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Overfishing
Overfishing
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Jack mackerel caught by a Chilean purse seiner
Fishing down the food web

Overfishing is the removal of aquatic animals — primarily fish — from a body of water at a rate greater than that the species can replenish its population naturally (i.e. the overexploitation of the fishery's existing fish stocks), resulting in the species becoming increasingly underpopulated in that area. Excessive fishing practices can occur in water bodies of any sizes, from ponds, wetlands, rivers, lakes to seas and oceans, and can result in resource depletion, reduced biological growth rates and low biomass levels. Sustained overfishing, especially industrial-scale commercial fishing, can lead to critical depensation, where the fish population is no longer able to sustain itself, resulting in extirpation or even extinction of species. Some forms of overfishing, such as the overfishing of sharks, has led to the upset of entire marine ecosystems.[1] Types of overfishing include growth overfishing, recruitment overfishing, and ecosystem overfishing. Overfishing not only causes negative impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem functioning, but also reduces fish production, which subsequently leads to negative social and economic consequences.[2]

The ability of a fishery to recover from overfishing depends on whether its overall carrying capacity and the variety of ecological conditions are suitable for the recovery. Dramatic changes in species composition can result in an ecosystem shift, where other equilibrium energy flows involve species compositions different from those that had been present before the depletion of the original fish stock. For example, once trout have been overfished, carp might exploit the change in competitive equilibria and take over in a way that makes it impossible for the trout to re-establish a breeding population.

Since the growth of global fishing enterprises after the 1950s, intensive fishing has spread from a few concentrated areas to encompass nearly all fisheries. The scraping of the ocean floor in bottom dragging is devastating to coral, sponges and other slower-growing benthic species that do not recover quickly, and that provide a habitat for commercial fisheries species. This destruction alters the functioning of the ecosystem and can permanently alter species' composition and biodiversity. Bycatch, the collateral capture of unintended species in the course of fishing, is typically returned to the ocean only to die from injuries or exposure. Bycatch represents about a quarter of all marine catch. In the case of shrimp capture, the mass of bycatch is five times larger than that of the shrimp caught.

A report by FAO in 2020 stated that "in 2017, 34 percent of the fish stocks of the world's marine fisheries were classified as overfished".[3]: 54  Mitigation options include: Government regulation, removal of subsidies, minimizing fishing impact, aquaculture and consumer awareness.

Scale

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Darker shades mean less overfishing, lighter shades mean more overfishing. EPI scores range from 1–7; 7=highest level of overfishing.

Overfishing has stripped many fisheries around the world of their stocks. The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization estimated in a 2018 report that 33.1% of world fish stocks are subject to overfishing.[4] Significant overfishing has been observed in pre-industrial times. In particular, the overfishing of the western Atlantic Ocean from the earliest days of European colonisation of the Americas has been well documented.[5]

The fraction of fish stocks that are within biologically sustainable levels has exhibited a decreasing trend, from 90% in 1974 to 66.9% in 2015. In contrast, the percentage of stocks fished at biologically unsustainable levels increased from 10% in 1974 to 33.1% in 2015, with the largest increases in the late-1970s and 1980s.

Global trends in the state of the world's marine fish stocks, from FAO's Statistical Yearbook 2020[6]

In 2015, maximally sustainably fished stocks (formerly termed fully fished stocks) accounted for 59.9% and underfished stocks for 7% of the total assessed stocks.[7] While the proportion of underfished stocks decreased continuously from 1974 to 2015, the maximally sustainably fished stocks decreased from 1974 to 1989, and then increased to 59.9% in 2015.[7]

In 2015, among the 16 major statistical areas, the Mediterranean and Black Sea had the highest percentage (62.2%) of unsustainable stocks, closely followed by the Southeast Pacific 61.5% and Southwest Atlantic 58.8%. In contrast, the Eastern Central Pacific, Northeast Pacific (Area 67), Northwest Pacific (Area 61), Western Central Pacific and Southwest Pacific had the lowest proportion (13 to 17%) of fish stocks at biologically unsustainable levels.[7]

Daniel Pauly, a fisheries scientist known for pioneering work on the human impacts on global fisheries, has commented:[8]

It is almost as though we use our military to fight the animals in the ocean. We are gradually winning this war to exterminate them. And to see this destruction happen, for nothing really – for no reason – that is a bit frustrating. Strangely enough, these effects are all reversible, all the animals that have disappeared would reappear, all the animals that were small would grow, all the relationships that you can't see any more would re-establish themselves, and the system would re-emerge.

According to the Secretary General of the 2002 World Summit on Sustainable Development, "Overfishing cannot continue, the depletion of fisheries poses a major threat to the food supply of millions of people."[9]

The fishing down the food web is something that occurs when overfishing arises. Once all larger fish are caught, the fisherman will start to fish the smaller individuals, which would lead to more fish needing to be caught to keep up with demand.[10] This decreases fish populations, as well as genetic diversity of the species, making them more susceptible to disease, and less likely to adapt to their stressors and the environment.[11] Additionally, catching smaller fish leads to breeding of smaller offspring, which can be problematic for fish. In many species, the smaller the female, the less fecund it is, impacting the fish population.[12]

Types

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There are three recognized types of biological overfishing: growth overfishing, recruit overfishing, and ecosystem overfishing.

Growth overfishing

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Overfishing can deplete key reef species and damage coral habitat. Coral reef fish are a significant food source for over a billion people worldwide.[13]

Growth overfishing occurs when fish are harvested at an average size that is smaller than the size that would produce the maximum yield per recruit. A recruit is an individual that makes it to maturity, or into the limits specified by a fishery, which are usually size or age.[14] This makes the total yield less than it would be if the fish were allowed to grow to an appropriate size. It can be countered by reducing fishing mortality to lower levels and increasing the average size of harvested fish to a size that will allow maximum yield per recruit.[15][16]

Recruitment overfishing

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Recruitment overfishing happens when the mature adult population (spawning biomass) is depleted to a level where it no longer has the reproductive capacity to replenish itself—there are not enough adults to produce offspring.[15] Increasing the spawning stock biomass to a target level is the approach taken by managers to restore an overfished population to sustainable levels. This is generally accomplished by placing moratoriums, quotas, and minimum size limits on a fish population.

Ecosystem overfishing

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Ecosystem overfishing occurs when the balance of the ecosystem is altered by overfishing. With declines in the abundance of large predatory species, the abundance of small forage type increases causing a shift in the balance of the ecosystem towards smaller fish species.

Examples and evidence for overfishing

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Examples of overfishing exist in areas such as the North Sea, the Grand Banks of Newfoundland and the East China Sea.[17][18] In these locations, overfishing has not only proved disastrous to fish stocks, but also to the fishing communities relying on the harvest. Like other extractive industries such as forestry and hunting, fisheries are susceptible to economic interaction between ownership or stewardship and sustainability, otherwise known as the tragedy of the commons.

