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Wildfire
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A wildfire, forest fire, or a bushfire is an unplanned and uncontrolled fire in an area of combustible vegetation.[1][2] Some natural forest ecosystems depend on wildfire.[3] Modern forest management often engages in prescribed burns to mitigate fire risk and promote natural forest cycles. However, controlled burns can turn into wildfires by mistake.
Wildfires can be classified by cause of ignition, physical properties, combustible material present, and the effect of weather on the fire.[4] Wildfire severity results from a combination of factors such as available fuels, physical setting, and weather.[5][6][7][8] Climatic cycles with wet periods that create substantial fuels, followed by drought and heat, often precede severe wildfires.[9] These cycles have been intensified by climate change,[10]: 247 and can be exacerbated by curtailment of mitigation measures (such as budget or equipment funding), or sheer enormity of the event.
Wildfires are a common type of disaster in some regions, including Siberia (Russia); California, Washington, Oregon, Texas, Florida (United States); British Columbia (Canada); and Australia.[11][12][13][14][15] Areas with Mediterranean climates or in the taiga biome are particularly susceptible. Wildfires can severely impact humans and their settlements. Effects include for example the direct health impacts of smoke and fire, as well as destruction of property (especially in wildland–urban interfaces), and economic losses. There is also the potential for contamination of water and soil.
At a global level, human practices have made the impacts of wildfire worse, with a doubling in land area burned by wildfires compared to natural levels.[10]: 247 Humans have impacted wildfire through climate change (e.g. more intense heat waves and droughts), land-use change, and wildfire suppression.[10]: 247 The carbon released from wildfires can add to carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere and thus contribute to the greenhouse effect. This creates a climate change feedback.[16]: 20
Naturally occurring wildfires can have beneficial effects on those ecosystems that have evolved with fire.[17][18][19] In fact, many plant species depend on the effects of fire for growth and reproduction.[20]
Ignition
[edit]
The ignition of a fire takes place through either natural causes or human activity (deliberate or not).

Natural causes
[edit]Natural occurrences that can ignite wildfires without the involvement of humans include lightning, volcanic eruptions, sparks from rock falls, and spontaneous combustions.[21][22]
Human activity
[edit]Sources of human-caused fire may include arson, accidental ignition, or the uncontrolled use of fire in land-clearing and agriculture such as the slash-and-burn farming.[23] In the tropics, farmers often practice the slash-and-burn method of clearing fields during the dry season.
In middle latitudes, the most common human causes of wildfires are equipment generating sparks (chainsaws, grinders, mowers, etc.), overhead power lines, and arson.[24][25][26][27][28]
Arson may account for over 20% of human caused fires,[29] although human activities, including campfires, power line failures, and equipment use, are responsible for approximately 85% of wildfires.[30] The combination of these ignition sources with dry conditions leads to more frequent and severe fires. However, in the 2019–20 Australian bushfire season "an independent study found online bots and trolls exaggerating the role of arson in the fires."[31] In the 2023 Canadian wildfires false claims of arson gained traction on social media; however, arson is generally not the main cause of wildfires in Canada.[32][33] In California, generally 6–10% of wildfires annually are arson.[34]
Coal seam fires burn in the thousands around the world, such as those in Burning Mountain, New South Wales; Centralia, Pennsylvania; and several coal-sustained fires in China. They can also flare up unexpectedly and ignite nearby flammable material.[35]
Spread
[edit]


The spread of wildfires varies based on the flammable material present, its vertical arrangement and moisture content, and weather conditions.[36] Fuel arrangement and density is governed in part by topography, as land shape determines factors such as available sunlight and water for plant growth. Overall, fire types can be generally characterized by their fuels as follows:
- Ground fires are fed by subterranean roots, duff on the forest floor, and other buried organic matter. Ground fires typically burn by smoldering, and can burn slowly for days to months, such as peat fires in Kalimantan and Eastern Sumatra, Indonesia, which resulted from a riceland creation project that unintentionally drained and dried the peat.[37][38][39]
- Crawling or surface fires are fueled by low-lying vegetative matter on the forest floor such as leaf and timber litter, debris, grass, and low-lying shrubbery.[40] This kind of fire often burns at a relatively lower temperature than crown fires (less than 400 °C or 750 °F) and may spread at slow rate, though steep slopes and wind can accelerate the rate of spread.[41] This fuel type is especially susceptible to ignition due to spotting .
- Ladder fires consume material between low-level vegetation and tree canopies, such as small trees, downed logs, and vines. Kudzu, Old World climbing fern, and other invasive plants that scale trees may also encourage ladder fires.[42]
- Crown, canopy, or aerial fires burn suspended material at the canopy level, such as tall trees, vines, and mosses. The ignition of a crown fire, termed crowning, is dependent on the density of the suspended material, canopy height, canopy continuity, sufficient surface and ladder fires, vegetation moisture content, and weather conditions during the blaze.[43] Stand-replacing fires lit by humans can spread into the Amazon rain forest, damaging ecosystems not particularly suited for heat or arid conditions.[44]
Physical properties
[edit]
Wildfires occur when all the necessary elements of a fire triangle come together in a susceptible area: an ignition source is brought into contact with a combustible material such as vegetation that is subjected to enough heat and has an adequate supply of oxygen from the ambient air. A high moisture content usually prevents ignition and slows propagation, because higher temperatures are needed to evaporate any water in the material and heat the material to its fire point.[7][45]
Dense forests usually provide more shade, resulting in lower ambient temperatures and greater humidity, and are therefore less susceptible to wildfires.[46] Less dense material such as grasses and leaves are easier to ignite because they contain less water than denser material such as branches and trunks.[47] Plants continuously lose water by evapotranspiration, but water loss is usually balanced by water absorbed from the soil, humidity, or rain.[48] When this balance is not maintained, often as a consequence of droughts, plants dry out and are therefore more flammable.[49][50]
A wildfire front is the portion sustaining continuous flaming combustion, where unburned material meets active flames, or the smoldering transition between unburned and burned material.[51] As the front approaches, the fire heats both the surrounding air and woody material through convection and thermal radiation. First, wood is dried as water is vaporized at a temperature of 100 °C (212 °F). Next, the pyrolysis of wood at 230 °C (450 °F) releases flammable gases. Finally, wood can smolder at 380 °C (720 °F) or, when heated sufficiently, ignite at 590 °C (1,000 °F).[52][53] Even before the flames of a wildfire arrive at a particular location, heat transfer from the wildfire front warms the air to 800 °C (1,500 °F), which pre-heats and dries flammable materials, causing materials to ignite faster and allowing the fire to spread faster.[47][54] High-temperature and long-duration surface wildfires may encourage flashover or torching: the drying of tree canopies and their subsequent ignition from below.[55]
Wildfires have a rapid forward rate of spread (FROS) when burning through dense uninterrupted fuels.[56] They can move as fast as 10.8 kilometres per hour (6.7 mph) in forests and 22 kilometres per hour (14 mph) in grasslands.[57] Wildfires can advance tangentially to the main front to form a flanking front, or burn in the opposite direction of the main front by backing.[58] They may also spread by jumping or spotting as winds and vertical convection columns carry firebrands (hot wood embers) and other burning materials through the air over roads, rivers, and other barriers that may otherwise act as firebreaks.[59][60] Torching and fires in tree canopies encourage spotting, and dry ground fuels around a wildfire are especially vulnerable to ignition from firebrands.[61] Spotting can create spot fires as hot embers and firebrands ignite fuels downwind from the fire. In Australian bushfires, spot fires are known to occur as far as 20 kilometres (12 mi) from the fire front.[62]
Especially large wildfires may affect air currents in their immediate vicinities by the stack effect: air rises as it is heated, and large wildfires create powerful updrafts that will draw in new, cooler air from surrounding areas in thermal columns.[63] Great vertical differences in temperature and humidity encourage pyrocumulus clouds, strong winds, and fire whirls with the force of tornadoes at speeds of more than 80 kilometres per hour (50 mph).[64][65][66] Rapid rates of spread, prolific crowning or spotting, the presence of fire whirls, and strong convection columns signify extreme conditions.[67]
Intensity variations during day and night
[edit]
Intensity also increases during daytime hours. Burn rates of smoldering logs are up to five times greater during the day due to lower humidity, increased temperatures, and increased wind speeds.[68] Sunlight warms the ground during the day which creates air currents that travel uphill. At night the land cools, creating air currents that travel downhill. Wildfires are fanned by these winds and often follow the air currents over hills and through valleys.[69] Fires in Europe occur frequently during the hours of 12:00 p.m. and 2:00 p.m.[70] Wildfire suppression operations in the United States revolve around a 24-hour fire day that begins at 10:00 a.m. due to the predictable increase in intensity resulting from the daytime warmth.[71]
Climate change effects
[edit]
Increasing risks due to climate change
[edit]Climate change promotes the type of weather that makes wildfires more likely. In some areas, an increase of wildfires has been attributed directly to climate change.[10]: 247 Evidence from Earth's past also shows more fire in warmer periods.[75] Climate change increases potential evapotranspiration. This can cause vegetation and soils to dry out when potential evaporation exceeds precipitation and available moisture from the given ecosystem. The vapor pressure deficit also contributes to increasing wildfire risk and has been worsening in the warming climate.[76] When a fire starts in an area with very dry vegetation, it can spread rapidly. Higher temperatures can also lengthen the fire season. This is the time of year in which severe wildfires are most likely, particularly in regions where snow is disappearing.[77]
Weather conditions are raising the risks of wildfires. But the total area burnt by wildfires has decreased. This is mostly because savanna has been converted to cropland, so there are fewer trees to burn.[77]
Climate variability including heat waves, droughts, and El Niño, and regional weather patterns, such as high-pressure ridges, can increase the risk and alter the behavior of wildfires dramatically.[78][79][80] Years of high precipitation can produce rapid vegetation growth, which when followed by warmer periods can encourage more widespread fires and longer fire seasons.[81] High temperatures dry out the fuel loads and make them more flammable, increasing tree mortality and posing significant risks to global forest health.[82][83][84] Since the mid-1980s, in the Western US, earlier snowmelt and associated warming have also been associated with an increase in length and severity of the wildfire season, or the most fire-prone time of the year.[85] A 2019 study indicates that the increase in fire risk in California may be partially attributable to human-induced climate change.[86]
In the summer of 1974–1975 (southern hemisphere), Australia suffered its worst recorded wildfire, when 15% of Australia's land mass suffered "extensive fire damage".[87] Fires that summer burned up an estimated 117 million hectares (290 million acres; 1,170,000 square kilometres; 450,000 square miles).[88][89] In Australia, the annual number of hot days (above 35 °C or 95 °F) and very hot days (above 40 °C or 104 °F) has increased significantly in many areas of the country since 1950. The country has always had bushfires but in 2019, the extent and ferocity of these fires increased dramatically.[90] For the first time catastrophic bushfire conditions were declared for Greater Sydney. New South Wales and Queensland declared a state of emergency but fires were also burning in South Australia and Western Australia.[91]
In 2019, extreme heat and dryness caused massive wildfires in Siberia, Alaska, Canary Islands, Australia, and in the Amazon rainforest. The fires in the latter were caused mainly by illegal logging. The smoke from the fires expanded over a huge territory including major cities, dramatically reducing air quality.[92]
As of August 2020, the wildfires in that year were 13% worse than in 2019 due primarily to climate change, deforestation and agricultural burning. The Amazon rainforest's existence is threatened by fires.[93][94][95][96] Record-breaking wildfires in 2021 occurred in Turkey, Greece and Russia, thought to be linked to climate change.[97]
Carbon dioxide and other emissions from fires
[edit]The carbon released from wildfires can add to greenhouse gas concentrations. Climate models do not yet fully reflect this feedback.[16]: 20
Wildfires release large amounts of carbon dioxide, black and brown carbon particles, and ozone precursors such as volatile organic compounds and nitrogen oxides (NOx) into the atmosphere.[98][99] These emissions affect radiation, clouds, and climate on regional and even global scales.[15] Wildfires also emit substantial amounts of semi-volatile organic species that can partition from the gas phase to form secondary organic aerosol (SOA) over hours to days after emission. In addition, the formation of the other pollutants as the air is transported can lead to harmful exposures for populations in regions far away from the wildfires.[100][15] While direct emissions of harmful pollutants can affect first responders and residents, wildfire smoke can also be transported over long distances and impact air quality across local, regional, and global scales.[101]

The health effects of wildfire smoke, such as worsening cardiovascular and respiratory conditions, extend beyond immediate exposure, contributing to nearly 16,000 annual deaths, a number expected to rise to 30,000 by 2050. The economic impact is also significant, with projected costs reaching $240 billion annually by 2050, surpassing other climate-related damages.[102]
Over the past century, wildfires have accounted for 20–25% of global carbon emissions, the remainder from human activities.[103] Global carbon emissions from wildfires through August 2020 equaled the average annual emissions of the European Union.[104] In 2020, the carbon released by California's wildfires was significantly larger than the state's other carbon emissions.[105]
Forest fires in Indonesia in 1997 were estimated to have released between 0.81 and 2.57 gigatonnes (0.89 and 2.83 billion short tons) of CO2 into the atmosphere, which is between 13–40% of the annual global carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels.[106][107]
In June and July 2019, fires in the Arctic emitted more than 140 megatons of carbon dioxide, according to an analysis by CAMS. To put that into perspective this amounts to the same amount of carbon emitted by 36 million cars in a year.[original research?] The recent wildfires and their massive CO2 emissions mean that it will be important to take them into consideration when implementing measures for reaching greenhouse gas reduction targets accorded with the Paris climate agreement.[108] Due to the complex oxidative chemistry occurring during the transport of wildfire smoke in the atmosphere,[109] the toxicity of emissions was indicated to increase over time.[110][111]
