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Unidentified flying object
Unidentified flying object
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"GIMBAL" Pentagon UFO video, January 2015

An unidentified flying object (UFO) is an object or phenomenon seen in the sky but not yet identified or explained. The term was coined when United States Air Force (USAF) investigations into flying saucers found too broad a range of shapes reported to consider them all saucers or discs.[1] UFOs are also known as unidentified aerial phenomena or unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP).[2][3][4] Upon investigation, most UFOs are identified as known objects or atmospheric phenomena, while a small number remain unexplained.

While unusual sightings in the sky have been reported since at least the 3rd century BC, UFOs became culturally prominent after World War II, escalating during the Space Age. Studies and investigations into UFO reports conducted by governments (such as Project Blue Book in the United States and Project Condign in the United Kingdom), as well as by organisations and individuals have occurred over the years without confirmation of the fantastical claims of small but vocal groups of ufologists who favour unconventional or pseudoscientific hypotheses, often claiming that UFOs are evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence, technologically advanced cryptids, interdimensional contact or future time travelers. After decades of promotion of such ideas by believers and in popular media, the kind of evidence required to solidly support such claims has not been forthcoming. Scientists and skeptic organizations such as the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry have provided prosaic explanations for UFOs, namely that they are caused by natural phenomena, human technology, delusions, and hoaxes. Although certain beliefs surrounding UFOs have inspired parts of new religions, social scientists have identified the ongoing interest and storytelling surrounding UFOs as a modern example of folklore and mythology understandable with psychosocial explanations.

The problems of temporarily or permanently non-knowable anomalous phenomenon or perceived objects in flight is part of the philosophical subject epistemology.[5][6]

The U.S. government has two entities dedicated to UFO data collection and analysis: NASA's UAP independent study team and the Department of Defense All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office.

Terminology

[edit]

During the late 1940s and through the 1950s, UFOs were often called "flying saucers" or "flying discs" based on reporting of the Kenneth Arnold incident.[7] "Unidentified flying object" (UFO) has been in-use since 1947.[8] The acronym "UFO" was coined by Captain Edward J. Ruppelt for the USAF. He wrote, "Obviously the term 'flying saucer' is misleading when applied to objects of every conceivable shape and performance. For this reason the military prefers the more general, if less colorful, name: unidentified flying objects. UFO".[9] The term UFO became widespread during the 1950s, at first in technical literature, but later in popular use.[10][11] "Unidentified aerial phenomena" (UAP) first appeared in the late 1960s. UAP has seen increasing usage in the 21st century due to negative cultural associations with "UFO".[8] UAP is sometimes expanded as "unidentified anomalous phenomenon".[12][13]

While technically a UFO refers to any unidentified flying object, in modern popular culture the term UFO has generally become synonymous with alien spacecraft.[14] The term "extra-terrestrial vehicle" (ETV) is sometimes used to separate this explanation of UFOs from totally earthbound explanations.[15]

Identification

[edit]
A Fata Morgana, a type of mirage in which objects located below the astronomical horizon appear to be hovering in the sky just above the horizon, may be responsible for some UFO sightings.[16]

Studies show that after careful investigation, the majority of UFOs can be identified as ordinary objects or phenomena. The 1952–1955 study for the USAF used the following categories: "Balloon; Astronomical; Aircraft; Light phenomenon; Birds, Clouds, dust, etc.; Insufficient information; Psychological manifestations; Unknown; and Other".[17] Identified sources of UFO reports are:

Twilight phenomenon from a Falcon 9 rocket launch

An individual 1979 study by CUFOS researcher Allan Hendry found, as did other investigations, that fewer than one percent of cases he investigated were hoaxes and most sightings were actually honest misidentifications of prosaic phenomena. Hendry attributed most of these to inexperience or misperception.[27] Astronomer Andrew Fraknoi rejected the hypothesis that UFOs are extraterrestrial spacecraft and responded to the "onslaught of credulous coverage" in books, films and entertainment by teaching his students to apply critical thinking to such claims, advising them that "being a good scientist is not unlike being a good detective". According to Fraknoi, UFO reports "might at first seem mysterious", but "the more you investigate, the more likely you are to find that there is LESS to these stories than meets the eye".[28]

History

[edit]

Early history before the 20th century

[edit]

People have always observed the sky and have sometimes seen what, to some, appeared to be unusual sights including phenomena as varied as comets, bright meteors, one or more of the five planets that can be readily seen with the naked eye, planetary conjunctions, and atmospheric optical phenomena such as parhelia and lenticular clouds.[citation needed] One particularly famous example is Halley's Comet: first recorded by Chinese astronomers in 240 BC and possibly as early as 467 BC as a strange and unknown "guest light" in the sky.[29] As a bright comet that visits the inner solar system every 76 years, it was often identified as a unique isolated event in ancient historical documents whose authors were unaware that it was a repeating phenomenon.[citation needed] Such accounts in history often were treated as supernatural portents, angels, or other religious omens.[citation needed] While UFO enthusiasts have sometimes commented on the narrative similarities between certain religious symbols in medieval paintings and UFO reports,[30] the canonical and symbolic character of such images is documented by art historians placing more conventional religious interpretations on such images.[31]

Some examples of pre-contemporary reports about unusual aerial phenomena include:

  • Julius Obsequens was a Roman writer who is believed to have lived in the middle of the fourth century AD. The only work associated with his name is the Liber de prodigiis (Book of Prodigies), completely extracted from an epitome, or abridgment, written by Livy; De prodigiis was constructed as an account of the wonders and portents that occurred in Rome between 249 and 12 BCE. An aspect of Obsequens' work that has inspired excitement in some UFO enthusiasts is that he makes reference to things moving through the sky. The descriptions provided bear resemblance to observations of meteor showers. Obsequens was also writing some 400 years after the events he described, thus the text is not an eyewitness account. No corroboration with those amazing sights of old with contemporary observations was mentioned in that work.[32][33]
  • Shen Kuo (1031–1095), a Song Chinese government scholar-official and prolific polymath inventor, wrote a vivid passage in his Dream Pool Essays (1088) about an unidentified flying object. He recorded the testimony of eyewitnesses in 11th-century Anhui and Jiangsu (especially in the city of Yangzhou), who stated that a flying object with opening doors would shine a blinding light from its interior (from an object shaped like a pearl) that would cast shadows from trees for ten miles in radius, and was able to take off at tremendous speeds.[34]
    The celestial phenomenon over Basel in 1566.
  • A woodcut by Hans Glaser that appeared in a broadsheet in 1561 has been featured in popular culture as the "celestial phenomenon over Nuremberg" and connected to various ancient astronaut claims.[35] Skeptic and debunker Jason Colavito argues that the woodcut is "a secondhand depiction of a particularly gaudy sundog", a known atmospheric optical phenomenon.[36] A similar report comes from 1566 over Basel and, indeed, in the 15th and 16th centuries, many leaflets wrote of "miracles" and "sky spectacles" which bear resemblance to natural phenomena which were only more fully characterized after the scientific revolution.[37]
  • On January 25, 1878, the Denison Daily News printed an article in which John Martin, a local farmer, had reported seeing a large, dark, circular object resembling a balloon flying "at wonderful speed". Martin, according to the newspaper account, said it appeared to be about the size of a saucer from his perspective, one of the first uses of the word "saucer" in association with a UFO. At the time, ballooning was becoming an increasingly popular and sophisticated endeavor, and the first controlled-flights of such devices were occurring around that time.[38]
UFO-like alleged sightings before the 20th century
1561 celestial phenomenon over Nuremberg as printed in an illustrated news notice.
November 22, 1896 illustration of a "mystery airship" published in The San Francisco Call
November 29, 1896 illustration of another "mystery airship" published in The San Francisco Call
"Mystery airship" illustrated in The St. Paul Globe, April 13, 1897
  • From November 1896 to April 1897, United States newspapers carried numerous reports of "mystery airships" that are reminiscent of modern UFO waves.[39] Scores of people even reported talking to the pilots. Some people feared that Thomas Edison had created an artificial star that could fly around the country. On April 16, 1897, a letter was found that purported to be an enciphered communication between an airship operator and Edison.[40] When asked his opinion of such reports, Edison said, "You can take it from me that it is a pure fake."[41] The coverage of Edison's denial marked the end of major newspaper coverage of the airships in this period.[42]

20th century and after

[edit]

In the Pacific and European theatres during World War II, round, glowing fireballs known as "foo fighters" were reported by Allied and Axis pilots. Some explanations for these sightings included St. Elmo's fire, the planet Venus, hallucinations from oxygen deprivation, and German secret weapons (specifically rockets).[43] In 1946, more than 2,000 reports were collected, primarily by the Swedish military, of unidentified aerial objects over the Scandinavian nations, along with isolated reports from France, Portugal, Spain, Italy, and Greece. The objects were referred to as "Russian hail" (and later as "ghost rockets") because it was thought the mysterious objects were possibly Russian tests of captured German V1 or V2 rockets, but most were identified as natural phenomena as meteors.[44]

Science fiction depictions of spacecraft similar to flying saucers before the first widely-reported UFO sighting in 1947
Illustration from 1903 by Henrique Alvim Corrêa showing the first Martian emerging from a cylinder that had fallen from the sky for an edition of The War of the Worlds by H. G. Wells.
Cover of French pulp magazine Le Chevalier Illusion from December 29, 1912 portraying a flying machine spreading a toxic gas among the passengers and crew of a ship below
A "space flyer" depicted on the February 1912 cover of Modern Electrics as an illustration for the science fiction story Ralph 124C 41+ by Hugo Gernsback
Illustration by Frank R. Paul from February 1922 in Science and Invention showing Nikola Tesla's vision of warfare in the future with sea and air craft "controlled and directed" by radio waves
Illustration for a story by Hugo Gernsback in pulp science fiction magazine Amazing Stories from April 1928 (originally published on 1915 with similar illustrations in The Electrical Experimenter)
Depiction of a flying saucer by illustrator Frank R. Paul on the October 1929 issue of Hugo Gernsback's pulp science fiction magazine Science Wonder Stories
Cover of Amazing Stories winter 1930 issue depicting a disc-shaped spacecraft
Back cover of Amazing Stories illustrated by Frank R. Paul in August 1946 featuring many disc-shaped spacecraft (published about a year before the flying disc wave of 1947)

Many scholars, especially those arguing for the psychosocial UFO hypothesis, have noted that UFO characteristics reported after the first widely publicized modern sighting by Kenneth Arnold in 1947 resembled a host of science fiction tropes from earlier in the century.[45][46][47][48][49][50][51]

By most accounts, the popular UFO craze in the US began with a media frenzy surrounding the reports on June 24, 1947, of a civilian pilot named Kenneth Arnold who described seeing "a group of bat-like aircraft flying in formation at high speeds" near Mount Rainier that he said were "moving like a saucer would if skipped across water" which led to headlines about "flying saucers" and "flying discs".[52][53][54][55] Only weeks after Arnold's story was reported in 1947, Gallup published a poll asking people in the United States what the "flying saucers" might be. Already, 90% had heard of the new term. However, as reported by historian Greg Eghanian, "a majority either had no idea what they could be or thought that witnesses were mistaken" while "visitors from space were not initially among the options that anyone had in mind, and Gallup didn't even mention if anyone surveyed brought up aliens.[53][56][57]

Within weeks, reports of flying saucer sightings became a daily occurrence[58] with one particularly famous example being the Roswell incident in 1947 where remnants of a downed observation balloon were recovered by a farmer and confiscated by military personnel.[59] UFO enthusiasts in the early 1950s started to organize local "saucer clubs" modeled after science fiction fan clubs of the 1930s and 1940s, with some growing to national and international prominence within a decade.[53] In 1950, three influential books were published—Donald Keyhoe's The Flying Saucers Are Real, Frank Scully's Behind the Flying Saucers, and Gerald Heard's The Riddle of the Flying Saucers. Each guilelessly proposed that the extraterrestrial UFO hypothesis was the correct explanation and that the visits were in response to detonations of atomic weapons. These books also introduced Americans to, as Eghanian puts it, "the crusading whistleblower dedicated to breaking the silence over the alien origins of unidentified flying objects".[53]

Jung in 1955

Media accounts and speculation ran rampant in the U.S., especially in connection to the 1952 UFO scare in Washington, D.C. so that, by 1953, the intelligence officials (Robertson Panel) worried that "genuine incursions" by enemy aircraft "over U.S. territory could be lost in a maelstrom of kooky hallucination" of UFO reports.[60] A Trendex survey in August 1957, ten years after the Arnold incident, reported that over 25% of the U.S. public "believed unidentified flying objects could be from outer space".[53] The cultural phenomenon showed up within some intellectual works such as the 1959 publication of Flying Saucers: A Modern Myth of Things Seen in the Sky by Carl Jung, a Swiss psychiatrist and psychoanalyst who founded analytical psychology.[61]

Starting in 1947, the U.S. Air Force began to record and investigated UFO reports with Project Sign looking into "more than 250 cases" from 1947 to 1949. It was replaced by Project Grudge up through 1951.[62] In the third U.S. Air Force program, from March 1952 to its termination in December 1969,[63] "the U.S. Air Force cataloged 12,618 sightings of UFOs as part of what is now known as Project Blue Book".[64] In the late 1950s, public pressure mounted for a full declassification of all UFO records, but the CIA played a role in refusing to allow this.[65] This sense was not universal in the CIA, however, as fellow NICAP official Donald E. Keyhoe wrote that Vice Admiral Roscoe Hillenkoetter, the first director of the CIA, "wanted public disclosure of UFO evidence".[66] Official U.S. Air Force interest in UFO reports went on hiatus in 1969 after a study by the University of Colorado led by Edward U. Condon and known as the Condon Report concluded "that nothing has come from the study of UFOs in the past 21 years that has added to scientific knowledge" and that further time investigating UFO reports "cannot be justified".[64]

Cover of the 1953 book The Flying Saucers Are Real by Donald Keyhoe
Cover of the pulp science fiction magazine Amazing Stories from October 1957

From the 1960s to 1990s, UFOs were part of American popular culture's obsession with the supernatural and paranormal. In 1961, the first alien abduction account was sensationalized when Barney and Betty Hill underwent hypnosis after seeing a UFO and reported recovered memories of their experience that became ever more elaborate as the years went by.[67] In 1966, 5% of Americans reported to Gallup that "they had at some time seen something they thought was a 'flying saucer'", 96% said "they had heard or read about flying saucers", and 46% of these "thought they were 'something real' rather than just people's imagination".[68] Responding to UFO enthusiasm, there have always been consistent yet less popular efforts made at debunking many of the claims,[53] and at times the media was enlisted including a 1966 TV special, "UFO: Friend, Foe or Fantasy?", in which Walter Cronkite "patiently" explained to viewers that UFOs were fantasy.[60] Cronkite enlisted Carl Sagan and J. Allen Hynek, who told Cronkite, "To this time, there is no valid scientific proof that we have been visited by spaceships".[69]

Such attempts to disenchant the zeitgeist were not very successful at tamping down the mania. Keith Kloor notes that the "allure of flying saucers" remained popular with the public into the 1970s, spurring production of such sci-fi films, as Close Encounters of the Third Kind and Alien, which "continued to stoke public fascination". Meanwhile, Leonard Nimoy narrated a popular occult and mystery TV series In Search of... while daytime talk shows of Mike Douglas, Merv Griffin, and Phil Donahue featured interviews with alien abductees and people who credulously reported stories about UFOs .[53] In the 1980s and 1990s, UFO stories featured in such pulp "true crime" serials as Unsolved Mysteries[70] while the 33 Volume Time-Life series Mysteries of the Unknown which featured UFO stories sold some 700,000 copies.[71] Kloor writes that by the late 1990s, "other big UFO subthemes had been prominently introduced into pop culture, such as the abduction phenomenon and government conspiracy narrative, via best-selling books and, of course, The X-Files".[69]

