal rainforests have disappeared since 1900.[56] Madagascar has lost 90% of its eastern rainforests.[57][58] In South Asia, about 88% of the rainforests have been lost.[59]

Mexico, India, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Burma, Malaysia, Bangladesh, China, Sri Lanka, Laos, Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Liberia, Guinea, Ghana and the Ivory Coast, have lost large areas of their rainforest.[60][61]

Satellite imagery of locations of the 2019 Amazon rainforest wildfires as detected by MODIS from August 15 to August 22, 2019
Deforestation in Ecuador.

Much of what remains of the world's rainforests is in the Amazon basin, where the Amazon Rainforest covers approximately 4 million square kilometres.[62] Some 80% of the deforestation of the Amazon can be attributed to cattle ranching,[63] as Brazil is the largest exporter of beef in the world.[64] The Amazon region has become one of the largest cattle ranching territories in the world.[65] The regions with the highest tropical deforestation rate between 2000 and 2005 were Central America—which lost 1.3% of its forests each year—and tropical Asia.[49] In Central America, two-thirds of lowland tropical forests have been turned into pasture since 1950 and 40% of all the rainforests have been lost in the last 40 years.[66] Brazil has lost 90–95% of its Mata Atlântica forest.[67] Deforestation in Brazil increased by 88% for the month of June 2019, as compared with the previous year.[68] However, Brazil still destroyed 1.3 million hectares in 2019.[7] Brazil is one of several countries that have declared their deforestation a national emergency.[69][70] Paraguay was losing its natural semi-humid forests in the country's western regions at a rate of 15,000 hectares at a randomly studied 2-month period in 2010.[71] In 2009, Paraguay's parliament refused to pass a law that would have stopped cutting of natural forests altogether.[72]

As of 2007, less than 50% of Haiti's forests remained.[73]

From 2015 to 2019, the rate of deforestation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo doubled.[74] In 2021, deforestation of the Congolese rainforest increased by 5%.[75]

The World Wildlife Fund's ecoregion project catalogues habitat types throughout the world, including habitat loss such as deforestation, showing for example that even in the rich forests of parts of Canada such as the Mid-Continental Canadian forests of the prairie provinces half of the forest cover has been lost or altered.

In 2011, Conservation International listed the top 10 most endangered forests, characterized by having all lost 90% or more of their original habitat, and each harboring at least 1500 endemic plant species (species found nowhere else in the world).[76]

As of 2015, it is estimated that 70% of the world's forests are within one kilometer of a forest edge, where they are most prone to human interference and destruction.[77][78]

Top 10 Most Endangered Forests in 2011[76]
Endangered forest Region Remaining habitat Predominate vegetation type Notes
Indo-Burma Asia-Pacific 5% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Rivers, floodplain wetlands, mangrove forests. Burma, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia, India.[79]
New Caledonia Asia-Pacific 5% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests See note for region covered.[80]
Sundaland Asia-Pacific 7% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Western half of the Indo-Malayan archipelago including southern Borneo and Sumatra.[81]
Philippines Asia-Pacific 7% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Forests over the entire country including 7,100 islands.[82]
Atlantic Forest South America 8% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Forests along Brazil's Atlantic coast, extends to parts of Paraguay, Argentina and Uruguay.[83]
Mountains of Southwest China Asia-Pacific 8% Temperate coniferous forest See note for region covered.[84]
California Floristic Province North America 10% Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests See note for region covered.[85]
Coastal Forests of Eastern Africa Africa 10% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Mozambique, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia.[86]
Madagascar & Indian Ocean Islands Africa 10% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion, Seychelles, Comoros.[87]
Eastern Afromontane Africa 11% Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests
Montane grasslands and shrublands
Forests scattered along the eastern edge of Africa, from Saudi Arabia in the north to Zimbabwe in the south.[88]

By country

[edit]

Deforestation in particular countries:

Causes

[edit]
Drivers of deforestation and forest degradation by region, 2000–2010[12]
Drivers of tropical deforestration
The last batch of sawnwood from the peat forest in Indragiri Hulu, Sumatra, Indonesia. Deforestation for oil palm plantation.

Agricultural expansion continues to be the main driver of deforestation and forest fragmentation and the associated loss of forest biodiversity.[12] Large-scale commercial agriculture (primarily cattle ranching and cultivation of soya bean and oil palm) accounted for 40 percent of tropical deforestation between 2000 and 2010, and local subsistence agriculture for another 33 percent.[12] Trees are cut down for use as building material, timber or sold as fuel (sometimes in the form of charcoal or timber), while cleared land is used as pasture for livestock and agricultural crops.

The vast majority of agricultural activity resulting in deforestation is subsidized by government tax revenue.[89] Disregard of ascribed value, lax forest management, and deficient environmental laws are some of the factors that lead to large-scale deforestation.

The types of drivers vary greatly depending on the region in which they take place. The regions with the greatest amount of deforestation for livestock and row crop agriculture are Central and South America, while commodity crop deforestation was found mainly in Southeast Asia. The region with the greatest forest loss due to shifting agriculture was sub-Saharan Africa.[90]

Agriculture

[edit]

The overwhelming direct cause of deforestation is agriculture.[9] Subsistence farming is responsible for 48% of deforestation; commercial agriculture is responsible for 32%; logging is responsible for 14%, and fuel wood removals make up 5%.[9]

More than 80% of deforestation was attributed to agriculture in 2018.[10] Forests are being converted to plantations for coffee, tea, palm oil, rice, rubber, and various other popular products.[11] The rising demand for certain products and global trade arrangements causes forest conversions, which ultimately leads to soil erosion.[91] The top soil oftentimes erodes after forests are cleared which leads to sediment increase in rivers and streams.

Anthropogenic biomes of the world

Most deforestation also occurs in tropical regions. The estimated amount of total land mass used by agriculture is around 38%.[92]

Since 1960, roughly 15% of the Amazon has been removed with the intention of replacing the land with agricultural practices.[93] It is no coincidence that Brazil has recently become the world's largest beef exporter at the same time that the Amazon rainforest is being clear cut.[94]

Another prevalent method of agricultural deforestation is slash-and-burn agriculture, which was primarily used by subsistence farmers in tropical regions but has now become increasingly less sustainable. The method does not leave land for continuous agricultural production but instead cuts and burns small plots of forest land which are then converted into agricultural zones. The farmers then exploit the nutrients in the ashes of the burned plants.[95][96] As well as, intentionally set fires can possibly lead to devastating measures when unintentionally spreading fire to more land, which can result in the destruction of the protective canopy.[97]

The repeated cycle of low yields and shortened fallow periods eventually results in less vegetation being able to grow on once burned lands and a decrease in average soil biomass.[98] In small local plots sustainability is not an issue because of longer fallow periods and lesser overall deforestation. The relatively small size of the plots allowed for no net input of CO2 to be released.[99]

Livestock ranching

[edit]

Consumption and production of beef is the primary driver of deforestation in the Amazon, with around 80% of all converted land being used to rear cattle.[100][101] 91% of Amazon land deforested since 1970 has been converted to cattle ranching.[102][103]

Livestock ranching requires large portions of land to raise herds of animals and livestock crops for consumer needs. According to the World Wildlife Fund, "Extensive cattle ranching is the number one culprit of deforestation in virtually every Amazon country, and it accounts for 80% of current deforestation."[104]

The cattle industry is responsible for a significant amount of methane emissions since 60% of all mammals on earth are livestock cows.[105][106] Replacing forest land with pastures creates a loss of forest stock, which leads to the implication of increased greenhouse gas emissions by burning agriculture methodologies and land-use change.[107]

Junk Mail

[edit]

Over 100 million trees per year are cut down for the purpose of junk mail.[108] A major reason for the United States allowing this deforestation practice is to fund the United States Postal Service.[109]

Wood industry

[edit]

A large contributing factor to deforestation is the lumber industry. A total of almost 4 million hectares (9.9 million acres) of timber,[110] or about 1.3% of all forest land, is harvested each year. In addition, the increasing demand for low-cost timber products only supports the lumber company to continue logging.[111]

Experts do not agree on whether industrial logging is an important contributor to global deforestation.[112][113] Some argue that poor people are more likely to clear forest because they have no alternatives, others that the poor lack the ability to pay for the materials and labour needed to clear forest.[112]

Economic development

[edit]

Other causes of contemporary deforestation may include corruption of government institutions,[114][115][116] the inequitable distribution of wealth and power,[117] population growth[118] and overpopulation,[119][120] and urbanization.[121][122] The impact of population growth on deforestation has been contested. One study found that population increases due to high fertility rates were a primary driver of tropical deforestation in only 8% of cases.[123] In 2000 the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) found that "the role of population dynamics in a local setting may vary from decisive to negligible", and that deforestation can result from "a combination of population pressure and stagnating economic, social and technological conditions".[118]

Globalization is often viewed as another root cause of deforestation,[124][125] though there are cases in which the impacts of globalization (new flows of labor, capital, commodities, and ideas) have promoted localized forest recovery.[126]

Illegal gold mining in Madre de Dios, Peru.

The degradation of forest ecosystems has also been traced to economic incentives that make forest conversion appear more profitable than forest conservation.[127] Many important forest functions have no markets, and hence, no economic value that is readily apparent to the forests' owners or the communities that rely on forests for their well-being.[127]

Some commentators have noted a shift in the drivers of deforestation over the past 30 years.[128] Whereas deforestation was primarily driven by subsistence activities and government-sponsored development projects like transmigration in countries like Indonesia and colonization in Latin America, India, Java, and so on, during the late 19th century and the first half of the 20th century, by the 1990s the majority of deforestation was caused by industrial factors, including extractive industries, large-scale cattle ranching, and extensive agriculture.[129] Since 2001, commodity-driven deforestation, which is more likely to be permanent, has accounted for about a quarter of all forest disturbance, and this loss has been concentrated in South America and Southeast Asia.[130]

As the human population grows, new homes, communities, and expansions of cities will occur, leading to an increase in roads to connect these communities. Rural roads promote economic development but also facilitate deforestation.[131] About 90% of the deforestation has occurred within 100 km of roads in most parts of the Amazon.[132]

Mining

[edit]

The importance of mining as a cause of deforestation increased quickly in the beginning the 21st century, among other because of increased demand for minerals. The direct impact of mining is relatively small, but the indirect impacts are much more significant. More than a third of the earth's forests are possibly impacted, at some level and in the years 2001–2021, "755,861 km2... ...had been deforested by causes indirectly related to mining activities alongside other deforestation drivers (based on data from WWF)"[133]

In the year 2023, mining, including for the elements needed for the energy transition strongly contributed to deforestation. Mining is a particular threat to biodiversity: "in 2019, 79 percent of global metal ore extraction originated from five of the six most species-rich biomes".[134]

Climate change

[edit]
Globally, wildfires and deforestation have reduced forests' net absorption of greenhouse gases, reducing their effectiveness at mitigating climate change.[135] Global warming increases forest fires that release more greenhouse gases, creating a feedback loop that causes more warming.[136]
Over recent decades, "forest disturbance" (damage) by fire has increased in most of the planet's forest zones.[137] The increase in area, frequency, and severity of forest fires creates a positive feedback that increases global warming.[137]

Another cause of deforestation is due to the effects of climate change: More wildfires,[138] insect outbreaks, invasive species, and more frequent extreme weather events (such as storms) are factors that increase deforestation.[139]

A study suggests that "tropical, arid and temperate forests are experiencing a significant decline in resilience, probably related to increased water limitations and climate variability" which may shift ecosystems towards critical transitions and ecosystem collapses.[140] By contrast, "boreal forests show divergent local patterns with an average increasing trend in resilience, probably benefiting from warming and CO2 fertilization, which may outweigh the adverse effects of climate change".[140] It has been proposed that a loss of resilience in forests "can be detected from the increased temporal autocorrelation (TAC) in the state of the system, reflecting a decline in recovery rates due to the critical slowing down (CSD) of system processes that occur at thresholds".[140]

23% of tree cover losses result from wildfires and climate change increase their frequency and power.[141] The rising temperatures cause massive wildfires especially in the Boreal forests. One possible effect is the change of the forest composition.[142] Deforestation can also cause forests to become more fire prone through mechanisms such as logging.[143]

Military causes

[edit]
U.S. Army Huey helicopter spraying Agent Orange during the Vietnam War

Operations in war can also cause deforestation. For example, in the 1945 Battle of Okinawa, bombardment and other combat operations reduced a lush tropical landscape into "a vast field of mud, lead, decay and maggots".[144]