Atmospheric models suggest that these concentrations of sooty particles could increase absorption of incoming solar radiation during winter months by as much as 15%.[112] The Amazon is estimated to hold around 90 billion tons of carbon. As of 2019, the earth's atmosphere has 415 parts per million of carbon, and the destruction of the Amazon would add about 38 parts per million.[113]
Some research has shown wildfire smoke can have a cooling effect.[114][115][116]
Research in 2007 stated that black carbon in snow changed temperature three times more than atmospheric carbon dioxide. As much as 94 percent of Arctic warming may be caused by dark carbon on snow that initiates melting. The dark carbon comes from fossil fuels burning, wood and other biofuels, and forest fires. Melting can occur even at low concentrations of dark carbon (below five parts per billion).[117]
Prevention and mitigation
[edit]Wildfire prevention refers to the preemptive methods aimed at reducing the risk of fires as well as lessening its severity and spread.[118] Prevention techniques aim to manage air quality, maintain ecological balances, protect resources,[119] and to affect future fires.[120] Prevention policies must consider the role that humans play in wildfires, since, for example, 95% of forest fires in Europe are related to human involvement.[121]
Wildfire prevention programs around the world may employ techniques such as wildland fire use (WFU) and prescribed or controlled burns.[122][123] Wildland fire use refers to any fire of natural causes that is monitored but allowed to burn. Controlled burns are fires ignited by government agencies under less dangerous weather conditions.[124] Other objectives can include maintenance of healthy forests, rangelands, and wetlands, and support of ecosystem diversity.[125]
Strategies for wildfire prevention, detection, control and suppression have varied over the years.[126] One common and inexpensive technique to reduce the risk of uncontrolled wildfires is controlled burning: intentionally igniting smaller less-intense fires to minimize the amount of flammable material available for a potential wildfire.[127][128] Vegetation may be burned periodically to limit the accumulation of plants and other debris that may serve as fuel, while also maintaining high species diversity.[129][130] While other people claim that controlled burns and a policy of allowing some wildfires to burn is the cheapest method and an ecologically appropriate policy for many forests, they tend not to take into account the economic value of resources that are consumed by the fire, especially merchantable timber.[131] Some studies conclude that while fuels may also be removed by logging, such thinning treatments may not be effective at reducing fire severity under extreme weather conditions.[132]
Building codes in fire-prone areas typically require that structures be built of flame-resistant materials and a defensible space be maintained by clearing flammable materials within a prescribed distance from the structure.[133][134] Communities in the Philippines also maintain fire lines 5 to 10 meters (16 to 33 ft) wide between the forest and their village, and patrol these lines during summer months or seasons of dry weather.[135] Continued residential development in fire-prone areas and rebuilding structures destroyed by fires has been met with criticism.[136] The ecological benefits of fire are often overridden by the economic and safety benefits of protecting structures and human life.[137]
Goat grazing programs
[edit]As climate change drives more frequent and more intense wildfires, more effort is being given to mitigation of fire potential by active measures such as managing fire fuels (ground cover, weeds, small shrubs, coyote brush, etc). In Northern California, for example, goat herds have been used in many communities to reduce the amount of fire fuels on the outskirts of some communities. It is estimated that 60 to 80,000 goats were thus employed by 2024.[138]
Detection
[edit]
The demand for timely, high-quality fire information has increased in recent years. Fast and effective detection is a key factor in wildfire fighting.[139] Early detection efforts were focused on early response, accurate results in both daytime and nighttime, and the ability to prioritize fire danger.[140] Fire lookout towers were used in the United States in the early 20th century and fires were reported using telephones, carrier pigeons, and heliographs.[141] Aerial and land photography using instant cameras were used in the 1950s until infrared scanning was developed for fire detection in the 1960s. However, information analysis and delivery was often delayed by limitations in communication technology. Early satellite-derived fire analyses were hand-drawn on maps at a remote site and sent via overnight mail to the fire manager. During the Yellowstone fires of 1988, a data station was established in West Yellowstone, permitting the delivery of satellite-based fire information in approximately four hours.[140]
Public hotlines, fire lookouts in towers, and ground and aerial patrols can be used as a means of early detection of forest fires. However, accurate human observation may be limited by operator fatigue, time of day, time of year, and geographic location. Electronic systems have gained popularity in recent years as a possible resolution to human operator error. These systems may be semi- or fully automated and employ systems based on the risk area and degree of human presence, as suggested by GIS data analyses. An integrated approach of multiple systems can be used to merge satellite data, aerial imagery, and personnel position via Global Positioning System (GPS) into a collective whole for near-realtime use by wireless Incident Command Centers.[142]
Local sensor networks
[edit]A small, high risk area that features thick vegetation, a strong human presence, or is close to a critical urban area can be monitored using a local sensor network. Detection systems may include wireless sensor networks that act as automated weather systems: detecting temperature, humidity, and smoke.[143][144][145][146] These may be battery-powered, solar-powered, or tree-rechargeable: able to recharge their battery systems using the small electrical currents in plant material.[147] Larger, medium-risk areas can be monitored by scanning towers that incorporate fixed cameras and sensors to detect smoke or additional factors such as the infrared signature of carbon dioxide produced by fires. Additional capabilities such as night vision, brightness detection, and color change detection may also be incorporated into sensor arrays.[148][149][150]
The Department of Natural Resources signed a contract with PanoAI for the installation of 360 degree 'rapid detection' cameras around the Pacific northwest, which are mounted on cell towers and are capable of continuous monitoring of a 24-kilometre (15 mi) radius.[151] Additionally, Sensaio Tech, based in Brazil and Toronto, has released a sensor device that continuously monitors 14 different variables common in forests, ranging from soil temperature to salinity. This information is connected live back to clients through dashboard visualizations, while mobile notifications are provided regarding dangerous levels.[152]
Satellite and aerial monitoring
[edit]
Satellite and aerial monitoring through the use of planes, helicopter, or UAVs can provide a wider view and may be sufficient to monitor very large, low risk areas. These more sophisticated systems employ GPS and aircraft-mounted infrared or high-resolution visible cameras to identify and target wildfires.[153][154] Satellite-mounted sensors such as Envisat's Advanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer and European Remote-Sensing Satellite's Along-Track Scanning Radiometer can measure infrared radiation emitted by fires, identifying hot spots greater than 39 °C (102 °F).[155][156] The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hazard Mapping System combines remote-sensing data from satellite sources such as Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES), Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) for detection of fire and smoke plume locations.[157][158] However, satellite detection is prone to offset errors, anywhere from 2 to 3 kilometers (1 to 2 mi) for MODIS and AVHRR data and up to 12 kilometers (7.5 mi) for GOES data.[159] Satellites in geostationary orbits may become disabled, and satellites in polar orbits are often limited by their short window of observation time. Cloud cover and image resolution may also limit the effectiveness of satellite imagery.[160] Global Forest Watch[161] provides detailed daily updates on fire alerts.[162]
In 2015 a new fire detection tool is in operation at the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service (USFS) which uses data from the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite to detect smaller fires in more detail than previous space-based products. The high-resolution data is used with a computer model to predict how a fire will change direction based on weather and land conditions.[163]
In 2014, an international campaign was organized in South Africa's Kruger National Park to validate fire detection products including the new VIIRS active fire data. In advance of that campaign, the Meraka Institute of the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research in Pretoria, South Africa, an early adopter of the VIIRS 375 m fire product, put it to use during several large wildfires in Kruger.[164]
Since 2021 NASA has provided active fire locations in near real-time via the Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS).
The increased prevalence of wildfires has led to proposals deploy technologies based on artificial intelligence for early detection, prevention, and prediction of wildfires.[165][166][167]
Suppression
[edit]
Wildfire suppression depends on the technologies available in the area in which the wildfire occurs. In less developed nations the techniques used can be as simple as throwing sand or beating the fire with sticks or palm fronds.[168] In more advanced nations, the suppression methods vary due to increased technological capacity. Silver iodide can be used to encourage snow fall,[169] while fire retardants and water can be dropped onto fires by unmanned aerial vehicles, planes, and helicopters.[170][171] Complete fire suppression is no longer an expectation, but the majority of wildfires are often extinguished before they grow out of control. While more than 99% of the 10,000 new wildfires each year are contained, escaped wildfires under extreme weather conditions are difficult to suppress without a change in the weather. Wildfires in Canada and the US burn an average of 54,500 square kilometers (13,000,000 acres) per year.[172][173]
Above all, fighting wildfires can become deadly. A wildfire's burning front may also change direction unexpectedly and jump across fire breaks. Intense heat and smoke can lead to disorientation and loss of appreciation of the direction of the fire, which can make fires particularly dangerous. For example, during the 1949 Mann Gulch fire in Montana, United States, thirteen smokejumpers died when they lost their communication links, became disoriented, and were overtaken by the fire.[174] In the Australian February 2009 Victorian bushfires, at least 173 people died and over 2,029 homes and 3,500 structures were lost when they became engulfed by wildfire.[175]
Costs of wildfire suppression
[edit]The suppression of wild fires takes up a large amount of a country's gross domestic product which directly affects the country's economy.[176] While costs vary wildly from year to year, depending on the severity of each fire season, in the United States, local, state, federal and tribal agencies collectively spend tens of billions of dollars annually to suppress wildfires. In the United States, it was reported that approximately $6 billion was spent between 2004–2008 to suppress wildfires in the country.[176] In California, the U.S. Forest Service spends about $200 million per year to suppress 98% of wildfires and up to $1 billion to suppress the other 2% of fires that escape initial attack and become large.[177]
Wildland firefighting safety
[edit]
Wildland fire fighters face several life-threatening hazards including heat stress, fatigue, smoke and dust, as well as the risk of other injuries such as burns, cuts and scrapes, animal bites, and even rhabdomyolysis.[178][179] Between 2000 and 2016, more than 350 wildland firefighters died on-duty.[180]
Especially in hot weather conditions, fires present the risk of heat stress, which can entail feeling heat, fatigue, weakness, vertigo, headache, or nausea. Heat stress can progress into heat strain, which entails physiological changes such as increased heart rate and core body temperature. This can lead to heat-related illnesses, such as heat rash, cramps, exhaustion or heat stroke. Various factors can contribute to the risks posed by heat stress, including strenuous work, personal risk factors such as age and fitness, dehydration, sleep deprivation, and burdensome personal protective equipment. Rest, cool water, and occasional breaks are crucial to mitigating the effects of heat stress.[178]
Smoke, ash, and debris can also pose serious respiratory hazards for wildland firefighters. The smoke and dust from wildfires can contain gases such as carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide and formaldehyde, as well as particulates such as ash and silica. To reduce smoke exposure, wildfire fighting crews should, whenever possible, rotate firefighters through areas of heavy smoke, avoid downwind firefighting, use equipment rather than people in holding areas, and minimize mop-up. Camps and command posts should also be located upwind of wildfires. Protective clothing and equipment can also help minimize exposure to smoke and ash.[178]
Firefighters are also at risk of cardiac events including strokes and heart attacks. Firefighters should maintain good physical fitness. Fitness programs, medical screening and examination programs which include stress tests can minimize the risks of firefighting cardiac problems.[178] Other injury hazards wildland firefighters face include slips, trips, falls, burns, scrapes, and cuts from tools and equipment, being struck by trees, vehicles, or other objects, plant hazards such as thorns and poison ivy, snake and animal bites, vehicle crashes, electrocution from power lines or lightning storms, and unstable building structures.[178]
Fire retardants
[edit]Fire retardants are used to slow wildfires by inhibiting combustion. They are aqueous solutions of ammonium phosphates and ammonium sulfates, as well as thickening agents.[181] The decision to apply retardant depends on the magnitude, location and intensity of the wildfire. In certain instances, fire retardant may also be applied as a precautionary fire defense measure.[182]
Typical fire retardants contain the same agents as fertilizers. Fire retardants may also affect water quality through leaching, eutrophication, or misapplication. Fire retardant's effects on drinking water remain inconclusive.[183] Dilution factors, including water body size, rainfall, and water flow rates lessen the concentration and potency of fire retardant.[182] Wildfire debris (ash and sediment) clog rivers and reservoirs increasing the risk for floods and erosion that ultimately slow and/or damage water treatment systems.[183][184] There is continued concern of fire retardant effects on land, water, wildlife habitats, and watershed quality, additional research is needed. However, on the positive side, fire retardant (specifically its nitrogen and phosphorus components) has been shown to have a fertilizing effect on nutrient-deprived soils and thus creates a temporary increase in vegetation.[182]
Modeling
[edit]

Wildfire modeling is concerned with numerical simulation of wildfires to comprehend and predict fire behavior.[185][186] Wildfire modeling aims to aid wildfire suppression, increase the safety of firefighters and the public, and minimize damage. Wildfire modeling can also aid in protecting ecosystems, watersheds, and air quality.
