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Irish republicanism
Irish republicanism
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Irish republicanism (Irish: poblachtánachas Éireannach) is the political movement for an Irish republic, void of any British rule. Throughout its centuries of existence, it has encompassed various tactics and identities, simultaneously elective and militant and has been both widely supported and iconoclastic.

The modern emergence of nationalism, democracy, and radicalism provided a basis for the movement, with groups forming across the island in hopes of independence. Parliamentary defeats provoked uprisings and armed campaigns, quashed by British forces. The Easter Rising, an attempted coup that took place in the midst of the First World War, provided popular support for the movement. An Irish republic was declared in 1916 and officialized following the Irish War of Independence. The Irish Civil War, beginning in 1922 and spurred by the partition of the island, then occurred.

Republican action, including armed campaigns, continued in the newly-formed state of Northern Ireland, a region of the United Kingdom. Tensions in the territory culminated in widespread conflict by 1969. This prompted paramilitaries: republicans assembled under the Provisional Irish Republican Army, who waged a campaign against the British state for approximately three decades—the most pronounced and prolonged republican campaign.[1] Represented by Sinn Féin, republicans would gradually invest in political action, including the Northern Ireland peace process and the Good Friday Agreement of 1998. The PIRA have since decommissioned and republicans have been elected to various echelons of government: those within the movement opposed to this outcome are often referred to as dissident republicans.

History

[edit]

Background of British rule in Ireland

[edit]
Map of Ireland in 1609 showing the major Plantations of Ireland

Following the Norman invasion of Ireland in the 12th century, Ireland, or parts of it, had experienced alternating degrees of rule from England. While some of the native Gaelic population attempted to resist this occupation,[2] a single, unified political goal did not exist amongst the independent lordships that existed throughout the island. The Tudor conquest of Ireland took place in the 16th century. This included the Plantations of Ireland, in which the lands held by Gaelic Irish clans and Hiberno-Norman dynasties were confiscated and given to Protestant settlers ("Planters") from England and Scotland. The Plantation of Ulster began in 1609, and the province was heavily colonised with English and Scottish settlers.[3]

Campaigns against English presence on the island had occurred prior to the emergence of the Irish republican ideology. In the 1590s and early 1600s, resistance was led by Hugh O'Neill (see the Nine Years' War). The Irish chieftains were ultimately defeated, leading to their exile (the 'Flight of the Earls') and the aforementioned Plantation of Ulster in 1609.[3]

1627 Hispano-Irish proposal

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In Europe, prior to the 18th and 19th centuries, republics were in a minority and monarchy was the norm, with few long-lasting republics of note at time, such as the fully-fledged Dutch Republic and the Republic of Venice, as well as the Old Swiss Confederacy and the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth, which had republican aspects. However, as noted by Cardinal Tomás Ó Fiaich, the first ever document proposing a republic of Ireland independent from connections to England dates from 1627.[4] Summaries of these plans are held in the Archives générales du Royaume in Belgium and were made familiar to Irish historians by the work of Fr. Brendan Jennings, a Franciscan historian, with his work Wild Geese in Spanish Flanders, 1582–1700 (1964).[4]

This early republican spirit was not ecumenical and was formed by exiled Irish Catholic Gaels with the support of Habsburg Spain as part of the Irish military diaspora who had fled into Spanish service in the aftermath of the Flight of the Earls during the Thirty Years' War.[4] This was in the context of the break-down of the Spanish match and the onset of the Anglo-Spanish War of 1625–1630.[4] Proposals were made at Madrid, with the involvement of Archbishop Florence Conry and Owen Roe O'Neill, for the Irish Regiment in the Spanish Netherlands then in the service of the Infanta Isabella Clara Eugenia, to invade and reconquer the English-controlled Kingdom of Ireland and set up an Irish government loosely aligned with the Habsburg Empire.[4]

Arms of 1627 proposed "Captains General of the Republic"
Arms of the Ó Néill
Arms of the Ó Domhnaill

One of the main problems was that within the leadership of the Hispano-Irish diaspora, there were rivalries and factionalism between two primary contenders, Shane O'Neill and Hugh O'Donnell, over who should be the overall leader and thus have rights to an Irish throne if the project was a success.[4] A third option was to resolve the conflict between the two factions before an invasion by making them family, with a marriage proposed between Hugh O'Donnell's sister Mary Stuart O'Donnell and Shane O'Neill, but this broke down.[4] Ministers in Madrid, to Philip IV of Spain, instead drew up proposals on 27 December 1627 for a "Kingdom and Republic of Ireland" and that "the earls should be called Captains General of the said Republic and one could exercise his office on land and the other at sea." These proposals were approved by Philip IV and forwarded to Infanta Isabella Clara Eugenia in Brussels. As the Anglo-Spanish War became more tepid, the plans were never put into practice.[4]

A decade later, the Irish Rebellion of 1641 began. This consisted of a coalition between the Irish Gaels and the Old English (descendants of the Anglo-Norman settlers who settled during the Norman Invasion) rebelling against the English rulers. While some ideas from the 1627 proposals were carried on, the attempt to rally both Gaels and Old English to the banner, mean't trying to find common ground and one of these concessions was support for the Stuart monarchy under Charles I of England whom the Old English were strongly attached to. The motto of the Confederation would thus become Pro Deo, pro Rege et Patria, Hibernia unanimis ('Irishmen United for God, King and Country'), with any idea of a republic ditched.[4] Beginning as a coup d'état with the aim of restoring lost lands in the north of Ireland and defending Catholic religious and property rights,[5] (which had been suppressed by the Puritan Parliament of England) it evolved into the Irish Confederate Wars. In the summer of 1642, the Catholic upper classes formed the Catholic Confederation, which essentially became the de facto government of Ireland for a brief period until 1649, when the forces of the English Parliament carried out the Cromwellian conquest of Ireland and the old Catholic landowners were permanently dispossessed of their lands. The most explicit Irish separatist viewpoint from the period, found in Disputatio Apologetica, written in Lisbon in 1645 by Fr. Conor O'Mahony, a Jesuit priest from Munster, argued instead for a Gaelic monarchy to be set up in an explicitly Catholic Ireland, with no mention of a republic.[4]

Society of United Irishmen and the Irish Rebellion of 1798

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The origin of modern Irish republicanism exists in the ideology and action of the United Irishmen. Founded in 1791 and informed by the Enlightenment, popular sovereignty and the likes of John Locke and Thomas Paine, they initially propagated parliamentary reform and Catholic emancipation.[6][7] Degradation in the legal achievement of these outcomes, coupled with the burgeoning perception of England as a foreign conqueror, inspired revolutionary sentiment and eventual action.[8][7]

Wolfe Tone circa 1794. Tone is considered by many as the father of Irish Republicanism

At this stage, the movement was led primarily by liberal Protestants,[9] particularly Presbyterians from the province of Ulster. The founding members of the United Irishmen were mainly Southern Irish Protestant aristocrats. The key founders included Wolfe Tone, Thomas Russell, Henry Joy McCracken, James Napper Tandy, and Samuel Neilson. By 1797, the Society of United Irishmen had around 100,000 members. Crossing the religious divide in Ireland, it had a mixed membership of Catholics, Presbyterians, and even Anglicans from the Protestant Ascendancy. It also attracted support and membership from Catholic agrarian resistance groups, such as the Defenders organisation, who were eventually incorporated into the Society.[10] The Society sought to unite the denominations of the island under the simple distinction of Irish.[11]

The Battle of Killala marked the end of the rising

The Irish Rebellion of 1798 began on 23 May, with the first clashes taking place in County Kildare on 24 May, before spreading throughout Leinster, as well as County Antrim and other areas of the country. French soldiers landed in Killala on 22 August and participated in the fighting on the rebels' side.[12] Even though they had considerable success against British forces in County Wexford,[13] rebel forces were eventually defeated. Key figures in the organisation were arrested and executed.

Acts of Union

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Michael Dwyer

Though the Rebellion of 1798 was eventually put down, small republican guerrilla campaigns against the British Army continued for a short time afterward in the Wicklow Mountains under the leadership of Michael Dwyer and Joseph Holt, involving attacks on small parties of yeomen. These activities were perceived by some to be merely "the dying echoes of an old convulsion",[14] but others feared further large-scale uprisings, due to the United Irishmen continuing to attract large numbers of Catholics in rural areas of the country and arms raids being carried out on a nightly basis.[14] It was also feared that rebels would again seek military aid from French troops, and another rising was expected take place by 10 April.[15]

This perceived threat of further rebellion resulted in the Parliamentary Union between the Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland. After some uncertainty, the Irish Parliament voted to abolish itself in the Acts of Union 1800, forming the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland, by a vote of 158 to 115.[16] A number of tactics were used to achieve this end. Lord Castlereagh and Charles Cornwallis were known to use bribery extensively. In all, a total of sixteen Irish borough-owners were granted British peerages. A further twenty-eight new Irish peerages were created, while twenty existing Irish peerages increased in rank.[17]

Furthermore, the government of Great Britain sought to replace Irish politicians in the Irish parliament with pro-Union politicians, and rewards were granted to those that vacated their seats, with the result being that in the eighteen months prior to the decision in 1800, one-fifth of the Irish House of Commons changed its representation due to these activities and other factors such as death.[17] It was also promised by Prime Minister William Pitt the Younger that he would bring about Catholic emancipation, though after the Acts of Union were successfully voted through, King George III saw that this pledge was never realised,[16] and as such Catholics were not granted the rights that had been promised prior to the Acts.

Robert Emmet

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A second attempt at forming an independent Irish republic occurred under Robert Emmet in 1803. Emmet had previously been expelled from Trinity College, Dublin for his political views.[18] Like those who had led the 1798 rebellion, Emmet was a member of the United Irishmen, as was his brother Thomas Addis Emmet, who had been imprisoned for membership in the organisation.

Depiction of Robert Emmet's trial

Emmet and his followers had planned to seize Dublin Castle by force, manufacturing weaponry and explosives at a number of locations in Dublin.[19] Unlike those of 1798, preparations for the uprising were successfully concealed from the government and law enforcement, and though a premature explosion at an arms depot attracted the attention of police, they were unaware of the United Irishmen activities at the time and did not have any information regarding the planned rebellion. Emmet had hoped to avoid the complications of the previous rebellion and chose not to organise the county outside of Dublin to a large extent. It was expected that the areas surrounding Dublin were sufficiently prepared for an uprising should one be announced, and Thomas Russell had been sent to northern areas of the country to prepare republicans there.[20]

A proclamation of independence, addressed from 'The Provisional Government' to 'The People of Ireland' was produced by Emmet, echoing the republican sentiments expressed during the previous rebellion:

You are now called on to show to the world that you are competent to take your place among nations, that you have a right to claim their recognisance of you, as an independent country ... We therefore solemnly declare, that our object is to establish a free and independent republic in Ireland: that the pursuit of this object we will relinquish only with our lives ... We war against no religious sect ... We war against English dominion.[21]

— Robert Emmet, Proclamation of the Provisional Government

However, failed communications and arrangements produced a considerably smaller force than had been anticipated. Nonetheless, the rebellion began in Dublin on the evening of 23 July. Emmet's forces were unable to take Dublin Castle, and the rising broke down into rioting, which ensued sporadically throughout the night. Emmet escaped and hid for some time in the Wicklow Mountains and Harold's Cross, but was captured on 25 August and hanged on 20 September 1803, at which point the Society of United Irishmen was effectively finished.

Young Ireland and the Irish Confederation

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The Young Ireland movement began in the late 1830s. The term 'Young Ireland' was originally a derogatory one, coined by the press in Britain to describe members of the Repeal Association (a group campaigning for the repeal of the Acts of Union 1800 which joined the Kingdom of Ireland and the Kingdom of Great Britain) who were involved with the Irish nationalist newspaper The Nation.[22] Encouraging the repeal of the Acts of Union, members of the Young Ireland movement advocated the removal of British authority from Ireland and the re-establishment of the Irish Parliament in Dublin.[23] The group had cultural aims also, and encouraged the study of Irish history and the revival of the Irish language.[24] Influential Young Irelanders included Charles Gavan Duffy, Thomas Davis and John Blake Dillon, the three founders of The Nation.[22]

William Smith O'Brien, leader of the Young Ireland movement

The Young Irelanders eventually seceded from the Repeal Association. The leader of the Repeal Association, Daniel O'Connell, opposed the use of physical force to enact repeal, and passed 'peace resolutions' declaring that violence and force were not to be employed.[25] Though the Young Irelanders did not support the use of violence, the writers of The Nation maintained that the introduction of these peace resolutions was poorly timed, and that to declare outright that physical force would never be used was 'to deliver themselves bound hand and foot to the Whigs.'[26] William Smith O'Brien, who had previously worked to achieve compromise between O'Connell and The Nation group, was also concerned, and claimed that he feared these resolutions were an attempt to exclude the Young Irelanders from the Association altogether.[26] At an Association meeting held in July 1846 at Conciliation Hall, the meeting place of the Association, Thomas Francis Meagher, a Young Irelander, addressing the peace resolutions, delivered his 'Sword Speech', in which he stated, "I do not abhor the use of arms in the vindication of national rights ... Be it for the defence, or be it for the assertion of a nation's liberty, I look upon the sword as a sacred weapon."[27] John O'Connell, Daniel O'Connell's son, was present at the proceedings and interrupted Meagher's speech, claiming that Meagher could no longer be part of the same association as O'Connell and his supporters. After some protest, the Young Irelanders left Conciliation Hall and the Repeal Association forever, founding the Irish Confederation 13 January 1847 after negotiations for a reunion had failed.