Deforestation can also result from the intentional tactics of military forces. Clearing forests became an element in the Russian Empire's successful conquest of the Caucasus in the mid-19th century.[145] The British (during the Malayan Emergency) and the United States (in the Korean War[146] and in the Vietnam War) used defoliants (like Agent Orange or others).[147][148][149][need quotation to verify] The destruction of forests in Vietnam War is one of the most commonly used examples of ecocide, including by Swedish Prime Minister Olof Palme, lawyers, historians and other academics.[150][151][152]

Impacts

[edit]

On atmosphere and climate

[edit]
Biophysical mechanisms by which forests influence climate.[153]
Per capita CO2 emissions from deforestation for food production
Illegal "slash-and-burn" practice in Madagascar, 2010
Mean annual carbon loss from tropical deforestation.[154]

Deforestation is a major contributor to climate change.[155][156][157] It is often cited as one of the major causes of the enhanced greenhouse effect. Recent calculations suggest that CO2 emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (excluding peatland emissions) contribute about 12% of total anthropogenic CO2 emissions, with a range from 6% to 17%.[158] A 2022 study shows annual carbon emissions from tropical deforestation have doubled during the last two decades and continue to increase: by 0.97 ± 0.16 PgC (petagrams of carbon, i.e. billions of tons) per year in 2001–2005 to 1.99 ± 0.13 PgC per year in 2015–2019.[159][154]

According to a review, north of 50°N, large scale deforestation leads to an overall net global cooling; but deforestation in the tropics leads to substantial warming: not just due to CO2 impacts, but also due to other biophysical mechanisms (making carbon-centric metrics inadequate). Moreover, it suggests that standing tropical forests help cool the average global temperature by more than 1 °C.[160][153] According to a later study, deforestation in northern latitudes can also increase warming, while the conclusion about cooling from deforestation in these areas made by previous studies results from the failure of models to properly capture the effects of evapotranspiration.[161]

The incineration and burning of forest plants to clear land releases large amounts of CO2, which contributes to global warming.[162] Scientists also state that tropical deforestation releases 1.5 billion tons of carbon each year into the atmosphere.[163]

Carbon sink or source

[edit]

A study suggests logged and structurally degraded tropical forests are carbon sources for at least a decade – even when recovering[clarification needed] – due to larger carbon losses from soil organic matter and deadwood, indicating that the tropical forest carbon sink (at least in South Asia) "may be much smaller than previously estimated", contradicting that "recovering logged and degraded tropical forests are net carbon sinks".[164]

Fires on Borneo and Sumatra, 2006. People use slash-and-burn deforestation to clear land for agriculture.
Proportion of carbon stock in forest carbon pools, 2020[165]

Forests are an important part of the global carbon cycle because trees and plants absorb carbon dioxide through photosynthesis. Therefore, they play an important role in climate change mitigation.[166]: 37  By removing the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide from the air, forests function as terrestrial carbon sinks, meaning they store large amounts of carbon in the form of biomass, encompassing roots, stems, branches, and leaves. By doing so, forests sequester approximately 25% of human carbon emissions annually, playing a critical role in Earth's climate.[167] Throughout their lifespan, trees continue to sequester carbon, storing atmospheric CO2 long-term.[168] Sustainable forest management, afforestation, reforestation are therefore important contributions to climate change mitigation.

An important consideration in such efforts is that forests can turn from sinks to carbon sources.[169][170] In 2019 forests took up a third less carbon than they did in the 1990s, due to higher temperatures, droughts[171] and deforestation. National-scale forest inventory data also shows trends from 1999 to 2020 that some forests were already approaching climate thresholds shifting them from carbon sinks to carbon sources.[167] The typical tropical forest may become a carbon source by the 2060s.[172]

Researchers have found that, in terms of environmental services, it is better to avoid deforestation than to allow for deforestation to subsequently reforest, as the latter leads to irreversible effects in terms of biodiversity loss and soil degradation.[173] Furthermore, the probability that legacy carbon will be released from soil is higher in younger boreal forest.[174] Global greenhouse gas emissions caused by damage to tropical rainforests may have been substantially underestimated until around 2019.[175] Additionally, the effects of afforestation and reforestation will be farther in the future than keeping existing forests intact.[176] It takes much longer − several decades − for the benefits for global warming to manifest to the same carbon sequestration benefits from mature trees in tropical forests and hence from limiting deforestation.[177] Therefore, scientists consider "the protection and recovery of carbon-rich and long-lived ecosystems, especially natural forests" to be "the major climate solution".[178]

The planting of trees on marginal crop and pasture lands helps to incorporate carbon from atmospheric CO
2
into biomass.[179][180] For this carbon sequestration process to succeed the carbon must not return to the atmosphere from biomass burning or rotting when the trees die.[181] Several species of Ficus such as Ficus wakefieldii have been observed to sequester atmospheric CO2 as calcium oxalate in the presence of oxalotrophic bacteria and fungi, which catabolize the oxalate, which produces calcium carbonate.[182] The calcium carbonate is precipitated throughout the tree, which also alkalinizes the surrounding soil. These species are current candidates for carbon sequestration in agroforestry. This Calcium-oxalate fixation process was first observed in the Iroko tree, which can sequester up to a ton of calcium carbonate in the soil over its lifespan. Also Cacti, such as the Saguaro, transfer carbon from the biological cycle to the geological cycle by forming the mineral calcium carbonate.[183]

Earth offers enough room to plant an additional 0.9 billion ha of tree canopy cover, although this estimate has been criticized,[184][185] and the true area that has a net cooling effect on the climate when accounting for biophysical feedbacks like albedo is 20-80% lower.[186][187] Planting and protecting these trees would sequester 205 billion tons of carbon if the trees survive future climate stress to reach maturity.[188][187] To put this number into perspective, this is about 20 years of current global carbon emissions (as of 2019) .[189] This level of sequestration would represent about 25% of the atmosphere's carbon pool in 2019.[187]

Life expectancy of forests varies throughout the world, influenced by tree species, site conditions, and natural disturbance patterns. In some forests, carbon may be stored for centuries, while in other forests, carbon is released with frequent stand replacing fires. Forests that are harvested prior to stand replacing events allow for the retention of carbon in manufactured forest products such as lumber.[190] However, only a portion of the carbon removed from logged forests ends up as durable goods and buildings. The remainder ends up as sawmill by-products such as pulp, paper, and pallets.[191] If all new construction globally utilized 90% wood products, largely via adoption of mass timber in low rise construction, this could sequester 700 million net tons of carbon per year.[192][193] This is in addition to the elimination of carbon emissions from the displaced construction material such as steel or concrete, which are carbon-intense to produce.

A meta-analysis found that mixed species plantations would increase carbon storage alongside other benefits of diversifying planted forests.[194]

Although a bamboo forest stores less total carbon than a mature forest of trees, a bamboo plantation sequesters carbon at a much faster rate than a mature forest or a tree plantation. Therefore, the farming of bamboo timber may have significant carbon sequestration potential.[195]

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) reported that: "The total carbon stock in forests decreased from 668 gigatonnes in 1990 to 662 gigatonnes in 2020".[165]: 11  In Canada's boreal forests as much as 80% of the total carbon is stored in the soils as dead organic matter.[196]

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report says: "Secondary forest regrowth and restoration of degraded forests and non-forest ecosystems can play a large role in carbon sequestration (high confidence) with high resilience to disturbances and additional benefits such as enhanced biodiversity."[197][198]

Impacts on temperature are affected by the location of the forest. For example, reforestation in boreal or subarctic regions has less impact on climate. This is because it substitutes a high-albedo, snow-dominated region with a lower-albedo forest canopy. By contrast, tropical reforestation projects lead to a positive change such as the formation of clouds. These clouds then reflect the sunlight, lowering temperatures.[199]: 1457 

Planting trees in tropical climates with wet seasons has another advantage. In such a setting, trees grow more quickly (fixing more carbon) because they can grow year-round. Trees in tropical climates have, on average, larger, brighter, and more abundant leaves than non-tropical climates. A study of the girth of 70,000 trees across Africa has shown that tropical forests fix more carbon dioxide pollution than previously realized. The research suggested almost one-fifth of fossil fuel emissions are absorbed by forests across Africa, Amazonia and Asia. Simon Lewis stated, "Tropical forest trees are absorbing about 18% of the carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere each year from burning fossil fuels, substantially buffering the rate of change."[200]

On the environment

[edit]

According to a 2020 study, if deforestation continues at current rates it can trigger a total or almost total extinction of humanity in the next 20 to 40 years. They conclude that "from a statistical point of view... the probability that our civilisation survives itself is less than 10% in the most optimistic scenario." To avoid this collapse, humanity should pass from a civilization dominated by the economy to "cultural society" that "privileges the interest of the ecosystem above the individual interest of its components, but eventually in accordance with the overall communal interest."[201][202]

Changes to the water cycle

[edit]

The water cycle is also affected by deforestation. Trees extract groundwater through their roots and release it into the atmosphere. When part of a forest is removed, the trees no longer transpire this water, resulting in a much drier climate. Deforestation reduces the content of water in the soil and groundwater as well as atmospheric moisture. The dry soil leads to lower water intake for the trees to extract.[203] Deforestation reduces soil cohesion, so that erosion, flooding and landslides ensue.[204][205]

Shrinking forest cover lessens the landscape's capacity to intercept, retain and transpire precipitation. Instead of trapping precipitation, which then percolates to groundwater systems, deforested areas become sources of surface water runoff, which moves much faster than subsurface flows. Forests return most of the water that falls as precipitation to the atmosphere by transpiration. In contrast, when an area is deforested, almost all precipitation is lost as run-off.[206] That quicker transport of surface water can translate into flash flooding and more localized floods than would occur with the forest cover. Deforestation also contributes to decreased evapotranspiration, which lessens atmospheric moisture which in some cases affects precipitation levels downwind from the deforested area, as water is not recycled to downwind forests, but is lost in runoff and returns directly to the oceans. According to one study, in deforested north and northwest China, the average annual precipitation decreased by one third between the 1950s and the 1980s.[207]

Deforestation of the Highland Plateau in Madagascar has led to extensive siltation and unstable flows of western rivers.

Trees, and plants in general, affect the water cycle significantly:[208]

  • their canopies intercept a proportion of precipitation, which is then evaporated back to the atmosphere (canopy interception);
  • their litter, stems and trunks slow down surface runoff;
  • their roots create macropores – large conduits – in the soil that increase infiltration of water;
  • they contribute to terrestrial evaporation and reduce soil moisture via transpiration;
  • their litter and other organic residue change soil properties that affect the capacity of soil to store water.
  • their leaves control the humidity of the atmosphere by transpiring. 99% of the water absorbed by the roots moves up to the leaves and is transpired.[209]

As a result, the presence or absence of trees can change the quantity of water on the surface, in the soil or groundwater, or in the atmosphere. This in turn changes erosion rates and the availability of water for either ecosystem functions or human services. Deforestation on lowland plains moves cloud formation and rainfall to higher elevations.[210]

The forest may have little impact on flooding in the case of large rainfall events, which overwhelm the storage capacity of forest soil if the soils are at or close to saturation.

Tropical rainforests produce about 30% of Earth's fresh water.[211]

Deforestation disrupts normal weather patterns creating hotter and drier weather thus increasing drought, desertification, crop failures, melting of the polar ice caps, coastal flooding and displacement of major vegetation regimes.[212]

Soil erosion

[edit]
Deforestation in France.

Due to surface plant litter, forests that are undisturbed have a minimal rate of erosion. The rate of erosion occurs from deforestation, because it decreases the amount of litter cover, which provides protection from surface runoff.[213] The rate of erosion is around 2 metric tons per square kilometre.[214][self-published source?] This can be an advantage in excessively leached tropical rain forest soils. Forestry operations themselves also increase erosion through the development of (forest) roads and the use of mechanized equipment.[77]

Deforestation in China's Loess Plateau many years ago has led to soil erosion; this erosion has led to valleys opening up. The increase of soil in the runoff causes the Yellow River to flood and makes it yellow-colored.[214]

Greater erosion is not always a consequence of deforestation, as observed in the southwestern regions of the US. In these areas, the loss of grass due to the presence of trees and other shrubbery leads to more erosion than when trees are removed.[214]

Soils are reinforced by the presence of trees, which secure the soil by binding their roots to soil bedrock. Due to deforestation, the removal of trees causes sloped lands to be more susceptible to landslides.[208]

Other changes to the soil

[edit]

Clearing forests changes the environment of the microbial communities within the soil, and causes a loss of biodiversity in regards to the microbes since biodiversity is actually highly dependent on soil texture.[215] Although the effect of deforestation has much more profound consequences on sandier soils compared to clay-like soils, the disruptions caused by deforestation ultimately reduces properties of soil such as hydraulic conductivity and water storage, thus reducing the efficiency of water and heat absorption.[215][216] In a simulation of the deforestation process in the Amazon, researchers found that surface and soil temperatures increased by 1 to 3 degrees Celsius demonstrating the loss of the soil's ability to absorb radiation and moisture.[216] Furthermore, soils that are rich in organic decay matter are more susceptible to fire, especially during long droughts.[215]

Changes in soil properties could turn the soil itself into a carbon source rather than a carbon sink.[217]

Biodiversity loss

[edit]

Deforestation on a human scale results in decline in biodiversity,[218] and on a natural global scale is known to cause the extinction of many species.[219][220] The removal or destruction of areas of forest cover has resulted in a degraded environment with reduced biodiversity.[120] Forests support biodiversity, providing habitat for wildlife;[221] moreover, forests foster medicinal conservation.[222] With forest biotopes being irreplaceable source of new drugs (such as taxol), deforestation can destroy genetic variations (such as crop resistance) irretrievably.[223]

Illegal logging in Madagascar. In 2009, the vast majority of the illegally obtained rosewood was exported to China.