Using computational science, wildfire modeling involves the statistical analysis of past fire events to predict spotting risks and front behavior. Various wildfire propagation models have been proposed in the past, including simple ellipses and egg- and fan-shaped models. Early attempts to determine wildfire behavior assumed terrain and vegetation uniformity. However, the exact behavior of a wildfire's front is dependent on a variety of factors, including wind speed and slope steepness. Modern growth models utilize a combination of past ellipsoidal descriptions and Huygens' Principle to simulate fire growth as a continuously expanding polygon.[187][188] Extreme value theory may also be used to predict the size of large wildfires. However, large fires that exceed suppression capabilities are often regarded as statistical outliers in standard analyses, even though fire policies are more influenced by large wildfires than by small fires.[189]Impacts on the natural environment
[edit]On the atmosphere
[edit]
Most of Earth's weather and air pollution resides in the troposphere, the part of the atmosphere that extends from the surface of the planet to a height of about 10 kilometers (6 mi). The vertical lift of a severe thunderstorm or pyrocumulonimbus can be enhanced in the area of a large wildfire, which can propel smoke, soot (black carbon), and other particulate matter as high as the lower stratosphere.[190] Previously, prevailing scientific theory held that most particles in the stratosphere came from volcanoes, but smoke and other wildfire emissions have been detected from the lower stratosphere.[191] Pyrocumulus clouds can reach 6,100 meters (20,000 ft) over wildfires.[192] Satellite observation of smoke plumes from wildfires revealed that the plumes could be traced intact for distances exceeding 1,600 kilometers (1,000 mi).[193] Computer-aided models such as CALPUFF may help predict the size and direction of wildfire-generated smoke plumes by using atmospheric dispersion modeling.[194]
Wildfires can affect local atmospheric pollution,[195] and release carbon in the form of carbon dioxide.[196] Wildfire emissions contain fine particulate matter which can cause cardiovascular and respiratory problems.[197] Increased fire byproducts in the troposphere can increase ozone concentrations beyond safe levels.[198]
On ecosystems
[edit]Wildfires are common in climates that are sufficiently moist to allow the growth of vegetation but feature extended dry, hot periods.[20] Such places include the vegetated areas of Australia and Southeast Asia, the veld in southern Africa, the fynbos in the Western Cape of South Africa, the forested areas of the United States and Canada, and the Mediterranean Basin.
Some ecosystems are adapted to low-severity fires, where trees can survive but underbrush is cleared. Human suppression of lightning-caused fires in areas like Canada and the United States has created a buildup of fuel compared to more frequent fires before the 20th century. This has resulted in fewer but higher-severity fires which can kill mature trees.[199][200]
High-severity wildfire creates complex early seral forest habitat (also called "snag forest habitat"), which often has higher species richness and diversity than unburned old forest.[201] Plant and animal species in most types of North American forests evolved with fire, and many of these species depend on wildfires, and particularly high-severity fires, to reproduce and grow. Fire helps to return nutrients from plant matter back to the soil. The heat from fire is necessary to the germination of certain types of seeds, and the snags (dead trees) and early successional forests created by high-severity fire create habitat conditions that are beneficial to wildlife.[201] Early successional forests created by high-severity fire support some of the highest levels of native biodiversity found in temperate conifer forests.[202][203] Post-fire logging has no ecological benefits and many negative impacts; the same is often true for post-fire seeding.[131] The exclusion of wildfires can contribute to vegetation regime shifts, such as woody plant encroachment.[204][205]
Although some ecosystems rely on naturally occurring fires to regulate growth, some ecosystems suffer from too much fire, such as the chaparral in southern California and lower-elevation deserts in the American Southwest. The increased fire frequency in these ordinarily fire-dependent areas has upset natural cycles, damaged native plant communities, and encouraged the growth of non-native weeds.[206][207][208][209] Invasive species, such as Lygodium microphyllum and Bromus tectorum, can grow rapidly in areas that were damaged by fires. Because they are highly flammable, they can increase the future risk of fire, creating a positive feedback loop that increases fire frequency and further alters native vegetation communities.[42][119]
In the Amazon rainforest, drought, logging, cattle ranching practices, and slash-and-burn agriculture damage fire-resistant forests and promote the growth of flammable brush, creating a cycle that encourages more burning.[210] Fires in the rainforest threaten its collection of diverse species and produce large amounts of CO2.[211] Also, fires in the rainforest, along with drought and human involvement, could damage or destroy more than half of the Amazon rainforest by 2030.[212] Wildfires generate ash, reduce the availability of organic nutrients, and cause an increase in water runoff, eroding other nutrients and creating flash flood conditions.[36][213] A 2003 wildfire in the North Yorkshire Moors burned off 2.5 square kilometers (600 acres) of heather and the underlying peat layers. Afterwards, wind erosion stripped the ash and the exposed soil, revealing archaeological remains dating to 10,000 BC.[214] Wildfires can also have an effect on climate change, increasing the amount of carbon released into the atmosphere and inhibiting vegetation growth, which affects overall carbon uptake by plants.[215]
On waterways
[edit]Debris and chemical runoff into waterways after wildfires can make drinking water sources unsafe.[216] Though it is challenging to quantify the impacts of wildfires on surface water quality, research suggests that the concentration of many pollutants increases post-fire. The impacts occur during active burning and up to years later.[217] Increases in nutrients and total suspended sediments can happen within a year while heavy metal concentrations may peak 1–2 years after a wildfire.[218]
Benzene is one of many chemicals that have been found in drinking water systems after wildfires. Benzene can permeate certain plastic pipes and thus require long times to be removed from the water distribution infrastructure. Researchers estimated that, in worst case scenarios, more than 286 days of constant flushing of a contaminated HDPE service line were needed to reduce benzene below safe drinking water limits.[219][220] Temperature increases caused by fires, including wildfires, can cause plastic water pipes to generate toxic chemicals[221] such as benzene.[222]
On plant and animals
[edit]Fire adaptations are traits of plants and animals that help them survive wildfire or to use resources created by wildfire. These traits can help plants and animals increase their survival rates during a fire and/or reproduce offspring after a fire. Both plants and animals have multiple strategies for surviving and reproducing after fire. Plants in wildfire-prone ecosystems often survive through adaptations to their local fire regime. Such adaptations include physical protection against heat, increased growth after a fire event, and flammable materials that encourage fire and may eliminate competition.
For example, plants of the genus Eucalyptus contain flammable oils that encourage fire and hard sclerophyll leaves to resist heat and drought, ensuring their dominance over less fire-tolerant species.[223][224] Dense bark, shedding lower branches, and high water content in external structures may also protect trees from rising temperatures.[225] Fire-resistant seeds and reserve shoots that sprout after a fire encourage species preservation, as embodied by pioneer species. Smoke, charred wood, and heat can stimulate the germination of seeds in a process called serotiny.[226] Exposure to smoke from burning plants promotes germination in other types of plants by inducing the production of the orange butenolide.[227]Impacts on humans
[edit]Wildfire risk is the chance that a wildfire will start in or reach a particular area and the potential loss of human values if it does. Risk is dependent on variable factors such as human activities, weather patterns, availability of wildfire fuels, and the availability or lack of resources to suppress a fire.[228][229] Wildfires have continually been a threat to human populations. However, human-induced geographic and climatic changes are exposing populations more frequently to wildfires and increasing wildfire risk. It is speculated that the increase in wildfires arises from a century of wildfire suppression coupled with the rapid expansion of human developments into fire-prone wildlands.[230] Wildfires are naturally occurring events that aid in promoting forest health. Global warming and climate changes are causing an increase in temperatures and more droughts nationwide which contributes to an increase in wildfire risk.[231][232]
Airborne hazards
[edit]The most noticeable adverse effect of wildfires is the destruction of property. However, hazardous chemicals released also significantly impact human health.[233]
Wildfire smoke is composed primarily of carbon dioxide and water vapor. Other common components present in lower concentrations are carbon monoxide, formaldehyde, acrolein, polyaromatic hydrocarbons, and benzene.[234] Small airborne particulates (in solid form or liquid droplets) are also present in smoke and ash debris. 80–90% of wildfire smoke, by mass, is within the fine particle size class of 2.5 micrometers in diameter or smaller.[235]
Carbon dioxide in smoke poses a low health risk due to its low toxicity. Rather, carbon monoxide and fine particulate matter, particularly 2.5 μm in diameter and smaller, have been identified as the major health threats.[234] High levels of heavy metals, including lead, arsenic, cadmium, and copper were found in the ash debris following the 2007 Californian wildfires. A national clean-up campaign was organised in fear of the health effects from exposure.[236] In the devastating California Camp Fire (2018) that killed 85 people, lead levels increased by around 50 times in the hours following the fire at a site nearby (Chico). Zinc concentration also increased significantly in Modesto, 240 kilometres (150 mi) away. Heavy metals such as manganese and calcium were found in numerous California fires as well.[237] Other chemicals are considered to be significant hazards but are found in concentrations that are too low to cause detectable health effects.[citation needed]
The degree of wildfire smoke exposure to an individual is dependent on the length, severity, duration, and proximity of the fire. People are exposed directly to smoke via the respiratory tract through inhalation of air pollutants. Indirectly, communities are exposed to wildfire debris that can contaminate soil and water supplies.
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) developed the air quality index (AQI), a public resource that provides national air quality standard concentrations for common air pollutants. The public can use it to determine their exposure to hazardous air pollutants based on visibility range.[238]
Health effects
[edit]
Wildfire smoke contains particulates that may have adverse effects upon the human respiratory system. Evidence of the health effects should be relayed to the public so that exposure may be limited. The evidence can also be used to influence policy to promote positive health outcomes.[239]
Inhalation of smoke from a wildfire can be a health hazard.[240][241][242] Wildfire smoke is composed of combustion products i.e. carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, water vapor, particulate matter, organic chemicals, nitrogen oxides and other compounds. The principal health concern is the inhalation of particulate matter and carbon monoxide.[243]
Particulate matter (PM) is a type of air pollution made up of particles of dust and liquid droplets. They are characterized into three categories based on particle diameter: coarse PM, fine PM, and ultrafine PM. Coarse particles are between 2.5 micrometers and 10 micrometers, fine particles measure 0.1 to 2.5 micrometers, and ultrafine particle are less than 0.1 micrometer. lmpact on the body upon inhalation varies by size. Coarse PM is filtered by the upper airways and can accumulate and cause pulmonary inflammation. This can result in eye and sinus irritation as well as sore throat and coughing.[244][245] Coarse PM is often composed of heavier and more toxic materials that lead to short-term effects with stronger impact.[245]
Smaller PM moves further into the respiratory system creating issues deep into the lungs and the bloodstream.[244][245] In asthma patients, PM2.5 causes inflammation but also increases oxidative stress in the epithelial cells. These particulates also cause apoptosis and autophagy in lung epithelial cells. Both processes damage the cells and impact cell function. This damage impacts those with respiratory conditions such as asthma where the lung tissues and function are already compromised.[245] Particulates less than 0.1 micrometer are called ultrafine particle (UFP). It is a major component of wildfire smoke.[246] UFP can enter the bloodstream like PM2.5–0.1 however studies show that it works into the blood much quicker. The inflammation and epithelial damage done by UFP has also shown to be much more severe.[245] PM2.5 is of the largest concern in regards to wildfire.[239] This is particularly hazardous to the very young, elderly and those with chronic conditions such as asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cystic fibrosis and cardiovascular conditions. The illnesses most commonly associated with exposure to fine PM from wildfire smoke are bronchitis, exacerbation of asthma or COPD, and pneumonia. Symptoms of these complications include wheezing and shortness of breath and cardiovascular symptoms include chest pain, rapid heart rate and fatigue.[244]
Asthma exacerbation
[edit]Several epidemiological studies have demonstrated a close association between air pollution and respiratory allergic diseases such as bronchial asthma.[239]
An observational study of smoke exposure related to the 2007 San Diego wildfires revealed an increase both in healthcare utilization and respiratory diagnoses, especially asthma among the group sampled.[247] Projected climate scenarios of wildfire occurrences predict significant increases in respiratory conditions among young children.[247] PM triggers a series of biological processes including inflammatory immune response, oxidative stress, which are associated with harmful changes in allergic respiratory diseases.[248]
Although some studies demonstrated no significant acute changes in lung function among people with asthma related to PM from wildfires, a possible explanation for these counterintuitive findings is the increased use of quick-relief medications, such as inhalers, in response to elevated levels of smoke among those already diagnosed with asthma.[249]
There is consistent evidence between wildfire smoke and the exacerbation of asthma.[249]
Asthma is one of the most common chronic disease among children in the United States, affecting an estimated 6.2 million children.[250] Research on asthma risk focuses specifically on the risk of air pollution during the gestational period. Several pathophysiology processes are involved in this. Considerable airway development occurs during the 2nd and 3rd trimesters and continues until 3 years of age.[251] It is hypothesized that exposure to these toxins during this period could have consequential effects, as the epithelium of the lungs during this time could have increased permeability to toxins. Exposure to air pollution during parental and pre-natal stage could induce epigenetic changes which are responsible for the development of asthma.[252] Studies have found significant association between PM2.5, NO2 and development of asthma during childhood despite heterogeneity among studies.[253] Furthermore, maternal exposure to chronic stressors is most likely present in distressed communities, and as this can be correlated with childhood asthma, it may further explain links between early childhood exposure to air pollution, neighborhood poverty, and childhood risk.[254]
Carbon monoxide danger
[edit]Carbon monoxide (CO) is a colorless, odorless gas that can be found at the highest concentration at close proximity to a smoldering fire. Thus, it is a serious threat to the health of wildfire firefighters. CO in smoke can be inhaled into the lungs where it is absorbed into the bloodstream and reduces oxygen delivery to the body's vital organs. At high concentrations, it can cause headaches, weakness, dizziness, confusion, nausea, disorientation, visual impairment, coma, and even death. Even at lower concentrations, such as those found at wildfires, individuals with cardiovascular disease may experience chest pain and cardiac arrhythmia.[234] A recent study tracking the number and cause of wildfire firefighter deaths from 1990 to 2006 found that 21.9% of the deaths occurred from heart attacks.[255]
Another important and somewhat less obvious health effect of wildfires is psychiatric diseases and disorders. Both adults and children from various countries who were directly and indirectly affected by wildfires were found to demonstrate different mental conditions linked to their experience with the wildfires. These include post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression, anxiety, and phobias.[256][257][258][259][260]
Epidemiology
[edit]The examples and perspective in this section deal primarily with United States and do not represent a worldwide view of the subject. (July 2023) |
The Western US has seen an increase in both the frequency and intensity of wildfires over the last several decades. This has been attributed to the arid climate of there and the effects of global warming. An estimated 46 million people were exposed to wildfire smoke from 2004 to 2009 in the Western US. Evidence has demonstrated that wildfire smoke can increase levels of airborne particulate.[239]
The EPA has defined acceptable concentrations of PM in the air, through the National Ambient Air Quality Standards and monitoring of ambient air quality has been mandated.[261] Due to these monitoring programs and the incidence of several large wildfires near populated areas, epidemiological studies have been conducted and demonstrate an association between human health effects and an increase in fine particulate matter due to wildfire smoke.