Overfished US stocks, 2015
  • The World Wide Fund for Nature and the Zoological Society of London jointly issued their "Living Blue Planet Report" on 16 September 2015 which states that there was a dramatic fall of 74% in worldwide stocks of the important scombridae fish such as mackerel, tuna and bonitos between 1970 and 2010, and the global overall "population sizes of mammals, birds, reptiles, amphibians and fish fell by half on average in just 40 years."[28]
  • Limited supply due to past overfishing of the Pacific bluefin tuna has contributed to occasional astronomical prices. In January 2019, a 278 kilogram (612 pound) tuna sold for 333.6 million yen, or over US$3 million, US$4,900 per pound.[29][30]
  • Sharks and rays: The global abundance of oceanic sharks and rays has declined by 71% since 1970, owing to an 18-fold increase in relative fishing pressure. As a consequence, three-quarters of the species comprising this group are now threatened with extinction.[31] A stark example, caught almost entirely on video, was an incident in Hurghada, Egypt on 8 June 2023, in which Russian Vladimir Popov was killed by a tiger shark in an attack which has been attributed to overfishing of the Red Sea.
  • A study in 2003 found that, as compared with 1950 levels, only a remnant (in some instances, as little as 10%) of all large ocean-fish stocks are left in the seas. These large ocean fish are the species at the top of the food chains (e.g., tuna, cod, among others). This article was subsequently criticized as being fundamentally flawed, although much debate still exists and the majority of fisheries scientists now consider the results irrelevant with respect to large pelagics (the open seas).[32]
  • In the United States approximately 27% of exploited fish stocks are considered overfished.[33]
  • In Tasmania, over 50% of major fisheries species, such as the eastern gemfish, the southern rock lobster, southern bulkefin tuna, jack mackerel, or trumpeter, have declined over the past 75 years due to overfishing.[34]

Consequences

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Atlantic cod stocks were severely overfished in the 1970s and 1980s, leading to their abrupt collapse in 1992.

Overfishing not only causes negative impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem functioning, but also reduces fish production, which subsequently leads to negative social and economic consequences.[2] According to a 2008 UN report, the world's fishing fleets are losing US$50 billion each year due to depleted stocks and poor fisheries management. The report, produced jointly by the World Bank and the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), asserts that half the world's fishing fleet could be scrapped with no change in catch. In addition, the biomass of global fish stocks have been allowed to run down to the point where it is no longer possible to catch the amount of fish that could be caught.[35]

Increased incidence of schistosomiasis in Africa has been linked to declines of fish species that eat the snails carrying the disease-causing parasites.[36]

Massive growth of jellyfish populations threaten fish stocks, as they compete with fish for food, eat fish eggs, and poison or swarm fish, and can survive in oxygen depleted environments where fish cannot; they wreak massive havoc on commercial fisheries. Overfishing eliminates a major jellyfish competitor and predator, exacerbating the jellyfish population explosion.[37] Both climate change and a restructuring of the ecosystem have been found to be major roles in an increase in jellyfish population in the Irish Sea in the 1990s.[38]

According to the 2019 Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services published by the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, overfishing is a primary driver of mass extinction in the world's oceans.[39] A 2021 study published in the journal Nature asserted that the "primary cause" of ocean defaunation is overfishing.[31] Other studies have shown that overfishing has reduced fish and marine mammal biomass by 60% since the 1800s,[40] and is currently driving over one-third of sharks and rays to extinction.[41]

Acceptable levels

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The notion of overfishing hinges on what is meant by an "acceptable level" of fishing. More precise biological and bioeconomic terms define acceptable level as follows:

  • Biological overfishing occurs when fishing mortality has reached a level where the stock biomass has negative marginal growth (reduced rate of biomass growth), as indicated by the red area in the figure. (Fish are being taken out of the water so quickly that the replenishment of stock by breeding slows down. If the replenishment continues to diminish for long enough, replenishment will go into reverse and the population will decrease.)[42]
  • Economic or bioeconomic overfishing additionally considers the cost of fishing when determining acceptable catches. Under this framework, a fishery is considered to be overfished when catches exceed maximum economic yield where resource rent is at its maximum. Fish are being removed from the fishery so quickly that the profitability of the fishery is sub-optimal. A more dynamic definition of economic overfishing also considers the present value of the fishery using a relevant discount rate to maximise the flow of resource rent over all future catches.[43]
The Traffic Light colour convention, showing the concept of Harvest Control Rule (HCR), specifying when a rebuilding plan is mandatory in terms of precautionary and limit reference points for spawning biomass and fishing mortality rate.

Harvest control rule

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A model proposed in 2010 for predicting acceptable levels of fishing is the Harvest Control Rule (HCR),[44] which is a set of tools and protocols with which management has some direct control of harvest rates and strategies in relation to predicting stock status, and long-term maximum sustainable yields. Constant catch and constant fishing mortality are two types of simple harvest control rules.[45]

Input and output orientations

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Fishing capacity can also be defined using an input or output orientation.

  • An input-oriented fishing capacity is defined as the maximum available capital stock in a fishery that is fully utilized at the maximum technical efficiency in a given time period, given resource and market conditions.[46]
  • An output-oriented fishing capacity is defined as the maximum catch a vessel (fleet) can produce if inputs are fully utilized given the biomass, the fixed inputs, the age structure of the fish stock, and the present stage of technology.[47]

Technical efficiency of each vessel of the fleet is assumed necessary to attain this maximum catch. The degree of capacity utilization results from the comparison of the actual level of output (input) and the capacity output (input) of a vessel or a fleet.[clarification needed]

Reducing overfishing

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In order to meet the problems of overfishing, a precautionary approach and Harvest Control Rule (HCR) management principles have been introduced in the main fisheries around the world. The Traffic Light color convention introduces sets of rules based on predefined critical values, which can be adjusted as more information is gained.

The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) treaty deals with aspects of overfishing in articles 61, 62, and 65.[48]

  • Article 61 requires all coastal states to ensure that the maintenance of living resources in their exclusive economic zones is not endangered by over-exploitation. The same article addresses the maintenance or restoration of populations of species above levels at which their reproduction may become seriously threatened.
  • Article 62 provides that coastal states: "shall promote the objective of optimum utilization of the living resources in the exclusive economic zone without prejudice to Article 61"
  • Article 65 provides generally for the rights of, inter alia, coastal states to prohibit, limit, or regulate the exploitation of marine mammals.

According to some observers, overfishing can be viewed as an example of the tragedy of the commons; appropriate solutions would therefore promote property rights through, for instance, privatization and fish farming. Daniel K. Benjamin, in Fisheries are Classic Example of the 'Tragedy of the Commons', cites research by Grafton, Squires and Fox to support the idea that privatization can solve the overfishing problem: According to recent research on the British Columbia halibut fishery, where the commons has been at least partly privatized, substantial ecological and economic benefits have resulted. There is less damage to fish stocks, the fishing is safer, and fewer resources are needed to achieve a given harvest."[49]

Another possible solution, at least for some areas, is quotas, restricting fishers to a specific quantity of fish. A more radical possibility is declaring certain areas of the sea "no-go zones" and make fishing there strictly illegal, so the fish have time to recover and repopulate.

In order to maximise resources some countries, e.g., Bangladesh and Thailand, have improved the availability of family planning services. The resulting smaller populations have a decreased environmental footprint and reduced food needs.[50]

Controlling consumer behavior and demand is critical in mitigating action. Worldwide, a number of initiatives emerged to provide consumers with information regarding the conservation status of the seafood available to them. The "Guide to Good Fish Guides" lists a number of these.[51]

Government regulation

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Many regulatory measures are available for controlling overfishing. These measures include fishing quotas, bag limits, licensing, closed seasons, size limits and the creation of marine reserves and other marine protected areas.