Since the tropical rainforests are the most diverse ecosystems on Earth[224][225] and about 80% of the world's known biodiversity can be found in tropical rainforests,[226] removal or destruction of significant areas of forest cover has resulted in a degraded[227] environment with reduced biodiversity.[219][228] Road construction and development of adjacent land, which greatly reduces the area of intact wilderness and causes soil erosion, is a major contributing factor to the loss of biodiversity in tropical regions.[77] A study in Rondônia, Brazil, has shown that deforestation also removes the microbial community which is involved in the recycling of nutrients, the production of clean water and the removal of pollutants.[229]

It has been estimated that 137 plant, animal and insect species go extinct every day due to rainforest deforestation, which equates to 50,000 species a year.[230] Others state that tropical rainforest deforestation is contributing to the ongoing Holocene mass extinction.[231][232] The known extinction rates from deforestation rates are very low, approximately one species per year from mammals and birds, which extrapolates to approximately 23,000 species per year for all species. Predictions have been made that more than 40% of the animal and plant species in Southeast Asia could be wiped out in the 21st century.[233] Such predictions were called into question by 1995 data that show that within regions of Southeast Asia much of the original forest has been converted to monospecific plantations, but that potentially endangered species are few and tree flora remains widespread and stable.[234]

World map of rainforests

Scientific understanding of the process of extinction is insufficient to accurately make predictions about the impact of deforestation on biodiversity.[235] Most predictions of forestry related biodiversity loss are based on species-area models, with an underlying assumption that as the forest declines species diversity will decline similarly.[236] However, many such models have been proven to be wrong and loss of habitat does not necessarily lead to large scale loss of species.[236] Species-area models are known to overpredict the number of species known to be threatened in areas where actual deforestation is ongoing, and greatly overpredict the number of threatened species that are widespread.[234]

In 2012, a study of the Brazilian Amazon predicts that despite a lack of extinctions thus far, up to 90 percent of predicted extinctions will finally occur in the next 40 years.[237]

Oxygen-supply misconception

[edit]

Rainforests are widely believed by lay people to provide a significant amount of the world's oxygen.[211] However, scientific research has found that rainforests contribute little net oxygen to the Earth's atmosphere, so deforestation has only a minor effect on atmospheric oxygen levels.[238][239] In fact, about 50 percent of the Earth's oxygen is produced by algae, mostly in the oceans.[240]

On human health

[edit]

Deforestation reduces safe working hours for millions of people in the tropics, especially for those performing heavy labour outdoors. Continued global heating and forest loss is expected to amplify these impacts, reducing work hours for vulnerable groups even more.[241] A study conducted from 2002 to 2018 also determined that the increase in temperature as a result of climate change, and the lack of shade due to deforestation, has increased the mortality rate of workers in Indonesia.[242] A 2025 pan-tropical analysis estimated that local warming from tropical deforestation (2001–2020) exposed ~345 million people and was associated with ~28,330 additional heat-related deaths per year, accounting for roughly one-third of heat-attributable mortality in areas of forest loss, with the highest rates in Southeast Asia.[243]

Infectious diseases

[edit]

Deforestation eliminates a great number of species of plants and animals which also often results in exposure of people to zoonotic diseases.[12][244][245] Forest-associated diseases include malaria, Chagas disease (also known as American trypanosomiasis), African trypanosomiasis (sleeping sickness), leishmaniasis, Lyme disease, HIV and Ebola.[12] The majority of new infectious diseases affecting humans, including the SARS-CoV-2 virus that caused the COVID-19 pandemic, are zoonotic and their emergence may be linked to habitat loss due to forest area change and the expansion of human populations into forest areas, which both increase human exposure to wildlife.[12]

Deforestation has been coupled with an increase in the occurrence of disease outbreaks. In Malaysia, thousands of acres of forest have been cleared for pig farms. This has resulted in an increase in the spread of the Nipah virus.[246][247] In Kenya, deforestation has led to an increase in malaria cases which is now the leading cause of morbidity and mortality the country.[248][249] A 2017 study found that deforestation substantially increased the incidence of malaria in Nigeria.[250]

Another pathway through which deforestation affects disease is the relocation and dispersion of disease-carrying hosts. This disease emergence pathway can be called "range expansion", whereby the host's range (and thereby the range of pathogens) expands to new geographic areas.[251] Through deforestation, hosts and reservoir species are forced into neighboring habitats. Accompanying the reservoir species are pathogens that have the ability to find new hosts in previously unexposed regions. As these pathogens and species come into closer contact with humans, they are infected both directly and indirectly. Another example of range expansion due to deforestation and other anthropogenic habitat impacts includes the Capybara rodent in Paraguay.[252]

According to the World Economic Forum, 31% of emerging diseases are linked to deforestation.[253] A publication by the United Nations Environment Programme in 2016 found that deforestation, climate change, and livestock agriculture are among the main causes that increase the risk of zoonotic diseases, that is diseases that pass from animals to humans.[254]

COVID-19 pandemic
[edit]

Scientists have linked the Coronavirus pandemic to the destruction of nature, especially to deforestation, habitat loss in general and wildlife trade.[255] According to the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) the Coronavirus disease 2019 is zoonotic, e.g., the virus passed from animals to humans. UNEP concludes that: "The most fundamental way to protect ourselves from zoonotic diseases is to prevent destruction of nature. Where ecosystems are healthy and biodiverse, they are resilient, adaptable and help to regulate diseases.[256]

On the economy and agriculture

[edit]
A satellite image showing deforestation for a palm oil plantation in Malaysia

Economic losses due to deforestation in Brazil could reach around 317 billion dollars per year, approximately 7 times higher in comparison to the cost of all commodities produced through deforestation.[257]

The forest products industry is a large part of the economy in both developed and developing countries. Short-term economic gains made by conversion of forest to agriculture, or over-exploitation of wood products, typically leads to a loss of long-term income and long-term biological productivity. West Africa, Madagascar, Southeast Asia and many other regions have experienced lower revenue because of declining timber harvests. Illegal logging causes billions of dollars of losses to national economies annually.[258]

The resilience of human food systems and their capacity to adapt to future change is linked to biodiversity – including dryland-adapted shrub and tree species that help combat desertification, forest-dwelling insects, bats and bird species that pollinate crops, trees with extensive root systems in mountain ecosystems that prevent soil erosion, and mangrove species that provide resilience against flooding in coastal areas.[12] With climate change exacerbating the risks to food systems, the role of forests in capturing and storing carbon and mitigating climate change is important for the agricultural sector.[12]

Satellite image of Haiti's border with the Dominican Republic (right) shows the amount of deforestation on the Haitian side
Deforestation around Pakke Tiger Reserve, India

Monitoring

[edit]
Agents from IBAMA, Brazil's environmental police, searching for illegal logging activity in Indigenous territory in the Amazon rainforest, 2018

There are multiple methods that are appropriate and reliable for reducing and monitoring deforestation. One method is the "visual interpretation of aerial photos or satellite imagery that is labor-intensive but does not require high-level training in computer image processing or extensive computational resources".[132] Another method includes hot-spot analysis (that is, locations of rapid change) using expert opinion or coarse resolution satellite data to identify locations for detailed digital analysis with high resolution satellite images.[132] Deforestation is typically assessed by quantifying the amount of area deforested, measured at the present time. From an environmental point of view, quantifying the damage and its possible consequences is a more important task, while conservation efforts are more focused on forested land protection and development of land-use alternatives to avoid continued deforestation.[132] Deforestation rate and total area deforested have been widely used for monitoring deforestation in many regions, including the Brazilian Amazon deforestation monitoring by INPE.[163] A global satellite view is available, an example of land change science monitoring of land cover over time.[259][260]

Satellite imaging has become crucial in obtaining data on levels of deforestation and reforestation. Landsat satellite data, for example, has been used to map tropical deforestation as part of NASA's Landsat Pathfinder Humid Tropical Deforestation Project. The project yielded deforestation maps for the Amazon Basin, Central Africa, and Southeast Asia for three periods in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s.[261]

Greenpeace has mapped out the forests that are still intact[262] and published this information on the internet.[263] World Resources Institute in turn has made a simpler thematic map[264] showing the amount of forests present just before the age of man (8000 years ago) and the current (reduced) levels of forest.[265]

Control

[edit]

International, national and subnational policies

[edit]
An incomplete concept of a framework of policy mix sequencing for zero-deforestation governance. Non-intervention in processes related to beef production via policies may be a main driver of tropical deforestation.

Policies for forest protection include information and education programs, economic measures to increase revenue returns from authorized activities and measures to increase effectiveness of "forest technicians and forest managers".[266] Poverty and agricultural rent were found to be principal factors leading to deforestation.[267] Contemporary domestic and foreign political decision-makers could possibly create and implement policies whose outcomes ensure that economic activities in critical forests are consistent with their scientifically ascribed value for ecosystem services, climate change mitigation and other purposes.

Such policies may use and organize the development of complementary technical and economic means – including for lower levels of beef production, sales and consumption (which would also have major benefits for climate change mitigation),[268][269] higher levels of specified other economic activities in such areas (such as reforestation, forest protection, sustainable agriculture for specific classes of food products and quaternary work in general), product information requirements, practice- and product-certifications and eco-tariffs, along with the required monitoring and traceability. Inducing the creation and enforcement of such policies could, for instance, achieve a global phase-out of deforestation-associated beef.[270][271][272][additional citation(s) needed] With complex polycentric governance measures, goals like sufficient climate change mitigation as decided with e.g. the Paris Agreement and a stoppage of deforestation by 2030 as decided at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference could be achieved.[273] A study has suggested higher income nations need to reduce imports of tropical forest-related products and help with theoretically forest-related socioeconomic development. Proactive government policies and international forest policies "revisit[ing] and redesign[ing] global forest trade" are needed as well.[274][275]

In 2022 the European parliament approved a bill aiming to stop the import linked with deforestation. This EU Regulation on Deforestation-free products (EUDR), may cause to Brazil, for example, to stop deforestation for agricultural production and begun to "increase productivity on existing agricultural land".[276] The legislation was adopted with some changes by the European Council in May 2023 and is expected to enter into force several weeks after. The bill requires companies who want to import certain types of products to the European Union to prove the production of those commodities is not linked to areas deforested after 31 of December 2020. It prohibits also import of products linked with Human rights abuse. The list of products includes: palm oil, cattle, wood, coffee, cocoa, rubber and soy. Some derivatives of those products are also included: chocolate, furniture, printed paper and several palm oil based derivates.[277][278]

But unfortunately, as the report Bankrolling ecosystem destruction shows,[279] this regulation of product imports is not enough. The European financial sector is investing billions of euros in the destruction of nature. Banks do not respond positively to requests to stop this, which is why the report calls for European regulation in this area to be tightened and for banks to be banned from continuing to finance deforestation.[280]

International pledges

[edit]

In 2014, about 40 countries signed the New York Declaration on Forests, a voluntary pledge to halve deforestation by 2020 and end it by 2030. The agreement was not legally binding, however, and some key countries, such as Brazil, China, and Russia, did not sign onto it. As a result, the effort failed, and deforestation increased from 2014 to 2020.[281][282]

In November 2021, 141 countries (with around 85% of the world's primary tropical forests and 90% of global tree cover) agreed at the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow to the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration on Forests and Land Use, a pledge to end and reverse deforestation by 2030.[282][283][284] The agreement was accompanied by about $19.2 billion in associated funding commitments.[283]

The 2021 Glasgow agreement improved on the New York Declaration by now including Brazil and many other countries that did not sign the 2014 agreement.[282][283] Some key nations with high rates of deforestation (including Malaysia, Cambodia, Laos, Paraguay, and Myanmar) have not signed the Glasgow Declaration.[283] Like the earlier agreement, the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration was entered into outside the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and is thus not legally binding.[283]

In November 2021, the EU executive outlined a draft law requiring companies to prove that the agricultural commodities beef, wood, palm oil, soy, coffee and cocoa destined for the EU's 450 million consumers were not linked to deforestation.[285] In September 2022, the EU Parliament supported and strengthened the plan from the EU's executive with 453 votes to 57.[286]

In 2018 the biggest palm oil trader, Wilmar, decided to control its suppliers to avoid deforestation[287][additional citation(s) needed]

In 2021, over 100 world leaders, representing countries containing more than 85% of the world's forests, committed to halt and reverse deforestation and land degradation by 2030.[288]

Land rights

[edit]
Transferring land rights to indigenous inhabitants is argued to efficiently conserve forests.