Eghigian notes that, by this point, the UFO problem had become "far more interesting to ponder than to actually solve."[53] Interest was particularly fevered in the 1990s with the publicity surrounding the television broadcast of an Alien autopsy video marketed as "real footage" but later admitted to be a staged "re-enactment".[72] Eghigian writes that "there had always been outlier abduction reports dating back to the '50s and '60s" but that in the '80s and '90s "the floodgates opened, and with them a new generation of UFO advocates". Leaders among them were the artist Budd Hopkins, horror writer Whitley Strieber, historian David Jacobs, and Harvard psychiatrist John Mack. They all defended the "veracity of those claiming to have been kidnapped, examined, and experimented upon by beings from another world", writes Eghigian, as "new missionaries who simultaneously played the role of investigator, therapist, and advocate to their vulnerable charges".[53] Eghigian says that Mack "signaled both the culmination and end of the headiest days of alien abduction". When Mack began working with and publishing accounts of abductees—or "experiencers", as he called them—in the early 1990s, he brought a sense of legitimacy to "the study of extraterrestrial captivity". By the late 1990s, however, the Harvard Medical School initiated a review of his position which allowed him to retain tenure. However, after this review, as the review board chairman Arnold Relman later put it, Mack was "not taken seriously by his colleagues anymore". Claims of alien abduction have continued, but no other clinicians would continue to speak of them as real in any sense.[53] Nonetheless, these ideas persisted in popular opinion. According to a 1996 poll by Newsweek, 20% of Americans believed that UFOs were more likely to be proof of alien life than to have a natural scientific explanation.[73]

In December 2017, a new round of media attention started when The New York Times broke the story of the secret Advanced Aviation Threat Identification Program that was funded from 2007 to 2012 with $22 million spent on the program.[74][75] Following this story, along with a series of sensationalized Pentagon UFO videos leaked by members of the program who became convinced that UFOs were genuine mysteries worth investigating, there was an increase in mainstream attention to UFO stories. In July 2021, Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb announced the creation of his Galileo Project which intended to use high-tech astronomical equipment to seek evidence of extraterrestrial artifacts in space and possibly within Earth's atmosphere. This was followed closely by the publication of Loeb's book Extraterrestrial, in which he argued that the first interstellar comet ever observed, 'Oumuamua, might be an artificial light sail made by an alien civilization.[53] Two government sponsored programs, NASA's UAP independent study team and the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office were charged in part by Congressional fiat to investigate UFO claims more fully,[76][77][78] adopting the new moniker "unexplained aerial phenomenon" (UAP) to avoid associations with past sensationalism.[79] On 17 May 2022, members of the United States House Intelligence Subcommittee on Counterterrorism, Counterintelligence and Counterproliferation held congressional hearings with top military officials to discuss military reports of UAPs.[80] It was the first public congressional hearing into UFO sightings in the US in over 50 years. Another Congressional hearing took place on July 26, 2023, featuring the whistleblower claims of former U.S. Air Force (USAF) officer and intelligence official David Grusch.[81][82][83]

A Harris Poll in 2009 found that 32% of Americans "believe in UFOs".[84] A National Geographic study in June 2012 found that 36% of Americans believe UFOs exist and that 10% thought that they had spotted one.[85] In June 2021 a Pew research poll found that 51% in the United States thought that UFOs reported by people in the military were likely to be evidence of intelligent life from beyond the Earth.[86] In August 2021, Gallup, with a question not specific to military reports, only found that 41% of adults believed some UFOs involve alien spacecraft from other planets. This Gallup poll showed 44% of men and 38% of women believed this. This average of 41% in 2021 was up from 33% in a 2019 Gallup poll with the same question. Gallup further found that college graduates went in 2019 from being the least likely educational group to believe this to being on par in 2021 with adults who have no college education.[87] An October 2022 poll by YouGov only found that 34% of Americans believe that UFOs are likely to involve alien life forms.[88]

Historian Greg Eghigian wrote in August 2021 that "over the last fifty years, the mutual antagonism between paranormal believers and skeptics has largely framed discussion about unidentified flying objects" and that "it often gets personal" with those taking seriously the prospect that UFOs are extraterrestrial in origin dismissing those who consider UFOs to be worth studying as "narrow-minded, biased, obstinate, and cruel" while the skeptics brushed off "devotees" as "naïve, ignorant, gullible, and downright dangerous". Such "mudslinging over convictions is certainly familiar to historians of religion, a domain of human existence marked by deep divisions over interpretations of belief", and science too has found itself engaged increasing amounts of "boundary work" (which is "asserting and reasserting the borders between legitimate and illegitimate scientific research and ideas, between what may and what may not refer to itself as science") with regard to UFO questions. Eghigian points out our current "stark divide did not happen overnight, and its roots lie in the postwar decades, in a series of events that—with their news coverage, grainy images, celebrity crusaders, exasperated skeptics, unsatisfying military statements, and accusations of a government cover-up—foreshadow our present moment".[53]

UFOs have been taken up by religious studies scholars in various scholarly books.[89][90][91] Jeffrey Kripal, chair of the Department of Religion at Rice University, has said that "both the material and the mental dimensions [of UFOs] are incredibly important to get a sense of the full picture".[92] As Adrian Horton writes "from The X-Files to Men in Black, Close Encounters of the Third Kind to Star Wars to Marvel, Hollywood has for decades provided an engrossing feedback loop for interest in the extraterrestrial: a reflection of our fears and capaciousness, whose ubiquitous popularity has in turn fueled more interest in UFOs as perennially compelling entertainment tropes not to be taken seriously". Horton observes that these "alien movies have generally reflected shifting cultural anxieties, from the existential terror of nuclear war to foreign enslavement to loss of bodily control". American entertainment has explored both "hostile aliens" as well as the "benevolent, world-expanding encounters" seen in films such as Steven Spielberg's Close Encounters of the Third Kind and E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial.[93] In her research on the relationship of media to UFO beliefs, Diana Walsh Pasulka, a professor of philosophy and religion at the University of North Carolina, says that what is seen on a screen, "if it conforms to certain criteria, is interpreted as real, even if it is not real and even if one knows it is not real" and that "screen images embed themselves in one's brain and memories" in ways that "can determine how one views one's past and even determine one's future behaviors".[94]

Investigations of reports

[edit]

UFOs have been subject to investigations over the years that varied widely in scope and scientific rigor. Governments or independent academics in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Japan, Peru, France, Belgium, Sweden, Brazil, Chile, Uruguay, Mexico, Spain, and the Soviet Union are known to have investigated UFO reports at various times. No official government investigation has ever publicly concluded that UFOs are indisputably real, physical objects, extraterrestrial in origin, or of concern to national defense.

Among the best known government studies are the ghost rockets investigation by the Swedish military (1946–1947), Project Blue Book, previously Project Sign and Project Grudge, conducted by the USAF from 1947 until 1969, the secret U.S. Army/Air Force Project Twinkle investigation into green fireballs (1948–1951), the secret USAF Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14[95] by the Battelle Memorial Institute, and the Brazilian Air Force's 1977 Operação Prato (Operation Saucer). France has had an ongoing investigation (GEPAN/SEPRA/GEIPAN) within its space agency Centre national d'études spatiales (CNES) since 1977; the government of Uruguay has had a similar investigation since 1989.

Americas

[edit]

Brazil (1952–2016)

[edit]
A document about a sighting of a UFO that occurred on December 16, 1977, in the state of Bahia, Brazil

On October 31, 2008, the National Archives of Brazil began receiving from the Aeronautical Documentation and History Center part of the documentation of the Brazilian Air Force regarding the investigation of the appearance of UFOs in Brazil. Currently, this collection gathers cases between 1952 and 2016.[96]

Chile (c. 1968)

[edit]

In 1968, the SEFAA (previously CEFAA) began receiving case reports of the general public, civil aviators and the Chilean Air Force regarding the sightings or the appearance of UFOs in Chile, the initial work was an initiative of Sergio Bravo Flores who led the Chilean Committee for the Study of Unidentified Space Phenomena, supported even by the Chilean Scientific Society. Currently, the organization changed its denomination to SEFAA and its a department of the DGAC(Chile) which in turn depends on the Chilean Air Force.[97]

Canada (c. 1950)

[edit]

In Canada, the Department of National Defence has dealt with reports, sightings and investigations of UFOs across Canada. In addition to conducting investigations into crop circles in Duhamel, Alberta, it still considers "unsolved" the Falcon Lake incident in Manitoba and the Shag Harbour UFO incident in Nova Scotia.[98]

Early Canadian studies included Project Magnet (1950–1954) and Project Second Storey (1952–1954), supported by the Defence Research Board.

United States

[edit]

Synopsis

[edit]

U.S. investigations into UFOs include:

In addition to these, thousands of documents released under FOIA also indicate that many U.S. intelligence agencies collected (and still collect) information on UFOs. These agencies include the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), FBI,[101] CIA, National Security Agency (NSA), as well as military intelligence agencies of the Army and U.S. Navy, in addition to the Air Force.[note 1]

USAAF and FBI response to the 1947 sightings
[edit]

Following the large U.S. surge in sightings in June and early July 1947, on July 9, 1947, United States Army Air Forces (USAAF) intelligence, in cooperation with the FBI,[101] began a formal investigation into selected sightings with characteristics that could not be immediately rationalized, such as Kenneth Arnold's. The USAAF used "all of its top scientists" to determine whether "such a phenomenon could, in fact, occur". The research was "being conducted with the thought that the flying objects might be a celestial phenomenon," or that "they might be a foreign body mechanically devised and controlled."[102] Three weeks later in a preliminary defense estimate, the air force investigation decided that, "This 'flying saucer' situation is not all imaginary or seeing too much in some natural phenomenon. Something is really flying around."[103]

A further review by the intelligence and technical divisions of the Air Materiel Command at Wright Field reached the same conclusion. It reported that "the phenomenon is something real and not visionary or fictitious," and there were disc-shaped objects, metallic in appearance, as big as man-made aircraft. They were characterized by "extreme rates of climb [and] maneuverability", general lack of noise, absence of a trail, occasional formation flying, and "evasive" behavior "when sighted or contacted by friendly aircraft and radar", suggesting a controlled craft. It was therefore recommended in late September 1947 that an official Air Force investigation be set up. It was also recommended that other government agencies should assist in the investigation.[note 2]

USAF
[edit]
Projects Sign (1947–1949), Grudge (1948–1951), and Blue Book (1951–1970)
[edit]

Project Sign's final report, published in early 1949, stated that while some UFOs appeared to represent actual aircraft, there was not enough data to determine their origin.[104]

The Air Force's Project Sign was created at the end of 1947, and was one of the earliest government studies to come to a secret extraterrestrial conclusion. In August 1948, Sign investigators wrote a top-secret intelligence estimate to that effect, but the Air Force Chief of Staff Hoyt Vandenberg ordered it destroyed. The existence of this suppressed report was revealed by several insiders who had read it, such as astronomer and USAF consultant J. Allen Hynek and Capt. Edward J. Ruppelt, the first head of the USAF's Project Blue Book.[105]

Another highly classified U.S. study was conducted by the CIA's Office of Scientific Investigation (OS/I) in the latter half of 1952 in response to orders from the National Security Council (NSC). This study concluded UFOs were real physical objects of potential threat to national security. One OS/I memo to the CIA Director (DCI) in December read that "the reports of incidents convince us that there is something going on that must have immediate attention ... Sightings of unexplained objects at great altitudes and traveling at high speeds in the vicinity of major U.S. defense installations are of such a nature that they are not attributable to natural phenomena or any known types of aerial vehicles."[106]

The matter was considered so urgent that OS/I drafted a memorandum from the DCI to the NSC proposing that the NSC establish an investigation of UFOs as a priority project throughout the intelligence and the defense research and development community. It also urged the DCI to establish an external research project of top-level scientists, now known as the Robertson Panel to analyze the problem of UFOs. The OS/I investigation was called off after the Robertson Panel's negative conclusions in January 1953.[106]

Project Sign was dismantled and became Project Grudge at the end of 1948. Angered by the low quality of investigations by Grudge, the Air Force Director of Intelligence reorganized it as Project Blue Book in late 1951, placing Ruppelt in charge. J. Allen Hynek, a trained astronomer who served as a scientific advisor for Project Blue Book, was initially skeptical of UFO reports, but eventually came to the conclusion that many of them could not be satisfactorily explained and was highly critical of what he described as "the cavalier disregard by Project Blue Book of the principles of scientific investigation".[107] Leaving government work, he founded the privately funded CUFOS, to whose work he devoted the rest of his life. Other private groups studying the phenomenon include the MUFON, a grassroots organization whose investigator's handbooks go into great detail on the documentation of alleged UFO sightings.

USAF Regulation 200-2 (1953–1954)
[edit]

Air Force Regulation 200-2,[108] issued in 1953 and 1954, defined an Unidentified Flying Object ("UFOB") as "any airborne object which by performance, aerodynamic characteristics, or unusual features, does not conform to any presently known aircraft or missile type, or which cannot be positively identified as a familiar object." The regulation also said UFOBs were to be investigated as a "possible threat to the security of the United States" and "to determine technical aspects involved." The regulation went on to say that "it is permissible to inform news media representatives on UFOB's when the object is positively identified as a familiar object" but added: "For those objects which are not explainable, only the fact that ATIC [Air Technical Intelligence Center] will analyze the data is worthy of release, due to many unknowns involved."[108]

Blue Book and the Condon Committee (1968–1970)
[edit]

A public research effort conducted by the Condon Committee for the USAF and published as the Condon Report arrived at a negative conclusion in 1968.[109] Blue Book closed down in 1970, using the Condon Committee's negative conclusion as a rationale, thus ending official Air Force UFO investigations. However, a 1969 USAF document, known as the Bolender memo, along with later government documents, revealed that non-public U.S. government UFO investigations continued after 1970. The Bolender memo first stated that "reports of unidentified flying objects that could affect national security ... are not part of the Blue Book system," indicating that more serious UFO incidents already were handled outside the public Blue Book investigation. The memo then added, "reports of UFOs which could affect national security would continue to be handled through the standard Air Force procedures designed for this purpose."[note 3]

In the late 1960s, a chapter on UFOs in the Space Sciences course at the U.S. Air Force Academy gave serious consideration to possible extraterrestrial origins. When word of the curriculum became public, in 1970, the Air Force issued a statement to the effect that the book was outdated and cadets instead were being informed of the Condon Report's negative conclusion.[110]

Controversy surrounded the report, both before and after its release. It has been observed that the report was "harshly criticized by numerous scientists, particularly at the powerful AIAA ... [which] recommended moderate, but continuous scientific work on UFOs."[109] In an address to the AAAS, James E. McDonald said he believed science had failed to mount adequate studies of the problem and criticized the Condon Report and earlier studies by the USAF as scientifically deficient. He also questioned the basis for Condon's conclusions[111] and argued that the reports of UFOs have been "laughed out of scientific court".[112] J. Allen Hynek, an astronomer who worked as a USAF consultant from 1948, sharply criticized the Condon Committee Report and later wrote two nontechnical books that set forth the case for continuing to investigate UFO reports.

Ruppelt recounted his experiences with Project Blue Book, a USAF investigation that preceded Condon's.[113]

FOIA release of documents in 1978

[edit]

According to a 1979 New York Times report, "records from the C.I.A., the F.B.I. and other Federal agencies" ("about 900 documents—nearly 900 pages of memos, reports and correspondence") obtained in 1978 through the Freedom of Information Act request, indicate that "despite official pronouncements for decades that U.F.O.'s were nothing more than misidentified aerial objects and as such were no cause for alarm ... the phenomenon has aroused much serious behind‐the‐scenes concern" in the US government. In particular, officials were concerned over the "approximately 10%" of UFO sightings which remained unexplained, and whether they might be Soviet aircraft and a threat to national security.[114] Officials were concerned about the "risk of false alerts", of "falsely identifying the real as phantom", and of mass hysteria caused by sightings. In 1947, Brigadier General George F. Schulgen of Army Air Corps Intelligence, warned "the first reported sightings might have been by individuals of Communist sympathies with the view to causing hysteria and fear of a secret Russian weapon."[114]

White House statement of November 2011
[edit]

In November 2011, the White House released an official response to two petitions asking the U.S. government to acknowledge formally that aliens have visited this planet and to disclose any intentional withholding of government interactions with extraterrestrial beings. According to the response:

The U.S. government has no evidence that any life exists outside our planet, or that an extraterrestrial presence has contacted or engaged any member of the human race...no credible information to suggest that any evidence is being hidden from the public's eye....

