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Trumpism
Trumpism
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Trumpism is the ideology behind U.S. president Donald Trump and his political base. It is often used in close conjunction with the Make America Great Again (MAGA) and America First political movements. It comprises ideologies such as right-wing populism, right-wing antiglobalism, national conservatism and neo-nationalism, and features significant illiberal, authoritarian[7][8] and at times autocratic beliefs.[b] Trumpists and Trumpians are terms that refer to individuals exhibiting its characteristics. There is significant academic debate over the prevalence of neo-fascist[a] elements of Trumpism.

Trumpism has been characterized by scholars as having authoritarian leanings[27][28] and has been associated with the belief that the president is above the rule of law.[c] It has been referred to as an American political variant of the far-right[29][25][30] and the national-populist and neo-nationalist sentiment seen in multiple nations starting in the mid–late 2010s.[31] Trump's political base has been compared to a cult of personality.[d] Over the course of the late 2010s and early 2020s, Trump supporters became the largest faction of the United States Republican Party, with the remainder often characterized as "the elite", "the establishment", or "Republican in name only" (RINO) in contrast. In response to these developments, many American conservatives opposed to Trumpism formed the Never Trump movement. Trump's second-term actions include executive orders expanding tariffs and ending trade exemptions, aligning with America First economic policies.[32][33][34]

Background and context

[edit]

Some political scientists have attempted to explain support for Trumpism from a societal perspective and in the broader context of a wave of right-wing populism that came to prominence in the 2010s, underpinning Brexit and Trump's 2016 election.[35][36] Theories cited by scholars include the "left behind" thesis that posits that the rise of right-wing populism in the West finds its roots in individuals or communities that feel that they have been neglected by the development of society and political decision-makers.[37][38][39] Trends of globalization and deindustrialization have been identified by scholars as having contributed to economic and social deprivation that underpins this theorized phenomenon.[40][39][e]

Some American scholars characterize the left behind thesis as a growing divergence between so-called "brain hubs" and "superstar cities" at one extreme and former manufacturing cities that have lost jobs and residents at the other.[42] Others characterize the problem as being a divergence between regions that have enjoyed the benefits of globalization and technological advance and those that have borne the brunt of disruptive impacts related to these phenomena.[42] A contested characterization of the left behind thesis is as a cultural backlash to long-term structural changes in gender equality, urban growth, education, immigration, economic instability, and terrorist attacks.[43][44] The left behind theory has been supported[38][45][46] and disputed[39][47] by scholars and empirical research.

Eric Kaufmann's Whiteshift[f] describes a Western societal trend in the 21st century that he says is perceived to be eroding white ethnic identity.[g] He argues that Whiteshift and a progressive trope celebrating the projected demise of white majorities have been responsible for much of the reactionary populism since 2015.[50] Kaufmann's thesis has received mixed reviews, with Kenan Malik criticising Whiteshift for omitting social context that he asserts is key to understanding politics.[51][52]

Themes

[edit]

Trumpism emerged during Trump's 2016 presidential campaign. Trump's rhetoric has its roots in a populist political method that suggests nationalistic answers to political, economic, and social problems.[53][54][55] They are more specifically described as right-wing populist.[56][57] Policies include immigration restrictionism, trade protectionism, isolationism, and opposition to entitlement reform.[58]

Former national security advisor and close Trump advisor John Bolton disputes that Trumpism exists in any meaningful sense, adding that "[t]he man does not have a philosophy. And people can try and draw lines between the dots of his decisions. They will fail."[59] Writing for the Routledge Handbook of Global Populism (2019), Olivier Jutel notes, "What Donald Trump reveals is that the various iterations of right-wing American populism have less to do with a programmatic social conservatism or libertarian economics than with enjoyment."[60]

Trump has been described as a demagogue, and there exists significant scholarly study on the use of demagogy and related themes within Trumpism.[61] Trump explicitly and routinely disparages racial, religious, and ethnic minorities,[62] and scholars consistently find that racial animus regarding blacks, immigrants, and Muslims are the best predictors of support for Trump.[63] Trumpist rhetoric heavily features anti-immigrant,[64] xenophobic,[65] and nativist[66] attacks against minority groups.[67][68] Other identified aspects include conspiracist,[69][70] isolationist,[66][71] Christian nationalist,[72] evangelical Christian,[73] protectionist,[74][75] anti-feminist,[76][page needed][77] and anti-LGBT[78] beliefs.

Grievance

[edit]

Sociologist Michael Kimmel states that Trump's populism is "an emotion. And the emotion is righteous indignation that the government is screwing 'us.'"[79] Kimmel posits that Trump manifests "aggrieved entitlement",[80] a "sense that those benefits to which you believed yourself entitled have been snatched away from you by unseen forces larger and more powerful. You feel yourself to be the heir to a great promise, the American Dream, which has turned into an impossible fantasy ..."[81]

Vagueness

[edit]

Communications scholar Zizi Papacharissi explains the utility of being ideologically vague and using terms and slogans that can mean anything the supporter wants them to mean. "When these publics thrive in affective engagement it's because they've found an affective hook that's built around an open signifier that they get to use and reuse and re-employ ... MAGA; that's an open signifier ... it allows them all to assign different meanings to it. So MAGA works for connecting publics that are different, because it is open enough to permit people to ascribe their own meaning to it."[82][relevant?][note 3]

Exit polling data suggests the campaign was successful at mobilizing the "white disenfranchised",[83] the lower- to working-class European-Americans who are experiencing growing social inequality and who often have stated opposition to the American political establishment.[84][85]

Some prominent conservatives formed a Never Trump movement, seen as a rebellion of conservative elites against the base.[86][87][88][89]

Right-wing authoritarian populism

[edit]
Former Chief Strategist for the first Trump administration Steve Bannon supported many national populist political movements including creating a network of far-right groups in Europe.

Trumpism has been described as right-wing authoritarian populist,[90] and is broadly seen among scholars as posing an existential threat to American democracy.[91] His presidency sparked renewed focus and research on restraining presidential power and the threats of a criminal presidency that had died down since the Nixon administration.[92] Trump advocated for an extreme position of unitary executive theory, arguing that Article II gave him the right to "do whatever I want".[93] The theory is a maximalist interpretation of presidential power formulated during the Reagan administration and pushed by the Federalist Society to undo post-Nixon reforms. Future presidents ran with "unitary-adjacent ideas" and aspects of theory held bipartisan support as part of the growing powers of the presidency.[94] In February 2025, Trump wrote and pinned a comment on Truth Social and X: "He who saves his Country does not violate any Law", which the White House later reposted on X that day. The phrase itself is a variation of one attributed to Napoleon Bonaparte, and was noted to be in line with his administration's aggressive push for expanding presidential power under the theory.[95][96]

Yale sociologist Philip S. Gorski warned against the threat of Trumpism, writing that

"the election of Donald Trump constitutes perhaps the greatest threat to American democracy since the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. There is a real and growing danger that representative government will be slowly but effectively supplanted by a populist form of authoritarian rule in the years to come. Media intimidation, mass propaganda, voter suppression, court packing, and even armed paramilitaries—many of the necessary and sufficient conditions for an authoritarian devolution are gradually falling into place."[97]

Some academics regard such authoritarian backlash as a feature of liberal democracies.[98] Disputing the view that the surge of support for Trumpism and Brexit is a new phenomenon, political scientist Karen Stenner and social psychologist Jonathan Haidt state that

the far-right populist wave ... did not in fact come out of nowhere. It is not a sudden madness, or virus, or tide, or even just a copycat phenomenon—the emboldening of bigots and despots by others' electoral successes. Rather, it is something that sits just beneath the surface of any human society—including in the advanced liberal democracies at the heart of the Western world—and can be activated by core elements of liberal democracy itself.

Stenner and Haidt regard authoritarian waves as a feature of liberal democracies noting that the findings of their 2016 study of Trump and Brexit supporters was not unexpected, as they wrote:

... normative threat tends either to leave non-authoritarians utterly unmoved by the things that catalyze authoritarians or to propel them toward being (what one might conceive as) their 'best selves.' In previous investigations, this has seen non-authoritarians move toward positions of greater tolerance and respect for diversity under the very conditions that seem to propel authoritarians toward increasing intolerance.[98]

Author and authoritarianism critic Masha Gessen contrasted the "democratic" strategy of the Republican establishment making policy arguments appealing to the public, with the "autocratic" strategy of appealing to an "audience of one" in Donald Trump.[99] Gessen noted the fear of Republicans that Trump would endorse a primary election opponent or otherwise use his political power to undermine any fellow party members that he felt had betrayed him.

The 2020 Republican Party platform simply endorsed "the President's America-first agenda", prompting comparisons to contemporary leader-focused party platforms in Russia and China.[100] In January 2025, a CNN-SSRS poll found that 53% of Republicans viewed loyalty to Trump as central to their political identity and very important to what being a Republican is, beating values such as "a less powerful federal government (46%), supporting congressional Republicans (42%) or opposing Democratic policies (32%)".[101]

Trumpism has been described as borrowing from the anti-parliamentarian political theory advocated by Carl Schmitt, and has received renewed attention as a historical reference.[102][103][104][105]

Gender and masculinity

[edit]
Google Trends search term for "Toxic masculinity" began a substantial increase in 2016, at the time of the campaign for the U.S. presidential election.[106]
After the December 2020 introduction of COVID vaccines, a partisan gap in death rates developed, indicating the effects of vaccine skepticism.[107] As of March 2024, more than 30 percent of Republicans had not received a COVID vaccine, compared with less than 10 percent of Democrats.[107] Aversion to wearing masks has been associated with Trumpism's celebration of masculinity.[108][109]

According to Philip Gorski, in Trumpian nostalgia "decline is brought about by docility and femininity and the return to greatness requires little more than a reassertion of dominance and masculinity. In this way, 'virtue' is reduced to its root etymology of manly bravado."[97] Michael Kimmel describes male Trump supporters who despaired "over whether or not anything could enable them to find a place with some dignity in this new, multicultural, and more egalitarian world. ... These men were angry, but they all looked back nostalgically to a time when their sense of masculine entitlement went unchallenged. They wanted to reclaim their country, restore their rightful place in it, and retrieve their manhood in the process."[110]

Social psychologists Theresa Vescio and Nathaniel Schermerhorn note that "In his 2016 presidential campaign, Trump embodied HM [hegemonic masculinity] while waxing nostalgic for a racially homogenous past that maintained an unequal gender order. Trump performed HM by repeatedly referencing his status as a successful businessman ("blue-collar businessman") and alluding to how tough he would be as president. ... Trump was openly hostile to gender-atypical women, objectified gender-typical women, and mocked the masculinity of male peers and opponents." In their studies involving 2,007 people, they found that endorsement of hegemonic masculinity better predicted support for Trump than other factors, such as support for antiestablishment, antielitist, nativist, racist, sexist, homophobic or xenophobic perspectives.[111]

Kimmel was surprised at the sexual turn the 2016 election took and thinks that Trump is for many men a fantasy figure, an uber-male free to indulge every desire. "Many of these guys feel that the current order of things has emasculated them, by which I mean it has taken away their ability to support a family and have great life. Here's a guy who says: 'I can build anything I want. I can do anything I want. I can have the women I want.' They're going, 'This guy is awesome!'"[112]

Gender role scholar Colleen Clemens describes toxic masculinity as "a narrow and repressive description of manhood, designating manhood as defined by violence, sex, status and aggression ... where strength is everything while emotions are a weakness; where sex and brutality are yardsticks by which men are measured, while supposedly 'feminine' traits—which can range from emotional vulnerability to simply not being hypersexual—are the means by which your status as "man" can be taken away."[113] Writing in the Journal of Human Rights, Kimberly Theidon notes the COVID-19 pandemic's irony of Trumpian toxic masculinity: "Being a tough guy means wearing the mask of masculinity: Being a tough guy means refusing to don a mask that might preserve one's life and the lives of others."[109]

Tough guy bravado appeared on the internet prior to attack on Congress on January 6, 2021, with one poster writing, "Be ready to fight. Congress needs to hear glass breaking, doors being kicked in ... . Get violent. Stop calling this a march, or rally, or a protest. Go there ready for war. We get our President or we die."[114] Of the rioters arrested for the attack on the U.S. Capitol, 88% were men, and 67% were 35 years or older.[115][note 4]

Opposition to aspects of transgender rights is a theme of Trumpism.[117]

Christian Trumpism

[edit]

During the 2020 George Floyd protests, Trump held a photo-op at St. John's Episcopal Church, which had been defaced the night before. Law enforcement controversially cleared a path, using riot control tactics, for Trump to walk from the White House to the church. For more information, see Donald Trump photo op at St. John's Church.
Donald Trump has strong support among white evangelical Christians, particularly among those who do not attend church regularly.[118] Trump also maintains strong support with Christian nationalists,[119] and his rallies take on the symbols, rhetoric and agenda of Christian nationalism.[120] Trump described his 2024 presidential campaign as a "righteous crusade" against "atheists, globalists and the Marxists".[121]

Some Christian Trump supporters view him as divinely ordained and "chosen by God", and some compare him to Jesus, with opposition to him seen as spiritual warfare.[122][123] Trump shared and played a video entitled "God Made Trump" at several of his rallies explicitly comparing him to a messianic figure in religious terms.[124] Trump is frequently described among some of his Christian supporters as an Old Testament hero, with Cyrus the Great or David frequently mentioned. The New York Times describes his supporters seeing him as one of several "morally flawed figures handpicked by God to lead profound missions aimed at achieving overdue justice or resisting existential evil".[125] This framing has been described as "vessel theology" which allows for support of Trump and excuses his prior sexual misconduct and adultery.[126] Trump has strong support with members of the dominionist New Apostolic Reformation, and many Trump administration officials are aligned with the group.[127][128]

Methods of persuasion

[edit]
Children wearing "Make America Great Again" hats at the 2017 inauguration, a theme earlier established by Reagan to elicit a sense of restoration of hope

Sociologist Arlie Hochschild writes that Trump's "speeches—evoking dominance, bravado, clarity, national pride, and personal uplift—inspire an emotional transformation" in followers, deeply resonating with their "emotional self-interest". Hochschild states that Trump is an "emotions candidate", appealing to the emotional self-interests of voters. To Hochschild, this explains the paradox raised by Thomas Frank's book What's the Matter with Kansas?, an anomaly which motivated her five-year immersive research into the emotional dynamics of the Tea Party movement which she believes has mutated into Trumpism.[129][130]

Her book Strangers in Their Own Land was named one of the "6 books to understand Trump's Win" by The New York Times.[131] Hochschild claims that voters were not persuaded by rhetoric to vote against their self-interest through appeals to the "bad angels" of their nature:[note 5] "their greed, selfishness, racial intolerance, homophobia, and desire to get out of paying taxes that go to the unfortunate." She grants that the appeal to bad angels is made by Trump, but states that it "obscures another—to the right wing's good angels—their patience in waiting in line in scary economic times, their capacity for loyalty, sacrifice, and endurance", qualities she describes as a part of a motivating narrative she calls their "deep story", a social contract narrative that appears to be widely shared in other countries as well.[132] She thinks Trump's approach towards his audience creates group cohesiveness by exploiting a crowd phenomenon Emile Durkheim called "collective effervescence", "a state of emotional excitation felt by those who join with others they take to be fellow members of a moral or biological tribe ... to affirm their unity and, united, they feel secure and respected."[133][note 6]

Trumpian rhetoric employs absolutist framings and threat narratives[135] rejecting the political establishment.[136] The absolutist rhetoric emphasizes non-negotiable boundaries and moral outrage at their supposed violation.[137][note 7]

Money-Kyrle pattern

[edit]
"Stopping" people
you have nothing in common with

      And if you don't stop people that you've never seen before, that you have nothing in common with, your country is going to fail. ... This double-tailed monster [of green energy and immigration] destroys everything in its wake, and they cannot let that happen any longer. You're doing it because you want to be nice, you want to be politically correct, and you're destroying your heritage.

— President Donald Trump
to the UN General Assembly,
September 23, 2025[140]

A particular pattern is common for authoritarian movements. First, elicit a sense of depression, humiliation and victimhood. Second, separate the world into two opposing groups: a demonized set of others versus those who have the power and will to overcome them.[141] This involves identifying the enemy supposedly causing the current state of affairs and then promoting conspiracy theories and fearmongering to inflame fear and anger. After cycling these first two patterns through the populace, the final message aims to produce a cathartic release of pent-up ochlocracy and mob energy, with a promise that salvation is at hand because the leader will deliver the nation back to its former glory.[142] This three-part pattern was identified in 1932 by Roger Money-Kyrle who wrote Psychology of Propaganda.[143] Reporting on Trumpist rallies has documented expressions of the Money-Kyrle pattern and associated stagecraft.[144][145]

Trump rallies

[edit]
Trump at a Make America Great Again rally in Arizona, 2018

Critical theory scholar Douglas Kellner compares the elaborate staging of Leni Riefenstahl's Triumph of the Will with that used in Trump rallies using the example of the preparation of photo op sequences and aggressive hyping of huge attendance expected for Trump's 2015 primary event in Mobile, Alabama, when the media coverage repeatedly cuts between the Trump jet circling the stadium, the rising excitement of rapturous admirers below, the motorcade and the final triumphal entrance of the individual Kellner claims is being presented as the "political savior to help them out with their problems and address their grievances".[146]

Connolly thinks the performance draws energy from the crowd's anger as it channels it, drawing it into a collage of anxieties, frustrations and resentments about malaise themes, such as deindustrialization, offshoring, racial tensions, political correctness, a more humble position for the United States in global security, economics and so on. Connolly observes that animated gestures, pantomiming, facial expressions, strutting and finger pointing are incorporated as part of the theater, transforming the anxiety into anger directed at particular targets, concluding that "each element in a Trump performance flows and folds into the others until an aggressive resonance machine is formed that is more intense than its parts."[147] Some compare the symbiotic dynamics of crowd pleasing to that of the professional wrestling style of events which Trump was involved with since the 1980s.[148][149]

Some academics point out that the narrative common in the popular press describing the psychology of such crowds is a repetition of a 19th-century theory by Gustave Le Bon when organized crowds were seen by political elites as potential threats to the social order. In his book The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind (1895), Le Bon described a sort of collective contagion uniting a crowd into a near religious frenzy, reducing members to barbaric, if not subhuman levels of consciousness with mindless goals.[150] Since such a description depersonalizes supporters, this type of Le Bon analysis is criticized because the would-be defenders of liberal democracy simultaneously are dodging responsibility for investigating grievances while also unwittingly accepting the same us vs. them framing of illiberalism.[151][152] Connolly acknowledges the risks but considers it more risky to ignore that Trumpian persuasion is successful due to deliberate use of techniques evoking more mild forms of affective contagion.[153]

Trump relies on theatrical devices to market his messages, including animated gestures, pantomiming and facial expressions.[147] Photo is from the 2019 Conservative Political Action Conference.