Indigenous communities have long been the frontline of resistance against deforestation.[289] Transferring rights over land from public domain to its indigenous inhabitants is argued to be a cost-effective strategy to conserve forests.[290] This includes the protection of such rights entitled in existing laws, such as India's Forest Rights Act.[290] The transferring of such rights in China, perhaps the largest land reform in modern times, has been argued to have increased forest cover.[291] In Brazil, forested areas given tenure to indigenous groups have even lower rates of clearing than national parks.[291]

Community concessions in the Congolian rainforests have significantly less deforestation as communities are incentivized to manage the land sustainably, even reducing poverty.[292]

Forest management

[edit]

In areas where "slash-and-burn" is practiced, switching to "slash-and-char" would prevent the rapid deforestation and subsequent degradation of soils. The biochar thus created, given back to the soil, is not only a durable carbon sequestration method, but it also is an extremely beneficial amendment to the soil. Mixed with biomass it brings the creation of terra preta, one of the richest soils on the planet and the only one known to regenerate itself.

Bamboo is advocated as a more sustainable alternative for cutting down wood for fuel.[293]

Certification, as provided by global certification systems such as Programme for the Endorsement of Forest Certification and Forest Stewardship Council, contributes to tackling deforestation by creating market demand for timber from sustainably managed forests. According to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), "A major condition for the adoption of sustainable forest management is a demand for products that are produced sustainably and consumer willingness to pay for the higher costs entailed. [...] By promoting the positive attributes of forest products from sustainably managed forests, certification focuses on the demand side of environmental conservation."[294]

Financial compensations for reducing emissions from deforestation

[edit]

Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) in developing countries has emerged as a new potential to complement ongoing climate policies. The idea consists in providing financial compensations for the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from deforestation and forest degradation".[295] REDD can be seen as an alternative to the emissions trading system as in the latter, polluters must pay for permits for the right to emit certain pollutants (i.e. CO2).

Main international organizations including the United Nations and the World Bank, have begun to develop programs aimed at curbing deforestation. The blanket term Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) describes these sorts of programs, which use direct monetary or other incentives to encourage developing countries to limit and/or roll back deforestation. Funding has been an issue, but at the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Conference of the Parties-15 (COP-15) in Copenhagen in December 2009, an accord was reached with a collective commitment by developed countries for new and additional resources, including forestry and investments through international institutions, that will approach US$30 billion for the period 2010–2012.[296]

Significant work is underway on tools for use in monitoring developing countries' adherence to their agreed REDD targets. These tools, which rely on remote forest monitoring using satellite imagery and other data sources, include the Center for Global Development's FORMA (Forest Monitoring for Action) initiative[297] and the Group on Earth Observations' Forest Carbon Tracking Portal.[298] Methodological guidance for forest monitoring was also emphasized at COP-15.[299] The environmental organization Avoided Deforestation Partners leads the campaign for development of REDD through funding from the U.S. government.[300]

History

[edit]

Prehistory

[edit]

The Carboniferous Rainforest Collapse[219] was an event that occurred 300 million years ago. Climate change devastated tropical rainforests causing the extinction of many plant and animal species. The change was abrupt, specifically, at this time climate became cooler and drier, conditions that are not favorable to the growth of rainforests and much of the biodiversity within them. Rainforests were fragmented forming shrinking 'islands' further and further apart. Populations such as the sub class Lissamphibia were devastated, whereas Reptilia survived the collapse. The surviving organisms were better adapted to the drier environment left behind and served as legacies in succession after the collapse.[citation needed]

An array of Neolithic artifacts, including bracelets, ax heads, chisels, and polishing tools.

Rainforests once covered 14% of the earth's land surface; now they cover a mere 6% and experts estimate that the last remaining rainforests could be consumed in less than 40 years.[301] Small scale deforestation was practiced by some societies for tens of thousands of years before the beginnings of civilization.[302] The first evidence of deforestation appears in the Mesolithic period.[303] It was probably used to convert closed forests into more open ecosystems favourable to game animals.[302] With the advent of agriculture, larger areas began to be deforested, and fire became the prime tool to clear land for crops. In Europe there is little solid evidence before 7000 BC. Mesolithic foragers used fire to create openings for red deer and wild boar. In Great Britain, shade-tolerant species such as oak and ash are replaced in the pollen record by hazels, brambles, grasses and nettles. Removal of the forests led to decreased transpiration, resulting in the formation of upland peat bogs. Widespread decrease in elm pollen across Europe between 8400 and 8300 BC and 7200–7000 BC, starting in southern Europe and gradually moving north to Great Britain, may represent land clearing by fire at the onset of Neolithic agriculture.

The Neolithic period saw extensive deforestation for farming land.[304][305] Stone axes were being made from about 3000 BC not just from flint, but from a wide variety of hard rocks from across Britain and North America as well. They include the noted Langdale axe industry in the English Lake District, quarries developed at Penmaenmawr in North Wales and numerous other locations. Rough-outs were made locally near the quarries, and some were polished locally to give a fine finish. This step not only increased the mechanical strength of the axe, but also made penetration of wood easier. Flint was still used from sources such as Grimes Graves but from many other mines across Europe.

Evidence of deforestation has been found in Minoan Crete; for example the environs of the Palace of Knossos were severely deforested in the Bronze Age.[306]

Pre-industrial history

[edit]
Easter Island, deforested.

Just as archaeologists have shown that prehistoric farming societies had to cut or burn forests before planting, documents and artifacts from early civilizations often reveal histories of deforestation. Some of the most dramatic are eighth century BCE Assyrian reliefs depicting logs being floated downstream from conquered areas to the less forested capital region as spoils of war. Ancient Chinese texts make clear that some areas of the Yellow River valley had already destroyed many of their forests over 2000 years ago and had to plant trees as crops or import them from long distances.[307] In South China much of the land came to be privately owned and used for the commercial growing of timber.[308]

Three regional studies of historic erosion and alluviation in ancient Greece found that, wherever adequate evidence exists, a major phase of erosion follows the introduction of farming in the various regions of Greece by about 500–1,000 years, ranging from the later Neolithic to the Early Bronze Age.[309] The thousand years following the mid-first millennium BC saw serious, intermittent pulses of soil erosion in numerous places. The historic silting of ports along the southern coasts of Asia Minor (e.g. Clarus, and the examples of Ephesus, Priene and Miletus, where harbors had to be abandoned because of the silt deposited by the Meander) and in coastal Syria during the last centuries BC.[310][311]

Easter Island has suffered from heavy soil erosion in recent centuries, aggravated by agriculture and deforestation.[312] The disappearance of the island's trees seems to coincide with a decline of its civilization around the 17th and 18th century. Scholars have attributed the collapse to deforestation and over-exploitation of all resources.[313][314]

The famous silting up of the harbor for Bruges, which moved port commerce to Antwerp, also followed a period of increased settlement growth (and apparently of deforestation) in the upper river basins. In early medieval Riez in upper Provence, alluvial silt from two small rivers raised the riverbeds and widened the floodplain, which slowly buried the Roman settlement in alluvium and gradually moved new construction to higher ground; concurrently the headwater valleys above Riez were being opened to pasturage.[315]

A typical progress trap was that cities were often built in a forested area, which would provide wood for some industry (for example, construction, shipbuilding, pottery). When deforestation occurs without proper replanting, however; local wood supplies become difficult to obtain near enough to remain competitive, leading to the city's abandonment, as happened repeatedly in Ancient Asia Minor. Because of fuel needs, mining and metallurgy often led to deforestation and city abandonment.[316]

Slaves clearing the Atlantic Forest in Brazil, c. 1820–1825

With most of the population remaining active in (or indirectly dependent on) the agricultural sector, the main pressure in most areas remained land clearing for crop and cattle farming. Enough wild green was usually left standing (and partially used, for example, to collect firewood, timber and fruits, or to graze pigs) for wildlife to remain viable. The elite's (nobility and higher clergy) protection of their own hunting privileges and game often protected significant woodland.[citation needed]

Major parts in the spread (and thus more durable growth) of the population were played by monastical 'pioneering' (especially by the Benedictine and Commercial orders) and some feudal lords' recruiting farmers to settle (and become tax payers) by offering relatively good legal and fiscal conditions. Even when speculators sought to encourage towns, settlers needed an agricultural belt around or sometimes within defensive walls. When populations were quickly decreased by causes such as the Black Death, the colonization of the Americas,[317] or devastating warfare (for example, Genghis Khan's Mongol hordes in eastern and central Europe, Thirty Years' War in Germany), this could lead to settlements being abandoned. The land was reclaimed by nature, but the secondary forests usually lacked the original biodiversity. The Mongol invasions and conquests alone resulted in the reduction of 700 million tons of carbon from the atmosphere by enabling the re-growth of carbon-absorbing forests on depopulated lands over a significant period of time.[318][319]

Deforestation in Suriname c. 1880–1900

From 1100 to 1500 AD, significant deforestation took place in Western Europe as a result of the expanding human population.[320] The large-scale building of wooden sailing ships by European (coastal) naval owners since the 15th century for exploration, colonisation, slave trade, and other trade on the high seas, consumed many forest resources and became responsible for the introduction of numerous bubonic plague outbreaks in the 14th century. Piracy also contributed to the over harvesting of forests, as in Spain. This led to a weakening of the domestic economy after Columbus' discovery of America, as the economy became dependent on colonial activities (plundering, mining, cattle, plantations, trade, etc.)[citation needed]

The massive use of charcoal on an industrial scale in Early Modern Europe was a new type of consumption of western forests.[321] Each of Nelson's Royal Navy war ships at Trafalgar (1805) required 6,000 mature oaks for its construction.[citation needed] In France, Colbert planted oak forests to supply the French navy in the future. When the oak plantations matured in the mid-19th century, the masts were no longer required because shipping had changed.[322]

Efforts to stop or slow deforestation have been attempted for many centuries because it has long been known that deforestation can cause environmental damage sufficient in some cases to cause societies to collapse. In Tonga, paramount rulers developed policies designed to prevent conflicts between short-term gains from converting forest to farmland and long-term problems forest loss would cause,[323] while during the 17th and 18th centuries in Tokugawa, Japan,[324] the shōguns developed a highly sophisticated system of long-term planning to stop and even reverse deforestation of the preceding centuries through substituting timber by other products and more efficient use of land that had been farmed for many centuries.

In 16th-century Germany, landowners also developed silviculture to deal with the problem of deforestation. However, these policies tend to be limited to environments with good rainfall, no dry season and very young soils (through volcanism or glaciation). This is because on older and less fertile soils trees grow too slowly for silviculture to be economic, whilst in areas with a strong dry season there is always a risk of forest fires destroying a tree crop before it matures.

19th and 20th centuries

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Deforestation in Burma (now Myanmar) circa 1920, during the British colonial era

Steamboats

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In the 19th century, the introduction of steamboats in the United States was the cause of deforestation of banks of major rivers, such as the Mississippi River, with increased and more severe flooding one of the environmental results. The steamboat crews cut wood daily from the riverbanks to fuel the steam engines. Between St. Louis and the confluence with the Ohio River to the south, the Mississippi became broader and shallower and changed its channel laterally. Attempts to improve navigation by the use of snag pullers often resulted in crews' clearing large trees 100 to 200 feet (61 m) back from the banks. Several French colonial towns of the Illinois Country, such as Kaskaskia, Cahokia and St. Philippe, Illinois, were flooded and abandoned in the late 19th century, with a loss to the cultural record of their archeology.[325]

Society and culture

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Different cultures of different places in the world have different interpretations of the actions of the cutting down of trees. For example, in Meitei mythology and Meitei folklore of Manipur (India), deforestation is mentioned as one of the reasons to make mother nature weep and mourn for the death of her precious children.[326][327][328]

See also

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References

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
Deforestation is the purposeful clearing and permanent conversion of forested land to non-forest uses, such as , grazing, or settlements, primarily driven by human economic activities. Globally, this process has resulted in the loss of approximately 420 million hectares of forest since 1990, with an average annual net forest loss of around 10.9 million hectares over the past decade, though rates have declined from higher levels in the 1990s. accounts for 70-80% of tropical deforestation, fueled by demand for commodities like beef, soy, , and timber, while other drivers include logging, infrastructure expansion, and mining, varying by region such as cattle ranching in Latin America and palm plantations in Southeast Asia. These activities release stored carbon, contributing to about 10-15% of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, exacerbate loss by fragmenting habitats, and disrupt local hydrological cycles and soil stability. Despite international efforts like REDD+ and national policies, enforcement challenges and competing land-use priorities persist, with some regions showing reforestation gains offsetting losses elsewhere but primary tropical forests continuing to decline.