An increase in PM smoke emitted from the Hayman fire in Colorado in June 2002, was associated with an increase in respiratory symptoms in patients with COPD.[262] Looking at the wildfires in Southern California in 2003, investigators have shown an increase in hospital admissions due to asthma symptoms while being exposed to peak concentrations of PM in smoke.[263] Another epidemiological study found a 7.2% (95% confidence interval: 0.25%, 15%) increase in risk of respiratory related hospital admissions during smoke wave days with high wildfire-specific particulate matter 2.5 compared to matched non-smoke-wave days.[239]
Children participating in the Children's Health Study were also found to have an increase in eye and respiratory symptoms, medication use and physician visits.[264] Mothers who were pregnant during the fires gave birth to babies with a slightly reduced average birth weight compared to those who were not exposed. Suggesting that pregnant women may also be at greater risk to adverse effects from wildfire.[265] Worldwide, it is estimated that 339,000 people die due to the effects of wildfire smoke each year.[266]
Besides the size of PM, their chemical composition should also be considered. Antecedent studies have demonstrated that the chemical composition of PM2.5 from wildfire smoke can yield different estimates of human health outcomes as compared to other sources of smoke such as solid fuels.[239]

Post-fire risks
[edit]
After a wildfire, hazards remain. Residents returning to their homes may be at risk from falling fire-weakened trees. Humans and pets may also be harmed by falling into ash pits. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) also reports that wildfires cause significant damage to electric systems, especially in dry regions.[267]
Chemically contaminated drinking water, at levels of hazardous waste concern, is a growing problem. In particular, hazardous waste scale chemical contamination of buried water systems was first discovered in the U.S. in 2017,[268] and has since been increasingly documented in Hawaii, Colorado, and Oregon after wildfires.[269] In 2021, Canadian authorities adapted their post-fire public safety investigation approaches in British Columbia to screen for this risk, but have not found it as of 2023. Another challenge is that private drinking wells and the plumbing within a building can also become chemically contaminated and unsafe.[270] Households experience a wide-variety of significant economic and health impacts related to this contaminated water.[271] Evidence-based guidance on how to inspect and test wildfire impacted wells [272] and building water systems was developed for the first time in 2020.[273] In Paradise, California, for example,[274] the 2018 Camp Fire caused more than $150 million dollars' worth of damage. This required almost a year of time to decontaminate and repair the municipal drinking water system from wildfire damage.
The source of this contamination was first proposed after the 2018 Camp Fire in California as originating from thermally degraded plastics in water systems, smoke and vapors entering depressurized plumbing, and contaminated water in buildings being sucked into the municipal water system. In 2020, it was first shown that thermal degradation of plastic drinking water materials was one potential contamination source.[275] In 2023, the second theory was confirmed where contamination could be sucked into pipes that lost water pressure.[276]
Other post-fire risks, can increase if other extreme weather follows. For example, wildfires make soil less able to absorb precipitation, so heavy rainfall can result in more severe flooding and damages like mud slides.[277][278]
At-risk groups
[edit]Firefighters
[edit]Firefighters are at greatest risk for acute and chronic health effects resulting from wildfire smoke exposure. Some of the most common health conditions that firefighters acquire from prolonged smoke inhalation include cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.[279] For example, wildland firefighters can become hypoxic as a result of oxygen deprivation.[280] Due to firefighters' occupational duties, they are frequently exposed to hazardous chemicals at close proximity for longer periods of time. A case study on the exposure of wildfire smoke among wildland firefighters shows that firefighters are exposed to significant levels of carbon monoxide and respiratory irritants above OSHA-permissible exposure limits (PEL) and ACGIH threshold limit values (TLV). 5–10% are overexposed.[281]
Between 2001 and 2012, over 200 fatalities occurred among wildland firefighters. In addition to heat and chemical hazards, firefighters are also at risk for electrocution from power lines; injuries from equipment; slips, trips, and falls; injuries from vehicle rollovers; heat-related illness; insect bites and stings; stress; and rhabdomyolysis.[282] Wildfires that reach urban environments create additional toxic fumes and carcinogenic particles from burning metals, plastics, electronics, paints, and other common materials.[283]
Residents
[edit]
Residents in communities surrounding wildfires are exposed to lower concentrations of chemicals, but they are at a greater risk for indirect exposure through water or soil contamination. Exposure to residents is greatly dependent on individual susceptibility. Vulnerable persons such as children (ages 0–4), the elderly (ages 65 and older), smokers, and pregnant women are at an increased risk due to their already compromised body systems, even when the exposures are present at low chemical concentrations and for relatively short exposure periods.[284] They are also at risk for future wildfires and may move away to areas they consider less risky.[285]
Wildfires affect large numbers of people in Western Canada and the United States. In California alone, more than 350,000 people live in towns and cities in "very high fire hazard severity zones".[286]
Direct risks to building residents in fire-prone areas can be moderated through design choices such as choosing fire-resistant vegetation, maintaining landscaping to avoid debris accumulation and to create firebreaks, and by selecting fire-retardant roofing materials.[287] Potential compounding issues with poor air quality and heat during warmer months may be addressed with MERV 11 or higher outdoor air filtration in building ventilation systems, mechanical cooling, and a provision of a refuge area with additional air cleaning and cooling, if needed.[288]
History
[edit]
The first evidence of wildfires is fossils of the giant fungi Prototaxites preserved as charcoal, discovered in South Wales and Poland, dating to the Silurian period (about 430 million years ago).[289] Smoldering surface fires started to occur sometime before the Early Devonian period 405 million years ago. Low atmospheric oxygen during the Middle and Late Devonian was accompanied by a decrease in charcoal abundance.[290][291] Additional charcoal evidence suggests that fires continued through the Carboniferous period. Later, the overall increase of atmospheric oxygen from 13% in the Late Devonian to 30–31% by the Late Permian was accompanied by a more widespread distribution of wildfires.[292] Later, a decrease in wildfire-related charcoal deposits from the late Permian to the Triassic periods is explained by a decrease in oxygen levels.[293]
Wildfires during the Paleozoic and Mesozoic periods followed patterns similar to fires that occur in modern times. Surface fires driven by dry seasons[clarification needed] are evident in Devonian and Carboniferous progymnosperm forests. Lepidodendron forests dating to the Carboniferous period have charred peaks, evidence of crown fires. In Jurassic gymnosperm forests, there is evidence of high frequency, light surface fires.[293] The increase of fire activity in the late Tertiary[294] is possibly due to the increase of C4-type grasses. As these grasses shifted to more mesic habitats, their high flammability increased fire frequency, promoting grasslands over woodlands.[295] However, fire-prone habitats may have contributed to the prominence of trees such as those of the genera Eucalyptus, Pinus and Sequoia, which have thick bark to withstand fires and employ pyriscence.[296][297]
Human involvement
[edit]The human use of fire for agricultural and hunting purposes during the Paleolithic and Mesolithic ages altered pre-existing landscapes and fire regimes. Woodlands were gradually replaced by smaller vegetation that facilitated travel, hunting, seed-gathering and planting.[298] In recorded human history, minor allusions to wildfires were mentioned in the Bible and by classical writers such as Homer. However, while ancient Hebrew, Greek, and Roman writers were aware of fires, they were not very interested in the uncultivated lands where wildfires occurred.[299][300] Wildfires were used in battles throughout human history as early thermal weapons. From the Middle Ages, accounts were written of occupational burning as well as customs and laws that governed the use of fire. In Germany, regular burning was documented in 1290 in the Odenwald and in 1344 in the Black Forest.[301] In the 14th century Sardinia, firebreaks were used for wildfire protection. In Spain during the 1550s, sheep husbandry was discouraged in certain provinces by Philip II due to the harmful effects of fires used in transhumance.[299][300] As early as the 17th century, Native Americans were observed using fire for many purposes including cultivation, signaling, and warfare. Scottish botanist David Douglas noted the native use of fire for tobacco cultivation, to encourage deer into smaller areas for hunting purposes, and to improve foraging for honey and grasshoppers. Charcoal found in sedimentary deposits off the Pacific coast of Central America suggests that more burning occurred in the 50 years before the Spanish colonization of the Americas than after the colonization.[302] In the post-World War II Baltic region, socio-economic changes led more stringent air quality standards and bans on fires that eliminated traditional burning practices.[301] In the mid-19th century, explorers from HMS Beagle observed Aboriginal Australians using fire for ground clearing, hunting, and regeneration of plant food in a method later named fire-stick farming.[303] Such careful use of fire has been employed for centuries in lands protected by Kakadu National Park to encourage biodiversity.[304]
Wildfires typically occur during periods of increased temperature and drought. An increase in fire-related debris flow in alluvial fans of northeastern Yellowstone National Park was linked to the period between AD 1050 and 1200, coinciding with the Medieval Warm Period.[305] However, human influence caused an increase in fire frequency. Dendrochronological fire scar data and charcoal layer data in Finland suggests that, while many fires occurred during severe drought conditions, an increase in the number of fires during 850 BC and 1660 AD can be attributed to human influence.[306] Charcoal evidence from the Americas suggested a general decrease in wildfires between 1 AD and 1750 compared to previous years. However, a period of increased fire frequency between 1750 and 1870 was suggested by charcoal data from North America and Asia, attributed to human population growth and influences such as land clearing practices. This period was followed by an overall decrease in burning in the 20th century, linked to the expansion of agriculture, increased livestock grazing, and fire prevention efforts.[307] A meta-analysis found that 17 times more land burned annually in California before 1800 compared to recent decades (1,800,000 hectares/year compared to 102,000 hectares/year).[308]
According to a paper published in the journal Science, the number of natural and human-caused fires decreased by 24.3% between 1998 and 2015. Researchers explain this as a transition from nomadism to settled lifestyle and intensification of agriculture that lead to a drop in the use of fire for land clearing.[309][310]
Increases of certain tree species (i.e. conifers) over others (i.e. deciduous trees) can increase wildfire risk, especially if these trees are also planted in monocultures.[311][312] Some invasive species, moved in by humans (i.e., for the pulp and paper industry) have in some cases also increased the intensity of wildfires. Examples include species such as Eucalyptus in California[313][314] and gamba grass in Australia.
Society and culture
[edit]Wildfires have a place in many cultures. "To spread like wildfire" is a common idiom in English, meaning something that "quickly affects or becomes known by more and more people".[315]
Wildfire activity has been attributed as a major factor in the development of Ancient Greece. In modern Greece, as in many other regions, it is the most common disaster caused by a natural hazard and figures prominently in the social and economic lives of its people.[316]
In 1937, U.S. President Franklin D. Roosevelt initiated a nationwide fire prevention campaign, highlighting the role of human carelessness in forest fires. Later posters of the program featured Uncle Sam, characters from the Disney movie Bambi, and the official mascot of the U.S. Forest Service, Smokey Bear.[317] The Smokey Bear fire prevention campaign has yielded one of the most popular characters in the United States; for many years there was a living Smokey Bear mascot, and it has been commemorated on postage stamps.[318]
There are also significant indirect or second-order societal impacts from wildfire, such as demands on utilities to prevent power transmission equipment from becoming ignition sources, and the cancelation or nonrenewal of homeowners insurance for residents living in wildfire-prone areas.[319]
See also
[edit]- List of wildfires
- Firestorm
- Bushfires in Australia
- Pyrogeography – Study of the distribution of wildfires
- Wildland–urban interface – Transition zone between wilderness and developed land
- Wildfire risk indices:
- Forest fire weather index – Estimation of the risk of wildfire
- Haines Index – Estimation of the risk of wildfire
- Keetch-Byram Drought Index – Estimate of soil moisture deficit
- McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index – Australian fire danger index
- National Fire Danger Rating System – Wildfire hazard scale
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Attribution
This article incorporates public domain material from websites or documents of the National Park Service.
This article incorporates public domain material from websites or documents of the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health.