The Young Ireland movement culminated in a failed uprising (see Young Irelander Rebellion of 1848), which, influenced by the French Revolution of 1848 and further provoked by government inaction during the Great Famine and the suspension of habeas corpus,[28] which allowed the government to imprison Young Irelanders and other political opponents without trial, was hastily planned and quickly suppressed. Following the abortive uprising, several rebel leaders were arrested and convicted of sedition. Originally sentenced to death, Smith O'Brien and other members of the Irish Confederation were transported to Van Diemen's Land.[29]

Fenian movement

[edit]
Some of the founding members of the Irish Republican Brotherhood

The Fenian movement consisted of the Fenian Brotherhood and the Irish Republican Brotherhood (IRB), fraternal organisations founded in the United States and Ireland respectively with the aim of establishing an independent republic in Ireland.[30]

The IRB was founded on Saint Patrick's Day 1858 in Dublin.[31] Members present at the first meeting were James Stephens, Thomas Clarke Luby, Peter Langan, Joseph Denieffe, Garrett O'Shaughnessy, and Charles Kickham.[32] Stephens had previously spent time exiled in Paris, along with John O'Mahony, having taken part in the uprising of 1848 and fleeing to avoid capture. O'Mahony left France for America in the mid-1850s and founded the Emmet Monument Association with Michael Doheny. Stephens returned to Ireland in 1856.

The original oath of the society, drawn up by Luby under Stephens' direction, read:

I, AB., do solemnly swear, in the presence of Almighty God, that I will do my utmost, at every risk, while life lasts, to make [other versions, according to Luby, establish in'] Ireland an independent Democratic Republic; that I will yield implicit obedience, in all things not contrary to the law of God [ 'laws of morality'] to the commands of my superior officers; and that I shall preserve inviolable secrecy regarding all the transactions [ 'affairs'] of this secret society that may be confided in me. So help me God! Amen.[33]

The Fenian Brotherhood was the IRB's counterpart organisation, formed in the same year in the United States by O'Mahony and Doheny.[34] The Fenian Brotherhood's main purpose was to supply weapons and funds for its Irish counterpart and raise support for the Irish republican movement in the United States.[35] The term "Fenian" was coined by O'Mahony, who named the American wing of the movement after the Fianna[36] – a class of warriors that existed in Gaelic Ireland. The term became popular and is still in use, especially in Northern Ireland and Scotland, where it has expanded to refer to all Irish nationalists and republicans, as well as being a pejorative term for Irish Catholics.

Public support for the Fenian movement in Ireland grew in November 1861 with the funeral of Terence MacManus, a member of the Irish Confederation, which Stephens and the Fenians had organised – having "recognized the potential of street parades for mobilizing supporters and influencing onlookers".[37] The popularity endowed by the procession and oration established the tradition of republican funerals, a ritual instrumental as evidenced by the oration at Jeremiah O'Donovan Rossa's funeral.[38][a] Popular perception elsewhere deemed the movement as terrorisitic – a persistent perception of republicanism thereafter.[40] Nevertheless, the likes of Rossa would raise the public profile of the movement by their evocation of martyrdom and highlighting of prisoner maltreatment.[41][b] Support from America proved both lucrative and troublesome as transatlantic members waged a dynamite campaign in Britain.[43] A total of twenty-five major explosions beset Irish nationalism's perception and dictated Britain's approach towards Ireland and the "Irish question".[44]

In 1865 the Fenian Brotherhood in America had split into two factions. One was led by O'Mahony with Stephens' support. The other, which was more powerful, was led by William R. Roberts. The Fenians had always planned an armed rebellion, but there was now disagreement as to how and where this rebellion might be carried out. Roberts' faction preferred focusing all military efforts on British Canada (Roberts and his supporters theorised that victory for the American Fenians in nearby Canada would propel the Irish republican movement as a whole to success).[45] The other, headed by O'Mahony, proposed that a rising in Ireland be planned for 1866.[46] In spite of this, the O'Mahony wing of the movement itself tried and failed to capture Campobello Island in New Brunswick in April 1866.[46] Following this failure, the Roberts faction of the Fenian Brotherhood carried out its own, occupying the village of Fort Erie, Ontario on 31 May 1866 and engaging Canadian troops at the battles of Ridgeway and Fort Erie on 2 June.[46] It was in reference to Fenians fighting in this battle that the name "Irish Republican Army" was first used.[47] These attacks (and those that followed) in Canada are collectively known as the "Fenian raids".

Nineteenth century onward

[edit]
A depiction of the Easter Rising
Seán Hogan's IRA flying column during the Irish War of Independence.

Irish republican and other independence movements were suppressed by the British authorities following the merging of Ireland with Britain into the United Kingdom after the Act of Union in 1801. Nationalist rebellions against British rule in 1803, by Robert Emmet, 1848 (by the Young Irelanders) and 1865 and 1867 (by the Fenians) were followed by harsh reprisals by British forces.

The National Council, was formed in 1903, by Maud Gonne and Arthur Griffith, on the occasion of the visit of King Edward VII to Dublin. Its purpose was to lobby Dublin Corporation to refrain from presenting an address to the king. The motion to present an address was duly defeated, but the National Council remained in existence as a pressure group with the aim of increasing nationalist representation on local councils.[48] The first annual convention of the National Council on 28 November 1905 was notable for two things: the decision, by a majority vote (with Griffith dissenting), to open branches and organise on a national basis; and the presentation by Griffith of his 'Hungarian' policy, which was now called the Sinn Féin policy.[49] This meeting is usually taken as the date of the foundation of the Sinn Féin party.[50]

In 1916 the Easter Rising, organised by the Irish Republican Brotherhood, was launched in Dublin and the Irish Republic was proclaimed, albeit without significant popular support.[citation needed] The Rising was suppressed after six days, and most of its leaders were executed by the British authorities. This was a turning point in Irish history, leading to the War of Independence and the end of British rule in most of Ireland.

From 1919 to 1921 the Irish Republican Army (IRA) was organised as a guerrilla army, led by Richard Mulcahy and with Michael Collins as Director of Intelligence and fought against the British. During the Anglo-Irish War, the British government formed a paramilitary police force consisting of former soldiers, known as the "Black and Tans", to reinforce the Royal Irish Constabulary's Auxiliary Division.[citation needed] Republicans were the primary adversary of these forces, whose warfare included pillaging and extrajudicial executions.[51] Both sides used similar tactics: hair cutting, arson attacks, taking of hostages and executions.[52][53] Republicans also established sovereign courts, a considerable symbol of the movement's public support.[54]

In August 1920 Irish Republican prisoners went on a hunger strike demanding release from prison, and reinstatement of their status as political prisoners (1920 Cork hunger strike). Three men died during this time including the Sinn Féin Lord Mayor of Cork Terence MacSwiney. Among the most infamous of the Black and Tans actions were the Bloody Sunday massacre in November 1920 and the burning of half the city of Cork in December that same year. These actions, together with the popularity of the republican ideals in Ireland and repression of republican political expressions by the British government, led to widespread support across Ireland for the Irish rebels.

In 1921, the British government led by David Lloyd George negotiated the Anglo-Irish Treaty with republican leaders led by Arthur Griffith who had been delegated as plenipotentiaries on behalf of the Second Dáil, thus ending the conflict.

Irish Free State and Republic of Ireland

[edit]

Though many across the country were unhappy with the Anglo-Irish Treaty (since, during the war, the IRA had fought for independence for all Ireland and for a republic, not a partitioned dominion under the British crown), some republicans were satisfied that the Treaty was the best that could be achieved at the time. However, a substantial number opposed it. Dáil Éireann, the Irish parliament, voted by 64 votes to 57 to ratify it,[55] the majority believing that the treaty created a new base from which to move forward. Éamon de Valera, who had served as President of the Irish Republic during the war, refused to accept the decision of the Dáil and led the opponents of the treaty out of the House. The pro-Treaty republicans organised themselves into the Cumann na nGaedheal party, while the anti-Treaty republicans retained the Sinn Féin name. The IRA itself split between pro-Treaty and anti-Treaty elements, with the former forming the nucleus of the new Irish National Army.

Michael Collins became Commander-in-Chief of the National Army. Shortly afterwards, some dissidents, apparently without the authorisation of the anti-Treaty IRA Army Executive, occupied the Four Courts in Dublin and kidnapped JJ "Ginger" O'Connell, a pro-Treaty general. The new government, responding to this provocation and to intensified British pressure following the assassination by an anti-treaty IRA unit in London of Henry Wilson, ordered the regular army to take the Four Courts, thereby beginning the Irish Civil War. It is believed that Collins continued to fund and supply the IRA in Northern Ireland throughout the civil war, but, after his death, W. T. Cosgrave (the new President of the Executive Council, or prime minister) discontinued this support.

By May 1923, the war ended in the order by Frank Aiken, telling IRA members to dump arms. However, the harsh measures adopted by both sides, including assassinations, executions and other atrocities, left a bitter legacy in Irish politics for decades to follow. In October 1923 mass hunger strikes were undertaken by Irish republican prisoners protesting the continuation of their internment without trial by the newly formed Irish Free State - three men died during the 1923 Irish Hunger Strikes.

De Valera, who had strongly supported the Republican anti-treaty side in the Civil War, reconsidered his views while in jail and came to accept the ideas of political activity under the terms of the Free State constitution. Rather than abstaining from Free State politics entirely, he now sought to republicanise it from within. However, he and his supporters – which included most Sinn Féin TDs – failed to convince a majority of the anti-treaty Sinn Féin of these views and the movement split again. In 1926, he formed a new party called Fianna Fáil ("Soldiers of Destiny"), taking most of Sinn Féin's TDs with him. In 1931, following the enactment of the Statute of Westminster, the country became a sovereign state along with the other Dominions and the United Kingdom.[56] The following year, De Valera was appointed President of the Executive Council of the Free State and began a slow process of turning the country from a constitutional monarchy to a constitutional republic, thus fulfilling Collins's prediction of "the freedom to achieve freedom".[57]

By then, the IRA was engaged in confrontations with the Blueshirts, a quasi-fascist group led by a former War of Independence and pro-Treaty leader, Eoin O'Duffy. O'Duffy looked to Fascist Italy as an example for Ireland to follow. Several hundred supporters of O'Duffy briefly went to Spain to volunteer on the Nationalist side in the Spanish Civil War, and a smaller number of ex-IRA members, communists and others participated on the Republican side.

In 1937, the Constitution of Ireland was drafted by the de Valera government and approved via referendum by the majority of the population of the Free State. The constitution changed the name of the state to Éire in the Irish language (Ireland in English) and asserted its national territory as the whole of Ireland.[58][c] The new state was headed by a President of Ireland elected by universal suffrage. The new Constitution removed all reference to the monarchy but foreign diplomats continued to present their credentials to the King in accordance with the Executive Authority (External Relations) Act 1936 which had not been repealed. The new state had the objective characteristics of a republic and was referred to as such by de Valera himself, but, it remained within the British Commonwealth and was regarded by the British as a Dominion, like Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and South Africa. Furthermore, the claim to the whole of the island did not reflect practical reality and inflamed anti-Dublin sentiment among northern Protestants.

In 1948, Fianna Fáil went out of office for the first time in sixteen years. John A. Costello, leader of the coalition government, announced his intention to declare Ireland a republic.[59] The Republic of Ireland Act 1948, which "described" the state as the Republic of Ireland (without changing its name or constitutional status), led the British government to pass the Ireland Act 1949, which declared that Northern Ireland would continue as part of the United Kingdom unless the Parliament of Northern Ireland consented to leave;[60] and Ireland ceased to be a member of the Commonwealth. As a result of this – and also because continuing struggle against the Dublin government was futile – the republican movement decided to focus on Northern Ireland from then on. The decision was announced by the IRA in its Easter statement of 1949.[61]

Republicanism in Northern Ireland

[edit]

1921–1966

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The area that was to become Northern Ireland amounted to six of the nine counties of Ulster, in spite of the fact that in the last all Ireland election (1918 Irish general election) counties Fermanagh and Tyrone had Sinn Féin/Nationalist Party (Irish Parliamentary Party) majorities.[62] In 1921, Ireland was partitioned. Most of the country became part of the independent Irish Free State. However, six out of the nine counties of Ulster remained part of the United Kingdom as Northern Ireland. During this time (1920–1922) the newly formed Northern Ireland saw "savage and unprecedented" communal violence between unionists and nationalists (see The Troubles in Ulster (1920–1922)).