Definition and Measurement

Core Definition and Scope

Deforestation refers to the conversion of to non-forest uses, such as , settlements, or other covers, or the long-term reduction of canopy cover below the 10 percent threshold. This process may occur through human activities or natural events, though anthropogenic drivers predominate globally. , as defined by the (FAO), span at least 0.5 hectares with tree canopy cover exceeding 10 percent and potential tree height over 5 meters at maturity. The scope of deforestation encompasses permanent or long-term loss across all forest types, including tropical rainforests, boreal, temperate, and subtropical woodlands, though tropical regions bear the heaviest burden due to commercial agriculture and . Between 2015 and 2025, global deforestation averaged 10.9 million hectares annually, a decline from 17.6 million hectares per year in the , reflecting partial successes in conservation amid persistent pressures. Net forest area loss, which subtracts and natural expansion, stood at 4.12 million hectares yearly over the same period, indicating offsetting gains in some regions like and . Deforestation differs from , which involves structural deterioration—such as reduced , carbon stocks, or —without full conversion to non-forest land, often from selective or fires that allow potential recovery. Degradation affects canopy temporarily or partially above the 10 percent threshold, whereas deforestation implies irreversible land-use change. Quantifying scope requires and ground surveys to detect canopy thresholds and land-use shifts, with challenges in distinguishing temporary disturbances from permanent loss. Deforestation refers to the permanent conversion of areas to non-forest land uses, such as , pasture, or urban development, resulting in the complete removal of tree cover and the loss of structure. This contrasts with , which involves a gradual or partial reduction in a forest's biological productivity, , or capacity to provide services—such as , support, or timber—while the area retains its classification as forest. For instance, selective or damage that thins canopy density without full clearance exemplifies degradation, preserving some forest attributes unlike the irreversible land-use shift in deforestation. Desertification, by comparison, denotes the degradation of land in arid, semi-arid, or dry sub-humid regions, leading to diminished productivity and vegetation cover, often culminating in desert-like conditions irrespective of prior forest presence. While deforestation can accelerate by exposing to and altering local —particularly in tropical margins—the processes differ fundamentally: emphasizes sustained loss of land potential in water-scarce environments due to factors like or , whereas deforestation targets forested biomes and prioritizes conversion for economic gain. Empirical assessments, such as those from the UN Convention to Combat , highlight that only a subset of deforested areas transitions to desertified states, underscoring their non-equivalence. Habitat fragmentation, another related phenomenon, arises from the subdivision of continuous into isolated patches, often as a byproduct of partial deforestation via like roads or selective clearing, which increases and disrupts corridors without necessitating total forest removal. In contrast, deforestation entails wholesale clearance and conversion, amplifying fragmentation but extending beyond it to eliminate outright; studies indicate fragmentation alone can reduce by 13-75% through altered nutrient cycles and isolation, yet it coexists with viable forest remnants, unlike the terminal replacement in deforestation. Broader land conversion encompasses deforestation as one mechanism but includes non-forested transformations, such as to cropland, lacking the specific biogenic and climatic feedbacks tied to tree loss.

Methods and Data Challenges

via constitutes the primary method for global deforestation monitoring, employing optical sensors such as Landsat and MODIS to detect changes in vegetation cover through time-series analysis of canopy reflectance and loss thresholds. Algorithms identify deforestation by quantifying abrupt reductions in tree cover, often calibrated against data from field plots, with resolutions typically ranging from 30 meters for Landsat to coarser scales for broader coverage. national forest inventories supplement this by providing plot-level measurements of and species composition, though they are labor-intensive and limited in spatial coverage, particularly in remote tropical regions. The Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Global Forest Resources Assessment (FRA), conducted quinquennially, integrates country-submitted data with FAO-coordinated to estimate net forest area changes, defining forests as land spanning more than 0.5 hectares with trees higher than 5 meters and canopy cover exceeding 10 percent. This hybrid approach yields comprehensive global estimates, such as the FRA 2020 reporting a net annual loss of 4.7 million hectares between 2010 and 2020, but relies heavily on self-reported national figures, which introduce variability due to differing methodologies and potential underreporting in politically sensitive contexts. Independent platforms like Global Forest Watch utilize Hansen Global Forest Change data, focusing on tree cover loss exceeding 30 percent canopy density, enabling near-real-time alerts but diverging from FRA figures by emphasizing gross loss over net change. Data challenges persist across methods, including definitional inconsistencies—such as distinguishing selective logging-induced degradation from outright deforestation—which complicates aggregation, as degradation affects carbon stocks without fully clearing land and is harder to quantify, often requiring costly high-resolution imagery or . Optical suffers from persistent in humid , obscuring up to 50 percent of imagery in regions like the Amazon, necessitating (SAR) integration, though SAR demands advanced processing to interpret signals accurately. Resolution limitations hinder detection of small-scale or fragmented clearing, leading to underestimation in heterogeneous landscapes, while validation against independent datasets reveals accuracies varying from 80-95 percent in open forests to below 70 percent in dense canopies. Further issues arise from nonclassical measurement errors, where detection accuracy correlates with socioeconomic factors and types, with tropical datasets often overestimating forest extent due to conflation with tree plantations or . Country-level reporting in FRA can exhibit biases, as nations with high deforestation incentives may minimize figures to evade scrutiny under frameworks like REDD+, though FAO's cross-checks mitigate but do not eliminate this. Long-term trend reliability remains elusive, with discrepancies between records and models highlighting uncertainties in baselines, estimated at 20-50 percent for emissions from degradation. These limitations underscore the need for standardized protocols and multi-source fusion to enhance precision, as evidenced by efforts fusing Landsat with SAR yielding improved tropical mapping accuracies above 90 percent in tested areas.

Historical Development

Prehistoric and Ancient Patterns

Prehistoric human impacts on forests were initially limited, primarily through the use of fire by hunter-gatherers for hunting and habitat modification, but these activities affected vegetation on a local scale without widespread deforestation. The transition to agriculture during the Neolithic Revolution, beginning around 10,000 BCE in the Fertile Crescent, marked the onset of systematic forest clearance for crop cultivation and settlement. Pollen records from archaeological sites and sediment cores provide evidence of this shift, showing declines in tree pollen and increases in herbaceous taxa indicative of opened landscapes. In the Near East, one of the earliest instances of major anthropogenic deforestation occurred in the Ghab Valley of Syria around 9000 radiocarbon years before present (approximately 7000 BCE), associated with Pre-Pottery Neolithic B communities clearing forests for early farming. This pattern extended to Mesopotamia, where agriculture led to woodland removal for irrigation-based cereal production, contributing to soil erosion and salinization over millennia. In Europe, pollen-based reconstructions indicate that forest cover began declining significantly from about 6000 BCE as Neolithic farmers spread from Anatolia, with quantitative models estimating reductions of up to 20-50% in some regions by the Bronze Age, driven by slash-and-burn practices and livestock grazing. Similar evidence from eastern China reveals deforestation tied to rice agriculture during the mid-Holocene, around 5000-3000 BCE, altering regional vegetation from dense forests to mixed agroecosystems. Ancient Mediterranean civilizations amplified these trends through intensified land use for urban expansion, , and fuel. In , reliance on floodplain minimized direct forest clearance, but procurement of cedar from for monumental construction depleted regional stands by period (circa 2686-2181 BCE). Greek and Roman demands for timber in the classical era (500 BCE-500 CE) further reduced oak and pine s across the Mediterranean basin, with historical accounts and pollen data corroborating widespread degradation that promoted and in areas like . In the , prehistoric deforestation was more localized; for instance, experienced clearance for from around 2000 BCE, but large-scale rather than is debated as a primary driver of landscape change. Overall, these early patterns established causal links between , agricultural intensification, and loss, setting precedents for later environmental transformations.

Expansion Through Industrialization

The Industrial Revolution, beginning in Britain around 1760 and spreading across and by the early , catalyzed a marked expansion in deforestation rates through intensified resource extraction and land conversion. From 1700 to 1850, global forest clearance averaged 19 million hectares per decade, with the majority occurring in temperate zones of and to supply wood for fuel, construction, and burgeoning industries, alongside to support rapidly growing urban populations. This acceleration stemmed from mechanized tools like steam-powered sawmills, which enhanced efficiency, and the demands of early factories for and in iron production, outpacing natural regeneration rates. In , prior deforestation had already reduced forest cover significantly—such as in Britain, where it fell to 4% by the mid-18th century—but industrialization exacerbated pressures through population surges and export-driven economies, prompting further clearing for shipbuilding, railways, and cash crops in colonial peripheries. Industrial demands shifted reliance toward imported timber from , , and overseas territories, effectively exporting deforestation while local policies began favoring in some areas by the late to sustain supplies. Nonetheless, the era's causal dynamics—rooted in fossil fuel transitions that partially displaced yet amplified overall —drove cumulative losses, with European commodity demands fueling global clearing for items like timber and naval stores. North America's experience exemplified this expansion, as U.S. industrialization intertwined with westward settlement and infrastructure booms. Between 1850 and 1900, forest clearance supported a tripling from 23 million to 76 million, with railroads consuming 20-25% of timber output by the late 1800s; track mileage surged from 3,000 miles in to 240,000 by , necessitating over 2,500 crossties per mile replaced every 5-7 years and clearing over 15 million acres cumulatively for tie production alone. Iron smelting, reliant on , denuded another 5-6 million acres during the century, as vast eastern white pine and stands were logged to fuel locomotives, urban expansion, and export markets tied to European industrial needs. These activities converted temperate forests at scales that foreshadowed later tropical shifts, underscoring industrialization's role in prioritizing short-term economic gains over ecological .

Modern Acceleration and Shifts

Deforestation rates accelerated significantly during the , marking a departure from slower historical losses associated with early . This modern surge, particularly post-World War II, stemmed from explosive , intensified commercial , and expanded timber harvesting to meet industrial demands. Global forest cover, which had already declined substantially over millennia, experienced a stepwise escalation in loss, with annual rates rising to levels unseen in prior eras. By mid-century, tropical regions supplanted temperate zones as primary sites of depletion, reflecting shifts in and economic priorities toward developing economies. The acceleration peaked in the , after which global net forest loss began to moderate, though gross deforestation persisted at high volumes. Data from the (FAO) indicate that annual net forest area loss averaged 7.8 million hectares in the 1990s, dropping to 5.2 million hectares in the and 4.7 million hectares in the . This slowdown coincided with policy interventions, such as designations and international agreements, alongside natural regeneration and planted forests offsetting some losses in higher-latitude regions. However, primary clearance continued unabated in hotspots, underscoring uneven progress. Geographic and sectoral shifts further characterized this era, with temperate forest gains in and —through reforestation and abandoned farmland reversion—contrasting starkly with tropical net declines exceeding 90% of global totals from 1990 to 2020. In and , conversion to cash crops like soybeans and oil palm drove much of the change, replacing diverse ecosystems with monocultures. Africa's forests faced accelerating losses from subsistence farming and fuelwood extraction, while exhibited mixed trends, including rapid declines in offset by China's afforestation campaigns. These patterns highlight a latitudinal migration of pressure southward, tied to globalization and demographic booms in the Global South.

Causal Drivers

Direct Human Activities

Direct human activities constitute the immediate causes of deforestation, encompassing the deliberate removal of for resource extraction and land conversion. Agriculture emerges as the predominant driver, responsible for approximately three-quarters of global forest loss, with 90-99% of tropical deforestation linked directly or indirectly to . This includes both commercial large-scale operations and smallholder subsistence farming, though commercial agriculture accounts for around 40% of tropical deforestation, often for commodities such as soy, , and pasture. Between 2001 and 2015, conversion to pasture alone resulted in an estimated 45.1 million hectares of deforestation globally, predominantly in . Commercial , involving selective felling or clear-cutting for timber, contributes a smaller but notable share, facilitating further deforestation through networks that enable agricultural encroachment. While precise global rates vary, concessions in regions like the of Congo show mixed impacts on overall loss, with comprising up to 30% of the global timber trade and exacerbating degradation. In tropical areas, often precedes agricultural conversion, amplifying cumulative effects. Mining activities, including both industrial and artisanal operations, rank as the fourth leading direct driver, involving clearance for open pits, access roads, and settlements, with indirect effects like fragmentation extending impacts beyond immediate sites. A assessment indicates mining-related deforestation affects critical rainforests, with potential to influence up to one-third of global forest ecosystems as demand for metals rises. development, such as roads, dams, and urban expansion, similarly drives direct loss while providing pathways for secondary activities; linear infrastructure like roads is a key enabler of broader deforestation in tropical regions.