— Statement by the White House[115][116]

The response further noted that efforts, like SETI and NASA's Kepler space telescope and Mars Science Laboratory, continue looking for signs of life. The response noted "odds are pretty high" that there may be life on other planets but "the odds of us making contact with any of them—especially any intelligent ones—are extremely small, given the distances involved."[115][116]

ODNI report 2021
[edit]

On June 25, 2021, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence released a report on UAPs.[117] The report found that the UAPTF was unable to identify 143 objects spotted between 2004 and 2021. The report said that 18 of these featured unusual movement patterns or flight characteristics, adding that more analysis was needed to determine if those sightings represented "breakthrough" technology. The report said that "some of these steps are resource-intensive and would require additional investment."[118] The report did not link the sightings to extraterrestrial life.[119][120]

Uruguay (c. 1989)

[edit]

The Uruguayan Air Force has conducted UFO investigations since 1989 and reportedly analyzed 2,100 cases of which they regard approximately 2% as lacking explanation.[121]

Europe

[edit]

Finland (1967–1971)

[edit]

Many people reported UFO sightings in and around the Pudasjärvi area in the North Ostrobothnia region in the late 1960s and early 1970s.[122][123][124] UFO researchers and the press only became interested in UFOs in the area after a sighting in September 1969, after which UFO researchers from other parts of Finland and Sweden visited the area.[122] An earthquake light has been proposed as an explanation for the Pudasjärvi phenomena.[125]

France (1977–2008)

[edit]

In March 2007, the French space agency CNES published an archive of UFO sightings and other phenomena online.[126]

French studies include GEPAN/SEPRA/GEIPAN within CNES (French space agency), the longest ongoing government-sponsored investigation. About 22% of the 6,000 cases studied remain unexplained.[127] The official opinion of GEPAN/SEPRA/GEIPAN has been neutral, stating on their FAQ page that their mission is fact-finding for the scientific community, not rendering an opinion. They add they can neither prove nor disprove the Extraterrestrial Hypothesis (ETH), but their Steering Committee's clear position is that they cannot discard the possibility that some fraction of the very strange 22% of unexplained cases might be due to distant and advanced civilizations.[128]

Possibly their bias may be indicated by their use of the terms "PAN" (French) or "UAP" (English equivalent) for "Unidentified Aerospace Phenomenon" (whereas "UAP" is normally used by English organizations stands for "Unidentified Aerial Phenomenon", a more neutral term). In addition, the three heads of the studies have gone on record in stating that UFOs were real physical flying machines beyond our knowledge or that the best explanation for the most inexplicable cases was an extraterrestrial one.[129][130][131] In 2007, the CNES's own report stated that, at that time, 28% of sightings remained unidentified.[132]

In 2008, Michel Scheller, president of the Association Aéronautique et Astronautique de France (3AF), created the Sigma Commission. Its purpose was to investigate UFO phenomena worldwide.[133] A progress report published in May 2010 stated that the central hypothesis proposed by the COMETA report is perfectly credible.[134] In December 2012, the final report of the Sigma Commission was submitted to Scheller. Following the submission of the final report, the Sigma2 Commission is to be formed with a mandate to continue the scientific investigation of UFO phenomena.[135][136]

Italy (1933–2005)

[edit]

Alleged UFO sightings gradually increased since the war, peaking in 1978 and 2005. The total number of sightings since 1947 are 18,500, of which 90% are identifiable.[137]

United Kingdom (1951–2009)

[edit]

The UK's Flying Saucer Working Party published its final report in June 1951, which remained secret for over fifty years. The Working Party concluded that all UFO sightings could be explained as misidentifications of ordinary objects or phenomena, optical illusions, psychological misperceptions/aberrations, or hoaxes. The report stated: "We accordingly recommend very strongly that no further investigation of reported mysterious aerial phenomena be undertaken, unless and until some material evidence becomes available."[138]

Eight file collections on UFO sightings, dating from 1978 to 1987, were first released on May 14, 2008, to The National Archives by the Ministry of Defence (MoD).[139] Although kept secret from the public for many years, most of the files have low levels of classification and none are classified Top Secret. 200 files are set to be made public by 2012. The files are correspondence from the public sent to the British government and officials, such as the MoD and Margaret Thatcher. The MoD released the files under the Freedom of Information Act due to requests from researchers.[140] These files include, but are not limited to, UFOs over Liverpool and Waterloo Bridge in London.[141]

On October 20, 2008, more UFO files were released. One case released detailed that in 1991 an Alitalia passenger aircraft was approaching London Heathrow Airport when the pilots saw what they described as a "cruise missile" fly extremely close to the cockpit. The pilots believed a collision was imminent. UFO expert David Clarke says this is one of the most convincing cases for a UFO he has come across.[142]

A secret study of UFOs was undertaken for the Ministry of Defence between 1996 and 2000 and was code-named Project Condign. The resulting report, titled "Unidentified Aerial Phenomena in the UK Defence Region", was publicly released in 2006, but the identity and credentials of whoever constituted Project Condign remains classified. The report confirmed earlier findings that the main causes of UFO sightings are misidentification of man-made and natural objects. The report noted: "No artefacts of unknown or unexplained origin have been reported or handed to the UK authorities, despite thousands of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena reports. There are no SIGINT, ELINT or radiation measurements and little useful video or still IMINT."[143]

It concluded: "There is no evidence that any UAP, seen in the UKADR [UK Air Defence Region], are incursions by air-objects of any intelligent (extraterrestrial or foreign) origin, or that they represent any hostile intent." A little-discussed conclusion of the report was that novel meteorological plasma phenomenon akin to ball lightning are responsible for "the majority, if not all" of otherwise inexplicable sightings, especially reports of black triangle UFOs.[143]

On December 1, 2009, the Ministry of Defence quietly closed down its UFO investigations unit. The unit's hotline and email address were suspended by the MoD on that date. The MoD said there was no value in continuing to receive and investigate sightings in a release, stating that "in over fifty years, no UFO report has revealed any evidence of a potential threat to the United Kingdom. The MoD has no specific capability for identifying the nature of such sightings. There is no Defence benefit in such investigation and it would be an inappropriate use of defence resources. Furthermore, responding to reported UFO sightings diverts MoD resources from tasks that are relevant to Defence." The Guardian reported that the MoD claimed the closure would save the Ministry around £50,000 a year. The MoD said it would continue to release UFO files to the public through The National Archives.[144]

UFO reports, Parliamentary questions, and letters from members of the public were released on August 5, 2010, to the UK National Archives. "In one letter included in the files, a man alleges Churchill ordered a coverup of a WW II-era UFO encounter involving the Royal Air Force".[145][139]

Reports of UFO sightings continue. According to The Independent, there were 957 reported UFO sightings across the UK between January 2021 and May 2023, with Manchester, London, Liverpool, and Glasgow being hotspots.[146]

Studies

[edit]

Critics argue that all UFO evidence is anecdotal[147] and can be explained as prosaic natural phenomena. Defenders of UFO research counter that knowledge of observational data, other than what is reported in the popular media, is limited in the scientific community and further study is needed.[148][149] Studies have established that the majority of UFO observations are misidentified conventional objects or natural phenomena—most commonly aircraft, balloons including sky lanterns, satellites, and astronomical objects such as meteors, bright stars and planets. A small percentage are hoaxes.[note 4]

Fewer than 10% of reported sightings remain unexplained after proper investigation and therefore can be classified as unidentified in the strictest sense. According to Steven Novella, proponents of the extraterrestrial hypothesis (ETH) suggest these unexplained reports are of alien spacecraft, however the null hypothesis cannot be excluded; that these reports are simply other more prosaic phenomena that cannot be identified due to lack of complete information or due to the necessary subjectivity of the reports. Novella says that instead of accepting the null hypothesis, UFO enthusiasts tend to engage in special pleading by offering outlandish, untested explanations for the validity of the ETH, which violate Occam's razor.[150]

Scientific

[edit]

Historically, ufology has not been considered credible in mainstream science.[151] The scientific community has generally deemed that UFO sightings are not worthy of serious investigation except as a cultural artifact.[152][112][109][153][154][155][156]

Allen Hynek (left) and Jacques Vallée

Studies of UFOs rarely appear in mainstream scientific literature. When asked, some scientists and scientific organizations have pointed to the end of official governmental studies in the U.S. in December 1969, following the statement by the government scientist Edward Condon that further study of UFOs could not be justified on grounds of scientific advancement.[109][157]

Nevertheless, on 14 September 2023, NASA reported the appointment, for the first time, of a NASA Director of UAP Research (known earlier as U.F.O.), identified as Mark McInerney, to scientifically, and transparently, study such occurrences.[158]

Status as a pseudoscience

[edit]

Despite investigations sponsored by governments and private entities, ufology is not embraced by academia as a scientific field of study, and is instead generally considered a pseudoscience by skeptics and science educators,[159] being often included on lists of topics characterized as pseudoscience as either a partial[160] or total[161][162] pseudoscience.[163][164][165][166][167] Pseudoscience is a term that classifies arguments that are claimed to exemplify the methods and principles of science, but do not adhere to an appropriate scientific method, lack supporting evidence, plausibility, falsifiability, or otherwise lack scientific status.[168]

Some writers have identified social factors that contribute to the status of ufology as a pseudoscience,[169][170][171] with one study suggesting that "any science doubt surrounding unidentified flying objects and aliens was not primarily due to the ignorance of ufologists about science, but rather a product of the respective research practices of and relations between ufology, the sciences, and government investigative bodies".[170] One study suggests that "the rudimentary standard of science communication attending to the extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI) hypothesis for UFOs inhibits public understanding of science, dissuades academic inquiry within the physical and social sciences, and undermines progressive space policy initiatives".[172]
Jacques Vallée

Jacques Vallée, a scientist and ufologist, claimed there were deficiencies in most UFO research, including government studies. He criticized the mythology and cultism often associated with UFO sightings, but despite the challenges, Vallée contended that several hundred professional scientists—a group both he and Hynek termed "the invisible college"—continued to study UFOs quietly on their own time.[148]

Studies

[edit]

UFOs have become a prevalent theme in modern culture,[148] and the social phenomena have been the subject of academic research in sociology and psychology.[151]

In 2021, astronomer Avi Loeb launched The Galileo Project[173] which intends to collect and report scientific evidence of extraterrestrials or extraterrestrial technology on or near Earth via telescopic observations.[174][175][176][177]

In Germany, the University of Würzburg is developing intelligent sensors that can help detect and analyze aerial objects in hopes of applying such technology to UAP.[178][179][180][181]

A 2021 Gallup poll found that belief among Americans in some UFOs being extraterrestrial spacecraft grew between 2019 and 2021 from 33% to 41%. Gallup cited increased coverage in mainstream news and scrutiny from government authorities as a factor in changing attitudes towards UFOs.[182]

In 2022, NASA announced a nine-month study starting in the fall to help establish a road map for investigating UAP—or for reconnaissance of the publicly available data it might use for such research.[183][184][185]

In 2023, the RAND Corporation published a study reviewing 101,151 public reports of UAP sightings in the United States from 1998 to 2022.[186] The models used to conduct the analysis showed that reports of UAP sightings were less likely within 30 km of weather stations, 60 km of civilian airports, and in more–densely populated areas, while rural areas tended to have a higher rate of UAP reports. The most consistent and statistically significant finding was that reports of UAP sightings were more likely to occur within 30 km of military operations areas, where routine military training occurs.

Sturrock panel categorization

[edit]

Besides anecdotal visual sightings, reports sometimes include claims of other kinds of evidence, including cases studied by the military and various government agencies of different countries (such as Project Blue Book, the Condon Committee, the French GEPAN/SEPRA, and Uruguay's current Air Force study).

A comprehensive scientific review of cases where physical evidence was available was carried out by the 1998 Sturrock panel, with specific examples of many of the categories listed below.

  • Radar contact and tracking, sometimes from multiple sites. These have included military personnel and control tower operators, simultaneous visual sightings, and aircraft intercepts. One such example was the mass sightings of large, silent, low-flying black triangles in 1989 and 1990 over Belgium, tracked by NATO radar and jet interceptors, and investigated by Belgium's military (included photographic evidence). Another famous case from 1986 was the Japan Air Lines flight 1628 incident over Alaska investigated by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).
  • Photographic evidence, including still photos, movie film, and video.
  • Claims of physical trace of landing UFOs, including ground impressions, burned or desiccated soil, burned and broken foliage, magnetic anomalies[specify], increased radiation levels, and metallic traces. (See, e. g. Height 611 UFO incident or the 1964 Lonnie Zamora's Socorro, New Mexico encounter of the USAF Project Blue Book cases.) A well-known example from December 1980 was the USAF Rendlesham Forest incident in England. Another occurred in January 1981 in Trans-en-Provence and was investigated by GEPAN, then France's official government UFO-investigation agency. Project Blue Book head Edward J. Ruppelt described a classic 1952 CE2 case involving a patch of charred grass roots.
  • Physiological effects on people and animals including temporary paralysis, skin burns and rashes, corneal burns, and symptoms superficially resembling radiation poisoning, such as the Cash-Landrum incident in 1980.
  • Animal/cattle mutilation cases, which some feel are also part of the UFO phenomenon.
  • Biological effects on plants such as increased or decreased growth, germination effects on seeds, and blown-out stem nodes (usually associated with physical trace cases or crop circles)
  • Electromagnetic interference (EM) effects. A famous 1976 military case over Tehran, recorded in CIA and DIA classified documents, was associated with communication losses in multiple aircraft and weapons system failure in an F-4 Phantom II jet interceptor as it was about to fire a missile on one of the UFOs.[187]
  • Apparent remote radiation detection, some noted in FBI and CIA documents occurring over government nuclear installations at Los Alamos National Laboratory and Oak Ridge National Laboratory in 1950, also reported by Project Blue Book director Edward J. Ruppelt in his book.
  • Claimed artifacts of UFOs themselves, such as 1957, Ubatuba, Brazil, magnesium fragments analyzed by the Brazilian government and in the Condon Report and by others. The 1964 Lonnie Zamora incident also left metal traces, analyzed by NASA.[188][189] A more recent example involves a teardrop-shaped object recovered by Bob White and was featured in a television episode of UFO Hunters[190] but was later found to be accumulated waste metal residue from a grinding machine.[191]
  • Angel hair and angel grass, possibly explained in some cases as nests from ballooning spiders or chaff.[192]

Scientific skepticism

[edit]

A scientifically skeptical group that has for many years offered critical analyses of UFO claims is the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry (CSI). One example is the response to local beliefs that "extraterrestrial beings" in UFOs were responsible for crop circles appearing in Indonesia, which the government and the National Institute of Aeronautics and Space (LAPAN) described as "man-made". Thomas Djamaluddin, research professor of astronomy and astrophysics at LAPAN stated: "We have come to agree that this 'thing' cannot be scientifically proven. Scientists have put UFOs in the category of pseudoscience."[193]

Governmental

[edit]
UFO drawing, authenticity unknown, attribution and date unspecified. One of hundreds of files resulting from US President Bill Clinton's 1995 order to the CIA to declassify all documents with "historical value" that were at least 25 years old.

UFOs have been the subject of investigations by various governments that have provided extensive records related to the subject. Many of the most involved government-sponsored investigations ended after agencies concluded that there was no benefit to continued investigation.[194][195] These same negative conclusions also have been found in studies that were highly classified for many years, such as the UK's Flying Saucer Working Party, Project Condign, the U.S. CIA-sponsored Robertson Panel, the U.S. military investigation into the green fireballs from 1948 to 1951, and the Battelle Memorial Institute study for the USAF from 1952 to 1955 (Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14).

Some public government reports have acknowledged the possibility of the physical reality of UFOs, but have stopped short of proposing extraterrestrial origins, though not dismissing the possibility entirely. Examples are the Belgian military investigation into large triangles over their airspace in 1989–1991 and the 2009 Uruguayan Air Force study conclusion (see below).