Rhetoric

[edit]

A constant barrage of rhetoric rivets media attention while obscuring actions such as neoliberal deregulation. One study concluded that significant environmental deregulation occurred during the first year of the Trump administration but, due to its concurrent use of racist rhetoric, escaped much media attention. According to the authors, the rhetoric served political objectives of dehumanizing its targets, eroding democratic norms, and consolidating power by emotionally connecting with and inflaming resentments among the base of followers and distracted media attention from deregulatory policymaking by igniting media coverage of the distractions.[154]

Trump was the most prominent promoter of the birther conspiracy theory used to delegitimize his political rival by employing a political tactic known as the big lie[155][156]

According to civil rights lawyer Burt Neuborne and political theorist William E. Connolly, Trumpist rhetoric employs tropes similar to those used by fascists in Germany[157] to persuade citizens (at first a minority) to give up democracy, by using a barrage of falsehoods, half-truths, personal invective, threats, xenophobia, national-security scares, religious bigotry, white racism, exploitation of economic insecurity, and a never-ending search for scapegoats.[158] Neuborne found twenty parallel practices,[159] such as creating what amounts to an "alternate reality" in adherents' minds, through direct communications, by nurturing a fawning mass media and by deriding scientists to erode the notion of objective truth;[160] organizing carefully orchestrated mass rallies;[161] attacking judges when legal cases are lost;[162] using lies, half-truths, insults, vituperation and innuendo to marginalize, demonize and destroy opponents;[161] making jingoistic appeals to ultranationalist fervor;[161] and promising to stop the flow of "undesirable" ethnic groups who are made scapegoats for the nation's ills.[163]

Connolly presents a similar list in his book Aspirational Fascism (2017), adding comparisons of the integration of theatrics and crowd participation with rhetoric, involving grandiose bodily gestures, grimaces, hysterical charges, dramatic repetitions of alternate reality falsehoods, and totalistic assertions incorporated into signature phrases that audiences are encouraged to join in chanting.[164] Despite the similarities, Connolly stresses that Trump is no Nazi but is "an aspirational fascist who pursues crowd adulation, hyperaggressive nationalism, white triumphalism, and militarism, pursues a law-and-order regime giving unaccountable power to the police, and is a practitioner of a rhetorical style that regularly creates fake news and smears opponents to mobilize support for the Big Lies he advances."[157]

In his 2024 book Trump and Hitler: A Comparative Study in Lying, cultural theorist Henk de Berg points to a number of further parallels between Trump's and Hitler's rhetoric; namely, the use of jokes and personal insults; the deliberate creation of controversy; interpretative openness, allowing different groups to recognize themselves in the argument; and oratorical meandering in cases where a coherent narrative would draw attention to the argument's inconsistencies.[165] De Berg also points out that extremist language used by Trump's followers is often perceived as authentic, because in real life we also tend to overstate things (e.g., "My new boss is worse than Stalin").[166]

Branding

[edit]

Trump used personal branding to market himself as an extraordinary leader by using his celebrity status and name recognition. As one of the communications directors for the MAGA super PAC put it in 2016, "Like Hercules, Donald Trump is a work of fiction."[167] Journalism professor Mark Danner explains that "week after week for a dozen years millions of Americans saw Donald J. Trump portraying the business magus [in The Apprentice], the grand vizier of capitalism, the wise man of the boardroom, a living confection whose every step and word bespoke gravitas and experience and power and authority and ... money. Endless amounts of money."[168]

Political science scholar Andrea Schneiker regards the branding strategy of the Trump public persona as that of a superhero who "uses his superpowers to save others, that is, his country. ... a superhero is needed to solve the problems of ordinary Americans ... Hence, the superhero per definition is an anti-politician. Due to his celebrity status and his identity as entertainer, Donald Trump can thereby be considered to be allowed to take extraordinary measures and even to break rules."[169][170]

Appeal to emotions

[edit]

Historian Peter E. Gordon observes that "Trump, far from being a violation of the norm, actually signifies an emergent norm of the social order" where the categories of the psychological and political have dissolved.[171][note 8] In accounting for Trump's election and ability to sustain high approval ratings among voters, Erika Tucker writes in the book Trump and Political Philosophy that though all presidential campaigns have strong emotions associated with them, Trump was able to recognize, and then to gain the trust and loyalty of those who felt strong emotions about perceived changes in the United States. She notes, "Political psychologist Drew Westen has argued that Democrats are less successful at gauging and responding to affective politics—issues that arouse strong emotional states."[173]

Examining the populist appeal of Trump, Hidalgo-Tenorio and Benítez-Castro draw on the theories of Ernesto Laclau, writing, "The emotional appeal of populist discourse is key to its polarising effects, this being so much so that populism 'would be unintelligible without the affective component.' (Laclau 2005, 11)"[174][175]

Trump uses rhetoric that political scientists have deemed to be both dehumanizing and connected to physical violence by Trump's followers.[176]

Emotion, trust, and media

[edit]

Scholar Michael Carpini states that "Trumpism is a culmination of trends that have been occurring for...decades...we are witnessing...a fundamental shift in the relationships between journalism, politics, and democracy." Carpini identifies "the collapsing of the prior [media] regime's presumed and enforced distinctions between news and entertainment."[177] Examining Trump's use of media in Language in the Trump Era, professor Marco Jacquemet writes that this approach "assumes (correctly, it appears) that his audiences care more about shock and entertainment value in their media consumption than almost anything else."[178]

Plasser and Ulram describe a media logic which emphasizes "personalization ... a political star system ... [and] sports based dramatization."[179] Olivier Jutel notes that "Trump's celebrity status and reality-TV rhetoric of 'winning' and 'losing' corresponds perfectly to these values", asserting that "Fox News and conservative personalities from Rush Limbaugh, Glenn Beck and Alex Jones do not simply represent a new political and media voice but embody the convergence of politics and media in which affect and enjoyment are the central values of media production."[180]

Studying paranoia in media, Jessica Johnson writes, "Rather than finding accurate news meaningful, Facebook users find the affective pleasure of connectivity addictive, whether or not the information they share is factual, and that is how communicative capitalism captivates subjects as it holds them captive."[181] Looking back prior to social media, researcher Brian L. Ott writes: "I'm nostalgic for the world of television that [Neil] Postman (1985) argued, produced the 'least well-informed people in the Western world' by packaging news as entertainment.[182] Twitter is producing the most self-involved people in history by treating everything one does or thinks as newsworthy. Television may have assaulted journalism, but Twitter killed it."[183] Commenting on Trump's support among Fox News viewers, Mark Lukasiewicz has a similar perspective, writing, "Tristan Harris famously said that social networks are about 'affirmation, not information'—and the same can be said about cable news, especially in prime time."[184]

Arlie Russell Hochschild holds that Trump supporters trust their preferred sources of information due to the affective bond they have with them. As Daniel Kreiss summarizes Hochschild, "Trump, along with Fox News, gave these strangers in their own land the hope that they would be restored to their rightful place at the center of the nation, and provided a very real emotional release from the fetters of political correctness that dictated they respect people of color, lesbians and gays, and those of other faiths ... that the network's personalities share the same 'deep story' of political and social life, and therefore they learn from them 'what to feel afraid, angry, and anxious about.'"[185]

From Kreiss' account of conservative personalities and media, information became less important than providing a sense of familial bonding, where "family provides a sense of identity, place, and belonging; emotional, social, and cultural support and security; and gives rise to political and social affiliations and beliefs."[186] Hochschild gives the example of a woman who states, "Bill O'Reilly is like a steady, reliable dad. Sean Hannity is like a difficult uncle who rises to anger too quickly. Megyn Kelly[note 9] is like a smart sister. Then there's Greta Van Susteren. And Juan Williams, who came over from NPR, which was too left for him, the adoptee. They're all different, just like in a family."[187]

Olivier Jutel notes that, "Affect is central to the strategy of Fox which imagined its journalism not in terms of servicing the rational citizen in the public sphere but in 'craft[ing] intensive relationships with their viewers' in order to sustain audience share across platforms."[note 10] In this segmented market, Trump "offers himself as an ego-ideal to an individuated public of enjoyment that coalesce around his media brand as part of their own performance of identity." Jutel states that news media companies benefit from offering spectacle and drama. "Trump is a definitive product of mediatized politics providing the spectacle that drives ratings and affective media consumption, either as part of his populist movement or as the liberal resistance."[188]

Researchers give differing emphasis to which emotions are important to followers. Michael Richardson argues that "affirmation, amplification and circulation of disgust is one of the primary affective drivers of Trump's political success." Richardson agrees with Ott about the "entanglement of Trumpian affect and social media crowds" who seek "affective affirmation, confirmation and amplification. Social media postings of crowd experiences accumulate as 'archives of feelings' that are both dynamic in nature and affirmative of social values."[189][190]

social trust expert Karen Jones follows philosopher Annette Baier in explaining that the masters of the art of creating trust and distrust are populist politicians and criminals, who "show a masterful appreciation of the ways in which certain emotional states drive out trust and replace it with distrust."[191] Jones sees Trump as an exemplar of this who recognize that fear and contempt are tools that can reorient networks of trust and distrust in social networks to alter how a potential supporter "interprets the words, deeds, and motives of the other."[note 11] She holds that "A core strategy of Donald Trump...has been to manufacture fear and contempt towards some undocumented migrants (among other groups)", a strategy which "has gone global ... in Australia, Austria, Hungary, Poland, Italy and the United Kingdom."[191]

Falsehoods and misleading statements

[edit]
Fact-checkers from The Washington Post,[193] the Toronto Star,[194] and CNN[195][196] compiled data on "false or misleading claims", and "false claims", respectively. The Post reported 30,573 false or misleading claims in four years,[193] an average of more than 20.9 per day.
To sow election doubt, Trump escalated use of "rigged election" and "election interference" statements in advance of the 2024 election compared to the previous two elections—the statements described as part of a "heads I win; tails you cheated" rhetorical strategy.[197]
Google Trends topic searches for "gaslighting" began a substantial increase in about 2016,[198] around the time of the campaign for the U.S. presidential election. Numerous journalists used the term to describe Trump's statements.[199][200][201]
Though the term fake news was known before the 2016 election, since Trump started using it soon after the election, it has been used continuously by Trump, other leaders, political operatives, journalists and ordinary people.[202] Trump weaponized the term as a rhetorical tool to dismiss and discredit unfavorable reporting, undercutting journalism's truth-telling function and delegitimizing journalism for a large part of the electorate.[203]
Though Trump repeatedly promoted his 2024 victory as a mandate—to inflate the actual degree of voter support—he failed to receive 50% of the popular vote.[204] His 1.5 percentage point margin of victory in 2024 (shown in chart) place it in only the 20th percentile of presidential elections since 1828.[205]
Trump's opposition to wind power involves repeated deceptive claims that "windmills" "kill the birds".[206] However, wind turbines in the U.S. are responsible for less than one one-hundredth of one percent of human-related bird deaths.[207]

There are many falsehoods which Trump presents as facts.[208] Drawing on Harry G. Frankfurt's book On Bullshit, political science professor Matthew McManus argues that Trump is a bullshitter whose sole interest is to persuade, and not a liar (e.g. Richard Nixon) who takes the power of truth seriously and so deceitfully attempts to conceal it. Trump by contrast is indifferent to the truth or unaware of it.[209] Unlike conventional lies of politicians exaggerating their accomplishments, Trump's lies are egregious, making lies about easily verifiable facts. At one rally Trump stated his father "came from Germany", even though Fred Trump was born in New York City.[210]

Leaders at the 2018 United Nations General Assembly burst into laughter at his boast that he had accomplished more in his first two years than any other United States president. Visibly startled, Trump responded to the audience: "I didn't expect that reaction."[210] Trump lies about the trivial, such as claiming that there was no rain on the day of his inauguration when in fact it did rain, as well as making grandiose "Big Lies", such as claiming that Obama founded ISIS, or promoting the birther movement, a conspiracy theory which claims that Obama was born in Kenya, not Hawaii.[211] Connolly points to the similarities of such reality-bending gaslighting with fascist and post Soviet techniques of propaganda including Kompromat (scandalous material), stating that "Trumpian persuasion draws significantly upon the repetition of Big Lies."[212]

Robert Jay Lifton, a scholar of psychohistory and authority on the nature of cults, emphasizes the importance of understanding Trumpism "as an assault on reality". A leader has more power if he is in any part successful at making truth irrelevant to his followers.[213] Trump biographer Timothy L. O'Brien agrees, stating: "It is a core operating principle of Trumpism. If you constantly attack objective reality, you are left as the only trustworthy source of information, which is one of his goals for his relationship with his supporters—that they should believe no one else but him."[214] Lifton believes Trump is a purveyor of a solipsistic reality[215] which is hostile to facts and is made collective by amplifying frustrations and fears held by his community of zealous believers.

Research published in the American Sociological Review found that Trump's lying helped boost his "authentic appeal". It argued that in systems viewed as flawed or with low political legitimacy, a "flagrant violator of established norms" is seen "as an authentic champion" by being perceived as "bravely speaking a deep and otherwise suppressed truth" against a political establishment that does not appear to be working on behalf of the people. While a perceived establishment candidate "may be more likable or perceived to be more competent", voters question the candidates opposition to "the injustice that is said to have permeated the established political system".[216] Andrew Gumbel, writing for The Guardian after the 2024 presidential election, wrote that many Trump voters in Youngstown, Ohio saw both parties as filled with crooks and liars, but that Trump "comes across as someone who doesn't pretend to be anything other than what he is, and that perceived authenticity counts for more with many Youngstown voters than his character flaws or even his policy positions". Gumbel argued that voters preferred "gut instincts" to "carefully scripted messaging of a Democrat like Kamala Harris or even a mainstream Republican".[217]

Social psychology

[edit]

Dominance orientation

[edit]
Trump supporters employed a variety of dominance imagery in flags, clothing and a mock gallows on January 6, 2021, when violent Trumpist rioters attempted to overturn the 2020 election, temporarily succeeding in preventing Congress from certifying Trump's loss.
The American way of upward mobility for the deserving is, according to Kimmel and Hochschild, a promise that many Americans feel has been denied them due to forces described within a shared "deep story" commonly held among Trump supporters.

Social psychology research into the Trump movement, such as that of Bob Altemeyer, Thomas F. Pettigrew, and Karen Stenner, views the Trump movement as primarily being driven by the psychological predispositions of its followers,[218][219][220] although political and historical factors (reviewed elsewhere in this article) are also involved.[220] An article in Social Psychological and Personality Science described a study concluding that Trump followers prefer hierarchical and ethnocentric social orders that favor their in-group.[221]

In the non-academic book, Authoritarian Nightmare: Trump and His Followers, Altemeyer and John Dean describe research which reaches the same conclusions. Despite disparate and inconsistent beliefs and ideologies, a coalition of such followers can become cohesive and broad in part because each individual "compartmentalizes" their thoughts[222] and they are free to define their sense of the threatened tribal in-group[223] in their own terms, whether it is predominantly related to their cultural or religious views[224] (e.g. the mystery of evangelical support for Trump), nationalism[225] (e.g. the Make America Great Again slogan), or their race (maintaining a white majority).[226]

Mock gallows and Trump supporters attacking Congress on January 6, 2021

Altemeyer, MacWilliams, Feldman, Choma, Hancock, Van Assche and Pettigrew claim that instead of directly attempting to measure such ideological, racial or policy views, supporters of such movements can be reliably predicted by using two social psychology scales (singly or in combination), namely right-wing authoritarian (RWA) measures which were developed in the 1980s by Altemeyer and other authoritarian personality researchers,[note 12] and the social dominance orientation (SDO) scale developed in the 1990s by social dominance theorists.

In May 2019, Monmouth University Polling Institute conducted a study in collaboration with Altemeyer in order to empirically test the hypothesis using the SDO and RWA measures. The finding was that social dominance orientation and affinity for authoritarian leadership are highly correlated with followers of Trumpism.[227] This study further confirmed of the studies discussed in MacWilliams (2016), Feldman (2020), Choma and Hancock (2017), and Van Assche & Pettigrew (2016).[228]

The research does not imply that the followers always behave in an authoritarian manner but that expression is contingent, which means there is reduced influence if it is not triggered by fear and what the subject perceives as threats.[219][229][230] Similar social psychological techniques for analyzing Trumpism have been effective in identifying adherents of similar movements in Europe, including in Belgium and France (Lubbers & Scheepers, 2002; Swyngedouw & Giles, 2007; Van Hiel & Mervielde, 2002; Van Hiel, 2012), the Netherlands (Cornelis & Van Hiel, 2014) and Italy (Leone, Desimoni & Chirumbolo, 2014).[231] Quoting comments from participants in focus groups made up of people who had voted for Democrat Obama in 2012 but flipped to Trump in 2016, pollster Diane Feldman noted the anti-government, anti-coastal-elite anger: "'They think they're better than us, they're P.C., they're virtue-signallers.' '[Trump] doesn't come across as one of those people who think they're better than us and are screwing us.' 'They lecture us.' 'They don't even go to church.' 'They're in charge, and they're ripping us off.'"[232]

Comparisons to animal social behavior

[edit]

Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich explained the central role of dominance in his speech "Principles of Trumpism", comparing the needed leadership style to that of a violent bear. Psychology researcher Dan P. McAdams thinks a better comparison is to the dominance behavior of alpha male chimpanzees such as Yeroen, the subject of an extensive study of chimp social behavior conducted by renowned primatologist Frans de Waal.[233] Christopher Boehm, a professor of biology and anthropology agrees, writing, "his model of political posturing has echoes of what I saw in the wild in six years in Tanzania studying the Gombe chimpanzees," and "seems like a classic alpha display."[234]

Using the example of Yeroen, McAdams describes the similarities: "On Twitter, Trump's incendiary tweets are like Yeroen's charging displays. In chimp colonies, the alpha male occasionally goes berserk and starts screaming, hooting, and gesticulating wildly as he charges toward other males nearby. Pandemonium ensues as rival males cower in fear ... Once the chaos ends, there is a period of peace and order, wherein rival males pay homage to the alpha, visiting him, grooming him, and expressing various forms of submission. In Trump's case, his tweets are designed to intimidate his foes and rally his submissive base ... These verbal outbursts reinforce the president's dominance by reminding everybody of his wrath and his force."[235]

Primatologist Dame Jane Goodall explains that like the dominance performances of Trump, "In order to impress rivals, males seeking to rise in the dominance hierarchy perform spectacular displays: Stamping, slapping the ground, dragging branches, throwing rocks. The more vigorous and imaginative the display, the faster the individual is likely to rise in the hierarchy, and the longer he is likely to maintain that position." The comparison has been echoed by political observers sympathetic to Trump. Nigel Farage, an enthusiastic backer of Trump, stated that in the 2016 United States presidential debates where Trump loomed up on Clinton, he "looked like a big silverback gorilla", and added that "he is that big alpha male. The leader of the pack!"[236]

McAdams points out the audience gets to vicariously share in the sense of dominance due to the parasocial bonding that his performance produces for his fans, as shown by Shira Gabriel's research studying the phenomenon in Trump's role in The Apprentice.[237] McAdams writes that the "television audience vicariously experienced the world according to Donald Trump", a world where Trump says "Man is the most vicious of all animals, and life is a series of battles ending in victory or defeat."[238]

Collective narcissism

[edit]

Cultural anthropologist Paul Stoller thinks Trump employed celebrity culture-glitz, illusion and fantasy to construct a shared alternate reality where lies become truth and reality's resistance to one's own dreams is overcome by the right attitude and bold self-confidence.[239] Trump's father indoctrinated his children from an early age into the positive thinking approach to reality advocated by the family's pastor Norman Vincent Peale.[240] Trump said that Peale considered him the greatest student of his philosophy that regards facts as not important, because positive attitudes will instead cause what you "image" to materialize.[241] Trump biographer Gwenda Blair thinks Trump "weaponized" Peale's self-help philosophy.[242]

Collective narcissism measures have been shown to be a powerful predictor of membership in authoritarian movements including Trump's.[243]

External videos
video icon Presentation by John Fea on Believe Me: The Evangelical Road to Donald Trump, July 7, 2018, C-SPAN
video icon Washington Journal interview with Fea on Believe Me, July 8, 2018, C-SPAN

In his book Believe Me which details Trump's exploitation of white evangelical politics of fear, Messiah College history professor John Fea points out the narcissistic nature of the fanciful appeals to nostalgia, noting that "In the end, the practice of nostalgia is inherently selfish because it focuses entirely on our own experience of the past and not on the experience of others. For example, people nostalgic for the world of Leave It to Beaver may fail to recognize that other people, perhaps even some of the people living in the Cleaver's suburban "paradise" of the 1950s, were not experiencing the world in a way that they would describe as 'great.' Nostalgia can give us tunnel vision. Its selective use of the past fails to recognize the complexity and breadth of the human experience ... ."[244]

According to historian John Fea, many Trump followers seek refuge from change by urging return to a utopian Leave it to Beaver version of America.[245]

According to Fea, the hopelessness of achieving an idealized past "causes us to imagine a future filled with horror" leading to conspiratorial narratives that easily mobilize white evangelicals.[246] As a result, they are easily captivated by a strongman such as Trump who repeats and amplifies their fears while posing as the deliverer from them. In his review of Fea's analysis of the impact of conspiracy theories on white evangelical Trump supporters, scholar of religious politics David Gutterman writes: "The greater the threat, the more powerful the deliverance." Gutterman's view is that "Donald J. Trump did not invent this formula; evangelicals have, in their lack of spiritual courage, demanded and gloried in this message for generations. Despite the literal biblical reassurance to 'fear not,' white evangelicals are primed for fear, their identity is stoked by fear, and the sources of fear are around every unfamiliar turn.[247]

Social theory scholar John Cash notes that disaster narratives of impending horrors have a broad audience, pointing to a 2010 Pew study which found that 41 percent of those in the US think that the world will probably be destroyed by the middle of the century. Cash points out that certainties may be found in other narratives which also have the effect of uniting like minded individuals into shared "us versus them" narratives.[248]

Cash thinks that psychoanalytic theorist Joel Whitebook is correct that "Trumpism as a social experience can be understood as a psychotic like phenomenon, that "[Trumpism is] an intentional [...] attack on our relation to reality." Whitebook thinks Trump's playbook is like that of Putin's strategist Vladislav Surkov who employs "ceaseless shapeshifting, appealing to nationalist skinheads one moment and human rights groups the next."[248]

Cash compares Alice in Wonderland to Trump's ability to seemingly embrace disparate fantasies in a series of contradictory tweets and pronouncements, for example appearing to encourage the "neo-Nazi protestors" after Charlottesville or for audiences with felt grievances about America's first black president, the claim that Obama wiretapped him. Cash writes: "Unlike the resilient Alice, who ... insists on truth and accuracy when confronted by a world of reversals, contradictions, nonsense and irrationality, Trump reverses this process. ... Trump has dragged the uninhibited and distorted world of the other side of the looking-glass into our shared world."[249]

Lifton sees important differences between Trumpism and typical cults, such as not advancing a totalist ideology and lack of isolation from the outside world. Lifton identifies similarities with cults that disparage the "fake world" created by the cult's titanic enemies.