In the 1921 elections in Northern Ireland:

  • Antrim, Down and the borough of Belfast had Unionist majorities of over 25%.
  • In Londonderry, the breakdown in that election was 56.2% Unionist / 43.8% Nationalist.
  • In Armagh, the ratio was 55.3% Unionist / 44.7% Nationalist.
  • In Fermanagh and Tyrone (a single constituency), the ratio 54.7% Nationalist / 45.3% Unionist. (Tyrone was 55.4% Catholic in the 1911 census and 55.5% in the 1926 census, though of course only adults had votes on the other hand religious and national affiliations while closely linked are not as absolute as commonly assumed.) Within most of these counties there were large pockets which predominantly nationalist or Unionist (South Armagh, West Tyrone, West Londonderry and parts of North Antrim were largely nationalist whereas much of North Armagh, East Londonderry, East Tyrone and most of Antrim were/are largely Unionist).[63]

This territory of Northern Ireland, as established by the Government of Ireland Act 1920, had its own provincial government which was controlled for 50 years until 1972 by the conservative Ulster Unionist Party (UUP). The tendency to vote on sectarian lines and the proportions of each religious denomination ensured that there would never be a change of government. In local government, constituency boundaries were drawn to divide nationalist communities into two or even three constituencies and so weaken their effect (see Gerrymandering).

The (mainly Catholic) Nationalist population in Northern Ireland, besides feeling politically alienated, was also economically alienated, often with worse living standards compared to their Protestant (mainly Unionist) neighbours, with fewer job opportunities, and living in ghettos in Belfast, Derry, Armagh and other places. Many Catholics considered the Unionist government was undemocratic, bigoted and favoured Protestants. Emigration for economic reasons kept the nationalist population from growing, despite its higher birth rate. Although poverty, (e)migration and unemployment were fairly widespread (albeit not to the same extent) among Protestants as well, on the other hand the economic situation in Northern Ireland (even for Catholics) was for a long time arguably still better than in the Republic of Ireland.

During the 1930s the IRA launched minor attacks against the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) and British Army in Northern Ireland. During World War II the IRA leadership hoped for support from Germany, and chief of staff Seán Russell travelled there in 1940; he died later that year after falling ill on a U-boat that was bringing him back to Ireland (possibly with a view to starting a German sponsored revolution in Ireland). Suspected republicans were interned on both sides of the border, for different reasons.

The Border Campaign in the mid-50s was the last attempt at traditional military action and was an abject failure.

1966–1969

[edit]

In the late 1960s, Irish political activist groups found parallels between their struggle against religious discrimination and the civil rights campaign of African Americans against racial discrimination in the US. Student leaders such a Bernadette Devlin McAliskey and Nationalist politicians such as Austin Currie tried to use non-violent direct action to draw attention to the blatant discrimination.[citation needed] Republicans, largely demilitarised at the time, engaged considerably with the civil rights campaign.[64] By 1968, Europe as a whole was engulfed in a struggle between radicalism and conservativism. In Sinn Féin, the same debate raged. The dominant analysis was that Protestant Irishmen and women would never be bombed into a united Ireland. The only way forward was to have both sides embrace socialism and forget their sectarian hatreds. They resolved to no longer to be drawn into inter-communal violence.

As a response to the civil rights campaign, militant loyalist paramilitary groups started to emerge in the Protestant community. The Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) was the first. The UVF had originally existed among loyalist Ulster Protestants before World War I to oppose Home Rule. In the 1960s it was relaunched by militant loyalists, encouraged by certain politicians, to oppose any attempt to reunite Northern Ireland with the Republic of Ireland, which is how they saw any change in their status vis-a-vis Catholics.

By mid-1969 the violence in Northern Ireland exploded. Consistent with their new political ideology, the IRA declined to intervene. By late August, the British government had to intervene and declare a state of emergency, sending a large number of troops into Northern Ireland to stop the intercommunal violence. Initially welcomed by some Catholics as protectors, later events such as Bloody Sunday and the Falls Road curfew turned many against the British Army.

1970–1985

[edit]

Divisions began to emerge in the Republican movement between leftists and traditional militants. The leader of the IRA, Cathal Goulding believed that the IRA could not beat the British with military tactics and should turn into a workers' revolutionary movement that would overthrow both governments to achieve a 32-county socialist republic through the will of the people (after WWII the IRA no longer engaged in any actions against the Republic). Goulding also drove the IRA into an ideologically Marxist–Leninist direction which attracted idealistic young supporters in the Republic, but alienated and angered many of the IRA's core supporters in the North. In particular, his decision to regard the UVF as deluded rather than as the enemy, was anathema to traditionalists and those who were its potential victims.

The argument led to a split in 1970, between the Official IRA (supporters of Goulding's Marxist line) and the Provisional IRA (also called Provos, traditional nationalist republicans). The Provos were led by Seán Mac Stíofáin and immediately began a large scale campaign against British state forces and economic targets in Northern Ireland. The Official IRA were also initially drawn into an armed campaign by the escalating communal violence. In 1972, the Official IRA declared a cease-fire, which, apart from feuds with other republican groups, has been maintained to date. Nowadays the term 'Irish Republican Army' almost always denotes the Provisional IRA.

Throughout the 1970s and 1980s the conflict continued claiming thousands of lives, with the UVF (and other loyalist groups) extending attacks into the Republic of Ireland and the IRA launching attacks on targets in England. However some things slowly began to change. In the 1980s Provisional Sinn Féin (the Provisional IRA's political wing) began contesting elections and by the mid-1990s was representing the republican position at peace negotiations. In the loyalist movement splits occurred, the Ulster Unionist Party made tentative attempts to reform itself and attract Catholics into supporting the union with Britain, while the radical Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) led by Ian Paisley began attracting working-class Protestant loyalists who felt alienated by the UUP's overtures towards Catholics.

In 1976 the British government withdrew Special Category Status (prisoner of war rather than criminal status) for convicted paramilitary prisoners. Republican prisoners began a blanket protest which escalated into a dirty protest in 1978. In 1980, seven republican prisoners participated in a hunger strike, which ended after 53 days.[65] The 1981 Irish hunger strike was carried out over a seven-month period with the goal of re-establishing the prisoners political status. This hunger strike drew worldwide attention due to the deaths of ten hunger strikers including Bobby Sands. During the 20th century a total of 22 Irish Republicans have died while on hunger strike.[66]

Since 1986

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During the late 1980s the British Government became increasingly willing to give concessions to Irish Nationalism, such as the Anglo-Irish Agreement and extending to, the Northern Ireland Secretary, Peter Brooke's declaration of "no selfish, strategic or economic interest in Northern Ireland.", causing uproar amongst strands of Unionism.[67] However, violent Republican action didn't cease, giving Unionism and Britain less reason to work with violent Republicans. This situation changed in 1992–93 with Hume's-Adams' talks producing a commitment from Sinn Féin to move towards peaceful methods.[68]

The funeral procession of Irish republican politician Martin McGuinness, Derry, Northern Ireland

In 1994 the leaders of Northern Ireland's two largest nationalist parties, Gerry Adams, the leader of Sinn Féin and John Hume, the leader of the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) entered into peace negotiations with Unionist leaders like David Trimble of the UUP and the British government. At the table most of the paramilitary groups (including the IRA and UVF) had representatives. In 1998 when the IRA endorsed the Good Friday Agreement between nationalist and unionist parties and both governments, another small group split from the IRA to form the Real IRA (RIRA). The Continuity and Real IRA have both engaged in attacks not only against the British and loyalists, but even against their fellow nationalists (members of Sinn Féin, the SDLP and IRA).

Since 1998, the IRA and UVF have adhered to a ceasefire.

Today the republican movement can be divided into moderates who wish to reunite with the Republic through peaceful means and dissident republicans who wish to continue an armed campaign. Ideological divides in Northern republicanism has its origins in the late 1970s.[69] Dissidents emphasis the importance of ideology and reject reformism, regarding institutional change as ineffective and whitewashing.[69] Dissidents assert that basis of armed republicanism is sovereignty rather than equality.[70] Some dissidents support the emergence of peace while critiquing the political means.[71]

In late July 2005, the IRA announced that the armed conflict was over and that their weapons were to be put out of use. A large stock of weapons was reportedly "decommissioned" later that year.[72] Some Unionists disputed the claim that this represented the entire stock of IRA weaponry.

Ideology

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Irish republicanism has encompassed various schools of thought and praxis thereof: "It has embraced ‘militant nationalists, unreconstructed militarists, romantic Fenians, Gaelic Republicans, Catholic sectarians, Northern defenders, international Marxists, socialists, libertarians and liberal Protestants,’"[71] Recurrent ideals include national self-determination and ethno-religious identity.[71]

Rejection of the British state

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Irish republicans view British rule in any part of Ireland as an inherently illegitimate, foreign regime.[73][74] A variant of this is Irish republican legitimism, which also rejects the Republic of Ireland because of its tacit acceptance of partition and continuing British rule in Northern Ireland.[75]

The rejection of the legitimacy of British rule extends to all institutions of the British state.[76] This includes rejection of the British parliament (abstentionism),[74][76] and rejection of British police and court systems,[77][78] which has led to republicans developing alternatives.[78] Several Irish Republican political parties have, however, contested Northern Irish local elections since the 1970s.

Violence

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According to Malachi O'Doherty, Sinn Féin politicians often presented republican terrorist violence as an inevitable result of partition and British rule. This rhetorical device allowed for some republican politicians to evade responsibility for violence and further their political goals of a reunited Ireland.[79] Colonialism and neocolonialism have been invoked by republicans in relation to the movement's militancy.[80]

Connection to left-wing politics

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Irish republicanism was influenced by French radicalism. Typical of these classical Radicals are 19th century such as the United Irishmen in the 1790s, Young Irelanders in the 1840s, Fenian Brotherhood in the 1880s, as well as Sinn Féin, and Fianna Fáil in the 1920s.[81][82] Although recurring, socialist thought has proven contentious: class interests prioritised by some while others emphasis nationalist rhetoric.[83] The Land War was used to organise republican action with little regard to class conflict.[84] Class politics – coupled with the Northern Irish civil rights movement - have been credited by some republicans to have unduly demilitarised the movement, especially at the onset of the Troubles.[64]

Relationship with the Christian churches

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A 1983 article examined statements by Irish republicans on the issue of religion, and found that the attitudes contrasted with "the commonsense view" that Sinn Féin and the Provisional IRA supported Catholics and opposed Protestants. There has been long-standing mutual dislike between the Catholic hierarchy and the Republican movement, with the latter seeing the former as complicit in British occupation of Ireland.[85] In Belfast, during the time of partition, republicanism was rejected by the majority of the Catholic population, including the clergy.[86]

Articles in An Phoblacht often upheld the morality of parish priests and pastors of all Christian denominations rather than bishops and church leaders, with respect for the Christian tradition of social justice.[87] The article said that An Phoblacht "bends over backwards to be sympathetic to men who have expressed consistently anti-Catholic sentiments", including at times the Loyalist leader Ian Paisley, as they are seen as fellow Irish citizens whereas the British forces are seen as the principal enemy.[88]

Republicans have often denied that their attacks on the Ulster Defence Regiment or Royal Ulster Constabulary are sectarian attacks on Protestants by claiming that they attack these groups because they are seen as complicit in "the oppression of the nationalist people" and not because of the religious beliefs of the members.[89] However, a series of attacks in the Troubles, such as the Kingsmill massacre, that collectively killed 130 Protestant civilians were classified as "sectarian" in Malcolm Sutton's work on those killed during the Troubles.[90] This makes sectarian killings of civilians 7% of the total killings attributed to the IRA (1,823), as opposed to the loyalist paramilitaries, of whose 1,027 killings, 70% or 718 were deliberate sectarian killings of Catholic civilians.[91]

Historiography

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The history of republicanism is paramount to the ideology: "The story of the past told by republicans is one of oppression, resistance, solidarity, and sacrifice...which both defines and justifies the movement".[92] The remembrance of republicans as equally dutiful and ordinary is used to justify action and assert victimhood, with memorialisation at large assuming a rhetorical purpose.[70][93]

"[M]aintain[ing] fidelity" and upholding sacrificial notions function as an "imperative" for republicans: commemoration, thus, is both ubiquitous and political as evidenced by Sinn Féin's literature and rationale during the peace process.[94][95] During the process, the ambitions of the civil rights movement were contended as "the ultimate goal of the conflict", thus emphasing a continuity.[71] The predominance of memory is a point of critique, lambasted as limiting and dogmatic and, in terms of Northern Ireland, commemoration has inspired controversy.[96][97]

Events of particular significance include the United Ireland Rebellion, the Easter Rising and the War of Independence – the centenary of the Rising unified nationalists in commemoration, "loyalty to the 1916 Republic" being a fundamental present in all sects of republicanism.[92][98][83] The proclamation of said republic drew upon the past itself in justifying action.[7]

Political parties

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Active republican parties

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The following are active republican parties in Ireland.