Wildfire
View on GrokipediaA wildfire is an unplanned, uncontrolled fire that burns in wildland vegetation, including forests, shrublands, grasslands, and prairies.[1][2] These fires ignite through natural causes like lightning or, more commonly, human activities such as unattended campfires, equipment use, or arson, accounting for approximately 85 percent of incidents in the United States.[3] Wildfire behavior is governed by the fire triangle of fuel, oxygen, and heat, with spread accelerated by dry vegetation moisture content, wind, topography, and high temperatures; fires can exhibit rapid progression, crowning in tree canopies, or spotting via embers.[4][5] While wildfires play a natural role in ecosystem renewal by clearing underbrush and promoting biodiversity in fire-adapted landscapes, they pose severe risks when intersecting with human development, causing property destruction, economic losses exceeding billions annually, and fatalities among civilians and firefighters.[6][7] Global occurrence varies by season and region, with recent data indicating burned areas in 2024-2025 exceeding 8 billion tonnes of CO2 emissions from extreme events, though long-term trends reflect influences from land management, fuel accumulation due to historical suppression, and climatic variability rather than uniform increases everywhere.[8][9] Management strategies emphasize prevention through prescribed burns, fuel reduction, and rapid suppression, yet challenges persist from expanding wildland-urban interfaces and policy debates over fire's ecological necessity.[4][6]
Fundamentals
Definition and Classification
A wildfire is an unplanned and uncontrolled fire occurring in wildland vegetation, such as forests, grasslands, shrublands, or other natural areas where combustible biomass serves as fuel.[10][11] These fires spread through direct flame contact, radiant heat, or convective currents carrying embers, distinguishing them from controlled burns or structural fires in developed areas.[6] Unlike prescribed fires, which are intentionally ignited for ecological management, wildfires lack containment until external suppression intervenes or environmental conditions change.[12] Wildfires are classified primarily by the vertical layer of vegetation they consume, reflecting differences in fuel type, burn intensity, and spread potential. Ground fires smolder in subsurface organic layers like duff, peat, or roots, often persisting for days or weeks with low flame heights but high difficulty in detection and extinguishment due to their subterranean nature.[13] Surface fires propagate through surface litter, grasses, or low shrubs, typically exhibiting moderate flame lengths of 1-4 feet and spreading via direct contact with fuels close to the ground.[10] Crown fires, the most intense form, ignite and sustain in the elevated canopy of trees or tall shrubs, fueled by aerial branches and leaves; they produce flame lengths exceeding 20 feet, rapid spread rates up to 2 miles per hour in wind-driven conditions, and extreme heat release rates often surpassing 10,000 British thermal units per foot per second.[14][15] Many wildfires transition between these classes dynamically; for instance, a surface fire may develop into a crown fire via ladder fuels like vines or understory trees that bridge lower and upper layers, amplifying overall fire behavior.[13] Additional descriptors include fire intensity (measured by heat output per unit length, in kilowatts per meter) and size classes standardized by agencies like the U.S. National Interagency Fire Center, ranging from Class A (under 0.25 acres) to Class G (over 300,000 acres), which inform resource allocation but do not alter core fuel-layer typology. This classification aids in predicting suppression challenges, as crown fires resist direct attack and necessitate indirect strategies like backburning.[14]Physical and Chemical Processes
Wildfires are characterized by the rapid, exothermic oxidation of organic fuels, primarily vegetation, in the presence of atmospheric oxygen (approximately 21%), which releases heat, light, and gaseous products such as carbon dioxide and water vapor.[16] This process adheres to the fire tetrahedron model, encompassing fuel, oxidizer, heat, and an uninhibited chemical chain reaction.[16] The chemical sequence initiates with pyrolysis, the thermal decomposition of solid biomass under limited oxygen, proceeding in three stages: dehydration below 200°C, primary pyrolysis up to 300°C, and secondary or fast pyrolysis above 300°C.[17] During pyrolysis, hemicellulose degrades between 180–350°C, cellulose between 275–350°C, and lignin between 250–500°C, yielding volatile flammable gases (e.g., hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide), liquid tars, solid char, and ash; factors like heating rate, fuel moisture, density, species, and exposure duration modulate product yields and rates.[17] These volatiles then mix with oxygen, undergoing gas-phase oxidation in flaming combustion, which sustains the fire through exothermic reactions and heat feedback; smoldering, a slower solid-phase oxidation of char at lower temperatures (typically below flaming thresholds), persists in wildfires under fluctuating humidity, often dominating at night before transitioning to flaming daytime behavior.[17][18] Physically, ignition demands critical heat fluxes—10–13 kW/m² for piloted ignition (e.g., via embers) and 25–33 kW/m² for spontaneous autoignition—with surface temperatures of 300–311°C for hardwoods and 349–364°C for softwoods, influenced by moisture content that delays onset by absorbing heat.[17] Heat transfer to adjacent fuels occurs via radiation (electromagnetic waves from flames, dependent on temperature to the fourth power and fuel geometry), convection (buoyant hot gas flows, with coefficients of 5–500 W/m²·K varying by forced or free regimes), and minor conduction (within solid particles, governed by thermal conductivity like 0.48 W/m·K for cellulosic materials).[16][18] In wildland contexts, convection initially cools fine fuels against radiation but intensifies preheating near the flame front, while buoyancy induces vorticity and instabilities in flames, enhancing volatile release; live fuels uniquely exhibit violent gas/moisture jetting upon rapid heating, contrasting dead fuels' passive pyrolysis.[18] Heat of combustion averages 20.8 ± 1.5 MJ/kg for softwoods and 19.7 ± 0.9 MJ/kg for hardwoods, with peak release rates elevated in lignin-rich species due to sustained char oxidation.[17] These processes interact dynamically with atmospheric flows and fuel heterogeneity, amplifying intensity through large flame fronts and merging fire fronts, which exceed small-scale combustion models by orders of magnitude in energy release.[19] Empirical models like LIHTFire demonstrate that radiation alone fails to ignite fine fuels without convective augmentation, underscoring wildland fires' departure from enclosed structure fires due to open-air dilution and variable fuel states.[18]Ignition Sources
Natural Ignition
Lightning strikes constitute the predominant natural ignition source for wildfires worldwide, occurring when electrical discharges from thunderstorms superheat vegetation or ground litter to ignition temperatures exceeding 300–400°C, often without accompanying precipitation in "dry lightning" events that fail to moisten fuels.[20][21] These strikes number approximately 3 billion annually across the globe, with each capable of initiating multiple fire starts via direct fuel contact or ground currents propagating heat.[22] In arid or semi-arid regions, such as the western United States, dry lightning predominates during convective summer storms, where fuels like grasses and conifer litter have low moisture content below 10–15%, enabling rapid ignition and spread.[23][24] In the United States, lightning-ignited fires accounted for 6,935 incidents in 2024, representing about 15–20% of total reported wildfires nationally but igniting larger burns that comprise up to 70% of the area scorched in western states due to remote locations and expansive fuel continuity.[25][26] Globally, lightning is estimated to spark around 10% of forest fires, with higher proportions in lightning-prone boreal and tropical regions where thunderstorm frequency aligns with dry seasons.[21] These ignitions often cluster in fire-prone biomes, such as savannas and chaparral, where fuel loads accumulate over wet-dry cycles, though climate-driven increases in thunderstorm intensity may elevate future risks without proportional rises in extinguishing rains.[27] Volcanic activity serves as a secondary natural ignition mechanism, primarily through incandescent lava flows, pyroclastic density currents, or ejected hot fragments that contact and combust vegetation at temperatures surpassing 1,000°C.[28] For instance, during the 1902 eruption of Mount Pelée in Martinique, pyroclastic flows ignited widespread fires that exacerbated fatalities beyond direct blast impacts.[28] More recently, fissure eruptions in Iceland from 2021 to 2023 generated lava-ignited wildfires in moss and boreal understory, while the 2021 Stromboli eruption on Italy's Aeolian Islands sparked eight separate fires burning 1.76 km², or 14% of the island's area.[29][30] Such events remain infrequent globally, confined to volcanic arcs, but compound hazards in vegetated slopes where steep terrain accelerates fire propagation under prevailing winds.[31] Other rarities, like meteor impacts or smoldering coal seams exposed by erosion, occur sporadically but lack the frequency to rival lightning or volcanism.[31]Human-Caused Ignition
Human activities ignite the majority of wildfires in regions with significant population density and infrastructure development. In the United States, federal data indicate that approximately 85 percent of wildland fires are caused by humans each year, with a 10-year average through 2023 reaching 88 percent of total ignitions.[3][32] These fires often originate from accidental or intentional acts in proximity to wildland-urban interfaces, contrasting with natural lightning strikes that typically occur in remote areas and account for the remaining ignitions.[33] Accidental human ignitions encompass a range of everyday activities that produce sparks or sustained flames under dry, windy conditions. Common sources include unattended or improperly managed campfires, which spark flames in recreational areas; debris burning and slash pile ignition for land clearing, often the leading cause in rural settings; and mechanical equipment such as chainsaws, tractors, and all-terrain vehicles that generate hot exhaust or frictional sparks.[3][34] Discarded smoking materials, including cigarettes, also contribute, particularly along trails and roadsides where wind can carry embers into dry vegetation. In 2020, elevated human mobility restrictions correlated with record numbers of ignitions from debris burning and recreation, underscoring how behavioral patterns amplify risk during fire-prone seasons.[35] Infrastructure-related ignitions arise from electrical and transportation systems. Power lines, through contact with overgrown vegetation or equipment faults, have initiated notable fires, such as those exacerbated by high winds causing arcing. Vehicle-related sparks from dragging chains or overheated brakes similarly pose risks on highways adjacent to wildlands. These sources are prevalent in the western United States, where over 80 percent of ignitions are human-started across vast areas, often during peak human activity periods like holidays, with July 4 recording nearly twice the average daily fire starts in the West from 2000 to 2019.[36][37] Intentional ignitions, primarily arson, constitute a deliberate subset of human-caused fires, motivated by factors such as vandalism, revenge, or profit. In certain U.S. regions, arson accounts for the majority of fire starts, while nationally it ranks as the second leading human cause on federal lands in the East. Detection relies on forensic analysis of ignition patterns, but underreporting and challenges in proving intent limit precise quantification; however, empirical assessments confirm its role in escalating fire loads where suppression resources are strained.[38] Globally, human ignitions dominate in populated zones, with studies showing over 80 percent attribution in fire-prone landscapes influenced by agriculture, urbanization, and recreation, though comprehensive international statistics remain limited compared to U.S. federal tracking.[39]Fire Dynamics
Spread Mechanisms
Wildfire spread occurs through direct flame contact and heat transfer mechanisms that preheat and ignite adjacent fuels, primarily via radiation, convection, and conduction. Radiation transfers heat electromagnetically from flames and hot surfaces to unburnt vegetation, enabling ignition at distances up to several meters depending on flame length and fuel moisture. Convection involves the movement of heated air and gases, which preheats fuels ahead of the fire front, with wind tilting flames forward to increase exposure on downwind fuels. Conduction, though less dominant in wildland settings, occurs via direct physical contact between burning embers or fuels and adjacent material.[40][41][42] Fuel characteristics critically influence these processes; continuous, dry fuels with low moisture content facilitate rapid propagation by sustaining flame lengths and reducing ignition thresholds, while discontinuous fuels slow spread unless bridged by spotting. Topography amplifies spread rates, with upslope fires advancing 2-4 times faster than on flat terrain due to enhanced convective preheating and oxygen availability, as observed in models like Rothermel's, which quantify rate of spread as a function of fuel properties, wind speed, and slope. Wind not only drives convective heat but also elongates the fire head, creating a characteristic elliptical shape with faster advance at the leading edge compared to flanks.[43][44] A key discontinuous mechanism is spotting, where burning embers (firebrands) are generated from the fire front, lofted in convective plumes, and transported by wind to ignite new fires ahead of the main front. Spot fires can extend spread distances by 1-10 km or more in extreme conditions, such as during crown fires or under high winds, with ember survival depending on size, shape, and atmospheric turbulence. This process dominates long-range propagation in large fires, as evidenced by simulations showing spotting responsible for up to 20-30% of total area burned in some scenarios.[45][46][47]Intensity and Behavior Variations
Fire intensity in wildfires is quantified using Byram's fireline intensity equation, which calculates the rate of energy release per unit length of the fire front as , where is intensity in kilowatts per meter (kW/m), is the low heat of combustion of the fuel in kilojoules per kilogram (kJ/kg), is the mass of fuel consumed per unit area in kilograms per square meter (kg/m²), and is the forward rate of spread in meters per second (m/s).[48] This metric correlates with flame length, suppression difficulty, and ecological impacts, with intensities below 500 kW/m typically producing flames under 1 meter and allowing direct attack, while values exceeding 4,000 kW/m generate flames over 10 meters, enabling long-distance spotting and crown fire transitions.[49][50] Wildfire behavior, encompassing spread rate, flame geometry, and transition between fire types, varies dynamically due to interactions among fuel, weather, and topography, often modeled via Rothermel's surface fire spread equation, which predicts quasi-steady spread based on fuel bed properties like particle size, density, and moisture.[51][52] Low-intensity behaviors predominate in moist conditions with low wind speeds and sparse fuels, resulting in slow-spreading surface fires confined to ground litter and herbaceous layers, with flame lengths under 1 foot and minimal spotting; such fires, common in grasslands under moderate humidity, facilitate control via hand tools.[53][54] In contrast, high-intensity behaviors emerge with dry, continuous fine fuels (e.g., cured grasses or ladder fuels in forests), high winds exceeding 10 km/h, and slopes over 20%, accelerating upslope spread by preheating fuels ahead via convection and radiation, potentially yielding rates over 1 km/h and intensities surpassing 10,000 kW/m.[55][56] Behavior further diversifies into distinct phases: backing or flanking fires progress slowly downslope against wind, maintaining lower intensities due to limited oxygen and fuel preheating, whereas head fires at the leading edge intensify with wind alignment, forming elongated flame fronts and promoting spotting via convective heat lofting embers kilometers ahead.[57] Crown fires, a high-intensity extreme, occur when surface flames ignite canopy fuels, driven by low canopy base height and high surface winds, resulting in erratic, rapid spread decoupled from surface patterns and intensities often 10-20 times surface levels; transitions are exacerbated by fuel continuity in suppressed forests.[58] Fuel moisture below 10% critically amplifies intensity by enabling complete combustion, while topographic chutes or saddles channel winds, locally boosting spread by 2-3 times via funneling effects.[59] These variations underscore predictive models' reliance on real-time inputs, as small changes—like a 10% humidity drop—can escalate surface fires to catastrophic crown runs.[60]Ecological Dynamics