A model of the interaction between fish and fishers showed that when an area is closed to fishers, but there are no catch regulations such as individual transferable quotas, fish catches are temporarily increased but overall fish biomass is reduced, resulting in the opposite outcome from the one desired for fisheries.[52] Thus, a displacement of the fleet from one locality to another will generally have little effect if the same quota is taken. As a result, management measures such as temporary closures or establishing a marine protected area of fishing areas are ineffective when not combined with individual fishing quotas. An inherent problem with quotas is that fish populations vary from year to year. A study has found that fish populations rise dramatically after stormy years due to more nutrients reaching the surface and therefore greater primary production.[53] To fish sustainably, quotas need to be changed each year to account for fish population.

Individual transferable quotas (ITQs) are fishery rationalization instruments defined under the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act as limited access permits to harvest quantities of fish. Fisheries scientists decide the optimal amount of fish (total allowable catch) to be harvested in a certain fishery. The decision considers carrying capacity, regeneration rates and future values. Under ITQs, members of a fishery are granted rights to a percentage of the total allowable catch that can be harvested each year. These quotas can be fished, bought, sold, or leased allowing for the least-cost vessels to be used. ITQs are used in New Zealand, Australia, Iceland, Canada, and the United States.

In 2008, a large-scale study of fisheries that used ITQs compared to ones that did not provide strong evidence that ITQs can help to prevent collapses and restore fisheries that appear to be in decline.[54][55][56][57]

China bans fishing in the South China Sea for a period each year.[58]

Several countries are now effectively managing their fisheries. Examples include Iceland and New Zealand.[59] The United States has turned many of its fisheries around from being in a highly depleted state.[60]

Removal of subsidies

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Because government provided financial subsidies can make it economically viable to fish beyond biologically sustainable levels, several scientists have called for an end to fishery subsidies paid to deep-sea fisheries.

Fisheries scientist Daniel Pauly and economist Ussif Rashid Sumaila have examined subsidies paid to bottom trawl fleets around the world. They found that US$152 million per year are paid to deep-sea fisheries. Without these subsidies, global deep-sea fisheries would operate at a loss of US$50 million a year. A great deal of the subsidies paid to deep-sea trawlers is to subsidize the large amount of fuel required to travel beyond the 200 mile limit and drag weighted nets.[27]

"There is surely a better way for governments to spend money than by paying subsidies to a fleet that burns 1.1 billion litres of fuel annually to maintain paltry catches of old growth fish from highly vulnerable stocks, while destroying their habitat in the process" – Pauly.[27]

"Eliminating global subsidies would render these fleets economically unviable and would relieve tremendous pressure on over-fishing and vulnerable deep-sea ecosystems" – Sumaila.[27]

Over 30 billion euros in public subsidies are directed to fisheries annually.[61][62]

Minimizing fishing impact

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Fishing techniques may be altered to minimize bycatch and reduce impacts on marine habitats. These techniques include using varied gear types depending on target species and habitat type. For example, a net with larger holes will allow undersized fish to avoid capture. A turtle excluder device (TED) allows sea turtles and other megafauna to escape from shrimp trawls. Avoiding fishing in spawning grounds may allow fish stocks to rebuild by giving adults a chance to reproduce.

World capture fisheries and aquaculture production by species group, from FAO's Statistical Yearbook 2025[6]

Aquaculture

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Aquaculture involves the farming of fish in captivity. This approach effectively privatizes fish stocks and creates incentives for farmers to conserve their stocks. It also reduces environmental impact. However, farming carnivorous fish, such as salmon, does not always reduce pressure on wild fisheries, since carnivorous farmed fish are usually fed fishmeal and fish oil extracted from wild forage fish. The various species of Pacific salmon and Atlantic salmon are relatively easy to raise in captivity and such aquacultural operations have existed for more than 150 years. Large scale releases of salmon raised in captivity to supplement wild salmon runs will usually increase fishing pressure on the much less abundant wild salmon runs.

Aquaculture played a minor role in the harvesting of marine organisms until the 1970s. Growth in aquaculture increased rapidly in the 1990s when the rate of wild capture plateaued. Aquaculture now provides approximately half of all harvested aquatic organisms. Aquaculture production rates continue to grow while wild harvest remains steady.

Fish farming can enclose the entire breeding cycle of the fish, with fish being bred in captivity. Some fish prove difficult to breed in captivity and can be caught in the wild as juveniles and brought into captivity to increase their weight. With scientific progress, more species are being made to breed in captivity. This was the case with southern bluefin tuna, which were first bred in captivity in 2009.[63]

Consumer awareness

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As global citizens become more aware of overfishing and the ecological destruction of the oceans, movements have sprung up to encourage abstinence[64]—not eating any seafood—or eating only "sustainable seafood".

Sustainable seafood is a movement that has gained momentum as more people become aware of overfishing and environmentally destructive fishing methods. Sustainable seafood is seafood from either fished or farmed sources that can maintain or increase production in the future without jeopardizing the ecosystems from which it was acquired. In general, slow-growing fish that reproduce late in life, such as orange roughy, are vulnerable to overfishing. Seafood species that grow quickly and breed young, such as anchovies and sardines, are much more resistant to overfishing. Several organizations, including the Marine Stewardship Council (MSC), and Friend of the Sea, certify seafood fisheries as sustainable.[citation needed]

The Marine Stewardship Council has developed an environmental standard for sustainable and well-managed fisheries. Environmentally responsible fisheries management and practices are rewarded with the use of its blue product ecolabel. Consumers concerned about overfishing and its consequences are increasingly able to choose seafood products that have been independently assessed against the MSC's environmental standard. This enables consumers to play a part in reversing the decline of fish stocks. As of February 2012, over 100 fisheries around the world have been independently assessed and certified as meeting the MSC standard. Their where-to-buy page lists the currently available certified seafood. As of February 2012, over 13,000 MSC-labelled products are available in 74 countries around the world. Fish & Kids is an MSC project to teach schoolchildren about marine environmental issues, including overfishing.

The Monterey Bay Aquarium's Seafood Watch Program, although not an official certifying body like the MSC, also provides guidance on the sustainability of certain fish species.[65] Some seafood restaurants have begun to offer more sustainable seafood options. The Seafood Choices Alliance[66] is an organization whose members include chefs that serve sustainable seafood at their establishments. In the US, the Sustainable Fisheries Act defines sustainable practices through national standards. Although there is no official certifying body like the MSC, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has created FishWatch to help guide concerned consumers to sustainable seafood choices.[67]

In September 2016, a partnership of Google and Oceana and Skytruth introduced Global Fishing Watch, a website designed to assist citizens of the globe in monitoring fishing activities.[68][69][70]

Global goals

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The United Nations has included sustainable fishing and ending subsidies that contribute to overfishing as key targets for 2030 as part of their Sustainable Development Goal 14 called "Life Below Water".[71]

Barriers to reducing overfishing

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Tragedy of the commons

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In open-access resources like fish stocks, in the absence of a system like individual transferable quotas, the impossibility of excluding others provokes the fishermen who want to increase catch to do so effectively by taking someone else' share, intensifying competition. This tragedy of the commons provokes a capitalization process that leads them to increase their costs until they are equal to their revenue, dissipating their rent completely.[72] Causes of the fishing problem can be found in the property rights regime of fishing resources. Overexploitation and rent dissipation of fishermen arise in open-access fisheries as was shown in Gordon.[73][74]

The fishing industry has a strong financial incentive to oppose some measures aimed at improving the sustainability of fish stocks.[5] Recreational fisherman also have an interest in maintaining access to fish stocks. This leads to extensive lobbying that can block or weaken government policies intended to prevent overfishing.