Claims by military, government, and aviation personnel

[edit]

In 2007, former Arizona governor Fife Symington claimed he had seen "a massive, delta-shaped craft silently navigate over Squaw Peak, a mountain range in Phoenix, Arizona" in 1997.[196] Apollo 14 astronaut Edgar Mitchell claimed he knew of senior government employees who had been involved in "close encounters", and because of this, he has no doubt that aliens have visited Earth.[197]

In May 2019, The New York Times reported that American Navy fighter jets had several instances of unidentified instrumentation and tracking data while conducting exercises off the eastern seaboard of the United States from the summer of 2014 to March 2015. The Times published a cockpit instrument video that appeared to show an object moving at high speed near the ocean surface as it appeared to rotate, and objects that appeared capable of high acceleration, deceleration and maneuverability. In two separate incidents, a pilot reported his cockpit instruments locked onto and tracked objects but he was unable to see them through his helmet camera. In another encounter, flight instruments recorded an image described as a sphere encasing a cube between two jets as they flew about 100 feet apart.[198] The Pentagon officially released these videos on April 27, 2020.[199] The United States Navy has said there have been "a number of reports of unauthorized and/or unidentified aircraft entering various military-controlled ranges and designated air space in recent years".[200]

According to former U.S. Navy Lieutenant Ryan Graves, UAPs spotted by US Navy crew aboard the USS Nimitz, the USS Princeton, and other carriers in 2014 prompted flight safety concerns by some Navy pilots.[201][202] Graves, described as "one of the most vocal advocates for UAP transparency", said the appearance of UFOs was frequent near aircraft carriers.[201] In 2019, a US Navy spokesperson, Joseph Gradisher stated that "For safety and security concerns, the Navy and the [US Air Force] takes these reports very seriously and investigates each and every report." and because of the sightings, the "Navy is updating and formalising the process" of reporting,[203][204] with the reporting process updated by 2020 [205]

In May 2021, military pilots recalled their related encounters, along with camera and radar support, including one pilot's account noting that such incidents occurred "every day for at least a couple of years", according to an interview broadcast on the news program, 60 Minutes (May 16, 2021).[206][207] Science writer and skeptic Mick West suggested the image was the result of an optical effect called a bokeh which can make out of focus light sources appear triangular or pyramidal due to the shape of the aperture of some lenses.[208][209] In August, 2022, an article by West provided his detailed analysis of the video.[210]

The 2021 Pentagon UFO Report

On June 25, 2021, U.S. Defense and intelligence officials released the nine pages Pentagon UFO Report (Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) on what they know about a series of unidentified flying objects that have been seen by American military pilots in the skies between 2004 and 2021.[211][212] It observed that "UAP probably lack a single explanation", but identified airborne clutter and foreign adversary systems as among possible objects that "clearly pose a safety of flight issue and may pose a challenge to U.S. national security".[213][214][215][216] The report also mentioned dangers associated with "an increasingly cluttered air domain" .[214] The issue of safety with commercial airlines has also been raised.[217][218] The report does not mentions extraterrestrials, but concludes that the objects found by the US military appear to be real in the majority of the 144 occurrences documented.[212] "Most of the UAP reported probably do represent physical objects given that a majority of UAP were registered across multiple sensors, to include radar, infrared, electro-optical, weapon seekers, and visual observation", according to the report.[212] The report also stated that "UAP probably lack a single explanation", and proposed five possible categories of explanation: airborne clutter, natural atmospheric phenomena, US government or industry development technology, foreign craft, and an "Other" category.[219] Commenting on the document, NASA Administrator Bill Nelson said that he did not think we are alone, but the UFO sightings by pilots "may not be extraterrestrial."[220]

In December 2021, further official governmental investigations into UAPs and related, along with annual unclassified reports presented to Congress, have been authorized and funded.[221] Some have raised concerns about the new investigations.[222]

President of the United States Joe Biden in 2023 signed the Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena Disclosure Act into law as part of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024 on December 14, 2023.[223] The 64-page amendment defined and codified 22 technical definitions related to UFOs and non-human intelligence under the law.[224]

Conspiracy theories

[edit]

UFOs are sometimes an element of conspiracy theories in which governments are allegedly intentionally "covering up" the existence of aliens by removing physical evidence of their presence or even collaborating with extraterrestrial beings. There are many versions of this story; some are exclusive, while others overlap with various other conspiracy theories.

In the U.S., an opinion poll conducted in 1997 suggested that 80% of Americans believed the U.S. government was withholding such information.[225][226] Various notables have also expressed such views. Some examples are astronauts Gordon Cooper and Edgar Mitchell, Senator Barry Goldwater, Vice Admiral Roscoe H. Hillenkoetter (the first CIA director), Lord Hill-Norton (former British Chief of Defense Staff and NATO head), the 1999 French COMETA study by various French generals and aerospace experts, and Yves Sillard (former director of CNES, new director of French UFO research organization GEIPAN).[126]

In June 2023, United States Air Force officer and former intelligence official David Grusch claimed that the U.S. federal government has maintained a highly secretive UFO retrieval program since the 1940s and that the government possesses multiple spacecraft of "non-human" origin.[227][228]

In May 2025, Matthew Brown, another former intelligence official, claimed elements of the US Government executive branch had conspired to prevent the US Congress from exercising its lawful powers of oversight with respect to UAP, Technology of Unknown Origin (TUO) and Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) issues. He also claimed there was a "criminal conspiracy" to keep the elected government of the United States ignorant of "the profound discoveries and dire threats originating from the existence of UAP, NHI, and their technologies." He claimed there was an Unacknowledged Special Access Program (USAP) called "Immaculate Constellation" that consolidated observations of UAP etc. and used "sophisticated internal information security controls" to enforce the detection, quarantining and compartmentalisation of UAP imagery collection incidents before they were circulated within the various branches of national and military intelligence. This was how such sightings and observations could be denied to exist by intelligence officials when questioned on it because it had been hidden to them by systems of internal secrecy they were unaware about.[229][230][231][unreliable source?]

A document written by an anonymous whistleblower (since revealed to have been authored by Matthew Brown in about 2018) was submitted to the Congressional Record at a public hearing of the House Oversight Committee in November 2024.[232]

In a later interview with Jeremy Corbell and George Knapp, released online in May 2024, Brown claimed that a secret group of people had successfully "reverse engineered" TUO from downed UAP and the rest of humanity had been "left behind".[233]

"Disclosure" advocates
[edit]

In May 2001, a press conference was held at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C., by an organization called the Disclosure Project, featuring twenty persons including retired Air Force and FAA personnel, intelligence officers and an air traffic controller.[234][235][236][237][238][239][240] They all gave a brief account of their claims that evidence of UFOs was being suppressed and said they would be willing to testify under oath to a Congressional committee. According to a 2002 report in the Oregon Daily Emerald, Disclosure Project founder Steven M. Greer is an "alien theorist" who claims "proof of government coverup" consisting of 120 hours of testimony from various government officials on the topic of UFOs, including astronaut Gordon Cooper.[241]

In 2007, the German UFO conspiracy forum Disclose.tv was created. The website's name references the concept of disclosure.[242]

On September 27, 2010, a group of six former USAF officers and one former enlisted Air Force man held a press conference at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C., on the theme "U.S. Nuclear Weapons Have Been Compromised by Unidentified Aerial Objects"[243] in which they claimed they had witnessed UFOs hovering near missile sites and even disarming the missiles.

From April 29 to May 3, 2013, the Paradigm Research Group held the "Citizen Hearing on Disclosure" at the National Press Club. The group paid former U.S. Senator Mike Gravel and former Representatives Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick, Roscoe Bartlett, Merrill Cook, Darlene Hooley, and Lynn Woolsey $20,000 each to hear testimony from a panel of researchers which included witnesses from military, agency, and political backgrounds.[244][245]

Religious

[edit]

UFOs have been interpreted by some groups in a religious way, often influenced by the Theosophical tradition. Some Christians have interpreted UFOs as demonic entities.[246]

Ufology

[edit]
Swirling multicolored cloud like object in the sky
A photograph of an unusual atmospheric occurrence observed over Sri Lanka, forwarded to the UK Ministry of Defence by RAF Fylingdales, 2004

Ufology is a neologism describing the study of UFO reports and associated evidence.[247][248] Limited institutional or scientific study has given rise to independent researchers and UFO organizations, including the National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP) in the mid-20th century and, more recently, the Mutual UFO Network (MUFON)[249] and the Center for UFO Studies (CUFOS).[250]

[edit]
A UFO monument in Tenjo, Colombia

UFOs have constituted a widespread international cultural phenomenon since the 1950s. Gallup Polls rank UFOs near the top of lists for subjects of widespread recognition. In 1973, a survey found that 95 percent of the public reported having heard of UFOs, whereas only 92 percent had heard of U.S. President Gerald Ford in a 1977 poll taken just nine months after he left the White House.[251][252]

A 1996 Gallup Poll reported that 71 percent of the United States population believed the U.S. government was covering up information regarding UFOs. A 2002 Roper Poll for the Sci-Fi Channel found similar results, but with more people believing UFOs are extraterrestrial craft. In that latest poll, 56 percent thought UFOs were real craft and 48 percent that aliens had visited the Earth. Again, about 70 percent felt the government was not sharing everything it knew about UFOs or extraterrestrial life.[253][254]

Another effect of the flying saucer type of UFO sightings has been Earth-made flying saucer craft in space fiction, for example the United Planets Cruiser C57D in Forbidden Planet (1956), the Jupiter 2 in Lost in Space, and the saucer section of the USS Enterprise in Star Trek. UFOs and extraterrestrials have been featured in many movies.

The intense secrecy surrounding the secret Nevada base, known as Area 51, has made it the frequent subject of conspiracy theories and a central component of UFO folklore. In July 2019, more than 2 million people replied to a joke proposal to storm Area 51 which appeared in an anonymous Facebook post.[255] Two music festivals in rural Nevada, "AlienStock" and "Storm Area 51 Basecamp", were subsequently organized to capitalize on the popularity of the original Facebook event.[256] 150 people showed up to the Area 51 entrance and attendance at the festivals was 1,500.[257]

See also

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Notes

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References

[edit]

Bibliography

[edit]
[edit]
Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
An unidentified flying object (UFO), more recently rebranded as an unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP) to mitigate cultural stigma, denotes any airborne object, light, or optical effect observed whose provenance and characteristics elude immediate identification as conventional aircraft, atmospheric artifacts, sensor malfunctions, or prosaic human activities. Sightings have been documented sporadically across history, including anomalous celestial reports in medieval European chronicles, but systematic scrutiny emerged post-World War II amid Cold War aerial tensions, with the U.S. Air Force's Project Blue Book cataloging 12,618 reports from 1947 to 1969, of which approximately 701—roughly 5.6%—defied conclusive explanation after exhaustive review by astronomers, engineers, and pilots. These unresolved cases often involved radar-visual correlations or high-speed maneuvers inconsistent with then-known technology, yet official analyses attributed the vast majority of incidents to misperceptions of stars, balloons, aircraft, or meteorological phenomena, underscoring the primacy of empirical verification over speculative interpretations. Contemporary government assessments, such as the 2021 Office of the Director of National Intelligence preliminary report on 144 UAP incidents from 2004–2021, similarly find most observations lacking sufficient data for resolution, positing categories like airborne clutter, natural atmospheric events, U.S. or foreign developmental programs, or "other" as plausible prosaic origins, while explicitly noting an absence of evidence for extraterrestrial involvement or breakthrough physics. Scientific inquiry into UFOs remains constrained by inconsistent reporting standards and evidential gaps, with peer-reviewed evaluations emphasizing that while a minority of high-quality sightings resist ready dismissal, no reproducible empirical data supports claims of non-human intelligence, aligning unexplained residuals more readily with observational errors, advanced drones, or classified terrestrial systems than with interstellar visitation. This tension between perceptual anomalies and causal accountability has fueled decades of debate, government destigmatization efforts, and calls for standardized data collection to prioritize national security implications over unsubstantiated narratives.

Terminology and Definition

Historical and modern terminology

Prior to the mid-20th century, reports of anomalous aerial sightings lacked standardized terminology, with observers often describing them as mysterious lights, phantom objects, or unexplained phenomena without a unifying label. During World War II, Allied and Axis pilots encountered luminous orbs dubbed "foo fighters," a term originating from cartoon slang adopted by aircrews to denote unidentified glowing entities trailing aircraft, as documented in declassified military accounts. The phrase "" emerged on June 24, 1947, following pilot Kenneth Arnold's sighting of nine high-speed objects near , Washington, which he likened in motion to "saucers skipping across the water" during an interview; journalists subsequently popularized the term to describe disc-shaped unidentified objects, marking the onset of widespread modern reporting. This descriptor dominated public and media discourse through the , evoking flat, circular craft despite many sightings involving varied shapes. The acronym "UFO," standing for Unidentified Flying Object, was formalized in 1953 by U.S. Air Force Captain , who oversaw investigations, to replace sensational terms like "" and emphasize neutral, technical classification of any airborne anomaly not immediately identifiable as conventional aircraft, balloons, or natural events. By definition, UFO denotes empirical observation of an unexplained aerial entity, irrespective of origin, though cultural usage frequently implies extraterrestrial hypotheses unsupported by verified evidence. In recent decades, official U.S. government entities have shifted to "UAP" (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) or the broader "Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena" to encompass multi-domain detections—including air, sea, and space—beyond strictly flying objects, aiming to reduce stigma and facilitate scientific scrutiny, as reflected in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence's June 25, 2021, preliminary assessment and subsequent directives. This terminology, adopted by and military protocols by 2022, prioritizes data-driven analysis over speculative narratives, acknowledging that most resolved cases trace to prosaic causes like optical illusions or classified technology while leaving a minority unexplained.

Criteria for classification as unidentified

A sighting qualifies as an unidentified flying object when it involves the visual or instrumental observation of an airborne object whose nature, origin, or behavior cannot be determined through standard identification procedures, despite the provision of sufficient credible data. In the context of the U.S. Air Force's (1947–1969), which analyzed 12,618 reports, a case was deemed unidentified if the report contained all pertinent details necessary to identify it as a conventional , celestial body, or atmospheric phenomenon, yet the description defied such explanation. Of these, 701 remained unidentified, often due to anomalous motion, lack of signatures, or maneuvers inconsistent with known , such as rapid acceleration without visible exhaust. Classification requires initial elimination of prosaic explanations, including misidentifications of commercial or military aircraft, balloons, drones, birds, meteorological events like temperature inversions or mirages, and optical illusions or sensor artifacts. Reports must exhibit reliability thresholds, such as corroboration from multiple trained observers (e.g., pilots or radar operators), sensor data beyond visual acuity, or physical traces, to avoid dismissal as hoaxes or perceptual errors; single-witness anecdotal accounts with vague details rarely meet this bar. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO), established in 2022, applies similar standards, resolving most cases as airborne clutter, natural phenomena, or U.S./adversary systems once data is scrutinized, but retaining as unidentified those defying attribution even with enhanced multi-sensor analysis. Empirical criteria emphasize quantifiable anomalies, such as objects exhibiting transmedium travel (air to water without deceleration), hypersonic speeds without sonic booms, or low-observability to and while evading countermeasures, which preclude conventional explanations like . Insufficient —common in over 80% of historical reports—prevents as either or unidentified, leading AARO to note that better would resolve most unresolved cases without invoking extraordinary hypotheses. International bodies, such as France's (since ), use parallel protocols, classifying as "D" (unidentified) only 3–5% of vetted cases after excluding psychological factors and faults, prioritizing causal mechanisms over speculative origins. Unidentified status thus denotes evidential gaps rather than inherent exoticism, demanding rigorous falsification of mundane causes before further inference.