Cultlike persuasion techniques are used, such as echoing of catch phrases. Examples include the use of call and response ("Clinton" triggers "lock her up"; "immigrants" triggers "build that wall"; "who will pay for it?" triggers "Mexico"), deepening the sense of unity between the leader and the community.[250] Participants and observers at rallies have remarked on a liberating feeling which Lifton calls a "high state" that "can even be called experiences of transcendence".[251]

Conspiracy theories

[edit]
Conspiracy theories such as QAnon are widely accepted among Trump supporters according to polling data from 2020.[252][253] Pictured are Vice President Mike Pence and members of the Broward County, Florida SWAT team assigned to a high-profile security detail, one of whom is wearing a QAnon patch.

Conservative culture commentator David Brooks observes that under Trump, this post-truth mindset, heavily reliant on conspiracy themes, came to dominate Republican identity, providing its believers a sense of superiority since such insiders possess important information most people do not have.[254] This results in an empowering sense of agency[255] with the liberation, entitlement and group duty to reject "experts" and the influence of hidden cabals seeking to dominate them.[254]

Prior to 2015, Trump already had established a bond with followers due to television and media appearances.[237] For those sharing his political views, Trump's use of Twitter to share his views caused those bonds to intensify, causing his supporters to feel a deepened empathetic bond as with a friend—sharing his anger and outrage, taking pride in his successes, sharing in his denial of failures and his oftentimes conspiratorial views.[256]

Dominance imagery using the Stop the Steal conspiracy theme erected on the day of the Capitol assault. 76 percent of Republicans believe the conspiracy theory[257] with nearly half approving of the Capitol assault.[258][note 13]

Brooks thinks sharing of conspiracy theories has become the most powerful community bonding mechanism of the 21st century.[254]

Hofstadter's The Paranoid Style in American Politics describes the political efficacy of conspiracy theories. Some attribute Trump's political success to making such narratives a rhetorical staple.[261] The conspiracy theory QAnon asserts that top Democrats run a child sex-trafficking ring and Trump is trying to dismantle it. An October 2020 Yahoo-YouGov poll showed that elements of the QAnon claims are said to be true by half of Trump supporters polled.[252][253]

Some social psychologists see the predisposition of Trumpists towards interpreting social interactions in terms of dominance frameworks as extending to their relationship towards facts. A study by Felix Sussenbach and Adam B. Moore found that the dominance motive strongly correlated with hostility towards disconfirming facts and affinity for conspiracies among 2016 Trump voters but not among Clinton voters.[262] Many critics note Trump's skill in exploiting narrative, emotion, and a whole host of rhetorical ploys to draw supporters into the group's common adventure[263] as characters in a story much bigger than themselves.[264]

It is a story that involves not just a community-building call to arms to defeat titanic threats,[135] or of the leader's heroic deeds restoring American greatness, but of a restoration of each supporter's individual sense of liberty and control.[265] Trump channels and amplifies these aspirations, explaining in one of his books that his bending of the truth is effective because it plays to people's greatest fantasies.[266] By contrast, Clinton was dismissive of such emotion-filled storytelling and ignored the emotional dynamics of the Trumpist narrative.[267]

Cult of personality

[edit]

Trump's support has been compared to a cult of personality.[h] Trump's message and self-representation involved the creation of an identity as a non-politician, businessman, and great leader, distancing himself from traditional politicians and from the traditional Republican Party. His strategy involved the creation of an ethos of "saving America" through populist intentions and fighting imagined enemies with "I versus them" rhetoric that constituted the formation of a cult of personality.[268][page needed] Trump's contingent of hard-core supporters allowed him to maintain a grip on his political party even after several actions and controversies that would have discredited other politicians.[269]

News media and commentators have widely characterized Trump as the object of a personality cult.[270][271][272] His support was found to satisfy all parameters needed to determine a personality cult based on Max Weber's concept of charismatic authority.[273] Research found examples of asymmetric bias by his supporters in favor of Trump that did not exist among left-leaning individuals among alleged cases of "Trump derangement syndrome".[274] Other research has argued that Trump's personality cult revolves around an "all-powerful, charismatic figure, contributing to a social milieu at risk for the erosion of democratic principles and the rise of fascism" based on the analysis of psychoanalysts and sociopolitical historians.[275] Research using the Big Five model of personality has found that his most loyal followers tend to score highly in conscientiousness / self-discipline, traits likely to be attracted to "personalistic, loyalty-demanding leaders" like Trump.[269] Several aspects of cult-like loyalty to Trump have been found to have religious parallels among certain supporters, and certain evangelicals have referred to him in religious terms, casting him as a divinely ordained savior and "chosen one".[269][276]

Relationship with media

[edit]

Culture industry and pillarization

[edit]

Peter E. Gordon, Alex Ross, sociologist David L. Andrews and Harvard political theorist David Lebow look on Theodor Adorno and Max Horkheimer's concept of the "culture industry" as useful for comprehending Trumpism.[note 14] As Ross explains the concept, the culture industry replicates "fascist methods of mass hypnosis ... blurring the line between reality and fiction", explaining, "Trump is as much a pop-culture phenomenon as he is a political one."[278] Gordon observes that these purveyors of popular culture are not just leveraging outrage,[279] but are turning politics into a more commercially lucrative product, a "polarized, standardized reflection of opinion into forms of humor and theatricalized outrage within narrow niche markets ... within which one swoons to one's preferred slogan and already knows what one knows. Name just about any political position and what sociologists call 'pillarization'—or what the Frankfurt School called 'ticket' thinking—will predict, almost without fail, a full suite of opinions."[280][note 15]

Trumpism is from Lebow's perspective, more of a result of this process than a cause.[282] In the intervening years since Adorno's work, Lebow believes the culture industry has evolved into a politicizing culture market "based increasingly on the internet, constituting a self-referential hyperreality shorn from any reality of referants ... sensationalism and insulation intensify intolerance of dissonance and magnify hostility against alternative hyperrealities. In a self-reinforcing logic of escalation, intolerance and hostility further encourage sensationalism and the retreat into insularity."[282][note 16] From Gordon's view, "Trumpism itself, one could argue, is just another name for the culture industry, where the performance of undoing repression serves as a means for carrying on precisely as before."[284]

From this viewpoint, the susceptibility to psychological manipulation of individuals with social dominance inclinations is not at the center of Trumpism, but is instead the "culture industry" which exploits these and other susceptibilities by using mechanisms that condition people to think in standardized ways.[171] The burgeoning culture industry respects no political boundaries as it develops these markets with Gordon emphasizing "This is true on the left as well as the right, and it is especially noteworthy once we countenance what passes for political discourse today. Instead of a public sphere, we have what Jürgen Habermas long ago called the refeudalization of society."[285]

What Kreiss calls an "identity-based account of media" is important for understanding Trump's success because "citizens understand politics and accept information through the lens of partisan identity. ... The failure to come to grips with a socially embedded public and an identity group–based democracy has placed significant limits on our ability to imagine a way forward for journalism and media in the Trump era. As Fox News and Breitbart have discovered, there is power in the claim of representing and working for particular publics, quite apart from any abstract claims to present the truth."[286]

Profitability of spectacle and outrage

[edit]

Examining Trumpism as an entertainment product, some media research focuses on outrage discourse, relating the entertainment value of Trump's rhetoric to the commercial interests of media companies.[287] Outrage narratives on political blogs, talk radio and cable news shows were, in the decades prior, a new genre which grew due to its profitability.[288][289]

Media critic David Denby writes, "Like a good standup comic, Trump invites the audience to join him in the adventure of delivering his act—in this case, the barbarously entertaining adventure of running a Presidential campaign that insults everybody." Denby claims that Trump is good at delivering entertainment that consumers demand. He observes that "The movement's standard of allowable behavior has been formed by popular culture—by standup comedy and, recently, by reality TV and by the snarking, trolling habits of the Internet. ... it's exactly vulgar sensationalism and buffoonery that his audience is buying. Donald Trump has been produced by America."[263]

Trump made false assertions, mean spirited attacks and dog whistle appeals to racial and religious intolerance. CBS's CEO Les Moonves remarked that "It may not be good for America, but it's damn good for CBS,"[290] demonstrating how Trump's messaging is compatible with the financial goals of media companies.[291] Peter Wehner, senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center considers Trump a political "shock jock" who "thrives on creating disorder, in violating rules, in provoking outrage."[292]

The political profitability of incivility was demonstrated by the amount of airtime devoted to Trump's 2016 primary campaign—estimated at two billion[293] to almost five billion dollars.[294] The advantage of incivility was as true in social media, where "a BuzzFeed analysis found that the top 20 fake election news stories emanating from hoax sites and hyperpartisan blogs generated more engagement on Facebook (as measured by shares, reactions, and comments) than the top 20 election stories produced by 19 major news outlets combined, including The New York Times, Washington Post, Huffington Post, and NBC News."[295]

Social media

[edit]

Surveying research of how Trumpist communication is well suited to social media, Brian Ott writes that, "commentators who have studied Trump's public discourse have observed speech patterns that correspond closely to what I identified as Twitter's three defining features [Simplicity, impulsivity, and incivility]."[297] Media critic Neal Gabler has a similar viewpoint writing that "What FDR was to radio and JFK to television, Trump is to Twitter."[298] Outrage discourse expert Patrick O'Callaghan argues that social media is most effective when it utilizes the particular type of communication which Trump relies on. O'Callaghan notes that sociologist Sarah Sobieraj and political scientist Jeffrey M. Berry almost perfectly described in 2011 the social media communication style used by Trump long before his presidential campaign.[299]

They explained that such discourse "[involves] efforts to provoke visceral responses (e.g., anger, righteousness, fear, moral indignation) from the audience through the use of overgeneralizations, sensationalism, misleading or patently inaccurate information, ad hominem attacks, and partial truths about opponents, who may be individuals, organizations, or entire communities of interest (e.g., progressives or conservatives) or circumstance (e.g., immigrants). Outrage sidesteps the messy nuances of complex political issues in favor of melodrama, misrepresentative exaggeration, mockery, and improbable forecasts of impending doom. Outrage talk is not so much discussion as it is verbal competition, political theater with a scorecard."[300]

Trump's hourly tweet activity from his first tweet in May 2009 until his suspension from the website in 2021. His tweet activity pattern changed markedly in 2013.

Due to Facebook's and Twitter's narrowcasting environment in which outrage discourse thrives,[note 17] Trump's employment of such messaging at almost every opportunity was from O'Callaghan's account extremely effective because tweets and posts were repeated in viral fashion among like minded supporters, thereby rapidly building a substantial information echo chamber,[302] a phenomenon Cass Sunstein identifies as group polarization,[303] and other researchers refer to as a kind of self re-enforcing homophily.[304][note 18] Within these information cocoons, it matters little to social media companies whether much of the information spread in such pillarized information silos is false, because as digital culture critic Olivia Solon points out, "the truth of a piece of content is less important than whether it is shared, liked, and monetized."[307]

Citing Pew Research's survey that found 62% of US adults get their news from social media,[308] Ott expresses alarm, "since the 'news' content on social media regularly features fake and misleading stories from sources devoid of editorial standards."[309] Media critic Alex Ross is similarly alarmed, observing, "Silicon Valley monopolies have taken a hands-off, ideologically vacant attitude toward the upswelling of ugliness on the Internet," and that "the failure of Facebook to halt the proliferation of fake news during the [Trump vs. Clinton] campaign season should have surprised no one. ... Traffic trumps ethics."[278]

O'Callaghan's analysis of Trump's use of social media is that "outrage hits an emotional nerve and is therefore grist to the populist's or the social antagonist's mill. Secondly, the greater and the more widespread the outrage discourse, the more it has a detrimental effect on social capital. This is because it leads to mistrust and misunderstanding amongst individuals and groups, to entrenched positions, to a feeling of 'us versus them'. So understood, outrage discourse not only produces extreme and polarising views but also ensures that a cycle of such views continues. (Consider also in this context Wade Robison (2020) on the 'contagion of passion'[310] and Cass Sunstein (2001, pp. 98–136)[note 19] on 'cybercascades'.)"[302] Ott agrees, stating that contagion is the best word to describe the viral nature of outrage discourse on social media, and writing that "Trump's simple, impulsive, and uncivil Tweets do more than merely reflect sexism, racism, homophobia, and xenophobia; they spread those ideologies like a social cancer."[68]

Robison warns that emotional contagion should not be confused with the contagion of passions that James Madison and David Hume were concerned with.[note 20] Robison states they underestimated the contagion of passions mechanism at work in movements, whose modern expressions include the surprising phenomena of rapidly mobilized social media supporters behind both the Arab Spring and the Trump presidential campaign writing, "It is not that we experience something and then, assessing it, become passionate about it, or not", and implying that "we have the possibility of a check on our passions." Robison's view is that the contagion affects the way reality itself is experienced by supporters because it leverages how subjective certainty is triggered, so that those experiencing the contagiously shared alternate reality are unaware they have taken on a belief they should assess.[312]

Similar movements, politicians and personalities

[edit]

Historical background in the United States

[edit]
An 1832 political cartoon depicting two-term President Andrew Jackson as an autocratic king, with the constitution trampled beneath his feet

The roots of Trumpism in the United States can be traced to the Jacksonian era according to scholars Walter Russell Mead,[313] Peter Katzenstein,[314] and Edwin Kent Morris.[315] Eric Rauchway says: "Trumpism—nativism and white supremacy—has deep roots in American history. But Trump himself put it to new and malignant purpose."[316]

Andrew Jackson's followers felt he was one of them, enthusiastically supporting his defiance of politically correct norms of the nineteenth century and even constitutional law when they stood in the way of public policy popular among his followers. Jackson ignored the U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Worcester v. Georgia and initiated the forced Cherokee removal from their treaty protected lands to benefit white locals at the cost of between 2,000 and 6,000 dead Cherokee men, women, and children. Notwithstanding such cases of Jacksonian inhumanity,[clarification needed] Mead's view is that Jacksonianism provides the historical precedent explaining the movement of followers of Trump, marrying grass-roots disdain for elites, deep suspicion of overseas entanglements, and obsession with American power and sovereignty, acknowledging that it has often been a xenophobic, "whites only" political movement. Mead thinks this "hunger in America for a Jacksonian figure" drives followers towards Trump but cautions that historically "he is not the second coming of Andrew Jackson," stating that Trump's "proposals tended to be pretty vague and often contradictory," exhibiting the common weakness of newly elected populist leaders, commenting early in his presidency that "now he has the difficulty of, you know, 'How do you govern?'"[313] Contradictorily, it has also been argued that Trump's historical precedent is in the Whig Party of Andrew Jackson's enemies. The Whigs and their successors the Know-Nothings were usually pro-tariff and anti-immigrant, and the party collapsed in the 1850s due to not taking a clear position on slavery.[317][318][319]

Morris agrees with Mead, locating Trumpism's roots in the Jacksonian era from 1828 to 1848 under the presidencies of Jackson, Martin Van Buren and James K. Polk. On Morris's view, Trumpism also shares similarities with the post-World War I faction of the progressive movement which catered to a conservative populist recoil from the looser morality of the cosmopolitan cities and America's changing racial complexion.[315] In his book The Age of Reform (1955), historian Richard Hofstadter identified this faction's emergence when "a large part of the Progressive-Populist tradition had turned sour, became illiberal and ill-tempered."[320]

An article by National Public Radio's Ron Elving likens the populism of late-19th and early-20th century Populist politician William Jennings Bryan to the later right-wing populism of Trump.[321] Bryan, while economically liberal, was socially and theologically conservative, supporting creationism, Prohibition and other aspects of Christian fundamentalism.[321][322] However, Trump also draws inspiration from Bryan's 1896 and 1900 Republican opponent, William McKinley, both in regard to protectionist tariffs and imperialism.[323]

A 1927 "America First" political advertisement advocating isolationism and establishing emotional ties of 1927 Chicago mayoral candidate William Hale Thompson with his German and Irish supporters by vilifying the United Kingdom

Prior to World War II, conservative themes of Trumpism were expressed in the America First Committee movement in the early 20th century, and after World War II were attributed to a Republican Party faction known as the Old Right. By the 1990s, it became referred to as the paleoconservative movement, which according to Morris has now been rebranded as Trumpism.[324] Leo Löwenthal's book Prophets of Deceit (1949) summarized common narratives expressed in the post-World War II period of this populist fringe, specifically examining American demagogues of the period when modern mass media was married with the same destructive style of politics that historian Charles Clavey thinks Trumpism represents. According to Clavey, Löwenthal's book best explains the enduring appeal of Trumpism and offers the most striking historical insights into the movement.[325]

Writing in The New Yorker, journalist Nicholas Lemann states the post-war Republican Party ideology of fusionism, a fusion of pro-business party establishment with nativist, isolationist elements who gravitated towards the Republican and not the Democratic Party, later joined by Christian evangelicals "alarmed by the rise of secularism", was made possible by the Cold War and the "mutual fear and hatred of the spread of Communism". An article in Politico has referred to Trumpism as "McCarthyism on steroids".[326][232]

Championed by William F. Buckley Jr. and brought to fruition by Ronald Reagan in 1980, the fusion lost its glue with the dissolution of the Soviet Union, which was followed by a growth of income inequality in the United States and globalization that "created major discontent among middle and low income whites" within and without the Republican Party. After the 2012 United States presidential election saw the defeat of Mitt Romney by Barack Obama, the party establishment embraced an "autopsy" report, titled the Growth and Opportunity Project, which "called on the Party to reaffirm its identity as pro-market, government-skeptical, and ethnically and culturally inclusive."[232]

Ignoring the findings of the report and the party establishment in his campaign, Trump was "opposed by more officials in his own Party ... than any Presidential nominee in recent American history," but at the same time he won "more votes" in the Republican primaries than any previous presidential candidate. By 2016, "people wanted somebody to throw a brick through a plate-glass window", in the words of political analyst Karl Rove.[232] His success in the party was such that an October 2020 poll found 58% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents surveyed considered themselves supporters of Trump rather than the Republican Party.[327]

Parallels with fascism and trend towards illiberal democracy

[edit]
Though Trump said in September 2025 that "the radicals on the left are the problem" with political violence,[328] cumulatively over decades, most extremist killings in the US have been caused by right-wing perpetrators.[329] From 2022 through 2024, all 61 political killings were committed by right-wing extremists.[330]
Over decades, right wing ideologically motivated homicides have substantially outnumbered those perpetrated by left wing perpetrators in the US.[331] Also, far-right motivated homicides have occurred much more frequently than jihadi violence inspired by Islamic extremism (not shown in chart).[331]
Historians and election experts have compared Trump's anti-democratic tendencies and egotistical personality to the sentiments and rhetoric of Benito Mussolini and Italian fascism.[332]

Trumpism has been likened to Benito Mussolini's Italian fascism by critics of Trump,[i] and significant academic debate exists over the prevalence of fascism and neo-fascism within Trumpism.[j][note 21] Historians and election experts have compared Trump's anti-democratic tendencies and egotistical personality to the sentiments and rhetoric of Mussolini and Italian fascism.[332] Several scholars reject comparisons with fascism, instead viewing Trump as authoritarian and populist.[335][336]

Some commentators have rejected the populist designation for Trumpism and view it instead as part of a trend towards a new form of fascism or neo-fascism, with some referring to it as explicitly fascist and others as authoritarian and illiberal.[337][338][note 21] Others have more identified it as a form of mild fascism specific to the US.[342][343] Some historians, including many employing new fascism to describe Trumpism,[note 22] write of the hazards of direct comparisons with European fascist regimes of the 1930s, stating that while there are parallels, there are important dissimilarities.[346][347][note 23]