There is always disagreement between fishermen and government scientists... Imagine an overfished area of the sea in the shape of a hockey field with nets at either end. The few fish left therein would gather around the goals because fish like structured habitats. Scientists would survey the entire field, make lots of unsuccessful hauls, and conclude that it contains few fish. The fishermen would make a beeline to the goals, catch the fish around them, and say the scientists do not know what they are talking about. The subjective impression the fishermen get is always that there's lots of fish - because they only go to places that still have them... fisheries scientists survey and compare entire areas, not only the productive fishing spots. – Fisheries scientist Daniel Pauly [75]

Fish are highly transitory and many species will freely move through different jurisdictions. The conservation efforts of one country can then be exploited by another.[76] Tragedy of the commons can result in perverse incentives to increase fisheries subsidy.[72]

Illegal fishing

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While governments can create regulations to control people's behaviors this can be undermined by illegal fishing activity. Estimates of the size of the illegal catch range from 11 to 26 million tonnes, which represents 14–33% of the world's reported catch.[77] Illegal fishing can take many forms. In some developing countries, large numbers of poor people are dependent on fishing. It can prove difficult to regulate this kind of overfishing, especially for weak governments. Even in regulated environments, illegal fishing may occur. While industrial fishing is often effectively controlled, smaller scale and recreational fishermen can often break regulations such as bag limits and seasonal closures. Fisherman can also easily fish illegally by doing things such as underreporting the amount of fish they caught or reporting that they caught one type of fish while actually catching another.[78] There is also a large problem with the surveillance of illegal fishing activity.[79] In 2001, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), passed the International Plan of Action to Prevent, Deter and Eliminate Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing (IPOA-IUU). This is an agreement with the intention to stop port states from allowing boats to dock that participated in illegal, unreported or unregulated fishing. It also gives details for port states on effective measures of inspecting and reporting illegal fishing.[80] Some illegal fishing takes place on an industrial scale.[81]

Territorial disputes

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In waters that are the subject of territorial disputes, countries may actively encourage overfishing. A notable example is the cod wars where Britain used its navy to protect its trawlers fishing in Iceland's exclusive economic zone.[82]

International waters

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Outside of countries' exclusive economic zones, fishing is difficult to control. Large oceangoing fishing boats are free to exploit fish stocks at will.[83] China is claimed to operate the largest fishing fleet in international waters.[81]

See also

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Sources

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 This article incorporates text from a free content work. Licensed under CC BY 4.0 (license statement/permission). Text taken from The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2024​, FAO.

References

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
![Global trends in the state of the world’s marine fish stocks.svg.png][float-right] Overfishing occurs when fish are harvested from marine and freshwater environments at rates that exceed their natural replenishment, depleting populations below levels necessary for sustained productivity. This phenomenon arises primarily from intensified fishing pressure driven by technological advancements, such as larger vessels and efficient gear, coupled with economic incentives like government subsidies that expand fleet capacities beyond sustainable limits. Empirical assessments indicate that 37.7 percent of global fish stocks were overfished as of 2021, up from 35.4 percent in 2019, with overfished stocks producing lower yields than those managed sustainably. Consequences include cascading ecological disruptions, such as shifts toward less desirable species lower in the food web, biodiversity loss exemplified by the extinction of the Chinese paddlefish due to combined overfishing and habitat alteration, and economic hardships for communities reliant on fisheries, where collapsed stocks have led to reduced catches and livelihoods. Efforts to mitigate overfishing encompass quotas, marine protected areas, and international agreements, though challenges persist from illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing, which undermines management and accounts for up to 30 percent of global catches in some regions. Controversies surround the accuracy of stock assessments, with some analyses suggesting models may overestimate sustainability, potentially masking deeper depletions. Despite aquaculture's rising contribution to seafood supply, surpassing wild capture in 2022, overfishing remains a dominant threat to wild stocks, necessitating rigorous enforcement and policy reforms grounded in biological realities rather than optimistic projections.

Definition and Historical Development

Core Definition and Measurement

Overfishing refers to the exploitation of fish stocks at a rate exceeding the maximum sustainable yield (MSY), defined as the largest long-term average catch obtainable from a stock under prevailing ecological conditions without causing depletion. This condition arises when the fishing mortality rate (F)—the proportion of fish removed annually by fishing—surpasses FMSY, the mortality rate that, if maintained, would produce MSY on average over time. MSY itself is calculated as the highest possible annual harvest that sustains the stock's biomass at the level yielding maximum population growth, derived from models incorporating growth rates, reproduction, natural mortality, and carrying capacity. A is deemed overfished when its spawning (SSB), the aggregate weight of reproductively mature individuals, drops below a critical reference point, often BMSY (the at MSY) or a precautionary proxy such as half of unfished to account for . These reference points are established through rigorous assessments using empirical like catch-per-unit-effort, age-structured models, and survey indices to estimate current F, SSB, and projections under varying scenarios. mortality above FMSY leads to progressive erosion, as removals outpace , whereas rates at or below FMSY allow equilibrium or recovery. Sustainable fishing contrasts with overfishing by limiting harvest to levels where F remains at or below FMSY and SSB stays above defined thresholds, ensuring perpetual yield potential. Per assessments by the (FAO), 64.5% of monitored global operate within biologically sustainable bounds, reflecting exploitation not exceeding replacement capacity based on these metrics. Determination relies on quantitative thresholds rather than proxies like global catch stagnation, which may stem from shifts to or unassessed stocks rather than inherent unsustainability.

Historical Evolution of Fishing Practices

Fishing practices originated in , with evidence of hook-and-line methods dating back at least 70,000 years, but remained largely subsistence-based and localized through the pre-industrial era, employing rudimentary tools like spears, weirs, and handlines that constrained harvest volumes to local ecosystems and generally maintained stable regional stocks. Commercialization emerged in antiquity around 3500 BCE with salting and drying techniques, yet scale stayed limited until ocean-crossing vessels appeared in the , still reliant on sail power and manual labor. The late 19th century introduced mechanization via steam-powered trawlers around the , which expanded operational range offshore, extended trip durations, and deployed heavier bottom nets to deeper habitats, initiating widespread depletions in the fisheries as catches intensified beyond historical norms. This technological leap, coupled with growing urban demand for preserved fish, shifted fishing from artisanal to proto-industrial pursuits, with plaice landings, for instance, surging from under 10,000 tons annually pre-1880 to over 50,000 tons by 1900. Post-World War II industrialization accelerated this trajectory, as diesel engines, factory ships processing thousands of tons at sea, and electronic aids like for fish detection and for navigation—commercialized in the —enabled distant-water fleets to target previously inaccessible stocks globally. Reported global wild capture fisheries rose from 19 million metric tons in 1950 to a peak of approximately 86 million metric tons by 1996, driven by fleet expansion—doubling from 1.7 million vessels in 1950 to 3.7 million by 2015—and rising protein demand amid population growth. From the onward, wild catches plateaued at 80-90 million metric tons annually through 2022, constrained by stock declines and exclusive economic zones established under the 1982 UN Convention on the , while surged to surpass wild production by 2014, reflecting a partial pivot from capture-dependent systems.