Historical Context

Ancient and pre-20th century reports

Reports of unidentified aerial phenomena predate classical antiquity, with ancient societies interpreting unexplained sky events as symbolic signs or messages. Babylonian astronomical tablets dating to around 1000 BCE describe unusual celestial objects alongside standard observations. The vision of the Hebrew prophet around 593 BCE, depicting "wheels within wheels" as a complex aerial manifestation, endures in literature but was framed within religious prophecy rather than technical analysis. Reports continued into , with Roman historian recording in 218 BCE that "ships, gleaming and bright, were seen in the sky" over the region during the Second Punic War, interpreted at the time as a portent. Similar accounts appear in Pliny the Elder's , describing a "spark" falling from a star in 76 BCE, expanding into a large flame before returning to the heavens, likely a or based on descriptions. A scientific analysis of such classical reports identifies patterns consistent with atmospheric events like bright meteors, halos, and auroras, rather than structured craft, though the ancient witnesses lacked modern explanatory frameworks. In the , a published by Hans Glaser documented a mass sighting over on April 14, 1561, where numerous spheres, cylinders, and crosses reportedly emerged from larger cylindrical objects, engaged in apparent aerial maneuvers, and some crashed to the ground, witnessed by residents from dawn until midday and viewed as a divine warning amid religious tensions. Five years later, on July 27-28 and August 7, 1566, residents of observed black spheres and red-black balls appearing to battle in the sky near sunrise and sunset, with some objects vanishing in a fiery glow, as detailed in a contemporary ; these events coincided with unusual atmospheric conditions and were similarly framed as omens. Modern examinations attribute the Nuremberg and Basel phenomena to parhelia (sundogs), contrails from high-altitude ice crystals, or , given the era's limited optical knowledge and tendency to anthropomorphize natural displays. The late 19th century saw a wave of sightings in the United States known as the mystery airships, beginning in November 1896 with reports in California of cigar-shaped craft with propellers, lights, and sails navigating silently at night. By April 1897, thousands of witnesses across states like Texas and Illinois described similar airships crewed by human-like figures, some claiming communication with inventors testing secret prototypes ahead of public aviation; newspaper accounts from the San Francisco Call and Dallas Morning News detailed specific sightings, such as a craft landing near Sacramento on November 22, 1896. Investigations revealed many as hoaxes fueled by yellow journalism or misidentified stars and balloons, though a subset lacked prosaic explanations and predated verified heavier-than-air flight, prompting speculation of clandestine experiments by figures like Solomon Andrews. These reports peaked in May 1897 before subsiding, reflecting public fascination with emerging aeronautics amid sparse verifiable evidence.

20th century origins and proliferation

The modern phenomenon of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) in the 20th century emerged amid wartime and postwar aerial mysteries, beginning with reports from Allied pilots during World War II. Starting in November 1944, airmen over Europe and the Pacific encountered luminous, orb-like objects dubbed "foo fighters" that paced their aircraft at high speeds, often in formations, without exhibiting hostile intent or identifiable propulsion; these were described as glowing orbs or discs observed at high altitude and speed, appearing to maneuver intelligently. These sightings, reported by multiple squadrons including the U.S. 415th Night Fighter Squadron, persisted until war's end and were initially attributed to enemy secret weapons, such as German or Japanese devices, though no evidence confirmed this; post-war investigations and scientific reviews suggested many were consistent with atmospheric or electrical phenomena such as ball lightning, St. Elmo’s fire, or electrostatic effects on aircraft. The term "foo fighter," borrowed from comic strip slang for foolish behavior, reflected pilots' frustration with the unexplained phenomena, which evaded interception attempts and disappeared abruptly. Postwar tensions amplified similar reports, particularly the "ghost rockets" sighted across from May to December . Swedish authorities logged over 2,000 sightings of cigar- or -shaped objects trailing smoke or fire, some producing sonic booms and diving into lakes, with fragments recovered from sites like Lake Kolmjärv on July 19, . These were suspected to be Soviet tests of captured German V-2 rockets, given Stalin's program and proximity to Finnish borders, though declassified U.S. assessed many as natural meteors or while acknowledging unexplained trajectories defying known . The Swedish military's recovery efforts, including divers and tracking, failed to identify origins conclusively, fueling speculation of foreign amid onset; Greek reports of similar objects in echoed the pattern but remained unlinked. The pivotal event catalyzing proliferation occurred on June 24, 1947, when private pilot observed nine shiny, crescent-shaped objects flying in loose formation near , Washington, at estimated speeds exceeding 1,200 miles per hour—far surpassing contemporary capabilities. Arnold described their motion as "like a saucer if you skip it across water," a reporters distorted into "flying saucers," coining the term for disc-like UFOs and igniting nationwide media frenzy. His credible account, corroborated by visual estimates against known landmarks, prompted over 800 UFO reports across the U.S. in the ensuing months, many from pilots and civilians describing similar high-speed, erratic maneuvers immune to conventional explanation. This surge marked the origins of widespread public and official interest in UFOs, driven by sensational press coverage rather than isolated wartime anomalies; newspapers like the East Oregonian amplified Arnold's story on June 25, 1947, correlating with spikes in sightings attributable to heightened awareness and misidentification of weather balloons or jets, though a subset resisted prosaic debunking. Proliferation reflected causal factors like aviation expansion and nuclear-age anxieties, not of extraterrestrial craft, as military probes like the U.S. Army Air Forces' initial inquiries prioritized over anomaly resolution.

Post-1947 developments and peaks

The surge in unidentified flying object reports following the initial 1947 sightings prompted the U.S. Air Force to establish in 1948 as its first systematic investigation into such phenomena, analyzing over 200 cases that year amid concerns over potential foreign technology during the early . This evolved into in 1949, which adopted a more skeptical stance, and then in 1952, which cataloged 12,618 total sightings through 1969, deeming 701 (about 5.6%) truly unidentified after excluding hoaxes, misidentifications of aircraft, balloons, and astronomical objects. Declassified analyses later attributed many 1950s-1960s peaks to misperceptions of high-altitude U.S. spy planes like the U-2, which flew above typical detection and civilian visual norms, generating reports as objects appearing to hover or maneuver erratically. A notable peak occurred in 1952, exemplified by the Washington, D.C., flap from July 12-29, during which multiple radar stations tracked unidentified targets over restricted airspace near the and Capitol, corroborated by ground witnesses and airline pilots, prompting Air Force interceptors to scramble unsuccessfully as the objects evaded pursuit at speeds exceeding 7,000 mph per radar data. Official explanations cited temperature inversions causing radar anomalies, though critics including astronomer noted inconsistencies with visual confirmations, fueling public speculation and media frenzy that amplified subsequent reports nationwide. This incident, involving seven separate radar-visual events, represented one of the highest concentrations of credible military-verified sightings in U.S. history up to that point. Sightings escalated again in the mid-1960s, reaching a documented apex in 1966 with over 1,000 reports logged by Blue Book, including mass observations in Michigan's "Swamp Gas" incidents where Hynek initially attributed lights to marsh gases but later revised toward unexplained aerial behaviors resistant to conventional prosaic dismissals. Contributing factors included heightened media coverage—such as magazine's 1952 feature on "flying saucers"—and cultural influences like George Adamski's claims, which popularized disc-shaped narratives, though empirical data showed reports correlating more with , air traffic, and experimental military tests than extraterrestrial hypotheses. By the late 1960s, annual volumes declined as Blue Book concluded no threat or scientific breakthrough warranted continuation, shifting focus to routine debunking. Post-Blue Book, civilian databases like the recorded irregular peaks, such as 1973's global wave tied to geopolitical tensions and the Pascagoula abduction claim, and 1997's event involving V-shaped formations witnessed by thousands across , later partially linked to military flares but with unresolved leading elements per witness testimonies and video. These patterns reflect causal drivers like technological advancements in and enabling more detections, alongside psychological contagion from publicity, rather than uniform evidence of novel phenomena, as unidentified rates remained low (under 6%) across datasets when rigorously vetted against prosaic alternatives.

Characteristics of Sightings

Common physical descriptions

Witness reports of unidentified flying objects frequently describe luminous phenomena such as orbs or points of light, often appearing as bright, multicolored glows without discernible structure. These account for the majority of sightings in comprehensive databases, with the (NUFORC) classifying "light" or "orb" shapes as the most prevalent, comprising over 20% of entries in their catalog of tens of thousands of reports. Such descriptions typically note steady or pulsating illumination in colors including , orange, , and blue, with sizes ranging from star-like points to basketball-sized apparitions, frequently observed at night and exhibiting erratic motion. Structured craft reports, though less common, emphasize solid, metallic appearances. Shapes vary widely by report; disc or saucer forms, while the classic "horizontal saucer" (flat side level, like a plate flying flat) represents a media stereotype, include "vertical disc" or "upright saucer" descriptions where the disc appears edge-on or tilted vertically, as reported in the 1947 flying disc era and modern military UAP videos. These were popularized after Kenneth Arnold's 1947 sighting of nine crescent-like objects near described as "flat like a pie pan" and shiny as polished metal, often reported as double-disc configurations with a central dome, approximately 20-50 feet in diameter, and silvery or aluminum-hued surfaces. NUFORC data lists "circle" and "disk" shapes with over 15,000 and several thousand reports respectively, frequently metallic and reflective. Triangular or delta-shaped objects emerged prominently in later decades, particularly from the onward, described as large black wedges, 100-200 feet across, with steady white lights at vertices and sometimes a central light, lacking visible exhaust or . These constitute a significant portion of NUFORC submissions, second only to lights in frequency. Cigar-shaped craft, elongated and tube-like without wings, appear in around 4,000 NUFORC entries, often metallic gray and emitting . Historical analyses indicate a shift from disc dominance in mid-20th-century reports to increased triangular sightings post-1980, potentially reflecting observational biases or evolving phenomena. Other recurring features include spherical or oval forms, sometimes glowing, and chevron or variants, but these are less frequent. Reports consistently note absence of conventional aerodynamic features like wings or rotors, with surfaces appearing seamless and impervious to weather. Empirical aggregations from sources like NUFORC, spanning over cases since 1906, underscore lights and geometric solids as dominant, though source credibility varies, with self-reported data prone to perceptual errors yet providing patterned consistencies across independent witnesses.

Behavioral patterns and anomalies

Reports of unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) frequently describe flight behaviors inconsistent with known aeronautical technology, including the ability to hover stationarily in strong winds, maneuver erratically against , execute abrupt directional changes, and achieve high speeds without visible signatures. In the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence's 2021 preliminary assessment of 144 UAP incidents from 2004 to 2021, 18 cases involving 21 reports highlighted such anomalous movement patterns, often corroborated by multiple sensors including , , electro-optical systems, and pilot observations. These behaviors challenge conventional explanations, as they imply accelerations and turns exceeding human-piloted tolerances, with estimated inertial measurements from declassified videos suggesting forces up to 40–700 g-forces in some instances, far beyond structural limits of terrestrial craft. Additional anomalies include transmedium capabilities, where objects transition seamlessly between air and water without deceleration or splash signatures, as noted in U.S. Navy encounters such as the 2004 incident involving a ""-shaped object that descended rapidly from 80,000 feet to sea level in seconds. Sensor data from (FLIR) systems and in these events reveal objects lacking exhaust plumes or rotor wash, yet maintaining precise control, with some reports indicating hypersonic velocities—exceeding Mach 5—without sonic booms or atmospheric heating effects expected from conventional high-speed flight. The (AARO) has documented persistent clustering of such reports near military operating areas and advanced sensors, suggesting potential interest in or strategic assets, though unresolved cases resist prosaic attributions like balloons or drones due to mismatched kinematic profiles. Patterns also encompass formation flying among multiple objects, instantaneous acceleration from hover to high velocity, and apparent cloaking or low-observability, where visual and radar signatures intermittently vanish despite prior locks. NASA's 2023 independent study on UAP emphasized the need for improved sensor calibration to validate these claims, noting that poor metadata and single-sensor reliance often preclude definitive analysis, yet multimodal data in select cases—such as electro-optical and radar tracks—confirm non-ballistic trajectories defying gravity without lift surfaces. Historical precedents, including 1947–1952 U.S. Air Force and Blue Book files, similarly cataloged accelerations estimated at thousands of mph in seconds and right-angle turns at altitude, attributes unattributable to then-current . While stigma and data limitations hinder comprehensive empirical modeling, these recurring observables point to propulsion technologies potentially exploiting novel physics, warranting rigorous, stigma-free to discern causal mechanisms over speculative narratives.

Data from sensors and multiple witnesses

One prominent case involving sensor data and multiple witnesses occurred on September 19, 1976, over , , where ground at Mehrabad Airport detected an unidentified object at approximately 12:30 a.m. , prompting reports from civilians and leading to the scramble of two F-4 Phantom II jets. The first jet, approaching within 27 nautical miles, experienced complete instrumentation and communications failure when attempting to fire a , while visual observation from the confirmed a bright object with multicolored lights. A smaller object detached from the main craft, pursued the jet, and caused similar electronic disruptions; ground and the second jet's instruments corroborated the object's maneuvers, including rapid directional changes inconsistent with known . The U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency's declassified evaluation described the incident as an "outstanding report" with no conventional explanation, supported by radar-visual correlation from military and civilian sources. The of 1989–1990 featured extensive radar-visual confirmations, culminating on March 30–31, 1990, when two F-16 fighters were scrambled after ground at Glons detected objects accelerating from 150 to 1,100 mph in seconds, evading locks despite maneuvers. Belgian Air Force operators tracked triangular objects with lights, corroborated by over 13,000 witnesses across the region, including police and civilians who reported silent, hovering craft performing impossible right-angle turns. General Wilfried De Brouwer, the operation's commander, later confirmed the data showed no evidence of conventional or balloons, with objects descending rapidly from 9,000 feet to . Photographic evidence from witnesses aligned with positions, though some images were deemed inconclusive; the Belgian military's official assessment ruled out hoaxes or misidentifications like helicopters. In November 2004, during exercises off , the USS Princeton's SPY-1 detected multiple objects descending from 80,000 feet to sea level in under a second, tracked over five days by the cruiser's advanced systems. David Fravor and Alex Dietrich, leading F/A-18 Super Hornets from , visually encountered a white, Tic Tac-shaped object about 40 feet long, hovering above a disturbance in the ocean, which then mirrored their movements before accelerating away at high speed. forward-looking (FLIR) from a subsequent jet captured the object without visible , exhibiting no wings, rotors, or exhaust; and visual reports from multiple pilots and ship crews ruled out U.S. or known foreign assets. The authenticated the videos in 2020, noting the object's performance exceeded known aerodynamics. U.S. government assessments of unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) from 2004–2021 indicate that a significant portion involved multi-sensor detections, including , , electro-optical, and visual observations by trained . The Office of the Director of National Intelligence's preliminary report highlighted 18 incidents with unusual flight characteristics corroborated across platforms, such as sustained clustering or high-speed traversal, without attributing them to foreign adversaries or natural phenomena. (AARO) analyses through 2024 continue to document cases with sensor data from multiple witnesses, emphasizing unresolved anomalies while finding no of extraterrestrial origins. ![Cover of the ODNI Preliminary Assessment on UAP][center]

Official Investigations and Reports

United States government efforts

The U.S. Air Force established in January 1948 to investigate unidentified flying object reports amid post-World War II sightings, including the July 1947 , with initial assessments considering possible extraterrestrial origins but prioritizing threats from advanced foreign technology. analyzed early reports and transitioned into the more skeptical in February 1949, which reviewed 244 cases and recommended de-emphasizing public UFO interest to avoid panic or interference with military operations. In 1952, was renamed under Air Force leadership, operating until its termination on December 17, 1969, after cataloging and investigating 12,618 sightings; official conclusions stated that 701 remained unidentified due to insufficient data, but none evidenced extraterrestrial vehicles, revolutionary technology, or threats to the , with most attributable to misidentifications of aircraft, balloons, or astronomical phenomena. Parallel efforts involved the , which monitored UFO reports from 1947 onward for intelligence value and convened the in January 1953—a scientific advisory group that reviewed 23 cases and recommended public education to reduce sightings by debunking and withholding data to prevent false threat perceptions or exploitation by adversaries. The University of Colorado's , funded by the Air Force from 1966 to 1968, examined 59 UFO events and produced a report concluding no scientific benefit in continued study, as no evidence supported anomalous phenomena beyond explainable causes, leading to Project Blue Book's closure. Following these programs, formal government investigations lapsed for decades, with declassified documents from the revealing ongoing but ad hoc military reviews of sightings, often linked to high-altitude tests like U-2 flights that accounted for over half of unexplained Blue Book cases. In 2007, the initiated the (AATIP), a secretive $22 million effort through 2012 to assess unidentified aerial threats using advanced sensors and , which documented incidents like the 2004 "Tic Tac" encounter involving , , and eyewitness data defying conventional explanations. Renewed attention followed the ' 2017 disclosure of AATIP videos, prompting the to authorize UAP reporting in April 2019 and Congress to mandate unclassified assessments via the 2020 . The , established in 2020 under the Office of the (ODNI) and Department of Defense, coordinated interagency efforts and issued a June 2021 preliminary assessment of 144 military-reported UAP incidents from 2004 to 2021, classifying most as unexplained due to limited data but attributing potential causes to airborne clutter, natural phenomena, U.S. or industry technology, foreign adversaries, or an unspecified "other" bin, with no determination of extraterrestrial origins. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO), stood up by the Department of Defense in July 2022, assumed lead for UAP investigations, applying scientific methodologies to over 800 reports by 2023 and issuing annual unclassified summaries; its March 2024 Historical Record Report, Volume 1, reviewed U.S. government UAP involvement since 1945, finding no empirical evidence of extraterrestrial technology, off-world craft, or concealed programs, instead attributing persistent claims of crashes or reverse-engineering to circular reporting, cultural influences, and misinterpretations of classified projects like stealth aircraft. AARO's November 2024 annual report continued this pattern, resolving many cases as commercial drones, balloons, or birds via enhanced data collection, while noting challenges from sensor limitations and stigma in reporting. Congressional hearings in 2023 and 2025, including whistleblower testimonies alleging undisclosed programs, prompted calls for transparency but yielded no verified evidence beyond official denials, with AARO emphasizing prosaic explanations over extraordinary hypotheses lacking physical proof. The National Archives has systematically declassified UFO/UAP records since 2019, including Blue Book files, to facilitate public access without endorsing unsubstantiated narratives.