  • Sinn Féin[99] is a republican party in Ireland. Throughout the Northern Ireland troubles, it was closely allied with the Provisional Irish Republican Army, publicly arguing for the validity of its armed campaign. Its policy platform combines civic nationalism with democratic socialist views on economic and social issues. It is led by Mary Lou McDonald and organises in both the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland. The Party was also known as "Provisional" Sinn Féin by the media and commentators, having split from what later became known as the "Official" Sinn Féin (later the Workers' Party) in 1970, because the latter had voted to enter a 'partitionist parliament'.[100] In 1986, it reversed its original policy of not taking seats in Dáil Éireann, prompting another split, when Republican Sinn Féin was formed. By the early 21st century it had replaced the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) as Northern Ireland's largest nationalist party. As of 2020, it holds seven seats in the British parliament, thirty-seven seats in the Dáil, six in the Seanad and 26 in the Northern Ireland Assembly. Sinn Féin members contest elections to the British parliament on an abstentionist basis, that is, they refuse to take their seats in that parliament as they refuse to accept the right of that body to rule in any part of Ireland.
  • The Workers' Party is a communist political party in Ireland. It formed as a result of the 1970 split in Sinn Féin, where the more nationalist faction split to form 'Provisional Sinn Féin' and the remaining rump faction became known as 'Official Sinn Féin'.[101][102] It also continued to use Sinn Féin's 'Republican Clubs' name in Northern Ireland to evade censorship until 1982.[103][104] During the troubles the officials were allied to the Official IRA.[105] Later another split occurred in 1974 occurred when discontent members formed the Irish Republican Socialist Party, led by Seamus Costello.[106] In 1977, the party changed its name to 'Sinn Féin - The Workers’ Party' and finally to the 'Workers’ Party' in 1982.[107][104] In 1992, following a failed attempt to reform the party, six of their seven TDs split to form Democratic Left.[108] In 2021 factional infighting occurred in the leadership of the party that culminated in a split, with the minority faction naming itself the 'Workers’ Party - Republicans Clubs', and both claiming leadership of the party.[109][110] The party is Marxist-Leninist and rejects traditional Irish nationalism and physical force republicanism.[111][112] It instead supports Catholics and Protestants uniting in a class war to bring about a Socialist Republic.[111][112][113] Following the ceasefire of the Official IRA in 1972, the Workers' Party opposed and condemned the use of armed struggle.[113]
  • Fianna Fáil was founded as an expressly republican party, one born out of Sinn Féin but which dropped abstentionism in order to engage in constitutional politics in Ireland. In fact, Seán Lemass had originally desired for the name of the party to simply be "The Republican Party",[114] however, Éamon de Valera muted that idea in favour of a name inspired by the Irish language and culture.[114] Since the 1930s and 1940s, a period which saw Fianna Fáil imprison physical force Republicans en masse, to what degree Fianna Fáil can be still described as "Republican" has been contested. The party itself, however, continues to frame itself as a Republican party; indeed in 1971 the party's commitment to this was signalled when the formal name of the party was altered to "Fianna Fáil – The Republican Party".[114] Following the 2020 Irish general election, Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald spoke often of forming a coalition which would produce a "Republican programme for Government". Some suggested this choice of language was chosen to encourage Fianna Fáil to work with Sinn Féin under a united "Republican" banner.[115]
  • Éirígí[116] is a socialist republican political party that formed by a small group of community and political activists who had left Sinn Féin, in Dublin in April 2006 as a political campaigns group, and became a full-fledged political party at the party's first Ardfheis (conference) in May 2007.[117] An Independent Monitoring Commission report said the group was "a small political grouping based on revolutionary socialist principles". While it continues to be a political association, albeit, with aggressive protest activities, it was not seen as paramilitary in nature.[118]
  • Saoradh is a socialist republican party created in 2016. It is associated with dissident Republicans and is alleged to have ties to the New IRA.[119]
  • Republican Sinn Féin[99] was formed in 1986 by former Sinn Féin leader Ruairí Ó Brádaigh who led traditional republicans in a break with Sinn Féin over the ending of the policy of abstention in relation to elections to Dáil Éireann. The party continues to operate on an abstentionist basis: it would not take seats in the assemblies of either the Republic of Ireland or Northern Ireland because it views neither as legitimate. It is linked to the Continuity IRA, whose goals are the overthrow of British rule in Northern Ireland and the unification of the island to form an independent country. In November 2009, Des Dalton replaced Ó Brádaigh as leader of Republican Sinn Féin.
  • Irish Republican Socialist Party[120] (IRSP) was founded in 1974 by former Official IRA militant Seamus Costello, who possibly had an eye towards James Connolly's Irish Socialist Republican Party of the late 19th/early 20th century when coining the party's name. Costello led other former Official IRA members dissatisfied with Cathal Goulding's policies and tactics. The party quickly organised a paramilitary wing called the Irish National Liberation Army (INLA) which has decommissioned recently. It claims to follow the principles of republican socialism as set out by the 1916 rebellion leader Connolly and radical 20th-century trade unionist James Larkin.
  • Aontú, who split from Sinn Féin in 2019 in opposition to the party's support for the Repeal of the Eighth Amendment, which allowed for the legalisation of abortion in Ireland in 2018. As of 2024, Aontú has two TDs including party leader Peadar Tóibín, and five councillors across Ireland.
  • Republican Network for Unity was formed in 2007 in opposition to the Sinn Féin special Ard Fheis's vote of support for the Police Service of Northern Ireland. A number of commentators view RNU as the political wing of Óglaigh na hÉireann,[121] a militant dissident republican paramilitary group. That group committed to a ceasefire in 2017, which RNU supported.[122][123]
  • Anti-Imperialist Action Ireland (AIA) are a socialist republican organisation founded in 2017. The group opposes the Good Friday Agreement and abstains from elections.

Defunct republican parties

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The following were republican parties in Ireland which are no longer active.

  • Clann Éireann split from Cumann na nGaedheal in 1926 after the results of the Irish Boundary Commission confirmed partition between Ireland and Northern Ireland. They called for a "one and indivisible" Ireland, but found little support as those already of the anti-partition mindset were already aligned with Fianna Fáil, and were not favourable to those who had previously been in Cumann na nGaedhael.
  • The Republican Congress was an attempt in 1934 by left-wing republicans to set up an explicitly socialist republican party in Ireland, however, it was hampered by the fact the IRA had no interest in supporting the endeavour (and in fact, the IRA expelled members who tried to be a part of both), and because it was torn apart almost immediately because of infighting. Members of the Republican Congress, which counted amongst its membership several of the most prominent socialists in Ireland at the time, could not decide whether they should immediately seek a "Workers Republic" or not, nor could they agree if they should embrace the idea of a Popular Front with non-socialists or not.
  • Córas na Poblachta were an Irish republican party set up in 1940, supported by elements of the IRA. With the IRA at this point under the control of Seán Russell, it had seen a swing heavily to the right. Córas na Poblachta reflected that, the party entertaining relations with the Fascist party Ailtirí na hAiséirghe and some meetings of Córas na Poblachta were even attended by Eoin O'Duffy and members of the Irish Christian Front, all of whom had bitterly opposed the IRA in the early 30s. With "The Emergency" in full effect, there was little appetite or room to grow a political party in Ireland at the time and thus in practical terms Córas na Poblachta did very little.
  • Clann na Poblachta were an Irish republican party set up in 1947 by former IRA Chief of Staff Seán MacBride. The party contained a broad political spectrum of Irish republicans, from former Communists to "traditionalist" republicans. The party settled on a centre-left platform promoting Social Democracy and New Deal style politics that suited the new political era of post-World War 2 Europe. Initially, they hoped to overtake Fianna Fáil as the main republican party in Irish politics and were projected to do very well, but savvy electoral manoeuvring by Éamon de Valera saw them falter in their first election. After they entered a coalition that included the traditional opponents of Irish republicanism, Fine Gael and ran into political turmoil over the Mother and Child Scheme, the party rapidly lost support. However, they were successful in formally declaring that Ireland was a Republic in 1948 . Their influence waned throughout the 1950s and they were formally wound up by 1965.
  • Aontacht Éireann were an Irish republican party set up in 1971 following a major political rift in Fianna Fáil caused by the Arms Crisis, in which Fianna Fáil ministers Charles Haughey and Neil Blaney were dismissed from cabinet following allegations they were involved in arranging for the IRA to be supplied with weaponry. The fallout of this caused many Fianna Fáil members to resign, amongst them Fianna Fáil minister Kevin Boland. Boland left Fianna Fáil and setup Aontacht Éireann to be a more openly republican party in Irish politics. He was joined by the likes of sitting Fianna Fáil TD Seán Sherwin. Although there was quite an amount of interest in Aontacht Éireann initially, with branches set up across Ireland, the party struggled to maintain its momentum. When Boland had resigned from Fianna Fáil, he not only gave up his cabinet position but also his seat in the Dáil as well. Without the platform to the speak in the Dáil, Boland was somewhat sidelined. The party also struggled to meaningfully separate itself from Provisional Sinn Féin, with much of the policies and the rhetoric of the party membership mirroring each other. The party only managed to take 0.9% of the national vote at the 1973 Irish general election and by 1976 the vast majority of the original membership had moved on from the party. It was formally wound up in 1984, after a period in which a far-right group has usurped the party's name and used it for their own ends for a time.[124]

See also

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Notes

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References

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Sources

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Further reading

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Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia

Irish republicanism is a political and movement dedicated to achieving and sustaining a unitary sovereign across the entire island of , explicitly opposing British , partition, and the integration of any part of into the . Its core tenets, articulated by early proponents, emphasize breaking the connection with and uniting people of all religious backgrounds—Catholic, Protestant, and —under a common Irish identity to secure national . Originating in the late amid Enlightenment influences and the , it was formalized by the , founded in 1791 by Theobald Wolfe Tone in , which initially pursued reform but evolved toward separatist rebellion, culminating in the failed 1798 uprising that killed tens of thousands. Subsequent phases included the Fenian Brotherhood's 1867 rising, the 1916 that galvanized opposition to British rule, and the 1919–1921 War of , which secured independence for 26 counties via the but entrenched partition and sparked a civil war over acceptance of dominion status. Defining characteristics encompass a blend of , , and frequent recourse to physical force, including paramilitary campaigns by groups like the , which during the 1968–1998 employed bombings and assassinations causing over 1,700 deaths attributed to republican factions amid a total conflict toll exceeding 3,500 lives. While achieving the Republic of 's full sovereignty in 1949, the ideology's pursuit of unification remains unrealized, with modern expressions through Sinn Féin's electoral gains contrasting historical reliance on violence that drew international condemnation as .

Definition and Core Principles

Fundamental Tenets

Irish republicanism fundamentally advocates for the creation of a sovereign encompassing the entire of , free from British monarchical or parliamentary control. This core principle stems from the late 18th-century United Irishmen, who envisioned severing Ireland's political subordination to Britain while promoting non-sectarian national unity. The ideology rejects hereditary rule in favor of , where governance derives from the and an elected replaces any crown authority. The foundational objectives, as expressed by Theobald Wolfe Tone, founder of the , include subverting British-imposed governance, breaking the connection with —identified as the source of Ireland's political ills—and asserting full national independence. Tone further emphasized uniting "Protestant, Catholic and Dissenter under the common name of Irishmen," transcending religious divisions to forge a cohesive citizenry committed to republican ideals of liberty and . This non-sectarian ethos underscores republicanism's commitment to civic equality and collective identity over confessional loyalties, influencing subsequent movements despite variations in tactics. Opposition to partition remains a key tenet, viewing the 1921 division as an artificial barrier imposed by British policy that undermines Irish sovereignty and democratic self-rule. prioritizes the island's under a unitary republican framework, often invoking Enlightenment-inspired principles of from external domination and active civic participation. While some strains incorporate social or economic , the irreducible essentials revolve around anti-imperial separation, republican , and inclusive .