Causal Mechanisms and Types

Biological Types of Overfishing

Growth overfishing occurs when fishing mortality exceeds levels that allow to reach sizes optimizing yield per recruit, resulting in smaller average sizes and diminished long-term catch potential. This mechanism stems from basic where harvest targets juveniles or subadults before they achieve weight increments outweighing natural mortality rates, as quantified in yield-per-recruit models that balance growth, mortality, and . Excessive early harvesting truncates the age structure, reducing accumulation and per-fish productivity without necessarily collapsing rates. Recruitment overfishing emerges when spawning biomass falls below thresholds impairing production sufficient to replace harvested adults, often due to reduced or density-dependent survival failures at low abundances. Causal thresholds typically align with 20-50% of unfished spawning biomass, where per unit biomass declines nonlinearly owing to mechanisms like reduced mate encounter rates or predation refuge loss in sparse populations. This type directly erodes replacement rates, as evidenced by stock- models showing steep drops in juvenile survival below critical biomass levels, though exact thresholds vary by species life history. Ecosystem overfishing refers to disproportionate harvesting of apex or higher-trophic predators, prompting compositional shifts toward lower-trophic and potential reconfiguration through altered predator-prey balances. Such dynamics arise from selective pressures favoring resilient, smaller-bodied taxa, but first-principles analysis of trophic transfers reveals inherent system feedbacks, including compensatory growth in prey and behavioral adaptations, that confer resilience against total in many cases. Empirical assessments confirm that while functional roles may shift, marine communities frequently stabilize or recover via alternative pathways when exploitation eases, underscoring causal limits to irreversible degradation absent compounded stressors.

Economic and Incentive-Driven Causes

Overfishing in marine fisheries often arises from the economic incentives inherent in open-access regimes, where function as common-pool lacking defined property rights. In such systems, individual fishers, acting rationally to maximize personal returns, escalate harvesting efforts to capture shares before others do, precipitating a "race to fish" that dissipates resource rents and drives excessive capital investment. This phenomenon, termed capital stuffing, manifests as overinvestment in vessels, gear, and technology disproportionate to sustainable yields, as each participant seeks to maintain or increase their competitive edge amid unrestricted entry. Government subsidies compound these distortions by subsidizing fuel, vessel construction, and operations, thereby enabling fleets to sustain uneconomic levels of effort and fostering chronic overcapacity. Globally, fisheries subsidies total around $35 billion annually, with approximately $22 billion classified as capacity-enhancing, directly fueling expansions in inefficient fishing infrastructure, especially in high-subsidy regions such as and the . These interventions, intended to bolster employment or , instead perpetuate a cycle of by decoupling costs from biological limits, as evidenced in OECD assessments of support policies across major fishing nations. Although escalating demand from population growth—projected to heighten seafood needs amid preferences for high-protein diets—amplifies harvesting pressures, the core driver remains institutional failure rather than inherent overconsumption. Without secure, tradable property rights over stocks or quotas, fishers lack incentives to conserve for future yields, prioritizing immediate extraction over stewardship; this contrasts with privatized resources, where owners internalize long-term value. Empirical analyses underscore that insecure tenure, not greed per se, underlies the collective overharvesting, as open-access conditions predictably erode economic rents even under moderate demand.

Global and Regional Stock Assessments

The (FAO) of the assesses the status of marine based on data from 82 countries and territories, covering approximately 10-20 percent of global stocks under regular monitoring. According to the FAO's 2024 State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture report, 35.5 percent of these assessed stocks were classified as overfished in 2021, defined as below 80 percent of the level (B/BMSY < 0.8), while 64.5 percent were fished within biologically sustainable levels. When weighted by production, sustainable stocks accounted for 76.9 percent of landings from assessed stocks. Global wild capture fisheries production has remained relatively stable since the , fluctuating around 80-90 million tonnes annually, indicating no widespread collapse despite localized depletions. Regionally, assessments reveal variability, with some areas showing persistent overexploitation and others stabilization. In the Northeast Atlantic under the European Union's , a 2025 European report indicated that the proportion of stocks subject to overfishing had declined to 22 percent from higher levels in prior decades, based on evaluations of benchmarks. In the United States, the (NOAA) reported in its 2023 that 21 stocks were experiencing overfishing and 47 were overfished at year-end, representing a record low for overfishing determinations among federally managed stocks, though new assessments periodically add stocks to these lists due to updated data. Tropical regions, particularly coral reef fisheries, exhibit higher overexploitation rates in under-monitored areas. A 2025 study on East African coral reefs found that overfishing is eroding sustainability, with small-scale fisheries experiencing declining catches and biomass levels below sustainable thresholds across multiple sites in , , and , attributed to intense local pressure without adequate controls. These assessments highlight the limitations of global aggregates, as data gaps in developing regions and data-poor stocks may underestimate true overfishing prevalence, while stable aggregate catches suggest adaptive shifts in fishing effort rather than uniform depletion.

Evidence of Recoveries and Variability

Since 2000, the U.S. (NOAA) has successfully rebuilt 50 through targeted management measures, demonstrating the potential for recovery when fishing pressure is reduced. For instance, the Atlantic sea stock, depleted in the mid-1990s, rebounded after implementation of effort controls such as days-at-sea restrictions and rotational area closures under the 1982 Fishery Management Plan, achieving rebuilt status by 2001 and supporting commercial landings of 27.4 million pounds valued at $360 million in 2023. In 2023, NOAA reported a record-low number of stocks subject to overfishing, with only 6% of assessed stocks experiencing overexploitation, and the number of overfished stocks remaining stable or declining due to science-based quotas and monitoring. Internationally, individual transferable quota (ITQ) systems in Iceland and New Zealand have driven stock recoveries by aligning incentives with long-term sustainability. In Iceland, post-1990 ITQ reforms correlated with a 73% increase in fishing industry productivity by 1995 compared to 1973 levels, alongside biomass gains in key demersal stocks like cod through reduced overcapacity and improved compliance. New Zealand's quota management system, expanded since 1986, has sustained productivity gains and rebuilding in over 85% of commercial catches within its exclusive economic zone, with studies attributing 20-30% average biomass increases in managed species to privatization of access rights that discourage high-grading and discards. In the European Union, 2025 assessments of North-East Atlantic stocks indicated recovery trends, with overfishing prevalence dropping from 72% in earlier decades to 22%, reflecting effective multi-annual management plans that incorporate scientific advice on total allowable catches. Fish stock fluctuations exhibit significant natural variability independent of harvesting pressure, influenced by oceanographic cycles such as the and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, which alter , migration, and distribution patterns. Paleoecological records reveal that pre-industrial abundances varied widely due to environmental drivers, underscoring that overfishing interacts with but does not solely determine declines, as evidenced by persistent oscillations in unmanaged or lightly exploited stocks. Assessments must account for this variability to avoid misattributing cycles to anthropogenic causes alone; for example, U.S. West Coast groundfish recoveries have incorporated climate models showing productivity shifts tied to variability rather than fishing intensity exclusively. While some analyses, like those from project, estimate unreported catches to highlight hidden depletion, methodological critiques note potential overestimation of illegal and discarded fractions, which can inflate perceived crisis levels without corresponding surveys.