Role in Ecosystems
Wildfires function as a primary disturbance regime in many fire-adapted ecosystems, recycling nutrients, resetting succession cycles, and sustaining biodiversity by preventing overdominance of late-successional species. In these systems, combustion of accumulated organic matter mineralizes elements such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, depositing them as ash that temporarily elevates soil nutrient availability and supports vigorous post-fire plant regrowth.[61] For instance, in boreal forests spanning North America and Eurasia, wildfires drive biogeochemical fluxes critical to carbon and nutrient cycles, with burned areas exhibiting enhanced microbial activity that accelerates decomposition of residual organic matter.[61] [62] In Mediterranean shrublands like California's chaparral, fire cues—such as heat and smoke—trigger germination in serotinous seeds of species like Ceanothus and Arctostaphylos, which remain viable in soil banks for decades until fire removes competing vegetation and scarifies coatings.[63] This process maintains plant community diversity, as resprouting shrubs and fire-stimulated seedlings rapidly recolonize sites, fostering habitats for specialized fauna dependent on early-successional stages.[64] Similarly, in boreal ecosystems, fire creates a heterogeneous landscape mosaic of burned and unburned patches, which supports greater wildlife diversity than uniform, fire-suppressed stands by providing varied foraging and breeding grounds.[62] [65] Fire regimes also regulate ecosystem structure by curbing fuel loads that could otherwise lead to catastrophic shifts; prolonged suppression disrupts these dynamics, often reducing overall species richness in fire-dependent communities.[66] Empirical observations confirm that low- to moderate-severity fires, integral to historical patterns, enhance habitat quality for pollinators, seed-eaters, and ungulates by exposing mineral soil for seedling establishment and reducing dense understory that limits access.[67] In aggregate, these processes underscore fire's role as an evolutionary force shaping traits like thick bark in pines and resprouting capabilities in chaparral, ensuring resilience in recurrently burned landscapes.[63][62]Post-Fire Recovery
Post-fire recovery in wildfire-affected ecosystems primarily hinges on vegetation regeneration strategies evolved in fire-prone environments, including resprouting from surviving roots or stems and recruitment from soil seed banks or canopy-stored seeds released by heat. In coniferous forests, serotinous cones in species like lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) open post-fire, enabling rapid seedling establishment on exposed mineral soil, with high regeneration rates observed even in dry conditions. Resprouting dominates in many shrublands and some hardwood forests, where basal epicormic buds activate quickly, often within months, provided soil moisture persists. Fire severity critically influences success; low- to moderate-severity burns preserve more live tissue for resprouting, whereas high-severity fires necessitate seeding but risk failure if post-fire droughts extend beyond one year, as seen in Mediterranean systems where recovery rates average 0.05 to 0.065 per month.[68][69][70] Soil recovery post-fire involves both nutrient mineralization from ash, enhancing short-term fertility, and disruptions like hydrophobicity and erosion that can delay stabilization. Severe wildfires alter soil chemistry by volatilizing organic matter and nitrogen, leading to losses of up to 10% of soil carbon and nitrogen via erosion in untreated areas, though mitigation treatments like mulching reduce these by 75%. Hydraulic properties recover rapidly in some mesic sites, with infiltration rates rebounding within months due to vegetation regrowth and bioturbation, but persistent erosion in steep terrains can export sediments and nutrients for years, impacting aquatic ecosystems. Empirical data from California chaparral indicate soil organic carbon recovers 70% within the first year, while nitrogen lags at 32%, underscoring variable biogeochemical trajectories influenced by burn severity and pre-fire conditions.[71][72][73][74] Biodiversity recovery varies by ecosystem and disturbance regime, with initial post-fire surges in herbaceous species diversity due to reduced competition, followed by potential shifts toward early-successional or non-forest states in high-severity burns under warming climates. Forests typically regain pre-fire biomass in about four years, but recurrent fires or megafires extend this by 4-5 years, favoring deciduous over coniferous dominance at higher latitudes. Wildlife habitats recover unevenly; seed-eating birds exploit mast post-fire, but large herbivores face forage scarcity until shrub regrowth, with overall species composition stabilizing over decades unless invasion by non-native plants occurs. In southwestern U.S. forests, proximity to unburned refugia and cooler microclimates predict faster arboreal recovery, while scrub transitions prevail in drier, isolated patches.[75][76][77][78] Management interventions, such as erosion control and selective salvage logging, can accelerate recovery by preserving seed sources and reducing fuel for reburns, though excessive removal risks hindering natural regeneration. Studies emphasize that post-fire tree recruitment declines with climate-driven droughts and off-season fires, particularly for obligate seeders, potentially catalyzing type conversion in fire-suppressed landscapes. Long-term monitoring reveals that while many ecosystems exhibit resilience, high-severity events amid fuel accumulation from prior suppression amplify conversion risks, with empirical assessments in Spain showing variable potential across community types.[79][80][81]Historical Evolution
Indigenous and Pre-Industrial Fire Use
Indigenous peoples across various continents employed fire as a deliberate tool for landscape management, often igniting frequent, low-intensity burns to clear vegetation, enhance forage for game, promote edible plants, and create travel corridors, thereby shaping pre-colonial fire regimes distinct from lightning-ignited patterns.[82][83] In North America, archaeological records, fire-scarred trees, and historical accounts indicate that tribes conducted these burns seasonally, with evidence from the eastern deciduous forests showing mean fire return intervals of 5–10 years in some areas prior to European contact.[84] For example, in the Willamette Valley of Oregon, Kalapuya people used fire to cultivate camas meadows and drive game, maintaining open prairies amid coniferous forests.[85] Similarly, in southwestern ponderosa pine ecosystems, tribes like the Apache and Navajo applied controlled burns to thin understory fuels, fostering park-like stands with widely spaced mature trees and grassy understories that resisted crown fires.[86] In Australia, Aboriginal groups practiced "firestick farming," systematically burning savannas and woodlands in a mosaic pattern to flush out prey, regenerate nutrient-rich soils for yams and grasses, and suppress woody encroachment, as substantiated by quantitative analysis of faunal remains and charcoal deposits spanning millennia.[87] Charcoal records from sediment cores reveal that these anthropogenic fires, dating back at least 10,000 years, produced cooler, patchier burns compared to post-colonial high-severity wildfires, correlating with higher biodiversity in fire-managed landscapes.[88] Ethnographic and paleoenvironmental data further show that disruption of these practices after European settlement led to fuel accumulation and altered vegetation structure, evidenced by increased shrub density in former burn zones.[89] Pre-industrial societies in Eurasia and Africa integrated fire into agrarian and pastoral systems, using slash-and-burn techniques for crop rotation and herd grazing, which sustained heterogeneous ecosystems through recurrent low-fuel fires.[90] In the Mediterranean region, such as pre-19th-century Spain, anthropogenic regimes involved annual or biennial burns for arable expansion and silvopastoral use, yielding biodiverse mosaics of open woodlands and meadows rather than dense, fire-vulnerable stands.[91] Historical proxy data, including pollen and macroscopic charcoal from lake sediments, confirm that these practices dominated fire activity in populated areas, with fire frequencies tied to human settlement density rather than solely climatic variability.[92] Early European colonists in the Americas often adopted indigenous methods, as in the southeastern U.S., where settlers replicated Native burns for wildlife habitat and soil renewal within decades of arrival.[93] Overall, these regimes emphasized human agency in modulating fire intensity and patchiness, preventing the extreme events observed after their curtailment.[94]20th Century Suppression Era
The era of aggressive wildfire suppression in the United States solidified after the Great Fire of 1910, which scorched approximately 3 million acres across Idaho, Montana, and Washington, killing at least 87 people including 79 firefighters.[95] This catastrophe, fueled by drought, high winds, and accumulated logging debris, prompted the U.S. Forest Service—established in 1905—to prioritize total fire exclusion as a core mission, viewing fire as an existential threat to timber reserves and watersheds.[96] Congressional response included doubling the agency's budget in 1911 and enacting laws to professionalize suppression, such as hiring permanent fire guards and constructing detection infrastructure like lookout towers. ![Drymountainlookout1930.jpg][float-right] Suppression strategies emphasized rapid initial attack, with policies evolving to mandate containment of all fires regardless of origin. In 1935, Forest Service Chief Ferdinand Silcox formalized the "10 a.m. policy," requiring every detected wildfire to be controlled by 10 a.m. the following morning to prevent overnight growth under calmer conditions.[97] This directive drove investments in tools like portable pumps, chemical retardants, and coordinated dispatch systems, reducing average annual burned area on national forests from over 40 million acres pre-1910 to under 13 million by mid-century.[98] Tactics included backfiring, dozer lines, and aerial water drops, often deploying thousands of seasonal firefighters during peak seasons. Public education campaigns amplified suppression efforts by framing wildfires primarily as human-caused disasters amenable to prevention. The Cooperative Forest Fire Prevention Campaign, initiated in 1942 amid World War II resource strains, evolved into the iconic Smokey Bear initiative in 1944, featuring posters and radio spots with the slogan "Smokey Says: Care Will Prevent 9 out of 10 Forest Fires."[99] By attributing 90% of ignitions to negligence like campfires or cigarettes—based on Forest Service data—the program mobilized civilian vigilance, contributing to a reported decline in human-started fires on federal lands.[100] Similar suppression paradigms emerged globally, as in Australia's post-1939 bushfire brigades professionalizing under state agencies and Europe's early 20th-century forest codes mandating extinguishment to safeguard timber economies.[101] These policies reflected a broader shift from tolerance of frequent low-intensity fires to engineered exclusion, leveraging expanding bureaucracies and technology to minimize short-term losses, though long-term ecological shifts from reduced burning were not initially prioritized.[102]Recent Megafire Trends (Post-2000)
In the United States, satellite observations reveal that wildfires have grown substantially larger, more frequent, and more widespread since 2000. Average fire sizes increased up to fourfold across regions, with fire events occurring three times more often, particularly in the West where total burned area quadrupled and in the Great Plains where it rose over sevenfold.[103] [104] The incidence of megafires—defined as those exceeding 100,000 acres (400 km²)—has escalated, with annual burned acres in the West averaging higher peaks, such as the 4.3 million acres scorched in California during the 2020 season. Wildfire growth rates also accelerated between 2001 and 2020, especially in western states, enabling rapid expansion under favorable wind and fuel conditions.[106] Australia has experienced a multi-decadal uptick in forest burned area post-2000, with linear annual increases accelerating exponentially during autumn and winter months. The 2019–2020 bushfire season epitomized this trend, encompassing multiple megafires that collectively burned 18.6 million hectares, ranking as one of the most extensive on record and including three of the four largest megafire years since systematic tracking began.[107] [108] These events surpassed prior benchmarks, with individual fires like the New South Wales Gospers Mountain fire covering over 500,000 hectares.[109] In Canada, annual wildfire area burned has trended upward since the 1970s, doubling on average, with post-2000 extremes underscoring variability. The 2023 season set a modern record at 15.2 million hectares, eclipsing the previous high of 7.1 million hectares from 1995, driven by large fires in Quebec and Alberta.[110] [111] Earlier peaks, such as 1989's 7.6 million hectares, indicate episodic intensity, but recent decades show heightened large-fire occurrences in boreal forests.[112] Globally, while total burned area has declined nearly 25% from 1998 to 2015 due to reduced fire in savannas and grasslands from agricultural expansion, megafire activity has intensified in forested biomes like boreal and Mediterranean regions. Tree cover loss from fires has doubled since 2001 in many areas, with events like Australia's 2019–2020 fires signaling a "megafire era."[113] [114] [115] Regional disparities persist, with northern latitudes exhibiting longer fire seasons and larger perimeters.[11]Causal Factors for Modern Increases
Fuel Accumulation from Suppression Policies