International governmental inquiries

The United Kingdom's (MoD) operated a UFO reporting desk from the early until its closure on December 1, 2009, following a review that determined it provided no defense benefit or value for money. The initial Flying Saucer Working Party, established in the , examined sightings and concluded they posed no threat, attributing most to misidentifications of conventional aircraft or natural phenomena. A later classified study, (1996–2000), analyzed over 10,000 pages of data and found no evidence of extraterrestrial origins, proposing that many sightings involved atmospheric plasmas capable of returns and visual effects but lacking intelligence or threat. Declassified files, released progressively from 2008 onward and now held at The National Archives, include over 60 years of reports, with the MoD consistently stating no credible evidence of alien spacecraft emerged. France's space agency, the Centre National d'Études Spatiales (CNES), established the Groupe d'Étude des Phénomènes Aérospatiaux Non-identifiés (GEIPAN) in 1977 as a successor to the earlier GEPAN unit, tasked with collecting, analyzing, and archiving reports of unidentified aerospace phenomena. GEIPAN classifies cases using a system from A (identified with certainty) to D (unexplained despite thorough investigation), with approximately 22% of over 2,000 cases since inception remaining unexplained as of 2023, though it emphasizes prosaic explanations like optical illusions or equipment failures over extraordinary hypotheses. The unit's methodology prioritizes empirical data from witnesses, radar, and photos, collaborating with a network of regional investigators, and has publicly archived findings to promote transparency without endorsing extraterrestrial claims. Brazil's Air Force launched Operation Prato (also known as Operation Saucer) in September 1977 to investigate a wave of sightings and alleged attacks in Colares and surrounding areas of state, where residents reported beams from unidentified objects causing burns, paralysis, and blood extraction-like injuries. Led by Captain Uyrangê Hollanda, the operation involved military photographers documenting over 500 photographs and 15 hours of film of lights and disc-shaped objects maneuvering erratically, with some witnesses numbering in the thousands; declassified documents released in 2004 confirm the events but offer no conclusive explanation, attributing some to possible psychological factors or unknown aerial phenomena. A related incident on May 19, 1986, dubbed the "Night of UFOs," involved 21 objects tracked on radar by the Air Force over multiple cities, prompting official acknowledgment of the pursuit by jets but no identified origins. Belgium's military conducted an official investigation into the 1989–1990 UFO wave, triggered by thousands of reports of large, silent triangular objects with lights, culminating in radar-visual contacts on March 30–31, 1990, where two F-16 fighters achieved brief locks on objects accelerating from hover to supersonic speeds without sonic booms. Wilfried De Brouwer oversaw the probe, which collected over 13,500 witness statements and ground radar data but failed to identify the objects, ruling out known aircraft or hoaxes in key cases; the Belgian Air Force released a sobering report in 1992 admitting some sightings defied conventional explanations. Other nations, including (Project Second Storey, 1950–1954) and (Commission for the Reception and Investigation of UFO Reports, ongoing since 1989), have pursued similar inquiries, generally concluding that while a small fraction of cases resist prosaic resolution, no supports non-human intelligence, prioritizing and threat assessment over speculative origins. These efforts highlight a pattern: governments treat UFO reports as potential or misidentification issues, with declassifications revealing rigorous but inconclusive analyses rather than confirmation of anomalous craft.

Key findings from declassified documents

In a September 23, 1947, memorandum authored by General Nathan Twining, commander of , the U.S. assessed reports of "flying discs" as credible, describing the objects as exhibiting extreme rates of climb, maneuverability, and acceleration beyond known or missiles. The document emphasized that the phenomenon was "something real and not visionary or fictitious," recommending centralized collection and analysis of data due to potential implications. Project Blue Book, the U.S. Air Force's systematic investigation from 1947 to 1969, cataloged 12,618 UFO sightings, with 701 cases (approximately 5.6 percent) remaining unidentified after evaluation. Declassified records indicate that while most sightings were attributed to misidentifications of astronomical, atmospheric, or conventional phenomena, the unexplained cases lacked sufficient data for resolution but showed no evidence of extraterrestrial origin or threat to . The project's termination in 1969 was justified by the absence of verifiable patterns indicating hostility or advanced foreign technology. The 1953 Robertson Panel, convened by the CIA's , reviewed selected UFO cases and motion picture footage, concluding that no evidence supported hypotheses of Soviet weaponry or extraterrestrial visitation. Panel findings, detailed in declassified minutes, highlighted the risk of public hysteria from widespread sightings and recommended monitoring civilian UFO organizations to mitigate potential exploitation for subversive purposes, while advising against encouraging further public reporting to reduce unnecessary alarm. Declassified CIA files from 1947 to 1990 primarily consist of foreign press clippings and internal memos tracking unsubstantiated UFO reports, with no corroborated instances of anomalous aerial phenomena attributable to non-human intelligence. These documents reveal CIA efforts to coordinate with the on debunking where possible, influenced by concerns over misinterpretations of U.S. reconnaissance flights like the U-2 as UFOs. The 2021 Office of the preliminary assessment on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), drawing from declassified military data across 144 incidents from 2004 to 2021, found 143 cases unexplained, with some exhibiting unusual , hypersonic velocities without signatures, or low-observability. The report cautioned against extraterrestrial conclusions, attributing potential causes to artifacts, airborne clutter, or developmental U.S./adversarial technologies, while noting gaps in hindered definitive explanations. The 2024 All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) Historical Record Report, reviewing U.S. government UFO investigations since 1945, affirmed no of extraterrestrial or government cover-ups in declassified archives, attributing persistent unresolved cases to insufficient reporting quality rather than extraordinary origins. It documented recurring patterns of misidentification involving balloons, drones, and optical illusions, consistent with earlier findings from and .

Scientific Scrutiny

Methodological approaches and challenges

Scientific investigations of unidentified flying objects (UFOs), now often termed unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), employ systematic data collection from witness reports, sensor recordings, and environmental correlations to identify patterns and test hypotheses. Researchers analyze large databases of sightings, such as those compiled by the National UFO Reporting Center, using statistical methods including Bayesian regression to model sighting frequencies over time and negative binomial distributions to account for overdispersion in report counts. Environmental analyses correlate sightings with factors like sky view potential and light pollution via regression models, revealing influences on reporting rates. Instrumental data, including radar tracks and photographic evidence, undergo geometric and kinematic assessments to distinguish anomalies from known phenomena, as in evaluations of video footage through parallax measurements and trajectory modeling. Hypothesis-driven approaches draw from astronomy and physics, applying empirical tests such as spectral analysis of lights or multi-sensor to verify claims of extraordinary maneuvers. NASA's UAP Independent Study Team emphasized improving data acquisition through standardized protocols for future observations, including and ground-based sensors, to enable replicable scientific inquiry rather than reliance on retrospective anecdotes. Historical efforts, like those in , categorized reports by credibility and explanatory fit, though often limited to post-hoc explanations without controlled experimentation. Challenges persist due to the predominantly anecdotal of evidence, with most reports lacking corroborative instrumentation or physical artifacts, complicating causal attribution. issues, including incomplete details, delayed reporting, and observer biases, hinder rigorous analysis, as noted in the (AARO) review finding no empirical support for extraterrestrial origins despite unresolved cases stemming from insufficient information. Stigma in academic and scientific communities discourages participation, with surveys indicating faculty reluctance due to career risks, even as 19% report personal anomalous sightings. Non-replicability and vulnerability to hoaxes or perceptual errors further undermine claims, requiring extraordinary evidence for non-prosaic interpretations that remains absent in systematic reviews.

Empirical evidence assessments

Empirical assessments of unidentified flying object (UFO) or unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) evidence primarily evaluate data from visual sightings, radar tracks, electro-optical/infrared (EO/IR) videos, and occasional physical traces, revealing that the vast majority resolve to prosaic explanations such as aircraft, balloons, drones, or atmospheric phenomena upon rigorous analysis. Official investigations, including the U.S. Air Force's Project Blue Book (1947–1969), examined 12,618 reports and identified 701 (approximately 5.6%) as unidentified after applying scientific criteria, but concluded no evidence of extraterrestrial vehicles or national security threats beyond misidentifications. These unexplained cases often lacked sufficient data for conclusive determination rather than indicating anomalous technology, with higher-quality reports (e.g., those from pilots or with instrumentation) showing similar resolution rates to poorer ones when scrutinized. Modern sensor data, such as and FLIR footage from encounters like the 2004 USS Nimitz incident off , provide multi-witness and instrumental corroboration but have been subjected to detailed kinematic and optical analyses yielding conventional interpretations. In the Nimitz case, detections of objects descending rapidly from 80,000 feet to sea level, combined with pilot visual contacts and a FLIR video of an apparent "tic-tac" shape, initially appeared anomalous; however, subsequent modeling attributes the tracks to potential electronic warfare artifacts or unidentified , while video artifacts like rotation and explain apparent high-speed maneuvers without requiring physics violations. Similarly, the 2015 "" and "GoFast" videos released by in 2017, showing rotating objects and low-altitude high-speed tracks, resolve via trigonometric calculations of camera motion, infrared glare, and forward velocity, demonstrating no extraordinary acceleration or transmedium capabilities. The 2021 Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) preliminary assessment reviewed 144 UAP reports from 2004–2021, primarily from U.S. sensors, noting 18 incidents with unusual characteristics like high-speed travel or anomalies but emphasizing data limitations—such as brief windows and lack of —preventing attribution to extraterrestrial or breakthrough ; instead, categories included airborne clutter, natural phenomena, U.S./industry programs, foreign adversaries, or "other." The Department of Defense's (AARO) 2024 Historical Record Report, examining U.S. government involvement since 1945, analyzed hundreds of cases across programs like , , and Blue Book, finding no empirical evidence of extraterrestrial origins or recovered non-human craft despite claims; most resolved to balloons, , or hoaxes, with unresolved cases attributable to incomplete records rather than exotic provenance. Physical evidence, such as alleged debris or implants from UFO encounters, remains scarce and unverified under scientific standards. Historical claims like the 1947 involved materials consistent with weather balloons used for nuclear detection, confirmed by debris analysis matching and balsa wood. Rare purported artifacts, including "exotic" metals or biological samples, have failed independent metallurgical or , often tracing to terrestrial alloys or contamination; AARO's review of crash retrieval allegations found no credible chain-of-custody or empirical validation supporting non-human origin. NASA's 2023 UAP study echoed these findings, recommending enhanced via civilian sensors but concluding no evidence for extraterrestrial explanations in available datasets, underscoring that empirical rigor demands reproducible, falsifiable proof absent in UFO claims. Overall, while a small fraction of cases resist immediate explanation due to observational gaps, causal analysis prioritizes mundane hypotheses supported by physics and engineering over extraordinary ones lacking direct verification.

Prosaic explanations and misidentifications

Numerous UFO reports have been resolved through identification of conventional , celestial bodies, atmospheric phenomena, and human-made objects. The U.S. Air Force's , which examined 12,618 sightings between 1947 and 1969, classified 94% as explainable, attributing them primarily to misidentifications of , , atmospheric effects, , balloons, and hoaxes, leaving only 701 cases unidentified. More recent official reports, including the ODNI's 2021 preliminary assessment and AARO analyses, indicate that most resolved UAP sightings turn out to be drones, balloons, aircraft, or optical quirks. Astronomical objects frequently account for sightings, particularly , whose low horizon position and brightness can produce apparent motion due to and eye . Meteors, satellites re-entering the atmosphere, and the have also been mistaken for anomalous craft, as their trajectories and lights mimic reported UFO maneuvers under certain viewing conditions. Aircraft, including commercial jets, military planes, and drones, represent a major category of misidentification, especially at dusk or night when navigation lights, contrails, or afterburners create unfamiliar visual signatures. For instance, experimental high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft like the U-2 in the 1950s generated numerous reports due to their altitude and reflective surfaces catching sunlight. Recent examples include SpaceX Falcon 9 launches, whose booster separations and orbital insertions have been reported as structured objects performing impossible maneuvers. Balloons of various types—weather, research, party, or —often explain hovering or slowly drifting lights, as their unpredictable paths and illumination from onboard LEDs or reflections defy initial perceptions of technology. The 2023 Chinese spy incident over was initially perceived as a potential UFO before identification. Flares from military exercises or pyrotechnics similarly produce descending lights interpreted as controlled descent. Atmospheric and optical phenomena contribute significantly, including lenticular clouds forming disc-like shapes, temperature inversions bending light to simulate structured objects, and mirages like Fata Morgana distorting distant features into hovering forms. Lens flares in cameras or eyewitness autokinesis—where staring at a against a dark sky induces perceived motion—further exacerbate misperceptions. Government analyses, such as those from NASA's UAP study, emphasize balloons, drones, and plastic debris alongside these effects as predominant prosaic causes in modern reports.

Evaluation of extraordinary claims

Extraordinary claims regarding unidentified flying objects (UFOs), such as extraterrestrial visitation or non-human intelligence, necessitate evidence commensurate with their departure from established scientific understanding, including principles of physics, biology, and interstellar travel feasibility. The scientific consensus holds that claims of alien visitation via UFOs or UAPs lack verifiable proof and typically align with mundane explanations, while the broader possibility of discovering extraterrestrial life through advancing telescopes remains open but distinct from visitation evidence. Official assessments consistently find that while some UFO sightings—now termed unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP)—exhibit anomalous flight characteristics, no verifiable physical artifacts, biological samples, or technological signatures attributable to extraterrestrial origins have been produced. The 2021 Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) preliminary assessment reviewed 144 UAP reports from 2004 to 2021, categorizing most as airborne clutter, natural atmospheric phenomena, U.S. or industry developmental programs, foreign adversary systems, or an "other" bin for unexplained cases, with 18 incidents showing unusual multi-sensor data but yielding no evidence of extraterrestrial technology. Subsequent investigations reinforce this absence of supporting data for extraordinary hypotheses. NASA's 2023 independent UAP study team report concluded there is no empirical evidence linking UAP to , emphasizing the need for systematic, stigma-free using scientific methods rather than anecdotal or unverified claims, and highlighting how limited resolution and observational biases hinder causal attribution. The Department of Defense's (AARO) 2024 historical record report, examining U.S. government involvement since 1945, resolved numerous alleged UFO crashes and retrievals as misidentifications of conventional , balloons, or hoaxes, finding zero credible of alien or reverse-engineered non-human despite claims from whistleblowers. AARO's 2024 annual report on over 1,600 cases similarly attributes the majority to prosaic explanations upon resolution, with unresolved cases lacking sufficient data to support non-terrestrial origins. From a first-principles perspective, interstellar travel by intelligent extraterrestrials would require overcoming vast distances, energy constraints, and detection avoidance without leaving detectable traces, yet decades of , optical, and electromagnetic monitoring yield no confirmatory signals or wreckage defying known . Peer-reviewed analyses, such as those applying , favor simpler explanations like sensor artifacts or classified human technology over unproven paradigm shifts, as extraordinary assertions without reproducible, falsifiable evidence fail scientific scrutiny. Proponents' reliance on classified testimonies or ambiguous videos, often debunked via analysis or optical illusions, does not meet evidentiary thresholds, underscoring that unexplained phenomena do not equate to proof of the extraordinary.