Distinction from Irish Nationalism

Irish republicanism is characterized by its advocacy for a sovereign, unitary Irish republic free from British monarchical influence or dominion status, typically rejecting participation in British institutions and often endorsing physical force to achieve all-island independence. In contrast, Irish nationalism encompasses a wider array of aspirations for Irish self-determination, including cultural preservation, parliamentary reform, and home rule within the United Kingdom, without necessarily demanding the abolition of monarchy or full separation. This broader nationalism has historically tolerated compromise solutions, such as the limited autonomy proposed in Gladstone's Home Rule Bills of 1886 and 1893, championed by constitutional figures like Charles Stewart Parnell, who prioritized incremental gains over revolutionary rupture. The divergence sharpened in the late , as Fenian-inspired republicans, organized under the founded in 1858, dismissed constitutional as inadequate, launching insurrections like the 1867 rising to force separation rather than negotiate within Westminster. Republicans viewed British democracy as a mechanism of colonial control, favoring or armed struggle to dismantle partition and imperial ties entirely, whereas nationalists, including cultural revivalists of the Gaelic League established in 1893, emphasized ethnic identity and language revival without uniform commitment to republican governance. This methodological split—peaceful petitioning versus militant assertion—persisted into the 20th century, evident in the 1921 , where pro-Treaty nationalists ratified the Irish Free State's partial independence and oath to on December 6, 1921, but anti-Treaty republicans rejected it, igniting the Civil War from June 28, 1922, to May 24, 1923, over fidelity to the 1916 Proclamation's republican ideals. In Northern Ireland after partition in 1921, the terms overlapped among the Catholic population but retained distinctions: republicans, exemplified by the IRA's campaigns from 1922 onward, pursued violent unification, while constitutional nationalists, through parties like the Nationalist Party until 1969, sought integration or reform within the Stormont Parliament established on June 22, 1921, avoiding abstention or insurgency. Scholarly analyses note republicanism's roots in universal anti-arbitrary power principles, potentially decoupling it from nationalism's ethnic particularism, though in practice, Irish republicanism has functioned as nationalism's separatist vanguard, prioritizing causal rupture from British sovereignty over negotiated coexistence.

Historical Origins

Pre-19th Century Influences

The foundations of Irish republicanism trace back to centuries of Gaelic resistance against English incursions, which fostered a tradition of asserting native sovereignty over the island. From the late 12th-century Norman invasion onward, Irish lords maintained semi-autonomous kingdoms under the Brehon legal system and elective tanistry, rejecting full subordination to English crowns. This culminated in the Nine Years' War (1594–1603), where Hugh O'Neill, Earl of Tyrone, and Hugh Roe O'Donnell allied with Spanish forces to challenge Tudor conquest, briefly restoring Gaelic overlordship before defeat at the Battle of Kinsale in 1601 led to the Treaty of Mellifont in 1603, imposing English feudal structures. The subsequent Flight of the Earls in 1607 and Ulster Plantation from 1609 systematically dispossessed native elites, entrenching Protestant ascendancy and Catholic grievance, which later informed separatist ideologies. In the , the 1641 Rebellion and formation of the Catholic Confederation (1642–1649) sought to restore Catholic land rights and autonomy within a Stuart , but Cromwellian reconquest (1649–1653) devastated the population—killing or displacing up to 600,000—and reinforced policies, deepening . Penal Laws enacted from 1695 to 1728 further marginalized Catholics by barring them from land ownership, , and political office, preserving a memory of lost that resonated in later republican narratives. Protestant patriots, however, advanced proto-independence arguments; William Molyneux's The Case of Ireland's Being Bound by Acts of Parliament Originated in England (1698) contended that Ireland's ancient constitution exempted it from English legislative overreach, invoking parallels to colonial rights and influencing American revolutionaries. By the late 18th century, these strands converged in the (1778–1793), a Protestant militia formed amid the American Revolution's distractions, which coerced legislative reforms via armed displays, culminating in the that granted Irish parliamentary independence from British veto. Figures like invoked Molyneux's principles, emphasizing Ireland's kingdom status rather than subordination, blending ancient with classical republican virtues imbibed through education. While not explicitly anti-monarchical, this patriot tradition—rooted in commercial grievances and opposition to mercantilist exploitation—laid intellectual groundwork for the United Irishmen's full republican turn in the 1790s, prioritizing empirical assertions of Irish self-governance over feudal hierarchies.

18th and 19th Century Formative Movements

The emerged in the 1790s as a pivotal force in early Irish republicanism, founded in on 18 October 1791 by Theobald Wolfe Tone, , and others, with a branch established the following month. Initially focused on achieving parliamentary reform, , and volunteer militia reorganization amid the , the group advocated uniting Irishmen of all religious backgrounds—"Catholic, Protestant, and Dissenter"—to secure representative government independent of British influence. By 1795, facing government suppression through the Insurrection Act and militia disarmament, the United Irishmen shifted toward revolutionary separatism, swearing an oath at Cave Hill to maintain their organization until Ireland's independence was achieved. Wolfe Tone, a Protestant lawyer born in 1763, became the movement's ideological leader, authoring An Argument on Behalf of the Catholics of Ireland (1791) and seeking French military aid to overthrow British rule. The Irish Rebellion of 1798 erupted on 24 May with coordinated uprisings in Leinster, led by Lord Edward Fitzgerald, resulting in battles such as the decisive defeat at Vinegar Hill on 21 June where up to 20,000 rebels clashed with British forces. French expeditions, including Humbert's landing at Killala Bay on 22 August with 1,100 troops, briefly aided rebels but were crushed at Ballinamuck on 8 September; Tone, captured aboard the French ship Hoche on 12 October, died by suicide in prison on 19 November after sentencing. The rebellion claimed 10,000–50,000 Irish lives, mostly civilians, and prompted the Act of Union in 1800, dissolving the Irish Parliament. In the early 19th century, republican impulses persisted through isolated actions like Robert Emmet's abortive uprising in on 23 July 1803, which aimed to seize strategic points and proclaim independence but collapsed after killing Lord Kilwarden, leading to Emmet's execution on 20 September. The movement, splintering from Daniel O'Connell's non-violent in 1846, advanced and democratic ideals through newspaper, founded by Thomas Davis in 1842, emphasizing revival and history. Inspired by the European revolutions, leaders including attempted an armed rising in July at Ballingarry, , on 29 July, where about 50 poorly armed rebels confronted police; the skirmish, dubbed the "Battle of the Cabbage Patch," ended in surrender, with O'Brien and others transported to until 1854. The Fenian movement, formalized as the (IRB) in on 17 March 1858 by James Stephens and others, and paralleled by the in the United States founded by in 1858, committed to establishing an Irish republic through physical force, drawing on post-Famine grievances and veterans. Stephens aimed for 200,000 members via oath-bound cells, raising funds transatlantically for invasion or insurrection; the 1867 , launched prematurely on 5 March, involved sporadic attacks in Cork and Limerick but was swiftly suppressed, with 12 executions and mass arrests under the Habeas Corpus Suspension Act. Fenian dynamite campaigns in Britain from 1881–1885, targeting without casualties, highlighted transatlantic coordination but failed militarily, yet sustained republican organizational into the 20th century.

Early 20th Century Independence Efforts

In the years preceding , Irish republicanism gained momentum through cultural and paramilitary organizations. The (IRB), a secretive group advocating for an independent Irish republic, infiltrated the , founded in 1913 to secure and counter the ' armed resistance to it. This period marked a shift from constitutional toward revolutionary action, influenced by IRB leaders who viewed British rule as inherently illegitimate. The pivotal event was the of 1916. On April 24, approximately 1,200 and members of the , under IRB direction, seized key sites in , including the General Post Office, where read the , asserting sovereignty over the entire island and rejecting British authority. British forces suppressed the rebellion after six days of fighting, resulting in 450 deaths (including 116 soldiers, 16 police, and 318 civilians) and over 2,600 injuries, primarily in . The execution of 15 leaders, including Pearse and , by firing squad between May 3 and May 12 provoked widespread outrage and transformed the Rising from a military failure into a symbol of republican defiance, boosting recruitment for and the Volunteers. The Rising's aftermath energized republican politics. In the December 1918 UK general election, Sinn Féin, reoriented toward republican abstentionism, secured 73 of Ireland's 105 parliamentary seats with 46.9% of the vote, eclipsing the moderate Irish Parliamentary Party's 6 seats. Elected Sinn Féin members convened as the First Dáil Éireann on January 21, 1919, in Dublin, ratifying the 1916 Proclamation and declaring an independent Irish Republic with its own government structures, including courts and local administration. This parallel state challenged British sovereignty directly, though it operated amid escalating violence. The Irish War of Independence ensued as the Irish Republican Army (IRA), evolved from the Volunteers, waged guerrilla warfare against British Crown forces. Initiated by the Soloheadbeg ambush on January 21, 1919, where IRA volunteers killed two Royal Irish Constabulary members to seize gelignite, the conflict involved ambushes, assassinations, and reprisals, with IRA flying columns employing hit-and-run tactics across rural Ireland. British responses included deploying the Auxiliary Division and Black and Tans, paramilitary units notorious for reprisal burnings and shootings, which alienated moderate opinion and sustained republican resolve. By mid-1921, over 2,000 combatants and civilians had died, prompting a truce on July 11 after negotiations brokered by Éamon de Valera and British Prime Minister David Lloyd George. These efforts underscored republican commitment to severing British ties through combined political legitimacy and armed struggle, setting the stage for treaty talks.

Partition and Republican Divergence

Anglo-Irish Treaty and Civil War Outcomes

The , signed on 6 December 1921 in by representatives including Michael Collins and for the Irish side and for Britain, established the as a self-governing dominion within the , granting it constitutional status equivalent to other dominions like and . Key provisions included an by members of the Irish to the British monarch, provisional retention of British naval bases in southern , and acceptance of partition, whereby —defined as the six northeastern counties—could opt out of the Free State via a boundary commission and remain under British sovereignty. Irish republicans, committed to the sovereign Irish Republic proclaimed in 1916 and defended during the War of Independence, rejected the treaty as a compromise that failed to deliver full , preserved British monarchical ties, and codified the division of , viewing it as a betrayal of the republican ideal of a 32-county united republic free from external allegiance. Ratified by a narrow margin of 64 to 57 in the on 7 January 1922, the treaty precipitated a profound within and the (IRA), with pro-treaty factions led by Collins prioritizing pragmatic state-building and cessation of hostilities, while anti-treaty elements under Éamon de Valera and IRA chief of staff Liam Lynch upheld fidelity to the undivided Republic as paramount, refusing to accept what they deemed subordination to Britain. This division escalated into the on 28 June 1922, when pro-treaty forces under Collins shelled the anti-treaty occupation of the in , marking the onset of conventional and guerrilla conflict across the southern counties. Anti-treaty IRA units, reorganized as Irregulars, employed ambushes and against the National , but lacked unified command and popular support, as evidenced by their failure to hold major urban centers beyond initial skirmishes. The war concluded in military defeat for the anti-treaty side by May 1923, when Lynch was killed in action on 10 April and his successor, , ordered a and arms dump on 24 May, amid exhaustion from sustained operations and internal divisions. Total fatalities numbered approximately 1,500 to 1,700, including around 1,485 documented by research, with pro-treaty National Army losses at 648, anti-treaty at 438, and significant civilian deaths from reprisals and ; the Free State government executed 77 anti-treaty prisoners, including Rory O'Connor and , intensifying republican grievances. The was formally established on 6 December 1922, but the treaty's acceptance entrenched partition and sowed enduring republican opposition, as anti-treaty survivors regrouped politically—forming in 1926 under de Valera—and maintained clandestine military structures, framing the Free State as a provisional entity rather than the fulfillment of republican aspirations. This outcome preserved British influence in and deferred full sovereignty until the 1937 Constitution and 1949 Republic declaration, while fostering a republican tradition of that rejected compromise with partition.