Impacts and Consequences

Ecological and Biodiversity Effects

Overfishing directly depletes in targeted , leading to consistent declines observed across global marine ecoregions and basins from 1950 to 2014, as documented in analyses of exploited populations. This reduction often manifests in altered age and size structures, with selective removal of larger, older individuals diminishing reproductive capacity and within stocks. Despite these effects, marine ecosystems exhibit notable resilience; for example, with approximately 35.5% of assessed global classified as overfished in recent evaluations, no widespread ecosystem collapses have been empirically documented, as total fishery production has remained stable through shifts to alternative rather than . Biodiversity impacts include shifts in community composition, such as "," where depletion of high-trophic-level predators favors proliferation of smaller, lower-trophic species, potentially altering predator-prey dynamics. Empirical studies, however, yield mixed outcomes on overall diversity: while top predators like and rays face severe pressure—with over one-third of species driven toward primarily by overfishing—many systems show persistence through functional redundancy, with no uniform evidence of or unproven tipping points. Local extinctions occur, particularly for vulnerable taxa, but global marine has not experienced mass declines attributable solely to overfishing, underscoring adaptability amid targeted depletions. Habitat alterations from destructive gear, notably —which accounts for roughly 25% of wild-caught —physically disrupt seafloor communities, reducing benthic abundance and diversity through sediment resuspension and direct mortality. Quantified via catch and effort data, trawling has historically generated over 437 million tons of discards since the mid-20th century, correlating with persistent changes in structure and lower recovery rates in sensitive areas like seamounts. These effects compound losses but are often localized, with empirical recovery observed in protected zones following effort reductions.

Economic and Industry Ramifications

Overfishing imposes substantial economic costs on global fisheries, primarily through foregone revenues from depleted stocks that prevent optimal yields. According to the Bank's "Sunken Billions Revisited" analysis, inefficient and biological result in annual global losses of approximately $50 billion in potential economic benefits compared to sustainable scenarios, with updated estimates indicating up to $83 billion in additional revenue if fishing pressures were reduced to allow stock recovery. These losses stem from reduced catch volumes and diminished stock productivity, where overfished populations yield 40-50% less value than maximum sustainable levels, exacerbating economic inefficiency in an industry reliant on renewable . Within the industry, overcapacity amplifies these costs, as oversized fleets chase , leading to higher operational expenses per unit of catch. In the , harmful subsidies have historically fueled fleet expansion beyond sustainable levels, with programs like temporary cessation payments failing to address underlying overcapacity and instead perpetuating inefficient vessels. This excess capacity, often subsidized at billions annually worldwide, results in capital waste and low profitability, necessitating fleet reductions to align harvesting effort with stock ; for instance, efforts have targeted capacity cuts to restore economic viability without proportional quota increases. Depleted stocks also drive structural shifts, including employment transitions from wild-capture to aquaculture sectors as traditional fisheries become less viable. While wild-capture employment remains significant, with around 33 million direct jobs globally, overfishing's pressure has accelerated aquaculture's growth, which now supplies over half of seafood production and absorbs labor amid wild stock declines. This reallocation reflects economic adaptation, though it introduces dependencies on feed inputs from wild fisheries, potentially compounding costs if not managed to avoid bycatch-driven depletion. Paradoxically, stock scarcity from overfishing can elevate prices, creating market signals that reward restraint and efficient allocation. Analyses of collapsed stocks, such as , show price spikes following depletion, where reduced supply amid steady demand increases per-unit revenues, incentivizing harvesters to prioritize higher-value, sustainable practices over volume-driven extraction. These dynamics underscore how overcapacity dissipates rents that could otherwise sustain industry profitability through property-like incentives for conservation, without relying on outright prohibitions.

Human and Food Security Outcomes

Fish from capture fisheries and aquaculture provide approximately 17% of the world's intake of animal protein consumed by humans. In developing countries, particularly coastal regions of Africa, overfishing exacerbates vulnerabilities to food insecurity, as declining wild stocks reduce access to this affordable protein source for millions reliant on artisanal fishing. For instance, fish stocks along West Africa's coast have declined significantly over the past five decades, threatening nutritional needs and livelihoods in communities where fish constitutes a primary dietary staple. However, global per capita fish consumption has continued to rise, reaching about 20.5 kg in 2022, supported by expanding aquaculture production that offsets stagnation in wild capture yields. Fisheries and aquaculture sustain around 60 million full- and part-time jobs worldwide, predominantly in small-scale operations that supply local markets. Overcapacity in fleets, driven by subsidies and open-access incentives, leads to inefficient resource use and heightened pressure on stocks, diminishing returns for fishers without improving overall employment stability. Illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing disproportionately displaces small-scale operators by depleting nearshore resources accessible to them, more so than regulated distant-water fleets operating in deeper waters. Despite regional depletions, global aquatic food supply remains stable, with total production reaching 223.2 million tonnes in —surpassing previous records—as aquaculture growth compensates for plateaued capture fisheries output since the . This trend undermines alarmist predictions of widespread protein shortages, as farmed production now exceeds wild catch and continues to expand, ensuring availability even amid localized . In protein-dependent regions, shifts toward and better management could mitigate risks, prioritizing empirical supply data over unsubstantiated famine scenarios.

Management Strategies and Solutions

Traditional Regulatory Frameworks

Traditional regulatory frameworks for primarily rely on government-imposed controls to limit harvest levels and fishing activities, aiming to prevent through scientific assessments and legal mandates. These include output controls, such as total allowable catch (TAC) quotas derived from (MSY) estimates, and input controls, like restrictions on fishing effort. Harvest control rules (HCRs) often guide TAC setting, adjusting allowable removals based on relative to points to maintain populations above sustainable thresholds. While these measures have achieved partial successes in reducing overfishing rates, their effectiveness diminishes in open-access regimes lacking incentives for compliance, as fishers respond to persistent economic pressures by seeking ways to maximize short-term gains. In the United States, the Magnuson-Stevens Conservation and Act (MSA) of 1976 exemplifies quota-based regulation, mandating the prevention of overfishing and rebuilding of depleted through annual catch limits and accountability measures. By the end of 2023, 94 percent of assessed were not subject to overfishing, a record low of 21 on the overfishing list, with 47 rebuilt since 2000. However, 18 percent of remained overfished, highlighting ongoing challenges in full implementation and stock recovery timelines. TAC systems have shown positive associations with recovery and effort reduction in some cases, but failures occur when quotas exceed scientific advice or when mixed-species fisheries lead to underutilization due to choke species constraints. Effort controls, such as vessel licensing, seasonal closures, and gear restrictions, represent another cornerstone of traditional , intended to cap overall pressure without directly measuring catch. These measures demand fewer monitoring resources than quotas but suffer from inherent limitations, including evasion through technological upgrades or capital intensification, which undermine protection while fostering economic inefficiency like excessive racing to fish. In open-access contexts, such controls fail to internalize the externalities of depletion, as participants lack incentives to conserve beyond immediate harvests, often resulting in persistent overcapacity. Internationally, frameworks like the Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) for Responsible Fisheries, adopted in 1995, promote precautionary TAC and effort management alongside ecosystem considerations, but as a voluntary instrument, it faces significant enforcement gaps, with compliance varying widely across nations. The 1995 UN Agreement further obligates states to apply MSY-based limits to straddling and highly migratory stocks, yet review conferences have yielded mixed results, with limited progress on monitoring, compliance, and addressing illegal activities due to weak binding mechanisms and geopolitical reluctance. Efforts to remove harmful subsidies, as urged by FAO guidelines, provide supplementary relief but prove insufficient without underlying property-like incentives to align individual actions with long-term stock viability.