Underlying Socioeconomic Factors

Deforestation arises from underlying socioeconomic pressures that incentivize forest conversion for economic gain, particularly through to meet global commodity demands. Commercial , including ranching for and cultivation of soy and , drives approximately 80% of tropical deforestation, as producers respond to market signals from . Between 2001 and 2015, these commodities—, soy, , and others—accounted for 58% of agricultural deforestation worldwide, with production oriented toward export markets in high-income countries. High-income nations, through consumption of these goods, bear responsibility for 14% of global imported deforestation since 2000, embedding deforestation in supply chains that prioritize cost efficiency over forest preservation. Poverty in rural areas amplifies these dynamics, as low-income households clear forests for subsistence farming and fuelwood to meet immediate survival needs, elevating deforestation rates in regions with high poverty incidence. Studies across tropical regions show that higher levels correlate with increased forest clearing, independent of other factors like location-specific characteristics, though reductions in poverty through alternative livelihoods have demonstrated potential to sustainably lower deforestation rates. compounds this pressure, with empirical analyses indicating that a 10% rise in population growth rate leads to a comparable increase in deforestation, particularly in agrarian societies dependent on land expansion for . Institutional and policy shortcomings, such as insecure and inadequate enforcement of property rights, further enable opportunistic deforestation by reducing the perceived risks and costs of conversion. Economic disruptions like financial crises exacerbate forest loss, as declining incomes push reliance on forest resources or accelerate commodity production for quick returns, with global analyses linking such events to spikes in clearing rates. In former colonies, historical legacies of unequal land distribution persist, intertwining with modern GDP growth pressures to sustain deforestation where favors short-term agricultural rents over long-term forest values.

Natural and Exogenous Influences

Natural disturbances, including wildfires, insect infestations, diseases, and events, contribute to loss by damaging or killing trees, but they typically result in temporary rather than permanent conversion to non-forest land, allowing for natural regeneration in many ecosystems. Globally, such disturbances account for a minor share of overall tree cover loss, with non-fire natural events like pests, droughts, and floods comprising only 1.4% of losses from 2001 to 2024, while wildfires form a larger but still secondary component of temporary losses. In contrast to anthropogenic deforestation, which drives 34% of permanent land-use change (177 million hectares over the same period), natural factors rarely lead to sustained elimination unless compounded by other pressures. These processes are often integral to dynamics, promoting and renewal by clearing deadwood and facilitating succession. ![Area of forest damage due to fire, global data from 2002 onward]center Wildfires represent one of the most prominent natural drivers, affecting approximately 67 million hectares of forest annually between 2003 and 2012, primarily in boreal and tropical regions like and . In fire-adapted ecosystems such as boreal forests, these events release nutrients and stimulate regrowth, though intensified droughts linked to climatic variability can hinder recovery and elevate severity, as seen in the 2023 global fire season where disturbances reached unprecedented levels, comprising 42% of total forest area affected that year. However, the net contribution to permanent deforestation remains low, with most burned areas regenerating within decades absent human intervention. Insect outbreaks and diseases also inflict substantial damage, with pests alone impacting over 85 million hectares globally from 2003 to 2012, concentrated in temperate , while diseases affected about 12.5 million hectares, mainly in and . Outbreaks, such as the mountain pine beetle epidemic in western , have killed trees across tens of millions of hectares since the , exacerbated by warmer temperatures reducing winter die-off, yet these events often thin overcrowded stands and enhance for dependent on deadwood, leading to eventual forest composition shifts rather than outright loss. Fungal pathogens and other diseases similarly target weakened trees, contributing to localized mortality but supporting long-term through selective pressure. Extreme weather events, including hurricanes, floods, droughts, and volcanic eruptions, constitute another exogenous influence, affecting over 38 million hectares from alone during 2003–2012. Hurricanes, for instance, can uproot vast swaths in coastal forests, as did in in 2017, damaging 75% of tree cover across 42,000 square kilometers but enabling rapid regrowth. Volcanic activity, though rare, causes permanent burial or sterilization, exemplified by the 1980 eruption that devastated 44,000 hectares of forest through pyroclastic flows and ashfall, with recovery spanning centuries in severely impacted zones. Droughts amplify vulnerability to other disturbances, indirectly boosting loss rates, yet their isolated role in global permanent deforestation is negligible compared to human land conversion.

Global Rates and Temporal Patterns

Global forest area stood at approximately 4.06 billion hectares in 2020, covering 31 percent of the world's land surface. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Global Forest Resources Assessment (FRA) 2020, the net annual loss of forest area decreased from 7.8 million hectares per year during 1990–2000 to 4.7 million hectares per year during 2010–2020. This net change reflects the balance between deforestation, defined as the conversion of forests to other land uses, and forest expansion through and natural regrowth. Gross deforestation rates, which measure the total area of converted without accounting for gains, were estimated at 10 million hectares annually for the 2015–2020 period, down from 12 million hectares annually in 2010–2015. Between 1990 and 2020, a total of 420 million hectares of were deforested globally. The FRA 2025 reports that over 2015–2025, losses totaled 10.9 million hectares annually, offset by 6.8 million hectares of growth, resulting in a net annual loss of about 4.1 million hectares. Temporal patterns indicate a slowing of net forest loss since the , driven primarily by increased plantation establishment and natural expansion in regions like , , and parts of , which partially counterbalance ongoing losses in tropical areas. However, primary forest loss in intact, undisturbed ecosystems has shown less consistent decline; data from the indicate that tropical primary forest loss reached 6.7 million hectares in 2024, the highest recorded rate, exacerbated by fires and commodity-driven conversion. Notably, analysis from ESA's RECCAP-2 and Biomass projects shows that small persistent clearings under 2 hectares in tropical humid forests, comprising about 5% of the disturbed area, accounted for 56% of net carbon losses from 1990 to 2020, totaling nearly 16 billion tonnes. Despite global net improvements, gross deforestation persists at scale, with tropical regions accounting for over 90 percent of recent losses.

Regional and Country-Specific Data

Deforestation rates vary markedly by region and country, with tropical areas in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia experiencing the highest gross losses of primary forests, while temperate and boreal regions in Europe and parts of Asia show net gains through afforestation and natural regeneration. The FAO's Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025 reports a global net forest area loss of 4.12 million hectares per year from 2015 to 2025, reflecting a slowdown from prior decades, but gross deforestation persists at 10.9 million hectares annually in the same period. Tropical primary forest loss reached a record 6.7 million hectares in 2024, driven primarily by wildfires rather than direct clearing. In Latin America, Brazil dominates tropical primary forest loss, accounting for a substantial portion of regional declines, though rates fell 36% in 2023 compared to 2022 due to enhanced enforcement under federal policies. The Democratic Republic of Congo in Africa and Bolivia in South America followed Brazil in 2023 rankings for primary forest loss, with fires exacerbating losses in Bolivia where they caused nearly 60% of tree cover decline in 2024. Indonesia in Southeast Asia sustains high losses linked to commodity production, contributing to roughly half of global tropical deforestation alongside Brazil based on satellite data from 2001 onward. Africa saw a decrease in deforestation emissions from 2016–2020 to 2021–2025, but countries like the DRC exhibit rising trends in primary forest conversion. Net forest gains offset some losses in certain nations. achieved the world's highest annual net increase of 1.69 million hectares from 2015 to 2025 via state-driven plantation programs, while added 191,000 hectares per year, ranking third globally. as a gained 6 million hectares of cover by 2020, with many countries showing positive net changes from efforts. These gains, however, often involve plantations rather than restoration of old-growth ecosystems, altering the ecological equivalence to lost natural forests.
Top Countries for Tropical Primary Forest Loss (2023)Region
Democratic Republic of Congo
Leading Countries for Net Forest Gain (2015–2025, Mha/year)Annual Gain
1.69
0.191

Recent Anomalies and Influences

Global deforestation rates exhibited a notable slowdown in the 2015–2025 period, averaging 10.9 million hectares annually, compared to 17.6 million hectares per year in the 1990–2000 decade, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization's Global Forest Resources Assessment. This deceleration represents an anomaly relative to historical acceleration, attributed partly to expanded in temperate regions offsetting tropical losses, though net forest area continued to decline due to persistent conversion for and urban expansion. In , deforestation in the Amazon surged during Jair Bolsonaro's presidency (2019–2022), reaching the highest levels in over a with a 60% increase from prior baselines, driven by weakened environmental enforcement, expanded incentives, and . Rates subsequently declined under Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's administration starting in 2023, with a 33.6% drop in the first six months, a 34% reduction in the initial year, and a 30.6% decrease in compared to 2023—the lowest in nine years—linked to reinstated satellite monitoring, fines, and international pressure. A temporary uptick occurred in , with 666 square kilometers cleared (33% higher than July 2023), highlighting volatility from seasonal fires and commodity demands. The introduced mixed influences, with reduced government presence enabling opportunistic illegal clearing in the Brazilian Amazon, where it accounted for one-third of the 2020 deforestation spike via a 10% rise in cases correlating to heightened activity. Globally, enforcement lapses did not uniformly accelerate trends; some areas saw temporary slowdowns from economic disruptions, while others like maintained prior trajectories. Contrasting tropical anomalies, achieved net forest gains through aggressive , expanding coverage toward a 24.1% national target by via programs like the Great Green Wall, sequestering approximately 7 billion tons of CO₂ over four decades and restoring over 77 million hectares since 2012. These efforts, emphasizing natural regeneration alongside plantings, mitigated but faced critiques for lower efficiency on marginal lands compared to native ecosystems. Similarly, and parts of reported afforestation-driven increases, contributing to global net change variations. Elevated activity emerged as an exogenous influence, with over 102 million hectares burned globally by June 2025—half in —exacerbating tree cover loss beyond direct human clearing, particularly in boreal and tropical fringes amid drier conditions. These events, while not always classified as deforestation, distorted annual metrics and underscored interactions between variability and .

Environmental Effects

Climate and Atmospheric Dynamics

Deforestation alters climate and atmospheric dynamics through both biogeochemical and biophysical mechanisms. Biogeochemically, it releases stored (CO2) from and soils, contributing approximately 10-15% of annual anthropogenic , with tropical deforestation alone responsible for reducing intact forest carbon stocks by 149 petagrams (Pg) of carbon since the 1990s while offsetting some sequestration by remaining forests. This emission pathway enhances atmospheric CO2 concentrations, amplifying and global warming, as evidenced by net positive forcing from large-scale tropical land conversion estimated at 1.6 milliwatts per square meter (mW m⁻²). Biophysical effects, independent of CO2, further modify surface energy balance and ; in tropical regions, these dominate, leading to net warming despite partial offsets. Biophysical impacts include reduced (ET), which diminishes flux and atmospheric moisture recycling, thereby suppressing cloud formation and . Forests, particularly in , sustain high ET rates that contribute up to 40% of regional rainfall through vapor transport, fostering low-level clouds that enhance planetary and cooling; deforestation disrupts this "biotic pump," shortening wet seasons and intensifying dry periods, as observed in Amazonian simulations where cleared areas experience 10-20% declines. changes provide a countervailing cooling in deforested , where darker forest canopies (albedo ~0.12) yield to grass or crops (albedo ~0.20), increasing reflected solar radiation by 5-10%, but this effect is outweighed by ET reductions, yielding net surface warming of 1-2°C locally. In boreal zones, however, increases from tree removal dominate, producing net cooling, though global tropical losses tip the aggregate toward warming. These alterations propagate to atmospheric circulation, with widespread deforestation shifting energy balances that influence remote weather patterns, including weakened monsoons and altered jet streams via reduced drag and moisture gradients. Empirical modeling indicates tropical deforestation induces convective enhancement locally but suppresses large-scale circulation, contributing to a net global amplification when combined with CO2 effects, estimated at 0.5-1 W m⁻² for full tropical clearance scenarios. Recent studies underscore that neglecting biophysical feedbacks underestimates warming by 20-50% in , emphasizing causal chains from to hydrological cycles and radiative equilibria.