Fire suppression policies, particularly those implemented in the United States following the 1910 "Big Burn" which scorched over 3 million acres across northern Rocky Mountain forests, prioritized rapid extinguishment of all wildfires regardless of size or origin.[116] This approach, formalized in the U.S. Forest Service's "10 a.m. policy" by 1935 requiring containment by 10 a.m. the day after detection, effectively excluded naturally occurring low-intensity fires that historically maintained ecosystem balance.[117] In fire-adapted ecosystems such as ponderosa pine and mixed-conifer forests of the western U.S., pre-suppression fire return intervals averaged 5–25 years, with surface fires consuming fine fuels like grasses and small shrubs without damaging mature trees.[118] Suppression interrupted this cycle, allowing accumulation of downed woody debris, leaf litter, and dense understory vegetation, which increased fuel loads by factors of 2–5 times above historical norms in many areas.[116] The buildup manifests as "ladder fuels"—continuous vertical fuel strata from ground to canopy—enabling fire transition from surface to crown fires, which are far more intense and harder to control.[119] Scientific modeling indicates that over 240 years of fuel loading under maximum suppression scenarios, burned area doubles over five times faster than under moderate suppression, with contemporary wildfires exhibiting 2.9–13.6 times more stand-replacing severity compared to pre-colonization eras, depending on ecoregion.[119] [120] In California's Sierra Nevada, for instance, tree densities in suppressed forests rose from historical levels of 50–150 stems per hectare to over 500 in some stands, fostering homogeneous, fuel-rich conditions prone to synchronized ignition during dry periods.[121] This accumulation is empirically linked to altered forest structure, where decades of exclusion shifted regimes from frequent, low-severity burns to infrequent, high-severity events that kill most overstory trees.[122] Empirical evidence from dendrochronology and fire scar analysis confirms that suppression amplified fuel continuity, contributing to the scale of modern megafires; for example, the 2020 August Complex Fire in California, which burned 1.03 million acres, drew on multi-decadal woody debris buildup traceable to post-1900 fire exclusion.[123] While climatic factors like drought exacerbate ignition and spread, fuel load dynamics from suppression dominate severity in fuel-limited systems, as demonstrated by comparative studies showing suppressed areas experience disproportionately higher burn rates under similar weather.[124] [118] Critics of suppression-heavy paradigms, drawing from ecological data, argue that allowing some fires to burn under controlled conditions could mitigate this feedback loop, though policy inertia persists due to immediate risks to human assets.[125] Restoration efforts, such as mechanical thinning combined with prescribed burns, aim to reverse accumulation but cover only a fraction of affected landscapes annually—roughly 1–2 million acres treated versus millions burned in severe years.[126]Climate and Weather Influences
Weather conditions exert direct control over wildfire ignition, spread, and intensity by altering fuel moisture and atmospheric dynamics. High temperatures accelerate fuel drying, reducing moisture content and increasing flammability, while low relative humidity further desiccates vegetation, elevating ignition risk.[127] [128] Wind speed significantly amplifies fire propagation by supplying oxygen and transporting embers, with rates of spread potentially increasing exponentially under gusts exceeding 10-20 km/h in dry fuels.[129] [130] Precipitation deficits, particularly during antecedent dry periods, precondition landscapes for rapid fire growth once ignited.[131] Drought episodes compound these effects by systematically depleting soil and live fuel moisture, thereby heightening both ignition probability and burn severity across affected regions. In the western United States, prolonged droughts have been linked to elevated vapor pressure deficit, which draws moisture from plants faster than roots can replenish it, fostering conditions for extreme fire behavior.[131] [132] Empirical analyses indicate that compound events—simultaneous hot, dry, and windy days—have intensified, correlating with larger burned areas; for instance, such fire weather contributed to over 50% of variability in annual fire extent in some models.[128] On climatic timescales, shifts toward warmer average temperatures and altered precipitation regimes extend fire seasons and modulate the frequency of conducive weather. In western North American forests, fire seasons have lengthened by 60-80 days since the mid-20th century, driven by earlier snowmelt and persistent summer aridity, allowing fuels to dry sooner and remain flammable longer.[11] [133] Large-scale oscillations like the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) influence interannual variability; negative PDO phases and La Niña conditions often coincide with drier winters and heightened fire activity in the U.S. Southwest and boreal forests.[134] [135] These patterns underscore that while long-term warming amplifies drought propensity, natural climatic cycles provide critical context for observed increases in fire-prone conditions, interacting with regional weather to determine outbreak timing and scale.[136]Land Use and Development Changes
The proliferation of human settlements in fire-prone wildland areas, particularly through the expansion of the wildland-urban interface (WUI), has amplified the risks and impacts of wildfires. In the United States, WUI areas grew rapidly from 1990 to 2010, with national forest hotspots experiencing a 38% increase in WUI land area and a 46% rise in housing units during this period. Globally, WUI coverage expanded by 35.6% from 2000 to 2020, reaching 1.93 million square kilometers, thereby exposing far more structures to potential fire encroachment. This development pattern fragments natural landscapes, introduces non-native vegetation that alters fuel continuity, and elevates ignition probabilities due to increased human presence and activities such as equipment use, power lines, and recreational fires.[137][138] Such land use shifts exacerbate wildfire outcomes by prioritizing structural defense over broader landscape management, often leading to resource diversion that allows fires to spread unchecked in untreated wildlands. Empirical analyses indicate that WUI growth correlates with higher ignition rates and greater burned area exposure to homes; for example, the number of U.S. houses within wildfire perimeters doubled since the 1990s, intensifying suppression challenges and economic damages. In regions like Southern California, isolated "leapfrog" development—scattered housing in undeveloped zones—has been shown to maximize fire risk by expanding low-density footprints into high-hazard terrains, contrasting with more contained urban expansions that limit vulnerability. These patterns persist despite evidence that concentrated development reduces per capita exposure compared to sprawl.[139][140] Beyond residential expansion, agricultural abandonment and afforestation in marginal lands have contributed to fuel buildup in some ecosystems, transitioning open grasslands to denser shrublands or woodlands that support higher-intensity burns. However, direct causal links to increased fire frequency remain secondary to ignition sources and weather; development primarily drives escalated human and infrastructural losses rather than total burned area, underscoring the need for zoning reforms to mitigate interface risks without curbing overall land conversion.[141][142]Management Approaches
Prevention and Fuel Reduction Strategies
Prevention and fuel reduction strategies aim to mitigate wildfire risk by decreasing the accumulation of flammable vegetation that has built up due to decades of fire suppression policies. These approaches restore natural fire regimes and reduce the continuity and volume of fuels, thereby limiting fire spread and intensity. Empirical studies demonstrate that strategic fuel treatments, when implemented continuously across landscapes, significantly lower wildfire severity compared to untreated areas.[143][144] Prescribed burns, or controlled low-intensity fires intentionally ignited under favorable weather conditions, effectively consume surface fuels and thin ladder fuels, preventing crown fires. A 2025 Stanford-led study found that prescribed burns can reduce subsequent wildfire intensity and smoke pollution by altering fuel structures and promoting fire-resilient vegetation.[145] Meta-analyses confirm that combining prescribed fire with thinning yields the most persistent reductions in fire severity, with effects lasting up to 20 years or more in certain forest types.[146] In the U.S. Northwest, prescribed fire reduces catastrophic wildfire risk by mimicking historical low-severity fire patterns that maintained ecosystem health prior to 20th-century suppression.[147] However, implementation requires precise timing to minimize escape risks and air quality impacts, though overall, treated areas exhibit lower particulate matter emissions than unmanaged wildfires.[148] Mechanical thinning involves removing smaller trees, brush, and understory vegetation to increase canopy spacing and reduce fuel continuity, often using chainsaws, mastication, or chipping. Research across U.S. forests shows that thinning moderates fire behavior by lowering flame lengths and rates of spread, with effects persisting 15-20 years post-treatment, particularly when focused on high-hazard zones.[149] A 2024 meta-analysis indicated that thinning alone reduces severity by about half compared to combined treatments, but it remains cost-effective for initial fuel reduction in dense stands.[146][150] Strategic placement near communities or ignition-prone areas enhances landscape-scale protection.[143] Targeted livestock grazing, such as by cattle or goats, serves as a low-cost method to reduce fine fuels like grasses and shrubs in open landscapes, creating fuel breaks that slow fire propagation. In California rangelands, grazing has been shown to lower fuel loads sufficiently to decrease fire behavior metrics when shrub cover remains below 18%.[151] USDA assessments highlight its role in minimizing herbaceous continuity, complementing mechanical and fire treatments in heterogeneous terrains.[152] Federal legislation advanced in 2025 promotes grazing integration across Western forests for broader application.[153] Fuel breaks—linear or block clearings of vegetation—and community defensible space requirements around structures further disrupt fire spread. Combining multiple strategies, such as thinning followed by burning and grazing, proves most effective, as single methods alone may not address all fuel strata or sustain long-term resilience.[154] Despite challenges like high upfront costs and regulatory hurdles, data from treated landscapes, including reduced burned area in simulations, affirm their causal role in averting megafire escalation.[155][156]Detection and Early Warning Systems
Fire lookout towers, staffed by human observers, represent one of the earliest systematic approaches to wildfire detection, with the U.S. Forest Service establishing networks peaking at over 8,000 towers across 49 states by the mid-20th century.[157] These structures, often equipped with tools like the Osborne Firefinder for triangulating fire locations, enabled visual identification of smoke plumes from distances up to 50 miles under clear conditions.[158] By 2021, only about 300 remained actively staffed during fire seasons, supplemented by remote camera systems to extend coverage amid budget constraints and technological shifts.[157] Despite reductions, staffed lookouts continue to provide critical early detection in remote areas, as evidenced by their role in initial reporting during the 2025 fire season in U.S. national forests.[159] Ground-based networks of cameras and sensors have largely augmented and in some cases replaced human-staffed observation, offering 24/7 monitoring with reduced labor costs. Systems like California's ALERTCalifornia deploy over 1,000 high-resolution pan-tilt-zoom cameras across strategic mountaintops, using AI algorithms to detect smoke anomalies in real-time video feeds.[160] These networks integrate thermal imaging to identify heat signatures as small as 5 meters by 5 meters, far surpassing traditional visual limits, and transmit alerts to incident command centers within minutes.[161] Wireless sensor arrays, measuring variables such as temperature, humidity, and particulate matter, further enhance precision; for instance, advanced prototypes detect gas particulates at sensitivities 1,000 times greater than residential smoke alarms, minimizing false positives from non-fire sources.[162] However, challenges persist, including limited line-of-sight in dense forests and vulnerability to weather-related obstructions, with studies indicating ground systems achieve detection times under 15 minutes for ignitions within range but require dense deployment for comprehensive coverage.[163] Satellite-based remote sensing provides broad-scale detection, particularly for active fires across vast or inaccessible regions, though with trade-offs in resolution and timeliness. NASA's MODIS instrument, operational since 2000 on Terra and Aqua satellites, scans at 1-kilometer resolution to identify thermal anomalies, contributing to global fire mapping but often missing fires smaller than 100 hectares due to pixel size and cloud interference.[164] The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on Suomi NPP and NOAA-20 satellites, launched in 2011 and 2017 respectively, improves upon this with 375-meter resolution, enabling detection of smaller fires (down to 50% efficiency for 700 K hotspots during daylight) and daily global coverage via polar orbits.[165] [166] Validation studies report VIIRS active fire products aligning with ground reports at rates of 1.3% to 25.6% for small events, with higher accuracy for larger burns, though both systems lag in real-time delivery (typically 3-6 hours post-scan) compared to ground methods.[167] Integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning has accelerated early warning capabilities across platforms, processing vast datasets to filter noise and predict ignition risks. AI-enhanced camera systems, such as those from Pano AI, analyze multispectral imagery to confirm fires within minutes of smoke emergence, deploying in regions like California to reduce response times by up to 30 minutes.[168] NOAA's 2025 experimental tools combine AI with satellite and weather data for probabilistic fire alerts, tested to forecast outbreaks hours in advance with initial accuracies exceeding 90% in pilot scenarios.[169] Deep learning models applied to VIIRS data further refine detection by distinguishing fire pixels from urban heat or agricultural burns, achieving up to 96% accuracy in controlled forest datasets.[170] These systems feed into unified early warning frameworks, including public alert apps and firefighter dispatch protocols, as seen in the U.S. GAO's assessment of hybrid technologies enabling coordinated responses that mitigate spread in the critical first hours.[171] Limitations include dependency on clear skies for optical sensors and computational demands for real-time AI, underscoring the value of multi-modal approaches for robust coverage.[172]Suppression Tactics and Technologies
Wildfire suppression tactics focus on depriving the fire of fuel, heat, or oxygen through direct or indirect methods, adapting to factors like terrain, weather, and fire behavior.[173] Direct attack targets the fire's head or flanks closely, using hand crews with tools like Pulaskis and shovels to scrape away vegetation and expose mineral soil, creating firelines that halt spread by eliminating continuous fuel.[174][175] Indirect tactics establish control lines farther from the active fire, often employing heavy machinery such as bulldozers to clear wider barriers or setting backburns—controlled fires lit along these lines to consume intervening fuels and create a buffer zone.[173][175] Ground-based suppression relies on wildland fire engines equipped with pumps and hoses to apply water, wetting fuels to remove heat, alongside hot spotting to extinguish isolated flames and embers that could ignite spot fires.[173][175] Mopping up follows initial containment, involving cold trailing to detect and douse smoldering hotspots, ensuring no reignition occurs.[175] In rugged terrain, smokejumpers parachute in with portable pumps and chainsaws for rapid initial attack, while Minimum Impact Suppression Tactics (MIST) minimize environmental disturbance in sensitive areas by using hand tools over mechanized equipment.[174] Aerial technologies enhance suppression by delivering water or retardants over inaccessible areas; helicopters bucket water from nearby sources, and fixed-wing air tankers drop thousands of gallons of long-term retardant like Phos-Chek, a phosphate-based chemical that forms a barrier to slow flame spread by accelerating fuel charring.[173][174] These operations, coordinated through interagency centers, can suppress up to 95% of wildfires at initial stages when detected early, though effectiveness diminishes in extreme conditions.[176] Emerging technologies include drone-assisted retardant delivery and real-time mapping for tactical planning, though primary reliance remains on manned aerial and ground crews due to payload and regulatory limits.[162] Intelligent sensor networks aid rapid response by pinpointing ignitions for quicker suppression, reducing escalation risks.[162]Societal Impacts