Alternative Explanations

Extraterrestrial hypothesis

The extraterrestrial hypothesis (ETH) proposes that certain unidentified flying objects constitute physical controlled by intelligent beings from beyond , representing evidence of interstellar visitation. This interpretation emerged prominently in the late 1940s amid widespread sightings, with retired Marine Corps Major emerging as a key early advocate; in his 1950 book The Flying Are Real, Keyhoe asserted that UFOs were likely interplanetary probes or vehicles based on their reported maneuvers and the U.S. Air Force's handling of reports. Keyhoe founded the National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP) in 1956 to press for disclosure, claiming government suppression of extraterrestrial evidence. Supporters of ETH often highlight "high strangeness" cases, such as the 1952 Washington, D.C. UFO incident involving multiple tracks and visual confirmations of objects exhibiting rapid, erratic flight defying aerodynamic principles, or the 1961 Betty and Barney Hill abduction, where witnesses described non-human entities and craft technology beyond contemporary human capabilities. These accounts suggest propulsion systems enabling acceleration to thousands of g-forces without inertial effects or sonic booms, implying advanced physics incompatible with known terrestrial engineering. Astronomer , initially a skeptic for the U.S. Air Force's , shifted toward openness by the 1970s, classifying some sightings as "close encounters" potentially indicative of extraterrestrial probes after analyzing thousands of reports. Despite such claims, lacks direct empirical validation, with no recovered , artifacts, or biological specimens subjected to peer-reviewed analysis confirming non-human origin. Ufologist , collaborating with Hynek, critiqued in a 1990 paper outlining five arguments against it: UFO behaviors do not align with expectations, such as consistent planetary patterns; reported "landings" show no extraction or colonization traces; interactions mimic folklore rather than scientific probes; physical evidence like traces evaporates under scrutiny; and cosmic distances render undetected fleets improbable without broader galactic signals. The hypothesis further strains against the , which posits that if technological civilizations are common—as suggested by the Drake equation's estimates of millions in the —their absence of unambiguous contact or colonization evidence contradicts frequent covert Earth visits. Scientific assessments emphasize that while statistical probabilities favor existing somewhere, UFO data fail to meet evidentiary thresholds for visitation; most anomalies resolve to sensor errors, atmospheric phenomena, or classified human tech upon investigation, leaving a residual unexplained fraction insufficient for extraordinary conclusions. Proponents' reliance on anecdotal and circumstantial reports invites perceptual biases, and institutional skepticism stems not from but from reproducible deficits, as no UFO case has yielded falsifiable predictions or artifacts enabling technological replication. persists in public discourse due to cultural fascination, but favors prosaic origins over unverified interstellar incursions absent material corroboration.

Advanced human technology or adversarial threats

The hypothesis that some unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) represent advanced human technology encompasses classified programs developed by the or allied nations, as well as potential systems from foreign adversaries. Declassified records from the reveal that high-altitude reconnaissance flights of the U-2 spy plane, commencing in 1955, generated numerous UFO reports due to their contrails appearing as fiery or glowing objects at dusk, often exceeding civilian observers' expectations for conventional aircraft performance. Similarly, tests of the A-12 OXCART and SR-71 Blackbird in the late 1950s and 1960s contributed to sighting spikes, as their Mach 3+ speeds and reflective exhaust mimicked anomalous maneuvers. Stealth aircraft development further exemplifies domestic advanced technology misidentifications. The , operational from 1983 but publicly disclosed only in 1988, featured faceted geometry for radar evasion, leading to frequent nocturnal sightings of silent, angular black triangles over test ranges like ; witnesses, including personnel, initially classified these as potential UFOs until program details emerged. The B-2 Spirit bomber, introduced in the , produced comparable reports of large, hovering dark shapes due to its flying-wing design and low-observability coatings. The Pentagon's (AARO) 2024 Historical Record Report documents how such black projects were occasionally masked by permitting UFO attributions in media, diverting attention from sensitive capabilities without confirming extraterrestrial involvement. Foreign adversarial threats constitute another prosaic interpretation, particularly for UAP exhibiting hypersonic speeds, extreme maneuvers, or sensor countermeasures beyond publicly known U.S. systems. The 2021 Office of the Director of National Intelligence preliminary assessment categorized some UAP—such as those from 2004–2021 Navy encounters—as potentially representing "breakthrough aerospace vehicles" deployed by nations like China or Russia, which have invested in hypersonic glide vehicles and unmanned aerial systems capable of transmedium operations. For instance, Russia's Avangard hypersonic weapon, tested since 2016, and China's DF-17 missile system demonstrate propulsion technologies that could appear anomalous if operated covertly near U.S. airspace. Despite these possibilities, AARO's investigations have resolved no UAP as confirmed adversarial incursions. The office's FY2024 , analyzing 757 new submissions from May 2023 to June 2024, attributed most to balloons, drones, or birds, with 21 cases remaining "truly anomalous" but lacking of foreign origin or extraterrestrial tech; unresolved incidents are flagged for intelligence review to mitigate counterintelligence risks. Department of Defense officials, including AARO Director Jon Kosloski, have stressed that while UAP warrant scrutiny for flight safety and adversarial probing—evidenced by increased reports near military sites—no verified threats to from foreign systems have materialized, underscoring the need for standardized over speculative attributions.

Psychological and perceptual factors

Human perception of aerial phenomena is susceptible to errors arising from the limitations of the visual system, particularly in conditions of low contrast, darkness, or absence of reference points. For instance, the autokinetic effect occurs when an observer fixates on a stationary point of light against a dark background without surrounding visual cues, causing the light to appear to drift or move erratically due to small, involuntary eye movements amplified by the lack of fixation stability. This phenomenon, well-documented in aviation psychology, has been identified as a contributing factor in numerous UFO reports of hovering or maneuvering lights, as pilots are specifically trained to recognize and counteract it during night operations. Pareidolia, the psychological tendency to perceive familiar patterns or shapes in random or ambiguous stimuli, further influences UFO interpretations. Observers may interpret irregular cloud formations, lens flares, or distant aircraft silhouettes as structured craft, such as discs or triangles, especially under expectant conditions. Empirical observations link to many historical and contemporary sightings, where initial vague perceptions solidify into specific anomalous forms without corroborative evidence. Errors in size and distance estimation exacerbate misidentifications, as the brain's size-distance invariance hypothesis assumes reciprocal relationships that falter for unfamiliar aerial objects. Studies of demonstrate that without contextual cues, distant objects like , balloons, or drones are overestimated in size and misinterpreted as proximate, structured performing impossible maneuvers. This reciprocal distortion—where perceived proximity inflates apparent size—aligns with analyses of UFO sighting descriptions, where reported dimensions and speeds often contradict physical constraints once corrected for actual distances. Cognitive biases, including and expectancy effects, shape how observers process and report ambiguous stimuli. Individuals predisposed to belief in extraterrestrial visitation selectively interpret neutral events, such as satellite flares or meteorological balloons, as confirmatory evidence, while discounting prosaic alternatives. on UFO reporters reveals no widespread but elevated traits like and absorption, which heighten susceptibility to perceptual anomalies being framed as extraordinary. Group dynamics and social influence amplify these individual factors, as shared observations during heightened cultural interest—such as media-driven UFO waves—lead to collective of initial misperceptions. Controlled experiments simulating UFO-like stimuli underscore how expectation primes witnesses to report anomalous motion or structure absent in objective recordings, highlighting the causal role of psychological priming over external reality.

Sociological and cultural influences

UFO sightings and beliefs have been profoundly shaped by cultural narratives in , , and media, which prime public expectations and correlate with spikes in reports. For instance, UFO reports in the United States increased from 117 in 1995 to 609 in 1996, coinciding with the popularity of the television series and films like Independence Day. Similarly, historical analyses show that descriptions of unidentified aerial phenomena often mirror contemporary technology and cultural motifs, evolving from 19th-century "mystery airships" during a period of hype to disc-shaped objects post-1947, reflecting advancements in rocketry and . These patterns suggest that media exposure fosters perceptual biases, where ambiguous stimuli are interpreted through popularized templates rather than objective analysis. Sociological factors, including and , further amplify reporting clusters. Studies indicate that sightings often propagate through interpersonal networks and media amplification, akin to rumor spread, with empirical data showing geographic and temporal clustering unrelated to anomalous events but tied to waves. Declines in UFO reports since the 1990s align with shifting societal priorities, reduced media sensationalism, and increased amid digital , underscoring the phenomenon's dependence on cultural salience. External stressors, such as the , have been hypothesized to trigger surges via heightened anxiety and isolation, though data reveal no consistent anomaly beyond baseline misidentifications. The UFO motif has permeated folklore and spirituality, birthing new religious movements in the mid-20th century. Contactee groups, emerging in the 1950s amid post-World War II atomic fears and optimism, portrayed extraterrestrials as benevolent guides, blending with apocalyptic prophecy; notable examples include George Adamski's claims of Venusian encounters, which inspired cults emphasizing UFOs as vehicles for spiritual evolution. Sociological examinations, such as Leon Festinger's (1956), analyzed failed predictions within these groups—like anticipated landings that did not occur—revealing resolution through reinforced belief rather than disconfirmation. Groups like the formalized these into structured doctrines, incorporating UFO sightings as divine signs, though membership remains marginal and prone to schisms over unfulfilled eschatologies. In broader culture, UFOs function as modern myths reflecting societal anxieties, from to existential isolation in the . and films of the 1930s–1950s, such as H.G. Wells' , embedded invasion tropes that echoed in public reactions to aerial unknowns, prioritizing narrative over empirical scrutiny. This enduring influence persists in politics and discourse, where UFO narratives occasionally mobilize fringe constituencies, yet empirical assessments favor prosaic explanations amplified by cultural echo chambers over extraordinary origins.

Controversies and Stakeholder Claims

Allegations of government secrecy

Allegations of U.S. government secrecy regarding unidentified flying objects emerged shortly after the 1947 , where the Roswell Army Air Field initially announced the recovery of a "flying disc" before retracting it as a . Proponents of extraterrestrial hypotheses claim this retraction masked the retrieval of an alien spacecraft and occupants, citing witness accounts of unusual debris and bodies, though subsequent investigations attributed the event to , a classified program for detecting Soviet nuclear tests. The 1994 and 1997 reports further explained "alien body" stories as misremembered accounts of anthropomorphic crash-test dummies from 1950s parachute tests or injured airmen from a 1947 incident, but skeptics argue these explanations were retrofitted to conceal evidence. Early U.S. government UFO investigations, including (1947–1949), (1949–1952), and (1952–1969), fueled secrecy claims despite official conclusions that most sightings had prosaic explanations and posed no security threat. examined 12,618 reports, resolving 701 as unidentified but finding no evidence of extraterrestrial technology or advanced adversaries. Critics, including researcher , alleged suppression of data, pointing to the 's dismissal of credible military sightings and restricted access to files, suggesting a deliberate policy to downplay potential implications. The CIA's parallel monitoring of UFO reports, primarily to assess Soviet technological capabilities, added to perceptions of compartmentalization, as declassified documents reveal coordination with the to manage public inquiries without full disclosure. Documents purporting to reveal a secret "" committee, formed by President Truman in to handle UFO recoveries including Roswell, surfaced in the but were authenticated as forgeries by the FBI, which labeled them a despite their circulation among UFO enthusiasts. Persistent allegations cite whistleblower testimonies and leaked memos implying ongoing crash retrieval programs, though many lack verifiable and rely on second-hand accounts. In recent years, former intelligence official David Grusch testified before in July 2023, alleging a multi-decade U.S. program to retrieve and reverse-engineer non-human spacecraft, including "biologics," hidden from oversight through undue classification and retaliation against informants. Grusch claimed knowledge from 40 witnesses but provided no , citing ongoing investigations; denied these assertions, stating no verifiable proof of extraterrestrial materials exists. The (AARO)'s March 2024 historical review of U.S. UFO investigations since 1945 found no evidence of extraterrestrial involvement or cover-ups of alien , attributing many secrecy perceptions to misidentifications of classified U.S. programs like testing. AARO noted instances of deliberate to protect sensitive projects, which inadvertently propagated UFO myths, but emphasized that declassified records show no ET recoveries. Congressional scrutiny continues, with lawmakers accusing the Department of Defense of incomplete transparency despite AARO's mandate.

Military and pilot testimonies

Retired U.S. Navy Commander David Fravor, a former F/A-18 pilot, testified to encountering an anomalous object during a training exercise on November 14, 2004, approximately 100 miles southwest of aboard the carrier group. Fravor described the object as a white, oblong "Tic Tac"-shaped craft, approximately 40 feet long, lacking visible propulsion, wings, or exhaust, which hovered erratically over a disturbance in the ocean surface resembling boiling water or whitewater rapids. He reported the object ascending rapidly to mirror his aircraft's movements before accelerating away at speeds and maneuvers defying known aerodynamics, with data from the USS Princeton detecting similar objects descending from 80,000 feet to in seconds. Fravor reiterated this account under oath during a July 26, 2023, congressional hearing, emphasizing the object's performance exceeded U.S. military capabilities at the time. Lieutenant Commander Alex Dietrich, Fravor's wingman during the 2004 incident, corroborated the sighting, describing the same Tic Tac-like object that performed sudden, high-G maneuvers without visible means of lift or propulsion. Dietrich noted the object's ability to outpace their F/A-18 jets and vanish from radar, attributing the encounter to advanced, unidentified technology observed by multiple pilots and ship-based sensors. Former F/A-18 pilot Ryan Graves testified to routine encounters with unidentified aerial phenomena off the U.S. East Coast between 2014 and 2015, including cube-shaped objects inside transparent spheres that remained stationary in hurricane-force winds at 30,000 feet or matched the speed of F-18s without visible exhaust. Graves reported these objects were tracked on by multiple and ships, with pilots instructed to avoid filing reports due to stigma, though declassified videos such as "Gimbal" and "GoFast" captured similar rotating, high-speed objects via FLIR systems in 2015. He described the phenomena as a potential flight safety hazard and risk, observed by trained aviators under operational conditions. Historical military testimonies include those from Project Blue Book (1947–1969), where Air Force pilots reported unexplained sightings, such as the 1952 Washington, D.C., overflights prompting F-94 jet scrambles, with pilots like Lieutenant William Patterson describing bright lights maneuvering at supersonic speeds beyond interceptor capabilities. Of 12,618 cases investigated, 701 remained unidentified, often involving credible military witnesses whose accounts resisted prosaic explanations like weather balloons or aircraft misidentifications. These reports, drawn from radar, visual, and photographic evidence, highlight persistent anomalies noted by personnel trained to identify conventional threats.