Biodiversity and Ecosystem Changes

Deforestation drives substantial biodiversity loss by eliminating habitats critical to species survival, particularly in tropical regions where forests harbor over 50% of terrestrial species despite covering only 6-7% of Earth's land surface. Between 1990 and 2020, approximately 420 million hectares of tropical forest were lost, correlating with accelerated declines in endemic species populations. In the Amazon, projections indicate 19-36% of tree species could be lost due to ongoing deforestation, with fragmentation exacerbating functional losses in remaining ecosystems. Habitat fragmentation from deforestation isolates populations, increasing extinction risks through reduced gene flow and heightened vulnerability to stochastic events. Empirical analyses show fragmentation reduces overall biodiversity by 13-75% across ecosystems, while impairing functions such as nutrient cycling and biomass production via edge effects that promote desiccation and invasive species ingress. In highly deforested landscapes, forest fragments exhibit diminished quality, with biodiversity collapse in avian and mammalian communities due to altered microclimates and resource availability. For instance, tropical primary forest loss, which rose 10% from 2021 to 2022, disproportionately affects old-growth areas vital for specialist species, leading to underestimations of biodiversity erosion by up to 60% when assessed at finer scales. Ecosystem changes extend beyond species loss to disrupt services like pollination, seed dispersal, and soil stabilization, with deforestation substituting diverse forests for monocultures that support fewer trophic levels. Soil biodiversity, essential for decomposition and nutrient retention, declines markedly post-deforestation, as native forest conversion to agriculture reduces microbial and faunal diversity by orders of magnitude. This shift weakens resilience to perturbations, evidenced by increased susceptibility to pests and diseases in fragmented systems, where primary producers face competitive disadvantages from altered light and water regimes. Outsourced deforestation tied to high-income consumption accounts for 13.3% of global species range contractions, highlighting causal links between remote economic demands and localized ecosystem degradation. Overall, these alterations compound, fostering simplified ecosystems less capable of maintaining pre-deforestation dynamics.

Soil, Water, and Landscape Alterations

Deforestation exposes soil to erosive forces by removing vegetative cover that stabilizes surfaces and intercepts rainfall, leading to accelerated rates. Studies indicate that deforestation can increase by approximately fivefold compared to forested conditions, resulting in substantial loss and degradation of soil physicochemical properties such as reduced content. In managed ecosystems, the decline in plant cover correlates with heightened , exacerbating loss and diminishing long-term fertility. Globally, projections for the 21st century suggest regional variations, with experiencing an estimated 8% rise in attributable to deforestation and associated expansions. Nutrient losses follow suit, as preferentially removes fine particles rich in , , and ; for instance, conversion of montane evergreen forests to plantations has been documented to deplete soil organic carbon by 37% in the upper 20 cm, equating to 18.56 Mg ha⁻¹. Across multiple sites, average soil organic carbon declines reach 30% post-deforestation, underscoring the causal link between tree removal and nutrient impoverishment. Hydrological alterations arise from deforestation's disruption of infiltration and processes, which reduce retention and elevate . This shift intensifies peak flows and in streams, while promoting sediment-laden discharge that elevates and in water bodies. Increased runoff carries eroded soils, , and pollutants into rivers and reservoirs, degrading through higher loads, nutrient enrichment, and chemical contaminants, often resulting in clogged waterways and diminished aquatic habitats. In watersheds, such changes manifest as altered regimes, with deforestation outweighing impacts on hydrological cycles by disrupting vegetation-soil interactions that regulate partitioning. Bare soils post-clearing exhibit reduced permeability, amplifying risks during rains and contributing to drier conditions via curtailed , which locally suppresses feedback loops. Landscape-scale transformations from deforestation include fragmentation, where continuous forest cover gives way to isolated patches, increasing edge-to-interior ratios and exposing ecosystems to like altered microclimates and ingress. From 2000 to 2020, global forest fragmentation intensified in over half of forested areas, driven by patch shrinkage, proliferation of smaller fragments, and heightened isolation, fundamentally reshaping connectivity and topographic stability. On slopes, root removal compromises cohesion, elevating susceptibility to events such as landslides, as evidenced by observed and features in deforested terrains. These alterations not only fragment corridors but also destabilize landforms, fostering long-term geomorphic changes like incision and gullying that persist beyond immediate clearing.

Debunked Claims and Empirical Nuances

Claims that global deforestation rates are accelerating globally lack empirical support from comprehensive assessments. The Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Global Forest Resources Assessment indicates that the annual net forest area loss declined from 10.7 million hectares in the to approximately 5 million hectares per year in the most recent decade, reflecting gains in temperate regions offsetting tropical declines. This slowdown persists across all world regions, with planted forests expanding at rates sufficient to partially counter natural forest losses. A persistent misconception portrays tropical rainforests, particularly the Amazon, as the "lungs of the ," purportedly generating 20% of global oxygen and thus requiring absolute preservation to sustain atmospheric oxygen levels. Scientific analyses refute this, estimating that the Amazon produces only 6-9% of terrestrial photosynthesis-based oxygen, much of which is respired by the itself, with net oxygen contribution near zero due to balanced production and consumption cycles. Oceanic phytoplankton, not forests, account for over 50% of 's oxygen production, underscoring that deforestation's primary impacts lie in carbon storage and rather than oxygen supply. Empirical nuances reveal distinctions often blurred in public discourse, such as between permanent deforestation and temporary tree cover loss from or cyclones. Global Forest Watch data attributes about 38% of reported forest loss to , much of which allows natural regeneration without land-use conversion, inflating perceptions of irreversible . Historical comparisons further contextualize current trends: global deforestation peaked in the at rates exceeding those of recent decades, with and having lost over 90% of their original forests centuries prior through that supported without equivalent modern outcry. These patterns highlight that while tropical primary forest loss remains concerning—totaling 4.1 million hectares annually from 2010-2020— in and has yielded net tree cover gains in aggregate metrics, complicating blanket narratives of unrelenting planetary decline.

Human and Economic Implications

Developmental Benefits and Trade-offs

Deforestation facilitates in many tropical countries by converting forest land into agricultural fields, pastures, and , enabling expanded production of cash crops, , and timber that contribute to national GDP and export revenues. In low-income nations, particularly in , this land conversion exhibits a high elasticity with development indicators, supporting alleviation through job creation in farming and sectors. Timber harvesting provides immediate fiscal inflows, while cleared areas allow for scalable that meets global demand for commodities like soy, , and , often comprising significant shares of export earnings. In Brazil, agricultural expansion on deforested Amazon land underpins the sector's contribution of approximately 5% to national GDP directly, with chains amplifying this to 20-25% when including processing and logistics; states like , a deforestation hotspot, derive over 21% of their GDP from as of 2022. Similarly, in , plantations established on cleared and forest lands generate 3-9% of GDP and 17% in value-added terms, employing millions and reducing by providing stable income sources previously unavailable in subsistence forest economies. These activities have driven regional prosperity, with exports funding infrastructure and social programs in producer provinces. However, these developmental gains entail trade-offs, as reliance on deforestation-driven fosters economic vulnerability to volatility and degradation, which diminishes long-term yields and necessitates further clearing to maintain output. Initial timber revenues and booms often benefit elites or large firms disproportionately, exacerbating inequality rather than broadly distributing prosperity, while forgone forest-based livelihoods—such as non-timber products—can trap communities in boom-bust cycles without diversified investments. Empirical analyses indicate that while short-term GDP uplifts occur, unchecked expansion correlates with reduced services that indirectly support , like water regulation, leading to higher input costs and productivity plateaus over decades. Sustainable intensification on existing lands could mitigate these risks, but failures in many developing contexts perpetuate the pattern of trading enduring capital for transient gains.

Health and Livelihood Risks

![Amazon fires from satellite imagery, illustrating smoke plumes associated with deforestation-related burning][float-right] Deforestation exacerbates health risks through increased exposure to smoke from associated fires, which degrade air quality and contribute to respiratory illnesses. In the Brazilian Amazon, fires linked to deforestation in 2019 led to elevated particulate matter levels, correlating with higher rates of respiratory hospital admissions and exacerbations of conditions such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among local populations. Empirical studies indicate that wildfire smoke, often resulting from forest clearing, elevates the relative risk of respiratory disease hospitalizations by approximately 1.0030 per unit increase in PM2.5 exposure on the day of exposure. Habitat fragmentation from deforestation alters ecological dynamics, facilitating the proliferation of vector-borne diseases like by creating suitable breeding sites for mosquitoes and increasing human-vector contact. A peer-reviewed in the Brazilian Amazon found that a 1% increase in deforestation corresponds to a 6.31% rise in cases, driven by expanded fringes that enhance transmission. Similarly, in Mâncio County, , a 4.3% change in deforestation rates from 1997 to 2000 was associated with a 48% increase in incidence, underscoring the causal link in tropical settings. While some contexts show mixed effects, the preponderance of evidence from longitudinal data supports heightened disease risk in deforested landscapes. Livelihoods of forest-dependent communities face severe threats from deforestation, as billions of people, particularly indigenous groups, rely on forests for , , , and from non-timber products. Approximately 149 million individuals reside within 5 kilometers of emerging forest loss hotspots, exposing them to direct economic displacement and resource scarcity. In regions like , forest-derived constitutes up to 50% of total household earnings, and its erosion through clearing disrupts and cash-generating activities. Deforestation often precipitates the collapse of local economies in rural areas, where communities lose access to traditional lands essential for cultural practices and sustenance, leading to intensification and migration pressures. Indigenous populations in the Amazon, for instance, experience profound livelihood disruptions from habitat loss, compounded by and that infringe on communal territories. These impacts are empirically tied to reduced forest cover, with studies in tropical landscapes revealing diminished metrics, including and income stability, in deforested versus intact areas.

Broader Economic and Agricultural Outcomes

accounts for 70-90% of tropical deforestation, primarily through conversion to cropland and for commodities such as soy, , and . This expansion has driven short-term economic gains, including increased export revenues and contributions to national GDP; for instance, in , the sector—which has benefited from Amazon clearing—accounted for 5.5% of GDP in 2024, with soy and beef exports generating billions annually. In , production on deforested land supports livelihoods for millions and forms a key export pillar, though much occurs via smallholder and commercial plantations replacing forests. The timber industry also yields significant revenue from deforestation, with global forestry product exports valued at approximately $250 billion annually as of recent estimates, providing jobs in and processing while funding in forest-adjacent regions. However, —often comprising over 70% of timber in some areas—undermines these gains by evading taxes and distorting markets, leading to net revenue losses estimated at $51-152 billion yearly worldwide. Long-term agricultural outcomes reveal due to soil degradation; post-deforestation, soils experience accelerated , nutrient depletion, and reduced organic carbon, resulting in yield declines that necessitate higher inputs or further land clearing to maintain production. Studies in tropical regions indicate that cleared lands become less productive within decades, fostering a cycle where initial GDP boosts from expansion give way to economic busts, as seen in historical patterns where deforested areas fail to sustain without ongoing degradation. Broader economic trade-offs include foregone sustainable revenues from intact forests, such as or non-timber products, alongside increased vulnerability to market fluctuations in commodities tied to cleared land; analyses suggest that halting deforestation could still support agricultural GDP growth through intensification rather than expansion, avoiding $4,000 per in losses from illegal or unsustainable practices. This underscores a causal link where deforestation prioritizes extractive gains over resilient, soil-preserving systems that could yield steadier long-term prosperity.

Responses and Interventions

Policy Frameworks and Governance

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) provides the primary international framework for addressing deforestation through the Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) mechanism, which incentivizes developing countries to reduce emissions from forests via performance-based payments. REDD+ encompasses not only curbing deforestation and degradation but also forest conservation, sustainable management, and carbon stock enhancement, with the Warsaw Framework establishing requirements for national strategies, forest reference emission levels, monitoring systems, and safeguards information systems. Adopted in 2013, this structure aims to integrate forests into global climate mitigation, though implementation relies on voluntary national commitments and bilateral or multilateral funding, totaling over $10 billion pledged by 2020 but with disbursements often tied to verified emission reductions. At the national level, policies vary in scope and enforcement, with exemplifying both successes and setbacks in Amazon governance. 's for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation in the Legal Amazon (PPCDAm), reinstated under President Lula da Silva in 2023, combines satellite monitoring via PRODES, expansion, and credit restrictions on illegal deforesters, contributing to a near-halving of deforestation rates from 2022 to 2023 (from approximately 5,000 km² to under 3,000 km² annually). However, policy reversals under prior administrations, such as weakened enforcement from 2019–2022, correlated with a 30% increase in deforestation relative to sustained strict measures, highlighting the causal role of consistent governance in curbing land conversion driven by and . In , a 2018 moratorium on new plantation permits on primary forests and peatlands slowed overall deforestation rates, reducing annual losses from 1.1 million hectares in 2016 to about 100,000 hectares by 2021, though sector-specific -linked clearing rebounded slightly in 2022–2023 amid enforcement gaps and concession loopholes. Governance challenges undermine policy efficacy, particularly corruption and weak enforcement, which facilitate illegal logging and land grabs. In forested nations, corruption indices correlate positively with deforestation rates, as bribes and collusion between officials, companies, and elites bypass concessions and monitoring, with Transparency International estimating that up to 30% of tropical timber trade involves illegality enabled by such practices. Weak institutions deflect conservation policies toward private interests, amplifying degradation in regions like Peru's Amazon, where judicial corruption has sustained illegal gold mining despite REDD+ initiatives. The Food and Agriculture Organization's Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025 notes that while 192 countries (covering over 95% of global forest area) have sustainable forest management policies, implementation lags due to inadequate resources and accountability, with only 40% reporting effective enforcement mechanisms. Empirical evaluations of REDD+ reveal modest but context-dependent reductions in deforestation, often 30–50% below baselines in project areas, though leakage—displaced clearing to adjacent regions—and unverifiable baselines compromise long-term impacts. For instance, voluntary REDD+ sites achieved 47% lower deforestation over five years compared to matched controls, yet economic incentives alone rarely suffice without complementary enforcement, as seen in where moratoriums curbed emissions but not underlying commodity demands. Overall, effective hinges on integrating economic disincentives, such as standards and international trade restrictions (e.g., EU Deforestation Regulation effective 2023), with robust measures to align policies with on-ground causal drivers like .