Republican Persistence in the Irish Free State

Following the Irish Civil War's effective end in May 1923, when IRA Chief of Staff Frank Aiken ordered a ceasefire and arms dump, anti-Treaty republicans declined to disband or integrate into the Free State Army, instead reconstituting the Irish Republican Army as an clandestine entity dedicated to abolishing the Treaty settlement's dominion status, oath to the British monarch, and partition of Ulster. The organization's persistence stemmed from its ideological rejection of the Free State as a puppet regime preserving British sovereignty, with IRA leadership viewing constitutional participation as legitimizing an illegitimate entity. Government responses included mass internments—peaking at over 12,000 detainees in 1923—and the establishment of military tribunals under the Emergency Powers Resolution, which facilitated 77 official executions of IRA prisoners during the conflict, further entrenching mutual enmity. Reorganization commenced in 1924 under figures like Moss Twomey, who inspected southern divisions that year and northern units in 1925, emphasizing disciplined restructuring, volunteer recruitment, and arms smuggling to restore operational capacity amid declining membership, which fell from roughly 5,000 active personnel in 1925 to fewer than 2,000 by 1930 due to arrests, executions, and public disillusionment with post-war economic hardship. Twomey's ascension to formalized this shift, prioritizing military preparedness over political engagement, particularly after Éamon de Valera's 1926 departure from to form , which the IRA leadership deemed insufficiently committed to immediate republican goals. Sporadic violence underscored this tenacity, including border raids and assaults on Free State forces, though large-scale insurgency proved unfeasible against the National Army's numerical superiority. A pivotal demonstration of IRA resolve occurred on July 10, 1927, when three volunteers ambushed and fatally shot , the Free State's Vice-President, Minister for Justice, and architect of its repressive apparatus, as he walked to Mass in , ; the attack explicitly avenged O'Higgins's authorization of Civil War executions, including those of former comrades like Rory O'Connor. This high-profile , unclaimed but attributable to IRA elements via forensic and intelligence links, provoked intensified crackdowns, including the 1927 June general election's pro-Treaty landslide, yet failed to eradicate the organization. By 1931, the IRA launched Saor as a front group blending republican separatism with anti-capitalist agitation, aiming to rally landless laborers and urban unemployed against "British " in both partition and the Free State's economic policies; its inaugural conference drew 150 delegates from Free State counties, but prompt proscription under the Public Safety Act reflected authorities' alarm at its potential to fuse militant nationalism with communist influences. These efforts, though marginalized by Fianna Fáil's 1932 electoral victory—which released interned republicans and dismantled the oath without addressing partition—affirmed the IRA's enduring posture as the self-proclaimed guardian of the 1916 Proclamation's all-island republic, sustaining low-level subversion into the 1937 constitutional transition despite internal factionalism and external suppression.

Republicanism in

1921–1960s Developments

Following the in 1921, Irish republicans in the six rejected the newly established state as an illegitimate division of the island, contrary to the republican claim of over the entire territory proclaimed in and reinforced by the 1918 results. Nationalists, including republicans aligned with , initially boycotted the Northern Ireland Parliament at Stormont, refusing to recognize its authority and viewing participation as acquiescence to partition. This abstentionist stance persisted through the period, with contesting few elections and achieving negligible success; for instance, it secured no seats in Stormont elections during the and , as most nationalist voters supported the moderate Nationalist Party, which held around 10-12 seats but remained in permanent opposition. Accompanying partition was intense sectarian violence, particularly in Belfast from July 1920 to mid-1922, resulting in 499 deaths linked to political conflict, alongside the expulsion of thousands of Catholic workers from Protestant-dominated industries like shipbuilding. The unionist government responded with the Civil Authorities (Special Powers) Act (Northern Ireland) 1922, which granted sweeping emergency powers including internment without trial, flogging of suspects, and suppression of organizations deemed subversive; this legislation effectively curtailed (IRA) operations in the region, with republican activity reduced to sporadic and largely ineffective actions amid widespread arrests and executions. The IRA, continuing as the anti-Treaty remnant from the , maintained a clandestine presence but faced severe repression, including under the Act's provisions, which were invoked hundreds of times against nationalists by the 1960s. Resentment among republicans and nationalists simmered due to patterns of discrimination in local government, housing allocation, and public employment, where Catholics—comprising about one-third of the population—were underrepresented in senior civil service and council positions (e.g., holding only 11.8% of senior local authority posts despite comprising 31.5% of the workforce) and faced gerrymandered electoral boundaries that preserved unionist control in mixed areas like Derry. While such practices were deliberate in unionist-controlled councils, particularly in western counties like Tyrone and , historical analyses indicate the extent was not systemic oppression across all sectors but rather targeted unfairness that exacerbated grievances without preventing Catholic overrepresentation in some public housing by the late 1960s. The period's most notable republican initiative was the IRA's Border Campaign, codenamed Operation Harvest, launched on December 11, 1956, with simultaneous attacks on (RUC) barracks and infrastructure along the border to destabilize and force reunification. Over its five-year duration, the campaign involved around 300 guerrilla operations, including sabotage of roads, bridges, and customs posts, but inflicted limited damage: it resulted in six RUC deaths, several injuries, and the deaths of at least five IRA volunteers in a single 1957 explosion at Edentubber, . British and Irish authorities responded with mass —over 250 republicans in and about 150 in the —alongside border security enhancements, leading to the campaign's collapse due to lack of public support and operational failures. The IRA declared a on February 26, 1962, dumping arms and seeing its imprisoned, which prompted internal reorganization and a shift toward ideological reevaluation, though republican rejection of British sovereignty in endured.

Emergence of the Troubles

The Northern Ireland civil rights campaign, initiated in the late 1960s, highlighted systemic discrimination against the Catholic minority in areas such as housing allocation, employment, and electoral practices, including in where property qualifications limited the Catholic franchise. The (NICRA), formed in 1967, organized its first major protest march in on August 24, 1968, demanding "" in local elections and an end to discriminatory policies controlled by unionist-majority councils. Tensions escalated on October 5, 1968, when a NICRA march in Derry was banned by authorities; (RUC) officers baton-charged approximately 400 demonstrators, injuring over 100 and sparking riots that drew international media attention, framing the grievances as a push for reform within the rather than outright republican separatism at the outset. By 1969, sporadic violence intensified amid unionist resistance to reforms, culminating in the from August 12 to 14, during which nationalist residents in Derry's Catholic enclave repelled RUC advances following an march, using petrol bombs and barricades in clashes that injured hundreds and exposed the RUC's partiality toward Protestant loyalists. The unrest spread to and other areas, with loyalist crowds burning Catholic homes and displacing over 1,500 families in August alone, as the existing (IRA) proved ineffective in defending nationalist communities due to its diminished numbers and internal focus on Marxist organizing over armed action. This perceived failure galvanized younger republicans, who viewed the in as the root cause of ongoing sectarian inequities and British sovereignty as illegitimate, prompting a schism within and the IRA at a December 1969 convention in . The split birthed the Provisional IRA (PIRA), which prioritized immediate defense of Catholic areas and eventual armed unification of Ireland, contrasting with the Official IRA's emphasis on political agitation and eventual ; the Provisionals quickly amassed support by positioning themselves as protectors against loyalist pogroms, though their ranks initially numbered only a few dozen active members. On August 14, 1969, the deployed 300 troops to Derry and later at the Stormont government's request to restore order, initially hailed by nationalists as neutral arbiters after RUC exhaustion, but this honeymoon eroded as troops imposed curfews and supported unionist positions, fueling republican narratives of occupation. By early 1970, PIRA bombings and shootings marked the transition from defensive to offensive , intertwining civil rights demands with irredentist goals and setting the stage for three decades of paramilitary conflict, with over 3,500 deaths to follow.

Paramilitary Campaigns During the Troubles

The (PIRA), formed in December 1969 following a split from the Official IRA amid escalating sectarian violence and perceived inadequacies in defending nationalist communities, conducted the most extensive paramilitary campaign of Irish republican groups during . The PIRA's stated objective was to end British sovereignty in through armed struggle, employing guerrilla tactics including ambushes on , bombings of economic and symbolic targets, assassinations, and punishment attacks on alleged criminals or informants within republican areas. Operations intensified after 1970, with the group establishing "no-go" areas in and Derry, and peaked in 1972, the bloodiest year of the conflict with 479 total deaths, many attributable to PIRA actions such as the Bloody Friday bombings on 21 July, when 22 devices detonated across , killing nine people (including two children) and injuring over 130. PIRA tactics evolved to include rural roadside bombs along the border, urban sniping, and a mainland Britain campaign starting in 1973, which involved over 500 incidents and resulted in 115 deaths and 2,134 injuries, primarily from car bombs in London and other cities targeting military, political, and commercial sites. Notable successes for the PIRA included the Warrenpoint ambush on 27 August 1979, where two roadside bombs killed 18 British soldiers—the highest single-day loss for the British Army during the conflict—and the 1981 hunger strikes in which ten republican prisoners died, galvanizing recruitment and political support for Sinn Féin. However, the campaign also featured extensive civilian casualties, with PIRA attacks often indiscriminate or sectarian, including the killing of Catholic civilians suspected of collaboration; overall, republican paramilitaries were responsible for approximately 60% of total Troubles deaths (around 2,100 of 3,500), with PIRA accounting for 1,696, of which a significant portion were non-combatants. Smaller republican groups contributed marginally but violently to the campaigns. The Official IRA, adhering to a Marxist-Leninist , largely observed a after May 1972 but conducted sporadic attacks, causing 51 deaths before fading into . The (INLA), a 1974 splinter from the Officials led by , pursued a more radical socialist-republican agenda with bombings, shootings, and kidnappings, responsible for about 110 deaths, including high-profile assassinations like that of in 1979; the INLA's activities were hampered by internal feuds, such as the 1975 conflict with the Official IRA that killed several members on both sides. Inter-republican violence further eroded these groups' effectiveness, with feuds and punishment squads claiming dozens of lives within nationalist communities. These campaigns inflicted substantial economic damage—estimated in billions from bombings—and deepened communal divisions, as republican attacks provoked loyalist retaliation and state countermeasures, perpetuating a cycle where civilian deaths outnumbered military ones by republicans (roughly 39% of all civilian fatalities). By the late , infiltration by security forces and declining support led to tactical shifts, culminating in PIRA ceasefires in 1994 and 1997, though splinter groups continued low-level activity.

Ideological Framework

Rejection of British Sovereignty

Irish republicanism posits that sovereignty over Ireland resides exclusively with the , rendering British claims to authority illegitimate and derived from historical conquest rather than consent. This rejection traces to the movement's foundational assertion that Ireland's right to is inalienable, predating and superseding any external imposition, including the Acts of Union in 1801 that formally incorporated Ireland into the . Theobald Wolfe Tone, a progenitor of modern Irish republicanism through the founded in 1791, articulated this stance as a imperative to "break the connection with , the never-failing source of all our political evils, and to assert the independence of my country." Tone's writings, drawn from his 1796 diary, framed British rule as tyrannical subjugation imposed via military force following the Cromwellian conquest of 1649–1653 and subsequent Penal Laws, which systematically disenfranchised Catholic and dissenting populations comprising over 80% of Ireland's inhabitants by the late . This view rejected partition or dominion status as dilutions of full , insisting on separation as the causal remedy to Ireland's economic exploitation and cultural suppression under absentee landlordism and export-oriented agriculture that exacerbated the Great Famine's mortality of approximately 1 million between 1845 and 1852. The (IRB), established in 1858, formalized this rejection in its oath requiring members to work for "the independence of Ireland by the separation of Ireland from and the establishment of an Irish Republic." IRB doctrine, as outlined in its organizational principles, emphasized that the hold sovereign rights to determine their without external interference, viewing British sovereignty as an occupation sustained by force rather than democratic legitimacy. This underpinned Fenian uprisings in 1867, which targeted British institutions to affirm Ireland's independence despite control. The 1916 crystallized the ideology, declaring "the right of the people of to the ownership of , and to the unfettered control of Irish destinies, to be sovereign and indefeasible." Issued during the on April 24, 1916, by leaders including and , it invoked natural rights and international norms of , repudiating British Parliament's authority over Ireland's 32 counties and framing partition proposals as invalid divisions of an indivisible national territory. Post-1921 , republicans who opposed the agreement—citing its oath to the British Crown and retention of under UK sovereignty—maintained this absolutist position, as evidenced by Éamon de Valera's 1937 Constitution implicitly claiming jurisdiction over the entire island while navigating external treaty constraints. In the partitioned context, this rejection manifests as viewing , established by the 1920 Government of Ireland Act, as occupied territory illegitimately severed from the sovereign Irish nation, with British sovereignty there dependent on a unionist minority's demographic engineering via plantations from 1609 onward. Provisional IRA statements in the late reiterated that Britain's denial of Irish over all territories justifies resistance, prioritizing national unity over consent-based . 's abstentionism from Westminster, upheld since , embodies this by refusing participation in institutions predicated on British legitimacy, though pragmatic shifts post-1998 have not altered the core doctrinal denial of sovereignty north of the border. Empirical data from referenda, such as the 1919–1921 local elections where secured 70–90% support in southern counties for republican mandates, underscore the ideological disconnect with British governance, rooted in causal chains of conquest rather than voluntary allegiance.