Human Health Effects
Wildfire smoke primarily consists of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), carbon monoxide, volatile organic compounds, and other toxins, which penetrate deep into the lungs and bloodstream upon inhalation.[177] Acute exposure irritates the respiratory tract, causing symptoms such as coughing, wheezing, throat irritation, and exacerbated asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in susceptible individuals.[178] Hospitalizations for respiratory conditions increase during smoke events, with studies linking PM2.5 concentrations from wildfires to a 1-2% rise in such admissions per 10 μg/m³ increment.[179] Cardiovascular effects include elevated risks of heart attacks, strokes, and arrhythmias, driven by inflammation and oxidative stress from inhaled particles.[180] Exposure has been associated with a 0.7-1.3% increase in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality per 1 μg/m³ rise in fire-related PM2.5.[181] In the United States, long-term wildfire smoke PM2.5 exposure contributes to over 10,000 non-accidental deaths annually, exceeding impacts from non-fire sources due to the particles' higher toxicity.[182] Projections under climate change scenarios estimate U.S. smoke-related deaths could reach 70,000 per year by mid-century, with cumulative excess mortality of up to 1.9 million from 2026-2055.[183] Vulnerable populations, including children, the elderly, pregnant women, and those with pre-existing respiratory or cardiovascular conditions, face amplified risks; for instance, children under five experience around 270,000 global deaths yearly from wildfire smoke, predominantly in low-income regions.[184] Socially disadvantaged communities often endure disproportionate exposure due to proximity to fire-prone areas and limited mitigation resources.[185] Reproductive outcomes show associations with preterm birth and low birth weight following maternal exposure.[186] Beyond physical effects, wildfire events contribute to mental health burdens, including acute anxiety from evacuations and post-traumatic stress disorder persisting months after exposure.[187] Direct injuries from flames or evacuation—such as burns, trauma, and carbon monoxide poisoning—affect fewer individuals but occur in firefighters and residents in fire paths, with occupational hazards for suppression personnel including heat stress and inhalation injuries.[188] Long-term immune suppression and cancer risks from chronic exposure remain under study, though evidence indicates persistent cardiorespiratory inflammation even after smoke clears.[189]Economic and Infrastructure Consequences
Wildfires impose substantial economic burdens, encompassing suppression expenditures, property destruction, lost productivity, and ecosystem service disruptions. In the United States, annual wildfire-related costs range from $394 billion to $893 billion, incorporating diminished real estate values, income losses, watershed damage, insurance payouts, and timber reductions.[190] Suppression efforts alone by federal agencies like the U.S. Forest Service have escalated, with costs exceeding $2 billion in fiscal year 2022 for firefighting operations. Direct property losses from major events, such as California's 2017-2019 wildfires, totaled over $150 billion, while indirect economic impacts amplified the figure to $565 billion.[191] The 2025 Los Angeles wildfires exemplify acute economic fallout, with property and capital losses estimated at $76 billion to $131 billion, including up to $45 billion in insured damages.[192] These fires, which scorched over 40,000 acres and destroyed thousands of structures, projected $5.2 billion to $10.1 billion in lost economic output for Los Angeles County, alongside $2.2 billion to $4.2 billion in labor income reductions and up to 35,000 permanent job losses.[193][194][195] Broader sectoral effects include agricultural disruptions, with livestock and crop losses contributing to supply chain interruptions, as observed in Australia's 2019-2020 bushfires that razed pasturelands and halved meat output in affected regions.[196] Infrastructure vulnerabilities exacerbate these costs, as wildfires frequently damage critical systems including power grids, transportation networks, and utilities. In California, wildfire-induced harm to transmission and distribution infrastructure from 2000 to 2016 surpassed $700 million, often sparking cascading failures like those from fallen power lines igniting new blazes.[197] The 2025 Los Angeles fires compromised power lines, sewer systems, water supplies, and roadways, downing wires, scorching pavement, and toppling trees onto highways, which hindered evacuations and prolonged recovery.[198][199] Nationally, wildfires disrupt sectors like energy, communications, and water/wastewater, with post-fire debris flows further eroding roads and bridges, as evidenced by over 2,200 structures lost in recent events alongside $6 billion in business damages.[200][201] These incidents underscore the interplay between physical asset destruction and amplified fiscal strain from repair and resilience investments.Demographic Vulnerabilities
Populations exhibiting high social vulnerability—encompassing factors such as poverty, minority status, advanced age, disability, and limited English proficiency—face disproportionate exposure to wildfires and their secondary effects, including smoke inhalation and evacuation challenges, particularly in western U.S. states.[202] From 2000 to 2021, nearly 495,000 individuals in California, Oregon, and Washington were directly exposed to wildfire perimeters, with socially vulnerable groups overrepresented relative to their population share due to residence in densely populated, high-risk wildland-urban interface (WUI) areas.[202] These vulnerabilities stem from reduced adaptive capacity, such as limited access to air conditioning, transportation for evacuation, or financial resources for home hardening, amplifying risks beyond biophysical exposure alone.[203] Advanced age significantly elevates mortality risk during wildfires, as older adults experience heightened sensitivity to smoke, heat stress, and physical demands of evacuation. Individuals aged 65 and older face a 2.6 times higher relative risk of fire-related death compared to the general population, a pattern observed in U.S. wildfire incidents where mobility limitations and chronic health conditions exacerbate outcomes.[204] In moderate- to high-wildfire-risk locations as of 2020, 27% of residents were over age 60, exceeding the national average of 23%, with projections indicating further concentration of elderly populations in fire-prone WUI zones due to retirement migration patterns.[205] Children under 5, conversely, show lower relative fire death risks overall (50% below general population rates), though wildfire smoke poses acute respiratory threats to this group via immature lung development.[206] Socioeconomic status inversely correlates with wildfire vulnerability, as low-income households encounter barriers to preparedness and recovery. Census tracts with median incomes below $20,000 exhibit an 8.1 times higher relative risk of fire injury compared to high-income areas (median over $100,000), attributable to older housing stock lacking modern fire-resistant features and limited insurance coverage.[207] In the Pacific Northwest, communities with elevated social vulnerability indices—incorporating unemployment, education levels, and housing overcrowding—experience greater exposure to wildfire smoke plumes, with fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations correlating to baseline health disparities that increase mortality from post-fire air quality degradation.[208] Rural abandonment and aging populations in fire-prone exurban areas further compound these risks, as declining investment in infrastructure leaves isolated, low-mobility residents dependent on strained emergency responses.[209]Policy Debates
Active Management vs. Natural Regeneration
Active management in wildfire contexts involves human interventions such as prescribed burning, mechanical thinning, and post-fire tree planting to reduce fuel loads, mimic historical fire regimes, and promote ecosystem recovery, contrasting with natural regeneration, which relies on unassisted ecological processes following disturbance.[146] Proponents of active management argue that decades of fire suppression in fire-adapted ecosystems, particularly in the western United States and Australia, have led to excessive fuel accumulation, increasing the risk and severity of uncharacteristic megafires that hinder natural recovery.[210] A meta-analysis of thinning and prescribed fire treatments found they significantly reduce wildfire severity by altering fuel continuity and structure, while also enhancing post-fire conifer regeneration in treated areas compared to untreated stands.[146] Empirical evidence supports active approaches in reducing subsequent fire intensity; for instance, prescribed burns in California forests lowered wildfire severity by an average of 16% and net smoke pollution by 14% in affected areas, based on satellite and ground data from multiple events.[145] Post-fire tree planting across the U.S. Interior West accelerated forest regrowth by 25.7% relative to untreated sites, with planted seedlings achieving 79.5% survival after one season, countering regeneration deficits in drought-stressed environments.[211] These interventions address causal factors like legacy fire exclusion, which promotes dense shrub dominance and suppresses tree sapling establishment, as observed in high-severity burns where natural regeneration fails in over 50% of low-elevation dry forest cases.[212][210] Critics of active management, often from environmental advocacy groups, contend it disrupts natural disturbance processes and may introduce risks like escape fires, though peer-reviewed syntheses indicate net benefits in severity reduction outweigh such hazards when properly implemented.[146] Natural regeneration succeeds in mesic, high-elevation forests with intact seed sources but increasingly falters amid warmer, drier conditions, leading to conversion to non-forest states in up to 30-40% of burned areas in the western U.S. since 2000.[213][214] In Australia, while prescribed burning shows mixed results for house protection, it consistently lowers residual fire risk across landscapes, even under extreme weather.[215][216] Overall, active strategies align with causal realities of altered fire regimes, fostering resilience where passive recovery alone proves insufficient for maintaining forest cover.[211][79]Public vs. Private Land Responsibilities
On public lands, primarily managed by federal agencies such as the U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management, responsibilities for wildfire prevention and suppression fall under coordinated government mandates, with the Departments of the Interior and Agriculture bearing primary oversight for fires originating on federally owned terrain.[217] These agencies allocate substantial budgets for fuel reduction, detection, and active suppression, averaging $2.5 billion annually in federal spending on suppression alone from 2016 to 2020 (in 2020 dollars), funded largely through taxpayer appropriations.[218] State-managed public lands similarly emphasize agency-led interventions, though with varying resources and often supplemented by federal assistance during large-scale events. Private landowners, by contrast, hold direct accountability for mitigating risks on their properties, including fuel management and structural hardening, particularly in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) where development abuts vegetated wildlands.[219] Under state laws and local ordinances, owners are encouraged—or in some jurisdictions required—to create defensible spaces, such as clearing vegetation within 100 feet of structures, to reduce ignition potential and limit fire spread.[220] However, enforcement varies, and many private parcels exhibit insufficient treatments, leading to "free-riding" where benefits from adjacent public land management accrue without equivalent private investment.[221] Policy debates center on cost allocation and liability, with critics arguing that federal suppression policies on public lands, which prioritize extinguishing all fires, exacerbate fuel accumulation and downstream risks to private holdings, while private owners often externalize suppression expenses to public resources.[102] Federal aid frequently extends to nonfederal fires via reimbursable agreements, blurring lines of responsibility and inflating taxpayer burdens, as nonfederal suppression costs—borne initially by states, localities, and owners—are not always fully recovered.[218] Proponents of stricter private accountability advocate for incentives like tax credits for treatments or liability reforms to compel mitigation, noting low public support for regulatory mandates on private property despite evidence that unmanaged WUI parcels amplify overall fire severity.[222] In mixed-ownership landscapes, cross-boundary coordination remains challenging, with private underinvestment heightening collective vulnerabilities.[223]Integration of Traditional Practices
Indigenous peoples in fire-prone regions have historically used controlled, low-intensity burns—often termed cultural or traditional burning—to manage landscapes, reduce fuel loads, and foster ecological diversity. These practices, documented through oral histories, archaeological evidence, and ecological reconstructions, involved igniting fires during cooler, moister seasons to create patchy mosaics that prevented the buildup of continuous dry fuels capable of sustaining crown fires. In North America, tribes such as the Karuk, Yurok, and Yosemite-area Mono and Miwok applied fire to clear understory vegetation in forests, promoting oak acorn production, basketry materials, and deer habitats while limiting catastrophic blazes.[82][224] European settlement and subsequent fire suppression policies from the early 20th century onward disrupted these regimes, allowing fuel accumulation that exacerbated wildfire intensity, as evidenced by dendrochronological records showing reduced fire frequency post-colonization in southwestern U.S. ponderosa pine forests. Modern integration efforts recognize that reinstating frequent, small-scale burns aligns with causal mechanisms of fire ecology: regular consumption of fine fuels disrupts continuity, lowering flame lengths and rates of spread in subsequent events. In the United States, federal agencies like the National Park Service collaborate with tribes on co-management plans, such as those in Yosemite National Park, where indigenous-led burns since 1999 have restored meadow edges and reduced hazardous fuels without escaping control.[82][225] In Australia, Aboriginal groups employed "cool burns" in the early dry season (March–July) to fragment savanna landscapes, a practice reconstructed from charcoal records spanning millennia that limited high-intensity late-season fires. Contemporary programs, including those by the Kimberley Land Council and funded initiatives like the Australian government's $2.3 million allocation in 2024 for desert regions, train indigenous rangers to apply these methods, reducing burned areas by up to 50% in treated northern savannas compared to unmanaged zones.[226][227][228] Peer-reviewed analyses confirm these integrations' effectiveness; for example, in British Columbia, incorporating First Nations fire stewardship into provincial plans has decreased wildfire carbon emissions by promoting low-severity burns that mimic historical frequencies. Challenges persist, including regulatory hurdles and liability concerns under liability frameworks favoring suppression, yet empirical data from treated sites—such as lowered fire severity in Navajo-managed southwestern forests—underscore the practices' role in enhancing resilience without relying on unverified cultural narratives alone.[229][86][225]References
- https://science.[nasa](/page/NASA).gov/earth/natural-disasters/wildfires/six-trends-to-know-about-fire-season-in-the-western-us/