Property Rights-Based Approaches

Property rights-based approaches to involve granting exclusive, transferable rights to harvest specific quantities or from designated areas, thereby internalizing externalities and incentivizing long-term over open-access exploitation. By aligning fishers' economic interests with stock sustainability, these mechanisms reduce incentives for overcapitalization and wasteful racing to catch, as rights holders bear the of depleting the resource. Empirical implementations demonstrate that such systems can stabilize or rebuild more effectively than effort controls or seasonal bans, which often fail to curb total harvests amid imperfect . Individual transferable quotas (ITQs) represent a prominent form, allocating permanent, marketable shares of a scientifically determined total allowable catch (TAC) to participants. This structure eliminates the "race to fish" derby dynamics prevalent in unregulated or command-and-control systems, where vessels overinvest in gear and fuel to preempt competitors, leading to safety risks, , and discards. In , a comprehensive ITQ system for demersal including was enacted in , following partial implementation since 1984 amid declining stocks. The approach drastically cut fishing effort and fostered ; spawning stock , which hit lows below 200,000 tonnes in the mid-1990s, subsequently recovered, peaking at levels not seen since before 1970 in 2018–2019, with fishing mortality reduced to sustainable rates. Territorial use rights in fisheries (TURFs), another variant, assign exclusive access to defined coastal zones, often to communities or firms, enabling localized monitoring and adaptive harvesting. Chile's Management and Exploitation Areas for Benthic Resources (MEABR), introduced in the late 1980s after a crisis depleted the loco (Chilean abalone, ) fishery, exemplifies this for small-scale operators. By granting associations rights to manage stocks within assigned areas, the system promoted recovery of overexploited benthic species, including loco populations, through self-enforced limits and enhanced , outperforming prior open-access regimes that triggered bans and collapses. Over 17,000 fishers gained secure access, with improved resource knowledge and reduced in compliant zones. Cross-jurisdictional analyses affirm that property rights systems like ITQs and TURFs diminish overfishing by shifting focus from short-term extraction to asset preservation, yielding higher yields and profits than regulatory alternatives. A World Bank assessment notes ITQs align fisher incentives with fishery health, curbing overcapacity evident in 90% of global stocks being fully exploited or overfished. Similarly, evaluations by the Property and Environment Research Center highlight how rights-based reforms avert $80 billion annual global losses from depletion, as holders invest in conservation to maximize perpetual returns. While initial allocations can concentrate holdings, evidence indicates net ecological gains through reduced effort and discards, contrasting persistent failures in commons-based management.

Aquaculture Expansion and Integration

Global aquaculture production has grown from contributing about 7 percent of total production in the early to 51 percent in 2022, with farmed volumes reaching 94.4 million tonnes out of 185.4 million tonnes of harvested worldwide. This expansion, driven by species such as and , has stabilized overall supply amid stagnant wild capture fisheries, which have hovered around 90-100 million tonnes annually since the 1990s. production, for instance, surpassed 6.7 million tonnes in 2023 and is projected to exceed 7 million tonnes by 2025, primarily from efficient inland pond systems in and . farming, led by and , produced over 2.5 million tonnes combined in recent years, demonstrating scalability through closed-containment and offshore technologies that minimize site-specific ecological footprints. Integration of into global systems alleviates incentives for of wild stocks by providing a controlled, high-yield alternative, as evidenced in regions where farmed output displaces imports of wild-caught equivalents. In , expanded to over 1.5 million tonnes annually by the early 2020s, correlating with reduced commercial pressure on native wild populations through regulatory shifts favoring farming licenses over capture quotas. Chile's industry, recovering from outbreaks, now exports farmed valued at billions, supporting economic diversification while wild Patagonian stocks face less harvesting intensity due to market substitution. Concerns over genetic from escapees remain, but empirical data indicate localized effects are outweighed by net conservation benefits, including sparing from trawl reductions. Technological advancements have mitigated key environmental critiques, such as reliance on wild-sourced feed, with feed conversion ratios improving to 1.2-1.5 kg feed per kg gain by the 2020s through precision nutrition and alternative proteins like and . Recirculating aquaculture systems (RAS) recycle over 99 percent of water, slashing effluent loads compared to net-pen operations, while (IMTA) in sites like enhances nutrient cycling by co-culturing fed species with extractive organisms such as and . These efficiencies outperform open-ocean , which exhibit higher fuel use and rates per tonne produced, positioning as a scalable pathway to meet rising demand without proportional wild harvest escalation.

Persistent Challenges

Open-Access Dilemmas and Problems

In open-access fisheries, where no individual or entity holds exclusive to the , participants face incentives to as much as possible before others do, leading to excessive effort and depletion. This dynamic, rooted in economic models like the Gordon-Schaefer framework, results in the dissipation of economic rents, as fishers invest in vessels, gear, and fuel until marginal costs equal average revenue, yielding zero profits despite potential value. Empirical observations confirm this pattern: global fleets often exceed sustainable capacity by factors of two to three times, with overcapitalization driving continuous pressure on stocks even as yields decline. Garrett Hardin's "" illustrates this failure, analogizing unregulated to shared pastures where each herder adds livestock to maximize personal gain, ultimately degrading the resource for all. In marine contexts, open seas exemplify this, with high-seas fleets racing to exploit migratory stocks, causing overinvestment and stock collapses, as seen in historical cases like the North Atlantic prior to restrictions. Recent data underscore the scale: according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization's 2024 assessment, only 62.3 percent of monitored marine stocks were fished within biologically sustainable levels in 2021, with the remainder overexploited or depleted, leaving scant underexploited stocks and indicating near-universal pressure from open-access incentives. Efforts to manage these commons through international treaties, such as those under Regional Fisheries Management Organizations (RFMOs), frequently falter due to free-riding, where nations or fleets benefit from conservation by others without equivalent restraint, undermining cooperation. For instance, RFMOs have struggled to enforce quotas amid non-signatory incursions and flag-of-convenience vessels, perpetuating in transboundary waters. In contrast, historical enclosures of terrestrial , as in 18th-19th century , demonstrate that assigning secure property rights can curb overuse by aligning individual incentives with long-term , boosting productivity through investment in sustainable practices. Modern analogs in fisheries, such as partial property mechanisms, restore rent capture by internalizing externalities, outperforming collective appeals that rely on unenforceable global norms. This causal logic favors or territorialization over vague "" governance, as the latter invites in iterated games without credible .