Justification for Armed Resistance

Irish republicans have long maintained that armed resistance is justified as a defensive and offensive response to British sovereignty over Ireland, which they regard as an illegitimate colonial imposition denying the Irish people's inherent right to self-determination. This view traces to foundational documents like the 1916 Proclamation of the Irish Republic, which declared Ireland's ownership and control as "sovereign and indefeasible" while explicitly invoking divine blessing on the insurgents' arms to overthrow foreign rule. Republicans argue that peaceful petitions, such as those for Home Rule in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, were repeatedly thwarted by British parliamentary maneuvers and unionist opposition, rendering non-violent paths futile. A core empirical precedent cited is the (1919–1921), where (IRA) guerrilla tactics inflicted sufficient costs—over 2,000 British military and police casualties alongside economic disruption—to force negotiations culminating in the , albeit one republicans deemed a for partitioning and retaining British influence. In the Northern Irish context post-1921, justifications intensified around partition's creation of a "gerrymandered statelet" engineered to entrench Protestant unionist dominance, systematically discriminating against the Catholic/nationalist minority through electoral rigging, housing allocation biases, and employment barriers, as documented in reports like the 1971 Cameron Commission findings on civil unrest triggers. When non-sectarian civil rights marches from 1968 faced state repression—including baton charges and internments—republicans framed subsequent violence as communal self-defense against loyalist pogroms and the Royal Ulster Constabulary's (RUC) partiality, with the Provisional IRA emerging in 1969 explicitly to protect nationalist areas. Provisional IRA doctrine during the Troubles (1969–1998) posited armed struggle as the sole mechanism to compel British withdrawal, asserting that political concessions would never suffice without military pressure, given London's strategic interest in retaining as a naval base and bulwark against Soviet influence during the . Leaders invoked a just war ethic, portraying the campaign as proportionate resistance to an occupying force that deployed over 30,000 troops and enacted emergency powers like the Special Powers Act, which enabled arbitrary detentions and shootings, thereby legitimizing guerrilla reprisals under principles of necessity and discrimination against military targets. This rationale extended to international analogies, equating British rule to akin to Algeria's FLN struggle, where violence hastened , though republicans' own analyses acknowledged tactical shifts from defensive operations to offensive bombings only after initial state overreactions escalated the conflict. Critics within republican circles, including post-ceasefire reflections, have questioned the proportionality given civilian casualties—over 1,800 attributed to republican paramilitaries—but core ideologues maintain the moral calculus favored eradication of partition over accommodation.

Intersections with Socialism and Critiques

Irish republicanism has intersected with socialism since the late 19th century, particularly through figures like James Connolly, who founded the Irish Socialist Republican Party in Dublin on May 28, 1896, advocating for an "Irish Socialist Republic" based on public ownership of land and production instruments by the Irish people. Connolly synthesized Marxist principles with republican nationalism, arguing that national independence was inseparable from socialist revolution to dismantle capitalist exploitation intertwined with British imperialism. This fusion influenced the 1916 Easter Rising, where Connolly, as a trade union leader and Irish Citizen Army commandant, participated alongside more conservative nationalists, though his execution underscored the ideological tensions within the republican coalition. In the mid-20th century, socialist influences grew amid economic hardship, with the (IRA) incorporating Marxist rhetoric in the 1960s, leading to the 1969-1970 split into Official IRA (more explicitly socialist and communist-influenced, adopting strategies) and Provisional IRA (emphasizing armed but retaining socialist elements in its ideology, such as anti-imperialist alliances with groups like the PLO). The Provisionals' green book and statements framed their campaign as defending Catholic working-class communities against British , though their primary goal remained territorial unification over class struggle. Post-split, groups like the , formed in 1974 by former Officials, explicitly pursued "republican socialism" combining physical-force separatism with anti-capitalist aims. Contemporary Sinn Féin, successor to Provisional structures, endorses democratic socialism, prioritizing wealth redistribution, public housing, and healthcare in its platforms, as seen in its 2020 manifesto focusing on tax equity and social services to achieve a "united democratic socialist republic." However, this stance has evolved pragmatically, with electoral gains in both Northern Ireland and the Republic emphasizing left-populist policies amid post-Troubles devolution. Critiques of these intersections highlight that socialist elements often served as rhetorical adjuncts to rather than core drivers, with republican prioritizing anti-British violence over systemic economic transformation—a " of Irish socialist republicanism" where IRA philosophy remained fundamentally militaristic and opportunistic in socialist alliances. Michael Collins, IRB president in 1919, rejected as incompatible with Irish traditions, reflecting early republican wariness that class-based appeals diluted national unity. During the War of Independence (1919-1921), socialist figures existed within the IRA, but the movement was not inherently socialist, as many continued fighting post-Treaty without prioritizing labor reforms. Intellectual tensions arose from grafting onto , producing contradictions like subordinating class struggle to unification, as republican groups historically de-emphasized when it conflicted with broad appeal. Observers note Sinn Féin's as moderated rather than radical, constrained by capitalist realities and , limiting its transformative potential.

Relations with Religion and Secularism

Irish republicanism originated with non-sectarian ideals, as articulated by Theobald Wolfe Tone, who in 1791 founded the to unite Irish people of all religious backgrounds—Catholics, Protestants, and Dissenters—against British rule, emphasizing religious liberty and a free from confessional divisions. Tone, an Anglican, advocated while critiquing religious corruption across denominations, viewing sectarianism as a tool of British divide-and-rule tactics rather than a basis for . This Enlightenment-inspired sought to transcend religious loyalties in favor of civic , though practical alliances often drew from Catholic grievances under Penal Laws. Subsequent movements like the Fenian Brotherhood, established in 1858, maintained a secular focus on armed independence, rejecting religious oaths and prioritizing national sovereignty over ecclesiastical authority, despite comprising largely Catholic members. The Catholic Church hierarchy condemned Fenianism as subversive, leading to the 1870 excommunication of the Irish Republican Brotherhood by Archbishop Michael Corcoran and papal decree, which barred Fenians from sacraments for plotting against legitimate authority and promoting violence without moral sanction. This opposition persisted, with the Church viewing republican secret societies as threats to social order and papal allegiance, even as Fenian rhetoric invoked ancient Irish myths over Christian doctrine. Throughout the 20th century, the Catholic Church's antagonism toward republicanism intensified, from denouncing the 1916 as reckless to criticizing IRA campaigns during the (1919–1921) and (1968–1998) as immoral and contrary to just war principles. Bishops like in 1972 explicitly rejected IRA violence, arguing it lacked legitimate and perpetuated division, while republican groups framed their struggle in Catholic martyrdom traditions—drawing on saints like —without establishing a theocratic state. Despite this, republicanism's Catholic support base in stemmed from demographic and unionist Protestant dominance, not doctrinal alignment, with IRA insisting on inclusivity for Protestants in a . In contemporary republicanism, embodies by advocating church-state separation, equal treatment before the law regardless of faith, and policies diverging from traditional Catholic teachings, such as support for access post-2018 and since 2015. The party's 2011 manifesto aligned with priorities like removing religious patronage from education and limiting church influence to spiritual matters, reflecting a shift toward over confessional nationalism. This stance has strained relations with conservative Catholic elements, yet underscores republicanism's core rejection of religion as a political divider, prioritizing national self-determination.

Peace Process and Transition

Good Friday Agreement and Its Preconditions

The preconditions for the (GFA) within Irish republicanism centered on a strategic reassessment by the (IRA) and amid the protracted stalemate of , where armed campaigns had failed to dislodge British sovereignty despite inflicting significant casualties—over 3,500 deaths from 1969 to 1998. By the late 1980s, IRA leadership, influenced by electoral gains from the 1981 hunger strikes and Sinn Féin's growing political mandate, pursued dual-track engagement: sustaining low-level violence while exploring political avenues through clandestine dialogues. This shift was catalyzed by of the (SDLP), who initiated talks with in 1988, aiming to channel republican energy into non-violent negotiation; these Hume-Adams discussions, formalized in joint statements by 1993, framed violence as counterproductive and emphasized consent-based unity, though critics within republican ranks viewed them as diluting core aims. A pivotal precondition emerged with the Downing Street Declaration on December 15, 1993, issued by British Prime Minister John Major and Irish Taoiseach Albert Reynolds, which explicitly rejected any "selfish strategic or economic interest" in Northern Ireland and affirmed the principle of majority consent for constitutional change, thereby signaling British openness to Irish unity if democratically endorsed. The IRA responded positively in a September 1993 statement hinting at peace if preconditions like prisoner releases and demilitarization were met, paving the way for its "complete cessation of military operations" announced on August 31, 1994—a unilateral truce lasting until February 1996, broken after perceived British intransigence on all-party talks. Loyalist paramilitaries reciprocated with their own ceasefire in October 1994, creating a fragile de-escalation that pressured republican pragmatists, including Adams, to prioritize talks over arms, despite internal IRA divisions over decommissioning. The IRA's renewed ceasefire on July 20, 1997, following Sinn Féin's exclusion from earlier talks, aligned with U.S. diplomatic intervention under President , who granted Adams a visa in 1994 and appointed George Mitchell as independent chairman in 1995; Mitchell's principles—requiring parties to renounce , commit to , and accept non-violent —served as entry conditions for multi-party negotiations launched after 1996 elections. These preconditions reflected republican concessions: acceptance of consent as a temporary framework, allowing 's devolved assembly with cross-community safeguards, while deferring full decommissioning and British withdrawal. Culminating in the GFA signed on April 10, 1998, after marathon sessions at Stormont, the accord's constitutional strand established power-sharing, but its ratification by 71% in and 94% in the via referendums underscored republicanism's pivot from unilateral force to electoral legitimacy, though dissidents rejected it as capitulation. This transition, enabled by back-channel communications bypassing public preconditions, marked a causal break from -driven toward pragmatic , sustained by empirical failures of the "Long War" strategy.

Political Devolution and Sinn Féin Ascendancy

The Belfast/Good Friday Agreement of 1998 established a framework for devolved power-sharing governance in , creating a 108-member and an Executive Committee with mandatory cross-community participation between unionists and nationalists. The Assembly was first elected in June 1998, but devolution faced repeated suspensions, including in February 2000 and October 2002, primarily due to unionist concerns over incomplete IRA decommissioning and perceived insufficient commitment to exclusively peaceful means by republican groups. These interruptions highlighted the fragility of the institutions, with from Westminster reinstated during suspensions. The , negotiated in October 2006 between the British and Irish governments alongside Northern Ireland's main parties, revised the 1998 accord to facilitate restoration by addressing timelines for , ministerial nominations, and policing powers transfer. It set a deadline of March 26, 2007, for forming an Executive, contingent on IRA support for policing and justice and acceptance of the . Following IRA statements affirming democratic means and the British government's confirmation of no active threat, the Assembly was restored on May 8, 2007, with leader as and Sinn Féin vice-president as deputy , marking the first SF participation in the Executive. This power-sharing arrangement between Sinn Féin and the DUP endured despite tensions, though the Executive collapsed in 2017 over a renewable energy scandal and was not revived until 2020, only to suspend again in May 2022 amid DUP protests against post-Brexit trade protocols. Sinn Féin's political ascendancy accelerated post-2007, as the party shifted emphasis from armed struggle to electoral politics, capitalizing on demographic trends favoring nationalists and divisions within unionism. In the May 5, 2022, Assembly election, secured 27 seats—the largest bloc for the first time in Northern Ireland's history—surpassing the DUP's 25 seats and enabling Michelle O'Neill's nomination as upon restoration. The DUP's boycott ended in January 2024 after negotiations on protocol mitigations, leading to the Executive's revival on February 3, 2024, with O'Neill becoming the first nationalist and DUP's as deputy. This milestone reflected 's vote share growth from 28.0% in 2017 to 29.0% in 2022, alongside its dominance in local councils and Westminster seats, positioning it as the leading voice for Irish reunification within devolved structures. Devolution's intermittency underscored ongoing trust deficits, yet Sinn Féin's gains demonstrated republicanism's adaptation to constitutional avenues, with the party advocating border polls under the Agreement while governing on issues like and . Critics, including unionists, attribute SF's rise partly to strategic IRA cessation enabling focus on ballots, though persistent dissident threats and economic disparities challenge the model's stability. By 2024, Sinn Féin's cross-border appeal, including strong showings in the Republic of Ireland's 2020 election, reinforced its pan-Irish strategy, though reunification remains contingent on sustained majority support in .