Historian Robert Paxton changed his opinion about whether the democratic backsliding caused by Trumpism is in line with fascism. In 2017, Paxton believed it bore greater resemblance to plutocracy.[349] Paxton changed his opinion following the 2021 storming of the United States Capitol, stating it is "necessary" to understand Trumpism as a form of fascism.[350] Drawing on Umberto Eco's essay Ur-Fascism, which outlines 14 characteristics of fascism, Bret Devereaux discusses how Trumpism satisfies all 14.[351] Sociologist Dylan John Riley calls Trumpism "neo-Bonapartist patrimonialism" because it does not capture the same mass movement appeal of classical fascism.[352]

Activist group SumOfUs's Projection of "Resist Trumpism Everywhere" on London's Marble Arch as part of protests during Trump's July 2018 visit

Federico Finchelstein believes intersections exist between Peronism and Trumpism in terms of their disregard for the political system.[353] Christopher Browning considers the long-term consequences of Trump's policies and support which he receives from the Republican Party to be dangerous for democracy.[354] In the German-speaking debate, the term "fascism" initially appeared sporadically, in connection with the crisis of confidence in politics and the media, and described the strategy of right-wing politicians who wish to stir up this crisis to profit from it.[355] German literature has a more diverse range of analysis of Trumpism.[note 24]

Others have argued that Trump is a totalitarian capitalist exploiting the "fascist impulses of his ordinary supporters that hide in plain sight."[356][357][341] Michelle Goldberg compares Trumpism to classical fascist themes.[note 25] The "mobilizing vision" of fascism is of "the national community rising phoenix-like after a period of encroaching decadence which all but destroyed it", which "sounds a lot like MAGA" (Make America Great Again) according to Goldberg. Similarly, like Trumpism, fascism sees a "need for authority by natural chiefs (always male), culminating in a national chieftain who alone is capable of incarnating the group's historical destiny." They believe in "the superiority of the leader's instincts over abstract and universal reason".[360]

Image posted on February 19, 2025, by the official White House account likening Trump to a monarch with the phrase LONG LIVE THE KING. The post was made shortly after Trump had taken several actions that were apparent violations of federal law and the Constitution, and quoted Napoleon, saying "He who saves his Country does not violate any Law".[361]

Conservative columnist George Will considers Trumpism similar to fascism, stating that Trumpism is "a mood masquerading as a doctrine". Will argues that national unity is based "on shared domestic dreads"—for fascists the "Jews", for Trump the media ("enemies of the people"), "elites" and "globalists". Solutions come not from tedious "incrementalism and conciliation", but from the leader (who claims "only I can fix it") unfettered by procedure. The political base is kept entertained with mass rallies, but inevitably the strongman develops a contempt for those he leads.[note 26] Will argues both are based on machismo, and in the case of Trumpism, "appeals to those in thrall to country-music manliness: 'We're truck-driving, beer-drinking, big-chested Americans too freedom-loving to let any itsy-bitsy [COVID-19] virus make us wear masks.'"[108][note 27]

In How to Lose a Country: The 7 Steps from Democracy to Dictatorship, Ece Temelkuran describes Trumpism as similar to rhetoric and actions of the Turkish politician Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. These are right-wing populism, demonization of the press, subversion of well-established and proven facts through the big lie, democratic backsliding such as dismantling judicial and political mechanisms; portraying systematic issues such as sexism or racism as isolated incidents, and crafting an ideal citizen.[365]

Mark Blyth and Jonathan Hopkin believe similarities exist between Trumpism and similar movements towards illiberal democracies worldwide, but that Trumpism is not merely being driven by revulsion, loss, and racism. They argue that on the right and left, the global economy is driving the growth of neo-nationalist coalitions which find followers who want to be free of the constraints which are being placed on them by establishment elites whose members advocate neoliberal economics and globalism.[366]

Others emphasize the lack of interest in finding real solutions to the social malaise which has been identified, and they believe those individuals and groups who are executing policy are actually following a pattern which has been identified by researchers like Leo Löwenthal and Norbert Guterman as originating in the post-World War II work of the Frankfurt School of social theory. Based on this perspective, books such as Löwenthal and Guterman's Prophets of Deceit offer insights into how movements like Trumpism dupe their followers by perpetuating their misery and preparing them to move further towards an illiberal form of government.[325]

Soon after the assassination of Charlie Kirk, Trump claimed that "the radicals on the left are the problem" with political violence.[328] Opinion editors,[367] as well as both far-right commentators[368] and Trump critics,[369] have compared Charlie Kirk's killing to the Reichstag fire—the 1933 arson of the German parliament building that Hitler used as a pretext to suspend civil liberties and prosecute political opposition[369]—some calling Kirk's killing Trump's "Reichstag fire moment".[367] How Democracies Die author, professor Steven Levitsky, said that exploiting Charlie Kirk's killing to justify unleashing attacks on critics is "page one of the authoritarian playbook".[370]

Trumps "enemy from within" remarks and threats to use the National Guard and military against "radical left lunatics" during the 2024 campaign and the aftermath of the Charlie Kirk assassination (especially the remarks of Stephen Miller) prompted historians Wendy Goldman and Timothy Snyder to compare these events to the Great Purge in the Soviet Union of the 1930s.[371] At that time, an assassination prompted Joseph Stalin to proclaim vast non-existent conspiracies; to redefine dissent as terrorism and treason; to encourage people to inform on dissenters; and to engage in a campaign of prosecution, imprisonment, and execution of hundreds of thousands of political opponents.

Rush Limbaugh

[edit]
Rush Limbaugh speaking in West Palm Beach in 2019

Trump is considered by some analysts to be following a blueprint of leveraging outrage, which was developed on partisan cable TV and talk radio shows[302] such as the Rush Limbaugh radio show—a style that transformed talk radio and American conservative politics decades before Trump.[372] Both shared "media fame" and "over-the-top showmanship", and built an enormous fan base with politics-as-entertainment,[372] attacking political and cultural targets in ways that would have been considered indefensible and beyond the pale in the years before them.[373] Both featured "the insults, the nicknames", and conspiracy theories. Both maintained that global warming was a hoax, that Barack Obama was not a natural-born U.S. citizen, and that the danger of COVID-19 was vastly exaggerated.[372] Both mocked people with disabilities.[373]

Limbaugh, to whom Trump awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2020, preceded Trump in moving the Republican Party away from "serious and substantive opinion leaders and politicians", towards political provocation, entertainment, and anti-intellectualism, and popularizing and normalizing for "many Republican politicians and voters" what before his rise "they might have thought" but would have "felt uncomfortable saying".[note 28] His millions of fans were intensely loyal and "developed a capacity to excuse ... and deflect" his statements no matter how offensive and outrageous, "saying liberals were merely being hysterical or hateful. And many loved him even more for it."[373]

Future impact

[edit]

Writing in The Atlantic, Yaseem Serhan states Trump's post-impeachment claim that "our historic, patriotic, and beautiful movement to Make America Great Again has only just begun," should be taken seriously as Trumpism is a "personality-driven" populist movement, and other such movements—such as Berlusconism in Italy, Peronism in Argentina and Fujimorism in Peru, "rarely fade once their leaders have left office".[374] Joseph Lowndes, a professor of political science at the University of Oregon, argued that while current far-right Republicans support Trump, the faction rose before and will likely exist after Trump.[375] Bobby Jindal and Alex Castellanos wrote in Newsweek that separating Trumpism from Donald Trump himself was key to the Republican Party's future following his loss in the 2020 United States presidential election.[376] However, Trump went on to win the 2024 United States presidential election with victories in all seven crucial swing states.

In 2024, President Kevin Roberts of The Heritage Foundation stated that he sees the role of Heritage as "institutionalizing Trumpism."[377] Stating in June 2025 that "'The Age of Trump' Enters Its Second Decade", Peter Baker of The New York Times wrote "In those 10 years, Mr. Trump has come to define his age in a way rarely seen in America, more so than any president of the past century other than Franklin D. Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan".[378]

Policies

[edit]

Economic policy

[edit]

Trumpism "promises new jobs and more domestic investment".[379] Trump's hard line against export surpluses of American trading partners and protectionist trade policies led to a tense situation in 2018 with mutually imposed tariffs by the United States and the European Union versus China.[380] Trump secures the support of his political base emphasizing neo-nationalism and criticism of globalization.[381] One book suggested that Trump "radicalized economics" for white working- to middle-class voters by implying that "undeserving [minority] groups are getting ahead while their group is being left behind."[382]

Foreign policy

[edit]

In terms of foreign policy in the sense of Trump's "America First", unilateralism and isolationism is preferred to a multilateral policy.[383] National interests are particularly emphasized, especially in the context of economic treaties and alliance obligations.[384][385] Trump has shown a disdain for traditional American allies such as Canada as well as transatlantic partners NATO and the European Union.[386][387] Conversely, Trump has shown sympathy for autocratic rulers, such as Russian President Vladimir Putin, whom Trump often praised even before taking office,[388] and during the 2018 Russia–United States Summit.[389] The "America First" foreign policy includes promises by Trump to end American involvement in foreign wars, notably in the Middle East, while also issuing tighter foreign policy through sanctions against Iran, among other countries.[390][391] Trump's proposals during his second presidency to expand the United States by acquiring Canada, Greenland, and the Panama Canal were described by CNN as part of his nationalist "America First" agenda and having "modern echoes of the 19th century doctrine of Manifest Destiny".[392]

In June 2025, some supporters of Donald Trump in the United States, including Steve Bannon,[393] Tucker Carlson, Rand Paul, Charlie Kirk, Saagar Enjeti, Mollie Hemingway and Marjorie Taylor Greene, criticized Trump's support for Israeli strikes against Iran and opposed possible United States involvement in the war.[394][395] There is a significant divide within the Republican Party and the MAGA movement on whether the United States should get involved in such a war overseas. For example, Marjorie Taylor Greene said that the United States shouldn't get involved at all in foreign matters.[396][397]

Religious policy

[edit]

Trump wove Christian religious imagery into his 2024 presidential campaign, characterizing it as a "righteous crusade" against "atheists, globalists and the Marxists". He stated that his aims included restoring the United States "as one nation under God with liberty and justice for all".[398]

Trump has been critical of what he sees as a persecution of Christians.[399] On February 6, following the National Prayer Breakfast, he signed an executive order to create a task force to "immediately halt all forms of anti-Christian targeting and discrimination within the federal government, including at the DOJ, which was absolutely terrible, the IRS, the FBI — terrible — and other agencies".[400][401] Donald Trump appointed Attorney General Pam Bondi to lead the task force and appointed Paula White to direct the White House Faith Office.[399]

Beyond the United States

[edit]

Argentina

[edit]
President Trump shakes hands with President Milei (February 2025)

Javier Milei, an Argentinian Austrian economist who was elected in 2023 as president of Argentina has sometimes been likened to Donald Trump.[402] Many other commentators have stressed that the two men are different, however, describing Milei's views as mostly libertarian, such as rejecting protectionism and supporting free trade.[403]

Australia

[edit]

Trumpism is represented in Australia by the political party Trumpet of Patriots, founded in 2021. The party has pledged to "put Australians first and make Australia great again".[404] It focuses on "gender, changing the immigration policy, bringing down the cost of living and free speech."[405]

Brazil

[edit]
President Trump poses with President Bolsonaro (June 2019)

In Brazil, Jair Bolsonaro, sometimes referred to as the "Brazilian Donald Trump",[406] who is often described as a right-wing extremist,[407][408] sees Trump as a role model[409] and according to Jason Stanley uses the same fascist tactics.[410] Like Trump, Bolsonaro finds support among evangelicals for his views on culture war issues.[411] Along with allies he publicly questioned Joe Biden's vote tally after the 2020 United States presidential election.[412]

Canada

[edit]

Trumpism exists as a political current in Canada.[k] Law professor Allan Rock, Canada's former attorney general and ambassador to the U.N., said Trump had "given expression to an underlying frustration and anger, that arises from economic inequality, from the implications from globalisation." Rock stated that the "overtly racist behaviour" associated with Trumpism emboldened racists and white supremacists, resulting in a rise in the number of these organizations and hate crimes in Canada.[413]

According to an October 2020 poll of Canadian voters, the number of "pro-Trump conservatives" was growing in Canada. Maclean's said this was influencing Canadian political campaigns.[414] Erin O'Toole, the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, featured the slogan—"Take Back Canada"—in a video, stating "[j]oin our fight, let's take back Canada."[415] When asked if his "Canada First" policy was different from Trump's "America First" policy, O'Toole said, "No, it was not."[416] O'Toole criticized what he considered to be Trumpism following one of Liberal Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland's tweets being flagged as "manipulated media" and compared her to Trump's flagged tweets,[417][418] prior to Twitter's acquisition by Elon Musk.[419] Writing for The Hill in 2021, Markik Von Rennenkampff stated that there are "striking differences" between the Conservative Party under Erin O'Toole and the Republican Party under Trump, notably O'Toole supporting access to abortion and his support for Canada's single-payer health care system.[420] Rennenkampff also described Canadian Conservatives as "far more closely aligned with Democrats than Republicans".[421]

Following the 2022 Conservative Party leadership election, some journalists have compared Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre to American Republicans such as Donald Trump and Ted Cruz;[422][423] however many journalists have dismissed these comparisons due to Poilievre's pro-abortion access, pro-immigration, and pro-same-sex marriage positions.[l] In 2024, Zack Beauchamp of Vox stated that while Poilievre's rhetoric draws Trump comparisons, in terms of policy "he's actually considerably more moderate than Trump or European radicals".[424]

During the 2025 Canadian federal election, Liberal Party of Canada staffers created Trump-style "Stop The Steal" buttons and were caught planting them at a Canada Strong and Free Network conference which was supporting the Conservative Party of Canada.[425] In response, the Liberal Party spokesman Kevin Lemkay stated that such actions did not fit the prime minister's "commitment to serious and positive discourse" while Conservative Party spokesman Sam Lilly stated "it's clear that it's the Liberals who are attempting to bring American-style politics to our country".[426]

Europe

[edit]

Trumpism has also been said to be on the rise in Europe. Political parties such as the Finns Party,[427] France's National Rally[428] and Spain's far-right Vox party[429] have been described as Trumpist in nature. Trump's former advisor Steve Bannon called Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán "Trump before Trump".[430] Isabel Díaz Ayuso, member of the Spanish People's Party and president of the Community of Madrid, has also received the Trumpism label.[431][432] George Simion, the founder of the Alliance for the Union of Romanians party and previous candidate in the 2025 Romanian presidential election is commonly referred to as the "Romanian Trump" due to his political style and ideological alignment being very similar to those of Donald Trump.

India

[edit]
President Donald Trump in a meeting with Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the White House (February 2025)

At the February 2025 meeting between Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, and Donald Trump, the former stated:[433][434]

Borrowing an expression from America, our vision for a developed India is to make India great again, or MIGA ... When America and India work together, that is, when it's MAGA plus MIGA, it becomes a mega partnership for prosperity. ... And it is this mega spirit that gives new scale and scope to our objectives.[433][434]

Iran

[edit]

Donald Trump and his policy towards Iran have been praised by the Iranian opposition group 'Restart', led by Mohammad Hosseini, which also supports American military action against Iran and offered to fight alongside Americans to overthrow the Iranian government.[435] The group has adopted the slogan "Make Iran Great Again".[435]

Restart has been compared to QAnon by Ariane Tabatabai, in terms of "conspiracist thinking going global".[435] Among conspiracy theories advocated by the group is that Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has died (or went into coma) in 2017 and a double plays his role in public.[436]

Japan

[edit]
Shinzo Abe and US President Trump in 2017 with "MAGA"-style hats reading "Donald & Shinzo, Make Alliance Even Greater"

In Japan, in a speech to Liberal Democratic Party lawmakers in Tokyo on March 8, 2019, Steve Bannon said that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was "Trump before Trump" and "a great hero to the grassroots, the populist, and the nationalist movement throughout the world."[437] Shinzo Abe was described as a "right-wing nationalist" or "ultra-nationalist",[438][439] but whether he was a "populist" is controversial.[440]

Netto-uyoku is the term used to refer to netizens who espouse ultranationalist far-right views on Japanese social media, as well as in English to those who are proficient. Netto-uyoku are typically very friendly not only to Japanese nationalists but also to Donald Trump, and oppose liberal politics. They began spreading Trump's conspiracy theories in an attempt to overturn the 2020 American presidential election.[441]

Nigeria

[edit]

According to The Guardian and The Washington Post, there is a significant affinity towards Trump in Nigeria.[442][443] Donald Trump's comments on the ethno-religious conflicts between Christians and the predominantly Muslim Fulani tribe has contributed to his popularity among Christians in Nigeria, in which he stated: "We have had very serious problems with Christians who are being murdered in Nigeria. We are going to be working on that problem very, very hard because we cannot allow that to happen".[442] Donald Trump is praised by the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), a secessionist group that supports the independence of Biafra from Nigeria and is designated as a terrorist group by the Nigerian government. IPOB has claimed that he "believes in the inalienable right of an indigenous people to self-determination" and it also praised him for "the direct and serious manner he addressed and demanded immediate end to the serial slaughter of Christians in Nigeria, especially Biafran Christians".[444][445]

After Trump's victory in the 2016 presidential election, IPOB leader Nnamdi Kanu wrote a letter to Trump stating he had a "historic and moral burden ... to liberate the enslaved nations in Africa".[444] As Trump was inaugurated in January 2017, IPOB organized a rally in support of Trump that resulted in violent clashes with Nigerian security forces and resulted in multiple deaths and arrests.[446] On January 30, 2020, IPOB leader Nnamdi Kanu attended a Trump rally in Iowa as a special VIP guest, at the invitation of the Republican Party of Iowa.[447] According to a 2020 poll from Pew Research, 58% of Nigerians had favorable views of Donald Trump, the fourth highest percentage globally.[448]

According to John Campbell of Council on Foreign Relations, Trump's popularity in Nigeria can be explained by a "manifestation of the widespread disillusionment in a country characterized by growing poverty, multiple security threats, an expanding crime wave, and a government seen as unresponsive and corrupt", and his popularity is likely stronger among wealthier urban Nigerians rather than the majority of Nigerians who live in rural areas or urban slums and are unlikely to have strong opinions on Trump.[449]

Philippines

[edit]
President Trump shakes hands with President Duterte (November 2017)

Sheila S. Coronel has argued that the political strategies of Ferdinand Marcos, who was president of the Philippines from 1965 to 1986, and Rodrigo Duterte, who held the same position from 2016 to 2022, share certain features with Trumpism, including disregard for facts, encouragement of fear, and a "loud, bombastic, hypermasculine" aesthetic; and that each has benefited from uncertain political environments.[450]

Russia

[edit]
President Trump standing together with President Putin (August 2025)

Aleksandr Dugin, a Russian far-right political philosopher has described the political style of the incumbent Russian President Vladimir Putin as similar to Donald Trump due to their anti-globalist and anti-elite rhetoric in emphasizing nationalism and traditional values with Putin framing Russia as a defender against Western liberal elites, while Trump criticizes global institutions and claims they undermine American interests.[451]

South Korea

[edit]

The politics of Yoon Suk Yeol, the former president of South Korea, has been called "Trumpist" for his right-wing populist elements.[452]

See also

[edit]

Organizations

Notes

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References

[edit]

Bibliography

[edit]
Revisions and contributorsEdit on WikipediaRead on Wikipedia
from Grokipedia
Trumpism is an American political ideology and movement that coalesced around Donald J. Trump's 2016 presidential campaign and subsequent administration, defined by economic nationalism, populism, skepticism toward elite institutions, and a commitment to prioritizing U.S. interests over globalist agendas. It draws on historical American nativist and outsider traditions while adapting them to contemporary grievances over trade imbalances, immigration, and cultural displacement. Emerging from Trump's outsider candidacy, Trumpism challenged the bipartisan consensus on free trade, multilateral alliances, and open borders, advocating instead for tariffs to protect domestic industries, border security to curb illegal immigration, and renegotiated deals like the USMCA to favor American workers. Its populist rhetoric resonated with working-class voters in deindustrialized regions, framing establishment politicians and media as corrupt insiders who had hollowed out the American heartland. During Trump's presidency from 2017 to 2021, these principles yielded tangible outcomes, including pre-pandemic unemployment rates below 4%, median household income rises exceeding $6,000, and U.S. energy independence through deregulation and expanded production. Trumpism's foreign policy, encapsulated in the "America First" doctrine, sought to reduce overseas entanglements and extract better terms from allies and adversaries, exemplified by withdrawals from the Paris Climate Accord and Iran nuclear deal, pressure on NATO spending, and the Abraham Accords normalizing relations between Israel and Arab states. Domestically, it pursued criminal justice reform via the First Step Act, which reduced sentences for nonviolent offenders and earned bipartisan support. Controversies, including two House impeachments over Ukraine aid and the 2020 election challenge—both ending in Senate acquittals—have fueled accusations of authoritarianism from critics, though empirical checks like judicial blocks on policies and free press persistence underscore institutional resilience rather than systemic erosion. Mainstream media and academic analyses often amplify such claims, reflecting institutional biases that undervalue Trumpism's empirical successes in wage growth for lower earners and manufacturing revival. Post-presidency, Trumpism endured through the 2024 election victory, solidifying its influence within the Republican Party and inspiring global populist movements wary of supranational bureaucracies. Its defining tension lies in balancing anti-elite disruption with governance realities, prioritizing causal factors like policy-driven economic metrics over narrative-driven critiques.