Economic Incentives and Markets

Economic incentives for deforestation arise predominantly from the conversion of forests to commercial agriculture and logging, where global commodity markets reward rapid land clearance for high-value uses such as cattle ranching, soy cultivation, and palm oil plantations. These activities are propelled by rising demand in export markets, particularly from major importers like China, which fuel production expansions in tropical regions. Agricultural expansion, including these commodities, drove nearly 90% of global deforestation from 2000 to 2018, with cropland for oil palm and soy alongside pasture for cattle accounting for over half of tropical forest loss between 2011 and 2025. Government subsidies exacerbate these market signals by artificially lowering the costs of deforestation-linked production. In and , subsidies to , soy, , and timber sectors totaled over $40 billion from 2009 to 2012, dwarfing the $346 million allocated to forest preservation efforts during the same period. In , rural subsidies for and soy have been linked to increased clearing rates, though recent data indicate only 7% of subsidized properties showed deforestation signs from to 2022, suggesting partial decoupling amid enforcement shifts. Indonesia's incentives similarly prioritize output over sustainability, with smallholders often drawn into expansion due to limited alternatives and weak tenure security. Timber markets further incentivize extraction, with legal and illegal trade generating $52 to $157 billion annually worldwide, often bypassing regulations and accelerating degradation in regions like and . Economic analyses reveal that the of forest conversion typically exceeds preservation in low-income tropical contexts, as high discount rates favor immediate agricultural or timber revenues over long-term services, compounded by incomplete pricing of externalities like carbon storage. Weak and open-access resources amplify this, turning forests into de facto prone to , though trade openness can sometimes curb rates by enabling value-added processing over raw clearing. Emerging market mechanisms, such as schemes and zero-deforestation commitments, aim to internalize costs but face challenges in and smallholder inclusion, with often still flowing to high-risk producers. In Brazil's Amazon, and incentives have reduced beef-linked deforestation in states like Amazonas, yet global demand pressures persist, underscoring the tension between short-term economic gains and sustained forest integrity.

Conservation Practices and Innovations

Protected areas have demonstrated effectiveness in reducing deforestation rates, with empirical analyses indicating they slow tree cover loss by preserving intact forests from conversion. Community-managed forests further contribute to conservation by limiting unauthorized and agricultural encroachment, as evidenced by studies showing lower deforestation in such areas compared to open-access lands. Payments for services (PES) programs, which compensate landowners for maintaining forest cover, have also proven successful in targeted regions, correlating with reduced deforestation through financial incentives aligned with long-term carbon and retention. Agroforestry systems integrate trees with crops or , yielding measurable reductions in deforestation pressure; in , these practices averted an estimated 250,319 hectares of annual loss between 2001 and 2019 by providing alternative income sources and enhancing soil productivity without full land clearing. This approach averages a 1.08% decline in regional deforestation rates, though outcomes depend on supportive policies like secure to prevent displacement of clearing to unmanaged areas. Selective and reduced-impact techniques in sustainable minimize canopy disruption, preserving seed sources and continuity, with data from managed concessions showing up to 50% lower than conventional methods. Reforestation initiatives accelerate recovery, particularly post-disturbance; in the US Interior West, post-fire achieved 79.5% survival after one season and 25.7% faster regrowth rates compared to unplanted sites. Success hinges on , site preparation, and community involvement, with projects using mixed exhibiting higher long-term survival and resilience to pests and variability than monocultures. titling programs have amplified these efforts, reducing deforestation by over 75% and degradation by two-thirds in formalized indigenous territories by securing rights against external pressures. Technological innovations enhance scalability and precision in conservation; drone-based deploys thousands of genetically suitable propagules per hour over rugged terrain, improving rates in inaccessible areas by up to 80% when combined with coatings. Precision forestry employs and AI-driven to optimize planting density and monitor early growth, while biodegradable sensors track soil metrics in real-time, enabling that boosts survival by identifying drought-prone zones preemptively. Assisted regeneration techniques, including nurse-planting and mycorrhizal , have restored degraded sites at rates 2-5 times faster than passive recovery, as validated in tropical trials where they regenerated 70-90% canopy cover within a . These methods, when paired with empirical monitoring, address common failures like poor site matching, ensuring cost-effective equivalent to 10 times that of some agricultural offsets.

Monitoring and Projections

Technological and Data Systems

Satellite remote sensing forms the backbone of modern deforestation monitoring, with systems like NASA's Landsat program providing continuous data since 1972 to detect forest cover changes through time-series analysis. The European Space Agency's Sentinel-2 satellites deliver high-resolution optical imagery at 10-meter spatial resolution, enabling detailed mapping of deforestation events despite challenges like cloud cover. Moderate-resolution sensors such as MODIS on NASA's Terra and Aqua satellites offer frequent revisits for broad-scale alerts on large-scale disturbances. Data integration platforms aggregate these inputs for accessible monitoring; Global Forest Watch, developed by the , combines satellite-derived tree cover loss data from the University of Maryland's GLAD laboratory with near real-time alerts from multiple sources, including RADD (Radar for Detecting Deforestation) and GLAD alerts, covering over 200 million hectares annually. This system processes petabytes of imagery to produce annual global tree cover loss maps, with 2023 data showing a decline in primary forest loss to 4.1 million hectares, the lowest since tracking began in 2002. Advancements in enhance detection accuracy; models, such as convolutional neural networks applied to Sentinel imagery, achieve overall classification accuracies exceeding 97% for identifying deforestation patches in the Amazon. Semantic segmentation techniques like further refine pixel-level mapping, reducing false positives through threshold tuning and multi-temporal analysis, though persistent issues include distinguishing selective from clear-cutting. For projections, models leverage historical to forecast spatial patterns; for instance, deep convolutional neural trained on Landsat predict near-term deforestation hotspots with improved precision over traditional statistical methods, incorporating variables like proximity to roads and changes. These systems support scenario modeling, such as estimating future carbon emissions under varying regimes, but require validation against to account for uncertainties in cloud-obscured regions.

Reliability of Sources and Debates

Data on deforestation rates derive primarily from satellite-based , national inventories, and international assessments, each with distinct methodological limitations that fuel ongoing debates over accuracy and comparability. The Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Global Forest Resources Assessment (FRA), conducted every five years, aggregates country-submitted data, which often relies on ground surveys or outdated maps rather than consistent , leading to criticisms of underestimation due to inclusion of commercial plantations as "forest" and reliance on potentially biased self-reports. For instance, the FRA's definition encompasses tree plantations, inflating estimates in regions like dominated by oil palm monocultures. Independent validations, such as those comparing FRA to satellite datasets, reveal significant discrepancies; CIFOR analyses indicate FRA underreports losses compared to platforms like Global Forest Watch (GFW). Satellite-derived datasets, including GFW's tree cover loss metrics from the University of Maryland's Global Forest Change (GFC) product, offer higher using Landsat imagery but face critiques for conflating deforestation with temporary disturbances like selective logging or fires, resulting in overestimation in humid tropics. A 2022 study in the Brazilian Amazon found GFC overestimated deforestation by capturing canopy gaps not equating to full clearing, while custom maps underestimated it, suggesting true rates lie between such extremes. GFW data also exhibits inconsistencies with FAO FRA, sometimes contradicting national figures by factors of two or more in regions like . These methodological variances—e.g., GFC's 30-meter resolution missing sub-pixel changes or misclassifying shrubs as trees—underscore debates on whether "tree cover loss" proxies reliably measure anthropogenic deforestation versus natural variability. National reporting introduces further reliability challenges, often politicized; Brazil's (INPE) PRODES system, using Landsat for annual Amazon deforestation estimates, reported 920 km² cleared in June 2019—an 88% rise from 2018—prompting government dismissal as inaccurate and leading to the ousting of INPE's director amid accusations of exaggeration. Official Brazilian figures sometimes diverge from INPE's DETER alerts, which detect real-time alerts but overestimate totals due to including degradation, while PRODES focuses on complete clearing ≥6.25 hectares, yielding lower but more precise annual rates like 13,200 km² for August 2020–July 2021. Such discrepancies highlight incentives for underreporting by governments facing international pressure, contrasted with environmental NGOs' tendencies to amplify satellite alerts for advocacy, potentially biasing media narratives toward alarmism without causal verification of drivers. Institutional biases exacerbate these issues: mainstream environmental reporting and academia, often aligned with progressive agendas, prioritize NGO-sourced or GFW-like data emphasizing rapid losses to support interventions like REDD+, while downplaying improvements from or economic shifts, as seen in FAO's noted halving of net global loss rates since 1990 despite critiques. Conversely, government data may minimize losses to attract investment, as in under Bolsonaro-era board proposals excluding INPE to filter "damaging" figures. Truth-seeking analyses thus favor cross-validated baselines over singular sources, acknowledging uncertainties in baselines for —up to 50% variability in avoided deforestation projections—and urging integration of high-resolution with ground validation to resolve definitional ambiguities like distinguishing primary loss from regrowth. Peer-reviewed comparisons, rather than advocacy-driven claims, reveal that while tropical deforestation persists at 4–5 million hectares annually, aggregate global trends show slowing net loss, challenging narratives of unmitigated .

Future Scenarios and Uncertainties

Projections indicate that global forest area will continue to decline through 2030, albeit at a decelerating rate compared to historical trends, with net annual losses estimated at around 5-7 million hectares under baseline scenarios, driven primarily by tropical deforestation for and . The (FAO) reports that gross deforestation slowed to 10.9 million hectares per year during 2015-2025, down from 17.6 million hectares annually in 1990-2000, suggesting a potential stabilization if in temperate and boreal regions offsets some losses. However, business-as-usual models forecast persistent pressure from expanding cropland demands, with integrated assessment models like IMAGE 3.0 projecting up to 100-200 million additional hectares of cropland conversion by 2050, disproportionately affecting tropical primary forests. Alternative scenarios hinge on policy interventions and technological adoption. Under aggressive mitigation pathways aligned with , such as halting deforestation by 2030 as pledged by over 140 countries in the 2021 Glasgow Leaders' Declaration, net forest loss could approach zero by mid-century through enhanced enforcement, sustainable agriculture, and reforestation incentives; yet, assessments show 2023 deforestation exceeded the 4.38 million hectare threshold needed for on-track progress, casting doubt on feasibility without binding mechanisms. Optimistic outlooks incorporate yield-improving innovations in farming, potentially reducing land conversion needs by 20-50% by 2050, while pessimistic variants account for population-driven demand surges tripling wood needs to 10 billion cubic meters annually. FAO's Global Forest Sector Outlook to 2050 emphasizes that supply-demand balances for wood products could stabilize forests if circular economies and substitution materials gain traction, though regional disparities persist—tropical areas face higher risks than planted forests in , projected to expand through 2040 before plateauing. Uncertainties in these forecasts stem from multiple sources, including modeling assumptions and external shocks. Deforestation projection models exhibit median uncertainties of 25.3% (90% range: 10.1-40.4%), exceeding carbon stock estimation errors, due to variables like detection and land-use policy adherence in governance-challenged regions. introduces feedbacks, such as increased drought and fire vulnerability in Amazonian forests, potentially accelerating losses beyond baseline projections if tipping points—estimated at 20-25% loss—are crossed, though empirical data on such thresholds remains contested and derived from simulations rather than direct observation. Policy uncertainty further complicates outcomes; fluctuating commitments, as seen in varying national enforcement of REDD+ frameworks, amplify variability, with expert surveys highlighting needs for refined to reduce error margins in emissions baselines. While FAO and IPCC assessments provide robust empirical foundations, environmental advocacy sources like the often emphasize worst-case risks, warranting scrutiny for potential overstatement amid observed global net loss reductions from 7.8 million hectares per year () to 4.7 million ().

References

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