Illegal and Unregulated Activities

Illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing encompasses activities that undermine national and international , including without licenses, failing to report catches, using prohibited gear or methods, and operating in areas lacking conservation measures or in violation of quotas. These practices directly contribute to overfishing by exceeding sustainable harvest levels, distorting stock assessments, and accelerating depletion of targeted species. Globally, IUU fishing is estimated to account for a significant portion of marine catches, though precise figures remain challenging due to underreporting; in regions like the , it comprises 40-65% of total catch. Economic losses from IUU exceed tens of millions annually in affected countries, such as , where foreign trawlers deplete local stocks and undermine legitimate . Ecologically, IUU exacerbates , disrupts marine food webs, and heightens risks for by bypassing regulatory controls. Common methods include at-sea , where catches are transferred between vessels to evade port inspections and reporting requirements, often facilitated by flags of convenience that obscure ownership and compliance. Illegal operators also employ misreporting of species, volumes, or locations, and encroachment into restricted zones, as seen with distant-water fleets ignoring boundaries. In , Chinese trawlers have been implicated in extensive IUU activities, overfishing small pelagic species like and contributing to stock collapses that threaten for coastal communities. Similarly, in the , overfishing and territorial encroachments by multiple fleets have intensified pressure on shared stocks amid weak enforcement. Enforcement faces hurdles from vast ocean expanses, limited patrol resources, and jurisdictional gaps, compounded by links to transnational crimes like labor abuses and piracy, where illegal fishing serves as a lower-risk alternative or precursor activity. National legislation allows administrative and criminal penalties, but implementation varies, with distant-water fleets often evading detection through vessel spoofing and rapid evasion tactics.

Geopolitical and Enforcement Hurdles

Geopolitical tensions in marine regions exacerbate overfishing by complicating jurisdictional enforcement and enabling unauthorized access to fisheries resources. In the , China's expansive territorial claims, encompassing nearly 90% of the area via its "," have facilitated widespread illegal fishing by Chinese fleets in exclusive economic zones (EEZs) of neighboring states such as the and , leading to frequent naval standoffs and reduced deterrence against overexploitation. Similarly, ice melt has unveiled new fishing grounds, intensifying EEZ overlaps and disputes among , , (via ), and the , particularly around features like the , where competing claims hinder coordinated management and risk militarized incidents over emerging stocks. The high seas, comprising approximately 64% of the ocean's surface and beyond national jurisdictions, remain largely ungoverned, with Regional Fisheries Management Organizations (RFMOs) demonstrating limited efficacy in curbing overfishing due to consensus-based decision-making that allows dissenting members to block reforms. RFMOs have overseen persistent depletion, with 35.4% of assessed stocks classified as overfished as of recent evaluations, underscoring their failure to enforce harvest controls amid non-compliance by major fishing nations. The 2023 UN Agreement on Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ), which achieved the 60 ratifications needed for in September 2025 and will bind parties from January 2026, aims to establish marine protected areas and benefit-sharing on the high seas but remains untested, with skeptics questioning its enforceability given historical multilateral shortcomings. Enforcement deficits are amplified by within developing nations' fisheries administrations, where officials often collude in issuing fraudulent licenses, extorting bribes, or overlooking violations, undermining multilateral efforts and allowing distant-water fleets to evade accountability. Resource constraints in these regions further limit patrols, contrasting with unilateral national actions that yield tangible results; for instance, Australia's interdicted 298 foreign vessels and prosecuted 273 Indonesian fishers between July 2024 and June 2025, destroying seized boats to deter incursions into its northern EEZ. Such sovereign-led pursuits highlight how prioritizing national authority over protracted international negotiations can more effectively safeguard fisheries from geopolitical encroachments.

Debates, Controversies, and Critiques

Claims of Overstated Crisis Narratives

Global wild-capture fisheries production has remained relatively stable at around 90-95 million tonnes annually since the late , contradicting early predictions from the and of imminent worldwide collapse due to . For instance, alarms in the warned of depleted stocks leading to fishery failures, yet subsequent data from the (FAO) indicate no broad-scale crash in catches, with production plateauing rather than plummeting as forecasted. Similarly, a prominent 2006 study by Boris Worm and colleagues claimed that 29% of assessed fisheries had already collapsed (defined as a 90% decline in catch) and projected all species could follow by 2048 without intervention, but global catches have not exhibited the anticipated trajectory, and Worm himself later acknowledged improvements in management averting such outcomes. Critiques of crisis narratives highlight methodological shortcomings in predictive models, which often assume static productivity and ignore fisher adaptations like targeting resilient lower-trophic species or improved gear efficiency. Fisheries scientist Ray Hilborn has argued that media and NGO-driven claims of universal depletion overstate risks by extrapolating from poorly managed regional cases to the global scale, where FAO assessments show approximately 64.5% of stocks fished at sustainable levels as of recent evaluations. Reconstructions purporting steeper declines, such as those from project (funded by , an advocacy-oriented NGO), rely on estimates of unreported catches that critics contend inflate historical volumes without robust verification, introducing a pessimistic counter to official reporting stabilized by international standards. Such narratives may serve incentives beyond empirical accuracy, including bolstering calls for expanded regulations, subsidies, and conservation funding, while underemphasizing aquaculture's rapid expansion—which has doubled total supply since 1990 and offset any wild-capture stagnation—thus averting protein shortages without necessitating crisis-level interventions. Hilborn notes that while overfishing occurs in open-access regimes, well-enforced systems demonstrate recoveries without the doomsday scenarios promoted in alarmist accounts, suggesting selective emphasis on failures distorts priorities away from proven property-rights approaches.

Empirical Successes Versus Persistent Failures

In jurisdictions employing enforceable rights-based systems, fishery recoveries demonstrate the efficacy of such approaches. , federal management has rebuilt 50 since 2000, with the Snohomish coho achieving recovery in 2023; by year's end, only 21 faced overfishing—a historic low—with 94% of assessed not subject to overfishing. New Zealand's individual transferable quotas (ITQs), introduced in 1986, have enhanced stock sustainability and economic viability by aligning incentives with long-term resource health, yielding improved biological outcomes across managed species despite implementation challenges. The has recorded incremental progress under its , with 2025 assessments showing seven Mediterranean and stocks attaining sustainable exploitation levels, amid broader signs of recovery in stock status through quota adjustments and enforcement. Conversely, open-access small-scale fisheries in tropical regions exhibit ongoing depletion absent property rights or monitoring. East African coral reef fisheries, dominated by artisanal operations, faced intensified overfishing in 2025, eroding biomass and catch sustainability for coastal communities lacking formal allocation mechanisms. In , persistent illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) activities—fueled by capacity-enhancing subsidies—continue to drive , with the region ranked highly vulnerable to IUU in 2023 assessments, undermining stock rebuilding in areas like the . Global analyses affirm that rigorously enforced , including rights-based tools, correlates with improvements, whereas open-access persistence correlates with sustained declines, highlighting the causal primacy of institutional over generalized regulatory efforts.

References

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