Origins and Development

Emergence in the 2016 Presidential Campaign

Donald Trump announced his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination on June 16, 2015, descending an escalator at Trump Tower in New York City to deliver a speech decrying American economic decline, massive trade deficits with countries like China and Mexico, and uncontrolled illegal immigration. He asserted that Mexico was "not sending their best," but rather individuals bringing drugs, crime, and rape, and pledged to build a wall along the southern border to be paid for by Mexico, framing these issues as existential threats exploited by political elites. This blunt, first-person rhetoric marked an initial break from establishment norms, prioritizing voter grievances over polished discourse and igniting a populist insurgency within the Republican primary field of 17 candidates. The campaign's core slogan, "Make America Great Again," trademarked by Trump in 2011 and prominently featured on red hats sold at rallies, evoked a return to perceived past national strength and prosperity, resonating with working-class voters in deindustrialized regions who associated globalization and immigration with job losses and cultural erosion. Trump's strategy emphasized "America First" economic nationalism, criticizing multilateral trade agreements like NAFTA and the Trans-Pacific Partnership as detrimental to U.S. manufacturing, while railing against Washington "swamp" corruption and media bias. Despite an early setback in the Iowa caucuses on February 1, 2016, where Ted Cruz won with 27.6% to Trump's 24.3%, Trump secured decisive victories in New Hampshire (35.3%), South Carolina (32.5%), and Super Tuesday contests across 11 states on March 1, 2016, leveraging large rally turnouts and direct appeals that bypassed traditional party structures. By May 26, 2016, Trump had surpassed the 1,237 delegates needed for the nomination threshold, effectively overruling establishment figures like Jeb Bush, who spent over $150 million but garnered only 4 delegates, and Marco Rubio, underscoring a voter rejection of insider politics in favor of outsider disruption. He formally accepted the nomination on July 19, 2016, at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio, where the platform incorporated his signature issues. In the general election against Hillary Clinton, Trump's focus on rust-belt states flipped traditional Democratic strongholds like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin through turnout among non-college-educated white voters, securing 304 electoral votes to Clinton's 227 on November 8, 2016, despite trailing in the popular vote by 2.1 percentage points. This outcome crystallized Trumpism's emergence as a movement rooted in empirical voter realignments driven by stagnant wages in manufacturing counties—where Trump won 72% of the vote in areas with over 10% employment decline since 2000—and skepticism toward institutions perceived as prioritizing globalism over domestic interests.

Roots in Prior American Political Movements

Trumpism exhibits continuities with Jacksonian democracy, which emerged in the early 19th century under Andrew Jackson, emphasizing direct popular sovereignty, opposition to entrenched elites, and economic policies favoring ordinary citizens over financial institutions. Jackson's 1828 campaign mobilized white working-class voters through anti-corruption rhetoric and promises of expanded political participation, paralleling Trumpism's mobilization of non-college-educated voters against perceived coastal and institutional elites. Historians note that both movements framed governance as a contest between "the people" and a corrupt establishment, with Jackson's veto of the Second Bank of the United States in 1832 echoing Trump-era critiques of globalist trade deals and federal bureaucracy. Elements of American nativism, dating to the 1840s Know-Nothing Party's anti-immigrant stance against Irish and Catholic inflows, resurface in Trumpism's emphasis on border security and cultural preservation. This tradition, which influenced the 1882 Chinese Exclusion Act and the 1924 National Origins Quota Act restricting immigration to favor Northern Europeans, prioritized native-born citizens' economic and social primacy, akin to Trumpism's calls for reduced legal immigration and deportation of undocumented entrants. Such nativist undercurrents, rooted in fears of demographic change diluting Anglo-Protestant identity, informed paleoconservative critiques of multiculturalism, providing ideological scaffolding for Trumpism's "America First" framework. In the late 20th century, Pat Buchanan's 1992 and 1996 Republican primary campaigns advanced protectionist trade policies, skepticism of foreign interventions, and immigration restrictions, capturing 23% and 21% of the GOP vote respectively and foreshadowing Trumpism's economic nationalism. Buchanan's "culture war" speech at the 1992 Republican National Convention highlighted threats to traditional values from secularism and globalization, themes echoed in Trumpism's resistance to political correctness and international alliances. These ideas stemmed from paleoconservatism, which diverged from neoconservative interventionism by prioritizing domestic sovereignty. The Tea Party movement, arising in 2009 amid opposition to the Troubled Asset Relief Program and Affordable Care Act, laid immediate groundwork through grassroots activism against fiscal irresponsibility and federal overreach, with its supporters forming a core base for Trump's 2016 coalition. Surveys indicate that former Tea Party adherents, who prioritized limited government and cultural conservatism, became among Trump's most loyal backers, with the movement's anti-establishment fervor evolving into MAGA's broader populism by 2016. This shift marked a transition from policy-specific conservatism to personality-driven loyalty, amplifying distrust in institutions like media and Congress.

Evolution Through 2020 and 2024 Elections

In the November 3, 2020, presidential election, incumbent President Donald Trump garnered 74,223,975 popular votes, equating to 46.8 percent, and 232 electoral votes, but conceded defeat to Joe Biden, who obtained 81,283,501 votes (51.3 percent) and 306 electoral votes. Trump and his allies contested results in battleground states, filing dozens of lawsuits alleging procedural irregularities and voter fraud, though federal and state courts largely rejected these claims for lack of substantiating evidence, with over 60 cases dismissed or withdrawn. This phase marked a pivotal evolution in Trumpism, as skepticism of electoral integrity became a foundational element, prompting Republican-led legislatures in states like Georgia and Arizona to enact voting restrictions, such as limits on mail-in ballots and expanded ID requirements, framed by proponents as safeguards against perceived vulnerabilities. The refusal to fully accept the 2020 outcome culminated in the January 6, 2021, events, where thousands rallied in Washington, D.C., to urge Congress against certifying Biden's victory; a subset breached the Capitol, disrupting proceedings and resulting in five deaths, including one rioter shot by police and one officer from injuries. Trump was impeached by the House on January 13, 2021, for "incitement of insurrection," but acquitted by the Senate on February 13, 2021, with 57 senators voting guilty, falling short of the two-thirds threshold. These developments intensified Trumpism's anti-establishment ethos, portraying institutional responses as partisan persecution, which bolstered base cohesion and shifted party dynamics toward prioritizing loyalty to Trump over traditional conservatism, as seen in primary challenges against Republicans who voted for conviction. Between 2021 and 2024, Trumpism endured amid Trump's two impeachments, four criminal indictments totaling 91 felony counts across jurisdictions, and civil liabilities exceeding $500 million, yet these fortified the narrative of elite weaponization against the movement, evidenced by Trump's endorsements securing victories for aligned candidates in the 2022 midterms, where Republicans gained the House despite underperforming expectations. In the 2024 Republican primaries, commencing January 15 in Iowa, Trump swept contests nationwide, clinching the nomination on March 12 after exceeding 1,215 delegates, defeating rivals like Nikki Haley who garnered under 20 percent in most states. Trump's 2024 general election campaign against Kamala Harris emphasized retribution against perceived adversaries, mass deportations of undocumented immigrants, and tariffs on imports, aligning with an updated "America First" platform that retained core protectionist and nationalist stances while addressing inflation and border security. On November 5, 2024, Trump prevailed with 312 electoral votes to Harris's 226 and a popular vote plurality of about 1.6 million (49.8 percent to 48.3 percent), securing the first Republican popular majority since 2004 and flipping all seven battlegrounds. This triumph, following a July 13 assassination attempt in Pennsylvania that wounded Trump's ear, expanded Trumpism's electorate, with gains of 13 points among Hispanic voters and 7 among Black voters compared to 2020, alongside surges among working-class and young male demographics, signaling broadened populist appeal beyond its initial rural white base. The outcome validated Trumpism's resilience, embedding it deeper within the GOP as a dominant force prioritizing direct confrontation with federal bureaucracy and globalist policies.

Ideological Foundations

Nationalism and America First Principle

Trumpism's nationalism is encapsulated in the "America First" principle, which posits that U.S. foreign policy, trade, and immigration decisions must prioritize American sovereignty, economic prosperity, and national security over multilateral commitments or globalist ideals that dilute domestic interests. This approach views international relations through a realist lens, treating many alliances and agreements as transactional arrangements where American concessions often yield disproportionate burdens, such as funding disproportionate shares of NATO defense spending or entering trade deals with unbalanced deficits. The principle rejects the post-World War II emphasis on liberal internationalism, arguing instead that unchecked globalization erodes the industrial base, displaces workers, and undermines cultural cohesion by favoring elite cosmopolitan interests over the working class. Articulated prominently in President Donald Trump's January 20, 2017, inaugural address, "America First" was framed as a directive for all policy domains: "Every decision on trade, on taxes, on immigration, on foreign affairs, will be made to benefit American workers and American families." This marked a departure from prior administrations' pursuits of ideological goals like democracy promotion abroad, redirecting focus to pragmatic outcomes such as renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement into the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement in 2018 to include stronger labor and environmental rules favoring U.S. manufacturing. The 2017 National Security Strategy formalized this by elevating economic security as integral to national security, emphasizing competition with rivals like China through tariffs and technology restrictions rather than indefinite alliance subsidies. At its core, Trumpist nationalism promotes civic patriotism—loyalty to the nation's constitutional principles, borders, and shared economic destiny—over ethnic or imperial variants, aiming to unify citizens around restoring middle-class opportunities eroded by offshoring and open borders. It manifests in policies like enhanced border enforcement to curb illegal immigration, which proponents cite as protecting wage levels and public resources, with data showing net migration reductions during Trump's term correlating with lower unauthorized entries from Mexico. Critics from establishment foreign policy circles often mischaracterize it as isolationism, but evidence from actions like the Abraham Accords—normalizing Israel-Arab ties without U.S. troops—demonstrates selective engagement to advance American leverage without overextension. This nationalism draws from first-principles realism: nations act in self-interest, and U.S. strength derives from internal vitality, not exported abstractions.

Populism Against Elite Institutions

Trump's 2016 presidential campaign prominently featured a pledge to "drain the swamp" in Washington, D.C., targeting what he described as a corrupt political class dominated by lobbyists, career bureaucrats, and entrenched interests that prioritized self-enrichment over public welfare. This rhetoric positioned Trumpism as a direct assault on elite institutions, framing the federal government as a rigged system insulating insiders from accountability. During a June 16, 2015, announcement speech in Trump Tower, Trump highlighted how special interests and donors controlled politicians, vowing to dismantle such influences through term limits and lobbying bans. Central to this populism was Trump's repeated condemnation of Washington elites as out-of-touch and incompetent. In a October 26, 2016, rally in Massachusetts, he declared, "We must reject the failed elites from Washington who have been wrong about virtually everything happening for decades," linking their policies to economic decline in manufacturing regions. His January 20, 2017, inaugural address amplified this by decrying a "political elite" that "protected itself" while American communities suffered from crime and job losses, promising to transfer power back to "the people." This narrative drew empirical support from data showing stagnant median wages for non-college-educated workers from 2000 to 2015, amid rising lobbying expenditures exceeding $3 billion annually, which Trump attributed to elite capture. Trumpism extended this critique to the mainstream media, portrayed as an extension of elite power with systemic bias against populist challenges. Trump coined "fake news" to highlight distortions, backed by analyses revealing 92% negative coverage across ABC, CBS, and NBC during his first 100 days in 2017. Studies of economic reporting from 1960 to 2016 found mainstream outlets disproportionately negative toward Republican administrations, with coverage of growth under GOP presidents 20-30% more pessimistic than under Democrats despite comparable data. Trump engaged directly via Twitter, amassing over 88 million followers by 2020 to bypass filters, arguing that outlets like CNN and The New York Times amplified elite viewpoints while suppressing dissent. Such claims gained traction amid surveys showing public trust in media falling to 32% by 2016, particularly among Republicans exposed to perceived one-sided narratives. The "deep state" emerged as a core Trumpist concept critiquing unelected bureaucrats in agencies like the FBI and DOJ for obstructing executive directives. Trump invoked it over 56 times on Truth Social by August 2024, citing instances like unauthorized leaks during his tenure and investigations into his campaign. Policies such as the 2020 Schedule F executive order aimed to reclassify 50,000 policy-influencing civil servants as at-will employees, enabling easier removal to curb perceived entrenchment. This reflected broader distrust, rooted in events like the 2016 FBI's Crossfire Hurricane probe, which internal reviews later faulted for procedural lapses favoring one political side. While mainstream sources often labeled these views conspiratorial, empirical patterns of selective enforcement—such as differing treatment of Clinton Foundation probes versus Trump associates—lent credence to concerns over institutional partiality. This anti-elite populism resonated with voters alienated by institutional failures, including the 2008 financial crisis bailouts favoring Wall Street over Main Street and stagnant mobility metrics where top 1% income share rose from 10% in 1980 to 20% by 2016. Trumpism's appeal echoed historical precedents like Andrew Jackson's 1828 campaign against "the monster bank" and elite patronage, adapting them to modern grievances over globalization and regulatory overreach. By framing elites as causal agents of decline rather than incidental, it prioritized direct accountability, influencing subsequent movements skeptical of technocratic governance.

Economic Nationalism and Protectionism

Trumpism's economic nationalism prioritizes the interests of American workers and industries by rejecting multilateral free trade agreements in favor of bilateral deals and protective tariffs aimed at reducing trade deficits and reshoring manufacturing. This approach views persistent U.S. trade imbalances, particularly with China, as evidence of unfair practices like currency manipulation, intellectual property theft, and subsidized exports that erode domestic employment in sectors such as steel, autos, and electronics. Proponents, including Trump administration officials, argued that globalization under prior policies like NAFTA had accelerated offshoring, contributing to the loss of approximately 5 million manufacturing jobs between 2000 and 2015, many attributable to Chinese import competition. Central to this ideology was the imposition of tariffs as a tool for reciprocity and leverage in negotiations. In March 2018, the Trump administration enacted 25% tariffs on steel and 10% on aluminum imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, citing national security concerns, which affected imports from allies like Canada and the EU as well as adversaries. These measures expanded into a broader trade war with China, targeting over $360 billion in goods with tariffs ranging from 7.5% to 25% by 2019, intended to address an estimated $375 billion annual U.S.-China deficit and compel structural reforms. Peter Navarro, director of the White House National Trade Council, played a pivotal role in shaping these policies, advocating in his book Death by China (2011)—which Trump praised—for aggressive countermeasures against Beijing's mercantilist strategies. A flagship achievement was the renegotiation of NAFTA into the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), signed on January 29, 2020, and ratified by the U.S. Congress in December of that year. Unlike NAFTA's looser rules, USMCA raised the regional content requirement for duty-free auto imports to 75% (from 62.5%) and mandated 40-45% of auto content be produced by workers earning at least $16 per hour, aiming to curb wage suppression via Mexican labor arbitrage and boost U.S. and Canadian manufacturing. The deal also included new chapters on digital trade and stronger intellectual property protections, reflecting Trumpism's blend of protectionism with targeted market access gains. Empirical assessments of these policies reveal mixed outcomes, with tariffs generating revenue exceeding $80 billion by 2020 but primarily burdening U.S. consumers and firms through higher input costs rather than foreign exporters absorbing the levies. A National Bureau of Economic Research analysis found that U.S. importers passed nearly full incidence to domestic prices, reducing aggregate real income by about $1.4 billion monthly and causing net job losses of around 245,000 when accounting for retaliatory measures and supply chain disruptions. Steel tariffs preserved roughly 8,700 jobs in that sector but at a cost of $900,000 per job annually due to elevated prices for downstream industries like construction and autos. Critics from free-trade perspectives, such as those at Brookings, contend this mercantilist focus overlooks comparative advantages and risks broader retaliation, while advocates highlight strategic decoupling from China and modest manufacturing resurgence, with U.S. factory output rising 1.4% in 2018-2019 before pandemic effects.

Cultural and Social Conservatism

Trumpism emphasizes the preservation of traditional American cultural norms, including family structures rooted in heterosexual marriage and biological sex distinctions, as a counter to progressive ideologies perceived as eroding societal cohesion. Adherents prioritize parental authority in education, opposing curricula that promote critical race theory or gender fluidity without consent, and advocate for policies shielding children from irreversible medical interventions like puberty blockers. This stance reflects a broader rejection of identity politics, favoring merit-based systems over affirmative action or diversity quotas, which are viewed as discriminatory against non-preferred groups. Central to this conservatism is robust defense of religious liberty, exemplified by Executive Order 13798 signed on May 4, 2017, which directed federal agencies to prioritize free speech and religious exercise, alleviating burdens on faith-based organizations. Trump expanded protections against taxpayer funding for abortions abroad via the reinstated Mexico City Policy in 2017 and domestically through Title X rule changes preventing grants to providers like Planned Parenthood that perform abortions. These measures aligned with evangelical supporters, who constituted a core Trump base; Pew Research data from 2024 indicates 80% of white evangelical Protestants held favorable views of Trump, often citing his role in advancing pro-life policies. On abortion, Trumpism supports restrictions post-viability while deferring to states following the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization ruling, which overturned Roe v. Wade after Trump's appointments of Justices Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, and Barrett shifted the Supreme Court 6-3 conservative. This devolution empowered red states to enact heartbeat laws, banning abortions after six weeks in places like Texas by September 1, 2021, reflecting empirical data on fetal detectability of cardiac activity. Trump's 2024 Republican platform omitted a federal ban, emphasizing state sovereignty amid post-Dobbs public opinion splits, with Gallup polls showing 69% opposition to Roe's reversal but majority support for gestational limits. Gun rights advocacy underscores social conservatism's focus on individual self-defense and Second Amendment absolutism; Trump opposed red-flag laws and assault weapon bans, signing the 2018 Fix NICS Act to enhance background checks while rejecting broader infringements. This resonates with rural and working-class voters prioritizing personal responsibility over state paternalism. Opposition to transgender policies includes the 2017-2019 military service ban, upheld by the Supreme Court in 2019, citing deployability costs estimated at $8-12 million annually by the RAND Corporation before policy shifts. Trumpism critiques gender-affirming procedures in minors and sports, arguing they undermine women's categories based on biological advantages, as evidenced by swimmer Lia Thomas's 2022 NCAA wins displacing female competitors. Cato Institute analysis of 2016 voter data reveals Trump supporters weighted moral foundations like loyalty, authority, and sanctity higher than liberals' emphasis on care and fairness, fostering a cultural critique of elite-driven secularism. This framework underpins resistance to "cancel culture," with Trump pardoning figures like Joe Arpaio in 2017 to signal defiance against perceived ideological persecution. While Trump personally diverged from strict traditionalism—evidenced by three marriages—Trumpism pragmatically harnesses social conservative energy to combat causal drivers of cultural decay, such as family breakdown correlating with higher crime rates per FBI statistics.

Political Strategies and Communication

Rally Dynamics and Mass Mobilization

Trump's campaign rallies, a hallmark of Trumpism, emphasized direct, high-energy interaction with supporters to foster mass mobilization and reinforce movement loyalty. These events typically featured large crowds, with attendance at major rallies often exceeding 10,000 participants, as tracked by the Crowd Counting Consortium at Harvard University. Unlike conventional political gatherings, Trump's rallies incorporated elements akin to mass entertainment, including extended speeches, patriotic music, and merchandise sales, creating an atmosphere of communal fervor that encouraged sustained engagement. Central to rally dynamics was the interactive call-and-response format, where Trump elicited chants such as "USA," "Build the Wall," and "Lock Her Up" to amplify crowd participation and unify attendees around key themes like nationalism and opposition to perceived elites. This technique, observed consistently from the 2016 cycle onward, heightened emotional investment, with crowds responding vocally to Trump's rhetorical prompts, as documented in analyses of rally transcripts and videos. For instance, following the July 13, 2024, assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania, subsequent rallies saw intensified "USA" chants, drawing crowds estimated at 15,000 to 20,000 and boosting volunteer sign-ups in the region. Empirical studies indicate that these rallies contributed to voter mobilization, particularly among Republican-leaning demographics, by increasing turnout and vote shares in host counties. A National Bureau of Economic Research analysis of rallies from 2008 to 2020 found that Trump events correlated with a 1-2% uplift in his local vote share, attributable to heightened enthusiasm rather than persuasion of undecideds. Similarly, a CEPR examination confirmed that Trump rallies generated measurable boosts in supporter activation, including higher rates of door-knocking and phone banking, distinguishing them from less dynamic opponents' events. While attendance fluctuated—peaking in 2016 and declining somewhat by 2024 due to fewer events overall—the rallies remained instrumental in sustaining grassroots energy, with data showing sustained participation despite logistical challenges like venue capacity limits. Mass mobilization extended beyond immediate attendance, as rallies served as hubs for organizing networks that amplified Trumpism's reach through volunteer recruitment and local activism. Events often concluded with calls to action, leading to spikes in campaign contributions and petition signatures, evidenced by Federal Election Commission records tying rally dates to funding surges. This model prioritized visceral, in-person experiences over mediated messaging, countering institutional media narratives and cultivating a perception of unstoppable momentum among participants. Critics from mainstream outlets have questioned the rallies' efficacy amid shrinking crowds, but data underscores their role in base consolidation, with no equivalent scale in opposing campaigns.