Whistleblower assertions and critiques

In June 2023, David Grusch, a former U.S. Air Force officer and intelligence official who represented the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency and National Reconnaissance Office on the Pentagon's Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) Task Force, alleged that the U.S. government operates a multi-decade program to retrieve intact and partially intact non-human craft, including "non-human biologics" recovered from crash sites. Grusch claimed these recoveries involved craft of non-human origin, based on interviews with over 40 witnesses during his official duties, and asserted that he faced retaliation after filing a whistleblower complaint with the Intelligence Community Inspector General, who deemed his disclosures credible. He testified under oath before a U.S. House Oversight Committee subcommittee on July 26, 2023, reiterating that the U.S. possesses extraterrestrial vehicles and biological remains but withheld specifics due to classification, directing lawmakers to closed sessions for details. Grusch's assertions extended to historical recoveries, including a purported 1933 Italian craft retrieved by the U.S. in 1944-1945 with Vatican and Mussolini regime involvement, and claims of government efforts to reverse-engineer these objects while suppressing public knowledge. In subsequent interviews, such as one in December 2023, he described his situation as a "nightmare" due to ongoing threats and emphasized the implications of undisclosed . Other whistleblowers, including military personnel in a November 13, 2024, congressional hearing, echoed themes of secret retrieval programs and personnel injuries from UAP encounters, alleging U.S. government possession of exotic materials and craft defying known physics, though without public disclosure of physical evidence. Critiques of these claims center on the absence of verifiable or declassified , with Grusch admitting reliance on secondhand accounts rather than direct , rendering assertions anecdotal and untestable in open forums. and (AARO) have repeatedly denied the existence of extraterrestrial programs or recovered non-human materials, stating in responses to Grusch's allegations that historical reviews of records and testimonies found no substantiation for such claims, attributing many UAP reports to misidentifications of mundane objects or phenomena. Skeptics note that similar whistleblower narratives have proliferated since the without yielding empirical proof, often invoking to evade scrutiny, and highlight inconsistencies such as Grusch's initial reluctance to label recoveries as "alien" while later implying extraterrestrial origins. officials, including AARO Director Sean Kirkpatrick (prior to his 2023 departure), have characterized such testimonies as perpetuating unverified lore rather than advancing causal understanding, urging focus on prosaic explanations supported by sensor data over hearsay. Further analysis questions the of sources feeding whistleblower information, given institutional incentives for exaggeration in classified environments and the lack of corroboration from independent sensors or multiple agencies, with AARO's ongoing investigations as of 2024-2025 yielding no confirmation of non-human origins despite increased UAP reporting. Proponents counter that critiques overlook whistleblower protections and the risks of disclosure, but detractors argue this shifts burden from claimants to authorities without addressing the extraordinary nature of the assertions, which demand replicable evidence absent here.

Recent Developments

2017 disclosures and Navy encounters

In December 2017, a New York Times article disclosed the existence of the (AATIP), a initiative allocated approximately $22 million from 2007 to 2012 to investigate unidentified aerial phenomena as potential threats. The program, initiated at the behest of Majority Leader and involving contractors like , focused on analyzing reports of objects exhibiting advanced flight characteristics, including hypersonic speeds and maneuvers defying conventional . , who directed AATIP's efforts within the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence, resigned in October 2017, citing excessive secrecy and bureaucratic resistance to transparency as impeding effective threat assessment. Following the article's publication on December 16, spokesperson Christopher Sherwood confirmed AATIP's existence but stated it had concluded in 2012, while emphasizing ongoing monitoring of airspace incursions without endorsing extraterrestrial origins. The disclosures highlighted Navy pilot encounters captured in declassified videos, including the "FLIR" footage from November 2004 involving the carrier strike group off the coast of , . During routine training exercises, operators on the USS Princeton detected multiple objects descending rapidly from 80,000 feet to sea level in seconds, prompting F/A-18 Super Hornet pilots, including Commander David Fravor and Lieutenant Alex Dietrich, to investigate. Fravor described a white, tic-tac-shaped object approximately 40 feet long, lacking visible wings, rotors, or exhaust plumes, which hovered erratically over churning ocean water before mirroring his aircraft's movements and accelerating away at speeds exceeding known capabilities, reappearing 60 miles distant on within moments. The FLIR video, recorded by another pilot's targeting pod, shows the object rotating and departing rapidly, with pilots voicing confusion over its lack of propulsion signatures or heat exhaust. Additional videos referenced in the 2017 coverage—"" and "GOFAST"—depicted encounters in January 2015 by F/A-18 pilots from the USS off the U.S. East Coast. In the footage, an camera tracks a saucer-shaped object rotating against headwinds at high altitudes, maintaining position despite apparent 120-degree turns without deceleration, as noted by the pilots' audio exclamations of its unusual rotation and lack of visible flight surfaces. The GOFAST video captures an object skimming low over the at purported high subsonic speeds with minimal sea-spray disturbance, prompting operator queries about its velocity and trajectory, which corroborated as anomalous. These incidents involved multiple sensors—, , and visual—corroborating pilot observations of objects outperforming F/A-18s in , altitude control, and evasion, without evidence of sonic booms or signatures consistent with adversarial aircraft or drones. The encounters fueled debate over prosaic explanations, such as optical illusions from camera gimbal rotations or infrared glare, as proposed by independent analysts like , who argued the videos depict conventional aircraft or sensor artifacts rather than extraordinary propulsion. However, participating pilots, including Fravor, rejected these interpretations, emphasizing multi-platform data validation and the objects' physical disruption of surfaces, which precluded misidentification of birds, balloons, or commercial planes. Elizondo asserted that AATIP's analysis ruled out U.S. or allied technology, attributing the phenomena to potential advanced threats warranting further empirical scrutiny beyond speculative dismissal. officially authenticated the videos in April 2020 to dispel , affirming their unresolved status as unidentified aerial phenomena while cautioning against extraterrestrial assumptions absent conclusive evidence.

Congressional hearings and AARO reports (2021–2025)

In May 2022, the U.S. House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence's Subcommittee on Counterterrorism, Counterintelligence, and Counterproliferation held the first public congressional hearing on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) since 1969, featuring testimony from Department of Defense Under Secretary Ronald Moultrie and Navy Vice Admiral Scott Bray, who reported over 400 UAP cases investigated by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence's UAP Task Force, with 11 exhibiting anomalous characteristics but no evidence of extraterrestrial origins or breakthroughs in adversarial technology. The hearing emphasized the need for standardized reporting and data-sharing across agencies to address potential flight safety and national security risks, though officials noted limitations in sensor data and the absence of classified briefings. The (AARO) was established by the Department of Defense in July 2022 to centralize UAP investigations, succeeding the UAP Task Force, with a mandate to resolve cases through scientific analysis and interagency coordination. AARO's initial efforts focused on digitizing historical records and improving reporting mechanisms, receiving hundreds of cases annually from and civilians. On July 26, 2023, the Oversight Committee's Subcommittee on , the Border, and convened a hearing titled "Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena: Implications on , Public Safety, and Government Transparency," where retired pilots David Fravor and Ryan Graves described encounters with objects exhibiting advanced maneuvers defying known , such as rapid acceleration without visible . Former intelligence officer David Grusch testified to secondhand knowledge from over 40 witnesses of U.S. government recovery of "non-human biologics" from crashed craft and multi-decade covert retrieval programs, alleging retaliation for his disclosures but providing no , as his claims relied on he could not publicly detail. Committee members expressed frustration over perceived government opacity, prompting calls for whistleblower protections and . AARO's March 2024 "Report on the Historical Record of U.S. Government Involvement with Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (Volume I)" examined claims spanning 1945 onward, including alleged crash retrievals, and concluded that no verifiable evidence supported extraterrestrial technology or secret reverse-engineering programs; most historical incidents were attributed to misidentifications of ordinary objects, experimental technology, or deliberate hoaxes, with interviewee recollections often contradicted by records. The report specifically addressed whistleblower assertions like Grusch's, finding them uncorroborated after reviewing classified archives and interviews, and noted that programs cited as UAP-related were mundane, such as electronic warfare testing. Pursuant to mandates in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), such as those for Fiscal Years 2022 and 2023 requiring joint submissions by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and Department of Defense, AARO produces annual unclassified reports on UAP findings to Congress. AARO's November 2024 consolidated annual report covered 757 UAP incidents reported from May 2023 to June 2024, plus 272 older cases, totaling over 1,600 cumulative reports by October 2024; 49 cases were resolved as commercial drones, balloons, or birds during analysis, while 21 unresolved cases warranted further scrutiny due to anomalous flight characteristics, but none indicated extraterrestrial activity or foreign adversary threats beyond conventional systems. AARO emphasized prosaic explanations for the majority, attributing unresolved cases to data gaps rather than exotic phenomena. In September 2025, the House Oversight Subcommittee on National Security, the Border, and held a hearing on UAP transparency, featuring military whistleblowers presenting alleged new evidence of anomalous objects, amid discussions of the UAP Whistleblower Protection Act to encourage reporting without fear of reprisal. Witnesses reiterated concerns over sensor data withholding and potential adversarial , but AARO Director Jon Kosloski affirmed ongoing investigations yielded no confirmed non-terrestrial origins, urging rigorous empirical validation over anecdotal claims.

Implications for national security and transparency

Unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) present potential national security risks due to their demonstrated ability to exhibit advanced maneuvers, such as hypersonic speeds without visible propulsion or signatures, which could indicate foreign adversarial technologies conducting surveillance or testing in U.S. airspace. The 2021 Office of the Director of National Intelligence preliminary assessment on UAP analyzed 144 reports, primarily from U.S. military aviators, and concluded that while most cases involved airborne clutter or natural phenomena, a subset remained unexplained and posed possible national security challenges, including risks to flight safety from near-collisions. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO), established in 2022 under the Department of Defense, has prioritized UAP investigations to mitigate hazards to military operations and airspace integrity, receiving over 1,600 reports by November 2024, with hundreds unresolved pending further data. AARO's March 2024 Historical Record Report, reviewing U.S. government UAP investigations since 1945, found no empirical evidence of extraterrestrial technology or off-world craft but affirmed that unresolved cases necessitate enhanced sensor capabilities and data-sharing protocols to discern potential threats from prosaic explanations like drones or foreign systems. Critics, including military witnesses in congressional testimony, argue that such capabilities—observed in Navy encounters like the 2004 Nimitz incident—infringe on sovereign airspace without detection, potentially eroding deterrence if attributable to nations like China or Russia. However, AARO attributes the majority of reports to misidentifications of commercial aircraft, balloons, or birds, underscoring the need for rigorous empirical validation over speculative threat assessments. On transparency, the U.S. has increased public reporting mechanisms, including AARO's submission portal and annual caseload disclosures, alongside declassifications like the 2017 videos, to foster interagency coordination and reduce stigma around UAP reporting. Yet, multiple congressional hearings from 2023 to 2025, such as the July 2023 House Oversight session titled "Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena: Implications on , Public Safety, and Transparency," highlighted persistent barriers including over-classification and retaliation fears deterring whistleblowers. Claims by whistleblower Grusch in 2023 of multi-decade covert retrieval programs involving non-human craft were investigated by AARO, which sought interviews but received no verifiable , attributing assertions to rather than direct . Lawmakers in September 2025 hearings accused the of insufficient disclosure on classified UAP data, prompting calls for strengthened whistleblower protections and mandatory reporting to address perceived gaps without compromising legitimate equities.

Ufology and Cultural Impact

Prominent researchers and organizations

J. Allen Hynek, an astronomer and professor at Northwestern University, served as a scientific consultant to U.S. Air Force UFO projects including Project Sign (1947–1949), Project Grudge (1949–1951), and Project Blue Book (1952–1969), initially dismissing most sightings as misidentifications but later advocating for rigorous scientific investigation of unexplained cases. In 1972, Hynek published The UFO Experience, introducing the "Close Encounters" classification system—dividing sightings into nocturnal lights, daylight discs, radar/visual cases, and categories involving physical effects or occupant contact—to standardize analysis beyond anecdotal reports. He founded the Center for UFO Studies (CUFOS) in 1973 to promote empirical data collection and interdisciplinary scrutiny, emphasizing that approximately 20% of Blue Book's 12,618 cases remained unidentified despite official explanations. Jacques Vallée, a French-American and venture capitalist, collaborated with Hynek in the 1960s while analyzing data and authored books like Anatomy of a (1965), proposing UFOs as potentially non-extraterrestrial manifestations akin to entities rather than interstellar visitors. Vallée's interdimensional hypothesis, detailed in works such as Passport to Magonia (1969), posits UFO phenomena as a "" influencing human culture through archetypal patterns, drawing parallels to historical fairy lore and religious visions without endorsing extraterrestrial origins absent physical evidence. His approach critiques simplistic nuts-and-bolts explanations, urging examination of societal impacts over origin speculation. Donald E. Keyhoe, a retired U.S. Marine Corps major and writer, gained prominence with Flying Saucers Are Real (), arguing based on military pilot reports and tracks that UFOs represented advanced likely from other worlds, challenging Air Force dismissals as inadequate. As director of the National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP), founded in , Keyhoe lobbied for hearings and alleged suppression of data, compiling witness testimonies from over 50 pilots in the to counter official narratives of hoaxes or natural phenomena. NICAP peaked with 14,000 members by 1960 but declined amid internal disputes and funding issues by the late 1960s, though Keyhoe's advocacy influenced public demands for transparency. Stanton T. Friedman, a nuclear physicist who worked on classified propulsion projects, investigated the 1947 Roswell incident from 1978 onward, interviewing witnesses and asserting it involved a crashed extraterrestrial craft with recovered bodies, based on debris descriptions inconsistent with Project Mogul balloon explanations. Friedman's lectures and books, including Crash at Corona (1992), promoted declassified documents like the controversial Majestic 12 papers as evidence of government retrieval programs, though critics noted authentication failures; he lectured on UFOs for over 40 years until his death in 2019. The (MUFON), established on May 31, 1969, as the Midwest UFO Network in , by Walter H. Andrus Jr. and others, expanded internationally to become the largest civilian UFO investigation group, training field investigators to document sightings via standardized protocols and maintaining a database of over 100,000 reports for pattern analysis. MUFON emphasizes empirical fieldwork, including and correlation, while acknowledging most cases resolve as conventional objects but prioritizing unresolved anomalies for scientific review. CUFOS, initiated by Hynek in 1973 at Northwestern, focuses on scholarly analysis of UFO data, archiving Blue Book files and sponsoring symposia to apply astronomy, physics, and psychology without presuming extraterrestrial causes, producing reports like the 1977 "Symposium on UFOs" proceedings. NICAP, under Keyhoe from 1956 to 1969, prioritized military and civilian witness corroboration, issuing bulletins on incidents like the 1952 Washington, D.C., radar-visual events to pressure federal disclosure, though its advocacy style drew accusations of sensationalism from skeptics.

Representation in media and public perception

Media portrayals of unidentified flying objects originated in early 20th-century , with ' The War of the Worlds (1898) inspiring ' 1938 radio broadcast, which simulated a Martian invasion and reportedly caused widespread panic among listeners who mistook it for real news, demonstrating radio's capacity to amplify perceptions of extraterrestrial threats. Post-World War II films like The Day the Earth Stood Still (1951) depicted UFOs as metallic craft carrying advanced beings, reflecting anxieties about superior technology, while such as in the 1920s–1940s popularized flying saucer imagery through serialized tales of interstellar visitors. These fictional representations established the "" archetype, influencing eyewitness descriptions despite most verified sightings describing non-discoidal shapes like orbs or boomerangs. Television and cinema in the mid-20th century further embedded UFOs in popular culture, with shows like The Outer Limits (1963–1965) and films such as Close Encounters of the Third Kind (1977) portraying government cover-ups and benign alien contact, often blending real reports like the 1947 Roswell incident—initially covered sensationally in local press as a "flying disc" recovery before official retraction—with speculative narratives. The 1990s series The X-Files amplified themes of institutional secrecy and paranormal encounters, correlating with a temporary rise in reported sightings, as studies indicate that exposure to one-sided media depictions increases belief in UFOs as extraterrestrial craft by framing ambiguous phenomena as evidence of visitation rather than misidentifications. Mainstream media coverage declined from 1987 to 2015, coinciding with lower public credence, but surged after the 2017 New York Times revelations of Pentagon videos, shifting portrayals toward credible military encounters over outright fiction. Public opinion on UFOs has fluctuated with media cycles, with Gallup polls showing belief that some UFOs represent alien spacecraft rising from 33% in 1997 and 2019 to 41% in , attributed partly to increased visibility of declassified footage rather than new empirical proof. A Pew survey found 51% of Americans viewing military-reported UFOs as probable evidence of , though only 26% saw them as a threat, reflecting media's role in normalizing the topic without consensus on origins. By 2023, reported 42% belief in UFOs, stable over decades but elevated among younger demographics exposed to streaming content, while a 2025 poll indicated 44% suspect government concealment of evidence, fueled by congressional hearings amplified in outlets prone to . Experimental research confirms media's causal influence, where balanced reporting reduces fright reactions and belief compared to alarmist segments, yet legacy media's historical downplaying—often dismissing sightings as hoaxes amid institutional skepticism—has yielded to recent coverage that elevates pilot testimonies, though without resolving prosaic explanations like optical illusions or classified drones. This duality underscores how media, driven by audience engagement, shapes perception toward extraterrestrial hypotheses over mundane alternatives, despite empirical data favoring misperception in most cases. ![Roswell Daily Record front page on flying saucer capture, exemplifying early media sensationalism][center]

References

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