Dissident Groups and Ongoing Challenges

Following the 1998 , a minority of Irish republicans rejected the , viewing it as a capitulation that legitimized British sovereignty over and partitioned the island indefinitely, thereby betraying core principles of establishing an all-Ireland republic through uncompromising means. These dissidents, often numbering in the low hundreds across factions, have sustained low-level paramilitary activities aimed at disrupting devolved institutions, targeting (PSNI) officers, and asserting opposition to the agreement's consent principle, which allows to remain in the UK unless a majority votes otherwise. Their campaigns have yielded limited strategic gains, with public support minimal—polls consistently showing over 80% of Northern Irish nationalists favoring the agreement—due to widespread community fatigue with violence after three decades of conflict that killed approximately 3,500 people. Prominent dissident formations include the Real Irish Republican Army (Real IRA), established in 1997 by Provisional IRA members opposed to the ceasefire, which conducted the on August 15, 1998, detonating a that killed 29 civilians and two unborn children, the deadliest single incident since the agreement's signing. The Continuity IRA, originating from a 1986 split over alleged Provisional deviations from , has engaged in sporadic bombings and shootings, such as a July 13, 2000, in injuring 17. By 2012, mergers of Real IRA elements with other splinters formed the New IRA, responsible for the March 2016 booby-trap bomb killing prison officer Adrian Ismay and the April 2019 shooting of during riots in Derry, where a bullet struck her while she observed disturbances. These groups have claimed around 20 PSNI deaths since 1998 through shootings and improvised explosive devices, though overall dissident-attributed fatalities remain under 50, a fraction of the Troubles-era toll, reflecting constrained capabilities amid enhanced surveillance. Ongoing challenges for dissidents encompass internal fractures, such as feuds over leadership and resources that have led to assassinations among factions, alongside shortfalls exacerbated by generational shifts and the of post-agreement , where GDP per capita rose over 50% from 1998 to 2020. Security responses, including MI5-PSNI operations, have neutralized plots—seizing over 100 weapons and explosives annually in recent years—and fostered informer networks, mirroring tactics that undermined the Provisional IRA. Despite this, the threat persists as the principal risk in per UK assessments, with dissidents adapting via encrypted communications and cross-border smuggling, though their actions, like attempted vehicle bombs in 2023, fail to inspire mass mobilization or alter political dynamics, where Sinn Féin's electoral dominance underscores the peace process's entrenchment. and cross-community initiatives further marginalize them, as evidenced by public condemnations following attacks, reinforcing causal links between sustained violence and isolation rather than revolutionary momentum.

Criticisms and Opposing Views

Unionist and Loyalist Rebuttals

Unionists and loyalists maintain that Irish republicanism disregards the distinct British identity of , forged through the in the early 17th century, when Protestant settlers from and were granted lands confiscated from Gaelic Irish lords following the in 1607. This settlement established a Protestant majority in , distinct from the Catholic-majority south, and unionists argue it created a legitimate, enduring claim to within the rather than subsumption into a historically Gaelic-Catholic . They rebut republican narratives of an indivisible Irish nation by emphasizing the 1912 Ulster Covenant, signed by over 200,000 Protestants opposing , and the 1918 UK general election results, where unionists secured a majority in what became , affirming partition as a democratic safeguard against forced unification. Loyalists, in particular, view republicanism's armed struggle as illegitimate targeting civilians, citing IRA campaigns like Bloody Friday in 1972, which killed nine and injured 130, as evidence of ethnic intimidation rather than anti-colonial resistance. Unionist leaders, including (DUP) figures, have consistently condemned such violence as futile and sectarian, arguing it alienated potential support and prolonged division without advancing republican goals. Economically, unionists highlight Northern Ireland's reliance on an annual fiscal transfer of approximately £10 billion from the Treasury, equivalent to about 20% of regional GDP, which subsidizes public services like the free-at-point-of-use —contrasting with the Republic of Ireland's means-tested system and higher personal taxes. They contend unification would impose fiscal strain on the Republic, potentially requiring tax hikes or cuts to entitlements, while eroding Northern Ireland's access to UK markets and welfare pooling. Unionists cite historical precedents of Protestant marginalization in the post-1922 , including land seizures under the 1923 Land Act targeting Protestant owners and a 33% decline in the non-Catholic population in the 26 counties between 1911 and 1926 censuses, attributed to revolutionary violence, intimidation, and emigration. These events fuel ongoing concerns over , religious , political marginalization, and cultural erosion in a , where Protestants would constitute a of about 14.5% of the population. The DUP upholds the Good Friday Agreement's , asserting remains British unless a explicitly votes otherwise, rejecting polls as destabilizing provocations.

Economic and Developmental Costs

The violence perpetrated by Irish republican paramilitary organizations during (1969–1998) generated direct and indirect economic costs estimated in the billions of pounds for . A econometric found that the conflict reduced regional GDP by approximately 7–10% cumulatively, primarily through disruptions to production, heightened security expenditures, and physical destruction of from bombings and sabotage. These direct impacts were compounded by indirect effects, including elevated insurance premiums, business relocations, and a contraction in private sector investment, as firms avoided areas prone to sectarian attacks. Tourism, a key sector, suffered acutely: visitor numbers dropped from a peak of 1.1 million in 1967 to under 400,000 by the mid-1970s amid escalating bombings and civil unrest, with recovery only partial post-1998. Manufacturing and retail industries in border regions, targeted by republican groups like the Provisional IRA, faced repeated shutdowns and interruptions, exacerbating rates that averaged 15–20% during peak violence—double the average—and disproportionately affecting Catholic-majority areas sympathetic to . The conflict's legacy persists in elevated public spending on security and reconciliation, diverting funds from productive investments. Developmentally, Irish republicanism's emphasis on political unification over pragmatic economic integration with the UK fostered structural weaknesses. Northern Ireland's economy, post-partition in 1921, became dependent on fiscal subsidies from Westminster, totaling £8–10 billion annually by the 2020s to cover a persistent fiscal deficit of 20–25% of GDP. This reliance stemmed partly from the Troubles' deterrence of private enterprise, leading to an oversized public sector (employing over 27% of the workforce by 2020) and sluggish productivity growth, with GDP per capita in 2022 at roughly 63% of the Republic's when adjusted for purchasing power. Critics, including unionist economists, argue that republican rejection of devolved governance and cross-border economic cooperation prolonged instability, forgoing opportunities like deeper integration into UK supply chains that benefited regions without comparable ethno-nationalist strife. The opportunity costs extended to human capital: thousands of deaths and injuries from republican actions contributed to a brain drain, with net emigration of young professionals peaking in the 1980s, hindering long-term innovation and skills development. In nationalist communities, paramilitary involvement diverted resources from education and entrepreneurship toward illicit economies like smuggling and extortion, perpetuating cycles of poverty. While the Republic of Ireland's post-1990s liberalization drove convergence with EU peers, Northern Ireland's growth averaged 1.5–2% annually from 1998–2023, lagging the UK's 2.5%, with republican advocacy for border polls seen by opponents as risking further disruption without addressing these entrenched disparities.

Moral and Strategic Failures of Violence

The deployment of violence by Irish republican paramilitaries, notably the Provisional IRA, during (1969–1998) incurred heavy civilian tolls that compromised ethical claims of legitimate resistance. Republican groups accounted for 508 civilian deaths, including both Catholic and Protestant victims, often through bombings and shootings that disregarded status. The on 5 January 1976 exemplified sectarian targeting, as IRA gunmen stopped a and executed ten Protestant workmen after inquiring about their , an act ruled overtly sectarian by a 2024 coroner's . The bombing on 8 November 1987 further highlighted indiscriminate tactics, with an IRA device exploding amid a crowd, killing 11 civilians and injuring 63. Such operations, defended by some republicans as reprisals against perceived British oppression, failed just war criteria of proportionality and , as civilian fatalities were neither minimized nor incidental but stemmed from urban guerrilla methods prioritizing disruption over precision. Strategically, the republican armed campaign proved counterproductive, entrenching British resolve and forestalling unification without delivering military victory. The IRA's tally of approximately 1,705 attributed deaths—predominantly —imposed costs exceeding 3,500 total fatalities but yielded no territorial gains or sovereign concessions from the . British countermeasures, including intelligence-led operations and political initiatives like in 1972, neutralized IRA offensives while fostering demographic stability in , where unionist majorities persisted despite . Incidents like Bloody Friday on 21 July 1972, involving 26 IRA bombs in that killed nine (five civilians, four security personnel) and injured over 130, alienated nationalist constituencies and international opinion, diminishing recruitment and legitimacy. Analyses attribute failure to overestimation of British fatigue and underappreciation of loyalist mobilization, with sustaining partition rather than eroding it; post-1994 ceasefires enabled Sinn Féin's electoral ascent, securing power-sharing roles unattainable through arms.

Contemporary Dynamics

Active Political Organizations

Sinn Féin remains the dominant political force within Irish republicanism, operating as a cross-border party in both and the , with a core objective of achieving Irish reunification through democratic means, including a border poll as outlined in the . In , it holds the position of largest party in the following the 2022 elections, where it secured 27 seats and formed the executive with appointed in February 2024 after a DUP ended. In the , gained significant ground in the 2020 general election with 37 seats but saw limited progress in the November 2024 election, remaining in opposition while advocating policies on housing and public services alongside reunification. The party abstains from taking seats in the UK Parliament, viewing it as illegitimate for Irish representatives, and maintains international outreach, including support for Palestinian causes and criticism of British . Smaller republican organizations persist outside the peace process framework, often rejecting the as a partitionist compromise and emphasizing anti-imperialist activism. , formed in 2006 by former members disillusioned with policing reforms and power-sharing, positions itself as a democratic socialist republican group focused on against , water charges, and British jurisdiction, without explicit endorsement of armed struggle in recent years. It has engaged in protests and electoral bids, contesting local elections in the Republic with modest results, such as securing council seats in and Wexford in 2019. Saoradh, established in 2016 as a political front associated with dissident paramilitary elements including the New IRA, advocates revolutionary republicanism and has organized public marches, youth wings like Éistigí, and opposition to the Police Service of Northern Ireland. Its activities include commemorative events and anti-internment campaigns, though it faces proscription risks and limited electoral participation, with chair David Jordan publicly denouncing Sinn Féin as capitulationist. Republican Sinn Féin, which split from Sinn Féin in 1986 over abstentionism disputes and is linked to the Continuity IRA, upholds a policy of rejecting the Irish state and Northern institutions, maintaining a small presence through publications like Saoirse and annual commemorations, but garnering negligible votes in contests like the 2020 Irish election. The (IRSP), rooted in Marxist-Leninist ideology and historically tied to the , operates primarily in border areas like , conducting community activism on issues such as loyalist bonfires and economic deprivation while critiquing both partition and . These groups collectively represent a fringe of Irish republicanism, with membership estimates in the low thousands and influence confined to specific locales, sustained by opposition to perceived concessions in the rather than broad electoral appeal.

Prospects for Irish Unity Debates

Debates on the prospects for Irish unity, as envisioned under the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, center on whether a majority in Northern Ireland appears likely to support unification with the Republic of Ireland, triggering a border poll by the British Secretary of State. Support for unity has risen gradually, driven by demographic shifts and dissatisfaction with post-Brexit arrangements, yet polls consistently show a majority favoring continued union with the United Kingdom. Recent surveys indicate no imminent threshold for a poll. A February 2025 ARINS/Irish Times poll found support for unification in Northern Ireland at around 30-33%, up from 27% in 2022, but with 48-50% preferring the UK status quo and the remainder undecided or neutral. Similarly, the 2024 Northern Ireland Life and Times survey reported growing unity sentiment, particularly among 18-24-year-olds where up to 62% expressed support in some analyses, though no age cohort shows a majority overall. Demographic trends, including a rising Catholic population and declining Protestant birth rates, contribute to this momentum, but Catholic support for unity remains below 90% and "neither" identifiers—now about 20%—often lean unionist or neutral. Unionist parties like the DUP emphasize that even pro-unity voters prioritize economic stability over constitutional change, viewing polls as unrepresentative of turnout realities where older, unionist-leaning demographics dominate. Economic arguments dominate the discourse, with proponents claiming unification could yield gains through EU single market access, reduced trade barriers, and fiscal integration, potentially costing less than prior estimates of €20 billion annually. , the leading advocate, cites research suggesting Northern Ireland's GDP per capita could converge with the Republic's over decades via shared policies, dismissing subventions as unsustainable post-Brexit. Critics, including unionist economists, counter that unification would impose immediate fiscal strains—estimated at €10-15 billion yearly from harmonizing welfare, , and pensions—exacerbating Northern Ireland's reliance on transfers amid the Republic's higher taxes and debt. These debates highlight causal factors like Brexit's disruption of Northern Ireland's economy, which grew 1.5% slower than the average in 2023-2024, yet unionists argue devolved and fiscal support have delivered stability absent in the Republic's property bubble recovery. Politically, pushes for a poll within the decade, interpreting provisions as mandating preparation amid shifting identities, but Irish government leaders like Micheál Martin state no referendum before 2030, citing insufficient evidence of support. Unionists dismiss unity as a fringe prospect, warning of communal division and loss of cultural safeguards, with 96% of DUP/UUP voters affirming the Union as irreversible. Overall, while trends suggest gradual erosion of unionist majorities—potentially by 2030-2040—empirical data indicates remote near-term viability, hinging on sustained economic divergence and youth turnout rather than demographic inevitability alone.

References

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