Social Media and Direct Voter Engagement

Donald Trump employed social media, especially Twitter, as a primary tool for direct voter communication during the 2016 presidential campaign, allowing unfiltered messaging that circumvented mainstream media narratives. His frequent posts promoted policy positions, countered critics, and energized supporters, forming a systematic approach to agenda-setting and opponent critique. This strategy contrasted with conventional campaigns reliant on intermediaries, enabling Trump to frame issues like immigration and trade directly to audiences skeptical of institutional media. Trump's Twitter activity dominated rivals' social media presence in 2015, generating higher engagement through provocative rhetoric that amplified reach via retweets and shares. Analysis of his tweets from the Republican primaries revealed consistent amplification by supporters, sustaining momentum amid primary challenges. While some research indicated Twitter exposure may have swayed independents against him, empirical outcomes suggest it solidified base loyalty and turnout, contributing to his electoral success despite polls favoring opponents. Complementing online efforts, Trump conducted extensive direct voter engagement through mass rallies, which drew tens of thousands per event and served as platforms for improvisational speeches reinforcing populist themes. Social media promoted these gatherings, with tweets announcing locations and hyping attendance, fostering a sense of communal participation among attendees who viewed them as authentic counters to elite detachment. This dual approach—digital dissemination paired with in-person mobilization—characterized Trumpism's rejection of scripted politics, prioritizing visceral connection over polished discourse. Following his Twitter suspension on January 8, 2021, Trump launched Truth Social in 2022, reestablishing direct channels amid platform deplatforming. Studies of the 2022 midterms found Truth Social generated greater news attention for Trump than Twitter had previously, aiding sustained voter outreach into the 2024 cycle. This evolution underscored Trumpism's adaptability, maintaining emphasis on proprietor-controlled media to evade perceived censorship and sustain unmediated dialogue with adherents.

Rhetorical Style and Persuasion Tactics

Trump's rhetorical style diverges from traditional political discourse by employing a conversational, improvisational tone that mimics everyday speech, characterized by short sentences, sentence fragments, and direct address to audiences as "you" or "we the people." This approach fosters intimacy and authenticity, contrasting with the scripted formality of prior presidents, and enables real-time adaptation to crowd reactions during rallies. Analyses indicate this style enhances perceived relatability, particularly among non-college-educated voters, by eschewing elite jargon in favor of plain language that prioritizes emotional resonance over policy detail. A core persuasion tactic is repetition, including techniques like epistrophe—repeating words or phrases at the end of successive clauses—to reinforce key messages and embed them in listeners' minds. For instance, in his June 16, 2015, campaign launch speech, Trump repeatedly invoked "tremendous" to describe threats and opportunities, amplifying urgency and scale. This method, drawn from classical rhetoric but amplified in modern mass communication, builds rhythmic momentum in speeches often exceeding 90 minutes, sustaining audience engagement through familiarity and emphasis on themes like elite corruption or national decline. Scholarly examinations link this to heightened memorability and ideological reinforcement in populist contexts. Hyperbole and superlatives form another pillar, framing issues in absolutist terms such as "the best," "total disaster," or "fake news" to evoke strong emotional responses and simplify complex realities into binary narratives of victory or catastrophe. Trump's 1987 book The Art of the Deal explicitly endorses exaggeration as a negotiation tool, a principle extended to politics; examples include claims during the 2016 campaign of Mexico sending "rapists" across the border or crowds "larger than ever seen" at events. Linguistic studies quantify this: Trump's speeches feature intensifiers at rates far exceeding norms, correlating with persuasion via heightened salience rather than literal accuracy, though critics argue it erodes trust in factual discourse. Empirical tracking from 2015 to 2024 shows escalation in such absolutism, aligning with rising support among bases skeptical of institutional media. Ad hominem attacks via nicknames—"Crooked Hillary," "Lyin' Ted," "Sleepy Joe"—serve to personalize opposition, reducing rivals to caricatures and rallying in-group loyalty by framing politics as existential combat between patriots and adversaries. This tactic, rooted in populist mobilization against elites, constructs an "us versus them" dichotomy, evidenced in rally chants and social media amplification that sustain movement cohesion. Quantitative discourse analysis of speeches from 2016 to 2020 reveals consistent clustering of terms associating opponents with betrayal or weakness, fostering causal narratives of systemic sabotage that resonate with audiences perceiving institutional bias. While effective in direct voter engagement—contributing to turnout spikes in key demographics—such personalization invites counter-accusations of divisiveness from establishment sources. Overall, these elements coalesce into a high-control media strategy, where unscripted delivery and provocative phrasing dominate news cycles, prioritizing viral impact over conventional debate. Data from speech corpora indicate Trump's rhetoric increased in violent vocabulary by over 300% from 2015 to 2024, correlating with intensified base mobilization amid perceived crises like immigration or election integrity. This style's efficacy stems from first-principles alignment with audience priors—distrust of gatekeepers—rather than deference to neutral norms, though its long-term effects on civic discourse remain debated in rhetorical scholarship.

Branding Personal Loyalty and Movement Identity

Trumpism emphasizes personal loyalty to Donald Trump as a core element of its branding, framing him as the essential figure to address national challenges. During his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention on July 21, 2016, Trump stated, "Nobody knows the system better than me, which is why I alone can fix it," highlighting a reliance on his individual leadership over collective institutional efforts. This rhetoric positions Trump as the singular solution to systemic issues, fostering a movement dynamic where allegiance to him supersedes traditional party structures. Loyalty manifests in personnel decisions and political purges, with Trump prioritizing appointees and allies based on demonstrated personal devotion rather than policy expertise or institutional experience. Analysis of his administrative approach indicates a strategy to institutionalize loyalty mechanisms, including vetting processes for federal positions that screen for alignment with Trump personally. For instance, post-2020 election, Trump supported primary challenges against Republicans who criticized him, such as Liz Cheney in 2022, reinforcing that disloyalty invites exclusion from the movement. The movement's identity is branded through symbols like the "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) slogan, originally from Trump's 2016 campaign, which encapsulates nationalist aspirations and serves as a unifying marker. MAGA apparel, particularly red hats, functions as a public signal of affiliation, with official Trump Store offerings including variants like the 45-47 MAGA Hat priced at $55, generating millions in campaign revenue through merchandise sales. These items transform political support into tangible, wearable identity, worn en masse at rallies to create visual cohesion and demonstrate collective commitment. Rallies amplify this branding, where crowds engage in synchronized chants such as "USA" and affirmations of Trump's leadership, cultivating an in-group identity tied to his persona and narrative of grievance against elites. Surveys reflect this solidification, with 45% of Republicans identifying more strongly with MAGA than the GOP label by May 2025, up from 38% in January, particularly among younger men. This evolution underscores Trumpism's departure from ideological conservatism toward a leader-centric movement, where personal loyalty and branded symbols sustain cohesion amid policy disputes.

Policy Priorities

Domestic Economic Policies

Trumpism emphasizes supply-side economic measures to stimulate growth, prioritizing tax reductions and regulatory relief to enhance business incentives, job creation, and wage gains for American workers. Central to this approach was the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of December 22, 2017, which lowered the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% and reduced individual income tax rates across brackets, with the top marginal rate dropping from 39.6% to 37%. Proponents argued these changes would boost investment and productivity by increasing after-tax returns on capital. Empirical analyses through 2019 indicate the TCJA raised after-tax household incomes, particularly benefiting higher earners, while federal debt increased substantially due to revenue shortfalls estimated at $1.9 trillion over a decade before economic feedback. Studies found modest effects on GDP growth and investment, with no significant acceleration in wages or labor force participation beyond pre-existing trends, challenging claims of transformative supply-side impacts. Deregulation formed another pillar, with the administration issuing executive orders mandating a "two-for-one" rule requiring agencies to eliminate two regulations for each new one, later escalating to a "10-to-1" target in Trump's second term starting January 2025. This effort rescinded over 20,000 pages of federal regulations between 2017 and 2021, focusing on environmental, financial, and energy sectors to reduce compliance costs estimated at $220 billion annually. In energy, rollbacks of Clean Power Plan restrictions and expedited permitting for fossil fuel extraction contributed to U.S. net energy exports surpassing imports by 2019, lowering household energy costs by approximately $2,500 per family through 2020 via increased domestic production. Critics, including environmental groups, contend such measures heightened risks of ecological and safety incidents, though data on net economic benefits from deregulation show compliance savings outweighed costs in targeted industries like manufacturing. Fiscal policy under Trumpism rejected expansive government spending as a growth driver, favoring deficit-financed tax relief over infrastructure megaprojects, despite initial promises of a $1 trillion plan that largely stalled in Congress. Pre-COVID unemployment fell to 3.5% by February 2020, with real median household income rising 6.8% from 2016 to 2019, though causal attribution to policies remains debated amid inherited momentum from prior expansions. Trumpism critiques establishment economics for overlooking how overregulation and high taxes erode manufacturing competitiveness, advocating instead for policies restoring blue-collar prosperity through direct incentives rather than redistribution. Extension of TCJA provisions, set to expire in 2025, remains a core demand, projected to add $3.8 trillion to deficits if enacted without offsets, underscoring a preference for growth over balanced budgets.

Immigration and Border Security

Trumpism prioritizes stringent border enforcement to deter illegal entries, framing mass unauthorized migration as an "invasion" that undermines wage levels for American workers, strains public resources, and increases crime risks, based on data linking illegal immigration to higher incidences of certain offenses. Proponents argue that causal factors like weak deterrence under prior administrations—such as catch-and-release practices—directly fueled surges, necessitating physical barriers, expedited removals, and asylum limits to restore control. This stance rejects expansive humanitarian interpretations of immigration law, emphasizing national interest over global obligations, with empirical evidence from reduced crossings under enforcement cited as validation. A cornerstone policy is the construction of a border wall along the U.S.-Mexico border, initiated via executive action and congressional funding reallocations during Trump's first term (2017-2021), resulting in 450 miles of new or reinforced barriers by January 2021. In his second term, beginning January 2025, the administration awarded contracts for additional wall segments, prioritizing high-traffic areas to channel crossings toward ports of entry for vetting. Advocates credit such infrastructure with disrupting smuggling operations, as Border Patrol data show barriers correlate with localized apprehension drops of up to 90% in targeted sectors. Key enforcement measures include the Migrant Protection Protocols (MPP, or "Remain in Mexico"), implemented in 2019, which required asylum claimants to await hearings in Mexico, reducing fraudulent claims by over 70% per government assessments, and Title 42 public health expulsions from March 2020 to May 2023, which facilitated over 2.8 million rapid returns. Asylum restrictions, such as the 2018 rule barring entries via unsafe third countries without prior applications, aimed to end the pull factor of automatic releases, with data indicating apprehensions fell to historic lows of under 17,000 monthly by mid-2019. Interior enforcement focused on removable criminal noncitizens, though overall deportations averaged 250,000-300,000 annually in the first term, lower than peaks under Obama due to resource shifts toward border priorities. Border encounter statistics underscore policy impacts: under Trump’s first term, southwest land apprehensions and inadmissibles averaged 400,000-500,000 yearly pre-COVID, dropping sharply post-measures; in contrast, the subsequent administration saw over 11 million encounters from 2021-2025, including record highs exceeding 300,000 monthly. In the second Trump term, nationwide Border Patrol apprehensions hit new lows, with June 2025 recording 8,024 and July 2025 at 24,630—down nearly 90% from Biden-era monthly averages—attributed to reinstated MPP, mass deportation operations targeting over 1 million initial removals, and executive orders declaring illegal crossings a national emergency. Trumpism advocates reforming legal immigration to merit-based systems, slashing family-chain migration (which accounts for 65% of green cards) and visa lotteries in favor of skills and economic contributions, as outlined in Trump’s 2019 proposal to Congress, while debating executive limits on birthright citizenship for children of illegal entrants. These reforms aim to align inflows with labor market needs, citing studies showing low-skilled immigration depresses native wages by 1-3% in affected sectors. Critics from advocacy groups claim humanitarian costs, but proponents counter with evidence of policy efficacy in curbing got-aways (estimated at 1.5 million under lax enforcement) and fentanyl trafficking tied to border porosity. Overall, the approach privileges verifiable deterrence over amnesty, with second-term actions like suspending undocumented processing reinforcing zero-tolerance for violations.

Foreign Policy and National Security

Trumpism's foreign policy is anchored in the "America First" doctrine, which subordinates international commitments to direct U.S. national interests, emphasizing economic reciprocity, military strength, and avoidance of protracted overseas interventions. Articulated in President Trump's December 2017 National Security Strategy (NSS), this approach identifies great-power competition—particularly with China and Russia—as the central challenge, shifting away from post-Cold War emphasis on liberal internationalism and nation-building. The NSS prioritizes protecting the American homeland, promoting prosperity through fair trade, and preserving peace via deterrence rather than ideological promotion of democracy abroad. Proponents argue this realism curbs wasteful spending, as evidenced by Trump's insistence on NATO allies meeting the 2% GDP defense spending guideline, which saw compliance rise from 3 countries in 2016 to 10 by 2020. Critics from establishment foreign policy circles, however, contend it undermines alliances, though empirical data shows no net decline in U.S. global military positioning during the first Trump term. In the Middle East, Trumpism pursued deal-oriented diplomacy over multilateral frameworks, achieving the Abraham Accords in September 2020, which normalized relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco without preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood. This built on a "maximum pressure" campaign against Iran, including withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal in May 2018 and the January 2020 drone strike eliminating Qasem Soleimani, head of Iran's Quds Force, which Trump administration officials credited with disrupting Iranian proxy activities and averting imminent threats. The policy avoided new ground wars, with Trump famously stating in 2019 that "great nations do not fight endless wars," aligning with a broader aversion to interventions like those in Iraq and Afghanistan that drained U.S. resources without clear strategic gains. Toward adversaries, actions included imposing tariffs on over $380 billion in Chinese goods starting in 2018 to counter intellectual property theft and trade imbalances, alongside summits with North Korea's Kim Jong-un in 2018-2019 that reduced missile tests temporarily, though without a finalized denuclearization agreement. National security under Trumpism integrates border control with traditional defense, viewing uncontrolled immigration as a vector for crime, drugs, and terrorism, as highlighted in the NSS's focus on sovereignty and interior threats. This manifested in executive actions like the 2017 travel ban on nationals from several terrorism-linked countries and construction of over 450 miles of border barriers by 2021. Military reforms emphasized modernization, with defense budgets rising from $606 billion in fiscal year 2017 to $738 billion in 2020, funding advancements in cyber, space, and hypersonic capabilities; the creation of the U.S. Space Force in December 2019 formalized space as a warfighting domain amid Chinese and Russian advances. Trumpism rejects viewing economic interdependence as inherently pacifying, instead treating supply chain vulnerabilities—exposed during the COVID-19 pandemic—as security risks warranting reshoring critical industries like semiconductors. Overall, this framework prioritizes measurable outcomes like reduced trade deficits with select partners over abstract global norms, reflecting a causal view that U.S. leverage stems from self-reliance rather than institutional entanglement.

Law Enforcement and Criminal Justice

Trumpism prioritizes robust law enforcement and a "tough on crime" approach to criminal justice, emphasizing deterrence, swift prosecution, and support for police amid rising urban violence and opposition to progressive reforms perceived as undermining public safety. Adherents advocate restoring "law and order" rhetoric, as articulated in Trump's 2016 Republican National Convention speech and subsequent campaigns, framing urban unrest—particularly following the 2020 George Floyd protests—as a consequence of lax enforcement and "defund the police" initiatives. This stance aligns with causal analyses linking reduced policing to spikes in homicides, with FBI data showing a 30% increase in murders from 2019 to 2020 in major cities. Central to Trumpist policy is bolstering police funding and authority, rejecting movements to cut budgets or impose restrictive oversight. Trump opposed "defund the police" proposals, pledging in 2020 to increase federal grants for community policing and equipment, contrasting with Democratic-led cities where budgets were slashed by up to 6% in 2020. In his second term, executive actions directed federal agencies to prioritize aggressive tactics against criminals while protecting officers from undue civil rights scrutiny, aiming to reverse perceived demoralization post-2020 riots. Supporters cite empirical declines in crime under Trump's first-term pre-2020 policies, with violent crime rates dropping 5.4% from 2016 to 2019 per Bureau of Justice Statistics. On criminal justice reform, Trumpism endorses targeted measures for non-violent offenders while maintaining harsh penalties for violent crimes and drug trafficking. The First Step Act, signed by Trump on December 21, 2018, reduced mandatory minimums for certain drug offenses, expanded rehabilitation programs, and retroactively applied fair sentencing reductions, leading to over 3,000 sentence commutations by 2020 and a 4% drop in federal recidivism rates post-implementation. However, the movement critiques overly broad decarceration, favoring expanded death penalty use; Trump proposed federal capital punishment for drug kingpins and traffickers in 2018, directing the DOJ to seek it aggressively, and reiterated this in 2023 campaign pledges to combat the opioid crisis, which claimed over 100,000 lives annually. In 2025, an executive order restored federal executions for heinous crimes, reflecting deterrence-focused realism over abolitionist views dominant in academia. Trumpists target "soft-on-crime" prosecutors, often funded by progressive donors, for contributing to recidivism; analyses show jurisdictions with such DAs experiencing 10-20% higher crime rates. Immigration enforcement intersects here, with calls for designating cartels as terrorists and imposing maximum penalties on smugglers, linking border security to domestic safety. Overall, the approach balances empirical rehabilitation incentives with unyielding punishment for threats to order, diverging from left-leaning sources' portrayals of systemic overreach by prioritizing victim outcomes and causal links between enforcement and crime reduction.

Social and Cultural Aspects

Appeal to Working-Class Voters

Trumpism's appeal to working-class voters, often defined as non-college-educated individuals in blue-collar sectors, manifested in significant electoral gains, particularly in Rust Belt states during the 2016 election, where Donald Trump secured victories in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by margins of 0.2%, 0.7%, and 0.7%, respectively, flipping them from Democratic control through strong support from white non-college voters, who favored him 67% to 28%. This pattern persisted in 2020, with Trump maintaining 65% support among white non-college voters, and expanded in 2024, where he achieved near parity with Kamala Harris among Hispanic voters (losing by only 3 points) and gained ground among Black voters, contributing to a more diverse coalition that included working-class non-whites. Central to this appeal was Trump's rhetorical framing of working-class Americans as "forgotten men and women," a phrase invoked in his 2016 victory speech to highlight neglect by political elites and promise restoration of their economic standing. This resonated with voters disillusioned by globalization's impact, as Trump positioned himself against establishment policies favoring coastal urban professionals over manufacturing and trade-dependent communities. Policy-wise, Trumpism emphasized protectionist measures like tariffs on imports from China and renegotiation of trade deals such as NAFTA into the USMCA, aimed at repatriating manufacturing jobs and shielding domestic workers from foreign competition. During Trump's first term, U.S. manufacturing employment increased by 462,000 jobs in the initial two years (2017-2018), with a net gain of over 350,000 by March 2020, attributed in part to deregulation and energy policies boosting sectors like steel and oil. These efforts, coupled with pledges to curb immigration to reduce wage suppression in low-skilled labor markets, addressed causal factors like offshoring and trade imbalances that empirical data link to working-class wage stagnation since the 1990s. Critics from academic and media institutions, which exhibit systemic left-leaning biases in source selection and framing, argue tariffs raised costs without proportionally restoring jobs, yet voter persistence in supporting Trumpism indicates perceived alignment with first-principles priorities of national economic sovereignty over multilateral free trade abstractions. This appeal extended beyond economics to cultural affirmation, rejecting identity-based redistribution in favor of meritocratic opportunity for those adhering to traditional work ethics, thereby sustaining loyalty among voters prioritizing tangible job security over abstract equity narratives.

Emphasis on Traditional Masculinity and Family Values

Trumpism elevates traditional conceptions of masculinity, portraying strength, competitiveness, and assertiveness as virtues essential to leadership and national resilience. Proponents within the movement, including Trump himself, have contrasted this with what they describe as emasculating cultural trends, such as criticisms of "toxic masculinity" or policies perceived to undermine male roles. Research indicates that adherence to traditional masculinity stereotypes—emphasizing traits like stoicism, dominance, and risk-taking—correlates with stronger support for Trump among men, particularly those feeling disenfranchised by economic and social changes. In speeches and rallies, Trump has modeled this archetype through pugilistic rhetoric, boasting of toughness and decrying weakness, as seen in his 2024 campaign appeals framing electoral choices as tests of manhood. This emphasis extends to rejecting progressive interventions in gender norms, with Trump pledging in November 2024 to halt gender-affirming treatments for minors and redirect educational focus toward "family values" rather than identity-based curricula. Allies in the administration have heralded an "era of real masculinity" under Trump's "muscular leadership," linking it to policy successes like border enforcement and economic deregulation. Such positioning appeals to working-class and rural voters, where surveys show men valuing these traits report higher alignment with Trumpism's anti-elitist stance. On family values, Trumpism advocates for bolstering nuclear family structures rooted in Judeo-Christian principles, prioritizing parental authority and self-reliance over state dependency. Trump has repeatedly affirmed belief in family as foundational to society, stating in a 2024 address that Americans are "united around values of 'family,' 'religious freedom,'" and parental rights against school indoctrination. Policies during his first term included expansions of paid family leave and child tax credits aimed at supporting working parents, framed as empowering families rather than supplanting them. The movement critiques welfare expansions and no-fault divorce laws for eroding family stability, drawing on data showing correlations between family breakdown and social ills like crime and poverty. Trumpism's pro-natalist tilt, evident in post-2024 discussions of incentives for higher birth rates, underscores commitment to traditional reproduction within marriage, viewing declining fertility—down to 1.6 births per woman in 2023—as a civilizational threat tied to familial erosion. This stance integrates with opposition to abortion, solidified by Trump's judicial appointments leading to the 2022 Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade, which movement figures hail as restoring state-level protections for unborn life aligned with family-centric ethics. Overall, these elements position Trumpism as a bulwark against cultural individualism, favoring empirical links between intact families and societal health, such as lower juvenile delinquency rates in two-parent households per longitudinal studies.

Integration with Evangelical and Christian Nationalism

White evangelical Protestants have provided consistent and overwhelming electoral support for Donald Trump, with approximately 81% backing him in the 2016 presidential election, 76-84% in 2020, and around 80% in 2024. This allegiance persisted despite Trump's limited personal religious observance, driven primarily by alignment on policy issues such as judicial appointments and protections for religious exercise. Polling data indicate that evangelicals prioritized outcomes like the reversal of Roe v. Wade over character concerns, viewing Trump as an effective defender against perceived secular encroachments. Prominent evangelical leaders played a pivotal role in integrating Trumpism with conservative Christian constituencies. Jerry Falwell Jr., president of Liberty University, endorsed Trump in January 2016, emphasizing his leadership qualities over traditional moral standards. Franklin Graham and James Dobson also lent support, framing Trump as a bulwark against cultural decline. In June 2016, Trump's campaign formed an Evangelical Executive Advisory Board including figures like Tony Perkins and Paula White, which advised on faith-related issues and solidified institutional ties. These endorsements helped normalize Trump's candidacy among evangelicals, shifting focus from personal piety to pragmatic political efficacy. Trump's policy record reinforced this integration through actions advancing religious liberty and pro-life objectives. During his first term, Trump appointed three Supreme Court justices—Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett—who contributed to the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision overturning Roe v. Wade, a landmark victory for pro-life advocates. Executive orders protected religious organizations from contraception mandates and expanded conscience exemptions, while the administration prioritized faith-based initiatives and defended religious expression in public spaces. These measures, including support for Israel's recognition of Jerusalem as capital in 2017, aligned with evangelical eschatological and moral priorities, fostering a transactional yet enduring partnership. Trumpism intersects with Christian nationalism, a worldview positing America as inherently Christian and favoring policies reflecting biblical law, though the overlap is partial and contested. Surveys link higher Christian nationalist adherence among white evangelicals to stronger Trump support, with adherents viewing his presidency as restoring divine favor to the nation amid cultural shifts like same-sex marriage legalization. However, Trump himself has not explicitly endorsed theocratic elements, emphasizing instead civic nationalism and policy results; many evangelicals back him for secular reasons like economic populism rather than confessional identity. Critics from within evangelical circles argue that equating Trumpism with Christian nationalism risks conflating political expediency with theological purity, yet empirical data show sustained mobilization around shared opposition to progressive cultural mandates.

Response to Cultural Shifts and Identity Politics

Trumpism critiques cultural shifts toward identity politics as fostering division by emphasizing group-based grievances over individual achievement, meritocracy, and national cohesion. Proponents argue that these shifts, often advanced through frameworks like critical race theory and diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives, undermine traditional American principles of equal opportunity and color-blind justice. This response aligns with empirical trends showing widespread public skepticism; for example, a 2024 Economist analysis of polling data indicated that support for "woke" positions has declined, with America surpassing "peak woke" as views on race and gender issues revert toward moderation. Similarly, a November 2024 Newsweek survey found bipartisan rejection of terms like "Latinx" and "cultural appropriation," with only minority usage despite promotion by elite institutions. A key policy manifestation occurred on September 22, 2020, when President Trump signed Executive Order 13950, "Combating Race and Sex Stereotyping," which barred federal agencies, contractors, and grant recipients from using taxpayer funds for trainings espousing "divisive concepts" such as the idea that the U.S. or its institutions are inherently oppressive or that individuals bear collective guilt based on race or sex. The order explicitly targeted practices linked to critical race theory, which posits systemic racism as embedded in all societal structures, arguing they promote resentment and scapegoating rather than unity. This built on the January 2020 establishment of the 1776 Commission, which condemned identity politics for infusing history education with "bitterness" and portraying America as a perpetual oppressor-oppressed dynamic, thereby eroding civic pride. Trumpism's rhetoric frames these cultural changes as an elite-driven imposition, disconnected from working-class realities, with Trump repeatedly decrying "political correctness" and "cancel culture" as stifling free speech and punishing dissent. Historian Victor Davis Hanson characterized this as Trump's "total culture war," a comprehensive pushback against progressive norms reshaping language, education, and institutions since the 2010s. Public opinion data supports resonance with this stance; Pew Research's 2024 survey on cultural issues revealed that Republican-leaning voters, core to Trumpism, overwhelmingly prioritize merit over equity in areas like hiring and admissions, with 72% opposing race-based preferences. Gallup polls similarly show stable or conservative views on social issues among men, contrasting with liberal shifts among women, highlighting Trumpism's appeal to those perceiving cultural overreach. In practice, this response extends to gender ideology, with Trump pledging to safeguard women's sports and spaces from transgender participation, citing biological differences as empirically grounded rather than socially constructed. Supporters view identity politics as eroding sex-based rights, a position echoed in polling where 69% of Americans oppose transgender athletes competing in women's categories. Trumpism thus promotes assimilation and shared values—epitomized in slogans like "American identity"—over multiculturalism that privileges hyphenated identities, arguing the latter correlates with rising social fragmentation as measured by trust surveys showing 77% of Americans perceiving greater division since 2020. While critics from academia and media—often exhibiting left-leaning biases in source selection—label this nativist or reactionary, empirical outcomes like the 2024 election gains among Hispanic and Black voters suggest identity politics alienated even traditional Democratic bases, bolstering Trumpism's causal claim of cultural realism over grievance narratives.

Institutional and Media Interactions

Confrontations with Mainstream Media

Trump frequently characterized mainstream media outlets as biased adversaries during his 2016 presidential campaign, coining and popularizing the term "fake news" to describe reporting he deemed fabricated or selectively edited to undermine his positions, such as on immigration and trade policies. This rhetoric intensified after his election, with Trump asserting on February 17, 2017, at the Conservative Political Action Conference that the "fake news media" constituted "the enemy of the American people" for what he described as systematically negative and misleading coverage of his administration's early actions. He reiterated the "enemy of the people" label in over 50 negative tweets about the press by early 2019, often in response to stories on topics like the Russia investigation, which he claimed were based on anonymous sources and unverified leaks. Analyses of coverage tone substantiated elements of Trump's critique: a Shorenstein Center study at Harvard University found that major outlets delivered 80% negative coverage of Trump in his first 100 days, compared to 20% for Obama and 28% for Bush, with The New York Times at 87% negative and The Washington Post at 83%. A Media Research Center review of evening newscasts from ABC, CBS, and NBC in early 2025 showed 92% negative segments on Trump, focusing disproportionately on controversies while minimizing policy achievements like border security metrics. Trump supporters viewed these patterns as evidence of institutional left-leaning bias in newsrooms, where surveys indicate journalists' political donations skew heavily Democratic, prompting Trump's direct appeals to audiences via rallies and social media to counter what he called "corrupt" narratives. Confrontations extended to public events and legal actions. At rallies, Trump often gestured toward the press section, accusing reporters of dishonesty in real time, as in a July 2018 Montana event where he labeled critical outlets "the enemy of the people" amid coverage of his Supreme Court nominee. In press briefings, he selectively called on favorable outlets like Fox News while criticizing others, leading to restrictions on access for CNN's Jim Acosta in November 2018 after a heated exchange over immigration policy. Legally, Trump pursued defamation suits, including a July 2, 2025, settlement with CBS over edited footage from a "60 Minutes" interview that he alleged misrepresented his comments on election integrity, and a July 18, 2025, $10 billion lawsuit against The Wall Street Journal for a story on his correspondence with foreign leaders. These efforts, including threats to review broadcast licenses for "fake news" violations, aimed to enforce accountability but drew accusations from media organizations of undermining press freedoms. By the 2024 election cycle, Trump's verbal attacks exceeded 100 instances in an eight-week period analyzed by Reporters Without Borders, primarily targeting outlets for alleged election misinformation, though supporters argued this reflected justified pushback against coordinated opposition rather than authoritarianism. This sustained antagonism fostered distrust among his base—polls showed only 14% of Republicans trusted mainstream media in 2024—while elevating alternative platforms and contributing to declining viewership for traditional networks.

Reforms Targeting Bureaucracy and Deep State

Trumpism emphasizes reasserting presidential control over the federal bureaucracy, which proponents argue has expanded into an unaccountable "deep state" that undermines democratic accountability by thwarting elected leaders' policies. This perspective views the administrative state—comprising career civil servants in policy-influencing roles—as resistant to oversight, with empirical evidence from instances like intelligence community leaks and regulatory delays during the first Trump term cited as examples of institutional sabotage. Reforms target reducing bureaucratic layers, enhancing at-will employment for key positions, and slashing regulations to limit unelected influence on economic and national security decisions. A cornerstone initiative was the creation of Schedule F via Executive Order 13957 on October 21, 2020, which aimed to reclassify tens of thousands of policy-determining federal employees—estimated at up to 50,000 by the Office of Personnel Management—from protected civil service status to an excepted service category, allowing easier removal for poor performance or policy misalignment. This addressed the Civil Service Reform Act of 1978's limitations, where only about 0.5% of federal employees faced adverse actions annually despite documented inefficiencies, by enabling presidents to hold senior bureaucrats accountable without protracted processes. The Biden administration revoked Schedule F in 2021, but Trump reinstated it on January 20, 2025, renaming it Schedule Policy/Career to facilitate supervision of the executive branch. Regulatory rollback formed another pillar, with Executive Order 13771 (January 30, 2017) imposing a "2-for-1" rule requiring agencies to eliminate two existing regulations for each new one, resulting in a net reduction of over 20,000 regulatory actions by 2021 and an estimated $220 billion in annualized savings per the Council of Economic Advisers. This extended into the second term, with orders on February 19, 2025, and March 14, 2025, directing the elimination of non-statutory bureaucratic functions deemed unnecessary, targeting agencies like the EPA and DOJ for streamlining. Broader "drain the swamp" efforts included hiring freezes, agency reorganizations, and vows to prosecute leakers, framed as combating entrenched interests; for instance, a 2017 executive order imposed a 90-day freeze on federal hiring to assess workforce needs, leading to a 10% cut in non-defense discretionary spending requests. In 2025, additional orders mandated accountable hiring practices and reduced bureaucracy by consolidating duplicative functions, with Trump publicly stating intentions to remove officials resisting reforms to "restore true democracy." These measures, while criticized by unions for politicizing the civil service, align with first-term achievements like deregulating 8.2 billion hours of compliance burdens, per the American Action Forum.

Engagements with Social Media Platforms

Trump extensively utilized Twitter (now X) to communicate directly with the public, posting over 25,000 tweets during his presidency, which allowed him to circumvent traditional media filters and shape narratives on policy, elections, and criticisms of opponents. This approach exemplified Trumpism's emphasis on unmediated populism, enabling rapid mobilization of supporters through concise, often provocative messages that amplified his messages via retweets and media coverage. Tensions escalated in May 2020 when Twitter applied fact-check labels to two of Trump's tweets asserting unsubstantiated claims about mail-in voting fraud, prompting him to sign Executive Order 13925 on Preventing Online Censorship on May 28, 2020. The order directed federal agencies to reinterpret Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, arguing that platforms engaging in editorial "censorship" of user content forfeited liability protections as neutral intermediaries, aiming to curb perceived anti-conservative bias by tech companies. Courts later blocked parts of the order, but it highlighted Trumpism's critique of Big Tech as an unelected power suppressing dissenting views. Following the January 6, 2021, Capitol events, Twitter permanently suspended Trump's account on January 8, 2021, citing risks of incitement to violence, alongside bans from Facebook and Instagram. In response, Trump launched Truth Social in February 2022, positioning it as a free-speech alternative to "Big Tech" platforms accused of political discrimination. The platform, developed by Trump Media & Technology Group, prioritized uncensored discourse and became a primary channel for his posts, driving significant news attention during the 2022 midterms despite a smaller user base than mainstream sites. Elon Musk reinstated Trump's X account on November 19, 2022, following a user poll where 52% favored restoration, reversing the prior suspension under new ownership emphasizing reduced content moderation. Trump initially declined active use, prioritizing Truth Social, but resumed posting on August 24, 2023, sharing his Georgia mug shot to 85 million followers, which garnered millions of views. Into 2024 and 2025, Trump maintained dual-platform engagement, leveraging Truth Social for core supporters and X for broader reach, while advocating reforms to Section 230 to enforce neutrality and criticizing platforms for alleged suppression of conservative content. This strategy reinforced Trumpism's narrative of combating institutional censorship to restore open discourse. Trump's judicial appointment strategy emphasized selecting jurists committed to originalism and textualism, interpretive methods prioritizing the Constitution's original public meaning and statutes' ordinary text over policy-driven or evolving standards. This approach aimed to curb perceived judicial activism that had expanded administrative power and social policies beyond legislative intent. Trump pledged during his 2016 campaign to nominate Supreme Court justices in the mold of Antonin Scalia, a promise fulfilled through consultations with the Federalist Society and lists of vetted conservative candidates. From January 2017 to January 2021, the Trump administration nominated and secured Senate confirmation for 234 Article III federal judges, a record pace that included three Supreme Court justices—Neil Gorsuch (confirmed April 10, 2017, replacing Antonin Scalia), Brett Kavanaugh (confirmed October 6, 2018, succeeding Anthony Kennedy), and Amy Coney Barrett (confirmed October 26, 2020, following Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death)—as well as 54 circuit court judges and 177 district court judges. This outpaced Barack Obama's 55 appellate confirmations over eight years, filling key vacancies and shifting ideological balance on multiple circuits. Legal strategies integral to Trumpism leveraged these appointments to dismantle regulatory overreach and affirm executive authority. The administration pursued deregulation via executive orders, such as the 2017 directive requiring agencies to repeal two regulations for each new one issued, targeting the administrative state's expansion under doctrines like Chevron deference. Post-appointment rulings, including the Supreme Court's 2024 decision in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo overturning Chevron, aligned with this textualist push by requiring courts to independently interpret statutes rather than defer to agencies. Trumpism's broader tactic involved aggressive litigation to challenge precedents, defend border security measures, and limit bureaucratic rulemaking, viewing the judiciary as a bulwark against unelected officials' policy-making. These efforts prioritized unitary executive theory, asserting presidential control over enforcement priorities while relying on originalist judges to validate actions against institutional resistance.

Global Parallels and Influences

Similarities with International Populist Leaders

Trumpism shares core ideological and rhetorical elements with populist movements led by figures such as Hungary's Viktor Orbán, Brazil's Jair Bolsonaro, Italy's Giorgia Meloni, and France's Marine Le Pen, particularly in their mutual emphasis on national sovereignty, economic protectionism, and resistance to elite-driven globalism. These leaders, like Trump, prioritize policies that elevate domestic interests over multilateral commitments, such as Orbán's rejection of EU-imposed migrant quotas in 2015, which echoed Trump's 2016 border wall proposal and travel bans targeting high-risk countries from 2017 onward. Both Trump and Orbán have cultivated parallel media ecosystems to counter perceived mainstream biases, framing narratives around antimulticulturalism and antiglobalist threats, with Orbán's state-aligned outlets promoting "Christian Europe" in ways analogous to Trumpism's defense of American exceptionalism. Similarities extend to personalist leadership styles and appeals to working-class voters alienated by cosmopolitan institutions. Bolsonaro, who served as Brazil's president from 2019 to 2023, mirrored Trump's brash outsider persona and anti-corruption rhetoric, drawing support from rural and evangelical bases through vows to dismantle "deep state" bureaucracies, much like Trump's 2016 promises to "drain the swamp." Voter analyses reveal overlapping demographics: both garnered backing from less-educated, economically insecure demographics skeptical of urban elites, with Bolsonaro's 2018 victory—securing 55% of the vote—paralleling Trump's 2016 Rust Belt gains among white working-class voters. Meloni's Brothers of Italy, which won 26% in Italy's 2022 elections, aligns in advocating family-centric policies and naval patrols to curb Mediterranean migration, reflecting Trumpism's fusion of nationalism with cultural conservatism against progressive identity politics. Critics from academic and media outlets often highlight these parallels as of illiberal convergence, yet empirical policy overlaps—such as Le Pen's pushing for France's 2023 immigration law tightening asylum rules, akin to Trump's 2018 executive actions—demonstrate pragmatic responses to voter concerns over sovereignty , rather than mere authoritarian . Le Pen's platform, like Trumpism, challenges post-World War II supranational norms, advocating "Frexit" referendums in earlier iterations and prioritizing French workers in EU labor markets, though recent distancing reflects tactical adaptations to domestic electorates. These shared traits underscore a broader populist reaction to globalization's dislocations, evidenced by synchronized rises in support amid economic stagnation: Orbán's Fidesz held power since 2010 with supermajorities, bolstering Hungary's GDP growth to 4.1% in 2023 via protectionist measures. While sources like European Council on Foreign Relations publications frame such dynamics through a liberal lens, primary policy records affirm causal links to domestic prioritization over ideological purity.

Spread to Allied Nations Post-2016

Following Trump's , populist movements in allied nations adopted elements of Trumpism, including , restrictions, and critiques of supranational institutions, though causal varied and pre-existing trends often amplified rather than originated from U.S. influence. In the , Boris Johnson's premiership and mirrored Trumpist themes of restoration and anti-elite , with Johnson emphasizing and national revival in ways that paralleled Trump's "" . Johnson publicly expressed for Trump, stating in that he was " admiring" of him, while Trump reciprocated by Johnson "Britain Trump." In Italy, manifestations of Italian Trumpism are evident in populist movements led by figures such as Matteo Salvini of the League and Giorgia Meloni of , sharing nationalist, anti-elite, and protectionist elements through policies on immigration control, EU skepticism, and direct voter engagement. Salvini's leadership in the late 2010s featured aggressive stances against migrant arrivals and economic protectionism, paralleling Trump's approach, while Meloni's party, which gained power in 2022, drew ideological parallels to Trumpism through its emphasis on , , and resistance to EU overreach, positioning Meloni as a key European ally to Trump. Meloni attended Trump's 2025 inauguration as the sole EU head of government invited, and Trump has praised her as a "privileged ally" sharing conservative priorities on immigration and cultural preservation. Her "Italy First" framing echoed Trumpist bilateralism over multilateralism. Hungary's , whose consolidated power pre-, deepened ties with Trump post-election, endorsing his campaign as beneficial for and hosting multiple meetings, including at in where Trump lauded Orbán's . Orbán's model of centralized and media control influenced U.S. conservative , with Trump allies studying Hungary's approaches to electoral and . In , a U.S. partner in hemispheric , Jair 's 2018 and explicitly emulated Trumpism, with Bolsonaro adopting tactics like denialism rhetoric and allying on anti-globalist stances, earning the moniker "Trump of the ." Bolsonaro's supporters cultivated parallels in roles, emphasizing self-images as disruptors. Conversely, in Canada and Australia, Trumpist-inspired faced electoral setbacks post-2016, with national elections delivering victories to centrist parties amid backlash against MAGA-style disruption, as voters imported on and cultural grievances. This highlighted limits to Trumpism's transatlantic in stable parliamentary systems, where with the U.S. tempered radical shifts.

Distinctions from European Right-Wing Movements

Trumpism diverges from European right-wing movements in its economic orientation, emphasizing , , and renegotiations over expansive welfare programs. While many European radical-right parties welfare —supporting robust social benefits restricted to native citizens—Trumpism prioritizes job creation through tariffs and without comparable commitments to welfare expansion. For instance, the under Trump lowered the rate from 35% to 21%, fostering growth amid protectionist measures like tariffs, contrasting with parties such as France's or Germany's AfD, which integrate statist interventions to to working-class voters wary of . Organizationally, Trumpism revolves around a charismatic personality cult centered on Donald Trump, fostering intense personal loyalty that overrides traditional party structures within the Republican Party. This differs from European counterparts like Italy's Brothers of Italy or the Netherlands' Party for Freedom, which operate as more institutionalized parties with programmatic platforms and less dependence on a singular leader's persona, even if figures like Giorgia Meloni or Geert Wilders exhibit strong individualism. European movements often maintain ideological continuity through party apparatuses, enabling coalitions despite internal divisions, whereas Trumpism's fealty to Trump has led to purges of dissenters, as seen in the post-2020 election realignments. Foreign policy distinctions further highlight variances, with Trumpism's "America First" clashing against the supranational focus of European right-wing Euroskepticism. European parties prioritize reforming or dismantling EU structures to restore national sovereignty, advocating intergovernmental rather than outright withdrawal in most cases, while Trumpism multilateral institutions like NATO through demands for higher allied spending without equivalent domestic federalist debates. Divergent views on exemplify this: pro-Russian stances in parties like AfD or Hungary's Fidesz contrast with Trumpism's pragmatic overtures to Putin amid NATO , yet Trump maintains staunch pro-Israel positions absent in some European movements with historical antisemitic undercurrents. These rifts, compounded by latent anti-Americanism in bases of parties like , limit transatlantic alignment despite shared anti-immigration rhetoric. Culturally, Trumpism stresses anti-political correctness and free speech as bulwarks against overreach, often pragmatically navigating social issues like abortion through judicial appointments rather than doctrinal rigidity. European right-wing movements, by contrast, frequently embed deeper commitments to or traditional structures, as in Brothers of Italy's emphasis on natalist policies, reflecting continent-specific responses to and demographic decline. This results in Trumpism's relative —""—versus the defensive preservationism in European platforms, where intertwine more explicitly with historical grievances over .

Criticisms, Defenses, and Empirical Assessments

Claims of Authoritarianism and Illiberalism

Critics of Trumpism, particularly within academic and mainstream media circles, have frequently alleged that it embodies authoritarian and illiberal tendencies, pointing to Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns, admiration for strongman leaders, and challenges to institutional norms as precursors to democratic erosion. A 2025 survey of over 500 political scientists revealed that approximately 80% viewed the United States as transitioning from liberal democracy toward competitive authoritarianism under Trump's influence, characterized by weakened checks and balances and personalized rule. These assessments often draw from frameworks like those in Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt's How Democracies Die, which highlight Trump's norm-breaking—such as questioning judicial independence and media legitimacy—as mutual democratic erosion, though the authors' emphasis on elite cooperation overlooks Trump's electoral mandates in 2016 and 2024. Trump's rhetoric has been a focal point, with analyses showing an escalation in violent and autocratic language over time; for example, a study of speeches from 2015 to 2024 found his references to force, threats, and retribution increased threefold, exceeding levels in speeches by other democratic leaders and evoking comparisons to historical autocrats. Specific instances include his 2023 campaign remark joking about being a "dictator on day one" to close borders and expand drilling, which opponents interpreted as revealing intent despite the hyperbolic context, and repeated labeling of the press as the "enemy of the people," a phrase echoing authoritarian propaganda tactics. Additionally, Trump's praise for leaders like Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong-un, and Viktor Orbán—such as calling Putin's Ukraine invasion "genius" in 2022—has fueled claims of affinity for illiberal governance models that prioritize executive dominance over pluralistic institutions. Allegations extend to actions perceived as power consolidation, including the , 2021, Capitol events, framed by detractors as an attempted self-coup incited by Trump's fraud claims, despite subsequent acquittals in trials and lack of of for overthrow. Efforts to the federal , such as F proposals to reclassify civil servants for easier dismissal, are cited as purges akin to authoritarian tests, though proponents argue they address entrenched resistance to elected mandates rather than dismantle . Illiberalism claims also target Trumpism's rejection of post-1945 , with policies like border expansion and withdrawal from agreements seen as nativist erosions of universal norms, yet empirical reviews note these align with voter-driven without suspending constitutional liberties. Counterarguments from alternative scholarly perspectives frame these as hyperbolic, emphasizing that Trump operated within democratic bounds—leaving in , mounting legal challenges via courts, and securing re-election in —without suspending , elections, or opposition parties, hallmarks of true . Dissenting political , comprising about 20% in the aforementioned survey, attribute the narrative's to institutional biases in academia and media, where left-leaning dominance amplifies illiberal labels on conservative reforms while downplaying parallel progressive encroachments on speech and procedure. Empirical metrics, such as sustained democracy scores for the U.S. during Trump's first term (remaining "free" at 83/100 in ) and intact electoral turnover, undermine assertions of systemic , suggesting claims often conflate populist disruption with existential threats.

Economic and Policy Outcomes Under Trump Administrations

During Donald Trump's first presidency from , , to , , the U.S. experienced sustained expansion prior to the , with real GDP growth averaging approximately 2.5% annually from to , driven by reforms, , and favorable global conditions. reached a 50-year low of 3.5% in , with notable declines among African American (5.4%) and (3.9%) workers, reflecting broad labor market gains. remained subdued at an average annual rate of 1.9%, while the index rose by about 48% over the measured period, contributing to household wealth increases via 401(k)s and investments. The (TCJA) of , , lowered the rate from 35% to 21% and reduced individual rates, leading to of over $1 in overseas profits and a temporary boost in . Studies indicate the TCJA increased after-tax incomes, particularly for higher earners, and modestly elevated GDP by 0.3-0.9% in the short term, though it added roughly $1.5 to federal deficits over a decade without fully offsetting revenue losses through growth. Deregulatory efforts, including the elimination of 22 existing regulations for every new one issued, reduced compliance costs by an estimated $50 billion annually, fostering sectors like energy and finance by streamlining permitting and easing environmental rules.
Key Pre-COVID Economic Indicators (2017-2019 Avg.)ValueSource
Real GDP Growth2.5%BEA
Unemployment Rate (end-2019)3.5%BLS
Inflation (CPI YoY)1.9%BLS
S&P 500 Total Return~15% annuallyYahoo Finance historical data
Trade policies, including tariffs on $350 billion of Chinese imports starting in 2018, aimed to address intellectual property theft and trade imbalances but resulted in higher consumer prices estimated at $51 billion annually and a net welfare loss of $7.2 billion to the U.S. economy, with limited reshoring of manufacturing. Energy policies achieved net exporter status by 2019, with U.S. crude oil production rising to 12.3 million barrels per day, reducing import dependence and lowering household energy costs. Immigration enforcement, via measures like the 2017 travel ban and border wall construction (452 miles completed), correlated with wage gains for low-skilled native workers in certain sectors, though overall economic impacts remain debated due to enforcement variability. The COVID-19 response included the $2.2 CARES Act signed , , providing payments, unemployment benefits, and Paycheck Protection Program loans totaling $814 billion in , which mitigated immediate GDP contraction to -3.4% in but contributed to rising deficits and disruptions. Foreign policy outcomes featured no new major wars, the normalizing Israel-Arab relations in , and pressure on allies to increase defense spending to 2% of GDP. Domestic policies like the of reduced through sentencing reforms, affecting over 90% non-violent offenders. In Trump's second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, early economic policies emphasize renewed and s, with reversing prior regulations and imposing duties up to 140% on select imports, though Q2 2025 GDP show resumed growth amid global uncertainties. Outcomes remain preliminary, with projected long-term GDP of up to 6% from expansions per modeling, offset potentially by energy dominance initiatives. restrictions have intensified , while prioritizes bilateral deals over . Empirical assessments highlight trade-offs: growth accelerations from and regulatory versus fiscal strains and inflationary pressures from , with causal links to verifiable through pre- and post-implementation rather than partisan narratives.

Psychological and Sociological Analyses of Supporters

Sociological analyses of Trump supporters highlight a diverse coalition driven by economic dislocation, cultural anxieties, and distrust of elites. In the 2016 election, white working-class voters without college degrees formed a pivotal bloc, comprising about 36% of Trump's support, motivated by grievances over manufacturing job losses in regions like the Rust Belt, where employment in that sector declined by over 30% from 2000 to 2016. Subsequent research identifies five voter typologies: Staunch Conservatives prioritizing traditional values, American Preservationists emphasizing immigration control and national identity, Anti-Elites opposing establishment figures, Free Marketeers favoring deregulation, and Disengaged voters with low information but populist leanings. By 2024, the base expanded racially, with Trump gaining 13 points among Hispanic voters and 7 points among Black voters compared to 2020, reflecting appeals to working-class minorities facing similar wage stagnation and urban decay. These shifts underscore causal factors like globalization's uneven impacts, where areas with high Trump support experienced median income drops of up to 5% more than non-supporting regions from 2008 to 2016. Psychological research yields mixed empirical results on personality traits, with findings varying by methodology and often reflecting disciplinary biases. Peer-reviewed analyses using Big Five inventories report Trump supporters scoring higher on —a trait linked to , orderliness, and rule-following—distinguishing them from broader Republican or conservative identifiers, based on surveys of over 1,000 respondents in 2020-2022. This aligns with self-reports of valuing personal responsibility and amid perceived systemic failures. Conversely, studies employing measures (, Machiavellianism, ) find elevated scores among supporters, such as 10-15% higher callousness in 2025 samples of 500+ adults, potentially tied to tolerance for aggressive against perceived threats. However, social psychology's left-leaning skew—evidenced by 90%+ liberal identification in surveys of members—prompts critiques that scales conflate preference for order with , overpathologizing from progressive norms while underemphasizing symmetric biases in opponents. Supporters' resilience to negative information about Trump stems from motivated reasoning and perceived fairness violations, per experiments where 70% of adherents dismissed allegations as politically motivated hoaxes, prioritizing outcomes like border security over personal flaws. Anti-establishment orientations amplify this, correlating with conspiracy receptivity not unique to Trumpism but heightened by events like the 2020 election disputes, where 60% of supporters cited institutional distrust rooted in empirical irregularities in swing states. Overall, causal realism points to adaptive responses to real stressors—opioid epidemics claiming 500,000+ lives in Trump-voting counties since 2010, cultural erosion via rapid demographic shifts—rather than inherent pathologies, challenging narratives from biased academic sources that frame support as irrational.

Counterarguments to Media Narratives on Extremism

![Trump MAGA rally in Greenville][float-right] Media portrayals frequently characterize Trumpism as a conduit for far-right extremism, associating its adherents with heightened risks of violence and ideological radicalization. However, empirical analyses of domestic terrorism data reveal that incidents attributable to mainstream Trump supporters remain minimal compared to broader ideological threats, with FBI assessments indicating diverse motivations including anarchist and racially motivated extremism unrelated to populist conservatism. A 2025 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) report documents a decline in right-wing terrorist attacks while noting an uptick in left-wing political violence, challenging narratives that singularly emphasize Trump-aligned groups as primary threats. Polls underscore that key Trumpist positions, such as stringent and toward global institutions, resonate with substantial portions of the American electorate, undermining claims of fringe . For instance, surveys indicate widespread concern over and , priorities aligned with Trump policies that garnered support from over 40% of voters in recent elections, reflecting mainstream rather than marginal views. Marquette polling from 2025 further shows 89% of deeming unjustified, with Trump supporters exhibiting no disproportionate endorsement of such acts relative to the general population. Quantitative studies on rhetorical impacts find no causal surge in right-wing attacks correlating with Trump's campaigns or presidency, as autoregressive models applied to the Global Terrorism Database demonstrate stable or unchanged frequencies of ideologically motivated violence pre- and post-2016. This contrasts with media amplification of isolated events like January 6, 2021, where federal data classifies most participants as non-violent protesters rather than organized terrorists, with weapons seizures rare and convictions primarily for trespass rather than seditious conspiracy. CSIS data from 1990-2024 similarly attributes the majority of anti-government incidents to a small subset of extremists, not representative of the broader Trumpist movement's policy advocacy. Critiques of media bias highlight systemic tendencies to equate conservative populism with extremism while minimizing comparable left-wing disruptions, such as 2020 urban unrest causing billions in damages and dozens of deaths, often framed as social justice rather than violent extremism. Department of Homeland Security's 2025 threat assessment warns of elevated risks from multiple domestic actors, including foreign-inspired and eco-anarchist groups, without privileging Trumpism as uniquely perilous. These patterns suggest that extremism labels applied to Trumpism often stem from interpretive framing rather than disproportionate empirical threat levels, as evidenced by balanced academic reviews emphasizing contextual violence drivers over partisan rhetoric alone.

Legacy and Ongoing Impact

Transformation of the Republican Party

Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign marked a pivotal shift in the Republican Party, as he secured the by defeating a field of 16 establishment-oriented candidates, including seasoned politicians like and , through appeals to populist sentiments on , , and . This victory reflected growing dissatisfaction among the party's base with traditional , evidenced by Trump's primary wins in states like and , where he garnered support from non-college-educated voters who prioritized economic protectionism over free orthodoxy. By 2020 and 2024, Trump's influence solidified, with him clinching the nomination decisively; in 2024, he outlasted challengers like Nikki Haley, winning over 90% of delegates after early victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, demonstrating the party's realignment around his persona and "America First" agenda. The Republican National Committee's platform evolved accordingly: the 2016 document endorsed Trump's positions on border security and trade renegotiation, the 2020 version retained it verbatim amid internal debates, and the 2024 platform, the first major update since 2016, explicitly adopted "Make America Great Again" as its motto, emphasizing promises to "stop the migrant invasion" and impose tariffs, underscoring Trump's grip on policy direction. Demographically, the GOP base transformed under Trumpism, shifting from a coalition dominated by college-educated suburbanites to one increasingly reliant on working-class voters; exit polls from 2024 showed Trump winning 54% of white non-college voters compared to 44% in 2016, alongside gains among Hispanics (up to 46% support) and young men, reflecting a realignment that upended decades of patterns where Democrats held advantages in these groups. This change was driven by Trump's focus on cultural and economic grievances, such as opposition to and , which resonated in rural and industrial areas, evidenced by his rural vote margins exceeding 30 points in multiple elections. The MAGA faction emerged as the dominant force within the party, comprising roughly 50% of Republican identifiers by and controlling key institutions like the RNC through loyalists; this was apparent in the 2022 midterms, where Trump-endorsed candidates won 174 of 220 primaries, purging critics and Never Trump elements via primary challenges and intimidation tactics. Despite resistance from traditional conservatives, empirical primary outcomes and platform shifts indicate Trumpism's enduring transformation, with the party prioritizing populist nationalism over neoconservative interventionism and fiscal .

Influence on 2024 Election and Beyond

Donald Trump, embodying core tenets of Trumpism such as economic nationalism and skepticism of elite institutions, secured a decisive victory in the 2024 presidential election, winning 312 electoral votes by capturing all seven swing states and the popular vote with 49.8% to Kamala Harris's 48.3%, a margin of approximately 1.5 percentage points. This outcome marked the first Republican popular vote win since 2004 and reflected Trumpism's expansion of the GOP base, with notable gains among non-white working-class voters, including increased support from Hispanic voters (up to 45% in some analyses) and Black voters (around 13-20% compared to prior cycles). Voter turnout patterns showed higher participation among Trump supporters in key demographics, driven by appeals to economic concerns like inflation and immigration, which polls identified as top issues aligning with America First priorities. The 2024 Republican platform, heavily influenced by Trumpist ideology, emphasized " including border security through mass deportations, reciprocal trade s to protect domestic industry, , and to growth, framing these as responses to perceived failures of prior administrations. Campaign rallies and messaging reinforced populist themes of national sovereignty and cultural preservation, mobilizing the MAGA base while attracting disaffected independents and Democrats frustrated with establishment policies on and the . Post-election surveys indicated a "MAGA mandate," with majorities of voters endorsing stricter (over 60%) and implementations, signaling Trumpism's resonance beyond traditional conservatives. In the ensuing second term, initiated on January 20, 2025, Trumpism's influence manifested in executive actions prioritizing mass deportations targeting over 10 million undocumented immigrants, imposition of 10-20% universal tariffs on imports, and appointments of loyalists to dismantle perceived "" elements within federal agencies. These moves, aligned with pre-election promises, aimed to enforce causal links between policy inaction and national decline, such as linking open borders to fentanyl deaths (over 70,000 annually) and trade deficits (exceeding $900 billion in 2023). Empirical early indicators included reduced illegal crossings post-policy announcements and stock market gains in manufacturing sectors tariffs. Looking ahead, Trumpism's dominance within the Republican Party positions it to shape midterm contests and 2028 primaries, with potential for sustained voter realignments if economic outcomes validate protectionist strategies, though risks of trade retaliation remain untested at scale.

Potential Long-Term Effects on American Democracy

Trumpism's emphasis on challenging established institutions and elites has contributed to sustained partisan divides in trust toward core democratic pillars, such as elections and the . data show that trust in the federal government to do what is right "just about always" or "most of the time" stood at only 22% as of May 2024, with Republicans exhibiting particularly low confidence at around 10% in 2024 surveys, a trend exacerbated by perceptions of institutional during the Trump . However, this decline predates Trumpism, with overall interpersonal trust falling from 46% in 1972 to 34% by 2018 per metrics, indicating that Trumpist amplified rather than originated broader disillusionment rooted in and cultural shifts. Despite claims of enduring damage from events like the , 2021, Capitol , U.S. democratic institutions exhibited resilience, as electoral certification proceeded, power transferred peacefully in 2021, and subsequent elections in 2022 and 2024 adhered to constitutional processes without systemic breakdown. analyses, including those reviewing global datasets, note that while U.S. scores dipped during Trump's first term due to perceived threats to , recovery occurred through institutional checks, such as congressional oversight and judicial rulings, preventing autocratization comparable to cases in or . Brookings assessments conclude no permanent resulted, attributing survival to and that constrained executive overreach. On participation metrics, Trumpism correlated with elevated , reaching near-historic levels in 2020 (66.8%) and 2024, where higher engagement among Trump 2020 voters (versus Biden's) aided Republican gains, signaling intensified civic involvement rather than or withdrawal. This mobilization, driven by populist appeals to working-class and minority demographics, potentially fosters long-term democratic vitality by broadening coalitions and countering , though it risks entrenching zero-sum competition if polarization persists. Scholarly reviews highlight that affective polarization—emotional hostility between parties—intensified under Trump but followed decades-long trajectories from the onward, driven by media fragmentation and identity sorting more than Trumpism alone. Potential risks include normalized skepticism of unfavorable outcomes, with surveys during Trump's tenure revealing elevated Republican support (around 30-40% in some polls) for bending democratic norms like executive interference in elections, mirroring but not exceeding bipartisan tolerances for illiberal measures elsewhere. Yet, empirical resilience post-January 6, including state-level election administration and federal indictments upholding , suggests adaptive strengthening against future challenges, provided countervailing norms of endure. Long-term, Trumpism may catalyze a more contestable by prioritizing voter sovereignty over technocratic deference, though unchecked distrust could undermine collective problem-solving on issues like , where partisan gridlock already prevails.

References

  1. https://manhattan.[institute](/page/Institute)/article/the-maga-mandate-post-election-survey-analysis-of-the-2024-electorate
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